Page 1 of 51 1 1 Artificial destratification for reservoir evaporation reduction: is it 2 effective? 3 Fernanda Helfer*, Fernando Pinheiro Andutta, José Antônio Louzada1, Hong Zhang, 4 Charles Lemckert2 5 School of Engineering and Built Environment, Griffith University, Queensland, Australia 6 * 7 * 8 (G09_1.25), Southport, QLD 4222, Australia. 9 Telephone: +61 (0)7 5552 7886; Facsimile: +61 (0)7 5552 8065 Corresponding author’s e-mail address: f.helfer@griffith.edu.au. Corresponding author’s postal address: Griffith University, School of Engineering 10 rP Fo 11 Short running title: 12 Destratification for evaporation reduction rR ee 13 14 Abstract: The aim of this study was to assess the effectiveness of artificial destratification 15 by air-bubble plumes in reducing evaporation from reservoirs. DYRESM was used to 16 model the evaporation rates and thermodynamic behavior of a temperate reservoir in 17 Australia under a number of combinations of destratification designs and operating 18 conditions. The designs comprised various numbers of ports and air-flow rates per port. 19 The operating conditions involved continuous operation and various intermittent operating 20 strategies. Three reservoir depths were considered: 6.5, 11.5 and 16.5 meters, 21 characterizing ‘shallow’, ‘medium’ and ‘deep’, respectively. The results showed that, 22 provided thermal stratification develops in a reservoir (which was the case for the iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 1 Instituto de Pesquisas Hidráulicas, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil 2 Faculty of Science & Technology, University of Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 2 23 ‘medium’ and ‘deep’ reservoirs), artificial destratification is able to reduce surface 24 temperatures and evaporation rates. Due to the larger volume of cold water at the bottom, 25 deeper reservoirs can derive greater benefit from the use of these systems. After being 26 raised to the surface by the air injected through the destratification system, the cold water 27 from the bottom will help reduce the surface temperatures. Conversely, shallow lakes, due 28 to their typical homothermous regime, are unlikely to benefit from these systems, as these 29 reservoirs lack a source of abundant cold water at the bottom. Despite this, the reductions in 30 evaporation from deep reservoirs can only be modest. The maximum reduction was only 31 2.9% for a deep lake (16.5 meters), using an energy-intensive destratification system. It was 32 concluded that the use of destratification systems for reservoir evaporation reduction are 33 not warranted because of the modest water savings achieved. 34 Keywords: air-bubble plumes, DYRESM, evaporation, hydrodynamic modelling, lake, 35 reservoir, vertical mixing, water balance, water temperature 36 37 ev rR ee rP Fo 1. Introduction 38 The world is facing growing pressure regarding water resources due to the 39 increasing strain imposed by population growth, economic development, extreme drought 40 and climate change. The pressure on water resources is being felt more intensively in arid 41 and semi-arid locations where water is even more scarce (Bouwer, 2000; Maestre-Valero et 42 al., 2013). This scarcity is drawing increasing attention to the development of water-saving 43 cost-effective and reliable approaches. Reducing evaporation from reservoirs could 44 effectively help arid and semi-arid countries to overcome water scarcity (Martinez Alvarez 45 et al., 2008; Gallego-Elvira et al., 2013). 46 47 iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 2 of 51 In Australia, evaporation from reservoirs is regarded as the most adverse factor contributing to loss of water. It is estimated that 40% of the volume stored in Australian Lakes & Reservoirs Page 3 of 51 3 48 reservoirs is lost each year due to high evaporation rates (Craig et al., 2005). Evaporation 49 can often exceed 2000 mm per year in most areas in Australia (Department of Natural 50 Resources and Mines, 2005). Additionally, climate change has been posing a significant 51 threat to water availability in Australian reservoirs as there is a growing body of climate 52 evidence in support of increases in Australian air temperatures, with concurrent increases in 53 evaporation rates (CSIRO & BoM, 2007). In South-East Queensland, where this study was 54 conducted, an investigation showed that annual evaporation will be approximately 8% 55 higher than the current long-term average annual evaporation around the year 2040, and 56 15% higher around the year 2080 (Helfer et al., 2012a). rP 57 Fo For decades, arid and semi-arid countries such as Australia have been investigating 58 and developing mechanisms for reducing evaporation from reservoirs and thus contributing 59 to water security. Most of the techniques however, have been shown either not to be 60 effective, as in the example of windbreaks (Helfer et al., 2009a; 2009b); to be excessively 61 expensive, as in the example of floating covers and shade-cloth covers (Martinez Alvarez et 62 al., 2009); to impose potential risks on water quality, as in the example of chemical and 63 physical covers (Yao et al., 2010); or to be difficult to implement at field scale, as in the use 64 of chemical covers (Barnes, 2008). iew ev rR 65 ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Artificial destratification by air-bubble plumes (the injection of air through a 66 diffuser placed at the bottom of a lake) is one technique suggested in the literature as a 67 potential mechanism for reducing evaporation from reservoirs (Koberg & Ford, 1965; 68 Helfer et al., 2011a; 2011b; 2012b). Destratification devices are tools to mix or circulate 69 water vertically in a reservoir. Their primary purpose is to prevent thermal stratification, 70 which is frequently associated with substantial hypolimnetic oxygen depletion (Johnson, 71 1984; Beduhn, 1994). Hypoxia in lakes and reservoirs stresses aquatic life, threatens fish 72 populations, and reduces water quality (Bertone et al., 2015). The potential of this Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 4 73 technique for controlling evaporation loss lies in cooling the temperature of surface waters 74 through vertical mixing (Helfer et al., 2011b). When in operation, destratification systems 75 allow the colder hypolimnion water to mix with the warmer surface water, reducing surface 76 temperatures and, consequently, evaporation rates. Based on this theory, it follows that 77 there has to be significant temperature stratification in a lake for these systems to be 78 effective in reducing relative evaporation. To date, however, only a few studies have 79 focused on the use of air-bubble plumes to reduce evaporation from reservoirs. Helfer et al. 80 (2011a) suggested that the technique could be more effective in deep reservoirs due to the 81 development of a pronounced thermal stratification profile, where high differences between 82 surface and bottom water temperatures develop. However, further studies were required to 83 better quantify the achievable evaporation reduction. ee rP 84 Fo In this context, the aim of the current study was to undertake a comprehensive study on 85 the effect of artificial destratification systems on evaporation reduction from reservoirs. 86 Reservoir depth, number of destratification ports (diffuser holes), air-flow rates, and 87 operation strategies of destratification systems were investigated and correlated with 88 evaporation rates. Three reservoir depths (6.5, 11.5 and 16.5 meters, characterizing a 89 ‘shallow’, ‘medium’ and ‘deep’ lake), with varying numbers of air diffuser holes, and 90 varying air-flow rates per hole were studied. A number of operation strategies were also 91 analyzed, including, for example, destratification systems in continuous operation over the 92 period of simulation, as well as in various intermittent operation schedules, such as in 93 weekly and monthly cycles. The investigations were all conducted with the use of 94 modelling and simulation using the one-dimensional model DYRESM, as described in the 95 following section. iew ev rR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 4 of 51 96 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 5 of 51 5 97 2. Materials and Methods 98 2.1. DYRESM 99 DYRESM (Imberger & Patterson, 1981; Imerito, 2010a; 2010b) is a one- 100 dimensional hydrodynamic model used for the prediction of the vertical distribution of 101 temperature, salinity and density in reservoirs, at daily and sub-daily time-steps. For over 102 30 years, this model has been successfully applied to a range of water bodies with various 103 morphologies and climatic conditions to predict water quality parameters (e.g. Shiati, 1991; 104 Hamilton & Schladow, 1997; Moshfeghi et al., 2005; Perroud et al., 2009; Weinberger & 105 Vetter, 2012; Anderson et al, 2014; Lehman, 2014; Hetherington et al., 2015) as well as 106 evaporation rates (Hipsey, 2006; Helfer et al., 2011b; McGloin et al., 2014). By comparing 107 a number of one-dimensional lake models, Perroud et al. (2009) found that DYRESM is 108 one of the best models to reproduce the variability of the water temperature profiles in lakes 109 and reservoirs. As a one-dimensional model, DYRESM assumes that vertical variations in 110 density, temperature and salinity are more important than horizontal variations, as these are 111 rapidly relaxed by horizontal advection and convection due to the restoring force of 112 stratification being greater than the disturbing force of the wind. iew ev rR ee rP 113 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs The main input data in DYRESM are the depth-area relationship of the studied lake, 114 daily or sub-daily meteorological data (incident short-wave radiation, rainfall, air 115 temperature, air vapour pressure, wind speed, and either net long-wave radiation, incident 116 long-wave radiation or cloud cover fraction), daily inflows (and inflow temperature and 117 salinity), daily outflows, and an initial profile of lake temperature and salinity (from which 118 DYRESM derives the initial water depth). The model is based on a Lagrangian layer 119 scheme in which the reservoir is represented by a series of adjoining horizontal layers of 120 uniform properties that vary in thickness within user-defined limits. At each time step, as Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 6 121 inflows and outflows enter or leave the reservoir, the affected layers expand or contract, 122 and those above, move up or down to accommodate the volume change. 123 The mechanisms to heat and cool a lake are shortwave radiation (penetrative and 124 non-penetrative), longwave radiation and sensible and latent heat fluxes. The surface mass 125 fluxes include rainfall and evaporation. The wind field in DYRESM drives the surface layer 126 shear and the latent and sensible heat fluxes. Wind stress, shortwave radiation, heat 127 penetration, latent heat, sensible heat and longwave radiation are the main inputs of energy 128 for mixing and stratifying the lake. Mixing and surface layer deepening are modelled by 129 amalgamation of layers, based on a criterion of available kinetic energy and required 130 potential energy for mixing any two layers. Three mixing mechanisms are considered in the 131 model: stirring, in which wind energy is transferred to the surface layer; convective 132 overturn, in which the energy is provided from a reduction in potential energy due to dense 133 water sinking to a lower level; and shear, in which kinetic energy is transferred from the 134 upper to the lower layers. The mixing algorithm involves computing the available energy 135 for mixing two layers, and comparing this with the required energy for mixing these layers. 