The Hume Workforce Development Committee Hume Regional Development Australia Accommodation and Food Labour Market Snapshot v.2 Workforce Planning Australia | December 2012 © Workforce Planning Australia - www.workforceplanning.com.au Tourism, Hospitality and Events Service Skills Australia includes the following sectors in the Tourism, Hospitality and Events industry. Travel Agencies Sport & Recreation Cultural services Pubs, clubs bars and tavern Tour operator services Tourism, Hospitality and Events Accommodation Restaurants Cafes Take away food services Source: Service Skills Australia, Tourism, Hospitality and Events Skills Council: Environmental Scan 2011 2| Industry Snapshot Tourism, Hospitality and Events employment data overlap with each other and with other industries, such as Retail, Cultural & Recreation, Sport and Transport. ABS Tourism employment information is categorised under ‘Accommodation and Food’ Accommodation and Food Tourism Events Source: Service Skills Australia, Tourism, Hospitality and Events: Environmental Scan 3| Industry Snapshot Australia-wide • More than 500,000 people in Australia were employed in ‘Tourism-Related industries’ (1) • Approximately 788,800 people work in the Accommodation & Food Services Industry (2) • Tourism, Hospitality and Events is dominated by small or micro businesses (1) • Between 2003 and 2010 national spending on meals in restaurants, hotels and clubs increased by 68% (1) • Accommodation and Food Services has the highest proportion of part time workers (56.4%) and casual workers (64.2%) of all industries. (1) • Accommodation and Food Services employs the largest share of young workers (1524) of all industries.(2) • Between 2003 and 2010 the proportion of workers aged 45 and over grew markedly, reaching 21.8% (1) Source: Service Skills Australia, Tourism, Hospitality and Events Environmental Scan (1) DEEWR, Skills Info, Employment Outlook for ‘Accommodation and Food Services ‘(based on the ABS Labour Force Survey (2) 4| Tourism, Hospitality and Events Industries : Industry Snapshot • Approximately 2% of workers are skilled migrants and 7% of workers are on tourism visas (3) • Of all tourism and Hospitality industries, ‘cafe’, ‘takeaway food services’ and ‘travel agencies’ have experienced the strongest growth in employment in 2010 – 2011. Other sectors within tourism have declined or remained stable (1) • Employment of licensed travel agents experienced strong growth between 2002-2009, but has now levelled out. • Business events marketing is experiencing strong growth • In 2010-2012 international visitors increased by 12 per cent and domestic visitors by 2.6 per cent. • Tourism-dependent areas of Australia are suffering due to the increased overseas travel by Australians, particularly to Asia-Pacific region. Source: (1) Service Skills Australia, Tourism, Hospitality and Events, 2011. (2) DEEWR, Skills Info, Employment Outlook for ‘Accommodation and Food Services ‘(based on the ABS Labour Force Survey) (3) Department of Arts and the Environment (DAE) Australian Tourism Labour Force Survey, cited in (1) 5| National Industry Overview Industry Employment • Accommodation and Food Services employs approximately 773,000 persons, full time and part time, which is around 6.8 per cent of the total workforce. Industry Employment Level February 2012 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey, February 2012 data. 7| Employment Growth • Over the past five years, employment in the industry has increased at an average rate of 2.4 per cent per annum. Accommodation and Food Services - Employment Level ('000s) February 1994 to 2012 900 789.9 800 753.8 690.0 700 600 500 543.3 534.0 1995 1996 565.3 572.0 1997 1998 589.9 637.8 642.3 638.2 2001 2002 2003 703.6 708.1 720.3 2007 2008 2009 751.0 665.1 657.0 608.6 485.8 400 300 200 100 0 1994 1999 2000 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003 (DEEWR trend data) 8| 2004 2005 2006 2010 2011 2012 Employment by Region • Sydney and Melbourne are the largest regions for employment in the industry. Accommodation and Food Services - Employment by Region ('000s) Year to February 2012 Sydney 158.9 Melbourne 133.9 Brisbane 110.7 Perth 57.9 Adelaide 41.2 Central and North QLD 39.5 Hunter 38.9 Southern NSW (incl ACT) 37.3 Western Victoria 27.0 Eastern Victoria 19.6 Tasmania 18.8 Northern NSW 18.0 SA Country 15.3 Southern QLD 14.4 Greater WA 14.2 Western NSW 12.9 Northern Territory 8.2 0 9| 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Employment by Industry Sector • Cafes, Restaurants and Takeaway Food is the largest contributing sector to industry employment. Accommodation and Food Services - Employment Level - Feb 2012 ('000s) Cafes, Restaurants, Takeaway Food 491.5 Accommodation 99.0 Pubs, Taverns and Bars 95.6 Clubs (Hospitality) 54.8 0 100 200 300 400 500 Source: Employment Level by Industry Sector (DEEWR Trend Data based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat no: 6291.0.55.003 – February 2011) 10 | 600 Recent Growth by Sector • There has been significant growth in the Cafes, Restaurants and Takeaway Food sector. • Accommodation and Pubs, Taverns and Bars has declined. Accommodation and Food Services - Five Year Emp Growth (000s) to Feb 2012 Cafes, Restaurants, Takeaway Food 59.9 Clubs (Hospitality) 0.0 Pubs, Taverns and Bars -4.5 Accommodation -17.1 -30 11 | -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Projected Employment Growth by Sector • Projected employment growth for the industry is 1.2% (below the all industries average). • Cafes. Restaurants and Takeaway Food is the fastest growing sector. Accommodation and Food Services - Projected Employment Growth (% pa) to 2015-16 Cafes, Restaurants, Takeaway Food 2.5 ALL INDUSTRIES 2.1 Accommodation and Food Services 1.2 Pubs, Taverns and Bars -1.1 Clubs (Hospitality) -1.2 Accommodation -2.0 -2.5 -2.0 -1.5 -1.0 Source: ABS Labour Force Survey cat. no. 6291.0.55.003 (DEEWR trend data) 12 | -0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Main employing occupations • The table below provides an overview of the main employing occupations in the Accommodation and Food industry: Occupation Employment (2011-12) Waiters 106.5 Kitchenhands 88.2 Bar Attendants and Baristas 81.1 Sales Assistants (General) 79.6 Chefs 62.5 Cafe and Restaurant Managers 57.9 Retail Managers 34.6 Fast Food Cooks 32.0 Cooks 24.0 Hotel and Motel Managers 21.3 Source: DEEWR Special Order based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat no: 6291.0.55.003 – Calendar Year Average 2011. 13 | National skills in demand • The table below provides an overview of the occupations with skills in demand at the National level: Occupation Skills Status Bar Attendant Regional shortage Waiter Recruitment difficulty (experienced workers, particularly in high end establishments). Source: DEEWR Special Order based on ABS Labour Force, Australia, Cat no: 6291.0.55.003 – Calendar Year Average 2011. 14 | Drivers of Workforce Change and Opportunities There are several workforce development challenges facing the Accommodation and Food Industry 3. Growing demand for Asian language tour guide 4.Demand for new and exciting travel experiences 6. A State Govt focus on attracting business events to regional Victoria 2.Strong jump in visitors from China, India 1. Fierce competition between destinations and record outbound travel Tourism, Hospitality and Events Source: Accommodation and Food Industry Skills Council, Environmental Scan 2011 15 | 5. A lack of quality training, though commitment to staff training is high 7. Industry highly vulnerable to economic forces Hume region Hume Tourism, Hospitality and Events - Priorities Tourism Victoria’s Regional Marketing and Development Plan 2011-2012 reports the following investment infrastructure priorities in Hume: • Re-development of the Mount Buffalo Chalet • Nature-based infrastructure including consideration of an alpine Trial e.g. Mount Hotham and Falls Creek Wild Walk • High quality accommodation in Ski villages • High Altitude Training Centre at Falls Creek Alpine Resort • Boutique accommodation associated with food and wine • Ned Kelly Interpretation Centre – Stage Two Glenrowan Precinct • Completion of key rail trails, including Murray and Mountain Rail Trail • Promotion of Beechworth, Bright, Rutherglen and Yackandandah and Alpine Villages under ‘Villages of Victoria’ program. • Completion of Bonegilla Migrant Centre Source: Tourism Victoria, Regional Marketing and Development Plan, 2011-2012 17 | Hume - Events Events in Hume include: • Wangaratta Jazz Festival • Kangaroo Hoppet (international Cross country Ski Event) • Beechworth Harvest Celebration • Opera in the Alps • Big Fella Festival (Music) • Audux Alpine Classic (cycling) • Bike Buller Mountain Bike Festival • Terra Australis – Great Southern Land Mountain Bike Epic Source: Tourism Victoria, Regional Marketing and Development Plan, 2011-2012 18 | Hume Tourism, Hospitality and Events – Key Locations The Hume Regional Plan identifies tourism as an economic and employment growth sector in the region. Tourism in the region focuses on the Murray river, snowfields, natural attractions, historic townships, food and wine and cycling. Key areas for tourism are in small towns and national parks including: • River towns: Echuca, Cobram and Yarrawonga • Historic Townships in Upper and central Hume: Beechworth, Glenrowan • Water sports: Nagambie and Yarrawonga • High quality food and wine: Milawa • Nature-based: Snowfields (summer), National Parks (Bogong, Mt Hotham, Mt Buffalo and Falls Creek, Bright, Mt Beauty and Mt Buller and Barmah Forest • Cycling Network: Bright, Myrtleford, Beechworth Source: DPCD, Hume Regional Plan: The Hume Strategy for Sustainable Communities , 20102010 -2020, Tourism Victoria, Regional Marketing and Development Plan, 20112012 19 | Hume