REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES 01 – DERIVATIVES DERIVATIVES :- Derivatives is a financial instrument which derives its value from an underlying asset. :- Underlying asset means share, stock, bonds, currency, commodity, stock index etc. :- Derivative is an instrument for betting. :- We will discuss this chapter in two parts. Part I - Option Contract. Part II – Forward & Future Contract Part I : Option Contract We will discuss option contract in three points i. Basics. ii. Valuation of Option iii. Option Strategy (1) Basics (i) Option contract is a contract in which option holder has right but not obligation to buy or sell an underlying asset at predetermine price (Exercise price or strike price) on maturity. An option premium is to be paid in advance & such premium is transferred to option writer by stock exchange. (ii) There are two parties in option contract Option Holder or Option Buyer Right buy not obligation An option premium to be paid in advance. (iii) unlimited profit & maximum loss premium amount. (iv) Loves volatility. (i) (ii) Option Writer or Option Seller Obligation but not right. Margin money is required to be deposited at stock exchange. (iii) Unlimited loss & maximum profit is premium amount. (iv) Hates volatility. (i) (ii) Page 1 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (iii) There are two types of options (a) Call Option - Right to buy - Expected to price rise (b) Put Option - Right to sell - Expected to price fall (iv) Types of options on the basis of cash flows (a) European Option:- European option can be exercised only on maturity. (b) American Option:- American option can be exercised on or before maturity. Premium amount of American option is more than European. Example – 01 Mr. E is interested in buying a share of I.T.C. he is however afraid that the price of the share may move down. Hence, he does not purchase a share but buys a call option o 1 share of I.T.C. at a strike price of ₹300 by paying an option premium of ₹35. Required:(i) Determine the breakeven point price of Mr. E. (ii) Determine the Profit/Loss if the price on maturity is:- 250, 270, 290, 300, 320, 340, 350. Solution: (i) Calculation of breakeven point. BEP = EP + Premium = ₹300 + ₹35 = ₹335 (ii) Calculation of Profit/loss E = ₹300, Market Price 250 270 290 Premium = ₹35 Exercise or not Lapsed Lapsed Lapsed Gross Pay off 0 0 0 Premium (35) (35) (35) Net Pay off (35) (35) (35) Page 2 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES 300 320 340 350 Lapsed Exercised Exercised Exercised 0 20 40 50 (35) (35) (35) (35) (35) 15 5 15 Example – 02 Mr. G is hoping that the price of a share of ACC is going to fall. He purchases a put option at an exercise price of ₹480. He pays a premium of ₹40. Required:(i) Determine the breakeven point to Mr. G. (ii) Compute Profit/Loss for Mr. G if the price on maturity is:- ₹400, 420, 440, 480, 490, 500, 530. Solution: (i) Sales Calculation of breakeven point. BEP = EP – Premium = ₹480 − ₹40 = ₹440 (ii) Calculation of Profit/Loss Market Price 400 420 440 480 490 500 530 Exercise or not Yes Yes Yes No No No No Gross Pay off 80 60 40 0 0 0 0 Premium (40) (40) (40) (40) (40) (40) (40) Net Pay off 40 20 0 (40) (40) (40) (40) Question – 01 The equity share of SSC Ltd. is quoted at ₹310. A three month call option is available at a premium of ₹8 per share and a three month put option is available at a premium of ₹ 7 per share. Ascertain the net payoffs to the option holder of a call option and a put option, considering that: (i) The strike price in both cases is ₹320; and (ii) The share price on the exercise day is ₹300, 310, 320, 330 and 340. Page 3 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Also, indicate the price range at which the call and the put options may be gainfully exercised. (Exam Nov – 2018) Solution: Call option Holder Calculation of Net Pay off E = 320, Premium = 8 Market Price 300 310 320 330 340 Exercise or not No No No Yes Yes Gross Pay off Premium Net Pay off 0 0 0 10 20 (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) 2 12 Gross Pay off Premium Net Pay off 10 20 0 0 0 (7) (7) (7) (7) (7) 13 3 (7) (7) (7) Put option Holder Calculation of Net Pay off E = 320, Premium = 7 Market Price 300 310 320 330 340 Exercise or not Yes Yes No No No Call option is gainfully exercised when price of share it on maturity is use than 328 (320 + 8). Put option is gainfully exercised when price of share it on maturity is use than 313 (320 − 7). (v) In the money , At the money, Out of the Money, Intrinsic value & Time value In the money (ITM), At the money ( ATM ), Out of the money (OTM) Call Put EP < CMP ITM OTM EP = CMP ATM ATM EP > CMP OTM ITM There are two parts of option premium:- Intrinsic value & Time value (Volatility premium) Page 4 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Intrinsic value: If option is in the money, then difference between CMP & EP is called intrinsic value. If option is out of the money & At the money than Intrinsic value will be zero. Time value or Volatility premium : If option is in the money then Time value = premium amount – Intrinsic value If option is Out of the money & At the money then whole of the premium amount is time value. (vi) Participants in Derivative Market There are three participants or players in Derivative Market. (a) Hedgers :- Existing Exposure :- To avoid risk :- Take Long or short position (b) Speculators :- No existing exposure :- For making profit on the basis of price expectation. :- Take long or short position :- They may loose (c) Arbitrageurs :- No existing exposure :- For making profit on the basis of mispricing :- They are sophisticated investors & use skill to make profit :- Take long & short position simultaneously :- Loss is not possible (vii) Short selling (Stock lending & Borrowing Scheme) (a) Definition:- Short selling is a speculative activity is designed to make profit on the basis of bearish price expectation. (b) Explanation:- In short selling, short seller borrow stock from stock lender & sell it at current market price with a view to buy later on at lower price & return to stock lender. (c) Sources of Return:Page 5 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES − Price depreciation − Interest on selling amount (d) Sources of Risk:− Price Appreciation − Dividend (Short seller compensates dividend amount to stock lender) − Stock lending charges (e) Legal Status:- Short selling is prohibited in some Countries. In some Countries like US & India allow short selling with some restriction. In India stock Lending & Borrowing scheme (SLBS) of SEBI regulates short selling activities. Question – 02 Mr. A is holding 1,000 shares of face value of ₹100 each of M/s. ABC Ltd. He wants to hold these shares for long term and have no intention to sell. On 1st January 2020, M/s. XYZ Ltd. has made short sales of M/s. ABC Ltd.’s shares and approached Mr. A to lend his shares under Stock Lending Scheme with following terms: (i) Shares to be borrowed for 3 months from 1st January 2020 to 31st March 2020. (ii) Lending Charges/Fees of 1% to be paid every month on the closing price of the stock quoted in Stock Exchange and (iii) Bank Guarantee will be provided as collateral for the 2020. value as on 1 st January Other Information : (a) Cost of Bank Guarantee is 8% per annum. (b) On 29th February 2020 M/s. ABC Ltd. declared dividend of 