The Economic Impact of Tourism in New York State Finger Lakes Focus May 2010 Prepared by: Tourism Economics 121, St Aldates, Oxford, OX1 1HB UK 303 W Lancaster Ave. Wayne PA 19087 USA 1 610 995 9600 www.tourismeconomics.com Key themes for 2009 The recession affected the New York State tourism economy in a range of ways in 2009: ■ Visitor volumes fell across all segments, especially overnight visitors ■ Per trip spending declined on account of shorter length of stay and general consumer caution ■ Spending contracted at an even greater rate due to discounting and generally lower prices for tourism-related goods and services. For example, rooms rates were 17% lower than in the prior year, airfares were 8% lower, and fuel prices were down 27%. As a result, although visitor volumes contracted a modest 3.4%, visitor spending fell at a rate of 13.8%. Tourism employment declined in tandem by 4.0%. 2 Headline results The visitor economy remains a large contributor to business sales, employment, and taxes in New York State. Visitors to New York State spent $45.8 billion in 2009. This spending generated $75 billion in total business sales including indirect and induced impacts. 660,915 jobs were sustained by visitors to New York State last year with total income of $25.5 billion. Approximately 7.8% (1 in 13 jobs) of all private non-far employment in the state is sustained by tourism. Tourism in New York State generated $12.6 billion in taxes in 2009, with $6.2 billion accruing to state and local governments. 3 Visitor spending by market $ Billions International visitor spending fell at a greater rate (15%) than domestic spending (-13%) as international visitor volumes fell by approximately 7%. 60.0 International Domestic 50.0 14.4 12.5 40.0 10.5 30.0 14.8 12.6 11.2 7.7 20.0 27.4 30.1 31.3 2004 2005 34.1 36.7 38.3 2007 2008 33.2 10.0 0.0 2003 4 2006 2009 Growth in visitor spending 60 15% $ Billions Visitor Spend % change (right) 50 10% 40 5% 30 0% 20 -5% Business 10 Day -10% 0 -15% 2004 5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 The tourism industry contracted 13.8% in 2009. This more modest rate of growth was expected after a remarkable growth trend since 2004. Most if not all of the growth in 2008 occurred in the first half of the year. Visitor spending by market Both domestic and international spending in New York contracted in 2009, with Canadian and overseas visitor spending posting the greatest losses. Tourism Direct Sales Domestic 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2005 Growth 2006 Growth 2007 Growth 2008 Growth 2009 Growth 6 $ $ $ $ $ $ 30,140 31,287 34,057 36,724 38,259 33,163 4% 9% 8% 4% -13% Canada $ $ $ $ $ $ 732 816 1,021 1,287 1,340 1,132 12% 25% 26% 4% -16% Overseas $ $ $ $ $ $ 9,768 10,384 11,496 13,070 13,508 11,482 6% 11% 14% 3% -15% Total $ $ $ $ $ $ 40,006 43,431 46,574 51,081 53,108 45,777 9% 7% 10% 4% -14% All sectors suffer in 2009 Visitor Spending By Sector Visitors spent $12.2 billion in the lodging sector and $10.5 billion in restaurants last year. The transportation industry received $9.7 billion from visitors. The most significant declines were experience by the lodging sector (-20%), gas stations (-19%), and retail trade (-18%). Billion $ 16 2007 14 2009 2008 12 10 8 6 4 Business 2 Day Lodging Food Service Source : Tourism Economics 7 Transport Retail & Svc Stations Recreation Visitor spending by sector Lower prices across the board fueled declines in visitor spending. Airfares, room rates, fuel prices, and retail incentives all accentuated the declines in gross visitor spending. Visitor Spending Transport 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2009 % change 8 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 8,154 $ 8,790 $ 9,219 $ 9,410 $ 10,515 $ Business 