Fundamentals of Finance and Financial Markets Course201 1 FINANCIAL MARKETS 2 INTRODUCTION Perform an essential economic function of channeling funds from surplus units to deficit units Financial markets consist of individuals, government, institutions & organizations, foreigners & a set of rules and practices that facilitate the flow of funds from savers to users 3 INTRODUCTION (Cont’d) SURPLUS UNITS (suppliers of funds) Individual Investors Financial Institutions Pension & Provident Funds Insurance Companies Banks Mutual funds Non-Financial Institutions 4 INTRODUCTION (Cont’d) Governments Foreign Suppliers of Funds Official Development Assistance Non-resident Ghanaians Companies Foreign portfolio investors. 5 INTRODUCTION (Cont’d) DEFICIT UNITS (borrowers of funds) Individuals financial institutions non-financial institutions governments Foreigners 6 INTRODUCTION (Cont’d) Traditionally segmented into money markets and capital markets with various financial instruments. Money Market The segment where short-term finances are made available through the issuance & trading of short-term securities. Securities here are short-term debt securities with maturities of 1 year or less. 7 INTRODUCTION (Cont’d) Capital Market Market for the issuance & trading of medium to long-term securities Raising of medium to long-term capital Securities here have medium-to-long-term maturities of more than one year. 8 AN OVERVIEW OF THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM INDIRECT FINANCE Financial Intermediaries FUNDS FUNDS FUNDS Lenders (Savers) 1. Households 2. Business firms 3. Government 4. Foreigners FUNDS Financial Markets Money Market (less than 1 year) FUNDS Borrowers (Spenders) 1. Business firms 2. Government 3. Households 4. Foreigners Capital Markets (more than 1 year) DIRECT FINANCE 9 Money Market Instruments Money Market Instruments – short-term, marketable, liquid, low-risk debt securities. They are sometimes called cash equivalents because of their safety and liquidity. Treasury Bills Bankers Acceptances Commercial Paper Certificate of Deposits Repurchase Agreements (Repos) 10 Money Market Instruments (Cont’d) Treasury Bills Treasury Bill is a short-term government promissory note for financing deficits between government revenues and expenditure Maturities at issue: 91 Days 182 Days Most actively traded money market instrument 11 Treasury Bill (Cont’d) Investors buy the bills at a discount from the stated maturity value. At the bill’s maturity, the holder receives from the government a payment equal to the face value of the bill. The difference between the purchase price and ultimate maturity value constitutes the investor’s earnings. Investors buy Treasury bills by placing an order through a “primary dealer”. A secondary market is the market for buying and selling bills which have already been issued. 12 Commercial Paper Short-term unsecured promissory notes issued & sold by large reputable financial & non-financial companies; Raise money on a short-term basis to fund short-term working capital needs; An alternative to borrowing from banks, with the rates being lower than bank lending rates. 13 Commercial Paper (Cont’d) Carries Credit Risk of Issuer Limited market in Ghana because of: Lack of credit rating facilities Weak primary and secondary market facilities In Ghana, commercial paper is usually sold to merchant banks or discount houses who either hold them to maturity or place them with other financial institutions. 14 Certificates of Deposit (CDs) CDs are time deposits that have a specified maturity date; Issued by a bank or financial institution May be redeemed prior to maturity (early redemptions result in a penalty-such as loss of interest); Yields offered depend on the term of the instrument (the longer the term, the higher the interest rate) 15 Certificates of Deposit (cont’d) CD is negotiable, i.e., although the bank has the deposit for a fixed term, the depositor can, if he so wishes, obtain cash before maturity by selling the certificate in the money market. Banks usually issue NCDs to satisfy loan demand and to meet reserve requirements. Interest and principal are both paid at maturity. Yield on NCDs is at a premium to Treasury Bills of similar maturity because NCDs are unsecured. 16 Banker’s Acceptances (BAs) BAs is a draft drawn on a bank by a customer. When the bank accepts the draft, it becomes a BA. Bank can either fund the draft against the company's deposits or sell the acceptance to another financial institution for less than face value &, therefore, receive immediate cash rather than wait to collect the payment from the customer. While the acceptance becomes an asset of the buying financial institution, it still carries the guarantee of the accepting bank &, therefore, will be honoured by the bank when it matures. BAs usually mature within 90 days. They are primarily used to finance domestic and international trade.. 