136 Mixing (amalgamation of layers) occurs when there is enough energy for mixing, in which 137 case the excess energy is transferred and used for the mixing of deeper layers. iew ev rR ee rP 138 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 6 of 51 The sensible and latent heat fluxes are calculated by mass transfer models. 139 Importantly, the evaporative flux at each time-step is calculated as a function of wind speed 140 and humidity deficit: 141 E = C E ρU (q s − qa ) 142 where E is evaporation (kg m-2 s-1), ρ is the air density (kg m-3), CE is the bulk aerodynamic 143 transfer coefficient for a measurement height of 10 m (=1.3 × 10-3, Fischer et al., 1979; 144 Brutsaert, 1982), U is the wind speed (m s-1), and qa and qs are the actual and saturation (1) Lakes & Reservoirs Page 7 of 51 7 145 specific humidities, respectively (kg kg-1). The saturation specific humidity is a function of 146 the uppermost water layer. 147 One important feature in DYRESM is a sub-routine to model artificial water mixing 148 based on destratification devices, such as impellers and air diffusers (bubble plumes). The 149 artificial mixing algorithm has been successfully validated with field data in many instances 150 (eg, Imteaz & Asaeda, 2000; Lewis et al., 2001; Imteaz et al., 2009). For air diffusers (the 151 artificial mixing mechanism simulated in this study, which consists of a device through 152 which air is injected at the bottom of the reservoir), the algorithm is based on a simple, 153 single core plume, assumed to be circular and non-interacting (McDougall, 1978). The 154 motion of this plume is determined from three differential equations of conservation of 155 mass, momentum and buoyancy (Patterson & Imberger, 1989). To model the bubble plume 156 artificial mixing, DYRESM uses the same layer discretisation used in the main routine, 157 with the bubble plume entraining water from each layer as the air bubbles travel through 158 them. As the bubble plume rises, the effective buoyancy anomaly between plume and 159 ambient water decreases as entrained water lowers the plume density, at the same time that 160 the ambient water density decreases with height as a result of thermal stratification. In the 161 layer where the buoyancy anomaly becomes zero or negative, the water in the plume is 162 ejected horizontally into the reservoir, and the plume model resumes. The model assumes 163 that this detrained water immediately routes back to its neutrally buoyant level, without 164 further entrainment. iew ev rR ee rP 165 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs The bubble plume mixing algorithm requires the following input variables: the 166 depth of the diffuser in the water (h), the total air-flow rate at the diffuser level (QT), the 167 number of destratification devices in operation, and the number of ports per device. In each 168 time step, the total air-flow rate is divided by the number of ports to obtain the air-flow rate 169 per port (QB). All calculations are then computed on a ‘per port’ basis. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 8 170 The bubble plume model initialises by computing the buoyancy flux (B) resulting 171 from the injection of air at the level of the diffuser (QB): 172 B = gQB 173 where g is the gravity. The flow rate of entrained water at the level of the diffuser (QP) is 174 calculated as: 175 QP = α 176 where α is the entrainment coefficient (= 0.083 - List, 1982; Milgram, 1983), b1 is a 177 constant (= 4.7), γ is the plume aspect ratio (plume radius to plume length, assumed to be 178 constant and equal to 0.1), and ∆ZB is the layer thickness at the diffuser depth. For 179 subsequent layers, the flow rate of air (Q) is computed as a function of the change in 180 pressure head, which increases the air-flow rate due to bubble expansion: 181 H Qi = Qi −1 i −1 Hi 182 where (i-1) refers to the layer immediately below, and H is the pressure head at the level of 183 the layers. Only for the second layer from the diffuser layer, Qi-1 is replaced by QB. The 184 combined buoyancy flux due to air bubbles and entrained water is calculated as: 185 ρ − ρi Bi = gQi − g 0i ρ0i 186 where ρ0i is the density of the ambient water in the current layer, and ρi is the density of the 187 plume. The flow rate of the entrained volume in layer i is: 188 QPi = α 189 where z is the depth of each layer. (2) 6π b1γ B1 3 ∆ Z B 5 3 5 (3) ee rP Fo 0.71 (4) iew ev rR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 8 of 51 QP 6π b1γ Bi 1 3 ( zi 5 3 − zi −15 3 ) + QPi−1 5 Lakes & Reservoirs (5) (6) Page 9 of 51 9 190 When the combined buoyancy flux becomes zero or negative, the entrained water is 191 ejected from the plume and it is assumed to fall to its neutrally buoyant level 192 instantaneously. The plume characteristics are then reset, and the air continues to rise and to 193 entrain water again. 194 195 2.2. Study area and data collection 196 A reservoir used for irrigation of crops, located in South-East Queensland, 197 Australia, was used to study the effects of artificial destratification on evaporation. Logan’s 198 Dam (27o34’26’’S, 152o20’27’’E, altitude 88 m, Figure 1) has a storage capacity of 0.7 199 hm3, a full storage surface area of approximately 17 hectares and a maximum depth of 6.5 200 m. The reservoir is roughly rectangular in shape with dimensions of approximately 480 m x 201 350 m. ee rP A comprehensive 2-year investigation on open water evaporation was conducted by rR 202 Fo 203 the Urban Water Security Research Alliance (UWSRA) (www.urbanwateralliance.org.au) 204 from 2009 to 2011 at Logan’s Dam. As part of this investigation, measuring equipment 205 items, including flow meters, water level sensors, thermistor chains and weather stations, 206 were installed at the reservoir to measure inflows, outflows, water levels, water 207 temperatures, and to monitor atmospheric conditions. A thorough description of the 208 equipment used and measurements taken at Logan Dam’s is provided in McGloin et al. 209 (2014) and McJannet et al. (2013a,b). All data sets needed to calibrate, validate and run the 210 model DYRESM in this study, including initial water temperatures, lake morphology 211 (elevation vs surface area relationship), external forcing daily data for solar radiation, wind 212 speed, air temperature and rainfall, outflows and inflows were obtained from the UWSRA 213 investigation. iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 214 Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 10 215 Figure 1. Aerial view of the agricultural reservoir investigated in the current study 216 (from Google Earth) and its location in Australia. Location of centre of reservoir: 217 27o34’26’’S, 152o20’27’’E. Surface area: 17 hectares (170,000 m2). 218 219 2.3. Model calibration and validation for water temperatures 220 DYRESM was calibrated based on its ability to reproduce measured values of water 221 temperature in Logan’s Dam. The model performance was tested by undertaking regression 222 analyses between daily temperature measurements and daily temperature outputs from the 223 model. The calibration was implemented manually by using the error minimisation method 224 (Perroud et al., 2009; Weinberger & Vetter, 2012). The period chosen for calibration was 225 29/09/2009 - 06/01/2010 (100 days), covering a significant part of spring and summer 226 seasons, and a validation was undertaken over summer and autumn, during the period 227 07/01/2010 - 11/04/2010 (95 days). The model was calibrated with respect to the parameter 228 light extinction coefficient. The light extinction coefficient influences the thermodynamics 229 of the lake through the varying water column heat absorption, but no measured data for this 230 parameter was available for Logan’s Dam. A mean annual, depth averaged value was 231 assumed for the simulations, following similar studies (e.g. Hetherington et al., 2015). 232 Different values were tested, ranging from 0.3 to 2.0 m-1, with 1.3 m-1 yielding the best 233 match between simulated and measured water temperatures. This is a realistic value, since 234 the lake is relatively shallow and turbidity is high (Oliver et al., 2000). iew ev rR ee rP Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 10 of 51 235 236 2.4. Model validation for evaporation rates 237 In the current study, the data collected by the UWSRA investigation, including 238 rainfall, reservoir water levels, outflows and inflows, were used to determine observed 239 daily evaporation rates by performing a water balance of the water storage. The water 240 balance approach is a technique employed to estimate changes in water level by taking into Lakes & Reservoirs Page 11 of 51 11 241 account all the inputs and losses from a reservoir in a given period of time. The use of this 242 method to determine evaporation rates has been successful in a number of other 243 evaporation studies (eg, Abtew, 2001; Gibson, 2002). In the current study, the inputs for the 244 water balance model included daily inflows and direct rainfall. The reservoir losses 245 included daily outflows, evaporation and leakage. The water balance equation was 246 rearranged to determine the unknown daily evaporation rates from Logan’s Dam. 247 The water balance method for the determination of daily evaporation rates required 248 the specification of an estimate for the leakage term, since this parameter was not measured 249 on site. There have been several studies in which leakage losses have been determined for 250 Australian man-made reservoirs. For example, Craig (2006) determined leakage losses for 251 four reservoirs, comparing modelled evaporation rates with evaporation rates calculated 252 using the water balance method. The leakage loss term was determined as being something 253 between 1.0 and 2.0 mm day-2, depending on the choice of the evaporation model. 254 McJannet et al. (2013a) compared evaporation rates from Logan’s Dam estimated by water 255 balance using two leakage loss terms (1.0 and 2.0 mm day-1) with evaporation rates 256 measured with scintillometry. It was found that a leakage loss of 1.0 mm day-1 would 257 overestimate evaporation rates from Logan’s Dam, whereas a leakage loss of 2.0 mm day-1 258 would underestimate it. It was suggested that an optimal fixed leakage value for Logan’s 259 Dam would be something between the two aforementioned leakage rates (McJannet et al., 260 2013a). Following this suggestion, in this study, we assumed a constant leakage loss of 1.5 261 mm day-1 in the water balance model. iew ev rR ee rP 262 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs An indirect validation was also performed comparing the daily evaporation rates 263 estimated by DYRESM with daily evaporation rates estimated with a model proposed by 264 McGloin et al. (2014; 2015) for Logan’s Dam. Their model predicts eddy covariance 265 measurements for latent heat and has the form: Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 12 266 LEEC = 27.91u ( es − ea ) + 18.34 267 where LEEC is the approximated measured latent heat flux (W m-2), u is the wind speed at 268 2.4 m height (m s-1), es is the saturation vapour pressure at water temperature (kPa) and ea is 269 the vapour pressure of the air (kPa). (7) 270 The evaporation rates calculated through both the water balance model and the 271 latent heat model (Eq. 7) were subsequently compared with the daily evaporation rates 272 estimated by the model DYRESM for Logan’s Dam to evaluate the model’s performance. 