ผลกระทบของรังสี ในอวกาศต่ อสิ่ งแวดล้ อมบนโลก และผลทางรังสี ชีววิทยาในมนุษย์ (2) รองศาสตราจารย์ ดร. สารี มั่นเขตต์ กรน์ หน่ วยวิจัยเคมีฟิสิกส์ ชีววิทยาระดับเซลล์ และโมเลกุล ศูนย์ วจิ ัยเพื่อความเป็ นเลิศด้ านการสร้ างภาพระดับโมเลกุล ภาควิชารั งสีเทคนิค คณะเทคนิคการแพทย์ มหาวิทยาลัยเชียงใหม่ 50200 อีเมลล์ : samlee@chiangmai.ac.th และ samlee@cemithai.com Photo: Basuki; www.who.int/phe Source: www.global-greenhouse-warming.com/ Water vapor Greenhouse Gases Combustion of fossil fuels and ploughing farm soils Use of refrigerators, air conditioners, aerosol spray and cleaning agents 7-11-2007 cause depletion of Combustion of fossil fuels and forest fires Protective layer in the upper atmosphere from UV radiation. If excessive produced caused air pollution such as smog & fog ดร. จิรพล สิ นธุนาวา Animal husbandry, irrigated agriculture 4 …and “climate change” is happening!! “ Global climate change is happening !” Loaded greenhouse gases by manmade at atmosphere Emitted CO2 by burning fossil fuels for power and by deforestation Source : IPCC CH4 released from paddy field, animal husbandry and landfills CO2 levels will arise another twice times by the year 2100. USA, Saudi Arabia released highest CO2 per head of population in the world. Thailand Wider Ozone hole prevent less UV radiation CFCs (Chlorofluorocarbon) The Vienna Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer In 1981 the United Nations Environment Organization has established the legal and technical working group for drafting to achieve agreements in international treaties to resolve the damage called the Vienna Convention on ozone layer protection. Contains a pledge to cooperate in research and surveillance data exchange volume Emissions and destroy the ozone layer as well as control the operation of the Convention to the future with the Vienna Convention The Vienna Convention for the Protection of the Ozone Layer adopted in March 1985, entered into force, 1988 by 28 countries Source: Hazardous Substances Control Bureau The Montreal Protocol on Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer To have negotiated the draft regulations and measures to prevent the destruction of the ozone layer under the Vienna Convention, which the draft was completed in the short time on 16 September 1987 at City Diamond Three Seasons of Canada in 47 countries worldwide, entered into force, 1989 Currently, 184 countries around the world have jointly ratified the Vienna Convention included Thailand Thailand's role • Must take steps to reduce and stop using the substances in accordance with the specified period. • Must report the amount of controlled substance to UNEP who serves as the Secretariat of the Protocol. • Department of Industrial Works Ministry of Industry as the primary agency responsible conducted studies in amount of substances destroying the ozone layer in different industry sectors and the import volume controls destroying substances. • National Plan of Thailand: to stop using substances that destroy the ozone layer and prepared for the period of disuse substances destroying the ozone layer. Pop. Growth & Urbanization Globalization Global warming Deforestation & others factors Industrialization & trade What if…Climate Change? •Increasing sea-levels •Increasing Strong wind Increasing sea-levels will lead to costal erosion Photo: @ Greenpeace/Jeremy Sutton-Hibbert Photo: www.allposters.com Changes in the Claciers at Shrong Himal, Nepal over 26 years Source : Nagoya University, http://snowman.hyarc.nagoya-u.ac.jp Impact of Climate Change: How does it all relate to me? Event-based Change in 21 century Impact on Human Health Warmer Temperatures and stagnant air masses Increased risk of Diseases Unsafe food. Animal as reservoir/amplifying vector/transmitter of pathogens. Heavy precipitation events Flash Floods and Land slides Costal erosion Reduced crop yields Intense weather events (Cyclones, Storms) Loss of Life, injuries, life long handicaps. Diseases outbreak. Damage of Animals/Insects/Plant Ecosystems. Droughts and Floods Reduced crop yields. Reduced electricity and power production. Monsoon seasons change in region Phenomenon Droughts and Floods