25%. (c) Closing price of M/s. ABC Ltd.’s shares quoted in Stock Exchange on various dates are as follows : Date 1st January 2020 31st January 2020 29th February 2020 31st March 2020 Share Price in Scenario – 1 Bullish 1,000 1,020 1,040 1,050 Share Price in Scenario – 2 Bullish 1,000 980 960 940 You are required to find out: Page 6 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (i) Earnings of Mr. A through Stock Lending Scheme in both the scenarios, (ii) Total earnings of Mr. A during 1st January 2020 to 31st March 2020 in both the scenarios, (iii) What is the profit or loss to M/s. XYZ by shorting the shares using through Stock Lending Scheme in both the scenarios? Solution: (i) Earning of Mr. A lending Scheme Bullish 31 Jan (1080 × 1%) = 10.20 Bearish (980 × 1%) = 9.80 29 Feb (1040 × 1%) = 10.40 (960 × 1%) = 9.60 31 March (1050 × 1%) = 10.50 (940 × 1%) = 9.40 Earning per share ₹31.10 ₹28.80 (X) No. of share 1000 1000 Earnings ₹31100 ₹28800 Bullish 31.10 Bearish 28.30 (+) Dividend Income (100 × 25) 25 25 Total Earning per share ₹56.70 ₹53.80 (X) No. of share 1000 1000 Total Earnings ₹56,100 ₹53,800 (ii) Total Earning of Mr. A Lending charger (iii) Calculation of Profit/Loss to M/s. XYZ Ltd. Bullish Profit/Loss on share (1000-1050) Bearish (1000-940) (50) 60 Lending charger (31.10) (28.80) Bank Guarantee (20) (20) Page 7 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (1000× 8% × 3 12 ) (X) No. of share Loss (vii) 101.10 11.20 1000 1000 Profit 11200 ₹101100 Expected value of Option − Expected price of share = ∑ Price × probability − Expected value of option = ∑ Gross payoff + probability Or ∑ Intrinsic value x probability Question – 05 Equity share of PQR Ltd. is presently quoted at ₹ 320. The Market Price of the share after 6 months has the following probability distribution: Market Price ₹ 180 260 280 320 400 Probability 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 A put option with a strike price of ₹ 300 can be written. You are required to find out expected value of option at maturity (i.e. 6 months) (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: Expected Value of option. Price 180 260 280 320 400 Exercise or Gross pay off not Yes 120 Yes 40 Yes 20 No 0 No 0 Expected value of option Probability 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 Gross pay off × Probability 12 8 10 0 0 ₹ 30 Page 8 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Question – 06 You as an investor had purchased a 4 month call option on the equity shares of X Ltd. of ₹ 10, of which the current market price is ₹ 132 and the exercise price ₹ 150. You expect the price to range between ₹ 120 to ₹ 190. The expected share price of X Ltd. and related probability is given below: Expected Price (₹) Probability 120 0.05 140 0.20 160 0.50 180 0.10 190 0.15 COMPUTE: (i) Expected Share price at the end of 4 months. (ii) Value of Call Option at the end of 4 months, if the exercise price prevails. (iii) In case the option is held to its maturity, what will be the expected value of the call option? (MTP March – 2022, SM & PM) Solution: (i) Expected share price at the end of 4 months (120 × 0.05) + (140 × 0.2) + (160 × 0.5) + (180 × 0.1) + (190 × 0.15) = ₹160.50 ii) Value of option = 150 − 150 = 0 iii) Expected Value of option Price 120 140 160 180 190 Exercise or not No No Yes Yes Yes Gross pay off 0 0 10 30 40 Probability 0.05 0.20 0.50 0.10 0.15 Expected value of option Gross pay off × Probability 0 0 5 3 6 ₹ 14 (2) Valuation of Option or Option Pricing In this topic, we calculate value of option & compare with market price of option i.e. premium & decide whether option should be purchased or not? - Premium Amt. > Value of option - Premium Amt. < Value of option Overpriced Not buy Underpriced Buy There are three methods to calculate value of option. Page 9 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (i) Binomial Model - Risk neutral probability approach - Delta hedging or Risk free portfolio approach - Replicating portfolio approach (ii) Put call parity theorem (PCPT) (iii) Black – Scholes Model (BSM) (i) Binomial Model (a) Risk Neutral Probability Approach :- As per Binomial Model (Name Suggested), Only two possible price of stock on maturity i.e. - Maximum price or upper price of stock (us) - Minimum price or lower price of stock (ds) (b) Following step are applied to calculate value of option Step – 1 : Standard notation or given Step – 2 : Calculate risk neutral probability P= R−d u−d Step – 3 : Binomial Tree Step – 4 : Calculate value of option - Value of call Co = Cup +Cd (1−P) R - Value of put Po = PuP +Pd (1−P) R Question – 08 The current market price of an equity share of Penchant Ltd is ₹420. Within a period of 3 months, the maximum and minimum price of it is expected to be ₹500 and ₹400 Page 10 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES respectively. If the risk free rate of interest be 8% p.a., what should be the value of a 3 months Call option under the “Risk Neutral” method at the strike rate of ₹450? Given e0.02 = 1.0202 (SM & PM) Solution: Step 1: Given S = ₹420 us = ds = E = 450 R =8× 500 = 1.1905 420 400 420 = 0.9524 3 = 2% 12 E0.02 = 1.0202 Step 2: Risk Neutral Probability P= e rt −d 1.0202 −0.9524 = = 0.2844 u−d 1.1905−0.9524 Step 3: Binomial Tree Step 4: Value of Call Option Co = = Cup + Cd (1−p) e rt 50×0.2844 +(0×0.7156) 1.0202 Page 11 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = ₹13.94 Question – 09 Sumana wanted to buy shares of ElL which has a range of ₹ 411 to ₹ 592 a month later. The present price per share is ₹ 421. Her broker informs her that the price of this share can sore up to ₹ 522 within a month or so, so that she should buy a one-month CALL of ElL. In order to be prudent in buying the call, the share price should be more than or at least ₹ 522 the assurance of which could not be given by her broker. Though she understands the uncertainty of the market, she wants to know the probability of attaining the share price ₹ 592 so that buying of a one-month CALL of EIL at the execution price of ₹ 522 is justified. Advice her. Take the risk-free interest to be 3.60% and e0.036 = 1.037. (SM New Syllabus& PM) Solution: Step 1: Given S = ₹ 421 u = d = R = 592 421 = 1.406 411 = 0.976 421 e0.02 = 1.037 Step 2: Risk Neutral Probability P ert -d = u-d = 1.037-0.976 1.406-0.976 = 0.1419 Probability of use in price is 0.1419 Question – 11 A two year tree for a share of stock in ABC Ltd., is as follows: Page 12 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Consider a two years American call option on the stock of ABC Ltd., with a strike price of ₹98. The current price of the stock is ₹100. Risk free return is 5 per cent per annum with a continuous compounding and e0·05 = 1.05127. Assume two time periods of one year each. Using the Binomial Model, calculate: (i) The probability of price moving up and down; (ii) Expected pay offs at each nodes i.e. N1, N2 and N3 (round off upto 2 decimal points). (Exam Nov – 2020) Solution: Step 1: Given S = 100 u= 108−1.08 100 Page 13 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES d= 95−0.95 100 R = 1.05127 (i) Calculate the probability P = e rt − d u −d = 1.5127 −0.95 1.08−0.95 = 0.78 (ii) Value of Option Node 2 Value = (18.64 × 0.78) + (4.60 × 0.22) 1.05127 = ₹14.79 Intrinsic value = (108-98) = ₹10 Hence value of option at node 2 is ₹14.79 (Higher of two). Node 3 