Regulation in Energy Business Blahoslav Němeček Energy Regulatory Office 9th September 2011 Prague 1 EU Energy Policy Targets 9th September 2011 Prague 2 Big challenge for 2020 How much are we ready to pay? 9th September 2011 Prague 3 New situation – 3rd package Crucial points Cooperation of regulators – ACER Coordinated cooperation of TSOs in gas and electricity (ENTSO-G, ENTSO-E) More independent and powerful national regulators 9th September 2011 Prague 4 3rd package expectations 3rd Package will enable faster progress: ‘top-down’ Framework Guidelines and binding network codes can ensure harmonized rules National regulatory authorities will have wider European duties – not just national ones 10 year network development plans will encourage more joined-up networks 9th September 2011 Prague 5 New age – after 3rd package Crucial things for cross-border trade are directly done by Regulations Main areas for implementation resulting from Directives are: Regulator’s independency Unbundling issues TSO certification Costumer protection Key role for ACER and ENTSO-E & ENTSO-G 9th September 2011 Prague 6 Regulator’s new cross border EU mandate promote a competitive, secure and environmentally sustainable internal electricity and gas market within the Community in close cooperation with the Agency, the regulatory authorities of other Member States and the Commission; duty to ensure compliance of TSOs and electricity and gas undertakings with Directives and other relevant Community legislation, incl. cross border issues; 9th September 2011 Prague 7 Regulator's important powers can take binding decisions on electricity and gas undertakings; carry out investigations and decide upon and impose any necessary and proportionate measures to promote effective competition and ensure proper functioning of the market; require any information from electricity and gas undertakings; impose effective, proportionate and dissuasive sanctions. 9th September 2011 Prague 8 Independence of NRAs NRA can take autonomous decisions independently from any political body decisions of the NRA are immediately binding and directly applicable NRA has separate budget allocation with autonomy in the implementation of the allocated budget approval of the budget by the national legislator cannot be used to influence the NRA's priorities NRA must have adequate human and financial resources to carry out its duties 9th September 2011 Prague 9 Role of ACER ACER shall cooperate with NRAs and TSOs to ensure the compatibility of regulatory frameworks between the regions with the aim of creating a competitive internal market where ACER considers that binding rules on such cooperation are required, it shall make appropriate recommendations 9th September 2011 Prague 10 Czech Regulator Activities Price regulation Support of RES, CHP and secondary energy sources Quality supply monitoring Grid connection Market rules Statistics Market integration, international affairs Questions, disputes… 9th September 2011 Prague 11 General information about power system in the Czech Republic Total installed capacity: 20 073 MW Number of electricity generation licence holders: 13 301 (only 8 with installed capacity > 200 MW) TSO (lines 400 kV and 220 kV): ČEPS, a.s. (www.ceps.cz) Number of regional DSOs: Number of licensed local DSOs: Number of licensed electricity traders: Electricity Market Operator: 3 297 321 OTE, a.s. (www.ote-cr.cz) 9th September 2011 Prague 12 Electricity market opening 1st January 2002 – eligible customers with consumption 40 GWh 1st January 2003 – eligible customers with consumption 9 GWh 1st January 2004 – end customers with continuous metering except households 1st January 2005 – all end customers except households 1st January 2006 – all end customers Market opening 9th September 2011 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 17,9 % 29,8 % 47,4 % 72 % 100 % Prague 13 Electricity Market Principles Electricity supplier (trader) + = Network operators Customers Generators Monopol activity Physical flow 9th