Week 1 STRATEGY: WHY AND WHAT MGMT102 Strategy MGMT102 Strategy, AY2324 T2 Liang Chen, Associate Professor of Strategy & Entrepreneurship MGMT102 Strategy Today’s Agenda •Introduction ▪ To you and me… ▪ To this subject –Structure –Administration –Assessment ▪ Why Strategy? ▪ To Strategic Management Who am I Liang CHEN ▪Asso Prof ▪Taught in UK, Australia, & China/HK ▪Research digital strategy and internationalization ▪Email: liangchen@smu.edu.sg ▪Teaching cases The Essentials •Recommended Textbook ▪ Strategic Management (6th Edition, 2024) by Frank Rothaermel •Coursepack ▪ https://hbsp.harvard.edu/import/1129244 Assessment (1) Class participation (2) Group project (3) Group presentation (4) Take-home assignment (5) Final exam 20% individual 15% assigned group 20% assigned group 10% individual 35% individual Group Project • The instructor will form groups during the term capturing the diversity of the class. All groups in all sections of this course regardless of who the instructor is - will be formed by the instructor and not by students themselves. You will analyze one company in your assigned groups of five students. I will decide the case company at a later date and give you some inspirations to start with. • Due Week 8 Group Presentation • Identify a company that is comparable to the case company you analyzed for your Group Project (e.g., regarding its industry, market positioning, core competence, resources and capabilities, business model, etc). Each group will be given 20 minutes to present, followed by Q&A. • Due Week 11 Take Home Assignment • Answer 3 questions after reading the Dropbox case (in the coursepack) • Due Week 14 Participation Work through case study (and materials) before class. Take notes, address the questions, come prepared, and share your thoughts. Be curious. Be confident. Be inquisitive. Be respectful of others. - Transparency - High correlation b/w engagement and grade What is Strategy? • What comes to mind when you hear “strategy”? Origins of Strategy • Military domain –στρατηγός (strategos) “leader or commander of an army” • Business context –2nd industrial revolution – strategy as a way to shape market forces • Railway • Improved access to capital • Need for explicit strategic thinking first articulated by high-level managers, e.g. Alfred P. Sloan, GM CEO (1923-1946) Why Strategy? Why Strategy? ▪ $211.85B market cap ▪ $18.12B revenue (Q3 2023) Why Strategy? Highest performing stock in S&P500 for 2023 ▪ $1223.19B market cap ▪ $14.2B revenue (Q3 2023) Industry, Firm, and Other Effects Explaining Superior Firm Performance Strategy as a Theory of How to Compete to Create Superior Value, While Containing the Cost to Create It The greater the difference between the value creation and cost, the greater the firm’s economic contribution and the more likely it will achieve sustainable competitive advantage (SCA). OpenAI Microsoft Nvidia Only a fraction of Microsoft’s $10 billion investment in OpenAI has been wired to the startup, while a significant portion of the funding, is in the form of cloud compute purchases instead of cash. Why Strategy? (1) A better view of businesses Speaking of the Age of AI… • Technologies evolve through periods of incremental change punctuated by technological breakthroughs that either enhance or destroy the competences of established companies. iPhone? ChatGPT? • Competence-destroying discontinuities will be initiated by new entrants • Competence-enhancing discontinuities will be initiated by existing firms The Age of AI • AI substituting or complementing human? 1. 2. 3. 4. AI can lead to automation or augmentation. Automation eats your job. Augmentation makes you better at your job. Hence, avoid automation and embrace augmentation. • But in fact? AI augmentation makes high-skilled knowledge workers relatively more substitutable by lowering the skill barrier to achieve the same performance. Well, nothing new… • Uber/Grab vs cabbies Commoditization of skill cabbies lost their competitive advantage. Any maps-augmented amateur could compete with their city navigation skills 2. Supply expansion erodes skill premium the market of potential drivers expanded; more competition -> less ability of drivers to charge a premium. 3. Centralized market-making drives faster commoditization absorbed this ‘price war’ into algorithm 4. Centralized ‘job discovery’ reduces negotiating power lost the ability to set the price and the agency to accept or reject work opportunities 1. Platforms make commoditization worse… The Age of AI • AI substituting or complementing human? The Age of AI • Ok great, AI reduces demand for human skills and experts’ pricing power. • But when do humans perform better than AI? • Or in strategy terms, what’s our competitive advantage? A Thought Experiment • Which player, White or Black, would be more likely to win a game of chess. • GPT-4: While the chances of winning depended mostly on the skill of the players if the players were evenly matched, the White player would have a slight advantage over the Black player, just because the White player moves first, and therefore has one more move and can also dictate the style and tempo of the game. A Thought Experiment • Consider a cylindrical chessboard where the top and the bottom edge connect so that by