Bonds 1 Long-term Debt Financing, Bonds and Bond Pricing Professor Jia Liu Portsmouth Business School 2020-2021 Topic Summary Main types of debts The aim of this lecture is to: – introduce the nature and main types of debts; – use valuation principles to calculate a bond’s value and/or its yield to maturity; – explain the Term Structure of interest rates and the reasons for its existence. Valuing bonds - yield to maturity (YTM) - bond prices and YTM - duration The classical theory of interest - Fisher effect - the Term Structure and YTM - Yield Curve expectation hypothesis liquidity-preference hypothesis market-segmentation hypothesis - allowing for the risk of default Summary of determinant of YTM 2 Long term debt: a review • Corporate debt can be short-term (maturity less than one year) or long-term. • Different from common stock: – Creditor’s claim on corporation is specified – Promised cash flows – Most are callable • Over half of outstanding bonds are owned by life insurance companies & pension funds 3 Bank borrowing Borrowing from banks is attractive to companies for the following reasons: • Administrative and legal costs are low • Quick • Flexibility • Available to small firms FACTORS FOR A FIRM TO CONSIDER • Costs • Security 4 • Repayment Syndicated loans Large money-center banks frequently have more demand for loans than they have supply. Small regional banks are often in the opposite situation. As a result, a lager money center bank may arrange a loan with a firm or country and then sell portions of the loan to a syndicate of other banks. A syndicated loan may be publicly traded. Syndicated loans are always rated investment grade. However, a leveraged syndicated loan is junk. 5 • • A few banks each contribute a portion of the overall loan Lead manager • • Other banks Co-manage and underwrite the loan Leasing financing Sale and leaseback: another popular financing used by companies. If a firm owns buildings, land or equipment it may be possible to sell these to another firm (for example a bank, insurance company or specialised leasing firm) and simultaneously agree to lease the property back for a stated period under specific terms. 6 Benefits: Drawbacks: • Cash benefit • Tax benefit • • • • • Ownership Appreciation Possible increase in rental A degree of inflexibility Complex documentation and large legal fees Nature of corporate bonds 7 • Represent a credit instrument where the company promises to pay some principal amount plus periodic interest to an investor. • Principal and interest payments must be met before dividends can be paid to either preferred or common stockholders. • Failure to meet interest and principal payment is an act of default that can lead to bankruptcy and possible liquidation. • Creditors have first claim on the proceeds from the sales of assets. The public issue of bonds • The general procedure is similar to the issuance of stock. • The indenture is a written agreement between the borrower and a trust company, and usually lists – – – – – – – – Amount of Issue, Date of Issue, Maturity Denomination (Par value) Annual Coupon, Dates of Coupon Payments A description of property used as security, if applicable Security Sinking Funds Call Provisions Details of protective covenants Features that may change over time 8 – Rating – Yield-to-Maturity – Market price Bond classifications: form and seniority Registered vs. bearer forms • Registered bond - a bond in which the company's records show ownership and interest and principal are paid directly to each owner • Bearer bonds - the bond holder must send in coupons to claim interest and must send a certificate to claim the final payment of principal Seniority indicates preference in position over other lenders. The types can be: • Senior bonds • Junk bonds 9 Bond classifications: security Secured bonds – Collateral – secured by financial securities – Mortgage – long-term secured debt often containing a claim against a specific building or property – Asset-backed securities – the sale of cash flows derived directly from a specific set of bundled assets. Securitisation involves the pooling and repackaging of relatively small, homogeneous and illiquid financial assets into liquid securities. Unsecured bonds – Debentures – long-term unsecured issues on debt – Notes – unsecured debt with original maturity less than 10 years 10 Bond classification: repayment and call provision Repayment can be made at maturity at the face value, or made in part or entirely before maturity. • Sinking fund is an account managed by the bond trustee for early bond redemption. This can be done by either buying back some of the bonds or calling in a part of outstanding bonds, i.e., call provision. Call provision is an agreement, which allows the borrower to repurchase or “call” part or all of the bond issue at specific prices prior to maturity. • Call premium – the difference between the call price and bond’s stated value. 