For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. TB0563 Jonas Gamso Michael H. Moffett Harley-Davidson 2018: Trump, Tariffs, and the Future Surprised that Harley-Davidson, of all companies, would be the first to wave the White Flag. I fought hard for them and ultimately they will not pay tariffs selling into the EU, which has hurt us badly on trade. Taxes just a Harley excuse—be patient! President Donald Trump, Twitter, June 25, 2018 In June 2018, Harley-Davidson, Inc. (NYSE: HOG), the iconic American manufacturer of motorcycles—hogs as they were affectionately referred to—announced that it would shift some United States-based productionto a foreign country. Harley explained it had little choice if it was to remain competitive in foreign markets, specifically, Europe. The European Union (EU) had, the previous month, announced an increase in the import duty imposed on Harley-Davidson motorcycles manufactured in the U.S. in retaliation for President Donald Trump’s imposition of increased tariffs on European steel and aluminum. But Harley’s problems went much deeper than simply European import duties. Harley was suffering from a decade-long slump in sales and profitability. Would shifting production out of the U.S. be the solution? Harley-Davidson William S. Harley held, from an early age, a fascination with the bicycle and ways to develop it. In 1901, he completed a blueprint of how to fit an engine into a bicycle frame. Two years later, Harley-Davidson motorcycles was founded in a small shed in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, a business venture between Harley and two brothers, Arthur and Walter Davidson. Corporate Evolution Incorporating in 1907, Harley-Davidson thrived. Production volumes rose rapidly in the early years, including large-scale sales to the U.S. military during World War I. Although a number of competitors arose in the 1920s, only two U.S. motorcycle companies survived the depression of the 1930s: Harley-Davidson and Hendee Manufacturing, maker of the Indian. Enjoying more military sales throughout World War II, Harley gained increasing dominance in mass market sales and racing. When Hendee entered bankruptcy in 1953, HarleyDavison became the single surviving U.S. motorcycle manufacturer for the next 46 years. Harley has, however, had to constantly compete in an international marketplace, one where it had to not only fight in foreign markets, but in its home market as well. In 1952, Harley filed a complaint with the U.S. Tariff Commission for protection from imports, namely Triumph (United Kingdom), requesting a 40% tax on imported motorcycles. The Commission denied Harley’s request and, in a surprising turn, found Harley guilty of unfair business practices. Harley had tried to shut out foreign competitors from the U.S. market by only selling to dealerships that would not carry competitor products.1 1 This resulted in a1954 consent order (agreement between two parties that can be enforced by the court) that prohibited HarleyDavidson from requiring its dealers to sell only Harley-Davidson brand motorcycles, parts, and accessories. The consent order was terminated in 1995 at Harley’s request under sunset provisions, laws in effect for more than 20 years. Copyright © 2019 Thunderbird School of Global Management, a unit of the Arizona State University Knowledge Enterprise. This case was written by Professor Jonas Gamso and Professor Michael H. Moffett for the sole purpose of providing material fo r class discussion. It is not intended to illustrate either effective or ineffective handling of a managerial situation. Any reproduction, in any form, of the material in this case is prohibited unless permission is obtained from the copyright holder. This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. Harley continued to grow and innovate. In 1965, the company went public, listing its shares under the stock exchange symbol of HOG, an acronym for the Harley Ownership Group. 