Lecture 11: Glacial Cycles and Greehouse Gases (Chapter 10) Atmospheric CO2 Evolution Uplift weathering BLAG spreading rate, Carbon balance at tectonic time scales • Carbon sinks: chemical weathering subduction • Carbon source: volcanic eruption Atmospheric CO2 Evolution Why in 100 yr cycle? Uplift weathering BLAG spreading rate, What is atmospheric CO2 during glacial cycles? How do we know? Ice core: A two-mile time machine location at the dome to obtain the oldest ice Ice core dating: annual layer counting ice flow model Ice coring project in Greenland “summer” Trapping gases in ice core Greenhouse gases tend to be globally uniform! Ice core records CO2 Charles David Keeling CH4 CH4 and monsoon signal An even longer record CO2 change/Climate change: 100kyr cycle dominant Question: Chicken/egg ? Vostok ice core CO2 and climate: The last glacial cycle Comparison of CO2 and CH4 Carbon Reservoir (0ka LGM) Glacial carbon go to deep ocean Carbon exchange How to track carbon cycle during glacial cycles? Carbon isotope as marker 13C (99%), 12C(1%): stable isotope (nonradioactive) naturally occurring 14C (small residual): radioactive ( C / C ) sample ( C / C ) s tan dard 13 C 13 in o / oo 12 13 13 12 12 ( C / C ) s tan dard Organic carbon: living plants (mostly in plants/photoplantons) ~ -22 Inorganic carbon: HCO3-1, CO3-2 (water), CO2 (air) ~ +1, Mostly in inorganic carbon (22 times more than organic carbon) such that the mean is ~ 0. Carbon reservoir, and their marker 13C values Why organic δ13C more negative? Photosynthesis and carbon isotope fractionation Fractionation: Inorganic carbon (plant/plankton) form organic carbon (tissue) with low 13C tissue, because plant/plankton favors 12C over 13C. C3 and C4 pathways Atmospheric inorganic carbon: δ13C ~ -7 C3 pathway: trees, shrubs, cool-climate grasses creates organic carbon: δ13C ~ -25 C4 pathway: warm-climate grasses creates organic carbon: δ13C ~ -13 Dominant C3 (trees) so mean plant δ13C ~ -25 Glacial cycle of carbon Vostok ice core Glacial-Interglacial change of Carbon (Oxygen) Isotopes (a negative correlation) (1) Ice sheet replace vegetation, (2) Colder/drier climate forest replaced by shrubs and grasses Less plants on continents More negative d13C Quantify glacial carbon sink The Deep Ocean, How? =-180 GT = -530 GT Surf ocn CO2=Atms CO2 – 30ppm = -300 GT C13 verification of missing carbon at glacial times are in deep ocean = -530 GT All glacial terrestrial carbon into the ocean lowers ocean C13 by -0.34o/oo 38000GT*0o/oo + 530GT*(-25o/oo)=(38530GT)*(-0.34o/oo) Carbon and oxygen variation during glaciations Pacific sediment core -0.4 Glacial Bury Hypothesis? (1) Ice sheet replace vegetation, (2) Colder/drier climate forest replaced by shrubs and grasses Less plants on continents But, can they be buried underneath ice sheet? (Ning et al. 2000,2010?) ? Carbon Reservoir (0ka LGM) Glacial carbon go to deep ocean C13 verification of missing carbon at glacial times are in deep ocean = -530 GT = -180 GT All glacial terrestrial carbon into the ocean lowers ocean C13 by -0.34o/oo 38000GT*0o/oo + 530GT*(-25o/oo)=(8530GT)*(-0.34o/oo) atmosphere A correction:? + 530GT*(-25o/oo) + 180GT*(-7o/oo) =(38530GT)*(-0.27o/oo) Carbon and oxygen variation during glaciations Pacific sediment core -0.4 End of Lecture 11 Lecture 12: Carbon “Pumps” into the Deep Ocean (Chapter 10) How is carbon pumped into deep ocean? Pump I: Solubility pump EQ Pole warm, cold, low solubility high solubility Glacial cooling about 2.5oC pumps atmospheric CO2 down by only about 10ppm (20ppm, half balanced by a 1psu salinity increase) Pump II: Biological Pump (soft tissue pump, carbon pump) Organic matter is produced in the uppermost sunlit layers of the ocean. A fraction of the organic tissue (soft tissue) sinks to the deeper ocean through settling particles or advection of dissolved organic carbon. This leads to a net consumtion of CO2 in these upper layer. Upon reminerization of this organic matter in the deeper layers, this CO2 is returned to the seawater. Thus, these biological processes lead to a net transfer of inorganic carbon from the surface into the abyss. This process is termed the “soft tissue” pump. Light + nutrients The key to soft tissue biological pump is nutrients (light is infinite): increased nutrient increases biological activity and in turn the downward pumping of carbon Photosynthesis and Biological Pump Primary Production and nutrients: Annual carbon production in modern ocean: coastal, equator, southern ocean Tropical pump, enough light, so nutrient (N, P) limited Southern ocean pump, Not enough light, excess nutrients, but. iron limited. Iron fertilization: enhancing biological pump Geoenginering: The Iron Hypothesis John Martin How long the