CHAPTER 15 CAPITAL STRUCTURE & LEVERAGE MEASURING CAPITAL STRUCTURE Definitions • Capital are investor supplied funds such as short and long-term loans from individuals and institutions, preferred stock, common stock and retained earnings • Capital structure is the mix of debt, preferred stock, and common equity that is used to finance the firm’s assets • Optimal capital structure is the capital structure that maximizes a stock’s intrinsic value Debt Book Value Market Value Target Value Equity Book value of debt is the accounting value of the debt, which was recorded as per the historical data or amortization schedule of the debt Book value is the amount of money shareholders would receive if assets were liquidated and liabilities paid off. Market price investors would be willing to buy a company's debt. A company's debt doesn't always come in the form of publicly traded bonds, which have a specified market value. Market value is the value of a company according to the markets—based on the current stock price and the number of outstanding shares. The target capital structure of a company refers to the capital which the company is striving to obtain BUSINESS RISK Definition • The riskiness inherent in the firm’s operations if it uses no debt • The uncertainty (variability) about projections of future operating earnings. It is the single most important determinant of capital structure • If other elements are the same, the lower a firm's business risk, the higher its optimal debt ratio Components • Sales risk is the uncertainty regarding the price and quantity of the firm's goods and services. If the demand for and the price of a firm's goods and services are stable, its sales risk is considered low. • Operating risk is the uncertainty caused by a firm's operating cost structure. If a high percentage of operating costs are fixed costs, operating risk is considered to be high. More controllable by management What determines business risk? • Competition • Uncertainty about demand (sales) • Uncertainty about output prices • Uncertainty about costs • Product obsolescence • Foreign risk exposure • Regulatory risk and legal exposure • Operating leverage project How is it measured? A commonly used measure of business risk is ROIC. Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Measures the after-tax return for all of its investors It doesn’t vary with changes in capital structure ROIC = EBIT (1-T) / Total Invested Capital OPERATING LEVERAGE Definitions • The extent to which fixed costs are used in the firm’s operations • A company that has high operating leverage is a company with a large proportion of fixed input costs, whereas a company with largely variable input costs is said to have low operating leverage Effects of Operating Leverage • More operating leverage leads to more business risk, for then a small sales decline causes a big profit decline. • A company with a high degree of operating leverage that has a small change in sales will experience a large change in profits and rate of return. This is due to the fact that because the company has a large fixed cost component, any increase in sales will cause an even greater increase in net income, since the fixed costs have already been incurred. OPERATING LEVERAGE Definition • Operating leverage can be used by management to increase ROIC, but it also increases risk and ROIC variability Statement 1: A firm's business risk is largely determined by the financial characteristics of its industry, especially by the amount of debt the average firm in the industry uses. Statement 2: Business risk is affected by both variability of demand and input prices. a. Both statements are true b. Both statements are false c. Only Statement 1 is true d. Only Statement 2 is true Answer: D. S1 is false. Business risk is the risk without considering debt, its about demand and use of fixed costs. S2 is true. FINANCIAL RISK Definition • The increase in stockholder’s risk over and above the firm’s basic business risk • Increase in debt doesn’t change ROIC but it does affect the risk of the stockholder • Remember that debtholders have a priority claim over stockholder’s, so as debt increases, the risk of the stockholder also increases Financial Leverage • Financial leverage is the extent of the use of debt and preferred stock in the capital leverage EFFECTS OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE: AN EXAMPLE • Two firms with the same operating leverage, business risk, and probability distribution of EBIT. • Only differ with respect to their use of debt (capital structure) BUSINESS RISK VS FINANCIAL RISK Firms should reduce financing risk when business risk is high (unfavorable economic and environmental forecasts and/or high fixed cost component in cost structure) EBIT is the same for both companies NI is lower for Firm L because of interest expense Will ROE also be lower for Firm L? * Times Interest earned (TIE) • σROIC stays the same • σROE is different, normally higher if ROIC is greater than after-tax cost of debt Statement 1: Financial risk refers to the extra risk borne by debtholders as a result of a firm's use of debt as compared with their risk if the firm had used no debt. Statement 2: A firm’s capital structure does not affect its free cash flows as discussed in the text, because FCF reflects only operating cash flows, which are available to service debt, to pay dividends to stockholders, and for other purposes. a. Both statements are true b. Both statements are false c. Only Statement 1 