2 In that same year, the company launched the Electra Glide, the first Harley motorcycle with an electric starter. But in 1969, Harley was acquired by American Machine and Foundry (AMF). AMF moved quickly to cut costs and streamline production, including slashing the Harley workforce. What followed was a period of labor strife and a decline in product quality. In 1971, as part of a growing market desire for customization, Harley launched the Super Glide, the first cruiser, combining a sporty front wheel with the traditional power chassis. But AMF still refused to reinvest in the Harley brand and product. Sales declined. In 1980, AMF hired Goldman Sachs to find a buyer for Harley. After finding little interest, management proposed a leveraged buyout. (A leveraged buyout is when a group of investors borrows heavily in order to acquire control of a company. A management buyout is when the investor group includes current management of the firm.) Years before, AMF had hired Vaughn L. Beals, Jr. to run Harley. Beals was an MIT graduate in aeronautical engineering with more than 15 years’ experience in the aerospace industry and another decade in diesel engines manufacturing. In 1981, Beals led a group of 13 company executives including Willie G. Davidson, a descendant of the founding family, in a management buyout for $81.5 million.3 As is typical of management buyouts, this left the company with a large level of debt. Japanese Influence Turning the company around would prove challenging for the new owners—with both good and bad forces arising from Japan. In terms of production, Harley adopted a number of Japanese manufacturing quality practices (quality circles) and inventory and production cycle practices (just-in-time production). Just-in-time production, also known as the Toyota Production System, given its development by the auto manufacturer, is a manufacturing method aimed at reducing flow times within manufacturing. This is partly achieved by reducing the response and services times between suppliers and customers. For example, parts inventories are reduced and sourced only as needed. Japanese producers also created new problems for Harley. In 1982, Harley applied to the U.S. government for protection from Japanese imports. Harley claimed that Japanese manufacturers were exporting motorcycles into the U.S. at such a rapid rate that U.S. manufacturers were being “harmed.” The U.S. International Trade Commission agreed and recommended to President Ronald Reagan in 1983 that a 45% tariff be imposed on imported bikes with engine capacities of 700 cc or more.4 The tariff put in place was to last for five years, a period considered sufficient for Harley to reorganize and return to competitiveness. Given that Harley was the only U.S. manufacturer of large-engine motorcycles, the law was openly referred to as “the Harley Law.” Harley quickly revived its quality and cost competitiveness, and the company itself requested that the tariff be removed before three years had passed. Part of Harley’s motivation for having the tariff eliminated was, however, in recognition of how fruitless it had proven. Within six months of the tariff launch, the Japanese motorcycle makers introduced a motorcycle with a 696 cc engine for the U.S. market. By 1985, the Harley Owners Group (HOG) became the largest factory-sponsored motorcycle owners’ group in the world. This was followed in 1986 by the company once again publicly listing its shares. In an effort to grow, Harley acquired a recreational vehicle manufacturer, Holiday Rambler. Intended to diversify Harley’s revenues, the $155 million acquisition failed. Holiday Rambler was sold in 1996 for $50 million. In 1983, a former Harley-Davidson engineer, Erik Buell, created his own independent motorcycle manufacturing company. The Buell Motorcycle Company built smaller and sportier motorcycles, also in Wisconsin, and gained a share of the market quickly. Harley acquired a 49% ownership interest in Buell in 1993, and one decade later, the entire company. Buell continued as a wholly owned subsidiary of Harley until 2009 when it stopped production of the Buell line. 2 The origin of the hog term was thought to be the practice in the 1920s of winning motorcycle riders picking up a hog to be carried on the victory lap. 3 Vaughn Beals was CEO of Harley-Davidson from 1981-1989, and subsequently chairman of Harley’s board from 19811996. Willie G. Davidson is still active in Harley-Davidson’s management today. The original 13 investors paid 25 cents per share in the buyout. When Harley went public again in 1986, initial shares were sold for $11 per share. 