Fernando Henrique Cardoso The Slide Show Ted Goertzel http://crab.rutgers.edu/~goertzel FHC: Scion of the Aristocracy Parents and siblings Father beside a bust of FHC’s grandfather. Grandfather on his white horse FHC: son, grandson, husband and father FHC: The Translator From left to right: Rui Coelho, Bento Prado, Jean Paul Sartre, Simone de Beauvoir, Fernando Henrique, a student and Luis Meyer. FHC: the exile. In Chile where he wrote his most influential book with Enzo Faletto FHC: the professor. A class at the University of São Paulo FHC: the political strategist with Lula da Silva FHC: the Senator FHC: the orator Campaigning for Direct Elections Now! FHC: the economic reformer Introducing Brazil’s new currency, the real. Inflation 1983-2001 (Monthly Broad National Consumer Price Index - IPCA ) 82% 47% 37% 26% 21% 20% 14% Source: IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) The Cardoso Effect: Monthly Inflation Rates Jun-01 Jun-00 Jun-99 Jun-98 Jun-97 Jun-96 Jun-95 Jun-94 Jun-93 Jun-92 Jun-91 Jun-90 Jun-89 Jun-88 Jun-87 Jun-86 Jun-85 Jun-84 Jun-83 10% FHC: The Inauguration FHC: the President FHC: The Caricature WARNING! Do not be fooled by the wolf dressed in sheep’s clothing. He wants to privatize public services. The Federal Government’s Administrative Reform proposal will weaken the Brazilian State. We will revive the public service with professional training for public servants and better use of the contributors’ money. Only in this way will we have schools, hospitals, police services… of good qualify for all. Wake up while there is still time, because the bite of the wolf is near!!! Movement to Defend the Public Service FHC: the wolf in sheep’s clothing Parliamentary Front in Defense of the Public Service Minimum salary/basic basket ratio 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 Jun-01 Jun-00 Jun-99 Jun-98 Jun-97 Jun-96 Jun-95 Jun-94 0.6 Source: DIEESE (Inter-Trade Union Department of Statistics and Socio-economic Studies) The Cardoso Effect: the minimum salary buys more food 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 1990 1995 2001 2002 The Cardoso Effect: Infant Mortality Rates With Fidel Castro and Caesar Chavez With Bill Clinton FHC: world statesman With Mario Soarez With Jacque Chirac FHC: book launcher. With Ruth Cardoso at the launching of the Portuguese edition of his biography by Ted Goertzel. FHC the Democratic Transition FHC: the successor: Luis Inácio Lula da Silva Lula da Silva: • Grew up in extreme poverty • Raised by single mother • Life a “Horatio Alger” story of social mobility through hard work Lula at 3 years old with sister Maria. The clothes and shoes were loaned to him for the photograph. Questions: • What difference, if any, does such a sharp difference in personal biography make? • In what ways will Fernando Henrique Cardoso’s legacy be continued under Lula da Silva? • What changes can be expected due to the change in leadership? Leadership Traits • Strength - FHC and Lula are both strong leaders working in a democratic framework • Competence - FHC is exceptionally competent, Lula relies more on advisors • Communicating Empathy - Lula is exceptionally good at communicating empathy, FHC finds it difficult Bottom Line: • Lula is continuing FHC’s policies despite the difference in personal and party affiliations because they are the right policies • Lula is more popular because of his expressiveness and his personal history • Lula owes FHC an apology for adopting his whole program after years of denouncing it Lula: Communicating feelings At a press conference with Finance Minister Antonio Palocci FHC: the books FHC: the movie available from a link on Ted Goertzel’s FHC WEB site (from the World Bank). FHC: The WEB site. Includes this Slide Show. Just type Fernando Henrique Cardoso and Goertzel in Google. http://crab.rutgers.edu/~goertzel/fhc.htm