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Netflix Earnings Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates

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4/18/24, 2:53 PM
Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates
FORBES
BUSINESS
BREAKING
Netflix Reports Record Profits
As Subscriber Growth Tops
Estimates
Derek Saul Forbes Staff
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Derek Saul has covered financial markets for Forbes
since 2021.
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Apr 18, 2024, 04:25pm EDT
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TOPLINE Netflix reported blockbuster financial results in its first-
quarter earnings report Thursday afternoon, as the streaming king
returns to explosive subscriber growth, though some question how
long the fruits of its password sharing crackdown will last.
Netflix is fresh off of its best ever quarterly subscriber growth, topping even 2020's first ...
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4/18/24, 2:53 PM
Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates
KEY FACTS
• Netflix’s $9.4 billion in first-quarter revenues and $5.28 profit
per share were comfortably above consensus analyst estimates,
with Netflix’s top and bottom line marks both the best in its
history.
• Perhaps most impressively, Netflix’s 9.3 million of paid net
subscriber adds was about 70% above analyst forecasts, sending
its global subscriber base to a record 270 million.
• But Netflix expects the dough to come in slower next quarter, as
the $9.5 billion of sales it guided for was just below consensus
forecasts compiled by FactSet, and its $4.68 diluted earnings per
share for the second-quarter would mark a notable decline from
the just-completed quarter.
• Shares of Netflix fell about 3% immediately after the earnings
release, but remain up big for the year.
BIG NUMBER
2.53 million. That’s how many net U.S. and Canada subscribers
Netflix gained during the first quarter. That’s lower than the prior
quarter’s record 2.8 million adds, but shatter estimates of 1.1
million. Yet “there are increasingly fewer and fewer households in
[the U.S. and Canada] yet to subscribe to the streamer,” warned
MoffettNathanson analyst Michael Nathanson, noting the effects of
the password-sharing crackdown launched last year was a “pullforward of growth” that can’t be sustained “indefinitely.” Average
analyst forecasts put U.S. and Canada growth to come in at about
3.3 million in 2024, far below last year’s 5.2 million. We’re “now
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Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates
past the biggest impacts from paid sharing,” prognosticated
Rosenblatt analyst Barton Crockett.
CRUCIAL QUOTE
Netflix stock faced a “tricky setup” heading into earnings, noted
Deutsche Bank analyst Bryan Kraft., as the streamer’s share price is
up more than 75% over the last six months.
TANGENT
Valuation metrics suggest Netflix’s return to profitability growth is
heavily baked into its stock already, as its price-to-sales ratio
(market capitalization divided by trailing 12-month revenues) and
forward price-to-earnings ratio (share price divided by average
projected profits per share over next 12 months) are both hovering
at their highest levels since early 2022, sitting well above the
industry average. But Netflix is the “indisputable winner of the
streaming wars,” according to Nathanson, reflecting the strong
investor sentiment as market dominance is always an attractive
proposition.
Netflix Stock's Rapid Decline And Recovery
$700
Intraday all-time
high of $700.99
N
s
p
$
600
500
400
300
First quarter of
subscriber losses
since 2011
200
100
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
KEY BACKGROUND
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Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates
The last few years have been a wild ride for Netflix investors. Shares
more than doubled from their early 2020 bottom to their
November 2021 all-time high of over $700, before cratering to as
low as $163 by mid-2022 as the market was aghast at the
company’s first quarterly subscriber losses since 2011. But it’s been
a steady uphill climb for Netflix over the past two years, with price
stabilization coming as the firm tallied its best ever year of
subscriber growth, revenue and profits in 2023, coinciding with the
company’s push to limit account sharing and launch of a cheaper
ad-supported tier.
FURTHER READING
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THE HOLLYWOOD REPORTER
Streaming Profit Report: A Year Spent Chasing Netflix
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Derek Saul
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Derek Saul is a New Jersey-based Senior Reporter on our news desk. He
graduated in 2021 from Duke University, where he majored in Economics
and... Read More
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Netflix Earnings: Record Profits As Subscriber Growth Tops Estimates
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