1 COLLATERAL CONSEQUENCES Chris Uggen University of Minnesota With Sarah Shannon and Suzy McElrath consequences of consequences 2 • social facts and social choices – numbers and pictures – justice and public safety – opportunity • “America’s Criminal Class” – defined by punishment and relation between individual and state, not offending – “ex-prison” v. “ex-felon” v. “low-level” distinction • consequences have consequences – political and civic life – work and markets – personal and community health 10/19/12 Uggen 2 3 Part I VISUALIZING PUNISHMENT (W/ SARAH SHANNON) 10/19/12 Uggen 3 1. Prisoners Incarceration in global perspective 4 10/19/12 Uggen 4 2. “felons” 5 • current: 4.2 million – current prison, parole, felony probation, convicted felony jail population – 1.8% of adult voting age population – 5.0% of African American adults (decline) • ex: 16.2 million – 6.9% of adults – 18.2% of African American adults • total: 20.4 million in 2010 – 8.7% of adult population – 23% of African American adults 10/19/12 Uggen of African American adult males – 33%+ 5 growth of felons and ex-felons, 1948-2010 25,000,000 6 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 - 10/19/12 Uggen Ex-Felons Current Felons 6 1980 ex-felons 7 10/19/12 Uggen 7 2010 ex-felons 8 10/19/12 Uggen 8 1980 African American ex-felons 9 10/19/12 Uggen 9 2010 African American ex-felons 10 10/19/12 Uggen 10 2010 African American “current” felons 11 10/19/12 Uggen 11 12 Part II COLLATERAL SANCTIONS AS DIRTY BOMBS 10/19/12 Uggen 12 collateral consequences (Ewald & Uggen 2012) 13 • Socioeconomic – – – – – Occupational licensure (character+) Public employment Pell grants (drug) Public assistance (drug) Driver’s licenses (drug) • Family – Public housing (drug; sex) – Parental rights – Divorce • Civic – Voting – Juror – Military – Internet record – Deportation 10/19/12 Uggen 13 “dirty bomb” analogy 14 • Weapons of mass disruption – Conventional punishment, plus a small amount of radioactive material – Induces fear and panic, contaminates broadly, and necessitates massive cleanup • Pare back egregious (e.g., lifetime bans) – Like addressing radiation sickness, but not water contamination or building safety – Padilla v. Kentucky (2010); integral, not “collateral” • Utopian – impose at sentencing on individual, crime-specific basis – retain “checklist” 10/19/12 Uggen 14 how many are disenfranchised? 15 10/19/12 Uggen 15 who is disenfranchised? 16 10/19/12 Uggen 16 where are the disenfranchised? 17 10/19/12 Uggen 17 the picture in 1980 18 10/19/12 Uggen 18 2010 cartogram 19 10/19/12 Uggen 19 African American Disenfranchisement, 1980 20 10/19/12 Uggen 20 African American Disenfranchisement, 2010 21 10/19/12 Uggen 21 reforms 1997-2010 22 • 9 states repealed or scaled back lifetime bans • 2 states (Connecticut and Rhode Island) extended voting rights to persons under probation or parole supervision • 8 states eased restoration process after completion of sentence ---------------------------------------------• 800,000 citizens regained voting rights 10/19/12 Uggen 22 in Oregon, voting probationers and parolees have significantly lower recidivism rates 23 10/19/12 Uggen 23 24 Part III COMMUNITY SPILLOVER 10/19/12 Uggen 24 effects on elections 25 • Potential impact of 5.85 million disenfranchised: – 7 U.S. Senate seats [VA, TX, KY, FL, GA, KY, FL +/- WY] – 2 Presidential elections – Shifts debate on other issues 10/19/12 Uggen 25 public assistance bans (with Thompson and Western) 26 10/19/12 Uggen 26 27 10/19/12 Uggen 27 28 10/19/12 Uggen 28 deportation King and Figure 1: (with Criminal Deportations by Year, 1908-2005Massoglia) 45000 60 29 40000 Number of Criminal Deportations 35000 30000 40 25000 30 20000 15000 20 10000 10 5000 0 1908 0 1918 1928 1938 1948 1958 1968 1978 1988 1998 Year 10/19/12 Uggen Number of criminal deportations Criminal as a percentage