is true d. Only Statement 2 is true Answer: D. S1 as it’s the stockholders who bear the extra risk. S2 is true. USE OF FINANCIAL LEVERAGE Effects of Leverage on Profitability and Debt Coverage • For leverage to raise expected ROE, must have ROIC > r (1 – T). d • Why? If r (1 – T) > ROIC, then after-tax interest d expense will be higher than the after-tax operating income produced by debt-financed assets, so leverage will depress income. • As debt increases, TIE decreases because EBIT is unaffected by debt, but interest expense increases (Int Exp = r D) d Conclusions • Return on invested capital (ROIC) is unaffected by financial leverage. • L has higher expected ROE because ROIC > r (1 – T). d • L has much wider ROE (and EPS) swings because of fixed interest charges. Its higher expected return is accompanied by higher risk. Companies HD and LD have identical tax rates, total assets, total investor-supplied capital, and returns on investors’ capital (ROIC), and their ROICs exceed their after-tax costs of debt, rd(1 – T). However, Company HD has a higher debt ratio and thus more interest expense than Company LD. Which of the following statements is CORRECT? a. Company HD has a higher net income than Company LD. b. Company HD has a lower ROA than Company LD. c. Company HD has a lower ROE than Company LD. d. The two companies have the same ROA. Answer: B. HD has lower income so lower ROA. COST OF DEBT AT DIFFERENT DEBT RATIOS Bond rating and cost of debt changes as the amount of debt changes As the firm borrows more money, the firm increases its financial risk causing the firm’s bond rating to decrease, and its cost of debt to increase Risk premium changes! OPTIMAL CAPITAL STRUCTURE Definition Which of the following events is likely to encourage a company to raise its target debt ratio, other things held constant? a. An increase in the corporate tax rate. b. An increase in the company’s operating leverage. c. The Federal Reserve tightens interest rates in an effort to fight inflation. d. The company's stock price hits a new high. Answer: A. It makes sense to raise debt when tax rates are high, because it creates higher tax shields or lower after-tax interest expense You work for the CEO of a new company that plans to manufacture and sell a new product, a watch that has an embedded TV set and a magnifying glass crystal. The issue now is how to finance the company, with only equity or with a mix of debt and equity. Expected operating income is $400,000. Other data for the firm are shown below. How much higher or lower will the firm's expected ROE be if it uses some debt rather than all equity, i.e., what is ROEL - ROEU? • The capital structure (mix of debt, preferred, and common equity) at which P is maximized or WACC is 0 minimized • Trades off higher E(ROE) and EPS against higher risk. The tax-related benefits of leverage are exactly offset by the debt’s risk-related costs. • The target capital structure is the mix of debt, preferred stock, and common equity with which the firm intends to raise capital. Dynamics of Debt & Equity HOW TO RECAPITALIZE? Sequence of Events in a Share Purchase Recapitalization • • • Firm announces the recapitalization. New debt is issued. Proceeds are used to repurchase stock. – The number of shares repurchased is equal to the amount of debt issued divided by price per shar EFFECT OF RECAPITALIZATION TO EPS & TIE Analyze the Recapitalization at Various Debt Levels and Determine the EPS and TIE at Each Level Formulas • • Because the increased use of debt causes both the costs of debt and equity to increase, we need to estimate the new cost of equity. The Hamada equation attempts to quantify the increased cost of equity due to financial leverage. HAMADA EQUATION Definition • • • • • Hamada equation distinguishes the financial risk with that of the business risk of a levered firm. It is used to help understand how a company’s cost of capital will be affected when leverage is applied. Higher beta coefficients mean riskier companies. Hamada’s Equation is a hybrid of the Modigliani-Miller and Capital Asset Pricing Model theorems. Uses the firm’s unlevered beta, which represents the firm’s business risk as if it had no debt . CALCULATING LEVERED BETAS & COSTS OF EQUITY BREAKING DOWN r s r = Risk-free rate (6%) S + Business/market risk premium (6%) + Financial risk premium (0.51%) = 12.51% TABLE FOR CALCULATING LEVERED BETAS AND COST OF EQUITY What effect does more debt have on a firm’s cost of equity? • • • If the level of debt increases, the firm’s risk increases Cost of debt increases Risk of the firm’s equity also increases, resulting in a higher r s. HOW TO FIND THE OPTIMAL CAPITAL STRUCTURE –MINIMIZING WACC • If all earnings are paid out as dividends, E(g) = 0. • EPS = DPS. • To find the expected stock price ( P ), we must find the 0 appropriate r at each of the debt levels discussed s P̂0 D1 EPS DPS rs g rs rs OPTIMAL CAPITAL STRUCTURE – RELEVANCE OF EPS What debt ratio maximizes EPS? • • • Maximum EPS = $3.90 at D = $1,000,000, and D/Cap. = 50%. (Remember DPS = EPS because payout = 100%.) Risk is too high at D/Cap. = 50%. P is maximized ($26.89) at D/Cap. = $500,000/$2,000,000 = 25%, so optimal D/Cap. = 25%. 