The Economic Impact of Tourism in Georgia Tourism Satellite Account Calendar Year 2011 Key results After a strong rebound in 2010, the Georgia visitor economy surged ahead in 2011, growing 9.7%. Total tourism demand reached a new high of $31 billion in 2011. This economic activity sustained 400,000 jobs in 2011, including direct, indirect, and induced impacts. 10.3% of all jobs* in the state are directly and indirectly sustained by tourism activities. Including indirect and induced impacts, tourism in Georgia generated $2.6 billion in state and local taxes and $3.4 billion in Federal taxes in 2011. 2 * BLS SAE total payroll employment Important definitions 1. Total Tourism Demand: Includes visitor spending plus other spending streams in support of the traveler industry. This includes government spending and capital investment in support of tourism. 2. Tourism Industry GDP: Measures the value of production of “tourism characteristic industries” on behalf of travelers. This concept measures only the direct impact of the travel industry. 3. Tourism Economic Impact: Measures the full economic impacts of tourism demand, including indirect and induced impacts. 3 Illustrating the concepts Travel & Tourism Industry Travel & Tourism Economic Impact ■ T CATERING, ENTERTAINMENT A ER OV ACCOMODATION EC ■ Allows for industry rankings and comparisons The flow-through effect of total T&T demand across the economy DIR ■ Focus of Tourism Satellite Account T T& ■ The direct effect of visitor spending RECREATION, TRANSPORTATION IND FURNISHINGS AND EQUIPMENT SUPPLIERS, TRANSPORTATION ADMINISTRATION, TOURISM IRE SECURITY SERVICES, RENTAL CAR MANUFACTURING, CT PA T IM C FINANCIAL SERVICES, SANITATION SERVICES &T T T& PRINTING/PUBLISHING, UTILITIES T LL &OTHER TRAVEL RELATED SERVICES Expands the focus to measure the overall impact of T&T on all sectors of the economy PROMOTION, SHIP BUILDING, AIRCRAFT MANUFACTURING, RESORT DEVELOPMENT, GLASS PRODUCTS, IRON/STEEL IND 4 ED UTILITIES, MANUFACTURERS, HOUSING, PERSONAL SERVICES UC BUSINESS SERVICES, WHOLESALERS, COMPUTERS, T T& FOOD & BEVERAGE SUPPLY, RETAILERS Why quantify the tourism economy? By monitoring tourism’s economic impact, policy makers can make informed decisions regarding the funding and prioritization of tourism development. It can also carefully monitor its successes and future needs. In order to do this, tourism must be measured in the same categories as other economic sectors – i.e. tax generation, employment, wages, and gross domestic product. 5 What is this a challenge? Most economic sectors such as financial services, insurance, or construction are easily defined within a country’s national accounts statistics. Tourism is not so easily measured because it is not a single industry. It is a demand-side activity which affects multiple sectors to various degrees. Tourism spans nearly a dozen sectors including lodging, recreation, retail, real estate, air passenger transport, food & beverage, car rental, taxi services, travel agents… 6 The Tourism Satellite Account • The TSA was conceived by the UN World Tourism Organization and has since been ratified by the UN, Eurostat, and OECD. • The standard has been adopted by over fifty countries around the world. • The TSA deals with the challenge of measuring tourism in two important ways: 1. Defines the tourism economy 2. Provides methodology for calculating tourism GDP in a way that is consistent with economic accounts 7 Benefits of a TSA 8 • Enables comparisons of the importance of tourism to other sectors of the economy in terms of GDP, employment, and income • Allows for benchmarking to other destinations • Tracks the economic contribution of tourism over time • Monitors strength by tracking capital investment • Allows for extension analysis for of the full impact of tourism Detailed Results 9 Tourism demand (spending) Tourism Demand by Category, $ million Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 % change 2011/10 10 Domestic Visitor $ $ $ $ $ $ 21,537 22,781 23,285 21,353 23,072 25,216 9.3% Internat'l Visitor Non-visitor PCE $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 1,613 1,706 1,950 2,039 2,357 2,425 2.9% 179 189 189 165 171 176 2.9% Gov't Support $ $ $ $ $ $ 33 35 38 36 35 34 -3.3% CAPEX $ $ $ $ $ $ 3,532 3,737 3,309 2,394 2,418 2,932 