CHAPTER 4 DEBT SECURITIES BOND VALUATION Financial Theory 1 Examples: Debt securities issued by Government - Treasury bill Treasury note Treasury bond Financial Theory 2 Debt securities issued by Companies (Corporate bonds) - - - Secured bonds Debentures Subordinated bonds Convertible bonds Zero-coupon bonds Financial Theory 3 Bonds/ Debt Securities have 3 main characteristics: - Maturity/ lifespan - Interest Rate/ Coupon Rate (assume it is fixed) - Nominal Payment/ final Repayment made at maturity date/ Nominal Value/ Principal Value Coupon (interest) payment = coupon rate * nominal value E.g. coupon rate = 5%; nominal value = Rs1000 Coupon = 5%*1000 = Rs50 (e.g. each year up until maturity a coupon of Rs50 is paid) Financial Theory 4 Example: Bond has a coupon rate of 5% and nominal value Rs1000 and maturity 5 years Fixed coupon bond 50 50 50 50 t=0 50 1000 Variable coupon bond 40 60 80 Financial Theory 70 50 1000 5 Buyer’s Perspective Intrinsic/ Theoretical bond value > Market price of bond Underpriced/undervalued in bond market/ Buys Intrinsic bond value < Market price of bond Overpriced/overvalued in the market. Does not buy Intrinsic Bond value = Market price of bond Fairly priced/ Normally buys The investment decision will be different from a Financial Theory 6 seller’s perspective. Intrinsic value of bond (estimated by investors) = C/ (1 + k) + C/ (1 + k) 2 + C/ (1 + k) 3+ … + C/ (1 + k) N/ (1 + k) T + T C = coupon payment; N = nominal value; k = required rate of return; T = maturity date Financial Theory 7 Example: Bond has fixed coupon rate of 5%, nominal value of Rs1000 and maturity of 5 years. Required rate of return (k) = 6% Calculate the value of the bond. Financial Theory 8 Future cash flows associated with bond: Coupon = (5%*Rs1000) = Rs50 YEAR 1 2 3 4 5 Rs 50 50 50 50 50 + 1000 Financial Theory 9 Bond Value = 50/ 1.06 + 50/ 1.06 4 2 + 50/ 1.06 + 1050/ 1.06 5 3 + 50/ 1.06 = Rs957.88 Financial Theory 10 France Telecom 6,625% 10/11/10 Date 26/11/2004 Price/ € 115.10 Market Interest rate/ % 3.743 03/12/2004 115.31 3.699 10/12/2004 115.74 3.616 21/12/2004 115.90 3.577 23/12/2004 115.91 3.571 Financial Theory 11 Yield to maturity > required rate of return Buys Yield to maturity < required rate of return Does not buy Yield to maturity = required rate of return Normally Buys Financial Theory 12 Current market price of bond (available from bond market) = C/ (1 + YTM) + C/ (1 + YTM) 2 + C/ (1 + YTM) C/ (1 + YTM) T 3 +…+ + N/ (1 + YTM) YTM : Yield to maturity Financial Theory 13 T Example: A bond has the following characteristics: Coupon rate 5%, nominal value Rs1000 and maturity 2 years. If the market price of the bond is equal to Rs960, calculate the yield to maturity of the bond. Financial Theory 14 960 = 50/ (1 + YTM) + 50/ (1 + YTM) 2 + 1000/ (1 + YTM) 2 Multiply both sides by 1/ (1 + YTM) and simplify: 960 (1 + YTM) – 1050 = 0 2 - 50 (1 + YTM) Financial Theory 15 2 Assume (1 + YTM) = A 960 A 2 – 50 A – 1050 = 0 Use quadratic equation formula to solve YTM = 7.2191% Financial Theory 16 Maturity: 01/05/11 Last coupon E.g. 01/05/08 Purchas e date E.g. 01/ 09/ 08 Financial Theory Next coupon E.g. 01/05/09 17 Assume fixed coupon payments = C Nominal value = N Bond price at purchase date = PV of future cash flows (discounted at YTM) Financial Theory 18 Fractional period = Number of (days/months) between purchase date and next coupon payment date divided by total number of (days/ months) over coupon period E.g. 01/ 09/ 08 to 01/ 05/ 09 = 8 months Fractional period = 8/ 12 Financial Theory 19 Fractional period = 8/ 12 Last coupon E.g. 01/05/08 Purchas e date E.g. 01/ 09/ 08 Financial Theory Next coupon E.g. 01/05/09 20 PV coupon at 01/ 05/ 09 = C/ (1 + YTM) 8/12 PV coupon at 01/ 05/ 10 = C/ (1 + YTM) 1 + 8/12 PV coupon and nominal at 01/05/11 = [C + N]/ (1 + YTM) Financial Theory 2 + 8/12 21 Bond Price (Dirty Price)= C/ (1 + YTM) + YTM) YTM) 8/12 1 + 8/12 + C/ (1 + [C + N]/ (1 + 2 + 8/12 Dirty price: price at which buyer purchases bond. Financial Theory 22 Interest earned by Seller Interest earned by Buyer Purchase date E.g. 01/ Last coupon 09/ 08 E.g. 01/05/08 Financial Theory Next coupon E.g. 01/05/09 23 Interest earned by seller = accrued interest Accrued interest = Coupon paid from 01/ 05/ 08 to 01/ 09/ 08 = 4/ 12*C Financial Theory 24 Dirty Price = Clean Price + Accrued Interest Clean price = Dirty price – Accrued interest Clean price: price at which bond is selling in bond market at purchase date (01/ 09/ 08) Financial Theory 25