Value = (4.60 × 0.78) + (0 × 0.22) 1.05127 = ₹3.413 Intrinsic value =0 = ₹10 Hence value of option at Node 3 = 3.41 Node 1 Value = (14.79 × 0.78) + (3.41 × 0.22) = ₹11.69 1.05127 Intrinsic value = (100-98) = ₹2 Hence value of call option is = 11.69 Page 14 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Question – 12 Consider a two-year call option with a strike price of ₹ 50 on a stock the current price of which is also ₹ 50. Assume that there are two-time periods of one year and in each year the stock price can move up or down by equal percentage of 20%. The risk-free interest rate is 6%. Using binominal option model, calculate the probability of price moving up and down. Also draw a two-step binomial tree showing prices and payoffs at each node. (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: 1. Binominal tree 2. Calculation of Probability P= R-d u-d = 1.06-0.8 1.20-0.8 = 0.65 3. Value of option at each Node 2 Value = (22 × 0.65) + (0 × 0.35) 1.06 = ₹ 13.49 Node 3 Value =0 Node 1 Value = (13.49 × 0.65) + (0 × 0.35) 1.06 Page 15 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = 8.272 Question – 14 AB Ltd.'s equity shares are presently selling at a price of ₹500 each. An investor is interested in purchasing AB Ltd.'s shares. The investor expects that there is a 70% chance that the price will go up to ₹650 or a 30% chance that it will go down to ₹450, three months from now. There is a call option on the shares of the firm that can be exercised only at the end of three months at an exercise price of ₹550. Calculate the following: (i) If the investor wants a perfect hedge, what combination of the share and option should he select? (ii) Explain how the investor will be able to maintain identical position regardless of the share price. (iii) If the risk-free rate of return is 5% for the three months period, what is the value of the option at the beginning of the period? (iv) What is the expected return on the option? (Exam Nov – 2019) Solution: E = 550 S = ₹500 uS = ₹650 dS = ₹450 (i) Delta of Call = Cu − Cd uS −dS = 100 − 0 650 − 450 = 0.5 For perfect hedge Inverts should write 1 call option Is buy 0.5 share today. Page 16 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (ii) Pay off Price ₹650 Sell share (650 × 0.5) Call Exercised CI = 325 = (100) = 225 Price ₹450 Sell share (450 × 0.5) Call Lapsed CI = 225 =0 = 225 (iii) Value of call Cash Outflow = Cash Inflow (500 × 0.5 − Co) (1.05) = 225 (250 − Co) (1.05) = 225 Co = ₹35.71 (iv) Expected Return of Option Expected value of option = (100 × 0.7) + (0 × 0.3) = ₹70 Value of Option = ₹35.71 Expected Return on option = 70−35.71 × 100 = 96.03% 35.71 (ii) Put Call Parity Theorem Put call parity theorem is a strategy of combination of European call & put option at same exercise price on same asset for same maturity period. Equation of put call parity So + Po = Co + P.V, of EP Where, So = Current market price Po = Value of put option/put premium Page 17 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Co = Value of call option/call premium This equation is derived with the help of following two parts. Part I : Protective Put Part II : Fiduciary Call Example – 12 The following table provides the prices of options on equity shares of X Ltd. and Y Ltd. The risk free interest is 9%. You as a financial planner are required to spot any mispricing in the quotations of option premium and stock prices? Suppose, if you find any such mispricing then how you can take advantage of this pricing position. Share Time to Exercise 6 months 3 months X Ltd. Y Ltd. Exercise Price 100 80 Share Price Call Price Put Price 160 100 56 26 4 2 Solution: Equation of Put call Parity S0 + P0 X Ltd 160 + 4 164 = C0 + P.V. of EP = 56 + 100 1.045 = 151.69 This is a mispricing and possibility of Arbitrage Cost of fiduciary call is less than cost of protective put. Hence buy fiduciary call & sell protective pure. Arbitrage Gain = 164 – 151.69 = ₹12.31 Y Ltd 100 + 2 102 = 26 + 80 1.0225 = 104.24 Cost of protective put is less than cost of fiduciary call, hence buy protective put & sell fiduciary Call. Given = 104.24 – 102 Page 18 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = 2.24 Question – 16 The following quotes are available for 3 months options in respect of a share of P Ltd. which is currently traded at ₹ 310 : Strike price ₹300 Call option ₹30 Put option ₹20 An investor devises a strategy of buying a call and selling the share and a put option. (i) Draw his profit/loss profile if it is given that the rate of interest is 10% per annum. (ii) What would be the position if the strategy adopted is selling a call and buying the put and the share? (e0.025 = 1.0253; e0.25 = 1.2840) Solution: Strategy I buy call, sell share & Sell put E = 300 Today’s Cash flows Buy Call = (30) Short Sell share = 310 Sell Put = 20 Invest ₹300 @10% p.a. for 3 months 2.5% 300 700 Investment Amt 300 × + 307.59 Buy share & Return to Lender – 700 Call + 400 Put 0 Gain = 7.59 e0.025 200 + 307.59 – 200 0 −100 7.59 Strategy II Sell Call, Buy share & Buy Put Today’s Cash flows Sell Call + 30 Buy Share − 310 Buy Put − 20 Borrow ₹300 @ 10% p.a. for 3 months. Page 19 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Cash out flow 300 Maturity Repayment 300 × 1.0253 Sell Share 700 200 − 307. 59 −307.59 + 700 + 200 Put 0 Call + 100 − 400 Loss = − 7.59 0 − 7.59 (iii) Black Sholes Model (BSM) As per BSM, value of call option is calculated as under Co E = So × n(d1) − rt × n(d2) e Where, So = Current Market Price E = Exercise Price r = Rate of Interest [ Always Continuously Compounding ] n = Normal Distribution Table (Z Table) d1 = Delta of call or probability of stock price is more than exercise price d2 = Probability of option exercise S σ2 Ln o + r + t E 2 d1 = d2 = d1 − σ t σ t Question – 17 From the following data for certain stock, find the value of a call option: Price of stock now = ₹ 80 Exercise price = ₹ 75 Page 20 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Standard deviation of continuously compounded annual return = 0.40 Maturity period = 6 months Annual interest rate = 12% Given Number of S.D. from Mean, (z) 0.25 Area of the left or right (one tail) 0.4013 0.30 0.3821 0.55 0.2912 0.60 0.2743 e0.12×0.5 = 1.062 In 1.0667 = 0.0646 (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: Given Se = ₹80 E = ₹75 𝜎 = 0.40 t = 0.50 Year r = 12% Working Note 1: Calculation of d1 S σ2 Ln o + r+ t d1 E = σ t Ln d1 = d1 = d1 = 2 80 75 + 0.12 + (0.40)2 2 0.5 0.15 0.5 Ln 1.0667 + 0.10 0.2828 0.0646 + 0.10 0.2828 = 0.5820 Page 21 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Working Note 2: Calculation of d2 d2 = d1 - σ t = 0.5820 – 0.2828 = 0.2982 Working Note 3: n (d1 ) n (0.5820) 0.55 0.2912 0.60 0.2743 0.05 0.0169 0.0169 × 0.032 0.05 = 0.2912 − = 0.2804 n(d1 ) = 1 − 0.2804 = 0.7196 Working Note 4: n (d2 ) n (0.2992) 0.25 0.4013 0.30 0.3821 0.05 0.0192 = 0.4013 − 00.0192 × 0.0492 0.05 = 0.3824 n (d2 ) = 1 − 0.3824 = 0.6176 Calculation of Value of Call Option Co E = So × n d1 − rt × n d2 e 75 = ₹80 × 0.7196 – 0.12 ×0.5 × 0.6176 e Page 22 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = ₹57.50 – 43.6158 = ₹13.96 (3) Option Strategies (i) Straddles & Strangles (ii) Straps & Strips (iii) Bull & Bearish (iv) Butterfly (i) Straddles & Strangles Straddles: − An Investor expects that wide Volatility in price of underlying asset in future but he is