Education as Change ISSN: 1682-3206 (Print) 1947-9417 (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/redc20 The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy: Implications of the influence of Human Capital Theory on South African TVET policy Siphelo Ngcwangu To cite this article: Siphelo Ngcwangu (2015) The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy: Implications of the influence of Human Capital Theory on South African TVET policy, Education as Change, 19:3, 24-45, DOI: 10.1080/16823206.2015.1085620 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/16823206.2015.1085620 Published online: 23 Oct 2015. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 23 View related articles View Crossmark data Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=redc20 Download by: [Flinders University of South Australia] Date: 12 January 2016, At: 19:59 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 THE IDEOLOGICAL UNDERPINNINGS OF WORLD BANK TVET POLICY: IMPLICATIONS OF THE INFLUENCE OF HUMAN CAPITAL THEORY ON SOUTH AFRICAN TVET POLICY Siphelo Ngcwangu University of the Witwatersrand Siphelo.Ngcwangu@wits.ac.za ABSTRACT From taking a long-standing position against TVET, the World Bank’s most recent education policy has seen a shift to its promotion and then a seeming retraction. The World Bank argues that the occupational route to skills training is the better way to go. The Bank argues that the occupational route rather than general education provides better opportunities for employment in the labour market. The change in opinion – ironically for a bank devoted to market functionality – is a market failure in matching skills to employment opportunities. The World Bank defines the growth of the demand of TVET in many regions as resulting in a need for quality promotion, stronger regulation and allocation of more financial resources towards TVET. Recent academic critiques (Klees, Samoff & Stromquist 2012) of the World Bank’s 2020 (hereafter referred WBES 2020; World Bank 2011) strategy have looked at the broad educational focus of the WBES 2020. This article focuses on the Technical and Vocational Education and Training (TVET) aspects of WBES 2020. The World Bank has sought to go beyond financial lending and structural adjustment, which defined its policies in the 1970s and 1980s to ‘policy lending’ in which it uses intellectual capital to recommend policies for developing countries. These policies are premised university of south africa Education as Change Volume 19 | Number 3 | 2015 pp. 24–45 DOI: 10.1080/16823206.2015.1085620 Print ISSN 1682-3206 | Online 1947-9417 © 2015 The University of Johannesburg 24 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy largely on human capital theory assumptions about skills and education with a strong emphasis on ‘work relevant’ skills for development. A change in World Bank education policies since the 1980s is important to observe. It is apparent that the Bank’s lending portfolio for Vocational Education has declined significantly in the early 1980s until the mid-1990s against the backdrop of the Bank encouraging developing countries to invest more in basic education. This article analyses the convergence between national TVET policy of South Africa and the World Bank’s commitment to a market-driven approach to TVET. It argues that such an approach overlooks the possibility of alternative conceptualisations of TVET, which prioritise social justice and sustainable development. Given the deepening capitalist crisis as seen by the 2008 global financial crisis and the failure of market forces to create conditions for inclusive economic development, it is critical for TVET policy to be philosophically orientated towards promoting democratic citizenship towards a truly substantive democracy. What I show in this article is that the recent World Bank policy on TVET has internal contradictions and its recommendations are not likely to assist poor countries in dealing with socio-economic problems as they prioritise supply-side restructuring rather than broader economic structural reforms. One of the fundamental internal contradictions in the World Bank’s approach to education is that it maintains that ‘skills mismatches’ can be explained by market failure, yet it implies that the ‘skills mismatches’ will be solved by the market. Keywords: World Bank, human capital theory, neoliberalism, ideology, skills, employment, policy development, labour market INTRODUCTION Established as the International Bank for Reconstruction after World War II at the settlement of Bretton Woods, the World Bank started off with the specific aim of assisting countries in their efforts of reconstruction following the end of World War II. Over the years since the 1960s, the World Bank’s role has expanded in particular in relation to developing poor countries of the South mainly in Africa. The heavy indebtedness of the African countries in the post-colonial period resulted in the World Bank seeing this crisis as an opportunity to impose its infamous structural adjustment programmes (SAPs) on these countries, which kept some African countries under the policy control of the World Bank whereby they had to comply with the economic policy prescripts of the Bank. International agencies and multilateral bodies such as the World Bank, International Labour Organisation (ILO), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and other such structures have produced a variety of policy recommendations on skills and vocational education that have largely advanced a neo-liberal approach to skills development and vocational education. These have had a strong influence on education policy making in developing countries particularly over the last twenty 25 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy to thirty years. Within the rubric of globalisation, the World Bank’s policies on education, TVET and skills have emphasised the importance of ‘market efficiency’ in determining national education and training policies. Notions of market efficiency in education have had a bearing on educational policies in many developing countries such as South Africa and other countries. Education and training reforms in South Africa, such as Outcomes Based Education (OBE) and similar ‘market friendly’ policies, have had disastrous results in the schooling sector and also in the postschool state regulated training system. Baatjies, Baduza and Sibiya (2014:91) state that, as in other countries, South Africa is re-orienting its TVET system in order to harness TVET to national economic objectives as set out in National Skills Development Strategy (III), the National Development Plan (NDP) and various skills projects intended primarily to serve business and industry interests and to meet the singular