17 Repurchase Agreement (Repo) Sale of a short-term security in which the seller agrees to buy back the security at a specified price & date Financial institutions which find themselves with a sudden need for cash can either sell their assets such as Treasury Bills to another financial institution or enter into a "REPO" under which the borrowing or cash-short institution agrees to sell the asset to a lending or cash surplus institution with a simultaneous agreement by the borrower to buy back the asset from the selling institution at a specified date and price. 18 Repurchase Agreement (Cont’d) The difference between the sale price & repurchase price is the source of return to the holder of the security. A Bank may sell a 91-day Treasury Bill to a discount house, promising to buy it back at the end of one week. The discount house makes its profit from the spread between what it pays the bank when the security is received and what it receives when the bank repurchases the asset. In effect, a REPO is a borrowing agreement between two parties. The lender is said to hold a "reverse repurchase agreement" or “sell back” while the borrower holds a repurchase agreement or “buy back”. A repurchase taking place in one-day is called an overnight repo; a repo with a term of more than one day is called a term repo. Under an open repo agreement, the agreement stays open until the lender decides to call the funds. 19 CAPITAL MARKETS INSTRUMENTS Capital markets, include medium-to-long-term and riskier instruments such as: Shares Treasury Notes & Bonds Corporate Bonds Derivatives Shares may only be issued by companies Bonds may be issued by corporate bodies, government agencies, municipals, local authorities, educational institutions, etc 20 Shares Shares represent a part ownership of a limited liability company. 2 types: Preference & Ordinary Shares Preference Shares Have preference over ordinary shares in the payment of dividends and in the distribution of a company's assets in the event of liquidation. The holders of the preference shares must receive a dividend (in the case of an ongoing firm) before the holders of ordinary shares are entitled to anything. From a legal standpoint, preference shares are a form of ownership in a business. Importantly, however, preference shares usually have limited/no voting privileges. 21 Shares (Cont’d) Dividends payable on preference shares are either cumulative or noncumulative. If dividends are cumulative and are not paid in a particular year, they will be carried forward as arrears. Usually, both the accumulated (past) preference share dividends plus the current preference share dividends must be paid before the ordinary shareholders can receive anything. 22 Shares (Cont’d) Ordinary Shares: Ordinary Shares are also known as equity securities or equities. Attract no fixed dividend payments; Dividends paid when declared; only after payments to preference shareholders. Dividends not paid in any year are noncumulative Share entitles owner to one vote on matters of corporate governance that are put to vote. Two most important characteristics of shares: residual claim, and limited liability features. 23 Shares (Cont’d) Residual claim means that shareholders are the last of all those who have a claim on the assets and income of the company. Limited liability means that a shareholder’s total loss in the event of a corporate failure is his/her capital investment in the company. 24 Treasury Notes & Bonds Notes and bonds are instruments with maturities of 1 year or more. Notes usually refer to 1-2 year instruments. In Ghana, bonds are usually instruments with 3 years or more maturity. 25 Treasury Notes & Bonds (Cont’d) Examples of Treasury Notes & Government Bonds 1-Year Note 2-Year Fixed Rate Bond 3-Year Fixed Rate Bond 2-Year Floating Rate Note (Interest rate spreads over 91-Day Treasury Bill) 3-Year Floating Rate Note (Interest Rate Spread over 182-Day Treasury Bill) 3-Year Government of Ghana Index-Linked Bond (GGILB), an instrument whose interest is linked to the rate of inflation. 26 Treasury Notes & Bonds (Cont’d) Examples of Treasury Notes & Government Bonds 2- Year Government of Ghana Bonds 3-Year Government of Ghana Bonds 5-Year Government of Ghana Bonds Golden Jubilee Bond 27 Treasury Notes & Bonds (Cont’d) Examples of Corporate Bonds HFC Series H Dollar (coupon of 5%) HFC Series J Dollar (coupon of 6mths USD Libor + 100 basis point-1%) SCB Medium-Term Notes (coupon of 91-day +2%) 28 Corporate Bonds Corporate bonds enable private firms to borrow money directly from the public. They typically pay semiannual coupons over the their life and return the face value to the bondholders at maturity. However, they differ most importantly from treasury bonds in degree of risk. Default risk is a real consideration in the purchase of corporate bonds. Secured bonds have specific collateral backing them in the event of firm’s bankruptcy. Unsecured bonds have no collateral and are called debentures. 