Understanding the International Monetary System Chapter 5 Current Trends Post-WWII Dollar’s value Convertible currencies Gold Standard History The Gold Market Gold Standard v. platinum v. diamond Currency per ounce of gold Return to gold standard? Why? Why not? Gold Standard History Bretton Woods Established IMF Established World Bank Established gold exchange standard Decided stable exchange rates better Dollar became central reserve asset International Monetary Fund Objective Works with UN Greater Power? Film surveillance Two methods G-8 Countries Conditionality and Cooperation with World Bank World Bank Multilateral development banks Roles of developing and developed countries World Bank $16 billion in loans annually Hard loans Encourage investors World Bank International Finance Corporation Investment banker Favors joint ventures Create local capital markets International Development Association Soft loans Why? World Bank Multilateral Investment Guarantee International Center for Settlement of Investment Disputes 152 countries $30 billion in private investment in 70 developing countries Capacity building and advisory services Advisory and research services Problems with World Bank World Bank Other Multilateral Banks African Development Bank Disorganization Lack of funds Asian Development Bank Lack of funds European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Who does it help? World Bank Other Multilateral Banks Inter-American Development Bank U.S. and 45 other countries 1998- Lending is $10 billion Bank for International Settlements Location: Switzerland Anonymous cover Four functions Forum for international monetary cooperation Center for research Banker for central banks Agent for various financial arrangements U.S. joined in 1994 Balance of Payments Deficits- U.S. Could be due to inflation Market measures Nonmarket measures Balance of Payments Current Account Capital Account Goods/merchandise Services Unilateral transfers Direct investment Portfolio investment Short-term capital flows Official Reserves Account Balance of Payments Temporary Disequilibrium Monetary policies Fiscal policies Fundamental Disequilibrium History of U.S. and Gold Standard U.S. Dollar became over-valued Central banks Gold Exchange Standard Why not de-value the currency? $35/oz. of gold Results 1958-1971- U.S ran deficit Dichotomy of the situation History of U.S. and Gold Standard August 1971 December 1971 and February 1973 Fixed currency exchange rates Floating currency exchange rates Types of Currency Floats Free (clean) Managed (dirty) History of U.S. and Gold Standard 1981-85 U.S. runs a deficit Why? Sept. 1985 Group of Five Today- Group of Eight Government reserves today Currency Areas Snake Currencies are floating Mid-1970’s Europe What was it? Experience with Floating Hard to peg System today- has it held? Forecasting Float Direction Purchasing Power Parity Big Mac Index Starbucks Index Money Markets and Foreign Exchanges Money Markets Which market is the largest? Grew until 2001 Why did it stop? Asian currencies Most traded currencies SDRs Special Drawing Rights How is it calculated? Uses Remains stable Holders SDRs as central reserve assets Replace currencies and gold? Reasons European Monetary System European Monetary Union 1979 European Monetary Cooperation Fund 1991- Maastricht European Central Bank European Currency Unit Why did it work when SDR failed? Euro Transition to Euro Circulation European Central Bank Powers