interests of a largely unreconstructed labour market. As a result, the prevailing human capital policy in South Africa promotes an education and training culture marked by training orientated towards industry’s need for a highly skilled and flexible workforce necessary for competitiveness in the global economy. The challenge is how TVET can contribute to efforts at transcending the capitalist crisis rather than reinforcing its logic. This article addresses this concern by: (i) critiquing the ideological assumptions underpinning WBES 2020; and (ii) examining and critiquing the ideological assumptions underpinning South African TVET policy. A CRITICAL OVERVIEW OF WORLD BANK POLICIES ON EDUCATION, TRAINING AND SKILLS In a sense, the World Bank has sought to go beyond financial lending and structural adjustment that defined its policies in the 1970s and 1980s to ‘policy lending’ in which it uses intellectual capital to recommend policies for developing countries. These policies are premised largely on human capital theory assumptions about skills and education with a strong emphasis on ‘work relevant’ skills for development. There are two sets of writings that respond to two different World Bank policies on education, training and skills development. The first set is in response to the 1999 World Bank Education Sector Strategy and the second is based on the 2011 World Bank Education Strategy 2020. A change in World Bank education policies since the 1980s is important to observe, since it is apparent that the Bank’s lending portfolio for Vocational Education has declined significantly in the early 1980s until the mid1990s against the backdrop of the Bank encouraging developing countries to invest more in basic education. Bennell and Segerstrom (1998) have observed that ‘there has been a decisive shift of funding in favour of primary and junior secondary education and away from vocational education and training (VET). In 1984–1985, nearly 25% of new 26 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy education sector lending was devoted to VET projects. By 1996, this share had fallen to a mere 3% (Bennell and Segerstrom 1998:271). This was against the backdrop of the World Bank’s view that vocational education should be left to individuals or be provided in work places through private institutions. This reasoning is similar to the idea that publicly funded vocational education will not contribute to poverty reduction in developing countries. The tension between ‘productivist’ and ‘developmentalist’ assumptions about TVET is based on what the ultimate objective of TVET should be. According to Anderson (2009, cited in McGrath 2012:3), productivism is premised on two key assumptions: 1. 2. Training leads to productivity, leads to economic growth (training for growth) Skills lead to employability, lead to jobs (skills for work). The developmentalist logic on the other hand argues for a greater role in poverty reduction, human rights and human capabilities, all of which relate more to inclusion rather than the market-led approaches of the World Bank (Powell 2014). By inclusion I mean a more inclusive developmental approach, which focuses on reducing poverty and unemployment and also has a far more participatory inclination. Powell (2012; 2014) has characterised the relationship between poverty and VET as being of enabling community and worker empowerment, protest and resistance of the inhibiting structural shifts within the capitalist economy. The absence of such a perspective results in a sanitised narrative of development that places all countries on an equal playing field although they face different realities emerging from varying historical experiences. What is critical is how economies can be re-orientated to be more equitable in order to address problems of poverty and underdevelopment. Neoliberalism has taken the mantle of capitalist development in the late 20th century and into the 21st century and, through imperialism (cultural and economic), has shaped the main policy orientation of many governments in the South and the North. The contemporary shape of modern capitalism is seeing a significant shift from industrial manufacturing-based economies to services economies, which are often called ‘knowledge economies’ in which financial and other services have gained ascendancy over the traditional productive sectors of the economy in the twentieth century. Gorz remarks (2010:1): We are living through a period in which several modes of production coexist. Modern capitalism, centred on the valorisation of large quantities of material fixed capital, is increasingly giving way to a postmodern capitalism centred on the valorization of socalled immaterial capital, which is also termed “human capital”, “knowledge capital” or “intelligence capital”. The contemporary manifestations of neo-liberalism can be summed up as the promotion of the market mechanism to direct the fate of human beings by dictating its 27 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy rules to society, not the other way around. Neoliberalism focuses on market solutions, by criticising the efficiency and equity of government interventions (George 1999; Klees 2012). Human capital theory predates neoliberalism and is understood by its proponents such as Becker (1964; 1993) as human capital that corresponds to any stock of knowledge or characteristics the worker has (either innate or acquired) that contributes to his or her ‘productivity’. Becker’s conception associates ‘skills’ with the neo-classical ideas of ‘human capital theory’ (HCT), which seeks to extend economic theory to explain the entirety of human behaviour. Human capital theory therefore advances a linear concept of change in which educational attainment equates to economic success, but this linearity is decontextualised from the configurations of power and the purposeful actions of capitalist producers. As Sears (2003:76) states: It is not necessarily obvious, then, that neo-liberal governments should be pushing for state intrusion into the job training realm at a time when a rapidly changing occupational structure makes the identification of future needs virtually impossible. The need for “flexibility” in conditions of rapid change would seem to constitute a strong argument for general rather than vocational education. The rapidly changing occupational structure of capitalist industries makes it virtually impossible for the state to make accurate assessments of future skills requirements. The manpower planning models of the 1970s, which suggested a linear approach to labour market planning, have been criticised by a number of scholars (Windham 1975; Psacharopoulos 1991; Klees 1986) for lacking flexibility, being unable to capture the range of variables that influence the