10,881 $ 9,681 $ -11.0% Lodging 9,200 10,299 11,575 12,832 14,301 14,710 12,208 -17.0% Food Service $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 8,035 8,715 9,663 10,565 11,357 Day 11,492 10,511 -8.5% Recreation $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 3,540 4,020 4,259 4,668 5,191 5,336 4,668 -12.5% Retail & Svc Stations $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 7,294 8,182 8,714 9,100 9,717 10,689 8,710 -18.5% TOTAL $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 36,223 40,006 43,431 46,574 51,081 53,108 45,777 -13.8% Annual Growth 3.3% 10.4% 8.6% 7.2% 9.7% 4.0% -13.8% Visitor spending distribution 2008 2009 Recreation 10% Recreation 10% Lodging 27% Lodging 28% Retail & Svc Stations 19% Retail & Svc Stations 20% Business Transport 20% 9 Day Food Service 22% Transport 21% Food Service 23% How visitor spending generates impact • Travelers create direct economic value within a discreet group of sectors (e.g. recreation, transportation). This supports a relative proportion of jobs, wages, taxes, and GDP within each sector. • Each directly affected sector also purchases goods and services as inputs (e.g. food wholesalers, utilities) into production. These impacts are called indirect impacts. 10 Lastly, the induced impact is generated when employees whose incomes are generated either directly or indirectly by tourism, spend those incomes in the state economy. Tourism GDP Tourism GDP (Value Added) (US$ Million, 2009) Direct* Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Business Government TOTAL % change Indirect Induced Total 22,423 124 592 405 628 14 581 158 6 518 1,730 2,729 10 147 55 165 142 161 8,166 66 313 371 608 19 175 1,011 36 301 1,384 793 1,748 121 65 335 337 1,806 9,488 190 904 776 1,236 2,494 2,535 2,422 645 819 4,315 3,522 1,758 3,069 6,925 6,020 479 1,967 40,077 -13.4% -9.9% -7.6% -11.4% 2,461 1,779 1,253 603 1,200 2,801 6,805 5,521 Day % change -9.1% -9.1% -8.8% -8.8% -12.9% -7.5% -13.5% -18.3% -9.1% -6.7% -9.4% -7.6% -12.2% -19.3% -8.5% -8.3% -7.8% -11.4% The tourism sector generated state GDP of $40 billion in 2009. This is 4% of the state economy. 11 Tourism employment Tourism Employment 2009 Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Business Personal Services Government TOTAL % change 29,769 62,280 22,415 10,859 7,390 65,250 87,326 170,149 Day 455,437 -4.0% Indirect 3,259 2,540 4,728 4,769 169 10,655 3,209 117 2,605 9,595 33,863 252 4,219 726 5,689 3,977 1,551 91,922 -3.5% Induced 1,439 553 3,464 4,536 220 3,210 20,408 679 1,216 7,507 10,309 33,426 3,134 887 11,353 10,268 949 113,556 -2.6% Total % change 4,697 3,093 8,192 9,305 30,158 76,144 46,031 11,655 3,820 24,492 44,172 33,678 72,603 88,939 187,190 14,244 2,500 660,915 -3.7% The tourism sector supported 660,915 jobs, or 7.8% of all private non-farm employment in New York State last year. 12 -3.2% -3.3% -3.1% -3.1% -6.6% -3.5% -4.6% -3.5% -3.2% -2.3% -3.3% -2.7% -5.1% -4.0% -3.0% -2.9% -3.2% -3.7% Business 13 Bus Svcs Retail Trade Recreation Other Transp Lodging F&B Day Constr, Utilities Communications Agriculture Manufacturing Wholesale Gasoline Personal Serv Fin, Insur Air Transport 150 Edu, Health Thousands Tourism employment 200 Induced Indirect Direct 100 Significant indirect/induced benefits 50 0 Tourism employment ranked Employment Ranking Rank Industry 1 Health care and social assistance 2 Professional and business services 3 Retail trade 4 Finance and insurance 5 Food services and drinking places 6 Manufacturing 7 Tourism 8 Administrative and waste services 9 Educational services 10 Wholesale trade 11 Construction 12 Transportation and utilities 13 Information Business Day 14 Real estate and rental and leasing 2009 BLS 1,281 1,096 861 498 493 477 455 404 385 331 324 264 254 180 Tourism is