State Directors Conference Boise, ID, March 4, 2013 Cesar D’Agord Regional Resource Center Program WRRC – Western Region What do we know about RDA? How is RDA likely to impact your State? How will it possibly impact your School district? “ The opinions and information expressed in this presentation do not necessarily reflect the position or policy of the Office of Special Education Programs (OSEP) or the United States Department of Education (USDOE). No endorsement of OSEP or USDOE should be inferred." A presentation prepared by OSEP, delivered nationally to all states via webinar on August 27, 2012 OSEP’s Memo 13-6, distributed to states on December 12, 2012 (12/12/12) IDEA Section 618 Report to Congress data National Center on Educational Outcomes (NCEO) materials WRRC materials and data calculations IDEA 2004 improving educational results and functional outcomes for all children with disabilities ensuring that States meet… the program requirements, with… emphasis on those most related to improving results 20 U.S.C. 1416(a)(2) Sec. 616(a) The Secretary shall monitor the States, and shall require each State to monitor the local educational agencies…using quantifiable indicators in each of the following priority areas…: Sec. 616(a) (A) Provision of a free appropriate public education in the least restrictive environment. (B) State exercise of general supervisory authority, including child find, effective monitoring, the use of resolution sessions, mediation,…and a system of transition services. (C) Disproportionate representation of racial and ethnic groups in special education and related services to the extent the representation is the result of inappropriate identification. The Secretary shall consider other relevant information and data, including data provided by States under section 618 16 - 19. Dispute Resolution 20. Data 14. Post School Outcomes 2. Dropout Rates 1. Graduation Rates 4. Suspensions/ Expulsions 13. Post Secondary Transition 3. Participation and Performance on Statewide Assessments 5. Educational Settings 15. General Supervision 7. Early Childhood Outcomes 9 and 10. Disproportionality 6. Pre-School Educational Settings 8. Parent Involvement 11 and 12. Child Find December 2005: States submitted State Performance Plans (SPPs) Special conditions State single audit findings February 1st, every year, states submit Annual Performance Reports (APRs) and if applicable, revised SPPs Information obtained through monitoring visits From February to May each year, Secretary reviews SPPs/APRs and considering multiple additional factors makes determinations Information obtained through fiscal monitoring June: Secretary releases determinations based on data reported in SPPs/ APRs and other available data Secretary takes specific technical assistance or enforcement actions (as required) Other public information made available Meets Requirements Needs Assistance ◦ Needs Assistance for two consecutive years Needs Intervention Needs Substantial Intervention In regard to SPP/APR Indicators ◦ Data: With respect to data, OSEP examines whether the States provided valid and reliable data for all indicators ◦ Compliance: OSEP examines Indicators 4B, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 15, 16, 17, and 20 looking for evidence that the State demonstrates substantial compliance. ◦ Meets Requirements: Generally, and absent any other issues OSEP considers a State to “meet requirements” if the State: (1) Provided valid and reliable data; and (2) Demonstrated substantial compliance for compliance Indicators. Based on OSEP’s Presentation of August 2012 OSEP offered opportunities for input, starting on March 23rd, 2012 OSEP staff presented updates on meetings and conference calls General public input via blog, email, etc. OSEP is working with OSEP Sponsored Projects on what and how results data can be used for RDA OSEP Memo 13-6, dated 12/12/12 FFY 2005 96.31 100 80 93.22 FFY 2010 96.87 96.72 95.89 97.74 84.75 79.24 60 40 20 0 12. Transition C 16. Complaints 11. Timely to B timely resolved evaluations 20. Data Data Source: OSEP Data Source: OSEP improving educational results and functional outcomes for all children with disabilities ensuring that States meet… the program requirements, with… emphasis on those most related to improving results 20 U.S.C. 1416(a)(2) Sec. 616(a) SPP/APR – APR Indicators measure results Determinations – Broadly reflect State performance (not just compliance and accurate data) Differentiated monitoring and technical assistance based on weighted identification of States Memo 13-6 was released to states on 12/12/12 Includes the FFY 2011 SPP/APR Instructions for the SPP/APR submission that was due Feb 1st 2013 Includes information on how RDA may impact States Determinations Results indicators may be included in the determination process! State-to-School District determinations