September 2011 Contractual relations (supplier Prague x customer) Payment 14 Electricity supplier changes 200 000 Electricity supplier changes 180 000 160 000 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 2005 2006 2007 wholesale customers 9th September 2011 Prague 2008 small customers 2009 2010 households 15 Price regulation in electricity sector 9th September 2011 Prague 16 Regulated prices in electricity Electricity transmission over the transmission system Electricity distribution over particular voltage levels (HV, MV, LV) Price for meeting the extra costs related to the purchase of electricity from renewable sources, combined heat & power and secondary sources paid by final customers System services Market Operator activities Electricity from combined heat & power plant - CHP, electricity from secondary sources Electricity production from renewable sources (feed-in tariffs + bonuses) Decentralized (distributed) generation ERO Price Decisions 9th September 2011 Prague 17 Main regulatory principles Fixed regulatory periods I. period: 1.1.2002 – 31.12.2004 II. period: 1.1.2005 – 31.12.2009 III. period: 1.1.2010 – 31.12.2014 Main regulatory principles are valid during whole regulatory period and set beforehand During regulatory period only external factors taken into account (consumption, inflation, wholesale price of electricity ) Individual tariffs for transmission and distribution licence holders 9th September 2011 Prague 18 Process of prices adjustment 1. step – delivery of DSO’s,TSO and MO regulatory sheets from previous and regulated year 2. step – information from ERO to TSO and MO about prices for transmission, system services and MO services 3. step – information from ERO to DSO concerning distribution prices ERO Price Decision no later than 30. November 9th September 2011 Prague 19 Price setting methodology for transmission & distribution Basic component for prices each year: method RPI-X: allowed revenues AR = AC + D + P P = r . RAB AR … allowed revenues AC … allowed costs D… depreciation r… rate of return (return on operating assets), applied value of WACC P… profit RAB … regulated assets base 9th September 2011 Prague 20 Price setting methodology for transmission & distribution Average prices for regulated activities c = TR / PM where TR = AR + VC c … average price for each activity in regulated year PM … planed amount of technical units (MWh) TR … total revenues AR … allowed revenues VC … variable costs During the regulatory period are taken into account: changes of assets net book value inflation – combined index (Producer price index, Wage escalation index) changes of technical units requirement for efficiency growth – factor X applied on costs 9th September 2011 Prague 21 Transmission Price for transmission – 2 components AR (allowed revenues) VC (costs of loses) Price for reserved capacity 9th September 2011 Price for using networks Prague 22 Transmission Price for reserved capacity Calculated from the allowed revenues Allowed revenues lowered by part of the revenues from auction Allowed revenues divided according to the capacity balance on the interface between transmission and distribution system Average of 4 winter maximum consumption balance from TS Not paid by generators, exporters and pumped storage hydro plants Price for using networks Calculated from the variable costs (=loses in transmission system) Not paid by exporters 9th September 2011 Prague 23 Distribution Price for distribution on VHV and HV – cumulative postage stamp with 2 components: price for reserved capacity (CZK/MW . year, CZK/MW . month) price for using networks (CZK/MWh) AR (allowed revenues) VC (costs of losses) Price for reserved capacity 9th September 2011 Price for using networks Prague 24 Distribution – VHV, HV Price for reserved capacity Calculated from the allowed revenues Allowed revenues divided by the total capacity, which is expected to be reserved by the end-users of DS in the next year 2 possibilities of capacity reservation yearly (paid once per