Assessment Tools and Community Supervision of Sexual Offenders Robin J. Wilson, PhD, ABPP dr.wilsonrj@verizon.net Chris Thomson, M.A. CThomson@jibc.ca Risk Factor Codes Score Young Aged 18 – 34.99 Aged 35 – 39.99 Aged 40 – 59.99 Aged 60+ Ever lived with lover for at least two years? Yes No No Yes No Yes Charges Convictions None None 1-2 1 3-5 2-3 6+ 4+ 3 or less 4 or more No Yes No Yes No Yes No Yes Add up scores from individual risk factors 1 0 -1 -3 Single Index non-sexual violence Prior non-sexual violence Prior Sex Offences Prior sentencing dates Convictions for non-contact sex offences Any Unrelated Victims Any Stranger Victims Any Male Victims Total Score 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 2 3 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 STATIC-99 Sexual Reconviction Rates 1 0.8 Low Medium-Low Medium-High High 0.6 0.4 0.2 Years after release 24 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 0 0 Actuarial Scales Strengths • • • • • Valid risk factors Explicit rules for combining factors Explicit probability estimates Robust across settings & samples Easily scored Actuarial Scales Weaknesses • Only moderate predictive accuracy • We always want to do better! • Coding rules are confusing • You need to pay attention to rules • Neglects important factors • Sexual Deviance (Phallometrics) • All Dynamic Factors Will the change endure? 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 01 20 99 19 97 19 19 95 Karl Andrew • Exceptional circumstances? • Major life change? • Opportunity? • External pressure? • Quality of evidence • New base line? Return to Base Line 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 01 20 99 19 97 19 19 95 Karl Andrew New Base Line 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 01 20 99 19 97 19 19 95 Karl Andrew Stable-2007 Items • Significant Social Influences • Capacity for Relationship Stability • Emotional ID with Children (Only score this item for offenders with victims age 13 or younger) • Hostility toward women • General Social Rejection • Lack of concern for others • Impulsive • Poor Problem Solving Skills • Negative Emotionality • Sex Drive • Sex Preoccupation • Sex as Coping • Deviant Sexual Preference • Co-operation with Supervision Acute Factors Victim Access Sexual Preoccupations Hostility Rejection of Supervision Emotional Collapse Collapse of Social Supports Substance Abuse Keys to Effective Treatment and Risk Management We need to pay attention to RNR principles: interventions should be appropriate to level of RISK interventions must target criminogenic NEEDS interventions must consider RESPONSIVITY concerns Research has suggested that programs which appropriately address these principles can help to reduce risk for recidivism. COMMUNITY SUPERVISION SUGGESTIONS 12 KNOW YOUR CLIENT’S SEXUAL OFFENSE HISTORY •THE AGE RANGE AND NUMBER OF PAST VICTIMS •THE GENDER OF PAST VICTIMS •THE MODUS OPERANDI USED TO ENGAGE PAST VICTIMS •THE SET-UPS OF PRECURSORS TO HIS SEX CRIMES •THE TYPES OF DEVIANT SEXUAL BEHAVIOUR HE HAS ENGAGED IN •THE HIGH RISK SITUATIONS ASSOCIATED WITH HIS SEX CRIMES 13 MODERATING FACTORS CLIENT SUPERVISION THE CLIENT HAS A RESPONSIBLE LIFESTYLE SUPERVISOR REINFORCES PRO-SOCIAL ATTITUDES AND ACTIVITIES HE EXPRESSES HIS SEXUALITY APPROPRIATELY HE HAS A GOOD SUPPORT NETWORK HE CAN IDENTIFY HIS EMOTIONAL TRIGGERS AND EXPRESS HIS FEELINGS IN PRO-SOCIAL WAYS HE CAN IDENTIFY AND AVOID HIS HIGH RISK SITUATIONS IF HE HAS A LAPSE, HE WILL TELL SOMEONE 14 THREE MAJOR WARNING SIGNS YOUR CLIENT IS AT INCREASED RISK TO REOFFEND 15 •HE HAS RECENT NEGATIVE LIFESTYLE CHANGES •HE BEGINS TO DEMONSTRATE PATTERNS THAT WERE PRESENT DURING OFFENSE CYCLE •HE BEGINS TO ENTER HIGH RISK SITUATIONS 16 SEVEN SPECIFIC TECHNIQUES TO HELP MONITOR & SUPERVISE YOUR CLIENT GO OVER HIS SELF MANAGEMENT PLANS AND GOALS AT EACH PROBATIONARY MEETING REINFORCE PRO SOCIAL ACTIVITIES AND ATTITUDES ALLOW HIM TO SPEAK FREELY BE SPECIFIC WHEN QUESTIONING HIM 17 MAKE USE OF COLLATERAL NETWORK, PARTICULARLY TREATMENT PROVIDER IF STILL IN TREATMENT TAKE GOOD CASE NOTES IF DRUGS/ALCOHOL WERE FACTORS IN OFFENSE, CHECK TO SEE PRESENT USE 18 Contact Information Robin J. Wilson, PhD, ABPP Wilson & Associates Clinical and Forensic Psychology 941 806 9788 dr.wilsonrj@verizon.net Chris Thomson, M.ED. Justice Institute of British Columbia Corrections and Community Justice Division cthomson@jibc.ca