labour market and the likelihood that they will present a static picture of manpower requirements. As Windham (1975:189) states, manpower planning has come under increasingly strong criticism for its failure to meet the society’s supposed need for a development-oriented educational programme. The main assumptions of manpower planning are: 1. The economic system is dependent upon the education system to provide manpower with the education and training necessary to promote economic growth; 2. Low substitutability between skills and education exists and therefore specific education-occupation paths may be determined; and 3. Increases in the demand for forms of educated manpower may be predicted on the basis of predictions of output changes-this is done via the further assumption that the future employment-output ratios are themselves predictable. For Psacharopoulos (1991:460), the extreme manpower planning would be valid only in a static and dictatorial society where, say, 1 000 electrical engineers would be produced in the year 1995 and ordered by decree to fill 1 000 electrical engineering slots, and remain there until the year 2035 or to the end of their productive life. However, the future is not so clear cut. Planners forget that economic progress and 28 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy societal well-being come from unanticipated changes in the way we do things. These critiques of manpower planning and education planning in general have been influenced by economists’ version of what should be the tight alignment between education and the economy. This is the backdrop against which World Bank education policies have been developed since the 1970s, and these policies have strongly influenced African governments’ planning for education and the labour market. An important trend in the writings that support the human capital theory perspectives is that they tend to be supported by think tanks financed by big companies such as J.P. Morgan, which strengthens the popular appeal of these views in the mainstream media. Human capital theory reduces individual workers to a bundle of technical skills that are fed into the economy. Therefore, while it successfully challenges the limited understanding of “capital” in classical economics it perpetuates a “mechanistic” view of the individual worker (Brown 2001:13). The notion of human capital is insufficient to describe the variety of forces that drive the development of human beings, neither is it sufficient in providing a holistic critique of the myriad factors that contribute to unemployment, inequality and poverty. Sears (2003) argues that ‘Technological change in capitalist society has not usually been associated with a generalized increase in skill requirements’ (Sears 2003:59). Livingstone (2012) has maintained that the biggest challenge to human capital theory is the evident societal underemployment of credentialed knowledge, which flies in the face of arguments that higher levels of education improve ‘productivity’. Instead of identifying this as an anomaly inherent to capitalist accumulation, human capital theory advocates tend to argue that graduate unemployment is merely a fault of students and failure of institutions to provide students with ‘useful’ knowledge that can be used in the labour market. As a result, some university and TVET programmes are then defined as ‘irrelevant’ for the modern high paced technologically developed economy. According to Rose (2006:1019): The rise of human capital allowed the World Bank to justify its own involvement in education, it also provided a rationale for the World Bank to reassess the relative role of states and markets in education. World Bank-supported research put forward efficiency and equity arguments to justify setting a price for consumers. The World Bank’s Education Strategy 2020 advances an agenda of individual responsibility for skills training in which one’s productivity is based on individual choices. As a result, failure to acquire employment opportunities is blamed on the individual rather than seen as an outcome of policy choices. Critics such as De Siqueira (2012:70) have argued: ‘Regarding individuals the Bank presents a reductionist perspective of education and learning, as an individual must become skilled to increase “his or her” individual productivity, as though production were not a collective process, and aims solely at the adaptation of new technologies rather 29 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy than at their creation’. In a similar vein, others such as Vally and Spreen (2012:177) maintain that Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 World Bank Education Strategy 2020 conveniently transfers the responsibility for unemployment to individual deficiencies, implying that lack of employment is a reflection of a person’s skills level and abilities instead of an intrinsic weakness of the economic structure and how employment is distributed. In this sense it remains an ideological hoax that ends up blaming the victims. Taking into account changes in the structure of the world economy and its modalities of reproduction, Soudien (2002) argues that ‘while the World Bank understands the centrality of education in the information economy, it is not focusing its attention on those elements of the subject which matter most. The Bank needs to recognize how much governments have been weakened and how their welfare capacities have diminished’ (Soudien 2002:447). For Klees (2012:49), while the World Bank pretends everyone – countries, bilaterals, multilaterals, civil society, and more – is in partnership with it, it is the World Bank that takes the lead on education policy. With its periodic strategy reports and a virtual juggernaut of research done internal to the World Bank or financed by it, it decides on the global directions for education policy, backed by grant and loan money that ensures countries follow those directions. One example is the WBES 2020 wherein the World Bank suggests that developing countries should leverage private funding for TVET as the demand for TVET is growing. ‘Beyond basic education, demand for tertiary education and for technical and vocational education and training (TVET) is growing in every region served by the Bank. Given the higher cost of these education services, cost-effectiveness and returns to investments are principal concerns’ (World Bank 2011:36). One approach is for governments to leverage the growth of private tertiary and TVET institutions by implementing quality assurance and equality promotion systems (World Bank 2011:36). I show below how World Bank policy has shifted since the 1990s such that by the 2000s the World Bank’s position on TVET had shifted from discouragement to support – though under certain