IN SOUTH AFRICA The author and the publisher believe on the strength of due diligence exercised that this work does not contain any material that is the subject of copyright held by another person. In the alternative, they believe that any protected pre•cxisting material that may be comprised in it has been used with appropriate authority or has been used in circumstances that make such use permissible under the law. Printed in South Africa by Capitil Press • • Typeset in 10.Spt on l3pt Phontina MT Std Project manager: Ute Kuhlmann Editor: Paul Carter Proofreader: Lee·Ann Ashcroft Cover designer: Drag & Drop Design Typesetter: Trace Digital Services Indexer: Derika van Biljon All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical. including photocopying. recording, or any information storage or retrieval system, without prior permission in writing from the publisher. Subject to any applicable licensing terms and conditions in the case of electronically supplied publications, a person may engage in fair dealing with a copy of this publication for his or her personal or private use, or his or her research or private study. Sec Section 12( l )(a) of the Copyright Act 9 8 of 1978. ISBN 978 0 70219 786 4 © 2016 Juta and Company (Ply) Ltd Juta and Company (Pty) Ltd PO Box 14373, Lansdowne, 7779, Cape Town, South Africa First published 20H, Bank M1111a9e111ent in South !\Ji-irn - 1\ risk•bascd perspective I i i ~ II it ~ '!' ( I 2.1 INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................31 PART TWO - THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING LANDSCAPE .......................... 29 CHAPTER 2: THE COMPETITIVE AND OPERATING ENVIRONMENT OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING INDUSTRY ..............................31 LEARNING OBJECTIVES .....................................................................................31 1.2 INTRODUCTION ...........................................................................................3 FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION THEORY ...................................................... 3 1.2.1 The heart of it all - financial intermediation ....................................... 3 1.2.2 Failure of the general equilibrium framework and the information asymmetry paradigm ...................................................... 6 1.2.3 First generation: are banks special? .................................................. 8 1.2.4 Second generation: are banks still relevant? ................................... 11 1.2.5 Third generation: are banks still banks? .......................................... 14 1.2.6 The functions of a bank ................................................................... 17 1.3 THE BUSINESS OF BANKING ................................................................... 20 1.3.1 Types of banks ................................................................................. 20 1.3.2 How do South African banks compare internationally? .................. 23 1.4 THE FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR BANKS ...................................................... 24 1.4.1 Risk versus uncertainty .................................................................... 24 1.4.2 Global policy co-ordinatio n .............................................................. 24 1.4.3 Non-traditional sources of competition ........................................... 24 1.4.4 Consumerism and the client of tomorrow ....................................... 24 1 .4.5 Regulation and risk management .................................................... 25 1.5 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................25 REFERENCES ......................................................................................................25 1.1 PART ONE- INTRODUCTION TO BANKING .......................................................1 CHAPTER 1: FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION THEORY ........................................3 LEARNING OBJECTIVES .......................................................................................3 Permission acknowledgements ........................................................................ xviii Preface ................................................................................................................. xv Acknowledgements ........................................................................................... xvii About the authors .................................................................................................xi Foreword ............................................................................................................. xiv 2.4.1 Return on average assets (ROM) ................................................... 58 2.4.2 Return on average equity (ROAE) .................................................... 58 2.4.3 Net interest margin (NIM) ................................................................. 59 2.4.4 Cost-to-income ratio (CTI ratio) ....................................................... 59 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................60 2.5 3:5 3.4 THE FINANCIAL REGULATORY AND SUPERVISORY FRAMEWORK IN SOUTH AFRICA .....................................................................................69 3.3 The international money laundering control framework .................. 87 The Financial Intelligence Centre Act (38 of 2001) .......................... 88 Legislative developments ................................................................ 90 Deposit insurance in South Africa .................................................... 91 Dealing with SIFls and the too-big-to-fail issue ............................... 91 CURRENT REGULATORY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS ..................... 90 3.6.1 3.6.2 COMBATTING MONEY LAUNDERING IN SOUTH AFRICA ....................... 87 Current legislative framework for consumer protection ................... 77 The proposed new approach to market conduct regulation under the Twin Peaks framework ..................................................... 83 FINANCIAL INCLUSION AND THE FINANCIAL SECTOR CODE ............... 86 3.4.1 3.4.2 MARKET CONDUCT REGULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA ............................ 76 The current regulatory framework .................................................... 69 Prudential regulation of banks in South Africa ................................. 70 Prudential supervision and the SREP .............................................. 72 Proposed prudential regulation under the Twin Peaks model ......... 73 THE RATIONALE AND LIMITATIONS OF FINANCIAL REGULATION AND SUPERVISION ....................................................................................64 3.2 3.3.1 3.3.2 3.3.3 3.3.4 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................123 INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................63 5.3 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................154 5.6 INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS: THE ROLE OF THE IMF AND THE WORLD BANK ..........................................................................................148 5.5 5.5.1 The International Monetary Fund ................................................... 148 5.5.2 The World Bank ............................................................................. 151 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................152 THE ROLE OF SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS IN THE AFRICAN CONTEXT .. 143 5.4 Origins and progression ................................................................. 131 A new emphasis: financial inclusion .............................................. 136 Dealing with the GFC ..................................................................... 138 THE HISTORY AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING ENVIRONMENT .......................................................................131 5.2 5.3.1 5.3.2 5.3.3 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................125 THE INTERNATIONAL BANKING ENVIRONMENT ................................... 127 5.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................125 CHAPTER 5: THE DEVELOPMENT AND INTERNATIONALiSATION OF SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING ....................................................... 125 4.5 LEARNING OBJECTIVES .....................................................................................63 4.4.1 The life-cycle phases of relationship banking ................................ 105 4.4.2 The two dimensions of relationship banking ................................. 11 O 4.4.3 The drivers of bank relationships ................................................... 111 4.4.4 The seven relationships of relationship banking ............................ 112 4.4.5 Relationship-based strategies ....................................................... 120 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................123 TRANSACTIONAL VERSUS RELATIONSHIP BANKING ............................ 99 A MODEL FOR RELATIONSHIP BANKING .............................................. 105 Personal interaction distribution channels ....................................... 96 Remote interaction distribution channels ........................................ 97 4.4 4.2.1 4.2.2 DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS IN BANKING ................................................. 96 INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................95 4.3 4.2 3.1 CHAPTER 3: FINANCIAL REGULATION IN THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING INDUSTRY .....................................................................63 REFERENCES ......................................................................................................61 PERFORMANCE VARIABLES ....................................................................57 4.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES .....................................................................................95 Pricing strategies in the banking industry ........................................ 51 Merger analysis ................................................................................ 54 CHAPTER 4: RELATIONSHIP BANKING IN SOUTH AFRICA ............................ 95 REFERENCES ......................................................................................................92 3.8 2.3.1 2.3.2 Structural variables .......................................................................... 34 The nature of the products .............................................................. 47 Barriers to entry ............................................................................... 48 Complex monopoly .......................................................................... 50 v 3.7.4 The implementation of TCF ............................................................. 91 3.7.5 Proposed reform of the ombud system ........................................... 92 CONCLUSION ............................................................................................92 Contents CONDUCT VARIABLES .............................................................................. 51 2.2.1 2.2.2 2.2.3 2.2.4 AN SCP ANALYSIS OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING INDUSTRY ...... 32 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 2.4 2.3 2.2 iv Contents vii A TYPICAL INTEGRATED REPORT OF A BANK ...................................... 172 6.3 6.4 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................176 Net interest income ........................................................................ 191 Net non-interest income ................................................................ 192 Loan impairments .......................................................................... 192 7.5.1 Fair value vs historical cost accounting ......................................... 192 7.5.2 The use of annual financial statements ......................................... 193 CONCLUSION .... ......................................................................................194 OTHER ISSUES IN FINANCIAL REPORTING ........................................... 192 7.4.1 7 .4.2 7.4.3 STATEMENT OF PROFIT OR LOSS AND OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME ....................................................................................................191 REFERENCES ........... .........................................................................................194 7:6 7.4 7.3 Assets of a bank 183 Liabilities of a bank 187 Capital and reserves of a bank ...................................................... 189 FINANCIAL REPORTING IN SOUTH AFRICA .......................................... 179 THE STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION ........................................... 181 7.2 7.3.1 7.3.2 7 .3.3 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................179 7 .1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................179 CHAPTER 7: FINANCIAL REPORTING FOR BANKS ....................................... 179 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................177 6:5 6.2.1 Integrated reporting as a basis for organisational risk assessment ... 161 6.2.2 The structure and content of integrated reports ............................ 162 SUSTAINABILITY REPORTING ................................................................ 170 Introduction and general overview ................................................. 173 Director and executive management reports ................................. 173 Corporate governance report ........................................................ 173 Risk management report ............................................................... 173 Capital management report ........................................................... 174 Divisional (operational) reviews ...................................................... 174 Annual financial statements and notes .......................................... 175 Definitions and abbreviations ........................................................ 176 Shareholder information ................................................................ 176 Sustainability report ....................................................................... 176 ORGANISATIONAL REPORTING FRAMEWORK ..................................... 161 6.2 6.4.1 6.4.2 6.4.3 6.4.4 6.4.5 6.4.6 6.4.7 6.4.8 6.4.9 6.4.1 0 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................161 6.1 8.2.1 The elements and difficulties of effective performance management. 198 8.2.2 The role of performance measures in a bank ................................ 201 8.2.3 Understanding financial performance measures ........................... 202 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................222 BANKING PERFORMANCE AS A STRATEGIC BANK RISK MANAGEMENT TOOL ..............................................................................198 Evolving nature of risk .................................................................... 244 Innovation and new risks ............................................................... 245 Complexity and the modelling versus judgement issue ................ 245 Regulatory know-how and resource allocation ............................. 245 Policy and regulatory responses .................................................... 246 The incentive-governance dilemma ............................................... 246 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................246 9.5.1 9.5.2 9.5.3 9.5.4 9.5.5 9.5.6 THE OUTLOOK FOR RISK MANAGEMENT IN BANKING ........................ 244 Product- and service-mix diversification ....................................... 243 Geographical diversification .......................................................... 243 Inter- and intra-market diversification ............................................ 244 Workforce diversification ................................................................ 244 10.1 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................249 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................249 CHAPTER 10: THE IDENTIFICATION AND MEASUREMENT OF RISK IN BANKING ...................................................................................249 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................247 9.6 9.5 9.4.1 9.4.2 9.4.3 9.4.4 ENTERPRISE-WIDE RISK MANAGEMENT IN BANKS ............................ 237 HOW DO BANKS DIVERSIFY RISK? ........................................................ 243 9.3 9.4 Risk management versus risk measurement .................................. 230 Risk versus uncertainty .................................................................. 231 Risk versus reward ......................................................................... 233 Contextualising the organisational risk philosophy ....................... 234 9.2 9.2.1 9.2.2 9.2.3 9.2.4 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 229 SELECTED CONCEPTS IN RISK MANAGEMENT ................................... 229 9.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ................................................................................... 229 CHAPTER 9: ESTABLISHING A RISK PHILOSOPHY IN BANKS ..................... 229 PART FOUR - RISK MANAGEMENT IN BANKING ..........................................227 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................223 8.3 8.2 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................161 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................197 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................197 8.1 CHAPTER 6: INTEGRATED REPORTING FOR BANKS ................................... 161 CHAPTER 8: MEASURING THE PERFORMANCE OF A BANK ....................... 197 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective PART THREE- REPORTING IN BANKING ....................................................... 159 vi Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective EVE and Basel ............................................................................... 316 ix 12.2.1 Exchange-traded derivatives ......................................................... 322 12.2.2 OTC derivatives ............................................................................. 339 12.2.3 Alternative risk management instruments ...................................\.. 347 12.3 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................349 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................349 Risk-weighted assets optimisation ................................................ 272 Compliance with LCR and NSFR. .................................................. 272 Unsecured lending ......................................................................... 273 Other smaller risks ......................................................................... 27 4 10.5 CONCLUSION .......................................................................................... 274 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 277 The loanable funds theory and components of interest rates ....... 280 The yield curve ............................................................................... 282 The relationship between interest rates and inflation .................... 288 The relationship between interest rates and the business cycle ... 291 The impact of SAAB announcements ............................................ 294 The measuring of interest rates and the management of interest rate risk ............................................................................. 295 ........ c..c·--_--0:>~--"c<+.=-«.rv=_\'l"'~~ 11.7.1 11.7.2 11.7.3 11.7.4 "···SA= .... ,.--~~~- EVE and the gap (repricing) analysis .............................................. 314 EVE and the duration gap analysis ................................................ 315 EVE and the discount cash flow method ....................................... 315 EVE and the simulation approach .................................................. 316 MANAGING THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF EQUITY (EVE) .......................... 312 11.6 DURATION GAP MANAGEMENT ............................................................. 305 11.5 INTEREST-SENSITIVE GAP MANAGEMENT ........................................... 300 11.4 THE ASSET-LIABILITY COMMITTEE (ALCO) .......................................... 297 11.3.1 11.3.2 11.3.3 11.3.4 11.3.5 11.3.6 11.3 THE CONCEPT OF INTEREST RATES, THE YIELD CURVE, INTEREST RATE RISK AND EXPECTATIONS ............................ 280 11.2 ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT: THE BALANCE SHEET PERSPECTIVE ..........................................................................................278 11.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................277 CHAPTER 11: THE MANAGEMENT OF INTEREST RATE RISK: ASSETLIABILITY MANAGEMENT ........................................................277 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................275 10.4.1 10.4.2 10.4.3 10.4.4 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................319 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................353 Managing cash .............................................................................. 355 Managing loans .............................................................................. 356 The investment book ..................................................................... 367 Other assets ................................................................................... 369 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................... 371 Deposits ......................................................................................... 372 Non-deposit borrowings ................................................................ 37 4 Capital ............................................................................................ 375 14.3.1 14.3.2 14.3.3 Extending loans Reserves Interbank lending 375 378 379 14.3 USES OF BANK LIABILITIES ................................................................... 375 14.2.1 14.2.2 14.2.3 14.2 THE LIABILITIES OF A BANK .................................................................. 372 14.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................371 CHAPTER 14: MANAGING THE LIABILITIES OF A BANK ...............................371 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................370 13.4 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................370 13.3.1 13.3.2 13.3.3 13.3.4 13.3 MANAGING THE ASSETS OF A BANK .................................................... 355 13.2 BREAKDOWN OF THE ASSET BOOK: A RECAP .................................... 353 13.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................353 CHAPTER 13: MANAGING THE ASSETS OF A BANK ..................................... 353 PART FIVE - MANAGING THE SOURCES AND USES OF FUNDS IN BANKING ......................................................................................351 12.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ................................................................................... 319 12.2 DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS ....................................................................320 CHAPTER 12: MANAGING RISK IN BANKING ................................................. 319 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................317 11.8 CONCLUSION .......................................................................................... 317 11.7.5 Contents 10.3.1 Value-at-risk ................................................................................... 258 10.3.2 Risk-adjusted performance measures ........................................... 269 10.3.3 Distress-based performance measures ......................................... 271 10.4 RISK PERCEPTION - SOUTH AFRICAN BANKS ..................................... 271 10.2.1 The challenges of risk .................................................................... 249 10.2.2 On-balance-sheet risk ................................................................... 250 10.2.2 Off-balance-sheet risk ................................................................... 258 10.3 RISK MEASUREMENT TOOLS ................................................................. 258 10.2 WHAT IS RISK? ........................................................................................ 249 viii Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The liquidity gap ............................................................................. 380 Methods for estimating liquidity needs .......................................... 382 INTRODUCTION .......................................................................................387 Calculating the capital adequacy ratio under Basel I .................... 393 The 1996 Amendment to Basel I: explicit market risk capital charge ............................................................................................ 398 The purpose of bank capital .......................................................... 388 How much capital does a bank need? .......................................... 388 Capital adequacy standards: global reform and South Africa ....... 391 I .................................................................................................... 393 The three pillars of Basel II ............................................................. 403 The definition of capital and capital charges under Basel II .......... 405 The operational risk capital charge ................................................ 409 The market risk capital charge under Basel II. ............................... 413 Basel II capital adequacy requirements in South Africa ................ 414 The definition of capital under Basel 111. ......................................... 416 The major contributions of Basel 111 ............................................... 418 The implementation of Basel Ill in South Africa ............................. 426 INDEX .................................................................................................................433 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................431 15.7 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................430 15.6.1 15.6.2 15.6.3 15.6 BASELlll ..................................................................................................416 15.5 BASEL II½ ................................................................................................414 15 .4 .1 15.4.2 15.4.3 15.4.4 15.4.5 15.4 BASEL II .................................................................................................. .403 15.3.1 15.3.2 15.2.1 15.2.2 15.2.3 15.3 BASEL 15.2 REGULATION FOR BANK CAPITAL ......................................................... 388 15.1 LEARNING OBJECTIVES ...................................................................................387 CHAPTER 15: BANKS AND CAPITAL ADEQUACY ..........................................387 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................385 14.5 CONCLUSION ..........................................................................................385 14.4.1 14.4.2 14.4 LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT ......................................................................380 x Dr Arno van Niekerk - Department of Economics, University of the Free State Dr van Niekerk has a PhD in Economics and a Master's degree in Money and Banking from the University of the Free Stale (UFS). He worked for an auditing company, after which he pursued a career at the UFS where he is currently a senior Dr Jesse de Beer - Department of Economics, University of the Free State Dr de Beer is a senior lecturer in the Department of Economics at the University of the Free State, specialising in investment management and financial regulation. She has 21 years of lecturing experience, lecturing Economics and Financial Economics at undergraduate and postgraduate level. She has published in local and international academic journals and presented papers at local and international conferences in the areas of consumer decision-making in retail financial markets, capital flows, investment management, behavioural finance and financial literacy, as well as several topics related to financial regulation in South Africa. She has also acted as a referee for several academic public<1tions, including the Journal <!f Economic and Financial Sciences (JEFS), the South African Journal of Economics and Die Tydskrif vir Geesteswetenskappe. Dr de Beer has been an external examiner for Master's and PhD degrees (University of Johannesburg, PUK campus of the University of the North West, University of Pretoria and Rhodes University). Dr Johan Coetzee - Department of Economics, University of the Free State Dr Coetzee has a PhD in Economics from the University of the Free State (UPS). an MBA (Chartered B,mker) from the University of Bangor in Wales and a Master's degree in Banking from the UPS. He worked for Nedbank in the Retail Division as a branch manager, and later as an analyst in the Sovereign and Institutions Risk Unit in the Corporate Credit Division. Since leaving the private sector, he has pursued a career in academia and is currently the Deputy Chair of the Department of Economics at the UPS and a board member of the School of Investment and Banking al the Milpark Business School. Dr Coetzee has also been an external course evaluator and presenter in the Risk Management course presented by the South African Reserve Bank Academy, and teaches Macroeconomics in the MBA programme at the UFS Business School. He has been a visiting external seni.or lecturer in Bank Management at the Salzburg University of Applied Sciences in Austria, where he teaches Master's students specialising in Financial Risk Management. He has been an external course evaluator for several courses at NWlJ and Rhodes University and has published in both local and international academic journals in topics related to banking. specifically in the South African banking industry. ••.•.• ,+~~!"??_ .~/Y/FC~-->> J<--?=• \!W':l'>\m• ••• ·"'" .. ,,_,~,,_~_ •.- - ~ = ~ ~--~- Shaun Watson CA(SA) - School for Accounting, University of the Free State Mr Watson is a qualified Chartered Accountant and also has an HDip in Tax and a Master's degree in Accounting at the University of Pretoria. He currently lectures Financial Management to both under- and postgraduate students specialising in Accounting at the University of the Free State. He has also lectured Financial Management at the University of Bremen in Germany. Mr Watson has presented and published research papers at both national and international conferences and in journals respectively. He has extensive private sector experience at major accounting firms. as well as being contracted to the Auditor General. Cornelie Crous CA(SA) - School for Accounting, University of the Free State Ms Crous obtained her CA qualification in 2005 after completing her articles at the international auditing firm PriccwaterhouseCoopers (PwC). After a nine-month secondment to the USA in 2004/2005, she joined the University of the Free State as a senior lecturer in June 2005. beginning to specialise in auditing in 2006. She obtained her MCompt degree (cum laude) in auditing in 2013 and received the Dean's Medal for the best Master's dissertation in the Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences in the same year. Ms Crous has been involved in the training and assessment of prospective chartered accountants in South Africa for the past: decade. She is a board member of the University of the Pree State Enactus (previously SIPE) chapter and has served on several professional committees and bodies in her field. She is specialising in South African corporate governance with focus on higher education institutions in South Africa. She has also co-authored several books focusing on the audit profession and the Company's and Close Corporations Acts in South Africa and has presented several peer-reviewed papers in her field at international conferences. ··------~~-··---~~-~~ Dr Ja 'nel Esterhuysen - Standard Chartered Bank South Africa Dr Esterhuysen is currently a Senior Director at Standard Chartered Bank in Johannesburg. He has a well-established background in the South African banking industry with companies such as Standard Bank. Investec and Barclays. His experience covers a wide range of topics, including credit risk analysis. quantitative market risk analysis. updating and implementing market risk methodology, and quantitative input for joint probability of default methodology. He is currently extensively involved in structuring project finance, leverage finance and structured equity finance transactions. He holds two PhDs, has authored 11 internationally published research papers, and co-authored 15 research papers. He is also the author of The Management of Operational Value at Risk in South African Banks. Prof Andre Heymans - School of Economics, North-West University Prof Heymans has a PhD in Risk Management from North-West University. Before returning to academia. he was employed at the Bank of New York Mellon in London in corporate banking. After the credit crisis of 2008 he moved back to South Africa to take up a position at a local financing firm as Head: Research and Development on their trading desk. Since leaving the private sector, Prof Heymans has been employed at North-West University where he is the head of the Risk Management programme. Prof Heymans also served on the Board of the Economic Society of South Africa and is a board member of the School of Investment and Banking at the Milpark Business School. He is an external course evaluator for several finance courses at WITS. UNISA, UFS and UKZN. regularly publishes in both local and international academic journals in topics related to investments and banking. and supervises several Master's and PhD students in finance. xiii Karlien Stemmet- Department of Economics, University of the Free State Mrs Stemmet obtained both her BCom (Hons) and MCom with distinction in Economics from the University of the Free State (UPS). During her studies she was awarded the Dean's medal for the best Master's student in the Faculty of Economic and Business Sciences. and obtained academic honours colours from the university. She is employed by the UPS and teaches Economics for Managers in the MBA programme, PGDip and BML programme at the UPS Business School. She specialises in microeconomics, industrial organisation. competition law and complex network theories. About the authors Dr Chris van Heerden - School of Economics, North-West University Dr van Heerden is currently a senior lecturer and programme leader of Economics at the North-West University's Potchefstroom Campus. After completing his PhD in 2011 he accelerated to a well-established specialist in performance evaluation and risk management in under three years. He is the section editor of the South African Journal of Economic & Management Sciences (SAJEMS) and of the International Business and Economics Research (IBER) journal, and a regular peer reviewer of several nationally and internationally accredited academic journals. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective lecturer .in the Department of Economics. Dr van Niekerk teaches International Economics and is also an external moderator to postgraduate courses in International Trade and Finance. He has been a visiting external senior lecturer in linancial markets and institutions at the Salzburg University of Applied Sciences in Austria for a number of years, as part of their Master's programme. He bas published in academic journals, both local and international, focusing on global economic governance, international finance and trade. He has also been a reviewer for a number of journals. xii Helena van Zyl Professor in hanking and Director at the UF'S Business School It is a notable achievement that a younger generation ol' academics have contributed in this way to the field of risk management in banking. Given the above brief background, and despite the ongoing transformation and development of academic material and theory, there is a permanent need for quality handbooks in the field of risk management - not only for students in banking, but also for banking practitioners. I would like to commend this handbook, which provides a theoretical basis for financial intermediation and an overview of the South African banking landscape, with a specific focus on risk management in the banking environment- the first of its kind to have an exclusive focus on South African banks. The management of risk has become critically important in all facets of the financial services industry. Banks are considered to be the fundamental pillar of a financial system and. therefore, clarity on the meaning and management. of risk is nonnegotiable. Financial instability in any financial system is dangerous and cannot be tolerated, especially since 2008. Globalisation has become a reality for the South African financial markets since the democratic elections in 1994. Although we can highlight a few delining events, the 2008 Global Financial Crisis completely changed the landscape of risk management for financial markets and financial institutions. Whereas the earlier focus had been on the solvency of banks using the Basel Accords by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the crisis provided a rude awakening for the local and international tinancial world. It showed that rules and procedures alone are not sufficient to prevent a '2008' from occurring: proper and rigorous implementation of these rules and procedures is needed. Part 4 is the heart of the text, as the focus is on risk management in banks. The institutional risk management philosophy sets the tone for how banks identify, measure and manage the wealth of risks they face on a daily basis. Part 4 answers the question: How do banks establish an organisational philosophy that identifies, measures and manages risk? Part 3 considers the reporting environment that banks are faced with, specifically integrated reporting, financial reporting and performance measurement. Part 3 answers the question: How do hanks report their conduct and performance to stakeholders? Part 2 deals specifically with the South African banking landscape and includes a comprehensive overview of the structure, regulatory environment. relationshipbased environment and the development and internationalisatio n of South African banking. Part 2 answers the question: What does the South African industry look like and how has it developed through the years? Part l introduces the theory of financial intermediation. It takes a historical view of the evolution of the theory and explains what makes banks unique. Part l answers the question: Are banks (still) special? The book is divided into five parts: This book deals with how banks manage risk and it takes an explicitly South African perspective. This, in my experience, has been a void for local bankers and students when trying to understand how the South African banking environment functions. As a result, the need arose for a one-stop reference guide on banking in South Africa that was both reader-friendly and technical enough to address the needs of all interested parties. The first notion of writing a book on bank management occurred whilst: I was still an undergraduate student. The lecturer would often say things like, 'Leave out the first three chapters as they do not apply to South Africa'. This always puzzled me why had no-one written a text that focused on the South African situation? When I later worked for Nedbank in the Sovereign Risk Unit, again I was confronted by my colleagues asking for 'South African evidence', landing in a situation where the 'evidence' could only be found from many sparse and scattered sources. The tinal straw was when I entered academia and found myself saying exactly what my undergraduate lecturer told me: 'Leave out the first three chapters as they do not apply to South Africa'. At this point a book that focused on the South African situation became a priority, and what you see in front of you is the result. A final note on the text. According to the International Accounting Standard 1 (IAS 1) paragraph HJ, the terms 'balance sheet' and 'income statement' have been replaced with 'a statement of financial position' and 'a statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income' respectively. IAS 1 further states, however, that an entity may use alternative titles for the statements. As such, this book refers to both interchangeably, but, in most part, still refers to the old terms. The reason for this is twofold: .first, some of the largest banks in the world still use the old terminology (balance sheet and income statement). It would therefore be confusing not to refer to it as such, especially when an objective of this book is to provide a platform for readers to analyse the financial statements of the largest banks in the world; second, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) uses the old terminology in their policy documents. Given the importance of the Basel capital Accords, once again it would be better to conform to the international convention at this stage. Although South African banks use the new terminology as per IAS 1 and the quality of financial reporting in South Africa is regarded as probably the best in the world according the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report, we acknowledge the period of transition that the global banking community finds itself in regarding the use of the terms under IAS 1, and adapt our book on these grounds. For the lecturers or facilitators using this book, we have included PowerPoint slides for each chapter, along with a set of over 400 multiple-choice questions that test the content of each chapter, We hope that this will provide a means to encourage young aspiring bankers to learn more about this wonderful field, Part 5 provides management with the tools to manage the sources and uses of funds; that is, their balance sheet. In particular, the final chapter deals extensively with the evolution of the Capital Accords since Basel I in 1988 until present-day Basel III extending until 2019, The South African capital requirements are dealt with and form the foundation for the regulatory and operating environment facing banks going forward. Part 5 answers the question: How do banks manage their balance sheets and how must international, and specifically South African banks, comply with the capital requirements provided by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision? xvi Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Johan Coetzee Bloemfontein South Africa December 2015 Finally, to my family, and specifically my wonderful wife Karlien who supported me endlessly, and son Benjamin, this book is ultimately dedicated to you. J would also like to acknowledge the input from two professors in banking at the UPS who inspired me both as a student and later as a colleague. In particular, Prof Helena van Zy I and Prof Buks Wessels were instrumental in the formative phase of the book. Their motivation to strive for excellence and to ensure that banking as a discipline is handled with the respect it deserves has been my underlying motivation for this book. Writing a text on the South African banking environment is indeed a daunting task. I realised soon enough that I would not be able to do it without the help of fellow academics who specialise in aspects of banking (or economic theory at large). As such, a book of this nature would not have been possible without the help of my contributing authors. The knowledge and know-how that my colleagues Shaun, Arno, Karlien, Jesse and Cornelie at the University of the Free State (UFS); Chris and Andre at North-West University: and Ja'nel at Standard Chartered Bank have brought to the table has ensured that the final product is of higher quality than I could have achieved on my own. Table 5.5: South African Bank presence in SADC countries in the first decade since isolation (1994-2 003) Staff Working Paper ERSD-20 06-03 © World Trade Organization (WTO) 2006 Table 5.3: Foreign assets of South Africa (1996-2 005) © 2015 ElsevierB.V. Table 5.2: Foreign banks as percentage of total banks by African region (19982006) © 2015 Elsevier B.V. Table 5.]: Impact of the GFC on selected African financial markets compare d globally © 2014-20 15 European Report on Developm ent Figure 5.2: Bank trading incomes per region as percentage of gross total income -2011 The Banker Database. Top 1000 world banks 2013. The Banker Research Team. Financia l Times Ltd Figure 5.l: Movements in bank loans volumes in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) Bank for Internati onal Settleme nts (BIS). 2010. Table 4.8: Selected brands in the organisational structures of the big four South African banks Barclays Africa Group, Limited, FirstRan d Group Limited, Nedbank Group Limited, Standard Bank Group Limited Table 4.6: Sections of the Code of Banking Practice © The Banking Asso<::iation South Africa (BASA) Table 3. 7: The six pillars of the FSC and progress made by the Big Four banks in South Africa Dr Arno van Niekerk xix 15.14: The sources of risk components under the IRB approach Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) 15 .13: The five asset class exposures under the lRB approach Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15.12: Credit risk weights under the standardised approach Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15 .11: The definition of capital under Basel If Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15.9: Specification of market risk factors in the IMA according to the 1996 Basel Amendment Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15.8: Selected standards for qualitative, quantitative, stress testing, and external validation in the lMA according to the 1996 Basel Amendment Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) . . Table 15.5: CredU conversion factors (add-ons) for off-balance-sheet derivativ es according to Basel I on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15.4: Credit conversion factors for off-balance-sheet instruments and transactions (CRWA 0 rrr) according to Basel I Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15.3: Risk-weight categories for on-balance-sheet assets according to Basel I • Basel Committee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Table 15.2: The definition of capital under Basel I Basel Committ ee on Banking Supervis ion (BCBS) Figure 13.1: Moody's KMV. Overview. 2008: Average PDs, 2002-20 09 . © 2015 Moody's Analytics. Inc. Moody's KMV Table 13.3: Moody's EDf vs Moody's external ratings © 2015 Moody's Analytics. Inc. Moody's KMV Table 9.4: The risk statement and risk appetite for Nedbank Group Nedbank Group Limited Table 2.5: Net interest margin (NIM) data for South African banks, 2007-20 13 Bankscope © Bureau Van Dijk Table 2.6: Cost to income ratio: Banks 2007-20 13 Banksco pe © Bureau Van Dijk Table 9.3: The risk statement and risk appetite for Standard Bank Group Standard Bank Group Limited Table 9.2: The risk statement and risk appetite for FirstRand Group FirstRand Group Limited Table 9.1: The risk statement and risk appetite for Barclays Africa Group Africa Group Permissio n Acknowle dgements Table 2.4: Return on average equity for South African banks, 2007-20 13 Bankscope © Bureau Van Dijk ''iahknowledgements ,-~--'- . ' h -. ••Oh, Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective m w•,•r=< >>····="""'·"""•~..,.,_,_..__ _ _ _ _ _~. Table l 5.27: Basel HJ transition period minimum requirements for LCR in South African banks South African Reserve Bank Table I 5.26: Final Basel III capital requirements applicable to South African banks from 2019 South African Reserve Bank Table I 5.2 S: Basel Ill capital framework transitional period: 2013-2019: South African Reserve Bank Table 15.24: The twelve principles for the 0-SIB framework Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Table 1 S.21: G-SIB score ranges for the HLA buckets until 31 December 20 IS Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Table l 5.20: The indicator-based measurement approach for G-SIBs Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Table l 5.19: Minimum capital conservation standards for individual banks when a bank has to comply to a 2.5% CB requirement Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Table 15.18: Minimum capital conservation standards for individual banks Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Table 15.17: The definition of capital under Basel Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) Table 15.15: The business lines and beta weights under the standardised approach for the operational risk capital charge Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) xx ·~--------=-•:.7=== -~~--- -,,~---·· <=-r '7>~---=---.-•""-• lJCTION TO ,--ONE ~ - - - -. . - . . - = ~ , .... ~ W - , P _ I I ' \ ~ ~ _ ) \ 1 ~ , ~ S - S ~-- .-- -~- - - ~ - INTRODUCTION The heart of it all - financial intermediation -~-· ~ - - - v · - ~ - - - ,---- - ~ - ~ - ~ ~ - - - - In order to understand the importance of banks, a good departure point is to identify their contribution to an economy. Table ] .l provides the relative contributions of debt and equity financing (in Rmillion) relative to gross domestic product (GDP) in the South African financial markets. Loans have consistently been the preferred source of financing (sec the shaded cells), especially when compared FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION THEORY 1.2 1.2.1 Banks are in the business of managing risk. These risks can originate from past, present or future transacJions and exist in almost every activity in which they participate and in relation to every market participant with whom they interact:. As financial markets have become more integrated and global in nature, the types of risk have changed to include those traditionally banking-related, such as credit and liquidity, as well as those that are non-traditional in nature, such as off-balance sheet risk. Banks have had to adapt to this change in ways that have questioned their identity as being purely banks. This situation has been exacerbated by the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) which began in 2007. ft is argued by many that the GFC has changed the banking landscape forever and that perhaps the global banking environment is entering a 'new normal' post-GFC. The purpose of this chapter is to provide an overview of the literature explaining the role of banks specifically and financial intermediaries in general. The chapter also considers the contribution of banks to the economy and identities the different types of banks. 1.1 After reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain why the general equilibrium theory fails to explain the role of banks in an economy explain how banks can reduce market imperfections such as moral hazard and adverse selection discuss the three generations of financial intermediation theory identify and discuss the different types of banks discuss the three phases of the Global Financial Crisis identify and discuss the main functions of a bank identify how South African banks differ in size from the largest banks in the world ■ provide a brief commentary on the future challenges facing South African banks. LEARNING OBJECTIVES □ ciafIntermediation Theory T Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 186 513 4.0 11.9 23 828 17 015 -2 774 ·HT' <; 17 050 109 347 163 943 143 263 172 656 171 3G4 156 553 . ,, 10.2 .,. • 08 2.8 4.6 6.2 >,cc .,: 16.4 ,;.: i,J\'4.9·.·•·· :\•:,,...... 15 1.0 -0.1 0.7 82165 87 780 124 851 16 690 106 984 80856 87 548 .• , •......·.••·•••<•• ,tt>./4;7\),:.._c./ 93 087 78 0G0 4:etrtc·,:• 5.3 . 153 359 ··•.·• 4.1 Asao/oof GDP" 5.2 5.0 5.9 3.2 4.3 2.9 2.9 24 2.6 4.0 GDP" of ii ~ r : : - - 1 " \ Y . 0 = ..,,_. ___ ---· .