台灣債劵市場及寶島債之 發展潛力與展望 王張財 副總裁 客戶關係管理部 四月, 2014 Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Standard & Poor’s. Copyright © 2014 by Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC. All rights reserved. 台灣債劵市場及寶島債之發展潛力與展望 公司債、金融債及可轉換公司債發行量趨於 穩定 新的籌資工具興起-人民幣債劵 投資人須知-發行體評等與債務發行評等的差異 性 2 公司債、金融債劵及可轉換公司債發行量趨於穩定 現況: 1.2013年債劵發行量低於2012年,主因為金融債發行的減少 2.QE退場時間不明,使無立即資金需求之企業或金融機構,延後發行 3.較低評級企業。在債劵發行時,仍有銷售上的困難,twA-投資人內規依舊存在。 4.2013年進入可轉債市場發債發行體數量有所增加,但每筆可轉債發行量相對較小。 展望: 1. 2014年本國發行體新債發行量應與去年(2013),但還是以大型企業債務發行為主 2. 國內外經濟前景改善,企業籌措資金因應業務所需。公司債為其選項之一 3. 經濟復甦及QE退場時間可能趨近,企業借款選擇成本較為固定方式籌資 4. 2013年金融債劵新債發行量減少情況,2014年將不復見,而維持穩定 5. 受評等級較高的發行體仍將是公司債新債發行量的主要來源,但期望低評等等級企 業能有所突破。 6. 因台灣經濟回復,可轉債市場的供需會有所成長。 台灣債劵市場發行量概況(公司債與金融債劵) 公司債發行概況(依評等等級分) 5 台灣可換債與交換債市場現況 公司債殖利率與公債利率比較(依評等分) 新的籌資工具興起-人民幣債劵 一. 現況 2013年的公司債與金融債劵新債發行總量中,國際債劵的占比已由2012年時的1%, 大幅提高至10%。且2013年國際新債發行量,97%屬於人民幣計價債劵。 二. 限制 1.間接金融籌資管道偏低的利率水準 2.發行體的限制,目前分為三類。 3.離岸發行人民幣計價債劵,暫無法將資金匯回中國運用(需透過申請) 三. 需求 1. 有海外營運業務的國企業及海外機構可選擇在台發行人民幣債劵 2.較低的融資成本 3. 如發行於專業版,審核及申報的法規較以往簡便許多,如無需事前取得金 管會及央行核准….等等。 寶島債市場發行現況-1 2013年上半年共有6檔寶島債,金額為39億人民幣 發行機構 發行日期 產業 年期 票面利率 (%) 發行人評等/ 債務發行評等 發行金額 (億元) 中國信託 2013/03/12 銀行 3 2.9 A 10 遠東新世紀 2013/05/16 紡織 3 2.95 twA+ 5 東元電機 2013/05/20 電機 3 3.00 twA 3 彰化銀行 2013/05/29 銀行 3 2.90 twAA 10 德意志銀行 2013/06/21 銀行 3 2.45 A+ 10 德意志銀行 2013/06/21 銀行 5 2.45 A+ 1 寶島債市場發行現況-2 2013年下半年共有4家陸資銀行來台發行寶島債,金額為67億人民幣 發行機構 發行日期 產業 年期 票面利率 (%) 發行人評等/ 債務發行評等 發行金額 (億元) 交通銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 3 3.40 A- 8 交通銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 5 3.70 A- 4 農業銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 3 3.30 A 12.5 農業銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 5 3.60 A 2.5 中國銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 2 3.15 A 10 中國銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 3 3.25 A 10 建設銀行 香港分行 2013/12/10 銀行 3 3.25 A 20 寶島債市場發行現況-3 2014年現有2檔寶島債發行,金額為15億人民幣 發行機構 發行日期 產業 年期 票面利率 (%) 發行人評等/ 債務發行評等 發行金額 (億元) 統一中控 2014/01/23 食品 3 3.60 twAA- 10 韓國進出口 銀行 2014/01/27 銀行 10 4.50 Aa3 5 發行體評等與債務發行評等的差異 1. 發行體信用評等: 通常是反映一家公司對其所有財務上的義務發生違約的 可能性 2. 債務發行評等: 綜合考量受評債務的違約風險,以及債權人在發行體發生 破產情境時相對的求償順位 3. 債務信用評等是有可能低於、等於或高於發行體評等,端看有無擔保、債 權順位及違約時債權回收比率高低而定。 4. 是以債權人的觀點而非投資觀點審視受評公司,故有時會與市場其他的參 與者不同的觀點 5. 評等不是對特有的有價證劵買、賣或持有之推薦意見 . 12 Thank You 王張財 副總裁 客戶關係管理部 T: 02-8722-5888| F: 02-8722-5879 Emaii: jason.wang@taiwanratings.com.tw Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the prior written approval of Taiwan Ratings Corporation. 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