not sure about movement i.e. price goes up & goes down hence he creates straddles strategy. − In straddles, we buy one call option & one put option at same strike price, on same asset for same maturity period. (Long straddles) − If price will rise then we will exercise Call option & Put option will lapse. − If price will fall then we will exercise Put option & Call option will lapse. Strangles: − An investor expects wide volatility in price of share but he is not sure about direction i.e. price rise or price fall, hence he creates strangles strategy. − In strangles, we buy one call option & one put option at different strike price, on same asset for same maturity period. − If price will rise then we will exercise call option & put option will lapse. − If price will fall then we will exercise put option & call option will lapse. − Cost of strangles strategy is less than cost of straddles strategy. − In strangles, Call option is bought at higher EP & Put option is lower EP. Question – 23 Mr. P established the following spread on the Coastal Corporation’s stock: Page 23 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (i) Purchased one 3-month call option with a premium of ₹ 6.5 and an Exercise price of ₹ 110. (ii) Purchased one 3-month put option with a premium of ₹ 10 and an Exercise price of ₹ 90. Coastal Corporation’s stock is currently selling at ₹ 100. Determine profit or loss, if the price of Coastal Corporation’s stock: (i) Remains at ₹ 100 after 3 months. (ii) Falls at ₹ 70 after 3 months. (iii) Rises to ₹ 138 after 3 months. Assume the size of option is 1,000 shares of Coastal Corporation. (RTP May – 2022) Solution: Cost of Strategy = ₹ 6.50 + ₹ 10 = ₹ 16.50 + ₹ 1,000 Share = ₹ 16,500 (i) Price on Maturity ₹ 100 In this situation both call & put option will be lapsed loss to Mr. P is premium amount i.e., 16,500. (ii) Price on Maturity ₹ 70 In this situation, Call option will lapse & put option be Exercised (iii) Gross pay off = ₹ 90 - ₹ 70 = ₹ 20 (X) No. of shares = 1,000 Gross payoff = ₹ 20,000 (-) Cost = ₹ 16,500 Profit = 3,500 Price on Maturity ₹ 138 In this situation, Put option will lapse & Call option be Exercise Gross Profit (138-110) = ₹ 28 Page 24 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (X) No. of shares = 1000 Gross payoff = ₹ 28,000 (-) Cost of Strategy = ₹ 16,500 Profit = 11,500 Question – 29 A call and put exist on the same stock each of which is exercisable at ₹ 60. They now trade for: Market price of Stock or stock index ₹ 55 Market price of call ₹9 Market price of put ₹1 Calculate the expiration date cash flow, investment value, and net profit from: (i) Buy 1.0 call (ii) Write 1.0 call (iii) Buy 1.0 put (iv) Write 1.0 put for expiration date stock prices of ₹ 50, ₹ 55, ₹ 60, ₹ 65, ₹ 70. (Practice Manual) Solution: (i) Calculation of Cash flows Stock Price Buy 1 call Write 1 call Buy 1 put Write 1 put ₹ 50 0 0 60 (60) ₹ 55 0 0 60 (60) ₹ 60 0 0 0 0 ₹ 65 (60) 60 0 0 ₹ 70 (60) 60 0 0 ₹ 65 5 (5) 0 ₹ 70 10 (10) 0 (ii) Calculation of Investment Value (Grose Pay off) Stock Price Buy 1 call Write 1 call Buy 1 put ₹ 50 0 0 10 ₹ 55 0 0 5 ₹ 60 0 0 0 60 Page 25 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Write 1 put (10) (5) 0 0 0 ₹ 65 (4) 4 (1) 1 ₹ 70 1 (1) (1) 1 (iii) Calculation of Net Profit 60 Premium = 9 Stock Price Buy 1 call Write 1 call Buy 1 put Write 1 put ₹ 50 (9) 9 9 (9) ₹ 55 (9) 9 4 (4) ₹ 60 (9) 9 (1) 1 (4) Option Greeks Price of option depends upon following factors. (1) Stock price (So) (2) Exercise price (E) (3) Time (t) (4) Volatility (σ) (5) Rate of Interest (R) Among these factors, exercise price is constant, remaining factors may change. Option price will change due to change in these factors. We wish to carryout sensitivity analysis i.e. Rate of change in option price with respect to each factor, keeping other factors constant. This rate of change have been assigned in Greek Letter. (i) Delta:(a) Delta means rate of change in option price with respect to stock price. Since call is bullish & put is bearish hence call has positive delta & put has negative delta. (b) If call option is deeply out of the money then delta of call closer to zero. If call option is deeply in the money then delta of call closer to 1. (c) Suppose delta of call 0.4 & Delta of put – 0.6 means. If means if price of stock goes by ₹ 1 then price of call option will go up by 40 paisa & price of put option will go down by 60 paisa . In Binomial 1 call is equivalent to 0.4 share long. Page 26 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES 1 put is equivalent to 0.6 share short In BSM Delta = N (d1) Hedge Ratio Delta call 0.4 = Write call & buy 0.4 shares. (ii) Gamma:- Delta does not move at same rate hence rate of changes in delta with respect to rate of change in stock price is called Gamma. (iii) Theta:- Rate of change in option price with respect to rate & change in time is called theta. Option price will go down due to passage of time. (iv) Vega:- Rate of change in option price with respect to volatility is called vega. Price of option will go up due to increase in volatility. (v) RHO:- Rate of change in option price with respect to increase rate is called “Rho” If rate of interest rises then price of call will go up & price of put will go down. Part II : Forward & Future (1) (2) (3) Forward Contract − Forward contract is a contract between two parties to buy or sell an underlying asset at predetermine price (forward Rate) in future delivery. − In forward contract forward buyer is obligated to buy & forward seller is obligated to sell such underlying asset. − Forward contract is over the counter (OTC) contract. Future Contract Future contract is − Standardized forward contract − Traded at stock exchange − With margin requirement − No counter party default risk There are Two parties in future contract (a) Future Buyer Contract to buy - Upside betting - Long position Page 27 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (b) (4) Future Seller Contract to sell - Downside betting - Short position Forward contract V/S Future contract Forward Contract (i) Over the counter contract Future Contract (i) Exchange traded (ii) Customized (ii) Standardized (iii) No margin requirement (iii) Margin requirement (iv) Counter party default risk (iv) No counter party default risk (v) Settlement only on maturity (v) Daily settlement in margin balance (Mark to Market settlement ) (vi) Less Liquidity (vii) Less regulations (viii) Generally used by hedgers (5) (vi)High liquidity (vii)More regulations (viii)Generally used by speculators . Stock index future − Stock index future means future contract on stock index i.e. Nifty & Sensex etc. − It could be on sector wise i.e. Bank nifty, IT index etc. Or it could be on overall market i.e. Nifty, Senses etc. − It is settled only in cash, No physical delivery is possible. It is more liquid than stock future. − It is difficult to manipulate. NUMERICALS (I) Margin A/c (II) Valuation of future (III) Beta management or Hedging through future (IV) Commodity future Page 28 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (I) Margin A/c There are three types of margin (i) Initial Margin:- Initial margin means margin amount is required at the time of execution of contract (ii) Maintenance Margin:- Maintenance margin is minimum margin amount. If initial margin is below maintenance margin then investor has to bring