ประสบการณ์ในการเจรจาต่อรองและ การจัดทาบันทึกข้อตกลงระหว่างประเทศ เก็จพิรุณ เกาะสุวรรณ์ กรมเจรจาการค้าระหว่างประเทศ 13 มิถุนายน 2556 Outline 2 Major Trade Agreements in ASEAN Negotiating Trade Agreements Technical Terms Experience Building Blocs of ASEAN Integration 3 2510 Bangkok Declaration ASEAN 2535 CEPT-AFTA 2538 AFAS ASEAN Framework Agreement on Services 2539 AICO ASEAN Industrial Cooperation Scheme 2541 AIA 2550 ASEAN Charter ASEAN Community + Declaration on AEC Blueprint 2552 ATIGA 2554 ACIA Agreement on the Common Effective Preferential Tariff Scheme for ASEAN Free Trade Area Framework Agreement on the ASEAN Investment Area ASEAN Framework Agreement on the Facilitation of Goods in Transit ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement ASEAN Comprehensive Investment Agreement Structure of an Agreement 4 Agreement Text Schedule of Commitments / Reservation List Annex Type of a Trade Agreement 5 Regional Trade Agreement / Free Trade Agreement / Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement Trade Agreement => JTC Double Taxation Agreement Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT) Mutual Recognition Agreement / Mutual Recognition Arrangement (MRA) etc. Elements of a Negotiation 6 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiation 7 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Analyzing the Issues 8 Commercial Interests Economic Impact Policy Issues Politics Legal Dimension Institutional Considerations Public Opinion Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Developing a Research Strategy 9 What information will I need to analyze all the issues I have mapped out both at home and abroad? What sources of information are available? What professional skills/expertise will I need to analyze all the issues? What professional experts can I consult to fill gaps in my own knowledge and skills? Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiation 10 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Who Are the Stakeholders 11 Affected Central Government Ministries and subcentral authorities Affected Enterprises and Industry Associations Non-Governmental Organizations with a Policy Stake Academic Experts The Interested General Public Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Stakeholders May be Affected in terms of 13 The Commercial Impact The Policy Outcome Bureaucratic Turf Political Consequences Legal Precedents Macroeconomic Consequences Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Consultation with Domestic Stakeholders 14 Can yield critical information on commercial, policy and legal issues at home and abroad Serves to identify their interests and to manage their involvement in the domestic political process related to trade negotiating decisions Offers insights into the interests and views of their counterparts abroad, and informal communication channels with their counterparts abroad Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Why Consult Foreign Stakeholders 15 Provides information on views of players in foreign decision-making process Provides opportunities to help shape the views and role of foreign stakeholders with similar interests Provides broader insights into possible win-win solutions Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of any Negotiation 16 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Framing the Issue 17 Correctly Framing the Issue Can Facilitate Domestic and Foreign Support In Framing the Negotiating Issue We Need to Consider The Trade Problem The Government Measures or Actions that Create the Trade Problem The Legitimate Objectives of Government Served by the Measure/Action at Issue The Interests of the Coalition Partners Constraints on Feasible Outcomes Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiation 18 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Negotiating Strategy Should 19 Frame the Issue for Negotiation Identify of win/win solutions Identify Potential Supporters among Domestic and Foreign Stakeholders Outline Message to Potential Supporters Identify Opposing Stakeholders & the Means for Reducing or Deflecting Opposition Establish the utility, legitimacy and fairness of proposed outcome Link Strategy & Tactics Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiating Strategy 20 Negotiating Objectives & Priorities Case for the desired outcome Identification of the Coalitions at Home & Abroad Means for Building Support Link to Broader National Economic and Social Objectives Cushion for the Losers Steps that Will Lead from an Initial Negotiating Position to Alternative Successful Outcomes Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Developing the Negotiating Objectives 21 Development of Negotiating Objectives Should Flow from the Framing of the Issue Negotiating Objectives Should Serve as Strategic Goals that Guide the Negotiations Negotiating Objectives Should not be so specific that they constrain alternative outcomes that satisfy home country interests Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Making the Case for the Desired Outcome 22 A key element of a negotiating strategy is the development of the arguments why the desired outcome is in the interest of key stakeholders and why objections raised by opponents are surmountable The arguments need to accommodate the needs of coalition partners and deflect objections by opponents It is always better to address rather than ignore objections Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Identifying Coalition Partners 23 Coalition building is the key to Negotiations Out of Minorities Majorities are Built Coalitions have to be built around common interests Building a Coalition at Home is often essential to obtain the political support required for a Desired Negotiating Position Building Support Among Foreign Stakeholders with Compatible Interests can favorably influence the development of Foreign Negotiating Positions International coalitions of private stakeholders can be an important asset For regulatory issues, support also has to be built among regulators, who have their independent channels of Copyright of Geza Feketekuty communications with each other Building Public Support 24 Efforts to build public support need to be focused on the most directly affected and influential stakeholders The choice of the method used for building public support (speeches, grass roots campaigns, white paper, media) and the choice of media (newspaper, technical publication, Television, academic articles) has to be guided by an analysis of who needs to be informed or persuaded. Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiation 25 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Preparing the Negotiations at Home 26 Strategic Use of Simulating Role Reversal Use of Charts to identify key stake holders, their interests, and their BATNA’s define objective criteria and relevant facts Develop Negotiating Mandate and Initial Negotiating Position Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Developing a Negotiating Position 27 The Initial Negotiating Position should serve as the initial starting point for the dialogue in a negotiation One function of the Initial Negotiating Position is to assure home constituencies and bolster their confidence in their negotiators Another function of the Initial Negotiating Position is to serve as a stepping stone towards an agreement. Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Setting the Stage for the Negotiations 28 Consulting foreign foreign negotiators. Agreeing on the issues that need to be addressed in the negotiations. Establishing the negotiating agenda. Setting the date and venue for the negotiations. Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiation 29 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Competitive Negotiations 30 Focus is on bargaining over the difference between negotiating positions, with each side seeking an outcome closer to its position, which is viewed as gain for the home team and loss for foreign team Negotiations become personalized, with the foreign negotiating position treated as the morally inferior, misguided view of the foreign negotiator Hiding information about one’s real interests and problems is seen as a source of strength, while leakage of information to the other side is seen as a source of weakness. Each negotiating session is a competitive contest and test of strength between the negotiators Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Interest-Based Negotiations 31 Negotiating Positions are seen as a starting point for a dialogue over mutual interests Each side seeks an outcome that can be presented as a gain for both sides Foreign Negotiator is see as an agent for a group interest, and as a partner in the search for an outcome that can be sold to at home and abroad Sharing information about interests and constraints is treated as the means for identifying mutually attractive outcomes Each negotiating position is treated as a statement of a country’s interest, not a statement of who is right and who is wrong Negotiating sessions are treated as creative challenges for identifying elements of a Copyright viableofagreement Geza Feketekuty Interest-Based vs. Competitive Negotiations 32 Positions vs. Interests Personalities vs. Group Interests Zero-Sum vs. Positive Sum Approaches Hiding vs. Sharing Information Judgmental vs. Pragmatic Advocacy Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of Interest-Based Negotiations 33 Establishment of Personal Rapport Exploration of Common Ground Identification of the Interests of Parties Development of Options Communication of BATNA “Best Alternative To a Negotiated Agreement” Use of Objective Criteria for Legitimacy Copyright of Geza Feketekuty The People Dimension 34 Get to Know Your Counterparts - Likes, Dislikes, Fears, Ambitions, Goals Develop rapport needed to obtain information, to explore options, to communicate your needs Nurture personal link-by separating people from the issues Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Exploration of Common Ground 35 Agree on the scope & purpose of the negotiating session Agree on what should be said publicly to the press about the negotiations Establish degree of AUTHORITY of each side to explore alternatives, make a deal Identify Areas of Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Interest Identification 36 Review of Negotiating Positions, Interests Presentation of positions, objectives by parties Restatement of other party's positions, interests Use of interim draft documents to establish points of agreement, issues still to be addressed Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Development of Options 37 Record all Options Presented by Other Side and their Rationale Do not Ignore any option presented, but Rank Order & Analyze them Explore Potential Amendments or Combinations of Options & Alternatives Seek to Identify Other Means by Which They Can Satisfy Your Interests, Or You Can Satisfy their Interests Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Use of the B.A.T.N.A. 38 A Clear Understanding of each Party’s Alternative to an Agreement can Make a Negotiated Compromise Look more Attractive Development of Objective Evidence that Supports Your BATNA can Strengthen Your Negotiating Power that Undermines Their BATNA can Weaken Their Negotiating Power Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Use of Objective Criteria 39 Legitimacy and Authority to a negotiating position can come from objective criteria developed by third parties, includingLegal & Administrative Precedents Industry practices and standards Scientific Studies Expert Testimony Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Elements of a Negotiation 40 Analysis of the Issues Exploration of Stakeholders Interests Framing the Issue Establishing a Negotiating Strategy Preparing the Negotiations Negotiating the Agreement Implementing the Agreement Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Implementing the Agreement 41 Selling the Results to the Home Constituencies Obtaining Domestic Legislative Approval Where Required by Law Developing Implementing Regulations Persuading Domestic Ministries to Implement Elements under their Jurisdiction Monitoring Implementation by Domestic Ministries Reporting on Implementation to WTO under TPRM Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Negotiating Success Depends on 42 Economic Power of Coalition Commonly Shared Ideas of Legitimacy Utility of Agreement to Business Sound and Comprehensive Analysis Identifying Reasons Why Other Party Can Gain from Negotiating Proposal Creativity in Identifying Win/Win Solutions Achievement of Mutually Beneficial Outcomes Copyright of Geza Feketekuty Formal and Informal Together 43 Formal In the plenary Informal Anywhere else Technical Terms 44 Goods: HS Code (Harmonized System Code) AHTN (ASEAN Harmonize Tariff Nomenclature) ROO (Rules of Origin): WO, CTC, CTH, CTSH, RVC Services: Negative List VS Positive List Unbound / None Horizontal Commitments/Specific Commitments หลักการขององค์การการค้าโลก 45 การไม่เลือกปฏิบตั ิ MFN (Most-favored-nation) การประติบตั ิเยีย่ งชาติที่ได้รบั อนุ เคราะห์ยงิ่ National Treatment การประติบตั ิเยีย่ งคนชาติ การเปิ ดให้การค้าเป็ นไปอย่างเสรียงิ่ ขึ้ น ความโปร่งใสและการปฏิบตั ิตามพันธกรณีเพื่อให้เกิดความแน่ นอนทาง การตลาด ส่งเสริมให้การแข่งขันเป็ นไปอย่างยุติธรรม ส่งเสริมการพัฒนาและการปฏิรปู ทางเศรษฐกิจ