Treasury Business and How to Look into It Satian Tantanasarit September 23, 2010 1 Nature of the market • “Near” Perfect Competition • Never sleep market • High volatility • Innovative and ever changing • Sensitive to news 2 Role Play • Intermediary $ $ Buyer • Investor Seller x $ x • Speculators x • The underlyings have extremely exposed to the movement of the markets. • Exposures are not limited to Market Risk (price movement) but also Credit Risks (Default Risk) and Liquidity Risk (Got Stuck) • The major risk, therefore, is still market risk. The Three Lines of Defenses Model 1st 2nd 3rd Business Risk Management Audit Manager Compliance Clients Business Flow Legal Finance external Regulator Auditor Business management BU are required to ensure that their engagement of business activities comply with relevant laws of regulation as well as business principles, practices and related code of conduct. BU are also responsible for managing compliance risk of their day-to-day business activities and the result of non compliance conduct. Compliance • Assist management to identify compliance requirements and related risk via compliance checklist. • The list help BU in identifying activities to mitigate the risk. Audit Provide management with independent; objective assurance on the overall effectiveness of the design and operation of internal controls. Key considerations for financial product examinations • Price movement (Out of Range?) • Exposure (In line with Risk Appetite of organization?) • Client knowledge (Do we understand our clients? Do clients understand the market and underlying they have undertaken?) • Risk Mitigation (do BUs mitigate the risk? And How?) Price Movement • The initial price of the underlyings reflects the value of it at any given time. Therefore the value of the underlyings must be “mark to market”, ideally, at all time. Practically, as often as possible. • The range of price movement reflects the true value of the underlyings in a specific period of time, e.g. one day, one week, one month or one year. This is to prevent the BUs from any intended “biding” the value either for their own positions or facilitating clients transaction. Example • A bought US$ 1,000,000 value spot at 32.30/US$. Assume that US$/THB moved between 32.00-32.50 on that day, A intended to book the deal at a lower exchange rate to avoid the overlimit exposure. • What A did is called an off market rate deal. • Rate reasonableness must be checked by an independent party outside dealing room such as Treasury Operations or Risk manager. Exposure • No need to randomly check an individual deals. • Rather, check on how the Bank (clients) expose to the price movement via Operational limits (counterparty limit). • Various types of Operational limits. Essentially, take a look at Delta limits for foreign exchange and PV01 for interest rate. • On the clients’ side, to certain institution, their exposure should be periodically marked to market to see the current exposure. Client Knowledge • To ascertain that clients have a knowledge and understanding in the offered products BEFORE entering with the Bank into the transactions. • Clients Suitability check list. • Can be one sided check list or properly signed by clients. Risk Mitigation • Always ask the question “how do we hedge?” • Randomly pick a number of deals to check and learn hoe the Bank hedge that particular deal. • Keep in mind that It is not a serious issue if the traders do not hedge such exposure as long as it is within limits. • Work together with Risk Manager to consider if such hedges (or unhedges) reasonable. Example of Products Scrutinization FX Spot and Forwards (two business days up to 360 days) Price Movement : (volatile to very volatile) Take a look at off market rate reports. Exposure : Take a look at Delta limits held on aggregate and individual limits and PV01 limits. Clients knowledge : No Clients