out extra margin. (iii) Variation Margin:- If initial margin is less than maintenance margin then investor has to bring extra amount of margin & such extra amount is called variation margin. Important Notes (i) Margin amount can be withdrawn if margin money is more than initial margin. If question is silent then assume no withdraws. (ii) Whenever contract is squared off then balance amount of margin is refunded . (iii) If initial margin is not given in question then it is calculated as under. Initial Margin = µ + 3𝜎 µ = Average daily absolute change in price 𝜎 = Standard deviation in price Question – 32 On 31/08/2021 Mr. R has taken a Long position of Two lots of Nifty Futures at 17,300. One lot of Nifty future is 50 units. Initial Margin required is 10% of Contract Value. Maintenance Margin required is 80% of Initial Margin. The closing price of 5 days are given below – Date 01/09/2021 02/09/2021 03/09/2021 06/09/2021 07/09/2021 Closing Price of Nifty Future 17340 17180 16990 16900 17120 You are required to(i) Prepare a statement showing the daily balances in the margin account & payment on margin calls, if any. Page 29 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (ii) Compute the Gain or Loss of Mr. R, if contract squared off on 07/09/2021. (iii) What would be the Gain or Loss if Mr. R, had taken the short position? (Exam December - 2021) Solution: Upside betting 17,300 Contract Value = 17,300 × 50 × 2 = 17,30,000 Initial Margin = 17,30,000 × 10% = 1,73,000 Maintenance Margin = 17,30,000 × 80% = ₹ 1,38,400 (i) Margin A/c (long) Statement showing the daily balances in Margin A/c and margin call if any, Day (ii) 31/08/21 Closing Price 17300 Profit Loss 01/09/21 17340 (40 × 50 × 2) = 4,000 - 1,77,000 02/09/21 17180 (17180 − 17340) × 50 × 2 = -16000 - 1,61,000 03/09/21 16990 (16990 − 17180) × 50 × 2 = -19000 - 1,42,000 06/09/21 16900 (16900 − 16990) × 50 × 2 = -9000 4000 1,73,000 07/09/21 17120 (17120 − 16900)× 50 × 2 = 22000 - Margin A/c (₹) - Balance 1,73,000 1,95,000 Calculation of Profit/Loss Ending margin ₹ 1,95,000 Less: Initial margin ₹ 1,73,000 Profit ₹ 22,000 Less: Margin call ₹ 40,000 Loss ₹ (18,000) Page 30 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Alternative: (17120 - 17300) × 50 × 2 = (18,000) (iii) Margin A/c (short Position) 17300 Day Closing Price 17,300 - 31/08/21 Profit Loss Margin A/c (₹) - Balance 1,73,000 01/09/21 17,340 (17180 − 17340) 50 × 2 = 4000 - 1,69,000 02/09/21 17,180 (17340 − 17180)× 50 × 2 = - 16000 - 1,85,000 03/09/21 16,990 (17180 − 16990)× 50 × 2 = - 19000 - 2,04,000 06/09/21 16,900 (16900 − 16990)× 50 × 2 = - 9000 - 2,13,000 07/09/21 17,120 (16900 − 17120)× 50 × 2 = 22000 - 1,91,000 Calculation of Profit/Loss Ending margin 1,91,000 Less: Initial margin 1,73,000 Profit 18,000 Question – 34 Sensex futures are traded at a multiple of 50. Consider the following quotations of Sensex futures in the 10 trading days during February, 2009: Day High Low Closing 4-2-09 3306.40 3290.00 3296.50 5-2-09 3298.00 3262.50 3294.40 6-2-09 3256.20 3227.00 3230.40 7-2-09 3233.00 3201.50 3212.30 10-2-09 3281.50 3256.00 3267.50 11-2-09 3283.50 3260.00 3263.80 12-2-09 3315.00 3286.30 3292.00 14-2-09 3315.00 3257.10 3309.30 Page 31 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES 17-2-09 3278.00 3249.50 3257.80 18-2-09 3118.00 3091.40 3102.60 Abhishek bought one sensex futures contract on February, 04. The average daily absolute change in the value of contract is ₹ 10,000 and standard deviation of these changes is ₹ 2,000. The maintenance margin is 75% of initial margin. You are required to determine the daily balances in the margin account and payment on margin calls, if any. (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: Initial Margin =μ+3σ = 10,000 + (3 × 2000) = ₹ 16,000 Maintenance Margin = 16,000 × 75% = ₹ 12,000 Margin A/c (Long) Day 04/02/09 Closing Price 3296.50 - Profit Loss Margin A/c (₹) - Balance 05/02/09 3294.40 (3294.40 – 3296.50) × 50 = 105 - 15,895 06/02/09 3230.40 (3230.40 – 3294.40) × 50 = - 3200 - 12,695 07/02/09 3212.30 (3212.30 – 3230.40) × 50 = - 905 4210 16,000 10/02/09 3267.50 (3267.50 – 3212.30) × 50 = - 2760 - 18,760 11/02/09 3263.80 (3263.80 – 3267.50) × 50 = 185 - 18,575 12/02/09 3292.00 (3292.00 – 3263.8) × 50 = 1410 - 19,985 14/02/09 3309.30 (3309.30 – 3292.00) × 50 = 865 - 20,850 17/02/09 3257.80 (3257.80 – 3309.30) × 50 = -2575 - 18,275 18/02/09 3102.60 (3102.60 – 3257.80) × 50 = 7760 5485 16,000 16,000 Page 32 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (II) Theoretical Future Price [Cost Of Carry Model] As per cost of carry model, Theoretical future price or fair value of future is calculated as under F = Spot price + Interest saved – Dividend forgone If Actual future price > Value of future -: Future is overpriced Actual future price < Value of future -: Future is Underpriced Suppose Spot price = ₹ 500 Rate of Interest = 10% p.a. Period = 1 year Expected dividend = ₹ 40 (a) Calculate theoretical future price F = Spot price + Interest saved – Dividend forgone = 500 + 50 – 40 = 510 Or, F F = S(1 + r)−D = 500(1.10)−40 = ₹ 510 (b) If actual price ₹550:- Since actual future price is more than theoretical future hence future is overpriced. (c) If actual future price ₹505:- Since actual future price is less than theoretical future price hence future is under price. Example – 17 Spot Price = ₹ 500 (F.V. ₹ 100) Period = 6 Months Page 33 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Dividend Rate = 20% Rate of Interest = 10% p.a. Calculate Theoretical Price of Future. Solution: Dividend Rate = EV Dividend Amount = Spot Price or Market Price D = ₹ 100 × 20% = ₹ 20 F = S(1+r)−D = ₹ 500 (1.05) - 20 = ₹ 505 Example – 18 Spot Price = ₹ 500 Period = 6 Months Dividend Yield = 5% p.a. Rate of Interest = 10% p.a. Calculate fair value of Future. Solution: Fair Value of Future D = 500 × 5% × 6 12 = 12.50 F = S (1 + r) - D = ₹ 500 (1.05) – 12.50 = ₹ 512.50 Alternator Page 34 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = S [1 + (r−y)t] F = 500 [1 + (0.10−0.05) 6/12] = 500 [1.025] = ₹ 512.50 Example – 20 Consider the following: Current value of index - 1400 Dividend yield - 6% CCRRI - 10% Find the value of a 3 month forward contract. Solution: Alternator F = S × e(r-4)t = 1400 × e(0.10-0.06)3/12 = 1400 × e0.01 = 1400 × 1.01005 F = 1414.07 Question – 35 The following data relate to Anand Ltd.'s share price: Current price per share ₹1,800 6 months future's price/share ₹1,950 Assuming it is possible to borrow money in the market for transactions in securities at 12% per annum, you are required: (i) to calculate the theoretical minimum price of a 6-months forward purchase; and (ii) to explain arbitrate opportunity. (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: (i) Theoretical Future Price F = S (1 + r) – D Page 35 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = 1,800 (1.06) – 6 = ₹1,908 = ₹435 (ii) ARBITRAGE Active Since future is overpriced, hence sell future & buy spot process Today Borrow ₹1,800 & buy stock Contract to sell such stock at future price ₹1,950 After 6 Months Cash Inflows Sell share at future price = ₹1,950 ₹1,800 (1.06) = ₹1,908 Arbitrage Gain = ₹42 Cash outflows Repayment of Borrowing Question – 40 On 31-8-2011, the value of stock index was ₹2,200. The risk free rate of return has been 8% per annum. The dividend yield on this Stock Index is as under: Month January February March April May June July August September October November December Dividend Paid p.a. 