PATHFINDER Mission: Results for New Zealanders Agenda for WG4 1. Introduction (Chair) - includes short website update (Greg) 2. WG / WS Process (Chair) - building effective relationships - ideas for improvements (human & output) - feedback on Q&A sessions 3. New WG Products (Roger / Greg) - 10 early step performance cycle (StW 1-3) - Intervention Logic (one-off presentation) - Building Block / Learning Point documents 4. Other matters (Chair) Focus on Outcomes Strategic Plan; Statement of Intent STRATEGY, CAPABILITY, PERFORMANCE Value-forMoney PATHFINDER TOOLBOX; DECISION MAKING SYSTEMS TRADE-OFFS, TRANSFERS (Within Vote) (Next FY) Pathfinder ‘Building Blocks’ 1. Define & measure ‘mission critical’ outcomes (using ‘state’ or ‘situation’ outcome indicators) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Map causal logic linking outcomes to outputs Assess impact of interventions / targeting Assess cost-effectiveness (vs. outcomes achieved) Management to maximise outcomes (e.g. core/pilots) Benchmarking with outcomes (business units / nations) Focus strategic / annual plans on improving o/c Redesign planning & operations to maximise o/c (incl. feedback & continuous improvement) 9. Improving outcomes across agencies / sectors Steps are not sequential – If feasible, do steps #6-9 early Observation vs. Action Outcome Type Measure Applications State / Environment Indicators Situation Report Benchmarking (client /service groups) Crude targeting Assessment / Allocation Decisions Risk, Need & Priority setting Likely Change Demand analysis (individuals / cases) Risk managemnt Impact Assessment Status quo outcome Continue? Improvement in outcome Modify? Grow? (‘treated’ groups) Kill? Improving Results – 10 Step Performance Cycle Identify Core Outcomes Define in Measurable Terms Measure as State Indicators Identify Areas for Change in State Define / Refine Intervention Logic Identify Intervention Options Prioritise Intervention Options Design & Deliver Interventions Impact (o/c) Evaluation Framework Cost Effectiveness Analysis Intervention Logic Decision: Sufficient interest to arrange half-day session? 1. Aligning activities / outputs to outcomes 2. Defining a robust Intervention Logic (IL) 3. Using IL 'backbones' as a top-down (strategic) tool to scope intervention options 4. Testing intervention logic is robust, and produces best approach (ex ante, ex post) 5. Strengthening intervention logic using evidence-based approaches (R&D, eval) 6. Continuous evolution and testing of intervention logic / frameworks Documenting Learning Points Decision: Approval of principles / generic process; First Priciple … Keep it short(ish), keep it pithy; 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. What’s best for NZ as generic guidance Want strong support of documents (-> SG) (Recognise there is no ‘one-size-fits-all’) Seek consensus on any disputed points Initial comments via e-mail ‘Living document’ for discussion at WG Send to SG (discussion / approval / -> web site) Documenting Learning (Decision) Decision: Approval of format below as start point for writing; History: WG2 agreed focus on StW 1-3; no feedback on format; Proposal: ‘Trial by fire’ of the following format … 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Executive summary Purpose statement Generic framework (10 step process) Attributes of good outcome frameworks Methods / steps / issues Management and ownership Best practice / good practice (integrated) Worked examples (refer to supplementary docs?) Documenting Learning (Contd.) Attributes of good outcome frameworks, e.g. … 1. Keep it tight (one or few outcomes, clear priorities for activities) 2. Researched (outcomes derived from institutional knowledge and, where feasible, comparison with ‘similar / like’ agencies) 3. Clear causal links (outcome-output-input links clear; other means of achieving outcome(s) visible; clear fit to your services / clients; covers significant activities of your / relevant agencies) 4. Measures (objective / quantitative as possible; non-measurables identified; built on robust data; confidence intervals known; directly attributable to agency activities; can ‘drill down’ for underlying trends; ‘impact’ and ‘state’ outcomes; decision-making / quality outcomes) 5. Clear fit w. prioritisation / management decisions (e.g. measures inform key mgmt decisions, fit resource information) 6. Clear fit with vision / purpose (e.g. strategy / legislation) 7. Known relation to outcomes of other agencies Documenting Learning (Contd.) Generic processes, e.g. Building Block #1… 1. Identify Core Outcome(s) (e.g. from mission / purpose identify key outcomes; compare to o/c / missions used by similar agencies overseas; ensure good fit w. results you expect from services you deliver) 2. Define in Measurable Terms (translate verbal statement of o/c into precise definition that matches data available at reasonable cost; ID key demographic / service / etc groups for which o/c are required) 3. Measure State / Environment Indicators (document system; gather / process data; measure o/c for all groups w. confidence intervals) 4. Identify Desired Change in State (analyse state indicators for statistically significant ‘highs and lows’; identify improvements sought; identify where results are good / some resources could be shifted) 5. Build Results into Business (e.g. report internally and externally; input into strategic plan, SoI, broad priority setting, KPI, benchmarking, etc) 6. Confirm Fit w. Outcome Management Framework (e.g. how can results be used to benchmark, strategise, prioritise, etc; how do measures have to change or be analysed to perform different functions) Documenting Learning (Decision) Decision: Approval of format below as start point for writing; History: WG2 agreed focus on StW 1-3; no feedback on format; Proposal: ‘Trial by fire’ of the following format … 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. Executive summary Purpose statement Generic framework (10 step process) Attributes of good outcome frameworks Methods / steps / issues Management and ownership Best practice / good practice (integrated) Worked examples (refer to supplementary docs?) Agenda for WG4 1. Introduction (Chair) - includes short website update (Greg) 2. WG / WS Process (Chair) - building effective relationships - ideas for improvements (human & output) - feedback on Q&A sessions 3. New WG Products (Roger / Greg) - 10 early step performance cycle (StW 1-3) - Intervention Logic (one-off presentation) - Building Block / Learning Point documents 4. Other matters (Chair)