Disaster Risk Reduction Methods, Approaches and Practices Chandra Bahadur Shrestha Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake Laying the Foundation for Resilience Disaster Risk Reduction Methods, Approaches and Practices Series Editor Rajib Shaw, Keio University, Shonan Fujisawa Campus, Fujisawa, Japan Disaster risk reduction is a process that leads to the safety of communities and nations. After the 2005 World Conference on Disaster Reduction, held in Kobe, Japan, the Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) was adopted as a framework for risk reduction. The academic research and higher education in disaster risk reduction has made, and continues to make, a gradual shift from pure basic research to applied, implementation-oriented research. More emphasis is being given to multi-stakeholder collaboration and multi-disciplinary research. Emerging university networks in Asia, Europe, Africa, and the Americas have urged process-oriented research in the disaster risk reduction field. With this in mind, this new series will promote the output of action research on disaster risk reduction, which will be useful for a wide range of stakeholders including academicians, professionals, practitioners, and students and researchers in related fields. The series will focus on emerging needs in the risk reduction field, starting from climate change adaptation, urban ecosystem, coastal risk reduction, education for sustainable development, community-based practices, risk communication, and human security, among other areas. Through academic review, this series will encourage young researchers and practitioners to analyze field practices and link them to theory and policies with logic, data, and evidence. In this way, the series will emphasize evidence-based risk reduction methods, approaches, and practices. Chandra Bahadur Shrestha Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake Laying the Foundation for Resilience Chandra Bahadur Shrestha National Reconstruction Authority Kathmandu, Nepal ISSN 2196-4106 ISSN 2196-4114 (electronic) Disaster Risk Reduction ISBN 978-981-19-6675-0 ISBN 978-981-19-6676-7 (eBook) https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7 © The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed. 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The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721, Singapore For Pami, Shamesh, Sofi, Saujanya and Richa Enduring Earthquake inflicted agony together Foreword Earthquakes produce indelible scars in the subconscious mind of the people while the conscious mind tends not to remember the sufferings, pains and disruptions caused in the lives of the affected population. Usually, a devastating earthquake occurs at least once in the life of a person living in high seismicity Himalayan region, one of the global bastions of human civilizations. Learning from the experience of sufferings and internalization of the lessons learned is what is required for a society to ensure continuity of its culture, traits, and historical identity for the next generation. Nepalese are apt in expressing the devastation and human sufferings traditionally in folklore songs and in modern times, by writing books. There are many books dedicated to the descriptions of the impact of M7.8 Gorkha earthquake of 2015 that inflicted more than nine thousand casualty and destroyed the lives and livelihoods built around a million houses in Nepal. Chandra Bahadur Shrestha’s book—Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake: Laying the Foundation for Resilience has tried also to fulfill this historic mission of transferring the lessons learned to the next generation by continuing the tradition set by late Major General Brahma Shamsher J. B. R., who already in 1936, presented not only detailed accounts of death and devastation but also a sincere and objective analysis of the cause effect relations of the impact of the 1934 Great Nepal–Bihar earthquake and drew lessons that are so relevant even now. Unfortunately, the memories and lessons learned from the 1934 Maha Bhukampa (Great Earthquake) collected dust. Even the beautiful earthquake monument in the center of Kathmandu’s business district of New Road, which is perhaps one of the oldest earthquake monuments in Asia, with excellent description and lessons learned inscribed in six marble plates, was looking dejected, when the 1981 Bajhang earthquake shook the mind and mindset of Nepalese to the high seismic hazard in the country. The earthquake monument was cleaned, and facelifted, new disaster legislations were enacted, Nepal established its first seismic network of four short period seismographs. Such “seismic renaissance” got further strengthened after the devastating M6.6 Udaipur earthquake of 1988, when the country took scientific steps toward reconstruction and realized the need to formulate a National Building Code, update disaster legislations. With many lessons learned from the earthquake event and from regional and international practice, Nepal formulated a unique National vii viii Foreword Building Code that covered even the owner driven non-engineered building construction practices and became an active member of the UN-led global paradigm shift from reactive disaster response to proactive disaster risk reduction (DRR). International development partners and financial institutions (IFIs) started factoring in DRR into their strategies of development assistant to Nepal. Several Nepalese individuals and institutions derived inspiration from this positive change and dedicated themselves in the national task of disaster risk reduction as guided by the UN conferences on DRR in Yokohama (1994), Kobe (2005) and Sendai (2015), the biennial conferences— Global Platform for DRR (GPDRR), and the Asia Pacific Ministerial Meeting on DRR (APMCDRR), being a part of the global, regional, and SAARC levels as well as national discourses and initiatives on DRR. I was invited to lead a National Society for Earthquake Technology—Nepal (NSET) team of professionals and mason to share Nepal’s experience in earthquake scenario and action plan implementation including mason training for earthquake resistant construction and implementing strategies for public awareness and capacity building of stakeholders in the immediate aftermath and reconstruction of 2001 Gujarat earthquake, 2003 Bam earthquake, and 2005 Pakistan earthquake. We Nepalese learned how Gujarat reconstruction identified owner driven method as one of the best approaches for reconstruction in developing countries with prevalence of non-engineered houses, and how Pakistan decided to go for owner driven approach with distribution of housing reconstruction grants through the banking system with code compliance as prerequisite for obtaining any of the three tranches of financial support from the government. Chandra Bahadur Shrestha is one of such professionals who has contributed greatly to the last link of an often not understood intrinsic continuum of earthquake disaster risk management from the early stage of emergency response to that of rehabilitation, reconstruction and preparedness. When after a successful management of the initial financial support to the families of dead and injured, and a successful PDNA, the earthquake reconstruction was stalled for several months until December 2015 when the government installed the Nepal Reconstruction Authority (NRA) with a bona fide CEO and an Executive Committee under a Directive Committee led by the Prime Minister. Dr. Chandra Bahadur Shrestha, appointed as a member of the Executive Committee, radiated energy and hope, a rare phenomenon in government bureaucracy of Nepal, from the very first day of his joining NRA. As the leader of NSET, who voluntarily tasked itself to bring along the earthquake reconstruction experience of India, Iran, Banda Aceh and Pakistan to Nepal and intensify technical assistance to Nepalese public schools for seismic retrofitting and to the municipalities in building code implementation and training of masons, it was always a sheer joy to plan and work with Mr. Shrestha for our works with NRA in developing reconstruction policies and legislation, training curricula, and implementing owner driven approaches for earthquake resistant and code-compliant reconstruction of about 60,000 houses in four earthquake affected districts of Kathmandu, Dolakha, Nuwakot and Dhading of Nepal. Therefore, when Dr. Shrestha asked me to write a preface to his book, I felt it a huge responsibility as well as a matter of great professional pride. I am thankful to him for emphasizing time and again to be objective and critical in my review of the book. Foreword ix The book Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake: Laying the foundation for Resilience presents detailed analysis of Nepal’s experience of handling the 2015 M7.8 Gorkha earthquake of 2015, specially handling of private housing, by examining the experience along ten topics that include implication of policy decisions by different governments on the reconstruction progress, links between the damage and municipal efforts on building code implementation; reasons for non-compliance or reluctance for code compliance and a guidance for resilient construction of settlements in the mountainous regions of Nepal, opportunities of urban regeneration offered by a sincere earthquake reconstruction, earthquake reconstruction, importance of financial transparency in earthquake reconstruction, aid effectiveness in Nepal’s earthquake reconstruction, contribution of Gorkha earthquake reconstruction to Nepal’s efforts toward implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction (SFDRR 2015–2030), importance of Nepal earthquake reconstruction compared to similar efforts globally, and a critical assessment of the housing recovery and reconstruction in terms of major achievements, actual expenses for private housing reconstruction and recovery in other sector as against what were estimated by PDNA and PDRF, funding sources and confirmation of Nepal’s abilities in building back better by own resources, transparency and accountability in governance, and the changes in the mindset of the politicians and decision-makers and the psyche of the people. The author has offered his conclusions and take aways for future at the end of each chapter which is the most beautiful way of transferring the lessons learned to the next baton holders of disaster reconstruction and management. Each chapter also lists relevant references making it easy for any researcher to go to the sources of information and data or reasoning. The author served as a member of the Executive Committee, a responsible position that could influence the reconstruction operations and conduct specific research on reconstruction processes. He also had the opportunity to observe from a vantage point the entire reconstruction scenario not necessarily only from the housing reconstruction sector. Additionally, Dr. Shrestha served as the Convener of the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR-2021) and one of the drivers of the national conference on earthquake reconstruction. These tasks, together with his experience as a technical expert of management in his previous tenure with a bilateral development partner organization and his total immersion in the task of reconstruction in NRA made him to meet, interact, and negotiate with many national and international stakeholders. That explains the authenticity of the data and information used and the credibility of the logics and conclusions made. Furthermore, he and his family members themselves were victims of Gorkha earthquake. That perhaps explains the esprit a reader finds continuously everywhere in the book even though this was the author’s first professional experience with any aspect of DRR in the country. The book is extremely valuable because it provides not only trustworthy authentic data and information but it also walks the reader through the entire process and facts of Nepal’s handling of the Gorkha earthquake from the days of emergency response, rescue and relief operations to that of recovery and, especially, of reconstruction, offers critical explanations for all the important decisions and their implications x Foreword offering his own view points, at the same time allows the reader to question and make their own observation. The author has very successfully explained the process playing simultaneously the role of one of the operations decision-makers of earthquake reconstruction, and at the same time also that of a critical observer and a strategic analyst. In doing so, he has not fallen victim to ego, prejudice, and biasness toward anybody including himself. His sincerity in the storytelling is amazing, which makes the book an important depositor of the lessons learned from Gorkha earthquake reconstruction and a sincere account of Nepal’s journey toward disaster resilience along the paths of post-earthquake building back better through earthquake resistant reconstruction. Prior to the Gorkha earthquake in 2015, many so called international experts used to portray a wretched picture of Nepal saying, “Nepal may not resurrect after a devastating earthquake because Nepal is like a Haiti-like political economy situation with a Japan-like earthquake hazard.” This book once again tells the story of how Nepal could proudly complete the earthquake reconstruction works within the prescribed time frame and, most importantly, using its own resources for meeting more than 75% of the earthquake reconstruction cost. I personally congratulate Dr. Shrestha for telling a true story sincerely with critically indicating toward many areas where improvements could be done. He has rightly observed that “disaster preparedness pays substantially,” and “Nepal’s vitality in reconstruction has been self-evident.” I wish that he does not lose the momentum gained in this glorious storytelling and continues writing about Nepal’s path of earthquake resilience in the two decades proceeding the Gorkha earthquake that made Nepal prepared for the Gorkha earthquake and instilled the “vitality” required for a successful earthquake reconstruction. Kathmandu, Nepal Amod Mani Dixit President, NSET Chair, Asian Disaster Reduction and Response Network (ADRRN) Chair, College Management Committee, Universal Engineering and Science College (affiliated to Pokhara University) Governing Board Member, South Asian Alliance of Disaster Research Institutions (SAADRI) Preface 25 April 2015 was one of the worst days in my life when I lost my house and vehicle for which I worked for years. Fortunately, my family members remained unscathed. However, around 9000 my countrymen lost their lives and more than 22,000 injured. Having witnessed and experienced this excruciating mayhem, I was determined mentally that I need to contribute something around this. As I was fully absorbed rowing my own boat, I did not find time to approach the government for public responsibility. However, for some reason, the government nominated me as an Executive Committee Member of the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA). This book is partly recollection of the trajectory of my firsthand endurance in NRA. In addition, as the convener for the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR—2021), I sensed various views from their origin which were not necessarily similar to those of NRA. The profound challenge for me was to present unbiased views which necessitated me to adopt scientific approach rather than descriptive one. I relied on the proven empirical evidences. However, the cause-and-effect relationships are not always linear. The book’s themes were identified based on my own hard-boiled sustenance. For creating knowledge base, I led various studies which created abundance of information that was instrumental for me to analyze in this book. My hard-earned social capital was also used for mitigating data gap. As the author of a number of scientific papers, I was anyway sitting on the mountain of the background literature on various facades of reconstruction. Quite naturally, the private housing is the central theme of this book which grabbed a substantial amount of resources and drawn more than 90% point of NRA’s attention. The first chapter elucidates the chronological order of events from starting to the end. The middle five chapters scrutinize some of the most crucial issues in the housing sector. The last four chapters shed light on the macro-level outcomes rather holistically covering all recovery and reconstruction sectors. How such disasters can be ringfenced from the political transactional behavior is the central crux of the gamut. Delayed formation of the reconstruction authority, resurveying of disqualified households from technical screening and decision for xi xii Preface disbursing non-complied houses with the general building standards were guided by such motives. Sloganeering for the single tranche of housing grant is another example. Local governments’ recommendations for grant eligibility without screening has also intended to placate their voters. Ensuring professional integrity of the political appointees in the executive positions, clarity in division of labor between politically appointed executives with government’s regular bureaucrats is indispensable. Despite rhetoric, the overall donors’ practice is far from the agreed principles of aid effectiveness. Will the government garner enough courage to refuse aid packages not complying with the Paris Declaration of Aid Effectiveness? Despite some limitations, the Nepal’s reconstruction was on the crest of the wave because of the dedicated professionals who worked for the cause rather than publicity. The voyage kicked off by the NRA is the first step in the journey of a thousand miles. Further progress requires responsible local governments and accountable federal and provincial governments. The earthquake resilient technology diffused in 32 districts has to be replicated nationwide. Not only strengthening private houses is sufficient but also the government buildings, schools and hospitals have to be earthquake resilient. Basic resilient provisions for roads, airports, hydropower and irrigation schemes are unavoidable. Resilience drive has direct implications on land use, banking, supply chain of construction materials and availability of skilled human resources which must be factored in. In addition, the NRA’s roadmap toward resilience has to be customized for the federal context. I hope the book will be able to contribute toward resilient development not only of Nepal but also other disaster-prone countries. Particularly to those vulnerable people who are forced to live-in disaster-prone locations and rickety shelters will be benefitted with the propositions in this book. Bagdole, Lalitpur, Nepal Dr. Chandra Bahadur Shrestha Acknowledgements I owe a major debt to the K. P. Sharma Oli-led government in 2015 for trusting me to take up the historical responsibility of the post-earthquake recovery and reconstruction. My thanks are due to Puspa Kamal Dahal “Prachanda” and Sher Bahadur Deuba, the successive Prime Ministers for allowing continuity. The second innings of K. P. Sharma Oli proved to be particularly significant as the political stability allowed to deliver substantially. I enjoyed working with my team in the Executive Committee: Mr. Sushil Gyewali—Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Dhruba Prasad Sharma, Dr. Bishnu Bhandari and Dr. Hariram Parajuli—the Executive Committee Members. Other two CEOs: Prof. Dr. Govinda Raj Pokharel and Mr. Yubaraj Bhusal are also worth mentioning. As a convener of the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction, I was mainly supported by Mr. Manohar Ghimire and Dr. Adi Walker. Other colleagues Dr. Taranidhi Bhattarai, Dr. Nigel Fisher, Dr. Ram Manohar Shrestha, Mr. Jitendra Bothara, Mr. Vivek Rawal, Mr. Surya Narayan Shrestha and Mr. Ranjan Dhungel also supported in various different capacities. In addition, there are hundreds of other government, donor and NGO colleagues with whom I received support and revelations. Heartfelt appreciation is due to Mr. Werner Paul Meyer, my longtime family friend, who always puts my ideas into the broader perspective. I am particularly indebted to Dr. Amod Mani Dixit, a legendary figure in Nepal’s earthquake science for agreeing to write foreword of this monograph. Also, accolades are due to the distinguished personalities who contributed back page quotes: Mr. Kanak Mani Dixit, a renowned journalist, Mr. Vivek Rawal, an international personality in the post-disaster reconstruction and Mr. Loren Lockwood, then Team Leader of the Housing Recovery and Reconstruction Platform (HRRP). HRRP colleagues Mr. Minar Thapa Magar, Mr. Keshab Shrestha, and Ms. Ambica Joshi helped me for graphic design and formatting. I particularly would like to extend my thanks to Dr. Rajib Shaw who encouraged me to publish through Springer. The Springer staffs Mr. Arulmurugan Venkatasalam and Mr. Yosuke Nishida Editor—Earthscience and Geography—deserve my heartfelt thanks for their kind cooperation. Bagdole, Lalitpur, Nepal Dr. Chandra Bahadur Shrestha xiii Contents 1 2 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions on Private Housing Reconstruction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.2 Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3 Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.1 Government Headed by Mr. Sushil Koirala (25 April to 12 October 2015) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.2 Mr. K. P. Oli-Led Government (12 October 2015 to 24 July 2016) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.3 Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal-Led Government (03 August 2016 to 24 May 2017) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.4 Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba-Led Government (07 June 2017 to 15 February 2018) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.5 Mr. K. P. Oli-Led Government (15 February 2018 to 13 July 2021) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.3.6 Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba-Led Government (13 July 2021 to 24 Dec 2021) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4.1 Formation of the Reconstruction Authority . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4.2 Size of Housing Grant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.4.3 Decision Making . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment with Municipality’s Building Standards . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.1 Nepal’s and Foreign Experiences on Post-earthquake Damage Assessment Survey . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.2.2 Survey Questionnaires . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 1 2 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 13 14 14 16 16 19 19 20 21 23 xv xvi Contents 2.2.3 Linking Beneficiary Survey to Long-term Planning . . . . Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3.1 Institution for Implementing Housing Integrity Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3.2 Questionnaire for the Housing Structural Integrity Assessment (HSIA) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3.3 Policy Reform . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3.4 Government’s Resolve in Housing Resilience . . . . . . . . . 2.3.5 Incentivizing Retrofitting of Vulnerable Houses . . . . . . . 2.4 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2.3 3 4 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.1 Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.2 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3.1 Distribution of Beneficiaries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3.2 Formal Housing Grant Distribution Arrangement . . . . . . 3.3.3 Difficulties in Accessing Housing Grant . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3.4 Progress in Housing Grant Distribution . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.3.5 Increase in Number of Bank Account Holders . . . . . . . . 3.4 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Understanding Building Code Non-compliance for Setting Future Strategies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.1 Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.2 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3.1 Features of Foundation, Wall and Roofing Materials . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3.2 Traditional Housing Typologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3.3 Post-earthquake Housing Reconstruction Catalog-Based Typologies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3.4 Mandatory Rule of Thumb for Housing Construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3.5 Major Non-compliant Features . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.3.6 Reasons for Non-compliance . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4.1 Characteristics of Sample Districts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4.2 Current Trend of Housing Construction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4.3 Non-compliant Characteristics . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4.4 Addressing Economic Issue . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4.5 Raising Technological Awareness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26 26 27 27 28 29 29 30 31 41 41 43 44 44 44 47 49 49 54 56 57 57 58 59 59 61 63 65 65 65 66 68 68 68 69 70 Contents xvii 4.4.6 4.5 5 6 Administrative Adherence and Observation of Ethical Values . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4.4.7 Inappropriate Land . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities Create Resilient Settlements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.2 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3.1 NRA Process of Integrated Settlements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3.2 Identification of Vulnerable Settlements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3.3 Transition from Geological Study to Integrated Settlement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.3.4 Comparative Overview of Integrated Settlements . . . . . . 5.3.5 Resettlement in the New Legal Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4.1 Conceptualizing Paraphernalia of Integrated Settlement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4.2 Identifying and Planning for Vulnerable Settlements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4.3 Securing Land for Resettlement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4.4 Initial Investment and Operating Capital . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.4.5 Ethnic Dimension in Resettlement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-earthquake Reconstruction Lens . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.2 Methodology . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3.1 Constraints in Urban Housing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3.2 Lackluster Response to Retrofitting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3.3 Housing Reconstruction in Heritage Settlements . . . . . . 6.3.4 Post-earthquake Urban Regeneration in Some Selected Countries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3.5 Urban Regeneration from Global Experience . . . . . . . . . 6.3.6 Nepalese Experience of Urban Renewal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.3.7 Legal Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4 Discussions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4.1 Binding Constraints for Heritage Private Housing . . . . . 6.4.2 Making Strides Toward Retrofitting . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4.3 Legal Frameworks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4.4 Nepalese Models of Urban Renewal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6.4.5 Potential Candidates for Urban Renewal . . . . . . . . . . . . . 70 71 71 73 73 75 75 75 76 77 86 89 90 90 91 91 92 92 93 95 95 96 97 97 98 98 99 99 101 110 111 111 112 113 113 114 xviii Contents 6.5 7 8 9 6.4.6 Funding Sources . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 114 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 115 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction . . . . . . 7.1 Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.2 Data and Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3.1 Development Partners’ Pledge, Commitment and Disbursement . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3.2 Operational Modality of Representative Donor Funded Projects . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3.3 Ownership and Priorities . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3.4 Development Partnership . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3.5 Focus on Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.3.6 Accountability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4.1 Implementation of Reconstruction Projects . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4.2 Nepali’s Systemic Reliability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.4.3 Learning from Neighbors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7.5 Conclusions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction Toward Localizing Sendai Framework of Action . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.2 Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3.1 Private Houses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3.2 Heritage Monuments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3.3 School and Educational Institutions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.3.4 Other Structures . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4.1 Understanding the Disaster Risk . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4.2 Strengthening Disaster Risk Governance . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4.3 Investing on Disaster Risk Resilience . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.4.4 Disaster Preparedness . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction in Global Context . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.2 Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3.1 Economic Condition of Comparator Countries . . . . . . . . 9.3.2 Earthquake Characteristics and Magnitude of Casualty . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3.3 Earthquake’s Relationship with Housing Damage . . . . . . 117 117 119 119 119 122 122 125 126 127 127 128 129 129 130 133 133 135 135 135 139 142 144 144 145 146 146 148 149 151 151 153 153 153 155 156 Contents 9.4 9.5 xix 9.3.4 Institutional Efficiency of Reconstruction . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3.5 Reconstruction Efficiency . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.3.6 Outputs . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.4.1 Did Economic Condition Ensure Speedy Reconstruction? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.4.2 An Assessment of Institutional Set Up . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.4.3 Implementation Approaches . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9.4.4 Gateway to Resilience Society . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery and Reconstruction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.1 Background . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.2 Data and Methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.3 Findings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.3.1 Estimated and Actual Reconstruction Allocation Among Various Sectors . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.3.2 Funding Source . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.3.3 Contribution of Reconstruction Expenditure to the National Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.3.4 Transparency and Accountability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.3.5 Transforming Political Mindset . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4 Discussions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4.1 Reconstruction Achievements . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4.2 Post-disaster Reconstruction Financing . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4.3 Scope of Reconstruction Authority . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4.4 Governance and Accountability . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.4.5 Translating Constitutional and Legal Provisions into Practice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10.5 Conclusion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 156 157 158 159 159 160 161 162 163 165 165 167 168 168 170 170 174 174 175 175 176 177 177 178 179 References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 181 Acronyms AD ADB AI AMPA BBB BDP BECTP BFI BLB BMC BMM BPS BS CA CBRI CBS CERA CERC CGI CLPIU COVID CPN UML CSEB CTEVT DACFC DDRC DFID DoA DoMG DPDS DRRNP Anno Domini Asian Development Bank Amnesty International The Ancient Monument Preservation Act Build Back Better Bhaktapur Development Project Bandipur Eco-cultural Tourist Project Banks and financial institutions Branchless Banking Brick Masonry in Cement Mud Mortar Brick Masonry in Mud Mortar Building Permit System Bikram Sambhat Constituent Assembly Central Building Research Institute Central Bureau of Statistics Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Commission Corrugated Galvanized Iron Central-Level Project Implementation Unit Corona Virus Disease Communist Party of Nepal Unified Marxist Leninist Cement stabilized earth brick Council of Technical Education and Vocational Training Development Agency Coordination and Facilitation Committee District Disaster Relief Committee Department for International Development Department of Archeology Department of Mines and Geology Development Project Design and Services Ltd. Disaster Risk Reduction National Policy xxi xxii DSCWM DTCO DUDBC DWIDM EAARRP EHDC EHRP EQC ERRA EU FCDO FGD FY GDP GFCF GI GMALI GoN GSDMA HMGN HRHRS HRRP HSIA IATI ICNR IDA IHRC INGO INR INTACH IPERR JDA JICA KII KMC KVDA KVEMP LMBIS LMC MDTF MIS ML MoEST MoF MoFAGA Acronyms Department of Soil Conservation and Watershed Management District Treasury Controller Office Department of Urban Development and Building Construction Department of Water Induced Disaster Management Earthquake Affected Areas Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Project Earthquake Household Damages and Characteristics Earthquake Housing Reconstruction Program Earthquake Commission Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation European Union Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office-UKAid Focus Group Discussion Fiscal Year Gross Domestic Product National Gross Fixed Capital Formation Galvanized Iron Grant Management and Local Infrastructure Government of Nepal Gujarat State Disaster Management Authority His Majesty Government of Nepal Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Survey Housing Recovery and Reconstruction Platform Housing Structural Integrity Assessment International Aid Transparency Initiative International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction International Development Association Interim Haiti Recovery Commission International Non-Governmental Organization Indian Rupees India and Indian National Trust for Art and Culture Integrated Post-Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Johannesburg Development Agency Japan International Cooperation Agency Key Informants Interview Kathmandu Metropolitan City The Kathmandu Valley Development Authority Kathmandu Valley Earthquake Management Project Line Ministry Budget Information System Lalitpur Metropolitan City Multidonor Trust Fund Management Information System Richter Scale measurement unit Ministry of Education, Science and Technology Ministry of Finance Ministry of Federal Affairs and General Administration Acronyms MoHA MoLMCPA MoLRM MoUD Mukesh NBA NBC NDMA NDRC NDRRMA NEOC NGO NPC NRA NRA-Japan NRB NRs NSET OCHA OPMCM PDNA PDRF PM PPP RCC RoW RRA SDGs SIDA SMC SMM SOP SPV SRFDCL SWN TI TSA UNCDF UNDP UNESCO UNISDR UNOPS US$ USAID USGS xxiii Ministry of Home Affairs Ministry of Land Management, Cooperatives and Poverty Alleviation Ministry of Land Reform and Management Ministry of Urban Development Mukesh and Associates Nepal Bankers Association Nepal Building Code National Disaster Management Authority -Pakistan National Development and Reform Commission National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority National Emergency Operation Center Non-Governmental Organization National Planning Commission National Reconstruction Authority- Nepal National Reconstruction Agency, Japan Nepal Rastra Bank Nepal Rupees National Society for Earthquake Technology United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs Office of Prime Ministers and Council of Ministers Nepal Post-Disaster Need Assessment Post-Disaster Reconstruction Framework Prime Minister Public Private Partnership Reinforced Cement Concrete Right of Way Reconstruction and Recovery Agency Sustainable Development Goals Structural Integrity and Damage Assessment Stone Masonry in Cement Mortar Stone Masonry in Mud Mortar Standard Operating Procedure Special Purpose Vehicle Sabarmati Waterfront Development Corporation Ltd. Scott Wilson Nepal Transparency International Nepal Treasury Single Account United Nation Capital Development Fund United Nations Development Program United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction United Nations Office for Project Services US Dollars United States Agency for International Development Unite States Geological Survey xxiv VDC WB YOY Acronyms Village Development Committees World Bank Year-Over-Year Chapter 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions on Private Housing Reconstruction Abstract The Gorkha earthquake induced quagmire was compounded with the politically turbulent transition which increased complexity drastically. As the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) had to deliver the reconstruction mission in such a roiled environment, the cross-sectional and longitudinal policy implications are expected to be the trailblazer for the future generations. Hence, this chapter examined how the policy and procedural decisions affected the overall performance. Desk survey method was used for collecting data. The government demonstrated implementation dexterity through successful rescue and relief operation could not cascade down to reconstruction as the NRA was constituted after eight months. Further, introducing populist packages without due consideration of the national fiscal space overstretched the government’s coffer. Exemption of minimum housing standards compromised the objective of creating earthquake resilient society. Keywords Earthquake · Reconstruction · Decisions 1.1 Introduction The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake struck amidst tumultuous socio-political environment. The Constituent Assembly (CA) elected in 2008 had witnessed its own demise after failing to promulgate the Statute (Bhandari 2012). The second CA elected in 2013 had been procrastinating for a considerable time (Jha 2015). The tremor forced them to devise solution immediately (Hutt 2020). The constitution was eventually promulgated on 20 September 2015 despite some grievances of all involved parties. Disagreeing with Nepal’s independent decision on the constitution, India imposed a “trade embargo” with the pretext of the Nepal’s Madhesh-based parties along the border (Baral 2016) which was used as an alibi to blame transport disruptions. Both earthquake and Indian embargo caused Nepal’s GDP to decline from targeted 6−4% (Acharya et al. 2015). In the Fiscal Year 2014/015, annual average growth rate remained 0.8% (NPC 2020). The non-agricultural growth rate shrank down to 0.6% in FY 2014/015 against 3.1% in FY 2013/014. Industries that relied on Indian raw material were severely impacted (MoF 2016). © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_1 1 2 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … The GoN responded to the earthquake swiftly by issuing an international appeal for assistance. The National Emergency Operation Center (NEOC) coordinated rescue and relief operation. Overall, a total of 22,500 civil servants, 65,059 staff of the Nepal Army, 41,776 staff of Nepal Police and 24,775 staff of the Armed Police Force and 4000 government and private health workers were mobilized to aid rescue and relief efforts (NPC 2015a). The National Planning Commission (NPC) followed this up with the Post-Disaster Need Assessment (PDNA) that estimated the total disaster damage to be about US$7 billion, or about a third of GDP in FY 2014/015. In addition, the damage was equivalent to 100% of the Gross Fixed Capital Formation for FY 2013/014 (NPC 2015a). After taking over in December 2015, the NRA completed 81% of 818,455 private houses. (NRA 2021f) by June 2021. More than 90% of total 4720 households whose homestead was vulnerable due to earthquake induced landslides were resettled. Further, all 12,788 landless households that had been identified had safe shelters, including land of their own. Against this background, the main objective of this chapter is to track NRA Steering Committee decisions and assess their impact in the private housing sector under various governments. 1.2 Methods This chapter is largely based on desk-research. The timeline prepared by the NRA and the Housing Recovery and Reconstruction Platform (HRRP) was verified with the web-based historical newspapers and other records. All the Steering Committee decisions were reviewed. 1.3 Results There have been six governments headed by Mr. Sushil Koirala, Mr. K. P. Oli, Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal (Prachanda), Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba, Mr. K. P. Oli and Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba between April 2015 and end Dec 2021. Four of these governments were in place before the general election in year 2017/018. Mr. K. P. Oli became the Prime Minister for the second time after the election. The following paragraphs analyze the major contributions of the six governments headed by different Prime Ministers who ex-officio chaired the NRA’s Steering Committee. The progress in grant disbursement is shown in Fig. 1.1. However, the figures require cautions interpretation as disbursement is the accumulated result of the historical decisions not only the outcomes of the decisions of the government at the time it was disbursed. 1.3 Results 3 Fig. 1.1 Progress in grant disbursement (HRRP 2021b) 1.3.1 Government Headed by Mr. Sushil Koirala (25 April to 12 October 2015) Mr. Sushil Koirala was sworn in as the Prime Minister of Nepal on 11 February 2014. The Communist Party of Nepal, Unified Marxist-Leninist (UML) was its coalition partner (PTI 2015b). Having a down to earth and humble lifestyle, Mr. Koirala was expected to deliver good governance. However, he was caught by a whirlpool resulting from the death of 16 Sherpas in the April 2014 Everest avalanche (Jenkins 2014). As such, the Koirala Government handled rescue and relief operation well (Paul et al. 2017). Paul et al. argued that it was possible due to logical decisions, need-based and impartial distribution of relief materials, and the government’s onedoor policy through the Prime Minister’s Disaster Relief Fund. International support greatly enhanced the effectiveness of the operation. Surprisingly, they continued that the Nepali government provided services that was as good as that the NGOs had provided. Over 100 international search and rescue and medical teams arrived in Nepal within 24 h of the earthquake. More than 450 aid organizations had responded to the emergency (OCHA 2015). Paul et al. concluded that Nepal implemented a fairly successful rescue and relief operation. However, the study found that the survivors were deprived of emergency aid due to lack of information; enhancing access in remote mountain terrain was another challenge. The government had formed a reconstruction authority through an ordinance (Shrestha 2015). However, Seiff (2015) mentioned that the failure to enact the Reconstruction Act by parliament led to the expiry of the ordinance and dismissal of the CEO which was the major setback of the government. Table 1.1 shows the major activities of the Koirala Government during the period of 25 April to 12 October 2015. The Koirala Government concluded the PDNA, organized International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR-2015) and signed agreements with several donors. The first meeting of the NRA on 25 August 2015 had declared 14 districts as “severely affected,” 11 districts as “affected” and six districts as “moderately” affected. (NRA 2015). This was the only formal meeting under Mr. Sushil Koirala, as Prime Minister. Having aborted the reconstruction ordinance, the 4 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … Table 1.1 Major activities of the Sushil Koirala-led government (April to October 2015) Date 2014 Total days 11 February Mr. Sushil Koirala sworn in as Prime Minister 166 2015 25 April Gorkha earthquake 12 May Biggest aftershock ((ML 7.3) June Temporary shelter support of cash grant NRs. 15,000 June 25 International Conference in Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR) July Release of PDNA August 25 Steering committee meeting October 12 Mr. Sushil Koirala resigns HRRP 2021d government could not initiate reconstruction interventions as result of which there was no progress in grant disbursement (Fig. 1.1). 1.3.2 Mr. K. P. Oli-Led Government (12 October 2015 to 24 July 2016) Mr. K. P. Oli took over the premiership when the country was in a turmoil (PTI 2015a). After promulgation of the constitution on 20 September 2015, the Madhesh-based parties had launched protests that resulted in blockage of all road links between Nepal and India resulting in shortages of supply of daily necessities including petroleum products. The earthquake had battered the productive sectors and the country was poised to transit to a federal regime from the centralized system creating confusions in all echelons of the governance (Dixit 2015). Oli introduced a historical shift in foreign policy by opening up transit routes to China, which terminated the historical reliance on India (Iyengar 2016). A number of development collaborations were also agreed with China which had led to additional Indian displeasure, widening the chasm in the relations between the two countries. The Oli Government enacted the Reconstruction Act on 21 December and appointed the Chief Executive Officer, Secretary and Executive Committee Members in January 2016 (Table 1.2). It also enabled the NRA Executive Committee to formulate the reconstruction policy and various working procedures (Bhattarai 2016). The first Consultative Council’s meeting held on 13 January 2016 instructed the Executive Committee to initiate planned implementation of reconstruction. Similarly, the first Steering Committee meeting held on 11 January 2016 approved the organizational structure and budget, which had far reaching consequences. This meeting also activated district-level coordination committees by designating the Assistant Chief District Officer as Secretary of the District Coordination Committee as mandated by 1.3 Results 5 Table 1.2 Major activities of the Mr. K. P. Oli-led government (12 October 2015−24 July 2016) Date 2015 Total days 12 Oct Mr. K. P. Oli sworn in as Prime Minister 282 21 Dec Reconstruction Act 2072 B.S. enacted 25 Dec Mr. Sushil Gyewali appointed as NRA CEO 27 Dec Mr. Madhu Sudan Adhikari appointed as acting secretary of NRA 05 Jan Appointment of executive members: Mr. C. B. Shrestha, Mr. D. P. Sharma, Mr. B. Bhandari 2016 13 Jan Consultative council meeting 15 Jan Damage assessment survey (15 January−20 June in 11 most affected districts) 11 Jan First steering committee meeting 14 Feb Second steering committee meeting 04 April Mr. Madhu Sudan Adhikari confirmed as secretary of NRA 10 April Third steering committee meeting 19 April Fourth steering committee meeting 21 April Fifth steering committee meeting 12 May Launching of post-disaster reconstruction Framework (PDRF) 24 June Sixth steering committee meeting 24 July Mr. K. P. Oli resigns HRRP 2021d the Act for reconstruction of the earthquake affected infrastructure—2072 (An Act Made To Provide For Reconstruction of the Earthquake Affected Structures 2015). The second Steering Committee meeting on 14 February laid corner stone for reconstruction by approving reconstruction and recovery policy—2072 (NRA 2016d). The meeting also approved working procedures for housing grant, which was a major decision for the reconstruction of private houses. For streamlining NGO activities, NRA’s third Steering Committee (10 April 2016) approved the Procedure related to the mobilization of NGO for reconstruction and rehabilitation—2016. Any delay of the approval could have discredited government and created chaos in NGO operations as almost all NGOs were concentrated in seven northern districts (Sharma 2016b). The procedure for the management of grievances related to reconstruction—2017 recognized the probable oversight in the beneficiary identification system and expressed commitment to ensure justice to all genuine victims. This was approved by the sixth Steering Committee meeting. The PDRF which assessed financial requirements realistically was finalized on 12 May 2016. The beneficiary survey had been kicked off in September 2015 but did not start until receiving a nudge from NRA. The beneficiary survey enabled NRA to sign reconstruction agreements with beneficiaries on 13 March 2016 (NSET 2016). Having laid institutional, legal and financial foundation, NRA disbursed the first 6 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … tranche to over 32,000 beneficiaries-initiated disbursement of the second tranche as shown in Fig. 1.1. The government’s tenure ended on 24 July 2016. 1.3.3 Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal-Led Government (03 August 2016 to 24 May 2017) Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal (Prachanda) headed government undertook a number of activities of national importance including the holding of local-level election in 2017 (PTI 2017). In addition, Mr. Dahal signed on the “One Belt One Road” initiative of Mr. Xi Jinping, the President of Peoples Republic of China. He is also credited for relaxing the power crisis, as load-shedding ended during his tenure. The country had also witnessed substantial growth in GDP (Rawal 2017). Table 1.3 shows the major reconstruction activities undertaken during the tenure of Mr. Dahal. This government increased grant amount from NRs. 200,000 (about US$2000) NRs. 300,000 (about US$3000). Similarly, the retrofitting grant was increased from NRs. 50,000 (about US$500) to NRs. 100,000 (US$1000), which increased the government liability by NRs. 80 billion (US$727 million). This increment offered a respite to deprived communities. However, was it appropriate to increase GoN’s financial liability beyond its affordability (Sangraula 2016) is the question which remains unanswered so far. In addition, the decision was based on the simple logic that NRs. 200,000 was inadequate without deliberating the grant from other strategic perspectives. The government also introduced interest-free loan of NRs. 300,000 (US$3000), which never materialized (Panthi 2018). The Seventh Steering Committee meeting took a number of decisions including livelihood loans of NRs. 200,000 (US$2000) and vocational training for 500,000 people, which were also never implemented. The Eighth Steering Committee meeting further enunciated overall economic development of the earthquake affected districts (NRA 2016a). Moreover, this meeting also permitted the Non-Resident Nepali Association (NRNA) to construct the Laprak settlement in Gorkha district as model village. The NRNA were exempted the requirement to furnish payments through banking system, the NRA’s mandatory provision for NGOs. The Ninth Steering Committee mandated the Executive Committee to revise the proposed working procedure for the operation of reconstruction fund in consultation with the Chief Secretary. This procedure was never adopted. The second decision was the instruction to the Executive Committee to resurvey of the households that had been declared as non-beneficiaries (NRA 2017a). Before this decision, the NRA Grievance handling sub-committee had assessed grievances based on pre-defined technical criteria. Consequently, NRA received 634,973 cases out of which 174,146 households were declared as beneficiaries. Many of the decisions of the Dahal-led government such as interest-free loan and vocational training remained unimplemented. The Laprak settlement was handed 1.3 Results 7 Table 1.3 Major activities of the Mr. Pushpa K. Dahal-led government (03 August 2016 to 24 May 2017) Date 2016 Total days 291 03 Aug Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal sworn in as Prime Minister 16 Sep Seventh Steering Committee meeting 16 Oct Mr. Madhu Sudan Adhikari transferred from NRA 07 Nov Mr. Sanjaya Sharma appointed as secretary of NRA 26 Oc Eighth steering committee meeting 29 Dec Grant distribution procedure approved 29 Dec GoN asked clarification from Mr. Sushil Gyewali, CEO 2017 05 Jan GoN sacked Mr. Sushil Gyewali from the position of CEO 10 Jan GoN appointed Dr Govinda Raj Pokharel as new CEO 31 Jan GoN approved first amendment of NGO mobilization Act 13 Feb Ninth steering committee meeting 7 April Cabinet approved second revision of NRA NGO guidelines 13 April Mr. Sanjaya Sharma, secretary got transferred 03 May Mr. Sarvajeet Mahato appointed as NRA secretary 24 May Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal resigns HRRP 2021d over to NRNA without adequate preparation. In terms of disbursing housing grants, NRA concluded 516,196 agreements between the GoN and grant beneficiaries during the period. The Dahal-led government was in office for one full working season of FY 2016/017, which enabled the conclusion of the highest number of beneficiary partnership agreements. However, disbursement of second tranche was limited to 16,473 households as the beneficiaries required to progress up to the plinth level for receiving the second tranche. 