Financial Statement Analysis Financial Statement Analysis: Overall View Different tools. Ratios Quality of Financial Reporting Financial Statement Analysis Overall View Step 1: Establish the objectives of the analysis Step 2: Study the industry, market, firm (e.g., strategy), etc. BUSINESS ANALYSIS Step 3: Develop knowledge of the firm’s accounting practices. ACCOUNTING ANALYSIS Step 4: Financial statements analysis –COMMON-SIZE financial statements, RATIOS,… Step 5: Summarize findings based on analysis Understanding The Business Individual Company Factors Industry Factors No Invest? Economy-wide Factors Yes Understanding a Company’s Strategy I need to know the company’s policies on product differentiation, pricing, and cost control to make my financial analysis more meaningful. Financial Statements Our objective: To ensure that financial statements serve as a map, not a maze. The better one can read and understand the financial statements, the more useful they are as a MAP to decision-making. Adapted from Fraser and Ormiston, C) 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. Financial Statements THREE TYPES OF FINANCIAL STATEMENT INFORMATION Past Performance Present Condition Future Performance Income, sales volume, cash flows, return- oninvestments, EPS. Assets, debt, inventory, various ratios. Sales and earnings trends are good indicators of future performance. The Annual Report Different sections: significant volume of information! Financial statements Notes to the financial statements Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Operations (MD&A section) The auditor’s report Five-year summary of key financial data High and low stock prices Material included at discretion of management (voluntary disclosures) Adapted from Fraser and Ormiston, C) 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. MD&A Section The Management Discussion and Analysis (MD&A) section (also called “Business Review” or “Financial Review” section) provides: an overview of the previous year operations and how the company performed financially. the upcoming year by outlining future goals and approaches to new projects. The MD&A section is important for investors and analysts because it provides information useful for the interpretation of the financial statements; it provides relevant information about the company’s key financial indicators and about the performance of the management. Auditor’s Report Unqualified Qualified Adverse opinion Disclaimer of opinion Auditor’s Report Unqualified (what you want! “clean”) ▫ Statements present information in conformity with GAAP ▫ Unqualified opinion with explanatory language (emphasis of matter) is warranted when there is a consistency departure due to a change in accounting principle uncertainty caused by future events such as contract disputes and lawsuits an event (or events) that the auditor wishes to describe because they may present business risk and/or going-concern problems Auditor’s Report Qualified ▫ Reports other than an unqualified opinion due to various circumstances. Typically use word “except for” Adverse opinion (not what you want!) ▫ Financial statements have not been presented fairly in accordance with GAAP Disclaimer of opinion is issued when ▫ auditor cannot evaluate the fairness of the statements and expresses no opinion ▫ there is material scope limitation of the audit The Annual Report Financial statements Notes to the financial statements Management’s Discussion and Analysis of operations (MD&A) The auditor’s report Five-year summary of key financial data High and low stock prices Material included at discretion of management In the Annual report we can also find information about stock prices, risks the company faces; and other voluntary disclosures (e.g., information about IT security)] Databases – IE Library ORBIS DATABASE: financial data (financial statements; ownership; etc.) of more than 450 million companies worldwide. Available at IE Virtual Library (https://library.ie.edu/). FACTIVA DATABASE (DOWN JONES FACTIVA): Database of nearly 33,000 premium sources, including licensed publications, influential websites, blogs, images and videos. Available at IE Virtual Library (https://library.ie.edu/). Missing and Hard-to-Find Information Not available in the financial statements: Employee relations with management Morale/efficiency of employees Reputation/public perceptions of the firm Effectiveness of management team/provisions for succession Potential exposure to regulatory changes … QUALITIES THAT IMPACT OPERATING SUCCESS BUT ARE DIFFICULT TO QUANTIFY Adapted from Fraser and Ormiston, C) 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. Non-Financial Disclosures Investors, capital markets participants, and regulators are increasingly interesting in non-financial information. As a response, more and more companies provide non-financial data about factors like organizational culture, company's environmental impact or company’s diversity. Non-financial information is mainly around three areas: environmental component, social component, and governance component. Different types of reports: sustainability reports; integrated reports Financial Statement Analysis Time-Series Analysis Common-Size Financial Statements (vertical analysis or components percentage) Financial Ratios Source: https://www.ontariosciencecentre.ca/CafeSci/Toronto/ Financial Statement Analysis Financial statement analysis is based on comparisons. Intracompany Basis Intercompany Basis Industry Average Tools & Techniques These include: