SEM Data Team August 2012 Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention Students and the state are not well served by an empty promise of college access without completion. A more productive higher education system will increase student success and safeguard college affordability. Increasing college completion and productivity need not come at the expense of academic quality • • • • • • • • • Degree Completion Remediation Success Student Persistence On-Time Completion Cost Per Degree Student Debt Learning Outcomes Transfer Return on Investment Source: ICHE Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention Projected Shared of Total Population by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC) Projected Population Change by Age Group, 2010 to 2050 (per IBRC) By 2014-15, Hispanics are expected to represent 8% of HS Graduates (up from 3% in 2004-05). African-Americans – 9% (up from 8% in 2004-05) Source: Western Intestate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE) Source: Indiana Department of Education Increase in graduates passing AP exams: ◦ 7.5 percent in 2006 vs 14.0 percent in 2011 Increase in Dual Credit Course-Taking ◦ 10,000 in 2006 to over 43,000 students in 2011 Remediation Rates – 2011 HS Graduates ◦ General Diploma Graduates – 66% ◦ Core40 Graduates - 38% ◦ Core40 with Honors Graduates – 7% One in four Indiana college students enrolled in remediation will earn a degree within 6 years Source: Complete College America, 2011 National SAT Scores 520 Indiana SAT Scores 515 500 510 505 500 507 510 514 514 501 497 501 493 490 497 2007 493 495 489 490 483 480 475 2011 2011 470 485 460 480 475 450 Critical Reading Mathematics Writing Critical Reading Mathematics Writing ISU SAT Scores 480 470 Source: College Board 473 467 467 461 460 455 450 443 2007 2011 440 430 420 Critical Reading 2007 Mathematics Writing Source: National Student Clearinghouse 60,000 ISU largest 1yr change (9.4%) USI largest 5yr change (13.2%) 50,000 40,000 FY06 30,000 FY10 FY11 20,000 10,000 0 IU- B PU - WL IUPUI BSU ISU USI Ivy Tech 67% 5yr change VU 42% 5yr change ICI – 14% 5yr change (Fall) Source: ICHE 50% ISU 40% IUPUI 30% USI 20% BSU 10% P-WL IU-B 0% % Pell % Underrep. Recipients Minority Illinois State Source: IPEDS (2010). Fall Undergraduate Enrollment 100% 80% 60% No Distance 40% Combination Distance Only 20% 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 25% enrolled in at least one distance course For the calendar year, 30% (15% distance only) Fall Graduate Enrollment 100% 80% 60% No Distance 40% Combination 20% Distance Only 0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 UG Distance Only by Age 400 350 300 0-25 250 200 26-30 150 31-40 100 41+ 50 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 UG Combination by Age 1400 1200 1000 0-25 800 26-30 600 31-40 400 41+ 200 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers (SHEEO) State Higher Education Finance FY 2011 $12,000 $10,000 ISU $8,000 IU-B PU-WL BSU $6,000 VU USI $4,000 IUPUI ITCC $2,000 $0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Source: ICHE ISU Contribution ISU Funds to Performance Recommended Funding Pool by ICHE Successful Completion of Credit Hours Dual Credit Successful Completion of Credit Hours Early College Successful Completion of Credit Hours Low Income Degree Attainment On-Time Degree Change Change in Degrees Attained Research Incentive Total ISU Funds Approved in Final Budget $733,248 $8,024 $0 $89,420 $4,875 $5,025 $28,615 $143,073 $71,536 $1,788,409 $722,517 $3,576,818 $0 $751,456 $1,681,129 $0 $0 $2,445,484 $0 $228,375 $221,404 $0 $0 $454,804 Source: ISU VP Business Affairs FY12 CHE Recommendation for allocation of performance funding dollars: 55% through increases in overall degree completion and on-time degrees 30% rewards progress in