BUSINESS MANAGEMENT 3.7 Cash flow Section 3 Finance and accounts BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Unit content Content Assessment objective The difference between profit and cash flow AO2 The working capital cycle AO2 Cash flow forecasts AO2, AO4 The relationship between investment, profit and cash flow AO2 Strategies to deal with cash flow problems AO3 Cash flow and the CUEGIS concepts BUSINESS MANAGEMENT The number one cause of business failure • What is the number one cause of business failure? • Discuss this question with your partner. • Write your answer on a sticky note and place it on the wall indicated by your teacher. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow • Cash flow (or working capital) refers to the cash or liquid assets available for the daily running of a business. • Day-to-day expenditures include items such as paying for: • Utilities • Wages • Raw materials. • In order for firms to thrive, they need to have more cash flowing into the business than out of the business. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT The difference between profit and cash flow BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Profit vs. cash flow Read the information in the table. At the end of the month which company: 1. Earned the most profit? 2. Has the most cash available? Firm X and Firm Y have raised $10,000 capital to start up their new businesses manufacturing windows. Firm X Firm Y • Got $5000 worth of raw materials, paid upfront. • Manufactured 500 windows in 29 days. • On the 30th day, they sold all 500 windows for $20 per piece. • Got $5000 worth of raw materials. They got 30 days trade credit from the raw materials supplier. • They manufactured 400 windows in 29 days. • On the 30th day, they sold all 400 windows for $16 per piece. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow ≠ profit Watch this video and answer the following questions: • For every financial transaction, the activity is recorded on the date the transaction occurred. 1. Can a firm be profitable yet have insufficient cash? 2. What will happen to the firm if it is profitable but does not have enough cash? • This appears on the profit and loss statement. • However, the actual date the cash payment is made for the transaction can be a different date. • This appears on the cash flow statement. • This is due to trade credit creating debtors and creditors. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT The working capital cycle BUSINESS MANAGEMENT The working capital cycle • The working capital cycle is the time difference between the firm paying cash for its costs of production and receiving cash from sales to customers. Firm’s cash Goods are sold to customers for cash. It takes 50 days to sell all goods. Sale of goods Total time lag: 90 days Firm pays cash for raw materials. It takes 10 days for the raw materials to arrive. Production costs Firm produces goods. Production time takes 30 days. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Liquidity • Liquidity refers to how easily an asset can be turned into cash. • Relatively liquid assets are usually current assets • i.e. they convert quickly into cash. • Relatively illiquid assets are usually fixed assets, but could include stocks of raw materials that have yet to be processed into finished goods. • i.e. they take a longer time to turn into cash. Relatively liquid assets • Cash • Debtors • Stock of finished goods Relatively illiquid assts • Fixed assets • Stock of raw materials BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Liquidity crisis • A liquidity crisis is when there is insufficient cash in the working capital cycle. • This is due to more cash flowing out of the business than flowing into the business. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Over to you • In pairs, discuss the following: “The idea of having too much cash in a business is just as unfavorable as having not enough cash.” • Feedback your discussion points to the class. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow and the working capital cycle • When there is too little cash, the working capital cycle will be unable to continue and the business will become insolvent. Insufficient cash • Liquidity crisis • Threat of insolvency • i.e. The business will fail from being unable to pay its debts. • When there is too much cash, there is more than enough cash for the working capital cycle to continue. • i.e. Cash sits idle instead of being used to grow the business Excess cash • Opportunity cost of not using cash to grow the business A firm must aim to have just the right amount of cash to meet the needs of its working capital cycle. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Over to you • Hoang textbook • Question 3.7.1 McDonald’s • Page 312 • Question 3.7.2 Le Royal Méridien Hotels • Page 314 • Answer all parts BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow forecasts BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Anticipating cash flow movements • A cash flow forecast is a financial document that shows the expected movement of cash in and out of a business over a period of time. • Cash flow forecasts contain three key features: • Cash inflows • Cash outflows • Net cash flow Cash inflow Cash Net cash flow outflow BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Classify the following items as cash inflow or cash outflows Item 1. Sales revenue 2. Rental income 3. Dividends to shareholders 4. Payment to creditors 5. Wages 6. Debtors 7. Rent paid 8. Purchase of stocks 9. Interest received 10. Bank loans 11. Interest payments 12. Sale of assets Cash inflow or cash outflow? BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Classify the following items as cash inflow or cash outflows - ANSWERS Item Cash inflow or cash outflow? 