Weather events VS Impacts on human health (1) Heat waves / air pollution Heat stroke, Respiratory dis. Cardio-vascular illness Warmer temp. & disturbed rainfall patterns Vector-borne diseases: สำนักโรคติดต่ออุบตั ิใหม่ กรมควบคุมโรค กระทรวงสำธำรณสุข Changes in climate may alter the distribution of important vector species and may increase the spread of disease. Weather events VS Impacts on human health (2) Heavy precipitation events Water/ foodborne diseases: cholera, harmful algae bloom, etc. Droughts Malnutrition & Starvation Psychosocial Stress Harmful Algal Blooms (HAB) & Global warming Expansion of water surface Warmers temp & longer duration Tendency to be toxic strains “Especially temperate zone” Freshwater HABs Toxins • Hepatoxins, Neurotoxins • All are blue-green algae (cyanobacteria) Marine HABs: Toxins & Toxicity • Diarrheic, Paralytic, Neurotoxic, Amnestic shellfish poison, Ciguatera fish poison (DSP, PSP, NSP, ASP, CFP) Harmful algal bloom Harmful algal bloom ;Florida Weather events VS Impacts on human health (3) Cyclones, Storms, flooding • Death, Injuries • Damage infrastructure • Diseases related to extreme climates eg. Leptospirosis • Social problems • Psychosocial Stress Sea level rise & Coastal storms Disappearance of Land Migration Social conflict Stress Projected impacts of global warming in Asia (1) Glacier melt in the Himalayas is projected to increase flooding, rock avalanches from destabilised slopes, and affect water resources within the next two to three decades. This will be followed by decreased river flows as the glaciers recede. Freshwater availability in Central, South, East and Southeast Asia particularly in large river basins is projected to decrease due to climate change which, along with population growth and increasing demand arising from higher standards of living, could adversely affect more than a billion people. Source: IPCC WGII Fourth Assessment Report, April 2007 Projected impacts of global warming in Asia (2) Coastal areas, especially heavilypopulated mega-delta regions in South, East and Southeast Asia, will be at greatest risk due to increased flooding from the sea and in some mega-deltas flooding from the rivers. Climate change is projected to impinge on sustainable development of most developing countries of Asia as it compounds the pressures on natural resources and the environment associated with rapid urbanisation, industrialisation, and economic development. Source: IPCC WGII Fourth Assessment Report, April 2007 Projected impacts of global warming in Asia (3) Endemic morbidity and mortality due to diarrhoeal disease primarily associated with floods and droughts are expected to rise in East, South and Southeast Asia due to projected changes in hydrological cycle associated with global warming. Increases in coastal water temperature would exacerbate the abundance and/or toxicity of cholera in South Asia. Source: IPCC WGII Fourth Assessment Report, April 2007 Projected impacts of global warming in Asia It is projected that crop yields could increase up to 20% in East and Southeast Asia while it could decrease up to 30% in Central and South Asia by the mid 21 st century. Taken together and considering the influence of rapid population growth and urbanization, the risk of hunger is projected to remain very high in several developing countries. ธารนา้ แข็งหิมาลัยในเอเชียมีอตั ราการละลายเร็วที่สดุ ปั จจุบนั จึงบางลงมากกว่าธารนา้ แข็งอื่นๆ Volume(km3) Location East Antarctic ice sheet 26,039,200 Potential sea-Level rise (m) 64.80 West Antarctic ice sheet 3,262,000 8.06 Antarctic Peninsula 227,100 .46 Greenland 2,620,000 180,000 6.55 .45 32,328,300 80.32 All other ice caps, ice field, and valley glaciers Total Southeast Asia if West sheet melted (17-foot rise) Source: Dr. Chirapol Sintunawa 12-10-2007 Climate Change: Study Impact to Thailand Climate change tend to be : higher and longer temperatures BUT not dryness • Slightly increasing temperature around 1-2 °C • Summer season will be longer 1-2 months • Winter season will be shorter 1-2 months • Rainy season remains unchanged BUT water volume will increase 10-20% • Uncertain season interval changed dramatically ( Extreme scenario ) What if Climate Change effected Thailand? Encourage to conduct various of continued-studies and brain storming Impacts in Thailand Sea Level Increasing sea-levels approximately 0.09 – 0.88 meters will lead to costal erosion. Gulf of Thailand Erosion crisis worse than the Andaman Sea; six areas crisis included Bangkok, Rayong, Petchaburi down to Narathivas Bangkhunthien coastal water erosion 30-10-2007 ดร.