Letter from Kirk Covered calls are the proverbial “bridge” which many traditional stock investors cross into the world of options trading. The gateway or door to a new paradigm of investing that, when used correctly, offers higher returns and less risk. Yet, most investors are scared away before they even take the rst step We are taught by traditional media, schooling, and decades of conditioning that the only way to invest and build wealth is via stocks. That you cannot beat the market so why try? But, what if that wasn’t actually true? Wouldn’t you have a moral obligation to change the way you invest if we proved that you could beat the market? We think so The goal of is this book is to help educate you on how options trading, in particular covered calls, can help transform the way you build wealth and invest your hard-earned money. You see, options trading isn’t new; it just might be new to you. All you need is someone to hold your hand and help you walk across the bridge . fi . . There’s a completely new world waiting for you and I’d love to be your guide as you start, or continue, this journey. Let’s get started… Reproduction and distribution of this report, in any form, partial or full, of its content herein via, including but not limited to email, social media, download, hard-copy, screenshot, image, etc. is strictly prohibited without advanced and express written consent by Option Alpha LLC. Any individual, company, and/or entity found in breach of this agreement will be subject to all legal remedies available at law, including litigation. Option Alpha™ is the copyright and trademark holder of all branded properties for Option Alpha, LLC and Alta5 Inc., and Kirk N. Du Plessis. Neither the Option Alpha, LLC and Alta5, Inc., Kirk N. Du Plessis, or any of its af liates, owners, managers, employees, shareholders, of cers, directors, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors (herein referred to as the “Company”) is, in such capacities, a licensed nancial advisor, registered investment advisor, registered broker-dealer or FINRA | SIPC | NFA-member rm. Examples presented on Company’s website including video tutorials, indicators, strategies, columns, articles, emails, reports, downloads, and all other content of Company’s products (collectively, the “Information”) are provided for informational and educational purposes only. Such set-ups are not solicitations of any kind or order to buy or sell a nancial security and should not be construed as investment advice under any circumstances. The Company will not be held liable for losses resulting from information or advice presented in this information (or from a third party); the use of such information is entirely at the risk of the user. The Company assumes no responsibility or liability for your trading and investment results whatsoever under any circumstances. The sole and exclusive maximum liability to the Company for any damages or losses shall solely be dissatisfaction to the user. The risk of loss in trading securities, options, stocks, futures and forex can be substantial. Securities involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Consider all relevant risk factors, including your personal nancial situation, before trading. Past results of any individual or trading system published by the Company are not indicative of future returns. It should not be assumed that the methods, techniques, or indicators presented in these products and services will be pro table or that they will not result in losses. Backtesting provides a hypothetical calculation of how a security or portfolio of securities, subject to a trading strategy, would have performed over a historical time period. You should not assume that backtesting of a trading strategy will provide any indication of how your portfolio of securities, or a new portfolio of securities, might perform over time. You should choose your own trading strategies based on your particular objectives and risk tolerances. Be sure to review your decisions periodically to make sure they are still consistent with your goals. 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SOME JURISDICTIONS DO NOT ALLOW THE EXCLUSION OF CERTAIN WARRANTIES OR THE LIMITATION OR EXCLUSION OF LIABILITY FOR INCIDENTAL OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES. ACCORDINGLY, SOME OF THE ABOVE LIMITATIONS MAY NOT APPLY TO YOU. Table of Contents 1) Options Basics 5 2) Covered Calls 20 3) Strategy Setup 29 4) Position Management 43 5) Synthetic Strategies 52 Chapter One Options Basics Whether you're an experienced options trader or a newbie, it's easy to jump into this guide with both feet and dig right into the covered call strategy If you're the latter, let's rst make sure you have a little background info on options trading jargon, or you might quickly get confused. As such, we thought it would be good to go over a bunch of essential "options basics" together, including options speci c terminology. If you're already an experienced investor and familiar with options, feel free to skip right ahead to Chapter 2. If not, then you'll enjoy the newfound jargon, which is unique to options trading NOTE: We'll often refer to the stock shares as the underlying stock or underlying shares. The term "underlying" is speci c to the world of options trading. It references the stock shares that serve as the base, or basis, for the options contract, which is created on top of the shares. Since options contracts derive their value from the stock shares, we use the word "underlying" to describe the logical hierarchy of the option contract. The option contract is built on top of the stock; therefore, the stock shares are underlying to the option contract Expiration Date Options Contract Options expiration is the date when the option contract for the underlying stock expires or is terminated. It's the point at which the option buyer ultimately has to decide to convert, or what is commonly referred to as "exercise," their option contract into shares of stock. Most optionable stocks have a wide variety of expiration dates. These include weekly expirations, monthly expirations, and quarterly expirations An options contract is simply an agreement between two parties for the sale or purchase of an underlying stock at a pre-determined price in the future. Each option trade requires an option seller and an option buyer. Typically, one option contract controls or leverages 100 shares of the underlying For example, you might enter into a contract that expires in 30 days or 90 days from today. As the name suggests, the expiration date for options contracts can vary in the future so that both option buyers and sellers can appropriately match their desired timeline and exposure. As a general rule, the In either case, it's always good to go through the basics and make sure you understand the foundational elements before moving forward. So, try not to skip this section. Please take the time now to develop, or refresh, your basic options trading knowledge . fi . . fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . . Chapter One fi stock. Option contracts include four additional elements; an expiration date, strike price, option premiums, and are classi ed as either calls or puts 6 of 65 further out in time the expiration date is, the more valuable the option contract compared to a shorter expiration date contracts Strike Price In any option contract, the two parties (option buyer and the option seller) need to agree on the price at which they are mutually comfortable, either buying or selling stock in the future. This future price is called the strike price. It is called this because it is the price at which they "strike a deal" on agreeing to exchange underlying shares regardless of the market value of the shares at the time of expiration. The strike price can vary greatly and range in prices below or above the current underlying stock price For example, let's assume that shares of stock for a company are trading at $95 per share. You could trade an option contract with a strike price of $105, effectively $10 above the current market price, or with a strike price of $80, effectively $15 below the current market price. Strikes prices can have increments as low as $0.50 to as wide as $50 Option Premiums As you might expect, there's no free lunch when trading options and all option contracts require a premium to be paid by the option buyer to the option seller to complete the transaction. The buyer always pays the premium, and the seller always receives it no matter what type of option you For example, you might see an option contract price quoted as $1.45 on your broker platform. This means that the contract's value is $1.45 for each share, and since the standard contract multiplier is for one contract is to leverage or control 100 shares, the actual real value of the contract in total dollars is $145. Likewise, an option contract quoted at $0.37 is worth $37 total dollars and an option contract quoted at $4.78 is worth $478 total dollars. Option premiums change frequently and are determined by two main factors; intrinsic value and extrinsic value, which we'll cover in more detail in an upcoming section Call & Put Options There are only two classi cations, or types, of options contracts; call options and put options. Since you can choose to be either an option buyer or seller of calls and puts, we want to rst walk through the rights and obligations of each scenario. As a general rule, buyers of options have rights, and sellers have obligations. Keep this quick rule in mind as we move forward Call options give the option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to purchase the stock at the strike price at expiration. And because the choice to buy stock, or not, in . . fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . fi . Chapter One are trading, whether call options or put options, which are discussed next. Option prices are quoted in dollars per share for simplicity, but more often, this creates a little confusion for traders 7 of 65 the future is valuable, call option buyers pay an option premium in exchange for this right to choose. Alternatively, the premium paid by the option buyer goes to the call option seller, which now has an obligation to sell the stock at the strike price at expiration, or before, if the option buyer exercises or enforces their contract Put options give the option buyer the right, but not the obligation, to sell the stock at the strike price at expiration. Just like call options, this choice to sell the stock, or not, in the future is valuable. Therefore, put option buyers pay an option premium in exchange for this right to choose. The premium paid by the option buyer goes to the put option seller, which now has an obligation to buy the stock at the strike price at expiration, or before, if the option buyer exercises or enforces their contract Exercise & Assignment Now that we've covered the four main elements of an options contract lets quickly discuss the logistics of how exercise and assignment work. Exercise and assignment are the processes by which options contracts are converted to underlying shares. Oddly enough, it's effectively the same transaction happening but commonly called two different names depending on which side of the contract you are on initially; buyer or seller The question you should be asking at this point is, "When would an option buyer exercise their contract?" The option buyer would only choose to exercise their contract and buy/ sell shares at the strike price if it's nancially pro table for them to do so before or at expiration. Again, pretty simple when you think about it logically If exercising their contract would create a larger loss than the value of the option premium paid to enter into the agreement, then the option buyer would simply let their contract expire worthless. In this case, the option seller would keep the entire premium collected at the beginning of the transaction as a pro t Option Contract Examples Alright, we've hit you over the head with enough terminology and de nitions for now. If things are getting a little fuzzy and blurred, we're going to bring all of these concepts together with a few examples. In each example, we'll highlight the option contract details and walk through the speci cs of what fi fi . . fi . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . fi fi Chapter One As a reminder from a couple paragraphs back, option buyers have the right, but not the obligation, to exercise (convert) the option contract into underlying stock. Therefore, the option buyer is always the one who could exercise their contract, and the option seller is always the one who gets assigned an options contract. It's as simple as that. Buyers exercise, sellers are assigned 8 of 65 might happen at expiration for different stock price scenarios. Let’s dive in math analysis shows that it would be nancially unwise to do so Example #1: Call Option If you were to exercise your call option, you would purchase the stock at $57 per share (strike price) when it's only worth $43 per share in the open market. Not a smart investment, so your best choice is to simply let the option contract expire and lose the $3 premium you paid to the option seller. Losing $3 is better than losing $17 per share, the $3 premium paid to the option seller plus the negative value of $14 from potentially buying shares at $57 when they are only worth $43 Here's the setup for this option contract: 1. Underlying stock is trading at $50 per share 2. You purchase a call option contract 3. The expiration date is 60 days from today 4. The strike price for your option contract is $57 5. You pay an option premium of $3 As a call option buyer, you now have the right, but not the obligation to purchase the stock for $57 per share anytime in the next 60 days. After 60 days, your contract expires, and you no longer have this right. The call option seller, on the other side of the trade from you, has an obligation to sell shares to you at $57 if you choose to exercise your contract. Let's walk through a couple of different expiration scenarios together. Remember that as the option buyer, you’re in control of the choice to exercise the contract or not Call Scenario 1: Stock closes @ $43 per shar At expiration, it seems the stock moved lower from $50 to $43. In this scenario, the best decision would be not to exercise your call option contract. Why? Well, some simple Call Scenario 2: Stock closes @ $57 per shar The stock rose dramatically in value, and right to your strike price of $57, which is what you might have expected as a call option buyer. Kudos to you for picking the right direction. But, unfortunately, the stock didn't move far enough as you would also not exercise your call option contract in this scenario and simply let it expire worthless. "But wait, Kirk, the stock moved exactly where I wanted right?" Yes and no . . . e e . . . fi . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi . . . Chapter One It should be noticeable at this point that call option buyers want the stock to rise signi cantly in value in the future. But how far does the stock need to rise to make it worth it for the call option buyer to convert the option and exercise the contract? Let's look at another scenario 9 of 65 Recall that you paid an option premium of $3 to the call option seller to enter into this option trade. This option premium is a cost of doing business and cannot be swept under the rug. We need to account for it somewhere. So, what we do in a call option scenario is add the option premium to the strike price of the contract to get your effective “all-in-cost" of stock ownership. In our working example, this break-even or “all-in-cost" is $60 per share; the $57 strike price plus $3 option premium paid With the stock trading at $57, there's no nancial bene t to exercising the contract as you could just as easily purchase shares in the open market for the same price. Therefore, your best decision is again just to let the call option expire worthless. The option seller would still keep the entire $3 premium as pro t at expiration In this scenario, we've learned a vital new piece of information. That the actual expected price for the stock or break-even point, to make it pro table overall for the call option buyer, needs to be at a price per share that is above the strike price plus the value of the option premium paid As you might expect having coming this far in the scenarios, purchasing call options requires both a signi cant move in the underlying stock and in the right direction to be pro table. Both of which are hard to predict or estimate consistently for the option buyer. What about put options though Example #2: Put Option Here's the setup for this option contract: Congratulations, the stock made a huge move, much higher and well above your call option break-even point of $60 we just calculated in the last scenario. At expiration, the best decision would now be to exercise your call option contact. 