29 Corporate Bonds (Cont’d) Subordinated debentures – have a lower priority claim to the firm’s assets in the event of bankruptcy. Callable bonds – give a firm the option to repurchase the bond from the holder at a stipulated call price. Convertible bonds give the holder the option to convert each bond into a stipulated number of shares of stock. 30 Classification of Markets Auction Market Over-the-Counter Market Intermediated Market Money market Capital market Primary Market Secondary Market Cash or spot market Derivative market 31 Classification of Markets Cont’d Auction market – In most free market economies, government securities are sold by auction. Investors are invited to submit a sealed bid stating how much they wish to buy and at what price. Over-the-counter market – A market for securities made up of securities dealers who may not be members of a recognized stock exchange. Intermediated market – e.g. banking sector where banks serve as intermediaries between borrowers and savers. 32 Primary Market The market for newly issued securities Encompasses the various activities by which issuers issue their securities to raise money. Could be done privately or publicly 33 Examples of Primary Market Activities Camelot/SIC/TOTAL/UT Financial Services/GOIL all issued shares to the public in the primary market to raise capital Private companies raise capital by issuing shares to few strategic investors BoG issues treasury bills every week to dealers in the primary market to raise money to finance government budget deficits. Banks issue certificates of deposit to depositors to raise capital Big companies issue commercial papers to investors to raise money 34 Secondary Market Refers to activities that take place after the primary issue through which securities are traded from investor to investor with proceeds of such trade not reverting to the primary issuer. Involves trading on an exchange or over the counter. 35 Examples of Secondary Market Activities Investors who hold Camelot/Goil/CAL Bank/GCB shares may sell these shares to other investors on the GSE. Proceeds go to selling shareholders and not to these companies. Shareholders of private companies may sell their shares to other investors, when they want to exit. Proceeds go to selling shareholders and not to the private company. Holders of BoG treasury bills, bank certificates of deposit, commercial paper may sell them (at a discount) to Discount Houses before their maturity dates. Proceeds go to the selling investors and not to the primary issuers. 36 Traded Shares Prices of shares go up and down depending on the market forces. Investors base their purchase and sales decisions on expectations of the company’s growth, earnings, dividend payments and general economic conditions. Markets in which share prices fully reflect all available information are described as efficient markets. The Ghana Stock Exchange (GSE) publishes an up-to-date profile of listed companies after each trading session. 37 Definitions Market Capitalization- the total market value of all shares listed on the stock exchange. NRF Investors – the percentage allocation of issued shares to nonresident foreign investors. Dividend Per Share – the ratio of the total dividends paid to the total number of shares outstanding. Dividend Yield- the ratio of the annual dividend per share to the price per share 38 Definitions (cont’d) Earnings Per Share (EPS) – the ratio of the net profit after taxes to the number of issued shares Price-Earnings (P/E) Ratio – the ratio of price per share to the earnings per share 39 Definitions Low offer – the lowest price which investors who wanted to sell were willing to accept High Bid – the highest price that investors were willing to pay to acquire the share Last Price – the price at which the last transaction was conducted Price Change – is the amount by which the price of the share changed from the previous session 40 Definitions Total shares Offered – the total number of shares offered for sale during the particular trading session Total shares bid – the number of shares that investors were willing to buy Total shares traded – the number of shares that changed hands during the trading session 41 The GSE All-Share Index In Ghana, the overall performance of the market is measured by the GSE All-share Index. The index is a market capitalization index of all shares listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange. GSE All-Share Index = Total Market Capitalization * 100 Base Period Total Market Cap. The base period market capitalization is the average capitalization of the market for the 12 period November 1990 to 30 December 1993. The value of the index for the base period is set to 100. 