273 274 2.5. Scenarios, simulations and assumptions rP 275 Fo The shallow lake scenario in this study represented the real situation, in which the 276 maximum water depth at the deepest section of the reservoir is 6.5 m and the maximum 277 surface area is 17 hectares (Figure 1). This is the scenario for which DYRESM was 278 calibrated and validated. Hypothetical scenarios, with maximum depths of 11.5 m and 16.5 279 m, with 17 hectares of surface area, composed a medium lake scenario and a deep lake 280 scenario, respectively. iew ev rR 281 ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 12 of 51 In all three scenarios, the initial water depth was set as the maximum depth, and the 282 initial water temperature, uniform throughout the profile, at 17.8oC (as measured in the 283 field for the real case scenario). 284 The baseline simulations for each scenario consisted of the absence of any 285 destratification system operating in the reservoir. Then, simulations with a destratification 286 system operating continuously throughout the 195 days of study were simulated. The 287 destratification system consisted of one air diffuser laid at the bottom of the lake with 288 varying number of ports and air-flow rates. The air-flow rates injected through this diffuser 289 into the water varied from 0.001 to 1.0 m3 s-1, and the number of ports on each diffuser Lakes & Reservoirs Page 13 of 51 13 290 varied from 1 to 40. Table 1 summarises the simulations undertaken using continuous 291 artificial destratification. 292 293 Table 1. Summary of the simulations with the artificial destratification system 294 operating continuously over the period of study. 295 296 Following the results from the simulations provided in Table 1, the most effective 297 systems were then selected for further evaluation of their operational strategies, including 298 intermittent operation modes and operation in monthly and weekly cycles. 299 Fo After the simulations were performed, evaporation rates from all simulations were rP 300 noted for analyses. The differences in evaporation rates between destratification conditions 301 and normal conditions (baseline simulations) provided an indication of the effectiveness of 302 the destratification techniques in reducing evaporation. Analyses were then performed to 303 determine the optimum combination of air-flow rate, number of ports and operational 304 strategy that provided maximum evaporation reductions. 305 306 3. Results and Discussion 307 3.1. Observed meteorological conditions 308 iew ev rR ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Figure 2 shows a time series of the surface meteorology of Logan’s Dam for the 309 simulation period (29/09/2009 – 11/04/2010), which covered spring, summer and autumn 310 seasons. For reference, in Australia, the spring months are September, October and 311 November; summer months are December, January and February; autumn months are 312 March, April and May; and winter months are June, July and August. 313 Daily average shortwave solar radiation was 253 W m-2, with the highest values 314 concentrated in January 2010 (summer). The lowest shortwave radiation values occurred in 315 the first week of March 2010 (autumn). The average air temperature for the entire period Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 14 316 was 24.1oC and ranged between a minimum of 16.2oC and a maximum of 30.3oC. The 317 hottest period was the second week of December 2009 (summer), in which the average 318 temperature was 28.5oC. The coldest period was the second week of October 2009 (spring). 319 The average daily wind speed was 2.8 m s-1, with a maximum of 6.1 m s-1. For 90% of the 320 time winds were less than 4 m s-1. The average relative humidity was 67%, and the average 321 vapour pressure deficit was 1.0 kPa, ranging from 0.2 to 2.4 kPa. Total rainfall was 365 322 mm in the period of simulation. Rainfall was mostly concentrated between the last week of 323 January 2010 and the first week of March 2010, when 269 mm rainfall was registered. 324 Fo 325 Figure 2. Average daily shortwave solar radiation, air temperature, wind speed, 326 vapour pressure deficit and total daily rainfall at Logan’s Dam throughout the study 327 period. For reference, in Australia, the spring months are September, October and 328 November; summer months are December, January and February; autumn months 329 are March, April and May; and winter months are June, July and August. rR ee rP 330 ev 331 3.2. Model calibration and validation for water temperatures 332 3.2.1. Calibration period - 29/09/2009 to 06/01/2010 (100 days) 333 iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 14 of 51 Figure 3 shows the measured and modelled water temperatures in Logan’s Dam. 334 The coefficient of determination (R2) for the adjustment, considering 100 days of measured 335 data, was 0.91, the root-mean-square error (RMSE) was 0.7oC, the mean relative error 336 between simulated and field measurements (NRMSE) was 1.6% and the mean bias error 337 (MBE) was -0.39oC. These indices demonstrate that the model provides a satisfactory 338 representation of the real temperatures. 339 340 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 15 of 51 15 341 Figure 3. Isotherms for Logan’s Dam during the calibration period (29/09/2009 to 342 06/01/2010). This period covers the spring months of October and November, and the 343 summer month of December and part of January. a) Measured data. b) Modelled data 344 using DYRESM. 345 346 Since surface temperature is the most important variable in the calculation of 347 evaporation (refer to Equation 1 for the evaporation model used in DYRESM), it is crucial 348 that the temperature of the surface of the lake be modelled with a high level of accuracy. 349 Figure 4 shows a strong correlation (R2 = 0.96) between modelled and measured surface 350 water temperatures for the 100 days of calibration. The regression equation for theoretical 351 surface temperature values against observed values had a slope that was nearly equal to 1, 352 indicating that the model predicts surface temperatures with high accuracy. The root-mean- 353 square error was 0.57oC, and the mean bias error was virtually zero (-0.02oC). rR ee rP Fo 354 355 Figure 4. Relationship between daily averages of measured (x-axis) and modelled (y- 356 axis) surface water temperatures for the calibration period. The solid line indicates 357 the regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 358 359 3.2.2. Validation period - 07/01/2010 to 11/04/2010 (95 days) 360 Figure 5 shows the model’s performance for the validation period (07/01/2010 to 361 11/04/2010). The model performed as well as in the calibration period, with a coefficient of 362 determination equal to 0.94, a root-mean-square error equal to 0.4oC, a mean relative error 363 between simulated and field measurements equal to 1.10% and a mean bias error equal to - 364 0.02oC. 365 Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 16 366 Figure 5. Isotherms for Logan’s Dam during the validation period (07/01/2010 to 367 11/04/2010). This period covers the summer months of January and February, and the 368 autumn month of March and part of April. a) Measured data. b) Modelled data using 369 DYRESM. 370 371 Figure 6 shows a strong correlation (R2 = 0.97) between modelled and observed 372 daily surface water temperatures for the 95 days of validation. The regression equation for 373 theoretical surface temperature values against observed values had a slope equal to 1.02, 374 indicating no tendency for either underestimation or overestimation of surface temperatures 375 by the model. The mean bias error was virtually zero (0.02oC) and the root-mean-square 376 error was 0.40oC. These results are in accordance with the results from a parallel study 377 conducted at Logan’s Dam, in which a strong agreement (R2 = 0.97, RMSE = 0.97oC) 378 between hourly surface temperature measurements and hourly surface temperatures 379 predicted with DYRESM was found (McGloin et al., 2014). ev rR ee rP 380 Fo 381 Figure 6. Relationship between daily averages of measured (x-axis) and modelled (y- 382 axis) surface water temperatures for the validation period. The solid line indicates the 383 regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 16 of 51 384 385 386 3.3. Model validation for evaporation rates In Figure 7, a satisfactory agreement between the daily evaporation rates estimated 387 using the water balance method and using DYRESM can be seen. The coefficient of 388 determination was 0.72 with a root-mean-square error of 0.38 mm day-1 and a mean bias 389 error of -0.05 mm day-1. Likewise, Figure 8 shows a good agreement between the daily 390 evaporation rates estimated using the eddy covariance model (Eq. 07) and DYRESM. The 391 coefficient of determination was 0.85 with a root-mean-square error of 0.57 mm day-1 and a Lakes & Reservoirs Page 17 of 51 17 392 mean bias error of -0.20 mm day-1. Based on these results, DYRESM was considered an 393 appropriate model for the prediction of daily evaporation rates from Logan’s Dam. 394 395 Figure 7. Relationship between daily evaporation rates estimated using the water 396 balance method (x-axis) and DYRESM (y-axis). The solid line indicates the regression 397 equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. Only periods without inflows 398 and outflows were considered to minimise errors. 399 400 Figure 8. Relationship between daily evaporation rates estimated using the eddy 401 covariance model (x-axis) and DYRESM (y-axis). The solid line indicates the 402 regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. ee rP 403 Fo 404 3.4. Modelled water temperatures 405 3.4.1. Water temperatures in the baseline simulations (without artificial destratification) 406 rR The modelled water temperatures of the baseline simulations (without artificial 407 destratification) for the shallow, medium and deep lake scenarios are presented in Figure 408 9(a), (d) and (g), respectively. The period of simulation was 29/09/2009 to 11/04/2010, 409 covering spring, summer and autumn months. iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 410 411 412 Figure 9. Modelled water temperatures under normal conditions (without artificial 413 destratification) and under “weak” and “strong” artificial destratification conditions 414 for a shallow (a—c), medium (d—f) and deep (g—i) lakes throughout the study period 415 (29/09/2009 to 11/04/2010). In the “weak destratification” simulations, the number of 416 ports was 1, and the air-flow rate per port was 0.001 m3 s-1 (continuous operation). In 417 the “strong destratification” simulations, the number of ports was 40 and the air-flow 418 rate per port was 1.0 m3 s-1 (continuous operation). For reference, in Australia, 419 September, October and November are spring months; December, January and 420 February are summer months; and March and April are autumn months. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 18 421 422 Persistent thermal stratification clearly developed in the medium and deep lake 423 cases, while the shallow lake was well mixed for almost the entire duration of the study 424 period. For the medium and deep lakes, the strongest thermal stratification levels occurred 425 between the beginning of December 2009 and the end of February 2010 (summer months). 