1.3.4 Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba-Led Government (07 June 2017 to 15 February 2018) During his nine months long stint, Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba conducted both the local and federal elections (TET 2018b), the major activities in his tenure. Table 1.4 shows the major activities undertaken in reconstruction. Most of the 10th Steering Committee decisions had routine characteristics. The proposal for topping up of NRs. 50,000 (US$500) for the houses in the heritage settlements was submitted by the NRA’s Executive Committee after thorough due diligence. Another constructive decision of the 10th Steering Committee was to set a deadline for completing 8 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … Table 1.4 Major activities of Mr. Sher B. Deuba-led government (07 June 2017−15 February 2018) Date 2017 07 June Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba sworn in as Prime Minister 17 July 10th steering committee meeting 23 Oct Dr Govinda Raj Pokharel resigned and Mr. Yuba Raj Bhusal appointed as NRA CEO Total days 247 12 Nov Mr. Sarvajeet Mahato, secretary of NRA retired 13 Nov Mr. Madhusudan Adhikari appointed as NRA secretary 2018 25 Jan Cabinet decision to increase housing grant to NRs. 400,000 (US$4000) 9 Feb 11th steering committee meeting 15 Feb Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba resigns HRRP 2021d private housing, which pressurized the beneficiaries to expedite housing reconstruction. The 11th Steering Committee meeting was also limited to routine decisions. The government also took the most populist decision to increase housing grant from NRs. 300,000 (US$3000) to NRs. 400,000 (US$4000), which would have increased government’s liability by NRs. 8 billion (US$800 million). However, this decision was neither recorded and nor implemented. During Deuba’s tenure Dr Govinda Raj Pokharel resigned as NRA Chief Executive Officer and was replaced by Mr. Yuba Raj Bhusal. As shown in Fig. 1.1, the agreement between NRA and beneficiary had reached 117,953 households whereas 139,385 households had received the second, and 35,085 households the third tranche. Following slow in the disbursement of second tranche, NRA introduced deadlines for receiving the tranches: first tranche up to 16 November 2017, second tranche up to 13 January 2018, and third tranche up to 15 July 2018. Deuba’s term in office was largely during the rainy and the festive season, which was why progress in tranche disbursement was limited. 1.3.5 Mr. K. P. Oli-Led Government (15 February 2018 to 13 July 2021) Mr. K. P. Oli took over the premiership after a securing a landslide victory that later added up to nearly a two-third majority in the lower house. The situation of the upper house was also similar (TET 2018a). The formation of a majority government brought hope for rapid economic development, peace and prosperity among citizens (Bhattarai 2018), to match which, Oli announced the government’s “Prosperous Nepal Happy Nepali Campaign” (Thapa 2018). However, after two years of the government formation, Mr. K. P. Oli and Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal—who had 1.3 Results 9 unified their parties to form the Nepal Communist Party—started locking their horns culminating the decision of the government to dissolve parliament and seek fresh elections in December 2020. The Supreme Court reversed the Prime Minister’s decision and another court decision on March 09, 2021, declared the unification between the communist parties led by Oli and Dahal as null and void since there was another party legally possessed the name (TKP 2021). The political instability resulting from the decisions of the government after December 2020 has remained unsettled in June 2021 (Sangraula 2021). The 12th Steering Committee meeting and the first meeting in Oli’s second tenure, decided to bring the Central-Level Project Implementation Units (CLPIUs) under NRA’s command. Before this decision, the CLPIUs had double accountability: the administrative accountability toward their parent Ministries and functional accountability toward the NRA. This arrangement was not in consonance to the chain of command, the back bone of the bureaucratic principle. After this decision, NRA enjoyed complete authority that significantly enhanced delivery. This meeting had taken another decision which was rather controversial. The houses constructed before the commissioning of NRA’s technicians did not comply with NRA’s standards but the Steering Committee instructed it to make the payments to such houses, slightly compromising NRA’s principle to build earthquake resilient houses. This was followed by another decision on 24th June 2021 to allow disbursement of all installments to the non-compliant houses on recommendation of the local governments (NRA 2021a). The 13th and 14th Steering Committee meetings largely dealt with regular issues. The 16th meeting formed a committee for drafting the NRA exit strategy. The 17th meeting also dealt with regular issues. The 18th meeting took the decision such as one to initiate campaign of disaster resilient Nepal. In addition, the NRA was also mandated to develop strategy for urban renewal. This was in recognition to the sluggish progress in housing reconstruction in urban core area and also after realization that NRA’s present policies were not adequate for addressing urban housing complexities (NRA 2021g). Table 1.5 shows the major activities during Oli’s second stint. As shown in Fig. 1.1, overall housing reconstruction was meaningfully concluded during Oli’s tenure as 185,563 households had received the first; 549,542 received the second, and 605,827 the third tranche respectively. In a way, it was also natural because the tenure period largely coincided with the second half of mandated term of the NRA. 1.3.6 Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba-Led Government (13 July 2021 to 24 Dec 2021) Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba took over the premiership on 13 July 2021 amidst rather chaotic political environment. After the Supreme Court’s decision to award the Nepal 10 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … Table 1.5 Major activities of the Mr. K. P. Oli-led government (15 February 2018−13 July 2021) Date 2018 Total days 15 Feb Mr. K. P. Oli sworn in as Prime Minister 1164+ 3 April 12th steering committee meeting 09 April Mr. Madhusudan Adhikari, secretary of NRA got transferred 19 April Mr. Arjun Kumar Karki appointed as NRA secretary 14 August Mr. Sushil Gyewali reappointed as NRA CEO 6 September 13th steering committee meeting 20 December GoN approved NDRRMA’s regulations 25 December Prime Minister laid foundation stone of Dharahara reconstruction 2019 17 January 14th steering committee meeting 05 May 15th steering committee meeting 13 September Mr. Shiva Hari Sharma appointed as NRA secretary 2020 13 January 16th steering committee meeting 16 March Mr. Shiva Hari Sharma, secretary got retired 24 March Nationwide lockdown due to COVID-19 (Coronavirus) global pandemic 14 April Mr. Ram Krishna Sapkota appointed as the NRA secretary 25 May Nationwide lockdown extended to June 2 09 August Revised national building code approved 21 September 17th steering committee meeting 30 November Cabinet approves NRA’s extension by one year 29 November Secretary Mr. Ram Krishna Sapkota retired 13 December Appointment of Mr. Suresh Acharya as NRA secretary 20 December GoN dissolves the parliament 2021 15 February PM inaugurates Singhdurbar 22 February Mr. Mani Ram Gelal assumes responsibility of NRA secretary 23 February Supreme court reinstated the parliament 07 March Supreme court invalidated NCP led by Mr. Oli and Mr. Dahal 13 April 18th steering committee meeting 19 April Inauguration of Patan secondary school 22 April Laprak settlement handed over to beneficiaries 24 April Oli inaugurated Dharahara 25 April Sixth memorial day (continued) 1.3 Results 11 Table 1.5 (continued) Date 2018 29 April Valley district administration imposes lock down to curb COVID-19 25 May Transfer of secretary Mr. Mani Ram Gelal 29 May Finance minister defines exit strategy 24 June 19th steering committee meeting 7 July Sushil Chandra Tiwari assumes the responsibility of NRA secretary 13 July KP Oli resigned from the position of the Prime Minister of Nepal Total days Source HRRP 2021d Communist Party to Mr. Rishi Ram Kattel, the unification between the CPN UML and CPN Maoist Center returned back to the pre-merger stage. The Supreme Court’s verdict was handed down when the NCP factions were battling for majority in the House of Representatives. With resurrected CPN Maoist Center, CPN UML splinter group led by Madhav Nepal and some other parties’ support, Mr Deuba formed the government. The major activities during the Deuba’s stint are shown in Table 1.6. The Steering Committee’s 20th meeting took decision to handover all remaining private housingrelated activities to the Ministry of Urban Development with effect from 16 July 2021. The logic was natural break of fund flow which is governed by the fiscal year. In retrospection, if NRA would have been allowed handling until the end of its tenure, it would have wrapped up private housing. Similarly, the school buildings were handed over to the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology, heritage monuments to the Department of Archeology. All the rest activities were handed over to the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority (NDRRMA). Table 1.6 Major activities of the Mr. Sher Bahadur Deuba-led government (13 July 2021 to 24 Dec 2021) 13 July Sher Bahadur Deuba became the new Prime Minister again as per the order of the Supreme Court of Nepal citing article 76 (5) of the constitution of Nepal 25 August NRA’s 20th steering committee meeting decided NRA to hand over its operation to the relevant agencies 15 September NRA handed over its operation to concerned line agencies 07–09 Dec International conference on Nepal’s reconstruction 22 Dec 21st steering committee meeting—wrap up 24 Dec NRA closes down Source NRA 2021m 12 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … The International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction was held during 07– 09 December 2021. The box 1 contains the conference declaration which is selfexplanatory. Box 1 ….from Reconstruction to Resilience International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction 2021 7−9 December 2021 Conference Declaration Participants from around the world and from Nepal came together on 7–9 December 2021, to attend the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction 2021 (ICNR-2021). The Conference, organized by the National Reconstruction Authority of Nepal (NRA) and chaired by the Honorable Foreign Minister of Nepal, Dr. Narayan Khadka, was inaugurated by The Right Hon President of Nepal, Shree Bidya Devi Bhandari. All high-level development partners involved in the reconstruction sector including bilateral agencies: India, China, USA, UK, EU, Japan, Canada, Switzerland, Norway and multilateral agencies including World Bank, ADB and UN Agencies also participated. Understanding the high levels of multihazard risk in Nepal; Acknowledging the political consensus in reconstruction, National Reconstruction Authority’s leadership with proactive support from the development partners and moreover strong dedication demonstrated by the affected households and communities behind the successful implementation of the post-earthquake reconstruction and recovery; Reflecting the spirit of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, committing to Build Back Better to strengthen national resilience in the face of the inevitable multihazard disaster risks that are confronting and will continue to confront Nepal; Appreciating the citizen’s participation in disaster preparedness, rescue and relief operations, and the post-disaster reconstruction and recovery with a special focus on marginalized and vulnerable populations; Considering the proven track record of the owner driven housing reconstruction approach with public support in all technical aspects, and strict adherence to the earthquake resistant construction technologies; Streamlining and empowering the federal and sub-national governments for ensuring housing standards through technical and social handholding of the affected populations; Valuing the significance of research and innovation in resilient post-disaster reconstruction and development; Mindful of enhancing national capacity in the heritage sector; 1.4 Discussion 13 Emphasizing the urgency for bolstering disaster management and authority in legal, institutional, and financial terms; Accentuating the development partner’s commitment for collaborative resilient development. The ICNR agrees to the declaration and relevant stakeholders commit to the following: • Strengthening local governments in planning, technological and managerial terms; • Promotion of appropriate technology and human resource capacities for the conservation of heritage monuments and sites; • Strategic intervention for urban regeneration in the local government’s leadership with federal government’s technical handholding; • Linking up reconstruction with livelihood initiatives; • Further enhancing functional relationships between federal, provincial and local governments; • Informing the construction of public building and infrastructure with disaster resilient technologies and scaling up replication of the lessons learned of reconstruction and recovery retrofitting technology nationwide, both in private and public sectors; • Endowing the national apex institution—the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority—with clear mandate, and governance structure with considerable authority, autonomy and financing for building disaster resilience. Source NRA 2022 The Steering Committee meeting of 22 December concluded the entire reconstruction activities which was followed by the closing down of the NRA on 24 December 2021. 1.4 Discussion The findings section leads to a number of questions: what were the factors for delaying formation of reconstruction authority which would have allowed rescue and relief operation to dovetail with reconstruction; what is the appropriate amount of housing grant; how to interpret heavy handedness of the higher authority in decision making; and, was it appropriate to waive technical standards? This section elucidates on the pertinent issues revolving around decision making and implementation. 14 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … 1.4.1 Formation of the Reconstruction Authority Despite the approval of an ordinance to establish a reconstruction authority (BSN 2015), the political parties failed to reach a consensus on the modality and functions of the authority. The main opposition party, Communist Party of Nepal Maoist Center preferred that the bill be approved by the parliament. However, the government wanted to prepare a legal structure of the authority before the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR), planned for on 25 June 2015 (Pradhan 2015). According to Pradhan, even the coalition partner Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) opposed the ordinance. The government had organized a four-party meeting to reach an agreement but the Maoist Center walked out of the meeting over disagreement in the process of forming the authority. The opposition leader Mr. Pushpa Kamal Dahal (Prachanda) had said that the coalition partners Nepali Congress and CPN UML had unilaterally taken the decision; or wanted a greater say in the authority. Consequently, the parliament failed to approve the reconstruction bill (Shrestha 2015). The devastation had provided enough reason for them to have come to a negotiated settlement, which did not happen. In hindsight, the disagreement between the coalition partners was the key problem as they had the majority needed to ratify the ordinance. The responsibility for this lapse goes to then Prime Minister and the coalition partner CPN UML. 1.4.2 Size of Housing Grant The size of the housing grant remained a contentious issue throughout the reconstruction process. The initial grant of NRs. 200,000 (US$2000) must have based on the MoUD’s People’s Housing Program (OPMCM 2018). This program sought to guarantee people’s right for shelter and was targeted to marginalized population. However, as mentioned in the findings section, it was increased from NRs. 200,000 (US$2000) to NRs. 300,000 (US$3000) once, and another increase was also announced by the Nepali Congress and the CPN-MC to NRs 400,000 (US$4000) (even though it was not implemented). The UN Habitat (UN-Habitat 2018) argues that the amount of the housing grant depends on the household and community resources, fiscal space of the government, humanitarian resources and access, housing construction cost and access to financial resources. Nepal’s poverty data offer some indications of household affordability. In 2010, the urban poverty rate was 15.5%, which was significantly lower than rural poverty rate of 27.4% (NPC, 2018). Nepal’s northern mountainous region had 6.73% of the population of which 42.27% was below the absolute poverty line, whereas only 24% in the mid hill and 23.44% of population in the Terai were in absolute poverty. The incidence of poverty was more severe in the rural (44%) and mountain (56%) areas (Pokharel 2016). The people below the poverty line have lower affordability and it 1.4 Discussion 15 was also likely that the earthquake could have pushed even more people below the poverty line. With respect to the government’s fiscal space, Poudel (Poudel 2016) had suggested that only 65% of the total appropriation could be funded through government revenue and committed grant and the remaining 35% had to be funded through foreign loan and domestic borrowings. This indicated that the government did not have much fiscal flexibility. With regard to the housing cost, the minimum construction cost of a 1000 ft2 . house in Kathmandu Valley is around NRs. 3,200,000 (US$32,000) (HN 2021). For rural housing, the government’s People’s Housing Program provides grants ranging from NRs. 350,000 (US$3500) to NRs. 400,000 (US$4000) based on geographic location (B.K 2019). These figures could have served as the basis for the construction cost. However, as evident in the reconstruction, with NRs. 300,000 (US$3000) one can build a two-roomed basic house, which, however, is not sufficient for a family of 5–6 members. A basic housing unit in the rural area cost around NRs. 675,000 (US$6750) (HRRP 2017) and this meant that the government grant was not adequate. The GoN had attempted to improve access to additional finance through soft loans. The Nepal Rastra Bank had issued a policy for the purpose under which Kathmandu Valley-based households were entitled to receive NRs. 2.5 million (US$25,000) and non-Kathmandu-based households NRs. 1.5 million (US$15,000) (BFIRD 2015). The loan tenure was to range of 5–10 years, and the interest rate was 2%. This policy came at a time when the normal interest rate was more than 10% (EBL 2021). For obtaining the loan, borrowers had to have both bankable property and income from a formal source, that was not possible for most people affected by the earthquake. This policy was largely worthless because the needy households could not comply with bank regulations. Realizing this, GoN (GoN 2018b) made another attempt to facilitate loans with the “Unified Procedure for Interest Subsidy on Concessional Loan-2075. However, this attempt also failed (NRARD 2018). The analysis shows that earthquake affected households from the lower income bracket could not afford the new houses. The unaffordability of the affected households was compounded with the government’s overstretched fiscal space and the dysfunctional housing credit system. Under these circumstances, government should have explored alternative strategies, which was not the case. Instead, all political parties attempted to increase housing grant ignoring state coffer. Alternative strategies for urban settlements could have been considered. These could have included policy interventions to facilitate unban reconstruction without substantially increasing government’s and affected family’s liability. Public Private Partnership (PPP) or mobilization of the private developers could have been other options. In rural areas, encouraging meaningful usage of salvages materials, facilitating the availability of construction materials and promotion of cost-effective construction technology and materials could have been some ideas that could have been considered. 16 1 Implications of Steering Committee Decisions … 1.4.3 Decision Making The Steering Committee commanded authority to approve the reconstruction policies and plans submitted by the Executive Committee (An Act Made To Provide For Reconstruction of the Earthquake Affected Structures 2015). The Ninth Steering Committee had decided to resurvey of the households for which NRA declared as non-beneficiaries (NRA 2017a) and the Executive Committee did not propose resurvey to the Steering Committee. In retrospection, the issue should have been handled differently because the decision dispensed message to both the claimants and surveyors to adopt a soft surveying approach. Consequently, NRA received 634,973 applications of which 174,146 households were declared as beneficiaries. A number of ineligible households created situations for qualifying as beneficiaries. In addition to creating additional liability, the decision was also not compatible to social justice. Another decision—to waive earthquake resilient technical standards for houses was also questionable. Largely, such houses had adopted traditional construction methods that did not comply with building codes. Such beneficiaries declined retrofitting to integrate resilient building elements such as diaphragms, sheer walls, cross bracing, trusses, and moment resisting frames. NRA covered policy-level nudity by asking local governments for ensuring building compliance. However, the infantile local governments conditioned with populist mental structure will not have enough motivation to ensure compliance. This decision contradicted with the core of NRA’s principle to build back better and reconstructing earthquake resilient buildings. The households will realize the cost of fooling formal system when another major jolt impacts on inhabitants and property. 1.5 Conclusion NRA operated in a socio-politically grueling environment over and above the earthquake induced challenges to grapple with. The NRA leadership worked with six different governments during its six-year tenure. This chapter intended to assess the effects of Steering Committee decisions on both financial obligations and implementation efficiency. Nepal was unable to start reconstruction seamlessly after rescue and relief operation, which was the major weakness of the ruling government. The timely promulgation of the Reconstruction Act would have reduced human sufferings and generated economic savings. It is evident that the size of housing grant was a point of intense interest for all governments as all Prime Minister-led Steering Committees remained tempted to increase the housing grant without consideration of the fiscal space. 1.5 Conclusion 17 Adequate attention was not given to housing credit system. Further, the non-financial policy interventions that could have been made to tackle the structural problems of urban and rural housing were not considered. Some of the Steering Committee decisions even disempowered the NRA Executive Committee and not only created additional liabilities but also compromised basic reconstruction principles. Chapter 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment with Municipality’s Building Standards Abstract The National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) provided housing grants to the earthquake affected households based on a household survey. However, its efficacy in terms of both time and money was questionable. The objective of this paper is to review the survey methods and link this up with local governments’ housing administration for taking forward resilient housing agenda. This chapter relied largely on the secondary sources of information. Despite some weaknesses, the household survey has potential for trailblazing the municipal resilient housing system. The municipality in support with the Ministry of Urban Development (MoUD) need to build on housing database and carryout housing integrity assessment. In rural areas, NRA’s policy on housing grant can be continued. However, urban settlements will require proper access to finance and intensive socio-technical assistance. Some ambitious agenda under consideration could be: redevelopment and land readjustment, house pooling and relaxation in housing loan policy for enhancing vulnerable households’ access to finance. Keywords Earthquake · Damage survey · Beneficiary · Resilient · Housing 2.1 Introduction Indian subcontinent’s formation is largely shaped by earthquakes which have been pummeling since time immemorial. Ten earthquakes impacted Nepal severely during last 750 years including 1934 Nepal–India Earthquake, 1988 Udayapur Earthquake and 2015 Gorkha Nepal Earthquake (Bilham 2019). The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake damaged 755,549 houses requiring US$3276 million (NPC 2015a). The GoN adopted owner driven housing reconstruction approach for which Earthquake Household Damages and Characteristics (EHDC) survey was mandatory. Before such survey, relief packages were distributed based on District Disaster Relief Committee (DDRC) administered identification of victims. Nepal’s housing typologies are influenced by ethnic background, geographic and climatic conditions and availability of skills, materials and resources (NRA 2021m). Irrespective of the typologies, a majority of walls are of stone masonry with mud mortar. Other materials such as adobe and brunt bricks are also used. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_2 19 20 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … Traditionally thatched roofs used to be the common sight which has been gradually replaced by Corrugated Galvanized Iron (CGI) sheets roofing due to convenience and safety perspective. Traditionally upper-class households would use stone slate which requires relatively strong underpinning. Wooden shingles mainly of pine used commonly in high altitude houses. Clay tiles were mainly used in the Kathmandu Valley and Terai Region due to availability of suitable clay and adequate fire wood for baking. However, more recently corrugated iron sheet, cement brick masonry and reinforced cement concrete have been pervading urban landscape which has been permeating down to rural areas as well. The owners construct their own house by engaging some hired construction workers mostly on daily wages basis. Trust on contractors is rather weak as households believe that the contractors extract profit from cheating on the quality of construction materials and downgrading workmanship. However, some professionalization in the construction industry is evolving. More recently, some housing developers have been supplying housing stocks to quench the demand triggered by evolution of overly occupied nuclear family. It is obvious that the country will witness an increasing number of professional developers. The 1988 Udayapur Earthquake compelled policy makers to ponder on the National Building Code (NBC) which was procrastinated until 1998 for its approval. Implementation remained almost unattended till 2015 when the earthquake tremored not only houses and structures but also tormented entire housing governance. Considering 60% vulnerable housing stock, around 3.4 million houses nationwide should have been vulnerable to the earthquake (EMI 2010). NRA adopted three different survey methodologies: census in 11 districts, mixed—census and verification in 3 districts and verification in 17 moderately impacted districts. Under verification model, those households which received relief package and those who consider themselves as earthquake victim were considered as total population for surveying (CBS 2017b). Against this background, this chapter reviewed the NRA survey methodology in conjunction with Nepal’s own and other countries’ identical past experiences. Secondly, the survey questionnaire was scrutinized in the light of further replication. The third and more important objective was to link this database with the local governments’ housing planning and administration. 2.2 Findings Three sections corresponding to the study objectives are deliberated in this section. The first section grapples with Nepal’s post-earthquake damage assessment methodology which is reviewed along with Nepal’s own experience of 1934 and 1988 and is collated with the practice of New Zealand, India, Pakistan and China. The second section elucidates Nepal’s survey questionnaire. Thirdly, the damaged assessment survey is attempted to juxtapose with the local level housing provisions. 2.2 Findings 21 2.2.1 Nepal’s and Foreign Experiences on Post-earthquake Damage Assessment Survey The 1934 Nepal–India Earthquake of 8.4 Richter scale (ML ) killed 4300 people. It was estimated that the earthquake damaged roughly 20% of all houses in the eastern and central Nepal. The menace was more pronounced in the Kathmandu Valley with one fourth of housing destruction (EH 2020). Understandably, all heritage monuments were also seriously affected. The government then conducted rather simplistic damage assessment where a two membered team comprising with an officer and a soldier were fielded with authority to take decision and distribute money (Sumsher 1935). After more than a half century, another 6.9 ML Udayapur Earthquake killed 709 people and injured thousands with effect on 50,000 houses. The Village Panchayats (local governments of that time) were mobilized to identify damaged houses. The private housing damage assessment of 2005 Pakistan earthquake which killed 73,000 people and rendered 2.8 million people homeless followed something similar to Nepal’s 1934 post-earthquake damage assessment methodology. A team consisting of an army officer, local school teacher, revenue officer, local leader and a local facilitator visited to the earthquake affected household for filling out a simplified form, based on which a memorandum of understanding was signed for housing grant (NDMA 2007). India adopted separate damage assessment methodologies for urban and rural areas after 2001 Gujarat earthquake. A senior structural engineer, a junior engineer, a camera person and a representative of the local authority were mobilized. In rural areas, one engineer, one revenue or Panchayat representative and an NGO representative or social worker were mobilized (Mishra 2004). Nepal conducted post-2015 earthquake damage assessment survey in two stages. First for the relief distribution and second for the housing reconstruction. The District Disaster Relief Committee (DDRC) acted immediately after the earthquake mobilizing Sub-Inspector and Constable who collected information on housing damage. After endorsement of the Municipality’s Ward Secretary, the DDRC issued an Earthquake Victim Household Identify Card which was the basis for providing relief package of US$1400 for deceased family, US$50 for the fully damaged houses and US$30 for partially damaged houses. An additional US$20 was provided as food relief and US$150 for warm clothing (MoHA 2016). This survey was combination of the methodology of 1934 and 1988 Nepal’s earthquake and Pakistan earthquake. In the second phase, the survey was much comprehensive. A comprehensive Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Survey (HRHRS) was conducted with objectives of ascertaining the housing damage, preparing the list of beneficiaries eligible for housing grants, and ensuring site safety for reconstruction. The survey team comprised of an engineer and a social mobiliser. The engineer was provided with a tablet with software and was expected to collect and upload data that was accessible from the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS)-based processing unit. The 22 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … team was monitored by the district and central-level monitoring and supervision teams (CBS 2017b). The questionnaire—for the HRHRS—had two sections (CBS 2015b): Part 1: Detailed Information on Damage Assessment of Residential Buildings and Part 2: Demographic and Socio-Economic Information (Annex-1). Part 1 has information of owners and detail assessment of house, including information on legal ownership of land, condition of the house before and after earthquake, foundation of the building, damage grade of house, technical solution for damaged house, type of house, position of house, plan configuration of the house, building damage assessment and geotechnical risk. Under Part 2, the survey included demographic and socio-economic information including information on the income of the household head, age, sex, disability, educational status, size of family, social security allowance, facilities used by the household, etc. In the first phase, 11 most affected districts were surveyed following the census method, starting with Dolakha district. More than 72% of the houses surveyed were declared as beneficiaries based on the damage grade. Households in the damage grades of 2 (major), 3, 4 and 5 were defined as beneficiaries. However, the households in these categories were disqualified if they had another house that was not damaged. Of the total beneficiaries, nearly 97% were categorized as full beneficiaries and 3% houses were identified as retrofittable. Further, nearly 15,000 households had more than one house. The data also showed that the magnitude of destruction was overwhelming, and that very few of the buildings were earthquake resilient. In the second stage, the CBS conducted a beneficiary survey in the Kathmandu Valley covering 22 municipalities and 19 Village Development Committees (VDCs). The census method was applied in the 19 VDCs and the verification model was used in the municipalities—meaning that the survey would cover only households who had received the DDRC’s relief identity card and those who considered themselves victims of the 2015 Gorkha earthquake. Other institutional arrangements were similar to the first beneficiary survey in 11 districts. The only difference was that the NRA’s role became prominent in this phase. This survey was funded by the World Bank (WB) but was undertaken directly by government agencies rather than the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). Of the total beneficiaries, more than 98% were full beneficiaries, and 2% were declared as partial beneficiaries. The criteria used earlier for defining beneficiaries was the basis. The criteria for categorization are shown in Table 2.1. The HRHRS was rolled out in 17 moderately affected districts in January 2017. The verification model, previously used in Kathmandu Valley municipalities, was used. The NRA led the survey and mobilized 364 engineers and 364 social mobilisers. There were 17 districts covered in the third phase, which after the process of federalization resulted in 18 owing to the split of the erstwhile Nawalparasi district into two districts. Survey identified 105,168 beneficiaries suggesting that the DDRC number was close to the final count. The survey output is presented in Table 2.2. The survey revealed a number of policy agenda. The first one was that the mud mortar-based buildings require urgent attention as 87% of them were affected. 5% of the timber buildings and the cement mortar buildings experienced severe damage. 2.2 Findings 23 Table 2.1 Damage categorization Grade 1 Thin or hairline cracks in plaster on few walls Falling of plasters in some or very little parts Falling of loose stone and plasters from upper parts of buildings May require aesthetic repairs only Grade 2 Cracks in many walls Falling of large portion of plaster in last bits over large area Damage to non-structural parts like chimney, projecting cornices The load carrying capacity is not reduced appreciably Grade 3 Large and extensive cracks in most of the walls Collapse of small portion non-load bearing walls Detachment of roof tiles, failure of individual non-structural elements such as partition/gable walls, delamination of stone/adobe walls Load carrying capacity of structure reduces and repair may be required for Grade 4 Large gaps occur in walls, walls collapse, partial structural failure of floor/roof, building takes a dangerous state Grade 5 Total or near total collapse The Reinforced Cement Concreate (RCC) buildings were found safer in comparison to other categories as survey manifested that only little more than 14% sustained damage. These statistical findings somehow misled general public that the mud mortar and timber buildings are not safe whereas structures with all construction materials can be earthquake resilient provided proper methodology is adopted. The RC structures were regarded as life protecting shield which took NRA a protracted effort to rectify this public perception. 2.2.2 Survey Questionnaires CBS was mandated to implement the HRHRS along with complete count of family members (CBS 2015a). Other specific objectives were: enumerate private housing damage assessment, collect socio-economic status of earthquake affected households and prepare electronic database of the collected information. Having no long-term objective was the HRHRS’ major limitation which was realized after mobilization of 30,000 person days. There were two sections in the questionnaire—Part 1: Detailed Information on Damage Assessment of Residential Building; and Part 2: Demographic and SocioEconomic Information. There were three sub-sections under Part 1: details of household head, building information, building damage assessment. Under Part 2, detail of household head and details of household members are included. Under Part 1, the information of landownership was highly contentious. Having legal implications, it was impossible to establish ownership with such a survey. The housing grant was awarded based on the ownership as established by the survey which had ample legal 24 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … Table 2.2 Extent of housing damage district wise S. No District Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Total Severely affected 14 districts 1 Okhaldhunga 7961 8605 9220 7946 5620 39,352 2 Sindhuli 13,087 14,470 17,085 15,917 8191 68,750 3 Ramechhap 2116 7156 16,951 20,910 11,490 58,623 4 Dolakha 1353 2993 6520 14,409 35,364 60,639 5 Sindhupalchok 1233 2009 3271 10,796 71,432 88,741 6 Kavrepalanchok 8330 11,726 25,130 28,974 23,859 98,019 7 Lalitpur 1746 2125 5282 11,152 12,788 33,093 8 Bhaktapur 1022 1083 4560 12,720 10,812 30,197 9 Kathmandu 1926 2177 6106 16,105 24,810 51,124 10 Nuwakot 2615 2745 8209 23,284 40,295 77,148 11 Rasuwa 277 343 782 2064 9178 12,644 12 Dhading 4952 7526 15,218 26,080 35,346 89,122 13 Makwanpur 32,540 21,135 18,525 10,928 7866 90,994 14 Gorkha 4351 8555 15,507 22,536 27,125 78,074 Sub-total of 14 districts 83,509 92,648 152,366 223,821 324,176 876,520 1350 1142 769 1015 4561 Moderately affected 18 districts 1 Dhankuta 285 2 Sankhuwasabha 1092 1637 1356 585 499 5169 3 Bhojpur 638 2457 3143 1268 1873 9379 4 Solukhumbu 867 3644 5361 3826 3762 17,460 5 Khotang 880 3154 3365 2727 2773 12,899 6 Chitwan 2100 5117 3834 1639 2579 15,269 7 Lamjung 1895 5521 6316 5597 3032 22,361 8 Tanahu 3272 7467 7610 3847 3340 25,536 9 Syangja 1358 5143 4860 2396 2354 16,111 10 Kaski 994 3404 3663 1744 1269 11,074 11 Myagdi 163 308 470 197 275 1413 12 Parbat 1786 3309 3233 1444 1168 10,940 13 Baglung 418 934 1108 438 949 3847 14 Gulmi 782 1726 2097 1226 1219 7050 15 Palpa 1739 3608 3267 1184 929 10,727 16 Nawalparasi (east), Nawalparasi (west) 5 90 256 183 450 984 17 Arghakhanchi 35 485 738 244 146 1648 Sub-total of 18 districts 18,309 49,354 51,819 29,314 27,632 176,428 Source CBS (2017b) 2.2 Findings 25 space for challenging such decisions. Consequently, a majority of 635,973 complaints were received on the ground of ownership. All the information related to the building characteristics such as house status, foundation, roof, floor, super structure and plan configuration were relevant. However, there are a number of weaknesses in the building damage assessment section. First of all, the damage level is sub-divided into four categories: severe– extreme, moderate–heavy, insignificant and non. The categories except non are subdivided into further three groups based on the magnitude of damage: > 2/3; 1/3–2/3; < 1/3. The enumerator ultimately has to use one’s discretion for classification which made all individual indicators redundant. There are other structural questions such as: foundation, roof, walls, pillars and non-structural elements. All these individual elements are not tied up for determining ultimate damage grade as asked under question 7 where options are given as: Grade 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The intention of objective decision making was ended up with subjective judgment. This section also includes question on geological status which undermined its significance significantly. Question no. 14 deals with the number of family members inhabiting in the house which is clearly a redundant as the question 1 of the first section and the entire second section deal with family. Part 2 basically deals with the family’s demographic characteristics, transitional settlements, status of relief package, earthquake impact of psycho-social behavior and current physical facilities such as drinking water, fuel source and other household amenities. In principle, each question is sensible. However, how such questions were used for public and social responses demand proper elaboration. First of all, housing grant was provided to a household irrespective to their family members which made the data almost irrelevant. Secondly, it was too late to ask question of transitional settlement as the data collection and processing took more than a year until then most of the people made some form of transitional arrangement. It would have been extremely inappropriate to wait for the result of such survey to formulate relief policy. The death and casualties are the issues handled by the DDRC hence parallel question here does not make much sense for policy response. These questionnaires did not support for responding post-disaster psycho-social provisions. Impact of the earthquake on water supply, fuel and toilet is relevant but public response does to rely on such findings. The question 9 was concentrated on socio-economic impact which as such is relevant. But what is the policy response of this question is unclear. This inappropriate questionnaire costed the country dearly. With rather longer survey period, the NRA had to succumb unsurmountable socio-political pressure. Moreover, delay of a few months implicates the whole year due to the seasonality of housing construction. For example, the CBS was able to dispense initial housing data only in March 2016 then construction season remained only two months which the beneficiaries would require for preparing housing construction (Sharma 2016a). Hence, the real construction could begin only from Nov. of 2016 as the Nepal monsoon season prevails during June to September which is followed by festive season in October every year. In addition, each questionnaire required 30–45 min (CBS 2017b), whereas it could have been decreased down to maximum 30 min 26 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … which would have shortened surveying period, reduced resource requirement and would enable housing reconstruction earlier. 2.2.3 Linking Beneficiary Survey to Long-term Planning The outcome of damage assessment survey is directly related to the MoUD’s “Basic Construction Standards on Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Building Construction—2072 B.S.” (MoUD 2015) and the NBC (MoUD 2020). In addition, the local governments have adopted the MoUD’s Basic Construction Standards on Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Building Construction and has promulgated of their own such as the Building Construction Standard 2018 (KMC 2018) which will be also directly related to the building damage assessment survey. Both the federal and local construction standards are mainly directed toward the new construction rather than the exiting private houses. There are some rather vague provisions such as the clause 8 of the federal construction standards intend to regularize the old structures within the basic guidelines. There is no provision of housing integrity assessment. Under such circumstance, the new private houses comply with the building guidelines and standards, whereas the old structures remain vulnerable which will have potential to induce mass scale fatality and destruction in the event of the great or major earthquakes. In addition to inducing human sufferings, the public sector has to bear the brunt with immense liability. Approximately, threefifth of the total current housing stock of 5.64 million is susceptible to be vulnerable to major and great trembler. It is indispensable to upgrade these about 3.38 million housing stock as the pent-up energy has been waiting to outburst particularly in the western Nepal. The trembler has not struck since 8.5 (ML ) in 1505 AD. Avouac et al. (2015) maintain that lives can be saved by drilling school children, retrofitting schools and private houses. It is quite possible that the 2015 earthquake seismic waves were a lower frequency than expected which may not be the case next time. 2.3 Discussion The findings section revealed that the damage assessment survey was an essentially highly constructive effort but had some shortcomings. Although it was conceived as a tool for the post-earthquake reconstruction, it has potential to link up with the drive to housing resilience. However, a number of questions have to be answered for replicating NRA’s damage assessment exercise. Some of the major questions are: • Which institution should carry out housing integrity assessment in the federal context? • What revisions are required in the post-2015 damage survey questionnaire? 2.3 Discussion 27 • What policy reform will be required for streamlining disaster resilient interventions? • Is Nepal competent enough for strengthening vulnerable houses technologically and availability of human resources? • Does it require some incentive package to rollout the interventions and to strengthen the vulnerable houses? 2.3.1 Institution for Implementing Housing Integrity Assessment The Nepal’s Constitution 2015 has vested authority to the local governments (Parliament 2015) to administer the issue of housing resilience. The Local Government Operation Act (2017) further elucidated the jurisdiction of authority (Local Government Operation Act 2074 2017). Similar to building standards, the local governments are empowered to administer private housing including the integrity assessment. This activity can be considered as part of the building permit system. However, the nationwide policy formulation on housing integrity assessment falls under the MoUD (2012). In addition, handholding for developing questionnaire, developing database system and augmenting local skills for enabling them to handle the entire activities are of MoUD’s responsibilities. 2.3.2 Questionnaire for the Housing Structural Integrity Assessment (HSIA) The HRHRS questionnaire and housing structural integrity assessment grapple with identical issues but with different emphasis. The erstwhile was meant for distributing grant for house reconstruction whereas the latter is intended to strengthen vulnerable houses for averting damage in the event of impending earthquakes. The municipalities need to decree to house owners to submit ownership and housing details for which the municipality has to provide a form similar to the housing registration form. Based on the submitted information, the municipality has to depute an engineer and a social mobiliser for housing integrity assessment. The housing integrity assessment team should have a checklist which should contain housing unit details such as number of stories, age, plinth area, height, foundation type, roofing, superstructure and plan configuration. Key structural elements of foundation, walls, pillars, non-structural elements and roof also should be collected. This information should lead to three outcomes whether the building is safe, needs retrofitting or requires demolishing. The registered safe houses require no action. The unregistered safe buildings will require some registration-related administrative actions. The house needing retrofitting will require municipality’s handholding for designing and also 28 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … retrofitting. The building needing to demolish will require elaborated administrative procedures and also incentive for rebuilding. 2.3.3 Policy Reform A few policy reforms are required for linking the post-earthquake housing survey to the municipality’s building standards. The basic construction standards, housing loan, insurance schemes, construction norms and skill development are the areas for further working. The “Basic Construction Standards on Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Building Construction 2072 B.S.” has to incorporate housing integrity assessment and also create ground for government handholding for promoting resilient housing. The basic question is whether the building structure complies with the building code or not. In case of vulnerability, the municipality has to persuade or even compel the household either to strengthen the existing house or reconstruct if not retrofittable. For this the NRA database of around one million houses can be the basis which should be under the custody of the MoUD but the Municipal data has to be handed over to the concerned entity. An interactive system between the municipality and MoUD has to be ensured. The retrofitting has to be the second element to be incorporated in the construction standards. In addition, there has to be a provision of retrofitting in the building code. Retrofitting may not ensure equivalent strength of new construction but the existing buildings must be safer enough for inhabitants. The NRA developed retrofitting norms and rate analysis which were baked through 6 years long experimentation is ready for approval which opens new horizon for effective implementation. Access to finance is essential for both rural and urban dwellers. However, the mode of intervention should be tailor made based on their requirements. For rural area, the federal government can adopt identical policy with that of the NRA which means provide grant based on households’ compliance. However, this policy was ineffective in the urban environment which requires higher level of financial requirement. For this the GoN—Ministry of Finance (MoF) along with the Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) have to devise loan policy with a long gestation and repayment provision with nominal interest rate. The loanee’s repayment capacity should not be considered as one of the mandatory requirements. However, the asset with distress valuation should support the loan. In addition, the retrofitting has to be eligible for loan package. Moreover, the MoF and NRB have to work on propagating housing insurance not only in the urban areas but also in the rural environment. NRA along with other partner organizations such as National Society for Earthquake Technology—Nepal (NSET) and Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) trained thousands of masons (NRA 2021l) other technicians which will lose their skills if the public sector marsupial pouch is not provided. It will require immediate formation of a guild of trained masons on retrofitting technology. In addition, they need entrepreneurial skills, basic accounting and managerial capacity. The 2.3 Discussion 29 Council of Technical Education and Vocational Training (CTEVT) will need to work for accreditation. Retrofitting requires a long journey for getting fully established as a proven technology for which a number of research and development initiatives are indispensable. How does seismic load work in row housing and what are design parameters for strengthening? How to bolster strength of the local materials like stone and timber? Academic institutions with external support need to work continually for deriving optimal solutions. 2.3.4 Government’s Resolve in Housing Resilience The government has two different options: status quo and proactive intervention toward housing resilience. Following the state restructuring process in the federal context, the number of municipalities increased from 58 in 2011 to 293. Consequently, urban population swelled significantly and reached to 19,291,031—66.08% of total population in 2021. However, mandatory implementation of the building code is expected irrespective of municipal status of urban or rural. No comprehensive survey has been conducted on the housing building compliance status. However, only very few municipalities have introduced building permit system which they verify for new construction. If the old building stock are also considered, the total compliant houses could be in the range of 40% of the entire housing stock of 5.6 million which means around 3.4 million houses are non-compliant. Against this backdrop, the MoUD has demonstrated sensitivity verbally however the commitment has not been demonstrated in action. On the NRA’s ground work of largest housing database covering 32 districts, 100,000 plus trained masons and other frontline skilled workers, thousands of trained engineers and technicians and cutting edge documented technologies, the MoUD along with the local governments have to introduce building permit system in all municipalities—urban and rural—for ensuring building code compliance. A nationwide private housing resilience project has to be introduced for creating enabling environment. The retrofitting drive of schools, hospitals and government buildings will diffuse technologies at the local level which will contribute for creating conducive environment for private housing retrofitting. 