·• Do the results of Table 1.1 suggest that banks are in some way special, particularly if alternative sources of debt from financial markets across the world are being accessed more easily than ever before? Why would economic agents go through the effort of applying for a loan rather than accessing capital markets directly? Do banks have features that make them unique? These questions have plagued academics in the field of financial economics for several decades and have resulted in a wealth of literature investigating the nature of banks in particular, and linancial intermediaries in general. The focus of our attention is therefore the evolution of this so-called financial intermediation (Fl) theory. At the heart of a bank's purpose is its role to act as an intermediary. This function eliminates the so-called double coincidence of wants problem by bringing together different market participants and allocating resources more efficiently •• between them. This is especially effective because it reduces the search and time costs associated with two parties finding each other under a bartering system. The process of financial intermediation is depicted in Figure 1.1. •Calculated by the author. for the year by South African banks [registered under the Banks Act (94 of 1990)] to the domestic private sector. Source: SARB (2015:Sl0: 20 I 2:Sl0) 1•2 11 Net issues of marketable bonds for the year. Includes government. local government, other borrowers and public enterprises. Source: BPA McGrcgorl 'for the year, by companies listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Source: (201 S:S30: 2012:S30)u dCalculated by the author. At market prices. Source: SARB (2015:S 108; 20l2:Sl08)u 2005 241 543 297 288 -20 566 2009 2008 289 812 78 213 2007 137 751 2011 140156 202 853 2013 2012 2010 186 033 2014 sector' Total public >·· Equity share capital raisedc Bond market Total value of Asa%of GDP" Debt Total Loans domestic credit extensiorrt 2006 - Year ending 2005-2014 Table 1.1 Relative contributions of debt and equity financing in South Africa for the period to raising debt in the bond market. What is also noticeable is how the relative contribution of loans has decreased substantially since 2009, amidst the GFC and the subsequent squeeze on bank lending. 4 5 Given that a market has several market participants, including households, governments, foreigners and businesses, an efficient process is needed, firstly to bring them together and secondly to allocate the available resources efliciently between them. Fis achieve this by bringing together market participants with excess cash/ wealth who are prepared to lend (surplus economic units) and market participants with a shortage of cash/wealth who want to borrow (deficit economic units). In creating this link, Fis reduce information and search costs for the market participants. In the case of a bank, the effect of this intermediation process is reflected on its balance sheet. The funds from the surplus units are used as a liability to grant loans to the deficit units (as an asset) - banks pay interest on the former and use these funds lo finance lhe latter on which they earn interest. Liabilities are therefore the source of funds for a bank and assets the use of funds. How a bank is able to manage its assets and liabilities to maximise the spread between the interest paid and earned is central to its being a profitable institution. This is the process of intermediation and serves as the. basic definition of a bank. Put differently: Figure 1.1 The process and effect of intermediation in banking Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation banks have the ability to gather, store and disseminate proprietary information that reduces information asymmetry between the client and the bank. In doing so, they are able to make more informed decisions and allocate resources more efficiently by reducing information and search costs. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Failure of the general equilibrium framework and the information asymmetry paradigm The literature on Fl theory has grown primarily from the works of Gurley and Shaw 5 and Benston and Smith.<' Although no single theory exists, formal theories have been developed as a result of the general equilibrium framework failing to explain the role of banks in the economy. The subsequent focus on market imperfections caused by asymmetric information. in particular, became a central feature in the derivation of FI theory and evolved when the general equilibrium framework of perfect markets was insufficient to explain the existence of banks. This framework postulates that information is symmetric (perfect) and complete across all economic agents. ensuring that all variables affecting their well-being arc 1.2.2 Although in its simplest form intermediati on explains whal a bank does, scholars have for decades argued whether or not lhis is the dejininu feature that accounts for their existence. The subsequent rise of FI theory has been characterise d by three generations, each asking a distinct question. The first generation focused on the role of a bank and asked the question: are banks special? This generation was characterise d by scholars questioning the rationale for the existence of banks, especially with regards to establishing whether or not they had features that made them special. As llnancial markets became more competitive and global. particularly in the latter part of the 1990s and early 2000s, the existence of banks was increasingly under pressure. Non-traditio nal competitors were entering the banking domain and threatening bank survival and clients were exposed to new ways of doing business that did not necessarily require the services of a bank. Managing the risk associated with bank-client relationships became increasingly challenging. As a result, the second generation of Fl theory emerged focusing on the relevance of banks. The central question at this time was: are hanks still relevant? More recently, as a result of global events such as the terrorist attacks in the US in September 2001 and also the GFC, the literature has focused more on identifying the risks faced by banks and in particular how to manage them in an increasingly complex and interconnected financial system. The systemic risk associated with bank failure, especially in the global banking context, has raised awareness of the systemic importance of banks, resulting in renewed focus being placed on regulation. The third, and current, generation has therefore been characterise d by risks emanating from sources that have either been non-traditio nal, or have not been known to the bank. Consequently, banks, and how we understand them, have been questioned, with the central question thus being: are /Ja11ks still banks? FI theory has evolved as the nature of financial markets has changed. The different theories are therefore considered to be mutually inclusive of one another, 4 and the following section provides a discussion around the evolution of FI theory. 6 7 known. Also referred lo as the Arrow-Dubreu framework, it assumes that all trade with firms takes place simultaneou sly and before uncertainty is resolved. At equilibrium, resource allocation is Pareto optimal, meaning that the trading of contingent commodities leads to efficient risk allocation. Each agent (in this case, the bank and the consumer) acts optimally as a result of having access to perfect financial markets and inter-temporal smoothing is assumed to occur automatically. Transaction costs are also assumed to be non-existent. Since all markets clear perfectly at equilibrium, banks make zero profits. as all interest rates are equal. no matter the volume or characterist ics of the securities on the balance sheet of the bank. In reality. this state of equilibrium is not possible and therefore does not provide a suitable framework to explain the existence of banks. This resulted in what •Freixas and Rocbet7 refer to as the 'incomplete information paradigm', which has led to explanations of the imperfect nature of financial markets and establishing the rationale for the existence of Fis and thus banks. Central to the problem of imperfect markets and the failure of the ArrowDubreu framework is the problem of asymmetric information. Asymmetric information refers to a situation where one party in a relationship /transaction has different information (defined by amount or quality) from the other party in the relationship /transaction . This asymmetry whether intentional or nol. will result in market imperfection as neither party is able to make decisions based on the same ormano making the information less costly and exclusive to the benefiting 1rty. As.: party. As a result of having superior information, one party will be able to make a ore.informed r decision when compared to the other party. In the case of banks that intermediate, the lack of information results in increased risk, because poor quality information leads to poor quality decisions. Imperfect or asymmetric information gives rise to the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard. Adverse selection occurs when a selection/decision is made that is not a 'good' decision. Within the context of asymmetric information, iJ one party in a relationship /transaction bases their decision on less or poorer quality information, and the decision/selection is a poor one, adverse selection bas been said to occur. In effect, had there been no asymmetric information and the latter party bad had all the available information on which to base the decision, adverse selection would probably not have occurred as a 'better' decision would have been made given more or better quality information. In the words of Akerlof, 8 'the difficulty of distinguishing good quality from bad is inherent in the business world; this may indeed explain many economic institutions. ' Adverse selection is therefore characterised by increased risk on the part of the party making the decision/ selection, but not necessarily being aware of this risk due to the asymmetric information. For this reason, adverse selection occurs before (or ex ante) the bad decision/selection is made. Asymmetric information also causes moral hazard. which occurs when one party within a relationship /transaction acts in a risky manner at the expense of the other party in the relationship/transciction. As the name suggests, there is a moral • element to the action taken by the party making the decision because they try to maximise their gains at the expense of the other party. Moral ha;,:ard is thus Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective First generation: are banks special? The general equilibrium theory failed to explain the existence of Fis and as a result scholars have tried to explain the existence of banks based on the functions they 1.2.3 Since the general equilibrium theory failed to adequately explain the role of banks, the information asymmetry paradigm emerged in the 1960s and enabled policy makers to identify structural weaknesses within the banking sector. Market imperfections such as adverse selection and moral hazard were seen as central to explaining the existence of Pis in general and banks in particular. In a banking context, these market imperfections would imply situations of information asymmetry occurring before (adverse selection) and during (moral hazard) a contract between a bank and its borrower. By using specialised expertise to evaluate the proprietary information gathered from clients, banks are able to reduce asymmetric information and generate information economies of scope. The bank is able to minimise credit risk by being more informed about the client's ability to service the debt. This is particularly important because the presence of asymmetric information has profitability implications and banks act to allocate resources more efficiently when they are aware of the existence of this imbalance. As suggested by Leland and Pylc. 9 Diamond. 10 Campbell and Kracaw 11 and Chan 12 unless a bank is able to monitor borrowers, the existence of moral hazard impedes direct information transfer between market participants and results in the justification of Fls. The general equilibrium theory was unable to explain the existence of banks and so scholars have, since the 19 SOs, been trying to establish not only why banks exist but also whether or not they arc unique. Three generations of FI theory are identified to explain the evolution of this research. Abank in its ability to collect, store and disseminate proprietary client irifcmnation is>bY its very nature, able to overcome, at least partially, the market imperfections of adverse selection and moral hazard. For example, credit screening js. used to identify and categorise economic agents according to their risks and characteristics, thereby reducing the likelihood of selecting a client who is likely to default. Given lhata bank isprivy tOproprietary and confidential clientinformationandthatit monitors the behaviour of its clients, it is in an ideal position to identify Situations where moral hazard may arise. Of course, this is assumed to be true if the bank has all the information atits disposal. It is clear, therefore, that adverse selection arid moral hazard cause markets to perform sub-optimally and thus .fail.G~is rn~rket. failure, more specifically information asymmetry, implies that the gemJral equilibrium theory of perfect markets does not provide an adequate framework to justify the existence of banks. tt was with this in mind that the foundation was laid fOrtheoriStS to establish explanations as to why Fis, and in particular banks, exist. associated with the incentives of economic agents to avoid costly actions knowing very well that they will benefit at the expense of the other party. This occurs after inception (or ex post) of the relationship/transaction. 8 9 Contrary to Benston and Smith, 6 Leland and Pylc 9 discarded the magnitude of transaction costs associated with the intermediation function and suggested information asymmetry as the primary reason for the existence of Fis. Their study indicated that the willingness of a firm to commit equity capital to a project would act as a signal to the market thereby indicating the quality of the project. If intermediaries did not exist and firms had to allocate their own resources to enable them to sell information to investors, Leland and Pyle argue that the information would then become available to the public in the form of a public good. Fama 14 cites the ability of banks to generate low-cost financial information by monitoring loans and creating a comparative advantage as making banks special. He further concluded that although banks issue certificates of deposit (CDs), that have no apparent benefits in relation to similar instruments such as commercial paper or bankers [a] complete theory of the firm, however, should not only provide an integrated view of the [bank]'s asset and liability choices, but also allow an endogenous determination of the total scale of operation of the [bank]. perform. The first generation of FI literature made reference, in particular, to transaction costs and asymmetric information, providing the foundation for understanding the role of Fis. Based on works published in the mid-19 SOs, Gurley and Shaw 5 in 19 60 provided the first recognised conceptual framework by integrating the theories of money and financial institutions. They aimed to explain the relationship between commercial banks and non-banking financial institutions in the US and identified the ability to transform assets at a low cost as a central function of a bank. Banks were seen to exist due to market imperfections and they administered their asset and deposit portfolios cheaply and on a large scale, which enabled them to gain economies of scale as the size of the bank increased. This function of transforming liabilities (primary securities) into assets (secondary securities) was a vital initial contribution to FI theory. Based on the work of Gurley and Shaw, 5 Benston and Smith 6 referred to the reduction of transaction costs as central to the intermediation function. In particular, they regarded Fis as 'creating specialised financial commodities' that can be sold to cover the expected costs of production. They viewed these commodities as a derived demand that enabled both inter- and intra-temporal transfers of consumption by individuals. Technology and transaction costs borne by consumers determine who sells the financial commodities and in what manner they are packaged. Baltensperger 13 identified the main economic function of banks as transforming risks and acting as brokers in credit markets. According to him, the literature at the time focused on financial and portfolio aspects such as information, uncertainty and adjustment costs, but avoided looking at banks as institutions that could consolidate and transform risk, which in turn would produce and maintain financial contracts through the use of real resources such as labour. The central tenet of his contribution was that the financial and real resources of a bank must be dealt with in an integrated manner. As he states: 13 Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory I Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective acceptances, they still offer competitive yields, albeit that CDs require banks to hold non-in terest bearing reserves agains t deposits - this is referre d to by Black 15 as a tax on deposits. Campbell and Kracaw 11 took a contra ry stance to the view that Fls focused only on information costs, the protection of confidentiality or the production of information. Rather, they regarded these views as being complementary and not independent or stand-a lone explan ations of financial interm ediation. They suggested, contra ry to Leland and Pyle, 9 that information asymm etry and costly information were not the sole reason s for the emerge nce of intermediarie s, but rather as a result of the joint production of both information and the product s and services for investors. Diamond and Dybvig 16 highlig ht the ability of banks to transform illiquid assets into liquid assets as an import ant function of banks. Therefore, the provision of liquidity, transac tion services, confidentiality and the sale of insuran ce contra cts were cited as examples of the joint produc tion of information. This view is suppor ted by Ramak rishnan and Thako r 17 who regard information reliability as an import ant feature of banks. Nayyar 18 goes even further and regards information asymm etry as a source of competitive advantage for diversified firms such as banks. Delegated monitoring theory. drawn from the seminal work by Diamond 10 in 1984, argues that because borrow ers want l.o keep their records confidential, depositors delegate the responsibility of monitoring to the bank. The bank then acts as an agent for the depositors, investing both reputa tional and human capital in the process and being able to diversify risk throug h attract ing large volumes of loans. As a result of the bank having a superior ability to evaluat e loans and a cost advantage to collecting the information, banks are regarded as being special 19 . Stiglitz and Weiss 20 state that banks perform several informational roles by providing a system of accoun ts that enable resources to be allocated efficiently. This is done throug h the screening of potential borrowers and placiny them into risk categories. The actions of these borrowers are monitored in order to avoid incentive problems such as adverse selection or moral hazard. Even if equity financing is more desirable. the screening and monitoriny function facilita tes non-ba nk interac tion between lirms to make use of bank credit. Related to the view that banks are produc ers and dissem inators of information, is the fact that they provide signals to the market. Centra l to the signalling effect. banks provide feedback to the market when supplying information about their clients throug h, for example, the annou nceme nt of ongoing or cancelled credit arrang ements . The paper by James 21 in particu lar provides evidence of the signalling effect by investigating the response of publicl y announ ced bank loans on the stock price of a firm. James found a positive abnorm al response of the stock price to bank loans, but not for publicly placed debt issues. He suggested the reason for this is related to banks being special in some manner. As he puts it, 'banks provide some special service not available from other lenders.' 21 Lummer and McConnell 22 provide further evidence that distinguishes between new and renewed bank loans. Implicit in their study is the idea that the information transmitted to the capital market is based on the ability of a bank to assess the riskiness of the borrower both initially when the credit facility is wanted and through a relationship 10 Allen and Santom ero 23 identified the changi ng global financial system and the resulta nt change in the role of intermediaries in the decade s leading up to the year 2000. Scholtens and Van Wensveen 24 indicated this by pointin g out that Fis P() throug h the information and globalisation revolutions, as well as the omo, tition from sources not deemed traditio nal to compe the business of banking. This idea aea cculmin ated in a shift in the focus of FI theory to consid er the relevance of Dd more closely. The emerge nce of this second genera tion highlig hted the role of banks within the contex t of changing financial markets, and especially within the context of globalisalion. As financial markets became more global, risk manag ement became an increasingly import ant function within Fl theory. Merton 25 suggested that the manag ement of risk became particu larly import ant for banks 'given the centra l role of creditworthiness in relationships with their custom ers.' It became clear that • manag ement needed to actively 'identify, assess. monito r, and contro l risk' owing to banks being particularly active in complex markets (specifi cally derivatives) where they were encouraged to engage in 'better risk manag ement (practices] than would otherwise exist'. 25 •26 •27 28 Allen and Allen and Santom ero 23 have highlighted the evolution of financial markets since the 1960s and the resulta nt change in the role of Fls. A central focus was on the increasing complexity and range of financial products banks offered and used to conduc t risk manag ement of their own daily operations. The role of intermediaries to transfer risk and their ability to facilitat e the participation of complex financial instruments in complex financial markets was seen as being absent from the Jiterat ure and the central tenet of their view. 23 Althou gh the size of financial markets and instrum ents had increased, traditio nal interm ediaries such as banks were seen to play a smaller role in financial market s because individuals and households were using non-traditional intermediaries and alterna tive investm ent vehicles such as mutua l funds. 23 The author s provide d empirical evidence suppor ting their view that the efficient partici pation of mutua l and pension funds along with commercial and investm ent banks had increased substa ntially in financial markets and that participation by the individuals had diminished due to a 1.2.4 Second generation: are banks still relevan t? built up when the credit facility is renewed or extended. Their findings indicate that the response to loan renewals is significantly larger than lo new loan approvals. They also ;find that bank loans that are renewed but reduced (or cancell ed) by the bank result in a decline in the stock price. They suggest that the reason for this lies in the continued ]ending relationship between the bank and the borrower. These studies reflect the endeav our of theorists to define a bank according to the functions it performs. It became clear, however, that in the 1990s and early 2000s the globalised nature of financial market s played an increas ingly import ant role in defining the existence of banks. Competition from non-tra ditiona l sources in particu lar placed the existence of banks under threat and the literatu re began lo question the relevance of banks especially with regards to their ability to manag e risk inhere nt in both traditio nal and non-tra ditiona l source s. Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory 11 _____ ,,..,•.,,..-..-~~~:,,;,~-=-~~-"'-·= =---:r--.--~ significant increase in the 'value of people's time'. 23 Technology, they claimed, reduced the cost of information, leading to a reduction in information asymmetry, and financial innovation was noted as making a significant contribution to increasing the breadth and depth of financial markets and instruments. The authors concluded that financial instruments such as derivatives and securitisation reflected the growing focus of intermediaries on managing and trading risk and that risk was allocated where it could best be borne as a result of markets being imperfect. It follows that previous theories focusing on transaction costs and information asymmetry do not fully explain this growth of financial markets and instruments that had emerged at that point in time. The paper by Scholtens and Van Wensveen 24 regard the study of Allen and Santomero 23 as incomplete. They postulate that the analysis of intermediaries should be from a functional rather than institutional perspective, and further argue that risk management is not a new phenomenon. Rather, the transfer and management of risk are seen as the 'root' of the existence of Fis as banks have specialised, over several centuries, in the production and processing of information to diversify and absorb risk. 24 • 30 Scholtens and Van Wensveen 24 also take into account the view of Allen and Santomero 23 concerning the idea that participation costs do not fully explain the drastic changes that resulted in the phenomenal increase in mutual funds and derivative instruments in the financial industry. Again, risk is seen to be the raison d'etre of this growth. The authors believe that Fl theory should 'move beyond its present borders' and 'have the dynamic process of financial innovation and market differentiation at its basis'. 24 In a classic rebuttal, Allen and Santomero 29 provide empirical evidence existing in the US which suggests that there has been a decrease in the share of bank assets and directly held assets relative to non-bank intermediaries such as pension and mutual funds. 29 More importantly, they claimed that the activities of banks had significantly changed to include non-interest related activities so as to move away from merely traditional intermediation and to include fee-producing activities. 29 Evidence is provided citing studies confirming similar trends in France, Germany and the UK. They draw on the conclusions of Allen and Gale 31 and provide evidence suggesting that the risk appetite of banks is indicative of economics that are market.based, such as the UK and US, as opposed to being bank-based, such as Japan, France and Germany. They conclude that in being more market-based, risk management would reflect the usage of derivatives and similar instruments more than t.he financial systems of less market-based economies. 29 Oldfield and Santomero 32 also highlight the importance for financial institutions to manage risk. They identified five generic risks applicable to all financial institutions, namely systematic, credit, counterparty, operational and legal ri.sk and concluded that commercial banks are active managers of these risks. 32 The uniqueness of banks, they claimed, was that actively managed portfolios characteristic of banks imply that information and investor actions are opaque due to investor interests. As a result, this feature requires banks to conduct 'discretionary risk management' activities across the firm. 32 They acknowledge, however, that even _ /the most stringent application of risk management will not eliminate all risk faced 12 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 13 --•,-,.-..-.-----------~---., ----.-,--~>-~---------·~ ~----~~~-----· by a bank. Moreover, Allen and Gale 31 argued that traditional theory lacked t.he explanation of non-diversi{iable risk. As standard theory postulated that risk is exchanged and traded across agents with different risk profiles, their model incorporated the effect of intertemporal smoothing on welfare and asset pricing and came to the conclusion that intermediaries will improve the welfare of yenerations. As they explained 'an intermediated financial system can make every generation better off than it would be with financial markets alone.' 31 As suggested elsewhere, the 29 32 resultant use of risk management techniques will also become more important. financial of nature evolving and dynamic t.he that suggest strongly papers These markets and the concomitant proliferation of risks had a noticeable effect on how theorists viewed the role of banks. Innovation was rife during this time of globalisation, but so too were the risks attached. Finnerty 33 for example, regarded innovation as a process that signified I.he profit-driven response occurring because of unexpected changes in the tax, economic and regulatory environments, both nationally and internationally. Mcrton 34 similarly regarded the tax and regulatory environments as major drivers of innovation /Jy banks. The jurisdiction of the regulatory environment expanded amidst globalisation, as did the risks. ln further research, Mertun 35 suggested that while the functions performed by the financial system (and thus Fis) had been relatively constant since the 1970s, how they were performed had not been. Citing several examples indicating the rapidly changing financial markets, he highlighted the increasing competition between Fis and the financial markets. Merton argued that opaque institutions such as banks could. become less important as financial innovation increased and new products were developed, unless they were able to quickly adapt to the change. He argued that intermediaries 'serve an important latent function of creating and testing new products as part of . ·the general financial-innovation process' and regarded the competitiveness between Fls and financial markets as ultimately resulting in the improvement of the functions of each other. 3 5 Coupled with innovation, the rapid advancement of technology has in[luenced banks to such a degree that the technological revolution has effectively reduced the cost information, and thus the presence of information asymmetry. 23 As early as 1996, Llewellyn 36 regarded this as a 'powerful force as it both reinforces and challenges of the banks' major core competencies: information.' He argued that the technological revolution would eventually transform the banking and financial services industries in reducing the barriers to entry /Jy increasing the availability of information to competitors. 36 Technology was therefore seen as an important feature that would revolutionise how the world viewed a bank. On a practical level, this • resulted in banks expanding the choice of service delivery channels to include virtual structures such as automated teller machines (ATMs), telephone banking, call centres, and internet banking. 26 •37 The proliferation of financial services had . further resulted in banks offering a 'one-stop' universal financial service: not only was • it easier to interact with a bank, but when clients did so they were also able to purchase products and servjces that insurance companies traditionally offered. 37 •38 Adding value to clients, particularly through what they offered and how they offered it became a central theme in explaining the role of banks. Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 1.2.5 Third generation: are banks still banks? The third generation of FI theory has signified a new era in our understanding of banks and the impact of bank failure on, especially, the real economy. If scholars have explained the existence of banks and argued their relevance, how was it still possible in practice that there was no effective regulatory and legislative framework Technology and the internet in particular resulted in information not always being proprietary due to its ready availability. 23 •24 •29 This suggests that it is not the information itself that is important. but rather that the value lies in how this information is used to ultimately benefit both the bank and the client. With clients becoming more demanding, less loyal and engaging in multiple banking relationships, 39 •4 o banks are constantly seeking to use the information they acquire as effectively as possible to create revenue-generating opportunities. It follows that the quality of the information is paramount to banks. The views of Allen and Santomero 23 •29 and Scholtens and Van Wensveen 24 indicate the inclination of banks to innovate and expand their product offerings to include fee-generating operations on the back of the information at their disposal. This suggests that innovation is essential to reduced transaction and agency costs. 6 •35 Sinkey 41 indicates that the modern perspective of banks extends the traditional view of intermediation by regarding banks as offering 'one-stop' financial services and likens banks to 'factories engaged in information processing and deal making' in fields such as insurance, investment banking, corporate finance, and trust and retirement services. rt is clear that besides improving economic efficiency banks have broadened their business operations to provide a more diversified product and service mix. In many ways the second generation of FI theory reflects the initial stages of literature focused on relationship banking. The paper by James 21 is regarded by many as the first paper which discusses the importance of bank-client relationships. Scholtens and Van Wensveen 24 see Fis as providing 'consumers and business households with a variety of services that fulfil their different needs' and that 'valueaddition should be the focus of financial intermediation.' Customer orientation is essential and the intermediary should be seen as focusing on profitably selling financial services. They regard the reduction of participation costs and the expansion of services as central to ensuring this. Urwitz 42 refers to 'customer relationships' as the most important source of competitive advantage held by banks. As he states, 'the most significant competitive advantage possessed by banks is that they are the institutions which have been most successful in building credible, long-term relationships with their clients.' 42 He further refers to the branch network as the 'main instrument that enables a bank to establish lasting customer relationships.' The second generation of FI theory was characterised by the changing nature of financial markets, both nationally and internationally, the resultant focus on risk management and the use of ubiquitous information to build and foster bank-client relationships. Coupled with this, however, was the fact that banks became mega institutions that did not offer traditional bank-only products and one of the consequences of this complex environment was that several banking crises, such as the Asian Financial Crisis, and more recently the GFC, changed the course of banking regulation. 14 15 At the heart of these five focus areas are the proposals of the so-called Basel III capital requirements 43 discussed in Chapter 15. The management of risk as well as the actual identification, quantification and mitigation of the risk from both a systemic and organisational perspective will be a central feature of FI theory going forward. Five main focus areas reflect the evolution of FI theory in the next generation: (1) The link between the monetary (especially where banks are involved) and real economy. (2) The systemic importance of banks and the interconnected nature of both national and international markets. (3) The safety net of bailout provided by central banks to big banks - that is, moral hazard and the 'too big to fail' issue. (4) The complexity and innovation associated with Hnancial markets and financial instruments. (5) Regulatory and supervisory reforms that incorporate the above four areas. place to prevent such widespread disasters such as the GFC? In essence, what we about banks and their role in the economy is being thrown into At th_e heart of the issue is whether or not they are indeed still banks, given the fact that the actions of banks were the cause of the GFC. More specifically. banks were mega financial institutions that engaged in complex far removed from their traditional role. Are 'banks' therefore still 'banks' the true sense of the word, or are they more complex tinancial service providers? the latter is true, does this not suggest that they should be treated differently from -aditional banks (that is, merely deposit-taking and lending institutions)? And if so, what extent? Given the proliferation of banking products and services and the expansion into global markets, the third generation of FI theory has raised many questions than answers at this stage. Global regulatory reform is a dominant of current FI theory. In South Africa for example, the proposed Twin Peaks (see Chapter 3) sets the tone for how South African regulators and firstly view banks and the functions they perform, and secondly who regulator will be. Clearly, there is an acknowledgement by regulators that the role or influence of banks has changed and reforms need to incorporate this. Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation . c•l·.. > .inte· •·.·•· ·. •r..• ·• .•·b.·• ·•.·.• .· .a·.·ril< int.·h•····e···• o.·. f liquidity to a lack. risk. Due to reduce an attempt ite.ria inbank e.. n. ding c·r.central in an practice common became intervention and fiscal .markets, >attemptto improve monetary conditions. The Federal .Reserve lowered interest rates .. Jo record low levels and quantitative easing (QE) was an explicit attempt to stimulate \~Cdnornifractivity. The initial chain of events of the SPCJncluded thErfail(fre of ~ several financial institutions as a result of panic in financial markets:Oue ·to .liquidity \effective1yyanishing, Lehman Brothers went bankrupt and AIG \VaShail~? d~\pY .an \$85 billion.loan from the Federal Reserve, who in turn took over the governmMt 48 5Sponsored~nterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: The second phase was the policy response to the initial SPC. Given the systemic .effects of the SPC and the global reach of securitisation, liquidity quickly disappeared and the so-called 'credit crunch' emerged as banks tighten!id their . The complexity of financial instruments used .in the securitisation process (collateralised debt obligations (CDOs), mortgage-backed securities (MBS) artd the like), in attempting to be more innovative in order to increase revenue streams, played a large role in further incentivising banks to increase risk-taking activities. Subsequently, information asymmetry increased between the actions of the banks and the ability of the market, whether deliberately or not, to understand and/or assess the risks inherent in activities conducted by banks. For example, the role credit ratings agencies such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch played when assigning credit rating to the securitised assets further grossly misrepresented actual risk - up to 75% of the CDOs received AAA ratings with only 7% rated 81313 and lower. 46 This apparent lack of proper risk assessment On the part of rating agencies further contributed to a situation of information asymmetry, especially as ratings formed an integral part of the risk assessment process for investors. Hisk, .. therefore, was grossly underestimated and the communication of this risk to the market was grossly misleading. This in turn implied that perverse incentives existed . in the system; bankers were incentivised to take on more risk with the promise of excessive remuneration packages and bonuses. The risk~return trade off Was therefore not aligned in any way to rational decision-making. The deregulation and thus liberalisation of financial markets and institutions inthe US, specifically the removal of the Glass-Steagall Act that separated commercial and investment banking activities, is cited as one of the reasons causing the crisis although some contend that this was not a major driving force given the highly regulated banking sector. 44 The more liberated financial sector provided a platfdfrri for banks as financial institutions exploited market imperfections. In an attempt to increase revenue because of increased competition, banks provided mortgage loans to subprime clients who, under normal prudent lending practices, would not necessarily have qualified for these loans. This in turn increased the risk taken by banks whichwas exacerbated by the growing competition generated hy globalisation. 47 These lax lending policies contributed greatly to the deteriorating asset quality on the balance sheets of banks, but the process of securitisation enabled them to transfer the risk off their balance sheets to other market participants. The net effect was that securitisation red~cedcapital requir~'.Jlenfa .~nd 45 the quality of the loan books was inherently poor. Undercapitalised banks were the bankrupt. forerunner to these institutions becoming 16 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective -~.:: • ~';:-:~/~~ :j'}}tt>~ 17 Given the above discussion the most important functions performed by a bank are: The intermediatio n (asset transformati on) function The most obvious function of a bank is to act as an intermediary that accepts deposits and channels these funds into lending activities. This implies that banks channel funds from lenders, through deposit facilities. to borrowers, through credit facilities, and in so doing transform liabilities into assets. Banks therefore play a major role in allocating credit within an economy and as intermediaries they are able to perform this function. Without this intermediation , market participants oHhemajol'Jes sonslearriftrorn lhe GFCtfas been how ifexr,'6sed the rconnected ~atureotboth t~e real.and financial sectors. ~ow regulators deal h thiswilLbecentra.l to .regulatory.frameworks going forward .. > 7 po sure to excessive sovereign •detff.levels>As global panic set ir\When .the US 1ari6iaEsysti§h'Fcollapsed, interdatidna1;matket participantswit htJrewtheircap ital ,~ the US ari~_headed to soppgsec!IY,~af?havenssuch·as the-E~rpzone and ·.•·••· mrnoditi s,~o{~ .• asgold. Jheprobf?n-i,,however, wasthat govet0r'rlents; especially rope,ran.h~ge budget deficitsonthe back bfthe~FC and ~~l:)sequently ped· high sovereign debfra.tios'that were;not being absorbed by increased nor11lfgrov.i!~- ThaMsuing;~oC pa~ic~lattyexpo sed Europe~1}~ountriessuch reece; lreiand, ltaly,Portugai and Spairr(GIIPS),who had sovereign debt ratios nexi:e~s gt.JOO%. ~fternptS'byJne Ear6pean Central Ba~k (E~B) .tQstimulate ta:ycMd_i.!fgns had beenJa'rgelyurtsifocessful by the end •of 2_014; Greece in ularhasb_een under severe threatof leaving thHuropeari lJnibn albeit having ~t:~siveausteti ty measures irnposed}n an auempt to r:duce,the high levels.of n~ent debt,TheBasei capitalfrarnewo rk has .also been_revis.ited onthe back e.G~f· ~~~·resultant.Basel Ill pfovidesiapew setof capit~I, li~~idity and.risk elin:sJor~anks;.1n addition;capitalbuffers'.hiive·l:)eeripropdsed tnat .account busi~ess cycles and 'the focus has .shifted to holding good quaHrrcapital along a sufficfehfquant ityof capital. Chapte;'15 provides anin-depth discussion of •• 'efapilal i'etjuireitlents.i: ~-'ih1,a1J};Ji~·?ft~~~ri~iA~c.~s!isAfAt~'ibeg~ bhJribt~rise~i;~~f~~;~drtd~id; \\lhich enabled them to purchase}he so--calfEid'toxic assets' off the .balaricesheetsc,f 48 Jailing banks. .At a time when regtilationjn theflnancial sectorwas~!th e forefrontin th~}hinking _of ~~1icymal<ers, the Eme~gency EconomiCStabilisatio~~ct (EESA) of .ctobe~.2.ods g~ve theSecretary of the Treasury in the us the right tojnitially either 48 11_r9hase2r in~urethes'ettoubled}issetsop to ari amount of $700 6~1i?n. JARP / > ns ~?.otherprograr rketpro'grarns.a grarns.,iredittna :lank·supportprg cluded:?ver!.11 8 ding suppo~for AIG a;nd supj:lortJor\Fi'eUS automobileJndusfry.t The Obama i~istration_furtherrnore signed .int()laW the Dcidd•Frank 'Wall St~e~t~eform and risumer Protection Act (Dodd-Frank),which effectivelypfovided the largest reforl'i1 ·egolati6n fn'-t~e US financial systeiT,Iiihce0the Great,Depression:j,;{'tnajorchange posed by D_6dd~Frankwas t~efocbs on i~endfying systemically;risky financial utio~s,: whi_~.h in tum>Nas helievedtoalfev iate the 'too big _to faWissue. Doddj • 'arik effectiveryrevarhpt!d thEliJS financial 'iervices inclostry. f%iu~ government alsOimplerriente!tlthe 'Troubled Asset Relief Pr6§fammEl'(TM~). Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory • ■ ■ ■ • 18 would have to find each other, which is both costly and time-consuming. information costs and in particular the presence of asymmetric information explains the rationale behind the intermediation function. The crediJ (wealth creation) function Due to intermediation, the provision of credit enables borrowers to create wealth and purchase goods that would otherwise not be available to them. If managed responsibly, the provision of credit plays a very important role in enabling the general population to improve their standard of living by providing them with a means to accumulate wealth. The liquidity function Banks assist clients with liquidity through, for example, credit lines and liquidity provision to reduce possible losses that they might incur. Banks also manage cash deposil~ for clients by handling the receipt and disbursement of cash from business clients in particular. This service provides non-interest revenue for the bank, but also increases insurance and cash handling fees given the risky nature, from a crime and fraud perspective. of holding excess cash. Banks also take an active part in interbank markets by assisting other banks with their liquidity needs. A liquidity shortage on the money and interbank markets is usually the first sign of liquidity problems within the market. A major challenge for banks in South Africa is to ensure I.hat they maintain the regulatory liquidity requirements according to the Banks Act (94 of 1990) while at the same time meeting the demand for loans and cash withdrawals from their clients. The payments function Banks carry out the payment of goods and services for their clients through services including cheque clearing and electronic transfers. This function facilitates daily transactions between market participants both locally and internationally. Given the drive by banks to rednce the use of cash transactions, the payments function reduces the risk of holding cash by conducting payments through a centralised and convenient. system. The risk diversificatio n function Banks reduce risk by diversifying their exposure to different types of assets and liabilities. This is achieved by transforming risk when a risk mismatch exists between the bank and its borrowers. Although borrowers use loans provided by banks to engage in risky projects, the risk is a component of the collateral pledged against the loan as well as the degree of asymmetric information between the two parties. To reduce this risk, banks invest in a vast array of different securities in money and capital market~ that effectively diversities their risk exposure. Banks also offer products and services that enable clients to reduce their respective risk profiles. Instruments such as derivatives and unit trusts are examples of such risk-reducing offerings. The provision of financial scn,iccs and lower transaction costs Banks diversify their products and services to include, in particular, insurancerelated offerings. Typically referred to as the convergence of financial markets, it is also known as bancassurance in South Africa and France and al/finanz in Germany. This activity has resulted in the increased contribution of non-interest revenue relative to total operating income as well as the reduction of transaction costs for clients. From a purely strategic perspective the provision of insurance products makes sense for banks as the business of banking and insurance are interrelated and complementary to each other. Banks therefore offer financial services as opposed to merely banking services. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The monetary policy function Banks play a key role in the transmission of monetary policy as central banks would not be effective without them - central banks interact with banks that in turn interact directly with the market. ie households, governments. foreigners and businesses. Banks are therefore the intermediary between the central bank and the market. As deposits arc the most liquid form of money, monetary authorities can change the availability of credit. causing a subsequent impact on money supply that influences the rate of inllation and economic growth. Monetary policy instruments such as the repo rate and the minimum cash reserve requirement. are used to indicate the current policy stance adopted by the central bank of a country. Without banks, these instruments would have no purpose or effect on the economy. The trust: and fiduciary function The proliferation of products and services of banks has resulted in the offering of trust services to clients where the bank manages these funds on behalf of clients. This fiduciary !'unction acts as a further generator of non-interest revenue. The guarantor function Banks act as guarantors for clients who are unable to settle debt immediately by offering products such as letters or guarantee, for example, to facilitate trade or funding activities. This function has grown substantially in recent decades due to the increase in off-balance-sheet activities and the proliferation of financial services in specifically international markets. In essence. the bank guarantees the performance of the buyer by standing in as guarantor should the buyer default on their debt obligations. These guarantees create an alternative source of non-interest revenue for banks, while providing an effective and low-cost risk management tool for clients. fth6Gghth~}1tjencVfonction benefits:cli~fas"and shafeholderi.W~en the agents att theirrespective best interests, theriskisthat the managementof the bank is cehtivised not to act ih the b'est interests of the shareholders Ofclients. symmetric information between sharehci.lders (principal) and martagemen!(agent), uld result in market failures such as adverse selection and mora/hazard. This is Stly for the principal as the activities and behaviour of the ageritmust be dnitored through ensurin•g that governance structures are in plaCe. A case in point .-Sarings Batik in the UK where Nick Lee-son acted in.total violation of best practices and/based on his actions, caused the eventual demise of the bank. i~lth6[JgffCoase50 is credited wrthpior'reering the•litehiture ohiigency theory.the eminal contribution of Jensen and Meckling 51 develops a more comprehensive w"ofthe firm by integrating the theories of property rights; agency and finance. mply referring to a firm as a 'black box' that manages inputs and outputs to ximise profits does not, as they state, ~Xplain the 'conflicting 6bjectives of the i\di\iidual participants [that] are brought ihto equilibrium so as tOyield this result.' The agency function Given the highly skilled nature of bank staff, they act as agents on behalf of their clients and shareholders to protect and manage the assets and liabilities. The bank is therefore delegated the responsibility of monitoring the functions it performs in the best interests of the clients and shareholders. Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory 19 /., ~---- .. ___ , The advisory function Given the diverse nature of fiirnncial products and services, banks offer their clients advice on how best to use these offerings to address their needs. The advice can range from simple budgeting plans and how lo use a current account in the retail environment, to more complex advice on structured financing and mergers and acquisitions in the corporate and investment banking environment. In some cases banks act as facilitators in this regard. given that advice per se can only be provided if the commensurate qualifications have been obtained by the banker providing the advice. In South Africa, the Financial Advisory and Intermediaries Act (3 7 of 2002) provides specific 'fit and proper' requirements for bankers to comply with before they can offer advice to clients. The intergeneration al savings function Banks help clients to improve their standard of living by building. managing and protecting client savings over different generations. This allows inter-temporal savings and consumption and ensures intergenerational risk-sharing where the risks associated with assets are spread across current and future generations. • Types of banks 1.3.1.1 Universal banking Given the pressure on banks to compete with both traditional and non-traditional competitors, mergers and acquisitions have resulted in banks offering a broader range of financial products and services. This approach is commonly referred to as the universal banking approach and is evidenced by banks expanding their distribution channels, through both virtual and branch infrastructures. as well as The functions performed by banks are provided through various channels that reflect the characteristics of the client segment and focus of the bank. For this reason some banks are more specialised and do not perform all the functions mentioned in the previous section. Some may specialise in only one market segment, while others will be more universal and service the entire spectrum of clients. The latter type of banks will typically have divisions or departments each with their own respective strategy that fits into the overall strategy of the bank. Universal banking is typical of the large banks which function internationally and that purposefully adopt this strategy of being a one-stop financial services provider. ln South Africa, the Big Four - ABSA (under the Barclays Africa Group). FirstRand (including First National Bank, Rand Merchant Bank and Wesbank), Standard Bank of South Africa and Nedbank - are all regarded as universal banks with divisions focusing on specific market segments. Below is a discussion on the various types of banking. 