Recent Research on Sex Offenders with Intellectual and Learning Disability Prof. Bill Lindsay Danshell Health Univ Abertay,Dundee, Bangor Univ. Deakin Univ. Melbourne Recent Research on Sex Offenders with Intellectual and Learning Disability Prof. Bill Lindsay Danshell Health Univ Abertay,Dundee, Bangor Univ. Deakin Univ. Melbourne Email: bill.lindsay@danshell.co.uk Community and Security? • Many clinical developments are about security. • Access to an ordinary life. • Communities, GP surgeries, sports, public transport, shops, pubs, entertainment, education. • Courts, criminal justice, disposals. • Vulnerabilities, exploitation. • Lund (1990). Denmark, 1970s to 1980s – doubling of the incidence of sex offenders with ID. Referral source percentages by year. 90 80 Court Community Other 70 60 Lindsay, Haut and Steptoe, ,J Foren. Psychiat Psychol. 2011 50 N=309 40 30 20 10 0 1990-1995 1996-2002 2003-2008 Characteristics – change setting only (Hogue Lindsay, Taylor et al 2006 Criminal Behaviour and Mental Health) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 N=212 Offences across lifespan. High Med/low community Sex offence Violent offence* Bodily harm* Weapon use Characteristics – change setting only (Hogue Lindsay, Taylor et al 2006 CBMH) 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Index offence High Med/low community Sexual assault Violent assault* Arson Alcohol 1988- 2008 Lindsay, Steptoe, Haut, Brewster Individual treatment motivation (2013) CBMH 20 year follow up of 309 p community forensic ID service Treatment of criminal issues, ISB, anger, fire interest Psychiatric review and management Offender treatment. Community integration, family social contact.. social skills and offence related thinking. Work and occupation Percent of each cohort reoffending (any reported incident) up to 20 year follow up. Lindsay, Haut et al (2013), CBMH 60 Other off. N=126 50 40 Sex offenders N=156 Females N=27 30 20 10 0 Reoffending Harm Reduction (Lindsay, Haut, Steptoe and Brewster 2013): Reduction in number of incidents (total cohort) 1400 1200 * 1000 800 600 2 YEARS BEFORE UP TO 20 YRS AFTER * 400 200 0 SEX OFF OTHER OFF WOMEN Assessment Issues in Inappropriate Sexual Behaviour (ISB) • • • • • Cognitive ability Sexual Knowledge Abuse in childhood Mental health issues Social background and family attachment issues • Emotional stability • Cognitions consistent with ISB Pathways through forensic ID services (Lindsay, Holland et al 2010, AmJ IntDevDis). n=197. Inappropriate Sexual Behaviour • SSKAAT-R (Griffiths & Lunsky 2002). • SEXKEN (McCabe, Cummins & Deeks. RIDD, 1999, 24154). • ASK (Galea, Butler, Lambrick et al.. JIDD, 2004, 350-65). • Puberty, parts of the body, sexual health, contraception, having sex, relationships, use of alcohol, safety, pregnancy and childbirth, masturbation, legal issues (ASK). Counterfeit Deviance Counterfeit Deviance (Griffiths, Hingsburger) – Sexual Knowledge. Sex Offenders V Non Sex Offenders. Sexual Knowledge Score (Michie et al 2006 Sexual Abuse. Lunsky et al 2007 JIDD) 45 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 40 35 Type 1 D Type 2 I Controls 30 25 Anatomy Birth Control Dating Intercourse STD Assessment areas Menstruation 20 anatomy Sex Off(24) Non-Sex Off(41) BC boundaries total Abuse in childhood in Offenders with ID. (Lindsay, Steptoe and Haut 2011. J.Int.Dis.Res.) * 60 50 40 Male Sex Off * Other Male Off. * 30 Females 20 10 0 CSA NAI Cognitive Distortion – Faulty Thinking Mechanisms (Ward et al., 1997. Clinical Psychology Review) • Denial of an offence • Denial of intent • Mitigation of responsibility through victim action- victim shares the blame, victim encouragement • Mitigation of responsibility through life events – life stress, lack of sexual outlets, work stress • Minimisation of incident/consequences – little harm, victim enjoyed experience,learning experience for victim • Denial of normal state – alcohol, mental illness Lindsay, Whitefield & Carson (2007), Legal & Criminological Psychology 6 5 4 SO/ID ))/ID NO/ID Mainsream 3 2 1 0 Rape Voyeur Exhib. Children QACSO Scores (n=10, Sex Off. gps.) Lindsay et al (2006) JARID 25 QACSO results replicated by: 20 Rose et al 2002, 2012 Langdon et al 2007 Craig et al 2013 Murphy et al 2011 Heaton and Murphy 2013 Mean Score 15 10 5 0 Rape Children Type of Of f ence