stepping beyond the top edge, a piece would appear at the bottom and vice versa. Which player -- assuming other rules remain the same as in the classical game -- would win such a game on average? • GPT-4: the change would most likely profoundly change the strategies available to the two players. Players need to adapt their strategies, and White’s opening advantage may be slightly affected by the change. Ultimately who will win, as in the classical game, depends on the players’ skills. What Do We Do in the Age of AI • A new set of skills • What’s our competitive advantage over machines and over other humans? • Comparative cases – Change vs no change – Option 1 vs option 2 – You vs competitors Why Strategy? (1) A better view of businesses (2) A better view of yourselves Strategy in the Business Context • What explains firm’s behaviors? • Why firms differ? • What explains success or failure? • What are the sources of the competitive advantage? Classic Views ❑‘..the determination of the long-run goals and objectives of an enterprise and the adoption of courses of action and the allocation of resource necessary for carrying out these goals’ Alfred Chandler ❑‘Competitive strategy is about being different. It means deliberately choosing a different set of activities to deliver a unique mix of value’ Michael Porter Sources: Chandler, A.D. (1963) “Strategy and Structure: Chapters in the History of American Enterprise”, MIT Press Porter, M.E. (1996). “What is strategy?”, Harvard Business Review, November-December A More Elaborate View Definition: Strategy is the quest to create, capture, and sustain competitive advantage. • It is the managers’ theories/maps about how to sustain advantage. • It is about deciding what to do, and what not to do (i.e., economic tradeoffs are considered; opportunity cost). • It has alternatives, consequences, and choices involving significant resources, typically made under some level of uncertainty. • It requires long-term commitments that are not easily reversible. • It is about being different from your rivals. It combines a set of activities to stake out a unique positioning. Unique Positioning • The key to successful strategy: combine activities for a unique position in an industry. • Competitive advantage has to come from: ▪ performing different activities, or ▪ performing the same activities differently than rivals • Example: Wal-mart’s strategic activities strengthen its position as cost leader ▪ Big stores in rural locations; regional distribution centers, IT systems ▪ High purchasing power ▪ Low corporate overhead ▪ Low base wages Levels of Strategy • Corporate Level: Typically involves decision-making by the top management team that includes the CEO, senior executives, the board of directors, and the corporate staff. Decisions include vertical integration, diversification, strategic alliances, acquisitions, new ventures, restructuring, and divestments. • Business Level: Includes the strategic choice of generic strategy (cost leadership, differentiation, focus) and the benefits and costs of first-mover advantages. Often an enterprise participating in multiple businesses will have different business strategies. • Functional Level: Typically directed at improving the effectiveness of functional operations within a company, such as manufacturing, materials management, human resources, marketing, R&D, and operations management. Level of Strategy In most organizations, two types of managers • General managers at corporate and business-levels • Operations managers, at operational (functional) level • Where to compete? • How to compete? • How to implement? Levels of Strategy • Where to Compete? • CORPORATE STRATEGY ▪ Should GE move more aggressively into the health care industry? • How to Compete? • BUSINESS STRATEGY ▪ Should GE jet engines have better fuel efficiency than Rolls Royce? • How to Implement? ▪ Should GE human resources recruit more computer science graduates? • FUNCTIONAL STRATEGY Course structure Session 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Content/ topic/activity Strategy and strategic leadership External analysis (Case: YouTuber) Internal analysis (Case: Alphabet) Business strategy (Case: Amazon) Firm performance and business model, & Guest speaker Corporate strategy: Vertical integration and diversification (Case: Lego) Corporate strategy: Strategic alliances and M&As (Case: Disney) Recess 9 10 11 Stakeholders and sustainability (Case: Li-ion battery) Global strategy (Case: Intel) Digital strategy, & Guest speaker 12 13 14 Group presentations Group presentations & review Reading week Strategic Analysis Vision, mission, values; External Analysis; and Internal Analysis are inputs for Strategy Formulation. Strategy Practitioners –Wal-mart's Sam Walton's assumptions about low costs, low prices, and high volume to drive profitability –Apple’s Steve Jobs wanted to “put a ding in the universe” –Facebook’s Mark Zukerberg wanted to “make the world open and connected” –Google’s Larry Page and Sergio Brin wanted to make information accessible Mission • Define the purpose of the organization: ▪ What ▪ Who is our reason for being? are we? ▪ What is it that we do? • Mission often includes values: the organization’s guiding principles ▪ How we do business. Mission: Examples • Wal-Mart (articulated by founder Sam Walton): To give ordinary folk the chance to buy the same things as rich people. • 3M: To solve unsolved problems innovatively. • Google: To organise the world’s information and make it universally accessible and useful. • Lego: Inspire and develop the builders of tomorrow • Airbnb: Enable people to make new friends in different cultures • Starbucks: Inspire and nurture the human spirit • Pfizer: “…helping humanity and delivering exceptional financial performance by discovering, developing and providing innovative health care products that lead to healthier and more productive lives.” Purpose Shapes Objectives Type of organizations Objectives 1. Family-owned and managed firms Resale value? Pension? Legacy? 