the 7th largest private sector employer in New York State on the basis of direct tourism employment. (Comparisons are with 2009 industry employment, BLS.) 14 Tourism income Tourism Income (Compensation) (US$ Million) Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Business Personal Services Government TOTAL % change Indirect 2,183 1,295 684 316 278 1,653 4,451 4,002 Day 14,863 -7.2% Induced 62 272 270 367 13 494 101 3 307 733 2,171 10 135 32 121 116 98 5,304 35 112 228 349 16 137 635 17 144 716 652 1,569 91 38 241 284 58 5,321 -6.4% -5.6% Total 96 384 497 716 2,212 1,926 1,421 335 451 1,727 2,823 1,578 1,880 4,521 4,364 400 156 25,487 Tourism generated income fell by 6.7% last year as both employment and average incomes fell. 15 -6.7% % change -5.1% -6.1% -6.0% -6.0% -9.4% -6.4% -7.4% -6.4% -6.1% -5.6% -6.2% -5.6% -7.9% -6.9% -5.9% -5.8% -6.1% -6.7% Tourism tax generation Tourism-Generated Taxes (US$ Million) Total Federal Taxes Corporate Indirect Business Personal Income Social Security State and Local Taxes Corporate Personal Income Sales Property Excise and Fees Business State Unemployment TOTAL % change 16 6,463.6 1,084.3 486.9 2,328.5 2,564.0 6,198.8 1,154.8 1,006.8 1,764.5 1,949.2 229.6 Day 93.9 12,662.4 -11.9% Tourism generated $12.6 billion in taxes in 2009, contracting by 11.9%. State and local taxes alone tallied $6.2 billion. In the absence of tourism activity, the average New York household would pay an extra $778 a year to cover the gap in state and local taxes. Regional Summary 17 Visitor spending by region Visitor Spending, 2009 ChautauquaAllegheny 1% Finger Lakes Niagara 5% 4% Thous. Islands 1% Adirondacks 2% Cen. Leath. 3% Capital-Saratoga 3% Catskills 2% Hudson Valley 6% New York City 63% 18 Long Island 10% New York State is divided into 11 economic regions. New York City is the largest single tourism region with 63% of state visitor spend. New York City, Long Island and Hudson Valley together comprise nearly 80% of New York State visitor spend. Reliance on tourism Tourism Share of Regional Employment 2009 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% Direct Tourism 12.0% Total Tourism 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% Adirondacks Catskills Chaut.-Allegheny Cen. Leather. New York City Niagara Thous. Islands Capital-Saratoga Finger Lakes Hudson Valley Long Island 0.0% Tourism is an integral part of every region’s economy, generating from 6% to 17% of employment. Tourism is most important to the Adirondacks and Catskills, generating 17% and 15% of total employment, respectively. Note: All regional and county tourism shares are calculated using QCEW (ES-202) employment and wage totals as produced by the NYS Dept. of Labor. 19 Tourism Growth Growth in Tourism Spending 8% 2008 6% 2009 4% 2% -10% -12% -14% -16% 20 New York excl. NYC New York State New York City Long Island Hudson Valley Catskills Cen. Leath. Adirondacks Capital-Saratoga -8% Thous. Islands -6% Finger Lakes -4% Niagara -2% Chautauqua-Allegheny 0% Visitor spending fell across every region of the state last year. New York City experienced the largest declines in spending on account of significant room rate cuts and curtailed visitor spending on retail and entertainment. The Thousand Islands, Catskills, and Finger Lakes regions were the best performing in the state. Regional Growth Visitor Spend Year-Over-Year Comparison 0.0025 Visitor Spend '000s 1. Chautauqua-Allegheny 2. Greater Niagara 3. Finger Lakes 4. Thousand Islands 5. Adirondacks 6. Central Leatherstocking 7. Capital-Saratoga 8. Catskills 9. Hudson Valley 10. Long Island 11. New York City Business TOTAL 2008 Day $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 510,676 2,118,638 2,666,167 433,056 1,194,114 1,760,230 1,679,103 1,027,978 3,089,709 5,136,334 