21.3% Total $ $ $ $ $ $ 26,895 28,449 28,771 25,987 28,054 30,783 % change 5.8% 1.1% -9.7% 8.0% 9.7% 9.7% Non-visitor private consumption expenditures (PCE) represent tourism consumer durables such as an RV, boat, or furniture for a vacation home. These rose 2.9% last year. Government support for tourism, including the budgets for the Division of Tourism, tourism attractions, security, and other budget items in broad support of tourism, declined slightly by -3.3%. Capital investment, including construction of hotels and attractions, as well as tourism infrastructure, grew strongly in 2011 at a rate of 21%. Tourism demand by source Non-visitor PCE 1% Domestic visitor markets comprise the majority (81%) of tourism demand. Gov't Support 0.1% Internat'l Visitor 8% CAPEX 10% Domestic Visitor 81% Capital investment in tourismrelated construction and machinery & equipment is second in importance even as it recovers from a steep decline during the past recession. International visitor markets contributed 8% of tourism demand in Georgia last year. 11 Tourism demand growth Tourism Demand Trend billions $35 Domestic Visitor Internat'l Visitor CAPEX $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $2006 2007 2008 Source: Tourism Economics 12 2009 2010 2011 Translating spending into impact The direct impacts are quantified within travel-related sectors. The indirect impacts include the benefits realized by the supply chain. The induced impacts are generated as wages are spend within the state’s economy. 13 Tourism business sales by sector Tourism Sales (Output) US$ Million, 2011 Direct* Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL (2011) TOTAL (2010) TOTAL (2009) 652 2,280 9,156 663 5,008 1,840 742 326 1,566 3,308 4,133 1,076 34 30,783 28,054 25,987 Indirect 101 392 1,333 547 27 808 219 15 537 1,384 2,834 87 54 79 322 136 162 9,039 8,424 7,950 Induced 79 294 839 564 32 252 1,098 70 337 1,316 729 1,295 116 86 438 382 1,279 9,206 8,541 8,030 Total 180 1,337 2,173 3,391 9,215 1,723 6,325 1,925 874 3,442 3,890 1,382 1,736 3,472 4,893 1,594 1,476 49,027 45,019 41,967 % change from year earlier 7.5% 11.0% 7.5% 17.6% 12.5% 7.3% 5.3% 23.5% 7.5% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 4.4% 7.4% 8.9% 7.3% -8.9% * Direct sales include cost of goods for retail sectors 14 Tourism demand of $31 billion generated $49 billion in business sales, including indirect and induced impacts. Total tourism-generated business sales expanded 8.9% in 2011. 15 Government Pers. Svcs. Oth. Transp. Recreation Gas Stations Manufacturing Whole. Trade 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Fin., Insur. Lodging Bus. Svcs. F&Bev Retail Trade Air Transport Tourism sales Tourism Business Sales $ billion Induced Indirect Direct* Tourism industry GDP Tourism Industry GDP Tourism GDP is the value added of those sectors directly interacting with travelers. The narrow definition of the tourism industry counts only tourism consumption, which excludes capital investment and general government support of tourism. This definition is consistent with economic accounts. On this basis, tourism industry GDP reached $10.8 billion in 2011, accounting for 2.4% of total Georgia GDP. (US$ Million) Industry Composition Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL 16 2010 2011 % 2,858 301 787 210 3,215 322 824 221 12.5% 7.0% 4.7% 5.0% 430 128 446 138 3.8% 7.3% 754 2,246 1,867 492 799 2,378 1,972 507 6.0% 5.9% 5.6% 3.0% 10,074 10,822 7.4% Tourism GDP Impact The complete definition of the tourism demand includes capital investment and general government support of tourism. The total tourism GDP impact in Georgia rose 7.7% in 2011. Including the direct, indirect and induced impacts of total tourism demand, the tourism sector generated $21.9 billion of state GDP. This is 5.2% of the state economy. 