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% Assuming that interest is continuously compounded daily, find out the future price of contract deliverable on 31-12-2011. Given: e0.01583 = 1.01593 (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: Page 36 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (i) Calculation of average dividend field Avg. dividend Yield = 3 +3 +4+3 4 = 3.25% P.a. (ii) Calculation of future price F = S × e(r-4)t = ₹2,200 × e(0.08-0-0325)4/12 = ₹2,200 × e0.01583 = ₹2,200 × 1.01593 = ₹2,235.046 Question – 41 The NSE-50 Index futures are traded with rupee value being ₹100 per index point. On 15th September, the index closed at 1195, and December futures (last trading day December 15) were trading at 1225. The historical dividend yield on the index has been 3% per annum and the borrowing rate was 9.5% per annum. (i) Determine whether on September 15, the December futures were under-priced or overpriced? (ii) What arbitrage transaction is possible to gain out this mispricing? (iii) Calculate the gains and losses if the index on 15thDecember closes at (a) 1260 (b) 1175. Assume 365 days in a year for your calculations (Exam November - 2019) Solution: (i) Calculation of theoretical F = S [1+(r−d)t ] = 11.95 [1 + (0.095 − 0.03)91/365] = 1,195 (1.0162) = 1,214.37 = 1,214.37 × 1000 Page 37 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES = ₹1,21437 Actual future price = 1,225 × 100 = ₹1,22,500 Since Actual future price is more than theatrical future price, hence future is overpriced. (ii) Since future is overpriced, hence possibility of arbitrage gains. In this situation we Borrow & Buy stock at current market price & take short position on future at ₹ 1,225. (iii) Calculation of Arbitrage Gain 1260 1175 −122330 −122330 +126000 +117500 +893.79 +893.79 Profit/loss on future (1,225 – 1,260) × 100 −3500 (1,225 − 1,175) × 100 +5000 Arbitrage Gain = Repayment of Borrowing [1,195 (1 + 0.095 × 91 365 )] × 100 Sell share Dividend Income (1,195 × 3% × 91 365 ) × 100 ₹1,063.72 ₹1,063.79 Question – 42 Suppose current price of an index is ₹13,800 and yield on index is 4.8% (p.a.). A 6 months future contract on index is trading at ₹14,340. Assuming that risk free rate of interest is 12%. Show Mr. X (an arbitrageur) can earn an abnormal rate of return irrespective of outcome after 6 months . You can assume that after 6 months index closes at ₹10,200 and ₹15,600 and 50% of stock included in index shall pay dividend in next 6 months. Also Calculate implied risk free rate. Solution: Calculation of theoretical F = S (1+ r) − D = ₹13,800 (1.06) − 165.60 = ₹14,462.50 Actual future price = 1225 × 100 = ₹12,2500 Page 38 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Action D Since future is underpriced, hence future & sell stock = 13800 × 4.890 × 50 = 331.20 × 6 12 = 165.60 Process Today − Short sell 1 share at 13,800 & Invest @ 12% P.a. for 6 months. − Take long position at 14,340. After 6 month 10200 15600 Investment (13800 × 1.06) +1,4628 +1,4628 Buy share & return to Stock lender −1,0200 −1,5600 Dividend Compensation −165.60 −165.60 (10200 −14340) −4,140 (15600 − 14340) +1,260 ₹122.40 ₹12,240 Profit/loss on future Arbitrage Gain 122.40 = Implied RF Rate = 12 + 1.77 = 13.77% 13800 × 100 × 12 % of Return 6 = 1.77% Question – 43 A future contract is available on R Ltd. that pays an annual dividend of ₹ 4 and whose stock is currently priced at ₹ 125. Each future contract calls for delivery of 1,000 shares to stock in one year, daily marking to market. The corporate treasury bill rate is 8%. Required: Given the above information, what should the price of one future contract be? If the company stock price decreases by 6%, what will be the price of one futures contract? As a result of the company stock price decrease, will an investor that has a long position in one futures contract of R Ltd. realizes a gain or loss ? What will be the amount of his gain or loss? Page 39 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (Ignore margin and taxation, if any) (Exam Nov - 2019) Solution: (i) Calculation of Price of one future contract F = S (1+ r) - D = ₹ 125 (1.08) - 4 = ₹ 131 Price of one future Contract = 1000 share × 131 = ₹ 131000. (ii) Calculation of price of one future contract Price decrease by 6% i.e., ₹ 125 × 0.94 F = ₹ 117.50 = 117.50 (1.08) – 4 = ₹ 122.90 Price of one contract = ₹ 122.90 × 1000 shares = 122900. (iii) Calculation of lose on long position Loss = 131000-122900 = ₹ 8100. (III) Beta Management Or Hedging Through Stock Index Future (1) What is Beta? Beta is measurement of systematic risk which represent relationship between change in stock return & change in market return. Beta = Change in stock ′s return change in market return Page 40 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Suppose, change in stock return is = 20% & change in market return is 10% Hence Beta of stock = 20% 10% =2 Higher Beta means higher volatility i.e. higher risk. (2) What is portfolio Beta? − Portfolio beta means weighted average beta of individual stocks. − Suppose, we invest in following stocks. Stocks Investment Amount Beta A 3,00,000 2 B 2,00,000 1.5 C 5,00,000 1 VP = 10,00,000 Method I:- Calculation of Beta of portfolio BP = 3,00,000×2 + 2,00,000×1.5 +(5,00,000×1) 10,00,000 = 1.4 Method II:- Beta of Portfolio Stocks A B C Amount 3,00,000 2,00,000 5,00,000 Weights 0.30 0.20 0.50 10,00,000 1.00 Beta 2 1.5 1 BP W×B 0.6 0.3 0.5 1.4 Bp 1.4 means if index changes by 10% then value of portfolio will change by 14%. (3) Beta Management or Hedging Through Stock Index Future − We know that beta is a relationship between stock & market. − Suppose we hold stock of RIL at ₹ 5,00,000(Portfolio = ₹ 5,00,000) & Beta = 1 & we expect that portfolio will rise but it may possible that market will fall. We afraid from market falling & we want to hedge the risk of decrease in value of portfolio. Page 41 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES − In order to hedge risk, we have to decrease beta of portfolio & we take short position on stock index future ( Downside betting) − Suppose market will fall in future then we loose on long position of portfolio but, make profit on short position of stock index future. − No. of contracts to be bought or sold of stock index future is calculated as under x= Vp × BT − Bp F × M × Bf x = No. of contracts BT = Target Beta (If not given in question, assume “0”)[perfect hedge] Bp = Beta of portfolio F = Future price of stock index m = Multiplier (Lot size) BF = Beta of future (If not given in question , assume 1) Question – 44 On April 1, 2015, an investor has a portfolio consisting of eight securities as shown below: Security A B C D E F G H Market Price 29.40 318.70 660.20 5.20 281.90 275.40 514.60 170.50 No. of Shares 400 800 150 300 400 750 300 900 Value 0.59 1.32 0.87 0.35 1.16 1.24 1.05 0.76 The cost of capital for the investor is 20% p.a. continuously compounded. The investor fears a fall in the prices of the shares in the near future. Accordingly, he approaches you for the advice to protect the interest of his portfolio. You can make use of the following information: (1) The current NIFTY value is 8500. (2) NIFTY futures can be traded in units of 25 only. Page 42 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (3) Futures