Pacific Subtropical High: An Overview Jin-Yi Yu Department of Earth System Science University of California, Irvine The Two Types of ENSO (Yu and Kao 2007; Kao and Yu 2009) Central-Pacific El Niño Eastern-Pacific El Niño Regression-EOF Method for EP/CP-ENSO (Kao and Yu 2009) Eastern-Pacific (EP) ENSO Central-Pacific (CP) ENSO CP-ENSO SST Variations (Yu, Kao, and Lee 2010) -14 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 North Pacific Oscillation (NPO) and Associated SST Anomalies NPO (SLP EOF mode) Correlated SST SST EOF2 Possible Forcing Mechanisms for CP ENSO (Yu et al. 2010) Subtropical forcing Monsoon forcing (Yu et al. 2009) CP ENSO OUTLINES Seasonal Cycle: Maintenance Mechanisms; Summer vs. Winter Interannual Variability: WPSH; El Nino vs. Monsoon Decadal Variability: Before and After 1990; Two Types of El Nino Sea Level Pressure (SLP) July January Zonally Symmetric Circulation View thermally indirect circulation thermally direct circulation JP JS Hadley Cell Ferrel Cell Polar Cell (driven by eddies) L H Equator (warmer) 30° (warm) L 60° (cold) H Pole (colder) Equator Off-Equatorial Heating “ .. We find that moving peak heating even 2 degree off the equator leads to profound asymmetries in the Hadley circulation, with the winter cell amplifying greatly and the summer cell becoming negligible.” --- Lindzen and Hou (1988; JAS) winter hemisphere Vertical Velocity ω500mb(June-August 1994) Northern (summer) subtropical descent Diabatic cooling is larger in the winter hemisphere, not summer Eq (Hoskins 1996) Southern (winter) subtropical descent Subtropical Highs July (northern summer) Localized Highs (summer) A Belt of Highs (winter) Winter subtropical highs can be explained by the Hadley circulation Summer subtropical highs has to be explained in the contect of planetary waves Maintenance Mechanism for the Summertime Subtropical Highs It is still not fully understood how the subtropical highs in the NH summer are forced and maintained dynamically and thermodynamically. In the past, Hadley circulation is used to explain the formation and maintenance of the subtropical highs. However, a zonally symmetric Hadley circulation is supposed to produce a much weaker subtropical subsidence in the summer hemisphere than in the winter hemisphere (Lindzen and Hou 1988). It has been suggested that dynamics of the highs may be better understood in the context of planetary waves rather than in a framework of zonally symmetric circulation. (Miyasaka and Nakamura, 2005; JCLI) Summer Subtropical Highs Asia 35˚N July America H Pacific Ocean Basin Center around 35˚N Reside over the eastern sectors of ocean basins A “cell” not a “belt” of high pressure Isobars almost parallel to the west coasts of the continents H cells extend westward reaching western boundary of the basin Possible Mechanisms - Summer The underlying mechanisms are still disputed: (1) Monsoon-desert mechanism (Rodwell and Hoskins 1996, 2001) (2) Local land-sea thermal contrast (Miyasaka and Nakamura 2005) (3) Diabatic amplification of cloud-reduced radiative cooling (4) Air-sea interaction Monsoon-Desert Mechanism (Rodwell and Hoskins 1996) Asian monsoon Desert/descending 10N 25N Sinking Branches and Deserts (from Weather & Climate) Global Distribution of Deserts (from Global Physical Climatology) Monsoon-Desert Mechanism for North Pacific Asian Monsoon ? North Pacific North American Monsoon Pacific Subtropical High and North American monsoon (Rodwell and Hoskins 2001) ω 674mb ѱ 887mb PE Model Expt. Mountains only 20% of the obs It is demonstrated that the descent over the eastern North Pacific is a Mt + Rossby wave response to the North American summer monsoon N. A. monsoon 43%heating, of the obs which is further enhanced by local