conditions. The report downplays public provision – arguing consistently for the conditions that make private VET provision both more feasible and better. The World Bank has changed its position from focusing on primary education rather than secondary and higher education. ‘With expanding demand for higher education in developing countries and the growth of a global information technology, the Bank’s emphasis on only primary education has become untenable’ (Kamat 2012:33). By 2011 the release of the World Bank’s Education Strategy 2020, an expanded all-inclusive definition of education was emphasised, in which all levels of education are seen as necessary steps to achieving development goals. This has been reformulated by the World Bank into a popular phrase of Learning for All, which is promoted as an all-inclusive education policy approach accommodating all 30 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy role players from faith-based organisations to private education providers. In reality though what is embedded in this Learning for All logic is a further deregulation of education and the consolidation of the neoliberal positions of the World Bank. As Kamat (2012:45) suggests, ‘the World Bank’s view is that the capitalist economy is an immutable and permanent reality and education policy must simply adapt to the logic and requirements of this economy even if it means insecurity and vulnerability for a vast majority’. Overall, the view of many educational critics of the World Bank’s 2020 Education Strategy is that it is overly economistic in the way that it views education. As Soudien (2012:96) states, ‘there is much in Learning for All that is puzzling. The Bank’s signature discourse – a narrow definition of skills and knowledge – remains prominent. The questions, “What are the strengths of our system? Where are the weaknesses? Are children and youth acquiring the knowledge and skills that they need?,” posed regularly throughout the document, are invariably answered in an economistic way’. Taken as a whole, these policies of education and training by the World Bank since the 1990s have signalled a shift to a focus on technical vocational education and skills’ training for employment, signalling that the Bank sees these areas as critical to ameliorating the development challenges in poorer countries. What I have cited above are the contestations over the World Bank’s conceptualisation of the problems of development and the role of education. Implicit ideological assumptions of World Bank proposals are that improving skills training alone could provide solutions to the structural problems of unemployment and development through the provision of human capital out of national education and training systems. The shift in World Bank TVET policy can be traced from the early 1990s. In May 1991 the Bank released a paper titled Vocational and Technical Education and Training: A World Bank policy paper, which essentially argues that priority must be on primary and secondary education with training playing a complementary role. The paper states: Training in the private sector-by private employers and in private training institutionscan be the most effective and efficient way to develop the skills of the work force. In the best cases employers train workers as quickly as possible for existing jobs. Costs are low compared with training before employment, and trained workers are placed automatically in jobs that use their skills. Larger employers often have the technology, and their supervisors have the expertise, to train in both traditional and newly emerging skills. Even the very small unregulated enterprises of the rural and urban informal sectors can provide the training needed for existing technologies and production practices (World Bank 1991:7). In this earlier period, the World Bank saw very little role of public provisioning of pre-employment training and therefore saw public training as complementing the training done by the private sector, its priority was Primary and Secondary education. As seen in the report: 31 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 This paper proposes an approach to the design of public training policies that can help policymakers create strategies that ensure that the skills needed by the economy are developed and that equity objectives for the poor and socially disadvantaged are effectively addressed. The key elements of this approach are strengthening primary and secondary education, encouraging private sector training, improving effectiveness and efficiency in public training, and using training as a complement to equity strategies (World Bank ibid.:8). The position of the World Bank then shifted to more support for more TVET but through private provisioning. Since that time, the experience of reform of VET in both poor and rapidly growing countries has pointed to new directions in making skills more relevant for economies in which private sector employment has grown increasingly dominant. Debates concern both costs and relevance. In March 2000 the World Bank in conjunction with the International Labour Organisation (ILO) released a report titled Vocational Education and Training Reforms: Matching skills to markets and jobs edited by Indermit, Fluitman and Dar (2000). The report argues for a stronger matching of skills to markets and budgets. Regardless of the mechanisms through which VET is supplied, it is critical that these programmes target groups that will most benefit from them. This is because VET is more effective when used for some purposes (for instance to meet clearly observed, current labor market demands), than for others (such as keeping less gifted students out of higher education or helping the unemployed find jobs) (Indermit et al. 2000:33). The report reflected the World Bank’s thinking around key tensions that influence VET in the countries surveyed for the study. The tensions relate to the role of TVET in the context of high unemployment rates, lower levels of labour absorption, redirecting of students from higher education to TVET and the threat of greater public funding for TVET ‘crowding out’ private providers. This signals a departure from the Bank’s original ideas in the early 1990s that general education should be prioritised while skills training should be done mainly through employers training. The emphasis in the report by Indermit et al. (ibid.) is that resourcing of TVET by the state should be limited and that provision should be done more by private providers. The position adopted by the World Bank through its WBES 2020 paper, which it published in 2011 and wherein it changes its tune and states that ‘[t]he challenge is to give these young people appropriate opportunities to consolidate their basic knowledge and competencies, and then equip them with technical or vocational skills that promote employment and entrepreneurship’ (World Bank 2011). In essence, what the shift in the World Bank’s approach has entailed is the emphasis on skills as being necessary for growth, which would be achieved through vocational education. In other words, the World Bank sees the vocational education approach as the solution to the unemployment challenge and that TVET per se can promote both employability and entrepreneurship. This is different from the emphases in early strategies (1990 and 2000) that emphasise a greater role for general education while TVET and skills training should be more complementary to the schooling system. 