month) monthly There are special payment in case of exceeding the booked capacity (price for exceeding reserved capacity = 4 times more Price for using networks Calculated from the variable costs (=loses in distribution system) division by total amount of consumption (MWh), expected to be realized by the end-users of DS in the next year Limits of technical loses (TL) and commercial loses (CL) with decreasing characteristic of CL Prices mainly reflect increase of wholesale price of electricity 9th September 2011 Prague 25 Distribution – LV A different situation: a wide scale of tariffs on LV (11 for small commercials, 9 for households) no continuous metering (implementation = very high costs) → a different solution needed (load profiles - 8 categories) Targets: keep the tariff structure in accordance with the character of consumption keep the price relations between tariffs keep the price structure: Capacity charge according to circuit-breaker size (CZK/A) Energy charge (CZK/MWh) – 1 time zone, 2 time zones (HT, LT) Inputs: allowed revenues on LV level, total costs on loses (loses limits set) tariffs statistics; limiting point 9th September 2011 Prague 26 Distribution – LV Capacity cost (investment, depreciation, maintenance) DISTRIBUTION - LV Energy cost (energy losses in LV + upper levels k k Households SCC k k k Capacity ΣA k k HT MWhH T Capacity k k k HT LT Capacity ΣA Σ A MWhH MWhL T HT MWhH T T D46 D25 k k k k D01 C46 C25 C01 k k Capacity k k HT LT Σ A MWhH MWhL T T Allocation: keeping recent price relation between tariff categories keeping limiting point between tariff categories (=annual consumption whereat it is more suitable for the customer to change the tariff) 9th September 2011 Prague 27 System services Market of Ancillary Services - Balancing market Market of ancillary services established in 2001 and operated by ČEPS Ancillary services procurement tenders (long term, year, quarter), approx. 95% of total PR, SR, TR, quick start and operating reserve day-ahead market (approx. 5% of total PR, SR, TR and operating reserve) direct agreement with providers (regulation of reactive power, black start and islanding) balancing energy from balancing market and abroad Providers 19 companies with pre-qualification 9th September 2011 Prague 28 Price regulation 9th September 2011 Prague 29 Basic information about regulatory period Duration of the regulatory period is 5 years (1. 1. 2010 - 31. 12. 2014) Methodology of regulation - revenue-cap Progressive recognizing of investment into RAB Granting of the accounting depreciation into the regulation Annual calculation of WACC reflecting market signals AR AC D ( RABWACC ) Q 9th September 2011 Prague 30 Parameters of the regulatory formula for the III. RP - RAB Unbundling process 2005 – 2007 Distributional assets reevaluated Depreciated Optimized Replacement Cost (DORC) method applied Reevaluation coefficient DSO – (1,4 -2,6) higher coefficiant in gas sector TSO – (3,4) electricity TSO already reevaluated Assets not automatically included into RAB Progressive recognizing of reevaluated assets to the RAB on the basis of investment activity Motive companies to invest to a higher degree 9th September 2011 Prague 31 Parameters of the regulatory formula for the III. RP - WACC WACCNHBT WACC NHAT re WACCNHAT 1 T E D rd 1 T ED ED D L unL 1 1 T E re rf L ERP where: WACCNHBT WACCNHAT T D E re rd rf ERP βL βunL 9th September 2011 nominal value of WACC before tax nominal value of WACC after tax effective tax rate debt equity cost of equity cost of debt risk free rate of return market-related risk premium [equity risk premium] levered beta unlevered beta Prague 32 WACC Riskfree fate rf (1) The key issue for calculating the risk-free rate of return is to determine the following: Maturity of government bonds The In recent years, regulatory authorities have mostly preferred medium-term bonds, which better match companies’ financial planning current rate of return, or rate of return from long-term averages historical values are not available Return