SNACKING BEYOND THE SNACKING AISLE HOW TO TAKE A BITE OUT OF CANADA’S SNACKING DEMAND Carman Allison - VP Consumer Insights, Nielsen @CarmAllison Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. MEET YOUR PRESENTER Carman Allison VP Consumer Insights Nielsen 2 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. JOIN TODAY’S CONVERSATION @Nielsen @CarmAllison 3 Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. THE CHALLENGE FOR GROWTH 4 LET’S SET THE STAGE Canadian CPG Dollar Sales Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Unit Sales Trips per Shopper Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National All Channels – YTD 40 weeks to September 20, 2014 - Total Tracked Sales excluding Fresh Random Weight Homescan Grocery Composite 52 weeks ending September 27, 2014 5 HOW DO WE DEFINE SNACKS TODAY? $4.9 Billion Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. SNACKS +4% Dollar growth +2% KG growth Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National All Channels + G&G – 52 weeks Ending October 18 2014 6 LIFESTYLES ARE REDEFINING HOW WE EAT • ON THE GO • PORTABILITY • HEALTH Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. • CONVENIENCE • EASE OF USE • VARIETY 7 “ The average consumer 12 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. enjoys different types of snacks in a 30-day period ” …out of the 47 snacks surveyed Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Canada Q1 2014 8 RETHINKING WHAT “SNACKING” MEANS Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. SNACKING… …REDEFINED Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 9 IF WE EXPAND SNACK TO REFLECT ‘SNACKING’ THE MARKET POTENTIAL INCREASES 2.5 TIMES Potential Opportunity Traditional Snack Definition $12.6 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Billion +3% $4.9 Billion +4% 2.5 x Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National All Channels + C&G - 52 week periods ending September 20, 2014 10 AUDIENCE POLL Which is your favourite type of snack? Sweet Tooth Salty Please Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Either works for me! 11 WHILE THE MAJORITY HAVE A PREFERENCE, 1 IN 5 CONSUMERS PREFERS EITHER 60% SWEET Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 19% 59% SALTY Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 12 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. OPPORTUNITIES ACROSS THE SNACKING SPECTRUM Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National All Channels + C&G - 52 week periods ending September 20, 2014 13 WHAT’S TRENDING IN SNACKING? TOP - GROWTH % CHG TOP 5 SNACKING CATEGORIES ($M) Candied Snacks +31% Meat Sticks +16% Fruit & Nuts +7% Dry Fruit +6% Chips, Corn Snacks +5% Potato Chips, Corn Snacks $1,836.1 +5% Prepack Cheese $1,782.8 +3% Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Chocolate $1,580.1 +5% BOTTOM - GROWTH % CHG Yogurt $1,492.7 +0% -9% Frz Water Confect -7% Puffed Cakes Baked Desserts $822.5 +1% -6% RTE Gelatin -4% Puddings -4% Marsh. Treats Source: Nielsen MarketTrack, National All Channels +C&G – 52 weeks Ending September 20, 2014 14 What do consumers have to say about snacking? Global: 60 Countries (30,535 individuals) Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Canada: 503 individuals 15 NORTH AMERICANS ARE CHIP-O-HOLICS! TOP 5 SNACKS CONSUMED Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. #1 64% Chips 63% Chips 64% Chocolate 63% Fruit 59% Chocolate 62% Fruit 63% Cheese 58% Cheese 52% Vegetables 63% Chocolate 56% Cookies 51% Cookies 58% Cookies 54% Fruit 50% Yogurt Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 16 CHIPS, CHOCOLATE AND FRUIT TOP THE LIST FOR CANADA'S FAVOURITE SNACK TOP 5 FAVOURITE SNACKS Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. #1 13% Chips 11% Chocolate 11% Fruit 13% Chocolate 11% Fruit 11% Chocolate 13% Fruit 9% Chips 9% Bread (Sandwich) 8% Cheese 7% Sandwich 7% Yogurt 7% Bread (Sandwich) 7% Cheese Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 7% Cheese 17 GROCERY STORES REMAIN THE TOP DESTINATION FOR SNACK PURCHASES % who source their snacks sometimes or often Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 93% GROCERY STORES 56% 45% MASS MERCH $1 MASS MERCH Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 – Canada