1. Sales revenue Cash inflow 2. Rental income Cash inflow 3. Dividends to shareholders Cash outflow 4. Payment to creditors Cash outflow 5. Wages Cash outflow 6. Debtors Cash inflow 7. Rent paid Cash outflow 8. Purchase of stocks Cash outflow 9. Interest received Cash inflow 10. Bank loans Cash inflow 11. Interest payments Cash outflow 12. Sale of assets Cash inflow BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow forecast features Item Definition Opening balance The amount of cash at the beginning of a trading period (same as the previous month’s closing balance). Cash inflows Any cash coming into the business. Cash outflows Any cash leaving the business. Net cash flow Cash inflows – cash outflows Closing balance Opening balance + net cash flow BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Worked example (page 316 Hoang textbook) Sept ($) Oct ($) Nov ($) Dec ($) 1,000 800 1,600 1,900 Cash sales 2,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 Total cash inflows 2,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 600 600 900 1,200 1,000 0 1,000 0 Other costs 600 600 800 1,000 Total cash outflows 2,200 1,200 2,700 2,200 Net cash flow (200) 800 300 1,800 Closing balance 800 1,600 1,900 3,700 Opening balance Inflows Outflows Stock purchases Rent BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Complete this cash flow forecast Sept ($) Opening balance Oct ($) Nov ($) Dec ($) 1,300 Inflows Cash sales 700 650 500 900 Credit sales 450 800 200 450 Raw materials 400 200 375 600 Wages 500 500 500 500 Advertising 200 200 200 1100 Loan payment 300 300 300 300 Total cash inflows Outflows Total cash outflows Net cash flow Closing balance BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow forecast exercise - ANSWERS Sept ($) Opening balance Oct ($) Nov ($) Dec ($) 1,300 1,050 1,300 625 Cash sales 700 650 500 900 Credit sales 450 800 200 450 Total cash inflows 1,150 1,450 700 1,350 Raw materials 400 200 375 600 Wages 500 500 500 500 Advertising 200 200 200 1100 Loan payment 300 300 300 300 Total cash outflows 1,400 1,200 1,375 2,500 Net cash flow (250) 250 (675) (1,150) Closing balance 1,050 1,300 625 (525) Inflows Outflows BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Analysing a cash flow forecast Look at the completed cash flow forecast from the previous slide. 1. Describe the total cash inflow trend. 2. Describe the total cash outflow trend. 3. Describe the net cash flow trend. 4. Describe the closing balance trend. 5. What conclusions can you draw about the liquidity position of this company? BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Over to you • Hoang textbook • Question 3.7.3 Pranab & Co. • Page 315 • Question 3.7.4 Wincent Wines • Page 317 • Question 3.7.5 Menelao Stationers • Page 317 • Question 3.7.6 Bereti’s Boutique • Page 319 • Answer all questions BUSINESS MANAGEMENT The relationship between investment, profit and cash flow BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Best and worst case financial outcomes • The relationship between investment, profit and cash flow must be managed carefully. • When managed well, a firm is likely to meet its long-term objectives as its growth strategies are underpinned by healthy finances. • When managed poorly, a firm will struggle and eventually have to cease trading. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Best case financial outcome Consistent profits eventually lead to consistent positive net cash flows Consistent positive net cash flows lead to healthy liquidity Healthy liquidity allows for investment into fixed assets to maintain/increase output Consistent (or better) levels of output generate consistent profits BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Worst case financial outcome Consistent negative net cash flows lead to a poor cash balance Reduced productivity leads to reduced profits or even losses, which causes negative net cash flows Lack of ongoing investment into fixed assets results in reduced productivity A poor cash balance prevents a firm from making ongoing investments into fixed assets BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Strategies to deal with cash flow problems BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Common causes of cash flow problems Causes Explanation Overtrading This is when businesses accept more orders than it has the capacity to financially handle. Overborrowing High levels of debt mean a firm has to increasingly use more of its cash inflows to repay loans and interest charges. Over-stocking Having more stock than the business is able to sell (i.e. convert into cash) means that valuable cash is tied up as it is ‘stuck’ as inventory. Poor credit control Liquidity problems occur when firms: • Offer too many customers trade credit. • Offer long trade credit terms. • Chase debtors too slowly. Unforeseen changes Liquidity problems occur when firms: • Experience unexpected or erratic changes in demand (e.g. out-ofseason increases in demand). • Experience unexpected expenditures (e.g. spoiled inventory due to equipment failure). BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Liquidity crisis at Hong Kong Airlines Hong Kong Airlines (HX) has been struggling with cash flow problems since 2018. 1. Watch this video and identify the strategies used by HX to improve its liquidity position. 2. Explain whether HX can continue using these strategies indefinitely. 3. Other than the strategies identified from the video, what else can HX do to improve its working capital position? BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Reducing cash outflows • Methods of reducing cash outflows include: • Seeking preferential credit terms • Seeking alternative suppliers • Better stock control • Reduce expenses • Leasing rather than buying BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Increasing cash inflows • Methods of increasing cash inflows from revenues include: • Tighter credit control • Accepting cash payments only • Changing pricing policy • Improving the firm’s product portfolio BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Seeking additional sources of finance • Additional sources of finance appropriate for a liquidity crisis include: • Overdrafts • Selling fixed assets • Debt factoring • Government assistance • Additional sources of finance will increase cash inflows into the business. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Over to you • Hoang textbook • Question 3.7.7 Ducie’s Dance Studios Ltd. • Page 322 • Answer all parts BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Theory of Knowledge To what extent do cash flow statements reveal the ‘truth’ about a business? BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cashflow and the CUEGIS concepts BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Cash flow and CUEGIS • Cash is largely regarded as more important than profit in the short run. • Failure to use cash-boosting and cost-reduction strategies will result in the insolvency of a business. • A contingency fund is important to manage any unexpected impacts on cash flow, particularly changes from the external environment. • Innovation in stock management software allows firms to keep a close eye on overstocking. BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Review tasks • Hoang workbook • Topic 3.7 • Pages 144 to 151 • Answer all questions