2. Publically owned, professionally managed Short and long-term value 3. State-owned/backed firms Various objectives (i.e. global influence, securing of access to resources). 4. Not for profit organizations Various objectives set by stakeholders Shareholder Value as Mission? • Maximizing long-run performance (profitability, CF, shareholder value…) is the underlying objective of Strategic Management. • But… ▪ …it provides little purpose, guidance and direction to the company; neither does profit maximisation capture the imagination of employees. Profits are to business as breathing is to life. Breathing is essential to life, but is not the purpose for living. (Dennis Bakke, former CEO AES) ▪ On the face of it, shareholder value is the dumbest idea in the world. Shareholder value is a result, not a strategy… your main constituencies are your employees, your customers and your products. (Jack Welch, former CEO GE) Values (Often Part of Mission) •All companies have values, including those that do not spell them out. •Values frequently spelt out by companies: ▪ Fundamental ▪ Professional ▪ Specific ethical values (e.g. integrity, transparency, …) values (e.g. hard work, initiative, meritocracy,…) commitments to particular stakeholder groups (e.g. creating a safe working environment, safe products,…) Merck: Reconfirming Its Core Values • Merck ▪ Mission: ▪ Values: “to preserve and improve human life” “We try to never forget that medicine is for the people. It is not for profits. The profits follow, and if we have remembered that, they have never failed to appear” George Merck BHP’s Charter We value: ▪ High Performance — The excitement and fulfilment of achieving superior business results and stretching our capabilities. ▪ Win-Win Relationships — Having relationships which focus on the creation of value for all parties. ▪ The Courage to Lead Change — Accepting the responsibility to inspire and deliver positive change in the face of adversity. ▪ Respect for Each Other — The embracing of diversity, enriched by openness, sharing, trust, teamwork and involvement. ▪ Safety and the Environment — An overriding commitment to health, safety, environmental responsibility and sustainable development. ▪ Integrity — Including doing what we say we will do. Values: Johnson & Johnson Mission (and Values) as Window-dressing “Take your pick”: • We are a ▪ premier; leading; preeminent; world-class; growing • company that provides ▪ innovative; cost-effective; focused; diversified; high quality ▪ products; services; products and services • to ▪ serve the global market place; create shareholder value; fulfill our covenants with stakeholders; delight our customers • in rapidly changing ▪ information solution; business-solution; consumer-solution; financial solution • industries. Whose Values are These? •We work with customers and prospects openly, honestly and sincerely. When we say we will do something, we will do it; when we say we cannot or will not do something, then we won’t do it. Vision • • “The envisioned future [i.e. ‘vision’] is what we aspire to become, to achieve, to create” (Collins & Porras 1996) ▪ What do we want to become in 10 or 20 years? ▪ What do we want to achieve over the next 10 or 20 years? Format: BHAG and elaborate, vivid description (Collins & Porras 1996) Vision: BHAG • Compelling goal (resonates with people and focuses their attention); tangible; daunting (achievement possible but far from assured); “Putting a man on the moon” (Kennedy Administration) “Wiping out Malaria” (WHO) “Beat Xerox” (Canon) Vision: Example •BHAG • “To become the company most known for changing the worldwide poor-quality image of Japanese products.” •Elaborated as: • “We will create products that become pervasive around the world.... We will be the first Japanese company to go into the U.S. market and distribute directly.... We will succeed with innovations that U.S. companies have failed at - such as the transistor radio.... Fifty years from now, our brand name will be as well known as any in the world. ..and will signify innovation and quality that rival the most innovative companies anywhere.... "Made in Japan" will mean something fine, not something shoddy.” (Collins & Porras 1996) 50 Summary: Statements of Mission, Vision, and Value What is the organization there to do that makes a difference, and to whom? Mission statement • “Why we exist?” “How do we make a difference” • Information to stakeholders about overarching purpose of the firm • Often confused with strategic