Residential Measures for the th 7 Power Plan RTF November 17, 2014 Source of Key Parameters Parameter Source(s) Unit Savings at busbar (kWh) RTF, DOE TSD, secondary sources Incremental Cost ($/MWh) RTF, DOE TSD, secondary sources Baseline EE Saturation RBSA, ENERGY STAR, secondary sources Number of Units (20 years) Load forecast, RBSA, ENERGY STAR, secondary sources Achievable Technical Potential (aMW over 20 years) Product of # Units * Unit Savings 2 BATHROOM AERATORS How to Estimate Savings? Most TRMs and Energy Trust base savings on an algorithm ETO savings algorithm: ΔGPM*% Max Flow* usage/day/person*#persons*#days* %HotWater*Δtemp*DHWeff 4 Need for Data % Max Flow: at what percent of maximum flow does one generally set the faucet? usage/day usage: how many minutes per day is the faucet running per person? % Hot water: what is the relative fraction of hot to cold water used? Or, what is the average water temperature at faucet? Should we include a sink-fill factor? What is the saturation of low-flow (<2.2 GPM) aerators out there? 5 7P Source Summary Measure: Aerators Item Methods & Sources Measures Described Energy Savings Calculation Basis Applicable Stock Baseline Saturation Note Faucet aerator for bathroom use, reducing GPM from 2.5 to 1.0 Based on engineering calculation using Energy Trust Includes wastewater savings blessing memo, Cadmus MI study RBSA on electric WH saturation, # of bathrooms/home Source of baseline saturation from Seattle PUC Study of Market ETO CPA assumes 65% saturation of measure Penetration of Water Efficient Fixtures, 2004 - no more recent data available Baseline HVAC Loads NA Permutations Costs Measure Life Savings Shape One only ETO Blessing Memo ETO Blessing Memo DHW - ERWH Achievable Ramp Rate LO Medium (new), Retro in 10 (existing) 6 Aerators are a commonly used water saving measure. ETO and others have program, not RTF UES ADVANCED POWER STRIPS 7 7P Source Summary Measure: Item Measures Described Energy Savings Calculation Basis Advanced Power Strips Methods & Sources Note Power strips to switch off peripherals on home entertainment or workstations when main component is off RTF ResAdvancedPowerStrips_v1_5 Saturation increases over load # of computers and TVs per home from RBSA, adjusted Applicable Stock foreacst, "powerstrip ready" from for those that are "powerstrip ready" ETO analysis ~5 years ago low product awareness, but Baseline Saturation low - 1% programs have begun in 2012 Baseline HVAC Loads NA Load sensing – computer or TV Permutations Load sensing, infrared, or occupancy Infrared – TV only Occ sensor – computer only Costs Various online sources Measure Life 5 RTF assumption Savings Shape Res Electronics from RBSA Achievability Ramp Market evolving quickly, easy to Rate implement LO Fast, Retro in 10 8 Advanced Power Strips Parameter Seventh Plan (draft) Unit Savings at busbar (kWh) 34 (load sensing) 45 (occupancy) 284 (infrared) Levelized Cost ($/MWh) -$7 (occupancy) $45 (infrared) $226 (load sensing) Baseline EE Saturation 1% Number of Units (20 years) 30M Achievable Technical Potential (aMW over 20 years) 185 Number of units includes all TVs and Computers in homes, 34% feasibility for SF (based on Energy Trust study); 25% for MF/MH (assumption) 9 Questions for RTF Are 300 kWh savings for infrared power strips reasonable? How should savings be decremented to account for increasing TV/computer efficiency? Are there more recent data on applicability of power strips to home entertainment or home offices? 10 SINGLE-FAMILY WEATHERIZATION 11 SF Weatherization Includes: Attic, floor, and wall insulation Windows Infiltration Control (not in 6P) Levels of insulation and associated savings & cost taken from recent RTF workbook Number of units based on RBSA for 7P For 6P, based on pre-1980 vintage cohort 12 SF Weatherization RTF measures are by climate zone, HVAC system type E.g. Insulate Attic - R0 to R38 - Heating Zone 1 (Electric FAF) For 7P, RBSA data are not robust at this level of granularity for baseline saturations In 7P, measures are bundled by HVAC system type at regional level E.g. Insulate Attic – R0 to R38_Electric FAF 13 SF Wx Measures 14 Single-Family Weatherization Parameter Seventh Plan (draft) Unit Savings at busbar (kWh) 35 - 2176 Levelized Cost ($/MWh) $0 – 280 ~$94 weighted avg Baseline EE Saturation Varies by measure Number of Units (20 years) 2.3M Achievable Technical Potential (aMW over 20 years) 100 15 7P Source Summary Measure: Single Family Weatherization Item Methods & Sources Attic, floor, wall Insulation, window, and infiltration improvements Note Energy Savings Calculation Basis SEEM models, RTF ResSFWx_v3 Applicable Stock Existing single-family homes Baseline Saturation Baseline HVAC Loads Permutations Costs RBSA based on existing levels of insulation (grouped) SEEM models Various pre/post R/U/CFM50 values ETO database Measures Described insulation at 45 years, windows 25 yrs, infiltration 15 yrs Measure Life RTF assumptions Savings Shape HVAC Elec Resistance space heat - ELCAP Achievability Ramp Rate Wx programs have had long duration Retro in 10 16