4/18/24, 2:53 PM Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates FORBES BUSINESS BREAKING Netflix Reports Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates Derek Saul Forbes Staff Follow Derek Saul has covered financial markets for Forbes since 2021. 0 Apr 18, 2024, 04:25pm EDT Click to save this article. Updated Apr 18, 2024, 04:31pm EDT You'll be asked to sign into your Forbes account. Got it TOPLINE Netflix reported blockbuster financial results in its first- quarter earnings report Thursday afternoon, as the streaming king returns to explosive subscriber growth, though some question how long the fruits of its password sharing crackdown will last. Netflix is fresh off of its best ever quarterly subscriber growth, topping even 2020's first ... [+] GETTY IMAGES https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/04/18/netflix-reports-record-profits-as-subscriber-growth-tops-estimates/?sh=445c2cd7222b Privacy - Terms 1/5 4/18/24, 2:53 PM Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates KEY FACTS • Netflix’s $9.4 billion in first-quarter revenues and $5.28 profit per share were comfortably above consensus analyst estimates, with Netflix’s top and bottom line marks both the best in its history. • Perhaps most impressively, Netflix’s 9.3 million of paid net subscriber adds was about 70% above analyst forecasts, sending its global subscriber base to a record 270 million. • But Netflix expects the dough to come in slower next quarter, as the $9.5 billion of sales it guided for was just below consensus forecasts compiled by FactSet, and its $4.68 diluted earnings per share for the second-quarter would mark a notable decline from the just-completed quarter. • Shares of Netflix fell about 3% immediately after the earnings release, but remain up big for the year. BIG NUMBER 2.53 million. That’s how many net U.S. and Canada subscribers Netflix gained during the first quarter. That’s lower than the prior quarter’s record 2.8 million adds, but shatter estimates of 1.1 million. Yet “there are increasingly fewer and fewer households in [the U.S. and Canada] yet to subscribe to the streamer,” warned MoffettNathanson analyst Michael Nathanson, noting the effects of the password-sharing crackdown launched last year was a “pullforward of growth” that can’t be sustained “indefinitely.” Average analyst forecasts put U.S. and Canada growth to come in at about 3.3 million in 2024, far below last year’s 5.2 million. We’re “now https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/04/18/netflix-reports-record-profits-as-subscriber-growth-tops-estimates/?sh=445c2cd7222b 2/5 4/18/24, 2:53 PM Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates past the biggest impacts from paid sharing,” prognosticated Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett. CRUCIAL QUOTE Netflix stock faced a “tricky setup” heading into earnings, noted Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft., as the streamer’s share price is up more than 75% over the last six months. TANGENT Valuation metrics suggest Netflix’s return to profitability growth is heavily baked into its stock already, as its price-to-sales ratio (market capitalization divided by trailing 12-month revenues) and forward price-to-earnings ratio (share price divided by average projected profits per share over next 12 months) are both hovering at their highest levels since early 2022, sitting well above the industry average. But Netflix is the “indisputable winner of the streaming wars,” according to Nathanson, reflecting the strong investor sentiment as market dominance is always an attractive proposition. Netflix Stock's Rapid Decline And Recovery $700 Intraday all-time high of $700.99 N s p $ 600 500 400 300 First quarter of subscriber losses since 2011 200 100 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 KEY BACKGROUND https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/04/18/netflix-reports-record-profits-as-subscriber-growth-tops-estimates/?sh=445c2cd7222b 3/5 4/18/24, 2:53 PM Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates The last few years have been a wild ride for Netflix investors. Shares more than doubled from their early 2020 bottom to their November 2021 all-time high of over $700, before cratering to as low as $163 by mid-2022 as the market was aghast at the company’s first quarterly subscriber losses since 2011. But it’s been a steady uphill climb for Netflix over the past two years, with price stabilization coming as the firm tallied its best ever year of subscriber growth, revenue and profits in 2023, coinciding with the company’s push to limit account sharing and launch of a cheaper ad-supported tier. FURTHER READING MORE FROM FORBES Netflix Announces First Major Venture Into Live Sports: $5 Billion Deal For WWE's Raw By Derek Saul Forbes Daily: Join over 1 million Forbes Daily subscribers and get our best stories, exclusive reporting and essential analysis of the day’s news in your inbox every weekday. Email address Sign Up By signing up, you agree to receive this newsletter, other updates about Forbes and its affiliates’ offerings, our Terms of Service (including resolving disputes on an individual basis via arbitration), and you acknowledge our Privacy Statement. Forbes is protected by reCAPTCHA, and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER Streaming Profit Report: A Year Spent Chasing Netflix Follow me on Twitter or LinkedIn. Send me a secure tip. Derek Saul Follow Derek Saul is a New Jersey-based Senior Reporter on our news desk. He graduated in 2021 from Duke University, where he majored in Economics and... Read More https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/04/18/netflix-reports-record-profits-as-subscriber-growth-tops-estimates/?sh=445c2cd7222b 4/5 4/18/24, 2:53 PM Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates Editorial Standards Reprints & Permissions ADVERTISEMENT Join Our Conversation One Community. Many Voices. Create a free account to share your thoughts. Read our community guidelines here Log in Be the first to comment... No one seems to have shared their thoughts on this topic yet Leave a comment so your voice will be heard first. Powered by Terms | Privacy | Feedback https://www.forbes.com/sites/dereksaul/2024/04/18/netflix-reports-record-profits-as-subscriber-growth-tops-estimates/?sh=445c2cd7222b 5/5