objective(s) Value statement • “What we believe in” Mission, vision and values provide guidance. They impose broad constraints on strategic choice. • Core principles underpinning operations Vision statement • “What we want to be” • Desired future of the firm Mission, vision and values may also: ▪ provide inspiration and motivation ▪ act as “corporate glue” ▪ provide direction in exceptional circumstances. In a Dynamic and Turbulent Environment… • “Companies that enjoy enduring success have core values and a core purpose [i.e. ‘mission’] that remain fixed while their business strategies and practices endlessly adapt to a changing world.” (Collins & Porras 1996 HBR: p.65) • I.e. these companies have a mission/values that anchor them. • “The envisioned future [i.e. ‘vision’] is what we aspire to become, to achieve, to create something that will require significant change … Vision provides guidance … towards what future to stimulate progress towards.” (Collins & Porras 1996 HBR: p.66) • I.e. their vision propels them forward; propels them in a particular direction. Strategy Statement (For Employees) … what is strategy, really ? Where do we compete? What unique values do we offer? “The direction and scope of an organisation over the long term, which achieves advantage in a changing environment through its configuration of resources and competences with the aim of fulfilling stakeholder expectations” What resources and capabilities do we have to deliver that value? Strategy Statement: Be Specific! • “To grow to 17,000 financial advisers by 2012 by offering trusted and convenient face-toface financial advice to conservative individual investors who delegate their financial decisions, through a national network of one-financial adviser offices.” • Face-to-face – excludes certain customer segments • “Conservative” – long-term • “Individual” – not institutions or companies • “Investors” – basic service is investment (not checking accounts etc.) • “Who delegate their financial decisions” – segmentation, not interested in self-directed customers More room for debates, less room for miss-interpretations! Strategic Position and Choices Impact on strategy How to form and implement Johnson et al. (2014): Figure 1.3 The Exploring Strategy Model Options for strategy Three Approaches to Strategize for Competitive Advantage • Strategic planning ▪A formal, top-down planning approach • Scenario planning ▪A formal, top-down planning approach • Strategy as planned emergence ▪ Begins with a strategic plan, less formal AFI Framework for Top-Down Strategic Planning Shortcomings of the Top-Down Approach • May not adapt well to change • Formulation separate from implementation • Information flows top-down (one-way) • The leadership team’s future vision can be wrong • Example of a Top-Down Approach: Apple ▪ Steve Jobs predicted customers needs and was one of the few successful technology companies using a top-down planning process. A Critique of Planning, Altogether Strategy as Scenario Planning ▪ Envision different "what-if" plans ▪ Generates a dominant strategic plan –Must implement the most probable option ▪ Good example of scenario planning –Shell https://hbr.org/2013/05/living-in-the-futures Strategy as Scenario Planning Developing Natural Gas in China • The Scenarios team has produced a joint study with the Development Research Centre (DRC) of China’s State Council to examine how natural gas could evolve as a mainstream energy source in China. • Natural gas is the ideal alternative to coal, as it is cleaner, more efficient and easier to transport and store. But although its use globally has grown rapidly over the last decade or two, gas has significant challenges to overcome before it can become a core component of China’s energy system. • The Shell-DRC study sets out a strategic aim to increase the share of gas in the energy mix to 10% in 2020 and 15% in 2030, up from 5.8% in 2014. This reflects the goals set out in China's Twelfth Five Year Plan and the 2016 Paris Agreement on climate change. • The study was a key input into China’s Thirteenth Five Year Plan. Strategy as Planned Emergence • Top Down and Bottom Up ▪ Bottom-up strategic initiatives emerge ▪ Evaluated & coordinated by management • Relies on data, plus: ▪ Personal experience ▪ Deep domain expertise ▪ Front line employee insights Strategic Initiatives and Serendipity • Japan Railways ▪ Constructing a bullet train through the mountains North of Tokyo, which required many tunnels ▪ Persistent ▪ Complex flooding engineering plans to drain the water ▪ Maintenance worker suggested that the fresh water off the mountains should not be drained, but rather should be bottled ▪ 1,000 vending machines on 1,000 railroad platforms in and around Tokyo, and home delivery of water, juices, and coffee followed. ▪ The employee’s proposal had turned this “bottom-up” strategy into a multimillion dollar business. Starbuck’s Frappuccino • Diana – Starbucks store manager in California ▪ Received ▪ Tried requests for iced beverage the beverage, and liked it • Requested Starbucks HQ offer the drink ▪ Request denied; She did it anyway • Sales skyrocketed ▪ Was eventually adopted by Starbucks Executives • This is now the Starbucks Frappuccino ▪ At one point, was 20% of Starbucks’ revenues Thank you