Tourism, Hospitality and Events - Challenges Two particular challenges or needs identified in 2011 Hume Regional Growth Plan are: • The shortage of facilities for specific markets, such as high quality accommodation in Strathbogie for people involved in the equine industry. • The predicted impact of climate change on snow-related tourism in the Alpine areas Other challenges could include: • The increasing expectations of consumers for quality food, coffee and accommodation • Managing increasing number in nature-based tourism, particularly national parks • The quality of training. This could become increasingly important if the region hopes to attract people in the business markets. Source: DPCD, Hume Regional Plan: The Hume Strategy for Sustainable Communities , 20102010 -2020, Tourism Victoria, Regional Marketing and Development Plan, 20112012 20 | Employment in Accommodation and Food by LGA 2006 Census vs. 2011 Census data Moira 812 (2006) 866 (2011) G Shepparton 1,263 (2006) 1,392 (2011) Indigo 466 (2006) 469 (2011) Murrindindi 548 (2006) 450 (2011) Wangaratta 801 (2006) 916 (2011) Mansfield 418(2006) 484 (2011) Alpine 771 (2006) 727 (2011) Source: ABS Census Data 2006 and ABS Census Data 2011. This table has been prepared using data generated by the ABS TableBuilder. 21 | Towong 146 (2006) 147 (2011) Benalla 335 (2006) 387 (2011) Strathbogie 210 (2006) 249 (2011) Mitchell 629 (2006) 854 (2011) Wodonga 961 (2006) 1,062 (2011) Total Industry 7,360 (2006) 8,003 (2012) 9% Hume Region Boundary Sub-region Boundary Local Government Area (LGA) Boundary Employment growth projections in Hume • According to Monash projections employment is expected to gradually grow and decline over the period to 2015-6. Accom & Food Employment 13 12.5 12 11.5 11 Accom & Food Employment 10.5 10 9.5 2010-1 2011-2 2012-3 2013-4 2014-5 2015-6 Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 22 | Occupations • The top employing occupations in the region are as follows: Occupation Employment (000’s) Waiters 1.67661 Bar Attendants & Baristas 1.25126 Sales Assistants (General) 1.10094 Kitchenhands 1.08663 Chefs 1.07006 Cafe & Restaurant Managers 0.8357 Fast Food Cooks 0.64904 Hotel & Motel Managers 0.64358 Retail Managers 0.45736 Commercial Cleaners 0.42466 Cooks 0.40558 Cafe Workers 0.26524 Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria . Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 23 | Occupation growth • Monash projections show a decline in the top employing occupations growth over the period to 2016-17. Cafe Workers Cooks Commercial Cleaners Retail Managers Hotel & Motel Managers Fast Food Cooks 2011-2 Cafe & Restaurant Managers 2015-6 Chefs Kitchenhands Sales Assistants (General) Bar Attendants & Baristas Waiters 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 Usage is restricted to the Department of Education & Early Childhood Development and third parties undertaking work on behalf of Skills Victoria. Source: Monash Centre of Policy Studies, 2011 24 | Education Industry Education attainment levels • Overall there has been a slight decrease in VET enrolments for the industry in Hume. • Despite this trend there has been an increase in enrolments in the Certificate II qualification. Diploma Certificate IV Certificate III 2011 2008 Certificate II Certificate I Advanced Diploma 0 500 1000 1500 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 26 | 2000 2500 Age profile of enrolments • The majority of VET enrolments are in the 15-19 year old Age Group. • The decrease in enrolments is generally evenly spread across age groups. 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 2008 800 2011 600 400 200 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 27 | 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 and over Diversity of Enrolments • The diversity of enrolments has increased in all categories. • The greatest increase in diversity has been the increased proportion of CALD students. 8% 7% 6% 5% 2008 4% 2011 3% 2% 1% 0% Disabled Indigenous Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 28 | CALD Accommodation and Food Occupational VET Education Data (Hume) Waiter Kitchen hand Cafe / Restaurant Manager © Workforce Planning Australia - www.workforceplanning.com.au Waiter Waiter VET Course Enrolments • There has been a significant increase in VET enrolments from Waiters over the period from 2008-2011. • This increase is attributable to growth in the Certificate III level qualification. 2008 Certificate III 2011 0 200 400 600 800 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 31 | 1000 1200 Waiter Age Profile of VET Enrolments • The majority of VET enrolments for waiters are in the 15-19 year old Age Group. • There has been significant growth in the 15-19 year old Age Group. 450 400 350 300 250 2008 200 2011 150 100 50 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 32 | 65 and over Diversity of Waiter VET Enrolments • The diversity of enrolments for waiters has increased in all categories. • The greatest increase in diversity has been the increased proportion of CALD students. 