on government bonds 2000-2008 5-year bonds 10-year bonds 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 9th September 2011 Prague 30.8.2008 30.4.2008 30.12.2007 30.8.2007 30.4.2007 30.12.2006 30.8.2006 30.4.2006 30.12.2005 30.8.2005 30.4.2005 30.8.2004 30.12.2004 30.4.2004 30.12.2003 30.8.2003 30.4.2003 30.12.2002 30.8.2002 30.4.2002 30.12.2001 30.8.2001 30.4.2001 30.12.2000 30.8.2000 30.4.2000 0 33 WACC Unlevered beta βunL (1) The beta coefficient expresses the degree of risk of investment in a given market segment (for example, distribution, transmission) in relation to the risk of investment in the market as a whole . There are many options for deriving this coefficient. The Office has analysed the following two: Computing the coefficient on the basis of data from stock markets Company Country Industry Unlevered beta %D Tax Levered beta Europe Elektricity distribution and transmission ET, ED 0.35 0.05 0.30 0.34 ET 0.15 0.13 0.34 0.12 0.39 0.49 0.30 0.26 ET 0.67 0.48 0.33 0.43 Switzerland ET 0.37 0.01 0.21 0.37 Terna Italy ET 0.44 0.46 0.35 Eszak-Magyar Hungary ED 0.59 0.03 0.20 0.30 0.58 Cegedel SA Luxembourg Elia System Oper Belgium National Grid UK Red Electrica Spain Societa Elettrica Sopracenerina SA ED, ET, GD, GT 0.34 Gas distribution and transmission Scottish & Southern Energy PLC UK GD, GT 0.62 0.24 0.30 0.53 Centrica Plc UK GD 0.42 0.29 0.30 United Utilities UK 0.43 0.23 0.30 0.35 0.37 Ascopiave Italy GD 0.25 0.01 0.33 0.24 Snam Rete Gas Italy GT 0.39 0.42 0.33 0.27 Enagas Spain GT 0.67 0.50 0.33 0.44 0.37 9th September 2011 Prague 34 WACC Unlevered beta βunL (2) Computing the coefficient on the basis of regulatory practice Distribution, power Beta unlevered Austria 0.33 Poland Slovenia Portugal Estonia Finland France Ireland Sweden NL 0.30 0.45 0.40 0.48 0.28 0.22 Irelan d Italy 0.40 0.37 0.60 0.16 0.48 0.41 Finland Poland NL France 0.30 0.60 0.30 0.45 0.35 0.31 0.22 0.33 NL Ireland Italy UK 0.30 Franc e 0.58 0.30 0.43 0.49 0.46 Hungary Italy average 0.41 0.38 Luxemburg Transmission, power Beta unlevered 0.16 Distribution, gas Slovenia Beta unlevered 0.18 Transmission, gas Beta unlevered Slovenia Slovenia 0.15 Austria 0.33 Denmark 0.40 France Estonia Finland NL UK Ireland Italy 0.30 0.30 0.45 0.41 0.38 Portugal 0.58 Hungary Hungary 0.49 Austria Portugal 0.44 Hungary 0.43 Portugal 0.22 average 0.33 average 0.39 Austria average 0.33 0.38 The Office has set beta as follows: Electricity transmission Electricity distribution Gas transmission Gas distribution 9th September 2011 0.30% 0.35% 0.35% 0.40% Prague 35 WACC Equity risk premium ERP (1) shows the investors’ risk expressed as the difference between the rate of return on the market portfolio of a particular country and the risk-free rate of return based on the difference between the return on government bonds and the return on shares in the “ideally” distributed portfolio ERO analyzed two approaches Estimate based on expectations expectations differ significantly in each part of the economic cycle such as boom, stagnation, and recession Estimate based on historical data derived from values achieved on the US capital markets since 1928 using Professor Damodaran’s database 9th September 2011 Prague 36 WACC Equity risk premium ERP (2) Stocks T.Bills 60,00% 40,00% 20,00% 19 28 19 31 19 34 19 37 19 40 19 43 19 46 19 49 19 52 19 55 19 58 19 61 19 64 19 67 19 70 19 73 19 76 19 79 19 82 19 85 19 88 19 91 19 94 19 97 20 00 20 03 20 06 0,00% -20,00% -40,00% -60,00% Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Data 1928-2004 1928-2005 1928-2006 1928-2007 1928-2008 9th September 2011 Shares 9,86% 9,79% 9,86% 9,81% 9,07% Bonds 5,02% 4,99% 4,95% 5,01% 5,19% Shares-Bonds Rating ČR Default spread 4,84% A2 0,90% 4,80% A2 0,80% 4,91% A2 0,80% 4,79% A1 0,70% 3,88% A1 1,40% 5% Prague Result 5,74% 5,60% 5,71% 5,49% 6,40% 37 WACC Equity risk premium ERP (3) Risk Premum US + Default spread CZ = ERP Czech Republic 5% 9th September 2011 = 6,4 % Prague 38 WACC Debt to equity ratio European regulators use the ratio of