4 U.S. tariffs imposed raised the existing import duty on this class of motorcycles from 4.4% to 49.4% the first year, to 39.4% the second year, 24.4% in the third year, 14.4% in the fourth year, returning to the original 4.4% in the fifth year. 2 A02-19-0006 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. Markets Harley evolved with motorcycle markets, but in many ways, it was difficult to say which had influenced which, as Harley was credited with developing new segments. Today’s motorcycle market comprises four segments: 1. 2. 3. 4. Standard—focusing on simplicity and cost Performance—emphasizing handling and acceleration Custom—promoting style and individual owner customization Touring—highlight comfort and amenities for long-distance travel At one time, Harley was widely known for its competitiveness in both flat track and road racing categories of performance. Today, Harley largely competes in the custom and touring segments. In fact, the company is often credited with creating the touring segment. Harley’s cruiser motorcycles, powered by air-cooled V-Twin engines, established the segment. It was only after 2000 that the company introduced liquid-cooled powered products, a departure from its historical demographic customer segment.5 Harley’s other major segment, custom, was a reflection of the long-term customer base’s preference for individualism. A growing part of motorcycle culture beginning in the 1950s, Harley increasingly promoted individual customization of its products for a demanding customer base. International Expansion Although Harley’s manufacturing was primarily U.S.-based, the company had exported internationally for a century, with the largest markets being Australia, Japan, and Germany. The oldest continuously operating dealership outside the U.S. was in Australia, established in 1918. Harley manufactured in Japan under license for a few years, but that ended in 1958. The major populous emerging markets—Brazil, China, India—were believed to represent the company’s future. Harley licensed its first sales distributorship in China in 2006. Harley’s international strategy was export-based. The company would forecast sales volumes for the target market, then manufacture to forecast. The motorcycles would then be stocked and distributed in-country—often termed “off the shelf ”—by a Harley dealership. Dealerships were both company-owned and independently owned. Although this export strategy was a low capital cost approach, it allowed little customization or responsiveness to customer preferences. It did, however, avoid the time and cost associated with a pure manufacturing-to-order structure. Over time, Harley recognized that to compete in individual international markets, it had to provide a wider product portfolio offered at different price points. Brazil was once such a market. After concluding that building a complete manufacturing plant in Brazil was too costly, it chose a hybrid approach. It would manufacture the motorcycle components in the U.S. and then assemble the motorcycle in-country. Harley opened its Brazilian assembly facility in 1999. The process, known as complete knockdown kits (CKDs), utilized cheaper local labor for the final assembly of motorcycle kits, allowing the company to reach lower price points. The CKD process had been widely used by automobile manufacturers globally for years. India While India was a promising populous market with a high per capita motorcycle consumption rate, it was arguably a poor fit for Harley’s product line. The first challenge was emissions. Harley’s motorcycles used an engine much larger than common in India, and as a result, did not meet emission requirements. The company chose a unique approach: change the regulation, not the product. Harley launched an intense lobbying campaign with the Indian government in 2007 to change emission standards by promoting the adoption of European Union-like emission standards which it could meet. 5 In 2009, Harley replaced its stamped and welded single-piece frame used for more than 30 years with a cast single-spar rigidbackbone frame. The company also converted to a wider and longer swing arm, the primary component of the rear wheel suspension holding the wheel, to improve ride comfort. The swing arm’s ability to pivot vertically allowed the motorcycle to absorb bumps and vibrations more comfortably. A02-19-0006 3 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. A second challenge was expanding the market segment consistent with Harley’s