Vchild Vadult exhibit. nonOff (n=19) Sex offending pathways (Hudson and Ward) • • • • Avoidant active Avoidant passive Approach explicit Approach automatic Keeling and Rose(2005) Sexual Abuse Hypothesis : passive and automatic pathways Sex offending pathways Keeling, Rose and Beech(2006) Sexual Abuse (n=16) Mainstream Bickley and Beech (2002),n=87 Active V Passive Approach V Avoid Special needs 60 Avoid A 50 Avoid P 40 Appr. Ex 30 Appr. Au 45 40 35 30 25 20 20 15 10 10 5 0 0 Sex offending pathways Langdon,et al (2007 JIDD) Lindsay et al 2009 SAJRT Active V Passive Approach V Avoid 45 Active/Ex Higher IQ Greater sex K LowerQACSO 40 Avoid A 35 Avoid P 30 50 Appr. Ex 25 20 Approach Higher IQ Greater denial 60 15 10 5 0 Appr. Au 40 30 20 10 0 Russell - Avoidant Active Risk of Re-offending (Elliot, Lindsay & Astell, 2004, J.App.Res.Int.Dis.) • • • • Offence involving violence, r=0.295* Juvenile crime, r=0.284* Sexual abuse ,r=0.327,* Poor relationship with mother, r=0.346* • • • • • • • Anti-social attitude, r=0.309* Low self-esteem, r=0.374** Poor response to treatment, r=0.45** Denial of Crime, r=0.335* Low treatment motivation, r=0.303* Poor compliance with man/treat routine, r=415* Allowances made by staff, r=0.409** Risk Prediction – Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC) • • • • • Auc =.5 – toss a coin Auc= 1 - perfect Auc =.65 - ok Auc = .75 - good Auc - .85 – very good RISK PREDICTION – auc. (Lindsay, Hogue et al, in press, Int J Off Ther Comp Crim.) VRAG HCR20 HCR -H HCR - C HCR-R RM2000S RM2000V RM2000C STATIC99 SDRS EPS 50 55 60 65 70 75 ARMADILO - Boer, Tough & Haaven (2004) Journal of Applied Research in Intellectual Disabilities • First complete the Static-99 • • • • Stable Client Items - 12 Items Stable Environment Items – 5 items Acute Client Items – 9 Items Acute Environment Items – 4 Items • All of the validating research has been done on this version. The 2010 vision retains the original structure but changes the items. Stable Client Items Attitude towards compliance with supervision and treatment Knowledge of faulty thoughts/crime cycle/risk factors/relapse prevention plan Stable Environment Items Attitudes towards sex offenders with ID Communication amongst supervisory staff Acute Client Items Changes in social support Changes in substance use Acute Environment Items New supervisory staff Monitoring of offender by staff Recent studies 27 Blacker, Beech, Wilcox & Boer. Psychology Crime & Law, 2011 • ARMIDILO-S stable unofficial AUC 0.56; Official AUC 0.61 n=44 • ARMIDILO-S Acute unofficial AUC 0.76; Official sexual AUC 0.73 All special needs sex offenders but Offenders with ID n=10 (IQ < 75) ARMIDILO-S stable AUC 0.86. ARMIDILO-S acute AUC 0.75 Sindall & Murphy, unpublished N=16 Stable client. – Auc= .85 Acute client. - Auc = .46 Stable environment – Auc= .41 Acute environment Auc =.50 Armadilo total - Auc= .83 Lofthouse, Lindsay, Totsika, Hastings et al. JARID, 2013. • • • • • • • • 64 sexual offenders with ID Average age 32 94% referred through community services Average IQ 67; range 54-75 4% were in-patients 96% lived in the community 21 engaged in ISV throughout follow-up Follow up – 6 years ARMADILO – auc. (Lofthouse, Lindsay, Hastings et al, 2013. JARID) VRAG = .55 Sensitivity Static – 99 = .72 Armidilo = .91 1 - Specificity Treatment studies Early work was case studies Lambrick and Glaser (2002) Rose et al (2002) O’Conner (1996) Lindsay et al (1998) Treatment studies Early work was case studies Lambrick and Glaser (2002) Rose et al (2002) O’Conner (1996) Lindsay et al (1998) VALENTINE IN THE PUB Danny Celia D Y IN THE STREET Lindsay et al. (1998), Research in Developmental Disabilities Frank Lambrick and co workers. Melbourne, Victoria corrections. Lambrick & Glaser (2002) SAJRT Sex Offender Response to Treatment (Lindsay & Smith, 1998. Journal of Intellectual Disability Research) Average Scores as % 100 80 Re-offending 60 1 Year Probation: 64% 40 2 Year Probation: 0% 20 0 Pre-treatment Post-treatment Follow-up QACSO Assessment Scores 1 Year Probationary Sentence 2 Year Probationary Sentence Status Following Discharge From Treatment (Lindsay et al., 2002. Journal of Applied Research in Intellectual Disability) 100 % Patients 80 60 40 20 0 Planned Discharge Unplanned Discharge Discharge Details Reoffending Documented / Suspected No