TARGET SETTING AND MONITORING APRIL 2011 Bristol Conference Geoff Davies How can the CEM help target setting and monitoring? Questions – What is our students’ potential and are they fulfilling it? – How does our School/College compare to similar institutions? – What are appropriate targets for our School/College? – Who plays the tune!! – How do we monitor within a supportive culture? TOXINS NUTRIENTS Ideas being rejected or stolen Constant Carping Criticisms Being Ignored Being Judged Being Over Directed Not being listened to Being misunderstood Being valued Being Encouraged Being Noticed Being Trusted Being listened to Being Respected Our experience is that the CEM centre systems provide NUTRIENTS It is a highly respected Independent Research Base The largest provider of performance indicators in the world NO political agenda THIS CEM stuff IS THE BEST THING SINCE SLICED BREAD! HEADTEACHER A RIGHT TO BE SUSPICIOUS! A PLEA DON’T LET THERE BE A LONE RANGER! ALL need to be involved in the process Having one ‘expert’ is unhealthy and can be dangerous Most teachers know their students’ strengths and weaknesses. Professional judgement is still of the utmost importance but there are surprises. Using data as a tool to help improve your student’s achievement cannot be a one-person job. The processes of discussion about students between teachers based on an objective data source have proved to be important in improving outcomes. Necessary knowledge base to use CEM systems to their potential 1. • • • • • The forms of Value Added Data: scatter graphs raw and standardised residuals SPC charts tables of data use of PARIS for further analyses (e.g. by gender, teaching group) 2. • • • Predictive Data: point and grade predictions importance of chances graphs availability of different predictive data 3. Baseline Data • band profile graphs • IPRs • Average GCSE score • Computer adaptive tests If you have the tools you can use them to do these • Make curriculum changes • Adjust staffing structure and cater for student needs • self-evaluation procedures including the analysis of examination results using value added data • the target setting process • school and department development plans……. • Improve your monitoring procedures THE TARGET SETTING PROCESS You know what Research Tells Us • Goals must be specific • Goals must be challenging • Need for goal commitment • Need for feedback Research Does Not Say • • • • Who should set the targets. Possible levels of achievement! If it works in education If it can be made to work in very complex tasks. What are the targets for? Are you aiming the targets! OR Do the targets belong to and are being aimed at by all? THE MOST IMPORTANT WORD IN EDUCATION??? CULTURE TARGET SETTING ‘Intelligent’ Target Setting involves: • Using reliable predictive data and chances graphs • Dialogue between the users: teachers, parents and students? (empowering, ownership, and taking responsibility) • The use of professional judgement…….. Setting Targets: why? • • • • • A process between student and staff of setting a challenging and realistic goal The subsequent monitoring of student progress Incorporating target data into department self evaluation And NEVER because it has to be