Part 1 INTERNATIONAL TRADE THEORY Chapter 2 Trade Theories 1. 2. Early Trade Theories The Classical Theory of Trade A. B. C. Absolute Advantage (Smith) Model Comparative Advantage (Ricardian) Model and some extensions Reciprocal Demand Principle Chapter 2 Trade Theories 3. Neoclassical Trade Theory A. B. Factor Endowment and the Heckscher-Ohlin Model The Factor-Price Equalization Theorem 4. Modern Trade Theories A. B. C. D. Intra-industry Trade Imperfect Competition and Economies of Scale Dynamic International Trade Theory (Product Cycle, etc) New Development in International Trade Theory Chapter 2 Issues Mainly Discussed 1. 2. Why do countries trade(gain from trade)? What are the bases for trade? ——Price differences Supply side (cost): Technology Factor Endowment Production scale Demand side: Income Preference 3. 4. What are the changes in trade pattern? What are the effects of trade? CHAPTER 2 Classical Trade Models Objective Chapter 2 1. Understand how everyone can benefit from voluntary trade. 2. Learn the meaning of absolute and comparative advantage. 3. Recognize how comparative advantage forms the basis upon which specialization and exchange benefit trading partner. 4. Be able to apply the theory of comparative advantage to real-world situations Chapter 2 Classical Trade Models 1. 2. 3. Absolute Advantage Theory (Smith’s Model, AA Model) Comparative Advantage Theory (Ricardian Model, CA Model) Other Classical Trade Theories Chapter 2 Smith’s Model 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Adam Smith Basic Assumptions Basis for Trade: Absolute advantage Measurements of absolute advantage A numerical example Pattern of Production & Trade Graphical Representation Gain from the Trade Chapter 2 In his 1776 book An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, Adam Smith performed a detailed analysis of trade and economic interdependence, which economists still adhere to today. Adam Smith (1723-1790) Chapter 2 Basic Assumptions 1. Supply (Producer) A. 2*2*1 model a) b) c) B. C. One input: Labor(L) Two outputs: Wheat (Qw) and Cloth (Qc) Two countries: US and China Fixed input marginal product Constant return to scale. 2. Demand (Consumer) Income budget constraint —— no lending or loaning Chapter 2 Basic Assumptions 3. Trade A. B. C. No transport or transaction costs Trade balance Factors of production are perfectly mobile within nation, but not between nations 4. Market structure Full Employment, Perfect Competition 5. Technology Different technologies different productivity of labor Chapter 2 Basis for Trade 1. Difference in Technology Different Productivity Different Production cost Different Commodity price International trade 2. Absolute Advantage Chapter 2 Absolute Advantage A country is said to have an absolute advantage over another country in the production of a commodity if it can produce a larger amount of the commodity than other country with the same amount of resources. A reciprocal absolute advantage Two countries are said to have a reciprocal absolute advantage over each other if each country has an absolute advantage over the other in producing one of the two commodities. Chapter 2 Measurements of absolute advantage Productivity: 1. Q L If , Q 1c Q 1c L L China US China has an absolute advantage in product cloth. 2. Production cost (measured by input): aLQ = L Q (labor required in each unit of output) Chapter 2 Measurements of absolute advantage 3. Commodity price:P * Q W * L P W *L Q L W * Q W (Q ) L where W is wage rate. Given a fixed W, P is positively related to production cost aLQ Chapter 2 A numerical example In this case, China has an absolute advantage in producing cloth and the US has an absolute advantage in growing wheat. (presentation of China & USA) Chapter 2 Pattern of Production & Trade 1. 2. 3. “Each country should specialize in and export the Product in which it has an absolute advantage” Pattern of Production:in this case, China should specialize in production of cloth and US should produce wheat. Pattern of Trade:China should export cloth and import wheat. US should import cloth and export wheat. Chapter 2 Graphical Representation (1) Some Conceptions 1. Returns to scale Constant Returns of Scale B. Increasing Returns of Scale C. Decreasing Returns of Scale A. 2. Production Possibility Frontier or Curve (PPF or PPC): Points describing alternative combinations of output levels for two different products to be produced by given resources Chapter 2 C C C Q Q Q Decreasing Returns Constant Returns Increasing Returns Qw Qw PPF QC PPF QC Graphical Representation (1) Some Conceptions Chapter 2 3. Community Indifference Curve Higher (CIC) Satisfaction CIC2 CIC CIC1 the points describing same level of satisfaction (or utility) by given resource. Graphical Representation (1) Some Conceptions 4. Equilibrium in Autarky PPF CIC Chapter 2 Graphical Representation (2) PPF of China & USA Wheat 1C 50 0 Chapter 2 China Max. amount of Wheat can be produced: 50W Slope = Cost of 1C = 0.5W Max. amount of Cloth can be produced: 100C PPFChina 100 Cloth Graphical Representation (2) PPF of China & USA USA Wheat 100 Chapter 2 1C Max. amount of wheat can be produced: 100W Slope = Cost of 1C =1.25W PPFUSA Note: The PPC with a gentler slope will have a comparative advantage in food production. Max. amount of Cloth can be produced: 80C Cloth 0 80 Chapter 2 Graphical Representation (3) Equilibrium without trade China Wheat 50 CIC PPFChina EChina 25 Cloth O 50 100 Chapter 2 Graphical Representation (3) Equilibrium without trade USA Wheat 100 CIC PPFUSA EUSA 50 Cloth O 40 80 Graphical Representation (3) Equilibrium with trade Chapter 2 Wheat 100 China CChina 50 PPFChina TOT=1 25 0 EChina Export 50 100 PChina Cloth Graphical Representation (3) Equilibrium with trade Chapter 2 Wheat PUSA USA 100 CUSA 50 PPFUSA Import EUSA 0 40 50 TOT=1 Cloth 80 100 Gain From the Trade (1) Consumption Chapter 2 P=Produce;C=Consumer;Labor both 100 Labor be used equally on the production of C&W Exchange Rate (TOT) must between 0.8~2 China & USA Consumption Gains: Both consume more (China 25 more wheat ; US 10 more cloth). Chapter 2 Exchange Rate (TOT) China exchange 100 unit Cloth for Wheat not less than 50 unit, or else produce Wheat itself; USA exchange 100 unit Wheat for Cloth not less than 80 Unit, or else produce Cloth itself; So the exchange rate of Cloth/Wheat must between 0.8 (=80/100) and 2 (=100/50)。 Gain From the Trade (2) Production Chapter 2 When Autarky, the total productions of Cloth is 90 (=50+40), that of Wheat is 75 (=25+50); When Trade, the total productions of Cloth is 100 (>90), that of Wheat is 100 (>75). So the world has production gains from trade. Chapter 2 Summary Given that two countries have a reciprocal absolute advantage over each other, if each specializes in producing the commodity in which it has an absolute advantage, then the world’s total output will increase and each country will gain by being able to consume more than autarky. Chapter 2 Implications of Smith’s Theory Access to foreign markets helps create wealth A. B. C. D. If no nation imports, every country will be limited by the size of its home country market More importantly, the macro division of labor will be limited by the extent of the market Imports enable a country to obtain goods that it cannot make itself or can make only at very high costs Trade barriers decrease the size of the potential market, hampering the prospects of specialization, technological progress, mutually beneficial exchange, and, ultimately, wealth creation. Chapter 2 Limitation of the Smith’s Model compare In this case, the US has the absolute advantage in both goods (it is very common for a developed country to have absolute advantages in most sectors). According to the Smith theory, there will be no trade.(Really?)