DOLLAR STORES 44% 43% DRUG STORES CONVENIENCE 18 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. BUT DESPITE THE TOP DESTINATION FOR SNACK SALES – GROCERY IS LOSING SHARE Source: Nielsen Homescan Channel Facts - 52 Weeks Ending September 27, 2014 – Snack + Confections 19 CONSUMERS WHO ARE FIGHTING TEMPTATION MAY BE GIVING IN TO PROMOTIONS 48% Only buy snacks when on sale Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 36% 41% of SNACKS are sold with a price cut Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 Nielsen MarketTrack, National GB+MM+DG - 52 week periods ending October 18, 2014 +4 +3 of CPG sales sold with a price cut 5% higher than average 20 WHY DO CANADIANS SNACK? Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 86% ENJOYMENT Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 81% 79% 78% 62% CRAVING HUNGER BETWEEN MEALS TREAT NUTRITION 21 4 OUT OF 10 CANADIANS SNACK AS A MEAL REPLACEMENT Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 42% Breakfast Alternative 43% 34% Lunch Alternative Dinner Alternative Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 22 SNACKING AS A MEAL ALTERNATIVE Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. <35 <$30K 42% Breakfast Alternative 44% 48% 48% 43% Lunch Alternative 44% 47% 54% 34% Dinner Alternative 38% 46% 50% Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 23 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. “ Even though we love our chips, we also snack with sensible, balanced indulgence, and healthier alternatives ” 24 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. SNACKING WITH A CONSCIENCE 63% Fruit 54% 50% 50% Nuts & Seeds 43% 43% 51% 42% Yogurt Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 Vegetables Granola Bars 38% 35% 25 BACK-TO-BASICS ATTRIBUTES % who think it is important or very important NATURAL FLAVOURS (65%) NO ARTIFICIAL COLOURS (60%) NO ARTIFICIAL FLAVOURS (60%) Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. ALL NATURAL (60%) GMO FREE (56%) CAFFEINE FREE (36%) GLUTEN FREE (28%) Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 - Canada 26 HEALTH ATTRIBUTES ARE IMPORTANT TO CONSUMERS % who think it is important or very important LESS IS MORE LOW SALT/SODIUM (63%) + MORE IS MORE LOW SUGAR/SUGAR FREE (61%) HIGH IN FIBRE (65%) NO HIGH FRUCTOSE CORN SYRUP (59%) Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. PORTION CONTROL (58%) LOW CALORIES (53%) WHOLE GRAIN (61%) HIGH IN PROTEIN (61%) LOW FAT (52%) LOW/NO CARBS (50%) Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 - Canada 27 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. MORE THAN 1/3 WANT THEIR SNACK INGREDIENTS TO BE LOCAL, ORGANIC AND SOURCED SUSTAINABLY 44% LOCAL 38% 41% SUSTAINABLY SOURCED ORGANIC Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 – Canada 28 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. DIFFERENT SNACKS FOR DIFFERENT FOLKS 29 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Are generations divided by snacking? 30 THE CPG GROWTH ENGINE WILL SWITCH GEARS By 2020… MILLENNIALS Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. +$12.5 B +107% Source: Nielsen Homescan 52 weeks to March 29, 2014 – HH <35 years – Based on older generation spend BOOMERS -$4.3 B -9% 31 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. WHICH CPG DEPARTMENTS ARE MOST COMMONLY FOUND IN A MILLENNIAL’S SHOPPING BASKET? Nielsen Homescan – Dollar Consumption Index – 52 wks to December 28, 2013 – Consumer Facts CPG Departments Relative Index (82 for total) 32 TOP 5 SNACKS CONSUMED Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. YOUNGER VS. OLDER 65% Chocolate 70% Fruit 61% Chips 67% Cheese 59% Cookies 58% Chips 56% Bread 55% Nuts & Seeds 54% Cheese 55% Cookies Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 – Canada – Younger = 35 years, Older >55 years 33 TOP 5 FAVOURITE SNACKS Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. YOUNGER VS. OLDER 14% Chips 13% Yogurt 13% Fruit 11% Fruit 13% Chocolate 10% Cheese 7% Bread (Sandwich) 9% Chips 7% Cheese 9% Nuts & Seeds Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 – Canada – Younger = 35 years, Older >55 years 34 DIFFERENCES ACROSS GENERATIONS YOUNGER 58% OLDER Snack as a Reward/ Mood Booster (vs. 28% Older) Tend to snack for nutrition Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. (vs. 62% Younger) 47% 66% Snack as a Meal Replacement (vs. 29% Older) Prefer Back-to-Basics snacking (vs. 47% Younger) Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 – Canada – Younger = 35 years, Older >55 years 52% 35 Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Chick-flick versus action movie? What’s your snack of choice? 