17 Tourism GDP Impact Tourism GDP (Value Added) (US$ Million) Direct* Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL (2011) TOTAL (2010) TOTAL (2009) 18 436 184 3,215 322 824 221 446 138 799 2,378 1,972 507 22 11,464 10,626 9,843 Indirect 28 261 325 369 9 563 143 10 270 911 1,577 52 31 51 153 71 59 4,884 4,552 4,296 Induced 32 208 236 380 11 139 717 48 167 792 418 805 68 54 209 200 1,086 5,571 5,168 4,859 Total 60 906 561 934 3,236 1,024 1,685 279 436 2,149 2,133 857 898 2,483 2,334 779 1,167 21,919 20,346 18,999 % change from year earlier 7.6% 11.0% 7.5% 10.3% 12.5% 7.3% 6.2% 5.5% 7.5% 6.7% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2% 5.9% 5.9% 4.6% 7.5% 7.7% 7.1% -9.1% Tourism GDP impact Tourism GDP Impact All sectors of the Georgia economy benefit from tourism activity directly and/or indirectly. $ billion 3.5 Induced 3.0 Indirect 2.5 Direct 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 19 Personal Services Edu, Health Recreation Constr, Utilities Wholesale Trade Other Transport Government Retail Trade Bus. Svcs. Fin, Insurance F&B Lodging Air Transport 0.0 Ranking tourism industry employment The tourism industry directly employed 244,202 Georgians in 2011. This narrow measurement of tourism includes only those jobs directly supported by visitor activity and enables inter-industry ranking. On this basis, tourism is the 5th largest private employer in the state of Georgia. Ranking of Employment 2011 Rank Industry 1 Retail trade 440,062 2 Health care 403,637 3 Manufacturing 349,046 4 Administration and waste management 265,093 5 Tourism 244,202 6 Accommodation and food services (minus tourism) 225,880 7 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 222,942 8 Wholesale Trade 197,367 9 Construction 145,448 10 Finance and insurance * Comparative data is BLS QCEW employment 20 Value* 149,517 Total tourism employment Tourism Employment 2011 Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL (2011) TOTAL (2010) TOTAL (2009) 21 Indirect Induced Total % change from year earlier 28,957 43,127 73,478 15,147 69 1,528 962 3,769 2,636 109 8,201 3,046 180 1,546 6,972 22,638 1,357 1,072 897 5,904 2,018 941 1,254 349 2,163 2,711 129 2,510 18,354 880 783 6,205 7,998 14,933 2,625 964 8,031 8,734 810 2,782 12,100 5,932 6,683 41,591 20,643 47,816 5,714 2,330 13,177 31,705 16,290 32,654 44,989 87,413 25,899 1,821 2.0% 5.1% 2.0% 3.3% 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% -0.1% 2.8% 2.2% 2.1% 256,326 250,438 245,238 63,776 62,599 61,619 79,435 77,790 76,492 399,537 390,827 383,348 2.2% 2.0% 10,789 1,335 41,353 9,931 26,416 4,654 1,069 * BLS SAE total payroll employment The tourism sector directly and indirectly supported more than 400,000 jobs, or 10.4% of all payroll employment* in Georgia last year. Tourism-related employment grew 2.2 in 2011 as visitor spending recovered. Total tourism employment 22 70 Induced Indirect 50 Direct 30 Gasoline Manufacturing Whole.Trade Construction Fin, Insur Edu, Health Other Transp Personal Serv Bus Svcs Recreation -10 Air Transport 10 Lodging For example, 13,200 people are employed in the finance, insurance, and real estate sector as a result of tourism activity. 90 Retail Trade Secondary benefits are realized across the entire economy through the supply chain and incomes as they are spent. Tourism Generated Employment F&B The restaurant, lodging, and retail sectors employed the most persons in the tourism sector. Thousands Tourism personal income Tourism Income (Compensation) (2011, US$ Million) Direct Agriculture, Fishing, Mining Construction and Utilities Manufacturing Wholesale Trade Air Transport Other Transport Retail Trade Gasoline Stations Communications Finance, Insurance and Real Estate Business Services Education and Health Care Recreation and Entertainment Lodging Food & Beverage Personal Services Government TOTAL (2011) TOTAL (2010) TOTAL (2009) 598 100 2,669 209 562 100 316 53 901 1,257 1,338 366 8,470 8,035 7,622 Indirect 18 103 212 202 8 461 88 5 139 333 1,193 37 24 28 105 56 40 3,052 2,924 2,759 Induced 22 69 129 207 9 103 439 21 72 340 328 675 46 30 143 157 27 2,816 2,690 2,529 Total 40 770 341 509 2,686 773 1,089 126 211 989 1,574 712 971 1,314 1,586 579 68 14,338 13,650 12,911 % change from year earlier 4.5% 7.0% 4.5% 6.0% 8.7% 4.6% 4.1% 2.0% 4.5% 4.6% 4.5% 4.7% 4.3% 1.5% 4.2% 3.6% 4.5% 5.0% 5.7% -7.4% $14.3 billion in compensation was generated by tourism demand in 2011, an increase of 5.0% 23 Tourism personal income 24 3.0 Induced 2.5 Indirect 2.0 Direct 1.5 1.0 0.5 Wholesale Trade Personal Svcs. Edu, Health Constr, Utilities Other Transport Recreation Fin, Insurance Retail Trade 0.0 Lodging On average, the tourism economy generated $35,885 in income per employee (including parttime). $ billion Business Svcs. The business services sector benefits