capital distribution and consider use of 60% of debt to be the optimum approach Office conducted first step that indicates to companies to reconsider their structure of capital employed 9th September 2011 Prague 39 rd rf Dp WACC Cost of debt (Dp) Derived from credit default swap (CDS) Czech companies not traded on the stock exchange On the basis of implicit (or synthetic) rating the interest coverage rate = EBIT / Interest Expense or Determine directly cost of debts From the time series of the Czech National Bank Actual interest rates for non-financial companies Volumes in excess of CZK 30 million, and were fixed for one to five years I.0 4 IV .0 4 VI I.0 4 X. 04 I.0 5 IV .0 5 VI I.0 5 X. 05 I.0 6 IV .0 6 VI I.0 6 X. 06 I.0 7 IV .0 7 VI I.0 7 X. 07 I.0 8 IV .0 8 VI I.0 8 X. 08 I.0 9 rd 6 5,75 5,5 5,25 5 4,75 4,5 4,25 4 3,75 3,5 3,25 3 2,75 Klouzavý průměr/6 (Nefinanční podniky (S.11) - ostatní nad obj. 30 mil. CZK - floating a fixace sazby do 1 roku včetně) Klouzavý průměr/6 (Nefinanční podniky (S.11) - ostatní nad obj. 30 mil. CZK - fixace sazby nad 1 rok do 5 let včetně) 9th September 2011 Prague Klouzavý průměr/6 (Nefinanční podniky (S.11) - ostatní nad obj. 30 mil. CZK - fixace sazby nad 5 let) 40 WACC - result DSO electricity Parametrets TSO electricity Value Parametrets Value rf = risk-free rate of return 4,55% rf = risk-free rate of return 4,55% ßunlevered = unweighted beta 0,350 ßunlevered = unweighted beta 0,300 ERP =market risk premium 6,40% ERP =market risk premium 6,40% D = debt 40% D = debt 30% T = tax rate 19,0% T = tax rate 19,0% rd = cost of debt 5,12% rd = cost of debt 5,02% WACC - nominal value adjusted by the tax effect (before tax) 7,974% WACC - nominal value adjusted by the tax effect (before tax) 7,673% DSO gas Parametrets TSO gas Value Parametrets Value rf = risk-free rate of return 4,55% rf = risk-free rate of return 4,55% ßunlevered = unweighted beta 0,400 ßunlevered = unweighted beta 0,350 ERP =market risk premium 6,40% ERP =market risk premium 6,40% D = debt 40% D = debt 30% T = tax rate 19,0% T = tax rate 19,0% rd = cost of debt 5,12% rd = cost of debt 5,02% WACC - nominal value adjusted by the tax effect (before tax) 8,339% WACC - nominal value adjusted by the tax effect (before tax) 8,046% 9th September 2011 Prague 41 WACC - limits 8,90% 8,70% 8,50% limit 8,30% calculated WACC valid WACC 8,10% limit 7,90% 7,70% 7,50% 2010 9th September 2011 2011 2012 Prague 2013 42 Quality regulation Measured with the help of a combination of the SAIDI and SAIFI indicators, represented in the same proportion 50:50, Bonuses/penalties are expected to be applied no earlier than from the third year of the third regulatory period (2013 - 2014) Data collection from 1st January 2009 Bonuses or penalisation will be related to the level of profit Preliminary parameters: The insensitivity band: ± 5% Maximum penalty/bonus at 15% of failure/improvement: ± 3% of profit for the respective regulated year 9th September 2011 Prague 43 Quality regulation ERO will apply quality regulation according to the figure bellow 9th September 2011 Prague 44 Quality regulation 9th September 2011 Prague 45 Regulation of quality of service commercial quality continuity of supply voltage quality (EN 50 160) Basic tools for quality regulation: Publication of quality of services report Exercising guaranteed standards services Penalty for infringement Incentive mechanism Modification of Allowed Revenues on the basis of some criteria: Continuity of supply Frequency of interruptions and duration of interruptions Customers complaints Index of customer’s satisfaction Losses of networks Etc. Prague 9th September 2011 Weighted criteria can be used 46 Integrated incentive regulatory scheme generally: ARt = ARt-1 * (1+RPI-X) ± Q AR – allowed revenues RPI (CPI) – inflation X – factor efektivity Q – financial bonus or penalty Way of setting–up bonus or fine: Q = ΔARt = PQ * (SQ – DUQt-2) PQ - price of quality SQ - requested level of quality indicator (standard) AQ – actually reached level of quality