of all deportations 29 Criminal as a Percentage of All Deportations 50 criminal deportation & unemployment 30 10/19/12 Uggen 30 health effects 31 • Prison effects on community health depend on prison care – public health benefit where prisons are testing and treating (TB, syphilis) – continuity of care after release • Spillover effects on community – – – – diminished access to care less access to specialists reduced physician trust less satisfaction with care 10/19/12 Uggen 31 32 Part IV CLEAN UP LOW-LEVEL GARBAGE CASES 10/19/12 Uggen 32 low-level arrest 33 annual arrest v. imprisonment rate per 1000, Minnesota 2007 250 227 200 158 150 100 50 32 29 1 1 Asian White 0 12 Indian/Alaskan 14 African American annual arrest rate per 1000 population imprisonment rate per 1,000 10/19/12 Uggen 33 34 10/19/12 Uggen 34 our moment 35 • proliferation of low-level “records” – big change in dissemination and use – at least half of employers routinely checking • do employers really care about 3year old disorderly conduct arrests? – Yes – run screaming from any negative signal – No – too commonplace and/or honesty effect • should we “ban the box”? – threshold (arrest v. conviction) – severity (misdemeanor v. felony) – duration (7 years v. life) 10/19/12 Uggen 35 callbacks by race and record 38.8 40 34.7 35 27.5 30 23.5 callback % 36 45 25 20 15 10 5 0 white no misdemeanor arrest 10/19/12 Uggen black misdemeanor arrest 36 modest but measurable 37 • low-level arrest w/o charge or conviction – employers attend to the lowest-level records: 4% difference; not disqualifying – personal contact swamps other predictors • expungement as partial relief – burdensome and costly process • real utopia? – introducing record at “finalist” stage (MN) – avoiding records in first place; new social welfare and community service institutions 10/19/12 Uggen 37 arrest and feeling on time (MN 30-year-olds) 38 10/19/12 Uggen 38 39 10/19/12 Uggen 39 40 Part V “CONSEQUENCING” SMARTER easier said than done 41 • Focused and effective response to crime 1. Reserve prison beds for those who need to be in prison, when they need to be in prison 2. Reduce the scope and number of unnecessary collateral sanctions 3. Redirect low-level offenses away from criminal justice system • Reintegration – from prison, to community corrections, to taxpaying citizen in good standing 10/19/12 Uggen 41 800 Crimes Known to the Police, US 1990-2010 5,000 700 violent (right axis) 42 rate per 100,000 population 4,500 property (left axis) 600 4,000 3,500 500 3,000 400 2,500 300 rate per 100,000 population 5,500 2,000 200 1,500 1,000 100 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 10/19/12 Uggen 42 US Criminal Victimization, 1990-2010 Property victimization rate per 1,000 households 300 43 250 60 50 property (left axis) violent (right axis) 40 200 30 150 20 100 10 50 0 Violent Victimization rate per 1,000 persons age 12 or older 350 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 10/19/12 Uggen 43 supplemental 44 10/19/12 Uggen 44 pragmatic note 45 • JQ Wilson critique – When social scientists were asked for advice by national policy-making bodies they could not respond with suggestions derived from and supported by their scholarly work. • getting our hands dirty – need knowledge and sophistication about how the criminal justice system actually works: health impact – capacity to imagine and enact alternatives • identifying real models – Documentation is fine, but… we need clear-headed, rigorous, viable answers 10/19/12 Uggen 45 growth of people “on paper” 7000000 6000000 5000000 Parole (12%) 4000000 Prison (21%) Jail (11%) 3000000 2000000 Probation (57%) 1000000 Parole (12%) 10/19/12 Uggen Prison (21%) Jail (11%) Probation (57%) 46 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 1995 1994 1993 1992 1991 1990 1989 1988 1987 1986 1985 1984 1983 1982 1981 0 1980 46