persistence and low income degrees 15% improvement in institution-defined metric $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 Cost (in 2010 Dollars) $7,000 Purdue - W.L. $6,000 Indiana - Bloomington Ball State U $5,000 IUPUI - Indianapolis Indiana State U $4,000 U of Southern Ind Vincennes U $3,000 Ivy Tech CC $2,000 $1,000 $0 2001 2006 Year 2010 Distinct Courses 114 35 149 Average per course enrollment Fall 2011 Course Enrollments 5525 642 6167 Distinct Courses 202 70 272 Total Fees $558,099 $161,958 $720,057 $30 $117 Fall 2011 Course Fees 50 40 30 Flat fee 20 Hourly Fee 10 Fee Amount 500 300 129 100 60 48 36 25 17 12 0 4 Number of Courses 60 43 Course Level Undergraduate Graduate Total Fall 2001 Course Total Enrollments Fees 2611 $76,259 82 $3,413 2693 $79,672 • 70% of families are eliminating college choices based on cost • More students are now choosing to enroll in community colleges Source: How America Pays for College, Ipsos/Sallie Mae Financial Aid to ISU Full-time First-time Freshman % of cohort receiving aid by type 100% 90% 80% 70% 65% 60% 59% 57% 54% 51% 50% 38% 40% 41% 54% 49% 39% 33% 30% 28% 20% 10% $2,716 $3,993 $3,083 $6,143 $4,646 $4,115 $2,500 $6,619 $4,559 $4,481 $2,835 $6,171 2005 2009 2010 0% Federal Grants State Grants Institutional Grants Loans to Students * Dollar figures represent the average aid amounts * Source: ISU IPEDS Financial Aid Survey Setting the Stage for SEM Planning Introduction Demographics Affordability Retention Also: About 1 of every 2 transfer students to ISU graduate from here. Year 4 Year 4+? Headcount Unconditional Conditional 1601 415 1658 267 1494 342 1382 290 1195 324 Percent Conditional 21% 14% 19% 17% 21% Year 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Total 2016 1925 1836 1672 1519 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1552 1691 1832 1801 2566 1204 1328 1354 1441 2068 348 363 478 360 498 22% 21% 26% 20% 19% 2011 2512 2219 293 12% 2012 2658 2325 333 13% Unconditional African American American Indian Asian American 22% All FTFT BDS Hispanic African American 65% Multiracial 4% Not Reported 3% American Indian 25% 4% 1% Asian American 4% 63% 1% International White Hispanic 4% Multiracial 3% Not Reported Conditional International African American American Indian Asian American Hispanic 43% 45% Multiracial Not Reported 7% 5% 0% International 0% 0% White High School Rank 9% - Top 10% 29% - Top 25% 68% - Top 50% High School GPA 22% - 3.5 or higher 53% - 3.0 or higher 89% - 2.5 or higher High School Other 20% - Acad Honors Diplomas 20% - 21st Century Scholars Where are they from? • 80% Indiana • 16% Out of State • 4% International Where in Indiana? • 27% Marion & surrounding • 16% Vigo & surrounding • 11% Northwest Indiana What else? • 56% Women • 81% Live on Campus • More than half are Pell Recipients • Over half are 1st Generation Name Middle 50% ACT Middle 50th SAT total Purdue University WL 23-29 1530 - 1900 Indiana University B 24-29 Ball State University Average oneyear retention rate 1625 - 1845 Class rank percentile 71% from top quarter 74% from top quarter ACT Category Selective highly selective Selective highly selective 20-24 1440-1720 89% from top half Traditional 79% IUPUI 18-25 1369 - 1699 85% from top half 70% Indiana State University of Southern Indiana 16-22 1210 - 1520 64% from top half Traditional Liberal Traditional 18-23 1270-1590 69% from top half Traditional 67% 87% 90% 66% Source: US News National Average = 78.4% Indiana = 74.3% IPEDS 2010 – all 4-yr publics Main State Illinois State University IL Ball State University IN Central Michigan University MI East Carolina University Indiana University of Pennsylvania-Main Campus University of Northern Colorado NC PA CO Louisiana Tech University The University of West Florida East Tennessee State University LA TN Indiana State