indicator 9th September 2011 Prague 47 Dependency of allowed revenues on quality services Standard level of quality indicator Bonus SQ actual level of quality indicator PQ AQ Low quality High quality ΔAR Angular coefficient Fine Necessary to know the quality price PQ (on the base of research) Amount of losses (financial) caused by electricity shortage Willingness to pay for elimination of blackout (WTP) Willingness to accept compensation for shortage (WTA) 9th September 2011 Prague 48 Prices of quality Country Quality price Great Britain 4,18 €/kWh Ireland 7,2 €/kWh (2000) Italy 10,8 €/kWh (households) 21,6 €/kWh (others) Norway 7,90-5,51 €/kWh (industry) 11,86-8,14 €/kWh (services) 1,8-1,2 €/kWh (agriculture) 0,96-0,84 €/kWh (households) 1,56-1,2 €/kWh (public sector) 1,56-1,32 €/kWh (energy intensive industry) Portugal 1,5 €/kWh Sweden 12-8,6 €/kWh, 2,5-0,4 €/kW (urban) 8,8-6,3 €/kWh, 1,9-0,3 €/kW (suburban) 7,4-5,2 €/kWh, 1,6-0,2 €/kW (rural) Netherlands 21 €/kWh Source:Third Benchmarking Report on Quality of Electricity Supply, 2005 Service Quality Regulation in Electricity Distribution and Retail, 2007 9th September 2011 Prague 49 Penalization and bonification limits Standard level of quality indicator Bonus SQ limit ΔARMax actual level of quality indicator AQmin Low quality AQ High quality AQmax ΔAR PQ Angular coefficient ΔARMin Great Britain, Ireland, Netherlands Fine 9th September 2011 Prague 50 Limits for Bonuses and Fines Country Bonus Fine Hungary Max 10% AR Max 3% AR Massachusetts F(2σ) F(-2σ) Philippine 2,5% AR 2,5% AR Netherlands 5% AR 5% AR Ireland 4% AR 4% AR Great Britain 3% AR 3% AR 9th September 2011 Prague 51 Impact on allowed revenues Standard level of quality indicator Bonus SQ limit ΔARMax actual level of quality indicator AQmin Low quality AQ High quality AQmax ΔAR PQ Angular coefficient ΔARMin Neutral zone Fine Portugal +12/-12 %, Italy +5/-5 %, Hungary +5/-10 %, Massachusetts +σ/-σ 9th September 2011 Prague 52 Regulation of quality for III. Regulatory Period in the Czech Republic work with foreign regulators experience feasible administrativ and procedural requests proposed indicator of general quality 0,5 x SAIDI + 0,5 x SAIFI Neutral zone ± 5 % Limits for quality indicator ± 15 % Max. bonus / fine ± 3 % of profit CAIDI=SAIDI/SAIFI (minutes /interruption/year) – integral, but dangerous ! Individual setting-up on the base of multi-annual average It is necessary to check validity of data for setting of standards ! Individual compensations have been used since 2006 and will be made more restrictive for III. RP (urban, suburban, rural) Bonuses/penalties within regulatory formula are planed to be established from 3rd year of the III. RP (2013) on the base of data from 2009 - 2011 9th September 2011 Prague 53 Renewable energy sources 9th September 2011 Prague 54 Share of RES-E on gross domestic consumption in the Czech Republic Indicative target for 2010 was 8 % Preliminary result 9 8,2 8 6,8 7 6 Floods in 2002 lots of hydros had to be repaired 5 3,8 4 3 4,7 2006 2007 4,3 [% ] 5,2 4,9 3,8 3,2 2,8 2,1 2 1 0 2000 2001 9th September 2011 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prague 2008 2009 2010 55 Main principles of renewable energy support Act No. 180/2005 Coll. on renewable energy support renewable energy producers have priority access to electricity grid producer can choose between two types of support Fixed feed in tariff buyer is a distribution or a transmission company 15 years payback period of investments is guaranteed price adjustments related to inflation maximum 5% decrease yearly not applicable to electricity from combined fossil fuel and biomass combustion 9th September 2011 Prague Green bonuses buyer is a trader or a customer distribution or transmission company pays green bonus to producer no long- term price guarantees higher risk for producer but higher profit possible 56 Feed-in tariffs and Green bonuses in practice 1. Feed-in tariffs : Income = Feed-in tariffs producer Financial settlement <– Feed-in tariffs Electricity