1. Underlying stock is trading at $50 per share 2. You purchase a put option contract 3. The expiration date is 30 days from today . fi fi . e ? . . fi . fi . fi fi . fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi . Even after paying the $3 premium to the call option seller 60 days ago and purchasing the stock at the strike price of $57, you could sell the shares immediately in the open market for $65 per share resulting in a $5 pro t per share overall. The call option seller, in this case, would be obligated to purchase shares in the open market for $65, if they didn't own them already, and sell them back to you at $57 (strike price) for an $8 net loss per share on the stock. Don’t forget however, they collected an upfront premium of $3 from you, the option buyer, which reduces their overall net loss to just $5 per share Call Scenario 3: Stock closes @ $65 per shar Chapter One fi As always, the math works, or it doesn't, and in this scenario, it is nancially pro table to exercise your call option 10 of 65 4. The strike price for your option contract is $45 successfully, your pro t is the difference between where you sold shares and where you purchased shares 5. You pay an option premium to the seller of $2 As a put option buyer this time, you now have the right, but not the obligation to sell the stock for $45 per share anytime in the next 30 days. After 30 days, your contract expires, and you no longer have this right. The put option seller has an obligation to buy shares from you at $45 if you choose to exercise your contract But why would you want to sell the stock when you don't even own it in the rst place? What nancial bene t is there in this type of trade for you? The concept seems counterintuitive, but it's not. You see, most investors are used to a single avenue for generating pro ts. They buy the stock at a low price and look to sell back the stock later on at a higher price. Buy low, sell high Few investors realize, however, that you can use these same buy and sell orders just in reverse to pro t from a stock moving lower. When you reverse the order of buying and selling, its called "shorting a stock," and you pro t from a decline in the underlying share price. Sell high, buy low It works like this. You borrow stock from your broker to sell to someone else in the open market. You're betting on the stock moving lower and hope to purchase shares at a lower price later on to ful ll the trading loop and deliver the shares back to the broker that you borrowed. When you do this The stock went up before expiration, but now that you are a put option buyer, this is terrible news for you. At expiration you would choose not to exercise your put option contract. Why? Well, if you were to exercise your put option, you would sell shares of stock at $45, the strike price, but would have to buy shares at the prevailing market price of $52 to complete the trading loop If in this scenario, we are selling shares at $45 and being forced to buy them in the open market at $52, it's not a smart investment decision. Your best choice is to simply let the put option contract expire and lose the $2 premium you paid to the option seller. Losing $2 is better than losing $9, the $2 premium paid to the option seller plus the negative value of $7 from potentially buying shares at $52, and selling them for $45 Notice how these put options are starting to behave just like the call option scenarios, only in reverse? Put option buyers want the stock to fall in value in the future, similar to the expectations of someone shorting the stock. I'm sure you can see where this is going based on the prior option examples, but let's walk through some more scenarios just in case it's not 100% clear . fi . . fi e . fi fi fi . . . fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi . Chapter One Put Scenario 1: Stock closes @ $52 per shar 11 of 65 Put Scenario 2: Stock closes @ $45 per shar The stock fell in value, as you might have expected, but still not far enough to reach your break-even point. At $45, there is no nancial bene t exercising your put option contract with the option seller. You could just as quickly buy shares at $45 in the open market and sell them back to the put option seller for $45, which is essentially a wash Recall that you also paid an option premium of $2 to the put option seller. When we subtract this from the strike price, your effective break-even target for the stock is $43, the $45 strike price minus $2 option premium paid. So, the best choice again is to let the put option expire worthless and lose the entire $2 premium paid to the put option seller For put options, we've now learned that in order for you to make money as an option buyer, you need the stock to trade low enough so that selling the stock at $45 creates a net pro t after paying the option premium. This expected price for the stock or break-even point is calculated as the strike price minus the value of the option premium paid, $43 in our example Put Scenario 3: Stock closes @ $40 per shar The stock closed well below your put option break-even point of $43. Things are not looking good for the stock, and it's falling hard, but as a put option buyer, this is excellent news for you. At expiration, you would choose to exercise your put The put option seller, in this scenario, would be obligated to buy shares at the strike price of $45 from you, when they are valued in the open market at $40 per share for a net loss on the shares of $5 per share. However, they collected an upfront premium of $2 from you, the option buyer, which reduces their overall net loss to just $3 As we witnessed with the rst call option example, purchasing put options requires both a signi cant move in the underlying stock and the right direction. It's tough to predict or estimate consistently how far a stock will drop and in what timeframe. There has to be a better way right? There is, and we'll get there soon Reversing Trades We've talked a lot so far about buying and selling shares at expiration with options contracts. However, you should understand that exercise and assignment of physical shares, as described in the pages above, are rare. The reality is that most options contracts are closed well before expiration by merely reversing the initial trade. Doing so doesn't impact the outcomes or change the decisions you make, but rather . e e fi . . fi . fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . fi fi fi Chapter One option. Even after paying the $2 premium to the put option seller and purchasing stock in the open market for $40, you could sell the shares immediately back to the put option seller at the strike price of $45 per share resulting in a $3 pro t per share overall 12 of 65 opens up the possibility to exit or adjust positions before expiration if you deem necessary. For example, let's assume you purchased an options contract, call or put, with 30 days until expiration. You don't have to hold it until expiration unless you choose to do so. You could choose to quickly reverse your trade and sell the contract to someone else, which closes your position. Likewise, if you sold an option contract to an option buyer, again call or put, you could buy back the contract from someone else and close the position, thereby removing your obligation to deal with the stock at expiration Statistically speaking, at Option Alpha we've only ever had to deal with the assignment of physical stock less than 1% of the time in the last 10+ years of trading options. It's something manageable and won't ever harm you so long as you are controlling your position size. We will explore this topic in more detail during a later chapter, but be aware that it is not an automatic assumption of exercise and assignment, and people worry about it way more than is necessary In the end, we hope that the examples we just went through added a lot more clarity to the relationship between option buyers and sellers and how or when options contracts could increase or lose value at expiration. In the next sections, we'll dig much deeper into the factors and inputs on how option premiums derive their value. The goal is for you to understand how different market environments or situations impact an option contract's premium or price Earlier in the description of option premiums, we mentioned that there are two main factors by which we determine an option's value. These are broadly categorized as intrinsic value and extrinsic value. We'll cover each of these in detail in the following section Intrinsic value is the current and immediate value of the option contract for any strike price, which is currently in-themoney (ITM). Said another way; it's the value or pro t should the option buyer exercise their contract immediately. Call options are said to be ITM when the strike price is below the current stock price. Put options are said to be ITM when the strike price is above the current stock price For example, if a stock is currently trading at $100 per share, a call option with a strike price of $99 would have $1 of intrinsic value. If the call option were exercised right away, the option buyer would be able to purchase shares at $99 and sell them in the open market for $100. Likewise, a call option with a strike price of $95 would have $5 of intrinsic value On the put option side, the concept is the same, just in reverse. A put option with a strike price of $101 would have $1 of intrinsic value as the put buyer could sell shares at $101 and repurchase them in the open market for $100. Likewise, a put option with a strike price of $105 would have $5 of intrinsic value. Simple enough, right? Great . fi ! . . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . Chapter One Intrinsic Value 13 of 65 future time value of the contract based on the days remaining from now until expiration and the implied, or expected, volatility in the stock. We'll cover each one of these time and volatility components individually in the paragraphs below. For now, however, let's review a high-level options pricing example to reinforce the general concepts of intrinsic vs. extrinsic value components For example, using the same stock currently trading at $100 per share from above, a call option with a strike price of $101 would be considered OTM and have no intrinsic value. The option buyer would never willingly choose to purchase shares at a $101 strike price when they could easily buy shares in the open market for $100 per share. Likewise, on the put side, if a put option buyer owned an OTM contract with a strike price of $99, they would never willingly choose to sell shares at $99 when they would quickly sell shares in the open market for $100 per share Let's assume that our same stock from before is still currently trading at $105 per share. A call option contract with a strike price of $100 and expiration date 30 days from now is quoting an option premium of $6.50 per contract. Can you gure out how much of the value is associated with intrinsic value vs. extrinsic value? Take your time and think about it for a minute It should be clear by now that the intrinsic value portion of an option contract's premium is relatively easy to calculate and understand. The second part of an option contract's premium, extrinsic value, is a little more complicated. Yet, it's one of the most important aspects of option pricing you need to understand Extrinsic Value There's no easy way to dissect this pricing component, so we'll just tackle this head-on. Extrinsic value represents the Recall that an option's price is comprised of both intrinsic and extrinsic value. So to answer our question, its best rst to strip out the intrinsic value which is the easiest to calculate. The remaining portion is then merely the extrinsic value. The intrinsic value of the contract in our example would be $5, as this is the value of the ITM contract if the contract was exercised today. The extrinsic value would be the remaining $1.50 ($6.50 minus the intrinsic value of $5), which is attributed to the value of time and volatility over the next 30 days Now, take the same stock currently trading at $105 per share, and let's now look at a put option contract with a strike price of $93 and expiration date 60 days from now, which is fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . . . Chapter One . fi Now, any strike price that is out-of-the-money (OTM), on the other hand, would never have intrinsic value. Exercising the option contact when OTM would offer no immediate value to the option buyer. Call options are said to be OTM when the strike price is above the current stock price. Put options are said to be OTM when the strike price is below the current stock price 14 of 65 quoting a price of $0.60 per contract. Little harder right? Not really if you slowly walk through it. Here the put option contract has no intrinsic value as the $93 strike price is OTM, and the put option buyer wouldn't pro t from exercising their contract. If no value is associated with intrinsic value, then the remaining amount is purely comprised of extrinsic value attributed to the time and volatility until expiration In the next section, we'll unpack the time and volatility components of extrinsic value as we continue to dive deeper into what impacts an option's price. Then, we'll walk through the Option Greeks, which help us understand how an option's price might change based on various market forces Time Decay The rst sub-component of extrinsic value for an options contract is time decay. All options contracts have a nite time until expiration, which can be a few weeks or up to a few years from the current date. You will often hear traders talking about 30, 60, or 90 days to expiration, and this refers to the amount of time before the contract expires As option contracts, both calls and puts, move nearer to their expiration date, there is less time for them to move into a pro table zone before they potentially expire worthless. Hence, all contracts slowly see their extrinsic value erode through the passage of time as they draw closer to expiration. This erosion in value is called time decay Time decay of an option contract speeds up so quickly that at expiration, all that is left of the contract's value is simply the intrinsic value, if any. This is why time decay is so crucial for options traders because it creates a constant battle between time and price. If the underlying stock price fails to move far enough or fast enough, then the option contract slowly decays under the weight of time decay Implied Volatility The second and most important sub-component of an option contract's extrinsic value is implied volatility. Admittedly, implied volatility is the edge by which option sellers, and covered call writers, as you'll learn, gain a signi cant advantage in the market trading. Implied volatility is the future expectation of how far a stock will move up or down by expiration. Since options have expiration dates in the future and strike prices higher or lower than the current market price for the underlying shares, it's critical that an option's premium factor in the magnitude expectation of the stock's . . fi . . fi . fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi fi Chapter One Time decay for option contracts moves at a progressively faster pace as a contract nears its expiration date. Option contracts further from expiration will be worth more money, all things being equal, compared to contracts closer to their expiration date. These further out contracts will experience minimal impact on their price each day due to the erosion of time decay. The nearer the contract gets to the expiration date, the larger and more signi cant the impact time decay will have on the contract 15 of 65 price moving