33,485,671 53,101,676 2009 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 455,018 1,904,163 2,454,950 407,899 1,060,646 1,588,459 1,495,679 946,228 2,674,712 4,471,678 28,317,615 45,777,048 % Change -10.9% -10.1% -7.9% -5.8% -11.2% -9.8% -10.9% -8.0% -13.4% -12.9% -15.4% -13.8% 0.002 0.0015 Delaware 0.001 0.0005 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 0 1 21 1 1.2 Regional Tourism Summary Tourism Economic Impact Combined Direct, Indirect, and Induced Tourism Economic Impact 1. Chautauqua-Allegheny 2. Greater Niagara 3. Finger Lakes 4. Thousand Islands 5. Adirondacks 6. Central Leatherstocking 7. Capital-Saratoga 8. Catskills 9. Hudson Valley 10. Long Island 11. New York City TOTAL Business 22 Direct Sales, '000s $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ Labor Income, Employment, '000s Persons 455,018 $ 1,904,163 $ 2,454,950 $ 407,899 $ 1,060,646 $ 1,588,459 $ 1,495,679 $ 946,228 $ 2,674,712 $ 4,471,678 $ 28,317,615 $ 45,777,048Day $ 215,104 1,029,641 1,325,414 184,912 505,180 827,642 807,971 437,115 1,482,922 2,394,276 16,207,245 25,417,421 10,526 44,627 56,652 8,273 18,835 31,244 32,269 16,997 48,337 68,858 325,016 661,634 Local Taxes, '000s $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 29,692 124,373 167,539 26,100 70,700 99,854 95,480 59,047 172,104 279,944 2,097,051 3,221,883 State Taxes, '000s $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 29,591 123,831 159,649 26,526 68,976 103,300 97,266 61,535 173,941 290,801 1,841,541 2,976,956 Regional Tourism Distribution Tourism Economic Impact Regional Shares Tourism Distribution 1. Chautauqua-Allegheny 2. Greater Niagara 3. Finger Lakes 4. Thousand Islands 5. Adirondacks 6. Central Leatherstocking 7. Capital-Saratoga 8. Catskills 9. Hudson Valley 10. Long Island 11. New York City TOTAL Business 23 Sales Labor Income 1% 4% 5% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 6% 10% 62% 100%Day 1% 4% 5% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 6% 9% 64% 100% Employment 2% 7% 9% 1% 3% 5% 5% 3% 7% 10% 49% 100% Local Taxes 1% 4% 5% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 5% 9% 65% 100% State Taxes 1% 4% 5% 1% 2% 3% 3% 2% 6% 10% 62% 100% Regional Detail for Finger Lakes Business 24 Day Finger Lakes, Total Tourism Impact Tourism Spending Tourism in the Finger Lakes is a $2.45 billion industry, supporting over 56,000 jobs. Monroe county represents 36% of the region’s tourism sales with $887 million in visitor spending. Visitor spending in the region contracted 7.9% in 2009. Wayne Yates 2% Tompkins 1% 6% Tioga 1% Steuben 5% Schuyler 1% Day Onondaga 29% 25 Chemung Cortland 3% 2% Livingston 2% Seneca 2% Ontario 7% Business Cayuga 3% Monroe 36% Finger Lakes, Total Tourism Impact Total Tourism Impact, 2009 Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL 26 Visitor Spend '000 Labor Income, '000 $79,223 $82,121 $41,950 $36,917 $887,220 $715,632 $164,616 $26,374 $41,487 $112,790 $30,173 $150,843 $32,225 $53,380 $2,454,950 $38,279 $44,999 $21,859 $18,907 $496,542 $397,810 $86,722 $10,620 $19,889 $52,973 $15,325 $82,863 $15,239 Day $23,387 $1,325,414 Business Employment 1,746 2,062 1,401 1,048 20,052 16,799 4,122 529 873 2,125 831 3,291 937 836 56,652 Local Taxes '000 $5,214 $5,432 $2,893 $2,292 $60,139 $50,636 $10,656 $1,853 $2,665 $7,646 $1,947 $10,833 $1,811 $3,522 $167,539 State Taxes '000 $5,152 $5,340 $2,728 $2,401 $57,697 $46,539 $10,705 $1,715 $2,698 $7,335 $1,962 $9,810 $2,096 $3,471 $159,649 Finger Lakes, Visitor Spending Tourism Spending Second Homes 6% Travelers spent $2.45 billion in the Finger Lakes in 2009 across a diverse range of sectors. Spending at restaurants and for lodging comprised 28% and 23% of the total, respectively. Business 27 Lodging 23% Transport 19% Recreation 5% Day Retail & Svc Stations 19% F&B 28% Finger Lakes, Visitor Spending 2009 Visitor Spend '000s Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL 28 Lodging $22,227 $14,256 $7,573 $5,892 $228,094 $156,789 $29,461 $6,958 $7,595 $24,180 $11,010 $38,072 $2,534 $8,335 Business$562,974 Recreation $3,008 $2,748 $2,997 $908 $42,200 $28,086 $8,703 $2,126 $1,373 $7,961 $2,698 $8,175 $1,724 $481 $113,188 Day F&B $17,732 $29,041 $17,130 $15,605 $255,645 $197,405 $62,350 $4,483 $15,298 $24,461 $6,343 $40,930 $11,378 $17,763 $715,563 Retail & Svc Stations Transport $13,399 $15,196 $9,297 $7,483 $176,277 $127,800 $33,519 $3,833 $7,912 $18,985 $6,558 $28,796 $5,097 $8,433 $462,584 $9,107 $18,221 $844 $2,212 $180,435 $186,182 $16,154 $0 $753 $6,061 $286 $31,105 $3,405 $1,018 $455,782 Second Homes $13,750 $2,659 $4,109 $4,817 $4,570 $19,371 $14,430 $8,974 $8,555 $31,142 $3,278 $3,766 $8,088 $17,351 $144,858 Total $79,223 $82,121 $41,950 $36,917 $887,220 $715,632 $164,616 $26,374 $41,487 $112,790 $30,173 $150,843 $32,225 $53,380 $2,454,950 Regional Growth Visitor Spend Year-Over-Year Comparison 0.0025 Visitor Spend '000s Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL Business 2008 Day $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 88,461 89,158 44,784 39,858 963,071 776,903 176,990 26,364 39,827 123,526 32,464 170,256 35,741 58,762 2,666,167 2009 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 79,223 82,121 41,950 36,917 887,220 715,632 164,616 26,374 41,487 112,790 30,173 150,843 32,225 53,380 2,454,950 % Change -10.4% -7.9% -6.3% -7.4% -7.9% -7.9% -7.0% 0.0% 4.0% -8.7% -7.1% -11.4% -9.8% -9.2% -7.9% 0.002 0.0015 Erie 0.001 0.0005 0 1 0 0.2 0.4 0.0025 0.002 0.0015 Cayuga 0.001 29 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Finger Lakes, Labor Income Tourism-Generated Labor Income $500 $450 $400 Millions $350 $300 Indirect/Induced $250 Direct $200 $150 $100 Yates Wayne Tioga Steuben Seneca Schuyler Ontario Tompkins Day Onondaga Monroe Livingston Business Cortland Cayuga $0 Chemung $50 Tourism in the Finger Lakes generated $780 million in direct labor income and $1.3 billion including indirect and induced impacts. Tourism is most important to the economies of Yates and Schuyler Counties, generating 12.7% and 7.4%, respectively, of all labor income. 30 Finger Lakes, Labor Income 2009 Tourism Labor Income, '000 Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL 31 Business Direct $22,521 $26,474 $12,860 $11,124 $292,131 $234,044 $51,021 $6,248 $11,701 $31,166 $9,016 $48,751 $8,966 Day $13,759 $779,782 Total (Direct, Indir., Induced) $38,279 $44,999 $21,859 $18,907 $496,542 $397,810 $86,722 $10,620 $19,889 $52,973 $15,325 $82,863 $15,239 $23,387 $1,325,414 Share (Direct) 2.6% 1.9% 2.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 3.0% 4.4% 3.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.5% 0.9% 7.5% 2.1% Share (Total) 4.4% 3.3% 3.9% 2.9% 3.1% 3.9% 5.0% 7.4% 5.2% 3.0% 2.3% 4.2% 1.5% 12.7% 3.5% Finger Lakes, Labor Income Tourism-Generated Labor Income Share of Economy, 2009 3.5% of all labor income in the Finger Lakes is generated by tourism. Yates county is the most dependent upon tourism with 12.7% of all labor compensation generated by visitors. Business TOTAL Yates Wayne Tompkins Tioga Steuben Seneca Schuyler Ontario Onondaga Monroe Livingston Cortland Chemung Cayuga Day 0.0% Share (Total) Share (Direct) 3.0% 6.0% 9.0% Share of Econom y 32 12.0% 15.0% Finger Lakes, Tourism Employment Tourism-Generated Employment Share of Economy, 2009 6.2% of all employment in the Finger Lakes is generated by tourism. Yates county is the most dependent upon tourism with 12.4% of all employment sustained by visitors. Business TOTAL Yates Wayne Tompkins Tioga Steuben Seneca Schuyler Ontario Onondaga Monroe Livingston Cortland Chemung Day Cayuga 0.0% Share (Total) Share (Direct) 2.0% 4.0% 6.0% 8.0% Share of Econom y 33 10.0% 12.0% 14.0% Finger Lakes, Tourism Employment 2009 Tourism Employment Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL 34 Business Direct Total (Direct, Ind., Share (Direct) Induced) 1,207 1,425 968 725 13,862 11,613 2,850 366 604 1,469 574 2,275 648Day 578 39,162 1,746 2,062 1,401 1,048 20,052 16,799 4,122 529 873 2,125 831 3,291 937 836 56,652 4.7% 3.8% 5.7% 3.