North Pacific SSTs. Mt + N. A. monsoon + local cooling from North Pacific 80% of the obs southward extension Mt + N. A. monsoon + local cooling from North Pacific + local Hadley circulation Pacific Subtropical High and Asian monsoon Kelvin Wave In summer, the North Pacific subtropical anticyclonic easterlies are primarily a Kelvin wave response to the east of the Asian monsoon heating. ѱ 887mb Subtropical high extends all the way from Pacific to Atlantic (Rodwell and Hoskins 2001) Asian Monsoon Monsoon-Desert Mechanism descending Asian Monsoon R K Monsoon Heating subtropical high descent North Pacific Subtropical high North American Monsoon Local Sea-Land Contrast Mechanism Subtropical High and Eastern-Boundary Current (Figure from Oceanography by Tom Garrison) Global Surface Currents (from Climate System Modeling) Step 4: Boundary Currents (Figure from Oceanography by Tom Garrison) ESS220 Prof. Jin-Yi Yu Costal Upwelling/Downwelling A result of Ekman transport and mass continuity. (Figure from Oceanography by Tom Garrison) ESS220 Prof. Jin-Yi Yu Eastern Boundary Current Cold water from higher latitude ocean. Costal upwelling associated with subtropical high pressure system. (from Global Physical Climatology) Atmospheric subsidence produce persistent stratiform clouds, which further cool down SSTs by blocking solar radiation. ESS220 Prof. Jin-Yi Yu Local Sea-Land Contrast Mechanism ESS220 Prof. Jin-Yi Yu Local Sea-Land Contrast Mechanism (Deep vs. Shallow Heating) deep monsoon convection “The authors demonstrate through numerical experiments that those (i.e. subtropical) highs can be reproduced in response to a local shallow cooling–heating couplet associated with this thermal contrast, ........... Since each of the subtropical highs can be reproduced reasonably well, even for the premonsoon season (i.e., May), in response to a local shallow land–sea heating contrast, it is shallow sea-land contract convection suggested that the monsoonal convective heating may not necessarily be a significant direct forcing factor for the formation of the summertime subtropical highs.” (Miyasaka and Nakamura 2005) Cool NE Pacific Warm North America Pacific Subtropical High and Local Land-Sea Contrast SLP (Miyasaka and Nakamura 2005) PE Model Expt. Global Heating Lower Tropospheric Heating 20˚-50˚N Heating (no tropical heating) cooling heating Local Heating (no Asian monsoon heating) 70% of the obs Local Sea-Land Contrast Mechanism SUMMER (Miyasaka and Nakamura, 2005) North Pacific Subtropical High (NPSH) WPSH has profound impacts on EASM and typhoon. Seasonal Evolution of NPSH August June (from Lu and Dong 2001) The northward shift of WPSH affects the onset and retreat of the EASM. WPSH vs. Monsoon & Typhoon An enhanced WPSH signifies reduced TS days in the subtropical andyears) decreased numbers of years) TSs that (extremely WNP strong WPSH (extremely weak WPSH impact East Asian (Japan, Korea, and East China) coastal areas. (from Wang et al. 2013) Possible Causes for the Interannual WPSH Variability WPSH ENSO Indian Ocean Wrming Others EOF Modes of Interannual WPSH Variability (from Wang et al. 2013) EOF 1 IO warming Pacific cooling EOF 2 Developing CP La Nina WPSH and W. Pacific Warm Pool (Lu and Dong 2001) Vertical Structure of WPSH + - westward extension + + suppressed convection monsoon SST<0 ENSO Interannual Variability of WPSH Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) (Sui et al. 2007) (Lu and Dong 2001) NPSH shows a remarkable zonal extension/contraction over the western Pacific on interannual timescales. Two Bands of WPSH (Sui et al. 2007) sinking rising Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH) 3-5yr Walker circulation ENSO 2.5yr Hadley circulation TBO sinking rising Tropospheric