42 GSE ALL-SHARE INDEX SUMMARY YEAR 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 YEAR-END 70.08 64.51 62.17 132.88 298.1 316.97 360.76 511.74 868.35 736.16 857.98 %CHANGE -7.95 -3.63 113.74 124.34 6.33 13.82 41.85 69.69 -15.22 16.55 43 DERIVATIVES An Introduction 44 Derivatives (What are They) Derivative- A security or other financial instrument whose value derives from the value of one or more other assets, usually termed “underlying assets” or simply “the underlying”. 45 Derivatives (What are They, Cont’d)) These underlying assets include: (i) financial assets such as foreign exchange, interest bearing securities, equities and stock (ii) commodities, such as oil, gold, cocoa, food & power; & intangible assets that can be valued, such as copyrights & patents. Derivatives are also called “Contingent claims” 46 Derivatives (What are They, Cont’d)) Serve as risk management tools to protect against unexpected movements in exchange rates, interest rates, commodity prices and other price movements. In other words, it can be used to: Manage Manage Manage Manage interest rate risk. currency risk. commodity price risk equity price risk. Banks can earn fee income by providing riskmanagement services to others. Investors can speculate as to the movement of interest rates or exchange rates for a profit. 47 Derivatives (What are They, Cont’d)) The most commonly traded derivatives are: Forwards Futures Options 48 Markets for trading Derivatives Derivative contracts are created on and traded in two distinct but related types of markets: Exchange-traded Over-the-counter (OTC). 49 Markets for trading Derivatives (Cont’d) Exchange-traded derivatives such as futures contract and some options: Have standard terms & features & are traded on an organized exchange trading facility referred to as a futures exchange or an options exchange. These exchanges set & enforce trading rules & are affiliated with clearinghouses that guarantee the performance of traded derivatives 50 Examples of Global Derivatives Exchanges North America America Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange Chicago Board Options Exchange Chicago Board of Trade Chicago Mercantile Exchange International Securities Exchange (New York) New York Board of Trade New York Mercantile Exchange 51 Examples of Global Derivatives Exchanges (Cont’d) Europe London International Financial Futures & Options Exchange London Metal Exchange International Petroleum Exchange of London 52 Examples of Global Derivatives Exchanges (Cont’d) Asia Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing Korea Futures Exchange Malaysia Derivatives Exchange New Zealand Futures & Options Exchange Osaka Mercantile Exchange Tokyo Grain Exchange Tokyo International Financial Futures Exchange 53 Examples of Global Derivatives Exchanges (Cont’d) Africa South African Futures Exchange (founded 1990) Abuja Securities & Commodities Exchange (founded 2001) 54 OTC Market for Derivatives Technically we cannot identify where OTC derivatives markets exist. These types of transactions can conceivably occur anywhere two parties can agree to engage in a transaction. These parties consists of major international commercial and investment banks that act as dealers or market makers, standing ready to enter into derivative transactions over the telephone at their clients’ request. 55 OTC Market for Derivatives (Cont’d) With OTC contracts, there is no exchange to enforce trading rules or to guarantee that the parties to the agreement will fulfill their contractual obligations. Gives rise to counterparty credit risk-risk that one of the parties to the contract (a counter-party) might fail to fulfill its contractual obligations. The distinction between OTC and exchange traded derivatives, therefore, lies in the way they are traded and the way counterparty credit risk is handled. 56 OTC Market for Derivatives (Cont’d) London & New York are the primary markets for OTC derivatives; considerable activity also takes place in Paris, Chicago, Amsterdam, & many other major world cities. 