The Best Business Models in Community Banking 2014 NDBA/SDBA Annual Convention Joseph H. Cady, CMC Managing Partner (858) 530-8250 www.csconsultinggroup.com jcady@csconsultinggroup.com 1 Where We’ve Been Roaring 20’s Great Recession “New Normal” © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 2 Where We’re at Now Weak loan growth; shifting customer needs Reduced earning levels Increasing costs Increasing regulations Intense competition © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 3 Where We’re Going Compressed Less margins profits & shareholder return Higher capital requirements Earnings Fewer unable to exceed cost of capital (60% now) banks © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 4 How to Get Out of the New Normal Malaise? Cost cutting Shifting LOBs Stealing business from others Remaining Other No relevant? solutions? Magical formulas? good answers readily apparent! © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 5 Hold it! – There are exceptions Some How banks have & continue to do well! are they doing it? What about their business model? Lessons for the rest of us? © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 6 The Top of Mind Issue for C-level & BODs Today KPMG study: 90% of banks are re-evaluating their business models (BM) Next question: What constitutes an effective BM in today’s environment? © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 7 What is a Business Model & Why is it Important? Defined: How a bank creates, delivers & retains value Importance: Determines the way and how much money you make Components: – – – – LOB segments & structure Customer acquisition methods Customer interactions Internal structure & performance – Delivery channels © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 8 The Best Business Models: Unique Study Aims Examine those top banks that have continued to succeed, despite tough climate & peers failing ID effective BMs in today’s environment: commonalities & differences Structure, Can alignment, or execution? the best be emulated? Lessons for your bank © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 9 Studying the Best Banks Business Three and/or retail/consumer banks size categories – $50M – 999M (top 1%) – $1B – 24B – $25B+ Consistent ROAA performance over three distinct periods in past six years – 2006-2007 (good times winding down) – 2008-2009 (Great Recession) – 2010-2011 (“New Normal”) Statistical & reputational leaders (studied 59 banks thus far) © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 10 High ROA, but Excluded…. Specialty commercial banks – Trust*, credit card*, nat’l mortgage, investment, private Economic/geographic biased areas – Excluded top 25 states w/ lowest unemployment rate – Oil & ag states Demographic <$50 biased communities (personal income levels) million in assets (size bias, unique components outside norm) Inconsistent profitability (2 or more years w/ losses, or extraordinary gain year(s)) © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 11 How the Top 1% of CBs Perform (mean assets = $196M) Top 50 CBs Mean $50-999M National Mean 6 year ROAA (20062011) 2.17 .57 Efficiency Ratio (EOY 2011) 50.25 73.58 ROAE (EOY 2011) 18.68 4.14 NIM (EOY 2011) 4.91 3.95 NPA/Total Assets (EOY 2011) 1.94 3.24 % of Core Deposits (EOY 2011) 92.56 90.78 Metric © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 12 Best of Breed Have Their Issues Too Low LTD ratios – Not enough loans NPAs Regulatory demands © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 13 Our Local “Best” (top 1%) Sargent County Bank Farmers (Forman, ND) & Merchants St. Bank (Plankinton, SD) Assets = $110M (3 branch) Assets LOBs = Business & retail LOBs 6 = $85M (2 branch) = Business & retail year ROAA = 1.97 6 31.85 year ROAA = 2.31 (3.13) efficiency ratio; 4.60 40.08 NIM NIM SNL: ND most Top 100 banks < $500 M © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 14 efficiency ratio; 4.69 Key Findings: One or Many Business Models? Traditional community banking is alive & well! (80%) – Business & retail operations – Serving local communities; rural & some urban; many 100+ years old – Standard products & services – Strong referral networks Niche players in urban areas also prosper (20%) – Niches include CRE, mortgage, ag, & asset based lending – Local, regional, & national focus © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 15 Lending LOB Breadth 6% 0% 14% Diversified Niche Focus Single Product/ Monoline Primarily Service Oriented 80% © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 16 For Niche Focused (20%) , Describe Type of Niche 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 70% 50% 20% 10% Speciality Product © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. Speciality Industry Speciality High Net Worth/ Characteristics of Private Banking Client 17 Primary Value Proposition (check up to two) Relationship/ Intimacy 92% 38% Convenience Pricing; Rates & Terms 23% Product/Service Innovation 15% 0 © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 20 40 18 60 80 100 Structure & Pursuit of Credits (adj. to pricing, LTV, underwriting) 0% 42% Aggressive Moderate Conservative 58% © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 19 Typical Sales Orientation 17% Indiv. Products & Services; Sold One At