strongly as a supplier to other tourism sectors. Tourism Generated Income F&B Tourism generated the most personal income in the air transport, business services and food & beverage sectors. Air Transport Tourism tax generation Tourism-Generated Taxes (US$ Million) 2008 Federal Taxes Corporate Indirect Business Personal Income Social Security 3,254 443 330 1,102 1,378 State and Local Taxes Corporate Personal Income Sales Property Excise and Fees State Unemployment TOTAL % change year ago 25 2009 2010 2011 3,000 3,183 3,373 404 301 1,020 1,276 433 323 1,079 1,349 471 352 1,133 1,417 2,457 184 350 1,027 745 131 21 2,277 2,412 2,580 168 323 936 712 119 19 180 342 1,004 738 128 20 196 359 1,093 771 139 21 5,710 5,278 5,595 5,952 1.1% -7.6% 6.0% 6.4% Taxes of $5.9 billion were directly and indirectly generated by tourism in 2011. State and local taxes alone tallied $2.6 billion. Each household in Georgia would need to be taxed an additional $744 per year to replace the tourism taxes received by state and local governments. State government’s role State Expenditures on Tourism TOURISM ATTRIBUTION FY 2012 Tourism Film, Video, and Music $ $ $ $ $ $ 9,434,970 485,333 $ 1,189,537 $ 14,093,738 $ 3,332,018 Office of the Govenor Georgia Council for the Arts $ 26 Capital expenditures are also considered in proportion to tourists’ usage. Current (operating) support of tourism contracted 3.3% in 2011. Capital expenditures in support of tourism increased 30% on account of transport infrastructure. - Natural Resources Historic Preservation Parks, Recreation and Historic Sites Coastal Resources Public Safety Aviation Department of Transportation Georgia Aviation Authority Capital construction projects Capital maintenance projects Construction administration Total % change Government support of tourism is divided between collective (general support) and individual (specific support) spending. Capital Current General Specific Economic Development Aviation Hall of Fame Civil War Commission Music Hall of Fame Sports Hall of Fame 309,900 $ 2,192,030 $ 3,206,501 $ 9,920,303 $ 24,323,724 -1.4% -4.0% $ $ $ $ 101,788,885 28,596,984 10,941,563 141,327,432 29.6% Tourism capital investment Tourism Capital Investment 2007 2008 2009 Construction $ 1,110,340,200 $ 1,093,385,055 $ Machinery and Equipment $ 2,478,577,839 $ 2,059,535,755 $ 1,850,605,775 Government Capital Outlays $ $ $ Total $ 3,736,570,046 147,650,000 155,870,608 $ 3,308,793,425 440,076,674 107,474,569 $ 2,398,159,027 2010 $ 438,948,080 2011 510,569,427 16% $ 2,052,996,640 $ 2,279,919,623 11% $ $ 141,327,432 30% $ 2,931,818,493 13% 109,061,426 $ 2,601,008,156 $ 2011 % change More than $2.9 billion was invested by the tourism sector last year, including hotels, recreational facilities, and related government capital outlays. This marks the second year of recovery in tourism capital investment, with a 13% gain in 2011. 27 About Tourism Economics 28 Tourism Economics, headquartered in Philadelphia, is an Oxford Economics company dedicated to providing high value, robust, and relevant analyses of the tourism sector that reflects the dynamics of local and global economies. By combining quantitative methods with industry knowledge, Tourism Economics designs custom market strategies, project feasibility analysis, tourism forecasting models, tourism policy analysis, and economic impact studies. Our staff have worked with over 100 destinations to quantify the economic value of tourism, forecast demand, guide strategy, or evaluate tourism policies. Oxford Economics is one of the world’s leading providers of economic analysis, forecasts and consulting advice. Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Oxford University’s business college, Oxford Economics is founded on a reputation for high quality, quantitative analysis and evidence-based advice. For this, it draws on its own staff of 40 highly-experienced professional economists; a dedicated data analysis team; global modeling tools; close links with Oxford University, and a range of partner institutions in Europe, the US and in the United Nations Project Link. For more information: info@tourismeconomics.com / +1 610 995 9600. For more information: Adam Sacks, Managing Director adam@tourismeconomics.com Christopher Pike, Senior Economist cpike@tourismeconomics.com 29