done! And NEVER to use aspirational targets for accountability. There is wide-ranging practice using CEM data to set student, department and institution targets. Increasingly sophisticated methods are used by schools and colleges. The simplest model is to use the student grade predictions. These then become the targets against which student progress and achievement can be monitored. Theoretically, if these targets were to be met, residuals would be zero so overall progress would be average. The school/college would be at the 50th percentile. More challenging targets would be those based on the basis of history. For example. Where is the school/college now? Where is your subject now? If your subject value added history shows that performance is in the upper quartile it may be sensible to adjust targets. This may have the effect of raising point predictions between 0.2-0.5 of a grade. This would be a useful starting point, but it would not be advisable to use the predictions for below average subjects, which might lead to continuing under achievement. However, these examples do not necessarily give ownership of the data to staff or students, so may not be effective in practice. Involving teachers as part of the process should encourage more responsibility to achieve the targets. For example, staff receive the statistically generated targets. Using these as a starting point, they could adjust using their professional judgement and knowledge of the students. This process may have to be monitored initially. Targets are purely established as part of the internal monitoring system and do not become part of the value added data. The targets set in this way only become aspirational for the student if they are involved in the process Involving students should result in the student taking more responsibility for their learning.. This would give ownership of the adjusted predictions to the department. The subject teachers could then discuss these predictions with the students to finalise the target grade . Referring to this part of the discussion could be a powerful motivator to encourage the student, as well as reminding them what could happen if they do not work/take responsibility. Students are not robots who will always fit with statistics so it is dangerous to make sweeping statements based on one set of results. A suggested pincer attack CULTURE IS EVERYTHING IT’S NOT WHAT YOU DO BUT THE WAY THAT YOU DO IT • ASPIRATIONAL TARGETS FOR STUDENTS (VERY HIGH EXPECTATIONS IN NEGOTIATION WITH SUBJECT TEACHERS) MINIMUM ACCEPTABLE GRADES CULTURE FOR ALL WORK • HISTORIC DATA INFORMING DEPARTMENTAL TARGETS (See next slide) • CLASS TARGETS SET BY TEACHER/MENTOR USING DATA AND PROFESSIONAL JUDGEMENT • HEAD’S/PRINCIPAL’S TARGETS (INFORMED FROM ABOVE BUT NOT SIMPLY AGGREGATED) • PUBLISHED TARGETS (INFORMED FROM ABOVE BUT NOT SIMPLY AGGREGATED) • OTHER EXTERNAL TARGETS (AN ENGLISH DISEASE THAT NEEDS TREATMENT!) Setting departmental targets: one suggested approach • Discuss previous value added data with each HoD • Start with an agreed REALISTIC representative figure based previous years (3 ideally) of value added data • add to each pupil prediction, and convert to grade (i.e. inbuilt value added) • By