A Time Multiple/Bundled Products & Services; Active Cross-sell 83% © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 20 Internal Core Competencies (check all that apply) 93% Cost Efficiency 67% Staffing/Productivity 53% Leadership 40% 33% COF/Sources Compensation 33% 33% 27% 27% Organiz. & Structure Int. Controls Effective Technology Reg. Compliance LOB Differentiation 13% Planning 13% 7% Training/Development 0 © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 20 40 21 60 80 100 Most Valuable BM Elements (forced ranking; 1-3) 3 2.8 2.45 2.6 2.4 2.2 2 1.82 1.73 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 Execution © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. Structure/ Architecture 22 Alignment BM Changes with Recession & New Normal 9% 18% No Changes Small Adjusments Major Revisions 73% © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 23 Degree of Competition 100 90 80 70 Intense Strong Moderate Little/None 46% 60 50 23% 40 30 15% 15% 20 10 0 © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 24 Case Study: #1 Bank Nationally Merchants Assets Bank of Indiana (Indianapolis, IN) = $608M LOBs = Primarily business bank w/ niche focuses (private, ag, & mortgage) 6 year ROAA = 4.51 BM/USP = Custom products; personal bankers; responsiveness; come to your office; experience; rapid growth/acquisitions; efficiency (35.80%) © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 25 Case Study: Role & Importance of Execution #1 most valuable BM element (per Top 50 survey) Key question: Can your ability to execute model exceptionally well, with seemingly disadvantaged architecture, result in top of peer performance? Examples: – Bank of Hemet (- CRE monoline –national geographic presence = 2.31 ROAA + 45.97 efficiency ratio [$439M assets]) – USAA (- low end retail –highly limited delivery systems & convenience = above peer ROA [1.32 for 2011] + highest customer satisfaction) © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 26 Case Study: Role & Importance of Structure Close #2 most valuable BM element (per Top 50 survey) Key question: Can you replicate successful model architecture elsewhere, and achieve similar results? Example: – 1st Business Bank, LA (patient LT investors; target healthy prospect companies; deep advice/relationships; effective sales/training; emphasize core deposits). Since successfully replicated at: • American Business Bank (consistent 6 year profitability) • 1st Enterprise Bank (.38 NPA; rapid growth) • Regents Bank (Bauer 5 star; 3% Texas ratio) © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 27 Case Study: Role & Importance of Alignment Key question: Can you align certain BM components into a powerful combination; left separately they offer no particular advantage? Examples: – US Bank (limited geo scope + focus on simpler & better, not bigger + decentralized underwriting & advisory boards = considered among best of the biggest banks) – Southwest Airlines (low fare/compete on price + low costs + frequency of service = consistent top performer) © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 28 Need for Structure, Alignment, &/or Execution? Opposing question: Can you succeed with the wrong structure, poor alignment, or weak execution? – Yes! • Bank of Hemet (“wrong” structure & alignment for the times) • Possibly get away with weaker execution? (tougher) Not required to have all three or even two components in place, but you must be able to excel in at least one BM area to prosper © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 29 Case Study: Now that’s a Business Model! Oakwood Assets State Bank (Oakwood, TX) = $5M (smallest bank in US) BM/USP = No computers; types deposit slips by hand; manual general ledger; no voicemail; 2 employees with average age of 78 Recent results = 2.37 ROA; 10.22 ROE; 64% efficiency ratio; 596 total loans © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 30 What’s Important for Being the Best Customer Highly Best closeness; going the extra mile (key performance driver) efficient & productive (key performance driver) at your niche Strong Avoid leadership; passion intense competition Control asset quality Strong margins Strong referral network © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 31 What’s Not So Important Lowest loan rates & best terms (price leader) [Deloitte study] Aggressive Most M structure & pursuit of credits convenient & A; external growth Retail/consumer Custom bank in urban areas products & services; multiple/bundled Extensive staff training & development Employee stock ownership Frequent, significant shifts to business model © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 32 Final Considerations Not final word on business models Must No tailor solutions (e.g., relationships or niche focus) magical solutions or reinvention Instead: Easy BM execution, structure, and/or alignment (need 1) work now done (cost cutting, LOB shifts) Tough work now ahead: Being a more effective competitor Benefits Which of being the best; and costs of being ordinary path for your bank? © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 33 For More Information… Joseph Cady CS Consulting Group LLC (858) 530-8250 jcady@csconsultinggroup.com www.CSConsultingGroup.com © CS Consulting Group LLC, All Rights Reserved. 34