File - The Portfolio Guru

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The

Portfolio

Guru

 Asset Management

 Portfolio Guru Post

 TheStreet.com Columnist

Portfolio Guru, LLC

Asset Management Services

Fee-Only

• 2% Annual

• Limited PoA

• Low Maintenance

Bespoke

• Separately-

Managed

• Securities

Selected for

Individual Client

Objectives

Cost Efficient

• Buy-and-Hold

• Tax Efficient

• Minimize

Commissions

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

2

The Basic Portfolio Guru Process

Income

Generation

October 7, 2013

Persistent

Reinvestment

Active

Management

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

3

The Basic Portfolio Guru Process

Income

Reinvestment

Wealth

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

4

Active Asset Management

RESEARCH on

Owned/Potential

Securities

• Industry Conferences

• SEC Documents

• Mgmt. Conference Calls

• Industry Publications

• Financial Media

Portfolio Construction

• Allocation by Category

• Industry Weightings

• Income Objective

Day-to-Day

Management

• Daily Analysis of ALL Owned

Securities – News, Financials,

Industry Developments, etc.

• J. Collins Watches/Writes

About Markets on a Daily

Basis

• Client Accounts are NOT

“Churned”…Trading is Kept to a Minimum

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

5

Portfolio Construction

Minimum

Yield

• 8% Annualized

Monthly

Cash Flow

Needs

• MORE Risk Assumed in

Extreme Situations

Age Until

Retirement

• Capital Appreciation vs.

Current Yield

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

6

3 Basic Account Structures

Classic

• Income-Focused

• Mix of Bonds,

Preferreds and High-

Yielding Stocks

• Equity Buy-Writing

MAX Q

• ALL Securities Pay

Monthly

• Maximize Monthly

Income for Special

Needs

• Reinvestment Not

Assumed

YPP

• “Young Person’s

Project”

• Shift From Reliance on Monthly Income

• Seek Out Home Runs

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

7

The “Magic” of Compounding

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

8

The Classic Example:

50 Years of Coca-Cola Stock Returns; Reinvestment vs. Non-Reinvestment

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

9

Strong Model Portfolio Performance:

$100,000 Invested on October 4, 2011 = $132,545 Today

The Guru’s Model Portfolio Value

$135 000

$130 000

$125 000

$120 000

$115 000

$110 000

$105 000

$100 000

$95 000

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

10

The Benefits of ACTIVE Management:

2013 Has Been a Challenging Year for Fixed-Income Managers;

Portfolio Reallocation Has Improved Model Portfolio Results

10/4/2011

12/31/2011

3/30/2012

6/29/2012

9/28/2012

12/31/2012

3/29/2013

6/28/2013

9/30/2013

10/4/2013

Model Portfolio Value Qtr./Qtr. Annual

$100,000

$105,962

$118,491

$123,362

$128,385

$128,426

5.96%

11.82%

4.11%

4.07%

0.03% 21.20%

$133,150

$129,817

$130,527

$132,545

3.68%

-2.50%

0.55%

3.21%

October 7, 2013

Since INCEPTION

ANNUALIZED

32.54%

16.27%

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

11

It Works in “Real Life”

Changes to Guru Client 1’s Account Have Produced Instant Benefits

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

12

Agnostic As to Industry: Follow The Yield

2006-2007: Dry

Bulk Shippers

2007-2008:

Consumer

Goods

2009-2011: Financials

2008-2009:

Crash, Then

Rebirth

2012-2013

Energy

2014/Beyond: Energy; Opportunities

Overseas?

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

13

Portfolio Guru, LLC Invests in Individual Companies:

No ETFs, Mutual Funds, etc.

Company

Fundamentals

Massively

Undervalued?

Security

Selection

October 7, 2013

Keen Analysis

Income

Production

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

14

Love the Company; How Do We Invest In It?

• Preferred Stock

• “Straight” Debt

• High-Yielding

Common

Income

Securities

Equity

Linkage

• “+” Convertible

Preferred/Debt

• “-” Call Option

Writing

• Buy Common

Stock

• Younger Clients

Home Run?