discussion between teachers and students and using professional judgement, AND THE CHANCES GRAPHS, adjust target grade • calculate the department’s target grades from the addition of individual pupil’s targets Whatever you do respect the professional judgement of the vast majority of teachers Paris97.xls S u b je c t A rt & D e s ig n B u s in e s s S tu d ie s D e s ig n & T e c h n o lo g y D ra m a E n g lis h E n g lis h L ite ra tu re F re n c h G e o g ra p h y G e rm a n H is to ry H o m e E c o n o m ic s IC T M a th s M u s ic P h ys ic a l E d u c a tio n R e lig io u s S tu d ie s D o u b le S c ie n c e W e ls h P e rc e n ta g e P e rc e n ta g e N um ber of o f A* to C o f A* to G Av e ra g e S tu d e n ts G ra d e s G ra d e s G ra d e 68 64 103 27 181 15 53 84 7 49 48 71 180 12 72 37 180 177 84 48 63 85 64 60 64 63 71 67 48 68 54 67 65 70 52 72 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 S c h o o l A ve ra g e G C S E s c o re : 5 .2 4 .3 4 .7 5 .3 4 .8 4 .6 4 .9 4 .8 5 .1 5 .1 4 .5 4 .9 4 .5 5 .2 4 .9 5 .2 4 .4 5 .1 (C ) (C /D ) (C /D ) (B /C ) (C ) (C /D ) (C ) (C ) (C ) (C ) (C /D ) (C ) (C /D ) (C ) (C ) (C ) (C /D ) (C ) 4 .7 (C /D ) C o u n te d P e rfo rm a n c e S ta tis tic s (B a s e d o n S u b je c t C h o ic e P re d ic tio n s ) 5 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s : 106 1 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s : 141 5 o r m o re A * to G G ra d e s : 181 1 o r m o re A * to G G ra d e s : 181 58% 77% 99% 99% 5 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s in c M a th s a n d E n g lis h : 2 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s - S c ie n c e s : 1 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s - M o d e rn F o re ig n L a n g u a g e : 54% 51% 20% 98 93 36 T h e u n d e rlyin g p re d ic tio n s s u m m a ris e d h e re a re b a s e d o n e x p e c ta tio n s fo r a n a ve ra g e s c h o o l a c h ie vin g ze ro va lu e a d d e d re s u lts . A p p ro p ria te c a re s h o u ld b e ta k e n in in te rp re tin g th e m w ith in yo u r s c h o o l. P le a s e n o te th a t th e c u t-o ff p o in ts fo r g ra d e C a n d g ra d e G h a ve b e e n s e t a t 4 .5 a n d 0 .5 re s p e c tive ly. D u e to th e s e n s itive n a tu re o f th e c u t o ff p o in ts , p re d ic tio n s m a y va ry fo r yo u r s c h o o l if th e c u t o ff p o in ts c o u ld b e a lte re d . (*P re d ic tio n s A d ju s te d fo r P o s itive P rio r V a lu e -a d d e d P e rfo rm a n c e ) S u b je c t A rt & D e s ig n B u s in e s s S tu d ie s D e s ig n & T e c h n o lo g y D ra m a E n g lis h E n g lis h L ite ra tu re F re n c h G e o g ra p h y G e rm a n H is to ry H o m e E c o n o m ic s IC T M a th s M u s ic P h ys ic a l E d u c a tio n R e lig io u s S tu d ie s D o u b le S c ie n c e W e ls h P e rc e n ta g e P e rc e n ta g e N um ber of o f A* to C o f A* to G Av e ra g e S tu d e n ts G ra d e s G ra d e s G ra d e 68 64 103 27 181 15 53 84 7 49 48 71 180 12 72 37 180 177 84 48 87 100 69 67 96 73 86 67 79 96 57 92 65 70 59 86 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 S c h o o l A ve ra g e G C S E s c o re : 5 .2 4 .3 5 .3 6 .0 4 .9 4 .9 6 .4 5 .2 5 .6 5 .1 5 .2 5 .7 