2.3.5 Incentivizing Retrofitting of Vulnerable Houses Incentivizing retrofitting has to be contextualized in conjunction with policy reform and nationwide private housing resilience program. The rural households require incentivizing with targeted housing grant in conjunction with robust socio-technical 30 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … assistance. It is unlikely that the households would comply with the building standards of their own with punitive administrative measures alone. An optimal enforcement of administrative directives in parallel to incentive mechanism yields desirable outcome—carrot and stick strategy. It is evident that the urban housing issue requires further creativity beyond grant and punitive action. Several alternative strategies are under policy disposal: introducing radical policy of readjustment and redevelopment—a form of house pooling regime where developers create and supply additional space under the agreed provision. Under this arrangement, the original landowners enjoy almost same area of modern space with all modern amenities including sufficiently wide alleys and open green space in their neighborhood. With this arrangement, the original households will not be displaced and modern amenities are blended in traditional architecture. With productive infrastructures, the city generates additional income benefiting to the entire economy. However, this redevelopment and land readjustment is extremely challenging and ambitious. Under the second alternative, the individual households can choose other households for joint housing. For such households, the state will need to provide subsidized loan with only property evaluation. The present one of the banking eligible criteria of repayment capacity has to be desirable but not the mandatory. Such seismic resilient structures will require flexibility in terms of floors. Under third option, the state does not interfere in landownership but supports to the existing land lord with liberal loan policy. For example, relaxing recipient income for guaranteeing repayment. However, the assets earning power must be reckoned with. 2.4 Conclusions This study reviewed the household registration for housing reconstruction survey which was conducted for assessing housing damage and ascertaining socio-economic impact after 2015 Gorkha Nepal Earthquake. The analysis revealed that the questionnaire’s objectives were rather myopic which could have linked with beyond reconstruction endeavor. In addition, there were a number shortcomings in the survey questionnaire which could have been avoided. Delinking damage information to ultimate decision making and loading redundant and irrelevant questions, the validity and authenticity of survey outcomes were compromised. In spite of all these limitations, the housing database has potential to become launching pad for housing resilience nationwide. All municipalities—urban and rural—can build up on NRA’s housing database and conduct housing structural integrity assessment. The local governments will need to devise strategy to either strengthen vulnerable houses or encourage the concerned household to rebuild. For this the local governments will need to provide technical handholding and the Ministry of Finance and Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) will need to work for availing housing grant to rural areas and subsidized loan for urban areas. In addition, the federal government may come up with more radical strategies such as urban house pooling or resettlement intervention in rural areas. Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program 31 Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program Government of Nepal National Planning Commission Secretariat Central Bureau of Statistics Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program 1. 2. HOUSEHOLD QUESTIONNAIRE Part 1: Detailed Information on Damage Assessment of Residential Buildings (Strongly advised to ask this part of the questionnaire to the House Owner) Introductory Details Surveyor’s Code: Date of Survey: 2072/ / House Address: District Name 1. V.D.C. / Municipality Ward No. Sub Ward No. House Owner Information 1.1 Number of households having the ownership in this house? 1.2 Please write the full name of the house owner/s: S. No. Village/Locality First Name Middle Name Photograph/s of House Owner/s or Respondent (Strongly advised to take photograph/s of House Owner) Last Name Sex 1. 2. 3. (1) (2) (3) (4) 1.3 Are the House Owner and the respondent the same person? 1.4 Give the respondent’s full name First Name Middle Name Last Name Sex 1.5 1. (2) (3) 1. Yes -> Q 1.6 Male Female Third Gender (5) Serial Number of VDC/Mun. certified list (For Verification Method only) 2. No Male Female 02. Husband/Wife 03. Son/Daughter 04. Daughter/Son-in-law 05.Father/Mother 06. Mother-in-law/Father-in-law 07. Brothers/Sisters 08. Grandson/Granddaughter 09. Others (4) (5) Reason for not being able to interview the house owner Absentee - Inside country (6) What is the relationship of the house owner to the respondent? 1. 2. 3. Third Gender (1) House Owner Serial No./Form Serial No. 2. Absentee - Abroad 1.6 How many residential buildings does the house owner owns? 3. Too Old/Sick 4. Others…(Specify)……… 32 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … 1. What is the number of residential buildings owned by the house owner/s mentioned in Q 1.2 in this enumeration area? What is the number of residential buildings owned by the house owner/s or his/her family members outside 2. this ward/Sub-ward/enumeration area? (If this is 0, do not fill Q. 1.7) 1.7 Details of the houses owned by the house owner outside this ward/Sub-ward/enumeration area. Serial No. District V.D.C/ Municipality Ward No. (2) (3) (4) Condition of the house 1. Not Damaged 2. Partially damaged but possible to live 3. Completely damaged Name of the house owner (1) (5) 1.8 What are the other building structures such as (sheds/machan) etc. not used for residential purpose? Number (Not damaged) Number (Partially damaged) Number (Completely Collapsed) 1.9 Telephone Number of House Owner or Respondent ……………………………………… Name of District V.D.C/Municipality Ward No. Sub Ward No. Village/Locality Note: Q. 2 to 14 of this section has to be filled for every residential building/s of the house owner serial mentioned in Q 1.6 Building Number: 2. Building Information 2.1 What is the legal ownership status of the plot of land of this house? 1. Personal 2. Institutional/Community(Guthi) 3. Governmental/Public 4. Others 2.2 What is the condition of the house after the earthquake and its aftershocks? 1. Damaged, debris removed and premises cleared 2. Damaged but debris not removed 3. Building has been covered by landslide 4. Damaged, debris removed and rebuilt 5. Damaged, building is still there but no one is living 6. Damaged, building is still there and people are living there despite the risk 7. damaged, repaired and people are living/not living 8. No damage at all 2.3 Details of the house before earthquake House Owner Serial No./Form No. Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program Number of storeys (Before Earthquake) Number of storeys Age of House Plinth area (Now) (How many of years old) house (sq.ft.) (1) (2) (3) 33 Height of house before Height of house after earthquake earthquake (ft.) (ft.) Slope of the land where house stands 1. Flat 2. 3. (4) (5) Moderate Slope Steep Slope (6) (7) 2.4 What is/was type of foundation of the building? 1. Fired brick/ stone in mud 2. Fired brick/ stone in cement 4. Bamboo/ timber posts 5. Others 3. Reinforced concrete pads 2.5 What is/was the roof made of? 1. Light roofing material (GI sheet, thatch, wood) on timber/ bamboo/steel structure 2. Heavy roofing materials (tile, slate, soil) on timber/ bamboo/ steel structure 3. RC/RB/RBC slab 2.6 What is/was floor made of? 1. Mud 2. Bricks/Stone 3. Wood 4. Concrete Slab 5. Others 2.7 What are the other floors of the house (other than ground floor and roof) made of? 1. Wooden plank in wooden structure 2. Mud in Timber/Bamboo/Fired Brick 3. RCC/RB/RBC 4. Not applicable (Single Storey house) 2.8 What is/was construction material for superstructure (lateral and vertical load resisting system) (Multiple choices possible) 1. Adobe/ mud 4. Stone in cement 7. Timber frame 10. RC frame (engineered) 2. Stone in mud 5. Fired brick in mud 8. Bamboo frame 11.Other (Specify) 3. Dry stone 6. Brick/ block in cement 9. RC frame (non-engineered) 2.9 What is/was the position of house? 1. Detached house 2. Adjoining house on one side 3. Adjoining houses on two sides 4. Adjoining houses on three sides 2.10 What is/was the plan configuration of the house? 1. Square 3. T-shape 5. U-shape 7. H-shape 9. House with central courtyard 3. 2. Rectangular 4. L-shape 6. E-shape 8. Multi projected 10. Others (specify) Building Damage Assessment (To be filled only when Q 2.2 has the answers between 5 to 8). Please tick the appropriate answer. This should be filled by the surveyor by observing the building without asking the house owner. >2/3: More than two third, 1/3 – 2/3: Between one third to two third, <1/3: Below one third S.N. Details Severe - Extreme >2/3 1/3-2/3 <1/3 Moderate - Heavy >2/3 1/3-2/3 <1/3 Damage Level Insignificant >2/3 1/3-2/3 None <1/3 Comment 34 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … 3.1 3.1.1 3.1.2 3.1.3 3.2 3.2.1 3.2.2 Overall hazard Collapse or Partial Collapse Building or storey leaning Adjacent building hazard Structural hazards Foundation 3.3.2 Roof/Floor Collapse /Partial Collapse For Masonry Buildings Corner Separation Diagonal Cracking 3.3.3 In-plane-failure of walls 3.3.4 Out-of-plane failure-of walls carrying floor/roof 3.3.5 Out - of - plane failure of walls not carrying floor/roof Gable wall damage/ collapse 3.3 3.3.1 3.3.6 3.3.7 Delamination 3.4 3.4.1 For Reinforced Concrete Buildings Column Failure 3.4.2 Beam Failure 3.4.3 3.5 3.5.1 Infill/partition walls damage/toppling Non-Structural Hazards Staircase 3.5.2 Parapets 3.5.3 Cladding/Glazing 3.6 General Comments 4. Does this place have Geo-Technical risks? 5. What are the Geo-Technical risks in this place? (Multiple answers are possible) 1. Ground Displacement Flood 6. 3. Liquefaction 4. Landslide 2. Interior 3. Both 4. House cleared 5. Cannot be inspected What is the Damage Grade of this building? 1. Grade 1 8. 2. No -> Q. 6 What part of the building was inspected? 1. Exterior 7. 2. Ground Fissures 1. Yes 2. Grade 2 3. Grade 3 What is the Technical Solution of this building? 4. Grade 4 5. Grade 5 5. Rock fall 6. Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program 1. Not required 2. Minor Repair 3. Major Repair 35 4. To be rebuilt Have you started rebuilding/repair due to damage caused by the April 25 earthquake and its aftershocks? 9. 1. Yes 2. No 10. Is/was there any secondary use in this building? 1. Yes 2. No -> Q. 12 11. What is/was the secondary use of the building? (Multiple answers possible) 1. Shed/Agricultural purpose 2. Hotel/Restaurant/Shop 3. Rent 6. Industry 7. Health center 8. Government Office 4. Institution 9. Police Office 5. School 10. Others 12. Pictures of building (Maximum 6) 1. 4 sides of the building (if possible) 2. Damaged areas inside the building 3. If the building is completely collapsed, then take the photo of the building site 13. Location of house Latitude Longitude 14. What is the number of households living now/at the time of earthquake in this Elevation building? Number: (Note: All demographic and socio-economic details of the families mentioned in this house must be taken in the next section) 36 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … Part 2: Demographic and Socio-Economic Information (To be asked to the Head of the household) Name of District V.D.C/Municipality Ward Number Sob-ward Village/Locality Building Structure S.N.: House Owner Serial No./Form No. Household S. N.: If there are two or more than two families, then the family serial number of the head of the family should be 1 1 . Details of Household Head 1.5 Is the respondent Household Head? 1. Yes -> Q1.8 2. No 1.1 Name of Household Head ……………………….. ………………….. ………………. First Name Middle Name Sur Name 1.2 Gender of Household Head 1. Male 2. Female 3. Third Gender 1.6 Photograph of Household Head Name of the respondent: 1.3 Date of birth of Household Head: ……….Year ……..Month…….Day 1.7 What is the relationship of the Household Head to the respondent? 1.4 Age completed by Household Head (No. of Years): 1.8 Type of ID card of Household Head 1. Nepali Citizenship 2. 3. 4. Driver’s License Voter’s ID card Social Security ID Card 5. 2.1 6. Foreigner (Name of the country…….) -> Q 1.11 Caste/Ethnicity of Household Head (Code)…….. Picture of ID card of HH Head (Front side only.) of Q. 1.8 None -> Q 1.11 1.9 Identity card number: ………………. 1.10 District from where the ID card is issued (Code) ……………………….. 1.12 Completed Educational level of Household Head ………….. (Code of educational level) 1.13 Does Household Head have a bank account? 1. Yes -> Name of the bank & address 2. No Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program 37 1.18. What category of Earthquake Victim Identity Card has your family received from the Government of Nepal? 1.14 Where is your Household staying after earthquake? 1. Own house 2. 3. Rented house Organization/Relative/Friend’s house 1. 2. ID card showing full damage ID card showing partial damage 4. 5. Temporary settlement/Tent Others 3. No ID card received 4. Not applicable Picture of ID card. (Front side) Picture of ID card. (Back Side) 1.15 What is your usual place of residence before earthquake? 1. The same V.D.C/Municipality 2. The Same district, but another V.D.C/Municipality 3. Another district (Please Specify)……………………….. If the answer is 1 or 2 1. 1.16 What is your present place of residence? 1. The same V.D.C/Municipality Identity Card Number …………………………… 1.19 What is the average monthly income of your household? 2. The Same district, but another V.D.C/Municipality 3. 3. Another district (Please Specify) …………………………….. 1. Less than Rs. 10,000 2. Between Rs 10,000 – Rs 20,000 3. Between 20,000 – Rs 30,000 1.17 Which of the following Victim Relief Cash distributed by the 4. Between 30,000 – Rs 50,000 Government of Nepal has your Household received? (Multiple options 4. Above Rs. 30,000 possible) 1. Rs 15,000 2. Rs. 10,000 3. 1st Installment of Rs. 2 lakhs. 1.20 Contact telephone number of Household Head ……………………… 4. Rs. 3000 as social security allowance (additional amount) 5. 6. 2. Did not receive any afore mentioned money 6. Not Applicable Details of household members: 2.1 Total number of members in the HH including the Household head: (For the first phase 11 districts: If the HH is a foreigner, mention the number of family members who usually stay in the house and finish the interview; For other phases: No foreigner HH was visited) What is the usual S. No. Name of Relationship to the Date of birth Gender place of residence of Household 1. Male Household Head ( ……Name) in the members (Please 1. Household Head 2. Female HH? write the HH's 2. Husband/Wife 3. Third Name in the first 3. Son/Daughter Gender row) 1. Usually 4. Daughter/Son-in-law stays in HH 5. Father/Mother Absent – 6. Mother in law/Father in 2. Inside country law 3. Absent – 7. Brothers/Sisters Abroad 8. Granddaughter/Grandson 4. Unknown 9. Domestic Helper (Onley ask questions from 10. Others 6- 8) First Middle Last Year Month Name Name Name (1) 1. 2. 3. (3) (4) 1.Household Head (5) Age completed by (…Name) Yrs. Day (7) 38 2 Linking Post-Gorkha Earthquake Housing Damage Assessment … S. Does (…..Name) have ≤ 5 years N any kind of Disability? 1. 1. Elderly Citizen Has (….Name’s) birth been registered at V.D.C/Municipality? 1.Yes 2.No (8) 3. (9) 4. (1) 5. What is the marital status of (…….Name)? What is the Level of education Completed by (….Name)? (Code for Level of education) Unmarried 1. 2. Married 3. Widow/ Widower 4. Divorced 5. Separated (10) (11) 2. Single Woman 3. Disabled 4. Endangered Ethnicity Since whe n What is the has name of father or (……Name ving husband of ) been recei nce? (….Name)? such kind of allowa YY MM What is the name of mother or wife of (….Name)? 5. Child Protection 6. Pension 7. Others 8. Not received -> Next person 9. Not applicable -> Next person (12) (13) (14) Has there been any deaths in your family in the last 12 months? 1. Yes, Number: S. No. What kind of social security allowance has (…..Name) received ? ≥ 10 years No 2. Yes/Recei v ed red card 3. Yes/Receiv ed blue card 4. Yes/Receiv ed yellow card 5. Yes/Receiv ed white card 6. Yes/No card (1) ≥ 5 years 2. No -> Q. 5 Details of deceased person Full Name of the deceased person (2) Gender 1. 2. 3. Gender Date of Death Male MM Female YY Third (3) DD What was the Reasons of death completed age 1. April 25 of (….Name) Earthquake & when s/he died? it’s aftershocks 2. Others (5) (4) (6) Has th e death been registered? 1. Yes 2. No (7) Has any of your family been severely injured/handicapped or missing due to the April earthquake and its aftershocks ? 1. Yes Number: ………………………….. 2. No -> Q.7 6. If yes, please give the details of the severely injured/handicapped or missing family members. S. No. Name of the severely injured/handicapped or Gender Age in completed years missing family members 1. Male 2. 3. Female Third Gender Type of injury 1. Severely injured 2. Handicapped 3. Missing (15) Annex 1: Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Program 7. S. No. 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 Has there been any changes to any of your household members due to earthquake? Details 39 1. Yes 2. No 3. Not applicable If yes, number of people Has any of the students attending up to class 10 dropped out of school? Did the pregnant woman had to quit going for regular checkup? Did the children below 5 years had to miss taking regular immunization? Has any members in the HH aged 10 or more had to quit their job or changed the job due to earthquake? 8. What was/is the use of the following utilities in your HH before/after the earthquake? S. No. Source/Facilities Before Earthquake After Earthquake 1. Tap/Pipe Water 2. Tubewell/Hand Pump 8.1 What was/is the main source 1. Tap/Pipe Water 2. Tubewell/Hand Pump 3. Covered well 4. Open Well/Kuwa of drinking water? 3. Covered well 4. Open Well/Kuwa 5. Source water 6. River/Rivulets 7. Others 5. Source water 6. River/Rivulets 7. Others 8.2 What did/do you use mostly to cook food? 1. Wood 4. Biogas 2. L.P.G 5. Electricity 8.3 What did/do you use mostly to light in your HH? 1. Electricity 5. Generator 8.4 What kind of toilet did/does your 1. family use? sewage) 3. Kerosene 6. Others 2. Kerosene 3. Biogas 6. Others With flush (connected to public 2. With flush (septic tank) Simple 4. No toilet 9. 3. 1. Wood Biogas 2. L.P.G 5. Electricity 1. Electricity 5. Generator 1. sewage) 3. Kerosene 6. Others 2. Kerosene 3. Biogas 6. Others With flush (connected to public 2. With flush (septic tank) Simple 4. No toilet 3. What are the following facilities does your family had/have? (Multiple options possible) Before Earthquake 1. Land 2.TV 3. Cable TV 4. Computer/Laptop 5. Internet 6. Telephone 7. Mobile Phone 8. Refrigerator 9. Motorcycle 10. Four wheeled Vehicle/Car/Jeep/Van for personal use 11. Four wheeled Vehicle/Car/Jeep/Van for business use 12. None of the above After Earthquake 1. Land 2.TV 3. Cable TV 4. Computer/Laptop 5. Internet 6. Telephone 7. Mobile Phone 8. Refrigerator 9. Motorcycle 10. Four wheeled Vehicle/Car/Jeep/Van for personal use 11. Four wheeled Vehicle/Car/Jeep/Van for business use 12. None of the above I declare that I have provided accurate and true information related to me, my household and the details of the damage of my house by earthquake. I fully agree to let Nepal Government use the information related to my household for Social Security and Housing Reconstruction. Likewise, I assure you that neither I nor any of my HH members has enrolled twice in this data collection program. Should it happen, I am ready to be punished as per law. Central Bureau of Statistics would like to thank you for providing us your truthful information and cooperating with us in the survey. Chapter 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction Abstract This chapter intended to capture achievements of the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) in terms of transparency and contribution toward financial inclusion. Secondary sources of information were used mainly. The primary data collected by the Housing Recovery and Reconstruction Platform (HRRP) was also used. It is substantiated that NRA’s strategy to disburse housing grants through commercial banks helped avoid corrupt practices and minimize fiduciary risks. More importantly, NRA’s decision brought an additional 20% of the population to the banking net who may be motivated to continue using banking system for savings and raising loan. The GoN may consider connecting other scattered populations to banks through branchless banking. Banking coverage can also pave the way for rural housing insurance which will enhance resilience both at household and national levels. Some policy reforms, however, will be required for boosting universal financial inclusion. Keywords Housing · Grant · Transparency · Rural banking · Financial inclusion 3.1 Background Nepal’s socio-economy was greatly influenced by the 7.8 ML 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake. The PDNA (NPC 2015b) estimated that 755,549 houses had either collapsed or were damaged and the value of the loss was estimated at NRs. 350.5 billion (US$3.46 billion), which was 58% of the estimated total loss (NRs. 706 billion or US$7 billion). NPC further estimated that the total damage was one third of the GDP in FY 2013/014 and was more than 100% of the Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) in FY 2013/014. The private sector suffered severely as the damage was 3.3 times more than that of the public sector. Commercial banks and financial institutions can play catalytic role in recovery provided that the constraining factors are addressed. The United Nation Capital Development Fund (UNCDF) had identified that 18% of the adult population was financially excluded (UNCDF 2014). However, further scrutiny showed that only 61% adults used some form of formal financial services and 21% adults used informal © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_3 41 42 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction services. When overlaps in use of financial channels were considered, informal channels occupied 57%, which is an overwhelming share (UNCDF 2014). Poor financial infrastructure in rural area and psychological deterrence of the lower-income rural consumer to access formal banking, unavailability of bankable collateral and no insurance coverage were the major barriers for 57% of the people. Efficient access to financial services is essential for economic growth. Schumpeter emphasized that innovations are carried out using borrowed money (Schumpeter 1939). It is instrumental to pool savings from disparate depositors, allocate the resources efficiently to the most feasible projects and to allocate risks to capable investors. Gonzalez elucidated that the association between access to finance and economic development is not only positive, but also causal. Financial access instigates economic growth mainly through productivity gains rather than capital accumulation (Gonzalez−Paramo 2005). The discussion leads to the inference that access to finance is indispensable for economic development. The fact that 57% people were deprived of this is therefore alarming. The commercial banking sector was very primitive until 1990 when Nepal began democratizing and introduced economic liberalization (Bimali and Subedi 2020). Bimali and Subedi further argued that the growth rate accelerated during 2000–2012 after which the focus was on consolidation. Table 3.1 shows the number of banks and financial institutions (BFI) and economic growth. The general impression from Table 3.1 is that the number of banking and financial institutions contributes to the GDP growth in the long term. There exists a weak correlation between BFI and GDP, which is 0.033. The BFI’s relation with bank credit is paradoxically negative and there is weak positive relation between BFI and bank deposits (0.26). The trend showed that the BFI number does not instigate GDP instantly. As all other infrastructure, BFIs create environment but other variables have to be activated for the economic development. Under these circumstances, the GoN decided to provide housing grants of NRs. 200,000 (US$2000) to each earthquake affected household, which was later increased to NRs. 300,000 (US$3000) (NRA 2020). In order to ensure earthquake resilience, NRA decided to disburse grants in three installments: after signing the grant agreement, then after completion of the plinth-level construction and finally after the completion of the roof band of the house (Earthquake Affected Private Housing Reconstruction Grant Working Procedure—2073, 2016). However how to distribute the grant amount was a challenge given the limited number of bank branches in the affected areas. Against the above background, this paper intends to capture NRA’s achievement in ensuring transparency and in contributing to the national objective of the universal financial access. 3.2 Methodology 43 Table 3.1 BFI and GDP, bank credit and deposits FY No. of licensed BFIs Growth Year-Over-Year (YOY) Total Class A GDPa (%) Bank credit (%) Bank deposit (%) Closing credit/Nominal GDP YOY credit growth/YOY nominal GDP growth (%) 2008 161 25 12 34 30 48 114 2009 166 26 21 31 33 52 70 2010 185 27 21 19 16 51 48 2011 197 31 15 15 11 51 51 2012 189 32 12 12 23 51 50 2013 176 31 11 21 17 56 99 2014 167 30 16 18 18 57 64 2015 154 30 8 20 20 63 137 2016 137 28 6 24 19 74 263 2017 96 28 19 18 13 74 73 2018 86 28 14 22 19 80 120 2019 80 28 14 20 18 84 119 2020 73 27 17 12 a Gross value added by industrial division at current (nominal) prices; FY2019 GDP is the revised estimate of the Central Bureau of Statistics (revised in April 2020); Source (Bimali and Subedi 2020) 3.2 Methodology This is descriptive paper and is based mainly on secondary data drawn from the NRA and the HRRP, including primary data for the NRA-wide impact study (HRRP 2021a). The survey’s sampled districts were Bhaktapur, Bhojpur, Chitawan, Dhading, Dolakha, Gorkha, Gulmi. Kavrepalanchok, Kaski, Kathmandu, Khotang, Lalitpur, Lamjung, Makawanpur, Nuwakot, Okhaldhunga, Parbat, Ramechhap, Rasuwa, Sindhuli, Sindhupalchok, Solukhumbu, Syangja and Tanahu. Among them, 14 districts were severely affected and 10 were moderately affected. The survey covered 4042 households from the severely affected districts and 782 households from moderately affected districts. Of the 4042 respondents from the severely affected districts; 3856 were earthquake victims and remaining were unaffected households. Similarly, out of 244 households from moderately affected districts, 186 households were selected from earthquake affected households and remaining were selected from unaffected households. It is assumed that the increase in banking coverage was the impact of NRA’s decision to disburse housing grants through bank accounts. The decision to make payments through the banking system brought eligible beneficiaries without bank accounts into the banking net. However, other factors such as access to banks nearby 44 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction and others may also have contributed to this. These aspects, however, were not covered by this study, and hence remains as the limitations. 3.3 Findings This section discusses the formal grant distribution arrangement, actual disbursement through various bank branches, problems encountered and contribution of this intervention to the universal finance access. 3.3.1 Distribution of Beneficiaries The PDNA had estimated that 498,852 houses had completely collapsed and another 256,679 were severely damaged (NPC 2015a), which was subject to verification by the Household Registration for Housing Reconstruction Survey (HRHRS) (CBS 2017a). The distribution of beneficiaries for housing grant is shown in Table 3.2, which is also depicted in Fig. 3.1. As shown in Table 3.1 and Fig. 3.1, the devastation was mainly concentrated in the mid-hills and the Churia range. Sindhupalchowk, Dhading, Kavrepalanchok, Nuwakot, Gorkha and Dolakha had the highest number of beneficiaries and earthquake affected households. Tentatively districts are on an axis between the first jolt’s epicenter at Barpak of Gorkha and second tremor’s epicenter at Singati of Dolakha district. All of the earthquake affected district settlements either were not accessible or seasonally accessible through dirt road which made commuting from remote settlements to the district headquarters extremely difficult. Further, the Maoist insurgency (1996–2006) had led to a reduction of commercial bank presence in the rural areas. Hoffmann and Grossmann (Grossmann and Hofmann 2005) argued that the conflict had caused severe problems for state-owned regional development banks because the Maoists had targeted them. A number of banks were looted or robbed during the insurgency and that had caused other banks to withdraw from remote areas and operate only from the district headquarters. This was largely the situation until the 2015 earthquake. The mountainous terrain, poor accessibility due to earthen roads and low coverage of banking had created huge challenges in grant distribution. 3.3.2 Formal Housing Grant Distribution Arrangement NRA pondered on various options for distributing grants to the housing beneficiary after singing the beneficiary agreement. How to avoid malpractices and leakages was the crux of the discussion. The influencing factors for decision were the financing agreement between Nepal and the International Development Association 3.3 Findings 45 Table 3.2 Number of housing (grant) beneficiaries S. No District Beneficiaries Reconstruction Total Retrofitting 1 Sindhupalchok 89,171 421 89,592 2 Dhading 80,238 2256 82,494 3 Kavrepalanchok 77,213 3837 81,050 4 Nuwakot 76,536 588 77,124 5 Gorkha 68,592 2392 70,984 6 Dolakha 69,456 969 70,425 7 Ramechhap 54,207 2409 56,616 8 Sindhuli 38,815 12,757 51,572 9 Makawanpur 35,776 9529 45,305 10 Kathmandu 43,614 1065 44,679 11 Lalitpur 26,806 1065 27,871 12 Okhaldhunga 25,787 1295 27,082 13 Bhaktapur 25,153 655 25,808 14 Tanahu 14,139 1134 15,273 15 Lamjung 14,048 673 14,721 16 Solukhumbu 12,291 952 13,243 17 Rasuwa 12,324 107 12,431 18 Khotang 9622 443 10,065 19 Syangja 8914 768 9682 20 Chitawan 8129 797 8926 21 Kaski 6414 726 7140 22 Bhojpur 6186 761 6947 23 Parbat 5665 320 5985 24 Palpa 4573 646 5219 25 Gulmi 4205 315 4520 26 Dhankuta 3181 261 3442 27 Baglung 2369 119 2488 28 Sankhuwasabha 2036 332 2368 29 Arghakhanchi 1191 111 1302 30 Nawalparasi 1071 33 1104 31 Myagdi 901 50 951 Total Beneficiaries 828,623 47,786 876,409 Source NRA EHRP MIS (NRA-CLPIU 2021) 46 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction Fig. 3.1 Spatial distribution of damaged houses (IDA), spatial distribution of bank branches and NRA’s commitment to put money in the hands of the beneficiaries. After confirming bank branches at the district headquarters and major market centers, NRA considered introducing branchless banking (BLB) as well. The BLB system offers banking facilities in the far-flung rural settlements through local merchants (Sakchyam 2021). However, owing to the operational complexity involved with BLB, NRA decided to mobilize standard bank branches. The NRA’s Executive Committee’s 15th meeting endorsed an understanding with GoN-MoF, NRB and Nepal Bankers Association (NBA) (NRA 2016b). The understanding reached said: • The housing grant is to be distributed through Treasury Single Account (TSA) and the commercial banks are required to deposit housing grant within seven days. • NRA to avail electronic data of beneficiaries and banks to open account even in the absence of the account holder. • All financial institutions of Category I, II and III to open such bank accounts. No service charge would be required for up to 50 beneficiaries in the district headquarters, and 20 outside of district headquarters for daily transaction. In excess of the designated upper ceiling, the BFI will charge NRs. 225 (US$2) per transaction. The debit card would cost NRs. 100 (US$1) which is optional. • BFIs were encouraged to employ biometric systems. • A coordination committee was formed under the chairmanship of the NRA’s Secretary with representation of the Ministry of Finance (MoF), Financial 3.3 Findings 47 Comptroller General’s Office, NRB, MoHA, Ministry of Energy and Ministry of Communication for facilitating the understanding. Based on the Executive Committee’s decision framework, a Standard Operating Procedure (SOP) was outlined as shown in Fig. 3.2 (NRA 2021 m). NRA was committed to provide housing grants to fully damaged houses and partial grants for retrofitting. The CLPIU—GMALI identified beneficiaries based on the housing damage assessment survey, which was subject to verification by the NRA Executive Committee and this was the basis of the agreement between the local government and the beneficiary. Thereafter the beneficiary was entitled to receive the first tranche. After completion up to the plinth level and recommendation following inspection by the DLPIU-deployed technician the beneficiaries became eligible for receiving the second installment. The objective of the inspection was to ensure the building standard compliance. The District Treasury Controller Office (DTCO) would then issue a check after verification with the Line Ministry Budget Information System (LMBIS), created after NRA Executive Committee approval. Based on the issued check, the concerned bank deposited the second tranche in the house owner’s account. The payment from the banks was documented in the NRA’s MIS system. The third installment was disbursed following a similar process after completion of the lintel level. Figure 3.2 assumed the existence of the functional local governments during the period of 2016 but that was not the case. Ojha et al. (2017) argued that reconstruction could not pick up momentum as Nepal did not have local government for 16 years. As indicated in Fig. 3.2, the local governments were mandated to conclude agreements with beneficiaries and such agreements had to be digitized. However, having no capacity at the local governments and unavailability of required logistics, the NRA had to digitize the agreements until 2019 (GMALI 2019). No tranche payment could be done until the documents were digitized. The second requirement was the availability of engineers for inspection and certification. For issuing the second and third installments, a designated engineer had to certify that the building was compliant to engineering standards. However, the HRRP study (HRRP 2018) revealed that 51% engineers had inadequate training, 85% had to walk to the houses for inspection, 45% respondents had faced pressure or threats from households to approve their house and 29% had faced pressure or threats from ward/municipal officials for approving certain houses. This was because banks could make payments only after this certification. 3.3.3 Difficulties in Accessing Housing Grant Beneficiaries said there were several hurdles they had to overcome to receive the housing grant. Poudel (2018) stated that the process was too lengthy, and other requirements such as NRA deadlines, controversy in beneficiary identity and unavailability of construction materials were the major problems. The Nepali press also 48 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction Fig. 3.2 Grant disbursement procedure. Source NRA 2021m reported a number of inconveniences for accessing housing grant, which the NRA took up with the NRB, Commercial Banks and Nepal Bankers’ Association (NRA 2018a). The major reported issues were inaccessible banking facility, bending of rules by the banks and NRA’s communication mechanism. Due to unavailability of commercial banks near their residences, the rural housing beneficiaries had to travel to the district headquarters, which involved an arduous journey of more than a day. The beneficiaries had to spend additional resources on food and accommodation. In addition, security was also a concern (KP 2016). However, after the local governments’ election, the NRB issued directives requiring banks to establish at least one commercial bank in each municipality (Subedi 2017). With this new arrangement, beneficiaries were able to do banking within reasonable distances from their homes, and also saved additional costs that were involved with travel. However, expansion of branches was hindered because all municipalities were not connected to the Internet. With NRA’s persuasion, the Nepal Telecom expanded its service to rural areas (Aryal 2020) which not only facilitated banking expansion, but also ameliorated the need for NRA to digitize grant agreements. There were some complaints against the banks. Some bank branches had denied efficient payments of housing grant with a tendency to generate additional revenue. The bilateral agreement between NRA and bank required banks to make up to 50 payments per day at the district headquarters and up to 20 payments in rural settlements. Denying payment on the first day would lead to accumulation and the number would exceed the threshold on the second day (NRA 2018a). This was brought to the 3.3 Findings 49 attention of the NRB and Nepal Bankers Association. In addition, the banks intended to maintain their liquidity by withholding disbursement for few days. After recommendation of a tranche, it took a few days for depositing money in the beneficiary’s bank account. There were cases of overcrowding of beneficiaries at the district headquarters, and sometimes they even found that the money had not reached their bank accounts (Economy-Development 2017). The banks, however, were not solely responsible for this. Communication to beneficiaries about the delayed deposit could have helped avoid the situation. 3.3.4 Progress in Housing Grant Distribution Despite the obstacles in payment through banks, NRA had almost completed grant distribution in July 2021. As of 12 July 2021, NRA had disbursed NRs. 203.6 billion (US$1711 million) as housing grant to 971,036 beneficiaries through 723 branches of 74 commercial banks (Table 3.3). A discrepancy between EHRP and NRA record keeping systems was observed. The central record keeping system indicated that there were 829,667 agreement holder beneficiaries on 03 August 2021. However, the Earthquake Housing Reconstruction Program (EHRP) database showed 971,036 households, indicating some error in the system. Irrespective of the discrepancy, Table 3.2 shows that NRA disbursed NRs 203.6 billion (US$1.72 billion) as grants through 74 commercial banks and financial institutions. The Rastriya Banijya Bank and Agriculture Development Bank, both government-owned banks, distributed 9.87 and 5.02% of the grant amount, respectively. Both banks had large networks and being government owned may have also taken additional steps to implement the government policy. 3.3.5 Increase in Number of Bank Account Holders The proportion of male bank account holders was 51.83% in 2015, which increased to 69.8% in 2021 (HRRP 2021a). During the same period, the number of female bank holders increased from 55% to 70.4%. The statistics show that women’s account holding was at par with the male population, and growth rate was also more or less the same. With the increased access to commercial banks, there was a decline in accounts at financial institutions. The male population with account at financial institutions decreased from 45.1% to 42.2% and the decrease with the female population was sharper—from 42.2% in 2015 to 25.2% in 2021. Generally, people preferred commercial banks over financial institution after the banks became more accessible. The share of cooperatives was insignificant in both cases. The banking status of earthquake affected housing beneficiaries in Bhojpur, Gulmi and Solokhumbu increased from zero to almost 100%, which was a major achievement. Similar trend was observed in Okhaldhunga, Nuwakot, Sindhupalchowk and 50 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction Table 3.3 Disbursement of grants through various commercial banks and financial institutions S. No Bank No. of % branches No of beneficiary % Total amount % 1 Rastriya Banijya Bank 47 6.50 80,075 8.25 20,097,850,000 9.87 2 Agricultural Development Bank 40 5.53 44,919 4.63 10,228,229,641 5.02 3 Mega Bank 28 3.87 52,114 5.37 9,959,650,000 4.89 4 Century Bank 25 3.46 46,324 4.77 9,752,882,000 4.79 5 Nepal Bank 25 3.46 38,516 3.97 9,200,550,000 4.52 6 Prabhu Bank 28 3.87 32,173 3.31 8,342,100,000 4.10 7 Civil Bank 16 2.21 32,261 3.32 7,789,650,021 3.83 8 Global IME Bank 38 5.26 31,426 3.24 7,441,455,011 3.65 9 NMB Bank 26 3.60 28,406 2.93 7,129,950,000 3.50 10 Sindhu Bikash Bank 9 1.24 25,770 2.65 6,858,050,000 3.37 11 NCC Bank 13 1.80 27,143 2.80 6,653,650,028 3.27 12 Deva Development Bank 2 0.28 21,614 2.23 6,457,620,228 3.17 13 Prime 16 Commercial Bank 2.21 23,452 2.42 5,648,322,000 2.77 14 Sanima Bank 13 1.80 22,350 2.30 5,176,650,136 2.54 15 Himalayan Bank 10 1.38 20,304 2.09 5,111,165,817 2.51 16 Muktinath Bikas Bank 28 3.87 21,780 2.24 4,967,585,024 2.44 17 Lumbini Bikas Bank 8 1.11 24,695 2.54 4,860,300,000 2.39 18 Laxmi Bank 17 2.35 18,024 1.86 4,542,710,000 2.23 19 Nepal Investment Bank 11 1.52 17,913 1.84 4,317,600,370 2.12 20 Machhapuchchhre 12 Bank 1.66 18,990 1.96 3,978,750,000 1.95 21 Tourism Development Bank 10 1.38 21,419 2.21 3,665,400,000 1.80 22 Mahalaxmi Development Bank 9 1.24 15,636 1.61 3,404,900,000 1.67 23 Om Development Bank 15 2.07 15,600 1.61 3,170,015,001 1.56 (continued) 3.3 Findings 51 Table 3.3 (continued) S. No Bank No. of % branches No of beneficiary % Total amount % 24 Shangrila Development Bank 8 1.11 13,598 1.40 3,021,650,000 1.48 25 Bank of Kathmandu 12 1.66 13,561 1.40 2,942,800,004 1.45 26 Garima Development Bank 20 2.77 12,179 1.25 2,848,050,000 1.40 27 Everest Bank 11 1.52 10,502 1.08 2,471,200,000 1.21 28 Citizens Bank International 9 1.24 11,599 1.19 2,391,050,000 1.17 29 Hamro Bikash Bank 3 0.41 9906 1.02 2,271,650,000 1.12 30 Kumari Bank 11 1.52 10,955 1.13 2,132,950,000 1.05 31 Janata Bank 16 2.21 8620 0.89 2,028,650,000 1.00 32 Nabil Bank 7 0.97 8261 0.85 1,976,177,408 0.97 33 Vibor Society Development Bank 6 0.83 19,219 1.98 1,901,400,000 0.93 34 Siddhartha Bank 11 1.52 8893 0.92 1,801,100,000 0.88 36 Sunrise Bank 12 1.66 10,054 1.04 1,756,550,000 0.86 37 Araniko Development Bank 7 0.97 12,431 1.28 1,628,500,000 0.80 38 Nepal Bangladesh 11 Bank 1.52 8151 0.84 1,609,200,000 0.79 39 Yeti Development Bank 9 1.24 13,479 1.39 1,525,350,000 0.75 40 Kailash Bikas Bank 11 1.52 5302 0.55 1,213,750,000 0.60 41 Nepal SBI Bank 12 1.66 4,331 0.45 955,050,000 0.47 42 Kalinchowk Development Bank 5 0.69 17,628 1.82 881,400,000 0.43 43 Alpine Development Bank 9 1.24 7497 0.77 834,800,000 0.41 44 Kamana Sewa Bikas Bank 6 0.83 4580 0.47 827,500,000 0.41 45 NIC Asia Bank 14 1.94 4532 0.47 823,450,000 0.40 (continued) 52 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction Table 3.3 (continued) S. No Bank 46 Cosmos Development Bank 47 48 No. of % branches 5 No of beneficiary % Total amount % 0.69 11,705 1.21 781,250,000 0.38 Jyoti Development 4 Bank 0.55 5325 0.55 772,950,000 0.38 Sahayogi Bikash Bank 0.14 3076 0.32 738,950,000 0.36 1 49 Salpa Bikash Bank 4 0.55 2856 0.29 684,300,000 0.34 50 Manaslu Development Bank 4 0.55 8537 0.88 507,200,000 0.25 51 Kaski Finance Company 2 0.28 2296 0.24 465,850,000 0.23 52 Reliable Development Bank 2 0.28 5088 0.52 465,650,000 0.23 53 Gandaki Development Bank 2 0.28 1294 0.13 316,600,000 0.16 54 Professional Diyalo Bank 5 0.69 5341 0.55 267,050,000 0.13 55 Shine Resunga Development Bank 5 0.69 174 0.12 264,500,000 0.13 56 Narayani National 1 Finance Company 0.14 1178 0.12 246,100,000 0.12 57 Sagarmatha 3 Finance Company 0.41 3093 0.32 226,100,000 0.11 58 Triveni Development Bank 6 0.83 3631 0.37 199,500,000 0.10 59 Country Development Bank 2 0.28 2684 0.28 197,000,000 0.10 60 International Development Bank 1 0.14 3633 0.37 181,650,000 0.09 61 ICFC Finance Company 1 0.14 6045 0.62 172,420,000 0.08 62 Mahalaxmi 4 Finance Company 0.55 3237 0.33 161,950,000 0.08 (continued) 3.3 Findings 53 Table 3.3 (continued) S. No Bank 63 Matribhumi Development Bank 64 No. of % branches 2 No of beneficiary % Total amount % 0.28 2938 0.30 146,900,000 0.07 Guheshwori 1 Merchant Banking & Finance Company 0.14 234 0.02 61,550,000 0.03 65 Ace Development Bank 1 0.14 374 0.04 60,950,000 0.03 66 Siddhartha Development Bank 1 0.14 140 0.01 35,300,000 0.02 67 Subhechha Bikash 1 Bank 0.14 495 0.05 27,600,000 0.01 68 Green Development Bank 2 0.28 128 0.01 16,550,000 0.01 69 Reliance Finance Company 1 0.14 67 0.01 15,450,000 0.01 70 Sewa Bikas Bank 2 0.28 130 0.01 8,450,000 0.00 71 Supreme Development Bank 1 0.14 112 0.01 6,000,000 0.00 72 Kamana Development Bank 1 0.14 18 0.00 1,950,000 0.00 73 Infrastructure Development Bank 1 0.14 20 0.00 1,000,000 0.00 74 Birat Laxmi Development Bank 1 0.14 5 0.00 250,000 0.00 Total 723 100 100 971,036 203,628,232,689 Source MIS EHRP NRA-CLPIU 2021 Syangja. Some other districts such as Bhaktapur and Kaski had a good base in terms of accounts. The district wise changes before and after 2015 scenario is presented in Fig. 3.3. 54 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction Fig. 3.3 Percentage of households with bank account. Source HRRP (2021c) 3.4 Discussion The major objective of this study was to assess whether payment through the banking system helped to avoid malpractices and how it contributed toward the national objective of attaining universal banking. The Gorkha earthquake 2015 had struck after the decade long Maoist insurgency which had wiped out rural formal institutions including the local governments and commercial banks. As the mountainous region and mid-hills ranges were impacted, the accessibility to the far-flung settlements was limited by poor quality roads and foot trails. Despite the odds, NRA decided to make grant payments through the banking system to reduce the possibility of embezzlement and to ensure building code compliance. Branch less banking (BLB) was considered but could not be implemented due to inadequate infrastructure. However, the banking system was not flawless as inaccessibility created drudgery to beneficiaries, which was further compounded by the banks attempts to bend rules to their advantage. It was also realized that the NRA’s communication was not optimal. Despite the challenges, the private housing reconstruction was nearing completion and NRs. 203 billion (US$1.72 billion) had been disbursed to nearly one million households with no irregularity. The NRA decision also contributed toward increasing the number of bank account holders from 52 to 70%. The district wise analysis suggested that in some districts such as Bhojpur, Gulmi and Solokhumbu, the banking coverage among the beneficiaries increased from zero to 100%. Other districts also witnessed spectacular growth in banking coverage. Against this finding, a number of policy issues are suggested: the use of the banking system to avoid malpractices, to unlock constraints in the credit and savings market, to promote payment system, to bolster risk mitigation capabilities and to enhance capacity of locally based financial service providers. Avoiding shady tendencies: The possibility of malpractices while distributing cash grant was high. In order to counteract also other legal complications such as ascertaining individual identity and authenticating the payment, NRA employed the 3.4 Discussion 55 banking system. Transparency International Nepal’s (TI) investigative report on reconstruction concluded that reconstruction was successfully implemented despite initial hick-ups (TI Nepal 2020). TI added that the payments made through banking system had not only reduced delivery time but also eliminated malpractices like unnecessary delays and bribery, and disbursements of installments also helped toward ensuring proper use of reconstruction support. The release of grant support for reconstruction of private houses was largely fair with some grievances of intentional delays. The TI conclusions justified NRA’s disbursement policy. In the country ranked 120th in the scale of 90–154 in TI’s index (TI 2020), such flawless disbursement of US$1.72 billion to more than 800,000 households can be considered as a herculean accomplishment. Unlocking constraints in the credit and saving market: By end of July 2021, the number of NRA beneficiaries had reached to 828,813. Based on a survey, 51.83% beneficiaries had bank accounts before 2015, which increased to 69.8%. This means that the NRA’s is attributable for 149,000 households for bringing them to banking net which is the noteworthy contribution toward unlocking constraints in the credit and saving market. The new entrants’ exposure to the banking system leads them to benefit from savings and credit facilities, a crucial precursor for prosperity. On the other hand, Banks’ proximity to their customers enabled them to customize their policies. This is particularly important because most rural households neither possess bankable collateral nor formal income. The bank’s transaction cost for property evaluation increases substantially with additional distance. To unblock such constraints, the NRB introduced concessional housing loan. However, the concessional loan was accessed by less than 2000 out of more than 800,000 earthquake affected households (My Republica 2019). The first attempt therefore was not very successful. However, the initial attempt toward unlocking constraints in credit market is expected to enhance substantially in the days to come. Promoting payment system: This objective of financial inclusion strategy is to move from a cash based toward a digital economy. The greatest concern for NRA on this issue was to deliver housing grants to the far-flung hamlets that takes them a couple of days to reach the bank outlet. NRA’s consideration of BLB could not be operationalized which must be included in the central bank’s banking policy for the future. This issue needs to be in the forefront of the discourse of settlement consolidation interventions. As it stands now, with the introduction of “one local government one bank” must have ameliorated the situation drastically. Bolstering risk mitigation capabilities: Nepal’s vulnerability to natural disasters including earthquake is obvious. Had there been insurance coverage of housing units, the government could have focused only on public infrastructure, which would have been fraction of the present liability. However, not only rural but a majority of urban houses are uninsured. There is a strong tendency to insure houses for fulfilling housing loan criteria of commercial banks, which ends after repayment. In rural areas the concept of insurance is yet to be introduced. NRA took this up with Insurance Board of Nepal, the GoN’s insurance regulating agency. The MoF demonstrated some appetite 56 3 Transparency and Financial Inclusion in Nepal’s Reconstruction for this. However, the Insurance Board wanted NRA to frontload with government incentivized premiums, whereas NRA preferred the reimbursement modality. The dialogue remained inconclusive. It will be sensible for the government to initiate such insurance schemes all across the municipalities in conjunction with compliance to the National Building Code (NBC). At the initial stages, the Insurance Board will need to consider subsidies for operating in rural areas, which can be withdrawn later when insurance-related sensitivity picks up. This disaster preparedness initiative not only minimizes government liability but also increases disaster resilience of households. Mainstreaming financial inclusion in national policies: NRA’s grant distribution was a major intervention to mainstream financial inclusion in national policy. It was manifested in its collaboration with more than 60 commercial and financial institutions in consultation with the MoF and the central bank, a first attempt of grant disbursement of this scale. By doing this, a number of inconsistent government and NRB’s policies were put to the litmus test with respect of their practicality. However, there still are policies that need further strengthening or rewriting. For example, those relating to the introduction of BLB and housing insurance. Strengthen consumer empowerment, protection and education: Based on the Nepal Rastra Bank’s findings, only 25% of the total adult population use one type of financial product (NRB 2017), which means also that a large proportion of the population is still outside the banks’ reach. This is not a conducive situation for economic development, which demands adequate access and massive awareness. In addition, tailor made financial products and services are vital. The NRA’s contribution to bringing rural households within the reach of commercial banks was the first step toward consumer empowerment. Secondly NRA communicated message on grant distribution through media in local languages had raised both disbursement-related awareness and also educated people about the banking system. The financial institutions will need to build up on the NRA laid foundation. 