physical flow Distribution System Operator 2. Green bonuses : Income = electricity market price + Green bonuses Financial settlement –> market price Electricity trader Financial settlement <– green bonuses producer Electricity physical flow 9th September 2011 Prague Distribution System Operator 57 Share of RES-E categories in 2011 (result of estimation is reflected in real prices) Share on total RES-E production Production Hydro 16% Biogas 22% X Support Biomass 29% Wind 8% PV production represents only 25 % of all renewables Photovoltaics 25% Share on total costs Photovoltaics 68% Hydro 5% X PV support represents 68% on total costs 19,085 bil. CZK 9th September 2011 Biogass 10% Prague Biomass 15% Wind 2% 58 Solar Power – a hot issue investment costs were falling very quickly (30 – 40 % per year) However ERO was able to cut Feed-in Tariffs for Solar Power only by 5 % per year according to the “green“ act it caused the huge development of Solar Power in the Czech Republic in 2009 and 2010 3 new amendments of The Green Act were adopted in 2010 April – 5 % annual decrease of feed-in tariff shouldn't be applied if return of investments is shorter than 11 years November – any new installations over 30 kW are subject to support from 1st March 2011 December – imposed tax on installation commissioned in 2009 and 2010 to cover negative impacts on final customers` prices 9th September 2011 Prague 59 Solar Power – negative impact on customers the real price for meeting extra cost incurred in support of electricity from renewable sources, combined heat & power, and secondary sources in 2011 is equal to 24 EUR/MWh (578 CZK/MWh) the current price is equal to 15 EUR/MWh (370 CZK/MWh) after intervention of the Czech Government in 2010 – 12 bil. CZK subsidy from the state budget 24 25 [EUR/MWh] 20 15 15 10 6,79 5 2,13 1,15 1,39 1,66 0 9th September 2011 2006 2007 2008 Prague 2009 2010 2011 60 Total costs of RES-E support in 2010 and 2011(estimated) 800 700 mil. EUR / year 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2010 Hydro 9th September 2011 Photovoltaics 2011 PragueWind Biogas year Biomass 61 Feed-in tariffs for small photovoltaics in neighbouring countries in 2011 [€/MWh] 350 305,81 300 250 200 150 380,00 287,40 167,40 123,60 100 Czech Republic 9th September 2011 Slovakia Germany Prague up to 30 kW buildings with own consumption up to 30 kW buildings with own consumption up to 30 kW buildings up to 100 kW 0 up to 30 kW buildings 50 330,00 buildings above 20 kW 400 387,65 buildings 5 20 kW 450 investment subsidies 471,15 up to 5 kW 500 level of support in year 2010 Small photovoltaic installations Austria 62 RES-E generation development Production [MWh] 9 000 000 Estimated production 8 000 000 Hydro Photovoltaics 7 000 000 Wind Biomass - pure 6 000 000 Biomass - cofiring Biogas 5 000 000 4 000 000 3 000 000 2 000 000 1 000 000 0 2000 2001 9th September 2011 2002 2003 2004 2005 Prague 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year 63 Renewable Electricity – future prospects A new substantial amendment of the Green Act is being prepared The main characteristics of the current model will be retained (e.g.. 15 years payback period of investments and transferred responsibly for deviations) Differences: Current system buyer is a distribution or a transmission company feed-in tariffs are applied on all installations extra costs to cover by final customers are calculated from estimated yearly price of electricity The new system buyer is a dedicated trader feed-in tariffs are applied only on small installations extra costs to cover by final customers are calculated from real hourly spot prices Support will be subjected to targets set by National Action Plan If the target of a specific category is met there is no support for new installation 9th September 2011 Prague 64 Thank you for your attention Blahoslav Nemecek Vice-chairman and Director of Regulation Section Energy Regulatory Office + 420 255 715 541 blahoslav.nemecek@eru.cz www.eru.cz 9th September 2011 Prague 65