57 Forward Contracts Imagine you are a farmer. You grow 1,000 dozens of oranges every year. You want to sell these oranges to a merchant but you are not sure what the price will be when the season comes. You therefore agree with a merchant to sell all your oranges for a fixed price of GH¢2,000. This is a forward contract wherein you are the seller of oranges forward and the merchant is the buyer. The price is agreed today in advance & the delivery will take place sometime in the future 58 Forward Contracts (cont’d) A binding contract (agreement) between two parties to buy and sell a particular amount of a particular asset The agreement commits seller to make delivery, & buyer to accept & pay for delivery a given quantity of an asset on a specified future date for a stated price. Historically, developed to enable farmers to sell their harvests ahead of time to avoid price fluctuations; consumers could also fix their costs 59 Forward Contracts (Cont’d) Parties negotiate terms of the contract including: Quantity Quality Price Delivery (where/when) An advantage of the forward contract is that it is flexible & can be customized to suit a party’s need. A disadvantage is that it is difficult to find a counterparty 60 Essential features of a Forward Contract Contract between two parties (without any exchange between them) Price decided today Quantity decided today (can be based on convenience of the parties) Quality decided today (can be based on convenience of the parties) Settlement will take place sometime in future (can be based on convenience of the parties) No margins are generally payable by any of the parties to the other 61 Where are Forwards used Forwards have been used in the commodities market; Forwards are also widely used in the foreign exchange market; There is no active forward currency market in Ghana. 62 Limitations of Forward Contracts Lack of liquidity – terms of contract are uniquely negotiated between buyer and seller; difficult to sell contract to a third party Difficulty in enforcement – Either party may fail to perform under the terms of the contract Counter party risk (Default risk/Credit risk) – Either party may be unable or unwilling to complete the bargain e.g. farmer’s crop may be inadequate to fulfill contract terms. 63 Futures Contract Futures are similar to forwards in the sense that the price is decided today and the delivery will take place in future. But futures are quoted on an exchange. Prices are available to all those who want to buy or sell because the trading takes place on a transparent computer system. A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell an asset at a certain time in the future for a certain price. 64 Futures Contract Similar to forward contract except that there is standardization rather than negotiation with respect to: Asset and grade (e.g. a futures contract on gold will specify a particular fineness) Quantity (number of grams, metric tons, or other unit of measure) Time and place of delivery Only price is not standardized; determined by market competition between buyers and sellers 65 Futures Contract (Cont’d) Traded on organised exchanges rather than through OTC dealers. Delivery and payment are guaranteed by a clearing organization which is the counter party to all transactions. if either party were to default on its obligation the clearing organization would ensure that the other party was not damaged as a result. Many futures contracts are closed prior to delivery 66 Advantages of Futures Contracts Traded on an exchange, which means high liquidity Delivery and payment are guaranteed by a clearing organization which is the counterparty to all transactions 67 Participants in the Futures Markets Hedgers - A participant who uses derivatives to reduce his exposure to adverse movement in the price of the underlying E.g. Tema Oil Refinery buys oil futures contract in anticipation of future price increases Speculators A participant who takes risk by buying derivatives in anticipation of favourable movement in the price of the underlying E.g. a trader who believes commodity price or interest rates would move in a favourable direction 68 Participants in the Futures Markets (cont’d) Speculators To provide liquidity there must be participants in the futures market other than the hedger. There would be no guarantee that at the time a hedger wants to either open or close a futures contract there would be another hedger ready to take the other side of the transaction. Every futures market will have “speculators” who do not have a need to buy or sell the asset as part of a business, but who rather choose to take the risk of a contract in the hope of making a large profit. 69 Participants in the Futures Markets (cont’d) Illustration Kofi has been watching the wheat market for some time, and is convinced that prices will be rising in the near future. On 1 December 2001 he buys a wheat futures contract for 20 metric tonnes of wheat for delivery on 1 December 2002, at a price of ¢350,000. Six months later wheat prices have indeed risen, and Kofi is able to close his position out by selling the contract at a price of ¢400,000 per metric tonne. 