3.5 Conclusion This study showed that NRA’s strategy to channel housing grants through commercial banks helped to avoid malpractices and ensured transparency. Although there were some shortcomings in housing grant distribution, NRA also contributed to unlocking constraints by bringing an additional 20% households in the banking net. With regard to easing the payment system, NRA’s success was rather lukewarm as it could not mainstream the BLB. The existing merchants, savings and credit groups and other local informal financial institutions should be incentivized and linked to formal financial intermediaries. The GoN will need to prepare policy on housing insurance not only for the urban settlements but also for the rural municipalities as a strategy to manage its liabilities during disasters. The MoF and the NRB need to review all legal provisions to ensure universal access to finance to all citizens. Chapter 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance for Setting Future Strategies Abstract Despite lining up of technicians across 32 earthquake affected districts and having provided with housing grant, the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) witnessed a sizeable amount of non-compliant housing stock. This chapter intended to identify non-compliant features and underlying reasons behind for which the World Bank collected more than 34,000 household data which was analyzed. In addition, the key informant survey with 150 house owners, local political leaders and field technicians was also conducted. Fifteen non-compliant issues were identified; among them, deviation in horizontal band was the prominent. The economic factor was identified as the principal contributing factor to the non-compliance followed by the paucity of technical knowledge and poor access to finance. Mandatory building permit system along with capacitating the local governments for technical handholding will lead to resilient housing. Token financial support combined with improved access to finance and by availing good quality construction materials in cost-effective price are other instruments. Introducing rural housing insurance policy could be another resilience instrument which has been successful in the developed countries. Keywords Building code · Compliance · Building permit system 4.1 Background Based on the preliminary 2021 census report, Nepal possesses a housing stock of 5.64 million which accommodate 6.76 million households (CBS 2022). The CBS is yet to publish detailed census report which would reveal present housing status. The housing census of 2011 reported that the foundation of housing units comprised with 10% RCC, 17.57% cement-bonded bricks, 24.9% wooden pillar, 44.21% mudbonded bricks and 2.33% other type (CBS 2012). The Amnesty International (AI) reported that less than 30% houses are safe (AI 2019) and the GoN intends to double safe housing stocks by 2030 (NPC 2017). The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake’s destruction of above 800,000 houses was mainly due to the earthquake non-resilient structure which costed 8790 lives, 22,300 injuries and a loss of US$7.065 billion (NPC 2015b). © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_4 57 58 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … Gautam et al. (2016) found that the unreinforced rubble stone and adobe buildings sustained major damage by 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake. The major weaknesses were structural integrity, heavy load, absence of bracing and pounding. In addition, binding structure, heavy gable and weak roofing structures were other causes. The RC structures incurred localized damage such as soft story, pounding, shear failure and building symmetry. In comparison to other structures, wooden-framed houses survived the most. Dizhur et al. (2016) further confirmed that the unreinforced structures were the major segment of failed buildings by the earthquake. Other studies detailed out that the shear failure in the concrete buildings was caused by stirrups spacing, buckling of longitudinal rebar and poor confinement of the core concrete (Sharma et al. 2016). For making progress toward the earthquake resilient society, NRA was mandated and internally committed to ensure earthquake resistant housing reconstruction using housing grant as leverage. For achieving that end, NRA mobilized 1146 engineers, 714 sub-engineers and 709 assistant sub-engineers. Technician’s number fluctuated over the period due to staff turnover and varying volume of work. However, the earthquake affected households received a consistent handholding (NRA 2021m). These deployed human resources were capacitated through various training and other on-the-job skill enhancement interventions. More than 70,000 masons, plumbers and carpenters burnished their skills. NRA also disseminated reconstruction-related messages through television, radio and released monthly bulletins with regular updates of decisions and policies (NRA 2021m). Various agencies contributed to expand skill base including the National Society for Earthquake Technology (NSET) through USAID funding, Japan International Cooperation Agency and other NGOs. Despite NRA’s attempt to ensure full earthquake resilient reconstruction, there are still 5446 non-compliant houses out of 828,194 total reconstruction caseload (EHRP 2022) which excludes those non-compliant households which were constructed prior to engineer’s mobilization (NRA 2021j). It means the actual non-compliant housing number was much larger than reported which compromised NRA’s drive to making progress toward earthquake resilient housing. It is thus important to understand characteristics of non-compliance and underlying reasons to that effect. Secondly a policy-level intervention is also discussed for ensuring earthquake resilience. There could be some issue of replicability as the post-earthquake housing was undertaken in rather peculiar environment leveraged by the housing grant and handholding with the tailored technical assistance. This study did not factor in the geographical and ethnic variation which assumed uniformly distributed geographic space with equally competent households. 4.2 Methodology This paper used data collected by the World Bank (2020) which was conducted during July 2019 to December 2020. The objective of the monitoring was to assess compliance to the NRA’s criteria which were derived from the NBC. The draft 4.3 Findings 59 Table 4.1 Sample size for assessing compliance of building standards S. no District 1 Dhading Beneficiaries 77,761 Sample size (Nos.) Percentage (%) 6048 7.78 2 Dolakha 68,761 5893 8.57 3 Nuwakot 75,136 6145 8.18 4 Kavre 75,786 2977 3.93 5 Makawanpur 33,267 2404 7.23 6 Gorkha 30,146 1682 5.58 7 Rasuwa 11,713 901 7.69 8 Okhaldhunga 18,696 1053 5.63 9 Ramechhap 43,153 2253 5.22 10 Sindhuli 35,987 1917 5.33 11 Sindhupalchowk Total 60,670 531,076 3084 5.08 34,357 6.47 methodology was piloted for further burnishing which was followed up with the data collection through stratified random sampling method considering geographical location, survey area and other contextual issues. Selective follow-up visits were also administered. Table 4.1 shows the sample size of 11 severely earthquake affected districts. The causes of non-compliance were collected through telephonic interview of 100 house owners, 25 political leaders and 25 technicians involved in the housing supervision. 4.3 Findings This section incorporates building typologies and identified deviations while reconstructing houses and causes for such deviations. 4.3.1 Features of Foundation, Wall and Roofing Materials Nepal’s National Population and Housing Census 2011 has classified houses based on foundation, walls and roofs (CBS, 2012). Table 4.2 classifies houses based on foundation, Table 4.3 categorizes based on outer walls, and Table 4.4 groups the roofing materials. The mud-bonded, wooden pillar and cement-bonded foundation constituted 87% of the total housing stock. Although RCC pillar’s share was less than 10% in 2011, 60 Table 4.2 Foundation types 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … S. No Foundation Numbers Percentage (%) 1 Mud bonded: brick or stone 2,397,441 44.21 2 Wooden pillar 1,350,151 24.90 3 Cement bonded: brick or stone 952,702 17.57 4 RCC with pillar 539,004 9.94 5 Others 126,281 2.33 6 Not stated 57,718 1.06 Total 5,423,297 100.00 Percentage (%) Source (CBS 2012) Table 4.3 Outer wall Table 4.4 Roofing materials S. No Outer wall Numbers 1 Mud bonded: brick or stone 2,244,112 41.38 2 Cement bonded: brick or stone 1,558,823 28.74 20.23 3 Bamboo 1,096,988 4 Wood or planks 287,859 5.31 5 Others 112,694 2.08 6 Not stated 61,504 1.13 7 Unbaked bricks 61,317 1.13 Total 5,423,297 S. No Roofing Numbers 100.00 Percentage (%) 1 Galvanized Iron 1,532,804 28.26 2 Tile or slate 1,446,998 26.68 3 RCC 1,219,060 22.48 4 Thatched or straw 1,032,282 19.03 5 Not stated 66,352 1.22 6 Mud 59,029 1.09 7 Wood or planks 44,069 0.81 8 Others 22,703 Total 5,423,297 0.42 100.00 it must have increased by now which will be revealed once the census data of 2021 will get released. 4.3 Findings 61 The outer wall-based classification is shown in Table 4.3 which shows that mudbonded, cement-bonded and bamboo wall constitute nearly 87% of the total housing stock. The CBS also classified buildings based on the roofing materials which shows CGI sheets are the principal roofing material which must have been further intensified (Table 4.4). Tile and slate must have been diminishing as these roofing materials are rather heavy; thus, robust underpinning is required. In addition, such roofing materials are vulnerable to earthquakes and are maintenance hungry. RCC is another emerging roofing material particularly in accessible urban set up. Thatched or straw has been diminishing over the period. The government plans to replace the thatched with CGI sheet roofing which means increased CGI sheet roofing and diminishing thatched roofing. 4.3.2 Traditional Housing Typologies Traditionally, stone masonry in mud mortar with thatched roof had been used in rural mid-hills. Shallow foundation and inadequate ventilation were common characteristics. Ground floor kitchen and grain silos on the first floor were the general practice. Cattle shed could be observed on the close vicinity. Some communities reared animals on the ground floor and use first floor as kitchen, living and bedding purposes. The second floor was used as granary (Fig. 4.1). Normally, three- to four-story rectangular-shaped Newari houses are organized vertically. Bedrooms are located on the first floor, and second floor is used for Fig. 4.1 Stone masonry in mud mortar hill house. Source (HRRP 2022) 62 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … Fig. 4.2 Traditional Newari house in the Kathmandu valley (Photo credit Saujanya Shrestha) living purpose. Toilets are allocated on the ground floor and kitchen on the top floor (D’Ayala and Bajracharya 2003). Having single flight staircase and up to 2.5 m interstory height, the Newari houses are organized either in long arrays or around a court. The timber structures blended with brick masonry are designed for improving seismic performance. However, these traditional structures have been getting replaced with the concrete structures (Fig. 4.2). The traditional high altitude mountainous settlers use stones for foundation and walls. Timbers are used most extensively for flooring, ceilings, wall cladding and roofing which insulate extreme external weather conditions. Wooden shingles or stone slates are used as roofing materials. However, CGI sheet has been replacing the traditional roofing materials as shown in Fig. 4.3. The entire housing philosophy of housing construction in Himalayan region is to conserve thermal energy generated internally or gained from rare sunlight. The traditional houses in Nepal’s plain region are made up of wood and thatch (THT 2019b). The ground floor consists of guest room, kitchen and bedrooms. The tiled roof houses are made up of timber, tiles and grass plastered with alluvial clay (Fig. 4.4). More recently, all these traditional architectures and structures have been undergoing rapid transformation. The elite households prefer reinforced concrete structures, and low-income bracket people aspire for stone masonry in mud mortar with CGI sheet roofing. In this process, the traditional ethnicity-based architecture has been losing ground which vented route for more class-based housing structures. Figure 4.5 shows the RCC structure in the Kathmandu Valley. 4.3 Findings 63 Fig. 4.3 Typical Sherpa house (Photo credit All Three Media Ghar) Fig. 4.4 A typical plain area house in the Terai Region (Photo credit All Three Media Ghar) 4.3.3 Post-earthquake Housing Reconstruction Catalog-Based Typologies The Department of Urban Development and Building Construction (DUDBC) promulgated the design catalog for reconstruction of earthquake resistant houses: Volume I has incorporated mainly four types of building typologies—(i) stone 64 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … Fig. 4.5 RCC house in the Kathmandu Valley masonry in cement mortar; (ii) brick masonry in cement mortar; (iii) stone masonry in mud mortar; and (iv) brick masonry in mud mortar (DUDBC 2015). The Volume II contains 12 different hybrid structures (DUDBC 2017). The RCC structures will be governed by the Nepal Building Code itself (MoUD 2020). Although NRA endorsed those catalogs as indicative, beneficiaries and the NRA engineers regarded them as mandatory model designs. Consequently, most rural houses were constructed following them irrespective of their ethnic background or even geographic diversity. Such practice addressed shelter issue but left behind cultural identity and also undermined space requirement (Parajuli2019). Some of the households constructed single roomed houses for satisfying NRA’s mandatory requirements. Such houses either are not utilized or extended horizontally and vertically for meeting space requirements after securing NRA’s housing grant (BBC 2018). 4.3 Findings 65 4.3.4 Mandatory Rule of Thumb for Housing Construction Having paucity of professional engineers outside of the Kathmandu Valley, the MoUD promulgated a mandatory rule of thumb which can be administered by an experienced technician (DUDBC 1994). Three building codes: NBC 201: Reinforced Concrete Building with Masonry Infill; NBC 202: Load Bearing Masonry; and NBC 205: Reinforced Concrete Building without Masonry Infill were the background documents for the NRA’s Technical Inspection Guidelines (NRA 2016f). As housing grant was released in three installments, the technical inspection was mandatory for three times: for recommending the second and last installments and for issuing the completion certificate. The inspection checklist includes site specific situation, housing shape, materials, foundation details, vertical members, plinth, wall, columns, joints and roofing details. The ultimate objective was to ensure compliance to the construction standards which would ensure resilience against all vulnerabilities. Any deviation to such standards would be considered as non-compliance. 4.3.5 Major Non-compliant Features WB Nepal collected non-compliant information through three agents: Development Project Design and Services Ltd. (DPDS), Scott Wilson Nepal (SWN) and Mukesh & Associates (Mukesh). The result is presented in Table 4.5. Nearly half of the non-compliance was related to horizontal band, and five major deviations: horizontal bands, story and attic height, openings, excess stories and rebar occupy 80% of the total non-compliant cases. Some of the non-compliant cases are shown in Fig. 4.6. 4.3.6 Reasons for Non-compliance The result of telephone interview of house owners, technicians and political leaders is presented in Table 4.6. All prioritized causal factors need to be unpacked for contextualization. The economic factor secured 0.77 as priority index, highest on the series. Respondents opined that savings in the subsistence economy are rare and the housing grant of US$3000 is not sufficient for constructing a normal house. Such situation compelled house owners to economize expenditure wherever they felt is not essential. And the worst victim was the horizontal band as shown in Table 4.5. Traditionally, such bands were not used for the house construction which may have triggered feeling that a house can sustain without them. In the absence of technological dexterity, the crucial earthquake resistant element like horizontal band was grossly undermined. NRA engineer’s ignorance on some of the critical earthquake know-how compounded 66 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … Table 4.5 Status of non-compliant features S. No Major deviation DPDSa SWNb Mukeshc Total 1 Horizontal bands (absent, discontinuities) 982 2091 745 3818 45.63 2 Floor and attic height 12 442 430 884 10.56 3 Openings (excess and improper) 38 580 78 696 8.32 4 Others 24 345 298 667 7.97 5 Excess story 247 230 16a7 644 7.70 6 Rebar 54 267 39 360 4.30 7 Beams and columns 62 111 112 285 3.41 8 Wall (inadequate span length, thickness, 23 and height) 231 24 278 3.32 9 Landslide prone area 7 189 38 234 2.80 10 Building shape 6 129 34 169 2.02 11 Plinth height 94 24 118S 1.41 12 Roof 27 69 96 1.15 13 Bracing 59 24 83 0.99 14 Incomplete house 34 34 0.41 15 Improper retrofitting 2 2 Total 1671 Source (WB 2020) a = Development Project Design and Services Ltd.; Associates, India b 4615 2082 = Scott Wilson Nepal; 0.02 8368 c % 100.00 = Mukesh & with their inadequate field visits also played some role. It is widely suspected that some of the homeowners-built house is not for the purpose of living there but to secure housing grant only. Particularly migrated house owners wanted to retain their foothold in the village for their accommodation during their annual trip. 4.4 Discussion This heading deals with the underlying reasons behind non-compliance. In addition, characteristics of sample districts and dynamics in housing typology are also elaborated. The central issues of discussion are the potential areas of intervention for improving access to finance, raising technological awareness and ensuring administrative adherence. The land feature is also touched upon. 4.4 Discussion 67 Hollow Concrete Block Masonry without vertical reinforcement BMC building with discontinuous lintel band Building constructed in landslide prone area Excess storey elements House without Gable Bands. Extension of cantilever from lintel band Heavy roofing material Inadequate connection of wall with vertical concrete post at corners Missing roof level band One room SMM building with excessive attic height and opening Placement of Horizontal Bands at wrong locations than prescribed by NRA guideline Slab on stone masonry building with cement mortar without placement of beam without resilient Fig. 4.6 Some illustration of non-compliant cases (Photo credit Scott Wilson Nepal 2022) Table 4.6 Causal factors for non-compliance Causal factors Priority index Ranking Economic 0.77 I Technological 0.72 II Administrative 0.58 III Land 0.49 IV Ethical 0.49 V Human resources 0.37 VI 68 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … 4.4.1 Characteristics of Sample Districts First, it is important to understand characteristics of the districts from where noncompliance survey was conducted. All the sample districts were severely earthquake affected and fall around the axis of the first trembler’s epicenter Barpak, Gorkha district on 25 April 2015 and the second aftershock on 12 May 2015 at Singati of the Dolakha district. The Kathmandu Valley’s three districts: Kathmandu, Lalitpur and Bhaktapur, although severely affected, were not included in the survey which means the non-compliance in the urban set up may not have been adequately captured. Secondly, a majority of the sampled districts were hill and mountainous which may not represent policy implications for the Terai districts. 4.4.2 Current Trend of Housing Construction The traditional housing architecture, construction materials and technology are on decline which are replaced by the reinforced concrete structure and stone mud mortar with CGI sheet roofing. The NRA’s token support of US$500 to the heritage settlement houses (NRA 2018b) for maintaining at least the façade had limited success. Crumbling down of a majority of load bearing structures by the 2015 earthquake goaded people for reinforced structures. Moreover, low fire hazard, high timber cost and structural flexibility of concrete structures contributed to bolster reinforced structures. However, such reinforced concrete structures in the remote hamlets cost horrendously as construction materials have to be transported by helicopters. Moreover, the western indoctrinated academic programs have no mention of the Nepal’s indigenous construction techniques and materials. NRA’s persuasion for using traditional and indigenous construction materials with additional earthquake resistant elements of plinth, sill, lintel and roof bands was not appealing for general public. The recommended catalogs factored in the earthquake resistant elements but paid little heed on household’s requirement and traditional architecture. With all these factors, two models: RCC and load bearing structures with CGI sheet roofing have been replacing all traditional housing models. This trend will remain unabetted which requires formulating policies considering this inexorable trend. 4.4.3 Non-compliant Characteristics Among 15 odd non-compliant issues, five deviations occupy more than 80% share including band, floor height, openings, excess stories and rebar. Improper band contributes more than 45% of total deviations for which awareness seems to be the primary factor. No conscious house owner would intend to economize by reducing thickness by one or two centimeters. Similar logic prevails for excessive or improper 4.4 Discussion 69 opening and rebar. However, attic floor height and excess story were outcome of necessity. Brick mud mortar design allows only 37.5 cm tall side walls and 1.375 m of the ridge height which does not allow a person with average height of 1.7 m to stand on the first floor which triggers temptation to increase wall height. 4.4.4 Addressing Economic Issue Economic as a causal factor for non-compliance can be ameliorated with several interventions. First, raising technological awareness that low-cost local materials can also make the earthquake resistant houses can minimize financial requirement substantially. Secondly, salvaging earthquake damaged house materials also minimize financial requirement which requires proper skill for storing stone, timbers and other construction materials. Designating proper quarry for stone, sand, aggregate and regulating mines for sustainability and pricing ensure low cost but high-quality construction materials. However, politicians and contractors’ nexus is believed to have created cartel in the construction industry which is rather a structural issue. Awareness and preparing ground for activism to fight against injustice and malpractices directly contribute toward lowering liability which, however, may realize only in the long term. Aggregating demand of construction materials in the sparsely populated settlement could offer cost-effective deal with suppliers. This arrangement also lowers transport cost and effort. However, it demands household’s own initiative or handholding by external agency. Access to credit always plays out against the boondocks population as their property is not collateral worthy and their income does not guarantee repayment. With severe financial constraint, they have strong temptation of a shelter which sometimes compromises with longer term safety. Despite having leverage through housing grant and opening their eyes up through intense awareness campaigns, NRA could not ensure global compliance which signals challenges for future. Even if the local governments introduce the building permit system all across the country, the non-compliance among lower economic strata of people will perpetuate. The Kathmandu Metropolitan City, the most resourceful local government which introduced the housing permit system long back, has only 6% houses as earthquake resistant (Giri 2017) which demands a concerted effort. The US Department of Agriculture provides loans, grants and loan guarantees for single and multifamily housing (USDA 2022). It is supplemented with technical assistance. Bhutan provides insurance premiums to the rural houses (MoF 2012). Several other countries have identical insurance mechanisms with local customization. Such arrangement enhances housing resilience as the insurance company scrutinizes housing structural strength for withstanding tremblers. In case of unpredictable damage, the insured household is prevented from financial trauma. It also reduces government’s liability substantially. For laying foundation of insurance, NRA kicked off initial steps for insuring the reconstructed houses for which the insurance companies wanted upfront housing 70 4 Understanding Building Code Non-compliance … premium. The NRA offered reimbursement model. The bone of contention was the transactional cost for fielding insurance agents in scattered rural settlements and convincing uneducated households of low-income bracket. 4.4.5 Raising Technological Awareness The educated, well-connected and generally economically well-off households comply with the building standards. On the other hand, the economically downtrodden and socially underprivileged are the most susceptible for non-compliance. Having inadequate awareness is at the center of the entire spectrum of noncompliance. They would not have compromised on thickness of the horizontal bands or rebar’s diameter if they would have knowledge that this frugality may cost their own and their loved one’s lives. Even in the context of financial constraint, improperly placed windows and doors could have been prevented. Even though there are economic dimensions in adding excess stories and floor attic, awareness would have minimized such non-compliant issues considerably. Sensing such potential problem, NRA initiated vigorous awareness campaign. However, NRA was perceived as beneficiary of the engineering standards not households themselves. This distorted notion prompted non-compliance. The issue is how to make households realize that the technical standards are meant for safeguarding their own lives and properties not for the bureaucratic pleasure of government apparatus. For this, the message has to be disseminated in their own language and nature of people. Directive, instructive with sophisticated language style was less productive. 4.4.6 Administrative Adherence and Observation of Ethical Values Despite a plethora of positive features of governing through elected representatives, public grew their belief that they are immunized from administrative requirements. The tantamount political pressure forced NRA to release housing grant to the noncompliant houses which were constructed prior to NRA’s mobilization of technicians (NRA 2021a). The central and local politicians expressed their opinions against damage grading and technical compliance. The federal parliament was interrupted with demand of single tranche payment of housing grant which had to be responded by the World Bank (THT 2016). Had the demand for single tranche enacted, the entire resilience drive would have been foundered. The ineligible households networked for accessing grant for which they received tacit support from the local government (Khabarhub 2020). The local government’s ineptitude may have emanated from paucity of municipal employees. All this chronological evidence suggests that the 4.5 Conclusion 71 political front was not supportive for complying with building standards which may have contributed to violating generic construction standards. 4.4.7 Inappropriate Land In addition to constructing earthquake resilient structures, the land on which a house is positioned needs to be obviously robust for supporting structure. The NRA’s Technical Inspection Guidelines (NRA 2016c) require a parcel free from geological fault and ruptured area, should have slope lesser than 30° , no visible symptoms of landslide, reasonable distance from river and free from water logging. In addition, land must be free from rock fall hazard and should not have liquefaction. However, this issue is rather complicated than other structural parameters. A sizeable number of households in hilly and mountainous regions have excessive slope which is compounded with other negative attributes. Such households selected the house construction site as it was safer than other land under their possession. NRA provided land for the vulnerable households without having suitable land for house construction, and such households must have to vacate their vulnerable land. The government allocates small land parcel which is just enough for constructing house, and such resettlement site may not be located in close proximity to the original community which creates tension for livelihood. In the future, resettlement must be planned along with the provision of livelihood. 4.5 Conclusion The analysis showed that the remote and marginalized households have higher probability of non-compliance with the housing standards. Compliance can be ensured only with coordinated and integrated efforts. Mandatory building permit system in urban as well as rural municipalities, conducting intensive technological awareness and educating benefits of compliance are instrumental for making progress toward resilient housing. As the de facto leading agencies, the local governments must have to be capacitated particularly in the front of human resources with adequate handholding of the MoUD. Such awareness could be leveraged with some token financial support as minnow which goads households for constructing new or strengthening old houses. In addition, some policy reforms are indispensable for ameliorating access to finance. Introduction of rural housing insurance, tailored housing loan and grant packages and setting conditions for strengthening supply side of construction materials such as sand, aggregate, timber, cement and reinforcement is required. The households in vulnerable land require special attention as land and livelihoods are at the stake. Chapter 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities Create Resilient Settlements Abstract A sizeable number of Nepal’s Himalayan, Hills and Terai households have settled on vulnerable locations, and most of such settlements are impossible to stabilize. The National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) implemented 73 integrated settlements for vulnerable households from the earthquake triggered landslides. This study intended to chart out for making progress toward landslide resilient society. Four sample NRA implemented integrated settlements were studied. It was manifested that the integrated settlements help progressing toward resilient settlement. However, small plot size, inadequate housing space and absence of effective livelihood provisions have limiting beneïŽts. Scarcity of land and unavailability of ïŽnancial resources were the hindering factors. It was found that effective implementation of land banking addresses the issue of land scarcity and minimizes liability of both government and user. It beneïŽts both land depositors and lessee. The government has to establish the land banking system on rock solid legal basis. On the other hand, the households need ïŽnancial and technical handholding for at least initial few years. With these arrangements, the nation will not only move toward resilient society but also create basis of enhanced production. The land depositors and lessees both will beneïŽt from the enhanced production system. Keywords Vulnerable · Integrated settlement · Land bank 5.1 Introduction The fact that Nepal’s width of around 128 km with 59 m lowest point elevation at Mukhiyapatti Musharniya Rural Municipality, Dhanusha district and 8848 m of the Mount Everest located in the Solukhumbu district means nearly 7% gradient if the land formation would have been uniformly sloped. However, the glacier fed rivers gush from the world highest peaks through falls, slopes and plains. High gradient slopes compounded with inappropriate land use and exacerbated by rampant spree of haphazardly excavated rural roads contribute to create juggernaut for menacing all settlements and infrastructures on riverbanks. Moreover, the climate change inïŽicted accelerated snow melting process stokes the process further causing landslides and © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_5 73 74 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … ïŽooding. The geologically fragile land mass cripples down during the event of tremblers which was evident in the 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake. Nepal suffers an average 500 disasters annually and take toll of physical infrastructure, livelihood and human lives (MoHA 2018a). MoHA further elucidates that 40,000 people lost their life during the period of 1971–2015 comprising of 2 deaths per day. Adhikari et al. (2019) found that the disaster loss as a percentage point against GDP ranges between 0.1 and 15.23. However, the 2015 Gorkha Nepal triggered disaster loss to increase to 354.48% which obviously is exceptional. In Nepal, landslides kill hundreds of people and ravage infrastructures annually. During the period of 1972 to 2016, a total of 5190 people lost their lives due to 3419 landslides (Bhushal 2020). Forbes and Broadhead (Forbes and Broadhead 2011) mentioned that Nepal is one of the highest landslide prone countries. Others are China, Indonesia, India, the Philippines, Japan and Pakistan which account for 87% of global landslides. The situation is further substantiated with the relief-web series of articles (Reliefweb 2020) which mentions landslide triggered fatality rate and destruction of houses. International databases have also shown that natural hazards doubled from 2000 to 2009, in comparison to the period of 1980−1989 (Correa et al. 2011). The upward trend was mainly induced by the hydrological factors rather than geological which remained almost constant. Although disasters pummel with similar fashion to countries irrespective of their developmental status, fatality rate and infrastructural destruction remain at the lower level in the developed countries due to their effective preparedness. Resettlement approach depends upon a country’s legal system. It is extremely convenient for the country like China where the government owns land. China intended to restructure settlements and modernize infrastructure in the post 7.9 ML 2008 China-Wenchuan earthquake. China replaced mountain manufacturing industries with tourism enterprises, and almost all rustic population were shifted to urban housing. Within the period of 3 years, two million rural and 290,000 urban housing units were made available for accommodation (Yong et al. 2011). However, it would be almost impossible to acquire private land in other countries. The resettlement in Balkot of Pakistan turned out to be tough nut to crack which did not see the daylight after 15 years of 2005 India-Kashmir earthquake (Ali 2020). Local people were not receptive of the new settlers (Rahman and Khan 2013). Having constitutional right for landownership, Nepal also follows the Pakistan route in land acquisition. On one hand, steep slope inhabitants have been dying annually; on the other hand, the geologically safe habitable land has been underutilized. Khanal (2018) found about 40% of households had kept at least one of their farm plots uncultivated for more than two consecutive years, and about 28% of the total farm plots owned by the sampled households were kept fallow. Jaquet et al. (2019) further substantiated fallow land in hilly region. Mismatch between land deprivation of the marginalized population and increasing trend of migration triggered fallow cultivable and habitable land has been the central problem in rural Nepal. This phenomenon has been deterrent toward achieving Sustainable Development Goals, degrading production potential and stagnating 5.3 Findings 75 economic growth. Hence, the objective of this chapter is to link post-earthquake reconstruction experience of integrated settlement with activating land use-related existing national policies and reforming deïŽcient legal system. 5.2 Methodology This chapter reviewed the Disaster Risk Reduction National Policy—2075 (2018), Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Act—2074 (2017) and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Regulation—2076 (2019) and the Disaster Risk Reduction National Strategic Plan of Action (2018–2030). All national policies have indicated signiïŽcance of the preventative measures for disaster risk reduction. However, effective disaster risk reduction has to be underpinned by the scientiïŽc land use policies. With this respect, the GoN’s Land Use Policy—2075 (MoLRM 2015), Land Use Act—2076 (Land Use Act 2076 2019) and Land Act (Amendment)—2076 (Act Related to Land 2020) were also reviewed. It is obvious that the NRA’s working procedures on assessing vulnerability induced by the earthquake triggered landslides were analyzed. This paper used NRA conducted primary survey of the selected integrated settlements. Altogether 73 NRA’s integrated settlements adopted three different modalities: government as the sole implementor, NGO implemented and combination of both. Some of the settlements were implemented in the public land; others were constructed in the acquired private land. This study selected four cases: Kharanitar, Panipokhari, Thakle and Norbuling. The Kharanitar Integrated Settlement was implemented jointly by an NGO and NRA. The NRA implemented the Panipokhari Integrated Settlement. A community played crucial role in Norbuling Community, while NGO played catalytic role in Thakle Integrated Settlement. It is expected that these four sites represent the entire integrated settlement population. The integrated settlement’s locations are shown in the Fig. 5.1. 5.3 Findings This section reviews evolutionary process of integrated settlements, locating process of vulnerable settlements, comparative overview of four NRA implemented integrated settlements and the legal provision of availing land for integrated settlements. 5.3.1 NRA Process of Integrated Settlements The NRA promulgated the “Procedure Related to Integrated Settlement Development—2075 (2018) (NRA 2018c) which offered three options to the earthquake 76 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … Fig. 5.1 Location of sampled integrated settlements triggered landslide affected households: relocation of an entire settlement, selective relocation and integrated settlement. Eligibility criteria for accommodating integrated settlements were household of vulnerable settlement, physically impaired and elderly households and landless households. A minimum threshold size of 10 eligible households could propose for an integrated settlement for which NRA would provide developed land. Alternatively, NRA had provision of land grant for households who intended to settle in their preferred location. There was a special provision for the heritage settlement under which additional grant of NRs. 50,000 (US$500) per household was provisioned. The procedure also mentioned about income generating resources for the migrated households. A project proposal would require physical, ïŽnancial, social, economic, managerial, cultural and environmental aspects. The NRA approved integrated settlement with households ranging between 10 and 99 had to be implemented by local governments. NRA would designate implementing agency for the integrated settlement with households exceeding 100. Infrastructure development could be funded through per household grant of NRs. 500,000 (US$5000) for mountainous, NRs. 400,000 (US$4000) for hilly and NRs. 300,000 (US$3000) for urban hilly and Terai Region. The basic infrastructural standards in the integrated settlement are presented in Table 5.1. 5.3.2 Identification of Vulnerable Settlements Xu (2018) concluded that 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake triggered at least 47,200 landslides occupying a total area about 110 km2 resulting 964 million cubic meters of debris. Rosser et al. (2021) located 20,000 odd landslides in 14 districts triggered by 2015 ML 7.8 Gorkha Nepal earthquake. They further conducted time-series landslide mapping to monitor the evolution of coseismic landslides and the initiation 5.3 Findings Table 5.1 Basic standards of infrastructure in integrated settlement 77 Infrastructure Standard Road Road: 4 m; and Main Trail—1.2 m Drinking water 1 tap for 7 households Sewerage and drainage surface drain and sewerage Open space 80 m2 space for 20 housing units Housing plot Minimum area and frontage as prescribed by the local body Solid waste management • 1 toilet one household • Public toilet (male and female) School One primary school Health services One health center Building bylaws As per the local government rules of new post-seismic landslides. They concluded that landslide hazard was higher in November 2019 as compared to immediately after the 2015 earthquake. The MoHA collected the earthquake triggered landslide impacted settlements immediately after the trembler. Having inconclusive identiïŽcation of MoHA study, the NRA studied all earthquake triggered landslides scientiïŽcally and divided settlements into three categories: Category I: safe for reconstruction; Category II: safe after installing safety measures; and Category III: unsafe for reconstruction–resettlement inevitable. The NRA guidelines for the ïŽeld investigation of earthquake-impacted vulnerable settlements consisted of: assessment of geological, geomorphological, engineering geological, geotechnical and pertinent social parameters (NRA 2016h). The objective of these guidelines was to evaluate the state of geohazards. The study team comprised of engineering geologist, civil engineer and watershed engineer. The geological study began with the preparatory study by locating vulnerable settlements on the Google Map, reviewed geological map and cross section supplemented by relevant literature review. The ïŽeld data collection included: settlement information, problem statement (tendency of mass movement, cracks, overhanging rocks, seepage, ïŽooding), landslide details, landslide impacts, geotechnical aspect of landslide and geological and geomorphological information. Based on all these features, the study team comes up with recommendations. Other pertinent information was also collected such as possibility of temporary shelter. 5.3.3 Transition from Geological Study to Integrated Settlement This section presents four case studies: Kharanitar in Nuwakot, Panipokhari in Dolakha, Norbuling and Thakle in Sindhupalchowk district. 78 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … A. Kharanitar Integrated Settlement In Tadi Rural Municipality of the Nuwakot district, the village of Kalche, Thing Tole, Syangtan Tole, Chihan Dada and Chhelun Village were hard hit by the earthquake triggered landslides (Silwal 2016). These narrow plane tracts bordering with steep cliffs on both mountain and valley sides lie on the gentle slope of colluvium soil. Rock fall, shallow slide on steep slope and mudslide in the thick colluvium soil are common characteristics in these settlements. The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake reactivated the old landslides with fresh shallow sheeted landslides. Unmanaged drainage system exacerbated the earthquake instigated ïŽssures which caused land subsidence in the Khalche area. About 80 houses in Kalche, Thing Tole, Syangtan Tole and Chihan Danda required relocation, and Chhelun Village requires mitigating measures such as managing run-off drainage system and cracks needed burying. Figure 5.2 shows Map of Tadi Rural Municipality with landslides indicated with red color and resettlement options with blue color. Based on the geological study, NRA declared Urleni Village as Category III settlement which required relocation. The landslide affected households identiïŽed Kharanitar as the appropriate location for resettlement which was identiïŽed as safer from natural disaster perspective. The NRA’s geological study approved the river valley paddy land for the integrated settlement. This is a unique example of joint collaboration of NRA, Oxfam—Great Britain, UKAid and the Tadi Rural Fig. 5.2 Landslide zones in the tadi rural municipality 5.3 Findings 79 Municipality. NRA procured land, Oxfam provided technical assistance and housing grant, and UKAid assisted for water supply system. The Tadi Rural Municipality constructed the approach road (Shrestha and Bhatta 2021). The Integrated Settlement Development Committee with Oxfam’s handholding constructed 71 houses for the displaced households. The Kharanitar Integrated Settlement Master Plan is shown in Fig. 5.3. Figures 5.4 and 5.5 show the integrated settlement after handing over to the households. The beauty of this integrated settlement was access to the river basin’s irrigated fertile land for cultivation on sharecropping basis. In addition, having proximity to the market center, the displaced people obtained employment opportunity as construction workers. Others were engaged in the Oxfam imparted skill of weaving. Integrating migrants in a new locality was a challenge particularly for sharing the natural resources and waste disposal. However, the Oxfam incentivized through shared public utilities such as water and educated locals about the abundant labor supply which enhanced economic efïŽciency. The abandoned land by migrated people is in abundant supply in Nepal. Normally, such people who leave behind their property in the rural village either refrain from selling because of their psychological attachment or land is not on demand as everybody waits for migrating opportunity. The deprived households fail to secure adequate resources for migrating which compels them to continue in vulnerable locations. A state-level facilitation proved to be catalytic for transforming livelihood and living standard as a whole. Fig. 5.3 Master plan of the Kharanitar integrated settlement 80 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … Fig. 5.4 An overview of the Kharanitar settlement Fig. 5.5 Individual house B. Panipokhari Integrated Settlement The Bosimpa Village is located in the Bhimeshwor Municipality (former Suspa Ksamawati Village Development Committee) of the Dolakha district which accommodated 70 households. Earthquake triggered cracks formed two major landslides (Maskey et al. 2017). A landslide originated from upslope of the village deposited debris on the small stream ïŽowing through the middle of the village and merged with another landslide on the downslope. Both landslides converged on the Sundrawati River. The steep downfall triggered erosion at massive scale. After casualty of two villagers, loss of cattle, property and having deïŽned as Category III settlement, the discussion on resettlement was initiated for accommodating 84 households of Bosimpa and Buma Village. The community leaders and politicians identiïŽed Panipokhari as an appropriate site for the integrated settlement which was ratiïŽed by the Chief District OfïŽcer with his NRA delegated authority. NRA conducted geological study testiïŽed the site for settlement. Developed in the government land, the Panipokhari Integrated Settlement with an area of 38,200 m2 . accommodates 78 households from Bosimpa Village which is located at a distance of 2 km away from their original home settlement. Each family 5.3 Findings 81 is allocated 127−191 m2 of land which is sufïŽcient for 2–3 roomed house and a small kitchen garden. However, land area does not ensure livelihood. The households have been rearing their cattle in the original village and cultivate their own land which is cumbersome as commuting requires about one hour. Having two prototype buildings, the settlement also has community center, children sport ground and a park with open space. A 3.7 m wide road, two schools, a health post and a temple are the attraction of this settlement. It enjoys proximity to the Charikot Market Centre, the Dolakha district headquarters. The Panipokhari Master Plan is presented in Figs. 5.6 5.7 and 5.8 show the houses and infrastructure in the settlement. C. Thakle Integrated Settlement Unlike to Kharanitar and Panipokhari, Thakle settlement was developed to integrate sparsely distributed settlements not because of earthquake triggered landslide’s menace. Thakle followed more of the land pooling concept. Located in Ward 9 of the Melamchi Municipality of the Sindhupalchok district, the local leaders promoted the concept of the integrated settlement and convened a meeting of 31 households for seeking their interest for proceeding toward the integrated settlement. After securing consent for land pooling of 6107 m2 of land, the local government submitted a proposal to NRA for approval. Figure 5.9 shows masterplan of the Thakle Integrated Settlement. The NRA’s geological study conïŽrmed that the site is safe against natural disasters. This settlement also enjoyed external support from Oxfam-Great Britain. Thirtyone land parcels of 127.23–190.84 m2 were demarcated. Five aspirants from other scattered settlement also joined in the integrated settlement against NRs. 120,000 (US$1020) for a plot. The single-storied houses consisted of living cum dining room, two bedrooms and a toilet. Attic ïŽoor was used for storage. Self-made interlocking cement blocks were used for walls with CGI sheet roof. The salvaged stones of old houses were recycled. The Oxfam contributed NRs, 725,000 (US$7500) toward total housing cost of NRs. 11,00,000 (US$11,000). Owners mitigated the rest. The households have constructed livestock sheds in their own land. Six-meter-wide stone paved internal road and 24 h water supply were funded by the National Reconstruction Authority. In addition, other infrastructure such as community house, main gate, solar light and railing was also included in NRA’s infrastructural grant of NRs. 14,000,000 (US$14,000). Figures 5.10, 5.11, 5.12 and 5.13 show housing and other infrastructure in the Thakle settlement. For livelihood, the Oxfam sponsored trips to Taragaon and Madi inspired settlement households for initiating homestay which is up and running but has marred by the COVID-19. D. Norbuling Integrated Settlement The 2015 earthquake triggered landslide displaced 11 households in Gijet Village which paved the way for establishing Norbuling Integrated Settlement in the Kharkadanda. Located at the elevation of 2250 m, the settlement initially was intended for 128 households who wanted to enjoy conglomerate milieu. However, only 35 Hyolmo and 6 Hindu Sunar households could make inroads to the formation 82 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … Fig. 5.6 Master plan of the Panipokhari integrated settlement 5.3 Findings 83 Fig. 5.7 Prototype houses in Panipokhari Fig. 5.8 Some glimpses of infrastructure of Norbuling Integrated Settlement. The 11 vulnerable households received NRA’s NRs. 200,000 (US$2000) housing grant; other 30 households had to cough their own resources up for land purchase. The integrated settlement with an area of above one hectare land was bell weathered by 7 membered committee with 3 female representations. The Oxfam’s technical assistance for designing ïŽoor space had to be revised integrating spiritual requirement of worshipping. All south faced houses with ïŽoor area of 83.64 m2 consist of a bedroom, kitchen cum worshipping room and a toilet. Cement stone masonry walls with CGI sheet rooïŽng are the general construction standard. NRA’s infrastructural support of NRs. 12,600,000 (US$126,000) was used for road, school building and other infrastructure. Unlike to Thakle and Panipokhari, the Norbuling households rear their livestock in their own premises. Figures 5.14, 5.15, 5.16 and 5.17 show various façades of the Norbuling Integrated Settlement. Norbuling households have quite ambitious future plans which include joint livestock and poultry farming in a 20-ha land, commissioning a brewery and installing 33 m tall Buddha statue on a surrounding hilltop which they hope will promote tourism. 84 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … Fig. 5.9 Master plan of the Thakle integrated settlement Fig. 5.10 A view of Thakle integrated settlement 5.3 Findings Fig. 5.11 Closer view of housing Fig. 5.12 A prototype house Fig. 5.13 Community hall Fig. 5.14 Norbuling integrated settlement 85 86 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … Fig. 5.15 A typical norbuling house Fig. 5.16 An overview of road and houses Fig. 5.17 School building 5.3.4 Comparative Overview of Integrated Settlements All the integrated settlements were commissioned with the same working procedure. However, all of them customized with the local reality. Table 5.2 has captured the data from Sect. 5.3 which depicts variation against different parameters. The integrated settlements have two different objectives: to resettle the vulnerable households and offer agglomerate economy by encouraging sparsely populated households to join a viable settlement. Resettling vulnerable households to a safer location is the state responsibility which does not require further elaboration. However, promoting agglomerate economy is the development objective which 5.3 Findings 87 Table 5.2 Variation of settlements against various parameters Comparators Kharanitar Panipokhari Thakle Norbuling Settlement type Resettlement Resettlement In situ Resettlement 2 0 1 Government land Land readjustment Procured private land Distance from the 16 original settlement (km) Land Procured private land Household nos 71 78 31 41 Dominating Tamang ethnic households Thami Tamang Hyolmo Total land area (m2 .) 