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.9% 7.8% 5.5% 4.0% 4.1% 4.6% 2.2% 8.6% 4.3% Share (Total) 6.8% 5.5% 8.3% 5.3% 5.4% 6.9% 8.5% 11.3% 7.9% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 3.2% 12.4% 6.2% Finger Lakes, Tourism Taxes Tourism-Generated Taxes, 2009 Millions $120 $100 Local $80 $40 35 Yates Wayne Tompkins Tioga Steuben Seneca Schuyler Ontario Onondaga Monroe Livingston Cayuga Day Cortland $20 $0 Business State $60 Chemung Tourism in the Finger Lakes generated $327 million in state and local taxes in 2009. Sales, property, and hotel bed taxes generated over $168 million in local taxes. Monroe and Onondaga counties produce 36% and 30% of the region’s tourism tax base, respectively. Finger Lakes, Tourism Taxes Tourism-Generated Taxes, 2009 Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL 36 Business Local Taxes $5,214,229 $5,431,686 $2,893,304 $2,291,901 $60,138,980 $50,636,443 $10,656,198 $1,852,548 $2,664,818 $7,645,823 $1,946,950 $10,832,858 $1,811,224 Day $3,521,592 $167,538,553 State Taxes $5,152,002 $5,340,479 $2,728,056 $2,400,753 $57,697,349 $46,538,744 $10,705,243 $1,715,146 $2,697,953 $7,334,904 $1,962,174 $9,809,583 $2,095,615 $3,471,393 $159,649,392 Total 10,366,231 10,772,165 5,621,360 4,692,654 117,836,329 97,175,186 21,361,440 3,567,694 5,362,771 14,980,728 3,909,124 20,642,441 3,906,839 6,992,985 327,187,945 Region Share 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 1.4% 36.0% 29.7% 6.5% 1.1% 1.6% 4.6% 1.2% 6.3% 1.2% 2.1% 100.0% Regional Growth Local Taxes Year-Over-Year Comparison Local Taxes, $ Cayuga Chemung Cortland Livingston Monroe Onondaga Ontario Schuyler Seneca Steuben Tioga Tompkins Wayne Yates TOTAL 37 Business 2008 Day 5,713,255 5,805,894 3,062,153 2,457,593 64,595,003 54,433,347 11,395,005 1,761,258 2,858,154 8,325,524 2,077,795 11,925,348 1,974,155 3,802,949 180,187,431 2009 5,214,229 5,431,686 2,893,304 2,291,901 60,138,980 50,636,443 10,656,198 1,852,548 2,664,818 7,645,823 1,946,950 10,832,858 1,811,224 3,521,592 167,538,553 % Change -9% -6% -6% -7% -7% -7% -6% 5% -7% -8% -6% -9% -8% -7% -7% Methods and data sources • Employment definitions. The basis of our data and modeling is the Regional Economic Information System (REIS), Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce. This is different than the NYS Department of Labor data source (ES202/QCEW). The main definitional difference is that sole-proprietors, which do not require unemployment insurance and are not counted in the ES202 data. BEA data shows (for example) state accommodations employment at 89,124, compared with QCEW at 82,190. For total employment (across all sectors), the difference is 20%. • International methodology. Our approach (through Travel Industry Association calculations) is based the estimates on direct survey responses to the Department of Commerce in-flight survey and Statistics Canada data – constrained to BEA international balance of payments data. The NY data are consistent with TIA’s state-by-state distribution which ensures against overestimation. • Bottom-up vs. top-down. We have based our research on tourism expenditure analysis from surveys and controls to known industry measurements for key tourism sectors. 