Creating Pathways to Prosperity: An Update on the Pathways Project William C. Symonds Director, Pathways to Prosperity Project Harvard Graduate School of Education NCPN CONFERENCE Richmond, Virgina October 19, 2012 1 The Pathways Project: A Brief Review • LAUNCHED: FALL 2008 *Two Key Questions *The Research Phase • THE REPORT * Release: February, 2011 * Response 2 RESPONSE to the Pathways Report • NATIONAL: *More than 30 states *Red AND Blue States • EVERY GEOGRAPY * New England/ Mid-Atlantic * Midwest * West * Southwest and South 3 THE CALIFORNIA RESPONSE • Pathways Conference: Cisco; January, 2010 • Community Meetings: **Napa **Sonoma County/ Santa Rosa **Palo Alto • Santa Clara County CTE Conference: 2010-12 • CTA Conference: Los Angeles • Pathways Network: **San Bernardino **Long Beach 4 THE WISCONSIN RESPONSE • • • • • • • • Wisconsin Legislature : Family Impact Seminar sySTEM Now Conference: Milwaukee Project Lead the Way Conference: Pewaukee Fond du Lac/ Moraine Park TC Appleton Greater Milwaukee Committee Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Manpower 5 WHY IS THERE SO MUCH INTEREST? • The Record of School Reform: Disappointing at Best • The American Dream is at Risk: **Near-record youth unemployment: 53% grad unemployment/underemployment **Soaring student debt **Middle class under pressure: Median income back to mid-90s • THE BOTTOM LINE: A HUGE CHALLENGE AND A BIG OPPORTUNITY 6 What is the Pathways Challenge? The United States is increasingly failing to prepare young people to lead successful live as adults: • The Key Role of Education in the American Century • We have lost our global leadership in educational attainment and achievement • Teen and young adults (20-24) are increasingly unable to find work • Mounting social problems: Youth poverty; decline of the family; huge economic challenges • THE DANGER: A WASTED GENERATION 7 College for All does not mean everyone needs a B.A. Even in this decade most jobs do not require a B.A. Source: March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018. 8 Good Jobs that DON’T require a B.A. • What is a “Middle-Skill” job? **Education beyond HS, but less than BA **Pay Middle-Class Wages: $35,000 to $95,000 • There are 29 Million Middle Jobs **More than 11 million pay $50,000-plus • EXAMPLES: **Healthcare: Radiation Therapists; Dental Hygienist; EMTs **Blue-Collar: Commercial and industrial construction; Power plant operators **IT: Including IBM 9 What is the right goal for the U.S.? “College for All” needs to be broadened to mean a meaningful “post-high school credential” for all A meaningful credential can be earned in many ways: • Community college/Technical College • Apprenticeships • The military/community service • Four year college 10 Stagnant High School Graduation Rates Despite two decades of reform, H.S. graduation rates have not changed much since the 1980s Note: Does not include GED recipients. Unless indicated, does not include recent immigrants. Rates are for age group of 20-24 or 25-29 dependant on their age at the time of census Source: Heckman and LaFountaine (2007), U.S. Census data, and other sources 11 U.S. “on time” college completion rates are alarmingly low Note: Two-year schools have a three year graduation window. Four-year schools have a six-year window Source: Higher Ed info-NCES/IPEDS Graduation Survey. 12 The current U.S. reality: only 40% of 27-year olds have earned an A.A. degree or higher Note: Represents data collected in surveys between 2006-2008; GED is approximation based on data from GED Testing Program. Source: Current Population Survey Annual Social and Economic Supplement. 13 Are our youth Career Ready? U.S. Employers increasingly complain that young adults lack “21st Century Skills”: • “Are They Ready To Work?” Report • Partnership for 21st Century Skills • Tony Wagner’s “Seven Survival Skills” 14 Shrinking employment opportunities: Teens and Young Adults have been hit the hardest by the Great Recession Source: Center for Labor Market Studies; U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, “CPS Labor Force Statistics”. 