4 .6 5 .7 4 .9 5 .3 4 .7 5 .5 (C ) (C /D ) (B /C )* (B )* (C )* (C )* (A /B )* (C )* (B /C )* (C ) (C )* (B /C )* (C /D )* (B /C )* (C ) (B /C )* (C /D )* (B /C )* 5 .1 (C ) C o u n te d P e rfo rm a n c e S ta tis tic s (B a s e d o n S u b je c t C h o ic e P re d ic tio n s ) 5 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s : 125 1 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s : 162 5 o r m o re A * to G G ra d e s : 181 1 o r m o re A * to G G ra d e s : 181 69% 89% 99% 99% 5 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s in c M a th s a n d E n g lis h : 2 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s - S c ie n c e s : 1 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s - M o d e rn F o re ig n L a n g u a g e : 56% * 58% * 30% * 102 106 54 * * * * (*P re d ic tio n s A d ju s te d fo r 7 5 th P e rc e n tile ) S u b je c t A rt & D e s ig n B u s in e s s S tu d ie s D e s ig n & T e c h n o lo g y D ra m a E n g lis h E n g lis h L ite ra tu re F re n c h G e o g ra p h y G e rm a n H is to ry H o m e E c o n o m ic s IC T M a th s M u s ic P h ys ic a l E d u c a tio n R e lig io u s S tu d ie s D o u b le S c ie n c e W e ls h P e rc e n ta g e P e rc e n ta g e N um ber of o f A* to C o f A* to G Av e ra g e S tu d e n ts G ra d e s G ra d e s G ra d e 68 64 103 27 181 15 53 84 7 49 48 71 180 12 72 37 180 177 97 63 73 96 70 67 74 70 71 84 63 77 61 83 72 81 59 82 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 S c h o o l A ve ra g e G C S E s c o re : 5 .5 4 .6 5 .0 5 .5 5 .0 4 .9 5 .1 5 .1 5 .4 5 .4 4 .8 5 .2 4 .8 5 .5 5 .2 5 .5 4 .7 5 .4 (B /C )* (C /D )* (C )* (B /C )* (C )* (C )* (C )* (C )* (B /C )* (B /C )* (C )* (C )* (C )* (B /C )* (C )* (B /C )* (C /D )* (B /C )* 5 .0 (C ) C o u n te d P e rfo rm a n c e S ta tis tic s (B a s e d o n S u b je c t C h o ic e P re d ic tio n s ) 5 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s : 123 1 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s : 162 5 o r m o re A * to G G ra d e s : 181 1 o r m o re A * to G G ra d e s : 181 68% 89% 99% 99% 5 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s in c M a th s a n d E n g lis h : 2 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s - S c ie n c e s : 1 o r m o re A * to C G ra d e s - M o d e rn F o re ig n L a n g u a g e : 60% * 58% * 23% * 109 106 41 * * * * Summary Successful target setting should be a simple and transparent process. The outcomes of this process would support the monitoring of student progress over the duration of the course and provide a realistic but challenging goal that students can take responsibility for to achieve their potential MONITORING PUPIL PROGRESS • You need monitoring and tracking procedures appropriate to your culture • based on the agreed targets • reporting to parents/guardians • and linked to appropriate intervention, support and so on Monitoring students’ work against target grades is established practice in schools and colleges, and there are many diverse monitoring systems in place. Simple monitoring systems can be very effective Current student achievement compared to the target grade done at predetermined regular intervals to coincide with, for example internal