1.3.1 1.3 THE BUSINESS OF BANKING Although banks continue to provide less important functions such as the safeguarding of valuables in high security facilities, the functions listed above reflect the notion that banks arc highly complex institutions. Convenience for the client is a central driving force and is manifested in the proliferation of services offered. In many ways, the word bank could be termed a misnomer - a financial services provider is perhaps more fitting. • Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 20 1.3.1.5 Consumer banking Consumer banking refers specifically to the banking needs of consumers and is usually segmented according to their respective incomes or net worth. Dedicated business units Within the bank address the needs of each market segment with bankers that have specific expertise and skills. Although banks categorise and segment different consumer markets using different criteria. typical consumer segments include: Wealth management Wealth management focuses on the wealthiest clients segmented according to net worth and usually includes professional and extremely high net worth individuals. The wealth management business unit provides a comprehensive financial services solution to these clients including investment management, structured lending and international wealth management. A dedicated relationship banker is expected to address the needs of these highly demanding clients. The underlying strategy used by the bank is•to be proactive to client needs and offer specialised product solutions. Mutual banking Mutual banks usually offer simple transaction accounts and minimal loan facilities, along with attractive incentives for depositors to save with them, for the right to vote • •as a shareholder. Mutual banks arc also known for their conservative approach to risk-taking, hence offering few products and services. ••• 1.3.I.4 1.3.1.3 Commercial and business banking Commercial banking usually includes clients that have businesses. These businesses can typically be classified as small, medium and large businesses (including agricultural clients), although small businesses, especially sole proprietorships. are often included in the retail banking segment. As can be expected, the expertise •offered by banks to this segment is substantial given the risk attached to keeping businesses solvent as well as profitable. 1.3. I .2 Corporate, investment and merclianl banking Corporate, investment and merchant banks typically provide wholesale funding from capital markets to corporate clients. This enables large corporate clients to rnise capital through the underwriting function provided by these types or bank. Given the complexities facing the corporate environment, these banks also offer expert advice on structured financing and offer complex financial solutions that would not typically be offered to other clients. adopting the ba11cassurance model. Globalisation has also caused banks to cilitate cross-border economic activity through their offerings and the integration f financial markets is making it increasingly more competitive to do so. Shareholdings within bank holding groups also rellect a vast array of nontraditional banking activities and banks are able to capitalise on the economies of ale and scope generated by the differentiated, yet complementary. product and rvice offerings. If one considers the revenue breakdown of banks. those nonditional banking activities from domestic and foreign sources broaden the evenue base by contributing in particular to non-interest revenue. Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory 21 By building mutually beneficial and value-based relationships, the revenue potenlial in this market is high. Privafc banking The private banking segment typically includes the same criteria as for wealth clients except at a slightly lower level. Banks also target professional high net worth clients and offer services similar to those offered to wealth management with the same support staff structure. Pcr·sonal and retail banking Personal and retail banking deals with the banking needs of middle to lower income clients. This is typically the largest consumer segment on the books of a bank and although relationship bankers are assigned to individual clients. the extent of the attention given to any one client is much less when compared to the wealth and private segments. The underlying strategy in this market is to address client needs through the brnneh network and to do so on a reactive or transactional basis. Transactional banking driven through high volumes of transactions is the central driving force in this segment. fn certain banks, small businesses, particularly sole proprietorships, are included. Mass-market banking Since the implementalion of the Financial Sector Charter in 2004, South African banks have increased their focus on the so-called previously unbanked mass market. As a result. and given the ensuing uptake of banking products. banks have established mass-market business units that focus on the lowest end of the retail banking spectrum. These clients arc often previously unbanke<l and have low if not zero levels of net worth and income. Predominantly black African, these clients tend to reside in remote rural areas and require, or can only afford, limited functionality on their banking products. They are also characterised by having a lower level of education and linancial literacy. 52 The Mzansi account introduced in 2005 by South African banks is an example of a transaction account that facilitates limited transactions at a low cost. It is debatable whether or not the account has been successful given the high degree of inactivity and the subsequent need for banks to close many of these accounts. Nevertheless, the account is a tangible reflection of a concerted effort by South African banks lo address the need to promote financial inclusion in all segments of the population. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 1.3.1.6 Islamic banking Islamic banking focuses on providing banking products and services, based on the principles of sharia law, to predominantly Muslim clients. With the central premise being that usury is not permissible, Islamic banking challenges the conventional norm that religion and commerce must be separated and argues that modern commercial methods are not always ethical. especially with regards to conventional banking activities. Given the growth or the Muslim faith in Africa. Islamic banking is a market segment that holds revenue potential for the South African economy going forward. • • 22 23 I 462 282 I 372 321 2 298 031 I I 41 644 49 259 38 542 88 217 266 000 2 313 14s 30 476 988 241 359 2 684 992 29 771 063 JP HSBC/ 'Morgan pie' ·chase/ 185 000 1317529 29 234 069 123 400 1 187 904 98138 1 030 248 24 455 887 24 041 451 Barclays'· Deutsche BNP ·Paribas•·; Bankm pie' 241 000 2 453 361 21 318 072 Citigtoup" 30 499 70911 809 313 Nedbank'Grc>up' < Three indicators are often used to indicate the size of an institution: total assets, ·. total equity and the number of employees. Table 1.2 indicates thHt South African banks are substantially smaller than their international counterparts. For example, in terms of assets, lCBC (the biggest bank in the world at the time of writing) is approximately 20 times larger than the Standard Bank Group (the biggest bank in South Africa at the time of writing), 18 times larger in terms of total equity and employs 9.4 times more employees. Jn comparison to Nedbank (the smallest or the Big Four banks at the time of writing), JCBC is approximately 4 7 times • larger in terms of total assets, 41 times in terms of total assets and employs over 15 times more staff. The South African Big Four banks are therefore substantially smaller than the largest banks in the world. (Note: although Barclays Africa Group includes the ABSA brand and is compared to Barclays pie in Table J .2, the latter owns 63.2% of the Barclays Africa Group. 54 ) • All group information in Rm ill ion as of the eod of December 2014. b All figures are converted to rand as per the exchange rate for the respective country on 3 l December 2014 and rounded off to the nearest rand. The exchange rates used are Rll.S7$US, Rl.4,07€. R18,01£ and Rl ,84¥. Source: SARl3 (2015). 57 Sources: "Standard Bank Group Limited (2014): 51 dBarclays Africa Limited (2014): 54 ,, 'Firstrand Group Limited (2014); 55 fNedbank Group Limited (2014); 56 ·'ICBC (2014); 58 "China Construction Bank (2014); 59 'HSBC Holdings pie (2014): 60 iJP Morgan Chase & Co (2014): 61 kBNP Paribas (2014); 62 'Barclays pie (2014); 63 "'Deutsche Bank (2014); 64 "Cilibank (2014) 65 2844012 90 945 165 367 945 535 Eight ofthe largest banks in the world• 991 414 FirstRand Group" > Big Four South African banksa Barclays Africa Groupd .. 1 906 706 Groupe Standard Bank \ 1.2 Comparison between the South African Big Four and eight of the largest banks the world, 2014 How do South African banks compare internationally? l.2 provides a comparison by size of the Big Four South African banks with of the largest banks in the world at 2014 year-end. Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation 111 I r,;;;;i Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Risk versus uncertainty Non-traditional sources of competition The advent of the internet, and onlinc purchasing in particular, has resulted in consumers being bombarded with choices and the ability to purchase on a much larger scale than ever before. Clients arc, therefore, better informed and can be more hands-on in their purchasing decisions. The challenge for banks is to harness this spending activity and provide products and services that are applicable to client needs. This will require them to be proactive when engaging with consumers as their needs are ever-changing. Consumer rights also come to the fore, as banks will be faced with clients who know their rights and act judiciously (or foolishly) to protect themselves from seemingly predatory financial institutions. With legislation aimed at protecting the consumer growing at a phenomenal rate in South Africa [see the Consumer Protection Act (68 of 2008), the Financial Intelligence Centre Act (38 of 2001), and the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (3 7 of 2002)] the pressure will be on banks to ensure they minimise the reputat.ional effects of non-compliance. To this effect, in a world where social media can be a strong marketing tool. it is also a channel that easily increases reputational risk. 1.4.4 Consumerism and the client of tomorrow Non-traditional financial institutions such as retai.lers, and innovative funding mechanisms such as crowd-funding. will become an increasing threat to banks as they vie for market share. With globalisation and the internet makjng it easier for consumers to purchase anything from anywhere, competition will surely intensify. 1.4.3 Given the global aftermath of the GFC and the ensuing effect this bas bad on policies throughout the world, banks and specifically their regulators will not only have to monitor but also align themselves to monetary and fiscal policies. The CFC has revealed the interconnectednes s of financial markets and the systemic importance of large multinational banks and this will place immense pressure on national policymakers to ensure that they co-ordinate their policy frameworks with those of the major global economies 1.4.2 Global policy co-ordination By expanding into new markets and offering a wider menu of products and services in these markets banks will be faced with a new set of risks and uncertainty. As innovati.on intensifies to capture and even maintain market share. the ability of banks to identify. quantify and mitigate these risks will be crucial to survival. 1.4.1 1.4 THE FUTURE OUTLOOK FOR BANKS The specialness of banks is constantly under threat. There are several challenges that banks, and specifically South African banks. will have to be aware of when they enter the next decade. These arc listed below. 24 25 ..,,..,,·.%t ~-~ "'·'"'"-""' REFERENCES South African Reserve Bank. Quarterly Bulletin. 2012 (March). statistical tables. South African Reserve Bank. Quarterly Bulletin. 2015 (March), statistical tables. McGregor BFA databases. Gorton, G & Winton. A. 2002. 'Financial Intermediation.' The Wharton Working Paper Series. The Wharton Financial Institutions Center, 2(28): 1-102. Gurley, JG & Shaw, ES. 1960. Money in a Theory of Finance. Washington DC: The Brookings Institution. Benston, GJ & Smith. CW. 1976. 'A transactions cost approach to the theory ol' financial intermediation.' The Journal of Finance 31 (2): 215-2 31. Freixas, W & Rochet. )-C. 1997. Microeconomics of Banking. MIT Press, Cambridge. Akerlof, GA. 1970. 'The market for 'lemons': Qualitative uncertainty and the market mechanism.' Quarterly Journal of Economics 84(3): 488-500. Leland, HE & Pyle, DH. 1977. 'Informational asymmetries. financial structure, and financial intermediation.' 'l'he Journal of Finance 32(2): 3 71-38 7. CONCLUSION This chapter has provided an overview of FI theory. At the core of the theory is the <question whether or not banks are special. Proponents of specialness tend to argue that banks offer the unique ability to collect, store and disseminate proprietary client information and that the intermediation function they provide drives the uniqueness of a bank; opponents argue that given the proliferation of banking products and services, the traditional functions of banks are replicated by competitors and nontraditional financial institutions - banks are therefore not unique at all. Nevertheless. despite the devastating effects of the GFC that was caused by the actions of banks, they remain important institutions. Whether or not specialness is embedded in wliat banks do or how they do it seems to be a central theme of Fl theory going forward. ; especially considering the proposal of the Basel III Accord. Although financial markets have evolved and so too the central function of banks, information is still, albeit in differing degrees, important in the business of banking. Without the bank >being able to acquire. store and disseminate information on its clients. it is unable to ensure that it makes informed decisions as well as addresses the specific needs of its clients. The challenge for banks, however, is to remain competitive and 'relevant' as >the literature clearly indicates that the definition of intermediaries as a whole is constantly under threat due to evolving. globalised and complex financial markets. The regulatory and legislative environment facing banks in the next decade will change dramatically on the back of the GFC. Basel III is already being implemented and with the Twin Peaks framework close to being formalised in South Africa, the burden placed on banks to be compliant will intensify. Banks will need to ensure that not only do they hold sufficient quality and quantity of capital. but also that the risk management practices they have in place identify. quantify and mitigate all the risks faced by the bank. This is by no means an easy task, especially on the back of a highly interconnected and complex financial sector that thrives on innovation. Regulation and risk management Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 10. Diamond. DW. 1984. 'Financial intermedia tion and delegated monitoring.' Review of Economic Studies 51(3): 393-414. 11. Campbell, TS & Kracaw, WA. 1980. 'Informatio n production, market signalling. and the theory of financial intermedia tion.' The Journal of Finance 35(4): 863-882. 12. Chan, Y-S. 1983. 'On the positive role of financial intermedia tion in allocation of venture capital in a market with imperfect informatio n.' The Journal of Finance 38(5): 1543-156 8. 13. Ballensperger. E. 1980. t\lternative approaches to the theory of the banking firm.' Journal of Monetary Economics 6: ]-3 7. 14. Fama, EF. 1985. 'What's different about banks?' Journal of Monetary Economics] 5: 29-39. 15. Black, F. 1975. 'Bank funds manageme nt in an efficient market.' Jo!lrnal of Financial Economics 2: 32 3-339. 16. Diamond. DW & Dybvig, PH. 198'3. 'Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity.' The Joumal of Political Economy 91(3): 401-419. 17. Ramakrish nan, RTS & Thakor, AV. 1984. 'Informatio n reliability and a theory of financial intermedia tion.' Review of Economic Studies 51(3 ): 415-432. 18. Nayyar. PR. 1990. 'Informatio n asymmetries: a source of competitive advantage for diversified service firms.' Strategic Management Journal 11(7): 513-519. 19. Diamond, DW. 1996. 'Financial intermedia tion as delegated monitoring: A simple example.' Economic Quarterly 82(3): 5 J-66. 20. Stiglitz, JE & Weiss, A. 1988. 'Banks as social accountan ts and screening devices for the allocation of credit.' NBBR Working Paper Series, Working Paper No. 2 710. 21. James. C. 198 7. 'Some Evidence on the Uniqueness of Bank Loans.' Journal of Financial Economics 19(2): 217-238. 22. Lummer, S & McConnell. J. 1989. 'Further evidence on the bank lending process and the capital market response to bank loan agreement s'. Joumal of Financial Economics 25: 99-122. 23. Allen, F & Santomero, AM. 1998. 'The theory of financial intermedia tion.' Journal of Banking and Finance 21: 1461-148 5. 24. Scholtens, B & Van Wensveen. D. 2000. t\ critique on the theory of financial intermediation.' Journal of Banking and Finance 24(8): 1243-12 51. 2 5. Merton, RC. 199 5. t\ functional perspective of financial intermediation.' Financial Management 24(2): 23-41. 26. MacDonald. SS & Koch, TW. 2006. Management of Banking. USA: Thomson Southwestern. 27. Saunders, A & Cornett, MM. 2006. Fi11a11cinl Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. 28. Allen, F. 2001. 'Do financial institutions matter?' The Journal of Finance 56(4): 1165-117 5. 29. Allen, F & Santomero, AM. 2001. 'What do Fis do?' Journal of Banking and Finance 25: 271-294. 30. Rose, PS. 1989. 'Diversification in the banking firm.' The Financial Review 24(2): 251-280. 31. Allen, F & Gale, G. 199 7. 'Financial markets, intermediaries, and intertempo ral smoothing.' The Journal of Political Economy J 05(3): 523-546. 32. Oldfield, GS & Santomero. AM. 1997. 'Risk manageme nt in financial institutions.' Sloan Management Review 39(1): 33-46. 26 27 Finnerty, JD. 1988. 'Financial engineerin g in corporate finance: An overview.' Financial Management 17(4): 14-33, Merton, RC. 1990. 'The financial system and economic performance.' Journal of Financial Services Research 4(4): 263-300. Merton, RC. 1993. 'Operation and Regulation in Financial Intermedia tion: A Functional Perspective,' in Operation and Regulation of Financial Markets, edited by P Englund. Stockholm: The Economic Council: l 7-6 7. Llewellyn, OT. 1996. 'Banking in the 21st century: The transforma tion of an industry.' The Future of the Financial System. Economic Group, Reserve Bank of Australia: HC Coombs Centre for Financial Studies: 141-179. Rose, PS & l-Iudgins, SC. 2008. Bank Management l'-1 Financial Savices. USA: McGraw-Hill. Van der Westhuizen, G, Gidlow, R. 2006. 'Banks' in Understanding South African Financial Markets edited by C Van Zyl. Botha, Z, Skerrit, P. Pretoria: Van Schaik. Boot, WA. 2000. 'Relationship banking: What do we know?' Journal of Financial Intermediation 9(1): 7-2 5. Boot. WA & Marine, M. 2008. 'The evolving landscape of banking.' Industrial and Corporate Change 17(6): 1173-120 3. Sinkey. JF. 2002. Commercial Bank Financial Management in the Financial-Services Industry. USA: Pearson Prentice-Hall. Urwitz, G. 1993. 'Who needs banks?' in Operation and Regulation in Financial Intermediation: A Functional Perspective, edited by P Englund. Stockholm: The Economic Council: 7 5-81. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS).2011. Basel Ill: A !Jlobal regulatory framework for more resilient banks and banking systems - revised version. Ravier, A & Lewin, P. 2012. 'The Subprime Crisis', The Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 15:1 (Spring): 45-74. Allen, P & Carletti, E. 2010. t\n overview of the crisis: Causes, consequences & solutions,' International Review of Finance 10(1): 1-26. Tian, C. 2009. 'Causes, solutions and references for the subprime lending crisis,' International Journal of Economics and Finance 1(2): 284-287. Singala, S & Kumar, NRVVMKR. 2012. 'The global financial crises with a focus on the european sovereign debt crisis,' ASCI Journal of Management 42: l (September): 20-36. Webel. B. 2013, 'Troubled asset relief program.' Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, R41427, June 27. Paletta, D & Lucchetti, A. 2010. 'Law rem.ikes US financial landscape.' The Wall Street Journal July 16. Coase, RH. 1937. 'The nature of the firm.' Ecorwmica 4(16): 386--405. Jensen, MC & Meckling, WH. 1976. 'Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior. agency costs and ownership structure.' Journal of Financial Economics 3( 4): 305-360. Coetzee, J. 2009. 'Personal or remote interaction? Banking the unbanked in South Africa.' South African Journal of Economic and Marw11ement Sciences 12(4): 448-46 l. Standard Bank Group Limited. 'Annual integrated report 2014.' http:/~ annualrepo rt2014 .standardb ank.com/ downloads /Standard- Bank-Grou p-Annualintegrated- report-201 4. pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). Barclays Africa Group Limited. 'Financial results for the period ended 31 December 2014.' http://www.barclaysafrica.com/deploycdfilcs/Assets/Richmedia/PDF / Results/ Annual/20 14 full year results booklet.pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). Chapter 1: Financial Intermediation Theory ------- -- -.--------~-~------=== 5 5. FirstRand Group Limited. 'Annual integrated report 2014.' http:/ /www.lirstrand. co.za/InvestorCentre/Cu rrcnt%20FSR %20ann ual%20reporl/ 20 l 4%20FSR %20 annual%20intcgratcd%2 0report.pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). 5 6. Nedbank Group Limited. 'Integrated report for the year ended 31 December 2014.' http:/ /www.nedbankgroup.co. za/financial/Nedbank ar2014/downloads/ NedbankIR2014.pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015) 57. South African Reserve Bank (SARB). 'Historical exchange rates.' www.resbank. co.za/Research/Rates/Pa ges/SelectedHistoricalEx changeAndinterestRates. aspx (Accessed 1 August 2015). 58. ICBC 'Annual Report, 2014.' http://v.icbc.eom.cn/user6les/Rcsourccs/ICBCLTD/do wnload/2015/22014Ann ua1Rcport 20150421.pdf (Accessed 20 July 201 S). 59. China Construction Banks. 'Annual Report, 2014.' http://www.ccb.com/en/ newinvestor/uploacl/201 50701 14 3 5 71826 7 /2014%20Annual%20Re port.pd( (Accessed 20 July 2015). 60. HSBC Holdings pie. 'Annual Report, 2014.' http://www.hsbc.com/inv estorrelalions/fina ncial-and-regu latory-reports/ annual-report-a nd-accoun ts-201 4 (Accessed 20 July 2015). 61. JP Morgan Chase & Co. 'Annual Report. 2014.' http://files.shareholder.co m1 downloads/ONE/ 3 8444 3 9 6 30x0x8 20066/fS 31 cad9 f0d8-4efc-9b68fl 8eal 84a 1e8/TPMC-2014-Annua!R eport. pdf (1\ccessed 20 July 20 2015). 62. BNP Paribus. 'Annual Report. 2014.' https://invest.bnpparibas .com/sites/default/ llles/documents/ddr 2014 gb.prl[ (Accessed 20 July 2015). 63. Barclays pie. Annual Report, 20 l 4.' http:/ /www.homc.barclays/co ntent/dam/ barclayspublic/docs/lnve storRelations/ AnnualReports/ AR2014/Barclays PLC Annual Report %202014.pdf (Accessed 20 July 2015). 64. Deutsche Bank. 'Annual Report, 2014.' https://www.db.com/ir/e n/download/ Deutsche Bank Annual Report 2014 entire.pdf (Accessed 20 July 2015). 65. CitiBank. 'Annual Report. 2014.· http://www.citigroup.com /citi/investor/ guarterly/2015/arl4c en.pdf (Accessed 20July 2015). 28 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ·Gt.ANDSCAPE l}TH AFRICAN "·/i ·RT-TWO INTRODUCTION Assessing the operating environment of the South Afrirnn banking industry should include a combination of market structure (number of firms and level of . concentration), contestability and effective competition analysis. This may sound \ much simpler than it actually is. The b,mking industry is known for its rapid growth, innovation and the creation of new banking activities in fields such as, but not limited to, investment banking, vehicle financing and retail banking. The South • •· African banking industry is dominated by four banks, the so-called Big Four (or four pillars). namely ABSA (part of the Barclays Group), Standard Bank of South Africa •.• (part of the Standard Bank Group), Nedbank (part of the Ncdbank Group) and First National Bank (part of the FirstRand Group), Since the financial sector is at the f centre of the economy, the high level of concentration and the structure of the • • industry (specifically the retail industry) often grab the attention of South Africa's competition authorities. The purpose of this chapter is to provide an overview of the level of competition and competition policy related issues in the banking industry. ./ Note that care should be taken when using the respective concepts 'sector', •• 'market', 'industry' and 'firm'. A sector describes the broadest scope of economic activity categorised by a large group of companies involved in similar business activities, such as the financial sector. Within the financial sector, lies a market. A market refers to both the demand and the supply side. Examples are the capital market, foreign exchange market and derivative market. When only referring to the supply side of the market, we refer to the industry (an easy way to remember this is that the market refers to who the firms are supplying to and the industry refers to who is supplying the good or service). Therefore, an .tter reading this chapter, you should be able to: analyse the level of competition in the South African banking industry by using the structure-conduct-perfo rmance framework evaluate the structural variables that influence the conduct and performance of a bank discuss the different types of barriers to entry that exist in the banking industry interpret and evaluate the current competition policy issues in the South African banking industry compare the most important performance indicators pertaining to banks in South Africa. EARNING OBJECTIVES ~thpetitive and Operating .:<>~Tent of the South African ngJndustry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective · · - - .- - ~ ----a-,--,~--"'~~~11""~~~":I!•" "~=,._,,.,,_,,_.,_-_-,-__ 2.2 AN SCP ANALYSIS OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING INDUSTRY Figure 2.1 provides the outline of the SCP approach that will be used in this chapter to conduct a competition analysis of the South African banking industry. industry describes a specific group of rival companies that is involved in high substitutable (nearly identical) business activities. such as the retail industry or insurance industry. The South African banking industry provides a 'textbook' example of an oligopolistic market. Its market attributes include few firms (between two and twenty), homogenous/heterogen eous products. high barriers to entry and mutual interdependence. Mutual interdependence implies that pricing and output decisions are not so much a matter of cost and revenue. but rather of strategy. The survival of firms in oligopolistic markets therefore depends not only on their own decisions but also on the actions and reactions of their rivals. In general the literature identifies three approaches for measuring the degree of competition in the banking industry. or any industry for that matter. The most comprehensive of the three is the neo-classical structure-conduct-performance (SCP) approach, which postulates that the degree of competition is inversely related to the degree of market concentration. This approach is the most pervasive of the three and is regarded by competition authorities as the most important in measuring the degree of competition. The remaining two approaches are much narrower than the SCP in that they are more focused on specific variables within the industry. The contestability approach measures the height of barriers to entry, as there is an inverse relationship between the strength of these barriers and the level of competition. This approach, proposed by Baumol1 in 1982. was used as justification for defending Microsoft in the anti-trust case jJut forward by the Department of Justice in the US in the early 2000s. Finally, the direct approach measures competition by computing the reaction of price (or bank interest revenue) to changes in cost. This measure is called the II-statistic. put forward by Panzar and Rossc 2 in 198 7. Due lo the restricted nature of the latter two approaches, they are typically included as part of the more comprehensive SCP approach. As such. the SCP will be used as the basis for the structure of analysis of competition in the South African banking industry throughout this chapter. This is highlighted in the next section in Figure 2.1. 32 33 The SCP paradigm (developed by Mason (19 39) and Bain (19 56))postulatesthatfirm s who operate in a certain market structure will conduct business in a complementary way and this will result in a specific level of performance. In other words, there is a }direct one-way causality between structure. conduct and performance. Within the SCP paradigm, two competing hypotheses exist justifying the correlation between industry structure and performance. The first hypothesis - the so-called market power hypothesis- predicts that high levels of concentration (or few firms operating /in a market) will encourage co-operative behaviour and reduce competition, thereby enhancing profits. There is thus a positive relationship between concentration and profitability irrespective of the level of efficiency achieved by the firms. Contrary to this view, the efficient market hypothesis suggests that highly concentrated markets are a result of superior efficiency and not necessarily collusive behaviour. Therefore. as a bank increases its overall efficiency, its pricing structures will become more competitive. gain market share and increase profits. The SCP one-way causality has also been criticised by the so-called New Empirical Industrial Organisation (NEIO) paradigm. which argues that the structure >of a market is not endogenous, but influenced by the strategic behaviour of firms. The NE[O approach thus suggests that there is no direct link between structure, conduct and performance as the conduct of firms can alter the type of market tructure. In practice there is no consensus over which of the two schools of 4 3 thought is better. In South Africa for example. Prager and Hannan, Falkena et al 5 the that conclude (or Falkena II) and Okeahalam all used the SCP framework to banking industry was highly concentrated and in favour of the market power Figure 2.1 Structure-conduct-perfor mance paradigm The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry •·: --~---~? ;j ~ =t Li=1~- - '. ' 11. ,:-:: :c2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 ·''!'. y,_rywc7.>u<<Y~ _>----~ ~- v ...- - , - - - - - - Source: South African Reserve Bank, Bank Supervision Department. various annual report.s 6 Figure 2.2 Number of banks in South Africa, 2000-2013 O :~ :.~_:_:_u:~i::-.·~_:_-i+Yf--r; _ ' / 20 ~- if-: · ; ; t - - F . 3 ~ : r - ? ? ~ - ~ , - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ~ 20" 1~ 1~- ~19 19 1§ 17 17 17 17 - , '.,r,; 1- E .0 ~ ~~ ~ ~ 50 . - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - A'> 45 _ '-...~ 40 · , : ~ - 1 ' l - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - _ __ 35 :- --·-- /,,_"'-. Registered banks in South Africa 2.2.1.1 Tl,e number of firms Since the beginning or the new democratic South Arrica in 1994, the number of small and medium local banks (or A2 banks) increased steadily over the years until 1999 when the number started declining on a consistent basis. (A2 banks refer to smaller banks, based on ratings by credit rating agencies, and this name is applied here to all local banks except the Big Four and Investec in South Africa.) In the artermath or both the global emerging market crisis or 199 7 /98 and the 9/11 terrorist attacks in the US in 200], poor financial management (driven especially by liquidity pressure) led to many of these A2 banks either merging or being taken over by Al banks. This factor, as well as exits from the market due to licences not being renewed, was a precursor to Saambou Bank being placed under curatorship in February 2002 due to reckless mortgage lending and fraud. In the following months. BOE Bank was integrated into Nedbank. During the period between September 1999 and March 2003, a total of 22 banks exited the South African banking system. This resulted in there being no meaningful 'second-tier' banking institution left. The number of registered banks further decreased to 19 in 2005 as Peoples Bank Limited was deregistered. Figure 2.2 indicates the dramatic fall in the number or registered banks in South Africa from 2000 to 2013. 2.2.1 Structural variables The first step in the SCP analysis is to identiry the structural variables in the industry. Structural variables refer to the exogenous factors that place a competitive constraint on a linn's ability to set price and output. These variables are: the number or lirms and the level of concentration; the nature or the product and the barriers_ to entry. hypothesis. Irrespective or the link between the SCP variables. the framework will be used in this chapter to analyse the degree or competition in the South African banking industry. 34 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 1.i.a.20 mcmocs active banks and Jthala Limited, exempted by sectioo l (c)c) of the Banks Act (94 of 1990) and Meeg 13ank Limited exempted by the Registrar of Banks (with effect from J July 1996) in terms of the Supervision of Financial Institutions Rationalisation Act (32 of 1996). South African Reserve Bank, Bank Supervision Department. annual reports. various editions" 2.3 Number of banks in South Africa, 2000-2013 -in "' ,,- ,,, Local branches of foreign banks Registered banks* Representative offices ■ Controlling companies · 11.•1 !'~;I !1 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 . ■ m 2005 the number of banks remained constant at 19 until ABSA Group Limited quired all the shares in Meeg Bank Limited during 2009, reducing the total number .banks to 18. During 2010. the number was reduced further to 17 as the assets d liabilities of Imperial Bank Limited were sold to Nedbank Limited. After the ajority of the A2 banks were integrated with the leading A 1 banks, South African thorities adopted the so-called four pillar policy. (Australia and New Zealand have lied on the four pillar policy since 1990.)This policy refers to the minimum number f locally owned banks (called 'pillars') that the domestic banking industry relies on nd explicitly discourages any merger between them in the interests of promoting a &mpetitive environment that reduces the adverse effects of systemic risk. However, ,e Banks Act (94 of 1990) does not disqualify international ownership of a bank Br a bank controlling company). thereby ensuring that the acquisition of ABSA by arclays in 2005 and that of Standard Bank by the Industrial and Commercial Bank f China in 2007 did not infringe the four pillar policy. In 2013 the South African banking industry consisted of 17 registered banks, 4 local branches of foreign banks, two mutual banks and 43 foreign banks with cal representative offices. or the total registered banks. six were controlled by reign companies and nine by local companies. 6 This is shown in Figure 2.3. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry 35 .%·~ ••....-.-.··•'- •. 2000 ~ rn rn rn rn rn rn 0 0 rn rn rn rn rn rn oo o o a o ---0- o o o o o o o o ~ o o 00 o o rn a o Total assets as % of GDP O N N N N N N N N N N N o ~ ~ N o ~ N N o ~ M N o ~ I 0% - : - , - : • ~ . - ? / . W o ' . ~ - - . .:,---.-_,-_.,_, ____ ,c.v..··-,, *The calculatio ns of the concentra tion and market shares are based on the Dl900 total asset returns provided by the SARB on December 201 3, To express total assets as a percentag e of GDP, the nominal value of GDP !as published in the SARE Quarterly Bulletin (201 3 :S-108)] was used. given that the nominal value of assets is reported, Figure 2.4 Total assets as a percentage of GDP for banks in South Africa, 1994-2013. 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 500 3000 3 500 4 000 ,,,, GDP 11 (,,, I ,,.,, I 1·1 I 1·•1 I 1--1 I ,,., I ,-,-, I I 'I I IH I Fl ) 1-:11 I r:-j I Ml t Pl I 111'1 I r~, I -Ml t r·1 I PI j l'N ~ ~ © ~ 00 rn O ~ N M V ~ ~ Total assets 4500 ~ C: In 1991 Allied Bank, United Bank, Volkskas and SagifBanks merged tc:icreatethe Amalgamated Banks of South Africa (or ABSA as it is known). As of July 2013, and because of a majority ownership by Barclays Bank pie in the United Kingdom, the group name changed to Barclays Africa Group Limited. Although the ABSA brand is still functioning in South Africa, suggestions are that it is merely a matter oftime before it falls away entirely. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The sharehol ding structur e of the South African banks at the end of 2013 consisted of 47. 7% foreign shareho lders (measured in nominal value of South African banking sector shares). 24.3% domestic sharehol ders and 28% minority sharehol ders. The main reason for the large foreign percentage is due to the majority sharehol ding that Barclays has in ABSA. Minority sharehol ders refer to both domestic and foreign shareholders who respectively own less than 1% of the total nominal value of shares. 6 The financial sector plays a vital role in economic growth as it typically contributes between 10% and 11% of South Africa's gross domestic product (GDP). As of 2012. banking sector assets represent over 50% (R3.5 trillion) of the R6 trillion financial services sector assets. 7 Since 200 l, growth rates in banking assets have exceeded that of the annual nominal GDP growth rate. As illustrated in Figure 2.4, the ratio of assets-toGDP by banks exceeded the 100% mark in 2001, reaching a peak of 140% in 2008 and falling in subsequent years, mainly as a result of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). 36 Market share and concentrati.011 ratios Before regulators can calculate the market share and assess the level of competition in an industry, the relevant market in question should be defined. The relevant market is a /concep t used in competition analysis that refers to drawing a boundar y around products or services that are truly substitutable. This determines which financial institutions are genuinely competitors. Defining the 'relevan t market' answers the question, for example, docs beer compete with wine? Or does brandy compete with whiskey? In other words. by defining the relevant market, it can be established •• •2.1.2 The level of concentration ncentrat ion indices measure the number and size distribut ion of firms in an dustry, These structur al indices are used by competition authorit ies worldwide to ssess the degree and/or change in the level of competition. Various indices exist to • easure the degree of concent ration in the banking sector. These indices include arket share, the Herfind ahl-Hirs chman index (HHI), concent ration ratio (CR) and 'he Lerner index. It is importa nt to note that when assessing the degree of ompetition within a particul ar market, especially a complex environ ment such as banking, other factors should also be considered. These include the size of the Incumbe nt firms, the geograp hical constrai nts of custome rs, custome r interest and heeds, switching costs. the level of contestability, regulato ry requirem ents and product differentiation. Note that custome rs and clients arc used intercha ngeably as they refer to both consum ers (people) and entities (companies). Consum ers simply refer to the final user or purchas er of a good or service. In general. competition theory identifies a positive relations hip between concentr ation and financial margins (or profits) in banks. There are three main argumen ts for this. The first. argues that as a bank's market share increases (and therefore concent ration levels increase), the degree of market power the bank possesses also increases. Firms with market power are prone to - either unilatera lly or co-operatively - increasi ng their prices. This leads to higher margins between ending and deposit rates. which in turn implies higher profits. The second argume nt suggests that banks arc more efficient and consequ ently more prolitable, thus obtaining a larger market share. The third argume nt maintain s that markets are concent rated as a result: of barriers to entry. High barriers - especiall y regulato ry barriers - result in fewer potentia l entries. These high barriers result in firms being able to charge high prices, maintai n high margins and make excessiv e profit without fear of new competition, The following section deals with several measure s that assess the level of concent ration and therefore competi tion . iJNeclb'ahkGroup was foUritledlh Arn'sterdam in1888 and ederlandsche Bank en Credietvereeniging voor Zuid Afrika. In ha~ged to Nedbank Limited and on31 March 1992 it (January 2003,Nedcor Umited absorbed ·BOE Limited and h:inged its·name to Nedbank Group Liniited. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry 37 f = ·-,-,-, ••·.•-• ·•• -· ····-~ ./.•·- "'""·""'·=----~- -~- ?-V.,111""-"II"!,~-' /V';·.~"""-n/ .-."'.:".Z?.. whether or not we are dealing wilh. in this case, the beer market. wine market, spirits market or alcoholic beverages market. Only once the competitors have been identified, can the applicable market share be calculated. It should, however, be mentioned that depending on the availabilily of data or the research question that needs to be answered, economists and regulators use different proxies to calculate market share. Jn the banking industry, for example, assets, deposits or liabilities are often used as general proxies. Furthermore, different approaches are followed to classify the substitutability of products. Literature tends to use the cluster approach (or define the relevant rm1rket more broadly). whereas competition authorities follow the segmented market approach. The cluster approach combines products into bundles - for example a banking account consists of savings. cheque and credit card accounts. Consumers are then free to choose a bundle of banking products given the specific needs of the customer. Conversely the segmented market approach considers each product in a separate market. Using the same example, credit cards, savings accounts and cheque accounts are all viewed as being in separate market segments. The total market share of the bank is then calculated by the average of all the different products. Another reason for the importance of market share is its role as an indicator of market power. The larger the market share a firm possesses, the stronger the degree of market power. Economists define market power as the ability of a firm to set price above marginal cost. As firms in a perfectly competitive market act as price takers, price is set equal to marginal cost. The Competition Commission in South Africa uses two approc1ches to define market power - the structural approaclr and the behaviour approach. The structural approaclr focuses on market share. Section 7 of the South African Competition Act states that: ·a firm is dominant in a market if (i) it has at least 45% of that market, (ii) it has at least 35%, but less than 45%, of that market, unless it can show that it does not have market power and (iii) it has less than 3 5% of that market but has market power'. 8 The behaviour approach determines market power by assessing the conduct of firms - market power is defined as 'the power of a firm to control prices; to exclude competition or to behave to an appreciable extent independently of its competitors, customers or suppliers'. 8 The Competition Act directly infers that if a firm has above 35% market share. it has market power and is classified as a dominant firm. Although market share can provide an indication of who controls how much of the total market, it is not always a true indication of market power. The main limitations of using market share as an indication of dominance (or market power) include: • The area or geographical scope in which a firm competes. A firm might hold a large market share for the domestic market. but actually competes in international markets. This will overestimate the level of concentration and the degree of market power a firm possesses. • A firm may hold a large market share. but the degree of market power is constrained by an elastic demand. This can be attributed to ractors such as the luxury nature of the product, close or available substitutes, dynamic innovation and constant product differentiation that renders dominant market share tempornry. 38 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 39 Equation 2. 1 CRs are commonly used by competition authorities in merger or acquisition cases where the comparison of the pre- and post-merger ratios are used to ascertain whether or not the merger will result in the creation of a dominant bank and as ,1 result enhance the market power of the bank. As indicated in Table 2 .1, the South African banking sector is dominated by four full-service banks, namely ABSA, Standard Bank, FirstRand and Nedbank. These banks account for at least 80% of the total market assets. Standard Bank, the largest bank in terms of assets in 2012. had a market share of 26%, followed by ABSA and FirstRand with approximately 20% each. The smallest of the four banks, Nedbank, had a market share of approximately 16%. The largest increase in the CR took 4 place in 2002/2003 (refer to highlighted sections in the table) as a result of the Nedcor/BOE merger. At the end of 2001. the CR was 69%, whereas at the end of 4 2003 it had increased substantially post-merger to 80.66% (Nedbank's market share increased from 14.60% to 20.29%). Another reason for the escalation of the k is 4. Z; represents the total value of the assets held by the individual bank 21 the total industry assets. Depending on how the market shares are distributed between the firms, the concentration ratio for the three, five or ten largest firms is commonly used. By way of an example, if the CR.1 = 80% it means that the largest three banks are responsible for 80% of the total banking assets. The higher the CR, the higher the level of concentration and the more the market is dominated by a few banks. [n the Merger Guidelines of 1968,Y the US Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission provided a rule of thumb for the interpretation of an industry structure using the CR 4 . Jf: CR 4 = 0: perfect competition 0 < CR 4 < 40: effective competition or monopolistic competition 40 < CR 4 < 60: loose oligopoly (where the market share between the largest four firms is distributed evenly) or monopolistic competition CR 4 > 60: tight oligopoly (where the market share between the largest four firms is distributed unevenly) or the presence of a dominant firm with fringe firms CR 4 > 90: effective monopoly or a super dominant firm with competitive fringe. ZI CRk= l:/=,Zi the market shares of the firms are determined. the concentration ratios can be calculated. Concentration ratios indicate the extent to which a relatively small number of firms control or dominate the total industry. Tt therefore focuses on the egree of inequality in a market by emphasising the share of the largest firms. The R4 (fou~-firm concentration ratio) for the South African banking industry would hen be calculated by dividing the assets of k number of banks by the total assets of banking industry: Market share docs not. provide an indication of the level of barriers to entry as lower barriers can constrain a dominant firm's ability to abuse its market power. er 2: The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 83.78 90.99 91.53 84.11 0.65 7.42 1954 17.16 26.11 21.30 2011 91.59 84.68 0.41 6.91 19.75 17.55 25.90 2008 89.77 84.42 0.14 5.36 19.19 15.92 27.20 22.11 90.84 85.09 0.11 5.75 19.34 17.14 25.87 22.73 2007 89.72 84.04 0.09 5.68 18.70 18.27 25.57 21.50 2006 0.05 4.83 17.56 20.61 25.69 19.73 19.55 20.64 0.30 6.06 18.48 5.80 19.26 20.29' 44'60 2303 18.86 5.99 18.63 13.75 17.58 19.27 2001 6.16 11.26 13.83 18.38 20.69 2000 89.52 88.42 86.73 79.85 75.24 76.32 O.o3 O.D3 0.04 83.74 83.59 80.66, '74:05 69.24 70.16 0.07 5.79 18.31 18.01 25.99 21.37 2005 2004 2003 2002 Equation 2.2 where n is the number of firms. Z; is the value of the respective firm's assets and z, is the total value of all assets in the industry. When the market share is expressed as a percentage, the HHI ranges between 10 000 (100 2 for a monopoly) and IO 000/11 (for a minimu m value). where n represents the number of firms in the industry. Note that if market share is expressed as a decimal, the maximu m value of the HHl is l and the minimu m value is 1/n. The higher the value of the HI-II, the higher is the level of concent ration. The HHI is used to measure the level of concent ration and competi tion in an industry and specifically assists competition authorities in merger analysis. South Africa has adopted the US Departm ent of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission's Horizontal Merger Guidelines of 2010 10 as the guideline to assess the level of competition for firms in South Africa. If: 1 ,,, (~)2 HHI = l:;= z, 2.2.1.2.2 The Hc1finda/Jl-llirsc/1man index The Herfinda hl-Hirsc hman index (HHI) is the most widely used index for measuri ng the degree of concent ration. It is calculat ed by squaring the market share (expressed as a percenta ge of total assets) or each respective firm competing in the market and then summin g the resulting squared numbers . As this measure takes cognisan ce of both the market share and the number of firms in the market, it is generally preferred over other indices by economists and competition authorit ies: The CR is nol without limitations. Its major disadvantage is that it does not give an indicatio n of the total number of firms in an industry and how the market share is distributed amongs t the leading (or largest) firms (refer to the explanat ion box in the section below for an example). To overcome this hurdle the HHJ is also calculated. 90.74 84.64 0.29 6.10 18.50 17.13 27.10 21.90 2010 2009 21.47 Source: Author's own calculations 83.40 90.52 116 CR 5 7.21 7.12 Investec Capitec Bank CR4 16.86 20.11 17.15 20.46 Nedbank FirstRand Bank 1.03 26.14 25.53 Standard Bank 20.66 20.26 ABSA Bank 2013 2012 Table 2.1 Market share and concentration ratio of leading banks in South Africa, 2000-2013 concent ration ratios was attribute d to the 22 banks that exited the industry between September 1999 and the end of March 2003. The highest CR was reached in 2007 4 (85.09%), with the CR5 peaking in 2010 at 91.59%. It is interesti ng to note that since 1994, only Capitec bas manage d to enter the deposit-taking retail market and survive. Given that Capitec caters for the lower income level custome r, it has in recent years been a worthy competi tor to the Big Four in the rel.ail banking space. 40 Equation 2.3 --------"""""'~ -------_ .....-== -="",____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ____ ___ t/suB/>o§e'tf-,ii'(;R/=80% for•·bbthfndu!H~•~a:nHjfitfustryB resJjettiJe 1y.ir·•·· A/,discussed above,theCRJails!Oi~di~atepow.the markeF~har~:,s distributed .• • ':!1/{een.th!f?U~jeading firms: If ~oulc:ih~Fth,at industry A's rnar~':ts~ are .is equal(Y ist~.ibtite_a·betweeh}heJour firtns ~f~b%f iich••WMreas •industry.~•s market·shar~ is<•. t5t~i.buted respectively 50%,20 ~{5~-~ d . 5%;.v.J_e aSSUlll!! inf~C}•th at this ·.is the__ • tfa~'7· l~}ncfil5!r/t/ao utie of co~operatf~e market powei'/or.collu~i~n)··is .more l_ik~ly ta_~_e· ~1ace,cWhereas the··abuse~f u~il~t:Yal 111arket pdwerfs.mor~'li.k elytotakek 1:cewhen a large dominantfirii'ti.s preseryt;~uch)asJhefa~ewit~indust ry 8. (}- •• t~olighth e9~4equ alling 80%;indi?atesthat Jhere are _moretha~Jourfirm S/\. D • • •••• p:rating in the market~the'.questi6il;that;~eeds cto be asked· is how mailyfirm s are there exactly? It can ·be anything from five to literally hundreds or thousands. <, advanta ge of the HIII over the CR is that it gives proporti onately greater weight the larger market shares and it includes all the banks in the industry . As a result the HHI provides us with both informa tion of how the market share is distributed between the firms and reveals market dominance. following general benchm arks 10 for merger analysis are applied: If the HHI is less than 1 500 the merger is less likely to cause competi tive concern and requires no further analysis. If the HHI is between 1 500 and 2 500 and the increase is greater than 100, it is likely to have adverse competitive effects and warrant s further scrutiny . If the HHI is greater than 2 500 and the increase is between 100 and 200, it potentially raises significant competitive concerns and often warrants scrutiny. However, if the increase is greater than 200, the merger will enhance the market power of the post-merger entity and strengthen its ability to abuse its market power. (Abuse of market power is classified as either exploitative or exclusio nary abuse. Exploitative abuse refers to the direct exploitation of market power, where conduct of a dominant firm directly causes harm to the consumers by either charging a high price to its consumers, or by limiting its development of new products (innovation). Exclusionary abuse refers to any conduct by a dominan t firm that either puts rivals at a disadvantage or prevents firms from entering or expanding within a market. The aim of exploitative abuse, is to extract a greater amount of consumer surplus and increase profits, whereas the aim of exclusionary abuse is to strengthen or maintain the market power of the dominan t firm by distorting or eliminating competit ion.) Increase in HHI = market share ol' Ax market share of Bx 2 ompetition authorit ies use the HHI to consider both the pre-mer ger level of the HHI nd the increase in the HHI resulting from the merger. Assumin g firm A and tirm B to merge the increase in the HHI as a result of a merger is calculated as follows: HHI < 1 500: indication of low levels of concentration and high levels of competition 1 500 < HHI < 2 500: indication of moderate levels of concentration and competition HHI > 2 500: indication of high levels or concent ration. When the index exceeds 1 800, oligopolistic markets usually exist. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry 41 + Therefore, if industry A has, for example, five firms with equal marketshare, HHI = (20 2 202 + 202 + 20 2 + 202) = 2 000. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ~ ~ ~ ~ ro m ~ N N oo o rn m m m m m rn rn m rn m rn oo N oo N N ~ ao N ~ oo N ~ oo N oo m N ~ oo N oo oo N oo rn N o oN oN N o- N o ~ C') In comparison to other international banking industries, South Africa has a high level of concentration. Figure 2.6 shows the HHI for several foreign countries in order to provide a benchmark for international comparison. South Africa has a high level of concentration, as do Israel and Finland. Low levels of concentration exist for Germany, the UK and France. The main reason for the lower level of concentration Source: South African Reserve Bank. Bank Supervision Department, various annual reports" Figure 2.5 HHI figures for the South African banking industry, 1994-2013 I :i: 2000 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 The Herfindahl-Hirschman index for the South African banking industry, 1994-2013 As depicted in Figure 2.5, the HHI for the South African banking industry declined steadily from 1995 to 1998, mainly due to the increase in the number of A2 and foreign banks. Following this period, the HHI remained stable between 1998 and 2001. From 2002 it deteriorated as a number of registered banks collapsed (43 banks in 2000 and 17 in 2013) ,md exited the market for the reasons discussed above. Since 2003, the index has further increased reaching a high of 1 900 in 2007. This can be attributed to the increase in the market share of the Big Four banks and the reduction in the overall number of registered banks. The biggest jump in the HHI was between 2001 and 2002, from 1320 to 1750, mainly due to the Nedcor/BOE merger. This example shows thaflf a dominant this case 3 030 is greater than 2 000), suggesting that the level of concentration higher in industry 8 than in industry A. ·• Moreover, if industry B consisted of, say, nine firms the HHI 42 + 42 +4 2 + 42 + 42 ) = 3 030. 42 ....... ~~·~• ... (/) ~~ 0 O ~ al N u .C ~ International comparison of the 2012 Herfindahl-Hirschman index £ (l) z coo~-~~L~otc~-~~~~c~E-WOL ~wm ~~~ ~wu:r~(/)o~ ~~ 00 &w(/)-~ .3 X m~ ~E$ ~D mccm-mm~~~mc~>m ~~m~c~mmc~m~~m 0 m~~cm~~~Em~&-~~ ~mmo~-m ~~oE ~$~~~$!8$~~$E$~~~~i~$~~!~~~et - ~,-~., ·· ..... • ····•·· _ ,c,,,., ..... ,.. . ...... - ..........,.. ,. 1 • and Hotf6F;.rne seto carcuiiite'• 'd •ii'xfi1bits·e····.·.·.·.·., .•·.·.o .•.· .· '·.w· · .·.· .· ·.·.l.·.·e· .·.·•.v· •tfan~ing. ·•.·.•'. .e•·. l.·.·.·.;.().· ·.·f. C?nc:ent·····r·· . •.a•. •·.·. t· · · i· •.•· •·.•.·•o•.· •·n·• ·.•·•.· ·.•·. ·-stn'ieii\ (ft.~ Oh _ .. . ~JP}~lif~an Chase, Bankof il~r1s Fa:t~?!rl'~\~~i_ama:ilsaB~!-ll~rac1Hii,&~;!~!~.~ sicurities;.cornmodities, aridjns~.~anBe te-gula!ory_ageficies ifri tlie baffltregulat'ory agericies}atboth fecleral and state • ide·s·selett!?f~!!dx~bo·ut tti~,p~ ~~:~~ingJn~?s!rY- Here .it,is ···ere· are;$-'.S9'7C:?il'fmerciaf(bankst:J'il\l1Utnbet.substan_tially, ·><·• it . b~~!i1l~~f!!i;re~~l!~~~i,j6h~ii~ fi~;i~:ddt~=~Y Adapted from the Israel Banking Supervision Department, 2013. 11 The figure for Israel is December 2013, is calculated based on the total assets of the commercial banks, and docs not activity of foreign banks in Israel. Figures for other countries are for December 201 2, and activity of foreign banks in each country. 0 500 International comparison of the 2012 Herfindahl-Hirschman index 's that the markets consist of many firms that are characterised by monopolistically features. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry 43 Merged/Closed Failed"" 441 856 854 1 056 2.2.1.2.3 The Lerner index The Lerner index is used as a measure of market power and the degree of competition. As mentioned above, market power in economic terms refers to a firm's ability to set its price above its marginal cost. As the price of a product is equal to marginal cost in perfectly competitive markets, a value of zero indicates no market power. Conversely, the closer the value is to a maximum of one, the higher the degree of market power and the lower the degree of competition in a market. The Lerner index is especially useful when working with mnltiple products. but requires accurate and costly information regarding the marginal cost and price of a product. The formula to calculate the Lerner index is thus: As indicated at the beginning of the chapter, the SCP paradigm states that there is a direct link between concentration, profits and price margins. The more concentrated the market is, the higher the prices and therefore the higher the profit margins arc. Related specifically to the mark-up factor (the extent to which a firm can sel its price above its marginal cost), a further tool used in an industry analysis to determine the degree of competition is the Lerner index. • • Adjusted for mergers. **Excludes open bank assistance transactions. -·Note: Data for records processed until 4/ 312015. Source: US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation 12 -" Newly established From January 1 2015 - March 5 2015: Total FDIC Insured Institutions us branches of foreign banks Total commercial banks and savings institutions FCIC super~sed OCC supervised Federal Reserve supervised 'Financi~I data•:;s of 31/12/2014' ($million) 3 687 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective - _··r:oiC insurecl'lnstliutl6ris as of 5/3/2015 . 44 45 -] =-~:; Equation 2.5 X MC= [-2.5/(l - 2.5)] X R3 = RS Equation 2.6 2.2.1.2.4 Mark-up Now that the Lerner index has been dealt with, we can derive the exact extent to which the marginal cost exceeds the price (hence the mark-up). The mark-up measures the extent to which a firm can set a profit-maximising price above its marginal cost. This is also called the price margin. Given that no profit-maximising firm will operate along the inelastic part of its demand curve, the Lerner index can never be greater than 1. (A firm will never operate at the inelastic part of a demand curve as its marginal revenue will be negative, ie the revenue that the firm receives This example suggests that the optimal pricing strategy will be to charge a lower • price for low-income consumers because their demand is more elastic. In the South African situation. this example supports the reason for the creation of the lowincome Mzansi account (see Chapters 3 and 4) and the endeavour of banks to attract the unbanked population. the profit maximising price for highincome customers will be: Ph;gh = [E/(1 + E)] x MC= (-1.5/(l - 1.5)] x R3 = R9 Plow= [E/(l + Ed)] the profit maximising price for the low-income consumers will be: F Profit maximising price= ( 1 ;"E, x MC l Elasticity of demand refers to the responsiveness (or sensitivity) in the amount consumers are willing and able to buy (expressed as a percentage change in quantity demanded) for a specific percentage change in the price of that good. An inelastic demand indicates that the percentage fall (or rise) in quantity demanded will be ess in relation to the percentage increase (or decrease) in the price of a good. For ample, if the bank increases its credit card fees by 10%, the quantity demanded will only fall by 2%. On the other hand, if the percentage fall (or rise) in quantity demanded is more in relation to the percentage increase (or decrease) in price, let's say by 20%, the demand is said to be elastic. Elasticity (or E11 ) is also used as a tool to determine the optimal profit maximising price, as low-income consumers are more sensitive to price than high-income consumers are. To illustrate this, suppose the elasticity of demand is - 1.5 for a high-income consumer and -2.5 for a low-income consumer. If the marginal cost (MC) of a transaction is R3. the profit maximising price can be calculated using the following formula: Lerner Pis the price and MC is the marginal cost of the product or service. The Lerner ndex is also related to the price elasticity of demand as it is expressed as the negative inverse of the elasticity of demand (Ed) at profit maximising price such that Equation 2.4 The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Equation 2. 7 2.2.1.2.5 The Ii-statistic The H-statistic (based on the Panzar and Rosse 2 methodology) measures how either price or output responds to cost changes (input prices). ft is computed by the summation of the elasticity of revenue relative to the factor price. The H-statistic has a value that ranges from negative oo to l. In a perfect competitive market, firms face a perfectly elastic demand curve. Therefore, an increase in input prices will increase both marginal cost and total revenue by the same amount (ratio of 1:1). The II-statistic in a perfect competitive market will therefore be equal to 1. On the other hand, a monopoly's demand curve has a negative slope, and as a result an increase in input prices will cause marginal costs to rise, output to fall and revenue to fall. (Note: a monopoly always produces on the elastic part of its demand curve where marginal revenue is positive.) The H-statistic in a monopoly will hence be less than or equal to 0. Conversely, the closer the value is to zero, the higher the degree of concentration and the lower the level of competition. In monopolistic competitive firms, the rise in output price as a response to input prices will depend on the elasticity of demand. The higher the degree of elasticity, the higher the degree of competition and the lower the degree of market power. A monopolistically competitive market therefore exhibits an H-statistic value between 0 and 1 . Calculating the II-statistic involves complicated econometric modelling. Sludies conducted in South Africa have found the H-statistic to indicate that competition and efficiency in the banking industry resemble that of monopolistic competition: 0.85 by Claessens and Laeven; 13 0.75 by Greenberg and Simbanegavi; 14 0.46 by Bikker et 15 al; and 0.53 by Simbanegavi et al. 16 These results suggest that the South African banking industry has become more concentrated and less competitive over the years. A few words of caution when interpreting concentration indices, especially regarding the banking industry: ■ Banks produce multiple product lines - when interpreting these indices one should be careful not to assess the total level of competition in the industry by treating all the different products as one single product. Therefore, the relevant product market should be clearly defined in order to avoid overestimating the degree of market power. ■ The proxy used to measure concentration should be specified and clarified. Academics tend to use data on a national level, such as the total assets for banks. Competition authorities. on the other hand, tend to define a market By way of an example, ff the price of a product is RS and the marginal cost of producing the product is R2, then the Lerner index= 0. 75. Therefore the mark-up factor will be equal to [1/(l - 0.75)] = 4. The price is therefore four times that of the marginal cost. P=(~)xMC from the sales of a good will be negative. This is because marginal revenue is calculated as: price x (1 + 1/El) As such, the larger the Lerner index becomes, the greater lhe mark-up will be. Therefore: 46 47 e nature of the product (or service) produced by a firm plays a major role in the etermination of the market structure. Perfectly competitive markets consist of many, ny firms who supply consumers with identical (perfect substitule) goods. Accordingly, 'ms have no control over the market price of the goods (hence these firms are facing a rfectly elastic demand curve). Although, monopolistically competitive markets are also haracterised by many firms operating in the market, they differ from perfectly ompetitive market.~ in the sense that consumers view products as differentiated yet close bstitutes. As consumers can easily switch between the substitute products, firms face a gative, yet elastic demand curve. Monopolies produce goods for which there are no bstitutes and hence the market demand is equal to the firm's demand curve. Therefore, can be deduced that the availability and closeness (similarity between goods) or ubstitutes contributes to the type of market structure a firm operates within. As mentioned previously, the South African banking industry represents an ,ligopolistic market. Products in oligopolistic markets can either be homogcnous or eterogeneous. As firms in oligopolistic markets are mutually interdependent. price nd non-price competition are tactical or strategically based decisions. Given the eve! of uncertainty and fear of a price war, firms usually tend to focus more on nonPrice competition such as adverlising and marketing differentiation strategies. As such, banks spend millions on advertising and marketing, and employ two main types of advertising. The first is informative advertising that aims lo inform the consumer of new or existing products or services. Il is for this reason that banks provide a vast variety of products that include, to mention a few, savings accounts, credit cards, loans, mortgages, vehicle and assets finance. The second type of advertising is convincing advertising, aimed to convince the consumer that a particular bank's product or service offering is superior to that of its rivals. The tationale behind this is to create the perception of a unique product or service, ereby making the consumer demand less elastic (or more inelastic}. This creates rand loyalty and strengthens the degree of product differentiation. Further to identifying the nature of products and services. microeconomic theory distinguishes between two major types of product differentiation. These are: ) . Horizontal product differentiation When the prices of two products are the same, some consumers will prefer one and others will prefer the alternative. In this case, the products differ only in their i2.2 The nature of the products ore narrowly, focusing on, say, the number of deposits or loans within a province or specific region. The geographical boundaries should therefore be specified very clearly. In other words, it must be very clear whether or not the data being used is local. regional. national or international. Concentration indices are only a useful departure point in the assessment of competition within a specific industry. Variables such as rapid innovation, technology and so forth should also be considered to assess the true nature of competition between the firms. Given the rapid advances made by banks to innovate in terms of products and modes or inleraction with clients all over the world, this is an important consideration to keep in mind. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Barriers to entry The following are some of the general barners identified in the banking industry: Regulatory barriers: these are prominent in industries where an entrant needs • permission from regulatory authorities to enter a market, such as the banking industry. In South Africa the Banks Act (94 of 1990) requires a bank to obtain a banking licence from the Registrar of Ranks and register with the SARB. Since 2002. no new bank licences have been granted, thereby emphasising the lack of entry into the market. The banking industry is also regulated by a number of different Acts. Refer to Chapter 3 for further discussion on these. Advertising and/or product differentiation: South African banks spend heavily on • One of the major determinants of market structure and the inherent degree of competition in an industry relates to the barriers to entry into the market. Barriers to entry refer to any variable that binders or prevents a new firm from entering or expanding a particular market. In other words, it refers to any variable that allows a firm to make an economic profit without attracting new entrants. As such, the literature generally distinguishes three main types of barriers to entry: l . Exogenous barriers Structural characteristics of the market over which an incumbent firm has no control, including economies of scale, economies of scope, natural product differentiation, absolute cost advantage and capital requirements (as in the case of banks). 2. Endogenous barriers Barriers that are strategically created by the existing firms in the market in order to either eliminate or slow down the process for a new entrant to enter the market. The extent and success of the deterring strategy depends on the size and degree of market power the incumbent firm has relating to, but not limited to, brand proliferation (brand loyalty), limit pricing, predatory pricing and price discrimination. 3. Government and regul"tory barriers Barriers that are erected by government or regulatory agencies. 2.2.3 For a bank to maintain its market share and survive in a particular market, it is important that products are developed to best match the behaviour and preferences of its consumers. The advancement of technology (especially the internet) and the frequency with which consumers are bombarded with information, result in constant changes in consumer preferences. A case in point is the rapid evolution of online banking and mobile banking, and more recently, smartphone apps that allow a consumer to perform these same transactions. characteristics. For example, some consumers will prefer using a debit card to a credit card, or vice versa. 2. Vertical product differentiation When the price of two products is the same, all consumers prefer the same product. In this case, products differ with regards to quality. For example, consumers prefer a colour television to a black-and-white one. 48 49 Contestability therefore relates to the level of barriers to entry. Barriers play an important role in the analysis of competition as they protect the abusers of market The level of barriers translates to a further measure of competition, that of con testability. It can be argued that strict regulation deters entry into the banking industry and as the industry becomes less contestable, the banks abuse their market power by setting higher margins and enjoying excessive profits. A market is therefore said to be contestable if entry conditions are low. The result of contest.ability is therefore: Markets can be dominated by a Jew Jinns {IS long as there are no significant barriers to entry. The threat of potential entry will constrain any abuse of market power. That is, should a firm act. in an anticompetitive manner and subsequently make excessive profit from this action, new firms will enter the market and enhance competition. Sunk costs should be low for entry to occur. The level of sunk costs in a market is also determined by the conduct of the incumbent firms. When sunk costs are low, this opens the market up for a 'hit-and-run' entry, thereby further constraining the behaviour of firms. advertising. One of the major spheres of advertising includes the sponsoring of popular sporting and cultural events. The Big Four banks in South Africa, for example, have been major sponsors of sports such as cricket, rugby, soccer and golf. In doing this, each bank connects to the national identity - read patriotic psyche - of a certain market-specific demographic. As banks spend heavily on advertising they also reap the benefits of scale economies from advertising. New firms must therefore spend proportionately more on each consumer lo convince them to switch. Switching costs: this barrier not only refers to the monetary cost of changing or switching between banks, but also the opportunity cost of such a switch. In retail banking, for example, switching costs are high as consumers are not 17 responsive to price changes because of the inherent inertia they exhibit. Sunk costs: sunk costs refer to those that a firm incurs which cannot be recovered. This is particularly applicable to industries with massive lixed costs such as infrastructure. In addition, advertising expenses are a good example of sunk costs. Economies of scale: this barrier is achieved when the cost of production (the long-run average cost curve) falls as output increases. C"pital requirements: refers to buildings (setting up of branches and agency networks), technology (such as electronic banking facilities, access to payments and deposits systems) and equipment that new entrants must acquire to enter the market. In the South African banking industry, banks have to comply with minimum capital requirements as stipulated in the Banks Act. See Chapter 3 for further discussion on this. Cost advantages: refers to the ability of the incumbent firm to produce each level of output at a lower cost than the entrant firm. Cost advantages are obtained through, for example, superior skilled personnel, vertical integration, superior technology and better geographical location. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Bank Manage ment in South Africa - A risk-bas ed perspec tive Complex monopoly To date no case related to complex monopolies has been brought . to the attentio n of the Competition Commission. When interpre ting comple x monopolies, one can expect certain complications: • The concep t of complex monopolies is unique to the South African Competilion Act. No other jurisdiction includes this concept. As a result, investigations into A comple x monopo ly will be deemed to exist where: (i) two or more firms supply or are supplie d with at least 75% of a market's goods or services , and (ii) such firms conduc t their respective business affairs in 'a parallel conscio us or a coordin ated manner', whether or not they do so voluntarily or with explicit agreement. Participation in a comple x monopo ly conduc t is prohibit ed where it prevents or substantially lessens compet ition within the relevant market and the conduc t resulted in: ■ high barriers to entry to the relevant market • exclusion of firms • excessive pricing • uniform or exploitative pricing, similar trading conditio ns or other indicators of parallel conscious conduc t • refusal to supply other firms within the market • other market characteristics that indicate co-ordin ated conduct. 8 In a further study Napier 18 also found that South African banks operate as a complex monopoly with barriers to entry perceived to be high. These findings led to the inclusion of a section on complex monopolies in the Compet ition Amend ment Act signed in August 2009. Specifically section l OA 8 states that: The concep t of comple x monopo ly should become part of the general remit of the Compet ition Commission. A comple x monopo ly occurs when firms, whethe r voluntarily or not and with or without agreement betwee n them, so conduc t their business that it prevents, restricts or distorts competition. This would give the Compet ition Commission scope to investigate anti-com petitive behaviour even where it does not involve proven collusion. 4 Althou gh the South African banking industr y operates in an oligopolistic market structu re, the conduc t of the banks could fall under the definitio n of a complex monopoly. Complex monopolies exist in markets where (i) there is little or no price competition, (ii) firms segmen t their custom ers in order to price discrim inate and (iii) firms change prices excessively. Referring to the South African banking industry, 4 the Falkena II Report found that: • 2.2.4 power as well as enhanc e market power. Given the high barriers that exist in the banking industry, compet ition authori ties are typically concern ed with conduc t that strategically creates barriers as this lowers the degree of compet ition and creates socalled complex monopolies. 50 51 For example. should Bank A increas e the price of its product s or services, consum ers will simply switch to the rivals. However, should Bank A lower its prices, the other Oligopolistic conditio ns that reduce any incentive to lower price, reinforce the confidence of each bank in the expecte d reactions of its rivals, engend er price rigidities, and produce a tendenc y toward upward price followin g behaviour. 15 In the absence of a price war or collusive price-tixing, the kinked- demand curve theory explains why prices in oligopolistic markets are relative ly stable. This theory is based on the behavio ural assump tion that rivals in an oligopo listic market react asymmetrically to a change in the price of anothe r firm. This means that should one firm increas e the price of the good, its rivals will not match the price increas e. Consequently the firm will lose market share as output signific antly falls because Consumers will simply switch to the lower price rivals. Therefo re. the firm faces an elastic demand curve for prices above the current market price. On the other hand, should one firm decide to lower its price, rivals will typicall y match the price decrease to protect and mainta in their market share. ln this case, the firm faces an inelastic demand curve for prices below the current market price. The net result of this behavio ur is that a firm demand curve has a kink (ie the firm faces a dualdemand curve) at the current market price. Pricing strategies in the banking industry COND UCT VARIABLES Conduct variables refer to how firms behave in a certain market structur e and also how hey interact with their rivals (either competitively or collusiv ely). Variables include pricing strategies, mergers, acquisitions, product range, advertis ing and marketing, tesearch and development. It should be stressed that as banks in South Africa operate in an oligopolistic market. the characteristic of mutual interdependence limits one bank's ability to act independently. Banks are therefore constantly aware of what their rivals are doing as this can have an impact on the survival of the bank in the long run. analysis of the structu ral variables in the SCP paradig m is now complete ·nd leads us to the next part - the conduc t variables that identify the competitive nvironm ent in which a firm operates. complex monopolies will be difficult withou t previou s compar ative jurisprudence. It is in the very nature of oligopolistic firms to closely monito r the pricing strategics and policies of its rivals. It will therefore be difficult to distingu ish between parallel (or symme trical) behavio ur and collusive (or co-ordi nated) behaviour. Oligopolistic firms typically avoid price competition and focus rather on nonprice competition. This is specifically evident in the banking industr y as banks focus on advertising, market ing and other selling instrum ents to attract customers. Compet itive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective ... there is no uniformity in the manner in which the packaged offerings are structured and priced. It is therefore impossible to make direct price comparisons between the offerings without having to input derailed information about the transactional behaviour of the prospective customer and then perform fairly lengthy calculations based on the different price formulas of the banks. 15 uniformity (that is, bank products and services that are not uniform across all banks) made it difficult to compare bank products as banks did not only bundle their products into different packages, but the number of services or transactions allocated per product bundle also differed: The Competition Commission's Enquiry PaneP 5 into banking fees found that non- The banking industry is classilled as a multi-product business since banks provide a vast variety of products and services that include current accounts, credit cards, overdraft facilities, electronic banking, insurance, home loans, foreign exchange, business banking and investing. As a result, a number of different pricing and packaging options are offered to their customers. The major three types are: • Pa!i-as-you-transact: a single fee is levied for every individual transaction. • Fixed monthly fee: the customer pays a fixed monthly fee for a limited number of bundled transactions. Once the customer exceeds the number of transactions. the pay-as-you-transact principle applies. This is known as 'second degree price discrimination'. In this case, a bank will provide the customer with a variety of price-product or service packages and allow the customer to self-select the one that best suits their needs . • Rebate option: if a consumer keeps a certain amount or balance (for example Rl 5 000) in a particular bank account for. say, a month, certain pay-as-youtransact fees will be credited (or not, in some cases) to their account. Instead, banks rather make use of different types of pricing strategics such as bundling or tying: • Pure bundling: the consumer is forced to buy a bundle of identical goods as a unit (an all-or-nothing approach). • Mixed bundling: the consumer has a choice of either buying the goods as a bundle or separately. Here, goods are usually complimenary in nature. • Tying: the consumer is forced to buy an unrelated product. For example, in order to obtain a student loan from Bank A, the customer would also be required to have a savings account at this bank. The Panel found that the complexity of products and prices, inadequate transparency and disclosure and the costs associated with switching - combined with the reluctance of banks to price compete - creates customer inertia which enforces the banks' market power. 15 banks will simply follow the price change. As a result, banks try to avoid price competition: 52 The Falkena II Report4 in 2004, the FEASibilitY Report 19 in March 2006, and the Banking Enquiry 17 launched by the Competition Commission in August 2006 all identified several anticompetitive outcomes within the South African banking industry. These included high fees, poor quality service, high barriers to entry, lack of innovation in the national payment system, ineffective competition in retail banking and financial exclusion especially of the poor. Further to this the Banking Enquiry argued that although no single bank has a market share exceeding 30%, each bank has market power, which is obtained and maintained by product differentiation, asymmetric information, high switching costs and fee complexity. In total 28 recommendations were made by the Panel of the Competition Commission's Banking Enquiry 17 . These recommendations were classified into five main groups: Penalty fees: banks were found to charge excessively high penalty fees - as high as RllO per rejected debit order. This was found to contribute to the vicious cycle of consumer indebtedness. Furthermore, these penalties were levied disproportionately onto lower-income customers. The Panel recommended a cap of RS per rejected debit order and also that banks make it easier for customers to cancel a debit order. ATM carriage fees: the Panel found that the manner in which banks set the carriage fee (commonly known as Saswitch fees, which are payable between banks when a customer uses the ATM of another bank) was problematic and complex. To achieve greater price competition between the ATM services, it was recommended that a direct-charging model that offers full disclosure and transparency at the start of the transaction be adopted. Access to the National Pa!iment System (NPS): in order to enhance competition, the Panel recommended open access to the NPS by broadening the regulatory environment, as the current system makes it difficult for potential new innovative competitors to enter the market. • Payment cards and interchange fees: the Enquiry revealed that potential abuse lies within the interbank arrangements and the costs associated with branded payment cards (Visa and MasterCard). This is because banks charge the maximum price that merchants are willing to bear, resulting in higher prices ·</fdniggingtheLIBOR rate (London Interbank Offered Rate) from2005 to irrJuhe2~12/Batclaysp1cJthehofdi2g~ompahyofABSA)'iJ~~~ned anks generally levy fees in three ways: The /Jase fee per transaction is a fixed fee. For example, a RIO Saswitch fee to withdraw cash from a rival bank's ATM. Expressed as a percentage of the value of the transaction. For example, 5% for every Rl 000 cash withdrawal from an ATM. The maximum payable fee. For example. 5% is levied for every Rl 000 withdrawal, but not exceeding a maximum of R2 50. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry 53 and 'unfairly punishing lower income customers who pay with cash.' As a result, it was recommended that an independent, objective and transparent regulatory process for the setting of interbank fees should be established and certain rules that were made by MasterCard and Visa should be abolished. Products and pricing: the Panel round that the complexity of products and prices, inadequate transparency and disclosure, and the costs associated with switching (combined with the reluctance of banks to price compete) creates customer inertia that enforces the market power of banks. Recommendations included (i) amending the Banking Association's Code of Banking Practice to develop a minimum set of standards for disclosure of product and price information, (ii) the standardisatio n of terminology, (iii) a fee calculator and (iv) marketing generic customer profiles aimed at improving comparability. 17 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Merger analysis A merger is not likely to create or enhance market power or to facilitate its exercise, if entry into the market is so easy that the market participants, after the merger, either collectively or unilaterally could not profitably maintain a price above premerger levels. Such entry likely will deter an anticompetitive merger in its incipiency, or deter or counteract the competitive effects of concern. Given the high level of concentration and concern with already high banking fees and barriers to entry in the banking industry, the Competition Commission is very cautious of approving mergers in South Africa. The rationale for this is rooted in the US Horizontal Merger Guidelines of] 992 20 that state: 2.3.2 The Competition Commission did not only create headlines with the Enquiry into the Banking Industry, but also in its investigations into proposed mergers within the industry. The first bank-proposed merger between Nedcor and Stanbic in 1999/2000 created friction between the Competition Act and the Bank Act. specifically regarding the jurisdiction of the case (that is. who had the final say in the outcome thereof). This resulted in the first amendment of the South African Competition Act in 2000 to include financial institutions under the concurrent jurisdiction of the Competition Commission. (Section 3 of the Competition Act of 1998 stated that 'This Act applies to nil eco11omic activity within. or liaving an effect within tlie Republic, except (d) Acts subject to or authorised /Jy public regulation.' It was this section that resulted in jostling between competition authorities and bank regulators. On appeal, the Supreme Court held that Section 3(1) precludes the Competition Authorities from exercising its jurisdiction upon all regulated sectors. As a result, the Competition Act was amended by removing (d) and replacing it with '(a) /11 so Ji1r as tliis Act applies to an industry, or sector of an industry, that is subject lo the jurisdiction of another regulatory authority, which authority has jurisdiction in respect of conduct regulated in terms of Chapter 2 or 3 of this Act, this Act must be construed as establishing concurrent jurisdiction in respect of that conduct.') Nevertheless, the Minister of Finance still has the sole jurisdiction on bank merger, but can call upon the Commission for assistance if required. • 54 55 Nedcor/Starrb icin 1999 Corporate, investment and merchant banking servias The Competition Commission identified 12 products in this market.: cash, cheque and transmission accounts; deposits; loans, advances and overdrafts; leases and instalment sales agreements; treasury services; international banking services; international business centres; custodial services; asset management (unit trusts); project/structu red finance; corporate finance; and stockbroking. If the merger were approved, the post-merger entity would have a market share greater than 50% in five of these twelve markets and in four additional markets, a market share of between 29% and 42% over its closest competitor. Pre-merger, the HHI already exceeded 1 800 in six of the twelve categories. Thus although the market was highly concentrated, the Commission found that the merger would not. substantially lessen or prevent competition due to low barriers to entry, countervailing power and increased foreign competition. 12 The main concern was with the retail banking segments, where the merger would have enhanced the market power of the 'new· bank and lowered the ability of the remaining banks to compete effectively. Using the three categories identified by the Competition Commission, below is a brief summary of the reasons why the merger was prohibited: The Competition Commission argued that if the merger were approved, the new -combined CR (Nedcor!Standard, ABSA and First National Bank) would be 77.7%. 22 3 The Commission segmented the relevant market into three separate categories because the competition takes place therein: corporate, investment and merchant banking services retail banking services: personal banking services retail banking services: small business banking services. 22 n November J 999, Nedcor (the fourth largest bank at the time) attempted a hostile akeover of Stanbic (the second largest bank al the time). In order to assess the level f competition of this bid, South African competition authorities adopted the earlier ''ersion of the US Merger Guidelines of 1982: 21 HHI < l 000: indication of low levels of concentration and high levels of competition 1000 < HHI < l 800: indication of moderate level of concentration and competition HHI > 1 800: indication of high levels of concentration . When the index exceeds 1 800, oligopolistic markets usually exist. ;3.2.1 ce 2000 there have been three proposed mergers in the South African banking ustry - one was prohibited by the Competition Commission, one was approved, d one was not scrutinised by the Commission. Below follows a brief explanation each and the rationale for their respective outcomes. The Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Retail banking services: Small business banking services In the third category identified by the Competition Commission, the CRl and HHI would respectively increase from 78% and 2 496 pre-merger to 96% and 3 720 post-merger. This strongly suggested the dominant position and enhancement of market power by the proposed new bank. Other than the increase in concentration, the Commission concluded that the merged entity would be able to exercise market power as, (i) there was no import competition in the market, (ii) the market was characterised by high barriers and (iii) clients had no countervailing power in the market. 22 3 Nedcor!BOE in 1.001. The ripple effect of the demise of Saambou in 2002 was felt by BOE. Large withdrawals by wholesale depositors caused BOE to approach the SARB for liquidity assistance as confidence in the smaller banks was falling rapidly. This resulted in a merger between Nedcor and BOE (the sixth largest bank at the time) in 2002. This caused the HHI to increase from 1 470 to l 750 (a 33.4% increase) and the CR 4 to increase from 69% to 81 %. This further reduced the number of major banks from six to five in an already heavily concentrated market. The merger was not assessed by the Competition Commission owing to time constraints and the urgent nature of the transaction systemic risk was rife given the collapse of the A2 sector during this time and the authorities were determined to act swiftly in order to avoid further systemic panic. As the Registrar of Banks and the Minister of Finance authorised the merger. 1..3.1..1. Given the discussion above, the Competition Commission recommended that the merger be prohibited. The removal of an effective competitor (especially given the four pillar policy), the enhancement of market power and the lessening of competition (in the retail banking service industry in particular) were at the centre of the Commission's recommendation. Retail banking services: Personal banking services The Commission identified five submarkets in which both Ncdcor and Stanbic competed. These were cash/cheque and transmission accounts; deposits; overdraft facilities; mortgages; and credit cards. Concerns were raised about the level of concentration and competition in this particular market as all the submarkets had a CR 3 > 6 5% and the lowest HIII pre-merger (in terms of total deposits) was 2 118. The post-merged entity would have a market share exceeding 38% in all five markets and have the largest volume of middle- and upper-market customers in the cheque account market in South Africa. The Commission also found that there was little threat of import competition and high barriers to entry (specifically significant investment in ATM facilities and branch networks). Standard Bank was also found to be an effective competitor with a high rate of innovation. Given this evidence, it was concluded that there were no factors that would constrain the ability of the new entity to abuse market power. As a result, the Commission ascertained that the merger would significantly reduce competition in the personal retail banking market. 22 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 2 56 57 goal of a firm will therefore be to maximise all three of these efficiencies in order lower its cost components, and thereby maximise profits. The purpose of this is to provide a general overview of the performance of the South African industry by using four select performance indicators generally considered to PERFORMANCE VARIABLES he performance of firms is measured in terms of profitability and efficiency. Caution should be applied when comparing data before 2009 to that after 2009, as structural break occurred due to the implementation of Basel II.) Even though fficiency' is a commonly used term in business, from a micro-economic erspective. it is divided into three categories: Allocative efficiency; refers to how the economy distributes its resources and is achieved if resources are allocated to the production of goods that yield the value to the consumer. This is measured by the relationship between price and marginal cost - price expresses the value of the consumption of the product and the marginal cost the opportunity cost of using the product - in the production of-that specific product. Allocative efficiency is achieved in perfectly competitive markets as demand equals supply at equilibrium, and as a result the sum of the total consumer and producer surplus is maximised. Production efficiency: refers to being able to produce at the lowest: possible average total cost - that is, the ability of a firm to exploit all economies of scale in the long run. This is important because there is a direct link between cost and price; the higher the cost of production, the higher the price needed to cover the cost. Dynamic efficiency: refers to the incentive to innovate new technology and research and development. the ABSA/Barclays pie merger to be approved. recommendations from the istrar of Banks. the Competition Commission and National Treasury were uired by the Minister of Finance, who had the final say in the matter. As such, Competition Commission recommended the merger without any conditions. The in reasons were that it would not lessen or prevent: competition in the market (as te was no removal of an effective competitor) and thus no change in the market cture or level of concentration. Therefore, the Minister of Finance approved the rger with certain conditions that were primarily aimed at maintaining the undness of the financial system. Further to this, the Minister, in accordance with tion 3 7(2)(a)(iii) of the Banks Act, approved the acquisition on the basis that relays would hold more than 49% but less than 74% of the ABSA shares. As of 13, Barclays owns 62.3% of ABSA. ,2.3 ABSA!Barclaus plc in 1.005 Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry P!I l<i~II Bank Managemen t in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Return on average assets (ROAA) ~ Average total assets x 100 475 4.92 0.70 1.43 1.03 1.25 0.99 2012 5.10 0.82 1.12 0.93 1.08 1.15 2011 3.94 1 09 1.01 0.68 0.98 1.00 2010 4.91 1 06 0.73 0.74 0.96 0.82 2009 8.27 1.18 1.37 1.26 1.09 1.34 2008- 7. 7.91 1.16 1.26 1.40 1.48 200 Return on average equity (ROAE) Equation 2.9 tNote on the calculation s: For comparative purposes, the financial statements of the holding .. companies (which integrate the statements of the controlled subsidiaries or branches with an unconsolidated companion) were used. except in the case of Capitec and Nedbank, which have no unconsolidated companion. The denominato r of the performance variables was calculated using the averages of the variables, ·as provided by Bankscope. As mentioned earlier, caution should be taken when comparing data before 2009 to that of data after 2009. as a structural break occurred due to the implementa tion _.of the Basel IL Only from January 2009 could the weighted moving average be calculated. Table 2.4 shows the ROAE for the six largest banks in South Africa. The highest ROAE was recorded in 2007 by Standard Bank. with a value of 31.25, and the lowest by Investec in 2012 of 8.45. ROAE = Net income after tax..,. Average total equity capital x 100 The ROAE is a measure of the return on average shareholde r funds. The higher the ratio, the better the return shareholde rs receive relative to their equity investmen t in the bank. The ratio should however be used with caution as it may be at the expense of an over-leveraged balance sheet. The formula for the ROAE is: 2.4.2 Table 2.3 indicates the ROAA for the six largest banks in South Africa for the period 2007 to 2013. The lowest ROAA was recorded by Nedbank in 2010- 0.68, whereas the highest ROAA was listed by Capitec in 2008 - 8.27. Source: Bankscope . Capitec Bank 0.74 1.49 •..• FirstRand Bank Investec 1.07 1.05 ,'• Standard Bank Nedbank 1.13 ABSABank 2013 Table 2.3 Return on average assets for South African banks, 2007-2013 ROAA = Net income after tax The ROAA compares the efficiency and operational performance of banks as it considers the return generated from the assets financed by the bank. The higher the ratio, the higher the income earned relative to the asset investment. The formula for· ROAAis: 2.4.1 be those most important to the industry. These are the return on average assets. th return on average equity, the net interest margin and the cost-to-income ratio. t For a more elaborate discussion on performan ce indicators refer to Chapter 9. 58 17.13 20.71 8.45 23.17 21.12 8.76 22.16 24.07 9.85 13.53 14.28 18.35 14.89 2011, 14.44 18.96 12.65 14.78 14.04 _::://2012:, ,,,•2013 on averaoe eo 19.73 12.93 16.34 9.70 17.16 13.51 ,,2010 24.11 13.09 13.08 10.33 19.66 1,.42 ,:)2009 25.74 15.21 25.62 17.75 24.35 22.16 2008 18.34 15.62 23.14 19.59 31.25 24.45 2007 59 Equation 2.10 22.30 22.00 22.44 2.06 2.13 3.19 2.59 3.44 j,:,:,; 2011/ 23.43 2.03 2.23 3.06 2.68 26.42 2.25 2.26 3.04 2.73 2.96 .. - ~ ri:r£¥009 3.31 I 34.52 2.70 2.27 3.30 2.93 3.21 ,2008\': 32.48 2.43 2.72 3.43 2.87 3.51 2007 CTI ratio= Total operating income..,. Total operating expenses x 100 Equation 2.11 The CTI ratio measures how efficient (hence its sometimes being referred to as the ,efficiency ratio) a bank is by expressing its overheads (or costs) of running the bank as a percentage of the income it generates (before provisions): 2.4.4 Cost-to-income ratio (CTI ratio) oo• 2.90 2.00 2.01 3.23 3.26 3.60 2.82 3.35 3.13 3.50 :2013/\Jt ~::i,2;;c;. able 2.5 Net interest margin (NIM) data for South African banks, 2007-2013 NIM implies a low cost of funding- that is, the higher the NIM, the higher the argin the bank is commandi ng. Higher margins and profitability are preferred as ong as the asset quality is being maintained. Table 2.5 indicates that among the five eading banks, First Rand Bank had the highest NIM at 3.60 in 2013, with Investec ording the lowest of 2 in 2012. Capitec achieved an extraordinarily high 34.52 h- -2008. -- - NIM= Net interest revenue~ Total assets (or earning assets) .3 Net interest margin (NIM) he NIM expresses the value of the bank's net interest revenue as a share of its total ssets as follows: omot:i 32.67 Capitec Bank 39.15 54.82 59.03 07.74 54.51 53.91 47.02 52.71 61.86 58.18 54.ffl 57.97 2011 55.26 49.34 63.35 57.77 56.65 58.61 2010 . 58.60 47.00 61.17 54.86 48.41 52.03 2009 52.81 48.26 5701 51.78 46.17 53.28 2008 60.39 48.22 61.29 56.13 51.30 ~ ~' Since 2002 concentratio n in the South African banking industry has increased as indicated by the HHI, CR 4 and CR . Furthermore , it is clear that the banks possess 5 market power, charge high fees and exhibit high barriers to entry. Going forward, 2.5 CONCLUSION Johannesburg stock exchanges . dtial-lisled corhpany (DLC) structu . .1KJJ(y 2002,lhvestec became·t The CTI ratios for the South African banks are provided in Table 2.6. With the internationa l benchmark regarded to be 60%. the banks in general perform around or substantially below it. Given that values in excess of a 60% benchmark are considered to be inefficient. FirstRand was the only bank in the period provided to exceed the threshold, albeit only marginally (61.17, 63.35 and 61.86 in 2009, 2010 and 2011 respectively). Of the leading five banks listed, Standard Bank provided the lowest ratio of at 46.17 in 2008. A word of caution when interpreting the CT[ ratio; although a bank wants to be as 'efficient' as possible a potential problem arises when the ratio is too small. If the ratio is small because costs are particularly low, it could mean that the bank is not spending enough to ensure that the revenues are maintained over time. In other words, revenue (or income) growth usually needs to be 'fuelled' by some sort of cash injection in order to make it sustainable over the longer term. Added to this, a CTI ratio could be lower even if costs are actually being contained. which is what managemen t would want. This is exactly what happened to Nedbank in the period 2002 to 2003 as a result of the BOE merger - although the merger and consequent restructuring costs were to some extent contained, the revenue generated was not growing as desired. For this reason, it makes more sense to consider the trend over time of CTI ratios rather than the absolute figure for one period. An improving (decreasing) err ratio over a period of time says more about improved efficiency than docs a low (or high) figure in one particular year. For that reason, the analysis of trends rather than one-period ligures should be the norm for any ratio analysis. This must be coupled with a thorough understandi ng of the operational issues causing those ratio changes. Source: Bankscope 58.24 57.00 FirstRand Bank Investec 57.88 57.92 Standard Bank Nedbank > 57.63 ABSA Bank 2012 Baumol, W]. 1982. 'Contestable markets: An uprising in the theory of industry structure'. American Economic Review 72(1): 1-15. Panzar, JC & Rosse, JN. 1987. 'Testing for Monopoly Equilibrium.' The Journal of .Industrial Economics 3 5(4): 443-456. • Prager. RS & Hannan, TH. 1998. 'Do Substantial Horizontal Mergers Generate Significant Price Effects? Evidence from the Banking Industry.' Journal of Indust.rial Economics 433-452. . Falkena, H, Davel. G, Hawkins. P, et al. 2004. 'Competition in South African banking.' Task Group Report for the National Treasury and the South African Reserve Bank. http://www.finforum.co.za/fininsts/ciball.pdf (Accessed 18 October 2012) • Okeahalam, C. 2001. 'Structure and conduct in the commercial banking sector of South Africa.' TIPS 200 I Annual Forum. Presented at TIPS 2001 Annual Forum. University of Witwatersrand. http://www.tips.org.za/files/499.pdf (Accessed I 8 October 2012). South African Reserve Bank. Bank Supervision Department. Various Annual •Reports. 1994-2014. Pretoria. https:/ /www.rcsbank.co.za/Publications/Reports/ .•Pages/BankSupcrvisionAnnualReports.aspx (Accessed 2 3 September 2014 ). The Banking Association of South Africa. 2012. South African Banking Sector Overview for 2012. http:/ /www.banking.org.za (Accessed 18 October 2012). Competition Act (89 of 1998) ss 7. 1. lOA. http://www.compcom.co.za/thelaw/ TheNewAct.doc (Accessed 23 September 2014). Shepherd, WG. 198 5. The Economics of Industrial Organization. Englewood Clift'.~. N.J: Prentice Hall. US Department of Justice, Anti-trust division and Federal Trade Commission. 20.l 0. Merger guidelines of 2010. http:/ /www.justice.gov/atr/public/guidelines/hmg20l0.pd( (Accessed 19 August 2010) . Israel Banking Supervision Department. 