19,703.42 38,200 6107 10,178.43 Lead implementing agency Oxfam NRA Oxfam Community Supporting agencies NRA, DFID, TRM No NRA NRA Cattle shed No No No Yes Livelihood Sharecropping Original village land Original land Original village land enhances economic efïŽciency by delivering services rather efïŽciently. Following the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, the Chinese government used that event as an opportunity for accelerating ongoing policies including concentrating rural residents into new urban centers and urbanization of the existing cities (Johnson and Olshansky 2016). Nepal could not restructure rural space at the Chinese standard but piloted ideas which can be replicated later. Among four cases, Kharanitar, Panipokhari and Norbuling fall under state’s responsibility of resettling vulnerable people, but Thakle represented a move toward urbanization of the rustic sparsely populated settlement. One of the crucial factors connected to resettlement and livelihood is the distance between the original village and the resettlement site. The households in Panipokhari, Thakle and Norbuling cultivate their own land in the vulnerable zone which facilitates their livelihood tremendously. However, the distance of 16 km between the original and newly relocated area of Kharanitar deters cultivating households’ ancestral land. The market value of such land is almost zero after migration of all villagers. Fortunately, the Kharanitar settlers had access to the tropical fertile river valley irrigated land. However, such opportunities may not prevail for all victims. There is interesting revelation that all resettlers are found to have janajati background. There are three interpretations: First, the janajati settlements are vulnerable. Although these four-settlement sample size is too small for stating this fact with conïŽdence, the anecdotal evidence suggests that the probability of Janajaties and Dalits settling down in vulnerable area is quite high. Either it could be their preferential area or they might have been an intergenerational process of marginalization. 88 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … Secondly, Janajaties are more cohesive in the community and they normally take collective decision which makes it easier to live and share facilities together. Thirdly, they are physically competent for contributing labor. The future policies have to be informed with these determinant factors. Among four case settlements, Panipokhari has a highest land coverage followed by Kharanitar. Norbuling and Thakle which have second, third and fourth rank, respectively. Having government land, the Panipokhari settlers could acquire large swath of land as immediate liability was zero. The Kharanitar settlement area was basically determined by the number of households, and the land was procured by the NRA. The Norbuling followed the Kharanitar suit. Thakle followed largely land pooling principle; hence, the households pooled according to their need. The availability of land in the mountainous region is arduous and particularly in the vicinity of the vulnerable settlement which demands creative solution like Kharanitar. NRA’s role was omnipotent in all reconstruction-related interventions which may slightly delude the discussion. However, in spite of the NRA’s overall accountability, there was a variation in implementation. For example, Oxfam was mandated by NRA for handholding in Kharanitar and Thakle. Having limited scope of intervention, Oxfam exercised ïŽexibility in terms of housing grant which provided more than NRs. 700,000 (US$7000) to each household whereas NRA’s upper limit was NRs. 300,000 (US$3000). Oxfam also enjoyed supporting other ancillary activities which were beyond NRA’s rigid protocol as it had to ensure egalitarianism across its scope. Consequently, Oxfam supported settlements seem more attractive in comparison to NRA grant recipient settlements such as Panipokhari and Norbuling. Although supporting mechanism in Panipokhari and Norbuling was similar, Norbuling had rather intensive community engagement which is reïŽected in the matrix above. With respect to the supporting agencies, Kharanitar enjoyed multiplicity of agencies as the intervention was quite challenging and capital hungry. Other settlements have generic supporting agency mostly NRA as the institution behind all integrated settlement interventions. Traditionally, cattle shed used to be close to the house for convenience for feeding, milking and taking care of the livestock. However, convenience was earned at the cost of health hazard which prompted integrated settlements to maintain distance with the barn, which was also practiced in Kharanitar, Thakle and Panipokhari. The only settlement it allowed was the Norbuling. Nonetheless, Norbuling has a grand plan of cooperative farming in an area of 20 ha. After materializing this ambitious plan, they may remove their byre. Second determinant factor is the land size. NRA’s policy allowed only NRs. 200,000 (US$2000) as land grant which could procure only small land parcel of around 100−300 m2 . which could accommodate only a house of reasonable size. This factor forced either abandon idea of rearing livestock or have provision away from home. Success of integrated settlements is contingent upon the livelihood opportunity which seems to be the Achilles heel for all NRA promoted settlements. This situation is identical in other countries as well (Bradlow et al. 2011). Bradlow et al. found that the small houses which are far from livelihoods and services were found not appropriate policy interventions. Pakistan also witnessed similar reality (Ali 2020). Out 5.3 Findings 89 of four cases, three settlement households cultivate their ancestral land which they abandoned with the earthquake triggered landslide. However, the remaining land has been used for cultivation which perpetuates their livelihood albeit with some distance created inconvenience. Kharanitar settlement is surrounded by the abandoned fertile land. With sharecropping arrangement, both the migrated landowners and newly settled households found symbiotic beneïŽts. 5.3.5 Resettlement in the New Legal Context The National Land Policy—2019 (MoLMCPA 2019) has deïŽned four landownership types: private, trust, government and public. The private land if required for public good needs to go through land acquisition act (Land Acquisition Act 2034 1977). Acquiring trust land also requires compensation. The government land can be used for the public good with cabinet decision. However, the NRA enjoyed that cabinet’s authority as per the act related to the reconstruction of earthquake damaged infrastructure 2072 (An Act Made To Provide For Reconstruction of the Earthquake Affected Structures 2015). With NRA’s abrogation, the local governments are mandated to prepare their land use plan based on Ministry of Land Management, Cooperative and Poverty Alleviation (MoLMCPA) prepared land use map. In the absence of the MoLMCPA land use map, the local governments have to work on the available most recent topographic map where geohazards have to be indicated clearly. The local governments may replicate NRA’s settlements’ risk-based category: I, II and III. The safe settlements can continue in situ; the Category II settlements require mitigating measures for which resources have to be earmarked. There has to be provision for safe land for Category III households as they must be relocated. However, the central question is where to relocate those vulnerable households. As NRA practiced, there are two possibilities: procure private land or allocate government land. The availability of habitable government land is pretty limited (Adhikari 2008) which necessitates to buy private land which entails a huge government liability. Moreover, having small land parcel size, the government procured land do not ensure agro-based livelihoods. For this, the Kharanitar Integrated Settlement could be a trailblazer. Although the homesteads were installed in the NRA procured land, sharecropping of surroundings land has proven win–win arrangement for both landowners, tenants and the entire society. The MoLMCPA introduced concept note on the land bank is a glimmer of hope for settling down and engaging them in meaningful employment opportunities (MoLMCPA 2020). The concept note was introduced in the context of underutilization of land triggered by the rural–urban migration which has been leading to the verge of food insecurity. Under such circumstances, a municipality can establish a land bank collecting expression of interest from landowners who are unable to cultivate themselves for depositing their land to the land bank. The total inventory of such land needs to be publicized and based on which the interested individuals 90 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … can bid for using such land. The terms and conditions for owners and land users should be deïŽned by the local government. It is obvious that the land user should be allowed to construct farmhouse in the leased land. In addition, an explicit provision of handholding for constructing farm facilities in the newly occupied land would be indispensable. 5.4 Discussion The development objective of consolidating sparsely populated households in a compact rural settlement has been government’s policy objective (NPC 2013). The NRA Act (An Act Made To Provide For Reconstruction of the Earthquake Affected Structures 2015) also emphasized the promotion of the integrated settlements. Consequently, NRA translated this noble objective to the reality by realizing 73 integrated settlements. After NRA’s termination, it is opportune time to look back NRA’s integrated settlement policies which needs to be contextualized in the long-term development perspective. 5.4.1 Conceptualizing Paraphernalia of Integrated Settlement First of all, the NRA concept of integrated settlement was perceived from urban angle as there was no provision for cattle shed which is indispensable in rural set up not only for direct consumption but also for agricultural manure. Norbuling allowed cattle shed attached to the house, but Thakle and Panipokhari households used their original village land for the barn. Kharanitar had no choice but to relinquish rearing cattle. Unlike to Thakle and Panipokhari, it was not possible for them to use the original land as a distance of 16 km was real deterrent factor. The key informants of all settlements have the opinion that adjacent barn to house creates health and hygiene problems at the cost of efïŽciency of feeding, milking and overseeing. Another issue was the nexus between the housing space and construction cost. With NRA provided land of 127.23−190.84 m2 and grant of US$3000 prohibited them to construct adequately spacious house. Particularly, disposable income of the vulnerable households is nominal. Consequently, they satisïŽed NRA with small compliant house with respect to the construction standards but they conjured real intention of vertical and horizontal extension after NRA’s termination which may not be earthquake resilient. What mechanism will enable households for constructing adequately spacious house while complying with earthquake resilient construction standards is the central issue to grapple with. 5.4 Discussion 91 5.4.2 Identifying and Planning for Vulnerable Settlements A number of areas are deïŽned as vulnerable by the Department of Geology which are prohibited for housing construction (MoUD 2015). In addition, the land with geological fault or ruptured area and swampy and reclaimed land from lakes and ponds are also vulnerable. Land exceeding 30° slope within 10 m from small stream and 30 m from perennial river is also risky. The houses constructed in such lands can be deïŽned as vulnerable settlement. However, the local government has to organize a study team consisting of engineering geologist, civil engineer and watershed management expert for ascertaining the vulnerability of a given spot. For addressing the issue more systematically, a topographic map of the municipality has to be taken as base map where updated information from the satellite map and other supplementary information should be populated. The vulnerability status layer has to categorize the entire municipal space for housing purpose as: safe, requiring mitigating measures and unsafe. The households in the unsafe zones have to be evacuated and settled down in other safe zones. The zone requiring mitigating measures is straight forward as the intervention measures can be integrated in the municipal development budget. 5.4.3 Securing Land for Resettlement In four sampled settlements, three different models were adopted. Kharanitar and Norbuling procured the private land. Panipokhari was settled on the government land, whereas Thakle adopted land pooling. However, all these settlements allocated below 200 m2 of land which is inadequate for livelihood. Under these circumstances, an innovative approach has to be adopted. Among various possibilities, provision of land bank seems the most promising one. There are some reservations from different quarters (THT 2020) who are of opinion that the small holders will be disadvantaged with this arrangement. This arrangement they opine will beneïŽt to the industrial establishment and subsequently decrease agricultural land. Although the debate has to continue and need to ensure that the underutilized and abandoned land has to be used for the productive purpose. Kharanitar has demonstrated miniature evidence that such land banking system works if administered and regulated properly. The land bank seems to be an appropriate medium for allowing access to the vulnerable people who must have to be evacuated from their ancestral land. On the other hand, the migration triggered unproductive fallow land has potential for converting as productive parcels. This requires legal, administrative and psychological handling, and the local governments must set examples. At least one successful example will pave the way for mass scale replication. The evacuated households should have offered option for individual or collective leasing arrangement. It is sensible to initiate cooperative which necessitates commitment from all members and ensure discipline for justice. The motivated cooperatives 92 5 How Can Disaster Prone Mountainous Municipalities … will have synergistic effect producing and marketing more outputs than the total sum of individual production. However, this theoretical proposition may not work in reality as individualistic tendency is in the upbringing of all Nepali individuals. This issue requires voluntary picking rather than directive decision. The land availability for land banking purpose has to be integrated in the municipal plan. In addition, the legal basis has a number of loose ends which requires mending. 5.4.4 Initial Investment and Operating Capital The weakest façade of the NRA’s resettlement was the absence for livelihood investment. Although there is a desultory proposition for livelihood in the NRA’s working procedure, the real support package is ringfenced for land, housing and infrastructure (NRA 2018c). The commercial banks will not accept the lease land as collateral, and vulnerable households’ repayment remains up in the air at least for the initial ïŽrst few years. During this transitional period, the small holder production unit needs direct handholding in terms of ïŽnance and technical assistance. For this, support has to be tailored based on the individual requirement which demands ïŽexible support package not the rigid and uniform government support packages. NGOs have successful track record under such circumstances. The NRA’s best practice that government support for procuring land, housing and installing infrastructure and NGO’s support for technical assistance and initial operating capital seems sensible. Oxfam’s handholding in Kharanitar and Thakle demonstrated that blending of government support provisions with the NGOs soft power yields synergistic outcome. 5.4.5 Ethnic Dimension in Resettlement All four vulnerable vis-a-vis integrated settlements belong to the Janajati communities: Tamang,Thami and Hyolmo. Normally, it is believed that the Janajati communities are marginalized socially, culturally, economically and politically. Constituting nearly 36% of the national population, they have little control over their ancestral land and resources which led them to live with poverty, ignorance and illiteracy (Jha 2019). Through this historical reason, they live in the vulnerable marginalized land. Due to their tribal social fabric, Janajaties are extremely loyal to their leaders who are nominated through their traditions. This leadership style converges toward uniformity in approach which is instrumental for living together in the compact environment. In addition, Janajaties are physically active and strong which enables them to contribute precious labor for the integrated settlement. Not among the four samples but there is a sizeable Dalit community as well in the integrated settlement. Dalits are further disadvantaged than Janjaties as they are on 5.5 Conclusion 93 the last rung of caste system. However, they have traditional skills for making agricultural tools, household utensils, jewelry, handicrafts and stitching and weaving which will enable them to establish various cottage industries in the integrated settlements. 5.5 Conclusion This chapter studied four integrated settlements which were implemented with slightly different modalities. The post-earthquake experience of integrated settlement shows that it is vitally signiïŽcant intervention for moving toward the resilient society. Overlooking scattered households on the steep mountain slope with utterly subsistence farming perpetuates their acute poverty which deïŽnitely deters country’s commitment on the Sustainable Development Goals and national objectives of ensuring accessible modern infrastructure and intensive connectivity and development and full utilization of the human capital potential. Although the post-earthquake reconstruction acted as trailblazer, there are a number of areas for further improvements. Small plot size, insufïŽcient housing space and, moreover, no active provision for livelihoods were some of them. Unavailability of land in the disaster-prone mountains and hills and ïŽnancial paucity of vulnerable households are recognized as constraints. However, the Kharanitar Integrated Settlement showed possibility of using fallow abandoned land triggered by the rural–urban migration. The newly introduced land banking system will kill three birds with one bullet: utilization of fallow abandoned land bolstering national production, disaster preparedness by shifting vulnerable households to safer zones and efïŽciency in delivering basic services. All these goodies will lead toward more happy and prosperous society. However, additional ïŽrming up of land banking is essential. In the transitional phase, the local governments may consider taking forward with the prevailing legal system. Secondly, there is a need of a clear strategy for constructing required infrastructure, constructing houses and securing livelihood opportunities in the integrated settlement. Nepal’s reconstruction proved that the governmental hardware support needs to go hand in hand with NGO’s soft power. Chapter 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-earthquake Reconstruction Lens Abstract After experiencing sluggish urban housing progress, the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) unpacked binding constraints as small parcel size and acute dearth of finance. This paper intended to chart out way forward for removing binding constraints and make progress toward urban renewal. Data collected from an urban study during the NRA stint is further analyzed. International and national experience of urban renewal has been contextualized for exploring future prospect. Based on the analysis, it is concluded that the implementation of existing legal provisions will not bear fruition rather a radical intervention of “redevelopment and land readjustment” has ample leverage for transformation. For implementing this concept, a municipality promoted powerful Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) seems the most appropriate institution which can be funded through municipal, provincial and federal transfer, private sector and proceeds from the sales of additional space that can be created with limited vertical extension of private buildings. The transitional period has to be managed with conserving public and private heritage elements which can be achieved with the existing legal frameworks. Keywords Municipality · Constraints · Urban renewal · Heritage · Special purpose vehicle 6.1 Introduction Out of the world population of 7.63 billion in 2018, the urban population consisted of 4.22 billion (55.3%) which will reach to nearly 62% in 2030 and 68% in 2050 with the global total population of 9.77 billion (UN 2018). Nepal’s course is no different from the world trend. Out of total 29,192,480, the urban population reached to 66.8% in 2021 (CBS 2022). Actual urban population could be slightly lesser than stated as some of the rural settlements are declared as urban municipalities. Irrespective of some degree of misinterpretation, the population density in the Kathmandu Metropolitan City (KMC) exceeded 5000 per km2 and other cities have been following the suit. The urban centers are not prepared to receive such a rural urban exodus. Moreover, the Kathmandu Valley core urban streets which evolved during the last two © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_6 95 96 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … millenniums were not designed for such a population pressure. Consequently, the urban core—the engine of the entire urban and rural economy has been decaying. Rai (2022) argues that the deterioration of heritage settlements leading to abandonment and loss of cultural heritage allows or even encourages for modernization which instigates irreversible damage to the inherent spirit. Rimal et al. (2017) monitored urban growth and conducted cross-sectional analysis of Kathmandu Valley. They confirmed that the Kathmandu’s urban coverage increased from 20.19 km2 in 1996 to 139.57 km2 in 2015, a growth of 7 times. With this, they indicated high risk for the Kathmandu Valley which demands urgent compatible land use planning. Moreover, the post-earthquake reconstruction in urban center in general and the Kathmandu Valley in particular has remained sluggish. By 2021 January, when nearly 70% houses outside of the Kathmandu Valley were completed, the Valley could achieve only 39%. Shrestha et al. (2021) found that the financial and land-related constraints were the major culprit. It is suspected that some of the houses in urban core will never be completed as the land parcels are below municipality’s threshold size and concerned households have meager source of income from informal sources. Pandey (2021) confirmed that financial tools play a crucial role for safeguarding Kathmandu’s decay. Under such circumstance, devising way out toward revitalizing urban centers for serving the dependent population while retaining the existing population in situ is the major objective of this chapter. Retaining aboriginal population is indispensable for conserving heritage and perpetuating non-tangible heritage. 6.2 Methodology The HRRP with NRA’s support collected the primary data for finding out reasons for the lackluster progress in urban centers. Mainly, Focus Group Discussion (FGD) and Key Informants Interview (KII) were used. The FGDs were conducted in Lalitpur, Bhaktapur, Ramechhap, Dhading, Dolakha, Kavrepalanchowk and Gorkha districts. The major objective of FGD was to identify the binding constraints for urban housing reconstruction. In addition, an Internet-based survey was conducted for collecting international experience on urban renewal. Particularly, the World Bank’s compilation of best practices from Ahmedabad, Buenos Aires, Johannesburg, Santiago, Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore and Washington DC was used extensively. The international experience was collated with Nepal’s own experiences of Bhaktapur and Bandipur municipalities and two projects in the Lalitpur district: WB funded urban regeneration project and local philanthropist promoted Pilachhen Project. Based on international and national experience, an urban renewal model is proposed. A telephonic interview was conducted with 6 community leaders—two each from three Kathmandu Valley districts and 6 technicians—two each from the Kathmandu Valley district. Some of 6.3 Findings 97 the policy reviews were drawn from the NRA study on Proposed Urban Recovery Strategies. 6.3 Findings This section presents constraints of urban housing including the issue of retrofitting and provisions of urban settlements. In addition, how post-earthquake urban housing was handled in five representative countries and what elements of global experience in urban regeneration could be relevant for Nepal are also elucidated. 6.3.1 Constraints in Urban Housing Fifty urban constraints were identified and categorized in 10 cluster (Shrestha et al. 2021): finance, heritage, land, masons, NRA process and policy, reconstruction technology, retrofitting, communication, vulnerable beneficiaries and women. This chapter discarded the reconstruction-related temporary phenomena and only factored in the structural issues such as access to finance and land. The urban households who failed to reconstruct their houses were found to be employed in the informal sectors such as street vendors and daily wage earners who are not eligible to secure loan from the formal banks. In addition, such households have joint housing ownership which makes the property unfit for collateral. GoN introduced soft loan for the period of 5–10 years with 2% interest rate (BFIRD 2015). The Kathmandu households were eligible for US$25,000, and nonKathmandu households were provisioned for US$15,000. Such loans were immunized with additional charges, but banking regulations prevailed which means the bankable property with repayment capacity of the prospective loanee. After realizing the contradiction with central bank’s other provisions, the soft loan was rescinded and was replaced with another package of concessional loan (MoF 2018). Under this new provision, a household would receive US$3000 with about 7% interest rate. However, only 1534 earthquake affected households benefitted out of more than 800,000 (MR 2019) and it is suspected that the affluent households benefitted from this provision. Only 200 households enjoyed the second offer (NRARD 2018). This shows that the penurious urban households must have radical offer rather than the existing formal provisions. Land is another constraining factor for urban housing. A parcel must have to be 80 m2 for house construction. However, city core households fail to meet this requirement (Wily et al. 2009). The dwelling size decreased from 55 m2 in 2001 to 52 m2 in 2011 (CBS 2012). Shrestha et al. (2021) mentioned that around 15% urban housing stock fail to meet official threshold parcel size. There are a myriad cases concerning landownership which restricts households constructing their houses (Nougaret and Danuwar 2016; Shrestha 2022). The third land-related issue is the 98 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … Right of Way (RoW) as there are several conflicting parallel RoW standards. The Kathmandu Valley Development Authority (KVDA) standard is 11 m, whereas the Ministry of Federal Affairs and General Administration (MoFAGA) and the MoUD standards are 6 m, and in exceptional cases, it can be lowered down to 4 m with setback width of 1.5 m (Standard for Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Housing Construction, 2072 2015). There is another standard for the heritage settlements which follows existing footprints but the setback width is 1 m (MoUD 2015). 6.3.2 Lackluster Response to Retrofitting Despite policy framework and technical ground works, NRA’s progress in retrofitting remained at the basic level (NRA 2021e). Moreover, the retrofitting technology for urban row housing is yet to be fully established which led insignificant number of urban retrofitting. The NRA survey respondents mentioned insufficient technical guidance, inadequate funding and high retrofitting cost as deterrent factors 6.3.3 Housing Reconstruction in Heritage Settlements The UNESCO declared heritage sites (UNESCO 1979): Hanumandhoka, Patan and Bhaktapur Durbar Squares, Boudhha, Changunarayan, Swayambhu and Lumbini and NRA declared heritage settlements: Bungamati, Khokana, Sankhu, Nuwakot, Gorkha and Dolakha (NRA 2018c) were eligible for NRs. 50,000 (US$500) heritage grant. There are more than 50 Newari heritage settlements and host of other heritage settlements belonging to other ethnic communities such as Lomangthang (Chapagain 2008) and Black Village on the Tamang Heritage Trail (Pokharel 2016). All those settlements need an urgent intervention as the heritage houses are in the process of extinction as have been replaced with concrete or CGI structures. The formal documents recognize Newari streets as heritage settlements not the settlements of other ethnic community which needs to widen up urgently. The existing heritage provisions include 80% building ground coverage, height of 35’ (10.67 m) and maximum four floors, setback of 1 m on the front side, façade complying with Nepali traditional architecture and traditionally tiled and sloped roof including others. However, there is strong resistance of the heritage households against those formal standards. The permissible height does not guarantee space requirement, and the sloped roof deprives households from enjoying winter sunshine for warming up inhabitants, drying food grains and clothes. Non-compliance of these provisions led non-progress in housing reconstruction. 6.3 Findings 99 6.3.4 Post-earthquake Urban Regeneration in Some Selected Countries Table 6.1 shows a comparative overview of five different countries how did they tackle the post-earthquake urban reconstruction. The Chinese centrally led model has the least resistance from public which allows to implement the way the government intends. The Japanese model adopted private sector as implementing agent and government as regulator which minimized government’s liability; however, implementation is only possible after settling concerns of all community households. New Zealand’s housing insurance model can be applicable when insurance coverage increases significantly as New Zealand coverage exceeds 95% (Morrall 2012). Indonesia’s situation is extremely unique as the Tsunami wiped out everything which influenced the trajectory. Employment generation was the key element for people’s survival which required community contracting. India adopted largely ownerdriven approach. 6.3.5 Urban Regeneration from Global Experience The World Bank (2022) captured eight urban regeneration models: Ahmedabad, Buenos Aires, Johannesburg, Santiago, Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore and Washington DC. During their historical urban evolution, the ancient glory perishes, and the bustling cities turn out to be the ghost towns. However, those historical cities continue to possess potential of growth given that some externalities and internalities are fixed. The summary of eight urban regeneration program is presented in Table 6.2. The global experience demonstrates that three elements are indispensable for successful urban regeneration: strong and visionary leadership, supportive community and enthusiastic private sector. The strong and visionary leadership must be exhibited through a transformative vision how a dilapidated township can be transformed into an environment friendly and vibrant city center. It also requires, preparation of the plan and securing buy in from the community and private sector. Such leadership in almost all cases has assumed by the municipal governments. Being a city-state, Singapore was an exception. Although the municipal leadership catalyzes the process, it must have to secure active endorsement from the federal or provincial government. The supportive local community is another integral element. The squatting settlers are the main stakeholders to grapple with. In the absence of amicable understanding, the issue may trigger social unrest which may jeopardize the entire initiative. The private sector is behind all successful urban renewal initiatives as their greed for profitability is the energy that can be transformed squalid townships to vibrant urban landscape. The private sector’s contribution is not only limited to the initial investment but also requires for initiating business venture in the precincts of intervention. The entrepreneurial surplus creates basis for municipal revenue in the form of taxation, fees, etc. 100 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … Table 6.1 Post-earthquake urban reconstruction Earthquake Scale of damage Adopted approach Bhuj, Gujarat, India. 2001. (7.7 ML ) More than 1.2 million homes damaged/ destroyed Owner driven reconstruction with partial relocation intervention The government provided INR 90,000 (US$2117 in 2001) for rural housing up to 45 m2 and INR 175,000 (US$4117 in 2001) for urban housing up to 50 m2 (Trohanis and Read 2010) In “Bhuj Walled City,” the public land at the periphery was allocated to the victim’s households in city core area. The earthquake victims received proportionately reduced land area (Byahut and Mittal 2017) Wenchuan, Sichuan, 5 million homes destroyed: 25 China. 2008; (8.0 million damaged ML ) (Mohammad, 2008) Central government implemented model The reconstruction was planned and implemented by the central government which cost US$147 billion (Johnson and Olshansky 2016). The operation was funded by loans from financial institutions, transfers from the central government, help from eastern provinces under the “pair assistance” program, land-based financing and land swaps (Xiao et al. 2018) Christchurch, New Zealand. 2010 (7.1 ML ) and 2011 (6.3 ML ) Destruction or damage to 170,000 buildings (CERA 2012); (Law 2015); (Chang et al. 2010) Insurance-led model and compensation for vulnerable land The Earthquake Commission (EQC) which was primarily formed for housing insurance was asked to take responsibility for the repairs or rebuilding of insured homes rather than simply paying cash settlements to homeowners (Brownlee 2010) Indonesia Sumatra–Andaman Earthquake. 2004 (9.1 ML ) More than 100,000 homes destroyed; 50,000 homes damaged (Sibuet et al. 2007) Community-led implementation model The national development planning agency, Bappenas, prepared the Master Plan for Rehabilitation and Reconstruction which emphasized community participation. They were more effective over the long term because the plans have “full community support” (ADB 2011). Two organizations were promoted: The MDTF and the ministerial-level Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Agency (Badan Rehabilitation dan Rekonstruksi [BRR]). BRR implemented through the contractors (RRA 2005). In April 2009, the BRR reached the end of its four-year life, and its responsibilities passed to local, provincial and central government agencies. In the reconstruction of the 2006 Java earthquake as well, the Ache model of community contracting was adopted (continued) 6.3 Findings 101 Table 6.1 (continued) Earthquake Scale of damage Adopted approach Japan Great Hanshin Awaji. 1995 (6.9 ML ) East Japan earthquake. 2011 (9.1 ML ) Over 512,880 houses damaged (ASF 1995) 250,000 destroyed houses (Kawase 2012) Redevelopment and land readjustment Japan linked reconstruction with their long-term planning system which made this operation most sustainable. Two major planning tools were adopted—redevelopment and land readjustment. The reconstruction is financed through the sale of additional floor space beyond replacing what was there before (Sorensen 2002). Land readjustment, which sub-divides existing parcels, which involves modification of property boundaries to widen roads and to provide new open spaces and other public facilities. Under land readjustment, each landowner loses some land area, but the new infrastructure and improved accessibility add value to each parcel. It promotes high density redevelopment which results in raising additional land. Secondly, the intervention takes place with joint ventures between the central and local governments (Johnson and Olshansky 2016) 6.3.6 Nepalese Experience of Urban Renewal There are four urban renewal initiatives in Nepal: Bhaktapur, Bandipur, Lalitpur and Pilachhen. However, characteristics of each renewal intervention are different from other ones. Bhaktapur city’s glory started before two millennia as an entrepot trading center between the Tibetan plateau and the Indian sub-continent. Disintegration of Bhaktapur began after its division among king’s sons and daughters in the fifteenth century. After Shah dynasty’s takeover in 1968, the higher class people fled away for their physical security leaving behind only farmers which was compounded with the alteration of trade route and climaxed after closure of border with Tibet following IndoChinese war (Dorji 2019). Grimm (2012) mentioned how the medieval city of Bhaktapur was restored. The German marriage gift of Deutsch Mark 100,000 to the then Crown Prince Birendra Bir Bikram Shah Dev was the catalytic fund for initiating the Bhaktapur Development Project (BDP)—the first urban renewal project in the country. The BDP conducted an extensive analysis of heritage monuments, buildings and sites and scrutinized socio-economic condition of the urban center. The analysis was instrumental for immediate and long-term interventions such as restoration of heritage sites, upgrading water supply and sewerage system, road pavement and solid waste management (Parajuli 1992). The initial plan had to be readjusted after emergence of the new reality. As a consequence of the BDP’s intervention and further follow-up intervention in conservation of heritage and environment, the Bhaktapur city has been able to draw 181,350 tourist in FY 2016/17 in comparison to 158,079 by Basantapur and 108,828 by Patan (MR 2017). Preservation of cultural heritage is Planning − Make riverfront accessible − Sewage free river − Permanent house for squatters − Riverfront Park, promenade and ghat − Generate resources for funding the project Scoping − Establishment of sabarmati riverfront development corporation limited SRFDCL; − Sale of reclaimed for financing road project Context Encroached sabarmati river City Ahmedabad Table 6.2 Summary of world experience of urban renewal Institutions Sabarmati riverfront development corporation limited (SRFDCL) − HUDCO Loan—US$ 114 Mio − AMC loan US$58 Mio Financing − Kicked off implementation in 2003 − Subsidized housing grants to poor households Implementation (continued) − Consensual strong leadership − Civic improvement rather partisan political project − External managerial support Outcome 102 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … Scoping Revitalization of the central business district Context Dilapidated puerto madero port City Buenos aires Table 6.2 (continued) City Self-financed by administration in proceeds of land collaboration sales with the federal government − A number of iterative planning efforts basically involving professional organizations not the local people − Planned high density settlement Financing Institutions Planning Outcome (continued) − Corporacion − Effective Antiguo Puerto implementation Madero instrument Sociedad − Skillful urban Anonima planning (CAPMSA), the − Flexible zoning quasi-private corporation represented by the federal and local government − CAPMSA handed over to the local government for operation called Ciudad Autónoma de Buenos Aires [CABA]), an independent district Implementation 6.3 Findings 103 Context Johannesburg Johannesburg’s inner city dilapidated after relocation of city council and introduction of the stringent parking rules City Table 6.2 (continued) Planning − Inner city regeneration business plan − A number of intermediate efforts − Inner-city Road Map by the Johannesburg City Scoping − Local community-led central johannesburg partnership (cJP) − Tripartite collaboration of the Johannesburg Inner City Community Forum (JICCF), city council and private sector through Johannesburg Inner City Business Coalition (JICBC) which formed the Central Johannesburg Partnership (CJP) − Johannesburg Metropolitan Municipality − Johannesburg Development Agency (JDA)—a private sector entity − Utility companies − Provincial government − Community Institutions − City of Johannesburg, − Government Departments, − National Treasury − Department of Public Works − Public and private Financing − Johannesburg Metropolitan Municipality − Johannesburg Development Agency (JDA) Implementation (continued) − Crime rate decreased by 85% − City revived with public and private sector investment − However, the marginalized communities displaced Outcome 104 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … Planning − Formation of Santiago Development Corporation (SDC) in 1985 for developing vision, conducting research and assessing project impact − Active collaboration with the private sector Scoping − Ongoing deterioration of Santiago city center further exacerbated by the earthquake in 1985 resulting to mass scale depopulation − 1990s Santiago Repopulation Programs (SRP) − Santiago Renovation Plan − Housing Rehabilitation Program (REHA) Context To reestablish the central, historical role that Santiago by attracting middle-income residents to the city center City Santiago Table 6.2 (continued) − Santiago Development Corporation (SDC) with the strong backing of Santiago Municipal district Institutions − Municipality transfer (72%) − Private sector developers Financing − Santiago Development Corporation (SDC) − Land bank, repopulation agreements, − Housing subsidy − Private sector-led process − Combined repopulation drive with post-earthquake reconstruction Implementation (continued) − Vibrant city center with increase of 55% population and two times housing stock − 10,000 housing units under PPP arrangement − Resentment against high-rise buildings Outcome 6.3 Findings 105 Context Cheonggyecheon—the downtown area degraded over the period of time Commercial renovation while conserving traditional heritage City Seoul Shanghai Table 6.2 (continued) Shanghai Municipal Government’s initiative The 18-lane elevated highway that covered the Cheonggyecheon Stream was the major impediment for city renewal Scoping − Municipal Govt − District Govt − SoLL − US$228 Mio − Shanghai Municipal Govt − District Govt − Community/ Street Office Taipingqiao redevelopment project—1996 Budget US$323 million—basically coughed up from the municipality resources − Cheonggyecheon restoration project initiated by the Municipal Mayor − Cheonggyecheon Research Group − Cheonggyecheon Citizens’ Committee − Downtown Devt. Plan in 2003 − Choenggyecheon restoration master plan in 2004 − Traffic and transport interventions Financing Institutions Planning − Shui On Land Limited (SoLL) − Municipality-led operation with an active representation from citizens’ committee, the project headquarters and a research group Implementation (continued) Internationalization of Shanghai’s amenities − Increased real state value − Revitalization of Seoul’s downtown Outcome 106 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … Context Urban waterfront along with other interventions City Singapore Table 6.2 (continued) Planning − 1958 conservative master plan − 1966 UN supported urban renewal − Singapore River Concept Scoping − Private sector led redevelopment of the golden shoe district − Transformation of Singapore river − Ministry of National Development (MND) − Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) − Housing and Development Board (HDB) − Singapore Land Authority (SLA) − Public Utilities Board (PUB) Institutions − Proceeds from land sales − Direct and indirect taxes − Licenses and permits − User fees and charges Financing − Completion of 54,430 units by 1965 − Sale of public land through public tender − Public infrastructure development − Pedestrian promenade − Financial center − Integrated resort − Collyer Quay development Implementation (continued) − Long-term planning horizon – 50 years with review every 10 years − Effective implementation of plans − Work with the market − Lead with vision and pragmatism Outcome 6.3 Findings 107 Context Renewal of poverty-stricken Anacostia Waterfront Initiative (AWI) with dilapidated housing of African American residents City Washington D.C Table 6.2 (continued) A joint endeavor of district of columbia and federal agencies Scoping Institutions − District of Columbia Office of Planning (OP) as the lead agency − National Park Service and the General Services Administration (GSA) − Anacostia Waterfront Corporation (AWC) Planning − The national capital planning commission (NCPC) Legacy Plan − Extending the legacy: planning America’s Capital for the 21st Century − Planning mainly focused on: − Environment: − Transportation: − Public realm: − Culture and institutions: − Economic development − Tax Increment Financing (TIF), − Federal PILOT bonds, and grants − District and Federal US$1.2 Bio − PrivateUS$1.8 bio Financing − Implementation of smaller projects leading to overall objective: − Capitol riverfront − Southwest waterfront Implementation − Projected incremental tax revenue US$ 1.5 bio. Annual − Reduced sewer overflow by 36%, − 50% decrease in the concentrations of the oxides of nitrogen and sulfur − Establishment of washington nationals stadium and the mandarin hotel − Population increased from 16,675 to 23,280 − Annual real property tax revenues increased from USD 35 million in 2005 to US$109 million in 2009 Outcome 108 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … 6.3 Findings 109 the key for being able to attract such many tourists. Unique architecture, traditional alleys and courtyards and authentic Newari culture and tradition are other attractions. With this evidence, the BDP’s efforts have been bearing fruition directly and indirectly. Unlike to Bhaktapur, Bandipur was established in the seventeenth century by Bhaktapur’s Newars to benefit from the flow of India—Tibet trade route transformed a sleepy Magar settlement to the prosperous trading center. However, the construction of the Kathmandu—Pokhara Prithivi Highway and shifting of the district headquarters to the road head of Damauli degraded Bandipur to a semi-ghost township (Dorji 2019). In the quest of revival, the Bandipur diaspora in Nepal and abroad conceived the idea of the Bandipur Eco-cultural Tourist Project (BECTP). Greece’s Municipal Development Company of Hydra and the Bandipur Development Committee were also brought in as project stakeholders. Later, the European Union also extended its helping hand by supporting for organizing workshops and various tours. House restoration, trail improvement, mountain viewpoints and picnic spots and conservation of Thanimai temple were other interventions. Training to tour guides, launching promotional materials and websites further capacitated local people. All physical interventions including trails were implemented by the local implementation committees (Dorji 2019). Consequently, Bandipur receives more than 200 tourists a day in average (TH 2021) which is in increasing trend which turned out the semi-ghost town to a bustling tourist hub. The Pro-poor Urban Regeneration Pilot Project of Lalitpur Metropolitan City intended to improve local services and public spaces, promote local heritage and develop income generating activities linked to cultural industries for empowering poorest and most vulnerable communities (WB 2013). The project prepared the action plan, conducted need assessment and undertaken market assessment which were used for launching urban generation and community grant and capacity building. The generic rituals of monitoring and evaluation were also ingrained obviously. The Lalitpur Metropolitan City (LMC) has started boasting the program saying that it started to paying off by being able to extend tourists stay (RSS 2017). However, it is yet to be substantiated fully. One of the private business house called R.B. Diamond Jewelers promoted the Pilachhen Tourism Village under its corporate social responsibility (Onlinekhabar 2015). This was part of the post-Gorkha earthquake reconstruction drive. In addition to reconstructing houses, the project intended to offer employment opportunities to the Pilachhen denizens. Traditional Newari architecture was promoted, and houses have been used for crafting various handicrafts. In addition to promoting homestay, the house also serves residential purpose of the households. The project would contribute 70% of the total investment and 30% would be contributed by the owners themselves. Several generous individuals and charitable organizations contributed to the reconstruction of the Pilachhen neighborhood. Some components have been supported by the international agencies like the European Union (UN-Habitat 2022). This project is still ongoing, and it will be too early to state conclusively with regard to the outcomes. 110 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … 6.3.7 Legal Context This section highlights the caveats in urban housing-related acts, policies, guidelines and working procedure. The Ancient Monument Preservation Act (AMPA) 1956 has direct implication on urban regeneration (GoN 2010). The AMPA empowers government to declare a certain area as the heritage settlement. However, installation of the utilities such as water supply and sewerage pipes is of the individual household responsibility which is unrealistic. The utility agency under the guidance of the archeological department has to plan and install facilities, and individual households need to be directed to follow the guidelines. On the other hand, the act was formulated and amended under the previous constitution. With promulgation of the new constitution in 2015 (Constitution of Nepal 2015), the division of responsibility among the federal agencies, provincial governments and local governments has been redefined which has to be reflected in the act. The MoUD has promulgated the Basic Construction Standards on Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Building Construction (MoUD 2015) which is not referred or incorporated in the AMPA. Responsibility of the heritage sector is divided among the Department of Archeology and the Guthi Corporation. The Guthi Corporation Act—2033 was promulgated to abdicate the Guthi under the jurisdiction of the Government of Nepal and for incorporating contemporary dynamics and maintaining cordial relation between the people of various classes with divergent economic interest (An Act Made to Provide for Amending and Consolidating Laws Relating to Guthi Corporation 1976). However, the Guthi Corporation has failed safeguarding land from impingement. At present, it holds 73,794 hectare of land (Karki 2019). The GoN attempted to reform the chronic issue of incompetent organization to grapple with herculean challenges by nationalizing all Guthi land which met with a stiff resistance from the Guthirelated people (Devkota and Devkota 2019). This Guthi land issue has a serious implication on urban renewal. Some of the Guthi owned monuments have been used for dirt cheap price while monopolizing with various leverages which sometimes plays out against urban renewal drive. There is some scope for dictating land use in Guthi land which is improbable in the private land. The Local Government Operational Act 2017 (2074) has the most crucial implication on urban renewal (Local Government Operational Act 2074, 2017). The phenomenal issue is the municipal eligibility criteria. Total population has been considered as one of the principal criteria where population density is discounted. This provision encouraged overstretching municipal territory for ensuring minimum required population. Consequently, a vast swath of rustic land is declared as municipality which blurred definition of rural and urban municipality. The act has vested dual responsibility for declaring cultural or touristic area by the provincial and local government which creates utter confusion. Secondly, the criteria for defining cultural or touristic area have to be articulated by the respective municipality which is quite incremental strategy rather than comprehensive. Thirdly, how the local people would be engaged in this process has to be ensured. In addition, the local governments’ preparation for 6.4 Discussions 111 implementing the Local Government Operational Act has not started until the end of their first stint. With a noble intention of increasing urban density, GoN introduced the Apartment Ownership Act—1997. A promoter is considered as a catalytic agent in the entire operation of the apartment which could not address the issue of multiowner joint houses in the urban area for the purpose of reconstruction. For addressing shelter problem of small parcel holders, NRA promulgated a working procedure for joint housing (NRA 2019b). The central point is the households should have flexibility to follow the operator route or joint housing mode. The National Urban Policy (2007) should have factored in the issue of urban renewal which has not been the case. There are some elements of urban renewal such as regulating standards of group housing, discouraging squatter settlements and encroachment, promoting people’s housing and encouraging and facilitating cooperative mechanism for the production of housing for the economically weaker segment of society (MoUD 2017). Other two legal instruments: Town Development Act—1988 (Town Development Act, 1998) and the KVDA Act—1988 (Kathmandu Valley Development Authority Act 1988) are somehow redundant in the context of federalization as the local governments are the de facto in-charge of development initiatives. Other distantly related policies such as the National Land Use Policy—2015 (MoLMCPA 2019) and NBC 203:15 guidelines (Nepal National Building Code 2003) also may need to factor while detailing out the urban renewal strategies. 6.4 Discussions The findings section revealed that the present state of the affairs of urban system which was evolved over the last two millenniums could not cope for modern aspiration and requirements. On the other hand, necessity for conserving heritage is of the paramount importance. Against this background, this section delves upon how to tackle with the structural urban private housing constraints, i.e., land and finance. Potential for taking forward retrofitting is also touched upon. Appropriate legal framework and institution based on Nepal’s own experience and international best practices are elucidated. Potential heritage centers requiring an immediate intervention are outlined. The most viable institutional arrangement including funding source is elaborated. In each of those discussion, the lessons from global experience on the post-earthquake reconstruction and urban renewal efforts are referred. 