ClimDev-Africa Agricultural Water Management in the Context of Climate Change Tilahun Amede, Seleshi B. Awlachew, Bancy Matti, Seydou Traore, Muluneh Yitayew, Zeleke Belay First Climate Change and Development in Africa (CCDA-I) Conference Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, 17-19 October 2011 1 CC IMPACTS: RAINFED AGRICULTURE ▪ Climate variability will erode the resources base, and affect ecosystem services : Recurrent droughts & severe floods; ▪ Droughts will decrease yields / productivity ▪ Floods may damage crops and infrastructure (irrigation, road) ▪ Complicate farm operations abd services; ▪ Fluctuations in farmers’ income: poor farmers may lack means to buffer extreme years ▪ Impact on national economy, with 90% probability 2 IMPACTS: IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE ▪ Glacier melt of water towers: temporary increase / decrease in water reserves; ▪ Changes in groundwater recharge ; ▪ Changes in timing and magnitude of river flows (irrigation schemes tapping directly from river, and storage requirements); ▪ Temperature effects on water productivity: unproductive evaporation; ▪ CO2 fertilization and irrigation productivity: 3 “Over the past Gada, we have lost two months of rain. Now the rain is not coming at the right time: it is starting later and finishing before long. My daughter is now five years old and she has not seen a good harvest yet.” 4 Lars Naess, 2009 Annual water balance (A) and water withdrawal (B) of Africa and implications CC (UNEP, 2010) (UNEP, 2005) Make Choices : Scenarios to 2050 Today Without productivity improvements CA Scenario Policies for productivity gains, upgrading rainfed, revitalized irrigation, trade 6 Based on WaterSim analysis for the CA Upgrade rainfed agriculture Dependence on green and blue water 2000 7 Climate-smart Rainwater management systems (RWM) • Integrated strategy that enables actors to systematically map, capture, store and efficiently use Green and Blue water in a landscape for productive and domestic purposes and ecosystem services. • Decrease unproductive water losses; • Improve the water productivity (increase returns per unit of water investment) • Capitalizes on harvesting principles, water productivity at various scales; • Combining water management with land and vegetation management. 8 Investing Investing in Irrigation in Irrigation 2.5 320 World Bank lending for irrigation 2.0 Irrigated Area 280 240 200 1.5 160 1.0 Food price index 120 80 0.5 40 0 0 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Dependency effect? 2005 9 Reduce water loss for climate change adaptation Average Canal type N flow rate (l/s) Loss (l/s/100m) % loss per 100m* % loss/ 100m/30l/s Main canal 121 43.21a 2.58a 6.46a 4.49b Secondary canal 57 33.03b 1.59b 4.40b 4.00b Field canal 49 2.88c 0.39c 2.49c 25.94a Increased Storage Capacity for CC adaptation;Comparision evenofwithout external support Per capita Storage Capacity Per Capita Storage (m^3) 7000 6150 6000 4729 5000 4000 3255 2486 3000 2000 1000 1287 1406 Thailand Laos 746 4 43 Kenya Ethiopia 0 South Africa China Brazil Australia North America Countries 11 F a r m C 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 1 1 8 1 5 1 2 F a r m B 4 3 2 1 8 0 0 7 0 6 0 5 0 4 0 1 2 F a r m A 8 4 0 0 30 N 60N N 0 30 N 60N N 0 30 N 60N N Zai Tuber yield (t/ha) Tuber yield (t/ha) Tuber yield (t/ha) Micro dose 8 0 7 0 6 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 4 C o n t r o l W i t h o u tZ a i W i t h Z a i 12 Improve Livestock Systems for CC adaptation ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Improve feed quality; reduce methane emissions Integrate livestock into the wider development agenda (e.g. irrigation; watershed management); Developing watering points in closer distances (> 35% milk yield); Limit conversion of range to annual croplands; Improve animal management (health, feed quality, productivity); Interventions to maximize transpiration at the expense of evaporation (feed); Incentives for adaptation (Value addition/ market opportunities) of Convert unproductive water to productive use for CC adaptation High unproductive water losses = Low system productivity; Lenche Dima - all cropland Kuhar Michael - all cropland 3000 1800 1600 2500 1000 livestock crops 800 600 flows per HH (m3) 1200 2000 livestock 1500 crops 1000 400 500 200 0 deep percolation runoff transpiration evaporation deep percolation runoff transpiration 0 evaporation flows per HH (m3) 1400 14 Building Adaptive capacity on local experiences .. • Building on byelaws/ religious organizations/ Water User Associations • Facilitate information flow / technologies using local channels • Local institutions for collective action: Upstream-downstream • Commitment from local authorities and policy makers • Home gardens; women 15 Box 1: Majaluba for Rice Production in Shinyanga, Tanzania Box 2. Small scale irrigation in Ethiopia ▪ In Tanzania, farmers excavated bunded basins, locally known as ‘majaluba’ which hold rainwater for supplemental irrigation of crops in ASAL regions; ▪ About 35% of the rice in TZ is produced this way under smallholder farming Shinyanga, Dodoma, Tabora and the Lake Regions; ▪ Majaluba utilize direct rainfall and runoff harvesting from external catchments; ▪ Generally, rice yields are higher, attaining 3.43 t ha-1 with the use of harvested water for irrigation as compared to 2.17 t ha-1 ; ▪ These systems have increased household incomes by 67%.; ▪ Augment by other storage infrastructures SSI in four administrative regions of Ethiopia, ▪ Crop yield under irrigation was higher by at least 35% compared to non-irrigated farms; ▪ Benefits higher in farms where external inputs (fertilizer, improved seeds and pesticides) were used; ▪ Farmers replaced low yielding varieties by high yielding maize cultivars; ▪ Shifted towards diverse cropping, up to 10 new marketable crops; ▪ The real challenge: improving irrigation efficiency, creating local capacity and collective action with local communities; 16 Key messages for CC adaptation: 1. Investing in water storage at landscape and higher scales (reservoirs, strategic dams, ground water etc..); 2. Policy geared towards climate-sensitive systems (Agriculture / wetlands / water towers) and vulnerable communities; 3. Cross-boundary hydrological planning /management; drought and flood monitoring and information system; coping strategies; 4. Improving rainwater management systems, from capturing to efficient utilization and resilience; 17 5. Responsive research system along with resources for Tilahun Amede CPWF Nile Basin Leader t.amede@cgiar.org A CGIAR Challenge Programme Water for Food (CPWF) aims to increase water productivity and resilience of social and ecological systems Thank you !