15 Why Are We Failing To Prepare So Many Youth? • Our focus has been too narrow • We need a broader, more holistic system of Pathways to Prosperity 16 Lessons from Abroad 17 In many European countries over half of upper secondary students are in vocational educational and training Source: OECD (2008), Education at a Glance 2008, OECD indicators, Table C1.1, OECD, Paris. 18 The Case for Vocational Education Training Pedagogical • Best way for many young people to learn • Apprenticeships support developmental needs of young people Higher attainment • Many countries with best VET systems surpass the U.S. Finding work • Facilitates transition to labor market 19 The Bottom Line • Foreign systems are far from perfect, and cannot be imported directly to the U.S. • BUT: The U.S. is increasingly an outlier on vocational education • We can use the principles and practices of the best VET systems to develop an improved American approach 20 THE ROAD TO A PATHWAYS SYSTEM 1. Multiple Pathways 2. An Expanded Role for Employers 3. A new Social Compact with Young People 21 Multiple Pathways Key Elements: • Elevate career education to world-class levels • Provide high-quality career counseling • Greatly expand and improve opportunities for work-based learning 22 Expanded Role for Employers Goal: Businesses need to become full partners in the Pathways system. Key roles for business/employers: • Career guidance • Designing/developing Programs of Study • Providing Opportunities for Work-based learning and Work 23 The Payoff from a Better Pathways System: • FOR STUDENTS: more options; easier transition to work; higher engagement/attainment • FOR PARENTS: less financial stress/debt • FOR EMPLOYERS: A strengthened pipeline; better-prepared workers; new ways to give back • FOR COMMUNITIES: A stronger social fabric; a more vibrant economy; fewer social problems 24 STATES TAKING THE LEAD 25 The Goal: World-Class CTE • “The Massachusetts Model:” Public School Choice **How It Works **The Pay-Off **Boston: Can it work in Urban America? • Oklahoma Technology Centers: Providing excellence despite a Red State philosophy • Tennessee Technology Centers: Who says 2-year colleges can’t have high graduation rates? 26 The Illinois Pathways Initiative • ORIGINS: A Direct Response to Pathways • The Framework: **Learning Exchanges: true business-education partnerships **Focused on high-demand careers: Manufacturing; IT; Health Science; R&D; Ag **Funding: RTT plus Industry Match • TIMELINE: **Formal Launch: February, 2012 **Exchanges selected: September **Three-year rollout 27 The Policy Response: • WASHINGTON: Career Pathways Act **Key provisions: --Promotes Career Exploration; encourages students to select Career Majors --Promotes work-based learning --Encourages multiple Pathways • NEW YORK REGENTS: **The question: How do we define College and Career Readiness **The answer: Alter existing assessments 28 FORGING A SOCIAL COMPACT • BUILDING AWARENESS/ WILL THROUGH PATHWAYS CONFERENCES: **Nebraska/ Minnesota/ Wisconsin **NH/ Rhode Island/ Hawaii • THE PATHWAYS TO PROSPERITY NETWORK **6 STATES PLUS SOME CALIFORNIA **MAPPING EXERCISE **THE NEXT CHALLENGE 29 EXEMPLARS FROM ABROAD • CHAMPIONS OF THE “DUAL SYSTEM:” SWITZERLAND-GERMANY: **VAST CHOICE OF CAREERS **EXTENSIVE EMPLOYER INVOLVEMENT **INTEGRATION OF ACADEMIC/VOCATIONAL • GROWING INTEREST IN FAST-GROWING COUNTRIES: BRAZIL: **DOUBLING ENROLLMENT **RAISING STANDARDS 30 NEXT STEPS FOR PATHWAYS • “CREATING PATHWAYS TO PROSPERITY:” * National conference: At Harvard :March 18-19 *Who Will Attend --Teams from Many States --Partner organizations --Business and Gov’t Leaders *Goals • EXPAND THE PATHWAYS NETWORK 31 QUESTIONS FOR REFLECTION • How Can we Build a National Movement? **Overcoming the Cultural Barriers **Instilling “Pathways” Thinking into schools and colleges • How Can We Engage Business? **In Career Advising **In POS Development **In providing Work-based learning • What Can You do in Your Region • How can you get involved Nationally? 32