2013. http:/ /www.boi.org.il/en/ NewsAndl'ublications/RegularPu blications/Pages/FigureSkira2013 .aspx. US Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. htt.ps://www2.fdic.gov/idasp/ KeyStatistic s.asp?tdate- 3/5/201S&p Date-3/4/20 15 (Accessed l3 March 2015 ). Claessens, SA & Laeven, L. 2004. 'What drives bank competition? Some international evidence.' Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 36(4): 563-583. Greenberg, J & Simbanegavi, W. 2009. Testing for competition in the South African banking sector. http:/ /www.commerce.uct.ac.za/economics/ seminars/20 09 / 20091106% 20 Simbanegavi%20Measuring%20competition%20 in%20Banking%20sector.pdf. Bikker, JA. Shaffer. S & Spierdijk, L. 2012. '.Assessing competition with the PanzarRosse model: The role of scale, costs, and equilibrium.' Review of Economics and Statistics. 94( 4): 102 5-1044. Simbanegavi, W. Greenberg, J & Gwatidzo, T. 2013. 'Testing for competition in the banking sector.' Economic Re.~earch Southern Africa. http://www.econrsa.org/ system/Ii les/ workshops/ papers/ 2013 / gwatidzo presentation .pdf. a competition point of view it will be interesting to see how competition orities apply the inclusion of the complex monopoly provision in the South an Competition Act as, in this regard, the South African banking industry is only one of its kind in the world. 2013 Table 2.6 Cost-to-incom e ratio for South African banks, 2007-2013 61 Competitive and Operating Environment of the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 60 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 17. Competition Commission. 2008. Banking Enquiry Report to the Competition Commissioner by the Enquiry Panel. Pretoria. www.compcom.co.za (Accessed 18 October 2012). 18. Napier. M. 2005, 3-4 February. Country Case Study Provision of Financial Services of South Africa. Services Expert Meeting. www.finmark.org.za (Accessed 23 October 2014). 19. FEASibilitY. 2006, March. The National Paymrnt System and Competition in the Banking Sector. A report prepari~dfor the Com11etition Commission. Pretoria. http:// www.feasibilitv;co.za/research.htm (Accessed 18 October 2012). 20. US Department of Justice. Anti-trust Division and Federal Trade Commission. Meraer Guidelines of J 992. http:/ /www.justice.gov/atr/hmerger/l 12 50.pdf. 21. lJS Department of Justice. Anti-trust Division and Federal Trade Commission. Merger Guidelines of 1982. http://www.justice.gov/atr/hmerger/ 11248.pdf. 22. Competition Commission of South Africa. 2000. Competition Commission Report to the Minister of Finance. The proposed merger between Nedcor and Stanbic. Pretoria. 62 Financial institutions in general and banks in particular are traditionally regarded as existing in one of the most regulated industries in the world. As such. the financial sector plays an important role in supporting the real economy through credit provisioning and facilitation of transactions through a national payments system. The behaviour of financial institutions can potentially introduce several risks to the system. The main policy objective of tinancial regulation, therefore, is to limit these risks in order to ensure financial stability. The Global Financial Crisis (CFC) that commenced in 2007 triggered substantial global financial regulatory reforms on the back of the fundamenta l weaknesses that were arising in internationa l financial markets. Internationa l standard-set ting bodies such as the Financial Stability Board (FSB), the G-20 and the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) announced various initiatives, strategies. and new or revised requirements and standards. These included a renewed focus on managing system-wide risk across the entire financial sector, both locally and internationally. This has become known as the macroprudential approach to regulation which focuses on analysing how macroeconomic events and trends affect the stability and soundness of financial institutions. In addition, it attempts to identify and control the links between financial institutions, given the systemic and interconnected nature of the financial systems around the world. INTRODUCTION After reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain the rationale and objectives of regulation in the banking industry, especially in the South African context explain the importance of prudential regulation and supervision in the South African banking industry discuss the relevance and applicability of the prudential requirements applicable to South African banks under the Banks Act discuss the relevance of market conduct regulation and supervision in the South African banking industry assess the proposed Twin Peaks framework in the South African financial sector provide an overview of the legislative landscape· applicable to South African banks, including NCA, FAIS and FICA discuss the relevance of financial inclusion as a policy objective in the South African banking industry. LEARNING OBJECTIVES !iarRegulation in the South i"t!Alteanking Industry I I Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective THE RATIONALE AND LIMITATIONS OF FINANCIAL REGULATION AND SUPERVISION .... E ~ is ]? GJ Q., .2 .. "' N .~ ~ f~ ~ ~ ~G .•••.· .. · MACROECONOMIC HIRN Reduced demand for propert10s Reduced liquidi!y in financial markets Increasing lnflation Neutral monetary policy Reduced llsca! tax revenues Failing consumer confidence PROFIT GROWTH Increasing revenue growth High demand for credit MACROECONOMIC UPSWING Property market boom liquid financial markets Expansionary liscal policy Expanskmary monetary policy Current account deficits Growing consumer credit High consumer confidence BUILD·UP or RISK !ncreasing revenue growth Excessive credit-granting Increasing loan impairments Lax credit risk mitigation lax corpora1e governance Excessive usage of liquidity Deposit growth Low loan impairments Excessive liquidity availability Internal organisational environment External macroeconomic environment Increase (moderate) Increase Increase (high) Liabilities (moderate) Increase (high) Assets = Increase (moderate) Increase (high) Capital Typical balance sheet effects• Table 3.1 The phases of a banking crisis and the effect on bank balance sheets In its broadest sense, financial regulation is a form of control by financial regulators over the activities and behaviour of financial institutions. This 'control' consists of financial requirements, restrictions and guidelines aimed at maintaining the integrity and safety of the financial system. Financial regulation can take many forms, including (but not limited to) capital requirements, mandatory information disclosure, minimum requirements for the start-up of a bank, or rules about the way financial products are marketed. This implies that financial regulation refers to specific rules of behaviour. Financial supervision on the other hand refers to a more general observation of the behaviour of financial institutions in order to establish the extent to which they implement the relevant regulations. 2 The main aim (or policy objective) of financial regulation is to ensure the safety and stability of the financial system in order to reduce the chances of systemic risk, which is usually the forerunner of a banking crisis. Table 3.1 provides an outline of the typical phases that occur in a banking crisis and the resultant effect on the balance sheets of the banks. 3.2 South Africa has committed itself to a global financial regulatory reform agenda aimed at strengthening financial stability. 1 The Basel III framework and the subsequent move to the so-called 'Twin Peaks' regulatory framework (which proposes among other things a macroprudential approach to banking supervision) arc the most important regulatory changes expected in South Africa in the foreseeable future. This chapter explores the current regulatory environment in South Africa specifically related to banks. (Note: an in-depth discussion on the Basel Accord is reserved for Chapter 15. J 64 ! -~ MACROECONOMIC TURN Fiscal consolidation Expansionary monetary ix>licy Recovering property market Improving liquidity in financial markets Improving consumer confidence RISK ANO RETURN CONSOUOATION Slabilising revenues Slabilising impainnenls Liquidity injeclion Improving risk miligation RISK SPILL·OVER Falling revenue {losses) Poor quality assel book Poor Quality collaleral Shor1age of liquidity Credit squeeze Excessive loan impairments Stabilise Oecrease (high) Stabilise Decrease (high) Stabilise Decrease (high! 65 There are both external macroeconomic and internal organisational events that can trigger the onset or a banking crisis. In phase one times are good. The external macroeconomic environment is flourishing and macroeconomic policymakers provide policies that are conducive to economic growth. Consumer confidence is high, asset markets are thriving and liquidity is easily available. Within a bank, revenue and profits are growing, as is the loan book on the back of a vibrant consumer credit and lending market in general. As a result or the expanding economy, banks typically do not have excessive loan impairments as borrowers are able to service their debt. If loans are non-performing, banks arc able to absorb these losses because of their upside growth po ten ti a I. As such, balance sheets are growing (especially on the asset side), along with revenues. Although times are good in phase 1, this environment has all the makings of a potential crisis. At the heart or it is the fact that because times are so good, the bank becomes lax in the mitigation or risk. For example, given the favourable growth on the lending book (and the concomitant growth or revenue), the processes put in place to mitigate risk do not comply, as they did before, with what would be expected from a bank. Therefore, in addition to poorer risk mitigation and corporate governance practices, phase 2 is characterised by the bank's use of excess liquidity to fuel the excessive growth from phase one. There is a strong probability that this buildup of risk could become systemic and consequently result in a full-on banking crisis. Following phase two, the banking industry collapses due to the excessive buildup of risk. Phase 3 is initially characterised by an immediate drying-up of liquidity in financial markets. This is a consequence of the so-called '!light-to-quality' mentality - market participants will move their funds (or exposures) from a place of risk that is perceived to be excessive to one where the perceived risk is lower, mainly because or the underlying quality of the new destination. Due to liquidity drying up, the payments system collapses and banks are less willing to provide loans. Borrowers default on their loans, impairments increase and revenues fall. In effect, the quality of the loan (and asset) book deteriorates, not only because of their non-perf;rming nature, but also because the value or the underlying collateral is deteriorating on the back of a collapse in the property asset market. The balance sheets of the banks deteriorate to such an extent that insolvencies •Rate of change in parenthesis: high, moderate, low. u a.-~ .. 1G ~ ~ .s::. .SQ .i mo co NeutraVexpansionary monetary policy Flight-lo-quality low consumer confidence MACROECONOMIC DOWNSWING Property (and assets) market collapse 51 Uquidity shortage in financial markels f_ § M Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry ao--,•~-.- · ·_ _ • : ~ . Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective •. __ ,, .. -~,;"_S-,5 _~i/'.(<'\~:- ~.{.._ • .).0=···:· .«; ... ,... increase - the collapse of the banking industry leads to nationwide collapse as the economy heads towards a recession. Intervention by policy authorities to resolve the banking crisis occurs in phase This may involve explicit intervention by the government and central bank to act as lender of last resort and bail out the troubled banks. The primary motivation behind the intervention to reduce the systemic risk is to protect the deposits of consumers. The central bank is most likely to inject liquidity into financial markets through its open market operations, or it could purchase the non-performing assets on the books of the failed banks. Of course, whatever its actions, it has to be wary of the moral hazard implications - that is, by acting as lender of last resort, it does not want to set a precedent of bailing out banks and thus encourage risky behaviour in the future. Needless to say, phase four is characterised by explicit intervention by policymakers in an attempt to resolve the crisis by stabilising conditions in financial markets and in the operations of the banks and industry as a whole. (See Section 3. 7 for the proposal that banks should have recovery plans in place in case they should fail.) Although the four phases are useful when explaining the general progression of a banking crisis, it is by no means meant to reflect the highly complex nature of banking crises. In fact the GFC was characterised by its extensive global reach. Although it started as a subprime crisis in the US. to date it has evolved to be a sovereign debt crisis across the world. This is on the back of banking practices that have evolved lo maximise returns by innovating and transferring risk to market participants across the world. The complexity of innovation in banking products has brought with it a new set of rules regarding the management of risk. The regulation of risk i.s more important now than it has ever been as it not only ensures financial stability but it reduces the burden on governments (and thus taxpayers) to bail out the banks and save the economy. A 2013 study undertaken by the IMF indicated that banking crises since 19 70 have in some cases resulted in fiscal costs (as a percentage of GDP) being as high as 57% in Indonesia in 1997, 44% in Iceland in 2008 and 41 % in Ireland in 2008. 3 In certain countries the ensuing banking crisis resulted in an increase in debt of more than 100% of GDP in Guinea-Bissau (1995) and Congo (1992) and output loss as a percentage of GDP exceeding 100% in Kuwait (1982). Congo (1991), Burundi (1994), Thailand (1997), Jordan (1989), Ireland (2008), Latvia (2008), Cameroon (1987) and Lebanon (1990). 3 Although output loss (to GDP) for the Euro area and the US amidst the GFC are somewhat lower at 2 3% and 31 % respectively, the Dallas Federal Reserve Bank estimated that the GFC had cost the US economy upwards of $14 trillion by mid-2013. 3.1 Clearly fiscal costs incurred by either the non-regulation or poor regulation of banks are excessive and should by no means be taken lightly. Financial stability is however not the only policy objective. In South Africa, for example, it is recognised that the financial sector as a whole is vitally important to advancing socio-economic transformation that improves the living standards of all South Africans. As a result, the National Treasury has identified the following four policy objectives: 5 ■ financial stability The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) defines financial stability 66 Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry 67 four policy objectives loosely reflect the format of this chapter. Whereas the objectives of financial regulation refer to the outcome of what ulation is trying to achieve, the rationale for regulation refers to why regulation is essary if the objectives are to be achieved. Therefore, the ultimate rationale for ancial regulation is to correct market imperfections (or market failures) that can ve devastating consequences for the financial system. consumer·s and the real homy. 2 ·At the heart of these market imperfections lies the problem of asymmetric "rmation. As discussed in Chapter 1, this refers to a situation in which one party transaction has more (or superior) information compared with another and equently acts on this advantage. This advantage is potentially harmful because party can take advantage of the other's lack of information. In the case of a k (or lender), a high-risk borrower (or client) is more likely to apply for a loan h a low-risk borrower. The bank, however, cannot always distinguish between two. Should the bank grant the loan to a borrower it would normally ,wt lend to, as a high-risk borrower on its books and is unaware of the extent of this risk. is known as adverse selection and occurs ex ante as the bank is not aware of all ttributes of the borrower before a transaction is concluded. Conversely, upon duding a transaction with a borrower, a lender may be incentivised to misuse funds acquired through the loan. If the bank is unaware of this, moral hazard rs. This moral hazard occurs ex post - that is, after the transaction. Regulation hlpts to reduce these problems associated with asymmetric information. Expanding access through financial inclusion The third policy objective ensures that all South Africans have access to financial services to help them manage their money better and to improve their opportunities to save through appropriate savings products. Combat1ing financial crime The final policy objective attempts to combat money laundering and terrorism financing. Consumer protection and market conduct The second policy objective ensures that consumers of financial products are treated fairly and vulnerable consumers are not being exploited by financial ~i-;: stability of key financial institutions and the markets in which they operate - in other words, individual banks are safe and sound and they operate in a safe banking system. Financi;il stability also implies the absence or financial crises and thus requires effective prudential regulation and supervision by the regulator. This includes both micro and macroprudential regulation and supervision: microprudential regulation refers to maintaining and enhancing the safety and soundness of individual financial institutions: macroprudential regulation refers to the analysis of vulnerabilities of financial systems as a whole. In addition to the financi;il soundness of financial institutions, macroprudent:ial assessments also cover aspects such as overall credit growth in the economy, unemployment and GDP growth rates. Currently the focus is on microprudential regulation in South Africa, -but macroprudential regulation is envisaged as playing a bigger role in the - Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-b ased perspective Ther e are several reaso ns justifying the ratio nale behin d regul ating the financial system and bank s in parti cular : 1. Regulation prom otes confidence in the financial syste m by ensu ring that it operates in a mann er that is consi stent with soun d governance and practice. This promotes consumer confidence and trust, which is vitally impo rtant to ensu re the integ rity of an efficient econo my. 2. One of the uniqu e aspects of the finan cial system is that bank s lend to each other and if one bank fails, it has the poten tial to unde rmin e the other banks. This interconnected (or systemic) natur e of the system may lead to panic by mark et parti cipan ts that results in a bank run (or several bank runs) that potentially cause s the collapse of both the financial system and the real economy. A gene ral regul atory response to this social exter nality is deposit insur ance and mand atory capital requi reme nts. 3. Moral hazard implies that ,banks are incentivised to take on excessive risks know ing very well that they will be bailed out by the gove rnme nt shou ld the risk-taking resul t in failure of some sort. Regulation attem pts to reduce this incentive by eithe r forcing more strin gent risk-negating meas ures (such as highe r capit al requi reme nts or bette r quali ty collateral agree ment s) or incentivising bank s t.o take on less risky activities. Of course, how bank s themselves moni tor and cond uct their micro inter nal review process over their borro wers is just as impo rtant for ensu ring the quality of the bank 's balan ce sheet as it is for retain ing the macr o-reg ulato ry perspective. 4. Regulation ensu res that. the regul ators are more responsive to risks in the system (be that for specific bank s or the system as a whole). By const antly moni torin g the activities and infor matio n provided by mark et partic ipant s, regul ators can identify early warn ing signs and be proac tive rathe r than reactive to impe nding mark et failures, or at least the possible cause s thereof. The chall enge for regul ators is to respond accordingly whils t keeping in mind the global and inter conn ected natur e of financial mark ets. 5. Globalisation has forced bank s to be dyna mic and responsive to a const antly chan ging mark et envir onme nt. Regulatory autho rities need to ensu re that regulatory and legislative structures respond accordingly. If one merely considers the numb er and exten t of global financial crises since the 1980 s, a quest ion can be asked as to whet her or not regul ators have adapted their frameworks enou gh to address the chall enge s they are faced with. In other words, being responsive is one thing - havin g the appro priate regul atory and legislative framework is quite anoth er. 6. Specifically in South Africa, redistributi onal considerations provide an additional rationale for bank ing regulation. Given the massive disparities in the South African economy as a result of apart heid, and the fact: that most problems in the financial sector have a larger impa ct on the lower end of the consu mer spectrum, regulation and specifically its effectiveness ensur e that the poorest of the poor are protected from mark et failure. Regulation also addresses problems related to financial education, sophistication and litera cy of the poor in South Africa. 68 The financial regulatory framework refers to which regulator oversees which type of financial institution. or which aspect of a financial institution is regulated and supervised by which regulator. Currently, the type of business conducted largely determines the regulator in South Africa: the Bank Supervision Depa rtmen t (BSD) within the SARB (headed by the Regis trar of Banks) prudentially regulates and supervises banks and the Financial Servi ces Board [FSB(SA)] curre ntly prudentiall y regulates and supervises most non- bank financial institutions (which include financial advisory and interm ediar y servic es, long- and short -term insur ance and collective investment schemes). The Natio nal Credit Regulator (NCR) is responsible for • the implementation of the National Credi t Act (NCA) that regulates the mark et cond uct of all credit providers (banks and non-banks). The curre nt regul atory framework in South Africa is based on a range of different -· laws and regulators at indus try level. For example, different laws and regulation s apply to the banking. insur ance and collective investment schemes' industries respectively. In practice, this mean s that South African bank s are subject. to a numb er of regulators including the Registrar of Bank s at the BSD (as prude ntial regul ator of the banks), the Insur ance Registrar withi n the FSB(SA) (as prude ntial regulator of the insur ance business) and the NCR (as regul ator of their respective mark et cond uct as credit providers). This silo appro ach to finan cial regulation (where different. stand ards and legal requirements apply to different sections within one financial institution) is one of the main reasons for the drive towa rds the so-called Twin Peaks framework of financial regulation. Ultimately the inten tion of Twin Peaks is to provide a more streamlined system of financial regulation and supervision for the South African financial sector. 6 This will be discussed in more detail later in the chapter. The current regulatory fram ewor k THE FINANCIAL REGULATORY AND SUPERVISORY FRAMEWORK IN SOUTH AFRICA Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry 69 !though regulation and supervision are vitally impo rtant as a means of ensur ing ancial stability. their effectiveness is costly . For instance, it is possible to reduce the obability of financial instability for any bank to almost zero by imposing high capital equirements. However, this would raise the cost of financial services to the detriment of onsumers. Thus regulators need to balance the benefits of a higher degree of achieveme nt f objectives (effectiveness) with the costs incur red in this pursu it (efficiency). Other amples of a similar trade-off between linan cial stability and competing objectives nclude access to credit and consu mer prote ction. While credit growth migh t appear esirable, excessive lending may create instab ility when borrowers fail to service the debt. 'o combat this in South Africa, the Natio nal Credit Act (34 of 2005 ) prohibits exces sive ending and reinforces the financial stability objective. At the heart of the issue is the role ,f the regulator to ensure that balance betwe en regulatory objectives and consumer and arket protection are achieved. As such, differ ent financial regulators and supervisors are tasked with achieving the four broad policy objectives outlined in this section. The division of responsibilities amon g different regulators is referred to as the regulatory framework and is the topic of the next sectio n. ~--~- •.. . - , ; - = ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - = ~ - - . , . . · - · · · - · The submission of information related to the business systems, business plans. auditors and financial projections for an applicant bank are all part of the registration approval process. Chapter VI of the Banks Act includes the prudential requirements for banks. Briefly, these are: 9 • Minimum capital rc<1uircmcnts As stipulated in section 70. the minimum start-up capital for a bank is R2 50 million. Prudential regulation aims to ensure that financial institutions are financially sound and capable or meeting their obligations to their clients. As mentioned previously. in South Africa the BSD at lhe SARB is responsible for the prudential regulation of banks; firstly issuing banking licences that meet specified requirements and then monitoring their activities in terms of the prudential requirements and regulations set out in the Banks Act. Prudential regulation 1Jlso refers to the imposition of penalties in cases of noncompliance and crisis management and resolution in the case of bank failure. The legal framework for prudential regulation and supervision of the banking sector in South Africa consists or lhree tiers.7Tier one includes the Banks Act (94 of 1990). the Co-operative Banks Act (40 of 2007) and the Mutual Banks Act (124 of 1993); tier two refers to all the regulations applicable to the acts in tier one; and tier three includes all the Directives. Circulars and Guidance Notes related to the three acts in tier one. (The Directives. Circulars and Guidance Notes provide banks with more detailed information on how they should comply wilh the requirements of the Banks Act and its regulations.) Further to the above, banks have to comply with the King Code on Corporate Governance as well as the Basel Capital Accord (except for the two mutual banks). The BSD models ils regulatory and supervisory framework on internationally recognised key supervisory methodologies and principles including the 25 Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision thal was developed by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. The Banks Act and the prudential regulations arc frequently reviewed by a Standing Committee for the Revision of the Banks Act to ensure that it remains relevant in an ever-changing global financial environment. The Banks Act defines the business of a bank as 'the soliciting or advertising for. or the acceptance of. deposits from the general public as a regular feature of the business in question'. 8 In other words. all deposit-taking institutions in South Africa must be registered as a bank and obtain a licence. In order to get a licence and register as a bank. applicants must lirst obtain authorisation from the Registrar of Banks who will only grant a licence when satisfied that a set of conditions specified in section 13 of the Banks Act is fullillcd. A few of the most important conditions are that: 9 • the Registrar must be convinced that the applicant will be able to meet the requirements of the Banks Act on a continuous basis • the Registrar will evaluate the shareholding structures and sources of capital before registration • the Registrar will evaluate the suitability of directors and senior management. including an assessment of their knowledge of the proposed bank's operations. Prudential regulation of banks in South Africa Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 3.3.2 70 71 ction] OA of the South African Reserve Bank Act (90 of 1989) further requires banks hold a minimum cash reserve requirement of 2.5% at the SARB. Three other sections f the Banks Act that are of particular interest with regards to prudential or riskelated requirements are: 9 Section 60B requires that the Board establishes and maintains a suitable corporate governance process. This implies that a bank must achieve its strategic objectives in a manner that is efficient, effective. ethical and equitable. As stipulated in section 64, a bank is required to appoint a risk and capital management committee that assists the Board to: 9 - ensure that sound corporate governance practices are adhered to - evaluate in-house risk policies. procedures and practices on a daily basis - identify and forecast various risks exposed to the bank - develop suitable risk mitigation strategies to manage risks - conduct a formal risk assessment al least once a year - identify and monitor key risk indicators to ensure risk decision-making is accurate and optimal ensure that reporting structures are effective at communicating risk-related developments between management and the Board - establish a risk management function that is independent - introduce measures that will improve the risk management policies. practices and controls globally monitor and co-ordinate risk management practices - implement risk management processes and controls thal improve overall risk and capital management ensure that all material risks are properly identified, measured and reported - ensure that the amount of capital held corresponds to the level of risk taken - incorporate risk and capital adequacy goals into the strategic and business focus of the bank - perform risk- and capital-based functions as prescribed by the Registrar of Banks. On an ongoing basis banks must hold a minimum capital of the higher of R250 million or a certain percentage of risk weighted assets. (Capital adequacy is dealt with in more detail in Chapter 15.) Minimum liquid asset requirements Section 72 requires that a bank must hold a minimum 'average daily amount.' of level one high-quality liquid assets that exceeds 5% of its liabilities. This applies from the 15th business day in a month to the l 4th business day of the following month. At the close of any business day. the high-quality liquid assets must: exceed 75% of the average daily amount and may not be below 50% during the course of any business day. Furthermore. a bank may not hold liquid assets of more than 20% of ils liabilities. Conccnh·ation risk requirements According to section 73, a bank needs approval from its Board of Directors (the Board) to grant loans or make investments to any person or entity for an amount that is more than 10% of its capital and reserves. Furthermore, a bank is not permitted to grant loans or make investments for an amount that is more than 25% or its capital and reserves to any person or entity without permission from the Registrar of Banks. Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry The Directives under Regulation 38 in the Government Gazette of 2012 refer in detail to the capital adequacy and leverage requirements for banks (this is dealt with further in Chapter 15). Regulation 39 also stipulates the process of corporate governance within a suitable risk and capital management environment. 10 Sect.ion 69 deals with the appointment of a curator to a bank. A curator is appointed by the Minister of Finance (under the recommendations of the Registrar) if it is deemed that a particular bank is unable to meet its contractual obligations and in so doing affects the interests of the general public. The curator must be someone who has relevant experience in the activities of the respective bank and is remunerated by the bank under curatorship. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Prudential supervision and the SREP The FSB(SA) is currently responsible for the prudential supervision of non-banks in South Africa. For banks, the key function of prudential supervision is to assess their individual performance based on their risk profile, corporate governance structures and risk management processes in order to ultimately assess how the risks impact on capital and reserves.7 More specifically, prudential supervision is about monitoring and enforcing compliance with both the legal prudential requirements and best practices whilst taking into account the risk profile. risk management and risk mitigation systems of the bank. Ultimately the bank's Board is the most important player in the supervisory process and accepts ultimate responsibility for its risk profile. Regular meetings (usually annual, depending on the risk profile of the particular bank) between the Board and the BSD are an important part of the prudential supervisory process. Such meetings are used to obtain directors' views and perspectives on the relevant risk profiles, risk management and risk appetite of the bank. The BSD also gives feedback to the Board on current supervisory issues. This process of meetings and feedback is structured around a supervisory framework known as the Supervisory Review and Evaluation Process (or SREP) that was implemented at the beginning of 2008 by the BSD. The SREP cycle is a 'continuous process involving supervisory planning, gathering information, forming a view on the main risk areas, undertaking focused reviews and providing feedback to the bank's management' . 11 Based on the findings of a SREP, the BSD may require remedial act.ions that could include increasing the minimum capital requirement for a respective bank. As part of its planning process, the BSD classifies all banks on a quarterly basis as being either high-risk, medium-risk or low-risk. 11 This risk classification determines both the length of the SREP cycle and the supervisory resources to be allocated. The size of the bank, and thus its systemic influence should it fail, is an important criterion for it to be classified as being high-risk. Such a large systemically important bank (or SIB) may have low bank-specific risk, but have a SREP cycle of 3.3.3 Prudential regulation of the South African banking industry is very advanced and in line with international best practices. The prudential requirements of the Banks Act in particular have ensured that the industry as a whole adheres to regulatory requirements that promote financial stability. 3. 72 73 Proposed prudential regulation under the Twin Peaks model Market conduct regulation National 'rreasury (2014b:25) 13 The proposed new regulatory architecture under Twin Peaks in South Africa Prudential regulation --------► 2011 the National Treasury published a policy document containing proposals to engthen financial sector regulation in South Africa. 12 This was in response to both e lessons learnt from the 2007 /08 GFC and the challenges facing the South African onomy. For reasons mentioned in the previous section, the regulatory framework of ancial institutions in South Africa is highly fragmented and interconnected, pecially given the bancassurance model adopted throughout the industry. By plication, financial institutions were able to sell complex products to clients where, many cases, they themselves were unaware of the risks involved. The main proposal om the National Treasury, therefore, was to move to a 'Twin Peaks' model of nancial regulation - that is, one regulator is tasked with prudential regulation of the sector (called the prudential authority or PA) and another tasked with market conduct regulation (called the Financial Sector Conduct Authority or FSCA). A further purpose of the Twin Peaks model is to ensure that consumer rotection receives sufficient priority and is not presumed to be secondary to prudential concerns as, it can be argued, is currently the case. As such, the FSCA will be a stand-alone authority with the PA to be established within the SARB. The Twin Peaks model also places a separate focus on financial stability, giving primary egulatory responsibility to the SARB. A Financial Stability Oversight Committee 6 FSOC) will also be created, which will be chaired by the Governor of the SARB. 3.4 year, the same as a smaller (and thus low systemic risk) bank with high bankcific risk. Owing to the potential systemic repercussions of the failure of the large nk, however, a large high-risk bank will always be allocated more supervisory sources than a small high-risk bank. Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective FSCA NCR FAIS (37 ol 2002) NCA (34 ol 2005) Standards issued by PA and FSCA wiU apply to entities licensed by lheNCfl Slandards to be issued in consu!tation with the FSCA and PA • New standards may be issued by PA and FSCA ■ ■ ExisHng legislation responsibility of the PA • PA and FSCA supervise, enlorce requirements of standards they issue NCR remains responsible tor supervising, enforcing the NCA FSCA supervises and enforces existing legislation and new standards and legislation ii issues PA supervises and enforces existing legislation and new slandards and legislation It issues Continu ous consult ation and co-ordi nation between the different regulat ory authori ties form an integra l part of the Twin Peaks model. fncluded in this is the require ment to draw-u p a memor andum of underst anding between the different regulat ory authori ties. As such, the FSR Bill also makes provisio n for a Council of Financi al Regula tors (CFR) that will provide consult ation on matters of commo n interest , raise issues and concern s and co-ordi nate actions between different ■ • • • Proposed Twin Peaks model Subordina ted legislation Source: Adapted from National Treasury (2014.a: 20) 3 PA Licensing authority Banks Act (94 ol 1990) Current existing law Table 3.2 Existing legislation and proposed Phase 1 reforms under Twin Peaks in South Africa The implem entation of the Twin Peaks model will take place over a numbe r of year and in two phases. 6 The llrst phase, essentially divided into two sub-pha ses, name! la and lb, is set to be implemented by 2015/1 6 and phase two during the perio 2016-2 018. Phase la deals with the creation of the Twin Peaks authori ties (the R and the FSCA) under the Financi al Sector Regulation (FSR) Bill proposed in 201 and Phase lb covers the establis hment of the powers of these authori ties to mee their statutor y objectives. Althou gh the BSD and FSB(SA), as they are known today, will cease to exist, very few change s will be made in Phase 1 to existing industr y specific legislation such as the Banks Act. Rather. the authori ty responsible for the existing acts will change . For example, the PA will become the authori ty responsible for the prudential provisions of the Banks Act as well as the Long-te rm and Short-t erm Insuran ce Acts (current ly the responsibility of the Registrar of Banks and Registrars of Short-t erm and Long-te rm [nsuran ce respectively). For most other pieces of legislation, the primary responsibility will move to the FSCA. During Phase 2, the legal frameworks for pruden tial and market conduc t will be developed and harmon ised. This implies that existing financia l sector legislation will be amende d or replaced to establish a new regulat ory framew ork where institut ionspecific laws will be replaced by new overarc hing laws. 6 The Twin Peaks model is therefore intende d to provide a streaml ined system of licensin g, regulat ing and supervi sing financial institut ions, whilst at the same time providi ng a new approac h to the enforce ment of financial regulat ion, supervision, client compla ints (including a revised om bud scheme), client advice and financial (literacy ) educati on. 74 ··•""'" ■ Industry-specific laws Requires co-ordination authority l::xisting ombuds remain in place Repeat FSOS Act fSOS Cou~il to s1reamli.1e and consolidate arrangements Exptorn potential 'Chief Ombud' Exibiing powers remain, but additional enforcement actions in FSR Bill supervisory powers Retain existing powers, but add overlay of additional Existing subordinate legislation (bank regulations, FA1S General Code) continue to apply FSCA and PA will be able to issue new standards between authoritif!s ■ ■ • • • • Review of existing system witl determine the way forward Aim to ensure consolidated approach to alternative c!isputc resolution Exisling laws repealed and replaced, especially new market conduct lramework Phase oul existing subordinate legislation and replace wilh standards Existing licences repealed and to be replaced Musi get licence from PA and FSCA Phase 2:"f'argett iigulato,y framewoik (201 &-2018) he second draft of the FSR Bill was released in December 2014 and makes the ollowing proposals: 6 Licens ing Where financial institutions arc currently licensed according to industry-specific law. the Twin Peaks framework aims to streamline licensing significa ntly. Financial institutions will receive one licence from the FSCA if they provide financial services and a separate licence from the PA if they provide financial product s. In the first phase of the reform process, existing licensing requirements such as those under the Banks Act or FAIS will remain in place. Setting standa rds and regula tory requir ements Standards are regulatory instruments used by regulatory authorit ies and include capital adequacy and solvency standards. Seen as a 'minimum benchmark', these standards can be formulated as a combination of' rules-based and principles-based documents or policy. Since they are issued by a regulatory authori ty as subordinate legislation as opposed to legislation by a government departm ent, it means that they can be modified relatively easily and quickly. For this reason, it is expected that ource: Adapted from National Treasury (2014a: 13-14)" ■ ■ Existing taws •·• FSOS Act and FAJS I ■ Act, Pension Fund Act. Different laws for different ombuds ■ ■ ■ • • Tl1rough powers provided for in industry specific laws lnclustry-speci1ic laws (such as regulations and board notices) regulatory framework ,lli 3.3 The proposed pillars of the Twin Peaks regulatory framework and the current B amongs t others. lators. The CFR will include represe ntatives from the PA, PSCA, NCR and the Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry 75 -=---~-----, current prudential and market conduct subordinate legislation will be replace, with standards over time, whilst any new subordinate legislation will summarily issued as standards. Supervision (induding information-gathering, on-site inspectjons an invest:igal,ions) lnformalion-gathering and on-site inspections refer to routine supervisory actio while investigations refer to actions over and above the routine supervisory actio specifically in cases where breaching of the law is suspected. These powers at, already part of the existing regulatory framework, but will be centralised harmonised and strengthened under the Twin Peaks framework. Administrative/enforcement actions Enforcement powers refer to those remedial or punitive actions in the case where t. breach of financial regulation law is detected. Once again, these powers (including the issuance of Directives, interdicts, debarment orders and administrative penalties) are not new to the existing regulatory framework, and will similarly be centralised, harmonised and strengthened under the Twin Peaks framework. Consumer recourse - reform of the ombud system The current ombud system is regulated under several different laws and there uncertainty about the jurisdiction of the different ombuds. This has in many cas led to consumer confusion. As with the other pillars of the regulatory framewor mentioned above, under the Twin Peaks framework the ombud system will also be centralised, harmonised and strengthened. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective <-----~-+~ J-'.5-'.??.c:<+_._.ssp. .. -.v, . . z~•~•.•••· ... •. ~- - - ~ 3.4 MARKET CONDUCT REGULATION IN SOUTH AFRICA Within the financial sector, consumer protection aims to ensure that institutions behave appropriately towards their clients by treating them fairly. Therefore, the common rationale for market conduct regulation in the financial services industry is that the complex and opaque nature of financial products suggest that generic consumer protection regulation is not enough to protect consumers. Because they have credence characteristics, the quality of financial services can often only be judged at considerable cost and time to the consumer. Market conduct regulation attempts to address this imbalance of power between consumers and financial institutions. More specifically, it aims to prevent consumer detriment by: lJ providing rules on how financial services are sold • prescribing who can sell financial services • requiring mandatory information disclosures • All indications are that industry-specific prudential legislation (most notably the Banks Act) will remain relevant for at least the first phase of the Twin Peaks reform process. Ultimately the Twin Peaks framework will have a single prudential regulation authority (namely the PA) that will be responsible for the prudential regulation of both banks and non-banks. The PA will also be mandated to play a broader linancial stability role that includes the consideration of 'risks that are external to individually supervised institutions' 13 and be able to deregister banks if it deems the risk to financial stability in the system is threatened. • • • 76 77 Tlte Financial Advisory and Inwrmediary Services Act (.J7 of 2002) e PAIS Act is currently the major regulatory law applicable to consumer otection in the South African financial industry. It aims, through the FSB(SA), to otect consumers by regulating the financial institutions, or more specifically the nancial service providers (FSPs), that sell financial products. In addition, the PAIS ct regulates the way in which financial products are sold - that is, it makes rovision for the contents and structure of any _financial advice given. The Act further eks to ensure that clients are able to make informed decisions about financial :ervices and that their reasonable financial needs regarding financial products are ppropriately and suitably satisfied. 15 Section 14 of the J:<'AIS Act further stipulates he debarment of representatives who fail to comply with the duties of the Act. As ch, the Act is mainly applicable to divisions within banks that sell and provide dvice on insurance and investment products. In terms of the Act, FSPs cannot operate unless a licence is issued to them by the Registrar of Financial Service Providers. FSPs and specilically their representatives must meet the following so-called fit and proper requirements before they can be registered as an authorised FSP: 15 exhibit character qualities associated with personal integrity and honesty be competent to fullil the requirements of PAIS exhibit the operational ability to fulfil the requirements of PAIS be !inancially sound .1.1 e Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (3 7 of 2002) (FAIS) and the tional Credit Act (34 of 2005) (NCA) arc examples of current market conduct gulations that are applicable to banks. PAIS mainly protects consumers from ying investment products, while the NCA provides protection for consumers from dit products. Current legislative framework for consumer protection bnsumer detriment does occur, however. consumer protection regulations also :ompass certain recourse measures. In South Africa, consumer recourse has eral different channels through which it can be initiated. The most significant :1udc internal dispute resolution mechanisms such as the comphiints department. thin a financial institution. courts and the various ombud schemes. There are ·era! ombud schemes in South Africa including the Ombudsman for banking, dit information, short-term insurance and long-term insurance respectively, as II as the Pension Funds Adjudicator (PFA), the Registrar of the Council for Medical emes and the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services (PAIS) Ombud. prescribing requirements regarding the honesty and integrity of institutions nd their employees requiring guidelines for the quality and objectivity of advice promoting financial literacy and educating consumers about the costs of credit enforcing credit cost disclosure regulations to protect them against over indebtedness. Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry have a minimum formal academic qualification have a minimum number of years of appropriate experience pass prescribed regulatory examination s (RE exams) meet continuous professional development (CPD) requirement s to ensure that knowledge is current be able to operate as an ongoing business concern (that is, have a fixed business address, adequate communica tion facilities and an appropriate money laundering control system in place). ■ Reference to the Code as being the short name and the date of its commencement under seclion 7(1) of !he FAISAcl. Source: Adapted from the General Code of Conduct for Authorised Financial Services Providers and lheir Representatives (2003) 1" Short title and commencement 'tJV The rights of the client wilh regards to the Code Guidelines for the terminations of contractual obligations. Termination of agreement or business Waiver ol rights XII XI XIII Guidelines and obligations for FSPs for cllent complaints and relating to internal complaint resolution systems and the Ombud lor Financial Services Providers. f,omplaints X The requirements to ensure "Sound risk management protocol. for both the FSP and clients Guidelines for FSPs regarding advertising and direct marketing campaigns. Risk management Advertising and direct marketing IX The guidelines lor holding and administering financial products and funds The guidelines to provi~e advice to clients, including a Record o! Adv1ce. Furnishing of advtce Cuslody of financial producls and lunds VII VIII The features of lhe financial service provided to clients lnformalion aboul financial service The requirements of FSPs to provide clients wlth information about the respective FSP. The guidelines to use when communicating with dients. lnlormation on providers Contacting of client IV VI The requirements ot FSPs lo provide clients with inforrm1tion about the suppliers of financial services The genera! and specific duties of FSPs. Information on product suppliers General provisioos Description General definitions and the applicability of the Code in conjunction with the FAIS Act Introductory provisions I Heading Ill Part Table 3.4 Basic outline of the General Code of Conduct for Authorised Financial Services Providers and their Representati ves All FSPs must comply with various codes of conduct, depending on the type of financial products they arc registered to sell. These different codes deal with aspects including, but not limited to, the disclosure of information about the risks associated with various products, record-keeping practices, the avoidance of misleading advertising and the protocol for the safe-keeping of funds and documentat ion. However, all FSPs must comply with the General Code of Conduct for Authorised Financial Services Providers and their Representatives (or simply the Code). The Code stipulates that the general duty of an FSP is that it 'must at all times render financial services honestly, fairly, with due skill, care and diligence, and in the interests of clients and the integrity of the financial services industry' . 