32 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy The WBES 2020 also emphasises a ‘systems approach’. It states: Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 The system approach to education reform recognizes employers as key stakeholders in education and regards nonformal skills training as part of a continuum of learning opportunities for acquiring key knowledge and skills. Efforts are underway in the Bank, in collaboration with development partners, to develop a framework and tools to measure the skills and competencies of a country’s labor force. One aim of these efforts is to increase the share of education projects that include labor-market objectives and thereby improve the acquisition of workforce skills’ (World Bank 2011:44). This systems approach is not clearly explained nor is it supported by evidence. Klees (2012:59) argues that the World Bank’s system approach is a resuscitated form of systems analysis that was popular in the 1960s and 1970s. Systems analysis took a simplistic view of a linear and mechanical connection between inputs, processes and outputs (with perhaps a feedback loop included). However, it was strongly critiqued from its inception and is generally considered outmoded today. These shifts in World Bank policy on TVET since the 1990s signal the depth of ideologically based assumptions about the preferences of private provision of skills training and TVET with a limited role by the state, which is mostly confined to regulation. This emphasis is premised on the belief by World Bank policy makers that too much state involvement can ‘crowd out’ private providers. The irony in the shifts within World Bank policy on TVET is that the Bank first emphasised the role of general education, then retracted slowly – as it saw demand for post school education increasing in developing countries – to a more bureaucratic approach centred on linking skills to budgets and markets, and now in the WBES 2020 it sees TVET as central to promoting entrepreneurship and employment. I now examine briefly the tension within WBES 2020 about whether the focus should be on skills for jobs or jobs for skills. SKILLS FOR JOBS OR JOBS FOR SKILLS? INTERNAL CONTRADICTIONS IN THE WORLD BANK’S APPROACH TO TVET AND EMPLOYMENT One of the fundamental internal contradictions in the World Bank’s approach to education is that it maintains that ‘skills mismatches’ can be explained by market failure, yet it implies that the ‘skills mismatches’ will be solved by the market. The WBES states that supplying skills is important but that there exists a ‘mismatch’ between skills and the economy (also see World Bank STEPS 2014 document). At another level the World Bank argues that some skills are best learnt on the job through ‘on-the-job training’. The notion of ‘demand’ for skills is problematic because it relies on an idea of demand based narrowly on employer needs. However, many employers are unable to explain exactly what demand they require and how it 33 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy exactly fits into their requirements as those requirements themselves remain elusive due to the dynamics of capitalist turnover times and the lack of job opportunities. A further dilemma is around the paradox of growth without jobs, which is critical in a context where many African countries have been growing their economies at high levels, with some, such as Ghana, at rates of 4–5% per annum (King 2009), yet being unable to create mass employment opportunities. The ‘skills mismatches’ or ‘skills shortages’ debate arises in the context of the above ideological discourses (see the section on human capital theory) and approaches to the study of skills. It is these ideological perspectives (particularly the neoliberal ones) that inform the debate about shortage, mismatch or surplus of skills. Skills shortages or mismatch discourse has taken shape in South Africa over a long period since the 1980s and even earlier, and some scholars sought to show that the skills question is underpinned by a discourse of legitimation. For example, Chisholm (1984) notes: The skills shortage, irrespective of whether there is an actual shortage or not, plays a powerful part in negotiating the discourse of legitimation. It appears to be used as a rationale for bringing about changes which cannot be brought about directly since various class interests are thereby threatened. These changes are nevertheless essential in securing the support of certain categories of black workers and in legitimating continued exploitation of workers, albeit under different conditions (Chisholm 1984:405). The skills issue is framed by mainstream labour economists as being a problem of ‘frictional’ misalignment between ‘supply’ and ‘demand’, when the problem is actually more about a systemic misalignment, as Lehulere (2013) has argued. This misalignment therefore must be discovered ex post, it cannot be taken as given or axiomatic. The direction production must take is essentially a question of power. Skill arises as part of this decision making process in which workers and government do not form part. Skills invariably always have to be recalibrated and ‘retooled’ in order to comply with the changes in the structure of production. The South African labour market has not only been divided along racial lines but is also fragmented due to the concentrated ownership patterns in the economy. Therefore discussing skills ‘mismatch’, ‘shortage’ or ‘scarcity’ has to account for the structure of the prevailing labour market. What also confounds the issue is that a person goes through the schooling system for twelve years, goes on to complete up to four years of tertiary education only to be informed by authorities and researchers that they do not have the skills. As Baker (2012:106) argues, ‘It would be a strange world if after most people were socialized in formal school instruction lasting from 12 to 16-plus years of their lives during which they learned these skills and value them in themselves and others, that the world of work did not reflect this change.’ Unemployment data in South Africa are well known. According to Treat (2014), official unemployment, narrowly defined, is around 25%, but unofficially it is closer to 50% with estimates for young people being as high as 74%. This unemployment 34 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 rate is often attributed to ‘skills shortages’ and exorbitant hiring costs, all of which need to be ‘lowered’ in order for capitalists to hire more workers. The result of this is that the education system gets blamed for apparent inadequacy in addressing employment challenges. Critics of this explanation argue that: Education might increase employability but is not an automatic guarantee for full employment; that an instrumentalist view of the role of education is unhelpful especially as such a view is always based on a raft of unjustified claims about the outcomes of education and skills in capitalist societies; that education and training is not simply a handmaiden for resolving the problems of low economic output; and that a wide range of exogenous factors and social relations (inherent in all societies) circumscribe the potential value of education and training (Vally and Motala 2014:31). The skills shortages issue is therefore used in the dominant market-led discourse as a singular explanation of the ‘cause’ of unemployment. It is also part of the dehumanising discourses that the capitalist system uses to assert control over society. The dominance of the skills definition by employers has resulted in a narrowing of the notion of skill and skills shortage to only apply to employer requirements that prioritise profit maximisation and sustainability of big businesses (mainly). John Treat has remarked recently on the narrowing of the concept of skills when it is deployed narrowly only on enhancing employability: Often discussions of skills and employment focus only on a very narrow range of skills, namely, those that will encourage someone to hire jobseeksers. In South Africa as in many other countries, there is an added emphasis on formal qualifications and formally recognized skill. In some cases there is a good reason for this: for example if you choose to go to a doctor or a dentist, you may wish to be sure that this person has the formal training they claim to have. However, in many cases, formal qualifications may have little to do with people’s skills, or their abilities to perform effectively in a particular role (Treat 2014:181). Other authors such as Guy Standing, in his seminal book, The precariat: A dangerous new class, argue that there are not any countries that have an accurate sense of skills available in their populations. There is always a shortage, insofar as one cannot see a limit to potential human competencies. However, no country in the world has a measure of the stock of the skills of its population, and standard indicators such as years of schooling should be regarded as woefully inadequate. Is a garderner or a plumber unskilled because he/she has no secondary or tertiary schooling? One might claim rather the reverse – that modern market society has a “skills excess” in that millions of people have bundles of skills that they have no opportunity to exercise or refine (Standing 2011:122). The issue of skills in general is elusive as all attempts at defining skills shortages show there is no common understanding on what a skills shortage is. This implies that the problem rests not merely with definition but with the politics behind it. So, while the World Bank claims to be siding with the poor, what in fact transpires through 35 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy its policies is that it will only do this by adopting the market logic of structural adjustment having profound effects as we have seen on the systems of education and training especially in the African continent and other developing societies. According to Hoogvelt (1997:184): Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Structural adjustment has tied the physical resources of Africa more firmly into servicing the “old” segment of the global economy. At the same time it has oiled the financial machinery by which wealth is being transported out of the region, thereby removing the very resources which are needed by dynamic adjustment to the “new” global economy. This movement of financial resources has occurred through the extension of Structural Adjustment Loans (SALs) by both the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. The SALs were provided in exchange for neoliberal reforms in trade, macro-economic and fiscal policies. ‘The main features of what would characterize adjustment lending for the next two decades for the IMF and World Bank: fiscal adjustment, getting the prices right, trade liberalization, and, in general, a movement towards free markets and away from state intervention’ (Easterly 2005:3). The result of this has been that neoliberal policies, which undermine human development and reduce social spending, have put pressure on African economies to focus on deficit reduction rather than social investments. Within this context, vocational education is being reduced to skills training and being fragmented, a consequence of the neoliberal agenda of restructuring and fragmenting the labour market and work reorganisation to promote ‘multi-skilling’, ‘lean’ production and other similar objectives. These approaches are shaped largely by the logic of human capital theory (as per above discussion), which has had a strong influence on policy making in developing countries, particularly over the past few decades. In the South African Economic update – Focus on inequality of opportunity report, the World Bank defines the equality of opportunity principle as follows: ‘[I]deally, only one person’s effort, innate talent, choices in life, and to an extent sheer luck, would be the influencing forces. This is at the core of the equality of opportunity of opportunity principle’ (World Bank 2012:xii). According to the World Bank, TVET has a mixed record due to institutional failures, distance from the private sector, slow response to rapidly changing skills needs and capture by providers. The World Bank argues that some skills – such as social skills – are best taught in the workplace and the solution (according to the Bank) is learning through jobs. The 1999 World Bank Education Sector Strategy has, among other goals, the expansion of education systems in developing countries and investment in ‘human capital’, which the policy sees as a way of bringing returns in the form of economic growth. These are indeed laudable goals that could constitute a minimal intervention in the face of prevailing development challenges. However, as Hickling-Hudson (2002:566) maintains: 36 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 [O]n the surface, these might all be satisfactory strategies by themselves, but when considered in the context of the reality of the impoverished countries that turn to the World Bank for education loans, they are problematic unless the economies of these countries are significantly strengthened. The focus of the World Bank’s education strategy on goals divorced from their ideological assumptions is like a magic wish-list, giving a distorted understanding of global educational problems and possibilities. It is against this backdrop of three decades of World Bank policymaking on TVET and broadly education and training that I now focus on the South African TVET policy trajectory and how the above-mentioned ideological influences have impacted the South African TVET policies. INFLUENCE OF HUMAN CAPITAL THEORY ON SOUTH AFRICAN TVET POLICY South African TVET, unlike TVET in other developing contexts, is funded through the South African Treasury rather than the World Bank. South African TVET policy has not vacillated in its commitment to the advancing TVET and has, for the past five years (some would argue 10 and more), moved steadfastly towards the goal of an expanded TVET sector. As noted in this article, World Bank TVET policy (despite its vacillations) has promoted a free market approach, and been particularly committed to private TVET and enterprise training. This is softenened in the South African context where the commitment to a publicly funded and financially supported TVET has grown. There are heightened expectations in South Africa that TVET can contribute to better employment prospects for unemployed youths and those seeking employment. Increasingly, policy makers present TVET as a solution to the unemployment crisis as vocational and technical courses are seen to provide greater prospects of employment in the labour market. According to StatsSA (2014a), one in every three young people aged 15–24 years (32.2%) were not in employment and not in education/training (NEET). This proportion (the NEET rate) was higher among young women at 34.5% than among young men (29.9%). The table below breaks down youth unemployment by ‘race’, showing that African and Coloured youth are experiencing higher numbers of unemployment. TVET policy in South Africa and other countries is increasingly confined to ‘responsiveness’ to employer requirements and the promotion of ‘employability’. According to Wedekind (2014:60), both the concepts of responsiveness and employability can be linked to human capital theory (HCT, that is, the investment in education and training that raises productivity, leads to economic growth, and improves individual life chances), which dominates discussions about education and development. Much of the debate about the role of TVET is framed by this approach. 37 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 The philosophical basis of human capital theory draws from some economists’ emphasis on the returns to education and the prospects of improved salary earnings in the labour market due to the levels of education attained. However, these economists tend to reduce the value of education merely to its relevance in the economy rather than as being a good in itself. Tikly (2013:12) remarks: Rather than see education and skills as a good in themselves, exponents of human capital theory prefer to see them as an objective factor in production. There is often a positivistic bias in human capital inspired writing and research and the lack of an overt normative framework for engaging with issues such as inequality and marginalisation. Baatjies et al. (ibid.:81) have argued that the escalating interest in vocational education is driven, among others, by the marginal status of vocational training and the selective inclusion of students and workers in non-formal education and training programmes historically. Over the past decade, the importance of vocational education came into sharp focus as radical changes in the global economic system, combined with scientific and technological innovation and transfer, demanded new (largely formal) ways of preparing youth and adults for the labour market. The Department of Higher Education and Training (DHET) launched a White Paper on Post School Education and Training (PSET), which identifies the youth unemployment problem as the main challenge to be addressed through building an integrated Post-School Education and Training system. The White Paper proposes increasing access to TVET colleges as part of addressing the problem of high numbers of youth unemployment: Government expects that TVET colleges will become the cornerstone of the country’s skills development system. Headcount enrolments increased from 345 566 in 2010 to an estimated 550 000 in 2013; enrolments are expected to increase to one million by 2015 and 2.5 million by 2030 (DHET 2013:13). The DHET aims to exponentially increase the number of TVET enrolments by 2030 to around 4 million. The possibility of such targets being reached is debated continuously by policy makers as access and interest in TVET is informed by a range of factors, including culture and attitudes to education. Many young South Africans are geared more to university education as it is perceived as a direct route to middle class occupations and careers. As Baatjies et al. (ibid.:83–84) argue, resistance to participation in vocational education comes at a time when there are not enough jobs, including increasing numbers of students with vocational qualifications and university degrees. Increasing joblessness and underemployment among graduates is now being explained as a failure of curriculum models, including the lack of proper work-based learning or work-integrated tools that fail to provide the proper skills required by the labour market. Yet, the dominant discourse of policy argues for the massification of vocational education as an emancipator instrument to address the phenomenon of stubbornly high unemployment. 