Biennial Oscillation (TBO) (from Meehl and Arblaster 2002) Decadal Changes in the Two Bands of WPSH 2.5yr (monsoon-dominated) 3-5yr (ENSO-related) (Sui et al. 2007) 1990 Decadal Change in EASM-WNPSM Relation (Kwon et al. 2005) more negatively correlated after 1993 Precipitation anomalies - ENSO WNPSM - Two Mode of WPSH Variability - ENSO (Kwon et al. 2005) WNPSM - sinking rising (Sui et al. 2007) sinking rising (Wang et al. 2013) Decadal Change in EA-WNP Summer Monsoon and El Nino Relation (Yim et al. 2008) ENSO-Related Mode ENSO Eastern-Pacific El Nino Before 1993 After 1993 Monsoon-Related Mode WNPSM Central-Pacific El Nino (Yu, Lu, and Kim 2012) Walker Circulation Hadley Circulation before 1990 Hadley Circulation Strength (m/sec) Walker Circulation Strength (×10-1 Pa/sec) El Niño shifted from EP to CP after 1990 after 1990 before 1990 NPO The increased extratropical forcing to the tropics CP EP the recent after 1990 is a likely cause for emergence of the Central-Pacific El Niño. after 1990 before 1990 NPO and Tropical Pacific SST Variations NPO CP EP NPO(5-year Index and Niño Index running means; using CFS Reanalysis) 1990 NPO After 1990 Niño4 Before 1990 Central T. Pacific SSTA is less related to extratropical atmosphere, but more related to eastern tropical Pacific. Niño3 1990 Central Pacific SSTA is closely related to Extratropical atmosphere (i.e. NPO), but less related to eastern tropical Pacific. EP/CP-ENSO Correlates with SLP (Kao and Yu 2009) Walker Circulation EP ENSO CP ENSO Hadley Circulation Central-Pacific SST Variability NPO after 1990 CP EP before 1990 The increased extratropical forcing to the tropics after 1990 is a likely cause for the recent emergence of the Central-Pacific El Niño. WPSH and the Two Types of El Nino (Yu et al. 2010) WPSH Monsoon forcing (Yu et al. 2009) Subtropical forcing CP ENSO Interdecadal Variability (Zou et al. 2009; JCLI) WPSH has extended westward since the last 1970s shifted rain bands in China more rainfalls in the south and less rainfalls in the North Causes unknown, but may be related to the forcing from Indo-Pacific Ocean. Asian Monsoon Hadley Circulation Walker Circulation before 1990 after 1990 Hadley Circulation Strength (m/sec) Walker Circulation Strength (×10-1 Pa/sec) Strength of Walker/Hadley Circulation after 1990 before 1990 HC : [v200mb]-[v850mb] averaged over Pacific 120E-80W along 10N WC : 500mb vertical velocity difference b/w (180W-120W) and (100E-150E) along equator Diabatic Heating (June-August 1994) Northern (summer) subtropical cooling Diabatic cooling is larger in the winter hemisphere, not summer Eq (Hoskins 1996) Southern (winter) subtropical cooling How Many Monsoons Worldwide? North America Monsoon Asian Monsoon Australian Monsoon South America Monsoon (figure from Weather & Climate) Africa Monsoon Seasonal Cycle of Rainfall (from IRI) Indian Monsoon Australian Monsoon Gill’s Response to Symmetric Heating (from Gill 1980) • This response consists of a eastward-propagating Kelvin wave to the east of the symmetric heating and a westward-propagating Rossby wave of n=1 to the west. • The Kelvin wave low-level easterlies to the east of the heating, while the Rossby wave produces low-level westerlies to the west. • The easterlies are trapped to the equator due to the property of the Kelvin wave. • The n=1 Rossby wave consists of two cyclones symmetric and straddling the equator. • The meridional scale of this response is controlled by the equatorial Rossby radius, which is related to the β-effect and the stability and is typically of the order of 1000km. ESS228 Prof. Jin-Yi Yu Climate Roles of WPSH Linking Asian summer monsoon to tropical forcing (i.e., El Nino) Influencing the transport of water vapor into East Asia