16 The parts of the Code with brief descriptions of each are provided in Table 3.4 below. ■ ■ ■ ■ Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 78 79 of 200 5) nder section 12 of the NCA, the National Credit Regulator (NCR) is the regulatory ilthority responsible for the implementa tion of the Act. The NCR is an independent nd impartial body that has full jurisdiction to enforce the requirement s of the Act king into account both national and internationa l developments in consumer edit. The NCR is ultimately responsible for developing an accessible credit market South Africa by ensuring that it abides by the objectives of the NCA set out ove. Of specific interest is the focns on the low-income historically disadvantaged ople in remote and isolated communitie s in South Africa. In addition, the NCR is ponsible for conducting research and disseminating data related to credit trends d developments in the South African consumer credit environmen t. The NCR is visaged to continue to play an important role in market conduct regulation and ilpervision and will continue to operate as a separate regulatory authority under he Twin Peaks framework. The NCA also aims to protect consumer rights. Chapter 4 of the Act refers to the ights of consumers when applying for credit. These include: 17 the right to apply for credit e NCA became effective on l June 2007 and replaced the Usury Act of 1968, the edit Agreements Act of 1980 and the Exemption Notice (which regulated micronding transactions). According to section 3, the purpose of the NCA is to 'promote d advance the social and economic welfare of South Africans, promote a fair, ansparent, competitive. sustainable, responsible, efficient. effective, and accessible edit market and industry' .17 The Act also promotes the protection of consumers sfollows: 17 accessible credit markets especially to the historically disadvantaged consistent treatment of credit products and providers encourages responsible borrowing discourages over-indebtedness by consumers discourages reckless lending by credit: providers promotes equity between consumers and credit providers .addresses imbalances related to credit and consumer rights, disclosure and informed decision-making, and deceptive conduct by credit providers and credit . . bureaux improves the administrati on of credit bureaux promotes a system of consensual resolution arising from credit-related contractual disputes promotes a system of debt restructurin g. The National Credit Act (3 4 -summary, the FAIS Act was promulgated in order to protect the rights of the client hen dealing with FSPs. This is especially so when financial advice is given. By providing lient with the proper advice the FSP itself is also protected, especially in cases where putes (and even legal actions) arise related to information supposedly not being ovided to clients. The FAIS Act, or at least legislation explicitly protecting clients from ploitation by financial institutions, is therefore long overdue in South Africa. Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking industry proteclion against discrimination in respect of credit the right to reasons for credit being refused the right to information in the official language of the applicant the right to receive copies of the documents relating to the credit agreement the right to have personal information treated as confidential the right to have a clear outline of all applicable costs related to the credit agreement the right to access and challenge credit records and information. • • • • Reckless lending Capped interest rates and other fees and charges As stipulated in Chapter 5, the NCA effectively caps the total cost (interest rate charges, fees and other charges such as credit life insurance premiums) of credit agreements. The maximum permissible interest rate that may be charged to clients is based on a formula calculated via movements of the repo rate determined by the SARB. The in duplum rule (literally meaning 'double the amount') applies a loan will no longer accumulate interest when the total amount of arrears interest is equal to the outstanding principal debt. According to Section 103(5), 'the amounts that accrue during the time that a consumer is in default under the credit agreement may not, in aggregate, exceed the unpaid balance of the principal debt under that credit agreement as at the time that the default 17 occurs' • Table 3. 5 provides the maximum permissible fees and interest rates allowed under the NCA. 3.4. 1.2.2 The provisions of the Act related to over-indebtedness and reckless lending require that clients should not be misled into taking up credit that they cannot afford. This implies that banks should conduct a proper and thorough credit assessment of each client to determine their ability to meet the contractual obligations of the credit agreement in a timely manner. The ability and willingness to service the loan is a vital underlying intention of this assessment and failure to conduct it in such a manner may lead to a suspension of the credit agreement. ff. however. the client fails to fully and truthfully disclose relevant information to the credit provider, a credit agreement will not be declared reckless. These provisions also have implications for credit marketing practices. Phrases such as 'low cost credit' might be interpreted as being misleading, and therefore the Act requires that such phrases be explained and justified by providing complete information regarding the true cost of the credit. 3.4.1.2.1 Chapter 2 of the Act also makes provision for the National Consumer Tribunal (NCT) which acts to adjudicate on matters related to the NCA put forward by those affected by the Act. Below follows a brief overview of selected provisions within the NCA. • Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 80 0 Marketing practices The NCA does not allow credit providers to conduct marketing practices such as door-to-door selling and uninvited canvassing at a workplace or home. Rather, the Act requires that marketing communication must be clear, simple and understandable. This implies that advertisements should not be misleading and must disclose all relevant costs related to the credit agreement. An advertisement that makes reference to, for example, the cost of credit must disclose the instalment amount, number of instalments, a breakdown of the costs involved (including the interest rate, fees and compulsory insurance), the applicable interest rate (indicating whether or not it is variable or fixed) and the final residual or 'balloon' amount payable (if applicable). Where phrases such as 'cheap credit', 'affordable credit' or 'low-cost credit' are used, specific information related to the total cost of the credit should also be provided. 18 The NCA also contains a provision that clients are entitled to receive a detailed written quote which is valid for five business days to enable them to compare quotes from different credit providers. 3.4.1.2.3 In addition to the interest rate, credit providers are allowed to charge an initiation fee that covers the cost of loan origination. This is permissible in order to prevent the credit provider from recovering this cost from the interest charged to the client. A monthly service fee that covers ongoing administration and collection costs may also be levied. In the event that a credit provider requires a loan protection policy, clients may cede existing insurance cover. If this is not owned. the charges for a loan protection policy must be reasonable. a F6f Ceftainlypes of credit agreeriienfthl'ihiaximuiri permissible iHterest rate is spe?.ified as·a;~ercentage perll'l?~.th.·fCJ~efample, . •in ·the·,case·of}~9idental credit agreements (such as school fees; overdue bills frommunicipalitiesand doctors) the murnperrnlssible interest rat:is?'¾,permonth.}n addition,f?r~.hort-term loans .to 6 months \'l.ith value of less than R8 Q0O the maximumpermissible interest rate is 5%permohth, 18 Minimum Ice R150 Maximum fee R23 500 A150 1- (10% of any amount larger than R10 000, to a maximum of Al 000) (Reporate x 2.2) + 10% (Repo rate x 2.2) + 20% Rt50 + (10% of any amount larger than R10 000, to a maximum of R1 000) R1 000 + (10% of any amount larger than R10 000, to a maximum ot R5 000) Maximum oridiriatidtff88 (Repo rate x 2.2) + 10% (Repo rate x 2.2) + 5% urce: Adapted from NCR (2007:30) 18 Small and medium business loans and low income housing loans (developmental credit} Credit facilities (store cards and credit cards) Mortgage agreement MaximUrriirit8resfftite Table 3.5 The maximum fees and interest rates permitted under the NCA Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry 81 -~~--- - - - - - - - - ~ ~ · - 3.4.1.3 Recet1t changes to the NCA ln response to certain issues in the South Afrirnn credit market, ongoing changes and refinements have been made to the NCA. relating mainly to reckless lending provisions, affordability assessments and the information provided by credit bureaux. These changes are contained in the National Credit Amendment Act (19 of 2014) (NCAA). Most notably, the NCAA contains certain provisions regarding credit information amnesty, suggesting that credit burec1ux must remove adverse credit information from their records in order to allow consumers with impaired credit records a proverbial clean slate to apply for new credit. Further to this, the draft National Credit Regulations for Affordability Assessments was promulgated on 5 August 20.14 and stipulates legally binding criteria for affordability assessments. At the very least, the NCA is complex and comprehensive and a major improvement on the outdated legislation preceding it. Many commentators believe that the very nature of the Act in focusing on affordability when assessing creditworthiness was one of the reasons that the South African financial sector was not affected by the GFC as badly as other economies. The reason for the existence of the Act is to avoid excessive and reckless lending and if a bank is found to have 3. 4.1. 2. 5 Debt counselling The NCA gives clients who are unable to service their debt obligations the right to apply for financial management and debt counselling in order to assist them with restructuring their debt repayments. This process cc1n be either voluntary or mandatory by order of the court. An agreement entered into as a result of negative option marketing is unenforceable according to the NCA. By implication, this means that the credit provider has no legal basis to enforce any provision of the agreement - it is as if the agreement was never entered into in the first place. In addition to the marketing practice provisions above, the NCA prohibits negative option marketing. Prior to the advent of the NCA banks would for example, without informing clients, increc1se overdraft facilities automatically. This is now not allowed. Furthermore, negative option marketing occurs when a credit provider makes an offer to a client (whether prospective or existing) on the basis that the offer is deemed to have been accepted unless the client declines the offer. ln other words. unless the client formally declines the offer. they are contractually bound by it. Section 74 of the Act prohibits negative option marketing in the following three instances: 17 • a credit provider makes an offer lo enter into a credit agreement that comes into effect unless the client formc1lly declines the offer ■ a credit provider increases a credit facility (with or without the client's knowledge) that comes into effect unless the client formally declines the increase • a credit provider alters or amends a credit agreement that takes effect unless the client formally declines the alteration or amendment. Negative option marketi11g Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 3.4.1. 2.4 82 83 --.----- - ------ order to ensure that these eight principles are embedded into Twin Peaks, the National Treasury has recommended that the new legislative framework be consolidated into i:l so-called 'conduct of business [ramework'. 14 Currently ten Acts (namely the Long-term Insurance Act, Short-term Insurance Act, Pension Funds Act, Collective Investment Schemes Control Act, Friendly Societies Act, Financial Advisory and Intermedic1ry Services Act, Financial Markets Act, Credit Ratings Services Act, Banks Act and the National Payments Systems Act) rall within the ambit of market conduct.regulation and the proposal is that this be consolidated into two Acts, namely the Financial Sector Regulation Act and the Conduct or Financial Institutions Act. The benefit of this consolidation is that it reduces compliance costs The National Treasury put forward eight principles upon which the proposed market conduct framework should be based. These are: 14 The FSCA must be transparent and consultative in its decision-making process. The framework must be comprehensive and the underlying principles must be applied consistently. The framework must be appropriate to the particular sub-sector or activity it is being applied in, whilst being intensive and intrusive enough to ensure that regulation and supervision is rigorous. Regulated institutions must be outcomes-based - that is, client outcomes must be based on both principles- and rules-based standards and be clearly evident throughout tbe institution. Regulatory requirements must be risk-based and proportional - those institutions that consistently comply with market conduct requirements and outcomes will be under less regulatory scrutiny from the FSCA. The FSCA must be pre-emptive and proactive in order to swiftly negate any misconduct by financial institutions. The FSCA must be seen as an effective and credible deterrent to market misconduct. The framework must adhere to international standards regarding market conduct. sdiscussed in Section 3.3.4, the Twin Peaks framework will ensure that market conduct egulat.ion will be more prominent than under the current regulatory structure. As such, e FSCA will replace the FSB(St\) and have a new mandate with a new regulatory and upervisory framework. The FSR Bill provides three objectives for the FSCA: (i) fair treatment of financial clients; (ii) efficiency and integrity of the financial system: and (iii) financial literacy and capability within the financial system. 14 It is envisaged that the FSCA will co-operate with the PA to achieve these three objectives. .4.2 The proposed new approach to market conduct regulation under the Twin Peaks framework isrespected these guidelines, the consequences thereof lie with the bank. So although e NCA may not have explicitly protected the financial sector per se, it did contribute 0 a national philosophy of credit granting that is more risk-averse than risk-taking. Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective A clear definition of the regulatory perimeter Licensing and authorisat.ion Outcomes-based supervision Setting regulatory standards (conduct standards) Information gathering \ G ~ _ x f _ ~ ~ ?90, ..,...,.f.--~~.,.,... Greater emphasis will be placed on factors that have in the past not been part of the more traditional information gathering function of financial regulators. The aim is to obtain better and pre-emptive insights into conduct risks including. for example, understanding business models, incentives and drivers of conflict. This suggests that the FSCA may need to rely on sources of information beyond that supplied by the regulated entity. 5. The FSCA will be mandated to set flexible and broad subordinate legislation or standards. Examples of these conduct standards include (but are not limited to) standards of business conduct. flt and proper person requirements, disclosure requirements. remuneration practices and preventing abusive market practices. In effect, over time the FSCA will replace the powers of the current FSB(SA) to issue Notices, Board Notices and Rules with regards to conduct standards. 4. Outcomes-focused supervision will not only test FSPs on their delivery of TCF outcomes and pricing efficiency, but also on their effectiveness in supporting the financial sector which in turn supports the real economy. Thus the FSCA may be required· to consider macroeconomic problems such as the extent to which the financial sector supports the average South African in saving for the future. By implication. the FSCA will be a considerably more proactive and pre-emptive regulator, acting to prevent consumer detriment from occurring. 3. An activity-based system of authorisation is proposed with tough fit and proper standards. It is proposed that the FSCA will issue FSPs with a single licence that authorises them to propose specified products and services to specific types of consumers. This implies that the FSCA will not license an institution such as a bank. for example, but rather a typical bank would be licensed as an FSP that is authorised to sell certain types of financial products to certain types of consumers (see Section 3.4.2.1). 2. Market conduct regulation should cover all financial products, whether or not the arc provided by traditional FSPs. The idea i.s that market conduct legislation should be able to respond to all sources of conduct risk in a way that is flexible, complete, consistent and necessarily proactive and intrusive. As a result of this, all institutions that are regulated by the PA will also need to be regulated by the FSCA. As mentioned before, the approach will be risk-based. where the law will be applied proportionately to the potential conduct risk of a respective institution. 1. associated with fewer acts whilst reporting to a single market conduct regulato,. Following on from Section 3. 3.4 above, this proposed legislative framework should comprise the following six key components: 14 84 85 Description lhere must be no lllreasooablc post-sale barners hirxiefing climts to change prro.x:ts, switc::t1 l)"ovioc'fs, submit claims Of make compk1ints. Financial prOOucts and services musl perform as clienls expect them to and the level of service provided by lhe financial institution mus! be ol an acceptable standanl Where clients receive actv1ce, it musl be suitable and take accounl of lhelr persona! circumstances. Clients must be given clear infonnalion and be kepl appropriately informed before, during and atter purchasing a tinancial procluct or service. Financial products must be designed to meel the needs of identified client groups and targeted accordingly. Clients must be confident that they are dealing with inslitutions that have their lair treatment embedded in their organisational culture Source: National Treasury (2014b:5J) 14 · Outcome Table 3.6 The six fairness outcomes of the TCF approach 3.4.2.1 Treating c11stomersfairlu Currently the PSB(SA) uses the so-called treating customers fairly (TCF) principles to regulate non-bank institutions. Once the Twin Peaks framework is fully implemented, the TCF framework will form part of the regulatory framework for banks, with TCF forming an important foundation for the new market conduct authority (FSCA). TCF is an activity- and outcomes-based approach to regulation and supervision. The former refers to those institutions that will be regulated according to the type of financial services they provide - that is. all institutions that provide the same type of financial services will be regulated in the same way, regardless of what type of financial institution they are. The latter refers to a situation where institutions must demonstrate that they have delivered specified fairness outcomes to their consumers. TCF supervision will also be risk-based, meaning that the intensity of supervision will be determined by the risk that a bank will not treat their customers (clients) fairly - that is, the higher the risk for not treating clients fairly, the more intensive the supervision. The vulnerability of clients to potential abuse will also determine the intensity of supervision. The final desired outcome of TCF is to ensure that the financial services needs of clients are appropriately met. As such, the TCP approach centres around six fairness outcomes that have to be achieved by financial institutions. These are provided in Table 3.6. 14 should be clear that the proposed Twin Peaks framework is ambitious to say the ast. The challenge for the South African authorities is to consolidate an existing gulatory framework that is by no means poor, with a proposed framework that is e natural result of gross misconduct in the lead-up to the CFC. The irony is that e current framework to a large extent protected the South African financial system om the adverse effects of the CFC. Yet in order to ensure that the framework docs lag behind its international peers. it has to adapt accordingly. This is definitely not an easy task and requires a concerted effort from all stakeholders involved. e FSR Bill introduces several new enforcement actions for the FSCA, including lowing the FSCA to enter into leniency agreements. whereby, in exchange for coeration in an investigation, certain actions will not be taken against a person. The CA will increasingly not only focus on breaches of specific rules-based standards. t also on breaches of principles-based standards. such as failing to provide TCF tcomes. This means an increased reliance on judgement-based decision-making. Enforcement and administrative actions Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry I 1 ; ~ t i ;! I l,1 t !I I/i Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Encourage shareholder awareness through rriple-bonom-line reportrng on performance in implementing the FSC. Encourage tram1ng and awareness programmes for shareholders The target that was set by tne FSC was 25% tor black ov•merShip, measured at the holding company level, by 2010 Promote increased levels of influence ol direct black owners at board level Ownership and control .This includes targeted !nw,5tments in low~income housing, transformational infrastructure. agricultural development and black SMEs and BEE transaction financing Empowerment financing Provide firsl-order retail financial services such as attordable banking services (for transac!ioos and saVfngs), contractual savings schemes and credit for small and microenterprises Develop sustainable inslilutions to serve poor communi!ies. Regulation of credit bureaux. Access to financial services Financial institutions were expected to meer a target of 50% of the value of al! procurement from BEE-accredited companies by 2008 The large! should have increased to 70% by 2014. Preferential procurement of goods and services This alms lo redress disparities in lhe Soulh African workplace and broaden the skills base, especially by promoting b!ack participation. Human resource development .Targeted areas (pillars) FNB n/a 20 nla nla 20 20 nla 11.94 nla 12.44 2011 nla 19.50 nla 19.37 2011 FNB ASSA Nedbank 23 23 23 23 Available points for: ownership n/a n/a ,va 20.07 2012 nla 22.77 nla 20.18 2011 rransformational mfrastructurc- over R12 bil!ion Sid Bank • 14.0~ n/a nla 20.00 2010 ~ Access to branches and ATMs within 10 km radius is over 80% SME finance - over A16 billion • Agricultural linance -- over R3 billion Access of living slandards measure (LSM) group 1-5 to bank branches witl1in a 15 km radius is over 75% 1t ¥! Mzansi accounts - over 6 million New, more cost-eHective financial inclusion accounts by the Big Four banks 15.42 n/a n/a 20.00 2010 9.24 n/a nla 12.54 2010 Iii Access to housing finance - over R65 mil!ion ABSA Nedbank 19.46 20 2012 n/a n/a nla 9.96 2012 • • 18 ABSA Available points 18 NedlJank Std Bank 18 18 fNB Available points 11 Std Bank I j Progress Table 3.7 The six pillars of the FSC and progress made by the Big Four banks in South Africa FINANCIAL INCLUSION AND THE FINANCIAL SECTOR CODE In order to increase financial inclusion. the South African financial secto committed itself to promoting Black Economic Empowerment by voluntarily drawing up the Financial Sector Charter (FSC) at the Financial Sector Summit in 19 August 2002. The FSC came into effect in January 2004 and aims to provide increased access (and thereby inclusion) to financial services for previously disadvantaged households and communities. The FSC is based on six pillars which are highlighted in Table 3. 7. The table also highlights the progress made by the Big Four South African banks for the period 2010 to 2012. The Charter Council established as an independent body to oversee the implementation of the FSC. 3.5 86 • 11 ABSA n/a 9.19 nla 8.46 2011 7.6 nla n/a 8.25 I 2010 ABSA also sponsors the Klein Karoo Nasionale Kunstefecs and sporting events such as the Currie Cup, Premiership soccer and Cape Epic. Other Big Four banks are similarly active in taking up their social responsibility In civil society. The international money laundering control framework A money laundering offence occurs when the origin of funds (or proceeds) obtained from illegal activities is disguised. This usually takes place in three stages: 25 the placement stage occurs when the illegal funds are placed in the formal financial system; the layering stage occurs when the source and ownership of the funds is purposefully concealed or disguised; the integration stage occurs when the first two stages are successful and the funds are integrated into the legitimate economic and financial system. 25 Money lannderers often receive prolessional assistance to carry out these activities. Combatting money laundering requires a global policy response because of its ability to adapt to changing business and legal jurisdictions. To this end, the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) was established in 1989 by the G-7 summit held in Paris. In 1990 the FATF issued a 40-point list of recommendations that prescribe a range of actions designed to strengthen international co-operation against financial crime. After the terrorist attacks on 11 September 2001, the FATF expanded its mandate beyond money 3.6.1 COMBATTING MONEY LAUNDERING IN SOUTH AFRICA a process of negotiations from 2007 to 2011, a Financial Sector Code was published in theGovernmenlGazette in November 2012. As a result, the FSC, a voluntary agreement, was transformed into the legally binding Financial Sector Code under the Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment (BBBEE) Code. 24 The BBBEE scorecard forms an integral part of compliance and provides a set of indicators to measure the success of empowerment initiatives in the banking sector. The scorecard is used by banks for self-assessment and the Charter Council to evaluate the implementation of BEBEE. The government also uses the scorecard when awarding contracts, since banks must receive a certain minimum score in order to be awarded government contracts. The scorecard is based on the six pillars identified in the original FSC except that the preferential procurement of goods and services pillar is split into a preferential procurement and enterprise development respectively to form seven pillars in total. 0:Pollowing n/a nla n/a 8.32 I 2012 I 87 ASSA spent R60.9 minion in CSl-profects in 2007, focusing on educalion, entrepreneurship, health and disabitiry, and the environmenl. 11 Ne{lbank Compiled by Dr Arno van Niekerk. .'Source: BASA: 20 Moya & Rohan; 21 Finscope (2012); 22 DTI (2012) 23 should be aimed mainly at black groups, namely: education, taming, development programmes, job creation, arts and '.culture, health and sport. • II 11 Sid Bank FNB Available points for: management control Black Enterprise Empowerment Trusts own 9.5% ol FirstRand's slack Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspec tive The Financial Intelligence Centre Act (38 of 2001) 7 :.~ice.,._.·:- __ • ··- ·,•. - • • • .. -·-··.--,:--:cc·:.-.c·-.•-,·c•.-.-------, ••. ,., .•. ,.,:••·:-cc.-·•· bave•• ~·ina§ ituation where youyisfted y6tir.6a~~.anff~~~~~6 yet1,~Y .•; /heiraski2gYou teJ~~ntifyyourself even though the ban.kc !;~ ktiowsx;rvW;flY"~O you Oare",fl?.JX ~qbites tfa~ks to yerify the identity of the client ittr~~sacts With ~ypr;se2ti2g fr'validgoverl'lment-iss~~djD . documents,.Frustr~tion·arises .•when . the~a2~·cJ~f~t~s~s·you ?>f~.i~~ritlfy yeu';l~lfJhenext;time you.visit the batik. "fhis may)t,e for ~ev~~ ~,~~ns .first: •"f°t!ie.recefcJ~~~ping#yStems of the bank are not4ntegrated, soalthough)'o~fi~~ti~.m~y [, ~~V;~ riy~rlfi ed .iP !~epast,6ne system . maypot 'talk.to anether' sy~tem .~e.2a , . ~he •·:c:fa ti?ns.en~!'barikcl~rk·•3rE!.aUdited in·.accordi31'1cewit~tt? ~Be.t.~~ C-://i:}/.C:"'.?·?,°' ·naseve ry.righttoaskyoufoidentify yourself every time you vislt it. ti~s·it.m~y,?\~~2k( .c'/ .. . • ... Jfl~&~11y South Africa's anti-m oney launde ring legal framework is based predom inantly on the Financial Intelligence Centre Act (38 of 2001) (FICA) and the Prevention of Organised Crime Act (121 of 1998) (POCA). FICA focuses on providing detailed money launde ring contro l obligations for so-called 'accou ntable institu tions' whereas POCA defines the general money launde ring offence s. For purposes of our discussion, however, reference will be made to FICA and its applicability. In 2008, the Financial Intelligence Amend ment Act (11 of 2008) came into being and made several change s to the original FICA. The amend ments became effective on 1 December 2010 and focused predominantly on providing for greater penalties upon contra ventio n of the Act. For example, certain offences stipulate impris onmen t for up to 15 years or fines of up to Rl 00 million . At the heart of FICA is the require ment to 'know your client' (KYC). This KYC principle is established in section 21 of the Act whereby '[a]n accountable institution may not establish a business relationship or conclude a single transaction with a client unless the accountable institution has taken the prescribed steps to establish and verify the identity of the client'. 25 Section 21 also stipulates that clients of the bank before the implementation of FTCA need to be verified before further transactions may take place. The BSD enforces all FIC-issued Guidan ce Notes, Circulars and announ cemen ts to be made to banks and also conduc ts proactive assessments of whethe r or not they comply with money laundering provisi ons. 3.6.2 laundering and issued the Eight Special Recommendations on Terrorist Financing. South' Africa became a member of Ri\TF in 2003 and committed itself to implementing and complying with the international standards to combat money laundering and terrorist financing. Subsequently, the FATF created Financial Intellig ence Units (or F!Us) for member countries that are designed to attack financial crime through various forms of co-operation including the exchange of information and sharing of expertise. With this in mind, the Financial Intelligence Centre (FIC) was establis hed in 2002 to act as the regulatory body in South Africa to enforce anti-money launde ring practices. The FIC conducts itself under the auspices of the Financial Intelligence Centre Act (38 of 2001) .. In addition, the Money Laundering Advisory Council (MLAC ) was established to advise the Minister of Finance on best practice regarding anti-mo ney laundering activities, to act as a forum for debate on combalting money laundering and to advise the FIC on its performance with regards to its functions vis-a-vis FICA. 25 88 e At the heart of FICA is the assura nce that banks are dealing with clients who are they say they are and have funds from sources that are legitim ate. This is a very import ant principle in the realm of manag ing risk within a bank. If a bank is not able I the identity of their clients. Thus the higher the risk that a client might be involved in money launde ring activities, the higher the intensi ty of the method s the bank can use to verify the identity of the client. In this regard, the FIC has issued a General Guidance Note Concerning the Identification of Clients that identifies a numbe r of further risk indicators that may suggest possible money launde ring activities. Some of these risk indicators include: 26 a client has several bank accoun ts with different banks in one geographical area a client makes large cash deposits into an accoun t of a foreign correspondent bank a client wishes to have credit and debit cards sent to destinations other than their address on record a client has numer ous accoun ts and makes or receives large cash deposits a client frequently exchanges curren cies a client wishes to have unusua l access to safe-deposit facilitie s a client receives and disburses from their accoun ts large cash amoun ts which ' are seemingly unrela ted to norma l business activities. lri South Africa.banks are allowed to follow a risk-based approa ch when verifying !!;e¼~xi~~le§.?f~~~ria·~~~~J~igbi~'?fa~6ffen?e•·.J.nderFl~~;~eW .it:JailS.tdi.' lde~~ify pers?fisandkeepsina:deciuater~ords; fails.to··giVe'~S sist~~Seto /.•·· ) •pre~.ent~tiv~~'.cif the~IC;cfai1s1o;reportgashtr.a~sa~ti(lr1sao()ye ,fit~cribed. 1i111its:;;; /•.•·•·• ilflo.i.reportfifapid()U~pruti~ftianra~;~etlbns;Iampersviffn9~.~e~troy ssonryde.~tiiil.·.•·· ,terrnaiion:failsfoiofrn.ulate ancfi§,plerq'.e-ritifitf!rii!liri.ltes;\~ P~lic~~ ··1point•aniriterifal (;0111pliary<5e~~b~~'failtt6.provi~Ji=tc~.~laf li3!ot<Y?; failst~•x•/ ~;y~iningt6 its staff;· •••· structs an"official in the perfotma~ce2tif'!hl'lir duties vis-a•Visthe~c 26 t. 1 control measu res under FICA essentially focus on suitabl y verifying the identity clients, establishing the source of the funds in questio n and reporti ng to the FIC y suspicious activity believed to relate to money launde ring or terrorist activities. such, FICA requires banks to: implement an interna l framework (policies and proced ures) that enables them to identify and verify the identity of their clients. This applies to both new clients and those already on the books of the bank. ensure that records of business relationships (for at least five years from termin ation of this relationship) and transac tions (for at least five years from the date when a respective transac tion was concluded) are kept and stored in either paper or electronic format develop an interna l system to identify suspicious, unusua l or irregul ar transac tions that must be reporte d to the FIC provide anti-money launde ring trainin g for its staff appoint a Compliance Officer that ensures compliance with the provisions of FICA. Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry 89 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Legislative developments CURRENT REGULATORY TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS Several laws have recently been passed to improve the existing financial regulatory framework in South Africa. Most of these aim to (i) bring the regulatory framework into line with international developments and (ii) cater for the implementation of the Twin Peaks framework. For example. the Financial Markets Act (19 of 2012) (FMA) aims to regulate South African financial markets by ensuring that they are fair. efficient and transparent. In doing so, the Act increases confidence and minimises systemic risk in the financial markets by protecting its participants and promoting both national and international competitiveness. The FMA makes provision for formal exchanges (such as the Johannesburg Stock Exchange). the custody and administration of securities. clearing houses, trade repositories, market abuse (such as insider trading) and auditing standards. Complementary to the FMA. the Credit Rating Services Act (24 ol' 2012) provides for the registration or credit rating agencies, and specifically for the reduction of systemic risk by being responsible and accountable. providing credit ratings that are reliable and transparent and improving investor protection, fairness. efficiency, and transparency in financial markets. This is particularly relevant given the role that rating agencies played in the lead-up to the CFC of 2007 /08. The Financial Services Laws General Amendment Act (45 of 2013) came into effect on 28 February 2014 and aims to ensure that South Africa has up-to-date financial sector legislation during the transition to the Twin Peaks framework. Thirteen financial sector laws were amended under this Act including the South African Reserve Bank Act (90 of 1989), the Financial Services Board Act (9 7 of 1990). the Financial Markets Act (19 or 2012) and the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (3 7 of 2002). As an example of the extent or change in 3. 7.1 3.7 In April 2014 the SARB fined four SoutfrAfricaifbai\ks fotalarn6unt of R125 million ,as a result of shortcomings irithelirmeiney laun~efing and terrorist financing combatting systems. The fines.did notfdllow any explicit ·money laundering transactions, but focused on insufficierit processes arid systems regarding the verification Of client details, record..keepirig and the mariagirig and processing ofsospicidus transactions. In_ Februaryi20) 5 Jwo furtherbanks .were fined RS millio'l'l and R10 million respectively for similar deficiencies intheir money laundering·detectiori frameworks. a to properly assess the source of funds and the true identity of a client, how will it be able to properly assess legitimate information based on the client? This raises serious information asymmetry concerns for the bank especially with regards to the adverse selection issue. Further to this. if funds have terrorist-related sources, concerns are raised that may lead to political or sovereign risk implications. FICA has therefore been a vital addition to an already well-regulated South African financial sector. 90 Deposit insurance in South Africa Dealing with SIFls and the too-big-to-fail issue TCF is an evolving framework that the FSB(SA) plans to implement on an incremental and risk-based basis. This means that the higher the perceived risk, the more intensive the supervision. The vulnerability of clients to potential abuse will also determine the intensity of supervision. At the moment TCF is not legal. yet it is a vital next step for the implementation of the Twin Peaks framework. Therefore, the FSB(SA) is currently emphasising the importance of embedding a TCF culture in financial institutions, starting with the business leaders and senior managers. It is hoped that by doing this rather than adopting a 'tick box' compliance approach will embed TCF principles more implicitly. The FSB(SA) believes that if this is achieved, then the remaining five fairness outcomes will follow as a matter of course. 3.7.4 The implementation of TCF The regulation of systemically important financial institutions (SIFis). or global SIFis (G-SIF!s) in the case of banks that operate internationally, is one of the biggest issues in the current debate on regulatory reform. Despite several proposals by international bodies such as the FSB, much uncertainty still surrounds the regulatory treatment of SIFis. At the heart of this issue is the so-called too-big-tofail argument that states that certain financial institutions are so large and interconnected that in the event of one failing it runs the risk of causing severe systemic risk. Regulators thus face a dilemma - on the one hand if they do bail out the financial institution, they prevent significant systemic failure; on the other, if they let if fail they set an example of market discipline for the industry as a whole. Clearly. moral hazard is at the heart of this debate. Different measures to deal with SIFis are part of the proposals in Basel III that arc discussed further in Chapter 15. The FSB also requires member countries (including South Africa) to have recovery and resolution plans in place for all SIFis. More specifically, these S!Fls, and banks in particular, are required to develop recovery plans detailing how the bank's management plans to recover from severe financial stress. Moreover, the SARB will also have to develop resolution plans in situations where the recovery plans do not have the desired impact, such as failure of these S!Fls. The aim of these resolution plans is to minimise the cost to taxpayers in the event of bank failure. 3.7.3 n explicit deposit insurance scheme (DIS) is seen to be a main requirement for ternational best practice in financial regulation. Although not formal (or explicit). South Africa adopts an implicit DIS - deposits are protected by the intervention of the National Treasury and the SARB in the case or bank failure. The process for launching an explicit DIS in South Africa has been revived on numerous occasions, but the SARB remains or the opinion that the cost of having such a scheme will be excessive and outweigh the bencfits. 27 .7.2 nancial sector regulation in South Africa, it should be noted that this Act also eludes amendments to the above-mentioned Financial Markets Act (19 of 2012) nd the Credit Rating Services Act (24 of 2012). Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry 91 l. National Treasury. Republic of South Africa. 2013. 'Implementing a Twin Peaks model of financial regulation in South Africa.' www.treasury.gov.za (Accessed 2 3 April 2013). REFERENCES Banks are traditionally regarded as one of the most regulated industries in the world, and banks in South Africa are no exception. While the main aim of financial regulation is to maintain the integrity and soundness of the financial system, an additional important aim in South Africa is the advancement of socio-economic transformation that improves the standard of living of the people. This chapter explored the current regulatory and supervisory environment in South Africa related specifically to banks. Financial regulation refers to specific rules of behaviour that banks must adhere to while financial supervision refers to a more general observation of the behaviour of financial institutions in order to establish to what extent they implement the relevant regulations. The current regulatory structure, where South African banks are regulated by several different regulators, was contrasted with the proposed Twin Peaks regulatory structure. where banks will be regulated by two main regulators, namely the PA, tasked with prudential regulation of the sector and the FSCA, tasked with market conduct regulation. It is clear that financial regulation in South Africa is in a state of flux and several laws have recently been passed in order to improve the existing financial regulatory framework. Most of these aim to bring the regulatory framework into line with international developments after the GFC, as well as to facilitate the move to the Twin Peaks regulatory framework. Ultimately the intention of Twin Peaks is to provide a more streamlined system of financial regulation and supervision for the South African financial sector. Although Twin Peaks is a very ambitious framework. the successful implementation thereof will require a concerted effort from all stakeholders involved. The move to the Twin Peaks system also poses specific challenges for banks. Most specifically, banks will be subjected to more intrusive ·market conduct regulation than is currently the case. 3.8 CONCLUSION A further aspect of the envisaged improved consumer protection framework is the enhanced effectiveness and accessability of the current ombud system to consumers. In this regard, the FSR Bill has proposed that the Financial Sector Ombud Scheme Act (FSOSA) should be repealed and that the provisions of the Act be incorporated into the FSR Bill. In the interim, all existing ombud schemes will remain in place. The FSR Bill also proposes to establish a FSOSA Council that will serve as a single point of entry into the ombud system. This council will focus on consolidation of the ombud system and ensure that consistent approaches are applied to dispute resolution across different ombuds. Although all financial institutions will be compelled to belong to an ombud scheme, how the ombud system will look and how a consolidated approach to alternative dispute resolution will be achieved, is still uncertain. Proposed reform of the ombud system Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 3.7.5 92 93 Llewellyn D. 1999. April. The Economic Rationale for Financial Regulation. FS!l Occasional papers in financial regulation. Occasional paper series l. Laeven. L & Valencia. F. 2012. June. Systemic Banking Crises Database: An Vpdale. IMF Working Paper, WP/12/163. Luttrell, D, Atkinson, TM & Rosenblum. H. 2013. Assessing the Costs and Consequences of the 2007-2009 Financial Crisis and Its Aftermath. l'ederal Reserve of Dallas. Economic Letter, 8:7 September. South African Reserve Bank. 2015. Financial Stability. https:/ /www.resbank.co.za/ Financial%20Stability/Pages/Financia1Stability Home.aspx (Accessed 2 February 2015). National Treasury. 2014(a), December. Twin Peaks in South Africa: Response and Explanatory Document Accompanying th,: Second Draft of the Financial Sector Regulation Bill. http:/ /www.treasury.gov.za/public%20comments/ FSR2014/2014%2012%2012%20Response%20document.pdf (Accessed 23 April 2014). South African Reserve Bank. 2014. Banking Legislation. https://www.resbank. co.za/RegulationAndSupervision/BankSupervision/BankingLegislation/Pagcs/ default.aspx (Accessed 2 April 2014). South African Reserve Bank, Bank Supervision Department. 2015. Fact Sheet no 10. https://www.resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/ Attachments/SO] l /Fact%20Sheet%2010.pdf (Accessed 20 March 2015). Republic of South Africa. Banks Act 94 of 1990. http://www.justice.gov.za/mc/ vnbp/act2005-034.pdf (Accessed January 25 2015). Republic of South Africa. 2012, December. Government Notice No. 1029. Regulations Relating to Banks. Government Gazette 3 59 50. http:/ /www.greengazette.co.za/ notices/banks-act-94-1990-regulations-relating-to-banks 20121212GGR-35950-01029 .pdf (Accessed 25 January 2015). De Lange, N & Petros, M. 2013. 'Prudential supervision of banks in the South African context - the supervisory review and evaluation process.' IFC Bulletin 3 3: 134-140. http:/ /www.bis.org/ifc/publ/ifcb3 3o.pdf (Accessed 2 7 May 201 3). National Treasury, Republic of South Africa. 2011. A Safer Financial Sector to Serve South Africa Better. http://www.treasury.gov.za/ documents/national%20 budget/2011 / A%20safer%20financial%20sector%20to%20serve%20South%20 Africa%20better.pdf (Accessed 23 February 2014). National Treasury. 201.3. February. Implementing a Twin Peaks Model of Financial Regulation in South Africa. www.treasury.gov.za (Accessed April 2013). National Treasury. 20 .14. Treating Customers Fairly in the Financial Sector: A Draft Market Conduct Policy Framework for South Africa. Discussion document. Republic of South Africa. 'Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 3 7 of 2002.' http://www.acts.co.za/financial-advisory-and-intermediary-scrvicesact-2002 / (Accessed 7 March 2015). Financial Services Board. 'Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 3 7 of 2002. General code of conduct for authorised financial services providers and representatives. Board Notice 80 of 2003.' http://www.banking.org.za/docs/ default-source/default-document-library/financial-advisory-and-intermediaryservices-act-3 7-2002.pdf?sfvrsn-8 (Accessed 20 February 2015). Republic of South Africa. 'The National Credit Act 43 of 2005.' http://www.justice. gov.za/mc/vnbp/act2005-034.pdf (Accessed 20 l'ebruary 2015). Chapter 3: Financial Regulation in the South African Banking Industry Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 18. National Credit Regulator. 2007. The National Credit Act: All you need to know about the National Credit Act as a consumer. 19. Coetzee, J. 2009. 'Personal or remote interaction: Banking the unbanked in South Africa.' South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences 12( 4): 448-461 20. Banking Association South Africa. 2012. South African Banking Sector Overview. 2012. http://www.banking.org.za/index.php/ our-industry/ 2012-south-africanbanking-sector-overview (Accessed 12 August 2013). 21. Moyo. T & Rohan, S. 2006. 'Corporate citizenship in the context of the financial services sector: what lessons from the Financial Sector Charter?' Development Southern Africa 23(2): 289-303. 22. Finscope South Africa. 2012. Consumer Survey. Johannesburg: Finmark Trust. 23. Department of Trade and Industry. 2012. Amended Broad-Based Black Economic Empowerment Codes. www.thedti.gov.za/economic empowerment/docs/bee launch.pdf (Accessed 16 September 2013). 24. Banking Association of South Africa. Financial Sector Charter Code. http:/ /www. banking.org.za/index.php/consumer-centre/financial-sector-charter-code (Accessed 23 September 2013). 25. Banking Association of South Africa. Financial Intelligence Centre Act. http://www. banking. org .za/ in <lex. ph p/ co nsu mer-centre/ financial-in telli gence-cen tre-act (Accessed 23 September 2013). 26. Financial Intelligence Centre. 2005, July. Guidance Note 3 Guidance for Banks on Customer Identification and Verification and Related Matters. https://www.fic.gov. za/ •./] 30328%20GUIDANCE%20NOTE%203A.pdf (Accessed 7 March 2015). 27. Pinancial Stability Board. 2013. Peer Review of South Africa Review Report. http:// www.financialstabilityboard.org/publications/r 130205.pdf (Accessed 3 March 2014). 94 Building mutually beneficial bank-client relationships is an important strategic , driver for any bank. To ensure mutual benefit, however, takes time and results in banks having a strain put onto their resources, especially at the beginning of the relationship. For this reason, banks must try and make the transition from >transactional to relationship banking as seamless as possible so that the client makes more transactions through more products, but via facilities that are cheaper to operate - that is, electronic banking facilities. The purpose of this chapter is to introduce a model for relationship banking that addresses this migration. It also provides a discussion on the major relationship-b ased topics bankers deal with in their day-to-day activities. Finally, the chapter provides a brief overview of how South African banks manage their relationship-ba sed operations. INTRODUCTION er reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain the difference between personal and remote interaction distribution channels identify the different types of personal and remote interaction distribution channels differentiate between transactional and relationship banking explain why relationship banking places more strain on branch resources than transactional banking does explain why it is important to migrate relationship banking clients to electronic banking facilities define the relationship banking paradox discuss the impact of the life-cycle of relationship banking on the revenue of a bank discuss and illustrate the relationship banking model discuss the relevance of the two dimensions of relationship banking discuss the four drivers of relationship banking discuss the seven relationships found in the relationship banking model identify the main features of a formal lending policy explain the steps in the lending process discuss client-centricity and relationship banking as two relationship-based strategies used by banks discuss the main characteristics of the South African distribution channel and slogan strategies respectively. RNING OBJECTIVES 1ea :t!tti.dnship Banking in South DISTRIBUTION CHANNELS IN BANKING Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Personal interaction distribution channels There are several types of personal interaction distribution channels, differing in terms of the type and number of services they offer: • Full-service branches offer the entire spectrum of facilities ranging from sales consultants to tellers and ATMs. These branches are normally situated in areas where the number of walk-in clients is substantial and given their size, they are operationally expensive to run. • Banks can also use limited-service branches that do not include all the facilities of a full-service branch. Rather, the facilities are a function of the demographic characteristics of the area where the branch is situated. • In-store branches offer very limited facilities and are normally situated within a supermarket store. Their primary purpose is to address the needs (especially those that are deposit-related) of clients who are unable to visit a branch during normal working hours. For this reason, in-store branches operate during similar hours to the supermarket. • Some banks offer loan kiosks in stores such as furniture stores, where a client can apply for a loan on the spot to purchase the product. So, instead of visiting a branch of the bank, a client has the convenience of applying for a loan at the store itsel[ This convenience has in recent years resulted in an increase in popularity of such channels. Personal interaction distribution channels are those where there is some form of physical human interaction between the client and a staff member of the bank. A branch is the most utilised personal distribution channel and usually offers all the necessary banking facilities available to clients. From a sales point of view. consultants and financial planners offer products and services to clients and facilitate the approval process. From an operations point of view, tellers, automated teller machines (ATMs), internet banking kiosks and the enquiries desk facilitate the processes and procedures that support the sales environment. The branch environment therefore provides a platform where clients can be attended to by staff who have a specific understanding of their banking needs. This is considered to be a competitive advantage for a branch . 1 4.2.1 which to access the products. Relationship banking deals primarily with how a bank interacts with its clients. departure point for these interactions is the distribution channels because these provide the means to distribute the products and services of the bank and in so doing, contribute to building mutually beneficial relationships. While banks have expanded the number of products on offer, they have also been forced to expand the way in which they distribute these offerings. Convenience is a major driver of service proliferation and has resulted in banks establishing a diverse network of distribution channels ranging from personal face-to-face options such as branches to remote interfaces such as internet banking. Convenience is therefore associated both with what the products are able to do and with what facilities are available from 4.2 96 97 Banks also offer mobile branches (or mobile /Janks). These are branches that are literally mobile and arc often used to test the viability of remote areas without committing to the construction of a brick-and-mortar branch. In South Africa this has been particularly popular on the back of the drive to focus on banking the unbanked market in often very remote areas. These branches offer limited services, but are sufficient to address basic banking needs. National head offices usually include a full-service branch, but primarily employ the administrative, credit, treasury, IT, retail, commercial and corporate staff along with their respective senior line management. Furthermore, they are the decision-making hub from which all national strategy is disseminated. Regional (or provincial) head offices provide similar structures, but are more aligned to the services offered in the region (or province). Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa Remote interaction distribution channels emote interaction distribution channels refer to those where a client is able to use a latform (or facility) to conduct their banking from a remote place, and there is no human interaction between the client and bank staff. There are several types remote interaction distribution channels: il.utomated teller machines (ATMs) are electronic terminals that dispense cash to clients at any time of the day. Clients access the ATM with a bank card and use a personal identification number (PIN) to access their account from which the cash is withdrawn. ATMs normally offer basic transactional functionality and in some cases allow deposit-taking. The benefit for the client is that ATMs are situated all over the country, especially in shopping centres, petrol stations and near supermarkets. Banks also offer mobile ATMs that are vehicles with an ATM on board. These can often be seen at sporting events or festivals. Some banks have self-service terminals (SSTs) that offer additional transactional functionality such as transfers and account statements. Electronic banking refers to the use of the internet to conduct banking transactions. Clients use the internet to log in to their accounts and then conduct the transactions at a much cheaper cost than would be the case had they done the same transaction in a branch. Besides being the cheapest way of doing transactions, this has the added benefit of convenience because the only requirement is an internet connection to an electronic device such as a computer, tablet or cellphone. This facility can therefore be used anywhere in the world. Banks make extensive use of call centres, which are centralised offices that receive large volumes of telephone calls dealing with queries or requests from clients regarding the bank's products. A client phones a call centre number where they are electronically prompted to make keypad selections to direct .2.2 mpirical evidence suggests that personal face-to-face interaction especially with oorer and financially illiterate clients fosters trust with the bank. 2 The challenge for anks is to balance the cost associated with establishing a branch with the revenue nerated from the clients who use the facilities. - them to a call centre operator who deals specifically with the product that the client is enquiring about. These operators are assigned to dealing with specific queries and requests from specific client segments. For example, if a client has a query about their cheque account, they will be directed to an operator who deals exclusively with cheque accounts. Likewise, if a client is unable to access their internet: banking account, they will deal specifically with an operator allocated to internet banking. Telephone banking enables cli.ents to use their phones to conduct banking transactio ns via a dedicated telephone banking call centre. Given the likelihood of fraud, the authentica tion process is rigorous and the functionality offered is usually quite limited. This facility does, however, offer convenience to the client as transactio ns are merely a phone call away. Mobile apps via iOS or Android platforms can be downloaded and used to conduct banking transaction s. All the major banks provide these apps that usually allow additional services such as share trading and ATM locators. Banks also provide merchants (such as supermark ets and departmen t stores) with point-of-sale (POS) devices which enable them to accept immediate payment from their clients. The client is asked to present their (debit or credit) card and key in a PIN, and thereafter the transactio n is either approved or declined instantane ously based on the amount of available funds in the client's account. A benefit for the client is that the device reduces the need to carry cash. However. if there are connection problems with the server, the device will not be able to conclude the transactio n. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective table'4.1.proviaesthe points of represMtation (l:,rant;hesandATMS) andriurriher . of clients in five of the major client-facing banks in°South ·Africa. South Africa is known for its high crime rate and ATMs are often targets of this crime. The number of ATM bombings and scams have increased sharply in recent years as a result of criminals attempting to access the cash held in the ATM. Banks have subsequently increased the security measures at ATMs in an attempt to reduce this crime. 3 The South African Banking Risk Information Centre (SABRIC) has indicated that although bank-relat ed robberies decreased by 23% in 2015. there was an increase of 30% in 2014. 4 The environme nt within which banks operate in South Africa needs to consider these crime figures and address them accordingly. Another way in which banks have tried to minimise the losses associated with ATM crime is to limit the amount of cash that can be withdrawn per client, Internet crime is another reality for banks, hence the stringent entry controls in place for accessing internet accounts. A multiple login process, SMS notification, virtual keypad (that is, touchpad-based), multiple firewalls and encrypted software are only a few measures used by banks to provide a secure electronic banking experience. • • 98 In order to have a mutually beneficial relationship, banks must ensure that they create value for themselves as well as the client when they interact with each other. The interaction itself is therefore vitally important in this context. There are two overarching modes of interaction with clients. First, transactional /Jankin{J is based on engaging with clients quickly and does not require excessive resource allocation on the part of the bank on a per-client basis. It is therefore less hands-on due to limited .commitment and contact. As the needs of clients are homogeno us (standardised) and consistently repeated, they are more easily serviced by the operationa l function or a bank. For this reason. the operations or administrative function (for example, tellers in a branch) can usually deal fully with these clients. TRANSACTIONAL VERSUS RELATIONSHIP BANKING <+,,~-•bankWiiht11itRo~fATJiagtl··•c:1lJii+kiiStand~id•·sa~k/bdfSAaSA hasthirfios t·• . ATMs. Whafis. particularly notic•eable Js the growth in the representation of Capitec Bank ih Corr!parison tocwe ~ig Four. -E~fablished in 2001, this bahk has beco~e a .majorcomp~titor intli'ifretailenvironment because it offers simple banking products _,that are cheap and Which are offered throu·gh an extensive and-rapidly growing branch network. •0 ,:3,7 4.7 I 5.4 All figtitesitidu de S6uthAfritt iri ttiitl Alt1dm Operations, eiccept fot2012 which is 16rtly for south Afril:a under'ABSA Gtotip-Llrii:ltefl;Source: ABSA Group Lifllited (2012); 5 B'arclays .A.frica Liinited(20 l3); 6 Barclajsii:rrica'Limited (2014) 7 / > ·:.._. ..,. . · > , hAlJfigures}~cludeSou th Afrktnifoid African operations: ATM flgu'..resinclude autorilhti!d • dcposittellers·{ADTs). Source: FirstRand Group Limited (2012): 8 _FirstRand Group Limited 9 . J2014) <> •-C"• '; _.. , .. ,, .... ,,,.•. :;;"e, .. ,,.<,.·:·••••C•• > ,.,,·:,. :< •·•· • ·;;. ·.:• ••·<The branches iiichide stiiffed outlets and excltide personal Ioart·kiosks. Including the , .personal l6afi kiosks. the figur€s are l199.1 185 and 118Sfor 2012. 2013 and 2014 respectively. All figures include South African and African operations. Source: Nedbank . ·····"::Group (2014:49) 10 ., . , "' . < . : < . ••'<.· ':;,All figuresinclu deSotithAft ican andAfricaiiopertilfons':Briincht!'kfrtdud~ servicec~htr es: •.. Source: Stiiridard Bank Group{20l3 );ll-Standar d Bank Group (2014) 12 1Capitec only has South African opetatioils.T he ATMs refer to only thbse ()WfleifbYCapitec. >IfATMs in partnership s arejndud~d , 'the'.humber increases to 2 '918. 2 s54 anir2 07 6 • for 2014, 2013 and 2012 respec:tivel:iisourcc: Capitec Bank Holdings Limited (2014); 1 .1 i) ,Capitec Bank Holdings Limited(20 15) 14• • fro Rmillion. Points of represeritati6frahclnumber of clients of thi five major client... \,facing banks in S6uthAfrica , Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa 99 !~:, m i~ :rn Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspec tive Transactional Operations Umiled/hands-otf Limited ltttle emphasis I lornogenous/standardlsed Short Product lealures and lunclional Client acquisilion: quantity-driven •••. ? Relationship file concern of au in the bank High/personal Hiyh High emphasis Helerogeoeo11s/customised Long Product benelits and value-driven Client retention: quality-driven Given that a transac tional approa ch focuses more on the short-t erm acquisition of new clients, it is no less import ant than a relationship-ba sed approa ch. Indeed, transac tional bankin g is a vitally import ant source of revenue for banks as the administrative function of a branch (especially a large branch that services many clients) is primarily focused on meeting transac tional needs. Figure 4.1 provides a visual represe ntation of a typical branch with an enquiries counter, two person al bankers, a financial planne r, six tellers, an interne t bankin g kiosk and two ATMs. In this instance, relatio nship bankin g occurs when Client A interacts with and does their bankin g with the Enquiries Desk, Personal Banker l, the Financial Planner. Teller 2 and finally the Interne t Banking Kiosk. This transac tion is time-c onsum ing and reflects the heterog eneous and personalised bankin g needs of the client. Alternatively, in a transac tional bankin g context, Client B walks into the branch and goes directly to Teller 1 after which they leave. The nature of the engage ment with branch staff is minimal and substantially less time consum ing than it would be for the relationship bankin g transac tion. The homog enous need of this client (say, to make a cash deposit ) is standa rd (making a - deposit follows the same operati onal process whethe r it i.s for RlO or RlO 000) and can be performed by a teller in a consist ent and predictable manner. Source: Adapted from Little & Marandi (2003); 15 Peck ct al. (1999) 16 Custodian Client contact Client commitm ent Client service Client needs Timescale Orientation Focus Characte ristics Table 4.2 Transactional versus relationship focus in banking The second type of interac tion is relationship-based. These clients want to intera with someone personally due to their unique and heterog onous needs. Due to t value-driven orienta tion, the commi tment between the bank and client is high an contac t is frequent. This suggests that service quality is an import ant require men to ensure that the relationship is quality-driven. The custod ian of servicing thes clients is not limited to operations only, suggesting a more inclusive focus centred o a dedicated personal banker. Mutua l trust. commi tment and loyalty are central t, the relational focus. Table 4.2 provides an overview of the major difference between a transac tional and relatio nal focus in banking. 100 ._,, .. ~ 101 irony of transac tional and relatio nal bankin g is that banks are moving towards couraging clients to visit branch es less given the growth and availability of ectronic bankin g facilities. By encour aging clients to use electronic bankin g, they ecome less reliant on branch staff for their bankin g busine ss and only visit the 'ranch in situatio ns where their needs are unique or require customised solutions. Visual representation of transac tional and relation ship banking in a brarich --------► ._EriiPaiiciI;g Chapte r 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa Internet Banking Kiosk: paid three beneficiaries R300 each Transfer fee payable per transaction: R5 (total transfer fee: R15) Amount of time: 1 0 minutes Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective I 20 10 10 60 400 15 600 15 100 25 .··• •. ·.·.··••··· 15' 350 10 50 10 _These two scenarios reflect the trade-off for bahksiwheffc6nsiderihg iifriinsa6tiOn':or relationship-based approach: the revenue generated via transactional biinking is··• /lower per unit, but the branch visiting time is also lower. Conversely, the revenue generated via relationship banking is substantially higher.per unit, bufthe branch•· '.yisiting time is also higher. Therefore, although relationship banking generates more . ·revenue per unit, it places a larger burden on the resources of the branch; and, .'_.although transactional banking generates less revenue per unit, it places less /pressure on the resources of the branch. The time (60.niintites)·and cost (R600)to· ·c1ientAib r]]ting¾;tJ ictid~1nth e . branch are both high. The actions of Client A reflectrelationshipbankihg ";the level •. of personal interactiorris high, it is time-consumingartd needs are heterogeneous. However, the time (10 minutes) and cost (R100) for CliehtH are substantially lower' --_ and reflect a transactional banking approach -the le\lel ?fpersonal .inlera?tion is·• low, transaction times are quick and the needs are'homogenous (or standardised). 100 - 100 In the branch Time(min) Cost(R) 5 • •Anew cheque book order onlinc costs RS. bDebit order fees are standard at R5 each. ; 'Transfers made between personal ·the 3% commission fee is payable in this case. : dTbe school fees are paid online as a beneficiary • 'All beneficiary payments cost RS each. Manual 1/ansler of RIO 000 to an investment account cash wilhdrawal or A1 000 Pay three beneficiaries R300 each Totals the current account 60 Cost(R) Client A Tabi~4.3 Cosf~~d time trade0 offs per bl"arich a~d internet h,..hkin,,. •• The tot~I fees paya~IE! and time spent bf each client resP§tively is reflected (rtTabfe~.3. Also indicated are the costs and time spent by Clienrn ~ad they done exactly the same /transactions that Client A did in the branch.except viaari intemetbankingaccount. •.·.·.·.•..· ·.·····.i:::: -:i::.•··.·.•. • 0 fees. This transaction at Teller 1 took 1o minutes and also incurred a cash handlin (fee ofR100. AS;llfl1~ forthefthat Client B also madeifcash WittidraWg1.ofR1 bOotb 6aVsth6 u 102 )D . 103 > :>:-.--C~--•- ··- • •"" ~i~1~t,0~;~8§tl6JAJritfdfpit~i\¥?$iiA't~J bFaridtiii• i*gd\iyt6f1J~rtieasfdr. •di~nfs .irtlhe.brandl(R1?7rnin):;l"his1ug'§estsfthat•although Client Agli'iieriited R500 .n;.ore • re~enue for;~e bank, he·or~heused ~ore time (and thus resoo(ces) to generatl:l :tryatrevenu~.ClientH generated:tss tev.enoe, but usad fewer.r,~sources to do~tr). Relativ~ly S~ElaKinp;,ho\Vev:r• thetare;bo th eqoallyprofjtableJb'\he bank ·per / •; ••anocatedt~s60rce.:n,~traiis~i:d6~s ot;enent·s over .t~e interiie\,however, retqrr\a valuEl ~f..app~cii<i~ately ~22/~h'\. ThiS _llieans that the rntei"nettri~sactions weri; ,stantiall9°.moi'eprofitablef6i'.t~~:b~n.~.·onatelati,;,eoasist~1i~1:)othof!h.El~f.~nt:h ..... transactioM,tort~.errrtore no'Strai~wiis.placed on thebranch+~soorces-·only'?n / . • :theinternet>\'.>ankingtesoor6'e.X::1eady)fmakes more senseto~,ipourage efectto~ic •• y. ~a~ki~gttansactfomi rather1ryiin t:!ran?~transactions .on a per6est basis•. :niis< i;Lsuggests that the btisierbran~hes be~onie; the more ~rsources.\'/iH have .to ~~ made (~yaHa~IEltO~~rvfc~}he·cnen~s:-u11.~ss~t~e bank generates . ~u~iittntially highe~.\ee •revehUep'e(cliehtduring thesef viSitS/the·hranch will not beosing its resources.; •'optirnany.,]" • > .•, j,-s •• • • i~2iJi •I!€!e,!;s ·ag~fn;;F6r db?ioii;, r~a§(j;;;th e reJ~nu~ forltie > corredbyt'i'~}C:lient,Theaniourit of time spent in the bran_chor orithginte~a!tis}~proxytotJ.rye'st~~iri'fpl~ced on .the tiank's re.so?rces. Clearly,Jf the c,li.!n,t s~en~'s'rrior!iim"e in th.~;Br!n~h 'f~!E!i'actrng·\Vith more .st~ff./the strain on.• • ·e.sources is\t,igheribei:ausei~'drejs'allocatedloservici~g this ~'6e client.,·.SO, ih. rder to nie~~?re.ttfe. re~.ehu:tge~!;~t:~Per.use _trffesour6'e,~e'.sc:a~ . calculate {~e UEl•pe(?~it 6Ilitri~.~is ·mfiiStire js in'effec! a type·of co.st~benefit.ah~lysis .as behe~t ~eyengeJ is.?oml3~redff~th~coi1:(a'mo~rifof !ime ~9~.thus strain on !he ::h'~r&strofoes)rThe.revenile;per:~nifof tirnefor·C.lient··~iiifhebranch•·is i:i.101 ./~tpli~~!~ i~.thebrancffjt'tsf~ls~~)o/~in;_and f~r..ciienfSyia internet ••• nking it is almost R22/rnih:•.Wiiat do'thesevaluesmean1 •• -• ·:,.__ • :;c:-.-;:•. 7 nt;a b'nl<;ghts to Mve th~het1rbgeneous prodoctne edlof Client A (thafi~• products sold to .the client);but have the transactions made(through .internet ng IacHities insteiidof In.a l:l~anc~;Hadclient B dohe this, they would have he banR~350(instead ?f•R6~0)·an? spent 16 minutes (ihst~ad of 60 minutes) :l8in'g tnetransactiohS':Tne behefitfot'the client is clearly to make transactions··.•. H!6Ughintefn:t banking asJ~is savesib?th time arid money. Fot;the bank, the eriefitJSflof~s cleirr-cut: Mariag~rneht.needsto balance the .cdst of usingmor~ ·ces With higheri'everti.legeriefated 1rom the multiple transactions in the ii h.. 1.nftt!teal ~?rl~; MW:~,;,er;.the !~tal revenue generated fr?m . branch visit~by s1sn8tash ighfdr eachtesped1\le.vis'it because ,a client can only have so pro~uctS:andto?duct~n·rrr~ny ~!nsactions, Fol'. this reas-on, an optimal . / gy is fot!r'IC?Uragebbththexotufne ofJransactionalbranchwisits (which .are ) and the e/ectfohic6a~1'I'g~.,fins!~tiohs (which .~re·inoreip't?fitable.relativi!tb •• •• al,~n6,)ih't d6irigS'o;\ brah hefarere~s cmwded andthe ct~~rrs .i!JoiJ~f:]f clIElnt~feso~10 c?n~.~7ti.ng·their. ., Bartking;Jn~~b:!irtk carireduce the ri'l§6urcesin·the t,of.th~;ero.scenario·s•··i•s o~tlmalfor th.e bank a:d cli~nt/!tec tively?./ Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Short High Long Low Low High When a client is new to a bank, their needs are substantial. Practically speaking this means that the client is sold several products. This also means that the client needs a lot of attention initially as the banking products need to be customised to meet their specific needs. As a result of not knowing how the products work, a new client is more inclined to visit their personal banker in the branch. The cost (and thus strain) on the resources in the branch is therefore higher at the beginning of a new relationship. This is depicted at A. As the client becomes more accustomed to how the products work, they feel more comfortable in making the transactions online rather than during a visit to the branch. Only on occasion where they need to clarify a problem with the personal banker do they visit. This is at B. Finally, the client is fully comfortable with the new bank and how it operates and hardly ever visits the branch (C). The strain on the resources in the branch is minimal and the need to customise banking solutions at this stage of the relationship is low. The client is therefore fully 'self-sufficient' and the benefits of being in this relationship are mutual: the client uses the bank products at will through cheaper and more convenient electronic banking facilities; the bank generates revenue when the transactions are made Figure 4.2 The mode of interaction migration matrix Number of branch transactions: Low Number of electronic banking transactions: High Number of branch transactions: High Number of electronic banking transactions: Low The above example suggests that banks would prefer clients to have several products with the bank, but do transactions electronically (such as over the internet in this case) rather than in the branch. In order to do this. banks need to migrate clients from the branch to electronic banking facilities. Figure 4.2 provides an explanation for this migrntion. 104 105 .... Before we deal with the model for relationship banking, it is prudent to ask the question, what motives do banks have to engage in banking relationships over time? Figure 4.3 provides the life-cycle of relationship banking. There are two overarching features of the life-cycle: first, the four life-cycle phases and how individuals earn income, consume and accumulate wealth over time; second, what banks offer individuals during the life-cycle phases in order to capitalise on patterns of income earned, consumption spending and wealth accumulation. The life-cycle phases of relationship banking A MODEL FOR RELATIONSHIP BANKING associated w1tn-acquiririg newclfents-ani:t ·subseqoentlS,migrating them to electltinic banking. T/( <c/:/ /C2f electronic facjlities,thestrairi ifn:brarich:r0S'our'c~soutweighs thepotentiaJ•benefit tacilities .. Soii.ttelationsliip ba~~inge'.i:n~foftenbsebraft?hf.!!Cilftiesrather.thaii · •· b~nkresour~~sJ~~(jth: client ~ig~te~todoing bu~im1sstfirbd~h:lectronic .• ;;:;. -rHe"abovel?!amplehighlight§;th~rii,JHo'nship··ba?kihgparadox: .•~lthough········ relationshipbankingfs more pfofitabre'fthan tra/\saclional banki~g per client, it ''p~tsiliore str~inon the·resources.1lfthe.~ank".• Therefore-relationship banking is.?nly ~table prop~Jition1f t~e teveh~eperflient indeases overtime((?ra given use of ]ectronically and the branch is less crowded due to the lower frequency of visits. his entire strategy is reflected by a move from A to B to C. Complementary to this strategy is the movement of clients from transactional anking to relationship banking. As these are existing clients who already have omogenous product needs, this approach requires selling them more products and eventually migrating them to electronic facilities as well. This would entail moving the clients from D to B to C. The migration of clients from branches to electronic-based banking facilities is an explicit strategic objective for retail banks. If migration is successful, the branch is used as a channel to attract new clients and cross-sell as aggressively as that eventually these clients also migrate to electronic banking Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa C (/) C Phase 2: Growth Saving Phase 3: Maturity !~ ! \ ""' '' ' ' \ \ \ ~ ' ' Phase 4: Retirement • : - Yo1 ': C ~ 21 80 The four phases of the life-cycle phases of relationship banking are drawn from the life-cycle hypothesis that reflects the relationship between disposable income (Y 0) and consumption (C). Consider the following hypothetical example of Benjamin. In phase 1, heis born and under the care of his parents. Assuming this dependency continues through school and university, it is characterised by dissaving, as he does not yet have a job, but, still spends. Assuming at the age of 21 he leaves the home of his parents and starts a job. He starts earning an income and wealth starts to accumula te (taken as the net asset value (NAV), which is basically his assets less liabilities) as he buys his first house. During this time, he could also get married, which further increases the household income and subsequent wealth accumulation. Although additional expenses are incurred due to the birth of, say, two children in Benjamin's household, this growth phase is character ised by increasing household income and wealth accumulation, and thus saving. The third phase occurs around the age of 40, where Benjamin has almost paid off his major debts and is now investing all his excess income in preparation for retirement in twenty-od d years' time. This maturity phase is pre-retirement and is characterised by moderatin g consumption patterns for the intention of temporal consumption during retiremen t. At age 65 Benjamin enters retirement and exits the job market, thereby not earning a salary anymore. Benjamin and his wife are now dependent solely on their accumula ted wealth and consumption peters off compared to pre-retirement. Three broad possibilities exist as to how his household consumes during the retirement phase. First, he made provision for retirement income by investing in assets 65 NAVYD3 NAVYD2: or==::::::::__:____ __;____ ___i__ _~_ _i___ 0 Phase 1: Dependency Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 40 Age of client Figure 4.3 The life-cycle phases of relationship banking ~6 ~:i' 0"' g. "' (/) 0 0 -0 -.0 0 o:.:::: E o a. -~ E a, ::, a, C ;2'g: 106 107 Growth I ✓ I I I I ✓ ✓ - - , II'. .>' 4JE' .c/ }',NII',, - ✓ I I ' I ✓ ✓ ✓ I I - - I - I I I ✓ ✓ ✓ I I - I ✓ ✓ ✓ I I I I I I I I I I I ✓ NII'+. 'LJI' ••:t •i;;, IE',!;;\ ;,,,Nlf_,.'\ ✓ ✓ ✓ "II equals interest income, which is generated from the interest earned from the loans provided to clients. 'IE equals interest expense, which is paid on the deposits (liabilities of the bank) that clients take out at the bank 'NII equals non-interest income, which refers to the commissions and fees banks earn when offering a service that is. typically, transactional. commission or investment related, Retirement ' Phase 4: Phase 3: Maturity ✓ ·4;,cU~};i'i ···,AE' ,r \Table 4.4 Bank offerings and earnings during the life-cycle of relationsh ip banking c·+ '"'\\-flV"'cfCredlL,:.,w?;;icc ¢:\1,.s lransactlonats0,, '"'is.sJnsurance;JJJXt I lnvesttilent ··ng pre-retirement that pay out over the retirement phase (Y ). This income partly 01 ,sidises retirement consumption and requires less reliance on wealth for retiremen t sumption (NAV YD!). Second, Benjamin provided as for the previous example. except t the income received during retirement is less (Y ). This implies that wealth is depleted 02 a faster rate during retirement (NAV vo ). Third, no provision is made for retiremen t 2 me (Y01 ) and Benjamin and his wife live solely on the wealth accumulated during pre• ·ement to subsidise consumption during retirement. In eflcct, this results in the wealth g depleted at an even faster rate (NAV YDJ) and may lead to Benjamin running out of Ith reserves if he (or his wife) live beyond an age that they are expected to. How does a bank capitalise on these phases? Based on Chapter I, banks offer four ad categories of products or services to clients in a relationship with them. The first ates to credit and is facilitated through the different types of loans banks provide. is is by far the major product offering by banks, especially those focusing on aditional banking activities. The second refers to the so-called transactionals, which fer to the products that facilitate transactio ns between clients and their beneficiar ies. hese include, for example, current accounts or electronic payment platforms and able clients to engage in the payments process. The third category refers to surance. Given the bancassu rance model adopted by banks (see Section 4.4.5), they flcr both traditional banking and non-tradi tional financial products and services. he latter includes insurance for both short- and long-term needs and serves to insure lients from adverse events where losses are incurred. The final category refers to vestments. These refer to the investment opportunities banks offer clients and is Ultimately encapsulated by the asset managem ent function where banks manage asset portfolios (such as unit trusts) and offer clients the opportunity to earn superior returns. Although this category also includes your typical 'bank' investment products _(such as fixed deposits and notice deposits, which arc typical liabilities to a commerc ial bank), the broader connotat ion to investments imply an active managem ent approach by the bank (as opposed to passive approach) in financial markets such as the money and capital markets, both nationally and internationally. Table 4.4 provides an overview of how banks capitalise on the life-cycle by . providing their products and services. Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Benjamin and his wife retire in phase 4. The couple do not need any more loans as they have built up and paid for their assets during pre-retirem ent, transact occasionally and rely on the insurance policies they have taken out and the return on the wealth accumulate d over time. Although fees are still paid to the bank, these are lower than they were before retirement. Finally, because the couple completed the will and testament at the bank, it is entitled to a commission on the estate upon death. During phase 3, the status quo is maintained, except that the twins are older now and preparing to leave their parents and start their own careers. Benjamin and his wife continue accumulatin g wealth and preparing for retirement, and the investments that they started saving from the time their twins were born, start paying out. This enables the twins to eventually leave their parents' house and become self-sufficient. Things start slowing down for the couple as they enter retirement. During phase 2, Benjamin starts earning a salary, and subsequently, buys a c and furniture. His social life starts picking up. He therefore needs credit to mainta this lifestyle, and the bank provides vehicle finance and an overdraft facility 'emergency' liquidity. They also offer him a personalised credit card that allows hi to enter the lounges at any airport for free when he travels across the country and other countries. As time passes, he meets a girl and they get married and they deci to buy a house for their family. Their cumulative income increases and they ca afford the mortgage loan that the bank offers and earns interest income on. Th also need to take out insurance as guarantee to the bank should they default for an reason. The bank thus provides the mortgage loan and the insurance on th mortgage. A few years later, the couple give birth to twins and decide to start savin early for their tertiary education in 18 years' time. They also invest all excess cash i unit trusts so as to build their personal wealth when they retire. As the twins grow up, their needs change and the couple spend exorbitant amounts of money on birthday parties, school sports tours and hobbies to name only a few. This results in the couple sometimes running out of cash, so they use the credit card and overdraft facility in times of liquidity shortages. All these services the bank provides and in return earn commissions and fees reflected via non-interest income when transactions are done, and interest income when credit cards and overdraft facilities are used. Going back to our example with Benjamin. during phase I he is highly depend on his parents. At birth, he became a prospective client for the bank. As he n 21 years of age, his parents open a transactiona l account (such as a savings transmission account) where they deposit his monthly pocket money. Although fees on this type of youth account are minimal (if any). Benjamin may use his d card to transact at, say, the movies or a toy store. In phase 1. therefore, the b, only generates fees (although negligible) and possibly, pays a low interest rate the savings that he has accumulated through the pocket money he receives. T intention of the bank is ensure that Benjamin is a client of the bank so that they c cross-sell additional products and services as he enters the next two phases in life-cycle. 108 109 := Figure 4.4 The relationship banking model .---.·~•~»-~,«=4 ='-~M~~•"'"<'h< • • net effect of the bank's involvement over the entire life-cycle of Benjamin (and 'amily) is clearly illustrated. The intention of the bank is to 'lock-in' (see, for pie, Section 4.4.4.1) Benjamin by selling him as many products and services as ble and in so doing, create a disincentive to move to another bank. All this is to simultaneously earn both interest-related income and non-interest related ;me. The potential revenue earned does not necessarily stop at the death of jamin. For example, if he dies and his wife inherits the assets (wealth) of the te, the bank earns further income for as long as his wife lives. Further to this, n his wife dies, the estate would pass on to the twins (assuming the NAV is at er NAVy 01 or NAVy 1J2). If Benjamin opened a bank account for the twins when ey were, say, five years old, there is a good chance that they would still be clients of 'e bank and thus the entire life-cycle would continue, but from the perspective of e twins. In addition, if the twins inherit the NAV of the estate, they are in fact tter off than Benjamin was at the same age. This would probably result in them 1plying for bigger loans and spending even more, which in turn results in further terest income and non-interest income received by the bank. The life-cycle of relationship banking sets the tone for why banks want to gage in a relationship-based approach. In the long-term it is profitable and, if anaged properly during the lifetime of the client, may be so for several generations ing forward. We now turn our attention to a model for relationship banking. Figure 4.4 rovides a model for relationship banking, with two overarching dimensions and even explicit relationships. Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa The two dimensions of relationship banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Economic.dimension Obtiyatory revenue Con~istency in process delivery Benefits to bank Risk reduction Security (collateral) benefits Functional benefils Persona/ interactions with the bank defined along economic The result of these interactions is legally binding in nature. Benefits to client Pricin9 benefits The social dimension is characterised by the personal interactions between the ban contact staff and the client. These interactions create a non-binding relationship bas on benefits such as the promotion of confidence in each other. special treatment a better service quality. A further benefit is that the bank is able to customise banki solutions to client needs due to the more intimate social and informal relationshi For the bank, a social relationship that is mutually beneficial creates word-of-mou benefits and identifies cross-selling opportunities that would otherwise not have be apparent. Ultimately the social dimension is revenue-enhancing. The economic dimension of relationship banking is characterised by interactions tha have a specifically economic purpose and are defined by the contractual responsibiliti between the two parties. These relationships are therefore legally (or contractually) binding. The economic dimension of relationship banking benefits the client through better fee or interest rate related pricing. more lenient collateral requirements and the functional benefits that the products provide. Furthermore. if the bank has a sound contractual framework for its products, it is better able to provide processes that are consistent and predictable. This further promotes organisational efliciency in the way the bank deals with its clients. For the bank. the legally binding contractual obligations reduce the risk of default or any other material risk. which in turn secures an obligatory stream of revenue for the bank. Ultimately the economic dimension is cost- (or loss-) restricting. A major benefit of the social dimension in particular is that a relational contract (as opposed to a legal contract in the economic dimension) is generated that enables the bank to acquire information that it would not otherwise be able to obtain from a purely economic relationship. By implication, the relationship between the bank and client is enhanced by the bank gathering 'soft' information (behaviour-related, based on mutual social exchanges) and 'hard' information (performance-related, based on financial statements used by the credit department). In addition. a social (or non-economic) obligation that promotes integrity and mutual co-operation Cross-selling opportunities Word-of-mouth promotion Benefits to bank Service quality benelits Customisation benefits Special treatment benefits Confidence benefits Personal interactions with the bank defined along social dimensions The result of these interactions is non-binding in nature. Benefits to client Social dimension Table 4.5 The two dimensions of relationship banking The relationship model depicted in Figure 4.4 has two overarching dimensions! that is social and another that is economic. These two dimensions explain underlying nature of the bank-client relationship. The main features of the dimensions arc provided in Table 4. 5. 4.4.2 110 111 The sales driver refers to both the sales and marketing approaches of the bank and the banking needs of clients. This driver specifically includes the extent to which the bank focuses on selling the products it offers, and simultaneously, the extent to which clients want to purchase the bank's products. An aggressive sales approach would be at A, whereas a conservative approach would be at C. Contractual driver The contractual driver refers to the amount of contractual (legal) documentation the bank requires to conclude the sale of a product. Although the contractual burden may 1. Sales driver four drivers of the bank-client relationship are sales, governance, contnicts and nnovation and are discussed below. 4.5 The relationship driver matrix Innovation driver ~- Q. ~ ~ 3 a; 0 G) ition to the two overarching dimensions of relationship banking, there arc rivers that either encourage or discourage the extent (or success) of bankrelationships. These four drivers answer the following question: Which factors Jhe success of a bank-client relationship so that it can eventually become lilly beneficial? Figure 4.5 provides the relationship driver matrix. The drivers of bank relationships the two parties will develop. These are benefits that have been shown to e client loyalty and encourage repeat purchases. When a legally binding tual obligation exists between the two parties. the risk arises that the client icular loses the liberty (or willingness) to exchange information that would ise be exchanged in a more informal social setting. Ironically, it is for this son that contracts are drawn up in order to protect the rights of both parties ither one decides to renege on their obligations. Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa The seven relationships of relationship banking 4.4.4.1 The client-cm,tact staff relationship The client-contact staff relationship is based on interactions between the staff 'of the bank who are client-facing and the clients themselves. This relationship typically occurs in a retail branch environment. but may also take place in banking suites or at head or regional offices in the case of higher net worth clients. The initial meeting usually begins in an informal sense and moves towards the contact staff member identifying the specific banking needs of the client. Once the needs analysis has been Based on the model depicted in Figure 4.4 and the relationship drivers in Figure 4.5/ there are seven relationships in a relationship banking context. These are as follows: 4.4.4 The challenge for a bank is to find a balance between the four drivers of relationship For example, it does not help the sales environment if there are excessive contractu and legal requirements for each sale they make (B). The more inclined a bank is t, aggressively drive sales through innovative products or processes, the more like! they are to take excessive risks at the expense of risk-mitigating governance an contractual obligations (C). Similarly, the more innovation allowed by managemen the more likely secure governance structures will be threatened as the very nature of innovation is one where conventions are challenged (A). Conversely, where more rigid internal structures are driven by burdensome contractual requirements, the less innovative the bank will be (B). From an organisational point of view, it does not make sense to be at D where the bank has low sales due to a lack of innovation and poor risk-mitigating contracts. This is typically a situation where the bank would stagnate or where growth would be slow. Ideally, a bank must work towards balancing the sales thrust with contractual and legal requirements that are fair and reasonable, while at the same time ensuring that the policies and procedures are efficient and innovative enough to enable the sale of the product (E). The innovation driver refers to the extent to which bank staff are allowed and encouraged to innovate in their immediate working environment. The higher the degre of innovation, the more likely the bank will develop new and innovative ways to offer their products. This may be with regards to new products or new processes. Encouraged innovation is at C and discouraged innovation at 0. 4. Innovation driver The governance driver refers to the policies and procedures that drive the operations a bank. The higher the degree of governance, the less leeway staff have to manipulate internal policies and procedures. This can be found at 8. Conversely, the lower the lev of governance, the more able staff are to manipulate policies and procedures, which may result in fraudulent and corrupt internal structures. This can be found at 0. 3. Governance driver be large, it improves the quality of contracts and reduces organisational risk through · potential losses that may occur due to a failure to comply with the contracts. Conversely, the smaller the burden, the easier it is to provide clients with products, b at the risk of losses given the poorer quality of the underlying contracts. Therefore, a burdensome but risk-mitigating degree of contracting can be found at 8 and less burdensome but risk-enhancing contracts at A. 112 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 113 dJpa1~~ht);i!responsiblef§rN;Y therefoi%!i;fflutual lJenefit .fof.bOth cohsultafat,isq~.:~i~?~;~~r ,tis'6ftenifor\nulate ,nsibilitfesbet.,,.;,~2~opi~i~i?~·~;.1f early outlineti:'A'~~~j~J:l~irt \Yelll~ be, if • :ts to,be 86,1~/~s~ra\Y~~~~t~e . If the ATfv1}i!;rotfo?etio~ig~,lhe an8e;wtterea:ihhe pprcia8n;prear1y, • for the simplerea~dh '•:,~~f1tiBBifepa1111enfis~~~ .4.4.2 The co11tact staff--administraiive staff relationship nee a client decides to use the products of a bank, the application documents are mpleted and the administrative staff have the responsibility of authenticating and oring the documents. The relationship between contact staff and administrative aff is one where the latter facilitates the processes required to make possible the entual sale of the product to the client. )le pr6d~~tsf()rt~·eir~ah~in9'heeds. This·envi~()~n,ent n,ust be ii 'eririgsuperi?r!=l'lli?:~?alityifo that fhecli':'nt i~~atisfied and e?gages es.•The~a?~Y"!nt~!~~ellJ~~•martyprodtrct~.!()fhe •client.as po~sible :lie/itrev.~~?~~s~lgh'~: po:s1~1e;A·side'aff=~ei!~aving many (if •not ·5f!iafbne!J!~~'.i~t~t;~o~~lled /6ck0.in.'e~ec.t,. [his•occurs wh~?<•i.•···••••··••• .r\y pr&tucfav.iithtibarildhtitjt becdri\es ~xtre111:lydifficult.,t().n'lOVe··to "fi high 15:!irrierstoexitthatthe Clienfis •• ' ,_ positive arid affegativ1¥c6r\sequerice;if 'lhtenfion of movln~f,Jfiira ,,,._~--~--~"..-" jiscoufaged,due to ' ativew'dn:1°of- viron~e~!ot~'~ta:~clf!~Johaafuental to ehsririig]~atBient§pufc:~·a·s·· >·e· · ucted, products are proposed to address client needs. This interaction is the first call for the ensuing economic relationship between the two parties. Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa a i,vell formulated and explicit risk appetite organisational objectives • clear guidelines specifying the preferred loan portfolio in •.maturity,.quality and market segment •the quantitative metrics to assess loan applications in terms of type, size, maturity, quality and market segment the flexibility ailowed regarding the use of judgement in loan assessments • explicit exposure limits per market segment (retail, commercial, c an exposure limit for the overall loan portfolio along with guidelin the portfolio nearing this limit clear mandates for credit managers and their line managers reg size, maturity, quality and market segment of a loan explicit lines of authority regarding the approval of loans that are above cert mandate thresholds a clear policy regarding the approach to attract, assess and manage the loan portfolio an explicit description of the required documents in a loan application a policy regarding the storage of loan documentation, especially that of a sensitive nature explicit guidelines regarding the collateral requirements for each loan assess per type, size, maturity, quality and market segment guidelines regarding the fee and interest rate structure a specified degree .of risk guidelines for the repayment structure of anterent loans an·indication of the geographical areas (towns, cities, pr, continents) in which the bank is willing to grant loans a clear framework for dealing with distressed loans. Without a sound corporate governance structure in place to support the the integrity of the lending process is in danger and this may result in substantial organisational risk, The management of credit risk through the requirements stip in the loan policy is paramount to ensuring that the loan book is one of quality. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • A policy framework gives guidance to staff as to how they must conduct themselves: In a bank, the credit lending policy is one of the most important gi that lending is the primary business of a bank. A formal lending policy must hav, following features: 17 The relationship that the client-facing staff and the administrative staff have with organisational custodians or corporate governance is referred to as an institutio relationship. This corporate governance environment refers to the institutional buy and control framework regarding the processes and procedures that govern a facilitate the functioning of the bank whether sales-related or operational in nature. TIie institutional relationship Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 4.4.4.3 114 TIie sales relationship '°i'ikii'ig Practice a ··a.··.··.· .. 0 nd remittances, ancial · t•. ·. h· .·• .· e· .· .· · •. ·.•.·.·T.ie.••·. ·g.· ·. ·. · ·, · o· .· .· ·.•.·•."•· •.· ·.• ·.o•·.•. .•·•. ··r.••.·.•.·.·.• •.•·.·h•.· i.·•s· .•·.•·.t••.· .o.·.•·•.•·.r· · · .·•i.·c.•.··.a · .• .• ·. •·l.·. · ·.·•.s·• 1.e· · •· .s·•.·.· ·p· ·. .·e.· ·. · .· •·rf.· .·•.·.o.·.·.·.·.·.r.·.n,a· ·•· ·.·.".·. ·.· ·.•.•·.c••.•·.e .•·.••. ·.• .·• of. the branc. h·' pne .lestargets;tobeachieved;theremay be cases where .< /• i 1JCtSI~~!lhecl1eQtdoes n<:Jt.necessarilyg;ed .•• This .expl<:Jitation 'fthep~?P!toye~:ightgovern.sthe,ict.io~:lnd motives<:Jfthe t0!3ay,?fhefinanciaL.A.dvisory and 1nterrt1e?iaryService: .A.ct >··•·· ·. · ~ptcifica11ile:ta~lished.to ensureth.at.sucr.exploitation • doe:inot FU~'!-re~:!8.t~.is,the.•~aQkirilJj.A.ssoci.ation.~outr/.A.fri.ca(~.A.SA) •.formulate?ia .?fI~an~iQ?\Et~cticeJtre,~p?e)ain,;? at.a.d.dressing•h.o.':".'?.bank conducts towardsper:8~.a.,.i~":dtsipall ..~usi~ess.c.lien.ts,[h.eemprasjs js·••on. the anktlaswitliit~•clieQ!S;ron, Pl'<:Jductan? ser_11ice point Of View is:!~i~ne.ss, t~an.sparency, acc<:JUQ!abilityand an overview ofthe rnain sections in the Code. 'c8tisurta~!~(btpeili~~a1 ~a~~!f~) ~a~tfatria?~ale ielI .bank products ey.areinC;Q!iYi:;dJ<:Jdo;:o:i~dih~r.e explic.it.:ales target.s. th~t are t8 sales relationship is characterised by the sales and marketing requirements that d to be fulfilled by the contact staff. As such. this relationship is between the clientng sales staff and their immediate sales manager to whom they are accountable a sales point of view. Central to the sales relationship is the in,centive for contact to increase sales in order to achieve organisational targets set by the sales nagement team. These incentives may encourage risk-taking on the part of the tact staff in an attempt to achieve their targets. In order to facilitate the sales cess, the sales staff must cross-sell as many products as possible . .4.4 Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa 115 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective .?~; ~ssJg~ing,t:~~~rtlirig~~is/>flhic1iJntJsJ~&fi!~l!i?Gtt. .~6~ey~ras/;·, • • • • tionf~echaracterof the client)INhic:h is .n.?t.~straightf()~afi:J' ex~tdise. n as~?lients.to 'put equity .into me loan'.;---t~at is, requ;st.i dep'5sit. heJactJ.hat the·bank 1Nill not beprepa~ed.t()~n.g t~;l.()~n.a.rn.?~.?.fi.ntutl, ·•· gness/tnd ability of the ·client to pay a ct;positjs v.r~y t();;as.s.;Sfthe •,••of t?;.cli.ent·.to service·the·· loan.>~anks· c:~n.·.~.IS() consid;rpr~vi'5US..g;l:>t •.·. ts via,cr;dit bureaux in order to.assess thetrack record.?!i~ebfpa~Tents. :re~.ifbureaUK-flso indicate whether or.not the clie9ti.slikely topaY.pn tirn;()t Will -n!k~{~tepa:yh'!ents.,This information indicates .ifa clientis alatepayerornot fa ···•lrirird~ficfi1ds~si'.I1;~lbmtyf6.iJb~yato!ih·,,1i~~~r~4&ifi~a: of inc:orne and ;xpenditure,as Well as)t~;1r fjriariCia,1..eosition (a~ets,a ·cash'.7low \Vitally imp()rtantwhen ass;ssing a.bili!Yitt1pay.po~~rrl~9ti salary;slip;thr;;.ITlo~.t~s ·•Of ba~.~ .•. statern;n.fs; ~ .'.i5.t?ft7;}assetsi()Vllh;d accurri(Jli!ted W()Uld typically determine:"'hether(()~n()tJhediElntjs abtef§/~f~i loan. Jhe pricing of the loan is also important to g;termine theabHity to repay .... th )'higher the interest rate or fees, the less likely the client will be able to repay, • evalualirig w~;Wer or not the clienUs b()th able a~g}wi/fing to.s;ryice theJ~~h. : "doing this,the:J;a9k assesses the crMitworthinessof...the client~htl manages th ·::·credit risk,iriherent to'the loan book. Secd'nd,'·ihe~~hffrfost forrnallY'•assess the··a~~lic.ati§.1•*0firt. THis.titillif,~s First/the clienFm(Jst bbmplete··a ·fotrna1'applic~ti6h·tdft11.fhls~tepi~ £/e[ulfbif • • • sales and marketing drive the bank has enacted i9. or.der to a~~acffhe C'i.;nt. It -:requires the client to provide adequate proof thro.~ghthe relevantdocum~ntation that they are able to service the loan and are not:an undue riskto the •bank The life•cycle of a loan can be explaihed throl.ighseven steps: 4.4.4.5 The credit relationship The credit relationship is between the client-facing sales staff and the credit departrri who makes the credit decision based on the application collected by the form Depending on the outcome of the decision, the contact staff member needs to ensu that it addresses the concerns of the credit department so that all available informati is used. The credit department is commissioned to look at the 'hard' information identify any material risks that may occur if the application is approved. Coupled w this are the requisite contractual obligations that the bank requires from the client. T credit relationship is ultimately risk-mitigating and acts to reduce any potential los (or costs) that could occur when the product is approved. Given the incentive to achieve sales targets, consultants needto ensurethat they.:', conduct themselves not only within the ambit of the Code, but also within the explicit ethics and value system of the bank that employs them. Avoiding reputational risk as a result of clients logging cases at the OmbudsmanJotBa:nki •• Services should be avoided as far as possible. 116 :c- -~-- 0 .,,.,, ···'· ··._ • ·- ·" ••• 117 ,fac6mpariy rnployed,~re cli:?t'sJ~~rklhg ,tentiahifta eabiHty &fthe Thisb~:~fldw #Eiri6d ofti~e.tf• ility to{;P~Y the • indic:atibnof toprov/~ean eii..m6rti111y blenesstif • • • • 1talso•be6ased ,iibank"'""'. gthe legal !,!~f ?~1T;i\~{~fftY>.. i~ ?rdeFt&• ~~~ure••· • ~ciua:tl'!l'al fnust not;~ryly be .bas;d g~;the ::·:.:-J>~sf)~~-ddisclds; 1~'tf11.1~Fassl!s~;~;!~gal.capacityi~f;~ :'(legalrfsk gbingforWard, ,••• - :lt~~~;ry?nes!?,il9;tf!~!~gtity ..................... \ h~1T1ayr,eqi.li~)~flie9!J6listallt?e:~~~ff1tey e~it ~?:6k, lfie~~~19~.,bletoi?e!~ririi.1~ •a:rly assessingcharac'terJsdifficult~s'it '''···c"-;;,, .C:j,';;:, •lf74~ ai~ us&'8'to as§ess tff~ abiiity fiA'd~illirighessOf aiwil'lt ,: _ ~1~,t~e0~ii•a1\l.~l'.~~\Vtte;i1,thaF¥~~'8ti~hf6,,~~,~hddet~frr1i~~ "Wht'!fhl!rilrnbtad~itl6nal.pOllat;ra1,re-qi:liretn.ent•i·mustb~;pri:ivided.I~.e·qiia.li!Y er~l.\h~sfa.tliritffb~ri~g 01:fhl/1.rnderlyingrisk'th; t5a.nkfaces;§~ouid : >.· .·. efau.lt()2_thekia~.·~l!o..lheji1e~er;~~e~~a:lifyo(fhecollateral,;the 'i!ttert11e priding coridii16flS1JSUa11y a:re onthEfid~n. • .~{JS-i:iirf~d sclbfcredit Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa The profit relationship The profit relationship is more intangible in nature. All staff in a bank will have an acute organisational awareness of the fact that their actions arc ultimately aligned to achieving organisational objectives. in this case maximising returns. There are therefore organisational ethical connotations to the profit relationship. 4.4.4.6 Seventh, should a loan 8ecome a problem tit disffasSed loan, tt,e nece§sary steps > . must be taken toavoid excessive losses to the bank. ln~ost cases the Ioan)s 'quarantined' and active steps are taken to try and assist the client. For example, the terms of the loan can be adjusted to make .the instalments more affordable. This can > be done by increasing the payback period from.say; 20 to 30 yearsinthe case Of a - home loan •. Be that as it may, the onus to repay the loan isfheresponsibility of the client. As a last resort the Joan is sent to the legal department for legal action against the client. Ultimately this results in the bank laying Claim to the collateral in Order to cover its losses. Sixth, the bank monitors the payment activity of the client. This monitoring primarily entails identifying warning signals that may result in defaolfon the part bf the Client. · ·•·.•·.•· Usually a loan review process occurs one year aftefihe §igning bf the f6an agreement where the bank reassesses the willingness arid ability bf service the loan:· However, if the monitoring processes .iii place thfoUghout the •_ are adequate,.any problem loans will be identified prior to the loan review. Fifth; theloan agreettfoht is drawn up wherein the forrris •arid Cbhditiodsdf the loan are specified •• lfthe client accepts the loan agreement itis signed and possession iS taken of the underlying asset. A debit order is loaded so that monthly paymEints can be secured by the bank; .