forward into the future. In the most basic terms, if implied volatility is high, the stock is expected to swing wildly in the future. If implied volatility is low, the stock is expected to swing very little and mostly stay range-bound or move sideways Generally speaking, implied volatility impacts the premium of options contracts the same for both calls and puts. When implied volatility increases, or more simply the expectation of future stock volatility increases, it causes an increase in the value of both calls and puts. When implied volatility decreases, or the expectation of future stock volatility decreases, it causes the value of both calls and puts to go down Using the same example we've referenced throughout, let's assume a stock is currently trading for $100 per share. A $105 strike call option is quoted at $6.50 per contract. We might also see on the option pricing table that the stock is showing 10% implied volatility. This means market participants expect the stock to move up or down 10% between now and expiration. This doesn't mean it can't move more or less; it obviously could. It just means that the expectation right now, based on all information available and the actions of market participants, is that the stock is expected to trade somewhere in a 10% range up or down “Kirk, who comes up with this number?” Funny you should ask because you do! Well, not you in particular, but market participants and investors, just like you determine this So, what if the expectations for future stock volatility change? What if implied volatility goes up to 12% from 10%? Whatever the catalyst, market participants expect the stock to be more volatile in the future. And as a result, start more aggressively purchasing call options at higher prices. The call option contract might then adjust up in value from $6.50 to $7.50 per contract. Notice that the only change here is the future expectation of volatility. The underlying stock price nor the time until expiration was changed, so you can see just how much of an impact implied volatility has on option pricing as a single component Option buyers might be willing to pay more money for the options contract if they think a more signi cant move is coming in the future. Whether that move comes or not is another discussion altogether, which we'll cover later on. The key concept, for now, is that traders and investors bid up and down an option's price in relation to how far they believe or expect a stock to move in the future Keep in mind that the quoted implied volatility number could be different for each stock or ETF. Some stocks might naturally experience more volatility compared to others. An implied volatility reading of 35% on Facebook could be a reasonably low reading for such a large tech company. In . fi . . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . Chapter One number due to how aggressively or not, they purchase call and put options. This is why it's referred to as implied volatility because the value is "implied" by the actions of the market participants as a whole 16 of 65 contrast, an implied volatility reading of 35% for Exxon Mobile might be very high for a large, stable oil and gas company. It's all relative, so we use implied volatility ranking to normalize the stocks and ETFs we monitor Option Greeks When setting up and monitoring positions, traders often use or discuss option greeks. There are four main greeks, including Delta, Gamma, Vega, and Theta. A common misconception is that the greeks predict the future movement and value of an option contract. It is not true. They are not predictive but rather are simply elements that re ect what "could" happen in pricing changes for different market situations. Below, I'll brie y cover each one as we'll use some of these greeks in subsequent chapters for covered calls 1) Delta Delta measures the extent to which an option contract is exposed to changes in the price of the underlying stock. Delta values can range from 1 to –1 depending on the option contract you are trading and represent the theoretical change in an option's price following a $1 increase in the underlying stock price Deltas are always positive for call options and always negative for put options. This is because a $1 increase in the underlying stock price should always increase the value of call options and decrease the value of put options, all else 2) Gamma Gamma is the rate of change in an option's Delta per 1-point move in the underlying stock's price. You can think of Gamma as an important measure of the convexity or rate of change of an option contract's value in relation to the underlying continuing to move either further in one direction or closer to expiration. Gamma risk, or the risk of large price movements in the option contract, increases as you near expiration 3) Vega The option's Vega is a measure of the impact of changes in the implied volatility on the price of the option contract. Speci cally, the Vega of an option expresses the theoretical change in the price of the option for every 1% change in underlying implied volatility. Keep in mind, as we discussed earlier, small changes in implied volatility could have signi cant impacts on an option's price, particularly option contracts further from their expiration date 4) Theta . fl . . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fl . . fi fi Chapter One remaining constant. Delta values can also be used as a proxy for an option contract's reaction to directional price changes in the underlying stock shares 17 of 65 The last major greek is Theta. Theta is the decay of an option's price due to time. Theta values are always negative for both call and put options and will always result in zerotime value at expiration. Often, traders refer to it as the "slow drip" or "silent killer" of option buyers since it slowly erodes positions As expiration approaches, Theta speeds up, and the rate of decay of the option contract accelerates as it runs out of time. For option buyers, Theta can be death by a thousand cuts. On the other hand, option sellers consider Theta decay an important component for many income-based options strategies Conclusion Alright - Whew! That was a lot of basics to cover, and hopefully, you didn't skim through this chapter as there are some golden nuggets in there you won't often nd in other 'Options Basics' write-ups online. Now that we have got these covered, no pun intended, it's time to shift our attention to the options strategy so very few stock traders take advantage of, the covered call fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . . Chapter One 18 of 65 Chapter One Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. 19 of 65 Chapter Two Covered Calls When introducing covered calls to new traders, we're presented with a challenge: cover the stepby-step details on how to set it up or the overall framework on "why" we use them before diving deeper While there's certainly no right or wrong way to go about it, we feel that rst covering the overall framework of a covered call seems best to set the stage for our discussion. Don't worry if it sounds complicated at rst, we will be talking in more detail about exactly how to set up a covered call and how it works later on in the book. The goal here is just a quick snapshot and overview of what a covered call is broadly as a means to help build a more solid foundation moving forward What Are Covered Calls? A covered call is an options strategy that combines the use of long underlying stock to cover the sale of a short call option. Yes, you are going to be selling options contracts. No, you are not going to buy options Traditionally speaking, a covered call strategy would require that you already own the underlying stock or ETF shares in your account before selling the call option. Because you are selling a call option, this means you have the obligation, if NOTE: Naked call selling is nothing bad at all as it requires much less capital than a traditional covered call, mainly because you don't have to purchase the shares of stock rst. We don't want you to write it off, no pun intended, as it's one of the core foundational elements of many other option strategies that don't involve stock Covered Call Payoff Diagra The covered call payoff diagram is constructed on the next page for you. The dotted blue line represents the payoff line for long underlying shares of stock. The green dotted line represents the payoff line for a single short call option at a strike price near where you purchased long stock. The red solid line shows the combined payoff when both the long stock and short call option are combined into a covered call strategy fi . fi . m . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi . . Chapter Two assigned by the option buyer, to deliver shares of stock at the strike price on or before expiration. It's referred to as a covered call because when you sell the call option, the risk of assignment is already "covered" given that the underlying shares are in your possession. Contrast this with a "naked" call option in which case you have no underlying shares to cover the risk of assignment and would have to come up with the money if the stock went against you to cover a loss 21 of 65 Who Can Trade Covered Calls Profit Long Stock Los Covered Call Short Call Notice that the slope of the red payoff line shifts from upward Low Stock Pric High Stock Price and to the right to at and stable at the strike price of the short call option. At this junction, the gains on the long stock shares are directly offset by the losses on the short call option contract. However, in exchange for capping your gains on the stock, your break-even point or cost basis on the shares is reduced by the amount of the premium collected. The reduction in net cost to own the shares increase the probability of being successful with the overall position Visually, you can see this in the graph as the new payoff line for the covered call strategy (red) crosses over the breakeven threshold much further to the left, which represents lower stock prices. The stock could fall in price and you could still make money overall The best way to think about a covered call, in our view, is as a strategy to pre-sell your current stock shares in the future at a higher price. Sure, you could sell your shares and close your position now, but what if you could pre-sell shares at a higher price in the future and collect some income along the way should the shares never reach that level? Sounds too good to be true? It's not By selling the short call option as part of a covered call strategy, you are effectively just pre-selling your shares. More speci cally, you are pre-selling the right to buy your shares to someone else. Straightforward enough, right? The call option buyer, in this case, is not obliged to purchase the shares from you, they are just buying the right to do so if they choose, and in exchange for this opportunity, they pay you an option premium upfront. The price at which you feel comfortable selling the rights to your shares is the strike price of the contract. The money you collect upfront from the call option buyer is the option premium or option price . . " ? . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fl e fi s Chapter Two Covered calls can be traded in practically any brokerage account type; retirement, IRA, 401k, margin, etc. Since you already own the stock and therefore have one part of the strategy in place, brokers allow you to sell a call option against that stock that you own if you choose to do so. You'll also hear this referred to as "writing" a call option which is used interchangeably with "covered. 22 of 65 Let's use a straightforward housing analogy to drive home this concept. It would be like owning a house and signing a contract for another person to buy your house, which you already own (stock shares) at a predetermined price (strike price) by a speci c date in the future (expiration date). In exchange for you agreeing to sell them your house and taking it off the market until expiration, they might pay you a deposit (premium) to compensate you in case they don't come through on their end and purchase the house In this example, you are the owner of the underlying stock (your house) and the call option seller. The new buyer you sign the contract with is the call option buyer. Honestly, it's not any more complicated than that, so let's dive a little deeper into a covered call strategy and look at how and why you would set one up for your portfolio. Though we brie y mentioned it above, I want to reiterate that a key concept you need to remember when setting up a covered call is that you must already be long the underlying stock. Owning stock is known as being long the stock, and without ownership of the stock, you can't technically sell a covered call That said, one of the signi cant bene ts new traders see with a covered call is that you don't have the hassle of handling the shares during an assignment. If the call option is assigned, the broker simply takes the long stock shares from your account that acted as collateral. We will debate the merits of stock ownership later on in the book, but for now, we’ll assume you do want to own a bunch of stock for some reason or another Why Should You Sell Covered Calls? As great as stock ownership is, or isn't depending on who you talk to, the question now is about the utility of doing a covered call strategy. Why use covered calls at all? If I had to boil it down into one main factor, the main reason for using the covered call strategy would be cost basis reduction. Said another way, by selling a short call option above where the stock is trading and receiving the option premium from the option buyer, it reduces the cost of owning the shares by the amount of the premium This reduction in cost basis via the premium collected, moves the break-even point, or the net-cost, on your stock ownership lower. You don’t have to be a rocket scientist to know then that a lower break-even point increases your probability of successfully generating money and income How do you gure out the new cost basis or break-even point? Subtract the option premium you received selling the short call option from the initial cost of the shares you purchased. Do this just once on a calculator, or in your head, and you can quickly see why selling covered calls is a pro table strategy long-term when executed repeatedly JPM Covered Call Exampl Let's practice with a simple example . fl . . . fi : e fi . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi fi fi Chapter Two 23 of 65 • You spent $115 per share to buy 100 shares of JPMorgan Chase (JPM) for a total cost of $11,500 • You sell a call option with a strike price of $125, which expires 30 days from today and receive a $5.00 option premium ($500 of total value) from the option buyer • You have now reduced the cost of owning your shares to $110 per share or a new total ownership cost of just $11,000 Can you immediately see how powerful the strategy is for the covered call writer, i.e., you? If the stock goes down, you've already reduced your break-even point to $110 per share. You still might lose money if the stock continues to move lower, but your overall risk is reduced because of the covered call you sold. If the stock trades sideways in a range or anywhere below $125 (strike price), you keep the entire premium from the call option you sold ($5.00). If the stock rallies, then you are capping your pro t to just $15 per share, which is the strike price of $125 less the net cost of the shares of $110 Many investors consider this last aspect of "capping your returns" to be one of the downsides to selling covered calls. We would remind them, however, that if you get to the point where the stock rallies beyond your strike price, you've still made $15 per share in pro t in a month’s time. Are you really going to be greedy about making money? Probably not Think about it for a second. Do you have a higher probability of success owning JPM stock at $110 or $115 per share? Self-explanatory right. Plus, if you own shares in stocks which don't pay dividends, it's an excellent alternative for collecting income from growth-focused companies by leveraging the power of options contracts Now, imagine that instead of going through this process just one time, you replicate a covered call strategy multiple times each year, over dozens of years. Oh yes! You see, we've only skimmed the surface because the example mentioned above was a single covered call in a single expiration month. Imagine if you sold a covered call through the year for multiple years? The constant and relentless premiums you collected would slowly chip away at your cost basis in the underlying stock, effectively allowing you to invest in the stock at lower and lower prices At this point, we know that you're getting excited and motivated to sell your rst covered call. We've been teaching . . . . fi . fi . fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . Chapter Two What is so exciting to us about combining the long stock with an option selling strategy, like a covered call, is that you now have multiple paths to create a successful trade. It's almost like renting out your stock shares to someone for a set time period, i.e., until expiration, and they pay you for the privilege of doing so. And because you've reduced your cost basis on the shares, it turns what would be a 50/50 directional bet on the stock into an overall strategy that has a much higher probability of success 24 of 65 this long enough to know when the light bulbs start to turn on. Maybe you think you've found the holy grail of investing. And while we don't want to dampen your enthusiasm, we do need to discuss the risk involved in selling covered calls. Because even with all the bene ts of trading covered calls, there's one signi cant, glaring downside risk to the strategy that's always present; the stock itself Often in the world of investing, options trading gets bad press, or you hear that the only way to make money is through index investing, but it's just not the case, and the data proves otherwise. So let us present the facts using third party validation It might be a hard pill to swallow for long time stock investors, but the facts are what they are. Stock ownership is a risky and inef cient use of capital that often overshadows all the bene ts of executing a covered call strategy. We'll discuss in a later chapter how you can reduce this risk using options, but for now, we think it's important to point out that owning shares still means that you carry all the downside risk of the stock falling lower in a sell-off or crash scenario. While this doesn't happen often, it doesn't mean it won't ever happen or won't happen to you at some point. Just be conscious of the risk Do Covered Calls Beat The Market? The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) put together a set of benchmark indexes for different options strategies to show what the result of each strategy would be when traded against the S&P 500 Index, as well as other global benchmark indexes such as the MSCI EAFE Index. They included covered calls in this approach by creating the “30 Delta Buy-Write Index," which tracks the performance of selling covered calls while also being long the S&P 500 index. The ticker symbol for the index is BXMD. Each month the index would sell a covered call at a 30 delta strike price against on the S&P 500 and kept doing this month after month, year after year. The CBOE tracked performance going back to 1986 until 2018, and these are the results At this stage, it seems we've done as much theoretical setup as we need, and it's time we shift our attention to some hard data on covered calls performance. Some of you might be cynical, rightfully so, and wondering how pro table covered calls were compared to the overall indexes? Or if the sub-title to the book, "1 Hour Per Month Strategy That Outperformed The S&P 500" was just a bunch of hot air to lure you into downloading this book The S&P 500 annualized total return during the 32 years was 9.80%. The covered call strategy (BXMD), on the other hand, witnessed an annualized return of 10.20%. To put this into perspective, for every $1 invested, the S&P 500 returned $20.85, and the covered call strategy returned $23.65. That's more than a 13% outperformance! But that's not all; the numbers and data get even better when you look at portfolio variance and volatility metrics . ) fi . . ? fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi fi fi . Chapter Two Covered Call Performance vs. S&P 500 (Fig. 1 25 of 65 Figure 1: Value of $1 Invested - S&P 500 Return (SPX) vs. CBOE 30 Delta Buy-Write Index Return (BXMD) $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 SPX BXMD $0 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 During their research over the 32 year period, the standard deviation, or portfolio volatility, in the S&P 500 was found to be 14.90% with a maximum drawdown of -50.95% at any given time. The covered call strategy (BXMD) on the other hand, saw reduced volatility at just 12.80%, with a maximum drawdown of -42.73%. That. Is. Crazy created far lower volatility in your account. Isn't this what all investors are seeking? Better returns with fewer ups and downs in your account and more consistency? By now, it should be abundantly clear that the covered call generated an excess return, or Alpha, above the market benchmark, and with lower volatility or swings in your portfolio Not only did the covered call strategy outperform the market by generating more money overall for the portfolio, but it also And while this is only one of the hundreds of case studies that prove covered calls work, it's one of the more in uential fl . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . Chapter Two 26 of 65 ones in our opinion because it was executed on the S&P 500. The very index that everyone says you can't beat, and you should simply buy and hold, yet underperformed a straightforward covered call strategy. The CBOE's ndings show without a doubt that options trading, when used correctly, can enhance your portfolio returns while also smoothing out the volatility minutes of your time and execute a covered call (or something even better we'll discuss later on in the book) and start outperforming the market with more consistency. It’s a no-brainer Better Covered Call Performance NOTE: The CBOE provides the daily and monthly data for each index and strategy for free on their website if you want to double check the results for yourself. We included a link to the CBOE website in the appendix to this guide, as well as additional backtesting research we have performed here at Option Alpha that cover a wider array of tickers and covered call variations As great as all the data and numbers were in this chapter, the next logical question you should be asking is, "can we do any better?" Yes actually! The CBOE only gives the results of two covered call variations; a 30 delta short call (BXMD) and a 50 delta at-the-money short call (BXM) both 30 days from expiration. But there are many more strike prices and days until expiration for option contracts available to trade. How do we know that the parameters the CBOE used for their indexes are the most pro table for you Once you get familiar with which strike prices and expiration months to choose, you could do this in the same amount of time it would take you to check your Facebook status or send a text message to a friend. We said in the book sub-title that it takes an hour to implement. We lied. It probably doesn't take that long at all, and we are assuming you have to walk to a library, uphill both ways, in the snow, use dial-up internet, and move with all the lighting speed of a sloth. Instead, we honestly believe that this strategy, once a month, could be set up and executed in less than three minutes Well, our research team set out on a new mission and decided it was time to analyze the popular covered call strategy from all angles. We spent many months of research examining approximately 20 years' worth of data (beginning of 1999 to mid-2019) across 109 popular underlying ticker symbols and 5,550,676 covered call trades. We found clear and convincing evidence that covered calls work best only within the context of a particular set of market environments So, do yourself and your wallet a big favor, stop checking email or social media just one time during the month. Just once. Give your money, your family, your future three . fi . ? ? . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi . ! Chapter Two Spoiler alert! Though the CBOE’s 30 Delta Buy-Write Index (BXMD) did outperform the S&P 500, when we analyzed the performance of a 30 Delta covered call entered 30 days from expiration we found it to perform very poor compared to other 27 of 65 covered call setups. Does this mean covered calls won’t work? Nope; they do work. It’s just that we found more attractive setting to use We wrapped all the research and analysis up for you in a beautiful report on Covered Call Performance. You can nd a copy of this report, along with all the other backtesting research we do at Option Alpha, on our website. Alright, we’ve said too much already, and before we go too far down this rabbit hole, let's continue with covered calls for now and walk through the details on setting them up in your trading account fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . Chapter Two 28 of 65 Chapter Three Strategy Setup Now that you understand the "why" behind covered calls, let's talk about the actual setup mechanics involved There are several key steps to go through when setting up a covered call. In this chapter, we'll review the step-by-step process and look at a couple of covered call examples together so that it's clear how to implement it in your account You should rst understand that the entire process we are going to cover takes seconds to execute and ll in the market. The reason we bring this up now is that in our opinion, there is no excuse for not performing this in your brokerage account immediately after reading this book and our performance research report mentioned at the end of the last chapter. Every single stock investor should be executing covered calls at one point or another. But we digress, let's get into it, shall we Here's the step-by-step guide we'll follow as we progress through the chapter 1. Own or Purchase Long Stoc 2. Select Expiration Date or Contract Mont 3. Choose the Call Option Strike Pric Step 1: Own or Purchase Long Stock With so many stocks to choose from, it can be daunting to know where to start. And before we get any further, let's be clear with the following point. There is no single answer as to which stocks you should or shouldn't pick to set up a covered call strategy; it's ultimately a personal decision you have to make on your own . fi h . d e fi . k . : ? Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi e NOTE: Throughout this book, we refer to the underlying security mostly as stock ownership in a company. Most investors who transition into covered calls do so via ownership in individual company stock. However, it should be noted that you can and should sell covered calls on ETFs. So, please don't misunderstand our use of the word "stock" to mean that we only suggest initiating covered calls on individual companies - we don't. We believe you can and should sell covered calls on any underlying you have an ownership in, stocks, or ETFs The purpose of this section is not to tell you which stocks to trade covered calls on, instead, offer some key decision 4. Monitor & Adjust Position As Neede Chapter Thre It seems simple enough right? It is broadly speaking. But each step has its unique risks that could cause the entire strategy to fall apart or at that least not perform at the optimal level it could. So, let's tackle the rst three steps in this chapter, which will get you the point at which you can place a new trade. We'll save the last step on monitoring and adjusting positions for the next chapter 30 of 65 Factor #1 - Optionable Stocks & Liquidity Filters By now, it should be evident that you cannot use a covered call option strategy on a stock that isn't, well, optionable. It'd be like trying to drive a car without wheels; it's just not going to happen. Therefore, the easiest and quickest way to lter the possible universe of stocks and ETFs down is to rst look at the availability of options. Second, the liquidity of the options contracts for each underlying Surprising as it may seem, many companies still do not have a derivatives market for options contracts. Even if you wanted to execute a covered call strategy, there might not be a market for options that exist for that security. Naturally, the rst scan we can run then is to lter for only the optionable stocks. Most broker platforms can easily do this for you in a couple of clicks of the mouse, so let's continue moving forward Once you nd all optionable stocks, the next hurdle to jump over is ltering for a large and liquid options market. Liquid markets allow you to more easily enter and exit covered call positions and at better prices. This step is crucial and requires a little more digging and research, so take your time and get it right Liquidity is a uid thing, pun intended. What seems like low liquidity for one stock might be high for another. For example, GOOGL and AAPL are higher-priced stocks, which means you don't need to sell as many covered calls on them to generate high option premiums. Other lower-priced stocks like WFC or BAC leave room for you to not only purchase more shares at a lower price but then require that you sell more covered calls to capture the same premiums as selling one or two calls in higher-priced stocks. There's no right or wrong answer necessarily since it's all relative, so here are the key points of focus when reviewing the liquidity of the options market First, make sure there are a variety of contract months available. You want to see many months of options contracts in the option pricing table. Multiple months tell us that there's a strong demand from investors for buying and selling options in various periods. If the stock or ETF has weekly options, that's an even stronger indication that the market can handle and support a larger group of investors Second, you want to check the liquidity of the front-month expiration contracts, which expire in the next 30 days. These will typically be the most active contracts, and ensuring their liquidity is vital to a possible covered call options strategy. fl fi fi . . fi fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . fl fi e . Chapter Thre fi fi points that might help you decide which stocks are suitable for your account and investing pro le. We believe there are three main factors you should take into account when it comes to choosing your underlying stock or ETF. We'll brie y touch on each of these areas to give you a clearer picture of what types of information you should be looking for when choosing stocks or ETFs 31 of 65 The two metrics we'll look at speci cally to judge the liquidity of a market are Volume and Open Interest Volume shows us the activity of the options market on a given day, and open interest shows us the depth of the market for contracts still outstanding. You might think about these two metrics as measuring the depth and speed of a market, like that of a raging river - the deeper and more active the market, the better. Shallow, stale markets (swamplike) should be avoided and offer minimal opportunity. Ideally, there should be thousands of options contracts in volume for a given day and tens of thousands of contracts in revolving open interest across multiple strike prices For clarity, each strike price doesn't need to have precisely 1,000 contracts traded in volume or exactly 5,000 contracts of open interest. What we mentioned above are just guidelines or road markers you might use as you scan for possible investments. You'll learn to quickly recognize excellent liquidity by merely looking up and down the options pricing chain If these two metrics hold up, the tight or narrow bid/ask spreads will surely follow. This means better pricing and easier lls for your covered call. To help train your eyes, we've pulled together some bad and great liquidity examples below Bad Liquidity Example Notice that both the volume and open interest for the closest ATM call options, the $25 strike price, in the next month are lifeless. Just 6 contracts are oating out there somewhere. Yes, the stock is optionable, but the options are illiquid. If you think that this pool is deep enough to swim in then you’re sadly mistaken Next up is NNN, a fairly large company that is held within many ETFs and Indexes as well as traditional investors. Here we’re showing the closest ATM call options which are the $60 . . fi fl s Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . . e fi . Chapter Thre First up is an old favorite of ours that we use often in courses and webinars. Mainly because the ticker symbol is GOOD, and yet the liquidity is anything but good. In fact, it’s nearly non-existent 32 of 65 strike. Yet, once again, we see the lack of liquidity in the options contracts Admittedly, it’s not as bad as GOOD on the previous page, but it’s certainly not liquid enough either. The contract has much more open interest but it’s still far below anything we would touch. Plus, the volume reading of zero suggests at the end of the trading day, when we grabbed this screenshot, that the market for options on NNN is extremely quiet Great Liquidity Example Enough with the garbage liquidity examples. Let’s review some amazing liquidity examples. Naturally, the rst one we’ll review are the call options for SPY, which has the most liquid SPY, in our opinion, should be your “north star” when it comes to scanning for liquidity. It sets the bar very high with more than 55,000+ contracts of open interest and 24,000+ contracts traded today. Not this week or yesterday; today! And this is only on a single call option strike price in a single expiration period Let’s pull up one more example and look at the call options for GLD, a major gold ETF . . fi . s . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . e Chapter Thre options market of any ETF or stock. Here we’re showing the closest ATM round strike call option at $310 strike price 33 of 65 Looking at the $139 call strikes, which is the closest ATM contract, we see both open interest and today’s volume in the multiple thousands. This call option isn’t as liquid as SPY but it’s within our general guidelines. If you are trading a handful of covered calls, you’ve got more than enough room to get contracts lled without much of a struggle. The question now is, do you always need to trade tickers as liquid as SPY and GLD? Nope. The goal is to distinguish between bad and great liquidity. So long as you follow the general guidelines we’ve presented earlier, you should nd it fairly easy to enter and ll orders Factor #2 - Fundamental or Technical Analysis Filter Now, you're a pretty smart person if you're reading this book, and chances are you've done well enough to have some money set aside for investing purposes. Most new covered call traders, therefore, are well-versed stock investors and already study or should be studying, company nancials and earnings reports. Therefore, one of the rst ways you can lter the universe of stocks to purchase for a covered call strategy is to use fundamental analysis lters. There are many hundreds of lters you can use, and we don't dare pick any here that you would focus on since the best indicators can vary per industry or sector. Instead, we'll list some of the more popular lters being used for you to explore in your spare time • Price to Earnings (P/E) Rati • Price to Cash Rati • Debt to Equity Rati • Forward P/E rati • Price to Free Cash Flo s fi fi ? fi fi . o fi w fi o o Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. o fi . fi Chapter Thre e fi Filters for fundamental or technical analysis could have been the number one item on our list for choosing a stock. Still, we wanted you to focus on the liquidity of the underlying options because, without that, it'd be pointless to review the next steps. All the analysis in the world would be worthless for a covered call investor if you cannot trade liquid options contracts on your prized stock pick, right 34 of 65 • Earnings Per Share Growt • Price to Book Rati • Dividend Yiel • Cyclically Adjusted P/E (CAPE) Rati • Many more.. The second way you could lter for possible securities to purchase for your new covered call strategy is to use a combination of technical analysis indicators. Technical analysis is a method of examining past market data to help forecast potential future price movements. Using different tools, indicators, and charts, investors can often generate signals that leverage current and historical market data to anticipate a stock's future or projected path Personally, if we were forced to purchase long underlying shares, we'd choose companies or ETFs with a long history of paying a stable, high-yielding dividend trading at a low CAPE Ratio. An ETF yielding 4-5% per year in dividends helps to reduce costs basis and smooth returns over time. Couple this with a simple covered call strategy, and you now have, not one, but two ways to reduce costs basis and generate income on an underlying which further increases your chances of success. Multiple streams of income are always more stable and attractive in our book Whatever you choose or however you analyze the fundamentals of a company, if you plan on owning shares for the long haul, you'd better have a solid understanding of the business, it's growth, the industry they are competing in, etc. Don't invest because you love the founder or CEO. And please don't invest because of a tweet, post online, or article you read in the newspaper. Invest for value and expected returns. Buying stock is buying ownership in the company, and you should never forget this This all sounds very sophisticated and cool. Use some secret indicators that predict stock movement while you're sipping drinks on a beach somewhere. The truth is that most technical analysis indicators are terrible predictors of market direction and stock returns. How can we be so bold as to make this claim? Well, we had our research team spend an entire year testing the validity and predictive power of the top 17 most popular technical analysis indicators. We tested and analyzed more than 1,476 indicator variations over 20 years to see which worked and which did not Not surprisingly, only a few indicators and speci c settings generated reliable signals and excess returns above the . fi . . . o . fi h Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. o d . e Chapter Thre Often this means that you'll be trading in and out of underlying stock more often and on shorter timeframes. It likely won't be day trading but rather what we call "position trading," in which case you might hold a stock position for a few weeks or months between entry and exit signals. During this time, you can sell covered calls to further increase your probability of success on any long stock positions you enter 35 of 65 What's the moral of the story for technical analysis? First, you don't have to use technical analysis to trade covered calls. Are they required? Nope. Can they help? You bet. And if you are going to use them, it's essential to use the best indicators and settings. Anything else could be damaging to your likelihood of success. Once again, we did the research for you and published all our ndings in the ground-breaking publication called The Signals Report, which you can nd on our website Factor #3 - Covered Call Yield & Return Filters If you've checked all the items above and nd a company or ETF with a liquid options market that you want to own, the last lter is to run a couple of simulated trades. These allow you to double-check the covered call yields and returns you might expect moving forward. Although you might be very excited to get going by jumping in with both feet, we highly suggest you do some simulated trading over the next couple of weeks or months You want to get a decent idea of what the option premiums are you'll be receiving if you start selling covered calls. It might take some monitoring, and you should watch how option pricing changes during a couple of different expiration cycles for your target stock. Besides, if you're planning on investing in stock for the long haul, what's another month or two of analysis to make sure it's the right move for a covered call? We think you'll nd that patiently observing for a small period of time results in more con dent decision making, and ultimately more pro table investments What should you look for, or what benchmark should you use then for covered call yields? As far as targets are concerned, a great guideline would be to collect around a 1% premium to stock price yield per month. We use the word "collect" here speci cally as we're referring to the option premium or option price at the time you initiate the covered call. For instance, if a stock is trading for $100 per share, you might have a target to collect approximately $1.00 of option premium per month, on average, selling covered calls The premium you collect may or may not be the nal pro t on a single position.This is a general guideline, and you can, of course, go higher or lower than this gure. As a starting point, you could sell the 30 Delta call options in the one-month expiration contracts as the basis for your analysis. Recall this is the setup that the CBOE uses currently that outperformed the S&P 500, though we know there are better setups we could possibly use fi fi . fi fi . fi fi . fi fi fi . fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . e fi fi Chapter Thre fi fl market. To put even more context on this, less than 5% of all the variations we tested had predictive power in a stock's future direction more signi cant than 50% accuracy. In English, this means that the vast universe of indicators out there, for all intents and purposes, are less predictive than ipping a coin. Of those in the 5% bucket, only a tiny handful was signi cant enough to use for investing purposes 36 of 65 Once you add this to the 3-4% dividend yield per year, provided your stock doesn't get called away, you will be receiving a nice regular income of around 15-17% in dividends and cost basis reduction overall each year. Not too shabby, right? Nope, seems pretty attractive contracts. A call option 90 days from expiration will lose less value per day than the same strike call option 30 days from expiration. The front-month contract is running out of time, and therefore, the theta decay speeds up as expiration nears There you have it, the three primary factors we believe you should review and analyze when choosing your underlying stock for a covered call strategy. We meant for this to be a little subjective on many levels, as it should be. Trading with covered calls is a long-term investment in stock, and you should make sure that it ts within your personal goals and risk tolerance levels before moving forward. In the next section, we'll help you decide which expiration date or contract month to target When it comes to implied volatility, the roles are reversed. Longer-dated (back-month) options contracts react more to changes in implied volatility than shorter-dated (front-month) options contracts. This is because a small change in implied volatility now, which is extrapolated out over a longer time period, could have a major impact on the expected stock price Step 2: Select Expiration Date or Contract Mont Now that we've got a stock picked and own shares in the underlying, we'll start using some live examples to demonstrate how you might think about choosing the expiration date in which to sell your covered call. Before we keep moving, we want to highlight the general impact of theta decay (time decay) and implied volatility on options pricing again. Recall that an option's premium or price may react differently to theta decay and implied volatility in various expiration periods A call option 90 days from expiration will witness its price rise much higher on a relative basis due to increasing implied volatility than the same strike call option 30 days from expiration. The front-month contract is less reactionary to changes in implied volatility, which may or may not have enough time to play out before the expiration date. Given a choice, we'd always prefer to start selling covered calls when implied volatility is high, and option pricing is high as a result Good so far? Great! Now, let's look at some call options in different expiration months for SPY. The front-month contracts expiring in September are approx. 22 days from expiration Longer-dated (back-month) options contracts erode at a slower pace than shorter-dated (front-month) options . h . fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . e . . Chapter Thre 37 of 65 Notice the relative option premiums of the $291-294 OTM calls on the right side of the pricing table. They range from $2.23-0.98 per contract The back-month contracts expiring in October are approx. 50 days from expiration. Notice the relative option premiums of the $291-294 OTM calls on the right side of the pricing table. They range from $3.60-2.18, signi cantly higher than the September contracts. The additional premium is mainly due Keep in mind at this stage that since we are selling call options, we want to generate the highest return on the option contract as possible while also not impeding the upward mobility of the stock. We achieve this when the option premium quickly falls in value after order entry or goes to zero by expiration. Granted, we also don't want this to fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . e Chapter Thre to the additional time and volatility (extrinsic value) given to the back-month options 38 of 65 So how far out in time should you sell covered calls? 22 days or 50 days? Well, it depends. It may seem like both front, and back-month options contracts have bene ts and drawbacks, and you'd be right. The answer then is that you need to align the expiration date or contract month with both your willingness to monitor and manage the position and the available premium to be collected. Our Covered Calls Performance Research Report will also help guide your decision-making process after reviewing the performance of various expiration periods Step 3: Choose the Call Option Strike Pric Deciding the nal strike price for selling a covered call might be one of the harder considerations an investor has to make for this strategy. Sell a call option too close (high delta), and you collect a high premium but give the stock very little room to move before capping your pro ts at the lower strike price. Sell a call option too high above the stock price (low delta), and you collect a lower premium but give the stock more room to rally higher before you cap your gains with a higher strike price. There are risks and rewards to each style or avor you choose so take your time picking on that’s right for you and your portfolio One guiding light might be the CBOE's Buy-Write Index (BXM), which sells an ATM call option on the S&P 500. Effectively this is selling a 50 Delta call option every month, and the results prove the point we outlined above. The annualized return of this aggressive covered call strategy was 8.50%, with a standard deviation or portfolio volatility of 10.60%. These metrics are both less than the 30 Delta call option strategy (BXMD) and the S&P 500 itself. It proves that selling closer ATM (high delta) call options does help to reduce volatility in the combined strategy, but at the sacri ce of overall gains and performance. Naturally, there's a delicate balance here that you need to nd that works for you Continuing with our examples, we'll again look at the same call options in different expiration months for SPY. Only now, we'll assume that we'd like to sell a covered call near a 30 Delta with a target probability of success around 70%. The closest strike price to our target 70% success level in the front-month contracts expiring in September is the $292 call options with a price of $1.73 per contract ATM Covered Call Performance (Fig. 2 fi . e fi ) . . fi fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi Chapter Thre e fl happen at the expense of the stock shares crashing, but right now, we're just referring to the short call option contracts, independently of the underlying stock 39 of 65 Figure 2: Value of $1 Invested - CBOE Buy-Write Index Return (BXM) $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 SPX BXMD BXM $0 1986 e Chapter Thre 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 40 of 65 The closest strike price to our target 30 Delta and 70% probability of success level in the back-month contracts expiring in October is the $293 call options with a price of $2.61 per contract Which one do you pick? Tough question for sure. Ultimately the decision is either