may be impacted as well. About State Determinations, Memo 136 indicates: OSEP is considering how it will use data from results indicators in making determinations in the spring of 2013. OSEP is developing a “State Results Matrix” that will be used to examine a variety of results data. Example included in the Memo was Statewide Assessment, based on Indicator 3 (since this was presented as an example, it indicates other results indicators may be included) State Assessments Participation rate in general statewide reading and math assessments (similar to 3b), Proficiency on assessments (similar to 3a), Improvement in proficiency on assessments, and The gap in proficiency on assessments between students with disabilities and all students. Results Matrix Example Decision Matrix: Reading and math combined • Element 1: Participation in general assessment • Element 2: Improvement in percent proficient • Element 3: Gap in proficiency between students with disabilities and students without disabilities • Element 4: Percent proficient or above Source: NCEO Source: NCEO Results Matrix Source: NCEO Comparing Idaho to RRC Region 6 (WRRC) and National Data where available General Supervision Data Dispute Resolution 14. Post School Outcomes 2. Dropout Rates 1. Graduation Rates 4. Suspensions/ Expulsions 13. Post Secondary Transition 3. Participation and Performance on Statewide Assessments 5. Educational Settings 7. Early Childhood Outcomes 9 and 10. Disproportionality 6. Pre-School Educational Settings 8. Parent Involvement 11 and 12. Child Find Slide 47 Indicator 14 Outcomes FFY FFY 2009 2010 FFY 2011 14. A Enrolled in higher education within one year 17% 22% 19% 14. B Enrolled in higher education or competitively employed within one year 31% 41% 38% 14. C Enrolled in higher education, other postsecondary education or training, competitively employed, or in some other employment within one year 71% 78% 73% Source: Idaho FFY 2011 APR Back Data Source: IDEA Section 618, Table 4-1. Students ages 14 through 21 with disabilities served under IDEA, Part B, who exited school Graduated with Diploma Grad Rates = X 100 (Graduated with Diploma + Received a Certificate + Reached Maximum Age + Dropped out) Not included on denominator: - Transferred to Gen Education; - Moved and Known to Continue; - Died Back 70% 65.4% 60% 51.4% 50% 40.7% 40% 38.5% 38.0% 32.5% 30% 30.4% 28.2% 25.8% 24.6% 18.3% 20% 10% 0% Source: Section 618 Data Back State Special Education Graduation Rates 2009/10 National Rank on Graduation Rates 09/10 Guam 65.4% 3 Hawaii 51.4% 12 American Samoa 40.7% 30 Northern Marianas 38.5% 33 Washington 32.5% 39 Alaska 30.4% 40 California 28.2% 42 Idaho 25.8% 48 Oregon 24.6% 51 Nevada 18.3% 56 U.S. and outlying areas 38.0% Lowest rank = 57 Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back 40% 32.5% 30% 20% 10% 10.1% 3.6% 0% -10% -20% 3.2% 2.8% 1.8% 4.9% -0.5% -1.3% -7.0% -14.6% Source: Section 618 Data Back 5-year trend Graduation Rate Sp. Ed. Students National Rank 5-year trend Washington 32.5% 1 Guam 10.1% 14 Alaska 3.6% 33 American Samoa 3.2% 35 Nevada 2.8% 36 Oregon 1.8% 40 Idaho -0.5% 44 California -1.3% 46 Hawaii -7.0% 52 -14.6% 57 4.9% Lowest rank = 57 State Northern Marianas U.S. and outlying areas Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back Data Source: IDEA Section 618, Table 4-1. Students ages 14 through 21 with disabilities served under IDEA, Part B, who exited school # 14-21 Dropout Rates = (#14-21 Dropped out X 100 Graduated with Diploma + Received a Certificate + Reached Maximum Age + Dropped out + Transferred to General Education + Moved, Known to Continue + Died) 30% 26.3% 25% 22.8% 20% 16.5% 15% 10.3% 10.5% 12.2% 13.2% 12.7% 10% 5.1% 5% 0% 0.0% 0.0% Source: Section 618 Data Back Special Education Dropout Rates 2009/10 National Rank on Dropout Rates 2009/10 American Samoa 0.0% 1 Northern Marianas 0.0% 2 Guam 5.1% 4 Idaho 10.3% 14 California 10.5% 16 Hawaii 12.2% 26 Oregon 13.2% 34 Washington 16.5% 44 Alaska 22.8% 50 Nevada 26.3% 52 U.S. and outlying areas 12.7% Lowest rank = 57 State Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back 20% 16.5% 12.2% 10% -1.1% 0% -5.6% -10% -4.9% -0.3% -2.6% -3.6% -13.9% -20% -30% -32.6% -30.3% -40% Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back State 5-year trend Sp. Ed. Dropout Rates National Rank 5-year Dropout Rate trend Guam -32.6% 1 Northern Marianas -30.3% 3 American Samoa -13.9% 5 California -5.6% 14 Idaho -4.9% 18 Oregon -3.6% 26 Alaska -1.1% 36 Nevada -0.3% 40 Hawaii 12.2% 54 Washington 16.5% 56 U.S. and outlying areas -2.6% Lowest rank = 57 Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back Targets for FFY 2011 Reading Math 95% 95% # Actual Target Data for FFY 2010 (SY2010-2011) % 13,189 out of # % 13,178 98.3% 13,421 out of 98.2% 13,419 Actual Target Data for FY 2011 14,066 out of 14,302 98.3% 14,079 out of 14,314 