University IN FL Locale City Small City Small Town Remote City Small Town Distant City Small Town Distant City Small City Small City Small Size (Undergrad FTE) Student Related Expenditures / Total FTE % Freshmen Pell Recipients % Underrepresented Minority Estimated Median SAT/ACT 17,328 $10,238 14.00% 9.30% 1,105 16,030 $11,356 21.00% 9.50% 1,045 18,960 $8,158 23.00% 7.60% 1,030 19,159 $11,878 20.00% 17.40% 1,010 11,330 $10,114 32.00% 13.60% 965 9,282 $8,771 18.00% 13.30% 1,045 7,246 $7,360 29.00% 16.40% 1,065 7,019 $8,125 25.00% 15.90% 1,065 9,805 $13,602 31.00% 6.60% 1,030 7,591 $10,205 35.00% 15.40% 930 Main 2009 6-Year Grad Rate 1st Year Retention Rate Illinois State University 69.00% 83.00% Ball State University 58.30% 78.00% Central Michigan University 57.20% 77.00% East Carolina University 56.80% 76.00% Indiana University of Pennsylvania-Main Campus 54.20% 74.00% University of Northern Colorado 49.30% 70.00% Louisiana Tech University 46.40% 72.00% The University of West Florida 45.30% 71.00% East Tennessee State University 42.50% 67.00% Indiana State University 40.40% 66.00% ISU’s 5yr Goal – 70% Source: AACRAO SEM Consulting Headcount Unconditional Conditional 1204 348 1328 363 1354 478 1441 360 2068 498 Year 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total 1552 1691 1832 1801 2566 2011 2512 2219 2012 2658 2325 Percent Conditional 22% 21% 26% 20% 19% Total 69.1% 66.2% 63.9% 63.9% 58.1% 293 12% 60.6% 333 13% 1yr Retention Rate Unconditional Conditional 71.8% 59.8% 69.4% 54.5% 67.6% 53.6% 68.6% 45.3% 61.9% 42.2% 63.1% 41.6% 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 1-yr Retention 40.0% 2-yr Retention 4-yr Graduation 30.0% 6-yr Graduation 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Cohort 2003 2004 2005 ISU 1-Yr Retention Rates (FTFT BDS) African Americans and Whites Total 80.0% 70.0% 63.0% 60.0% 51.6% 63.2% 50.0% 2007 2008 40.0% 43.2% 2009 30.0% 2010 20.0% 2011 10.0% 0.0% African American White Conditional Unconditional 70.0% 80.0% 60.0% 70.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 43.2% 37.3% 45.1% 37.8% 2007 2008 2009 20.0% 2010 10.0% 2011 60.0% 64.9% 55.2% 66.4% 50.0% 40.0% 2008 45.8% 2009 30.0% 2010 20.0% 2011 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% African American White 2007 African American White 80.0% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% No pell 40.0% Pell 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Living On Campus Hdcnt 1yrRet 1123 70.4% 1291 66.4% 1418 63.6% 1418 64.4% 2078 59.0% Off Campus Hdcnt 1yrRet 429 65.5% 400 65.8% 414 65.0% 383 62.1% 488 54.5% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Pct Living OnCampus 72.4% 76.3% 77.4% 78.7% 81.0% FYE Res Hall Hdcnt 1yrRet 850 68.9% 916 67.6% 935 65.8% 942 65.4% 1258 63.5% Oth Res Hall Hdcnt 1yrRet 273 75.1% 375 63.5% 483 59.4% 476 62.4% 820 52.0% Student Engagement Surveys NSSE/FSSE Supportive Campus Environment 90 % saying Institution Does Very Much/Quite a Bit 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Supportive Campus Environment Scale (Means, 0 to 100, Diff Statistically Signif) Campus environment Campus environment Campus environment provides the support you helps you cope with your provides the support you need to help you non-academic need to thrive socially succeed academically responsibilities FY - ISU 59 69 39 45 FY - Carn Class 62 77 40 50 Seniors - ISU 57 68 28 35 Seniors - Carn Class 60 73 31 39 68 29 44 Faculty Quality of Relationships 6.00 Means, 1-7 5.00 4.00 3.00 2.00 1.00 0.00 Quality of relationships with other students Quality of relationships with faculty members (Diffs Stat Signif) Quality of relationships with administrative personnel and offices ISU FY 5.36 5.02 4.70 FY - CarnClass 5.43 5.30 4.80 ISU Senior 5.55 5.29 4.74 Senior - CarnClass 5.60 5.55 4.67 Faculty 5.31 5.24 4.21