8% 7% 6% 5% 2008 4% 2011 3% 2% 1% 0% Disabled Indigenous Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 33 | CALD Kitchen hand Kitchen hand VET Course Enrolments • There has been a decrease in VET enrolments from Kitchen hands over the period from 2008-2011. • The decrease is attributable to negative growth in the Certificate II level qualification. Certificate II 2008 2011 Certificate I 0 500 1000 1500 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 35 | 2000 2500 Kitchen hand Age Profile of VET Enrolments • The majority of VET enrolments for Kitchen hands are in the 15-19 year old Age Group. • There has been a decline in all Age Groups over the period 2008-2011. 1400 1200 1000 800 2008 600 2011 400 200 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 36 | 65 and over Diversity of Kitchen hand VET Enrolments • The diversity of enrolments for kitchen hands has increased in all categories. • The greatest increase in diversity has been the increased proportion of CALD students. 12% 10% 8% 2008 6% 2011 4% 2% 0% Disabled Indigenous Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 37 | CALD Cafe / Restaurant Manager Cafe / Restaurant Manager VET Course Enrolments • There has been an increase in VET enrolments from Cafe / Restaurant Managers over the period from 2008-2011. • The increase is attributable to growth in the Certificate IV level qualification. Diploma 2008 Certificate IV 2011 Advanced Diploma 0 50 100 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 39 | 150 200 Cafe / Restaurant Manager Age Profile of VET Enrolments • The majority of VET enrolments for waiters are in the 20-24 year old Age Group. • There has been significant growth in the 20-24 and 15-19 year old Age Groups. 80 70 60 50 40 2008 2011 30 20 10 0 15 to 19 20 to 24 25 to 29 30 to 34 35 to 39 40 to 44 45 to 49 Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 40 | 50 to 54 55 to 59 60 to 64 65 and over Diversity of Cafe / Restaurant Manager VET Enrolments • The diversity of enrolments for Cafe / Restaurant Managers has decreased. • The greatest decrease in diversity has been in the proportion of CALD students. 14% 12% 10% 8% 2008 2011 6% 4% 2% 0% Disabled Indigenous Source: Data prepared 9 March 2012, Market Analysis team, Skills Victoria. 41 | CALD Findings What this means 43 | Tourism and Hospitality statistics needs to be viewed with care because of the overlap between the industries The main area of growth in Australia have been: Cafes, Take away food services Business events Licensed travel agents Monash projections predict growth in Accommodation and Food jobs will peak in 2011-2012 and then decline. The reason for this projected decline is unclear. The largest occupations are Waiters, Kitchen hands and Bar Attendants/Baristas Much of the tourism in Hume is focused on the small towns and natural resources. Growing areas of tourism are in specialised areas, such as nature-based tourism, cycling, food and wine, historic sites and snow sports. What this means(Continued) 44 | Formal training in the field has been heavily focused on young people. This suggests there may be scope to look at other segments of the labour market, particularly mature aged workers. The growth in enrolments in Cert III level qualifications for waiters and Cert IV level qualifications for Cafe/Restaurants Managers will help build the capabilities of hospitality staff and lift the quality of service in the region. The data on training enrolments suggests there is a need to explore ways of increasing training opportunities for indigenous Hume residents. There may be scope to further develop Indigenous tourism in the Hume region. A particular challenge for Hume may be to work out ways to meet the needs of tourists from Asia, particularly people from China and India, if businesses in the area want to try and tap into this growing market identified by Tourism Victoria. Questions? 45 | The location of employment in tourism in Hume raises questions about access to training by people living in the smaller towns. Is training provided on-site, at RTOs in regional towns, on-line or a combination of both using a ‘blended’ approach? Is training available locally that focuses on the areas of potential growth e.g. nature-based tourism? Why has there been a decline in enrolments for Cafe/Restaurant managers among CALD groups at a time when there have been a rise in enrolments in waiter and kitchen hand courses among CALD groups? The seasonal nature of many of these jobs in Hume suggests the need to explore how local people can move between different areas of tourism, hospitality and events management so they have greater job security and the local industry grows a pool of workers with solid and diverse experience. How can this be achieved?