traditional product. India was experiencing a rapidly emerging middle class, an income segment which the company thought might fit well with its larger engine product line. Harley seeded the market segment, establishing and sponsoring Harley clubs and owner groups to create image, identity, and demand. Serving India would be difficult. Harley explored three different entry structures for the Indian market: (1) manufacturing in the U.S. and exporting to Harley dealerships in India, either company-owned or independently owned; (2) assembly of Harley motorcycles in India from kits manufactured in the U.S.; or (3) manufacturing in India for the Indian market. The first approach allowed the most control, but also suffered the highest costs, making price points unachievable. The third approach was by far the most capital-intensive approach, but would also allow the highest degree of localization and customization. In the end, Harley chose the second option. In 2009, Harley began importing kits from the U.S. for final assembly in India as it had done in Brazil. This was a compromise, as the CKDs would allow U.S.-based manufacturing for controlling costs and quality but allow the use of lower-cost Indian labor for final assembly. The biggest problem was that the kits were subject to a 30% import duty. Harley also grudgingly acknowledged the different engine requirements of the Indian market, choosing to focus on the assembly and sale of smallersized engines—at least small for Harley. It also chose to use a dealership network in India that was locally owned, minimizing its own capital, while forming what it hoped would be the largest commitment to effective sales. Sales in India to date have been promising but not material to global results. Today, Harley manufactures and assembles motorcycles in the United States (York, Pennsylvania, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, and Kansas City, Missouri), Manaus, Brazil, and Bawal, India, and in late 2018, it opened a new manufacturing plant in Thailand. It is currently in the process of closing its Kansas City facility. Harley utilizes an independently owned dealership network in the U.S., Europe, and Asia, via subsidiaries in Oxford, England, Tokyo, Japan, Sydney, Australia, Mexico, and Brazil. Competition Today Over the past century, Harley has seen many competitors come and go. In 1920, for example, Harley was the largest motorcycle manufacturer in the world. But over time, other manufacturers, first from the United Kingdom and then Japan, posed substantial competition to Harley’s market share. As Harley focused more on large engine cycles (greater than 650 cc), the competitor list narrowed. If Harley ever had a true American competitor, it was Indian. Hendee, which changed its name to the Indian Motorcycle Manufacturing Company in 1928, continued producing until 1953 when it went into bankruptcy. 6 Despite a number of attempts by other companies to restart the brand, Polaris Industries was finally able to relaunch the Indian in 2011. Polaris launched its own competitive line, Victory, in 1998. Unable to establish the brand image and loyalty enjoyed by Harley, Polaris discontinued the Victory in 2017 to focus exclusively on the Indian. Other global manufacturers—Suzuki, BMW, Yamaha, Honda, Kawasaki, Triumph—all continue to compete intensely in the U.S. large engine cruiser market. But despite the competition, Harley’s market share in the U.S. has held amazingly steady at 50% for many years. Harley’s second largest market, Europe, was highly competitive with a number of both European and foreign cycle manufacturers. Harley struggled to gain and hold a 10% share. The leaders in Europe—Suzuki (16%), BMW (15%), Yamaha (14%), Honda (12%), and Kawasaki (11%)—were large, established, and intensely competitive. Triumph (7%) and Ducati (6%) were always pushing Harley for pieces of its European market share as well. 6 In the 1960s, Burt Munro of New Zealand used a modified 1920s Indian Scout to set a number of land speed records on the Bonneville Salt Flats in the U.S., a story dramatized in the 2005 film The World’s Fastest Indian. 