carbon can stay in the ocean? Changes in Deep Ocean Circulation Modern circulation and 13C Two end members Antarctic: incomplete photosynthesis less 12C to deep water lower 13C surface water aging: Downward more negative due to the downward rain of 12C-rich carbon Most clear where circulation is weak, e.g. N. Pacifci North Atlantic: complete photosynthesis more 12C to deep water high 13C surface water Change of North Atlantic circulation and Biological Pump Antarctic: incomplete photosynthesis less 12C to deep water lower 13C surface water North Atlantic: complete photosynthesis more 12C to deep water high 13C surface water Reduced penetration of North Atlantic Deep Water Or could it be a surface source change of 13C at LGM? LGM modeling LGM: Older carbon, Younger deep water? LGM Holocene Obs: Δ 13C CCSM: Salinity AMOC Ideal Age Evidence of changing deep circulation History of NADW/AABW Glacial: stronger AABW, weaker NADW Interglacial: weaker AABW, stronger NADW Using deep tropical Atlantic 13C Change of North Atlantic circulation and Biological Pump Implication to CO2 reduction Antarctic: incomplete photosynthesis less 12C to deep water lower 13C surface water Enhanced Antactic overturning delievers more nutrient to the surface Increase producitivyt Increse biological pump Reduce CO2 (Circulation Pump) North Atlantic: complete photosynthesis more 12C to deep water high 13C surface water Reduced penetration of North Atlantic Deep Water How to measure the strengh of the soft tissue pump ? Biological pump ~~ 13Csurf (+) - 13Cdeep (-) = 13C Vertical Difference >0 How to measure the strength of the biological pump Nutrients and 13C vertical profile Photosynthesis sends both 12C and nutrients (N,P) down less nutrients 12 less C 13C surf (+) less nutrients 13Cdeep(-) more 12C more nutrients more nutrients How to measure the strengh of the soft tissue pump ? Biological pump ~~ 13C (surface) - 13C (deep) Vertical Difference of 13C: stronger photosynthesis more organic 12C rain down 13C (surface) positive/13C (deep) negative large vertical difference and stronger biological pump Past change of the Biological Pump Surface foram: surface 13C Benthic foram: Bottom 13C More nutrients to surface more Surface-Bottom >0 stronger biological pump lower CO2 Stronger pump lower CO2 Pump III: (Bio)Chemical Pump (Carbonate pump, CaCO3 pump, Alkalinity pump) Mineral calcium carbonate CaCO3 shells (formed in the upper layers of the ocean mainly by 3 groups of organisms: Cocco-lithophorids (phytoplankton), foraminifers, and pteropods (zooplankton)) raindown to the depth as they die, eventually dissolve, either in the water column or in the sediments. Deep water dissolution calcium carbonate CaCO3 produces carbonate ion CO3-2 , which when upwelled to the surface combines with dissolved CO2 to produce bicarbonate ion HCO3-1. This process removes CO2 from the surface waters, pumping carbon to the deep ocean. Change of North Atlantic circulation and (Bio)Chemical Pump Implication to CO2 reduction Antarctic bottom water, more corrosive Enhanced Antactic Bottom water Increase corrosive and dissolution of CaCO3 More carbonate ion CO3-2 to the surface Dissolves surface CO2 Reduce surface CO2 (up to 40ppm) Polar Alkalinity hypothesis, Broecker and Peng, North Atlantic deep water less corrosive Reduced penetration of North Atlantic Deep Water Summary of Major Carbon Pumps Solubility pump (10 ppm) Soft tissue Pump (25 +?ppm) Chemical pump (10+40ppm) Solubility pump Biological pump Chemical pump Methane (CH4) Source: Tropical wetland, monsoon rainfall control Boreal wetland, summer warming control Consistent with CH4/July Inso correlation 23kyr signal dominates Glacial-CO2 positive feedback Colder climate Lower CO2 Q1: A key for great 100 kyr glacial cycle? Q2: Does it apply to anthropogenic global warming? Glacial-CO2 positive feedback CO2 decrease ==> Colder Colder ==> CO2 decrease ? Colder ==> solubility pump increases ==> soft tissue pump increases (stronger wind-upwelling, more nutrient, iron…) ==> chemical pump increases (circulation, PH level…) ==> more sea-ice ==> reduces CO2 release to the atmos. ==>stronger stratification==> reduce upwelling of deeper dissolved/reminirized carbon up) Assessing Glacial-GHG feedback Phase, lead/lag 21 23kyr 63 41kyr 23 kyr cycle, GHG leads ice volume, forcing 41 kyr cycle, GHG in phase with ice volume, Feedback Why different? Reference for Reading • Brovkin et al., 2007: Lowering of glacial atmospheric CO2 in response to changes in oceanic circulation and marine biogeochemistry. Paleoceanography, 22, PA4202, doi:10.1029/2006PA001380 End of Lecture 12 Pump III: Carbonate pump (CaCO3 pump) The lack of H+, CaCO3 pump is effectively CO 2 CO 3 H 2 O 2 H 2 CO 3 Carbonate buffer