Suitability required if up to one year. Risk mitigation : may ask but not necessary. FX options Price Movement : (very volatile) Exposure : Take a look at all the “Greek” limits especially Delta hedges. Clients knowledge : A must Risk mitigation : Discuss and ask the famous question Work together with market risk to justify the hedges. Bond, Interest Rate Swaps and Currency Swaps Price Movement : very volatile to extremely volatile. Exposure : Take a look at PV01 limits Ask the Question of How liquid the underlyings are? Clients knowledge : A must Risk mitigation : important but not necessary Treasury Operations • Maintain a Check and Balance mechanism. • Early warning person (watchdog) when front office breaks the rules (intentionally or unintentionally) • Accountable for settlement risk thru payment instruction/money transfer (some selected counterparties) • Accountable for legal binding thru contract/ confirmation with counterparties (corp. clients in particular) Key Considerations • Communication between Front and Back office (Effectives?) • Process in handling the payment/ money transfer (Straight through/ manual?) • Contract/ Confirmation between Bank and Counterparty (Especially Corporate Clients, # of overdue contract signing) • Generate Reports reflecting the activities performed by front office. • Type of reports • Who are the recipients of such report. Transaction and Settlement Flows FX Spot 5. ตกลงทาสัญญา ลูกค้ า 1.2 แจ้ งทารายการ ซือ้ /ขายเงิน 3. quote ราคาซือ้ /ขาย 7. Trader square position กับ bank counterparty FX Sales 4. แจ้ งราคาซือ้ /ขาย ซึ่งบวกกาไรแล้ ว 6. Confirm ราคา 1.1 ส่ งเอกสารการโอน 10. แจ้ ง ref# สาขา 2. ขอราคาต้ นทุน IBO 11. แจ้ งรายการโอนเงิน rate & ref# พร้ อม fax เอกสาร 9. Input deal ในระบบ Murex; TMO verify deal Trader Interbank Counterparty 8. Input deal ในระบบ Murex; TMO verify deal TMO SWIFT CONFIRM Transaction and Settlement Flows FX Forward 3. quote ราคาซือ้ /ขาย ลูกค้ า 1. แจ้ งทารายการ ซือ้ /ขายเงิน FX Sales 2. ขอราคาต้ นทุน 7. Trader square position กับ bank counterparty Trader 4. แจ้ งราคาซือ้ /ขาย ซึ่งบวกกาไรแล้ ว 5. ตกลงทาสัญญา 6. Confirm ราคา 9. Input deal ในระบบ Murex; TMO verify deal 10.ส่ ง Fax Confirmation ในวันที่ทารายการ และส่ ง Forward Contract สาหรั บ deal ที่มีอายุมากกว่ า spot Interbank Counterparty 8. Input deal ในระบบ Murex; TMO verify deal TMO SWIFT CONFIRM Transaction and Settlement Flows IRS/CRS 5.1. ส่ ง Preliminary Confirmation 1. ขอราคา ลูกค้ า FPA /Inst.Sales 3. quote ราคา 2. ขอราคา 7. Trader square position กับ bank counterparty Trader 4. เสนอราคาซึ่ง รวมกาไรแล้ ว 5. ตกลงทาสัญญา 6. Confirm ราคา Interbank Counterparty 8. Input deal ในระบบ Murex, TMO verify deal 9. Input deal ในระบบ Murex, TMO verify deal TMO 10. ส่ ง Long Form Confirmation SWIFT CONFIRM Transaction and Settlement Flows IRS/CRS (Fixing Date) ลูกค้ า FPA /Inst.Sales Trader 1. Print rate source เช่ น THBFIX 2. ส่ ง Payment Fixing Advice TMO Transaction and Settlement Flows IRS/CRS (Settlement Date) ลูกค้ า FPA /Inst.Sales 1. รั บและส่ งมอบเงินตาม Payment Fixing Advice Trader TMO Transaction and Settlement Flows CAP 5.1. ส่ ง Preliminary Confirmation ลูกค้ า 1. ขอราคา 4. เสนอราคาซึ่ง รวมกาไรแล้ ว FPA /Inst.Sales 5. ตกลงทาสัญญา 3. quote ราคา 2. ขอราคา 6. Confirm ราคา 7. Trader square position กับ bank counterparty Trader Interbank Counterparty 8. Input deal ในระบบ Murex, TMO verify deal 9. Input deal ในระบบ Murex, TMO verify deal TMO 10. ส่ ง Long Form Confirmation SWIFT CONFIRM Transaction and Settlement Flows CAP (Fixing Date) ลูกค้ า FPA /Inst.Sales Trader 1. Print rate source เช่ น THBFIX 3. ส่ ง Payment Fixing Advice TMO 2. TMO input Fixing Rate Transaction and Settlement Flows CAP (Settlement Date) ลูกค้ า FX Sales 1. รั บและส่ งมอบเงินตาม Payment Fixing Advice •ถ้ า Fixing Rate สูงกว่ า Cap Rate ธนาคารจะจ่ ายส่ วนต่ างของดอกเบีย้ ให้ แก่ ลูกค้ า •ถ้ า Fixing Rate ต่ากว่ า Cap Rate จะไม่ มีรายการ settlement Trader TMO