Fire Effects Planning Framework
PROPOSED Agenda
-Overview and orientation (powerpoint presentation)
- Gather/process/analyze data (working meeting)
- fire behavior
- fire effects
- crosswalk creation
- Create Map Library (subsequent task by individual forest)
Working session
Richfield, UT 12/7-8/06
Fire Effects Planning Framework (FEPF)
Landscape
Dynamics
Simulation Models
5
1
Identify resources of
interest
Identify associated
vegetative attributes
Update
vegetative attributes
post-season
3
Crosswalk
fire behavior to fire effects on
values/objectives
Vegetative
attributes
Fire
Behavior
Fire Effects
Desirability
Source
Identify fire ecology
Species
2
Size/
Structure
Crown fire
potential
1st Order
Fire Effects
Effect on
whitebark pine
Mapping
Multiplier
Information
Source
Seed/sap
1, 2, or 3
High
Undesirable Effects
WB established but
not reproducing yet
-1
Tomback et al.
2001,
FOFEM
Model
fire behavior
Based on FireFamilyPlus weather analysis for
Energy Release Component
FlamMap
99th%
90th%
4
80th%
WB-only
Create map library for
- land, fuels, fire planning,
- AMR/WFU activities
• Fire Behavior
Extreme – 99%
High – 90%
Moderate – 80%
All except
seed/sap
1,2, or 3
High
Desirable Effects
restore native fire
regime
+1000
BITTERROOT NATIONAL FOREST
Fire Effects Planning Framework
Tomback et al.
2001,
FOFEM
• Effects on Lynx
foraging habitat
Extreme – 99%
2004 Fire Effects
Map Library
High – 90%
Moderate – 80%
• Effects on
Whitebark pine
Extreme – 99%
High – 90%
Moderate – 80%
2 or 3
All other
species
High
Highly Desirable
Effects provide
potential WB habitat
+100
Keane, Arno
Pers. Comm.
Photograph by Steve Sutherland; 2 years post-fire
All
With the proper input the
Fire Effects Planning
Framework (FEPF) will
give you information on
whether a given ignition - will
or will not meet a set of
objectives.
objectives with
this ignition? IGNITION
input
Fire Effects
Planning
Framework
input
NFDRS Plans Useful for
determining
appropriate
weather
station, key
thresholds, i.e.
season
ending/slowing
events.
NFDRS Plan
Output
LMP Objectives
Will we meet
Land
Management
Plan
Objectives –
Where all
Forest Service
unplanned
ignition
objectives
come from..
Step 1: Gather data and Identify key conditions
Fire Weather
* weather thresholds (FMP)
* weather stations
* fire behavior parameter for fire mgmt
(ERC, BI, FL …)
Resource issues
* current and desired condition
* map-able attributes
species/habitat relationship (wildlife)
* fire ecology
* fire behavior parameter for effects
(ERC, BI, FL …)
GIS DATA SETS
* Farsite set (topography, fuels, vegetation
canopy fuels)
* resource data layers
Step 2: Model Fire Behavior
Weather data
Farsite/FLAMMAP (.txt)
FireFamilyPlus
Threshold %’s
80, 90, 99th%
Seasonal %’s
.wnd, .wtr, .fms
Fuels data (LANDFIRE)
PVTGROUP
1
Vegetation/
Imagery
2
3
4
PVT GROUP NAME
Upper Subalpine Forest
Lower Subalpine Forest - Mesic
Canopy Fuels
HT_GRP
G1,G2
D3, E2
Lower Subalpine Forest - Xeric
F1, F2
Upper Montane Forest - Mesic
C2, D2
Fuel Model
Upper Montane Forest - Xeric
C1
6
Lower Montane Forest - Mesic
B2, B3
7
Lower Montane Forest - Xeric
8
11
Upper Subalpine Shrub - Herbaceous
Lower Montane Shrub - Herbaceous
13
Agricultural
14
Urban/Barren
XX4
15
Water
XX5
5
Crosswalk
A2, B1
NF5
NF1,NF2A,
NF2, NF4
XX1
Fuel Model
Stand Height
Crown Bulk Density
Crown Base Height
Canopy Cover
Step 2: Model Fire Behavior
Weather data
Farsite/FLAMMAP (.txt)
FireFamilyPlus
OUTPUTS
INPUTS
Threshold %’s
80, 90, 99th%
Seasonal %’s
.wnd, .wtr, .fms
Fuels data (LANDFIRE)
PVTGROUP
1
Vegetation/
Imagery
2
3
4
PVT GROUP NAME
Upper Subalpine Forest
Lower Subalpine Forest - Mesic
Canopy Fuels
HT_GRP
G1,G2
D3, E2
Lower Subalpine Forest - Xeric
F1, F2
Upper Montane Forest - Mesic
C2, D2
Fuel Model
Upper Montane Forest - Xeric
C1
6
Lower Montane Forest - Mesic
B2, B3
7
Lower Montane Forest - Xeric
8
11
Upper Subalpine Shrub - Herbaceous
Lower Montane Shrub - Herbaceous
13
Agricultural
14
Urban/Barren
XX4
15
Water
XX5
5
Crosswalk
A2, B1
NF5
NF1,NF2A,
NF2, NF4
XX1
Fuel Model
Stand Height
Crown Bulk Density
Crown Base Height
Canopy Cover
Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks
Species/
Species Mix
WB, DF, L, PP, LP,
L-mixes, DF-mixes, PPmixes
Size/
Structure
Fire
Severity
Fire
Behavior
Single story
Low
1