4 A02-19-0006 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. Harley’s Fortunes Harley-Davidson’s fortunes have changed over the past decade. As illustrated in Exhibit 1, revenues grew steadily from 2009 through 2014.7 But 2014 proved to be a peak, and while the rest of the U.S. economy boomed over the 2015-2017 period, Harley slid. On the positive side, Harley’s profitability (net income) remained steadyuntil recently. An additional concern, financially, was the company’s growing level of debt. Harley’s net debt (debt – cash) to EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) ratio had grown consistently and rapidly over the previous four years. A net debt to EBITDA ratio over 4.0 was considered cause for concern. Harley was now over 5.0. Harley’s revenue challenges arose from volume sales. As seen in Exhibit 2, although international volume sales grew over the past decade, U.S. sales volumes never really recovered from the 2008-2009 financial crisis. U.S. volume sales were now on the decline. As a publicly traded company, Harley-Davidson’s investors depended upon both dividend distributions and share price appreciation for their returns. As illustrated in Exhibit 3, Harley’s share price hit a number of potholes in the recent decade. Falling as far as $8 per share during the midst of the 2009 financial crisis, shares recovered to over $70 a share in late 2016. Recent declines in volumes, revenues, and profits had, however, driven share prices down 30% since that time. Harley tried to do its best in returning money to shareholders, working to maintain a healthy dividend over the past decade. Although it slashed the dividend from $1.29 per share in 2008 to $0.40 per share in 2009 (2009 was the single year in which the company actually lost money), the dividend grew back over time. At $1.46 per share in 2017, Harley offered a solid 3.2% dividend yield to investors. In addition to the dividend, the company also returned capital to shareholders via large share repurchases in recent years. Share repurchases totaled $4.4 billion over the past decade, and reduced shares outstanding by 25%, an extremely large number by any measure. Although it was difficult to say how much of an impact the share repurchase program had on share price, it clearly increased earnings per share (EPS) reported dramatically. 7 In addition to motorcycles, Harley also generates income from the licensing and sale of merchandise using the HarleyDavidson brand, including apparel, ornaments, accessories, and video games. A02-19-0006 5 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. The Mission, The Brand, The Image We fulfill dreams through the experiences of motorcycling, by providing to motorcyclists and to the general public an expanding line of motorcycles and branded products and services in selected market segments. Harley-Davidson The outlaw biker image of motorcycle riders, particularly in the U.S., began with the 1954 movie The Wild One starring Marlon Brando. Brando, riding a Triumph Thunderbird 6T, was depicted as part of a motorcycle rally and ensuing riot in Hollister, California. The movie came to symbolize bikers and the biker culture in the public’s eye for years to come. The image was reinforced in the movie Easy Rider, a 1969 Columbia Pictures 6 A02-19-0006 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. release, staring Peter Fonda. Now considered a counterculture cult classic, the Our Values movie featured chopped Harley-Davidson Hydra Glides, four cycles purchased Tell the Truth. 8 at auction and customized for the film. Be Fair. Keep Your Promises. This image has served as Harley’s foundational consumer segment for Respect the Individual. more than 50 years. But as is the case with all unique value propositions, that Encourage Intellectual Curiosity. Harley-Davidson which is its strength may also prove its weakness. Harley’s Efforts to Diversify its Consumer Base The model Harley rider has been a white, male, baby boomer, but Harley-Davidson’s management has recognized for several years that this population is aging and that the company needs to reach new consumers. Harley’s average customer was 32 years old in 1990; by 2017, the age was estimated to be 47 years old. This aging consumer profile, although long believed an element of strength and premium pricing power of the brand, was increasingly seen as a concern. For Harley, attracting new buyers meant diversifying its products and cultivating stronger brand desirability from nontraditional consumers. Harley’s heavyweight bikes are well tailored for, and had a high degree of