Great Western Franchise Response, Halcrow

West of England Area Rail Studies

Outline Summary

This presentation summarises the work produced to date as part of these studies.

‹#› 08/02/2012 West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

Introductions

David Crockett – Project Manager

• Transport Economist – 20 years experience

• Strategic Rail Studies

• Thameslink

• HS2

• Industry process RUS / RPA

• Advisor to Rail Franchises on demand & revenue forecasts

• Advice on transport appraisal to DfT

Graeme Pollard – Rail Operations Specialist

• Rail Operator – 20+ years experience

• Worked for rail operators

• Numerous projects assessing rail capacity

• Advisor to Rail Franchises on operational capacity

West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett 2 08/02/2012

Process

Operations

• What is possible?

• What is efficient?

Demand/cost/revenue

• Trade off

• What is affordable – capital / revenue costs

3 08/02/2012 West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

Filton Bank

Four-track Railway Infrastructure


Filton Bank

• What can be delivered without it? – not much!

• Allows for the capacity to do other things rather than delivering service enhancements itself.

• Filton Bank enhancements do not include four-tracking between BTM and Parson

Street stations.

• Filton Bank enhancements will not deliver any new stations in the area – per se.


PHASE 1 - Portishead to Bristol

Temple Meads

New service and infrastructure


Portishead to Bristol Temple Meads

• New service between Portishead

& Bristol Temple Meads with extension to Severn Beach.

• Hourly service provides links to

Bristol and Severn Beach.

• Operational capacity to introduce an hourly shuttle between Bristol and Portishead thus providing a half-hourly service.

• Additional stations, Portishead, and Pill.

• Estimated capital costs =

£32.9million (£25.1m for track and signalling, £7.75m for two new stations)


PHASE 1 - Bath to Bristol Shuttle

New service


9

Bath to Bristol Shuttle

• New service between Bath Spa &

Bristol Temple Meads, with extension to Severn Beach to provide a cross-Bristol (East-

West) service.

• Providing an additional hourly service between Bath and Bristol,

& thus 2 tph at Keynesham and

Oldfield Park.

• Due to constraints for turn round at Bath Spa, potential turn round would be undertaken at

Bathampton (requires implementation of turnback capability).

• Estimated capital cost =

£2.76million (Bathampton turn back).

08/02/2012 West of England Area Rail Studies - David Crockett

PHASE 1 - Enhancement of Severn

Beach service

Cross-Bristol Links


Enhancements to Severn Beach service

• Potential for Enhanced and New

Services.

• Can be combined to link to

Portishead & Bath, providing hourly cross-Bristol services.

• Half hourly service between Severn

Beach & Bristol Temple Meads, with hourly extensions to Bath and

Portishead.

• Can accommodate additional station at Portway (Park and Ride).

• No additional Capital costs.


PHASE 1 - METRO


Greater Bristol Metro – Phase 1


Demand – Revenue – Operating Costs

• Initial results are promising .

• Based around a set of assumptions that require further investigation.

• Assumptions assume growth in key parts of the network, especially Temple

Meads Enterprise Zone.

• Potential to be included in core franchise specification.

• BUT More detailed assessment is required.

• Train Operators always form their own views on the market potential

• Strong need to engage with the franchise bidders to press the case for Phase 1 Metro.


Phase 1 Summary

Service Level Provision – Post Phase 1

• Oldfield Park / Keynsham 2tph

• Portishead Line 2tph

• Severn Beach Line 2 tph

• Parson St – Bedminster additional 1 tph with stopping of Taunton –

Cardiff service


PHASE 2 - Henbury Loop

New service and infrastructure


Henbury Loop

• New Service between Bristol Temple Meads

& Henbury.

• Likely to be an hourly service between

Bristol & Henbury.

• Potential for continuation of service to link with Severn Beach Line, although it is unlikely that journey times would be competitive.

• Estimated capital costs (with two new stations) = £21 million

• Base Scheme includes additional stations at

Henbury & Filton North

• Capacity on line for stops serving Horfield &

Ashley Down – business case for these would need to be proven.

• Links to new development of Filton Airfield and wider Henbury area (potential funding mechanism).

• Service is not proposed to stop at Stapleton

Road and Lawrence Hill, due to operational capacity with other proposed services.


PHASE 2 - Enhancement of rail service to

Yate

New service


Enhancement of services to Yate

• New Service between Westonsuper-Mare & Yate.

• Provide an additional hourly service between Bristol Temple

Meads & Yate.

• Cross Bristol links (North-South) with the extension to Westonsuper-Mare.

• Estimated capital cost (turn back facility at Yate)= £4.2 million.

• Further investigations are being carried out to improve the operational efficiency of the Yate turnback.


Greater Bristol Metro – Phase 2


Demand – Revenue – Operating Costs

• Initial results are promising .

• Based around a set of assumptions that require further investigation.

• Predicated on growth proposals at Filton Airfield and at Yate.

• Yate service requires further investigation to improve operational efficiency.

• Potential to be included in core franchise specification.

• BUT More detailed assessment is required.

• Train Operators always form their own views on the market potential


Phase 2 Summary

Service Level Provision – Post Phase 2

• PHASE 1

• Oldfield Park / Keynsham 2tph

• Portishead Line 2tph

• Severn Beach Line 2 tph

• PHASE 2

• Henbury to BTM – 1 tph – with stops at Filton North and Filton Abbey

Wood. Scope for increase to 2tph – but additional infrastructure may be required for freight / passenger interface.

• Yate to BTM - 2 tph


New Stations Package


New Stations Potential

• Build Base Service Levels

• Issues for New Stations

• Capital Funding

• Revenue Funding

• Operational capacity for additional stops

• Impact on existing train users

• Portishead – Pill – delivered as part of Portishead scheme

• Henbury – Filton North delivered as part of Henbury scheme

• Strong potential, but business case needs to be proven with:

• Saltford

• Ashton Gate

• Corsham

• Ashley Down / Horfield


Greater Bristol Metro – Phases 1 & 2


What is Delivered?

Significant change in Rail Provision

• PHASE 1

• £40m investment – primarily on Portishead

• Half hourly Portishead – BTM, plus cross city run to Severn Beach

• Half hourly Bath – BTM, plus cross city run to Severn Beach

• Half hourly Severn Beach – BTM – running through to Bath and Portishead

• Change Stopping pattern on Cardiff – Taunton to allow stops at Parson St / Bedminster

• PHASE 2

• Henbury – BTM – once Filton built out

• Weston – Yate – to provide Yate half hourly

• Station Package with establishment of improved service levels “build it and they will come”

• Phasing approach fits with industry plans

• Approach is future proof – Phases 1 and 2 do not negate future phases.

• Credible response to Industry consultation process.


Great Western Franchise Response, Halcrow

West of England Area Rail Studies

Filton Bank

PHASE 1 - Portishead to Bristol

Temple Meads

PHASE 1 - Bath to Bristol Shuttle

PHASE 1 - Enhancement of Severn

Beach service

PHASE 1 - METRO

PHASE 2 - Henbury Loop

PHASE 2 - Enhancement of rail service to

Yate

New Stations Package

Related documents

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Support

Great Western Franchise Response, Halcrow

West of England Area Rail Studies

Filton Bank

PHASE 1 - Portishead to Bristol

Temple Meads

PHASE 1 - Bath to Bristol Shuttle

PHASE 1 - Enhancement of Severn

Beach service

PHASE 1 - METRO

PHASE 2 - Henbury Loop

PHASE 2 - Enhancement of rail service to

Yate

New Stations Package

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