38 Methods and data sources • Local taxes are a build-up of individual categories (sales, occupancy, property). The model is not equipped to deal with individual exemptions such as Indian gaming. • Second home expenditures are based on the stock of seasonal second home inventory. Annual average expenditures for housing are pro-rated to the season length to account for various levels of expenditures not accounted in visitor surveys. • Lodging sector. Our models use survey information and constrains this to the value of the hotel sector in each county. This can vary from certain bed tax estimates of total revenue for several reasons. One is that the bed tax may only be based on room revenue while total sales for the industry may include other revenue sources (room service, phone, etc.). Another is that certain smaller establishments may not fully report or be required to report their revenue. 39 Methods and data sources • Local taxes are a build-up of individual categories (sales, occupancy, property). The model is The economic activity generated by travel and tourism is complex. It spans various industrial sectors and represents only a part of most of these sectors. Therefore, the “tourism industry” is not identified in state or local economic accounts and must be measured separately. • Tourism Economics, an Oxford Economics company, was commissioned to quantify the economic impact of tourism for the state of New York and each of its counties. 40 The analysis requires an examination of visitor spending (the demand side) and related industry sales, value added, wages, and employment (the supply side). Economic modeling is used to quantify the linkages between visitor spending and industries and among industries. Methods and data sources Tourism Economics utilized the IMPLAN input-output model for New York State to track the flow of sales through the economy to the generation of GDP, employment, wages, and taxes. The impacts are measured on three levels: ■ Direct impact: The immediate benefit to persons and companies directly providing goods or services to travelers. ■ Indirect impact: The secondary benefit to suppliers of goods and services to the directly-involved companies. For example, a food wholesaler providing goods to a restaurant. The model is careful to exclude imports from the impact calculations. ■ Induced impact: The tertiary benefit to the local economy as incomes in the prior two levels of impact are spent on goods and services. For example, a restaurant employee spends his wages at a grocery store, generating addition economic output. 41 About Tourism Economics 42 Tourism Economics, headquartered in Philadelphia, is an Oxford Economics company dedicated to providing high value, robust, and relevant analyses of the tourism sector that reflects the dynamics of local and global economies. By combining quantitative methods with industry knowledge, Tourism Economics designs custom market strategies, project feasibility analysis, tourism forecasting models, tourism policy analysis, and economic impact studies. Our staff have worked with over 100 destinations to quantify the economic value of tourism, forecast demand, guide strategy, or evaluate tourism policies. Oxford Economics is one of the world’s leading providers of economic analysis, forecasts and consulting advice. Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Oxford University’s business college, Oxford Economics is founded on a reputation for high quality, quantitative analysis and evidence-based advice. For this, it draws on its own staff of 40 highly-experienced professional economists; a dedicated data analysis team; global modeling tools; close links with Oxford University, and a range of partner institutions in Europe, the US and in the United Nations Project Link. For more information, please contact us at: info@tourismeconomics.com.