-1
-1
-1
Single story
Mixed
2
1
1
-10
Single or multi-story
High
3
-1
10
10
Single story
Low
1
-1
-1
-1
Single story
Mixed
2
1
1
-10
Single or multi-story
High
3
-1
10
10
Single story
Mixed
2
1
1
-10
Single or multi-story
High
3
-1
10
10
Seed/sap
High
3
-1
10
10
All
Mixed or
High
2 or 3
-10
1
1
No Burn
0
Physical habitat characteristics
Mixtures of DF,
ES,AF, WB, LP,
AL, L, GF
Ecological Fire Behavior
ES, GF,AL, C, QA,
WH, MH, AF, CW
Physical Fire Behavior
All forested
Shrubs
0-14years
post-fire
15-39 years
post-fire
40+years
post-fire
Fire effects on target
1
-10
over -10time
Non-stocked, nonforest, forbs, grasses
All
Low,
Mixed, No
Burn
0,1, or 2
-1
-1
-1
Unburnable,
Agriculture, No
Data
n/a
All
0,1,2,or 3
0
0
0
Illustrative only
Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks
Species/
Species Mix
WB, DF, L, PP, LP,
L-mixes, DF-mixes, PPmixes
Size/
Structure
Fire
Severity
Fire
Behavior
Single story
Low
1
-1
-1
-1
Single story
Mixed
2
1
1
-10
Single or multi-story
High
3
-1
10
10
Single story
Low
1
-1
-1
-1
Single story
Mixed
2
1
1
-10
Single or multi-story
High
3
-1
10
10
Single story
Mixed
2
Single or multi-story
High
3
Stored as
1 set of-10rules
or as10 .txt file
-1
10
Seed/sap
High
3
-1
10
10
All
Mixed or
High
2 or 3
-10
1
1
No Burn
0
Physical habitat characteristics
Mixtures of DF,
ES,AF, WB, LP,
AL, L, GF
Ecological Fire Behavior
ES, GF,AL, C, QA,
WH, MH, AF, CW
Physical Fire Behavior
All forested
Shrubs
0-14years
post-fire
15-39 years
post-fire
40+years
post-fire
1
Fire effects on target
1
-10
over -10time
Non-stocked, nonforest, forbs, grasses
All
Low,
Mixed, No
Burn
0,1, or 2
-1
-1
-1
Unburnable,
Agriculture, No
Data
n/a
All
0,1,2,or 3
0
0
0
Illustrative only
Step 3: Merge to create Fire Effects Crosswalks
Species/
Species Mix
WB, DF, L, PP, LP,
L-mixes, DF-mixes, PPmixes
Size/
Structure
Fire
Severity
Fire
Behavior
Single story
Low
1
-1
-1
-1
Single story
Mixed
2
1
1
-10
Single or multi-story
High
3
-1
10
10
Single story
Low
1
-1
-1
-1
1
1
-10
-1
10
10
Physical habitat characteristics
Mixtures of DF,
ES,AF, WB, LP,
AL, L, GF
FOFEM 2
Single or multi-story
High
FVS-FFE 3
Ecological Fire Behavior
SIMPPLLE
Single story
Mixed
2
ES, GF,AL, C, QA,
WH, MH, AF, CW
WHRM
Single or multi-story
High
3
URM
Physical Fire Behavior
Seed/sap
High
3
All forested
Publications
All
Mixed
or
2 or 3
Shrubs
Expert
Systems
High
Single story
Mixed
No Burn
0
0-14years
post-fire
15-39 years
post-fire
40+years
post-fire
Stored as
1 set of-10rules
or as10 .txt file
-1
10
1
-1
10
10
-10
1
1
Fire effects on target
1
-10
over -10time
Non-stocked, nonforest, forbs, grasses
All
Low,
Mixed, No
Burn
0,1, or 2
-1
-1
-1
Unburnable,
Agriculture, No
Data
n/a
All
0,1,2,or 3
0
0
0
Illustrative only
Step 4a: Create Fire Behavior Library
FlamMap
99th%
Crown Fire Potential
Rate of Spread
Fireline Intensity
90th%
80th%
Step 4b: Create Fire Effects Library
Restoration/Fuels
Fire Behavior
Library
99th%
90th%
80th%
Lynx
Aquatics
Fire Fighter
Safety
Cavity Nester
Initial vegetation
Fire effects
on
vegetation
Lynx habitat
Fire effects
on
Lynx habitat
Uses:
Set fuel treatment
priorities
Fire Effects
Library
99th%
90th%
80th%
Uses: Model alternatives and future consequences
This example shows use of
SIMPPLLE
FVS-FFE can also be used.
Uses: Go/NoGo
(WFIP analyses)
cost containment
Quantify benefits or
reductions in risk within
MMA
Incident Support
Consider potential benefits
when determining
suppression strategy by
flank
Maps are draft, and illustrative only
Uses: Map Library for Fire Planning
BITTERROOT NATIONAL FOREST
2004 Fire Effects
Map Library
•
•
Fire Behavior
Fire Effects
Fire Effects Planning Framework
Working session
Resources
FEPF website search on Fire Effects Planning Framework
User’s Guide
Bitterroot Map Library
Fire Behavior Examples
Flammap (Bitterroot)
Farsite (Dixie)
FOFEM/ expert opinion (Yellowstone NP)
Resource Examples
Lynx (Bitterroot)
Ponderosa pine (Dixie)
Aspen (Dixie)
Whitebark pine (Bitterroot, Yellowstone)
http://leopold.wilderness.net/research/fprojects/fepf/
Richfield, UT 12/7-8/06
What does it really take to make
this work?
•
•
•
•
Resource Objectives (conf. call, meeting)
Weather (station, time period)
Vegetation data (local vs. LANDFIRE)
Calibration (vegetation, fire behavior, fire
effects)