assessments/examinations Designated staff having an overview of each student’s achievements across subjects All parents being informed of progress compared to targets Review of progress between parents and staff Subject progress being monitored by a member of the management team in conjunction with the head of subject/department A tracking system to show progress over time for subjects and students J M 9 7 .3 101 A M ID Y IS C F 7 1 .8 99 B 132 131 127 105 ON ENTRY 94 5 4 5 -2 .2 6 5 6 6 -2 .5 5 6 6 5 -3 101 86 6 4 5 -0 .1 5 4 3 4 -2 5 5 5 4 -1 .8 83 116 KEY STAGE 3 STATUTORY TEACHER ASSESSMENT 94 Pupil Tracking 92 113 S O S C A S T A N D A R D IS E D S C O R E S 98 96 83 102 98 90 103 87 97 95 98 83 95 88 S O S C A M a th s S O S C A S t.S c o re S P A C E .M a th s S O S C A S t.S c o re N U M B E R M a th s S O S C A S t.S c o re H .D A T A M a th s S O S C A S t. S c o re P h y s ic s S O S C A S t. S c o re C h e m is try S O S C A S t. S c o re B io lo g y S O S C A (S T A .) R e a d in g S t. re s . M ID Y IS - K S 3 S c S C T A S c ie n c e S u b je c t W a P E T A P h y s E d S u b je c t W a M U T A M u s ic S u b je c t W a M F T A M F L S u b je c t W a S t. re s . M ID Y IS - K S 3 M a M A T A M a th s S u b je c t W a IC T A In f T e c h S u b W a H I T A H is to ry S u b je c t W a G E T A G e o g ra p h y S u b W a S t. re s . M ID Y IS - K S 3 E n E N T A E n g lis h S u b je c t W a D A TA D es and Tech Sub W a A R T A A rt S u b je c t W a M id Y IS S k ills S ta n d a rd is e M id Y IS N o n V e rb a l S ta n d a r M id Y IS V o c a b u la ry S ta n d a r M id Y IS M a th s S ta n d a rd is e d M id Y IS O v e ra ll S ta n d a rd is M id Y IS O v e ra ll B a n d Y e a r L O N D O N R E A D IN G % A tte n d a n c e Y 1 0 G ender S u rn a m e F o re n a m e Tracking at departmental level for one student S tu d e n t: P e te r H e n d ry D e p a rtm e n t: G e o lo g y te s t e s s a y: te s t: G e o l ra d io m e tric T im e S c a le d a tin g 1 5 /0 9 /2 0 0 6 2 2 /0 9 /2 0 0 6 2 0 0 6 -8 te s t: te s t: d a tin g h o m e w o rk p ra c t: ro c k ig n e o u s ro c k c yc le te x tu re s ro c k s ta rg e t g ra d e 97% A 2 1 /1 1 /2 0 0 6 84% 68% B C 0 6 /1 0 /2 0 0 6 2 0 /1 0 /2 0 0 6 0 6 /1 1 /2 0 0 6 57% 54% D E U 50% SURNAME B rig g s F le tc h e r G re e n H a va rd e tc p u n c tu a lity m e e tin g d e a d lin e s D B A A 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 3 1 2 2 4 C B B B 1 2 2 4 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 m e e tin g d e a d lin e s p u n c tu a lity DEC e ffo rt OCT c u rre n t le v e l e ffo rt C B B A c u rre n t le v e l C A C A m e e tin g d e a d lin e s A lic e K e vin F e lic ity M ic h a e l p u n c tu a lity yr 1 2 e ffo rt B IO L O G Y c u rre n t le v e l FORENAM E n e g o c ia te d ta rg e t g ra d e s u b je c t: in itia l ta rg e t g ra d e Traditional mark book approach 0 7 -0 8 MAR N am e 0 .5 9 9 3 8 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 80 33 4 1 .1 2 0 0 1 4 9 .3 4 4 0 2 3 2 .8 9 6 0 1 B 96 95 119 111 84 67 88 118 91 120 108 115 87 117 105 98 69 69 115 118 109 123 89 115 76 90 97 63 5 0 .1 7 0 6 5 6 0 .2 0 4 7 8 4 9 .8 7 0 9 6 5 9 .8 4 5 1 5 6 4 .1 3 6 2 7 6 .9 6 3 4 4 5 9 .4 6 1 