0 • • EPS is maximized at 50%, but primary interest is stock price, not E(EPS). The example shows that we can push up E(EPS) by using more debt, but the risk resulting from increased leverage more than offsets the benefit of higher E(EPS). HOW DOES RISK AFFECT CAPITAL STRUCTURE What if there were more/less business risk than originally estimated, how would the analysis be affected? • If there were higher business risk, then the probability of financial distress would be greater at any debt level, and the optimal capital structure would be one that had less debt. • However, lower business risk would lead to an optimal capital structure with more debt . MILLER –MODIGLIANI THEORY The M&M Theorem in Perfectly Efficient Markets (M&M I) This is the first version of the M&M Theorem with the assumption of perfectly efficient markets. The assumption implies that companies operating in the world of perfectly efficient markets do not pay any taxes, the trading of securities is executed without any transaction costs, bankruptcy is possible but there are no bankruptcy costs, and information is perfectly symmetrical. st • 1 Proposition - claims that the company’s capital structure does not impact its value. Since the value of a company is calculated as the present value of future cash flows, the capital structure cannot affect it. Also, in perfectly efficient markets, companies do not pay any taxes. Therefore, the company with a 100% leveraged capital structure does not obtain any benefits from taxdeductible interest payments. V =V L U nd • 2 Proposition - states that the company’s cost of equity is directly proportional to the company’s leverage level. An increase in leverage level induces higher default probability to a company. Therefore, investors tend to demand a higher cost of equity (return) to be compensated for the additional risk. M&M Theorem in the Real World The second version of the M&M Theorem was developed to better suit real-world conditions. The assumptions of the newer version imply that companies pay taxes; there are transaction, bankruptcy, and agency costs; and information is not symmetrical. st • 1 Proposition - states that tax shields that result from the tax-deductible interest payments make the value of a levered company higher than the value of an unlevered company. The main rationale behind the theorem is that taxdeductible interest payments positively affect a company’s cash flows. Since a company’s value is determined as the present value of the future cash flows, the value of a levered company increases. V = V + (τ x D) L U C nd • 2 Proposition - The second proposition for the real-world condition states that the cost of equity has a directly proportional relationship with the leverage level. But tax shields make it less sensitive EFFECTS OF POTENTIAL BANKRUPTCY & TRADEOFF THEORY • • The graph shows MM’s tax benefit vs. bankruptcy cost theory. Trade-off Theory – the theory that states that firms trade off the tax benefits of debt financing against problem caused by potential bankruptcy SIGNALLING EFFECTS IN CAPITAL STRUCTURE Assumptions • Information about the company is asymmetric • Managers have better information about a firm’s long-run value than outside investors. • Managers act in the best interests of current stockholders What can managers be expected to do? • • Issue stock if they think stock is overvalued Issue debt if they think stock is undervalued and/or prospects are bright • As a result, investors view a stock offering negatively; managers think stock is overvalued. Implications • Signaling theory suggests firms should use less debt than MM suggest, and maintain a reserve borrowing capacity, in case good opportunities come along • This unused debt capacity helps avoid stock sales, which depress stock price because of signaling effects. FACTORS THAT AFFECT CAPITAL STRUCTURE How would these factors affect the target capital structure? CONCLUSIONS ON CAPITAL STRUCTURE • • • Need to make calculations as we did, but should also recognize inputs are “guesstimates.” As a result of imprecise numbers, capital structure decisions have a large judgmental content. We end up with capital structures varying widely among firms, even similar ones in same industry. A major contribution of the Miller model is that it demonstrates, other things held constant, that a. personal taxes increase the value of using corporate debt. b. personal taxes lower the value of using corporate debt. c. personal taxes have no effect on the value of using corporate debt. d. financial distress and agency costs reduce the value of using corporate debt. Answer: B. Personal taxes lowers the income of debt investors Which of the following statements is CORRECT? a) In general, a firm with low operating leverage also has a small proportion of its total costs in the form of fixed costs. b) c) d) There is no reason to think that changes in the personal tax rate would affect firms’ capital structure decisions. A firm with a relatively high business risk is more likely to increase its use of financial leverage than a firm with low business risk, assuming all else equal. If a firm's after-tax cost of equity exceeds its after-tax cost of debt, it can always reduce its WACC by increasing its use of debt. Answer: A Which of the following statements is CORRECT? a. When a company increases its debt ratio, the costs of equity and debt both increase. Therefore, the WACC must also increase. b. The capital structure that maximizes the stock price is generally the capital structure that also maximizes earnings per share. c. All else equal, an increase in the corporate tax rate would tend to encourage companies to increase their debt ratios. d. Since debt financing raises the firm’s financial risk, increasing a company’s debt ratio will always increase its WACC. Answer: C