Horizontal (Trend; Time-Series) Analysis Vertical Analysis (Common-Size Analysis) Ratio Analysis Most important: Common sense and judgment!!! Time-Series Analysis Comparing across time or “time-series analysis”: information is compared over time. For example, the percentage of change in comparable store sales, using data taken from the MD&A section of The Home Depot’s recent annual report Source: Libby et al. (2026) Vertical Analysis Express each item on a particular financial statement as a percentage of a single base amount I/S components as % of NET SALES. B/S components, as a % of TOTAL ASSETS. Example – Income Statement Source: Libby et al. (2026) Example – Income Statement It is always useful to use graphs to analyze the financial data. For example, we can see below the key income percentages for Home Depot and its competitor Lowe’s: Source: Libby et al. (2026) Financial Ratios Standardize financial data in terms of mathematical relationships expressed in the form of percentages, times, days Objectives will vary depending on the: ▫ Perspective of the financial statement user ▫ Specific questions that are addressed by the analysis The identity of the user helps define what information is needed (e.g., creditors, investors, management, etc.) Financial Ratios Cautions! Ratios are valuable analytical tools and serve as screening devices, BUT. . . No one ratio provides the whole story, and that the standards for each ratio are different for every industry They are not predictive Ratios should be used with other elements of financial analysis There are no “rules of thumb” that apply to the interpretation of ratios Keeping this in mind, let’s take a look at some ratios The Pyramid of Profits Profitability = Primary measure of the overall success of a company. Return on Equity Starting point for a systematic analysis of a firm’s performance Return from the shareholders’ perspective: how well managers are employing the funds invested by the firm’s shareholders to generate returns Return on Equity = Net Income Average Stockholders’ Equity Return on Assets Economic return; from an operational perspective How much profit a company is able to generate for each euro of assets invested ROA = Net Income * Total Assets * Or EBIT What is behind ROA? Return On Sales (Profit Margin) Indicator of Profitability Asset Turnover Indicator of Efficiency Gross Profit Margin The gross profit margin (also referred to as the gross profit percentage) reflects gross profit as a percent of sales. If not shown separately on a company’s income statement, gross profit is computed by subtracting cost of sales from net sales. Gross Profit Margin = Gross Profit Net Sales Revenue Net Profit Margin The net profit margin reflects NET INCOME as a percent of sales Net Profit Margin = Net Income Net Sales Revenue Earnings Per Share (EPS) The earnings per share ratio is a measure of return on investment that is based on the number of common shares outstanding. This is probably the most popular financial ratio and the only ratio required by GAAP/IFRS. EPS = Net Income Weighted Average Number of Shares Outstanding The DILUTED EPS ratio computes the EPS if all convertible securities (e.g., convertible bonds; stock options) were realized Quality of Income Ratio Compare NET INCOME and cash flow from operations A ratio higher than 1 indicates high-quality income because each dollar of income is supported by one or more dollars of cash flows Quality of Income = Cash Flow from Operating Activities Net Income ROE Profit Driver Analysis Equity ROE = Net Income Total Assets × Net Income = ROA × Total Assets Equity Financial Leverage How many Euros of assets the firm is able to deploy for each euro invested by its shareholders; proportion of assets acquired with funds supplied by owners. ROE & ROA Legend: ROE = Return on Equity ROA = Return on Assets Int. Exp. = Interest Expense SE = Stockholders’ Equity T. Liab. = Total Liabilities k = Cost of Debt ROE & ROA K = cost of debt (interest rate) If ROA > k = positive leverage effect (ROE > ROA) If ROA < k = negative leverage effect (ROE < ROA) The Pyramid of Ratios The Pyramid of Profits EPS (basic & diluted) Inventory Turnover Ratio Receivables Turnover Ratio Payables Turnover Ratio Assets Turnover Ratios Total asset turnover ratio = Net Sales Revenue Average Total Assets It captures how well a company uses its assets to generate revenue. Fixed asset turnover ratio = Net Sales Revenue Average Net Fixed Assets This ratio measures a company’s ability to generate sales given an investment in fixed assets. Receivable turnover ratio = Net Credit Sales Average Net Receivables This ratio measures how quickly a company collects its accounts receivable Inventory turnover ratio = Cost of Goods Sold Average Inventory This ratio measures how quickly the company sells its inventory. Also, ratios of the “number of days…” Assets Turnover Ratios Also, ratios of the “number of days…” The receivable turnover ratio often is converted to reflect the number of days, on average, it takes a company to collect its receivables. Average Days to Collect Receivables = Days in a Year (365) Receivables Turnover Ratio The inventory turnover ratio often is converted to reflect the number of days, on average, it takes a company to sell its inventory. Average Days to Sell Inventory = Days in a Year (365) Inventory Turnover Ratio días 0 30 60 Days’ Inventory 90 120 Days’ Receivable Bill – To be paid in 60 days Supplier Inventory Cash Bill – to pay to the supplier in 120 days Days’ Payable + Days’ Payable 