th 6 Global Pulse Summit Agriwatch th th 4 -5 December 2010 Pulses Can they help fight Food Shortage & Climate Change? Sudhakar TOMAR Managing Director HAKAN AGRO DMCC Dubai ( United Arab Emirates) Chairperson ( Communications & Sponsorships) CICILS-IPTIC- World Pulses Organization Originators , Processors , Supply Chain multinational dealing in Pulses, Oilseeds, Animal feeds & Frozen poultry & Dairy . Headquartered in Dubai (UAE) with operations in USA , Myanmar, Azerbaijan , Mozambique Uganda, Brazil, China, Iraq, Canada , Ukraine, Nigeria, Turkey , Ethiopia , Bulgaria , Georgia ,Switzerland, Pakistan,Tanzania, SKyrgyzstan ,Kazakhstan,Uzbekistan,Tajikistan Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 2 CICILS - (World Pulses Organization ) Established in 1963 . Non-profit confederation of Global Pulses Industry Membership base : national associations , governmental bodies , NGOs , 600 + corporates from over 50 countries. CICILS (World Pulses Organization) is an observer status body with United Nations & FAO. In 2009 CICILS head office was shifted from France to Dubai (UAE) Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 3 Are Pulses & Legumes the answer? What are Pulses & Legumes ? One & only major source of “Vegetable Protein” Dry edible seeds of Leguminous crops Include Peas , Beans , Lentils & Chickpeas Pulses are best kept “ Super Food” secret Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 5 Pulses vs. other food products Product Production Global-Trade Protein Pulses 62 11 20 to 25% Palm Oils 38 30 N/A Corn 771 87 3 to 4% Rice 660 32 7 to 8.3 % Wheat 676 116 10 to 12.5% Barley 153 19 10% Poultry Meat 93 9.6 23% (Million MT) (Million MT) (As % body weight) Pulses industry size : 62 Million Tons Value : US$ 100 Billion Food-Feed-Protein-Agronomical benefits Environment friendly-Ethical-Green Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 6 United colours of Pulses Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 7 What kind of pulses are grown in the world ? Pigeon Peas 5% Lupins 2% Others 8% Dry Beans 34% Lentils 5% Cow Peas 7% Dry Broad Beans 7% Chickpeas 13% Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar Dry Peas 19% 8 Major Producers Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 9 Major Exporters Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 10 Major Importers Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 11 Overall a diversified supply , demand and production base Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 12 The Genesis Present situation Future – 2050 ? The real crisis How to feed the world ? What can we do about it ? Smart solutions : Pulses Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 13 Food Crisis 2007-2008 Food riots in 22 countries Toppling of governments Deaths & Starvation Addition of 100 million hungry people However……..It was a PRICES CRISIS not a FOOD CRISIS Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 14 What led to the built up of Food Crisis of 2007/2008 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 15 1. Flat global food production 2. Population growth 3. Food for Oil 4. Rising income 5. Changing eating habits 6. Declining subsidies 7. Increasing costs of Inputs 8. funds 9. Increasing urbanization 10. Climate Change / Global Warming Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 16 FDI in Agriculture Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 17 FDI in Agri-business – Who invested Where ? Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 18 What is the status NOW ?? Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 19 Backgrounder Global Food Outlook Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 20 FAO data as of June 2010 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 21 Global Ag Consumption Trends Population Wheat Coarse Grains Rice Other Meal Soy Meal Other Veg Oil Soy Oil Palm Oil Beef Pork 1989/90 2009/10 5.2 Billion 6.8 Billion 519.6 642.42 711.25 1026.37 323.37 433.77 46.29 77.92 65.77 158.80 27.80 53.79 15.64 37.51 10.4 44.33 49.451 56.116 63.65 100.02 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar % Change 31% 24% 44% 34% 168% 141% 93% 140% 380% 14% 57% 22 World Major Crop Fundamentals Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 23 Major Crop Production Not Keeping up with Demand Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 24 World Ethanol & Biodiesel Production 2008-1018 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 25 USA Bio-Fuel Mandate ( Billion Barrels ) Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 26 Climate Change Denial Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 27 Global Warming denial Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 28 Climate Change : our Inaction Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 29 How to solve the Climate Change problem ? Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 30 World Population: 2010 vs. 2050 Source: UN-FAO 10,000,000 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 2010 2020 2030 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 2040 2050 31 World Population in 2050 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 32 Not much arable land left to grow Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 33 Water Wars Water 2/3 of water is used for Agriculture Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 34 That brings us to our main questions… Is there REALLY a food crisis in the world or is it a case of minor mismatch of supply & demand ?? Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 35 There are over 1 Billion people who go to bed hungry every night” Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 36 ..and where we live Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 37 The Real Crisis The classic mismatch Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 38 Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 39 >30% of North America is OBESE Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 40 Prevalence of Overweight/Obese Children in the US Since 1980, the number of OBESE US children has TRIPLED! 1 out of 3 Children and 2 out of 3 Adults are Overweight or Obese Overweight young people are more likely than children of normal weight to become overweight or obese adults! Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar Source: American Obesity Association 41 Global warming will cut into world grain yields and result in less food being available in the developing world in 2050, "calorie availability" will decline by 7 percent compared to 2000. IFPRI Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 42 How to feed additional 2.5 billion people in our lifetime ? Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 43 How to feed the next generations Improve Yields by using High Yield Seeds Manage Resources carefully Save crops from Pests & Diseases Make Agri-technology available to the small and marginal farmers in the third world Increase Public & Private investment in Agriculture and R&D Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 44 The good news is that Yes there are enough resources , awareness , resolve , extra land & water and seed technology to grow enough food Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 45 But the bad news is that The this food will not be Cheap or affordable Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 46 more bad news is that although there will be enough food but not enough money with poor people to buy .. so we have figure out smart solutions Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 47 Smart solutions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Life style adjustments –for rich & poor Eat /Promote smart Protein = Pulses & Legumes Consume less (Food-WaterEnergy) Less wastage of resources Raise awareness & Educate others Push the policymakers to do the right thing Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 48 The cost of Meat ( Animal protein) Meat and dairy animals account for about 20 percent of all terrestrial animal biomass. The livestock sector is the biggest contributor to greenhouse gases @ 18 percent than transport. It is also a major source of land and water degradation. Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 49 The cost of Meat (Animal protein) With increased prosperity, people are consuming more meat and dairy products every year. Global meat production is projected to more than double from 229 Million MTs in 1999/2001 to 465 million MTs in 2050 Also milk output is set to climb from 580 MTs in year 2000 to 1043 million tonnes in 2050. Livestock now use 33 percent of the earth’s entire land surface or arable land Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 50 Water Footprint 1,857 Gallons/ lb 43 gallons of water to produce one pound of pulses. Beef Pork 756 Gallons/ lb Source: Arjen Y. Hoekstra and Ashok Chapagain, Globalization of Water, U. of Twente, Waterfootprint.org National Geographic, April 2010 1,857 gallons of water to produce one pound of beef. Pulses Chicken 469 Gallon s/lb Soybeans Peanuts 368 Gallons /lb Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 43 Gallons /lb 216 Gallons /lb 51 APA It is Ironical That every 4 minutes 2090 Cows ; 9150 Pigs ; 334,120 Chickens are slaughtered to feed the people but at the same time 100 children die of hunger. That over 1.1 Billion people don’t have access to clean drinking water but we use 20,000 Litres of water to produce 1 Kilo of Beef Global consumption of Meat is about 300 Million MTs. It requires over 4.5 Billion MTs of agricultural crops to grow Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 53 Raising Livestock for Meat is inefficient Raising livestock a very inefficient use of land Example : 160 kg of potatoes could be harvested on the same amount of land needed to produce 1 kg of meat Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 54 A target of just 10% replacement of animal protein (Meat & Dairy) with vegetable protein (Pulses) will free up about 500 million MTs of food crop in the market ensuring adequate ECONOMICAL food supply to the world Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 55 USA alone could feed 800 million people with grain that livestock eat (without compromising the required per capita meat consumption) Cornell university ecologists Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 56 So in a nutshell Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 57 PULSES Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 58 Consume more Pulses Promote Pulses Help Fight Hunger Combat Climate Change Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 59 Thank you Invitation CICILS - WORLD PULSES CONVENTION April 28th –May 1st 2011 Barcelona , Spain Estimated Attendees : > 700 From > 60 countries www.cicilsiptic.org Pulses & Legumes - Food Shortage & Climate Change ? - Sudhakar Tomar 60