reoffending Murphy et al SOTSEC ID J. App.Res.Int.Dis., 2010 55 50 * 45 N = 46 9% reoffending * 40 Baseline Post Treatment F.U. 6 Mths 35 30 25 20 QACSO SAKS SOSAS VES Responses on QACSO Offences against children scale Lindsay, Michie et al 2011 JARID 25 F. U. 6 Years Reoffending – 23% attirudes score 20 15 10 5 0 Baseline 6mth 12mth 18mth 24mth 30mth 36mth Assessment areas Adults.n=15 Children.n=15 Rose et al 2012 J. Foren. Practice 55 50 * N = 12 1 reoffended * 45 40 Baseline Post Treatment F.U. 12 Mths 35 30 25 20 QACSO SSKATT A MODEL UNDERPINNING TREATMENT FOR SEX OFFENDERS WITH MILD INTELLECTUAL DISABILITIES ( Lindsay 2005, Int. & Dev. Dis., 2009) 1. Motivation 2. Strategies for offending 3. General theories of criminality 4. Community engagement Conclusion Good evidence for first 2 strands: • Cognitive intervention • Self-restraint • Motivation and strategies Good evidence for second 2 strands: • Community engagement • Q.O.L. CAUTION R.P. and contact with victims Community engagement why would we tolerate sexual offenders in the community? • Sex offenders have a lower reoffending rate than violent offenders. 20% V 75% • We are more afraid of stranger rape than most other crime. • We are more afraid of child abduction than most other crime • Stranger rape is relatively uncommon. If you are raped it is most likely to be by a friend or acquaintance. • A child is far more likely to be sexually abused by her/his father, brother, uncle or grandad. Attachments, Relationships and QOL Steptoe, Lindsay, Forrest & Power, (2006) JIDD Significant Other Scale (Power et al., 1988) 6 5 2.5 ** 2 4 1.5 3 1 2 L. E. C. (Ager, 1988) Offenders only Support (SOS) 1 0.5 0 0 Relationships Domain Sex Offenders Control SOS Actual Ideal Relationships and Personal wellbeing Wheeler et al, (2013) JARID • Personal • Wellbeing Index (Cummins) 7 6 5 ** * 4 3 2 • L. E. C. (Ager, 1988) 1 0 Relationships Domain Offenders PWI Control Community Engagement – GLM (Tony Ward) • Control theory – masses of evidence to support the importance of community engagement to cut crime. • Good Lives Modal (GLM) – Ward’s theory of human needs and sexuality. The importance of fulfilling human needs without diminishing risk management. • Most sex offenders live in the community anyway. • Treatment in the community is far more realistic. Treatment in secure settings is always second best. • Even if we wanted to the cost of locking everyone up for life is prohibitive. PREDICTIONS • Appropriate engagement alone will not produce reduction in recidivism • Treatment in isolation (institution) is unlikely to produce gains in recidivism • Both are needed – address primary motivation and social engagement Treatment of criminal issues, ISB, anger, fire interest Individual treatment motivation Psychiatric review and management Offender treatment. 1990 - 2008 social skills and offence related thinking. Work and occupation. Community integration, family social contact.. Harm Reduction (Lindsay, Haut, Steptoe and Brewster 2013): Reduction in incidents (total cohort) 1400 1200 * 1000 800 600 * 2 YEARS BEFORE UP TO 20 YRS AFTER 400 200 0 SEX OFF OTHER OFF WOMEN Responsivity to criminogenic need. Lindsay, Carson, Holland, Taylor et al 2013, Journal of Intellectual Disability Research Referred 24 mths 12 mths Treatment Treatment ISB Violence Alcohol Firesetting Treatment across 24 months: Sexual index offence (Lindsay, Carson, Holland, et al 2012) 35 Referred 30 12 Mths 24 Mths 25 20 15 10 5 0 Gen. Community Foren. Community Low/Med secure High Secure CONCLUSIONS. • Research has been developing at a steady pace across the field. • This research has high social validity and is in response to cultural and societal changes – very important. • Research suggest treatment is highly effective • Important to develop reliable, valid assessments. • Risk assessment research has been conducted and seems promising. • Treatment work on sexual offending has long follow up. • Treatment is most likely to happen in a designated forensic community service. • We should consider comprehensive service evaluations as legitimate and theoretically sound research. Recent research on sex offenders with intellectual & learning disability. Prof Bill Lindsay Danshell Health. Univ. Abertay, Dundee Bangor Univ. Deakin Univ., Melbourne Email: bill.lindsay@danshell.co.uk