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

15

Case Study: Miller Energy Resources

• Bought Cook Inlet Drilling Assets out of Bankruptcy in 2009

– Very Little Production Entering 2013; “Sidetracking” Old Wells

– High Debt Levels

– Large Short Interest

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

16

Case Study: Miller Energy Resources

• Finding a Catalyst is Always Key to Generating a Winning Position

• Miller’s Catalyst: An Incredibly Productive Well

• June 24, 2013: Miller Announces That Well RU-2A Is Gushing Oil…

– IP rate of >1,200 BB/D; Greater Than Miller’s Prior Total Company-wide

Production Rate

• …Much More to Come

– Potential for 10 More Wells Drilled by April 2014

– Production

• April 2013 1,000 BB/D

• August 2013 3,400 BB/D

• Estimate December 2013 4,000 BB/D

• Estimate April 2014 6,000 BB/D,

– Proved reserves

• April 2013 1.8MM

• April 2014 POTENTIAL >12MM

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

17

Case Study: Miller Energy Resources

• Key to Profitable Investing : Acting Rapidly on Ideas

• Actual J. Collins Quote: “Whoa, This Is Going to Go Bananas!”

• 3 - Step Process

– Place Trades for Clients

– Send E-Mail to PGP Subscribers

– Share Insights on Miller in Real Money Column

• Bought MILL in July/August @ $5-$6.60 per share/wrote calls ($10 strike; Feb 2014)

• 10/4/13: MILL $8.39

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

18

Case Study: Miller Energy Resources

• Key to the Process : Identifying Undervalued Securities

• High Yields Can be an Indicator of Buying Opportunity

• “Found” Miller Energy via the preferred issue (MILL-C)

– MILL-C: $25 Par; 10.75%; convert to MILL @ $10/share

• Bought MILL-C in April/May @ $22.00 To Yield ~14%

• 10/4/13: MILL-C $26.86

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

19

Market Overview

• Stock Market:

Bearish

• Valuation is a Concern:

– S&P 500 YTD: Consensus 2013 EPS DOWN 4.8%, Price UP 15.6%

– P/E Multiple ABOVE Historic Averages; 2014 EPS Estimates TOO HIGH

– Margins at Cycle-High; Revenue Growth Anemic

• Quantitative Easing: the Fed is Driving The Bus

– What Happens When They Taper/Exit…and UNWIND???

• Myriad Governmental Externalities

– Uncertainty About Affordable Care Act Restraining Hiring/Wage Growth

– “D.C. Follies” Are a Huge Risk

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

20

Market Overview

• US Treasury Market: Neutral

• Short Rates: Effectively 0% until 2015

• Cash is Trash

– If You Have $ in Savings/CDs…You Need to ACT

• Long Rates: Likely to Rise, Albeit Gradually

• Quantitative Easing: $3.5 TRILLION and Counting

– No One Knows How To Unwind; It’s Never Been Done Before

– “D.C. Follies” Always a Risk

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

21

Market Overview

• Corporate Fixed-Income: Selectively Bullish

• Special Situations

– High Yield – Generally 8% or Above

– Call-Protected

– Discount to Face Value – Potential Capital Gain

• Mezzanine Still Attractive

– Equity Valuations Rich and H-Y Bonds Yields Near Historic Lows

– Currently Buying/Reinvesting into Preferreds/Convertible

Preferreds for PG, LLC Clients

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

22

Who Is This Man Who Calls Himself Guru?

• 21 Years of Investment Experience

– Completed All Requirements for CFA Charter

• Investment Bank Equity Analyst,1992 - 2002

– Lehman Brothers (NY): Auto Parts

– Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette (NY/London): Autos/Auto Parts

– UBS (London): Autos/Auto Parts/Tyres

• Private Investor, 2002 - Present

– Personal Portfolio Composed Primarily of Income Securities

– Options Trading; Front-Month, Out-of-the-Money a Specialty

• Founded Portfolio Guru, LLC in 2011 to:

– Publish a Newsletter ( The Portfolio Guru Post ) about Income Investing

– Manage Money for Individuals

• Columnist for Real Money at TheStreet.com since May 2013

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

23

Where To Find Jim Collins’ Work

The Portfolio Guru Post

Bi-Weekly Newsletter (subscription)

The Gospel of Income Investing

Company-Specific Analysis

Market Commentary

Model Portfolio Management www.theportfolioguru.com

Jim’s Column is Featured Three Times a Week at

Real Money, the premium portal of TheStreet.com

http://realmoney.thestreet.com/authors/jim-collins

October 7, 2013

Jim Collins Portfolio Guru, LLC www.theportfolioguru.com 646 823 4598 artvandelay@theportfolioguru.com

24

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