loyalty from, its traditional consumer base. However, younger consumers in the U.S. prefer smaller, faster, sleeker, and cheaper sport bikes. While Harley had products in this category, including through its secondary brand Buell (now discontinued), foreign competitors such as BMW, Ducati, Honda, Kawasaki, Suzuki, and Yamaha dominate this market. The tendency of young people to see Harley as a boomer-bike that their dads and grandfathers rode amplifies the problem. Moreover, nontraditional American consumers are often unable to afford Harleys, which have a high price point and are generally considered a weekend vehicle used for leisure, as opposed to day-to-day transportation to work or school.9 Consumers in many foreign markets mirror nontraditional U.S. consumers in their desire for cheaper sport bikes. Additionally, they had little affinity for the U.S.-centric image that Harley cultivated. Harley found some customers for its heavy bikes in Europe, Japan, and Canada, but there was limited attention to emerging markets until recently, due to tariffs and other barriers to market entry. Recognizing the problem, Harley took efforts in the mid-2000s to diversify its product offerings and to conduct outreach efforts to attract new customers in the U.S. and abroad to the brand. Efforts to reach new U.S. customers included Garage Parties, training programs, and women-only retreats. In addition to market outreach, Harley also developed new lower-cost sport bike offerings. Much of this came through its Buell brand, which was distinct from Harley in terms of visual branding and design. These motorcycles were meant to appeal to customers that wanted sleeker and cheaper bikes, but they entered a marketplace dominated by rival producers from Europe and Japan. Buell struggled to gain market share in the sport bike category, while Harley’s sales of heavy bikes also remained stagnant. Although Harley’s sales in Europe grew 8.1% from 2016 to 2017, they fell 12% in the U.S. over the same period.10 Despite setbacks, Harley has continued its efforts to develop new bikes for nontraditional customers. This includes a fleet of sport bikes released in 2014 and a series of electric motorcycles slated for release in 2019. The latter will include five new electric vehicles, bolstered by the establishment of a new research and development center in Silicon Valley.11 While the market for electric bikes in the U.S. remains small, a larger market exists overseas, particularly in China.12 Despite these efforts, considerable challenges remain as Harley contends with 8 Chopped is the term for the radical customization of a motorcycle. The chopper is one of the most extreme custom styles and can be built from an original motorcycle which is modified (“chopped”) or built from scratch. Some of the characteristic features of choppers are long front ends with extended forks, often combined with an increased rake angle, hard-tail frames (frames without rear suspension), very tall hanger handlebars, or very short drag handlebars. 9 Ell, Kellie. “Harley-Davidson Tries to Regain Its Coolness Factor,” CNBC, 2018; Benjamin Preston. “Harley-Davidson’s Reputation as an ‘Old, White-Guy Brand’ May Be Its Downfall,” The Guardian, 2015; Alan Rappeport. “Trump’s War with Harley-Davison Has Divided America’s Bikers,” The New York Times, August 11, 2018. 10 “Kessler, Carson. “Why Harley-Davison Is Moving Production Overseas,” Fortune, 2018. 11 “Harley-Davison Doubles Down on Electric,” Electrek, 2018. 12 Duprey, Rich. “Harley-Davidson Makes Even Deeper Commitment to Electric Motorcycles,” The Motley Fool, 2018. A02-19-0006 7 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. fierce competition in the sport bike space, limited brand interest among nontraditional customers, and uncertainty about the potential market for its electric offerings. Tariffs and Retaliation 2018 The rise of protectionism in 2018 presented new challenges for Harley-Davidson. U.S. president Donald Trump initiated a number of trade skirmishes by imposing tariffs on imported steel (25%) and aluminum (10%) from several countries, including the European Union. These tariffs would create costs for Harley, which imports steel inputs for their bikes. To make matters worse, the EU retaliated against the U.S. soon after, increasing the 6% import duty on motorcycles with engines greater than 