98.4% (SY 2011-2012 Source: Idaho FFY 2011 APR Back Reading 66.04% Targets for FFY 2011 # Actual Target Data for FFY 2010 out of (SY2010-2011) 12,323 Actual Target Data for FY 2011 Math 61.28% % 6,245 10,870 out of 14,066 # % 4,972 50.7% out of 40.4% 12,317 77.2% 9,399 out of 14,079 66.8% (SY 2011-2012 Source: Idaho FFY 2011 APR Back The Idaho SDE received an ESEA waiver in 2012 Idaho will be using an Achievement Annual Measureable Objective (AMO) with the following targets: Subject Current AMO for AYP 2011-2012 2012-2013 2013-2014 Goal Goal Goal Reading 85% 85% 86% 88% Mathematics 83% 83% 84% 86% Source: Idaho FFY 2011 APR Back State Gap All 2005 Average 2011 Average 2011 Average Students scale score (all scale score scale score (sp and Sp Ed Gap as % of students) (all students) ed students) Students All Students Washington 223 221 183 38 17% California 207 211 174 37 18% Oregon 217 216 177 39 18% Nevada 207 213 174 39 18% Alaska 211 208 169 39 19% Idaho 222 221 176 45 20% Hawaii 210 214 159 55 26% Scale Score: A score, derived from student responses to assessment items, that summarizes the overall level of performance attained by that student. While NAEP does not produce scale scores for individual students, NAEP does produce summary statistics describing scale scores for groups of students. NAEP subject area scales typically range from 0 to 500 (reading, mathematics, U.S. history, and geography) or from 0 to 300 (science, writing, and civics). Back 3% 2.6% 3% 2.3% 1.9% 2% 2% 1% 1% -0.2% 0% -1% Nevada California Hawaii Oregon Idaho Washington Alaska -0.5% -1% -2% -1.3% -1.5% -2% Source: Section 618 Data Back 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 89.4% 84.8% 70.8% 64.7% 61.9% 58.8% 60.5% 52.5% 50.8% 40.3% 21.0% 20% 10% 0% Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back Percent of Students >80% Rank Performance Fall 2010 American Samoa 89.4% 1 Northern Marianas 84.8% 2 Oregon 70.8% 14 Nevada 64.7% 24 Idaho 61.9% 29 Alaska 58.8% 36 California 52.5% 48 Washington 50.8% 52 Guam 40.3% 55 Hawaii 21.0% 56 U.S. and outlying areas 60.5% Lowest rank = 57 State Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back 12% 10.8% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 6.8% 5.8% 3.5% 3.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0% -2% -4% -3.0% Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back State 5-year trend Rank 5-year trend 10.8% 7 Nevada 5.8% 22 Alaska 3.5% 34 Guam 3.1% 37 California 2.9% 39 Oregon 1.9% 44 Washington 0.7% 48 Idaho 0.5% 49 Hawaii 0.4% 50 American Samoa -3.0% 54 U.S. and outlying areas 6.8% Lowest rank = 57 Northern Marianas Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. 35% 32.2% 30% 26.2% 25% 22.4% 20% 15% 10.7% 10.9% 11.5% 13.5% 13.5% 14.2% 10% 5% 2.1% 4.0% 0% Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data State Performance Rank of Performance Northern Marianas 2.1% 1 American Samoa 4.0% 3 Oregon 10.7% 23 Idaho 10.9% 25 Alaska 11.5% 26 Washington 13.5% 36 Nevada 13.5% 37 California 22.4% 53 Hawaii 26.2% 55 Guam 32.2% 56 U.S. and outlying areas 14.2% Lowest rank = 57 Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data 4% 3.2% 2.1% 2% -0.2% 0% -2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.7% -1.8% -3.2% -4% -3.3% -6% -6.3% -8% -10% -8.9% Source: Section 618 Data Back Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. State 5-year trend Rank 5-year trend Hawaii -8.9% 2 Northern Marianas -6.3% 5 California -3.2% 13 Alaska -1.8% 22 Oregon -0.2% 38 Washington 0.0% 40 Nevada 0.3% 44 American Samoa 0.7% 49 Idaho 2.1% 52 Guam 3.2% 53 U.S. and outlying areas -3.3% Lowest rank = 57 Note: Information from RMI, FSM and Palau is not included on 618 data tables. Source: Section 618 Data Back General Supervision Data Dispute Resolution 14. Post School Outcomes 2. Dropout Rates 1. Graduation Rates 4. Suspensions/ Expulsions 13. Post Secondary Transition 3. Participation and Performance on Statewide Assessments 5. Educational Settings 7. Early Childhood Outcomes 9 and 10. Disproportionality 6. Pre-School Educational Settings 8. Parent Involvement 11 and 12. Child Find General Supervision Data Dispute Resolution 14. Post School Outcomes 2. Dropout Rates 1. Graduation Rates 4. Suspensions/ Expulsions 13. Post Secondary Transition 3. Participation and Performance on Statewide Assessments 5. Educational Settings 7. Early Childhood Outcomes 9 and 10. Disproportionality 6. Pre-School Educational Settings 8. Parent Involvement 11 and 12. Child Find General Supervision Data Dispute Resolution 14. Post School Outcomes 2. Dropout Rates 1. Graduation Rates 4. Suspensions/ Expulsions 13. Post Secondary Transition 3. Participation and Performance on Statewide Assessments 5. Educational Settings 7. Early Childhood Outcomes 9 and 10. Disproportionality 6. Pre-School Educational Settings 8. Parent Involvement 11 and 12. Child Find