426 This was particularly due to high air temperatures and incoming solar radiation rates 427 observed during this period. For both medium and deep lakes, the average depth of the 428 well-mixed layer was 0.8 m, reflecting a low level of mixing, and a high level of 429 stratification in these lakes. This is opposed to the average depth of the well-mixed layer in 430 the shallow lake, which was 3.3 m, showing a high level of mixing and a low level of 431 thermal stratification. For the shallow lake, some level of thermal stratification was 432 observed in the beginning of November 2009, the second week of December 2009 and in 433 the beginning of March 2010, following periods of very low wind conditions (< 1.5 m s-1) 434 and relatively high air temperatures (> 26oC), which led to the development of a 435 temperature gradient in the metalimnion of about 4.0oC m-1. The difference between bottom 436 and surface water temperatures in the shallow lake scenario, however, never exceeded 437 5.0oC during the time of study. For the medium lake, the strongest thermal stratifications 438 were observed on the 2nd and 20th of December 2009, 1st of February 2010 and from the 439 27th of February to the 2nd of March 2010. During these days and periods, the temperature 440 gradients in the thermocline were all above 6.0oC m-1. The maximum gradient occurred on 441 the 2nd of March 2010 (6.5oC m-1). The differences in water temperature between the 442 bottom and the surface of the medium lake ranged from 2.5oC to 13.3oC, with an average of 443 8.6oC. For the deep lake case, the strongest thermal stratifications were observed on the 2nd 444 of December 2009, between the 31st of January and the 3rd of February 2010, and on the 445 26th of February 2010. During these days and periods, the temperature gradients in the iew ev rR ee rP Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 18 of 51 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 19 of 51 19 446 thermocline were all above 7.0oC m-1, with a maximum of 8.2oC m-1 on the 1st of February 447 2010. Similar to the medium lake scenario, the differences in water temperature between 448 the bottom and the surface of the deep lake ranged from 2.5oC to 13.5oC, with an average of 449 8.6oC. 450 Due to the same heat forcing conditions, the water temperatures at the surface of the 451 three lakes were very similar, ranging from 20.6oC to 31.1oC over the 195 days of study in 452 the shallow lake scenario (with an average of 26.6oC), from 20.2oC to 31.0oC in the 453 medium lake scenario (average of 26.3oC) and from 20.1oC to 31.1oC in the deep lake 454 scenario (average of 26.3oC). For the three lakes, the highest surface water temperatures 455 (>30oC) occurred in the second week of December 2009 (summer)– due to the occurrence 456 of the highest air temperatures (>28.6oC) in the study period and relatively high solar 457 radiation (around 305 W m-2) – and in the last week of January 2010 (summer) – due to the 458 occurrence of the highest solar radiation values (> 320 W m-2) in the study period and 459 relatively high air temperatures (around 27oC). The average temperature of the bottom 460 water was 25.2oC in the shallow lake, and 17.6oC in the medium and deep lakes. These 461 figures demonstrate, again, a high level of mixing in the shallow lake when compared with 462 the medium and deep lakes. 463 iew ev rR ee rP Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 464 3.4.2. Water temperatures in the simulations with artificial destratification (continuous 465 operation) 466 The modelled water temperatures of the simulations with artificial destratification 467 for the shallow, medium and deep lake scenarios, and for a “weak” and a “strong” 468 destratification cases, are presented in Figure 9 (b, e, h, c, f and i). In the “weak 469 destratification” cases (Figure 9 - b, e and h), a 1-port destratification system with a per- 470 port air-flow rate equal to 0.001 m3 s-1, operating continuously over the 195 days of Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 20 471 simulation, was used. In the “strong destratification” cases (Figure 9 - c, f and i), a 472 destratification system with 40 ports and an air-flow rate per port equal to 1.0 m3 s-1, 473 operating continuously over the 195 days of simulation, was used. Simulations with 474 intermediate levels of artificial destratification (i.e. number of ports equal to 5, 10 and 20; 475 and air-flow rate per port equal to 0.01 m3 s-1, 0.05 m3 s-1 and 0.25 m3 s-1) were also 476 performed, but have not been shown in the figures. 477 For the medium and deep lake cases, which developed a strong thermal 478 stratification structure under natural conditions, the significance of the effect of artificial 479 destratification on lake temperatures was clearly visible, even when a low air-flow rate was 480 used. In the “weak destratification” case, however, the time to achieve a homothermous 481 condition was longer than this time in the “strong destratification” case, in which a 482 homothermous condition was achieved within less than one day. ee rP Fo 483 Also noticeable from the graphs in Figure 9 is that, in the medium and deep lake 484 cases, the artificial destratification system seemed to have promoted heating of the deep 485 layers, rather than cooling of the surface layers, as was desired. While there was an 486 effective breakdown of the thermocline (particularly in the “strong destratification” cases), 487 which can be desirable from the point of view of water quality, the heating of the deep 488 layers and the meaningless cooling of the surface layers are not desirable from the point of 489 view of evaporation reduction (evaporation reduction will be discussed in more detail in the 490 following section). The average surface water temperatures under “strong destratification” 491 conditions were 22.0oC, 25.9oC, 28.0oC, 28.4oC, 27.6oC and 24.9oC in October, November, 492 December, January, February and March, respectively, in the deep lake scenario, which did 493 not differ significantly from the baseline surface water temperatures, calculated as 23.1oC, 494 26.6oC, 27.9oC, 28.5oC, 27.2oC and 24.5oC in these months. The “strong destratification” 495 system, therefore, provided only slight temperature changes (-5%, -3%, 0%, 0%, 1%, 2%, iew ev rR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 20 of 51 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 21 of 51 21 496 respectively for the above months) in comparison with the baseline scenario, with higher 497 reductions occurring in October and November (i.e. at the beginning of the operation of the 498 destratification system, as it had been already demonstrated in a previous study – Helfer et 499 al., 2011b). 500 In the medium lake scenario, the surface temperatures under “strong 501 destratification” were 22.6oC, 26.5oC, 28.1oC, 28.6oC, 27.4oC and 24.5oC in October, 502 November, December, January, February and March, respectively. In the baseline 503 simulation, these temperatures were 23.1oC, 26.7oC, 27.9oC, 28.5oC, 27.2oC and 24.5oC, 504 respectively. The changes observed were, therefore, -2%, -1%, 1%, 0%, 1%, 0% in 505 comparison with the baseline surface water temperatures of the medium lake. rP Fo 506 Under “weak destratification” conditions (1 port and 0.001 m3 s-1 air-flow rate per 507 port), the surface temperatures were 23.1oC, 26.6oC, 27.9oC, 28.5oC, 27.3oC and 24.6oC in 508 the medium lake scenario, and 23.1oC, 26.5oC, 27.7oC, 28.4oC, 27.1oC and 24.5oC in the 509 deep lake scenario. These temperatures were virtually the same as the baseline 510 temperatures, meaning that the “weak destratification” system did not alter the surface 511 conditions of the water in comparison with the baseline conditions. iew ev rR 512 ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs A conclusion was drawn that the use of a “weak destratification” system in a 513 thermally stratified reservoir (such as the medium and the deep lakes considered in this 514 study) would not affect the surface water temperatures in comparison with that expected 515 without the use of an artificial destratification system. Therefore, it could be inferred that 516 evaporation rates would not be reduced with a “weak destratification” system. As shown in 517 Figure 9 (e and h), “weak destratification” systems would mix the water at a much slower 518 rate as compared with “strong destratification” systems, meaning that the “stock” of cold 519 water at the bottom of the lake would take longer to be depleted with “weak 520 destratification” systems. Although mixing would eventually be achieved with the use of Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 22 521 “weak destratification” systems, these systems would not be strong enough to lift the cold 522 water from the bottom to the surface of the reservoir, and thus promote temperature and 523 evaporation reductions. 524 Another important conclusion was that “strong destratification” systems operating 525 in thermally stratified lakes, as opposed to “weak destratification” systems, would be 526 effective in lifting the cold water from the bottom layers to the surface layers, effectively 527 reducing the surface temperatures, which would probably translate to some level of 528 evaporation reduction. This behaviour, however, would only occur at the beginning of the 529 operation of the destratification system, when the “stock” of cold water at the bottom of the 530 lake would be abundant. Within a short period, however, this stock would be depleted. This 531 postulation was apparent from Figure 9 (f and i), in which it can be seen that the 532 thermocline was disintegrated more rapidly in the “strong destratification” case than in the 533 “weak destratification” case. The rapid exhaustion of the “stock” of cold water under 534 “strong destratification” conditions would also mean that further surface water temperature 535 reductions would not be able to be achieved. These observations implied that there must 536 exist an optimum period of operation, or an operation strategy, of the destratification 537 system that will provide maximum temperature reductions and maximum evaporation 538 reductions. This supposition will be explored in sections 3.5.2 to 3.5.6 of this paper. iew ev rR ee rP 539 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 22 of 51 For the shallow lake, which presented a homothermous regime throughout the study 540 period, the use of artificial destratification systems did not bring any noteworthy alteration 541 to the thermal behaviour of the lake. The temperatures were the same as the baseline 542 temperatures in all destratification simulations undertaken in this study. This behaviour was 543 expected as shallow lakes usually do not develop an apparent stratification structure, and 544 thus, they do not possess a large quantity of cold water in their bottom layers. 545 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 23 of 51 23 546 3.5. Modelled evaporation rates 547 3.5.1. Baseline evaporation rates (without artificial destratification) 548 The modelled baseline evaporation rates from the shallow, medium and deep lake 549 scenarios are presented in Figure 10. Due to having the same boundary conditions, the daily 550 evaporation rates for the three scenarios were very similar. For the three lakes, the daily 551 evaporation rates varied from 1.0 mm on the 8th of March 2010 (autumn) to 11 mm on the 552 19th of January 2010 (summer). There were 10 clear peaks when the daily evaporation rates 553 were above 8.0 mm day-1. These peaks in evaporation resulted from a combination of high 554 air temperatures, wind speed, solar radiation fluxes and vapour pressure deficits. The 30- 555 day period with the highest evaporation rates was from 19th of November 2009 to 18th of 556 December, with a daily average of 6.2 mm day-1. The 7-day period with the highest 557 evaporation rates was from the 13th to the 19th of January 2010, with an average of 7.1 mm 558 day-1. Total evaporation for the 195 days was 906 mm in the shallow lake scenario, and 894 559 mm in both the medium and deep lake scenarios. The slightly higher total evaporation in 560 the shallow lake scenario was a result of the surface temperature in the shallow lake being 561 on average slightly warmer than in the deeper lakes. 562 iew ev rR ee rP Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 563 Figure 10. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the shallow, medium and deep lakes 564 throughout the study period (29/09/2009 to 11/04/2010). Baseline values (without 565 artificial destratification). 566 567 3.5.2. Evaporation rates in the simulations with artificial destratification (continuous 568 operation) 569 Figure 11 summarises the 195-day accumulated evaporation for different levels of 570 artificial destratification (i.e. combination of number of ports and air-flow rate per port) for 571 the medium (a) and deep (b) lake scenarios. Since the use of artificial destratification did Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 24 572 not induce temperature and evaporation changes in the shallow lake scenario, the results for 573 this scenario have been omitted from this point forward. A preliminary conclusion was 574 drawn in the previous section that the use of artificial destratification systems for the 575 purpose of evaporation reduction from lakes that experience homothermous regimes (which 576 is a typical occurrence in shallow lakes) would not be worthwhile. 577 578 Figure 11. Total evaporation as a function of the number of destratification ports and 579 air-flow rate per port for the medium and deep lake scenarios. In Figure (c), the blue 580 lines represent the total evaporation as a function of the number of ports, with a fixed 581 air-flow rate per port equal to 0.001 m3 s-1 (the lowest air-flow rate per port simulated 582 in this study). The red lines represent the total evaporation as a function of the 583 number of ports, with a fixed air-flow rate per port equal to 1.0 m3 s-1 (the highest air- 584 flow rate per port simulated in this study). The total evaporation as a function of the 585 number of ports for air-flow rates per port between 0.001 m3 s-1 and 1.0 m3 s-1 would 586 fall between the curves shown in the graph, although omitted in the figure. The 587 baseline evaporation (without artificial destratification) for both lakes was 894 mm 588 and is represented in the graph when the number of ports = 0. iew ev rR ee 590 rP 589 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 24 of 51 As discussed in the previous section, the accumulated evaporation in the baseline 591 simulations (without artificial destratification) was 894 mm for both the medium and deep 592 lakes. Under artificial destratification conditions, for both lakes, the reduction in 593 evaporation increased with the increase in number of ports and air-flow rate per port. The 594 deep lake scenario presented higher evaporation reductions than the medium lake scenario 595 in all artificial destratification conditions simulated in this study. The total evaporation 596 from the medium lake ranged from 888 mm to 891 mm under the use of artificial 597 destratification systems. The lowest value of the range (888 mm) was achieved in the 598 simulation where the highest number of ports (40 ports) and the highest air-flow rate per Lakes & Reservoirs Page 25 of 51 25 599 port (1.0 m3 s-1) were assumed. In turn, the highest value of the range (891 mm) was 600 observed in the simulation with the lowest number of ports (1 port) and the lowest air-flow 601 rate per port (0.001 m3 s-1). These evaporation values represent water savings in the order 602 of 0.5% and 0.2%, respectively, which is likely not to justify the use of continuously 603 operating artificial destratification systems for the sole purpose of evaporation reduction in 604 reservoirs of this size. 605 In the deep lake simulations, the accumulated evaporation varied from 868 mm to 606 878 mm with the use of artificial destratification systems, representing savings from 2.9% 607 to 1.8%. It is important to note, however, that the highest reduction (2.9%), which could be 608 interpreted as a meaningful saving in regions where water is scarce and or/expensive, 609 would only be achieved with the use of a very high flow rate per port (1.0 m3 s-1) combined 610 with a large number of ports (40). This condition would require so much energy that 611 implementation of the system would be unlikely justifiable. It was, therefore, concluded 612 that the use of artificial destratification systems in continuous operation would be futile 613 because this operating strategy would only achieve slight evaporation reductions that are 614 unlikely to justify the investment and operational costs of the destratification system. iew ev rR ee rP Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 615 Time series analyses of the lake temperatures and daily evaporation rates under 616 continuously operating destratification conditions showed that the reductions in surface 617 water temperatures and evaporation rates were more significant immediately after the 618 breakdown of the thermocline. Under “strong destratification” conditions, for example, the 619 breakdown of the thermocline occurred within a few hours from the beginning of operation 620 of the destratification system, and the evaporation reductions started to occur from this time 621 forward, sustaining for about 30 days. After 30 days, there was a period in which the 622 surface temperatures and evaporation rates became practically the same as the baseline 623 temperatures and evaporation rates, followed by a period (end of the period of simulation) Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 26 624 during which the surface temperatures and evaporation rates under destratification 625 conditions were higher than the baseline values. Under “weak destratification” conditions, 626 evaporation reductions began to be noted about 30 days after the beginning of the operation 627 of the systems. This delay was because the thermocline was dismantled more slowly under 628 these less intense destratification systems. The evaporation time series for these simulations 629 are presented in Figure 12. 630 631 Figure 12. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the medium (a) and deep (b) lakes 632 under continuous (uninterrupted) “weak destratification” conditions (1 port and per- 633 port air-flow rate = 0.001 m3 s-1) – green lines; “strong destratification” condition (40 634 ports and per-port air-flow rate = 1.0 m3 s-1) – red lines; and under baseline conditions 635 (without destratification) – blue lines. ee rP Fo 636 637 The above observations suggested the hypothesis that destratification systems could rR 638 achieve more significant evaporation reductions if they were set to operate over a given 639 period of time, and then switched off for the rest of the period to avoid the increased 640 evaporation rates at the end of their operation. This hypothesis was tested by undertaking a 641 number of simulations that considered a number of different operating strategies, and the 642 results are presented in the next sections. Since the medium lake scenario presented only 643 minimal differences in relation to the baseline evaporation rates, attention in the next 644 sections is devoted only to the deep lake scenario. iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 26 of 51 645 646 3.5.3. Evaporation under the use of a destratification system, operating continuously over a 647 30-day period 648 649 Figure 13 shows the modelled time series of daily evaporation rates with the use of a destratification system set to operate for six different 30-day periods (October, November, Lakes & Reservoirs Page 27 of 51 27 650 December, January, February and March). The principle behind this strategy was that 651 destratification would cause reductions in evaporation when in operation, avoiding the 652 increase in evaporation at the end of the simulation period, as observed in the simulations 653 with continuous operation. The destratification system design chosen for these simulations 654 was the one with 40 ports and air-flow rate per port equal to 0.001 m3 s-1. This design was 655 selected based on the curves shown in Figure 11. This graph suggested that a 656 destratification design with a large number of ports and a low air-flow rate per port would 657 bring similar savings to a design with one port only and a high air-flow rate per port. In 658 order to achieve an effective mixing, the use of a low number of ports would require high 659 air-flow rates per port, a condition that would also involve a significant consumption of 660 energy. Conversely, the use of a large number of ports, uniformly distributed in the bottom 661 of the reservoir, would still provide effective mixing even with a very low air-flow rate, and 662 incur much less energy consumption. ev rR ee rP 663 Fo 664 Figure 13. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a 665 destratification system in continuous operation for 30 days in October (a), November 666 (b), December (c), January (d), February (e) and March (f) – red lines. The baseline 667 evaporation time series are represented by the blue lines. 668 669 iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Figure 13 clearly shows that evaporation reductions took place in times when 670 artificial destratification systems were in operation. However, these reductions were only 671 sustained for the duration of the operation of the destratification systems, reaching the same 672 rates as the baseline rates after they were switched off. The reductions varied from 1.5% 673 (operation in October) to 2.3% (operation in January). The cooling of the surface by the 674 destratification system had a better effect when in operation in January due to the higher 675 atmospheric evaporative demand in this month. The lowest reductions in evaporation were Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 28 676 found when the system operated in October and in March. This is because the evaporative 677 demand in these months was not as high, and the displacement of cold bottom water to the 678 surface did not generate the desired effect. Despite the reductions noted in these simulations 679 with monthly operation of the destratification systems, a conclusion was drawn that these 680 reductions would not justify investment and operation costs. 681 682 3.5.4. Evaporation under the use of a destratification system operating in monthly and 683 weekly cycles 684 Fo Further simulations were performed with operation strategies based on weekly and rP 685 monthly cycles. In the monthly cycles, the destratification system was in continuous 686 operation for periods of 30 days, separated by interruptions of 30 days between periods of 687 operation. In the weekly cycles, the system was in operation for periods of 7 days, 688 separated by interruptions of 7 days. The destratification system design adopted in the 689 simulations was the same as in the previous operation strategy (40 ports and air-flow rate 690 per port equalling 0.001 m3 s-1). The principle behind the operation in cycles was that the 691 system would provide evaporation reductions when in operation, and thermal stratification 692 would develop in the lake during the breaks. In this way, at the beginning of each operation 693 period, there would be a good source of cold water to bring about surface temperature and 694 evaporation reductions. iew ev rR ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 28 of 51 695 The operation in cycles yielded better results than the previous operation strategy; 696 however, the reductions would still be unlikely to justify investment and operational costs 697 of the destratification system. The reductions were 2.4% for the weekly cycles, and 2.6% 698 for the monthly cycle. The time series of evaporation rates for these simulations are 699 presented in Figure 14. 700 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 29 of 51 29 701 Figure 14. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a 702 destratification system operating in monthly (a) and weekly (b) cycles – red lines. The 703 baseline evaporation time series are represented by the blue lines. 704 705 706 3.5.5. Evaporation under the use of a destratification system operating in pulses The principle behind this operation strategy is that a strong injection of air, with 707 high intensity and short duration, would break down the thermocline and lift the cold water 708 from the bottom to the surface in a short period, reducing evaporation rates. Then, the 709 system would be interrupted for a period of time long enough to allow the re-establishment 710 of a stratification structure with accumulation of cold water at the bottom. After this period, 711 a pulse of destratification would be provided again. Two different strategic options were 712 tested: the first had a high frequency (the system would be turned on every fortnight) and 713 low intensity (0.01 m3 s-1) pulse; the other had a pulse with low frequency (every month) 714 and high intensity (0.05 m3 s-1). The number of ports was left constant at 40 ports per 715 diffuser, and the duration of the pulse was set as 1 day for both cases. The results are shown 716 in Figure 15. iew ev rR ee rP 717 Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 718 Figure 15. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a 719 destratification system operating in pulses: (a) higher frequency (fortnightly) and 720 lower intensity (0.01 m3 s-1) pulse; (b) lower frequency (monthly) and higher intensity 721 (0.05 m3 s-1) pulse – red lines. The baseline evaporation time series are represented by 722 the blue lines. 723 724 It was observed that the operation of the destratification system in pulses caused 725 reduction in evaporation rates, particularly immediately after the operation and in months 726 of high evaporative demands. In general, the reductions were sustained from November Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 30 727 until mid-February in the scenario with fortnightly pulses, but the total reduction was only 728 2.3% in comparison with the baseline scenario. In the scenario with monthly pulses, the 729 reductions were sustained for about two weeks after the pulse, reaching the same 730 evaporation rates as the baseline rates after this time. The total reduction was also 2.3%. 731 Neither way is likely to justify the adoption of these operation strategies. 732 733 3.5.6. Evaporation under the use of a destratification system operating in November and 734 January, and in December and February 735 Fo A final operation strategy was tested, with the destratification system in operation rP 736 only in months when the evaporative demands were high. The first option was with the 737 destratification system operating in November and January. The second option was with the 738 destratification system operating in December and February. For both options, the number 739 of ports was 40, and the air-flow rate per port was 0.001 m3 s-1. The results are presented in 740 Figure 16. ev rR 741 ee 742 Figure 16. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a 743 destratification system operating in November and January (a), and in December and 744 February (b) – red lines. The baseline evaporation time series are represented by the 745 blue lines. iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 30 of 51 746 747 Reductions in evaporation occurred in both cases, being 2.2% for the first case 748 (destratification system operated in November and January), and 2.3% for the second case 749 (destratification system operated in December and February). The reductions were more 750 significant in the first month of operation (i.e. in November for the first case, and in 751 December for the second case). The reductions were not significant in the second month of 752 operation (i.e. in January for the first case, and in February for the second case). There were Lakes & Reservoirs Page 31 of 51 31 753 slight increases in evaporation after the second month of operation due to the increase in 754 water temperatures brought about by the mixing device. Since only minor reductions were 755 reached with these operation strategies, it was concluded that it would not be worthwhile to 756 use these strategies for evaporation reduction. 757 Table 2 summarises the results of this study, showing the overall evaporation 758 reductions achieved from different destratification operating strategies adopted in the deep- 759 lake scenario. 760 Fo 761 Table 2. Summary of the overall evaporation reductions achieved with the use of 762 various destratification operating strategies. Note: Only the most promising strategies 763 are displayed in the table, and the results are for the deep lake scenario only. 764 765 4. Conclusions rR ee rP 766 The effectiveness of artificial destratification by air-bubble plumes in reducing 767 evaporation from reservoirs was investigated in this study. The following conclusions were 768 drawn: iew 769 ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs • Artificial destratification systems will reduce evaporation rates if employed in 770 reservoirs that experience thermal stratification and have an abundant ‘stock’ of cold 771 water at the bottom. The reduction in evaporation rates can be higher in deeper 772 reservoirs, because these reservoirs can supply larger volumes of colder water for 773 mixing with surface waters; 774 • The reductions in evaporation rates will increase with the increase in number of ports 775 and with the increase in air-flow rate per port of the destratification system. Although 776 this hypothesis requires testing, increasing the number of ports and keeping a low air- Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 32 777 flow rate per port is probably more advantageous than reducing the number of ports 778 and increasing the air-flow rate per port, due to the first option requiring less energy; 779 • There was only a small variation in evaporation reduction depending on the operating 780 strategy of the artificial destratification system. The operating strategy that brought 781 about higher evaporation reductions (2.9%) was the continuous operation system with 782 40 ports and air flow rate per port equal to 1.0 m3 s-1; 783 • While seeming small, water savings from destratification systems may be significant 784 in countries where water is scarce and the production of fresh water is highly 785 expensive. A study to investigate energy requirements and the economic feasibility of 786 the most promising destratification designs and operation strategies (as shown in 787 Table 2) is therefore a recommendation for further research. 5. Acknowledgements ee Funding for this project was provided by the Griffith School of Engineering and rR 789 rP 788 Fo 790 Built Environment (Australia) and the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e 791 Tecnológico – CNPq (Brazil) grant number 203576/2014-4. The authors acknowledge the 792 support from the Griffith Climate Change Response Program (GCCRP), and thank the 793 Centre for Water Research at the University of Western Australia for providing the model 794 DYRESM, and the Urban Water Research Security Alliance for supplying the observed 795 data and measurements. iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 32 of 51 796 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 33 of 51 33 797 6. References 798 Abtew W. (2001). Evaporation estimation for Lake Okeechobee in South Florida. Journal 799 800 of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering, 127(3), 140-147. Anderson M.A., Komor A. & Ikehata, K. (2014). Flow routing with bottom withdrawal to 801 improve water quality in Walnut Canyon Reservoir, California. Lake and Reservoir 802 Management, 30, 131-142. 803 804 805 large water storages. Agricultural Water Management, 95(4), 339-353. Beduhn R. J. (1994). The effects of destratification aeration on five Minnesota lakes. Lake rP 806 Barnes G. T. (2008). The potential for monolayers to reduce the evaporation of water from Fo and Reservoir Management, 9(1), 105-110. 807 Bertone E., Stewart R. A., Zhang H. & O’Halloran K. (2015). Analysis of the mixing 808 processes in the subtropical Advancetown Lake, Australia. Journal of Hydrology, 522, 67- 809 79. 810 Bouwer H. (2000). Integrated water management: emerging issues and challenges. 814 815 816 Agricultural Water Management, 45, 217–228. Brutsaert W. (1982). Evaporation into the Atmosphere. D.Reidel Publishing Company, Dordrecht, Holland. iew 813 ev 812 rR 811 ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Cooley K.R. (1983). Evaporation reduction: summary of long-term tank studies. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage Engineering (ASCE), 109, 89-98. Craig I., Green A., Scobie M. & Schmidt E. (2005). Controlling evaporation loss from 817 water storages. Publication 1000580/1 for the National Centre for Engineering in 818 Agriculture, Toowoomba. 819 Craig I. P. (2006). Comparison of precise water depth measurements on agricultural 820 storages with open water evaporation estimates. Agricultural Water Management, 85(1-2), 821 193-200. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 34 822 CSIRO & BOM (2007). Climate change in Australia. Technical report of CSIRO, Bureau 823 of Meteorology and the Australian Greenhouse Office in partnership with the Australian 824 Climate Change Science Program, Canberra. 148 p. 825 826 827 828 Department of Natural Resources and Mines (2005). Australian synthetic daily Class A pan evaporation. Report for the Managing Climate Variability Program, Brisbane. Fisher H. B., List E. J., Koh R. Y. C., Imberger J. & Brooks N. H. (1979). Mixing in inland and coastal waters. Academic Press, New York. 829 Gallego-Elvira B., Martínez-Alvarez V., Pittaway P., Brink G. & Martín-Gorriz B. (2013). 830 Impact of Micrometeorological Conditions on the Efficiency of Artificial Monolayers in 831 Reducing Evaporation. Water Resources Management, 27(7), 2251-2266. rP 832 Fo Gibson J. J. (2002). Short-term evaporation and water budget comparisons in shallow ee 833 Arctic lakes using non-steady isotope mass balance. Journal of Hydrology, 264(1-4), 242- 834 261. 835 1 - model description. Ecological Modelling, 96, 91-110. Helfer F., Zhang H. & Lemckert C. (2009a). Evaporation reduction by windbreaks: iew 837 Hamilton D. & Schladow S. (1997) Prediction of water quality in lakes and reservoirs. Part ev 836 rR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 34 of 51 838 overview, modelling and efficiency. Technical Report no. 16 for the Urban Water Security 839 Research Alliance, Brisbane. 840 Helfer F., Zhang H. & Lemckert C. (2009b). Enhancing reservoir management through the 841 use of mechanical evaporation reduction techniques. Paper presented at the 2009 Society 842 for Sustainability and Environmental Engineering International Conference, Melbourne. 843 Helfer F., Lemckert C. & Zhang H. (2011a). Assessing the effectiveness of air-bubble 844 plume aeration in reducing evaporation from farm dams in Australia using modelling. In 845 C. A. Brebbia & V. Popov (Eds.), Water Resources Management VI (pp. 485-496): WIT 846 Press, United Kingdom. Lakes & Reservoirs Page 35 of 51 35 847 Helfer F., Zhang H. & Lemckert C. (2011b). Modelling of lake mixing induced by air- 848 bubble plumes and the effects on evaporation. Journal of Hydrology, 406: 182-198. 849 Helfer F., Lemckert C. & Zhang H. (2012a). Impacts of climate change on temperature and 850 evaporation from a large reservoir in Australia. Journal of Hydrology, 475, 365-378. 