500 cc by 25%—a direct hit on Harley-Davidson. Harley estimated the new duties would increase the price of the average motorcycle imported into the EU from the U.S. by $2,200.13 The company sold approximately 39,800 Harley-Davidson motorcycles to Europeans in 2017, making the EU’s tariffs potentially very costly. After considering a number of strategic options, Harley decided to shift some U.S. production out of the U.S. in order to gain entry into the EU market at the historically lower 6% import duty. Although Harley had not yet detailed its plans, analysts believed the new assembly facility in Thailand might be the primary beneficiary of the production shift.14 Harley’s announcement prompted instant backlash. President Trump, who had up to this point touted Harley as the quintessential American company (an image Harley’s leadership was happy to embrace),15 tweeted his opinion about off-shoring production: “A Harley-Davidson should never be built in another country—never!”16 President Trump’s opposition to Harley’s strategic move did not stop there; he went on to encourage a boycott of Harley-Davidson’s products.17 Harley-Davidson’s leadership now found itself and its future in the crosshairs, or crossroads, of international politics. It needed to explore additional options. “HarleyDavidson, StungbyTariffs, Shifts Some Production Outofthe U.S,” Associated Press. 2018;“OnceaTrump Favorite, Harley Now Feels the Pinch from Trade War,” Bloomberg, 2018. 14 Tit, Bob. “Harley-Davidson to Shift Production Overseas to Offset EU Tariffs,” The Wall Street Journal, June 25, 2018. 15 Lippert, John, and John McCormick. “Trump Welcomes Harley-Davidsonin LatestWhite House Session,” Bloomberg, 2017. 16 Calamur, Krishnadev.”Uneasy Riders: Trump’s War on Harley,” The Atlantic, 2018. 17 Wattles, Jackie. “Trump Encourages Boycott Against Harley-Davison,” CNN, 2018. 13 8 A02-19-0006 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. Appendix 1. Harley-Davidson, Inc., Income Statement USD in millions Revenue Cost of revenue Gross profit 2008 5,594 3,663 1,931 2009 4,782 2,901 1,881 2010 4,859 3,022 1,838 2011 5,312 3,336 1,976 2012 5,581 3,418 2,162 2013 5,900 3,561 2,338 2014 6,229 3,707 2,521 2015 5,995 3,518 2,477 2016 5,996 3,593 2,403 2017 5,647 3,442 2,205 985 979 224 (55) 1,149 1,020 164 (70) 1,113 1,061 68 (51) 1,078 1,111 28 (6) 1,133 1,127 (2) 62 1,187 1,160 1,220 1,217 1,182 81 1,240 101 1,321 137 1,354 132 1,314 724 90 (243) 390 131 260 (113) 147 898 45 (60) 793 245 548 51 599 1,029 46 (21) 962 338 624 1,152 45 8 1,114 380 734 1,281 4 6 1,283 439 845 1,156 12 7 1,150 398 752 1,049 30 5 1,024 332 692 891 31 4 864 342 522 655 732 305 (248) 179 108 71 (126) (55) 624 734 845 752 692 522 Earnings per share Basic Diluted 2.80 2.79 (0.24) (0.24) 0.63 0.62 2.57 2.55 2.75 2.72 3.30 3.28 3.90 3.88 3.71 3.69 3.85 3.83 3.03 3.02 Weighted average shares outstanding Basic Diluted 234 234 233 234 233 235 233 235 227 229 222 224 216 218 203 204 180 181 172 173 Operating expenses Sales, General and administrative Restructuring, merger and acquisition Other operating expenses Total operating expenses Operating income Interest Expense Other income (expense) Income before taxes Provision for income taxes Net income from continuing operations Net income from discontinuing ops Net income 985 946 299 386 1,034 379 655 Source: Harley-Davidson, Inc., SEC filin gs. A02-19-0006 9 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. Appendix 2. Harley-Davidson, Inc. (H OG) Balance Sheet USD in millions 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Assets Total cash 2014 2015 2016 2017 595 1,670 1,162 1,680 1,204 1,166 964 767 766 688 Receivables 296 269 262 219 1,973 2,035 2,164 2,301 2,361 2,436 Inventories 401 323 326 418 394 425 449 586 500 538 Deferred income taxes 123 180 146 132 111 104 90 103 Prepaid expenses 141 282 Other current assets 3,822 1,617 2,169 2,092 370 260 281 226 227 223 Total current assets 5,378 4,341 4,065 4,541 4,052 3,990 3,948 3,983 3,854 3,885 Property, plant and equipment Gross property, plant and equipment 3,032 2,959 2,772 2,605 2,685 2,803 2,996 3,174 3,262 3,285 Accumulated Depreciation (1,938) (2,052) (1,957) (1,796) (1,869) (1,961) (2,113) (2,231) (2,280) (2,318) Net property, plant and equipment 1,094 907 815 809 816 842 883 943 982 967 Goodwill 139 31 30 29 30 30 28 54 53 56 Deferred income taxes 288 