11 Bond classification: protective covenants Protective covenants set the limitations by bondholders on the actions of the company. • Positive covenants specifies the actions that the company agrees to take: - working capital - net worth - provide audited financial statements to the lender 12 • Negative covenants limits actions that the company might take: - amount of dividends to pay - new issuance of long-term debts - merge with others - sell or lease assets Summary: bond characteristics and coupon rates The coupon rate depends on the characteristics of the bond when issued. risk Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all else equal? – – – – 13 Secured debt versus a debenture Subordinated debenture versus senior debt A bond with a sinking fund versus one without A callable bond versus a non-callable bond Bond credit ratings Bond ratings represent a credit agency’s assessment of a firm’s ability to meet its debt obligations. The main credit rating agencies are Moody’s and Standard and Poor’s. In coming up with their ratings, agencies consider many factors including earnings stability, leverage, interest and fixed charge coverage, and asset protection. The assessment of management quality is also an important intangible aspect of the rating process. The rating depends on: • The likelihood of payments of interest and/or capital not being made (that is, default) • The extent to which the lender is protected in the event of a default by the loan contract 14 Investment grade vs. junk bonds • Bonds rated Baa or better by Moody’s or BBB by Standard and Poor’s are considered investment grade. Banks and other financial institutions can only hold investment grade bonds. • Bonds not considered investment grade are referred to as junk, or high-yield bonds. - below investment credit ratings - more risky - fallen angels 15 • In the 1980s, start-up companies who could not get bank accommodation, issued these bonds to finance growth. Bond ratings – investment quality • High Grade – Moody’s Aaa and S&P AAA – capacity to pay is extremely strong – Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very strong • Medium Grade – Moody’s A and S&P A – capacity to pay is strong, but more susceptible to changes in circumstances – Moody’s Baa and S&P BBB – capacity to pay is adequate, adverse conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability to pay 16 Bond ratings - speculative • Low Grade – Moody’s Ba, B, Caa and Ca – S&P BB, B, CCC, CC – Considered speculative with respect to capacity to pay. The “B” ratings are the lowest degree of speculation. • Very Low Grade – Moody’s C and S&P C – income bonds with no interest being paid – Moody’s D and S&P D – in default with principal and interest in arrears 17 Credit rating 18 Bond valuation • Valuing principles: – Value of financial securities = PV of expected future cash flows • To value bonds, we need to: – Estimate future cash flows • Size (how much) and • Timing (when) – Discount future cash flows at an appropriate rate • The rate should be appropriate to the risk presented by the security. 19 Bond valuation The value of the bond is the present value of the coupon interest payments plus the face value at maturity, discounted at the bond’s required rate of return. P C1 1 k d C2 1 k d 2 ... Cn 1 k d n M 1 k d n Where: P = the price (or value) of the bond C = the periodic interest payments in pounds n = the number of years to maturity M = the maturity (par) value of the bond kd = the required rate of return 20 Bond valuation: example Suppose that BT issued a bond with a par value of $1000 in February 2003, redeemable in February 2010 at par. The coupon is 7% payable annually in September. Question 1 What is the price investors will pay for this bond at the time of issue if the market rate of interest for a security in this risk class is 6.5 percent? Question 2: What is the bond’s value in the secondary market in February 2010 if the interest rates rise by 100 basis points between 2003 and 2010? 21 Bond valuation: solution Period 1-7 7 Cash flow $70 $1,000 Present value Factor Factor @7.5% @6.5% Present value of cash flow @7.5% @6.5% 5.2966 0.6028 $370.76 $383.92 $602.80 $643.50 5.4845 0.6435 Values of bond P=$973.56 P=$1,027.42 What implications can you summarise from this example? 22 Yield to maturity A bond’s yield to maturity (YTM) is the discount rate that equates the present value of coupon interest payments plus the principal at maturity with the bond’s current price. 23 Bond price, coupon interest rate and YTM The BT bond examples above illustrate an important aspect of bond pricing; namely, that - there is an inverse relationship between bond price and YTM; - if the coupon rate (=7%) is below the YTM (=7.5%) in case 1, a bond will sell at a discount than its face value; In our illustration, the BT bond is said to be selling at a 2.64% discount from face; - alternatively, if the YTM (=6.5%) on BT bond is less than its coupon interest rate (=7%) in case 2, the bond will sell at a premium from its face; 24 - a bond will only sell at face if its coupon rate and YTM are the same. (Could you demonstrate this yourself?) Bond price, coupon interest rate and YTM Bond Value This relationship can be illustrated graphically below: When the YTM < coupon rate, the bond trades at a premium. 1300 1200 When YTM = coupon rate, the bond trades at par. 1050 1000 950 0 25 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 0.1 YTM 7% When the YTM > coupon rate, the bond trades at a discount. Reading Chapter 11, Arnold. Chapters 24, Principles, Brealey and Myers www.moodys.com http://www2.standardandpoors.com 26