0 4 7 1 .3 5 3 2 4 4 3 .3 3 7 7 2 5 2 .0 0 5 2 6 3 3 .0 2 8 3 8 3 9 .6 3 4 0 6 4 5 .8 5 5110 1 0 5 5 .0 2 6 1 4 6 3 .8 3 6 5 1 7 6 .6 0 3 8 1 4 7 .4 7 3 49 4 0 5 6 .9 6 8 1 3 6 4 .7 9 5 5 2 7 7 .7 5 4 6 2 5 7 .6 0 2 98 6 0 6 9 .1 2 3 5 5 6 2 .0 9 8 3 1 7 4 .5 1 7 9 7 4 5 .3 1 5 67 7 0 5 4 .3 7 8 8 1 6 2 .9 9 7 3 8 7 5 .5 9 6 8 5 5 5 .8 0 4 86 2 0 6 6 .9 6 5 7 8 5 1 .5 4 9 2 2 6 1 .8 5 9 0 7 3 4 .4 6 65 9 0 4 1 .3 6 0 2 8 3 4 .1 0 7 2 7 4 0 .9 2 8 7 2 6 1 .9 1 8 44 9 0 7 4 .3 0 2 1 9 6 3 .7 1 6 6 3 7 6 .4 5 9 9 6 5 8 .3 2 2 23 2 0 6 9 .9 8 6 6 6 6 6 .4 7 3 7 8 7 9 .7 6 8 5 4 4 6 .0 3 4 92 3 0 5 5 .2 4 1 9 1 6 1 .5 5 8 8 7 7 3 .8 7 0 6 4 3 8 .4 8 2 71 4 0 4 6 .1 7 9 2 9 4 6 .5 7 4 3 7 5 5 .8 8 9 2 4 5 0 .8 8 9 9 6 1 .0 6 7 8 9 0 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 -8 .4 8 4 1 5 6 6 .4 0 84156 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 -8 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 -8 .4 8 4 1 5 6 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 -8 .4 8 4 1 5 6 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 -8 .4 8 4 1 5 6 -7 .0 7 0 1 3 -8 .4 8 4 1 5 6 4 0 .1 3 6 5 2 3 9 .8 9 6 7 7 5 1 .3 0 8 9 6 4 7 .5 6 8 8 3 3 4 .6 7 0 1 7 2 6 .4 2 2 7 1 3 6 .6 8 4 0 9 5 1 .0 6 9 2 1 3 7 .9 7 8 7 5 5 1 .8 3 6 4 1 4 6 .0 8 2 3 7 4 9 .6 7 8 6 5 3 6 .2 5 2 5 4 5 0 .3 9 7 9 4 4 .6 4 3 8 6 4 1 .2 3 9 3 8 2 7 .5 7 3 5 2 2 7 .2 8 5 8 1 4 9 .5 3 4 8 5 0 .9 7 3 3 1 4 6 .6 5 7 7 7 5 3 .1 7 9 0 3 3 6 .8 2 7 9 4 4 9 .2 4 7 0 9 3 0 .7 8 6 1 9 3 7 .2 5 9 5 4 0 .7 1 1 9 2 -5 .6 5 6 1 0 4 0 56104 -57.6 -5 .6 5 6 1 0 4 -5 .6 5 6 1 0 4 -5 .6 5 6 1 0 4 -5 .6 5 6 1 0 4 D E F g h I J K L M N O P Q R S T U V W X Y Z ZA ZB 80 80 73 45 45 63 50 60 50 35 35 58 83 45 73 5 30 70 50 45 60 30 65 10 55 70 T e s t S c o re A C OTHER IDEAS M id Y is S c o re T e s t S c o re A s tro n o m y 7 N M id Y is T e s t R e vie w 80 90 100 M id Y is S c o re 110 120 130 MONITORING YOUR SCHOOL OVER TIME INFORMS SELF EVALUATION SELF EVALUATION DRIVES DEVELOPMENT PLANNING Alis Value-Added MONITORING MIDYIS YEAR 7 TO SOSCA MATHS SCORE YEAR 9 Sex MidYIS Test Score Predicted SOSCA Score Actual SOSCA Score Raw Residual Standardised Residual A F 99 93 96 3 0.4 B F 105 97 97 -1 -0.1 C M 102 95 86 -10 -1.1 D F 72 73 73 1 0.1 E F 152 134 121 -13 -1.5 Surname Forename On-line attitudinal surveys • MidYIS, SOSCA, INSIGHT Yellis and Alis • Developed to meet new needs • Can be more easily adapted to meet new developments • The Parental Questionnaire • The Event mapper Evidence from Pupils (Alis) Extended Comparison Graphs The following list gives the titles of Comparison Graphs currently provided by the Extended Yellis questionnaire: •Alienation Indicators •Attitudes to Design & Technology •Attitudes to English •Attitudes to a Foreign Language •Attitudes to Mathematics •Attitudes to Science •Career-Relevant Activities Experienced •Sources of Careers Information Found Useful •Preferences for Kinds of Work •Items in the Freedom from Free Scale •Design and Technology Homework •English Homework •Foreign Language Homework •Mathematics Homework •Science Homework •Career Choice Motivators •Parental Involvement: Mothers Your data is above the Yellis average •Parental Involvement: Fathers Your data is below the