Converging support schemes in Europe? Best practice design criteria for effective and efficient future RES-E support 19.09.2012 Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Structure of the presentation Lessons on RES-E support schemes in Europe 1. Status of RES-E support schemes in Europe 2. Progress of MS achieving the RES targets Isabelle de Lovinfosse 3. Lessons learnt and best practices in designing RES-E support schemes Routes towards convergence 4. Recapitulation of the European debate on convergence 5. Benefits and challenges of convergence Corinna Klessmann 6. Options for convergence 7. Conclusions Main sources: • European projects: RE-Shaping (2009-2012), Financing RE in the European Energy Market (20102011), Renewable energy progress and biofuels sustainability (2012), Beyond 2020 (ongoing) • Projects for national governments: International Feed-in Cooperation (ongoing), Implementing Cooperation Mechanisms (2009-2012), FIT tracker (2011) • Dissertation Klessmann (2012) © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Still diversity of support schemes in Europe but with some converging trends Source: Ecofys based on Ragwitz et al. (2012). REShaping Ecofys et al. (2012). RE progress and biofuels sustainability. © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Still diversity of support schemes in Europe but with some converging trends Diversity of support schemes in Europe is shown by different colours and patterns, but some converging trends have been observed: • Use of combination of instruments instead of one size fits all (e.g. FIT for small scale, auctions for offshore wind) – many patterns instead of plain • Diffusion of feed-in premiums across Europe as compromise between revenue security of investors and RES-E exposure to market signals • Moratoriums and uncertainties on the future of support schemes because of public deficits (e.g. Spain, Portugal, Latvia, Bulgaria, Czech Republic) • Joint support schemes (e.g. Sweden and Norway) © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Lessons from MS experience tell us how to design effective and efficient RES-E support schemes Lessons learnt Best practice design criteria • Provide reliable framework: frequent and unexpected policy changes undermine investor confidence • • • • • Reflect and limit investment risks: risk-conscious (triple-A) policies increase growth and reduce support costs by up to 50% Adjust level of support to technology and market conditions • • • • • • • • • © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Policy changes transparent and predictable (e.g. automatic degression, clear formula for quota setting, pre-set revision agenda) No retroactive changes Long term political commitment Guarantee support level for long term Consultation with stakeholders Tailor support scheme to RE market deployment status and electricity market readiness No abrupt or retroactive policy changes Avoid rigid budget or capacity caps Simple, transparent permitting process Priority grid access and dispatch Quota: long term horizon and serious penalties Government facilitates access to capital (e.g. participation, financial guarantees, loans) Apply technology specific support levels Calculate level of support based on LCOE, so support neither too low nor too high Planned and transparent adjustments based on technology and market changes Supporting RES-E is and will remain challenging. How can convergence help? Challenges Financial and economic crisis in Europe puts pressure on government budgets, consumers’ bills and access to finance Impact of high RES-E deployment rates on the electricity system and markets With RES-E becoming mainstream, growing opposition against RES-E (from incumbent electricity actors and the public) Potential role of convergence • Reducing RES-E support costs by streamlining best-practice criteria • Joint European effort to attract more investments • Trans-European grid development • Integration of European electricity markets • Coordinated reforms of electricity market regulations Coordinated EU-wide effort on transparent and fair communication on the short and long term benefits & costs of RES-E growth © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Structure of the presentation Lessons on RES-E support schemes in Europe 1. Status of RES-E support schemes in Europe 2. Progress of MS achieving the RES targets Isabelle de Lovinfosse 3. Lessons learnt and best practices in designing RES-E support schemes Routes towards convergence 4. Recapitulation of the European debate on convergence 5. Benefits and challenges of convergence 6. Options for convergence 7. Conclusions © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Corinna Klessmann The focus of the European RE policy debate has moved from harmonisation to coordination and cooperation Aim of convergence: creating an internal market for electricity 1996 2009 2014 RES-E Directive RES Directive 2014: Evaluation 2001/77/EC: 2009/28/EC: of RES Directive national support national support and cooperation schemes; schemes + mechanisms evaluation 2005 cooperation mechs 2003 Beyond 2020? COM (1998) 167 COM(2005) 627: Proposal RES COM(2012) 271: on harmonisation Too early to directive Guidance on best requirements: harmonise; COM(2008) 19: practice support propose common optimisation and Harmonised GO and on increased rules for RES-E coordination trade cooperation © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Converging national support schemes holds many benefits but also some risks and challenges Potential benefits Joint RES-E support methodology Support scheme design could lead to increased transparency and stability RES-E investors could reduce their transaction costs and tap economies of scale; increased competition Increased RE investments and reduced support costs per MWh Potential challenges/risks Reduced sovereignty of Member States needs to be accepted by national Parliaments Support schemes could be less suited to overcome local market barriers Windfall profits and increased support costs if cross-country support level is not well adjusted Decoupling of costs and benefits of Tapping low-cost potentials Greater flexibility and lower cost for RES reaching national RES targets allocation Increased efficiency of European RES target achievement © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse RES-E; challenge of balancing costs and benefits between Member States Negligence of domestic benefits could lead to loss of public acceptance and reduced willingness to pay for RES European cooperation can reduce the support costs for reaching European RE targets but uniform harmonisation would increase costs Changes in support costs for reaching the 2020 target (average yearly consumer expenditures for new RES installations) € bn/year Sources: Resch et al. (2009). futures-e. Ecofys et al. (2011). Financing RE in the European Energy Market. © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Convergence of RES-E support needs to build on converging electricity markets Support framework Common (best) practice Cooperation Coordination Harmonisation Convergence of RES-E market conditions Common (best) practice Cooperation Coordination Electricity market framework © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Harmonisation Current steps for converging support frameworks mainly focus on best practice exchange. Steps towards implementing joint principles/design elements. Support framework Common (best) practice Member States exchange (Concerted Action, IFIC, etc.) EC: Best practice guidance Cooperation Coordination Some MS discuss coop mechs Joint support scheme SENO; Italy... EC: Guidelines to facilitate trade © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Harmonisation Future: Minimum design standards for RES-E support? The integration of European electricity markets is ongoing but not yet completed. Market adjustments for integrating large shares of variable RES-E. Future: Increase “readiness” for RES-E through alignment of electricity market regulations (gate closure, balancing markets, etc.); incentives for flexibility options? Transmission network development Cooperation of regulators (ACER) Common (best) practice Cooperation Multi-country market coupling RES-E priority or guaranteed grid access & priority dispatch Coordination Harmonisation Electricity market framework © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse There are multiple support elements that benefit from joint principles and coordination Joint ambitions & growth Common calculation pathways Common risk Support scheme methodology for LCOE & reference electricity prices mitigation & allocation rules (e.g. for policy Support level & underlying methodology adjustments) Level/limitation of investment risk (market revenue risk, policy risk, etc.) Alignment to institutional, regulatory and market framework © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse Conclusions Applying best practice RES-E support principles is key for further RES-E growth in Europe. Increased exchange, cooperation and EC guidance can help streamline best practice principles across Europe. Convergence of RES-E support is only part of the solution and bears some risks. Uniform harmonisation of RES-E support is not the solution: it would lead to higher support costs and loss of public support for RES-E. How can we create public acceptance for joint RES-E policy efforts and cost sharing in Europe? © ECOFYS | 08/04/2015 | Dr. Corinna Klessmann, Dr. Isabelle de Lovinfosse