851 Helfer F., Lemckert C. & Zhang H. (2012b). Influence of bubble plumes on evaporation 852 853 from non-stratified waters. Journal of Hydrology, 438, 84-96. Hetherington A. L., Schneider R. L., Rudstam L. G., Gal G., DeGaetano A. T. & Walter M. 854 T. (2015). Modeling climate change impacts on the thermal dynamics of polymictic 855 Oneida Lake, New York, United States. Ecological Modelling, 300, 1-11. rP Fo 856 Hipsey M. (2006). Numerical Investigation into the Significance of Night Time Evaporation 857 from Irrigation Farm Dams across Australia. Final Report UWA45. Report prepared for 858 the Land & Water Australia, Centre for Water Research, The University of Western 859 Australia. 860 Imberger J., Patterson J.C., Hebbert B. & Loh I. (1978) Dynamics of reservoir of medium ev size. Journal of the Hydraulics Division (ASCE), 104, 725-743. Imberger J. & Patterson J.C. (1981). A dynamic reservoir simulation model - DYRESM. In iew 862 rR 861 ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 863 Fischer H.B. (Ed.) Transport Models for Inland and Coastal Waters. New York, 864 Academic Press. 865 866 867 868 869 870 Imerito A. (2010a). Dynamic Reservoir Simulation Model DYRESM v4: v4.0 Science Manual. Centre for Water Research University of Western Australia, Perth. Imerito A. (2010b). Dynamic Reservoir Simulation Model DYRESM v4: v4.0 User Guide. Centre for Water Research University of Western Australia, Perth. Imteaz M.A. & Asaeda T. (2000). Artificial Mixing of Lake Water by Bubble Plume and Effects of Bubbling Operations on Algal Bloom. Water Research, 34, 1919-1929. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 36 871 872 873 874 875 876 877 878 879 881 lake and inter-algal competitions. Water Science & Technology, 60(10), 2599-2611. Johnson P.L. (1984). Thoughts on selection and design of reservoir aeration devices. Lake and Reservoir Management, 1, 537–541. Koberg G.E. & Ford M.E. (1965). Elimination of thermal stratification in reservoirs and resulting benefits. Geol. Surv. Water Supply Pap. 1809-M, Washington DC. Lehman J.T. (2014). Understanding the role of induced mixing for management of nuisance algal blooms in an urbanized reservoir. Lake and Reservoir Management, 30, 63-71. Lemckert C. J. & Imberger J. (1993). Energetic bubble plumes in arbitrary stratification. rP 880 Imteaz M.A., Shanableh, A. & Asaeda, T. (2009). Modelling multi-species algal bloom in a Fo Journal of Hydraulic Engineering (ASCE), 119(6), 680-703. Lewis D. M., Antenucci J. P., Brookes J. D. & Lambert M. F. (2001). Numerical ee 882 Simulation of Surface Mixers Used for Destratification of Reservoirs. Paper presented at 883 the MODSIM 2001 International Congress on Modelling and Simulation, Perth, 884 December 10-13, p. 311-316. List J. (1982). Turbulent jets and plumes. Annual Review of Fluid Mechanics, 189, 189212. iew 886 ev 885 rR 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 36 of 51 887 Maestre-Valero J. F., Martínez-Granados D., Martínez-Alvarez V. & Calatrava J. (2013). 888 Socio-Economic Impact of Evaporation Losses from Reservoirs Under Past, Current and 889 Future Water Availability Scenarios in the Semi-Arid Segura Basin. Water Resources 890 Management, 27(5), 1411-1426. 891 Martínez Alvarez V., González-Real M. M., Baille A., Maestre Valero J. F. & Gallego 892 Elvira B. (2008). Regional assessment of evaporation from agricultural irrigation 893 reservoirs in a semiarid climate. Agricultural Water Management, 95, 1056-1066. Lakes & Reservoirs Page 37 of 51 37 894 Martinez Alvarez V., Leyva J. C., Maestre Valero J. F. & Gorriz B. M. (2009). Economic 895 assessment of shade-cloth covers for agricultural irrigation reservoirs in a semi-arid 896 climate. Agricultural Water Management, 96, 1351-1359. 897 898 899 900 901 McDougall T.J. (1978). Bubble Plumes in Stratified Environments. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, 85, 655-672. McGloin R., McGowan H., McJannet D. & Burn S. (2014). Modelling sub-daily latent heat fluxes from a small reservoir. Journal of Hydrology, 519, 2301-2311. McGloin R., McGowan H. & McJannet D. (2015). Effects of diurnal, intra-seasonal and Fo 902 seasonal climate variability on the energy balance of a small subtropical reservoir. 903 International Journal of Climatology, 35, 2308-2325. 904 rP McJannet D. L., Cook F. J. & Burn S. (2013a). Comparison of techniques for estimating ee 905 evaporation from an irrigation water storage. Water Resources Research, 49, 1415-1428. 906 McJannet D., Cook F., McGloin R., McGowan H., Burn S. & Sherman B. (2013b). Long- rR 907 term energy flux measurements over an irrigation water storage using scintillometry. 908 Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 168, 93-107. 910 911 Milgram J.H. (1983). Mean Flow in Round Bubble Plume. Journal of Fluid Mechanics, iew 909 ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 133, 345-376. Moshfeghi H., Etemad-Shahidi A. & Imberger J. (2005). Modelling of bubble plume 912 destratification using DYRESM. Journal of Water Supply, Research and Technology- 913 AQUA, 54, 37-46. 914 Oliver R. L., Hart B. T., Olley J., Grace M., Rees C. & Caitcheon G. (2000). The Darling 915 River: Algal Growth and the Cycling and Sources of Nutrients, Murray Darling Basin 916 Commission, Project M386, Final Report. 917 918 Patterson J.C. & Imberger J. (1989). Simulation of bubble plume destratification systems in reservoirs. Aquatic Science, 51, 3-18. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs 38 919 Perroud M., Goyette S., Martynov A., Beniston M. & Anneville O. (2009). Simulation of 920 multiannual thermal profiles in deep Lake Geneva: a comparison of one-dimensional lake 921 models. Limnology and Oceanography, 54, 1574–1594. 922 923 924 Shiati K. (1991). A regional approach to salinity management in river basins. A case study in southern Iran. Agricultural Water Management, 19(1), 27-41. Weinberger S. & Vetter M. (2012). Using the hydrodynamic model DYRESM based on 925 results of a regional climate model to estimate water temperature changes at Lake 926 Ammersee. Ecological Modelling, 244, 38-48. Fo 927 Yao X., Zhang H., Lemckert C., Brook A. & Schouten P. (2010). Evaporation reduction by 928 suspended and floating covers: overview, modelling and efficiency. Technical Report no. 929 28 for the Urban Water Security Research Alliance, Brisbane. iew ev rR ee 930 rP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 38 of 51 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 39 of 51 rR ee rP Fo Figure 1. Aerial view of the agricultural reservoir investigated in the current study (from Google Earth) and its location in Australia. Location of centre of reservoir: 27o34’26’’S, 152o20’27’’E. Surface area: 17 hectares (170,000 m2). iew ev 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs Incident solar radiation W m -2 400 200 0 Air temperature 30 o C 25 20 15 Wind speed m s -1 6 4 2 Fo 0 3 2 kPa Vapour pressure deficit rP 1 ee 0 Daily rain mm 40 20 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 ev rR 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 40 of 51 Figure 2. Average daily shortwave solar radiation, air temperature, wind speed, vapour pressure deficit and total daily rainfall at Logan’s Dam throughout the study period. For reference, in Australia, the spring months are September, October and November; summer months are December, January and February; autumn months are March, April and May; and winter months are June, July and August. Lakes & Reservoirs Page 41 of 51 Measured water temperatures b) Depth (m) Depth (m) a) 25 Modelled water temperatures 28 23 28 25 28 Figure 3. Isotherms for Logan’s Dam during the calibration period (29/09/2009 to 06/01/2010). This period covers the spring months of October and November, and the summer month of December and part of January. a) Measured data. b) Modelled data using DYRESM. rP Fo 28 24 16 16 ev 20 y = 0.99x + 0.19 R2 = 0.96 RMSE = 0.57oC rR Simulated Water Temperature (oC) 32 ee 20 24 28 Measured Water Temperature (oC) 32 iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Figure 4. Relationship between daily averages of measured (x-axis) and modelled (y-axis) surface water temperatures for the calibration period. The solid line indicates the regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs a) Measured water temperatures b) Modelled water temperatures Depth (m) 24 28 29 25 3 29 0 29 Depth (m) 29 26 25 Figure 5. Isotherms for Logan’s Dam during the validation period (07/01/2010 to 11/04/2010). This period covers the summer months of January and February, and the autumn month of March and part of April. a) Measured data. b) Modelled data using DYRESM. rP Fo 28 24 20 ev 16 16 y = 1.02x + -0.44 R2 = 0.97 RMSE = 0.40oC rR Simulated Water Temperature (oC) 32 ee 20 24 28 Measured Water Temperature (oC) 32 iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 42 of 51 Figure 6. Relationship between daily averages of measured (x-axis) and modelled (y-axis) surface water temperatures for the validation period. The solid line indicates the regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. Lakes & Reservoirs 10 y = 0.80x + 1.03 R2 = 0.72 RMSE = 0.38 mm/day 8 6 4 4 6 8 10 Evaporation Rates from Water Balance (mm/day) Figure 7. Relationship between daily evaporation rates estimated using the water balance method (x-axis) and DYRESM (y-axis). The solid line indicates the regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 Fo line. Only periods without inflows and outflows were considered to minimise errors. 12 10 8 6 2 ev 0 0 y = 1.16x + -0.52 R2 = 0.85 RMSE = 0.57 mm/day rR 4 ee Evaporation Rates from DYRESM (mm/day) rP 2 4 6 8 10 Evaporation Rates from EC Model (mm/day) 12 Figure 8. Relationship between daily evaporation rates estimated using the eddy covariance model (x-axis) iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Evaporation Rates from DYRESM (mm/day) Page 43 of 51 and DYRESM (y-axis). The solid line indicates the regression equation, and the dashed line represents the 1:1 line. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs o o o b) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 6.5 m. Weakest artificial destratification condition c) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 6.5 m. Strongest artificial destratification condition 6 6 30 5 5 5 28 4 3 Depth (m) 6 Depth (m) Depth (m) a) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 6.5 m. Baseline simulation (without artificial destratification) 4 3 26 4 24 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 22 20 18 01-Oct-2009 04-Dec-2009 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 o d) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 11.5 m. Baseline simulation (without artificial destratification) 01-Oct-2009 04-Dec-2009 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 01-Oct-2009 o 04-Dec-2009 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 o e) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 11.5 m. Weakest artificial destratification condition f) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 11.5 m. Strongest artificial destratification condition 10 10 10 8 8 8 30 6 4 2 Depth (m) Depth (m) Depth (m) 28 6 4 2 26 6 24 4 22 20 2 18 01-Oct-2009 04-Dec-2009 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 01-Oct-2009 Fo o g) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 16.5 m. Baseline simulation (without artificial destratification) 16 14 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 01-Oct-2009 o 16 16 14 14 6 10 8 6 4 2 2 01-Oct-2009 04-Dec-2009 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 ee 4 01-Oct-2009 04-Dec-2009 11-Apr-2010 30 28 12 Depth (m) 8 06-Feb-2010 i) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 16.5 m. Strongest artificial destratification condition 12 10 04-Dec-2009 o h) Water temperature ( C) for initial water depth = 16.5 m. Weakest artificial destratification condition Depth (m) 12 Depth (m) 04-Dec-2009 rP 26 10 8 24 6 22 4 20 2 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 01-Oct-2009 18 04-Dec-2009 06-Feb-2010 11-Apr-2010 rR Figure 9. Modelled water temperatures under normal conditions (without artificial destratification) and under “weak” and “strong” artificial destratification conditions for a shallow (a—c), medium (d—f) and deep (g— ev i) lakes throughout the study period (29/09/2009 to 11/04/2010). In the “weak destratification” simulations, the number of ports was 1, and the air-flow rate per port was 0.001 m3 s-1 (continuous operation). In the iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 44 of 51 “strong destratification” simulations, the number of ports was 40 and the air-flow rate per port was 1.0 m3 s-1 (continuous operation). For reference, in Australia, September, October and November are spring months; December, January and February are summer months; and March and April are autumn months. Lakes & Reservoirs Page 45 of 51 Evaporation (mm day-1) 12 Shallow Medium Deep 10 8 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 Figure 10. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the shallow, medium and deep lakes throughout the study period (29/09/2009 to 11/04/2010). Baseline values (without artificial destratification). iew ev rR ee rP Fo 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs a) Total evaporation (mm) – Medium lake 10 0 b) 890 Total evaporation (mm) – Deep lake 10 0 890 885 Air-flow rate (m s ) -1 880 10 875 -2 10 -1 3 10 3 -1 Air-flow rate (m s ) 885 -1 880 10 875 -2 870 10 c) -3 10 20 30 Number of ports 40 870 10 865 -3 10 20 30 Number of ports 40 865 Evaporation as a function of number of ports for various air-flow rates and two reservoir depths 900 Fo Air-flow rate = 0.001 m3/s per port Air-flow rate = 1.0 m3/s per port 890 Medium lake curves 885 880 875 870 10 Deep lake curves rR 865 0 ee Total evaporation (mm) 895 rP 20 Number of ports 30 40 ev Figure 11. Total evaporation as a function of the number of destratification ports and air-flow rate per port for the medium and deep lake scenarios. In Figure (c), the blue lines represent the total evaporation as a iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 46 of 51 function of the number of ports, with a fixed air-flow rate per port equal to 0.001 m3 s-1 (the lowest air-flow rate per port simulated in this study). The red lines represent the total evaporation as a function of the number of ports, with a fixed air-flow rate per port equal to 1.0 m3 s-1 (the highest air-flow rate per port simulated in this study). The total evaporation as a function of the number of ports for air-flow rates per port between 0.001 m3 s-1 and 1.0 m3 s-1 would fall between the curves shown in the graph, although omitted in the figure. The baseline evaporation (without artificial destratification) for both lakes was 894 mm and is represented in the graph when the number of ports = 0. Lakes & Reservoirs Page 47 of 51 a) Destratification system in continuous operation over 195 days - Medium Lake 12 Weakest destratification condition (1 port, 0.001 m3s -1 per port). Total = 891 mm (-0.2%) 10 Strongest destratification condition (40 ports, 1.0 m3s -1 per port. Total = 888 mm (-0.5%) No destratification (baseline simulation). Total = 894 mm mm day -1 8 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 b) Destratification system in continuous operation over 195 days - Deep Lake 12 Weakest destratification condition (1 port, 0.001 m3s -1 per port). Total = 878 mm (-1.8%) 10 Strongest destratification condition (40 ports, 1.0 m3s -1 per port. Total = 868 mm (-2.9%) No destratification (baseline simulation). Total = 894 mm mm day-1 8 Fo 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 ee rP 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 Figure 12. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the medium (a) and deep (b) lakes under continuous rR (uninterrupted) “weak destratification” conditions (1 port and per-port air-flow rate = 0.001 m3 s-1) – green lines; “strong destratification” condition (40 ports and per-port air-flow rate = 1.0 m3 s-1) – red lines; and ev under baseline conditions (without destratification) – blue lines. iew 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs a) Destratification system in operation in October 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 881 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day -1 10 8 Change = -1.5% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 b) Destratification system in operation in November 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 875 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day -1 10 8 Change = -2.2% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 c) Destratification system in operation in December 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 874 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day-1 10 Fo 8 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 Change = -2.2% rP 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 d) Destratification system in operation in January 12 ee mm day-1 10 8 6 4 2 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 Change = -2.3% 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 ev 0 01-Oct-2009 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 874 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm rR 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 e) Destratification system in operation in February 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 875 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day -1 10 iew 8 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 Change = -2.2% 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 f) Destratification system in operation in March 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 876 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm 10 mm day -1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 48 of 51 8 Change = -2.1% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 Figure 13. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a destratification system in continuous operation for 30 days in October (a), November (b), December (c), January (d), February (e) and March (f) – red lines. The baseline evaporation time series are represented by the blue lines. Lakes & Reservoirs Page 49 of 51 a) Destratification system operated in monthly cycles 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 871 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day -1 10 8 Change = -2.6% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 b) Destratification system operated in weekly cycle 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 873 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day-1 10 8 Change = -2.4% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 Figure 14. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a destratification system Fo operating in monthly (a) and weekly (b) cycles – red lines. The baseline evaporation time series are rP represented by the blue lines. ee a) Destratification system operated in fortnightly pulses 12 mm day -1 10 8 6 4 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 Change = -2.3% ev 2 0 01-Oct-2009 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 873 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm rR 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 iew 11-Apr-2010 b) Destratification system operated in monthly pulses 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 873 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm 10 mm day-1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs 8 6 Change = -2.3% 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 Figure 15. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a destratification system operating in pulses: (a) higher frequency (fortnightly) and lower intensity (0.01 m3 s-1) pulse; (b) lower frequency (monthly) and higher intensity (0.05 m3 s-1) pulse – red lines. The baseline evaporation time series are represented by the blue lines. Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs a) Destratification system operated in November and January 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 874 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day -1 10 8 Change = -2.2% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 b) Destratification system operated in December and February 12 Evaporation with destratification. Total = 874 mm Evaporation without destratification. Total = 894 mm mm day-1 10 8 Change = -2.3% 6 4 2 0 01-Oct-2009 02-Nov-2009 04-Dec-2009 05-Jan-2010 06-Feb-2010 10-Mar-2010 11-Apr-2010 Figure 16. Modelled daily evaporation rates from the deep lake with the use of a destratification system Fo operating in November and January (a), and in December and February (b) – red lines. The baseline rP evaporation time series are represented by the blue lines. iew ev rR ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Page 50 of 51 Lakes & Reservoirs Page 51 of 51 Table 1. Summary of the simulations with the artificial destratification system operating continuously over the period of study. Simulation name1 Initial water depth (m) Initial water temperature Number of ports Air-flow rate per port (m3 s-1) SHAL_N_AFR DEEP_N_AFR MEDI_N_AFR 6.5 11.5 16.5 17.8oC throughout column 17.8oC throughout column 17.8oC throughout column 1, 5, 10, 20, 40 1, 5, 10, 20, 40 1, 5, 10, 20, 40 0 (baseline), 0.001, 0.01, 0.05, 0 (baseline), 0.001, 0.01, 0.05, 0 (baseline), 0.001, 0.01, 0.05, 0.25, 1.0 0.25, 1.0 0.25, 1.0 Continuous operation for over Continuous operation for over Continuous operation for over Operation strategy of the the period of simulation (195 the period of simulation (195 the period of simulation (195 destratification system days) days) days) 1 In the simulation name, N refers to the number of ports and AFR to the air-flow rate per port. For example, the simulation SHAL_10_005 refers to the shallow lake scenario, with a 10-port destratification system and air-flow rate per port equal to 0.05 m3 s-1. The baseline simulations (without the use of destratification) are represented by the simulations with air-flow rate = 0. Table 2. Summary of the overall evaporation reductions achieved with the use of various destratification Fo operating strategies. Note: Only the most promising strategies are displayed in the table, and the results are for the deep lake scenario only. Operation strategy rP 195-day continuous operation, 1 port, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port 195-day continuous operation, 1 port, 1.0 m3 s-1 per port 195-day continuous operation, 40 ports, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port 195-day continuous operation, 40 ports, 1.0 m3 s-1 per port 30-day continuous operation in January (summer), 40 ports, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port 30-day continuous operations followed by 30 days interruptions, 40 ports, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port 7-day continuous operations followed by 7-day interruptions, 40 ports, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port Fortnightly destratification pulses of 1-day duration, 40 ports, 0.01 m3 s-1 per port Monthly destratification pulses of 1-day duration, 40 ports, 0.05 m3 s-1 per port Continuous operation in November and January, 40 ports, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port Continuous operation in December and February, 40 ports, 0.001 m3 s-1 per port Overall evaporation reduction (deep lake case) 2.2% 2.5% Section in which operation strategy is discussed 3.5.2 3.5.2 2.7% 3.5.2 2.9% 3.5.2 2.3% 3.5.3 2.6% 2.4% 3.5.4 3.5.4 2.3% 3.5.5 2.3% 3.5.5 2.2% 3.5.6 2.3% 3.5.6 iew ev rR ee 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 Lakes & Reservoirs Lakes & Reservoirs