6.4.1 Binding Constraints for Heritage Private Housing The poor urban core households with small parcel size than the government threshold land area and their employment in the informal sector failed to reconstruct their 112 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … houses. Such category of households’ property is neither bankable nor has capacity of settling installments (Bhattarai 2018). The government’s targeted concessional loan packages failed to address urban poor households’ requirement as the commercial banks were extremely cautious in lending. Handling of the India-Bhuj earthquake was similar to Nepal’s policies: owner driven approach, certain amount of government grants and housing loan (Thiruppugazh 2016). However, the certain urban households in Bhuj were offered land outside of the city area which was not practiced in Nepal (Byahut and Mittal 2017). The highly acclaimed Chinese model of reconstruction followed complete restructuring of settlement pattern and creation of cities in the most convenient locations (Johnson and Olshansky 2016). This model has less relevance in Nepal due to private landownership and limited fiscal space of the government. New Zealand followed housing insurance route which was well developed there while responding to the 2010 Canterbury and 2011 Christchurch earthquakes. The affected households could buy new land parcel in case of faulty geological condition. One can either retrofit house or reconstruct new in case of damaged house (Brownlee 2010). This approach seems quite attractive in the long run but is not appropriate tool for resolving problem in hand. Japan’s historical tradition of land adjustment was used for reshaping parcels, creating public spaces and reserve lands, recovering development cost, developing public facilities and promoting public and private participation (Matsui et al. n.d.). This is the logical approach which has tremendous scope of replication. However, it requires strong commitment from local and central government and there has to be a guarantee of continuation for a long period beyond the stint of a single government. Post-Sumatra–Andaman earthquake reconstruction in Indonesia had rather typical characteristics as everything in Ache was washed and wiped out (RRA 2005). Considering the urban core poor households’ limitation of land and repayment capacity, the Japanese “redevelopment and land readjustment model” seems feasible. Contextualizing other models seem unviable. The redevelopment and land readjustment require sincere and assertive leadership which are in short supply in Nepal. Consensual decision making, administrative overview and scrutiny of implementation process and engagement of the whistle blower journalists are some of the mitigating points. However, migrating to the new regime will require legal foundation which may take rather longer time. Incremental approach of compliance with heritage building code and improving public amenities could be pragmatic strategy until the legal foundation for redevelopment is laid out. 6.4.2 Making Strides Toward Retrofitting Some of the heritage monuments need strengthening as those ancient structures lack seismic elements. Same rule applies to the private houses in the heritage settlement. NRA piloted retrofitting technology for all discrete non-heritage structures. However, the reliable retrofitting technology for row housing is yet to be worked out. 6.4 Discussions 113 Retrofitting technology for heritage buildings and monuments has to be further sharpened. As it stands, the NRA developed norms of specification require imprimatur from the DUDBC which paves way for the mass scale replication. Secondly, further deliberation will be required for row housing and heritage buildings and monuments. 6.4.3 Legal Frameworks The international experience shows that all urban renewal initiatives were municipal governments’ endeavor with the central government’s backing. Ahmedabad’s Sabarmati Waterfront Development Corporation Ltd. (SRFDCL) was a municipality initiated SPV. The city administration in collaboration with the federal government of Buenos Aires kicked off the Puerto Madero regeneration project. Johannesburg Metropolitan Municipality in collaboration with the private sector, provincial government and local community initiated the SPV called Johannesburg Development Agency (JDA). In a similar fashion, the SPVs were promoted by the municipalities in Santiago, Seoul, Shanghai and Washington DC. As a city-state, the national Ministries undertook the urban renewal project in Singapore. The global experience shows that the municipalities are appropriately placed to initiate the SPV for taking forward urban renewal which also has to be the case in Nepal. However, the Nepalese municipalities have not shown credible evidence to undertake such a complex project. The KMC failed to execute the Ranipokhari Renovation Project (NT 2017), whereas the federal government created the NRA and a SPV and delivered the entire post-Gorkha earthquake reconstruction satisfactorily (Devdiscourse, 2021) which indicates that a board with representation from the local government but with federal government’s handholding will be able to deliver effectively. 6.4.4 Nepalese Models of Urban Renewal All Nepalese urban renewal models have very little similarity with one another neither in scope nor scale of operation. The BDP was a fully fledged donor supported project where all project attributes of planning, implementation, monitoring and evaluation were prevalent. However, this intervention was limited to public infrastructure and heritage monuments. The private houses were untouched. The Bandipur project was community driven without any holistic planning but largely successful. The WB funded Lalitpur Urban Regeneration Project is broadly a non-infrastructural intervention basically focused on software. The Pilachhen Project is an outcome of a philanthropist who intended to contribute to the society. Among those four models, the BDP Model and Bandipur community models can be considered as successful. However, the BDP’s replication is only viable with availability of foreign grants which depends on a plethora of factors. Having not any follow-up urban renewal intervention in the post-BDP period shows donors’ limited appetite for engaging 114 6 Scoping Urban Regeneration from Post-Earthquake … in the urban areas. On the other hand, having very small size of intervention and wealthy diaspora in influential positions must have played crucial role behind the success in Bandipur. Replicability is the real issue. Other two projects: WB funded urban regeneration project and Pilachhen have yet to prove their worthiness. Under these circumstances, policies have to be formulated for own source revenue-based initiatives where Nepal lacks any trailblazer but to invent one. 6.4.5 Potential Candidates for Urban Renewal Among UNESCO’s eight world heritage sites, six: Pashupatinath Temple area, Boudhanath Stupa area, Swayambhunath Stupa area, Kathmandu Durbar Square, Patan Durbar Square and Bhaktapur Durbar Square can be considered for urban renewal. Among those six heritage settlements, Pashupati, Boudhanath and Swayambhunath settlements are relatively new which may create some challenge to promote them as heritage settlements. However, the heritage settlements of Kathmandu, Patan and Bhaktapur have evolved since last couple of centuries and have their own identity which makes them rather easier to carry out urban renewal. In addition, NRA declared additional six heritage settlements: Sankhu, Bungamati, Khokana, Nuwakot, Gorkha and Dolakha (NRA 2018b). Furthermore, there are hundreds of other heritage settlements which belong to various ethnic communities such as Newar, Gurung, Magar, Rai, Sherpa, Limbu and Tharu, who have their own identity in terms of architecture which can be candidate settlements on priority basis. This action requires an urgent attention as traditional houses are replaced with modern concrete buildings without a trace of heritage identity. 6.4.6 Funding Sources After the establishment of a municipality promoted SPV, the promoting municipality has to ensure funding sources at least for the initial stage which is contingent upon the local situation. The international experience has shown that the proceeds of land sales have been the principal funding source in almost all urban renewal programs. However, how realistically it can be translated in Nepalese context particularly in the Valley Durbar Square areas is rather dubious as scope for delineating precinct for sales is not visible. The Japanese model of “redevelopment and land readjustment” seems to be the most relevant for the Nepalese urban renewal which generates resources by proceeds of sales of vertically created floor space. For this, the municipalities will need to readjust heritage height limit which allows to expand buildings vertically generating additional resources. Additional revenue can be generated reconstructing Guthi buildings which have been rented out for a through away price. There exists a sizeable potential for cashing the underutilized high-end assets which can used 6.5 Conclusion 115 as one of the major sources for urban renewal. The federal, provincial and local government’s fund transfer has to be utilized for infrastructure. 6.5 Conclusion Decaying heritage urban centers resulted diseconomies of scale which has impaired not only progress of the respective cities but also all dependent rural settlements. The entire country falls under the sphere of influence of the capital city like Kathmandu, and other metropolitan cities have their respective sizeable orbit. As touristic attraction spots and service providing hubs, such nucleuses have to be managed efficiently. However, the private housing—one of the crucial heritage elements—of the core heritage centers is mired with financial and land-related binding constraints. Under the present context, no breakthrough can be expected which will perpetuate tailspin further. This requires radical big bang in the form of redevelopment and land readjustment which demands new legal structure and strong socio-political commitment. A municipality promoted SPV with strong backing from the federal government with adequate flexibility, but strong accountability mechanism has higher probability to deliver. In the renewal process, all heritage elements have to be reconciled with modern amenities without compromising with heritage integrity. Allowing flexibility for vertical extension with due consideration of heritage monuments will enable to generate revenue which can contribute to the entire renewal initiative. If the urban renewal is not introduced urgently, the heritage centers will be irrecoverable loosing national identity and lost opportunity for economic prosperity. During the transitional period, the incremental approach of ensuring building code of the private housing and revamping public heritage amenities can be considered. Chapter 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction Abstract This chapter assessed the aid effectiveness in the post-Gorkha earthquake reconstruction. The secondary sources of information from the National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) and the Ministry of Finance (MoF) were chiefly used. The initial pledge of foreign assistance encouraged Nepal during its most distressful period. However, realization of only 34% of the committed amount restricted NRA for planning realistically. However, the multilateral banks not only contributed the committed financial resources but also transferred best practices from around the globe. The post-earthquake reconstruction experience suggests that the bilateral aid has to be accepted selectively based on their historical and strategic comparative advantages. Other interested donors may wish to channelize their funds through either multilateral agencies or INGOs. Nepal’s progress in the overall institutional competence and financial prowess will determine the conditions of aid architecture whether it can afford to impose its own conditions or submit itself to donor’s conditions. The earlier situation is favorable and thus preferable. Keywords Aid effectiveness · Donors · Pledge · Disbursement · Policy 7.1 Background Mutual cooperation among the human being must have been started from the early dawn of the human civilization. With the emergence of the nation state, one kingdom supported their friendly principalities. However, it was more prominent as colonialism progressed ahead when the aid would be provided for benefitting the colonizer’s interest and general public’s benefit would enhance loyalty toward them. Gradually with diminishing empire, the foreign aid was tied up with economic and political interest. In addition, the humanitarian movements in the colonial countries also influenced the aid architecture profoundly. Over the past 100 years, foreign aid structures are either tied to economic and political interests or are conditioned by the growing humanitarian movement (Phillips 2013). The Marshall Plan set a new precedence in the aid world which was followed with the political allegiance-oriented aid architecture. During the cold war period, the aid environment was governed by the strategic interest which took totally new trajectory after the collapse of the © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_7 117 118 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction Soviet Union in 1991. After the entry of China as one of the key players in the world economy, it painted slightly different picture on the aid canvas—helping for economic and social infrastructure and buying industrial raw materials from the recipient country. For all 29 countries, during the period of 2014–2018, the health sector was the highest recipient with the highest average annual ODA contribution (US$20.34 billion—13.21%), followed by humanitarian aid at US$18.04 billion (11.72%), government and civil society at 13.06 billion (8.48%) and education at US$10.89 billion (7.07%). The lowest recipient was the tourism sector at 0.15 billion (0.10%), followed by trade policy food aid and industry and construction and mining (Nomura et al. 2021). Nelson (2012) found that the humanitarian element is profoundly dominant rather than political with some exceptions. The trading partners, former colonies and military allies receive generous allocation than the countries without such attributes. Nepal started receiving ODA since 1950s after liberating itself from the Rana regime’s shackles, an autocratic regime. The earliest donors were Government of India, USA and UK. However, later the multilateral agencies have gained prominence in the aid landscape (OECD 2019). In FY 2018/19, IDA provided US$541.5 million ODA followed by US$280.6 million by the Asian Development Bank (ADB). ODA from USA, Japan and UK ranges between US$100 and 200 million. Other donors such as EU, Germany, Switzerland, Norway and UNICEF contribute less than US$100 million. The OECD statistics do not include India and China which are among the largest donors but implement directly which is not reflected in the government statistics. Nepal has remained a great proponent of the Paris Declaration of Aid Effectiveness and Accra Agenda of Action (OECD n.d.). Nepal particularly owned the Paris’ principle of ownership, alignment, harmonization, results and mutual accountability. The sharpened focus on Acara’s Agenda for Action on ownership, inclusive partnership, delivering results and capacity development has appealed to Nepal (Addis Ababa Action Agenda of the Third International Conference on Financing for Development 2015) particularly its emphasis on improving quality, effectiveness and impact of development cooperation. The Busan Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation—2011 further continued previous resolutions and consolidated principles as: ownership and development priorities, focus on results, inclusive development partnership and transparency and accountability (HLFAE 2011). Nepal has reflected these international conventions in its aid effectiveness policies (International Development Cooperation Policy 2019). For translating formal understanding to action, Nepal has been volunteering as a steering committee member of the Global Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation, an initiative that aims to enhance effectiveness of development efforts (MoF 2021), and has also participated in the GPEDC monitoring round. Nepal’s accession to the Governing Board of the International Aid Transparency Initiative (IATI), a platform for publishing information on development and humanitarian aid, manifests its commitment for the cause of aid effectiveness. 7.3 Findings 119 Having this background, this chapter intends to assess adherence of the formal provisions of aid effectiveness in Nepal’s post-earthquake reconstruction and locate shortcomings for shaping up future ODA strategies. Nepal may consider using these learnings in the international forums where it represents. The development partners also may use the findings for developing their aid strategy. 7.2 Data and Methods Mainly secondary sources of information from the MoF and NRA were used. Moreover, the published project documents and project completion reports and other relevant documents from the WB, ADB, USAID, UK’s Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO), Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) and Chinese and Indian Embassy were analyzed against aid effectiveness targets: ownership, development partnership, focusing on results and accountability. In addition, the key stakeholders from each organization were interviewed. 7.3 Findings In this section, donors’ pledge and commitment are compared with actual disbursement. Operation modality of seven representative donor funded projects is also analyzed in terms of ownership, development partnership, focus on results and accountability. 7.3.1 Development Partners’ Pledge, Commitment and Disbursement The development partners were called upon on 25th June 2015 for the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR-2015) when 58 countries and agencies participated (IECCD 2015). The objectives were to secure economic and moral support from the international community for the post-earthquake reconstruction, recovery and rebuilding. Table 7.1 shows the pledged, committed and disbursed amount from various development partners. Table 7.1 shows Australia, World Bank and South Korea exceeded disbursement to pledge and commitment ratio. Four development partners: EU, Japan, UK, Switzerland and Norway remained between 0.5 and 1 disbursement–commitment ratio. USA, ADB, Germany, Finland and Saudi Arabia are the group of development partners who contributed 0.1–0.5 disbursement–commitment ratio. Nine development partners: Turkey, Sweden, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Netherlands, Canada, Bangladesh and Netherlands 21 26 1 2.5 Sri Lanka Pakistan 19 20 10 Sweden 18 50 2 IMF Turkey 16 17 2.24 Finland 15 4.6 30 Australia Saudi Arabia 1400 13 India 12 33.57 16 10 25 14 Norway Germany 10 11 Korea 9 767 China Switzerland 7 8 130 USA 6 117.48 110 EU UK 4 5 260 600 Japan ADB 2 3 Pledge 500 Development partners World Bank S. No 1 50 1.12 29.16 1078.8 34 5.6 8.4 767 170.2 165.5 194.3 322.6 360.38 699 Commitment Table 7.1 Development partners pledge, commitment and disbursement Disbursement 0 0.43 3.11 4.77 6.8 9.46 12 12.67 19.37 20.32 54.57 87.07 112.4 210.46 232 623.34 Com./pledge ratio 0 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0.97 0 0.77 1.01 0.35 0.84 0 1 1.31 1.5 1.65 0.54 1.39 1.4 0.89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.19 0.1 1.04 0.004 0.28 0.75 1.27 0.77 0.03 0.42 0.79 0.96 0.35 (continued) Disbursement/commitment ratio 1.25 120 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction 1408.77 0.95 3886.06 4109.59 Fig. in Million US$ Total 0 0.5 1.2 Bangladesh Austria 0 0 23 Com./pledge ratio 24 Disbursement 10.5 Canada Commitment Pledge Development partners S. No 22 Table 7.1 (continued) 0.34 0 0 0 Disbursement/commitment ratio 7.3 Findings 121 122 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction Austria were limited to the stage of pledging only. Among them, Sri Lanka directly contracted out reconstruction of the Rato Machhindra Nath Temple which fell in quagmire with contractual controversy leading to withdrawal (Bajracharya 2020b). The Canadian Embassy channeled funds through the WB administered MDTF which was not visible on the MoF record (WB n.d.). Hence, Table 7.1 requires cautious interpretation. India and China’s direct funding system has not been well reflected in the MoF’s accounting system. And some of their projects have been continuing during the post-NRA period. In terms of absolute disbursement figure, the World Bank stood out on the top of the list US$623.34 million followed by Japan, ADB, EU, UK, USA, China, Switzerland and Korea. Other development partners down on the list are Norway, Germany, India, Australia, Saudi Arabia and Finland. The public received exaggerated perception of NRA with abundant liquidity which goaded them to blame NRA for not delivering quickest possible. It is extremely important for the reconstruction agency to command respectful public opinion which is essential for maintaining optimist social psychology. To start working with small but confirmed envelop is much effective than the fictitious large trove which plays out negatively. 7.3.2 Operational Modality of Representative Donor Funded Projects Seven representative donor funded major reconstruction projects are picked up for examining their credential in terms of aid effectiveness (Table 7.2). All the selected projects are examined against Paris Declaration on aid effectiveness (Development Assistance Committee 2008), the Accra Agenda for Action 2008 (OECD 2008) and the Busan Partnership for Effective Development Cooperation (HLFAE 2011). 7.3.3 Ownership and Priorities The PDNA was prepared by the NPC based on the field work during 22 May– 10 June (Seddon 2015). The process involved all governmental agencies, donors, NGOs and local communities which was essential for avoiding overlapping and gaps. This exercise clearly revealed not only the governmental leadership through broad consultative process but also culminated to the estimation of the financial requirements. The PDNA was presented in the International Conference on Nepal’s Reconstruction (ICNR-2015) on 25 June 2015 which was participated by 58 countries and agencies (IECCD 2015). Nepal received pledge for support as indicated in Table 7.1. From ownership perspective of aid effectiveness, the reconstruction initiative was highly successful. 2015–2022 July Dec. 2015–July 2021 UK Recons. Project JICA Recons. Project 20.7 1000 Indian Recons. Project 275.2 USAID Recons. Project 2015–2022 232 2015 June–2018 June EEAP (ADB) 80 200 31 July 2015–31 July 2020 EHRP (WB) Allocation in US$ million Project period Target GoN/UNDP/UNOPS/CBRI/INTACH USAID direct implementation JICA direct implementation UK-based implementing agent GoN—PMU, PIU and DIU GoN—PMU and PIU Implementation partner Table 7.2 Supporting modalities of the major donor funded reconstruction projects Indian Embassy and Concerned Departments USAID JICA DFID Executing agencies PIU Monitoring 52,335 housing support Capacity dev.—9546 300 schools 26 Quick Impact Projects 1272 livelihood support Foot trails WATSAN schemes Recovery Enrollment support 700 schools 585 km road 300 Govt buildings DRM capacity building • • • • • • (continued) 50,000 houses 70 schools 2 libraries 157 health facilities Harihar Bhawan Balmiki Campus • 13,550 construction professionals trained • Housing grant • Communication • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 55,000 housing units • DRR management Major outputs 7.3 Findings 123 483 2015–2022 Chinese Recons. Project Chinese construction companies and consultants Implementation partner Chinese Embassy Monitoring • Emergency Relief Goods • Ring Road—10 km • Tatopani Frontier Inspection Station • Earthquake Monitoring Network • Durbar High School • Arniko Highway Maintenance • Civil Service Hospital • Basantapur Tower • Medical Support Major outputs Source WB (2015a), WB (n.d.), ADB (2015), DFID (2016), JICA (2015), USAID (2015), Embassy of India (2020), PRC Embassy (2020) Allocation in US$ million Project period Target Table 7.2 (continued) 124 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction 7.3 Findings 125 Table 7.3 Sources of reconstruction financing Funding agencies 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 Total On budget 208 456 1136 772 460 453 381,844 44.00 Nepal government 190 278 653 499 287 272 239,234 27.56 DPs grants 1 45 84 5 0 17 16,205 1.87 DPs loan 17 133 399 267 173 164 126,404 14.56 Off budget 456 992 1335 884 514 315 486,046 56.00 DPs direct grants 244 362 365 51 26 15 113,290 13.05 I/NGO grants 126 352 248 118 31 1 278 722 715 457 299 282,575 32.56 1448 2471 1656 974 732 867,891 100 Own-A/C 86 housing const Total 663 % 90,181 10.39 Amount in US$ million Sources a. National Reconstruction Authority (NRA, CLPIU) database; b. Ministry of Finance, post-earthquake-assistance-portal; c. Ministry of Finance, budget details (red book); d. Ministry of Finance, Development Cooperation Nepal 2015–2020; e. NRA Socio-economic Impact Assessment Survey 2021. Cited from: (NRA 2021b) As shown in Table 7.3, the GoN funded nearly 28% of total reconstruction expenditures. The loan received from the development partners was nearly 15%, and individual households funded nearly 33% of total reconstruction expenditure. The Nepal’s internal sources accounted for more than three fourth of total expenditure. The donors’ grant accounted nearly 12% including bilateral and NGO sources. If the actual allocation is considered as proxy indicator, the World Bank has claimed ownership of reconstruction interventions by allocating 25% more resources than their commitment and 40% more than the pledge amount. They are the largest donor in terms of allocation as well. Although Japan was short of commitment (0.89 commitment: disbursement ratio), the left-over activities will make up the gap. The commitment: disbursement ratio of UK, USA and ADB was 0.79, 0.42 and 0.35, respectively. In terms of absolute disbursement, ADB was one of the largest contributors with 210.46 million USD followed by UK (US$87.07) and USA (US$54.57). 7.3.4 Development Partnership Alignment is one of the most contentious issues and the bone of contention between the government and donors. Reliability of the country system is the backbone of alignment. The reliable country system demands effective planning, management and implementation of reconstruction and development interventions. Sluggish 126 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction implementation, employer’s inaction for sub-standard delivery and tacit policy-level persuasion for approving lowest bidders are some of the contributing factors for the unreliability (Neupane 2020). The development partners, particularly bilateral and NGOs, bring forward these arguments for direct funding. However, it is suspected that development partners bypass the country system not only because of the unreliable country system but sometimes it is used as covert argument for bolstering inputs from the donors’ country of origin. In reality, there are problems on both ends and can be ameliorated only when donors use government system. The weaknesses can be addressed rather efficiently with effective conditionality. Ownership is also inclusive of the capacity development. There was intensive technical support in the project areas of USAID funded reconstruction program implemented by the NSET—Nepal and JICA funded project. The UK supported reconstruction project also incorporated capacity development component. The uncovered settlements from such donor interventions were limited with basic government technical assistance which bred discriminatory feelings. Community’s discriminatory perception breeds anti-government mass sentiment which is a worrying state. Whether aid was tied up to the economic and strategic interest of the donor countries is rather difficult to substantiate. However, the circumstantial evidences demonstrate adequately that the reconstruction aid packages were tied up with other untold objectives. NRA regulated supporting mechanism to all multilateral, bilateral and INGOs (NRA 2016g). Some elements of programmatic approach prevailed between the World Bank and JICA reconstruction projects. Similarly, by pooling resources in WB’s MDTF, four donors: USAID, DFID, Canadian and Swiss Embassies harmonized their approaches following the WB’s norms. From this point of view, the donors’ interventions were harmonized and collectively effective. However, a long and arduous journey is required in harmonization as monitoring missions were not streamlined. Cross-project learning remained nominal. The donor’s comparative advantage could have been utilized more intensively. WB’s comparative advantage in handling fiduciary risk, DFID’s prowess in governance and social inclusion and JICA’s dexterity in technology were not used to the fullest extent. 7.3.5 Focus on Results The entire orientation of the Paris declaration seems to be the programmatic approach which would have allowed to manage results more efficiently. Donors’ support mechanism in reconstruction followed rather projectized supporting various different bits of reconstruction. In addition, the project’s intervention was largely designed by the donors’ themselves considering the comparative advantage of their partners. For example, USAID was engaged with the NSET for a long time which they customized based on NSET’s comparative advantage. The Government of Japan supported reconstruction through both loan and grant resources. Unlike to other loan projects, JICA administered procurement and implementation of the loan component of their own. 7.4 Discussion 127 UK funded project supported local-level planning, leave no one behind, community infrastructure and challenge fund. As procured by the DFID, the Management Contractor was accountable to them including reporting requirements. The WB and ADB funded reconstruction projects followed the government’s reporting requirement as they were procured by the NRA’s Project Implementation Units. Managing results ultimately follows formal accountability rather than wish full thinking. It is almost impossible to streamline reporting system if the implementing partners are engaged by their parent employers. Indian and Chinese direct implementation mechanism created further complexity in managing results. 7.3.6 Accountability The GoN intended to ensure mutual accountability by setting the Development Agency Coordination and Facilitation Committee (DACFC) which comprised with all development partners including NGOs. This entity was also mandated to monitor the reconstruction activities (An Act Made To Provide For Reconstruction of the Earthquake Affected Structures 2015). The ultimate objective was to ensure mutual accountability. However, the DACFC became rather ritualistic platform rather than as a forum of mutual assessment. Almost all reconstruction issues were deliberated and resolved in the bilateral meetings. The DACFC meetings were largely symbolic where NRA would present its progress followed by each donor agencies. As NRA was the government’s SPV formed under office of Prime Minister, there was overwhelming interest from various parliamentary committees including development and technology committee (MR 2016; RW 2021). The NRA issues were tabled and discussed in the parliament which involved a broad range of development partners in NRA’s progress (THT 2016). For mutual accountability, donors provided information but most of the times such information was inadequate and superfluous. On the other hand, the government officials were not keen to learn progress in donor funded directly implemented projects. 7.4 Discussion There are some countries and institutions which exceeded their pledged amount in actual disbursement. Others contributed lesser than pledged and committed amount. And some of the countries never remembered their pledge and commitment. The government’s procedural reliability occupies a greater share of aid effectiveness discourse. 128 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction 7.4.1 Implementation of Reconstruction Projects The WB was the most trusted partner which not only supported the PDNA process but also brought in its world-wide best practices in the implementation stage. The World Bank adopted reimbursement model in housing grant for securing compliance with all its prerequisites. In addition, it mobilized additional human resources through MDTF resources for bolstering government’s capacity. This arrangement ensured compliance, capacitated government personnel and also satisfied World Bank’s requirements. Tentatively, similar route was adopted by the ADB. The Indian assistance had two components: grant and loan. The grant was provided directly to the national treasury. The technical assistance was provided through UNDP, UNOPS, Central Building Research Institute (CBRI)—India and Indian National Trust for Art and Culture (INTACH)—India. The Indian grant component followed somehow World Bank’s route by channeling housing grant through the government system and providing technical assistance through various different specialized agencies. However, the World Bank procured technical assistance support with recommendation of the GoN’s Project Implementation Unit which was not the case with the Indian Embassy procured technical assistance. The real problem was encountered with the loan component. The Government of India channeled loan amount through Axim Bank of India which had a number of stringent covenants that prohibited efficient utilization of these resources: requirement of substantial Indian inputs in goods and services disabled Nepal to use that credit facility (TET 2017). After an arduous bilateral dialog for liberalizing input criteria, some of the resources are used during the post-NRA period. Chinese grant is implemented in turn-key basis where NRA’s role was limited to only facilitate the process. And it is suspected that the regular development initiatives were labeled as reconstruction projects for creating positive impression. The Ring Road, Earthquake Monitoring Network Project, Ariko Highway and Civil Service Hospital are the glaring examples which have more developmental attributes rather than reconstruction. The Nine-Story Basantapur Tower and Durbar High School were only the reconstruction projects. Different donors adopted different approaches toward strengthening systemic weaknesses. The JICA procured the Japanese agency for direct implementation. They sought government’s policy and managerial support only. This approach ensured quality delivery but government’s capacity remained unaffected. Tentatively, similar route was adopted by the UK and USA—implemented parent country-based management vendor which procured local implementing partners. China also followed the similar band wagon but implemented in tightly controlled environment with extremely nominal coordination with NRA. The Government of India channeled funds through the government’s channel and provided technical assistance through UNDP and other Indian vendors. The Indian loan capital proved to be extremely difficult to access as there were a number of conditionalities which was not in coherence with international convention of aid effectiveness which warrants untied aid. 7.4 Discussion 129 The Indian economic interest was pronounced in the Axim Bank administered loan money as they required substantial amount of Indian inputs. Nepal needs to understand the real reason for the absence of Turkey, Sweden, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, Netherlands, Bangladesh and Austria. Although Canada was also absent on the MoF list, they contributed through WB’s MDTF development projects which have not been completed within the planned period and project’s estimated cost increases beyond the acceptable limit. 7.4.2 Nepali’s Systemic Reliability The Nepalese civil service has been suffering major deficiencies including low morale and productivity. Particularly, political environment has been created in such a way that civil servants have to use political influence for their career progression and to secure plum jobs (Shakya 2009). Shakya further continues that no employee is appreciated and rewarded for one’s adherence of code of conduct and ethical values. The civil servants’ abhorrently low productivity is attributed to either their incompetence or their poor motivational level. The frequently changing acts, rules and regulations are equally responsible. In Shakya’s opinion, the pervasive corruption has been rotting the bureaucracy. Ultimately, he concludes that in the absence of a high-level political commitment, the reform in bureaucracy is untenable. Under this status quo scenario for the foreseeable future, the WB’s approach of implementing through the government system with adequate safeguards for securing value for money and minimizing fiduciary risk seems to be the most viable strategy. The present International Development Cooperation Policy—2019 is sensitized with the federalization of the country. In addition, this has attempted to gear foreign assistance toward achieving Sustainable Development Goals and other social inclusion agenda (International Development Cooperation Policy 2019). The policy clearly admitted and acknowledged the dearth of national capacity for implementing development projects. It also welcomes turn-key projects. Such provisions rationalize the project support models of China, USA, UK and Japan. With these arrangements, bolstering national capacity is grossly undermined and such interventions further intensify foreign dependence. Such developmental gifts are not conducive for sustainable development as well. Hence, Nepal needs to take tough decision on this sooner or later that no foreign aid to be accepted which does not engage national system. 7.4.3 Learning from Neighbors Although Nepal is not comparable to India and China in terms of economy, governance and the national level of confidence, it can replicate some of their best practices. India is particularly sensitive to the tied aid (Kumar 2021), and they refrain 130 7 Aid Effectiveness in Nepal’s Post-earthquake Reconstruction from listening donors’ comments on their internal affairs. Secondly, it was simply management hungry arrangement to handle a number of tiny aid packages. Indian strategic decision in 2003 mandates to receive aid from UK, USA, Russia, Germany, Japan and European Union. They accept aid for infrastructure and social sectors only. Another notable policy shift was to prefer multilaterals rather than the bilateral agencies. Bilateral aid agencies are suggested to channel through NGOs or multilateral agencies. Surprisingly, China still receives foreign aid to initiate reforms which otherwise would have blocked by people with vested interest (Brant 2013). Through the foreign aid, the Chinese government intends to infuse dexterity on project management among remote rural denizens. It is rather paradoxical that Indian refusal of tied aid while receiving was reflected in the reconstruction loan for Nepal’s reconstruction. Axim Bank requirement of 75% of goods and service including consultancy services of the contract price would be supplied by seller from India. Remaining 25% goods and services may be procured from outside India (TET 2017). Although this provision decapacitated NRA from using these resources, the Ministry of Finance (MoF) kept on allocating Axim Bank resources under NRA budget heading. Ultimately, NRA had to surrender it. It was chagrin for Nepal as eight donor agencies which pledged and committed reconstruction grant but never returned back. Other government and agencies’ commitment was not realized fully. The situation guides Nepal to reconsider aid policy. It is sensible to work with less but confirmed resources rather than the ballooned false promise. The Indian policy on relying on multilaterals such as WB and ADB also proved to be realistic based on Nepal’s reconstruction experience. Asking petty bilateral agencies to channel resources through multilateral or other NGOs is also well considered policy. Otherwise, the government will need to invest a huge amount of efforts for chasing them. In addition, Indian policy to accepting grant from six countries is rather strategic decision. They intend to maintain good relationship with USA and Russian with whom they have strategic relationship. As a member of the commonwealth nation, India inherently intended to maintain cordial relationship with the United Kingdom. They have substantial trade relationship with Germany, Japan and European Union. From this perspective, Nepal can continue accepting untied aid from India, China, UK, USA, European Union and Japan. Except those countries, all the rest can channelize their resources through INGOs or one of the relevant UN Organizations. Having vastly different context, replicability of Chinese policies has limited scope. 7.5 Conclusions Solidarity of friendly nations and institutions during the most distressful context of the post-earthquake period was encouraging for all affected households, society and the entire country. However, indiscriminate acceptance of grant offer proved to be counterproductive as it spoiled reconstruction planning and also tarnished image of 7.5 Conclusions 131 friendly nations and institutions who could not afford providing promised grant. Based on this experience, Nepal should accept post-disaster support from credible partners after proper bilateral substantiation. Since the World Bank and the Asian Development Bank proved their worthiness in action, Nepal can count on their support in the future as well. Donors’ perpetual question on Nepal’s systemic reliability deserves proper attention which requires a long-term vision. However, having inadequate political commitment for bureaucratic reform, Nepal can continue receiving foreign assistance through government system with adequate safeguard measures for achieving value for money. The Ministry of Finance will need to amend the present International Development Cooperation Policy which may promote provision for channelizing foreign assistance from the unspecified bilateral donors through INGOs or multilateral agencies including the WB, ADB and UN Organizations. Ultimately, Nepal needs to aim to handle post-disaster rescue, relief and reconstruction of its own or at least large part of it. Chapter 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction Toward Localizing Sendai Framework of Action Abstract Localization of the Sendai Framework mandates the formulation of disaster risk reduction policies and act. Against this background, this chapter intended to analyze the National Reconstruction Authority’s contribution toward Sendai Frameworks’ priority action. This study which was based on the secondary sources of information found that the NRA significantly contributed toward understanding the disaster risk through damage assessment and structural integrity assessment of houses and other structures. The authority also played role of a trailblazer in disaster risk governance by piloting and devising functional institutional structure. In addition, the entire NRA’s investment was meant for promoting resilient society and disaster preparedness. However, NRA’s work in progress activities such as structural integrity assessment of heritage monuments and promotion of sustainable integrated settlements with livelihood provisions has to be mended meticulously. Moreover, formation of the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority (NDRRMA) was meant for ensuring disaster risk governance. However, the Government of Nepal (GoN) has to work further on NDRRMA to carve this out as fit for purpose. Keywords Disaster · Resilient · Sendai Framework · Localization 8.1 Introduction The National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) handed over its entire operation after completing 758,793 houses, 7746 schools, 62 integrated settlements, 751 health buildings, 1139 government buildings and 586 heritage monuments. In the process, the NRA innovated a number of construction technologies and piloted numerous approaches for promoting sustainability with disaster resilient construction technology. In this reconstruction process, the NRA implemented with a number of known earthquake resilient technologies and innovated some for mitigating caveats. To initiate earthquake resilient housing reconstruction, the DUDBC published design catalogs (DUDBC 2015). NRA promulgated policies ensured Build Back Better principles which guaranteed earthquake resilience (Earthquake Affected Private Housing Reconstruction Grant Working Procedure—2073 2016). NRA experimented with a © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_8 133 134 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … number of retrofitting technologies and documented systematically (NRA 2021d; NRA 2021l; NRA 2021i). The structural integrity assessment of school buildings will lead toward adopting mitigating measures which will save numerous lives in the event of fatal tremors in the future. The conservation of historic heritage sites through the earthquake resilient technology is an innovative approach which will be a trailblazer for the future conservation. Consequently, NRA promoted amendment of the NBC based on its field based experimentation (Nepal National Building Code NBC: 105:2020; Seismis Designs of Buildings in Nepal 2020). In addition, the NRA generated wealth of knowledge with regard to locational resilience and other socio-economic complexities while resettling nearly 5000 vulnerable households. Moreover, hundreds of other settlements were protected through a number of mitigating measures. The landslide hazard mapping of 11 severely earthquake affected districts will guide the locational decision for settlements. The question is how all these NRA efforts contributed toward the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction. Is Nepal on track toward achieving Sendai Framework’s targets? Where are the gaps and how to proceed further are the glaring questions to grapple with The Sendai Framework (UNISDR 2015) aims to reduce disaster risk and losses in lives, livelihoods and health and in the economic, physical, social, cultural and environmental assets of persons, businesses, communities and countries. For achieving these outcomes, the framework also articulated seven global targets: reducing disaster mortality, affected people, Gross Domestic Product and damage to critical infrastructure. In addition, the framework also emphasized on the disaster risk reduction strategies at national and local level, international cooperation and multihazard early warning system. In order to localize the Sendai Framework, the GoN promulgated the National Policy on Disaster Risk Reduction (MoHA 2075) and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Act (Nepal—Disaster Risk and Management Act, 2074 2017). In addition, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority (NDRRMA) is formed (THT 2019a). The NRA was obviously there with focus on post-Gorkha earthquake reconstruction. Moreover, the Nepal’s constitution has an explicit clause of natural disaster risk reduction, early warning, rescue and relief and rehabilitation as state’s directive principle, policies and responsibilities (Constitution of Nepal 2015). The issue of disaster risk is the joint responsibility of the federal, state and local governments. The Ministry of Home Affairs (MoHA) formulated disaster plan of action (MoHA 2018b) stipulated six indicators and 32 sub-indicators with baseline of 2015 and short-, medium- and long-term targets. However, what are the achievements by 2020 are not publicized so far. Based on the 2019’s Disaster Report and other available statistics, Nepal has been lagging behind dangerously (MoHA 2019). The action plan intended to lower down annual disaster mortality rate from 900 in 2015 to 400 in 2020. However, it rather increased in FY 2017/018 and reached to 900. In 2019/20, it reached to 13,760 which could be an outlier caused by the COVID-19. The traffic accident induced mortality rose from 2000 in 2015 to 2719 in 2019 (NT 2021), 8.3 Findings 135 whereas target was 1700. The number of affected families decreased from 132,000 in 2015 to 126,730 (CBS 2021), whereas the target was of 110,000. In terms of the economic loss, it seems around 1% as GDP for 2019/20 was US$33.66 billion and economic loss was US$0.33 billion. The short-term target was to reduce 0.5%. The statistics reveal that Nepal has not achieved targets set by the action plan. The more intriguing question is with regard to the owner of this action plan as none of the organizations took initiative to present progress. Under these circumstances, this study intends to analyze institutional framework and accountability mechanism for delivering the action plans. Secondly, it also analyses NRA’s contribution and best practices with respect to each action points and identifies future way forward. 8.2 Methods This chapter has mainly drawn information from the secondary sources which includes Nepal’s attempts to localize the Sendai Framework and particularly achievements against Nepal’s Disaster Action Plan. Internalization of the action plan has to be reflected in the documents of the respective agencies. NRA’s contribution toward the disaster action plan were collected from various implementing agencies which include NRA responsible officers and branches, the CLPIUs—Education, GMALI, Building and DoA. The collected materials are tabulated in a matrix for analysis. 8.3 Findings NRA worked for laying foundation stones on various facades of disaster resilience: private houses including resilient settlements, heritage monuments and schools which introduced innovations toward resilience. Other sectors such as public buildings, hospitals, water supply schemes and hydropower projects also were reconstructed complying with all disaster-related standards which are not elaborated in this analysis. 8.3.1 Private Houses This section includes damage assessment survey, housing designs, Technical Inspection Guidelines and retrofitting. A. Damage assessment survey NRA conducted housing survey of more than 1 million households (NRA 2021c). The survey questionnaire included detailed information on damage assessment of residential buildings: housing condition, foundation, house type, plan configuration, building damage assessment and geotechnical risk. Out of total 2,287,719 households 136 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … in 31 earthquake affected districts, 46% households were surveyed and 36% were declared as household beneficiaries (CBS 2012). NRA issued house completion certificate to all 800,000 plus beneficiary households. This has created a largest housing database ever recorded in Nepal’s history. B. Housing designs The concept of building code was initiated after 1988 Udayapur Nepal earthquake of 6.7 Richter scale (ML ) on 21 August 1988 (Parajuli et al. 2000). After witnessing fatality of 721 people, injury of nearly 6553 people and destruction of 66,541 private houses, the then His Majesty’s Government of Nepal initiated the “Earthquake Affected Areas Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Project (EAARRP).” The project was supported by the WB and UNDP (WB 2010). Under the EAARRP’s auspices, the UNDP provided technical assistance for drafting NBC. Other components included seismic hazard mapping and risk assessment, and development of alternative building materials and technologies. The building code received the GoN’s cabinet seal on 28 July 2003 (Nepal National Building Code 2003). The Nepal National Building Code: NBC 105: 1994 specifies the principles of ductile seismic design, design methods and load combinations and analytical methods. Other included elements are seismic weight, vibrating period and earthquake induced deformation. Seismic coefficient, modal response and design requirements for secondary structural elements are also enunciated. Despite NBC’s approval, the NBC’s implementation did not gather momentum. Only a few municipalities mainstreamed NBC such as the Lalitpur Metropolitan City (LMC). Despite GoN’s executive order in 2004, it remained up to the municipal authority to enforce it. Having inadequate technical capacity and required resources, the NBC’s implementation has been hobbling (Arendt 2017). Ardent et al. (2017) further argue that the country was embroiled in civil war when NBC was conceived and approved. Furthermore, due to the transitional period from monarchy to republic federal state, Nepal received the local governments only in 2017 (Pandeya 2019). Against this anomaly, NRA revolutionized the housing construction not only in urban areas but also the rural areas by introducing earthquake resistant housing technology by legitimizing the DUDBC promulgated design catalog for reconstruction of earthquake resistant houses (DUDBC 2015). The catalogs are basically prepared for rural housing and are based on the NBC (Nepal National Building Code: NBC 206:2015 2015). This catalog with illustrative intent emancipated 17 designs, drawings, material quantity and cost estimates including stone masonry in cement mortar (SMC), brick masonry in cement mortar (BMC), stone masonry in mud mortar (SMM) and brick masonry in mud mortar (BMM). The second volume of design catalog incorporates non-conventional construction methodologies and materials such as hollow blocks, compressed soil blocks, stone and mud construction with containment reinforcement technology and steel and timber structures (DUDBC 2017). 