driven by data, from backtesting research, or a personal decision based on your risk pro le and need for either growth or security with your positions. Here's the trade-off you need to consider which might help steer you in the decision-making process If you sell the front-month options, you will collect a lower premium at a strike price that's only $2 above the current fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . e Chapter Thre 41 of 65 market price. In exchange for the lower premium and higher risk of the stock breaching the strike price, the stock only has 22 days until expiration, and time is running short. If you sell the back-month options, you will collect a higher premium at a strike price that's $3 above the current market price. In exchange for the higher premium and further out strike price, the stock now has more time, 50 days until expiration, to move against your short call. Conclusio If you've followed the rst three steps outlined in this chapter, you're now ready to enter your rst covered call trade of cially. With all the pieces together, the process of actually placing the order in your broker platform should be relatively straight-forward. You already own the stock (or are purchasing it) and have selected your target expiration date and strike price of the call option contract. Now, place the order and turn the page. If you still need help or have questions, please reach out to our team at Option Alpha. fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi n e fi Chapter Thre 42 of 65 Chapter Four Position Management If you've reached this chapter, you should have your new options strategy executed and working its magic. In essence, you've made it. You're an options trader now Earlier in this book, we reviewed the overall strategy of a covered call, proved using the CBOE data that they can outperform the major stock market index, and nally helped you determine the right expiration months and strike price ranges to target. And since you're on a new level with your trading, we'll assume you're also smart enough to know that it's not always roses and sunshine trading covered calls NOTE: In the Options Basics chapter, we walked through a similar framework, but at that time, it was explicitly dealing with single long call and put options. In this exercise, we'll approach this only from the standpoint of a covered call investor To help build some context for our discussion, let's assume the following options pricing table exists for the ticker EWW (iShares MSCI Mexico ETF) Stocks do move down from time to time - shocking right. So, what happens now? Now that you've got this covered call strategy working, how do you manage or adjust the position if it starts to go wrong First, don't worry; we wouldn't have carried you this far to abandon you now. In this chapter, we're going to take a look at all of the different scenarios that could happen with a fully executed covered call position and how you should react or adjust your position if necessary. Remember to always take your time and work slowly. There's never a need to rush the process . fi : . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. ? r . . Chapter Fou 44 of 65 With this pricing table in front of us, we’ll also assume the following covered call strategy is executed of this section, we'll also suggest ways to hedge or adjust the trade to reduce risk. Let’s start with the best outcome 1. ETF is trading currently for $51.73 per share Outcome #1: Stock Rallies Above Strike Pric 2. You purchase 500 shares at $51.73 for a total cost of $25,865 One of the most common concerns options traders have when setting up a covered call strategy is what happens when the stock, EWW, in our example, rallies above the strike price of the short call option you sold? Does this mean that your shares will be "called away" or exercised and assigned immediately to the option buyer? Should you buy back the short call option to keep the stock position or let your stock be called away? Well, there are several points we need to cover to answer these questions 3. Your target for the covered call is the 30 Delta strikes representing a 70% probability of success 4. You sell the $52.50 strike call options for $0.89 in option premium per contract 5. You sell ve contracts that cover the 500 shares you just purchased 6. The call options expire in 22 days from today 7. The cost basis on the shares of the ETF is reduced to $50.84 because of the premium collected 8. The total premium of $445 is subtracted from the original total cost to a new, net total cost of $25,420 9. You have reduced your cost basis on the EWW shares by 1.70% Now that you’ve got your trade setup and working in EWW, there are ve possible outcomes and corresponding potential actions you could take. Where appropriate towards the end With 20 days left, there's still a decent amount of extrinsic value left in the contracts, and the option buyer would forfeit that extrinsic value by assigning the option contract in exchange for shares early. They won't do that because it would be nancially unwise to do so. However, if you were to . . e . . . . . . . fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . fi fi r . fi . Chapter Fou First, the most important thing to understand is that just because EWW rallies higher, does not mean you will automatically lose your long shares. Most assignment of stock by the call option buyer happens the week of expiration, and more speci cally, the last few days of expiration. At that point, the option contract has little to no extrinsic value left. So, if the stock rallies above your strike price but you still have 20 days to expiration, there's a high probability you will not get assigned by the option buyer 45 of 65 wait right up until expiration and the stock was still trading higher than your strike price, then you are at greater risk of your stock getting assigned and called away Let's assume for whatever reason that your EWW shares are exercised and assigned to the option buyer, and you no longer own the underlying stock. Well, remember when mentioned earlier in the book that this might be one of the best-case scenarios? Having your stock assigned is not a bad thing; in fact, it might be the ultimate goal because, after all, you wanted the stock to rally higher, didn't you? That said, some people get upset that they didn't participate in the new higher stock price above the strike price level. And we understand that concern, but these strategies have capped upside pro t potential in exchange for a much higher probability of success. You can't have your cake and eat it too The pro t you can receive is limited to the difference between the $52.50 strike price and the $51.73 stock price when you purchased the shares, plus the credit received from selling the out-of-the-money call, $0.89. If EWW rallied well above your $52.50 strike price, and your stock is assigned, you just captured all the potential pro t possible in a single expiration period. Go ahead, pat yourself on the back. The reason you got paid a premium selling a call option, $445 in total, is because you forfeited your right to any pro t on the stock beyond the $52.50, and that's okay Outcome #2: Stock Rallies, Stays Below Strike Pric This outcome is the second most favored among covered call traders. If EWW rallies but the shares remain below your strike price of $52.50 at the end of the expiration cycle, then the options contracts expire worthless, and you don't need to do anything. As the call option seller, you get to keep the $445 premium you collected from the buyer as pro t, and you also get to keep your long shares of stock since the stock never breached the strike price. The stock value increased, and you kept the entire option premium as pro t, win-win. Now, go sell another covered call and repeat the process all over again next month Outcome #3: Stock Moves Sideway A highly likely scenario is that EWW trades in a sideways range around your original entry price. Remember that markets are both cyclical and relatively random. Maybe up a couple of days here and there, down some other days, ultimately moving sideways with no clear direction. If this e fi fi . fi s . fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi r fi . Chapter Fou Hitting lots of singles as opposed to swinging for home runs is an excellent strategy for generating consistent, reliable income. And, well, higher overall returns with less risk in the process. Need a refresher? Go back two chapters and reread the performance of covered calls vs. the S&P 500. 46 of 65 happens, then this outcome is probably the third-best one you might expect At expiration, you didn't lose any value on the stock you own, but you also get to keep the entire $445 option premium as pro t from the short covered call. Sure, you didn't see the stock rise in value, yet you got paid for waiting around, selling the covered call, and reducing your cost basis on the shares in the process. Now you can re-establish a new set of short call option contracts in the next expiration month and repeat the entire process Outcome #4: Stock Trades Lower, Continues Fallin Let's be honest, rational adults with each other for a moment. There's a 50/50 chance that your beloved EWW shares go down at some point during your covered call expiration cycle. Yes, this means that not all stocks go up, and it will happen to you at some point. But since you are selling covered calls, you're doing yourself a big favor when it comes to cost basis in this unfavorable scenario Because you sold a call option for a premium, your new break-even point, or cost basis, on the stock was lowered to $50.84 per share. Therefore, the stock could effectively drop from $51.73 to $50.84, and you would not lose money overall on the combined covered call strategy. Any drop below $50.84, and you would lose on the overall strategy due to the decline in the underlying stock shares. At expiration for this fourth outcome, the short call option is now far out-of-the- All that being said, you should continuously re-evaluate the EWW position and make sure you are still comfortable owning shares. The cost of owning the shares takes up the bulk of capital for the position. Therefore, the stock itself is the most critical factor to monitor If you decided you want to sell the stock, you need to rst close and buy back the short call option or wait until your call option has expired. Exiting the stock position while leaving the short call option open and working would expose you to a short naked option position. This translates into potentially higher margin requirements and additional risk you may not want Outcome #5: Stock Has Upcoming Dividen This scenario is speci c only to those stocks and ETFs that pay dividends. In our example, we selected EWW speci cally because it does pay dividends quarterly, in which case we can walk through the scenario without changing ticker symbols. Before we go any further, please understand that dividend payments and early assignments as a result of dividends will not occur as often as you think it might You should always be aware of when your stock or ETF pays monthly or quarterly dividends. Not only because you'd want fi g fi . d . . fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . r . fi Chapter Fou money and will expire worthless, freeing you up to reestablish another short, possibly at a closer strike price in the next month 47 of 65 When a stock or ETF, like EWW, is about to pay an upcoming dividend, the risk of early assignment increases dramatically. The kicker is that the risk of early assignment only impacts those call option strike prices that are deep-in-the-money. These would be the call option strikes that are below the current stock price. These contracts could potentially be at risk of early assignment because the call option buyer, on the other side of your trade, might be motivated to exercise their contract early it might seem a little complicated at rst, but it's a fundamental concept The question naturally then is, what does the put option strike price have to do with our covered call option? Think back to the rst chapter on Options Basics and recall that the goal of the call option buyer on the other side of your contract originally was to take a risk de ned, bullish position on EWW stock. Their risk was limited to the premium they paid you of $445, and in exchange, they get all the upside potential beyond the $52.50 strike price and their respective breakeven point The call option buyer would choose to do this in order to purchase shares from you and collect the upcoming dividend payment. Seems rational, right? But how can you tell if the particular strike price of $52.50 that you are holding is at risk of early assignment of your shares? It's straightforward, actually. If they now are interested in assigning the option contract, they would only do so when they can use the money collected from the dividend to immediately purchase a long put option at the same strike price as the original call option. It sounds complicated, but it's not. The call option buyer is willing to go through the exercise process to assign shares; however, only if they can use the money collected from the dividend to become risk de ned again To determine if your short call option is at risk of early assignment, look at the price of the corresponding put option contract at the same $52.50 strike price. Short call options are at risk only when the value of the corresponding put option at the same strike price of $52.50 is valued less than the dividend payment scheduled. You should re-read that last sentence again, potentially two or three more times, because Holding long shares of stock while also purchasing a long put option for protection is the same synthetic position as a long call option. It's the same payoff diagram, just constructed with different components. In this case, all the call option buyer would do is use the money from the dividend payment to nance or pay for the purchase of a put option contract for protection against the stock shares . . fi . fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . . r Chapter Fou fi fi to collect this money as the stock owner, but also because you could be at risk of early assignment. How does it work, and why should you care about dividends payments and dates as a covered call investor? Let's discuss 48 of 65 Let's walk through an example assuming that EWW is now trading at $55 per share, making your $52.50 strike call option an ITM position. This week EWW announced it will be paying a $0.35 dividend per share. On the day before the stock trades ex-dividend, the corresponding put option at the $52.50 strike price in the same expiration period as your short call option is trading for $0.30 per contract. In this scenario, you would be at risk of early assignment of your call option contract and here’s why It should be evident now that not all in-the-money (ITM) call options are assigned just because they are ITM. This is a common misconception about the early assignment of a short call option as a result of dividends. Just because your option is ITM around the time of dividend payment, doesn't mean you are at automatic risk of assignment. It is only if your call option contract is ITM, and the corresponding put option at the same strike price is valued or priced less than the dividend payment The call option buyer could exercise the call option contract, purchase shares at the $52.50 strike price from you, get paid the dividend of $0.35 per share, and use $0.30 to immediately purchase a $52.50 strike put option contract for protection. Effectively getting them back into the same risk de ned, bullish position in EWW only now a little richer by $0.05 per share. Bing, bang, boom Have a look at your broker platform on the day of ex-dividend to check if you are at risk of an assignment or not. If you are at risk, then you either need to close out the call option contract or roll it over to the next month, discussed next, where option premiums are higher. Assignment happens on the day the stock goes ex-dividend so make sure you know when this is so you can be one step ahead and not caught off guard Alternatively, let's assume that the same stock price setup exists as above, only now the corresponding put option at the $52.50 strike price is trading for $0.50 per contract. In this scenario, the call option buyer would not exercise their contract and assign shares. It would cost them more money overall to buy shares at $52.50, collect the dividend of $0.35 and then pay $0.50 to purchase the put option protection. It would be nancially a net loss plus they are better off to keep the call option contract and forgo assigning you, the call option seller It's easy to sit back and watch the pro ts roll in as the stock you are trading rallies higher during the expiration month. This happens about 50% of the time and requires no effort on your part. Go ahead, keep kicking your feet back and sipping your chilled drink The other 50% of the time, the stock falls during your expiration period. When this happens, there are a couple of ways to adjust and manage the position to reduce risk. Note, fi g . . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . fi r . fi Chapter Fou Covered Call Adjustment & Rollin 49 of 65 we're not talking about fully turning the position around into a winner all the time, but instead taking a potentially signi cant loss and cutting it down into a smaller loss The rst way to reduce risk is to adjust the covered call strike price in the same expiration month by moving it closer to where the stock is trading. You may often hear the phrase "rolling down," which is just fancy trading jargon that means closing one strike price and re-opening another, lower strike price, typically in the same expiration period Using our primary example for the chapter, let's assume EWW dropped to $49 per share, below your $50.84 breakeven price. At this point, your short $52.50 call options which you sold for $0.89 might drop in value to just $0.20 each. You could then choose to repurchase these $52.50 call options and close them for a quick $0.69 pro t and immediately resell a closer call option strike price, say the $51 strike price that is now quoting a price of $0.70 per contract The net impact by adjusting your call option strike price lower is that you took in an additional net credit of $0.50 for each option rolled down. This re ects the premium received from selling the $51 calls at $0.70 each, less cost to buy back the $52.50 calls at $0.20 each. Your new overall credit from both call option sales, the original entry and this new adjustment, is $1.39 per contract, or $695 in total The real "magic" when using this type of adjustment technique is that you are taking advantage of the downward Yes, at the moment, you're still losing money. But had you not executed the adjustment, you would be down even more money as your old break-even price was $50.84. The new break-even price is $50.34. Pretty cool, right? And you can keep rolling down your call strikes as needed during the expiration month multiple times if you want The second way to adjust covered calls is to roll the existing call options from the current front-month expiration to the next, or further out, back-month expiration. In the adjustment example above for EWW, we rolled call option strike prices down from one strike to another strike in the same month. In this second adjustment technique, we are instead rolling the call option strike out in time to give the stock more time to recover potentially You'll often nd that rolling out in time to the next month accomplishes the same goal of collecting an additional credit without having to sacri ce your upside potential selling a closer call option. This works because an option contract with more time until expiration is more valuable, all else being equal. So you might nd that the same strike price of $52.50 in the next expiration month pays the same amount of money . fi . . . . fi . fl fi fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi r fi Chapter Fou move in the market by increasing your overall credit. The adjustment reduces your cost basis on the EWW shares even lower and moves your break-even point down to $50.34 from $50.84. With the stock trading at $49, you are within striking distance of a pro t on any small rally in the shares 50 of 65 as a closer strike price at $51 in the front-month expiration we analyzed above The process of rolling the call option out in time is the same mechanically as it is for rolling the call option down. You simultaneously buy back and close the $52.50 call options that expire in 22 days while re-selling new short call options at the same $52.50 strike price in the next contract month that expires in 50 days, for example. The trade-off is that by rolling a call option out to a further expiration month, you might have to wait longer for your pro t on the premium to be realized. On the other hand, because you didn't move the strike price of the call option lower, you are leaving more room for the stock to rally Conclusio Whichever method you favor as you start monitoring and adjusting covered call positions, recognize that being proactive is crucial. When the stock drops and you roll your short call option either closer and down or out to the next month, it allows you to increase your overall credit in the position and ultimately reduces risk. Is one technique more favorable than the other? Not really. There's no perfect answer, and each situation is going to be a little different. As always, you have the option, pun intended, as to which adjustment technique seems most appropriate for you . fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . n r Chapter Fou 51 of 65 Chapter Five Synthetic Strategies What if we told you that as much as you might have fallen in love with covered calls during our amazing, self-admittedly, blueprint in the last couple of chapters, there were better alternatives Alternatives that required less money to get started and performed practically the same, and in some cases, much better long-term. Alternatives that gave you the ability to diversify across more stocks and ETFs and leverage the full power of options. Starting to salivate yet? Well, it's true, and we'll show you how. In this nal bonus chapter, we'll explore the two main alternatives to trading covered calls without the requirement of purchasing the underlying stock. Yes, you don't have to outlay thousands of dollars to buy stock to trade a covered call option strategy. Together let's examine these alternatives we’ll refer to as covered call “synthetics strategies. Synthetic Strategy #1: LEAPS Options The rst synthetic covered call replaces long shares of stock with the purchase of a single deep ITM call option in a fardated back-month expiration. This type of call option contract is commonly referred to as Long-Term Equity Appreciation Security (LEAPS). It acts as a synthetic in place of Why do this? Well, there's no debating that the capital requirements for stock ownership can be incredibly high. For example, the Russell 2000 Index EFT (IWM), is currently trading at approximately $172 per share at the time of this writing. To purchase 100 shares of IWM, you would need to invest at least $17,200, a gure that is 70% higher than the average brokerage account opening balance in the US. All that money so you can sell one covered call against the stock while still carrying the full downside risk of the market moving lower? No thank you. It seems like a lot of risk, in our opinion, to gamble on a single ticker that may or may not work out? We're sure you can see our hesitation with stock ownership If we agree then that stock ownership may not be the most cost-effective way to build a covered call strategy, what else could we do to replicate the 100 shares of stock? We could use an option contract of course! Remember that every one option contract controls 100 shares of stock. Speci cally, we could purchase a call option with a high Delta value, which would replicate similar performance of the underlying stock without having to buy shares outright. This is where LEAPS . ” fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. ? fi . fi Chapter Five purchasing underlying stock or ETF shares. You may also hear people call this strategy a "Poor Man's Covered Call" or "Skinny Covered Call" as well as many other names, but the concept is the same. Instead of purchasing 100 shares of stock, purchase a single (one) deep ITM call option, that controls 100 shares, and replicate a stock position for less money 53 of 65 are used by sophisticated options traders to create a covered call synthetic As mentioned, LEAPS are long-term or back-month expiration contracts. How far out in time exactly? Well, that's up to you to decide. Generally, any expiration more than six months out from today's date is a reasonable basis for starting to analyze a synthetic position. If it's currently January, then you might look to purchase call options in July or further out in November if you wanted. The further out you are buying the call option LEAPS, the more expensive the options contract or premium will be, but the more time you have to see the stock move favorably for you Once you identify the expiration month you are comfortable trading, you'll look for a deep ITM call option strike price to purchase. Recall that any call option that is deep ITM will have a strike price that is lower than the current stock price. The deeper ITM the call option strike price, the lower the strike price from the current stock price, and the more the option contract price will behave and trade as the underlying shares would roughly 50 shares of stock. Call options with a Delta of .70 will behave as if you owned 70 shares of the underlying stock Ironically, because we know where your mind is already going, Deltas of 1.0 will not exist until you get much closer to expiration due to the extrinsic value of LEAPS. Therefore, we want to potentially target a Deltas around .80 to .90 whenever possible. This will give you the ability to replicate 80-90% of the stock move with a fraction of the cost compared to purchasing the shares outright. Amazing right Sticking with the IWM example from earlier, let's look at a LEAPS setup in an expiration seven months out from now, at the time of this publication. The options pricing table for IWM is shown on the following page for the call options which expire in March of next year. Notice how different the option prices are for contracts this far out in time to what we've seen earlier in this book Thankfully, we can use the option greek Delta to help us estimate how reactive a particular call option strike price will be to a $1 move in the underlying stock. A call option with a Delta of .50 will behave as if you owned 50 shares of the underlying stock. Your single call option still controls 100 shares of stock at expiration, but the day to day price movement of the option contract moves as if you owned ? . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . . . . Chapter Five 54 of 65 option of just $2,092, which controls the same 100 shares. That's an 87% discount on the cost of purchasing the shares. As far as capital ef ciency is concerned, need we say more Plus, there's another added bene t embedded here that we haven't even discussed; black swan or crash risk. What if IWM crashes? What if the stock goes down 20% this week and trades at $137 for the next seven months? Does stock or a long call option give you more protection Your option contract has de ned and limited risk, whereas the stock shares carry all of the downside risks of a market crash. Trading the call option contract during this 20% drop would only leave you exposed to a $2,092 loss, or the value of the option contract, and nothing more. Holding long shares of stock during a 20% drop would yield a loss of $3,440, assuming IWM doesn't keep falling. Do you now understand why trading and investing in the underlying stock is so inef cient for investors? It's a poor vehicle for controlling and managing risk The $155 strike call options, which are well below the current share price and considered deep ITM, are at an .80 Delta and are trading for $20.92. In real dollar terms, each call option contract would cost $2,092 Now, let's pause here before we go any further and look at the trade-off between buying the stock outright and buying this deep ITM call option. The cost of 100 shares of IWM would be $17,200 vs. the cost to purchase a deep ITM call ? . ? . fi fi Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi . fi Chapter Five With the deep ITM call option at the $155 strike price now acting as our synthetic stock position, then the only remaining step to complete our covered call strategy is to sell the front-month OTM call options above where IWM is trading. Using the pricing table for the expiration 22 days from today, we might look to sell the $176 strike for $1.38 per contract. This additional premium reduces the cost basis on the price of the deep ITM call option we purchased from $20.92 to $19.54 overall. A 6.59% reduction in cost 55 of 65 Freeing up the additional capital with this one synthetic gives you much more exibility to diversify your portfolio with other covered call positions or hold cash in reserve. It always fascinates us that more investors don't think about or use options in this manner. The math and numbers certainly don't lie. But that's why we're writing this book after all! To help guide and education you on the choices available Now, are you ready for an even better strategy than the one presented above? Oh yes, I've been saving one of the best for last. Enter the pure option seller Synthetic Strategy #2: Short, Naked Put Option The nal and absolute best synthetic alternative to a covered call strategy, is to sell short put option contracts. Just mentioning the idea of trading short, naked options strikes fear into many traders as they are inherently associate it with being high risk and foolish. On the contrary, we believe, and the data supports, that stock ownership is high risk and foolish There you have it, a synthetic covered call position using LEAPS options with a fraction of the money invested and signi cantly lower risk. And when expiration comes in 22 days, just re-sell another OTM call option in the next frontmonth contracts while holding the same deep ITM call option in the further out expiration month. Repeat these mechanics every month moving forward to maintain the synthetic position s . . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fl fi . . fi fi Chapter Five Whatever prior connotations or beliefs you held about trading naked, unde ned risk or uncovered strategies, leave them at the door for a couple of minutes. We need you, and your portfolio needs you to keep an open mind about this as we walk through the setup. Once again, the numbers don't lie on which strategy ultimately generates the best return metrics, and carries the least risk 56 of 65 strike price of the short call option. At that point, the stock gains are offset on a one to one ratio by the short call option you sold. This is the trade-off for executing a covered call strategy, limited upside potential beyond your strike price in exchange for a higher probability of success overall by collecting the option premium and reducing your cost basis on the stock position To create a viable synthetic position that mimics that of the covered call strategy, we ideally need to nd an options strategy that generates the same payoff line shown to the left. If another strategy generates the same payoff line, then we can use it as a reliable synthetic, assuming it has a better risk and reward pro le Profit Long Stock As it turns out, a short, naked put option creates precisely the same payoff diagram as a traditional covered call. Upward sloping to the right, then levels off at some value representing the same de ned pro t or limited upside characteristics of a covered call strategy. Depending on the strike price of your short put option contract, the payoff diagram would be nearly identical to that of a covered call. Crazy cool Los Covered Call Recall from previous chapters that a covered call strategy purchases long stock and then sells an OTM call option above the market price. The blending of the two components creates the red payoff line shown; an upward sloping payoff until the strike price of the short call option and then a at payoff line at any stock price above that level Short line Call It makes rational sense why the red covered call payoff Low Stock Highanywhere Stock Price above the atlines or levels out Pric at stock prices fl . fi fi fi . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi e . Chapter Five s fl Before we reveal the performance of selling short puts to trading covered calls, let's discuss how and why this acts as a synthetic alternative. To understand any synthetic strategy, you need to understand the payoff diagram of the core, or traditional, covered call options strategy shown again below. 57 of 65 Profit Short Put Los With this new synthetic starting to take shape, let's look at an example using the same IWM position we used earlier. To collect as much premium as possible and mirror the payoff diagram of the covered call, let's sell the at-the-money (ATM), Low Stock Pric High Stock Price or near ATM, short put options. The $172 strike price is currently ATM, is quoted at $1.75 per contract, and expires 22 days from today To complete the synthetic trade, all you would do is sell this single (one) put option contract and nothing else. Don't purchase the underlying stock, don't buy deep ITM call options. Just become the option seller of the $172 strike put contract. That’s it . . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . e s Chapter Five "But Kirk, how can we sell something we don't even own yet?" Great question, and it brings up some critical points. First, you have to change gears mentally here a little and now think about the impact of this short put option contract from both the buyer and seller perspective. Fire up the brain cells from the Options Basics chapter about the rights and obligations of options contracts as opposed to the traditional stock investor's mindset of buying and selling shares 58 of 65 A put option buyer purchases the right, but not the obligation, to sell stock at the $172 strike price before or at expiration. The put option buyer pays a premium, $1.75 in this example, for this right to choose. If you are now the put option seller in this example, you collect the $1.75 premium and have an obligation to purchase stock from the option buyer at the $172 strike price if you are assigned on the contract. Easy so far and should make logical sense Next up is the slightly confusing part, or at least until you read the next couple pages. Since this is an uncovered or naked position, it means you are not required to own the stock when you enter the trade. "Hold up Kirk, so what happens if I'm assigned and need to buy the shares from the put option buyer? If you were assigned, you would purchase the shares from the put option buyer at the strike price of $172 per share. If you didn't want to hold the shares or continue to own the stock, you could immediately sell the shares back in the open market at whatever price the stock is trading at currently, say $171 per share. You have a net loss of $1 on the stock shares since you had to buy shares at $172 when they are only worth $171. But you forget something important. When you account for the option premium you collected of $1.75 initially on the sale of the put option contract, your net pro t is $0.75 per contract, even after the assignment. Do you see what happened? You made money even when the stock At this point, it might seem like selling put options is too good to be true? You collect a nice option premium up front from the option buyer, and you don't need to own the stock. Effectively no money out of your pocket to initiate the position; in fact, you're getting paid to initiate the trade, so what's the catch? What could go wrong? Let's discuss this Understand rst that dummies do not run brokers and the options exchanges. You wouldn't lend money to someone you knew had no means to repay the loan, would you? The same thing generally happens in the options market. The brokers and exchanges fully understand the risk associated with any position or options contract. They wouldn't let you sell the single put option contract without making sure that you have enough capital to cover the risk should the position go wrong When someone decides to sell a naked, unde ned risk put option contract, the brokers have to determine an effective way of mitigating the risk to approve the trade while also not requiring you to purchase the stock. So how do they do this? They calculate what is called a Margin Requirement You should think of Margin Requirements as really just a fancy way of saying that you need to have "reserves" that are set aside in your account to cover potential losses on your short put option position. They don't take the money out of . fi . fi . " Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi . Chapter Five traded lower because you collected the option premium as an option seller 59 of 65 your account; instead, they earmark a speci c dollar value to the trade and reduce the remaining funds available for new trades. The amount they will hold in margin depends on the broker and your account type, but let's assume for simplicity it is roughly 20% of the value of the underlying shares plus the option premium collected Using our IWM example, if the stock is trading at $172 per share and you were to sell the $172 put option for $1.75 per contract, the margin that would be required to execute this trade would be $3,615. The stock price of $172 X 20% + $1.75 option premium. Again, this money is not taken out of your account but rather reduces your available funds for trading to ensure that you have enough money to cover the risk of this position until it's closed or it expires If your brokerage account had a starting balance of $10,000, your broker would earmark $3,615 for this short put option, which leaves you with $6,385 in available funds for other trading or investing activities NOTE: The gure referenced above is just the initial margin that is required to enter the position. The on-going margin requirements needed to cover the risk goes up and down depending on the stock price, implied volatility, option pricing, etc. For this reason, we highly suggest you consider keeping short option contract trading, like short put options, to a minimum in your account and keep their position sizes small and manageable. As always, too much leverage can and will blow up your account if used incorrectly At this point, we've talked at length about the capital bene ts of selling short put options. And while all of these ef ciency points from a capital usage standpoint have merit, the real question is, how does the short put option strategy compare to the S&P 500? If a short put option performs worse than directly buying and holding the market index, there's no point in trading it Remember the research the CBOE did on the from earlier chapters? Well, they also tested the performance of trading just a single short naked put option, referred to as the “PutWrite Index” (PUT), and it generated nearly the same annualized return with dramatically less risk and volatility in the portfolio If that wasn't enough, the put selling strategy also saw higher Sharpe, Sortino, and Alpha metrics than the S&P 500 and the Buy-Write Indexes that track covered call strategies. In Fig. 3 you’ll notice that the trajectory of the PUT strategy was both more stable and continued to outperform the market in most periods. Since the goal of the PUT strategy is market-like performance with less volatility, we would expect the strategy to underperform slightly in bullish markets but outperform dramatically in bearish markets. This is exactly what happened and should continue to happen in the future. Plus, the more ef cient use of capital for a short put option frees you up to diversify into a wider basket of underlying ticker symbols fi fi . fi . ) . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. . fi fi . . . Chapter Five ATM Short Put Performance (Fig. 3 60 of 65 Figure 3: Value of $1 Invested - CBOE Put-Write Index Return (PUT) $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 SPX BXMD BXM PUT $0 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 Selling short put options generated an annualized return of 9.54% per year with a standard deviation, or portfolio volatility, of just 9.90% vs. 14.90% for the S&P 500. The maximum drawdown was also much lower at -35.50% vs. -50.90%, respectively. That's a 33% reduction in portfolio volatility and 15% more money during a market crash scenario . ? Chapter Five 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 No matter how you slice and dice it, option selling was a superior strategy when analyzing all facets of an investment strategy. Short put options witnessed higher returns, dramatically lower risk and portfolio, with a fraction of the capital exposure of long stock. Why was this the case though First, it might seem on the outside that the synthetic covered call via the LEAPS offered a cheaper position cost-wise than Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. 61 of 65 the short put option. And while that could be the case in some contract months, the additional transaction costs and structure of the LEAPS alternative was a drag on performance The LEAPS alternative required more transactions, at least one to purchase the deep ITM call and another to sell the OTM call in the front-month expiration, while the short put option only requires one transaction. More transactions mean more commissions paid to the broker, which drags down performance. Additionally, since LEAPS are a combination of options buying and options selling, the net effect of theta or time decay on the position was slowed, leading to potentially longer holding periods selling, most investors associate them with having insanely high risk and high volatility in their accounts because of what they have read online or heard on the news. But when you look at the data, particularly from a third-party source like the CBOE, the assumption that put option selling is risky is just not supported. If anything, it should be viewed as one of the leading candidates for covered call synthetic strategies Second, selling option premium has been proven, both by our research as well as many others, to offer a reliable and statistical edge over option buying strategies due to implied volatility’s over-expectation of option pricing. When options are priced, the implied volatility that market participants expect in the stock’s future movement is overstated in both directions long-term. People assume that stocks will move higher or lower than they actually do. This creates a mispricing in option premiums, similar to that of insurance contracts, which bene ts those who are net option sellers Conclusio It has often been said that "People don't know what they don't know." In the case of naked, unde ned risk option . . fi . Option Alpha © 2019. All Rights Reserved. fi . n Chapter Five 62 of 65 Final Thoughts… Congratulations on nishing this book It's quite an accomplishment and one that many investors did not reach. I'd even wager to say that just 10% or less of the people who started reading this book made it to the end where you are now. You should be very proud of yourself It's my sincere hope that this book was both an enlightening read as well as a con dence boost in believing that you can, and are now potentially even obligated based on the data, be able to beat the market performance with less risk. It's not some mythical unicorn, but it does take a healthy dose of discipline and consistency Options trading presents one of the most exceptional nancial opportunities for investors like you and me. I encourage you to use what you have learned in this book as the foundation from which to keep pushing forward and exploring new options strategies and new ways of generating income . . fi ! fi . fi Until next time, Happy Trading! Author Kirk Du Plessi Kirk is the founder and head trader at Option Alpha, which offers an all-in-one platform for retail investors and traders. Option Alpha is an industry leader in the options trading space with rst class education, groundbreaking research, integrated backtesting, as well as the rst end-to-end automation technology for options trading strategies Option Alpha and Kirk have been featured in dozens of publications including Barron's, Smart Money, Forbes, Nasdaq, and MarketWatch. The company was named to the #215 spot on the Inc. 500 in 2018 and the #723 spot on the Inc. 5000 in 2019 . fi . s fi fi fi Kirk is a former Mergers and Acquisitions Investment Banking Analyst for Deutsche Bank in New York, REIT Analyst for BB&T Capital Markets in Washington D.C., and options strategy consultant for multiple funds, family of ces, and nancial advisors. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Finance from the University of Virginia and lives in Pennsylvania with his wife and three children. Appendix & References CBOE Option Strategy Indexes: http://www.cboe.com/products/strategy-benchmark-indexes Options Basics Guide: https://www.optionseducation.org/strategies/all-strategies/covered-call-buy-write?prt=mx TD Ameritrade Margin Handbook: https://www.tdameritrade.com/retail-en_us/resources/pdf/AMTD086.pdf Pricing Table & Quote Screenshots: robinhood.com Covered Calls Performance Research Report: https://optionalpha.com/covered-calls Options involve risk and are not suitable for all investors. Prior to buying or selling an option, a person must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options (ODD). Copies of the ODD are available from your broker or from The Options Clearing Corporation, 125 S. Franklin Street, Suite 1200, Chicago, IL 60606. The information ins this book is provided solely for general education and information purposes and therefore should not be considered complete, precise, or current. Many of the matters discussed are subject to detailed rules, regulations, and statutory provisions which should be referred to for additional detail and are subject to changes that may not be re ected in the book information. No statement within the book should be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell a security or to provide investment advice. Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns . fi fl fi The Cboe S&P 500 BuyWrite Index (BXMSM), Cboe S&P 500 2% OTM BuyWrite Index (BXYSM), Cboe S&P 500 95-110 Collar Index (CLLSM) and Cboe S&P 500 PutWrite Index (PUTSM) and other Cboe benchmark indexes (the “Indexes”) are designed to represent proposed hypothetical buy-write strategies. Like many passive benchmarks, the Indexes do not take into account signi cant factors such as transaction costs and taxes. Transaction costs and taxes for a buy-write strategy could be signi cantly higher than transaction costs for a passive strategy of buying-and-holding stocks. Investors attempting to replicate the Indexes should discuss with their brokers possible timing and liquidity issues. Past performance does not guarantee future results. These materials contain comparisons, assertions, and conclusions regarding the performance of indexes based on backtesting, i.e., calculations of how the indexes might have performed in the past if they had existed. Backtested performance information is purely hypothetical and is provided in this document solely for informational purposes. Back-tested performance does not represent actual performance and should not be interpreted as an indication of actual performance. The methodology of the Indexes is owned by Cboe Exchange, Inc. Supporting documentation for statistics or other technical data is available by calling 1-888-OPTIONS, sending an e-mail to help@Cboe.com, or by visiting www.Cboe.com. Cboe®, Cboe Volatility Index® Execute Success® and VIX® are registered trademarks and BXM, BXR, BXY, CLL, PUT, BXMD, CMBO, BFLY, CNDR, CLLZ and PPUT are service marks of Cboe Exchange, Inc. Standard & Poor's®, S&P®, S&P 100®, S&P 500®, Standard & Poor's 500®, SPDR®, Standard & Poor's Depositary Receipts®, Standard & Poor's 500, 500, Standard & Poor's 100, 100, Standard & Poor's SmallCap 600, S&P SmallCap 600, S&P 500 Dividend Index, Standard & Poor's Super Composite 1500, S&P Super Composite 1500, Standard & Poor's 1500 and S&P 1500 are trade names or trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services, LLC. Any products that have the S&P Index or Indexes as their underlying interest are not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by S&P OPCO LLC ("Standard & Poor's") or Cboe and neither Standard & Poor's nor Cboe make any representations or recommendations concerning the advisability of investing in products that have S&P indexes as their underlying interests.