for May are currently quoted at 8700 and Futures for June are being quoted at 8850. You are required to calculate: (i) The beta of his portfolio. (ii) The theoretical value of the futures contract for contracts expiring in May and June. Given (e0.03 =1.03045, e0.04 = 1.04081, e0.05 =1.05127) (iii) The number of NIFTY contracts that he would have to sell if he desires to hedge until June in each of the following cases: (A) His total portfolio (B) 50% of his portfolio (C) 120% of his portfolio (SM & PM) Solution: (i) Calculation of Beta of Portfolio Stocks A B C D E F G H Market Price 29.40 318.70 660.20 5.20 281.90 275.40 514.60 170.50 No. of Shares 400 800 150 300 400 750 300 900 Value 11,760 2,54,960 99,030 1,560 1,12,760 2,06,550 1,54,380 1,53,450 9,94,450 Weight 0.01182 0.2564 0.0996 0.00157 0.1134 0.2077 0.15524 0.1543 Beta W×B 0.59 0.0070 1.32 0.3384 0.87 0.0866 0.35 0.0005 1.16 0.1315 1.24 0.2575 1.05 0.1630 0.76 0.1173 B.P = 1.102 (ii) Calculation of theoretical future price May future (2 months) F = Sert = 8,500 × e0.20 × 2/12 = 8,500 × e0.033 = 8,500 × 1.03387 = 8,787.89 June future Page 43 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES F = 8,500 × e(0.20 × 3/12) = 8,500 × 1.05127 = ₹8,935.79 (iii) Calculation of no. of contacts No. of Contract = VP × BT − Be F × M × BE (A) Total portfolio No of contracts = 9,94,450 × (0−1.102) 8,850 × 25 × 1 = 4.95 Contracts 5 contracts sold (B) 50% of Portfolio No of contracts = 9,94,450 × 50% × (0−1.102) 8850 × 25 × 1 = 2.48 Contracts 2 contracts sold (C) 120% of Portfolio No of contracts = (994450 × 120%) × (0−1.102) 8850 × 25 ×1 = 5.94 Contracts 6 contracts sold. Question – 45 Details about portfolio of shares of an investor is as below: Shares No. of shares (Iakh) Price per share Beta A Ltd. 3.00 ₹ 500 1.40 B Ltd. 4.00 ₹ 750 1.20 C Ltd. 2.00 ₹ 250 1.60 The investor thinks that the risk of portfolio is very high and wants to reduce the portfolio beta to 0.91. He is considering two below mentioned alternative strategies: Page 44 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (i) Dispose off a part of his existing portfolio to acquire risk free securities, or (ii) Take appropriate position on Nifty Futures which are currently traded at 8125 and each Nifty points is worth ₹ 200. You are required to determine: (1) Portfolio beta, (2) The value of risk free securities to be acquired, (3) The number of shares of each company to be disposed off, (4) The number of Nifty contracts to be bought/sold; and (5) The value of portfolio beta for 2% rise in Nifty. (SM & PM) Solution: (i) Portfolio Beta Stock A Ltd. B Ltd. C Ltd. No. of shares 3.00 4.00 2.00 Price free share 500 750 250 Value Weight 1,500 30,000 5,00 5,000 0.3 0.6 0.1 Beta 1.40 1.20 1.60 B.P = W×S 0.42 0.72 0.16 1.30 (ii) The Value of Risk free Securities to be acquired Disposed off existing securities & acquired RE Securities Vp = 5,000 Bp = 1.30 Let the value of RF Securities be x 5000 × 1.30 – x −1.30 + (x × 0) 5000 0.91 = 4500 = 6,500 – 1.30x x = x = 1,500 L 6,500 – 4,500 1.30 Alternative Page 45 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES B T 0.91 = = 0.7 B p 1.30 Wp = WRF = 0.3 Value of RF securities is ₹ 5,000 × 0.3 = ₹1,500 L. (iii) No. of shares to be disposed off Stock A B C Weight 0.3 0.6 0.1 Value 450 900 150 1,500 Price per 500 750 250 No. of shares 0.9 lacs 1.20 lacs 0.60 lacs (iv) No. of Contracts to be bought or sold No. of Contract = = VP × BT − Be F × M × BE 5000 ×(0.91−1.30) 8125 × 200 × 1 = 120 Contracts sold (v) Value of portfolio Beta it nifty riser by 2% If nifty rises by 2% than value of portfolio will rise by (2 × 1.30) = 2.6% Value of portfolio = 5000 + (5000 × 2.6%) = ₹5,130 Loss on short position of Nifty (120 × 200 × 8,125) × 2% = (39) VP Bp = 5294 = 1.82% = ∆ portfolio Return ∆ Market = 1.82% 2% = 0.91. Question – 51 Following information is available for consideration: Page 46 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES BSE Index 25,000 Value of portfolio ₹50,50,000 Risk free interest rate 9% p.a. Dividend yield on Index 6% p.a. Beta of portfolio 1.5 We assume that a future contract on the BSE index with 4 months maturity is used to hedge the value of portfolio over next 3 months. One future contract is for delivery of 50 times the index. Based on the above information calculate: (i) Price of future contract. (ii) Gain on short futures position if index turns out to be 22,500 in 3 months. Note: Daily compounding (exponential) formula is not required to be used. (RTP May – 2022, Exam July – 2021) Solution: (i) Calculation of price of one future contract future Contract F = S [1 + (r−y)t] = 25,000 (1 + (0.09 − 0.06) 4/12) = 25,000 × 1.01 = ₹25,250 Price of one future contract = 25,250 × 50 = ₹12,62,500 Calculation of 1 month future F = 25,000 (1 + (0.09 − 0.06) 1/12) = 22,500 × 1.0025 = ₹22,556.25 Gain on short position of future Page 47 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Gain = (25,250 − 22,556.25) × 50 × 6 = ₹8,08,125 (ii) Gain on loss on short position of future No. of Contract = VP × BT − Be F × M × BE = 5050000 × (0−1.50) 25250 × 50 × 1 = 6 Contracts sold Gain = (25,250 − 22,556-25) × 50 × 6 = ₹8,08,125 Question – 56 Shyam buys 10,000 shares of X Ltd., @ ₹25 per share and obtains a complete hedge of shorting 400 Nifty at ₹1,100 each. He closes out his position at the closing price of the next day when the share of X Ltd., has fallen by 4% and Nifty Future has dropped by 2.5%. What is the overall profit or loss from this set of transaction? (Exam January – 2021) Solution: Calculation of profit/loss Loss on long position of X Ltd. Loss on Short position of Nifty (2,50,000 × 4%) (4,40,000 × 2.5%) Gain (10000) +(11000) ₹1,000 Question – 59 Which position on the index future gives a speculator, a complete hedge against the following transactions: (i) The share of Right Limited is going to rise. He has a long position on the cash market of ₹50 lakhs on the Right Limited. The beta of the Right Limited is 1.25. (ii) The share of Wrong Limited is going to depreciate. He has a short position on the cash market of ₹25 lakhs on the Wrong Limited. The beta of the Wrong Limited is 0.90. Page 48 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (iii) The share of Fair Limited is going to stagnant. He has a short position on the cash market of ₹20 lakhs of the Fair Limited. The beta of the Fair Limited is 0.75. (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: Statement showing position in future Market Company Right Wrong Fair Position in cash Market Long Short short Amount Beta 50,00,000 25,00,000 20,00,000 1.25 0.90 0.75 Position in future Market 62,50,000 Short 22,50,000 Long 15,00,000 Long 25,00,000 Short Question – 60 Ram buys 10,000 shares of X Ltd. at a price of ₹22 per share whose beta value is 1.5 and sells 5,000 shares of A Ltd. at a price of ₹40 per share having a beta value of 2. He obtains a complete hedge by Nifty futures at ₹1,000 each. He closes out his position at the closing price of the next day when the share of X Ltd. dropped by 2%, share of A Ltd. appreciated by 3% and Nifty futures dropped by 1.5%. What is the overall profit/loss to Ram? (SM & PM) Solution: Statement showing position in future Market Company X Ltd. A Ltd. No. of Contracts Position in Cash Market Long Short = Amount Beta 10,000 × 22 = 2,20,000 5,000 × 40 = 2,00,000 1.5 2 Position