Yellis average •Influences on Staying-On •Traumatic Events Experienced by Pupils Your data is about the same as the Yellis average •Places Where Pupils Feel Unsafe •Work Place Preferences Your data is about the same as the Yellis average •Cigarettes, Alcohol and Drugs SUMMARY 1. SUMMATIVE VALUEADDED MONITORING AT THE END OF THE COURSE 2. FORMATIVE VALUE ADDED MONITORING DURING THE COURSE 3. FORMATIVELY WITH STUDENTS TO SET TARGET GRADES ‘When working with individual students the predictions themselves are of lesser importance than the formative process of working with students to motivate them to focus on raising achievement.’ PROXIMAL FACTORS WORK BEST Prof Peter Tymms SOME TRAPS TO AVOID Marksheet Name : SUBJECT REVIEW Marksheet Group : 11S1 A B GCSE Standard Residual Ma WJEC/GCSE 018403 ResGF WJEC/GCSE 018402 ResGF WJEC/GCSE 018401 ResGF YELLIS GCSE PREDICTION MA a 90019 6 b 90090 7 c 90045 6 63 A B B B B 0.10 d 90063 7 64 A A B B B 0.10 e 90166 6 48 B B B C C 0.40 f 90123 7 70 A A A A B -0.40 g 90129 6 47 C C B C C 0.50 h 90146 6 59 B B A B A 1.40 I 90047 7 62 A A B B B 0.20 j 90115 7 67 A A * A A* 1.70 k 90004 6 46 C B B C B 1.50 l 90164 7 65 A A A B A* 1.90 m 90099 7 70 A A A A A* 1.50 n 90011 7 61 A A A B A 1.30 o 90112 7 66 A A B A A 0.80 p 90058 6 70 A A B A A 0.50 q 90150 7 72 A A A A A 0.40 r 90127 6 52 B B B C B 1.00 s 90030 6 58 B B B B B 0.50 t 90050 7 71 A A A A A 0.40 u 90016 6 69 A A B A B -0.40 v 90174 7 74 A A A A A 0.20 w 91165 6 62 A B B B x 90109 7 63 A B B B B 0.10 y 90138 7 47 C B B C B 1.40 z 90122 7 60 A A * B A 1.30 ab 90009 7 60 A A A B A 1.30 ac 90169 7 79 A A * A* A -0.20 ad 90153 6 56 B B B B ae 90010 7 64 A B B B A 1.00 af 90154 7 61 A C B B B 0.30 Total 62 A PREDICTION MATHS YELLIS MATHS BAND Yellis Band Yellis Score Admission No. Students CLASS REVIEW : 04/10/2005 Maths Test K3 Wa Export Date B A B 1.20 B B 0.20 B 0.70 1323 1868 109 105 201 156 12 190 31 30 30 30 31 30 2 29 30 Mean 42.68 62.27 3.63 3.5 6.48 5.2 6 6.55 0.70 Mean Grade 6.00 Num ber of Results B B B B B B 20.90 BEWARE PITFALLS INTERPRETATION SUBJECT M Sex M M F M F F M M F F F M Score (Band) 53 (B) 38 (C) 36 (D) 48 (C) 52 (B) 65 (A) 70 (A) 38 (C) 40 (C) 70 (A) 44 (C) 56 (B) Predicted Grade 5.4 (B/C) 4.5 (C/D) 4.4 (C/D) 5.1 (C) 5.3 (B/C) 6.1 (B) 6.4 (A/B) 4.5 (C/D) 4.6 (C/D) 6.4 (A/B) 4.8 (C) 5.6 (B/C) 5.3 (B/C) Achieved Grade 6 (B) 3 (E) 3 (E) 5 (C) 6 (B) 7 (A) 3 (E) 4 (D) 5 (C) 7 (A) 6 (B) 5 (C) 5.0 (C) Raw Residual 0.6 -1.5 -1.4 -0.1 0.7 0.9 -3.4 -0.5 0.4 0.6 1.2 -0.6 -0.3 Standard ised Residual 0.5 -1.1 -1.0 -0.1 0.5 0.7 -2.5 -0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 -0.4 -0.2 REVISED 0.5 -1.1 -1.0 -0.1 0.5 0.7 -0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 -0.4 0.0 RESPECT HIGH EXPECTATIONS FROM TEACHERS BUT DON’T USE ASPIRATIONAL TARGETS SET FOR PSYCHOLOGICAL REASONS TO MOTIVATE STUDENTS FOR THE ACCOUNTABILITY OF TEACHERS OTHERWISE THEIR EXPECTATIONS MAY NOT BE AS HIGH NEXT TIME TARGET SETTING AND MONITORING BRISTOL CONFERENCE APRIL 2011 Acknowledgments are made to numerous colleagues across the UK who have shared their experiences of using CEM centre systems. Particularly thanks to Professor Peter Tymms, Peter Hendry, CEM centre staff and Dyffryn Taf School