Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING National Economic and Development Authority Philippines 18 June 2014 High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-202 Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia Planning The rational process of identifying and defining the best manner with which to achieve certain goals with the available means. Steps in Planning Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Monitoring and Evaluation Goal, Objective and Target Setting Plan Implementation Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Investment Programming Steps in Planning Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Analysis of current situation •Describe the overall condition •Problems •Opportunities •Constraints •Potentials •Factors influencing the above items Steps in Planning Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Problem situations •Unacceptable outcomes •Economic •Social •Political •Environmental •Demographic •Identify the root cause of the problem •Prioritize the problems - gravity, extent of negative impacts, number of people affected Steps in Planning Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification General goal and specific objectives •Based on the identified problems •Improve the situation Targets •Quantified goals and objectives Steps in Planning Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Policies and Strategies •Intervention points as pointed out by the factors causing the problem •Appropriateness of policies and strategies depends on comprehensiveness of the situation analysis Steps in Planning Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Goal, Objective and Target Setting Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Programs and Projects •Translation of the policies and strategies •Scope of programs and projects depends on the same set of determinants of the problem Steps in Planning Investment Programming and Budgeting •Resource generation and resources allocation •Where to get funds •How much is needed •Which activities to fund •Support activities that generate maximum benefits and wide coverage of needy beneficiaries Monitoring and Evaluation Plan Implementation Investment Programming Steps in Planning Plan Implementation •Implement the plan in coordination with other institutions •Government •Private organizations •Community organizations •No overlap of activities and functions •Minimize waste of resources Monitoring and Evaluation Plan Implementation Investment Programming Steps in Planning Plan Monitoring and Evaluation •Goals and objectives are attained as programmed •Resources are efficiently utilized •Policies and programs are appropriately identified •Intended direct impacts of programs and projects are achieved •Target beneficiaries are reached •Unintended impacts are identified Monitoring and Evaluation Plan Implementation Investment Programming Steps in Planning “re-calibrate if an element of the plan is not met Plan Formulation Situation Analysis and Problem Identification Monitoring and Evaluation Goal, Objective and Target Setting Plan Implementation Policy and Strategy Formulation Program/ Project Identification Investment Programming Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning • Greater effectiveness of development policies and programs/projects Hmm…policies/programs/projects… Will I choose one or a combination of two or more will do good? What will be the direct/indirect impacts? Any unintended consequences Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning • Greater efficiency in resource allocation What are the direct and indirect costs and benefits? Who should be responsible for what? Potential Gains from Improved Development Planning • Greater equity Who are the target population? How many are they? Where are they? What is the extent of their problem? Are they reached by government intervention? Key Words For Integrating Statistics in Development Planning INTENDED DIRECT IMPACT BENEFICIARIES ARE REACHED TARGETS ARE ATTAINED PRUDENT FOREIGN BORROWING PROBLEMS APPROPRIATE WIDER VIEW POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES RATIONAL PROCESS COORDINATION MINIMIZE WASTE CONSTRAINTS NEGATIVE IMPACT ROOT CAUSE RE-CALIBRATION POTENTIALS POSSIBLE AREA MAXIMUM BENEFIT COVERAGE UNACCEPTABLE OUTCOMES NUMBER OF AFECTED PEOPLE INTERVENTION POINTS OVERLAPPING ACTIVITIES EFFECTIVENESS EFFICIENCY EQUITY DECISION PRIORITIZE THE PROBLEMS QUANTIFIED TARGET SCOPE OF PROGRAMS & PROJECTS AVAILABLE DOMESTIC RESOURCES GRAVITY OF THE PROBLEM COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS RESOURCE GENERATION RESOURCE ALLOCATION FRAMEWORK FOR DEVELOPMENT PLANNING APPROACH A General Perspective Development Intervention Development Policy/ Strategy/Program / Project (Y) Population Policy Strategy/Program /Project (X) A VIEW OF HOW THE REAL WORLD BEHAVES Development Outcomes Y Population Outcomes Population Processes X Development Processes Development Outcomes Desired Development Outcomes Framework for Development Planning: Analyzing Interactions at the Household Level Community Environment -Agricultural & Natural resource base External Factors Social, Economic and Environmental Development Projects: Other sources of change -Structure of market & price of factor inputs and products Household Characteristics - physical, social and economic infrastructure - social structure and organization -Physical assets -Human capital -Size, age-sex composition of members - population size and age-sex composition Source: Herrin, 1983 HOUSEHOLD DECISIONS -Savings & consumption -Investment in physical & human capital -Labor utilization -Fertility -migration Integrating Statistics in Development PLANNING National Economic and Development Authority Philippines 18 June 2014 High Level Seminar and Workshop on ACSS Strategic Plan 2016-202 Hotel Salak, Bogor Indonesia