8.3 Findings 137 C. Technical inspection NRA did not leave the households after handing over the housing designs but engaged through technical inspection for ensuring earthquake resilient house construction. The Private Housing Reconstruction Technical Inspection Guidelines (NRA 2016c) covered site selection techniques, housing shape, construction materials, foundation, vertical member, plinth, walls, openings, roofing and reinforcement details. The technical inspections were tied up with the housing grant tranches for ensuring compliance to building standards. All these covenants were directly drawn from the respective covenants of the NBC. However, it had to be a living document accommodating field-level unforeseen complexities which necessitated to amend continually. d. Retrofitting Strengthening existing house to the earthquake resilient standard is referred as retrofitting. The PDNA appreciated the retrofitting concept and provisioned for 256,697 houses with financial implication of NPR 31 billion (US$267 Million) (NPC 2015a). However, the GoN announced a single grant of NPR 200,000 (US$2000) for housing reconstruction. Realizing the necessity, the NRA’s sixth steering committee meeting on 24 June 2016 took a decision to separate out full house reconstruction with retrofitting (NRA 2020). All Grade 2 Major and Grade 3 Minor category houses were eligible for retrofitting. From Grade 3 Major, Grade 4 and Grade 5 categories were eligible for house reconstruction. Based on the defined category, there was a caseload of 78,000 houses categorized as retrofitting. Based on the detailed damage assessment, the NRA identified more than 78,000 houses in need of retrofitting. Although NRA could not make much stride on retrofitting, it developed entire technical packages based on its experience of around 1000 retrofitting houses. It produced experience paper on retrofitting, manuals, roster of trained human resources and norms for rate analysis (Nepal 2021; NRA 2021i; NRA 2021l; NRA 2021d). There are several arguments in favor of retrofitting. They are cost effectiveness, preservation of cultural heritage, earthquake resilience and adequate space for the households. The psychological and emotional attachment with the house is another factor. All these factors are pronounced in a number of studies (Pyakurel 2018). Sthapit (Sthapit and Sthapit 2021) worked on the reinforced concrete structure and generated convincing and satisfactory results. E. Geohazard resilience Roback et al. (2018) found that the 25 April 2015 Mw 7.8 Gorkha earthquake and its aftershocks triggered about 25,000 landslides over an area of more than 30,000 km2 in the Greater and Lesser Himalaya of Nepal and China. Rosser et al. (2021) revalidated Roback’s proposition mentioning 20,000 Gorkha Nepal earthquake triggered landslides. Rosser et al. argue with their detailed time-series data that the pre-existing and new landslides occurred as a consequence of the earthquake. Among them, the MoHA reported only 1200 landslides. For preparing ground for interventions, NRA initiated detailed geological study starting from December 2016 in collaboration with the Department of Mining and 138 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … Geology (DMG), Department of Soil Conservation and Watershed Management (DSCWM) and the Department of Water Induced Disaster Management (DWIDP). Out of 1102 investigated settlements, 463 were defined as Category I which did not require any intervention. The Category II of 340 settlements required modest interventions. The 299 Category III settlements were required to resettle (NRA 2021m). NRA collected data through a questionnaire which included settlement information and position of geohazard. Problem statement included problem of flooding, landslide information and its impacts and geotechnical aspects of landslides. There was a provision of geological and geomorphological investigation of settlement and surroundings. Based on all these parameters, the team of investigators would recommend for actions. The outcomes of these extensive surveys would be to conclude whether the settlement is safe without intervention, requires some intervention or requires evacuation. In general, stability of slope is governed by slope angle, geology and moisture condition (Rice 1977). In terms of slope angle, any land having slope greater than 30° is considered unsafe (Standard for Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Housing Construction, 2072 2015). It is considered that convex curvatures of slope are more stable as they disperse the runoff more down the slope, whereas concave slopes concentrate water and cause impoundment (SĖ§ensoy and Kara 2014). Soft clay needs avoiding. Presence of surface and sub-surface water requires proper drainage management. Pre-existed landslides, localized faults and cracks and flooded areas require precaution. In summary, landslide vulnerability should be defined based on slope angle and shape, soil type, rock type, structure and strength, discontinuities orientation, drainage condition and site history including landslide and flooding. NRA not only customized methodology for assessing landslide induced vulnerability but also relocated in safe locations. All vulnerable households of 299 settlements were resettled in safe locations. Moreover, 106 integrated settlements are in various stages of development (NRA 2021e). Based on working procedures, NRA developed land based either on guided land development, land readjustment and site and services. The feasibility of the location is assessed based on physical, financial, social, economic, managerial, environmental and cultural aspects. However, the main focus is on geological and geographical feature of the land which is mainly scrutinized (NRA 2019a). Despite emphasis on earthquake resilience, the NRA’s present approach witnessed some scope for further improvement. Shrestha and Bhatta (2021) argued that resettlers’ livelihood concern has to be addressed in addition to the shelter. At present, NRA addresses shelter issue but livelihood is largely unattended. Agriculture is the mainstay for a majority of rural households which needs sizeable plot for their subsistence. However, the NRA rule allowed up to the limit of NRs 200,000 (US$2000) for land grant (NRA 2017b) which can buy 100–300 m2 of land which is just sufficient for constructing a house. Even constructing cattle shed is challenging. The households are detached from their original settlement which creates rather precarious situation for their livelihood. Employment is not available in the rural context. 8.3 Findings 139 In addition, unavailability of land in mountainous district is another formidable challenge (Dahal 2019). All lands suitable for homestead and cultivation are occupied; the remaining lands are not suitable for the integrated settlements. The displaced settlers of the Khalte settlement, Rasuwa district have been still waiting for reasonable settlement (DK 2019). Further to this, NRA with support from the Department for International Development (DFID) conducted a time-series landslide study which revealed how landsliding has evolved since the earth-quake, and how it has impacted those living in the affected area (Rosser et al. 2021). Rosser et al. manually mapped landslides from freely available optimal satellite imagery (Landsat and Sentinel-2) between 2014 and 2019 with two image periods before and after the monsoon each year and one immediately postearthquake. Based on these satellite imageries, a numerical modeling was conducted for identifying future potential reactivation and runout of landslides and debris flows. Based on the findings of such studies, the landslide prone area can be avoided for the settlements. If the existing housing stock is at risk, such houses can be evacuated and resettled in the safe locations. 8.3.2 Heritage Monuments Immediately after 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake, the DoA promulgated the Basic Directives on Earthquake Affected Heritage Conservation and Reconstruction— 2072 and Manual for Conservation and Reconstruction of Earthquake Affected Monuments—2073. These directives opened up possibility of employing nontraditional construction materials for the conservation of heritage monuments. The engineering requirements of soil testing were ingrained. Diagonal planking was allowed for floor’s shear resistance. Earthen floors could be replaced with wooden planks and oiled brick. Vertical posts have to be erected on corners and façade. Plinth, sill and lintel bands were allowed for stone structures. Steel plates were allowed to tie up vertical cracks horizontally. All wooden structures can be replaced. Similarly, Rana Palace’s wooden structures can be replaced with steel truss and red oxide coated CGI sheet can be used as roofing materials. The dilapidated monuments can be strengthened with modern construction materials and technique while maintaining external appearance. All the provisions were implemented in the restoration of heritage monuments. The partially damaged temples of Gopinath, Rameshwor, Badri Narayan and Jetha Ganesh Deo Chhen had diagonal cracks. Disintegrated foundation was replaced. Wooden structural framing and stainless chicken wire mesh were used for further strengthening (NRA 2021m). Similarly, Surkhi mortar replaced the mud mortar and iron nails replaced the wooden and bamboo nails. One of the examples of wooden reinforcement is illustrated in Fig. 8.1. The Swayambhu Stupa’s horizontal and vertical cracks were repaired by using epoxy grouting method which is graphically presented in Figs. 8.2, 8.3 and 8.4. The damaged Anantapur temple was restored which is shown in Fig. 8.4. 140 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … Fig. 8.1 Timber reinforcement arrangement of heritage monuments Fig. 8.2 Swayambhunath Stupa’s cracks These illustrations are only representative samples. All nearly 1000 heritage monuments were restored one of the techniques prescribed by the basic directives and manual (DoA 2015). The Rana Palaces’ neo classical structures are significantly different from the middle-aged architecture and construction technology. NRA renovated four Rana heritage buildings: Singha Durbar, Babar Mahal, Keshar Mahal and Bal Mandir (NRA 2021e). Motra et al. (2021) conducted structural analysis of the Shital Niwas, which typically represents Rana Palaces. Like all Rana Palaces, the square-shaped building has 8.3 Findings 141 Fig. 8.3 Anantapur temple’s damaged foundation Plan of Anantapur Elevation of Anantapur Section of Anantapur Fig. 8.4 Plan, elevation and section of Anantapur temple a central open courtyard. The 750 mm thick brick masonry walls reduced gradually as the building gains height and reaches to 500 mm at the third floor. Originally, mud mortared building was renovated with lime Surkhi mortar after 1934 earthquake. Having the load bearing structure, walls transfer gravity and seismic load to ground, and floors act as flexible diaphragm. The walls are covered with 20–25 mm thick lime Surkhi (Bajra) mortar and inside with mud mixed rice husk plaster. The flooring system comprises of timber joists supported by steel I-beam girders, masonry jack arches supported on steel I-beams and RCC slab on steel I-beams. The CGI sheeted roof is supported by pinewood rafters and battens. The major halls are decorated 142 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … with artistic carvings and ceilings. Sal wood (Shorea robusta) is used for doors and window frames and Sal or pine wood is used for shutters. The entire building has rested upon 2.45 m. deep and 1.85 m wide foundation structure. Ground floor is suspended over air tunnels for safeguarding floor with damp. Such Rana Palaces were retrofitted either with metal strip in inner and outer walls or with carbon laminate and glass fiber in outer walls and metal strip in inner walls. Carbon laminate and glass fiber wrapping techniques were recommended for the outside wall to preserve the traditional architecture and heritage value (NRA 2021e). Micro-piling was used for increasing bearing capacity, and lime Surkhi mortar replaced the mud mortar. In addition, structural anchoring of beam and joist was implemented. The Corinthian pillars were stiffened with metal angle section in its base vertical strips which were provided to case the circular pillar. The low strength masonry sections were wrapped with GI wire mesh. Too long wooden beams were replaced with MS “I” sections. In Bal Mandir, the building’s columns were jacketed with vertical steel bars. Arches were protected with steep strips and anchored them with vertical and horizontal lintel bands. Diagonal bands were provided between rafters and were connected with roof bands with steel strips. Gravel piles were provided around the building for safeguarding against liquefaction. Similarly, the Babar Mahal was retrofitted with carbon laminate and horizontal glass fiber on outer walls and MS plate has been used for inner walls. Micro-piling was introduced for strengthening foundation. The reconstruction of Balgopaleshwor temple was the most controversial during the NRA’s stint (Bajracharya 2020a). The crux of controversy involved two different issues. The first was with the construction technology, and second was with method. The Kathmandu Metropolitan City intended to use RCC structures for the reconstruction which was vehemently opposed by general public as it did not appreciate heritage international convention. Secondly, whether to follow immediate past structure which was collapsed or to resurrect the original structure was another bone of contention. Originally, Pratap Malla constructed the structure with the Granthakut architecture which was changed during the Rana regime and reconstructed as Gumbaz style. After a protracted debate, it was ultimately decided to follow the Granthakut style. However, how to reconstruct in the earthquake resilient manner was another challenge to grapple with. Ultimately, the structure was further strengthened with internal timber structure and internal horizontal and vertical bands. 8.3.3 School and Educational Institutions The 6.7 Richter scale (ML ) Udayapur Earthquake of August 1988 inflicted damage of NRs. 4.2 billion (US$170 million) covering 31 eastern and central Nepal. More than 2000 poorly bonded, stone walled schools were destroyed (WB 1989). The WB included earthquake resilient design elements in the reconstruction. However, the knowledge seems to be limited to the project. 8.3 Findings 143 Kandel et al. (2004) mentioned that the Kathmandu Valley Earthquake Management Project (KVERMP) found the entire sample of 1100 school buildings in the Kathmandu Valley was not earthquake resilient. A series of interventions took place after these diagnostics. Another follow-up study was carried out in Lamjung and Nawalparasi districts (Dhungel et al. 2012) where 1381 building units from 580 schools were surveyed. All of them were found vulnerable due to their construction methodology and workmanship. The Nepal Safer Schools Program (NSSP) was one of the most fundamental programs for enhancing school’s resilience which was initiated after the 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake. The program was implemented in cooperation with the ADB, JICA, the UNICEF, the USAID, the UKAid and the Australian Embassy in Nepal (WB 2015b). This US$1.5 million project Development of the Structural Integrity and Damage Assessment (SIDA) methodology intended to inspect 19,170 school buildings of 5768 schools and to develop a web-based MIS platform. It also intended to facilitate implementation of various donor funded projects including USAID (US$10 million); ADB (US$78 million), JICA (US$112 million), Government of India (US$150 million) and Government of China. The preliminary findings have revealed that 50% buildings are structurally vulnerable and 20% have collapsed completely. This study has to be replicated all across the country which will create a comprehensive investment portfolio. For further strengthening knowledge base, NRA conducted shake table test on the four School Type Designs (Ali and Naveed 2019): Type Design 1 (SM_RC): semidressed stone masonry in cement stabilized mud, mortar with reinforced concrete (RC) band, splints and Galvanized Iron (GI) containment mesh on wall surfaces; Type Design 2 (SM_Gabion): semi-dressed stone masonry in mud mortar with GI gabion band and containment mesh on wall surfaces; Type Design 3 (CSEB_RC): cement stabilized earth brick (CSEB) in cement stabilized mud mortar with RC bands and vertical bars at wall junctions and jambs; and Type Design 4 (SM_Timber): semidressed stone masonry in mud mortar with timber bands and GI containment mesh on wall surfaces. Ali and Naveed concluded that maintaining integrity of low strength masonry (LSM) is indispensable. They indicated need of codal provisions of the building standards. With respect to releasing seismic energy, LSM is superior than the reinforcement concrete which is the significant advantage over RCC structure. However, the LSM’s strength capacity cannot be enhanced substantially due to limitation of mortar and masonry units. In conclusion, Ali and Naveed maintain that if LSM building’s integrity could be maintained, it can survive very strong shaking. Based on the recommendation of this shake table test, CLPIU Education promulgated Model School Design 1 which is implemented in all remote settlements in all 32 earthquake affected districts (Type 1 School Building Design 2019). The shake table test’s recommendations will be instrumental for amending Nepal Building Codes. There are 30 various types of school designs which are prepared fully complying with earthquake resilient construction technology (CLPIU-Edu 2021). 144 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … 8.3.4 Other Structures NRA implemented a number of other structures as well such as public buildings and hospitals. However, all of these structures are implemented by the governmental agencies where each construction units are designed as per approved national codes (Nepal National Building Code Seismic Design of Buildings in Nepal 2020). All schools, colleges, assembly buildings, police stations, water works and towers, radio and television facilities, telephone exchanges and transmission facilities are designed with the importance factor of 1.25. All hospitals, fire stations, police headquarters and power stations are categories as Importance Class III with importance factor of 1.5. The importance factor is used by the international seismic design codes for increasing the structural design loads. It was found that overall reduction of 50–60% in damage index can be achieved by increasing the importance value of 1–2. No seismic resilient codes have been developed for roads, water supply and sanitation schemes’ linear structures. Large-scale structures such as hydropower projects and bridges are designed considering the expected earthquake tremor. 8.4 Discussion In what way, the NRAs interventions contributed to achieving Sendai Framework’s targets and what further initiatives are required for making progress toward substantial reduction of disaster risk and losses in lives, livelihoods in the economic, physical, social, cultural and environmental assets of persons, businesses and communities (UNDRR 2015). The Sendai Framework further mandates all the national governments including Nepal to prevent new and reduce existing disaster risk through the implementation of integrated and inclusive economic, structural, legal, social, health, cultural, educational, environmental, technological, political and institutional measures that prevent and reduce hazard exposure and vulnerability to disaster preparedness for response and recovery and thus strengthen resilience. For this, the Sendai Framework has set priority areas: understanding disaster risk, strengthening disaster risk governance to manage disaster risk, investing in disaster risk reduction for resilience and enhancing disaster preparedness for effective response and to “Build Back Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and reconstruction. This section mainly deals with NRA’s contribution toward the Sendai Framework’s priority areas which will set ground for the areas which deserve synchronized and coherent efforts of governmental and civil society organizations. In addition, general public, academia and private sector entities will have also shared responsibilities. 8.4 Discussion 145 8.4.1 Understanding the Disaster Risk The MoHA’s Disaster Risk Reduction National Strategic Plan of Action has identified risk related to road accident, earthquake, landslide, flood, snowstorm, avalanche, glacial lake outburst and fire as priority actions for assessing risk. Having mandate of the earthquake, NRA implemented substantive activities on the earthquake risk. The damage assessment survey of more than 1 million private houses has laid a solid foundation on which the local governments can build on for creating housing database. This survey covers almost half of the total houses in 32 earthquake affected districts and more than 16% in overall Nepal. This proven database can be customized by the local governments for developing their housing database. For geohazard assessment, NRA’s field investigation of earthquake-impacted vulnerable settlements can be replicated. This assessment was mainly focused on the earthquake triggered landslides. This assessment should be supplemented with the NRA modeling for forecasting future landslides. Both tools need to feed the municipal-level land use plan which reveals comprehensive overview of geohazard in the given municipality. Although NRA gained extensive experience in the heritage monuments, the systematic integrity assessment drive has not begun in this sector. This sector is far more complicated than other modern structures. These structures which were created over the period of last hundreds of years have different construction materials and technology. Each individual element is invaluable. The archeological guidelines mandate that all of them need to be reinstated precisely with some flexibility in unavoidable circumstances. The Department of Archeology’s present manual and guidelines do not address the challenges currently faced by the heritage sector. In addition, the heritage monuments have not been inventoried. In the heritage sector, first of all ownership by type of heritage monuments has to be grappled with. The respective owner has to prepare a detailed inventory including structural and material details. Also, photography of each artifact is required. This inventory will also need to describe structural details and required intervention. In the similar fashion, the structural integrity assessment of school, hospitals and public buildings created basis for strengthening. The Nepal’s constitution (Constitution of Nepal 2015) has bestowed responsibility of different hierarchy of facilities to different echelons of governments. The accountable agency has to conduct structural integrity assessment of all facilities under their responsibility. With proactive initiative of the MoUD, other sectoral line agencies such as Ministry of Health, Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (MoEST) have to launch assessment drive in close collaboration with the local governments. The assessment process can be phased or incremental which will create environment for gradual implementation as well. 146 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … 8.4.2 Strengthening Disaster Risk Governance The GoN conceived the NDRRMA as a nucleus for disaster risk governance as it is mandated to formulate national policy and implement them. It is also mandated to strengthen federal, provincial and local governments. Given the GoN’s hierarchical structure, the NDRRMA will face a herculean challenge to implement disaster plans through other line Ministries. Not being able to report progress against disaster action plan could have resulted due to this complication. As it stands, it is formed as an advisory body rather than the delivery machine. NRA adopted rather pragmatic approach in strengthening the disaster governance. It formed the Central Level Project Implementation Units under the generic line agencies: Urban Development, Education and Local Development. The DoA was the implementing agency in its own right. The initial CLPIU’s accountability oriented toward their respective line Ministries had to be readjusted toward NRA as it contravened with bureaucratic principle of synchronized line of command and functional delivery. However, all CLPIUs were headed by the respective Ministries’ generic cadres which was intended to continue NRA’s institutional memory. While working with NRA, each agency was exposed to tools and techniques for delivering within time and resource constraints. In addition, NRA also engaged with the local governments intrinsically. Actually, local governments were bedrocks for concluding beneficiary agreements which was the starting point for the housing reconstruction. In addition, NRA deputed engineers for technical assistance to the local governments. They were also engaged in grievance handling. In addition to facilitating NRA’s mandates, NRA intended to strengthen the local governments for handling such post-earthquake reconstruction activities. The GoN has to build on NRA laid foundation. The local governments need to streamline disaster resilience in their development intervention. In addition, disaster preparedness and post-disaster reconstruction are also of local government’s responsibilities. The present disaster-related challenges have been exacerbated by the climate change inflicted phenomena. This scenario demands paradigm shift in approach. The NDRRMA’s present institutional set up under a Ministry limits its effectiveness. It is legitimate argument that the MoHA needs to lead for rescue and relief operation. However, capacity development and preparedness activities require additional leverage which can be gained with the institutional structure under the office of Prime Minister. 8.4.3 Investing on Disaster Risk Resilience NRA’s total outlay of nearly US$4 billion was meant for disaster resilience. Particularly, all private houses which occupied half of total investment directly contributed to the reconstruction of more than 800,000 houses. Through masons’ hands on training 8.4 Discussion 147 and generated awareness initiatives, all 2.3 million households in the earthquake affected districts benefitted. Indirectly, all 5.6 million households were exposed to earthquake resilient technology nationwide. There are some additional interventions which NRA could not take forward considerably. One of them was introduction of housing insurance. Had there been housing insurance, the government liability would be decreased drastically. On the other hand, earthquake victims’ predicament would have been lessened as they would receive substantially higher amount from the insurance company. NRA initiated discussion around this but it could not be conclusive. In future, this agenda has to be picked up again. NRA encountered a lacuna in retrofitting as not more than 1000 households were retrofitted out of 78,000 cases. At the initial stage, poor technological understanding was the barrier, and later on, ability to communicate was the issue. However, NRA has prepared technological and institutional basis for retrofitting which has to be upscaled as there are compelling logics behind except for row housing which remained unresolved so far. As load calculation gets extremely complex due to contiguous multiple row houses, a robust research is required for locating convincing solutions. Last but not the least, NRA’s policy framework could not capture the urban core housing issues for which appropriate investment models are essential. NRA piloted with 106 integrated settlements with total outlay of NRs. 1461.9 million (US$12.23 million). The objectives were to resettle the earthquake triggered landslide affected households and to consolidate scattered households in remote rural areas where service delivery is challenging. However, these settlements have yielded mixed results. On the positive side, these consolidated settlements have facilitated effective service delivery such as health, education and security facilities. Inhabitants’ social cohesiveness has also enhanced considerably. However, limited land does allow them to sustain their livelihood. Having agricultural skill base combined with livestock, almost all rural dwellers require sizeable plot for farming and rearing cattle which is practically not possible in NRA provided plot of around 100–150 m2 . Based on this experience, the future policy has to be shaped up. Educational institutions, health facilities, government and security buildings are grouped under separate categories for accounting purpose. However, the fundamental attributes of all these structures are identical for which NRA allocated NRs. 167 billion (US$1398.3 million). All of those buildings constructed under NRA’s premises are earthquake resilient. Not only the project technicians were exposed with the disaster resilient design elements but also the consultants, contractors, user committees and the construction workers have gained familiarity with the indispensable structural elements. Having disseminated knowledge to the entire industry, the replication is expected to smoothened up. Having an investment of NRs. 50.06 billion (US$419.30 million), the heritage sector’s traction in terms of investment is quite significant. Some structures under this allocation will be getting implemented next 2–3 years’ time period. However, the NRA’s investment is miniscule in terms of overall requirement as systematic maintenance regime in the heritage sector is yet to be introduced. This sector deserves comprehensive long-term planning and resource allocation for conserving Nepal’s rich architectural and historical identity. 148 8 Contribution of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Reconstruction … NRA also reconstructed other infrastructure such as roads, water supply and irrigation schemes, landslide protection works and memorial statues. The total outlay was NR. 17 billion (US$143 million). However, all of these structures’ design standards were not revisited during NRA’s lifetime. Consequently, all structures were constructed with the pre-existing design standards and norms. With NRA’s experience and empirical-based evidence in disaster science, the design codes of all infrastructures need revisiting. 8.4.4 Disaster Preparedness Disaster preparedness was not directly mandated to NRA as it includes an effective disaster response, early warning system, communication, search and rescue. However, establishing “Build Back Better” was one of the formidable contributions toward disaster preparedness. The present challenge is to internalize these best practices in the generic government system. The Disaster Risk Reduction National Strategic Plan of Action (MoHA 2018a) mandates mainly MoUD for ensuring “Build Back Better” approach. There are three facades of this target: the appropriateness of land, process of resettlement and the robustness of structure. One of the major intervention with regard to the appropriateness of land was the “Basic Construction Standards on Settlement Development, Urban Planning and Housing Construction—2072 (MoUD 2015). However, it is urban focused. Experience shows that the rural areas’ vulnerability is much higher than the urban settlements. Urban areas’ vulnerability draws immediate attention of policy and decision makers which creates conducive environment for preparedness activities. Secondly, the Department of Mining and Geology (DoMG) has prepared Engineering and Environmental Geological Maps for some selected areas (DoMG 1998). These maps have not entered in the mandatory housing approval process (MoUD 2015) even for the areas where maps are available. However, resilience remains unattended until the availability of maps and professional enforcement of them which has a number of policy-level repercussions such as ability and will of government to relocate vulnerable people in safe locations, livelihood of the migrated households, utility of abandoned land, etc. Process of resettlement is another challenging aspect. Normally, land is extremely scarce in the mountainous region and habitable land is privately owned already requiring eminent domain which is politically risky proposition. Additionally, the vulnerable people refrain from moving to distant location as they naturally possess nostalgia with their milieu. The third factor relates to the housing structural elements which is contingent on the building permit system (BPS) and enforcement of it. The BPS prevails only in some municipalities which means it has to propagate not only in the municipalities but also to the rural municipalities. Affordability of local governments and availability of technical human resources are prerequisite. Irrespective of technical realities, 8.5 Conclusion 149 if country’s aspiration is for resilience, BPS has to be implemented and enforced nationwide. For school and hospital buildings, the local beneficiaries have to manage land. Owing unavailability of land, they provide egregious land which requires horrendous amount of resources for development sometimes exceeding prime area land cost. Functionality and safety still remain questionable. The Ministries develop prototype designs for constructing infrastructures nationwide, for example, school buildings, health centers, etc. However, these prototype designs and construction materials do not appreciate local needs and available resources. As heritage monuments require case-specific strengthening, the en masse “Build Back Better” solutions are irrelevant. 8.5 Conclusion In addition to reconstructing earthquake damaged infrastructures, NRA’s contribution toward localizing the Sendai Framework was formidable. It laid foundation in resilient housing, public buildings and heritage sector. However, sustainability of NRA’s intervention will be achieved only when the government line agencies streamline NRA’s best practices in their implementation modus operandi. Functional resettlement policy, enactment and enforcement of building permit system in all local governments and introducing incentive mechanism for retrofitting of private houses are crucial for creating resilient society. Inventorization and structural integrity assessment and case-specific strengthening interventions are essential for proper conservation of heritage monuments. Continuing NRA initiated structural integrity assessment followed by strengthening interventions and compulsory usage of local construction materials are some of the immediate action points for the public building sector. Chapter 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction in Global Context Abstract The NRA’s delivery within six years’ time period amidst political transition and perilous COVID-19 pandemic context has been acclaimed nationally and internationally. However, Nepal’s performance vis-a-vis other country has not been assessed systematically. For mitigating this knowledge gap, this chapter compared Nepal’s destruction and achievements with other seven earthquake affected countries: India, Pakistan, Haiti, Indonesia, China, New Zealand and Japan. All information was collected from the secondary sources. Comparator variables were magnitude of destruction, reconstruction organization, period and cost. Nepal wrapped up reconstruction only next to China and India. Moreover, Nepal implemented the world largest management hungry owner driven approach. Avoiding complacency, Nepal must initiate next journey of resilience by complying with building codes including private houses, schools and health posts. Other heritage monuments and public buildings such as hospitals and schools also must be earthquake resilient all across the country. Urban renewal and resettlement along with pervasive housing insurance are other crucial agenda to take forward. All these paradigm shifting agenda will be only viable under a powerful national institution in collaboration with the sub-national-level governments. Keywords Reconstruction · Global · Comparison · Long-term strategy 9.1 Introduction The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake of 7.8 Richter scale (ML ) killed 8970 lives and injured 22,300 people. The tremor triggered devastation reached to US$7 billion. The earthquake affected 38% of population and 35% of total land area. The PDNA estimated 755,549 houses were damaged fully or partially (NPC 2015a). Similarly, 1197 health facilities; 7553 schools; 415 public buildings; 216 security buildings; and 920 heritage monuments were obliterated. After five and half years, the NRA disbursed third installment to 84.77% of total beneficiaries of 829,667 households. Progress in school, government buildings is around 90%. Health and heritage seem to be laggard with just above 60% achievements. With this, NRA proclaimed outstanding success at global standard © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_9 151 152 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction … (NRA 2021n) which is not well substantiated. Against this background, this chapter intended to test NRA’s claim with respect to other sampled counties. Secondly, it is aimed to derive best practices from the comparator countries. This planet has witnessed deadly earthquakes in its recorded history. The 1950 Assam-Tibet earthquake of 8.6 Richter scale (ML ) was one of the largest jolts in the Hindu Kush Himalayan Region (GNI 2021). In addition to killing 1500 people, it triggered massive avalanches blocking river course which led to insurmountable deluge washing away all valley floor settlements in downstream. The 2004 Sumatra Indonesia earthquake of 9.1 Richter scale (ML ), the third largest earthquake in the world, killed 227,898 people. The earthquake induced Tsunami was the largest of its kind. The 2005 Northern Sumatra, Indonesia tremblor of 8.6 Richter scale (ML ) killed more than 1000 people in Nias—Northern Sumatra. The 1965 Alaska tremor of 8.7 Richter scale (ML ) induced relatively nominal impact due to the remote location. The 1906 off the coast Ecuador earthquake of 8.8 Richter scale (ML ) triggered Tsunami killed 500–1500 people. The 2010 Offshore Maule, Chile earthquake of 8.8 Richter scale (ML ) killed 500 people in addition to devastating houses and infrastructures. This quake occurred after a 7 Richter scale (ML ) Port-Au-Prince earthquake in Haiti which killed more than 200,000 people. The 9 Richter scale (ML ) 1952 Kamchatka Krai Russia earthquake induced 13 m high Tsunami which rocked the Crescent City, California, USA. Despite releasing sheer energy size, no lives were lost and caused nominal property damage. The 2011 Tohoku earthquake of 9 Richter scale (ML ) killed 20,000 people and damaged infrastructure including some nuclear reactors. The 1964 Alaska earthquake of 9.2 Richter scale (ML ) took 128 lives and caused economic loss of US$311 million. A massive tremblor of 9.5 Richter scale (ML ) struck Chile, the largest earthquake ever recorded, in 1960 which killed 1655 people (USGS 2021). In addition to those deadly earthquakes, hundreds of tremors jolt the earth in different parts of the world which cause varying degree of fatality and destruction. The earthquake prone countries have to invest a huge number of resources for rescue, relief and reconstruction. Moreover, such incidences affect other economic activities adversely. Agricultural crop production falls with broken irrigation canal, and production of industrial outputs gets interrupted due to collapsed industrial shed. Such cataclysmic events not only destroy assets created during hundreds of years but also guzzle nation’s resources which otherwise would have used for progressing ahead. The cardinal sectors such as health and education deprive from required resources. Developing countries are thwarted from attaining Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and hence, poverty reduction turns out to be pipe dreams. How to minimize destruction with earthquake resilient infrastructures and restore damaged infrastructure with “Build Back Better” principle are the issues which are grappled with by all governments globally. However, country’s socio-economic and political environment influence on the resilient realm and reconstruction interventions including allocation of financial resources and formation of institutional infrastructure. Against this context, comparative overview of reconstruction modalities under various socio-economic and political environment offers menu for policy makers. 9.3 Findings 153 In order to offer potential options, this paper intends to compare various countries with divergent socio-economic context against reconstruction methods, approaches, institutions and financial allocation. This chapter intends to equip decision makers, particularly Nepali, with various options which they can adopt; one of them or various combination suits to the ground reality. The analysis will reveal that the approaches are contingent upon ground realities; hence, dogmatic adoption of the best practice from another country may prove counter-productive. This strategic approach will save scarce time and resources and minimize denizens’ predicament. 9.2 Methods Eight different countries with major and great earthquakes are picked up. Per capita GDP in the preceding year of the earthquake has been considered. The socioeconomic context before the earthquake is analyzed which is followed by the degree of destruction. The reconstruction process: institution, management and resource allocation are also analyzed. Ultimately, the reconstruction outcomes are compared. This analysis has revealed best practices under specific circumstances. 9.3 Findings Table 9.1 presents earthquakes-related facts in Nepal, Pakistan, India, China, New Zealand, Indonesia, Haiti and Japan. Among 8 comparators, earthquakes of Indonesia and Japan were categorized as “Great” having magnitude greater than 8. All others ranged between 7 and 8 categories which are defined as “Major.” 9.3.1 Economic Condition of Comparator Countries The country’s economic condition explains the ability to reconstruct and recovery. In addition, this also signifies law and order situation. However, this broad generalization may not hold true universally. Secondly, the GDP, per capita GDP and economic growth rate preceding the earthquake year have been taken as pseudo-indicators for ability to recover and governance status. Japan stood first among eight comparator countries in terms of GDP and per capita GDP which indicated its strength for expediting reconstruction and recovery. The GDP growth rate of 4.2% was extremely healthy for the developed countries. China stood second in terms of GDP and fourth in terms of per capita GDP but its miraculous annual growth rate of 11.9% indicated that institutional and governance factors were functioning satisfactorily. Indian third rank in terms of GDP and fifth rank in terms of GDP per capita placed it as an average country in terms of ability. 2387 (2014) 3.3 (2013–14) 6 NRA GDP per capita (US$) GDP growth rate (%) Completion period Recon. agency EERA ongoing 7.54 (2003–04) 734.4 (2004) 106.64 (2004) GSDMA 5 4.16 (1999 -00) 2018 (2000) 2077.9 (2000) 4 1,000,000 20,085 7.7 8:46 AM 26/01/2001 Kutch India CERC NDRC RRA 8 4.78 (2002–03) −0.1 (2008–09) ongoing 5465 (2003) 1204 (2003) 4 NS 227,898 9.1/6.3 7:58 AM 26/2/2004 Sumatra Indonesia 28,209.36 (2009) 100.16 (2009) 32 11,240 185 7.1/6.2 4:35 AM 09/04/2010 Canterbury New Zealand 3 11.9 (2006–07) 2693.97 (2007) 3140 (2007) 147 6,500,000 87,149 7.9 14:28 PM 12/05/2008 Wenchuan China NRA-Nepal—National Reconstruction Authority, Nepal ERRA—Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Authority—Pakistan GSDMA—Gujarat State Disaster Management Authority—India NDRC—National Development and Reform Commission CERC—Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Commission NRA-Japan—National Reconstruction Agency, Japan RRA—Reconstruction and Recovery Agency IHRC—Interim Haiti Recovery Commission 67.62 (2014) GDP (US$, bio.) 2 500,000 769,817 10 Damaged houses 87,351 8789 Death Recon. cost (US$ bio.) 8:52 AM 7.6 12:56 PM 7.8 Time Balakot 08/10/2005 Gorkha 25/04/2015 Earthquake Date Richter scale (ML ) Pakistan Nepal Particulars Table 9.1 Comparative overview of earthquake characteristics, destruction and reconstruction IHRC ongoing 0.9 (2008–09) 1561 (2009) 15.38 (2009) 8 699,677 92,000 7.3 5:00 PM 12/01/2010 Leogene Haiti NRA ongoing 4.2 (2009–10) 35,157 (2010) 4485.9 (2010) 360 1,101,884 20,000 9 2:46 PM 11/03/2011 Tohoku Japan 154 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction … 9.3 Findings 155 The GDP growth rate was also not on its side. Indonesia is almost consistent in terms of its ranking against GDP, per capita GDP and growth rate having the fourth and third position—somewhere in the middle of the spectrum. Although Pakistan has the fifth position in terms of GDP but seventh in terms of per capita GDP which placed it as a country with modest capacity. New Zealand with population of 4.3 million in 2009 has obviously contributed to lower ranked country GDP wise but occupied second position in terms of per capita GDP which revealed its real vitality. This left Nepal and Haiti in the bottom of the spectrum with seventh and eighth position, respectively. 9.3.2 Earthquake Characteristics and Magnitude of Casualty The 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake of 7.8 (ML ) killed 8789 people, whereas the Pakistan’s Balakot earthquake of 7.6 Richter scale (ML ) killed 87,351 people. The casualty of the Kutch earthquake of 7.7 (ML ) was limited to 20,085 which is much lower in comparison of Wenchuan earthquake which killed 97,149 with people. The New Zealand’s level of casualty remained lowest as only 185 people died which shows their preparedness. The Haiti’s preparedness seems quite basic as 7.3 (ML ) Leogene earthquake killed 92,000 people. Having robust disaster preparedness, Japan’s casualty remained only 20,000. Even the overwhelming majority of the total number of casualties was caused by Tsunami. If the earthquake would have struck on the ground, the casualty would have been much lower level. Similar is the case with Indonesia’s death of 227,898 persons which was largely Tsunami induced number. In terms of casualty, Indonesia was the first among all eight earthquake hit countries thanks to the inadequate early warning system for Tsunami. With relatively modest tremor of 7.3 (ML ) Haiti witnessed second highest deaths which indicates their inadequate preparedness. Similar was the situation of Pakistan with 87,351 casualties. Given the Chinese technological prowess, it is slightly paradoxical as casualty of 87,149 was astonishingly high which placed China at the fourth among 8 countries. Indian death of 20,085 may have caused due to working day when pupils may have reached to their school already. Having Saturday and daytime tremor minimized deaths in Nepal. Had there been no Tsunami, the Japanese death would have been much lower level. And obviously, New Zealand’s advance level of preparedness and relatively low population density kept death to the minimum level. The day and timing also played crucial role for the size of death. Nepal’s trembler during daytime on Saturday contributed for lower casualty as students were not at school and people were outside of the house. However, the Chinese death toll exceeded 87,000 despite the shaking took place on Saturday. This indicates that the Chinese houses were extremely fragile. 156 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction … 9.3.3 Earthquake’s Relationship with Housing Damage The Wenchuan earthquake damaged 6.5 million houses which placed China at the first rank among eight comparator countries. It shows that Chinese housing condition was not earthquake resilient. The Japanese destruction of 1.1 million houses was mainly induced by the Tsunami. The Kutch earthquake damaged one million houses which placed it in third position among the earthquake hit countries. Nepal’s destruction was nearly 770,000 and Haiti’s private housing destruction was nearly 700,000 placing them fourth and fifth position, respectively. Unlike to high human casualty in Pakistan, the housing destruction was only 500,000 which means per house casualty must be very high. Identical to the human casualty, the destruction of houses was nominal in New Zealand. The destruction of the Sumatra earthquake of 9.1 Richter scale (ML ) stretched out up to African Continent which was not only due to the tremor but also from the Tsunami. Indonesia suffered highest in terms of housing destruction as well. 9.3.4 Institutional Efficiency of Reconstruction Various governments responded to the trembler differently which can be categorized into three broad categories: countries who formed the reconstruction institution instantly after the jolt, countries which took quite some time to form the authority and the countries which never formed the meaningful institution. The governments which formed the reconstruction authority almost instantly were Pakistan, Gujarat StateGovernment of India, New Zealand, Japan, China and Indonesia. Nepal was the only country which established the reconstruction authority after 8 months. Haiti was the exceptional case which kicked off reconstruction without meaningful reconstruction authority. The Government of Pakistan swiftly established the Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Authority (ERRA), a hybrid institution amalgamating military’s discipline with civilian flexibility and central government’s blueprint approach with the local government’s bottom-up practice. In India, the Gujarat State Government swiftly established the GSDMA. The New Zealand Government formed an ad hoc Cabinet Committee on Canterbury Earthquake Recovery almost immediately after the Canterbury earthquake. The promulgation of the Canterbury Earthquake Response and Recovery Act enabled the establishment of the Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority (CERA) in New Zealand (New Zealand Parliament 2011). The Earthquake Commission (EQC) was another instrument for reconstruction which implemented insurance plus activities. Following the earthquake on 4 September 2010, the national government asked the EQC to take direct responsibility for the repairs or rebuilding of insured homes rather than simply paying cash settlements to homeowners (Brownlee 2010a). Indonesia promoted two organizations: MultiDonor Trust Fund (MDTF) to collectively manage international donations and the 9.3 Findings 157 ministerial-level Reconstruction and Rehabilitation Agency (Badan Rehabilitasi dan Rekonstruksi [BRR]). Nepal and Japan fall into the second category. Nepal promulgated the Reconstruction Act on 21 December 2021 after eight post-earthquake precious months which paved the way for establishing the NRA on 25 December 2015. In Japan, the reconstruction agency was established after eleven months of Tohoku earthquake. The NRA was mandated to report to the Prime Minister and managed national recovery funds that flowed either through national Ministries or directly to local governments. The agency was authorized to run until at least December 2020, with extendable provision of one year. The NRA abrogated in December 2021. Haiti represents anarchic institutional arrangement as Interim Haiti Recovery Commission was formed but none of the organizations reported to it. Even the government agencies by-passed this agency. The humanitarian structures operated in parallel. 9.3.5 Reconstruction Efficiency There are two indicators for measuring efficiency: cost and duration. The way how figures are reported, comparing cost, has become highly contentious. For example, Pakistan’s reconstruction spent only US$2 billion whereas Chinese reconstruction gobbled US$147 billion. However, total reconstruction cost is the function of the approach and unit cost of the construction industry. For example, the Chinese government consolidated settlements in the earthquake affected regions which involved a huge reconstruction cost for housing stock and infrastructure. Pakistan and most of other countries reconstructed in situ and even recycled salvaged materials which lowered down cost drastically. Second factor could be how costs are reported. Different socio-political systems have their own expenditure and reporting mechanism. In China, no private and also largely NGO sector investment can be conceived whereas in all other countries the private sector plays prominent role but does not reflect in the government accounting. The South Asian countries adopted owner driven approach, whereas the New Zealand had not had flexibility other than developer implemented reconstruction. All these descriptions show that the cost factor is a weak indicator which has to be contextualized. Efficiency in terms of reconstruction period also needs contextualization; however, it is not as sensitive as the cost. There are only three countries which wrapped reconstruction after reasonable period. The centrally implemented Wenchuan reconstruction was concluded within miraculous period of three years which is inconceivable in other economies. It demonstrated Chinese prowess for handling such operations. Completion of post-Kutch earthquake reconstruction within a period of five years shows that the state government—a sub-national unit can also deliver with a high level of efficiency. Despite draconian onslaught of COVID-19, Nepal concluded its reconstruction within a stipulated period of six years which otherwise would have been completed within a period of five years. 158 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction … Pakistan, New Zealand, Haiti and Japan which began in 2005, 2010, 2010 and 2011, respectively, have been continuing their reconstruction. Not only relatively feeble country on institutional and economic ground like Haiti but also developed counties like Japan and New Zealand have been taking relatively protracted reconstruction period. 