จิรพล สิ นธุนาวา 31 Floods Within 3 decades, country severely affected by climate change in the frequency of extreme weather events result Floods and storms, especially in eastern coastal lines and southern area near the ocean as well as Bangkok, Hadyai and Chiangmai. Climate change may also affect diseases spread both human and animal/plants delta regions Flash Floods Land Slide Drought Drought occurs in summer caused dryness reservoir, reduced crop yields. Dryness affecting in crops produced caused farmers stress Fog and Forest Fires Long term high temperature has been rise in key air pollutants causes respiratory diseases. •Clinical Treatment •Strictly follow guideline for IC, PPE •Logistic preparation •Diagnosis / Surveillance •Clinical Finding, Epidemiology, Laboratory Clinicians Monitor Diagnose •Supervise team and health education to population •Selected key message •Quality assurance Role Of Medical team to EID / PHER Teachers/Mentors •Collecting, Recording, Analyze and report •Updating new knowledge •Reporting on time •Encourage team •Alerting Message Researchers Conclusion (1) Now the world is changing in many directions. Climate change and global warming caused public health problem and diseases outbreak in the world. Thailand should prepare for respond to Communicable diseases / Infectious diseases and other new/re-emerging diseases for example; Vector-Borne Disease; hemorrhagic fever, Malaria, Japanese encephalitis, Elephantiasis Food and water Borne Diseases; Diarrhea, Food Poisoning, Hepatitis Respiratory Diseases; Influenza Emerging and re-emerging Diseases; Avian Influenza, Nipah and Westnile Infectious Diseases from Natural Disaster Impact Conclusion (2) Preparedness concepts Strengthen and Development of public Health System Surveillance and Rapid Response Enhancement of capacity building and knowledge Strengthen multi-sectoral collaboration and network Sawasdee krab ิ ค ้าตัวใหม่ “คาร์บอนเครดิต” สน จากประเทศกาลังพัฒนา • Carbon Credit คือ ปริมาณก๊ าซเรือนกระจก ที่ ลดได้ จากกิจกรรมของมนุษย์ • เป็ นเครื่ องมือสำคัญในพิธีสำรเกียว โต (Kyoto Protocol) • โดยก ำหนดให้ ป ระเทศพัฒ นำแล้ ว 41 ประเทศ ลดกำรปล่อยก๊ ำซเรื อน กระจกอย่ำงน้ อย 5% เมื่อเทียบกับ ปี 2533 ภำยในปี 2555 ฉลากคาร์บอน (Carbon Label) ทางเลือกใหม่เพื่อลดภาวะ โลกร้อน • ฉลากคาร์บอน : ฉลากทีแ ่ สดงระดับการลด ่ รรยากาศต่อ การปล่อยก๊าซเรือนกระจกออกสูบ หน่วยผลิตภัณฑ์ • เราทุกคนล ้วนมีสว่ นร่วมในฐานะผู ้ก่อปั ญหา ้ พยากรและ ภาวะโลกร ้อนผ่านการใชทรั พลังงานรูปแบบต่างๆ เพือ ่ ดาเนินกิจวัตร ประจาวันอย่างหลีกเลีย ่ งไม่ได ้ • ทางเลือกหนึง่ เพือ ่ ชดเชยสงิ่ ทีค ่ ณ ุ ทา คือ การ ื้ สน ิ ค ้าทีม เลือกซอ ่ ก ี ารปล่อยก๊าซเรือนกระจก ิ ค ้าทีม น ้อย หรือสน ่ ี “ฉลากคาร์บอน” แหล่งข้อมูลเรื่ อง Global Warming • องค์การบริหารจัดการก๊าซเรือนกระจก (องค์การมหาชน) ; www.tgo.or.th • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ; www.ipcc.ch/ • World Health Organization ; www.searo.who.int Bibliography Allen, D.J., S. 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[Reprinted from Scientific Assessment of Ozone Depletion: 2002, Global Ozone Research and Monitoring Project – Report No. 47, 498 pp., World Meteorological organization, Geneva, 2003.] www.cmdl.noaa.gov/.../ wmobro/graphics/fig9m.gif www.ntt.co.jp/.../ detail/detail_281.html www.coolantarctica.com/. ../ozone_hole.htm www.dermis.multimedica.de/.../ en/13007/image.htm www.epa.gov/air/airtrends/ aqtrnd95/stratoz.html www.ldeo.columbia.edu/.../ lectures/ozone_health/ www.met.sjsu.edu/~cordero/ education/education.htm www.unep.ch/ozone/faq-env.shtml เรียนเชิญเข้ าร่ วมประชุมและเพื่อเปิ ดรับข้ อคิดเห็น การจัดงานแสดงมุตติ าจิตเนื่องในวโรกาส เกษียณอายุราชการ ปี 2554 รองศาสตราจารย์ ระวีวรรณ กันไพเราะ วันที่ 1 ธันวาคม 2553 เวลา 16.30 น เป็ นต้ นไป ที่ห้องประชุมพันตน