Can the English National Health Service learn from the Dutch reforms? Meeting the medium term challenge of the financing of health & aged care in England 27 January 2011 The Royal Society, London Gwyn Bevan Department of Management, LSE R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk Objectives of health care reforms in OECD countries* 2. Cost control: rationing & expenditure caps UK from 1990s 1. Equity: access by need not ability to pay 3. Performance: incentives & competition * Cutler (2002) Equality, Efficiency, & Market Fundamentals: The Dynamics of International Medical-Care Reform. Journal of Economic Literature. Law of requisite variety: 3 goals 3 instruments Cost control Equity Performance NHS 1980s: 3 goals & 2 instruments Cost control: fixed total budget Formula funding equitable allocations Health authorities run providers Below target income: no ‘efficiency’ savings ‘Efficiency’ savings Above target income: cuts not ‘efficiency’ savings From 1991: purchaser / provider 3 goals & 3 instruments Cost control: fixed total budget Formula funding equitable allocations NHS providers Efficiency by competition Purchasers Private providers Internal market (1989 -97): Design* Purchaser / Provider Provider competition ‘money follows the patient’ Selective contracting health authorities GP fundholders (no patient choice) *Working for Patients Internal market (1989 -97): Impact Le Grand (1999)* Little evidence of change Incentives too weak & constraints too strong Tuohy (1999)** NHS logic Ministerial accountability Collegial decision making Poor information on prices & quality * Le Grand (1999) Competition, cooperation, or control? Health Affairs ** Tuohy (1999) Accidental Logics. Oxford University Press Patient choice & competition (2006 - 10): Design* Provider competition ‘money follows the patient’ (PbR) standard tariff: quality competition Selective contracting Primary Care Trusts World Class Commissioning Patient choice Provider diversity Foundation Trusts & Independent Sector Treatment Centres *Delivering the NHS Plan Patient choice & competition (2006 - 10): Impact No Failure to create functioning market* political interference weak purchasers barriers to exit & entry changing policies reorganisations * Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010) http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureRe view_NHS_market_Feb10.pdf Impact both NHS markets? Overview of literature* No good evidence reforms produced beneficial outcomes classical economic theory predicts of markets provider responsiveness to patients & purchasers large-scale cost reduction innovation in service provision NHS incurs transaction costs of market without benefits? * Brereton & Vasoodaven (2010) http://www.civitas.org.uk/nhs/download/Civitas_LiteratureReview_NHS_market_Feb10.pdf NHS from 2010? We will stop the top-down reorganisations of the NHS that have got in the way of patient care If reorganisation of purchasers is the answer … Population ('000s) 500 400 300 200 100 0 91-94 94-97 97-01 GP 01-05 05-11 Authority 11-13 13-? Liberating the NHS: Objectives?* NHS commissioning board Steering not rowing? GP Consortia GPs involved in shaping services? Independent providers Choice & managed competition? Reorganisation Evolution not revolution? * Equity and excellence: Liberating the NHS Reflections: 20 years of market reforms The Netherlands 1 agreed policy Dutch procession of Echternach MHP competition as yet little selective contracting Model exported Germany & Switzerland England 5 blitzkriegs (SW1) army of occupation in hostile territory?* Provider competition limited impact Model abandoned New Zealand, Scotland & Wales *Shock (1994) Medicine at the centre of the nation’s affairs, BMJ Going Dutch: Provider Purchaser competition? Cost control: fixed total budget Risk-adjusted funding equitable allocations PCT clusters Efficiency by purchaser competition & selective contracting / integration Mutual Healthcare Purchasers (MHPs) Mutual Healthcare Purchasers (MHPs) Plurality PCTs / GP consortia Insurers? Foundation Trusts? Define catchment areas Guarantee duty of care Selectively contract / integrate Explicit insurance contract Choice of packages Restrict choice? Charges? NHS Commissioning Board: Regulation of MHPs Entry key competences & duty of quality Competition sufficient numbers & information Equity funding & open enrolment Insurance solvency & transparency Can the English National Health Service learn from the Dutch reforms?* Thank you Gwyn Bevan Department of Management, LSE R.G.Bevan@lse.ac.uk * Bevan & van de Ven (2010). Choice of providers & Mutual Healthcare Purchasers: can the English NHS learn from the Dutch reforms? Health Economics, Policy & Law