36 MALE SHOPPERS ARE OFTEN OVERLOOKED BUT ACCOUNT FOR 24% OF PRIMARY SHOPPERS % of Households (>50% of Shopping) 24% Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. 16% 17% are male-only households Source: Nielsen Panelviews June 2014 60% 22% are female-only households 37 ENSURE IT’S EASY FOR MALES TO FIND WHAT THEY NEED Avg Basket Size Avg Trips / Year Shopping Opinions % Agree I tend to buy only what I need when I go to the grocery store Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. $32.41 $37.72 161 152 43% 54% Given the opportunity, I like spending time browsing in the grocery or food store 50% Source: Nielsen Homescan, National All Channels, Total Expenditures, 52 Weeks ending July 26, 2014; Nielsen Panelviews June 2014 60% 38 AUDIENCE POLL – FOR FEMALES Which do you think males snack on the most? Chips Cookies Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Fruit Chocolate Cheese 39 AUDIENCE POLL – FOR MALES Which do you think females snack on the most? Chips Cookies Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Fruit Chocolate Cheese 40 FEMALES SNACK MORE THAN MALES Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. TOP 5 SNACKS CONSUMED 65% Chips 72% Fruit 61% Chocolate 69% Cheese 57% Cookies 65% Chocolate 57% Sandwich 64% Chips 56% Cheese 59% Cookies Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 - Canada 41 MALES PREFER SALTY AND FEMALES SWEET Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. TOP 5 FAVOURITE SNACKS 15% Chips 15% Fruit 11% Fruit 15% Chocolate 10% Chocolate 11% Chips 9% Cheese 7% Cheese 8% Sandwich 7% Yogurt Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 - Canada 42 DIFFERENT SNACKING MOTIVATORS 43% Prefer hot/spicy flavours (vs. 33% Female) Snack as a stress reliever Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. (vs. 32% Male) 43% 43% Only buy snacks when on sale (vs. 52% Female) “Less is more” when it comes to Snacking (vs. 51% Male) Source: Nielsen Global Survey – Q1 2014 - Canada 61% 43 LONG TERM OUTLOOK POSITIVE • GENERATIONAL SHIFTS • Millennials - Indulgence • Boomers - Health Growth from perimeter and centre of store • CONSUMER DEMANDS • Variety Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. • Innovation • Accessibility • Portability • Less is More • Meal Replacement 44 CANADIANS ARE CHANGING THE WAY WE EAT “ Copyright ©2012 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Busy, on-the-go lifestyles often dictate a need for quick meals, and many opt for fast food options that can be high in calories and low in health benefits. There is a massive untapped opportunity to gain market share in the nutritious, portable and easy-to-eat meal alternative market that snack manufacturers could fill. ” Susan Dunn, EVP, Global Professional Services, Nielsen 45 QUESTIONS? Stay Connected to Consumer and Media Trends For the latest insights, visit us at nielsen.com or contact us: Phone: 800.553.3727 Email: CPGSolutions@nielsen.com Questions regarding the content of this presentation, contact: Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. Carman Allison, email carman.allison@nielsen.com @CarmAllison LinkedIn You will receive a link to download this webinar within 48 hours 46 Copyright ©2013 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary. SNACKING SEGMENT DEFINITIONS Desserts Refrigerated Frozen Cookies & Crackers Baked Desserts Jelly Powders Puddings Dessert Powders Snack Puddings RTE Gelatin Natural Cheese Yogurt Ice Cream Frozen Confections Pizza Snacks Frozen Yogurt Water Based Confect. Cookies Crackers Cookie Mixes Dips Salty Snack Fruit & Nuts Remaining Salsa Mexican Dips Prepared Dips Meat Sticks Jerky Snack Foods Snacking Nuts/Seeds Fruit & Apple Sauce Dry Fruit Popping Corn Puffed Cakes Candied Snacks Marshmallow Treats Source: Nielsen Strategic Planner Confectionery Chocolate Candy Confections NPF Nutritious Portable Foods 47