120 - Days’ Inventory 30 - Days’ Receivable 60 = WC needs + 30 No problem! días 0 30 60 Days’ Inventory 90 120 Days’ Receivable Bill Client To be paid 60 days Supplier Inventory Cash Bill Supplier To be paid 60 days Days’ Payable + Days’ Payable 60 - Days’ Inventory 30 - Days’ Receivable 60 = WC needs - 30 How do we finance this? Liquidity Ratios Liquidity refers to a company’s ability to meet its currently maturing debts. Tests of liquidity focus on the relationship between current assets and current liabilities. * *Acid-Test Ratio Cash + S/T Investments + A/R (Net) Current Liabilities The Pyramid of Ratios WC needs Days’ Receivable Days’ Payable Tests of Solvency Tests of solvency measure a company’s ability to meet its longterm obligations. Debt-To-Assets Ratio Debt-to-Equity Ratio Times Interest Earned/Interest Coverage Cash Coverage Capital Acquisition Ratio (CAPEX ratio) Debt-to-Assets Ratio Debt-to-Assets Ratio = Total Liabilities Total Assets Percentage of total assets that creditors provide = company’s degree of leverage It also measures the company’s ability to withstand losses without impairing the interest of creditors Debt-to-Equity Ratio Debt-to-Equity Ratio = Total Liabilities Stockholders’ Equity This ratio measures the amount of liabilities that exists for each $1 invested by the owners. Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned* = Net Income + Interest Expense** + Income Tax Expense** Interest Expense **Since interest expense is deducted before computing taxes and net income, we add both interest expense and income tax expense back to net income for the numerator of this ratio. It measures the ability of a company to meet its periodic interest payments = a margin of protection for creditors. * Also called Interest Coverage Ratio Cash Coverage Cash Coverage = Cash Flow from Operating Activities Before Interest and Taxes Paid Interest Paid It compares the cash generated from operations to the cash obligations of the company. Capital Acquisition Ratio (CAPEX ratio) Capital Acquisition Ratio = Cash Flow from Operating Activities Cash Paid for Property, Plant and Equipment It measures the degree to which a company is able to finance purchase of PPE with cash provided by operating activities. A high ratio indicates less need for outside financing when purchasing PPE. When the ratio is below one, it implies that the company must have financed its purchases via other means, such as borrowing, selling equity or selling other assets. Market Tests Ratios that relate the current market price of a share of stock to an indicator of the return that might accrue to the investor. Price/Earnings Ratio Dividend Yield Ratio Price/Earnings (P/E) Ratio P/E Ratio = Current Market Price Per Share Earnings Per Share This ratio measures the relationship between the current market price of the stock and its earnings per share. Dividend Yield Ratio Dividend Yield = Dividends Per Share Market Price Per Share Investors are interested in the amount of income that they will receive in the form of dividends. This ratio is often used to compare the dividend-paying performance of different investment alternatives. Pay-Out Ratio It measures the percentage of earnings distributed as cash dividends. Pay-Out Ratio = Cash Dividends Declared on Ordinary Shares Net Income Ratios: Potential Problems There is no underlying theory, so there is no way to know which ratios are most relevant Benchmarking is difficult for diversified firms! Globalization and international competition makes comparison more difficult because of differences in accounting regulations. “Average” performance, not necessarily good. Hard to tell if a ratio is “good” or “bad”… Different accounting rules and procedures (e.g., IFRS vs. US GAAP; FIFO vs. LIFO) Seasonal effects; extraordinary events… QUALITY OF FINANCIAL INFORMATION Quality of Financial Reporting Management has considerable discretion within GAAP Potential exists to “manipulate” the profit/loss reported Ideally, financial statements should: a) Reflect an accurate picture of a company’s financial condition and performance; and b) Information should be useful both to assess the past and predict the future Quality of income ratio introduced before (comparison of OCF and NET INCOME) Quality of Income: Some Red Flags BALANCE SHEET Low liquidity, especially negative working capital; Relationship of inventories and receivables to sales (esp. relative growth and changes); Excessive use of operating leases and other off-balance-sheet items; Warranties, commitments, contingencies and other that may understate true liabilities; Long-term debt levels (especially if it is growing); Excessive and growing treasury stock levels… INCOME STATEMENT Trends in revenues, gross margin, operating margin, etc.; Operating expense issues, including SG&A, R&D spending, special charges, etc.; Effective tax rates and other tax issues; Non-recurring charges—these should be rare… CASH FLOW STATEMENT CFO trends, especially related to net income (quality of income ratio); Relationships of CFO, CFI & CFF and comparisons to cash balances… STOCK PRICES AND OTHER MARKET ANALYSIS Summarizing… Step 1: Establish the objectives of the analysis Step 2: Study the industry, market, firm (e.g., strategy), etc. BUSINESS ANALYSIS Step 3: Develop knowledge of the firm’s accounting practices… ACCOUNTING ANALYSIS Step 4: Financial statements analysis –Vertical Analysis. Horizontal Analysis. Ratios. Step 5: Summarize findings based on analysis
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