38 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy At the core of the expansion of the TVET sector as envisaged by the White Paper is the expansion of ‘supply’ in order to meet ‘demand’, which, as the World Bank states, is based on jobs availability or that skills will lead to jobs as the World Bank Jobs report suggests. The reality is that the capitalist labour market is anarchic and results in a fragmentation of workers underpinned by neoliberalism. This fragmentation leads to the increasing casualisation of workers, lower wages and worsening youth unemployment. The labour market is a realm of unequal power relations, therefore participation is important, but how the poor and working class participate is equally important. Notions of responsiveness to employer needs arise against this backdrop of discourse and empirical evidence about the rationale for TVET expansion and growth in South Africa. Scholars such as Amsden (2010) argue that purely emphasising supply provision or expansion without dealing with demand side restructuring in order to create jobs may prove futile for countries seeking to widen employment opportunities. Amsden (2010) argues that in the presence of high unemployment at all levels, improving the capabilities of job seekers will only lead to more unemployment and not to more paid employment or self-employment. To believe that improving only the supply side of the labour market is enough to reduce poverty without also improving the demand side, and investing in jobs, is logically flawed and subject to the same error as Say’s Law – that supply creates its own demand (Amsden 2010:57). Critics of the underlying logic of the government’s TVET policy in the postapartheid era argue that, like other policies directed at addressing ‘skills shortages’, TVET policies tend to prioritise problems of the prevailing labour market, which are closely aligned to employability. Baatjies et al. (ibid.:88) have stated that in effect the post-apartheid state has created a plethora of policies that seeks to address the challenges posed by ‘skills shortages’ at the intermediate levels, ostensibly to address the challenges of poverty, unemployment and inequality, but in reality to respond to the demands of the prevailing labour market. Vally and Motala (2014) have recently argued in a critically acclaimed book titled Education, economy and society and in a challenge to Howard Becker’s notion of human capital theory that: Human capital theory suggested that education or training raises the productivity of workers by imparting useful knowledge and skills, hence raising workers’ future income by increasing their lifetime earnings. He argued that expenditure on training and education is costly, and should be considered an investment since it is undertaken for the purpose of increasing personal incomes. The consequence of this was to regard education as just such an investment – as distinct from investments in consumption whose benefits were regarded as immediate (Vally and Motala 2014:29). The neoliberal approach to skills underpinned by human capital theory can be summed up as an approach that privileges market-based ideologies, advances a productivist approach to skill and education, conceptualises change in a linear 39 Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy fashion particularly in relation to the labour market and reduces the value of education to a ‘return on investment’. As Wedekind (ibid.:57) has stated, faith in investment in human capital as a means for addressing South Africa’s economic and social challenges is widespread, not only in government but also in wider society. Inevitably, South Africa’s TVET colleges are mentioned as part of the solution. According to Baatjies et al. (ibid.:82), vocational and instrumental learning, while oriented to narrow economic interests, also inculcates a particular philosophical orientation significantly shaping and affecting how educators view their roles and the purposes of vocational education; the beliefs they hold about their students; the way in which select, use and design curricula; as well as how they facilitate learning. One of the central concerns within this discourse is the role of vocational education institutions as democratic sites of learning in educating citizens and encouraging a commitment to social change and increasing levels of social equality. CONCLUSION The World Bank 2020 education vision is ambiguous in terms of what it seeks to achieve. On one hand, it speaks of jobs requiring skills, while, on the other hand, it speaks of skills as necessary for creating jobs. The critics of the World Bank 2020 education policy have argued that its ideological framework is neoliberal and that it privileges market-based solutions to addressing education challenges. Since its inception in 1944, the World Bank focused on rebuilding Europe after World War II, and throughout the 1960s the Bank implemented structural adjustment policies that placed many poor African countries in debt after taking loans from the bank. These countries then had to acquiesce to World Bank prescribed policies of economic and social reform. In recent times, the Bank has added to its responsibilities the task of policy development and policy lending, particularly in the education sector. What I have shown in this article is that the recent World Bank policy on TVET has internal contradictions and its recommendations are not likely to assist poor countries in dealing with socio-economic problems as they prioritise supply-side restructuring rather than broader economic structural reforms. I then focused the article around the World Bank’s approach to TVET since the 1990s and the nature of the shifts in World Bank policy approaches to TVET. The article has shown how the ideological influence of human capital theory has also impacted the South African TVET policy. By this I am showing the need for alternative theorisations that can rescue TVET policy from the narrow constraints of human capital theory and neoliberalism. As Baatjies et al. (2014:89) have argued, TVET is increasingly being centred as the sites of skills formation that can develop the human capital for increased economic growth and to address the unemployment crisis. There is an urgent need to map an alternative theory of skills formation that is not hostage to human capital theory. The article has sought to contribute to the broad 40 Ngcwangu The ideological underpinnings of World Bank TVET policy field of education, training and skills development and specificially to the literature on TVET. Downloaded by [Flinders University of South Australia] at 19:59 12 January 2016 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I wish to acknowledge the contributions of Dr. Veerle Dieltiens and Prof. Stephanie Allais to the conceptualisation of this article and the development of the argument. Their encouragement helped me persevere through the writing of the paper. Dr. Mondli Hlatshwayo and Dr. David Balwanz both gave ideas on how the paper can be structured to illuminate the arguments more clearly. I am truly grateful to them as well. REFERENCES Amsden, A. 2010. Say’s law, poverty persistence, and employment neglect. Journal of Human Development and Capabilities: A Multi-Disciplinary Journal for People-Centred Development 11(1):57–66. Anderson, D. 2009. Productivism and ecologism: Changing dis/courses in TVET. In J. Fien, R. Maclean & M.G. Park (Eds.), Work, learning and sustainable development. Dordrecht: Springer. Baatjies, I., Baduza, U. & Sibiya, A.T. 2014. 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