9.3.6 Outputs Nepal’s NRA was successful to reconstruct 758,793 private houses out of total 827,340 total beneficiaries (NRA 2021h). Similarly, around 7000 school buildings, nearly 1000 hospitals, more than 200 security buildings and nearly 600 heritage monuments were reconstructed which stands nearly 79% of total reconstruction. The remaining case load consists of outliers influenced by other exogenous factors such as disinterested migrated households not requiring houses and disputed land for constructing hospital buildings. Despite NRAs handholding, some vulnerable households have not been able to reconstruct their houses. At present, NRA handed over the remaining work in progress and non-starters to the generic government agencies: MoUD, MoEST and DoA (My Republica 2021). Pakistan’s literature on non-housing reconstruction is relatively scarce. However, ERRA definitely was successful in reconstructing 500,000 plus private housing. However, the world community will need to wait for ERRA’s final report for achieving complete overview. By 2021, reconstruction is ongoing. The India’s GSDMA supported to reconstruct 201,000 private houses and repaired 911,000 houses by March 2006. China almost mesmerized the international community by completing 2.29 million new houses along with millions of repaired units (Yong et al. 2011). As of June 2015, the EQC of New Zealand had completed over 65,000 home repairs and settled, through cash payments or repairs, nearly all of its buildingand contents-related claims (EQC 2015). This figure does not tally with the damaged housing units of 11,240. However, there could be some detailed explanation underneath. Japan has introduced highly ambitious but fundamental policy of readjustment and redevelopment for taking forward the urban renewal agenda along with reconstruction. Consequently, by the fifth anniversary of the disaster, most debris had been cleared in Miyagi and Iwate Prefectures. Then, work was underway to elevate land, relocate communities to higher ground and construct public housing. By 2009, Indonesia’s Aceh saw the construction of 140,304 permanent houses; 3696 km of roads; 1759 schools; 1115 health facilities; 23 ports; and 13 airports. The agency also reclaimed agricultural land, trained nearly 40,000 teachers and provided more than 7000 fishing boats (BRR 2009a). After completion of 39% housing units, BRR handed over its responsibilities to local, provincial and central government agencies. The post-2006 Java earthquake also followed the Aceh model of community contracting which enabled to reconstruct 300,000 houses. However, Indonesia could not ensure earthquake resilience in all buildings. 9.4 Discussion 159 Haiti’s statistics in terms of outputs are rather sketchy. However, circumstantial evidence suggests that the outputs were not satisfactory. 9.4 Discussion In this section, Nepal’s delivery in comparison to other seven countries is logically analyzed. Best practices are derived from the experience of an individual country or with a comparative analysis. 9.4.1 Did Economic Condition Ensure Speedy Reconstruction? As revealed in the findings, the economic vitality does not guarantee an efficient reconstruction. If economic prowess would have been the only determining factor, Japan should have been able to wrap reconstruction up within a shortest period among all comparator countries. Duration depends upon several different policy objectives that a country intends to amalgamate with the reconstruction. Japan intended to use earthquake destruction as an opportunity to revitalize the city landscape by introducing redevelopment and readjustment approach. It was also innovative as it enhanced private sector role minimizing the pressure on public sector’s coffer. From that perspective, the duration was somehow secondary issue. However, the public sector must have to work on transitional shelter for the affected populace. The longer it takes deeper goes the discontent. For the countries like Nepal, it may be herculean task to bring all stakeholders at the negotiation table and to stamp that out. New Zealand was another rich country which grappled with post-earthquake reconstruction but over stretched period. New Zealand’s modality of reconstruction is to support the earthquake victim through insurance funds. For this to happen, all houses had to be insured in advance as earthquake preparedness activity. In addition, government had to vacate leached area which was also time-consuming act. On the other hand, Chinese economy which was second on the array completed reconstruction within 3 years’ period. There are a number of factors behind. The Chinese top-down command-and-control system delivered swiftly. Land title was another crucial factor which was non-issue in the Chinese environment as all land belongs to the government. However, there are still several open questions with regard to the Chinese reconstruction. Having too specific characteristics, the Chinese approaches are not replicable in the countries with open economy and democratic environment. Completion of the Indian reconstruction within five years was a quite good achievement despite its lower middle per capita. In 2003 when GSDMA was 160 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction … converted from the society to the statutory authority, a seamless carryover arrangement was ensured which was sensible from the perspective of sustainability, cost effectiveness and immaculate transition (GSDMA). Having average gross and per capita GDP, Indonesia’s completion within 8 years was quite significant. However, it is largely donor and NGO driven reconstruction with government’s regulation. The deluge of NGOs and donors was mainly because of unprecedented menace caused by 2004 Sumatra earthquake which stimulated Tsunami. Pakistan’s army-controlled operation could not enthuse an efficient delivery as reconstruction of 2005 Balakot earthquake which has remained unabated. Haiti with the lowest gross and per capita GDP and rabid political environment meaning that the 2010 Leogene earthquake reconstruction is continuing in 2022. This international comparison reveals that Nepal’s reconstruction which was largely completed within 6 years was highly successful particularly with its almost lowest level of gross and per capita GDP. The reconstruction was executed during the turbulent period of political transition. Despite GoN’s relatively feeble economic condition, it allocated US$2.8 billion (60%) out of the total US$4.7 billion. The figure inches up if loan is also added. This allocation indicates government’s genuine commitment toward reconstruction. This analysis shows that the economic strength alone does not guarantee efficient delivery within a shortest time. It depends on the institutional and individual’s dexterity, development objectives and socio-economic context of a country. 9.4.2 An Assessment of Institutional Set Up Each country has its own historical, political and development context which hinders generalization in terms of approaches. However, by and large, post-disaster reconstruction and recovery falls under the remit of the central government. Nonetheless, subtle variations were visible in terms of engagement of the central and local governments. China adopted undisputedly central government-led approach and implemented reconstruction and recovery through command-and-control system. Japan’s centrally led reconstruction sought a limited partnership from the local governments such as land use planning. However, the private developers play pivotal role for reconstruction of urban houses. The large chunk of reconstruction expenditure is recovered through residual floor space after distributing to the existing owners. New Zealand’s central government’s role was pronounced in the Canterbury Earthquake Response and Recovery Bill which bestowed extra ordinary power to the national governmental ministers. The CERC which also represented the local governments had rather supporting role. Another glaring example of the centrally executed reconstruction was Indonesia’s 2004 Sumatra earthquake. However, the communities were engaged in the reconstruction process intrinsically. 9.4 Discussion 161 Haiti was rather special case which formed Interim Haiti Recovery Commission (IHRC), a joint national and international entity. It indicates that Haiti’s government lacked competence to lead the reconstruction drive which resulted into poor transition between shelter and housing programming, incoherence in action between Haitian and international actors. The state managed recovery with intensive NGOs involvement was rather unique in India as it was led by the sub-national entity but largely implemented through NGOs. The Charity framework of GSDMA evolved as statutory body under the Gujarat State Disaster Management Act—2003. This model delivered on the ground and created sustainable basis for handling disaster preparedness and post-disaster reconstruction. Nepal’s formation of the NRA largely followed the centrally executed operation as implemented in Japan, Pakistan, New Zealand and Indonesia. However, the Reconstruction Act was formulated before the promulgation of Nepal’s Constitution 2015 which make a stride from centrist to federal state. The taxonomy would have been remarkably different had NRA would have formed under a new constitution. The centrally led reconstruction has been the basic tenet of almost all countries with Indian exception. India’s NGO implemented model under the leadership of sub-national government was rather exception which could have been emanated due to center–state relationship and also competent state capacity to handle such reconstruction. 9.4.3 Implementation Approaches Four reconstruction approaches were adopted among eight comparator countries. Nepal, India and Pakistan adopted owner driven approach for reconstructing private housing which could be due to similar socio-economic phenomena in these South Asian countries. China introduced standard contractual process for reconstructing all houses as it was fully government sponsored initiative. New Zealand and Japan prompted developers for reconstructing private houses. However, there was subtle variation between them. Japan introduced redevelopment and readjustment policy, whereas New Zealand funneled insured resources through the Earthquake Commission. The private house owners used developers for reconstructing their houses. As the entire settlements were wiped out, Indonesia intended to generate employment opportunity while affected people engaging with the reconstruction activities. For this purpose, the community contracting was instrumental. Haiti was the exceptional case where earthquake victims reconstructed their shelter through informal sector. Due to lack of both policy and political leadership, Haiti’s reconstruction was largely relied upon the informal sector. The analysis reveals that the reconstruction approaches are contingent upon the development status of and socio-political system of a country. Generally, once 162 9 A Comparative Overview of Nepal’s Reconstruction … country progresses economically, the private sector developers’ role becomes prominent. In the milieu of middle- and lower-income countries with free market economy, the owner driven approach was found successful. The Chinese modus operandi is not replicable. In the light of above discussion, Nepal’s reconstruction model was largely appropriate as demonstrated through delivery. However, there are some areas for further burnishing. Nepal’s owner driven approach worked decently in rural and newly emerged urban areas, but its efficacy dwindled in historical urban core areas. The federal government had two options for urban housing reconstruction: follow the Japanese model of readjustment and redevelopment or adopt Gujarat model of resettlement of the city core dwellers. The Japanese model was obviously ambitious, but the Gujarat model would entail additional financial liability to the public sector but would be promising in the Nepalese context. Secondly, the inherent limitation of owner driven approach in handling vulnerable households was not reckoned with at the outset. Thirdly, the resettlement parcels were too small and livelihood package was almost absent. Fourthly, the provision of reconstruction fund which was meant to be operated by the NRA did not become functional due to reluctance of the MoF. The idealistic model of bringing together various different Ministries and Departments such as MoUD and Department of Local Infrastructure was arduous task which was not in consonance to the line of command principle. For such reconstruction, the NRA should have absolute command-and-control authority. 9.4.4 Gateway to Resilience Society There are two different but interrelated issues under the broader discussion of resilience. First disaster preparedness before the earthquake and adopted resilient instruments while implementing reconstruction. Two countries Japan and New Zealand fared extremely well with astonishingly lower level of earthquake induced casualties. In Japan, the Tsunami induced death toll of 20,000 people by 9 (ML ) jolt is nominal which illustrates Japanese disaster preparedness. Had there been no Tsunami, the number of casualties would have been insignificant. Throughout the history, Japan has been pummeled by disasters: Great Kanto earthquake (7.9 ML ), two nuclear bombs, over Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945, and the Kobe earthquake of 1995 (6.9 ML ), followed by the Tohoku region in 2011 (9 ML ). All these natural and manmade adversities have fortified Japanese society culturally which is reflected in their rules and regulations (Gardiner 2020). Having located on the ring of fire, New Zealand also thrashed with several natural disasters: 1955 Wairarapa earthquake of 8.2 (ML ), 1931 Hawke’s Bay earthquake (7.8 ML ), 1968 Inangahua earthquake of 7.1 (ML ), 2010 Canterbury earthquake (7.1 ML ), 2011 Christchurch earthquake of 6.2 (ML ) and 2016 Kaikoura earthquake of 7.8 (ML ). In addition, New Zealand also experiences frequent devastating landslides, storms, volcanos and shipwrecks. All these adversities compelled Kiwis to develop robust system of preparedness which has been saving many lives and properties. 9.5 Conclusion 163 Unlike to Japan and New Zealand, Nepal and India fall somewhere in middle of the comparator countries with 8789 and 20,085 deaths when jolt struck them in 2015 and 2001, respectively. Objectively, the earthquake preparedness in both of those countries seems better than Pakistan, China, Indonesia and Haiti. However, Nepal’s lower casualty figure could be a lucky coincidence of day and time. Midday of Saturday when people were awake and outside of their house and children were not in the vulnerable school buildings. Whatsoever could be the magnitude of destruction, it is clear that both countries needed to make further progress in disaster preparedness. On the array, the Chinese obliteration of 6.5 million houses and loss of 87,149 people were incredible despite Chinese meticulous planning and evolving economy. Why China could not learn out of its previous disasters has remained open question. However, China must have fixed its systemic failure after 2008 Wenchuan earthquake particularly through revamping the rural settlements. Indonesian death was largely caused by the Tsunami rather than the earthquake which would not have protected with higher level of building standards. The primitive level of overall pre-warning system was largely to blame. Pakistan and Haiti’s earthquakes induced menace were enormous. The earthquake preparedness of both countries seems to be in primitive level. However, the 2021 earthquake of 7.2 Richter scale (ML ), killed only 2248 people which shows that Haiti also could make progress in terms of resilience. 9.5 Conclusion The comparative overview showed clearly that the disaster preparedness pays substantially. The nominal destruction in Japan and New Zealand with high magnitude trembler is a glaring example. However, disaster preparedness is not the sole function of the economic vitality. If that would have been the case, Chinese destruction would have been nominal. Although Nepal’s economic status was in the category of Haiti, it could wrap reconstruction up within the period of six years whereas Pakistan’s protracted reconstruction is still ongoing after 17 years. It is also worth noting that Nepal delivered amidst turbulent socio-political transition and in the middle of COVID-19 pandemic. However, Nepal must work further on the urban renewal and resettling vulnerable households. The owner driven approach will continue to become relevant within foreseeable future which, however, will need to integrate sound provision for vulnerable people. The lower level of fatality must not be a source for complacency but be considered as fluke coincidence. The immediate way forward must be the dedicated stride on stringent implementation of building and infrastructural codes. The central government must play a catalytic role for such resilience efforts in close collaboration of the local governments. Nepal needs to work on preparing ground for the mass scale housing insurance which will provide safety net not only to the house owners but also to the government. Chapter 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery and Reconstruction Abstract This chapter intended to capture basically economic and sustainability impact of the post-2015 Nepal Earthquake reconstruction. It is essential to record the policy implications for informing future reconstruction works. Data were drawn mainly from the study of socio-economic impacts of reconstruction. The National Reconstruction Authority (NRA) data and information along with other relevant institutional sources were also used. Considering the reconstruction period of six years, sizeable contribution to GDP and mobilization of three-fourth resources from the internal sources, the Nepal’s reconstruction was highly successful which has been acknowledged internationally. However, some of the political conducts have raised concerns on Nepal’s ability to sustain NRA implanted resilience features and replicating them nationwide. Taking forward resilience agenda through the building permit system and securing commitment, capacitating the local government and raising awareness among the general public are found to be the recipe for resilience. Consolidation of diffused knowledge base in 32 earthquake affected districts and unfolding intervention in the remaining 45 districts will prepare ground toward resilience nationwide. Keywords Resilience · Reconstruction · Economy · Housing · Expenditure 10.1 Background The 2015 Gorkha earthquake of 7.6 Richter scale (7.8 ML ) struck at Barpak of Gorkha District (NEMRC 2022) at a depth of 8.2 km which was followed by 553 aftershocks of local magnitude greater than 4.0 within the ïŽrst 45 days (Adhikari et al. 2015) and one of them was 6.7 Richter scale (ML ) on 12 May 2015 at Singati Village of the Dolakha district. The tremor was felt as far as India, Bangladesh and Tibet Autonomous Region of China (Subedi and Poudyal 2019). The NPC reported 8790 deaths and 22,300 injuries (NPC 2015a). Eight million people of thirty-one districts out of 75 were affected. Total damage was estimated at the range of US$7 billion. Consequently, the GDP growth rate slumped to 2.3% against the earlier estimate of 5.7%. Table 10.1 presents the key facts. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd. 2022 C. B. Shrestha, Building Back Better After the 2015 Nepal Earthquake, Disaster Risk Reduction, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-6676-7_10 165 166 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … Table 10.1 Key facts of 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake Parameter Description Damage estimates Date of occurrence 25 April 2015 Time UTC 06:11:25; NST: 11:56:25 Magnitude 7.8 Richter scale (ML ) Private housing damage types • Fully damaged • Partially damaged Unit 498,852 Nos 256,697 Nos Epicenter Barpak, Gorkha Health facilities 1197 Nos Depth 8.2 km Schools 7553 Nos Death 8790 Public buildings 415 Nos Injuries 22,300 Security buildings 216 Nos Affected districts 32 Heritage monuments 920 Nos Affected population 8 million Roads 964 km Disaster effect US$7.065 Road bridges 14 Nos Source National Reconstruction Authority (NRA 2021m) NRA’s institutional memory report reported NRA’s achievements by the end of Ashad 2078 (15 July 2021) that it almost completed the entire reconstruction interventions. The implementation status is shown in Table 10.2. The leftover activities were handed over to the government’s generic agencies. All private housing-related activities transferred to the MoUD, heritage’s conservation efforts were shifted to the Department of Archeology (DoA) and reminiscent school buildings were passed over to the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (MoEST). In a similar fashion, other infrastructure were trusted to the respective owners (My Republica 2021). After investing US$7.2 bio. (NRA 2021b), it is natural to question the economic effect of 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake. With this respect, various international scholars have assessed impact of such reconstruction and recovery interventions in a various parts of the world. Cohen and Werker (2008) analyzed disaster from the lens of political economy and emphasized disaster preparedness and also demonstrated that the international aid may persuade the governments to under-invest as perverse incentive which may alleviate the problem. The central question of this Table 10.2 Major achievements (all achievements are in absolute numbers) Outputs Achievement % Outputs Achievement % Private housing 758,793 91.46 Schools 6647 87.66 Resettled households 4720 100 Health buildings 751 64.52 Landless households 12,788 100 Govt. buildings 388 93.72 Integrated settlement 62 58.49 Heritage 586 63.70 Road 657 km 85.99 Source National Reconstruction Authority (NRA 2021m) 10.2 Data and Methods 167 analogy is whether Nepal’s interventions were palliative or contributed to the disaster prevention. Albala-Bertrand (1993) recommends not to rely on the indirect economic beneïŽts which he mentions as “possibility than reality.” Alwis (2018) concluded that the low-income households increased their income by a higher proportion compared to the higher income households. Alwis’ another conclusion is that the affected regions were more income-equal ex-post compared to the unaffected regions. The high- and low-income households recovered faster than middle income households. However, the high-income households’ recovery was long lasting. Alesch et al. (2001), who studied post-disaster environment in the United States, found that the disaster affected small businesses tend to underestimate the disaster impact and hence remain unprepared for. Uninsured or partially insured assets, lackluster disaster preparedness and sluggish early warning system were the major culprits. Households’ unrealistic belief that life resumes in its natural normal course also causes set back as they are not the one-off event but are watershed event which exacerbate over the period. Becchetti and Castriota (2011) viewed the impact of microïŽnance as a recovery tool and found that the microïŽnance have a positive and signiïŽcant effect on the change in real income and in weekly worked hours, and that the impact on performance variables is signiïŽcantly stronger for damaged than nondamaged borrowers. Loayza et al. (2012) conclude that the moderate disaster can inïŽict positive growth but severe disasters have negative one. Moreover, the disasters in developing countries are more severe than the developed countries. Against this backdrop, Nepal’s post-Gorkha Nepal earthquake reconstruction needs to be assessed in terms of impact it induced in the economy. In addition to the macro-economic impact, its ramiïŽcation on the resilience agenda has to be scrutinized. Did it impact on socio-political decision-making process? What improvements are further required and how to ensure them? How was NRA perceived in term of transparency and accountability? This chapter will respond to these questions. 10.2 Data and Methods The PDNA and PDRF were taken as the baseline information for this study which were collated with the progress reports until the end of FY 2020/21. Various NRA sources have been used for assessing the impact. Moreover, the NRA concluded impact evaluation’s data were analyzed further. The impact study conducted Focused Group Discussion (FGDs) in Nuwakot, Kavrepalanchowk, Sindhupalchok and Gorkha. The Key Information Interviews (KIIs) were also conducted with various stakeholders—policy makers, NRA Chief Executive OfïŽcer and Executive Members, Representatives of I/NGOs and various Ministries. Economic data from various national statistics and NRA were also other sources of information. The TI Reports were also used for assessing governance and accountability mechanism. 168 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … 10.3 Findings This chapter deals with estimated and actual reconstruction allocation, funding sources, contribution of reconstruction expenditure to the national economy and level of transparency and accountability in the reconstruction interventions. The gulf between the legal provisions and practiced realities are also elaborated. 10.3.1 Estimated and Actual Reconstruction Allocation Among Various Sectors The PDNA was concluded immediately after the 2015 Gorkha Nepal earthquake which sketched the preliminary picture of damage and reconstruction requirements. However, the NRA had to revisit the earlier tentative PDNA estimates for ground truthing. The NRA regulation prioritized reconstruction activities as: buildings related to essential services such as government, public sector and hospitals; rural private housing, infrastructure, integrated settlements and educational institutions; urban private housing, infrastructure and integrated settlement; public buildings; heritage monuments and settlements and other infrastructures as deemed necessary. However, the NRA revised this priority order and accorded highest priority to the private housing later (NRA 2016e). The prioritization exercise hinted government’s suspected inability to allocate required resources simultaneously to all sectors. As indicated in Table 10.3, the private housing sector received the priority consistently in terms of allocation which disbursed US$2670.14 billion by the end of FY 2020/21 which was 71.7% of PDRF estimation. The education sector was grossly underestimated by the PDNA with US$368 million which was revised to US$1657 but the actual disbursement was limited to US$936 million. There is spectacular variation between the actual allocations against the PDRF estimation in certain sectors. Employment and livelihood received ninefold more resources than estimated whereas the forestry and environment received only 3% of the estimated amount. The situation of gender and social inclusion and ïŽnancial sector was rather pathetic having only 0.09% and 0.01, respectively. No allocation was provisioned for six sectors: electricity and renewable energy, commerce and industry, social protection, nutrition, communications and tourism. Overall actual expenditure of 71.69% with respect to the PDRF estimation seems quite promising. The leftover activities in housing and other infrastructure will bring the expenditure to the tune of PDRF estimates. However, there is a fundamental issue in sectoral allocation. First of all, some of the sectoral issues could be simply accounting treatment as some of the resources were allocated directly to the sectoral Ministries as normal development budget which was not reïŽected under reconstruction heading. Some provisions were rather abstract such as nutrition and social protection which requires close scrutiny and conscious intervention mechanism with a long-term vision. Otherwise, it can be misallocated. The employment and livelihood 10.3 Findings 169 Table 10.3 Sector wise reconstruction estimates versus actual expenditure Sectors PDNA est. 2015 Rank PDRF est. 2016 Rank Actual Rank exp. 2015/16–2020/21 Actual exp./PDRF est. Private housing 3034.83 I 3450.63 I 2670.14 I 71.70 Education 368.16 II 1657.14 II 936.35 II 52.36 Others* – XXII – XXII 836.75 III Employment and 116.18 livelihood XIV 53.93 XV 529.62 IV 910.04 Government building XXI 273.19 V 291.77 V 98.96 228.66 58.86 – Transport 260.97 V Community infrastructure 41.20 XVIV – VIII 145.26 VI XXI 125.94 VII Health 136.02 XIII 160.49 X 104.18 VIII 60.15 Water and sanitation 167.65 XI 194.93 VIX 77.63 VIX 36.90 Agriculture livestock and irrigation 144.08 XII 246.73 VII 25.46 X 9.56 Cultural and heritage 190.31 VIII 310.09 III 21.67 XI 6.48 Disaster risk management 75.96 XV 38.97 XVIII 11.36 XII 27.00 Governance 170.76 X 28.12 XIV 10.21 XIII 36.20 Environment and 233.31 forestry VII 261.02 VI 8.82 XIV 3.13 Gender and social inclusion XX 42.59 XVII 0.04 XV 0.09 10.06 Financial sector 309.93 IV 307.08 IV 0.01 XVI Electricity and renewable energy 172.09 IX 137.87 XI – XVII Commerce and industry 253.78 VI 100.92 XII – XVIII Social protection 59.24 Nutrition 46.63 Communications 45.73 Tourism 358.43 Sub total 6199.12 Own account housing reconstruction XVI 71.17 XIII – XVIX XVII 68.45 XIV – XX XVIII 45.31 XVI – XXI III XX – XXII 8.41 7490.78 5795.21 – 2797.77 71.69 (continued) 170 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … Table 10.3 (continued) Sectors PDNA est. 2015 Rank Total PDRF est. 2016 – Rank Actual Rank exp. 2015/16–2020/21 Actual exp./PDRF est. 8592.98 Amount in mio. US$ Mid period exchange rates are used for currency conversion Sources PDRF sector reports; Nepal PDNA report 2015; National Reconstruction Authority (NRA, CLPIU) database, MoF budget details (Red Book), post-earthquake assistance portal, Development Cooperation Nepal 2015–2020, NRA Socioeconomic Impact Assessment Survey 2021, Cited from: (NRA 2021b) * Rescue, recovery and rehabilitation including cash and inkind transfers to households outside the PDNA & PDRF ïŽgure has blown up as all employment generated from the private housing and infrastructure were loaded there which is quite an interpretational issue. In general sense, there was a huge scope for livelihood which did not receive justiïŽable attention. 10.3.2 Funding Source Nepal’s vitality in reconstruction has been self-evident as 75% of US$7.94 billion is funded from internal sources which includes also loan received from various development partners (Table 10.4). One-third of the entire investment was shouldered by the individual households. Table 10.4 carries a resounding message that Nepal can ïŽnance its own reconstruction with exception of some loan capital. From that perspective the bilateral and non-governmental assistance can be restricted to the rescue and relief and technical assistance only. The discreet technical assistance created discrimination among households in different precincts. Some were excessively beneïŽtted in comparison to others. The NGO’s engagement in implementation also raised smoldering discontent as they provided additional assistance and intense handholding. The large swathes of uncovered settlements’ households felt discriminated with basic government support which played out against the government’s credibility. 10.3.3 Contribution of Reconstruction Expenditure to the National Economy Total reconstruction expenditure of US$7.94 billion followed a normal curve which indicates efïŽciency in planning and implementation of reconstruction interventions. It is particularly appreciable because the NRA wade in in the environment of rigid governmental frameworks mobilizing administration-oriented government 10.3 Findings 171 Table 10.4 Sources of reconstruction ïŽnancing Funding agencies 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 Total % On budget 208 456 1136 772 460 453 3485 44.00 Nepal Government 190 278 653 499 287 272 2179 27.56 DPs grants 1 45 84 5 0 17 152 DPs loan 17 133 399 267 173 164 1153 14.56 Off budget 456 992 1335 884 514 315 4496 56.00 DPs direct grants 244 362 365 51 26 15 1063 13.05 I/NGO grants 126 352 248 118 31 1 876 278 722 715 457 299 2557 32.56 1448 2471 1656 974 732 7944 100 Own-A/C housing 86 const. 663 Total 1.87 10.39 Amount in mio. US$ Sources a. National Reconstruction Authority (NRA, CLPIU) database; b. Ministry of Finance, post-earthquake- assistance-portal; c. Ministry of Finance, budget details (red book); Ministry of Finance, Development Cooperation Nepal 2015–2020, NRA Socio-economic Impact Assessment Survey 2021. Cited from: (NRA 2021b) employees. Nonetheless, as shown in Fig. 10.1, the expenditure which started from FY 2015/16 picked up swiftly and reached to climax in FY 2017/18. Table 10.5 shows that the private sector investment of house owners accounted for nearly one-third of the entire operation followed by the public sector investment in the private housing. The private sector housing expenditure including government grant and households’ own resource investment totals to nearly two third of the entire investment which was followed by educational buildings, employment and livelihood, rescue and relief and other government buildings. Table 10.5 shows NRA’s extremely light association with a host of sectors. In retrospection, the NRA could have been trusted only for private housing and all Amt in Mio. US $ 3,000.00 2,500.00 2,000.00 1,500.00 1,000.00 500.00 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 Fiscal Year Total Exp. Capital expenditure Recurrent expenditure Linear (Total Exp.) Fig. 10.1 Expenditure trend of reconstruction 2020-21 172 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … Table 10.5 Sector wise expenditure trend Sector 2015–16 2016–17 2017–18 2018–19 2019–20 2020–21 Total % Agri. lives. and forestry 0.97 0.48 0.26 – – 20 22 0.27 Cultural heritage 0.12 2.48 4.52 2.86 10 – 20 0.25 Edu. bldg. recons. 5.26 96.08 157.08 188.59 148 166 761 9.44 Education support 7.27 24.09 27.07 23.21 16 – 98 1.22 Health building 3.36 7.22 1.83 5.94 17 15 50 0.61 Health support 5.43 19.83 7.94 7.27 6 – 46 0.58 Emp. and livelihood 89.54 229.63 131.31 58.25 2 – 511 6.34 Govt. and ïŽnance 3.51 3.26 3.13 – – – 10 0.12 Private housing 68.15 524.83 1055.68 471.72 214 201 2535 31.46 Water and sanitation 9.93 44.02 21.99 0.12 – – 76 0.94 Integrated settlement 6.89 0.60 8.35 – – – 16 0.20 Land imp. and – dev. 0.12 0.16 – – – 0 0.00 Other public const. 53.56 8.79 8.09 31.11 0 5 107 1.33 Rescue and relief 85.82 128.37 150.01 3.11 4 – 371 4.61 Disaster risk reduction 1.28 1.68 5.67 1.40 1 – 11 0.14 Shelter 5.46 58.36 39.99 27.46 17 1 149 1.85 R&D 31.65 19.38 3.11 – 0 – 54 0.67 Cash and kind 66.72 transfers – 0.02 0.02 – – 67 0.83 Gender based violence – 0.04 – – – – 0 0.00 Other govt. building 10.66 52.13 64.28 67.98 52 24 271 3.36 – 0.01 – – 0 0 0.00 Finance sector – reform (continued) 10.3 Findings 173 Table 10.5 (continued) Sector 2015–16 2016–17 2017–18 2018–19 2019–20 2020–21 Total % Env. and land conserve. 1.94 1.77 4.94 – – – 9 0.11 Road and transport 0.90 13.52 39.21 53.33 28 – 135 1.67 Machinery and equip. – 0.09 – – – – 0 0.00 Advocacy and – awareness 0.53 14.77 13.09 – – 28 0.35 Mis. admin. expenditure 119.17 0.68 0.09 1.80 2 2 126 1.56 Own account housing 85.75 294.25 721.96 727.97 457 299 2586 32.09 Total 663.34 1532.23 2471.46 1685.25 974 732 8058 100.00 Annual distribution (%) 8.23 19.01 30.67 20.91 12.09 9.09 100 Capital expenditure 370.74 1253.69 2286.86 1581.61 947 709 7149 88.89 Recurrent expenditure 292.60 278.54 184.59 103.64 27 23 909 Capital expenses (%) 55.89 81.82 92.53 93.85 97.27 96.90 518 11.11 Amount in Mio. $ US Source Evaluation of Socio-economic Impacts of Reconstruction in Nepal (NRA 2021b) other infrastructure could have been handed over to the generic line agencies which would have enabled NRA to concentrate on the housing sector for efïŽcient delivery. There are certain untouched sectors such as land improvement, gender-based violence and ïŽnancial sector. Part of the land improvement was embedded in the integrated settlement and housing sector. However, handling the issue of gender-based violence was an extremely cumbersome for the reconstruction authority for all of its practical purposes. The ïŽnancial sector was capable of handling its own issues. However, NRA bolstered ïŽnancial institutions’ operation through mandatory housing grant payment through banking system. Overall capital expenditure of 89% shows efïŽcient reconstruction operation. The NRA contribution to the national GDP climaxed at 3.28% in 2017/18 when the expenditure was on the highest level (NRA 2021b). The contribution of 2.41% in 2016/17 decreased to 2.14% in 2018/19. Obviously, the contribution was directly proportional to the expenditure amount. The reconstruction contribution to the National Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF) was 0.34% in 2015/16 which rose to 3.17% in FY 2016/17 which declined gradually to 2.43% and 1.57% in FY 2017/18 174 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … and 2018/19 respectively. However, COVID-19 contributed to plummet GFCF in 2019/20 to −12.41% which revived slightly on the following year. 10.3.4 Transparency and Accountability The TI commissioned a speciïŽc project entitled “Integrated Post-Earthquake Reconstruction and Rehabilitation (IPERR) Project” for overseeing on the reconstruction activities (TI Nepal 2020). The study found that the general technical and administrative awareness level increased during the reconstruction process. The post-earthquake reconstruction was implemented under the tailored procurement procedure speciïŽcally designed for NRA. However, persuasion for accepting lowest bidder could not ensure construction quality particularly in archeological and cultural heritage sectors. The contractor implemented school construction encountered delays. Despite the overwhelming NRA’s success, certain observed caveats were as: ineffective concessional loan provisions, inadequate timber supply particularly to the heritage monuments, non-implementation of act mandated reconstruction fund, inefïŽcient resettlement of vulnerable settlements and ineffective livelihood recovery interventions. Despite some structural limitations, TI concluded that households reconstructed their houses complying with earthquake resilient construction technology and reconstruction of school buildings was on track. Conservation of the heritage sector was rather sluggish thanks to government’s lower priority in allocating budget and intertwined ritualistic requirements. TI’s perceptional survey found that the reconstruction policy, timeliness of reconstruction grants, service delivery were moderately favorable. Only 80% of the donors’ commitment was realized leaving a huge funding gap. The security sector was found to be highly efïŽcient, and the archeological sector was on the other end of the spectrum. The study concluded that the reconstruction interventions increased public awareness in reconstruction technology and procedures, enhanced technical skills, trailblazed integrated settlement, mobilized youths and community and generated employment opportunities. TI recommended to introduce housing insurance policy for reducing ïŽscal burden, implement an effective and functional concessional loan policy, emphasize recovery to the ultra-poor households, initiate an efïŽcacious building permit system and relocate vulnerable households from the disaster-prone settlements. 10.3.5 Transforming Political Mindset Hutt (2020) mentioned that the promulgation of Nepal’s constitution was impacted by the 2015 earthquake. The post-disaster psychology inïŽuenced members of the constituent assembly to promulgate the constitution within six months. Otherwise, the issue which had been languishing since 2006 when the comprehensive peace 10.4 Discussions 175 agreement was concluded. More, importantly, the newly promulgated constitution included disaster preparedness, early warning system, rescue, relief and recovery in the state directive principle (Constitution of Nepal 2015) which was followed by the policy on disaster risk reduction and management action plan (GoN 2018a). Consequently, the NDRRMA was founded. (Nepal—Disaster Risk and Management Act, 2074 2017). All these cascading activities demonstrate that the disaster has received political priority. However, this macro-level posturing has not been well translated into the action. The political parties protested in the parliament for the single tranche of housing grant (THT 2016) which would have played out against housing resilience if NRA would have conceded. The steering committee’s decision for resurveying of ineligible households as declared by NRA was perceived as tacit persuasion for tampering NRA’s standards (Decisions of Ninth Meeting of the NRA Steering Committee 2017). Releasing housing grant to non-compliant houses bred doubt on political commitment on resilient reconstruction (NRA 2021k). The NRA’s good intention to engage the local governments in the reconstruction process raised legitimate question as the local governments passed all household request to NRA without scrutinizing properly (Shrestha and Ghimire 2021). All these political actions show that the political behavior has not been demonstrated in consonance to the legal background which is worrying and concerning. 10.4 Discussions The ïŽndings raised a number of issues: reconstruction achievements, reconstruction ïŽnancing, scope of work for reconstruction authority, reinforcing transparency and accountability, and way forward toward creating resilient society. 10.4.1 Reconstruction Achievements Achieving 92% progress during the period of six years including settling down all vulnerable households can be considered success as on the crest of the wave. The school and government buildings and road construction was almost completed in December 2021 when NRA handed over to the respective agencies. Only health and heritage monuments will continue for maximum two years’ time as there were some inherent structural issues. The Ministry of Health and Population (MoHP) aspired to implement health-related buildings without adequate capacity which languished for a considerable period. The sluggish progress in the heritage sector can be attributed to inadequate capacity of the Department of Archeology (DoA), numerous stringent heritage and ritualistic requirements and unclarity in roles among different layers of governments. 176 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … In the context of government’s limited absorption capacity of capital expenditure (Investopaper 2022), NRA exceeded expenditure than its allocation. It utilized unspent budget toward the end of ïŽscal year which exempliïŽes its efïŽciency in planning and implementation. Consequently, NRA’s contribution of 2.41% in 2016/17 climaxed to 3.18% in 2017/18. With the decline of allocation, the contribution reached to 2.14% in 2018/19. Consequently, the average economic growth which was 3.39% during 2011–2015 rose to 5% in the post-earthquake period of 2016–2020 (NRA 2021b). The achievement proves that the NRA’s legal framework and institutional arrangement was largely appropriate to grapple with the herculean challenge. 10.4.2 Post-disaster Reconstruction Financing The allocation and political priority showed that private housing occupies the prominent attention in the post-disaster reconstruction intervention. It is obvious that the shelter is apparently related to people’s life and wellbeing which draws political and social attention. In principle the service delivery sectors such as schools, hospitals should be of also on high demand. However, sizeable private sector’s presence in both sectors mainly in the urban areas, the level of pressure for expediting reconstruction of schools and hospitals remained at low pitch. The heritage sector is directly linked to the community’s psyche but could wait a bit longer than housing reconstruction. However, the artefacts get endangered if not properly protected immediately after disaster. The Gorkha Earthquake inïŽicted nominal damage to the technical infrastructure such as road, water supply and sanitation, irrigation schemes etc. However, the earthquake triggered damage compounded with maintenance backlog which artiïŽcially swelled up reconstruction requirement. The post-Gorkha Nepal Earthquake reconstruction trailblazed for the future mode of ïŽnancing. The government’s own source expenditure, house owner’s contribution and development partners’ housing loan accounted for 75% of total expenditure which indicates Nepal’s ïŽscal space for ïŽnancing such a mammoth sized reconstruction. The bilateral and INGO grants are rather insigniïŽcant and moreover government lags handle on allocation. With this experience, Nepal will have policy option to rely on own source revenue for reconstruction conïŽning bilateral and INGOs on rescue and relief operation. Alternatively, the bilateral and INGO grant can be accepted conditionally only for soft interventions such as livelihood and awareness raising. The anecdotal evidences have shown that the bilateral and INGOs festooned their pre-earthquake support under the banner of reconstruction which misled in terms of reconstruction expenditures. In addition, the INGO support which normally is focused on rather tiny precinct with additional top up. A majority of INGOs skillfully play with policy caveat for topping up resources which was not allowed by NRA regulation. Such variation was perceived as discrimination which played out against government. Such situation must have to be avoided. 10.4 Discussions 177 10.4.3 Scope of Reconstruction Authority The PDNA identiïŽed 22 reconstruction and recovery sectors further stretched to 27 by PDRF. As shown in Table 10.3, if the sectors are classiïŽed by the natural breaks of percentage points of total disbursement they received, three distinct ranges emerge: 0–1; 1–10; 10–30 and 30 and above. Sixteen sectors below 1; 9 sectors 1–10; 0 sector 10–30 and 2 above 30. All the sectors below 1% points unnecessarily dragged NRA by creating managerial hassles. Among them, more interestingly, four sectors received zero allocation. Among 1–10 range fall education, health, road and other infrastructure. Among them a reconstruction authority can engage with selectively. The housing is the only sector which occupies nearly two third allocation. This pattern indicates that NRA type of organization needs to be focusing on few selective sectors only. Among them private housing is the prominent one. Partly this gravity-based arrangement was practiced by forming the CentralLevel Project Implementation Units (CLPIU) for education, building, grant management and infrastructure. Funds were channeled to all other sectors directly with implementation responsibility to the concerned line agency. The discussion suggests that the reconstruction authority has to take full responsibility of the private housing sector. Depending upon the damage, other few sectors can be considered. In retrospection, NRA could have been accounted also for education, heritage and health-related buildings. The implementation divisions had to be formed under NRA itself where respective Ministries’ ofïŽcials could have been pooled in. All the rest responsibility should have been trusted to the concerned Ministries themselves. Such arrangement would have allowed NRA to fully focus on maximum four sectors which would ensure implementation. 10.4.4 Governance and Accountability The TI report appreciated NRA’s delivery and recommended for introducing housing insurance policy, launching functional concessional loan policy, implementing propoor policies, replicating building permit system and relocating vulnerable settlements. However, the major crux of governance was the nurturing effective reconstruction agency for averting or minimizing natural disasters’ impact by integrating disaster resistant measures, lead rescue and relief operation and take forward reconstruction interventions. Federalization of the country has a direct impact on the nature of the Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) which has to be an enabler rather than NRA like implementor. The present National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority (NDRRMA) which is constituted as a supporting wing of the Ministry of Home Affairs but is not appropriately placed to bell the cat. Upgrading this institution directly under the Prime Minister and authorizing not only for rescue and relief but also for reconstruction and recovery activities will be essential to grapple with the 178 10 Assessing Impact of Post-Gorkha Earthquake Recovery … entire disaster cycle. The NDRRMA will require an interlocutor unit in each provincial and local government unit for effective delivery and also capacitating the local governments. The restructured NDRRMA will require donors’ technical assistance for bolstering its capacity at least for few initial years. Political parties obviously see rescue, relief, reconstruction and recovery from political lens which has a number of positive impacts as level of motivation for serving people receives enhanced impetus. However, another side of the coin could be tampering formal rules for the political beneïŽt. Such tendencies must be preempted with transparent and objective decision-making process. Effective governance is indispensable for administering NGO sector. Despite NRA’s halter, the NGOs’ operation was outside of the NRA’s control. Dual administration with Social Welfare Council was another conïŽicting area which could not be smoothened up until the end. NGO’s submission of proposal to their donors after receiving their nod before applying to NRA preempted NRA’s priority order. The situation complicates when donors’ objectives does not tally with NRA’s. NRA persistently confronted with the Engineers’ administration which may not be the case after emergence of the local government as engineers are embedded within the system. However, the number of engineers could be estimated for the normal time not for the post-disaster recovery period when there could be inïŽated demand. 10.4.5 Translating Constitutional and Legal Provisions into Practice The political conduct is not perfectly in compliance to the constitutional and legal provisions. This issue is linked to the sustainability of NRA created infrastructure as well. How far the Cohen’s thesis of perverse incentive still continues to operate in Nepal is the real question to grapple with. The local governments and even federal government are still young to appreciate and adhere the principle of resilience. First of all, the disaster-related institutions have a grave responsibility to raise awareness among the political personalities as they may not have epiphany on the consequence of built-in vulnerability. The politicians are pressurized to impress general public sometimes at the cost of sustainability. For example, they rallied for the single tranche grant in the parliament and on the street because the cash strapped households compelled them to act which the politicians considered as the populist move. However, they would have acted more responsibly if they would have known consequent implication of vulnerable structures. Several lives and a great deal of property would have been at the stake. Myopic people’s desire gets intertwined with political quest to win their heart for the next election prepares a conducive environment for vulnerability. Under this circumstance, securing advance political approval on such issues and implement the approved covenants by the government bureaucrats or professionals seems an appropriate compromise. As rule bound rigid machinery, 10.5 Conclusion 179 the bureaucracy cherishes the approved documents. On the other hand, the politicians also can ïŽag up such approved instrument to quell the public petulant tendency. The World Bank’s positioning for perpetuating three installments of the housing grant played crucial role for quelling down the demand of single tranche. It is obvious that a nation has to come up with genuine solutions internally not from the external agencies. However, had there been no World Bank’s positioning, the possibility of deciding toward single tranche was invincible. It suggests that under unavoidable circumstances, the external thump on wrist alters trajectory which can be the last resort in the future. In the context when the federal government has been on the steep learning curve, the local governments are far away. They are on the front line of the myopic and petulant general public which goads them to adopt populist solutions rather than bitter but genuine ones. In the context that the Kathmandu Metropolitan City’s compelled ratiïŽcation of non-compliant houses suggests that the far-ïŽung rural municipalities may not be interested to introduce the building code. The federal government has only one leverage of federal grant which if somehow could be tied up with building permit system will generate positive outcome. Having bottom-up mode of polity, Nepal can only opt for bottom-up intervention which mandates all professionals to operate in demand side rather than in supply side which is tortuous trail on steep slope. 10.5 Conclusion Completion of the post-2015 Gorkha Nepal Earthquake reconstruction within a period of six years, contribution of additional 0.83–3.28% to the GDP, mobilization of three fourth resources from the internal sources and appreciation of the Transparency International for maintaining immaculate delivery are self-explanatory facts that Nepal’s reconstruction was exemplary in the international standards. These claims have been substantiated by the international dignitaries all across the globe (NRA 2022). However, complacency must be avoided as the major stakeholders have not demonstrated whole-hearted commitment with the constitutional and other legal provisions of disaster resilience. Instead, their conduct indicates their deep attachment to their myopic interest. If this process remains unabetted, Nepal’s resilience drive may be derailed. For safeguarding, the only way out seems to be the demand side management by raising awareness among general public, politicians and other social workers. Securing policy-level decision from politicians and retaining implementation capacity at the bureaucratic level will work. Additionally, the reconstruction SPV will deliver effectively if it focuses only on the private housing. Other sectors could be delegated to the generic Ministries and Departments. Intensive intervention is urgent at the local level where principles are translated to action particularly for raising awareness and ensuring housing resilience through the building permit system. 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