Security of gas supply: The role of gas developments in the Mediterranean region Malta Energy Conference 2014 10-11 July, 2014 “Operators’ Perspectives for Upstream Developments: Risks and Rewards in the Levant Basin” Noble Energy International Ltd 1 Eastern Mediterranean ERATOSTHENES HIGH LEVANT BASIN Cyprus Leviathan Tamar NILE DELTA Noa Mari-B Dead Sea Transform Dalit 2 Major Levant Basin Discoveries Recent Eastern Mediterranean Gas Discoveries KYRENIA ! NAHR AL ASI NA HR AL AS I ! ! NA HR AL AS I Cyprus NA HR AL AS I Vasilikos LIMASSOL ! 185 Km NA HR AL LI TA N I Lebanon NAHR AL LITA NI Syria Block 12 Tamar JORDAN Cyprus A Leviathan Israel Dalit JORDAN HADERA ! Jordan TEL-AVIV ! AD AN SE JO RD ASHDOD ! ASHKELON ! A RIVER Mari-B DE KTIMA ! 3 Levant Basin – History (1) • • • • Major oil and gas activity nearby (Egypt, Libya) Minor oil and gas finds in shallow water Deep water technology was barrier until 1990’s Offshore licensing in region: – – – – – Israel (negotiated awards) Cyprus (2 licensing rounds, in 2008 and 2013) Egypt (Nile Delta, Deep-water licensing rounds) Lebanon (planned licensing rounds) Turkey (negotiated awards) 4 Levant Basin – History (2) • Commercial activities commenced with Noble’s Mari-B natural gas discovery in Israel in 243 m WD, in 2000 (1 TCF) – production started in 2004, supplying domestic power generation • Ultra-deep-water era started with Tamar discovery in 2009, in 1,676 m WD (about 10 TCF, currently producing up to 1 BCFD) • Leviathan discovered in 2010 in about 1,700 m WD, about 19 TCF, currently being appraised • Aphrodite discovered in Cyprus Block 12 in 2011, also in about 1,700 m WD (3.6 to 6 TCF, mean of 5 TCF) • Further drilling planned during 2014 and 2015 in Cyprus’ EEZ 5 Levant Basin Commercialization (1) • Currently about 40 TCF have been discovered in Israel and Cyprus • Tamar has commenced production (subsea tieback to platform, pipeline to shore) • Other fields being appraised • Commercialization concepts under consideration: – – – – – Onshore LNG FLNG CNG Regional pipelines Petrochemical/fertilizer projects 6 Levant Basin Commercialization (2) • Commercialization concepts: Concept Pros Cons • • • • • Onshore LNG FLNG CNG Pipelines Petrochemical/fertilizer Max flexibility Good flexibility Lower Capex, faster Lower Capex, faster Grow local industry Max Capex Max Capex Limited reach Single buyer Require cheap feedstock 7 Levant Basin Hurdles • Physical – Water depth (>2000m to Cyprus, >3000m to Greece) – Rugged, tectonically active seabottom – Distance to shore (can be >180 kms) • Commercial – In some cases, small domestic markets require export projects to justify high development costs – High Capex for LNG – Emerging technology issues for FLNG and CNG – Lack of existing infrastructure 8 Potential Gas Pipeline Route Cyprus Block 12 to Vasilikos 9 Cyprus – Seafloor Tectonics 10 Cyprus – Seafloor Canyons 11 Financing of Energy Projects • Generally, high-Capex oil and gas industry projects require some portion of outside financing • International lenders look for: – Operator with good track record – Government contract with strong stabilization clauses – Sufficient gas resource to cover gas supply contract during the plateau production phase – “Skin in the game,” investment by co-venturers – Alignment between upstream and midstream parties – Well-structured GSPA’s 12 Environmental, Health & Safety (EHS) and Training • EHS – Regulatory environment in East Med is evolving to fully address oil and gas industry activity • REMPEC (Malta) facilitating implementation of offshore regulations • EU Safety Directive being extended to East Med • EU has signed Offshore Protocol for the Med – Establishing Environmental Emergency Management Preparedness and Response capabilities in East Med • Training – In early stages of development for knowledge of the oil and gas industry – Government contract-mandated training programs being implemented – University programs specific to the industry have been initiated 13 Levant Basin Opportunities • Formative hydrocarbons industry – can draw on more established projects in the surrounding regions (e.g. Egypt, Italy) • Good probability of significant quantities of gas being found with additional drilling • Possibility of deep oil • New hydrocarbon projects can develop one or more industry hubs in the Levant Basin • Long-lived hydrocarbon projects can assist in providing economic and political stability to the region, as well as energy resources to markets – Commerce is a great uniter – “All sides have something to gain…and something to lose” 14 The Levant Basin story is just beginning! Thank you for your attention. 15