178 214 202 172 3 78 100 168 109 Other long-term assets 929 3,698 4,305 4,091 4,103 4,295 4,591 4,912 4,834 4,935 Total non-current assets 2,450 4,814 5,364 5,131 5,121 5,415 5,580 6,009 6,037 6,087 Total assets 7,828 9,155 9,429 9,672 9,173 9,405 9,528 9,992 9,891 9,972 Short-term debt 1,739 1,522 1,232 1,879 732 1,842 1,744 2,045 2,141 2,401 Accounts payable 324 163 225 256 257 240 197 236 235 228 58 20 22 28 19 26 26 557 98 459 399 419 453 461 483 Prepaid pension benefit 245 20 Liabilities and stockholders’ equity Taxes payable Accrued liabilities 541 514 408 35 6 2 Total current liabilities 2,604 2,268 2,014 2,699 1,503 2,510 2,389 2,753 2,863 3,158 Long-term debt 2,176 4,114 4,521 3,844 4,371 3,417 3,762 4,845 4,667 4,587 173 70 Other current liabilities Deferred taxes liabilities 21 49 Pensions and other benefits 758 510 537 571 608 253 279 359 258 Other long-term liabilities 175 155 153 140 131 167 189 195 183 210 Total non-current liabilities 3,109 4,779 5,211 4,555 5,110 3,886 4,230 5,399 5,108 4,970 Total liabilities 5,713 7,047 7,224 7,254 6,613 6,396 6,619 8,152 7,970 8,128 Stockholders’ equity Common stock Additional paid-in capital 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 847 871 908 968 1,066 1,175 1,265 1,329 1,382 1,423 Retained earnings 6,459 6,324 6,336 6,823 7,306 7,853 8,459 8,962 1,338 1,608 Treasury stock (4,671) (4,672) (4,676) (4,899) (5,207) (5,689) (6,303) (7,839) (236) (689) Accumulated other comprehensive income (523) (418) (366) (477) (608) (333) (515) (615) (565) Total stockholders’ equity 2,115 2,108 2,205 2,418 2,560 3,009 2,909 1,840 1,921 1,844 Total liabilities and stockholders’ equity 7,828 9,155 9,429 9,672 9,173 9,405 9,528 9,992 9,891 9,972 (500) Source: Harley-Davidson, Inc., SEC filings. 10 A02-19-0006 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024. For the exclusive use of J. Yarbrough, 2024. Appendix 3. Harley-Davidson, Inc ., State ment of Cash Flow USD in millions 2008 Cash Flows From Operating Activities Net income 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Depreciation & amortization 655 71 260 548 624 734 845 752 692 522 242 246 275 191 169 167 179 198 210 222 87 79 Amortization of debt Investment/asset impairment charges 41 Investments losses (gains) 5 92 Deferred income taxes (49) 7 (18) 88 128 53 (8) (16) - Stock based compensation 24 18 30 38 41 41 38 29 32 32 Change in working capital (80) (47) 207 82 (112) (67) (120) (122) 41 (21) (9) 51 Accounts receivable (4) 9 3 43 (11) (8) (88) (131) (51) 16 Inventory (45) 85 3 (95) 21 (46) (51) (155) 85 (21) (98) 69 (3) 30 Other working capital (31) (142) 201 134 (24) (81) 22 133 7 (16) Other non-cash items (1,523) 152 251 (141) (49) 49 212 259 208 199 (685) 538 1,092 885 801 977 1,147 1,100 1,174 1,005 Investments in property, plant, and equipment (232) (117) (171) (189) (189) (208) (232) (260) (256) (206) Acquisitions, net (96) Purchases of investments (609) (1,418) (184) (2,765) (5) Sales/Maturities of investments 545 668 84 2,890 23 40 41 12 40 7 Other investing activities (2) (16) 416 (91) (396) (553) (607) (176) (363) (393) (882) 145 (261) (569) (745) (916) (393) (562) Prepaid expenses Net cash provided by operating activities Cash Flows From Investing Activities Net cash used for investing activities (60) (64) (5) Cash Flows From Financing Activities Debt issued 2,245 3,505 706 1,827 1,958 1,107 1,988 3,088 1,256 1,576 Debt repayment (400) (1,860) (2,478) (1,814) (2,595) (947) (1,742) (1,691) (1,334) (1,421) Common stock issued 1 - 8 8 Common stock repurchased (250) (2) (2) (225) (312) (479) (616) (1,537) (465) (465) Dividend paid (302) (94) (94) (111) (142) (188) (238) (249) (252) (252) - (167) 4 6 101 114 72 35 62 20 Net cash provided by (used for) financing activities 1,293 1,382 (1,856) (309) (990) (393) (536) (354) (734) (542) Effect of exchange rate changes (25) 6 4 (8) (9) (17) (26) (15) (9) 27 Net change in cash 191 1,043 (615) 505 (459) (2) (160) (184) 38 (72) Cash at beginning of period 403 594 1,636 1,022 1,527 1,068 1,067 907 722 760 Cash at end of period 594 1,636 1,022 1,527 1,068 1,067 907 722 760 688 Other financing activities Source: Harley-Davidson, Inc., SEC filings. A02-19-0006 11 This document is authorized for use only by Joseph Yarbrough in Global Trade Compliance Strategies-Spring I 2024 taught by Daniel Ogden, Baylor University from Dec 2023 to Jun 2024.