in future market 3,30,000 Short 4,00,000 Long 70,000 Long 70,000 = 70 Long 1,000 Calculation of Overall project/long Loss on long position of X Ltd (2,20,000 × 2%) (4,400) Loss on short position of A Ltd (2,00,000 × 3%) (6,000) Loss on Long position of Nifty (70,000 × 1.5%) (1,050) Page 49 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Loss 11,450 Question – 61 Mr. X is having a portfolio of shares worth ₹170 lakhs at current price and cash ₹30 lakhs. The beta of share portfolio is 1.6. After 3 months the price of shares dropped by 3.2%. Determine: (i) Current portfolio beta. (ii) Portfolio beta after 3 months if Mr. X on current date goes for long position on ₹200 lakhs Nifty futures. (Exam July – 2021) Solution: (i) Portfolio Beta Bp = (170 × 1.60) + (30 × 0) 200 = 1.36 (ii) Portfolio Beta after 3 Months Calculation % fall in nifty = 1.6 = X = % Change is share % change is Nifty 3.2 X 3.2 1.6 = 2% Calculation value of portfolio after 3 Months Value of share portfolio = 170 – (170 × 3.2%) = 164.56 Loss on long position on Nifty (200 × 2%) Cash balance (30 − 4) Vp after 3 Months =4 = 26 = 190.56L % change is portfolio = 200−190.56 Beta of portfolio after 3 months 200 = × 100 = 4.72% 4.72% = 2.36. 2% Question – 54 Page 50 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Mr. SG sold five 4-Month Nifty Futures on 1st February 2020 for ₹ 9,00,000. At the time of closing of trading on the last Thursday of May 2020 (expiry), Index turned out to be 2100. The contract multiplier is 75. Based on the above information calculate: (i) The price of one Future Contract on 1st February 2020. (ii) Approximate Nifty Sensex on 1 st February 2020 if the Price of Future Contract on same date was theoretically correct. On the same day Risk Free Rate of Interest and Dividend Yield on Index was 9% and 6% p.a. respectively. (iii) The maximum Contango/Backwardation. (iv) The pay-off of the transaction. Note: Carry out calculation on month basis. (RTP November - 2020) Solution: (i) Price of one future contract price of one contract = ₹ 9,00,000 5 = ₹ 1,80,000 (ii) Calculation of Value of nifty as on 1/02/2020 F= F (iii) ₹ 1,80,000 = ₹ 2400 75 = S [1 + (r-y)t] 2400 = S (1 + (0.09-0.06) 4/12) 2400 = S × 1.01 S = 2400 1.01 = ₹ 2376.24 Maximum contango/Backwardation Since Basis is negative, hence market is said to be contango, Minimum contango is 23.76 Page 51 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (iv) Pay off of the transaction Gain on short position of Nifty (2400-2100) × 5 × 75 = ₹ 112500 Question – 55 A Mutual Fund is holding the following assets in ₹ Crores : Investments in diversified equity shares 90.00 Cash and Bank Balances 10.00 100.00 The Beta of the equity shares portfolio is 1.1. The index future is selling at 4300 level. The Fund Manager apprehends that the index will fall at the most by 10%. How many index futures he should short for perfect hedging? One index future consists of 50 units. Substantiate your answer assuming the Fund Manager's apprehension will materialize. (SM New Syllabus & PM) Solution: (Home Work) (IV) Commodity Future Commodity future means future contra t on commodity like gold, steel, oil etc. (i) Margin (ii) Theoretical future price (iii) Beta management Theoretical Future Pricing of Commodity As per cost of carry model, theoretical future price of Commodity is calculated as under. F = (Spot price + PVSC − PVCY) (1 + r) F = Theoretical future price PVSC = Present value of storage cost Page 52 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES PVCY = Present value of convenience yield Hedge Ratio or Hedging Through Future Spot price of Commodity & future price is Commodity are positive correlated but not in same rate. In this situation we have to find out the exact proportion & this is called “Hedge Ratio”. Hedge ratio is calculated by “Least Square Method”. Hedge Ratio = S.D. of Spot × r Spot & Market S.D. of Future Question – 64 The following information is available about standard gold. Spot Price (SP) ₹ 15,600 per 10 gms. Future Price (FP) ₹ 17,100 for one year future contract Risk free interest Rate (R)f 8.5% Present Value of Storage Cost ₹ 900 per year From the above information you are requested to calculate the Present Value of Convenience yield (PVC) of the standard gold. Solution: F 17,100 1.085 PVC = (Spot + PVSC) – PVC) (1 + r) = 15,600 + 900 – PVC = 739.63 Question – 66 A company is long on 10 MT of copper @ ₹ 474 per kg (spot) and intends to remain so for the ensuing quarter. The standard deviation of changes of its spot and future prices are 4% and 6% respectively, having correlation coefficient of 0.75. What is its hedge ratio? What is the amount of the copper future it should short to achieve a perfect hedge? (Practice Manual) Solution: (i) Calculation of Hedge Ratio Page 53 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Hedge Ratio = = S.D of shot S.D of future × r spot & future 4% 6% = 0.5 Hedge Ratio 0.5 means it future changes by 1,070 then spot will change by 5% (ii) Amount of copper future to be short for perfect hedge Spot Market long position = 10,000 kg × 474 = ₹47,40,000 Hedge Ratio = 0.5 Amount of copper future to be short = Exposure × Hedge ratio = 47,40,000 × 0.5 = 23,70,000. Question – 69 A Rice Trader has planned to sell 22000 kg of Rice after 3 months from now. The spot price of the Rice is ₹ 60 per kg and 3 months Future on the same is trading at ₹59 per kg. Size of the contract is 1000 kg. The price is expected to fall as low as ₹56 per kg, 3 months hence. Required: (i) To interpret the position of trader in the Cash Market. (ii) To advise the trader the trader should take in Future Market to mitigate its risk of reduced profit. (iii) To demonstrate effective realized price for its sale if he decides to make use of future market and after 3 months, spot price is ₹57 per kg and future contract price for closing the contract is ₹58 per kg. (RTP Nov – 2020 & MTP May – 2019) Solution: (i) Traders wants to sell in future but he hall commodity now & Expects that price will rise hence trader has long position on RICE in Cash Market. Page 54 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES (ii) Trader should take short position on Rice in future market to hedge the risk. (iii) Trader took short position on Rice at ₹ 59 After three months selling price of rice = ₹57 Gain on short position of future (₹59 − ₹58) = ₹1 Effective realized price = ₹58 Question – 68 A call option on gold with exercise price ₹ 26,000 per ten gram and three months to expire is being traded at a premium of ₹1,010 per ten gram. It is expected that in three months time the spot price might change to ₹ 27,300 or 24,700 per ten gram. At present this option is at-the-money and the rate of interest with simple compounding is 12% per annum. Is the current premium for the option justified? Evaluate the option and comments. (Practice Manual) Solution: Calculation of value of call option (Risk Neutral Probability) Step 1 : Given E = 26000 S = 26000 U = d = 24700 = 0.95 26000 R = 1.03 27300 26000 = 1.05 Step 2 : Risk Neutral probability P = R-d = 1.05 u-d = 1.03 – 0.95 = 0.8 1.05 – 0.95 Step 3 : Binomial Tree Page 55 REVISION CLASS DERIVATIVES Step 4 : Value of Call option Co = = = Cup + Cd (1-p) R 1300 ×0.8 + (0 ×0.2) 1.03 1009.71 or 1010 Since, premium amount is equal to value of option, hence option is correctly traded. Page 56