Phenotypic Plasticity and Maternal Effects Short-term responses to changing climates? Changing Thermal Environments Current Climate Models Predict an Increasingly Warmer World Organismal response to rising temperatures Ecological Response Shifts in Distribution Δ Phenology Evolutionary Response: Adaptation Failure to Adapt Extinction Creative Commons/Bart Heird Another response (short term) & Maternal Effects Adaptive Plasticity in Novel Environments Reaction Norms – low cost to fitness persistence of plasticity φ Novel Low Normal Range of Developmental Temperatures Novel High “Release” of cryptic variation in novel environments. Selection on G x E.. after Ghalambor et al. 2007. Functional Ecology 21:397 Acclimitization is one form of Plasticity B. CIB Fitness A. BAH Cool Warm Test Temperature C. HIB Cool Warm Test Temperature Fitness D. LAH Cool Warm Test Temperature Cool Warm Test Temperature BAH, CIB, etc. • Most tests of these hypotheses involve Developmental Plasticity – i.e., irreversible phenotypic changes induced by rearing conditions Plasticity in Reproduction • How do gravid (pregnant) females respond to warming? Reproductive Plasticity in Females Manipulation of thermal regime experienced by gravid females Developmental stage is sensitive to thermal conditions experienced by gravid females Reproductive Investment Why Females? Females can manipulate the phenotype of her offspring depending on intrinsic and extrinsic conditions Hormones (Cort, Androgens), Tb of dam How can females affect offspring phenotype? • Hormones • Offspring Provisioning • Incubation Temperatures during embryonic development – Viviparous Lizards • Maternal Tb – Oviparous Lizards • Nest Site Selection How does elevated CORT Altered niche attributes initiate effects and costs of immune response mediate stress response offspring quality Population dynamics Consequences Rising Temperatures Extended Warm Spells Maternal Condition ReproSuccess/ Offspring Traits Decreasing rainfall Adaptive maternal effects (mainly organizational effect of hormones and immunity products) modify individual strategy and survival later on. One outcome is the induction of offspring phenotypes to cope with novel environments. Altered Population Dynamics Maternal Effects & Developmental Plasticity Stressor CORT Could be Ta Energy Stores ¥ Maternal Survival Clutch Size/Offspring Size Trade-off Offspring “Quality” Dispersal Philopatry Growth Rate Body size affected by incubation temperature Speed is sensitive to incubation temperature Hormones and Offspring Phenotype CORT treated lizards remained in shelters longer than controls Plasticity in Dorsal Pattern Zootoca (=Lacerta) vivipara Mechanism of Induction Juvenile dorsal pattern affected by: May Ta during Gestation August Ta year before pregnancy x Significance of Dorsal Pattern Behavior and performance covary with dorsal pattern Brodie 1992 Evolution Temporal variation in % reticulated morphs Frequency of Reticulate females decreased with elevation only in 2008 “Cool” Year Evidence for plasticity in morphs Maximum velocity increased with habitat openness F3,349 = 3.05, p < 0.02 Speed differed between years F3,349 = 7.82, p < 0.001 Speed differed between morphs F3,349 = 3.35, p < 0.01 Number of stops increases with habitat openness Reticulate females stopped more frequently than linear females Chi-square = 5.42, P < 0.01 Conclusions • Climate can induce variation in reproductive performance • Variation in conditions experienced by females can affect offspring phenotype – Whether female manipulation benefits offspring depends on conditions at hatching (birth)