1 Dec 2001: Buy wheat @ ¢350,000 1 July 2002: Sell one wheat @¢400,000 Profit = ¢50,000 per tonne x 20 tonnes = ¢1,000,000 70 Participants in the Futures Markets (cont’d) The majority of participants on any futures market are speculators, and trading by speculators provides the largest amount of volume. Hedgers benefit by this activity, as speculators provide: price discovery. Speculators will have an incentive to gather all available information, which they will factor, into their decisions. Through the competitive buying and selling of speculators, this information is converted into a price which is readily available to any interested party. liquidity. Speculators will compete to take the contra side of a hedger’s trade. This tends to ensure that the hedger is getting the best available price. 71 Options In a forward or futures, the parties to the contract have committed to buy or to sell at some date in the future. The parties are therefore expected to deliver or receive and pay. Option is similar to forward and futures, one significant difference is that the holder of the option has the choice to make or take delivery. 72 Options Gives the purchaser/holder the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an asset for a specified price called exercise or strike price on or before some specified expiration date. Option contract terms specifies: Asset, Quantity, Price, Time, Fee Paid (Option Premium) standardized options contracts are traded on many financial exchanges throughout the world. Here terms of the contract with exception of the premium are determine by the Exchange. The premium is determined by competition on the exchange. 73 OPTIONS With a non-standardized options or OTC options all contract terms including the premium are negotiated between the parties. Like the forward contract there is a limitation about liquidity, difficulty in enforcing the terms of the contract and the risk of default by the counter party to the contract. 74 Terms of Option Contract Quantity – how many shares or other units per option Asset- “the underlying” Exercise/Strike Price – The price at which an asset may be bought or sold in an option contract. Expiration Date or Maturity – End of life of a contract. After expiration, unexercised options expire and are valueless Option PREMIUM – what it costs to acquire the option. 75 TYPES OF OPTIONS Call Option – gives its holder the right but not the obligation to purchase an asset for a specified price, called exercise or strike price on or before some specified expiration date. Put Option – gives the holder the right but not the obligation to sell a security at an agreed price up to a date in the future Generally, puts are purchased by those who think a price may go down; calls are purchased by those who expect a price increase. 76 Parties to an Option Transaction The holder - (who gains the right by establishing a position with the purchase of a call or put The “writer” (who accepts the obligation to buy or sell the underlying at the prerogative of the holder) Like futures, option can be used for either hedging or speculative purposes 77 Forms of Option Transaction American Option: The holder can exercise an “American” style option at any time after purchase of the contract, up to expiry. European Option: A “European” style option can be exercised only at expiry. 78 Call Purchase A buyer of a call hopes the price of the underlying will increase in value. If the price of the underlying increases above the sum of the strike price plus the premium paid for the call, the call buyer will profit. Using the illustration above for shares of Damongo Enterprises: Purchase Call ¢25 Exercise and buy shares ¢250 Total Cost ¢275 Represents “break-even” point; shares must trade in excess of ¢275 for the deal to be profitable. 79 Call Purchase (Cont’d) Assume increase in price to ¢500. •Total cost=¢25+¢250=¢275 •Selling price=¢500, •Profit=¢500-¢275=¢225 per share Note that maximum gain is unlimited, but maximum loss is ¢25 (call premium), if price remains below ¢250 through expiration 80 Call Purchase (Cont’d) Call buyer: •Maximum gain: Unlimited •Maximum loss: Premium •Break-even point: strike price + premium paid 81 Call Purchase (Cont’d) Call Writer: •Profits if share price decreases substantially prior to expiry •In the illustration above, call writer makes a loss of ¢225: ¢250+¢25 – (¢500) 82 Call Purchase (Cont’d) Call Writer: •Maximum gain: premium •Maximum loss: unlimited •Break-even point: strike price + premium 83 GHANAIAN SITUATION No OTC or exchange traded derivative products on offer at the moment be it in agricultural commodities, minerals or financial assets 84 GHANAIAN SITUATION (Cont’d) Ghana COCOBOD engages in forward contracts of cocoa AGC in the 1990s was known to have profited from buying put options. GNPC was also engaged in oil swaps to insulate itself from higher world oil prices. SCB Ghana Limited through its Global markets division engages in OTC derivatives in the international financial market However, SCB Ghana is responsible for the marketing of the products and is not traded locally. Thus they are not exposed to any risk. Trades are booked directly with SCB London. 85 LIFE IS FULL OF DERIVATIVES 86