Scanner Data – Discussion on the Treatment of Discounts in the CPI Muhanad Sammar, Anders Norberg & Can Tongur Statistics Sweden Disposition • • • • • • • Scanner Data in the Swedish CPI The Swedish Practice A New System Data file Different Rebates and Discounts Regulations & Guidelines Future plans The Price Unit’s Current Position • Scanner data in the CPI • One major retail chain (Approx 50%) - Daily necessities • Pharmacies (Total data) • The government owned chain of alcohol stores (Total data) • Studying scanner data from • Two more retail chains (Approx 35%) • A major railway operator • Secure scanner data from • Petrol stations • Hardware stores • Electrical retailers The Swedish Practice 1 - Manual price collection (observed prices) Store A1 Store A2 Item 1 Store An Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item i Price collector B2 Price collector B1 Price collector Bm The Swedish Practice 2 - Transaction prices (weekly deliveries) Store A1 Store A2 Item 1 Store An Item 2 Item 3 Item 4 Item i Population C2 Population C1 Population Cn A complete system has been built • File validation • • • • • Selecting – fixed basket Price validation • • • File structure Translate variables' name Ensure the quality Limits Market analysis Aggregation • • Unweighted geometric mean Weighted arithmetic mean Why the Price Unit went to Use Scanner Data in the CPI? • • • • Better quality Less volatile data (three weeks) “A study on Scanner Data in the Swedish CPI” A report by Swedish Consumer Agency • For 9% of the items in the survey, the prices were hard to find or could not be found at all. • For 6% of the examined products, the prices on the shelves and packages were different from the purchased prices. • Human errors Scanner Data - Variables • • • • Excel sheet Transaction prices (=Turnover/Units Sold) EAN codes (bar codes) Detailed information • • • • • Product description Week/Year Store Quantity Brand Different Rebates and Discounts • Member card discounts • Bonus offers (extras) like “3 for 2” • Sale • Coupon discounts Member Card Discounts • “Membership” offers are for the moment a steadily growing marketing strategy • premium checks • membership discounts • offers on travel, hotels and various entertainments. • For one of the retail chains, 80% of all their sales, registered in 2011, were made by members. • The two major chains have millions of households tied to them through membership cards which are used actively Bonus Offers (extras) - like “3 for 2” • Example 1: Same product - $30 off $ $ $ • Example 2: Different products - $30 off (split proportionally) Coupon discounts • Issued by the seller or the supplier (in paper) • Accepted as any payment • Issued by the seller or the supplier (Membership card) Regulations & Guidelines • The review of the Swedish Consumer Price Index (SOU 1999:124) • HICP regulations • Consumer price index manual: Theory and practice (The International CPI Manual) • National Accounts manual Price Unit's aspiration • Secure more scanner data • Introduce more scanner data into the CPI • Introduce 5 digit level COICOP (year 2014) • Enhance international cooperation • Exchange knowledge and expertise on scanner data and on quality management Summing-up • New method of collecting prices • Update guidelines • Update regulations • A promising source of data • High quality of actual transactions An issue of principle: Should rebates and discounts in the Scanner Data be included or excluded in the target price for the CPI?