· . f.·•.t ·•.··a..·. 1.•·.• u.··. ·.•·•.•e. •.· ·. ·. • •. •.o c:rea.sii,]~e. v. .·•.a .· · .·.•'.n. .·.·.t. ·.·.·o P.ll. c.•.·.·.·.·e.·•s.• •.the .• P.• roperty fo.r·.For th.· e propensity fiue to.at.least, f?t·m.er, For theitself bank,through .this reason constant. remains,. house mortgage, is more willing to offer finance for longer periods (up to 30 years). For a vehicle financing loan,·however, the value of the vehiele itself depreciates as ·imon it leaves the vehicle dealership. For this reason, the bank requires payback for usually no more;than six years. Second-hand vehfofos usually have even .,hnrtc.payback periods due to their lower second 0 hand values. < In sbftieTnsfant~s no 2611ateral is requiredper s~~~cauJi·thel!s~~tbeing is the collateral. Two examples of this are a home loan and a vehicleJiriancing roa Fourth, the risk (likelihood of default) of the client is detiirmined and a/iapi:frbpriati:! pricing structure is proposed. The basic principles behind the pricing bf risk into a loan agreement are reflected in four basic ways: 1. The higher the risk, the higher the interest ratifand/or fees thatged (and . versa). 2. The higher the risk,lhe larger the depositreqfiifement (and \iiCe\ietsa}. 3. The higher the risk, the more or better quality collateral is required Versa) •.··· <> 4. The higher the risk/the shorter Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The external relationsl,ip 119 .za: bw~,cipffiEH'ank.co::ia\'W'W\\'.fnKcd:ig:dwww.ihvestiiticO.za: :gi:'8ii.if;t6.za:f~;nn.6,ca':za: owww.stan'dardliank:cb.ia, actesseclpfil,Augirst 2015,';;Hc:'" nt toitfmMt~tfiiajo~.sootftAfri8in'banks !~e~rtal pa/tje~p~~;e~#act Wh~n~~-~·l·i~g~!!~1,!~,~bank,••l"able.t7 ·offJihes and{rn~mar~ef'.segm~ntfeE~sfo~,sev irafof the major ds-iiiiSoUth"Afiic:a,·· :o',<•<i>i>•· "'•';3 t~~,i!;t!Jt~ll'gh • he pe'f{€ptic>tra~trank porff1fy~t611iimarket'i§Yifailyifuporta ~t tc>attrat:ffng-new ... • the adverti~i~g campaigns they ~un.·on nis.. 2~!}'taY~!2~s do 1si6nor'.in·•m~in,~ffeaFT1,J'if~i~'.i~R'atbffline.(?r~IRg~~));refl~c[~Jthebusines.~/f•···• d on all the above relationships, the bank is able to increase its client base by oting its products to the external market. The external relationship is therefore en the bank and society as a whole. The better the perception created by the , the more inclined potential clients will be to deal with it and ultimately want become actual clients. Perceptions of achievement (related to awards or ievements) and corporate social responsibility (CSR) initiatives contribute to the ernal relationship. 4, 7 Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Relationship-based strategies Client-centricity The existence of a client-centric approach changes the departure point for banks when dealing with clients: where product-centricity focuses on first developing products and then segmenting clients according to the features of the products, client-centricity focuses on initially identi{ying the needs of a client and then offering products that address each specific need. Client-centricity is therefore more aligned to personalising and customising banking solutions. Figure 4.5 compares productcentricity with client-centricity. Adopting a client-centric approach has several benefils: 2 ■ It encourages banks to be sensitive to the banking needs of clients. • ft provides a holistic approach to client needs. • It creates cross-selling opportunities. • ft offers customised banking solutions. • It creates value for the client through superior levels of service, which in turn promotes loyalty to the bank. Banks compete aggressively for the business of clients. So much so that in recent years they have adopted an overarching strategy that focuses more explicitly on the needs of the client. This client-centric approach places the needs of the client at the centre of all bank activities. Client-centricity refers to 'what products and services must be offered, how they are delivered. and to what extent the needs of clients are consistently being met by doing this'. 2 4.4.5.1 This chapter has highlighted the importance of building mutually beneficial ban client relationships. We now turn our attention to two strategies used extensively by banks to build and enhance these relationships. 4.4.5 ~ The payoff lines for the banks in Table 4. 7 reflect Rdiverse ~ange dfltl~~~eting strategi Whatis particularly interesting is how the payo~liryes align the1TJ~;lyes to the ITlarket Seg!Tlent focus of eachrespective brand.~niyers-af banks sucry;!~~~SA, Nedb •Standard Bank reflect_.relational, innovatiye ~ndferward-lookingn?~ri~~s reSP, '.t3iver'rtheir t1ryiyersal nature, they are in positioryio capitalise ?Q .?Q?"~t?p fi_~an serviceoffefi~gs, ~is too can be said ?f.FirstR_ar1_d ..~~~~f~~i~.h.i.ncl?~:sFi.~!) <•eank_and HarydMEirchant .BanK) Niche ?an_kssuch asp~pit~/~~rl~~r1~;19Y.~~t~1 ._•••• on.the·low-;artd:high-iand _of the rnarketr?spectiY:'Y.ffhiS}s_ •.refl~S~~.•ir1 their"payoffli Simple banking Jar Capitec Bank; extraordinary and ·unexpectea.tor.Jnvesfec.. 120 Bancassurance 121 n order to offer a broader spectrum of products and generate additional revenue, anks have expanded their business operations into non-traditional banking activities. This expansion into complementary financial services industries such as insurance is the endeavour of banks, and financial institutions in general, to become more integrated and client-centric. The heart of the bancassurance model is lo become a one-stop financial services provider that caters not only to specific banking heeds, but to the larger more general financial services needs which include insurance-related products. Such an approach provides a bank with the opportunity to offer a wider range of financial solutions. which in turn addresses the client-centric and relationship-based approach adopted by banks. A bancassurance model is usually implemented through strategic alliance agreements or subsidiary cross-holdings between banks and insurance companies. To illustrate this point. Table 4.8 provides selected brands in the organisational structures of the Big Four South African banks. Table 4.8 indicates that each bank, in some form, has a link to either a wellestablished insurance company or has a division that explicitly focuses on insurance. These 'banks' are therefore actually financial services providers that offer a wide spectrum of financial products . .4.5.2 191.ire 4.6 Product-centricity versus client-centricity Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa As of 2013, three divisions were established replacing the rormer divisions: Retail and Business Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking and Wealth, Investment Management and Insurance Ashburton Investments {A separate listed investment holding company called Rand Merchant Insurance Holdings (RMI) holds stakes ,n Discovery (25%) MMI Holdings including Momentum and Metropolotan (25%) Outsurance (83%) RMB Structured Insurance (76%1) First National Bank RamJ Merchant Bank WesBank I FirstRand Group FirstRand Bank• Neaoa, ,1\ - Old Mutual Nedgroup Trust ltd {formeJy Fairburn Trust Company lid\ Local subsidiaries inlcude Nedhank ltd, BOE Investment Holdings lid and Nedbank Group !nsuracne lid. Nedbank BOE Private Clients Old Mulual Life Assurance Company ltd (55.5%) ~1an<1 Btmk or so liberty Holdings ltd is a separate entity of wh~h ii owns 53.6% Diners Club Soulh Africa, Blue Bond Investments, and Standard Bank c11n.;e BroKers are d Dan or Ine ~tandard Ba Africa Stanbic Standard Standard B • ■ increased agency costs due to either a lack of synergy or strategic incompatibility between the bank and insurance company added pressure to train and upskil/ staff to be competent in both banking- and insurance- related products The challenges facing a bane.assur ance model include: • regulatory discrepancies given the different regulators for banking and insurance respectively •■ The benefits of a bancassur ance model include: Increased revenue (specifically non-intere st revenue) for the bank that is generated from both traditional banking (such as lending) and non-tradit ional banking (insurance ) activities. ■ Increased product diversificalio11 as the bank offers products that have different cash flow characteris tics, product features and revenue correlation s. ■ Economies of scale as the bank is able to offer more products at a lower cost. • Economies of scope due to more products being offered at one contact point. This in turn generates cross-selling opportunit ies. ■ Clients receive customised financial solutions that incorporat e insurance products. ■ There is a greater degree of geographical diversification if the subsidiarie s originate or do their business in different markets or countries. • Barclays Africa Group Limited owns l 00% of ABSA Bank Limited. Barclays Bank plc owns 62.3% of Barclays Africa Group Limited. Source: website (http://www.barclaysafr ica.com/ barclaysafrica/ About-Us/Who-we-are/Our-Group-legal-structure) "Sources: FirstRand website (http:/ /www.tirstrand.co.w/ Aboutlls/Pages/ ownersbip-structure-,md operaling-model.aspx). RMI Holdings website (http://www.minsurance.eo.za/about_struclure.as p) 'Sonrces: Nedbank (2014):lll Old Mutual. (www.oidm utual.com/d ownload/18 732/0ld%20 Mutual%20Group%20legal%structure.pdl} dStandard Bank Group (2014) 12 All accessed on l August 2015 Insurance brands or subsidiaries within group I ABSA Banking brands within group Barclays Africa Group ltd(100%) Major shareholder Absa Bank" Table 4.8 Selected brands in the organisational structures of the Big Four South Africa banks 122 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Urwitz, G. 1993. 'Who needs banks?' in Operation and Regulation in Financial Intermediation: A Functional Perspective. edited by P Englund. Stockholm: The Economic Council: 7 5-81. Coetzee, J, 2014. Client-Centricity in South African Retail Banking. International Business & Economics Research Journal 13(4): 997-1016 . Sewpersad, S & Minnaar, A. 2010. The bombing of ATMs in South Africa. Acta Criminologica 2: 169-188 South African Banking Risk Information Centre (SABRIC). 2015. lndustry pleased by decrease in associated robberies. https://www.sabric.eo.za/media-and-news/posts/ industry-pleased-by-decrease-in-associated-robberies (Accessed 6 August 2015). ABSA Limited. 2013. Integrated Report for the period ended 31 December 2012. http://www. barciaysa frica.com/ deployed files/ Assets/Richmedia/PDF / Reports/20 12/2012 Integrated report.pd[ (Accessed 16July 2015). Barclays Africa Group Limited. 2014. Integrated Report for the period ended 31 December 201 3. http://www.barclaysafrica.com/deployedfiles/ Assets/Richmedia/ PDP/Reports/2013/Barclays Africa Group integrated report 2013.pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). Barclays Africa Group Limited. 2015. Integrated Report for the period end1!d 31 December 2014. http://www.barclaysafrica.com/deployedfiles/ Assets/Richmcdia/ PDF/Results/Annual/2014 full year results booklet.pdf(Accessed l6July 2015), FirstRand Group Limited. 2013. Annual integrated report 2012. http://www. fir strand .co.za /InvestorCentrc/ Annual%2 0Reports%20Archives/2012 %20 This [bank-client] relationship is not simply a one-way process. An effective banking relationship requires a positive contributio n from both parties. The ability of the bank to meet client needs requires that the owner/man ager provides the bank with appropriate and timely information and is receptive to suggestions and advice provided by the bank. 19 .k-client relationshi ps are undoubted ly important. Banks have acknowled ged sand adapted their strategies accordingl y to promote an environme nt of trust. ving said this, relationshi ps are complex and change continuou sly and the onus ts with the bank through its contact staff to be sensitive to these changing namics. This is especially the case when considerin g that not all relationshi ps are 'Ually profitable and committin g resources to less profitable clients requires an "tive focus to migrate them to electronic banking platforms. If mutual benefit is nsidered to be the core rationale behind a relationshi p, it follows that identifying ient needs and addressing them will create a better understan ding of the nature of lationships. As suggested by Ennew and Binks: CONCLUSION cassurance as a strategy is therefore more pervasive than a purely banking-o nly el and has resulted in revenues expanding to include non-intere st activities as a or source of operating income. Chapter 4: Relationship Banking in South Africa 123 ,,-=--•o-... -•-·~••• Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective ..• • -- ~-•···• ••··•• /~k •••· FSR%20annual%20integrated%20report.pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). 9. FirstRand Group Limited. 2015. Annual integrated report 2014. http:/ /www. firstrand .co.za/InvestorCen tre/ Current'Yr,20PSR %20a nnual%20report/ 2014 %2 FSR %20annual%20int egrated%20report. pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). 10. Ned bank Group Limited. 2015. Integrated report for the year ended 31 December 2014. http:/ /www.nedbankgroup.eo.za/linancial/Nedbank ar2014/downloads / NedbankIR2014.pdf (Accessed 16 July 2015). 11. Standard Bank Group Limited.2014. Sustainability Report 2013. http:// sustainability.standardbank.com/wp-content/uploads/ 2014/04/2013Sustainability-Report-final.pdf (Accessed 16 July 20] 5). 12. Standard Bank Group Limited. 2015. Sustainability Report 2014. http:// sustainability.standardbank.com/downloads/finalsdr2014.pdf (Accessed J 6 July 2015). 13. Capitec Bank Holdings Limited. 2015. lntegrated annual report 2014. https:/ /www. capitecbank.co.za/ resources/2014 Annual Report.pdf (Accessed 6 August 2015) 14. Capitec Bank Holdings Limited. 2015. Integrated annual report 2015. https:/ / commondatastorage.googleapis.com/groovy-util-configobject60bclfce/annual report.pdf (Accessed August 2015 ). 15. Little, E & Marandi, E. 2003. Relationship Marketing Management. London: Thomson Learning. 16. Peck, H, Payne, A, Christopher, M & Clark. M. 1999. Relationship Marketing: Strategy and implementation. Oxford: Butterworth-Heinemann. 17. Rose, PS & Hudgins, SC. 2010. Bank Management 6 Financial Services. 8th ed. USA: McGraw-Hill. 18. Banking Association South Africa (BASA). 201 l. The Code of Banking Practice. https:/ /www.fnb.co.za/downloads/legal/Code-of-Banking-Practice-2011.pdf (Accessed 3 August 2015). 19. Ennew, CT & Binks, MR. 1996. 'The impact of service quality and service characteristics on customer retention: Small businesses and their banks in the UK.' British Journal of Management 7(3): 219-230. 124 :Iobally, the banking environment is becoming more dynamic. competitive, diverse, omplex and integrated. This description reflects the multi-faceted changing nature of lobal banking, as it requires banking services to become much more client-orientated ccording to different national contexts and needs. Even small community banks are eing challenged to rethink their service delivery as a result of the influences of the lobal banking environment. ln South Africa, local banks are being challenged by reign banks, which are offering local clients access to international sources of funds nd unique global investment opportunities. This has in turn led to South African anks enlarging their international footprint, especially in Africa. South Africa has, especially in the post-apartheid era, distinguished itself from any other emerging market countries - and even many advanced economies - by establishing a first-class banking system. As part of its deregulation reforms since the late 1980s, South Africa has opened itself up to more international competition by allowing foreign banks to enter the market. It has, as Tito Mboweni [a former INTRODUCTION reading this chapter, you should be able to: understand the interrelationships between financial globalisation, systemic risk, contagion and convergence in the context of both the South African and global ;financial systems interpret the historical and theoretical roots of contemporary global financial market integration differentiate between the diverse types of international bank representation comprehend the origins and progression of the South African banking industry how it relates to the post-1994 era interpret how the new emphasis on financial inclusion has added value to the South African banking industry and prepared banks for African markets in the era understand how the opening up of the South African banking industry to foreign entry was a stimulus for international expansion by South African banks, especially into Africa outline the complementary relationship between African economic integration, the internationalisation of South African banks into Africa, and the deepening of African financial markets differentiate between the roles of the IMF and the World Bank in the international financial system and monetary order. RNING OBJECTIVES -~~Jlopment and 1ationalisation of Jt"ftican Banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective By drawing attention to the internatio nal context, this chapter provides an overview of the development of the South African banking industry and its role and influence in internatio nal monetary relations. More specifically, it deals with the various types of internatio nal bank representa tion, the historical development of the industry if11~f~16ba1 Fi~~nciarprisis ·(GF9>·refeffto.'the.ri'.Ri11~1al8r,J1~i6t~68~i;tH~t/ttis .;?eenlr?ced to.!he··~o,.lapse·of the housing•.rriark~}i~.t~~ ~~it~~.i~t.~!f~{LJ~yan.d the dc?nsequences ofJtiiS ~ollapse on the market for ri,ortg?ge•r~late~ se~~rities),8 This ·• · •· has Men~idely tiewed as the greatest global .cri~is ?rre~essi?~ ~in~;th~iP~~at Depression of 1929-1933 , hence its oftenbeingrefetredfoasthe.•GreatReceSSion .. Governor of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB)] summarise d it, 'become much more mature, with a moderate level of private sector indebtedness and a respectable and first-rate regulatory and legal framework'. 2 As indicated in Chapter 2, South Africa's banking industry is known to be highly concentrat ed and it is dominated by four large banks resulting in its having reached a level of saturation . 3 As a result, the move to consider other markets, especially in sub-Sahar an Africa (SSA), has been a natural strategic progression. A development in recent decades that has weighed heavily in Africa's favour in terms of attracting capital has been that financial systems across the continent (albeit not in every country) have deepened and become more stable and efficient. 4 Today Africa is in a better position than it was in the past to weather turmoil engendere d by global crises and can even help ease the effects of a crisis in host economies. There is certainly more optimism about finance in Africa today than there has been in the past. This is largely due to banks around the world that have penetrated African markets and contribute d to improvements in banking efficiency and profitability. 5 The downside of this financial market integration, however, is that it exposes Africa's previously isolated markets to global risk. This was particularl y evident during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) when emerging market economies - including several African economies - were severely affected by risks emanating from global banks. 6 Coinciding with banks becoming more globalised are shocks that originate in host and home markets. As much as global banks offer liquidity and risk-sharin g benefits to host markets when they experience negative shocks, they also become prime catalysts for the transmissi on of risk across internatio nal markets. As an example, in the period leading up to the GFC total loans from global banks to emerging markets rose from roughly $200 billion to over $500 billion (2006 to mid-2007).7 A prominent feature of financial globalisation since 2000 - and even after the GFC - has been the incredible rise in these cross-border links. especially among emerging markets. Moreover, the impact of globalisation and the current transition of the national and internatio nal financial regulatory environme nts are altering banking structures and affecting bank profitability in diverse ways. The landscape of global banking is certainly changing. making the manner and timing of internatio nal expansion vitally important . 126 While financial globalisation increased it also led to the proliferation of systemic risk, as the number of financial crises started to increase from the l 990s. Inherent to this was the increased securitisation of markets (where debts are pooled together and sold to third parties), which 'reduced the need for a direct relationship between borrower and lender, and the systematic treatment of large amounts of data on the 'a{~;!~~j;~ t~)~~~~c Jt~~::·of't he ·e past twoaeMaes, i.11.ion P:t~~y, IN~ipif~~.oanannua!ise? }iitWtJihk irl§(hdd[t ~l{[~:[~'.l fGin~f,gf ;r;t~d~~~,t~ir~::it~~ej;;I THE INTERNATIONAL BANKING ENVIRONMENT Internatio nal banking suffered a serious setback during the 19 70s and 19 80s mainly as a result of the internatio nal debt crisis and the global economic turmoil that preceded it. Since then financial firms - especially US banks - have experienced a resurgence in global activities in the wake of the collapse of communis m in Central and Eastern Europe and the unification of Europe. 9 This continued until 2007 when the first effects of the GFC brought an abrupt end to this revitalisation. The 20-year period leading up to the GFC also witnessed an extraordin ary acceleration of all aspects related to contempo rary globalisation. Contemporary globalisation could be described as 'a process of interaction and integration among the people, companies, institution s and governments that involve different nations. a process driven by internatio nal trade and investmen t and aided by information and telecommu nications technology.' JO The informatio n revolution. which has been a major driving force behind globalisation, has led to a remarkable expansion in global banking activities as it has placed a premium on innovation and the ability of banks and corporates in general to adapt to change. Breaking down barriers between geographically dispersed markets since the 1980s, the information and communic ation revolution has given rise to virtually instantane ous electronic trading in financial markets. 11 As a result, financial globalisation has shaped up to be a particularl y dynamic dimension of globalisation as the financial sector started to influence all other sectors. Financial glo/Jalisation can therefore be described as 'the integration of financial institutions, instrumen ts and markets into an internatio nal financial systcm'. 8 Two developments that have reduced barriers and opened the way for financial globalisation to flourish arc regulatory liberalisation - especially regarding internatio nal capital !lows - and the use of technological innovation in the financial sector as a whole. and in the banking industry in particular. and the expansion into global markets, specifically on the African continent. Lastly, the chapter considers the role of the key internatio nal institution s in the global financial system, namely the Internatio nal Monetary Fund and the World Bank. Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking 127 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-ba sed perspective The ongoing consolidation of the financial system contri butes significantly to the systemic risk of the global financial system throu gh its potential conta gion effects. Contagion in banki ng occur s when 'a deposit run at one bank spreads to other banks, resulting in a liquidity crisis for the financial system'. 9 Arising from globalised, networked and integr ated financial systems, these effects are multiplied in a global conte xt by the trend of convergence in the global financial sector where different financial services industries join forces and consolidate to become diversified mega-financial multi nation al service providers. The historical roots of these developments can be traced back to just after the collapse of the Bretton Woods mone tary system and the crisis-ridden years of the 19 70s, which ended a period of relatively stable world order. l 5 New and more liberal intern ationa l financial arran geme nts and practi ces emerged in the 1980s , makin g financialisation the domin ant mode of capita l accum ulatio n, as the focus of banks shifted from asset mana geme nt to active liabili ty mana geme nt in order to increase return s from their deposit bases. These new shoots of capitalist renewal were later under pinne d by the neoclassical economic theory of neoliberalism and also created the global ideological context for globalisatio n to thrive upon. The theory of creditworthiness of individual firms made it possible for more geographic dispersed borrowers to enter the marke t' 11 The twin effects of vigorous deregula of banks since the 1980s and the growing interdependency amon g fina markets globally, has led to increased and preca rious levels of systemic risk. Syst risk refers to 'the risk that an event (shock) will trigger a loss of economic value confidence in, and conse quent increases in uncer tainty about, a substa ntial porti, of the financial system that is large enoug h, in all probability, to have significa adverse effects on the real economy'. 12 In the context of an increasingly complex and interd epend ent intern ation banki ng enviro nmen t systemic risk has specifi c significance. This risk entails t probability of the breakdown of an entire system and is evidenced by co-movemen amon gst most or all parts of the system. As such, the size of financial institution interdependencies (instit utiona l systemic risk) and the degree of global financi marke t integr ation (market systemic risk) becom es critical. 13 Institu tional failu can arise from either direct interdependencies (inter-firm on and off-balance-she exposures) or indirect interdependencies (expo sures to the same or similar asse such as loan conce ntrati ons in the same indus try (similar risk profile), for example) In view of this, strong contra ctual interdepend encies are inher ent to system· risk. For example, the Bank for Intern ationa l Settle ments (BIS) defines systemic r· as 'the risk that the failure of a partic ipant to meet its contra ctual obligations ma in turn cause other partic ipants to default with a chain reaction leading to broade financial difficulties' . 14 This implies that a sort of 'domino effect' or contagion occurs where negative externalities 'spill over' from one financial institu tion (or market) to anoth er at a potentially rapid pace. This conta gion even affects economically solvent (innocent) and economically insolvent (guilty ) parties and offers little protection and no way of limiting its dama ging effects once it gets into motion. The real economy also suffers throu gh unem ploym ent. substa ntial reductions in outpu t and price volatility. 128 deregulation. =--~- -,~·"" "-~""- '·-'="• "~-•-· ~~'"-- '"'_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ liberal norms and doctrines starte d to gain worldwide acceptance after the shington Consensus and afterm ath of the Cold War. 16 This resulted in a high rec of policy convergence as intern ationa l institu tions strongly endor sed liberal reform guidelines to their member countries. Arguably, the most ificant effect of this was rapid global financ ial marke t integr ation. Hence ,ntemporary globalisation came to be a compl ex multidimensional process of :bordering and despatialisation, on the one hand, and of consolidation and iterconnection on the other. This was especially so in the financial sector. As a nsequence of neoliberalism. the process of globa lisation has been facilitated by :celerated regula tory and super visory harmo nisati on. result ing from significant regulation in the global financial sector. 15 This generic liberalisation of banki ng ulation throu gh progressive relaxa tion was an attem pt to 'level the playing field' intern ationa l banks throu gh the 1988 Basel Conco rdat and subse quent omme ndatio ns from the so-called 'Basel Comm ittee' (see Chapter 16 for an inepth discussion on this). This ongoing financ ial liberalisation significantly ncouraged the entry of foreign banks into domes tic banki ng markets. International banking essentially refers to the cross-border and cross- curren cy cets of banki ng business. It can be classified into two main activities, namely, aditional foreign banki ng (trans action s with non-r esidents in domestic curren cy) nd euroc urren cy banki ng (trans action s in foreig n excha nge with both residents nd non-residents). The provision of eurom arket loans, trade finance and foreign chang e are activities in which intern ationa l banks are commonly engaged. nterna tional banki ng also includes multinationa l banking (MNB) where banks own nd control branc hes and/o r affiliates in more than one country. This typically nvolves an eleme nt of foreign direct investment (FDI). sh by mean s of liberalisation, privatisation and 129 eralism is essentially marke t funda menta lism, causin g competitive marke ts to Chapt er 5: The Development and Internationalis ation of South African Banking _ _ _ _ __ Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective • .■ • Correspondent bank relationships (or affiliate banks): a smaller global bank that stands in relationship with a large domestic or foreign correspondent bank, providing a full range of banking services without sizable investment (only paying fees for services it wants). It is the most inexpensive way to provide international services as the cost of the fees (plus markup) can be transferred to: the client. Shell branches: an office space occupied by a global bank to record the receipt of deposits and other international transactions. Its aim is to avoid costs and the burden of regulation and usually contains little more than a telephone, fax machine, desk and computer to book deposits from global eurocurrency markets. They are also called ojf.~hore banking centres dealing with external accounts. International departments: an international department within a bank is a basic requirement for banks to expand globally and to offer a general package of services to multinational clients. As banks expanded their business activities in the international domain, sev, networking relationships in different global financial sectors occurred. For exam banks expanded globally to offer international banking services to existing die and/or to gain market share in foreign markets for growth purposes. This has led immense growth in the market share of banks with sizeable foreign positions. 17 recent times the globalisation of banking has been moving away from a system wi predominantly cross-border flows to a system with both cross-border transactio and more internationally diversified ownership of banks. While banking globalisati is still evolving. the different types of international bank representation in countri around the world are primarily: 9 •18 • Foreign subsidiaries: an international bank that has acquired majority ownersh of a separate, legally incorporated foreign bank, which has an established clie base. Such a subsidiary has its own charter and capital stock. When a international bank holds a minority ownership, it is called an affiliate bank. • Joint ventures (or 'Greenfield' developments): a foreign bank that enters into joint venture with a financial firm in a country with a market that is familia sharing both expenses and profits, thereby shielding its risk exposure. • Agreement corporations: subsidiaries of a bank that focus specifically o' servicing international clients. • Representative offices: a limited-service facility that markets the services offer, by the home office of the international bank (the parent bank). which identifi new clients but does not make loans available or take deposits. • Agency offices: a foreign bank that extends commitments to make/purchase loans issues letters of credit, administers the cash accounts of clients, and offer assistance with their security trading. They do not take deposits from the public. • Branch offices: an overseas branch of an international bank operating as a local bank in a foreign country to attract new investment. It offers the full range of services, including accepting deposits subject to host country regulations (trying to escape regulations faced by its branches in the home country). Sometimes they are subject to dual regulation by home and host countries. Foreign branches only represent a single large global bank and are not separate legal entities. 130 131 riginally, the creation of banks in South Africa was entirely focused on meeting gricultural needs through the provision of credit to farmers. In 179 3 the Bank an Leening was established and in 1808 its subsidiary the Lombard Discount ank came into existence. Both were government-back ed banks. 20 The era of anking not backed by government only came into being when the Cctpe of Good ope Bank was estc1blished in 1836. By 1861 the Cape Colony was serviced by 28 rivate or district banks. With financial expertise somewhat limited, these small banks became part of a tocess of consolidation to improve their competitiveness as foreign banks started to ter the market. British banks penetrated the local market in 18 61 when the London South African Bank (LSAB) was established, followed soon afterwards by the Standard Bank of British South Africa (SB) in 1862. 21 The discovery of gold led to growing immigration into South Africa and profit opportunities for foreign banks. In 1888. the Netherlands Bank of South Africa Ltd (renamed Nedbank Ltd in 1971) was. Origins and progression THE HISTORY AND DEVELOPMENT OF THE SOUTH AFRICAN BANKING ENVIRONMENT iiite early on. South Africa's banking industry was integrated into the global onomy and became orientated mainly towards corporate financing. This was imarily due to the industrialisation of South Africa. particularly through its ining industry. This strategic twin industry (!.hat is, banking and mining) created legacy of high-level capability in financial services as South Africa's banking dustry benefited from the international influence of advanced banking practices. owcver, the divergent dynamics behind the historical progression of banking in ,uth Africa is quite intriguing. In an attempt to gain a competitive advantage. the creased competition. market saturation and social responsibility led South African auks to explore both the low-income and previously unbanked markets. This in rn led to their being better prepared for their eventual African expansion. incorporated foreign bank branches and foreign hank representative oflices. 19 In African context. international banking in virtually all of its forms has consisted African banks themselves entering other African markets. SSA in particular has en a major focus for South African banks expanding into Africa. This has however it happened overnight and the expansion outside the borders of South Africa has en gradual. uthree broad categories of bank: incorporated banks (domestic and foreign), South Africa, these various types of international representation are divided be a US-chartered bank) that holds computerised account records of deposits . and transactions that focus on international commerce. Loan Syndications: a vehicle that enables new banks to establish themselves in the international loan market by providing an opportunity for loan expansion without large-scale foreign investment. :Jrrternational Banking Facility (IBF): a foreign bank operating in the US (or it can Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective In 1926 Barclays National Bank entered the country by taking over De Nationale Ban and also merging with the Colonial Bank (of the West Indies) and the Anglo-Egypti, Bank. During the l 930s the South African banking industry was dominated by th duopoly of Barclays and SB, while they also had extensive networks in other parts o Africa. Through correspondent banks, they offered sophisticated international services to South African clients. In 19 34 Volkskas Bank was established (it started to do business as a commercial bank in ] 941) to compete with the British banks. 24 With most of the smaller private banks having been taken over by the large foreign banks at that stage, there existed only five commercial banks in South Africa, making its banking environment highly competitive. With the JSE also progressing well, an active market for corporate control emerged after 194 5. After the Second World War, with Afrikaner sentiment climaxing as the National Party ascended to power in 1948, aversion to British banking capital increased and banking at Volkskas helped to undermine British dominance as Volkskas rapidly became a large bank. 25 With high international commodity prices, South Africa's persistently good economic growth and risk diversification opportunities provided strong impetus for foreign interest in the local banking industry. More foreign banks banknotestolhe public in the absenceof uniformlegislation. 23 The requirementwas that when banknotes were tendered at their branches, th"'""'"''" obliged to convert them into gold. Prrdr.·is·•theSA~·~•s establiShri1ent.••cdrnm~rcial bahks•i~·•·sduth.Afriba.•,~sued The SAAB.was established in 1921 udder a special Act OfParliartlen(the\<i/ Currency anctBanking Act (31 of} 920).This actwasteplaced in 1944byJhe $A Act.(29 of 1944); by the SAAB Act{90 ?f1989)in}989, and the Banks Act(94 Of 1990) in 1990.%;1neseactswere incor-porated i~J994 into the.E?nstituti?n?f.th Republic ·of SouthAtrica (200 of 1993),}he SAAB Act .~as been al'\'lended from)i to time, with the latest being in 2010 (SAAB Amendment Act 4 of 2010). established. SB expanded into the Transvaal while De Nationale Bank was formed 1890. The latter, backed by a London-Amsterdam-Berlin syndicate, absorbed t Bank of Africa and the small Natal Bank by the year 1914. As concerns about monetary and currency stability escalated in South Afri after the First World War, the Currency and Banking Act, established in 192 initiated uniform reserve requirements for banks. Through this, the South Afric Reserve Bank (SARB) was established following the examples set by the cent banks of the Netherlands and the island of Java. 22 The Johannesburg St Exchange (JSE) came into existence in 188 7 as the corporate sector developed ea to help finance gold mining by directing capital into the mining industry at first a later into secondary industry. 5 132 133 ·-----~-----· ----------- ted to establish subsidiaries and associate companies. Examples of these include Southern African Bank of Athens in 194 7 and the French Bank of Southern ca (initially Banque de l'Indochine SA) in 1949. In 1958 and 1965 respectively, First National City Bank of New York SA Ltd and the Bank of Lisbon and South ica were also registered as deposit-receiving institutions. During this period Chase nhattan Bank acquired an interest in Standard Bank Ltd in London, resulting in SA Chase subsidiary merging with the Standard Bank of South Africa. In 19 70 ndard Bank merged with Chartered Bank (a British MNB) to form Standard artered. 26 Federal Trust was established in 19 5 5 (later renamed Trust Bank in 19 5 6) and \Ted to advance the Afrikaner cause further. The extensive capital requirement for ep-level mining in South Africa was predominantly satisfied by the wellitalised imperial banks, thereby giving them a superior capital advantage over national banks.2 1 By the end of 1970, 73.2% of all commercial bank deposits in nth Africa were controlled by foreign banks. 20 Because this was considered ceptional by western standards, the political economy restricted competition in ·e market by limiting foreign banks from 19 70 onwards. There were 5 6 registered nking institutions active in South Africa by the 19 70s. Between then and the 980s, however. foreign banks - especially from the UK and the Netherlands ithdrew for political reasons, selling their shares to local shareholders. 5 This was also a time when South Africa became a major sovereign borrower as I became more crucial for manufacturing development. Even after foreign ithdrawal. South Africa's integration into international financial markets ontinued into the 1980s as domestic banks had a continued presence in global nancial centres. Based on findings by the Franzsen Commission's 19 70 Report, outh African authorities phased in policies to restrict the entry of new foreign anks and prohibited representative offices of foreign banks from taking deposits. iven international pressures, this was done to keep control over the local banking dustry, which was viewed as being a strategic industry in the economy. Amongst others, three leading foreign controlled banks disinvested from South Africa in 1986 and 1987 after being restricted by the Franzsen Commission's recommendations. These were the two British banks, namely arclays National and Standard Chartered (selling its stake in Standard Bank of South Africa), and the American owned Citibank. The recommendations of the Commission were later incorporated into the legislation or the Banks Act of 19 7 2 (for example, that the combined shareholding of foreigners in a bank in South Africa should not exceed 50%) and was only scrapped in 1992 under the Deposittaking Institutions Act (94 of 1990) amended as the Banks Act l 994. 20 By 19 8 5 there were 47 active banks in South Africa - 22 general banks, 10 merchant banks and 15 commercial banks. The restrictions imposed by the 1972 Banks Act went against the international trend of liberalisation in the 1980s and the internationalisation of banking (in the sense of privatisation). In fact, such state intervention played a key role in facilitating the introduction of foreign sanctions and excluding South Africa from benefiting from the liberalisation of international capital markets. 21 This, together Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking with increased disintermedi.alion, proved to be particu larly counterproductiv, personal savings in South Africa declined and foreign capital dried up, subseq u constra ining economic growth even more. South African banks were fur constra ined by exchan ge controls (as the curren cy deprec iated by 50% bet 1983 and 1990) and monet ary policy based on direct controls failed to slow do rapidly rising inflation. The turning point came after the De Kock Commission rejected direct controls in 1985 report and advocated monetary policy geared toward s market effectiveness. 2 was observed in similar findings from other inquiries (for example the Australi Financial System inquiry of 19 79 and the Knight Group of 1982) that regulati caused inefficiency by segmenting financial markets. As the Commission's report 'pragmatic monetarist', however, its market-orientated approa ch to monetary poli, was incompatible with government legislation that restrict ed foreign participation. The constraining economic conditions, coupled with the debt standstill of 19 8 5 cau by international banks (led by Chase Manha ttan Bank) not wanting to release m than US$10 billion in payments, resulted in a crisis situatio n. Ironically, the cri provided a stimulus for financial liberalisation (deregulation) and internationalisati to dovetail as South Africa's economic policy regimes were reversed. When the political climate began to change radically after 2 February 1990,i was followed by reforms leading the way for a new wave of foreign banks to enter th country. As financial globalisation gained momen tum after the Washingto Consensus, dozens of foreign banks opened representative offices in South Africa with some even establishing locally incorporated subsidi aries. 20 These foreign bank mainly concentrated on corporate and investment (or wholes ale) banking as oppose to retail banking, given the high infrastructure costs associated with setting u branch networks. Since most of them were backed by their parent banks and therefor, had sufficient funding to cover deposits, it was made easier for the SARB to act a lender of last resort for domestic banks during the l 990s. As a result of the influx o foreign banks and increased competition, the merging in 1991 of Volkskas, United Bank, Allied Bank, Trust Bank and the Sage Group to form the Amalgamated Banks South Africa (ABSA) ushered in a move towards consoli dation. Building societies became takeover targets for large banking groups as distinc tions between deposit taking institutions were removed by the Banks Act 1990 (as amended in 1994). In terms of capital requirements, the 1988 Basel Accord prescribed that by 1995 a capital ratio of 8% should be achieved by banks. Endors ing the Basel Committee's principles for supervision of foreign establishments, South African banks were required to include returns for foreign branch es and subsidiaries in consolidated prudential returns . 21 This resulted in more deregulation in South Africa's banking industry and more competition, which ultimately increas ed the concen tration of banks in the industry. In 1998, the FirstRand Group was established throug h the merger of First National Bank, Rand Merch ant Bank and Momentum Insura nce & Asset Management. Between 199 5 and 2000 the numbe r of foreign banks with a market presence nearly doubled. 5 The resulta nt increas e in capital inflow to most industries of the economy contributed towards the JSE being rated, in the late l 990s, among the top 20 globally in terms of market capitalisation . 134 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 135 2000 there were 34 banks in South Africa that offered a variety of financial ices and by the end of 2001 there were 39 registered banks and 15 local branch es foreign banks. In early 2002, Saambou and Regal Bank were placed under atorship, causing shock waves throug hout the South African banking system and !ting in a run on BoE Bank and a numbe r of smaller banks, which were forced lo financial assistance. Due to high concen tration and consoli dation, the numbe r of stered banks fell to 15 by the end of 2003. 20 This concen tration and consolidation nsilied even more with the re-entry of Barclays Bank in 2005, acquiring a ority stake for £2.6 billion (56.4% and then increasing to 62.3% in 2013) in SA Bank. This was Barclays Bank's largest FD! outside the UK. Relaxing the riction on foreigners, who were only allowed to acquire up to 10% of shares in a th African bank just before the Barclays takeover, strengt hened the role of foreign nks in the banking industry on an unprecedented scale and opened the way for er MNBs to obtain large shareholdings. One such development was the acquisition of a stake of 20% in Standa rd Bank i 2007 by Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) for US$5. 5 billion. his further contrib uted to global ratings agencies re-rati ng the South African anking industr y since large foreign banks could count on the suppor t of their rent banks, thereby reduci ng systemic risk. Hence in line with the four pillars mnk policy (see Chapte r 2), the South African bankin g industr y in the 2000s came o be dominated by the so-called Big Four: ABSA (the group was rename d to "arclays Africa Group Ltd in 2013); Standa rd Bank of South Africa (Stanbic); irstRand Group; and the Nedbank Group (initially Nedcor Group after the mergin g ''1 2003 of Nedcor, BoE, Nedcor Investm ent Bank and Cape of Good Hope Bank). ignalling the impact of foreign entry into the South Africa bankin g industry, by the nd of 2012 there were 17 registered banks (of which 11 were locally controlled), 3 mutua l banks, 14 local branch es of foreign banks, 15 controlling compa nies and 41 foreign banks with approved local representative oflices. 23 At the beginn ing of 2012, foreign shareh olding in the bankin g industr y comprised 43% of total nominal bankin g shares in issue, while domestic shareh olding comprised 28% and ,minority shareh olding (those with less than 1% shareh olding ) 29%. 29 A result of the foreign bank presence was that South African banks were to a large extent not /promi nent in corpor ate bankin g activities. This was primar ily due to the economies of scale and scope that the foreign banks brough t to the fore. As a result, these foreign banks (typically US and European-based) asserte d themselves by being more aggressive in their priciog. 27 Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective A new emphasis: financial inclusion A further way in which the South African banking industry has transformed is in the number of institutions - especially microfinance institutions - that have targeted financial services at the low-income and previously unbanked market. After 1994, financial inclusion has gradually become a central aim for domestic banks as the national policy to bank the so-called unbanked, underbanked and financially excluded 5.3.2 Results from a Panzar-Rosse estimation in 2011 suggested that the structute of the South African banking industry is by nature monopolistic competition. 30 This confirms the domination of the Big Four banks and is in line with the 2008 Report by the Competition Commission on Banking, which found that the large banks tend to avoid outright competition against each other. This, together with most banking efficiency being generated from cost efficiency, made expansion into the ,international (especially African) market particularly attractive to South African banks in the 2000s, The Big Four banks gained substantial market share, especially from the strong market growth between the 1950s and 1980s, which could ironically be associated with severe income inequalities resulting from apartheid. Although sophistication and product innovation improved vastly after 1994, the market may have reached saturation point, despite the potential of the 'bottom of the pyramid' (low-income) market growth. 5 About half of the adult population in the lower income group has no access to finance in South Africa. 30 In 2001, for instance, between 60% and 80% of the country's economically active population was found to be unbanked. Estimations suggest that in 2013 about 67% of South Africa's adult population was unbanked, In the post-GFC era, South Africa's banking industry is seen as setting a glo standard, distinguishing it from many other emerging market economies. With of the largest capital markets amongst these economies, the depth of South Afri financial sector is nearly three times that of India and the SSA average, and ne four times that of Brazil.3° In the past 20 years it has become characterised h first-rate regulatory and legal framework, adequate capital and a moderate level private-sector indebtedness. South African banks are well managed and ha become known for utilising sophisticated risk management practices and corpora governance structures in conducting their business. 2 The banking industry has transformed through consolidation, cutting-ed legislation and technologically advanced systems. Having said this, with the tar market mainly the middle to upper income groups even after apartheid ended, lo banks found themselves quite underdeveloped in serving low-income clients in th home and foreign host markets. Indicative of a dualistic credit-granting indust this led to a move towards greater 'financial inclusion' by the Big Four banks, whe in 2004, they teamed up with the Postbank to assist, by means of Mzansi accounts/ those with no access to banking services. By the end of 2008 more than six million Mzansi accounts had been opened. 136 137 ·ovide access to 1he previousiy unbanked community by addressing eeds in a low0 cost and or.complicated manner. 'Afi.thin six years of .t of the tier-one banks ft:>ond the Mzansi too co~tly arid subsequently n branded initlative's.which-tried to offer low-cost banking for less ___ ,th.39 First National Bank.(FNB),forinstance, launched EasyP/an in July.2011 Nedbimk launched its Ke Yona account; comprising a pay-astransactional _account; Joneral cover, personal loan, JuitSave account arid a n M•Pesa moneytransfer.riptlon. ASSA, continuing with its Mzansi account, ended its Transact accour\t across all its branches in February 2012, d Bank-announced its Access account in March 2012 and expanded its • s) in townshfps and underserviced tial :i account is an affordable and readily availabletransaction account emerged. Principles of financial inclusion in South Africa typically refer to issues as affordability, access, usage, appropriateness, consumer financial education, ation, diversification, product quality and simplicity (see also Chapters 3 and 4). Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ~!r,, • Although by no means limited to these, the main causes of the GFC were: 39 Securitisation fostered the 'originate- to-distribu te' model. which reduced incentives of lenders to be prudent, particularl y in the face of enormous investor demand for subprime loans packaged as AAA bonds. • Financial innovation through new instrumen ts in structured finance developed so rapidly - leading to increased capital flows - that market infrastruct ure and systems were unprepare d when these instrumen ts came under stress. • Risky financial activities once confined to regulated banks (use of leverage, borrowing short-term to lend long, etc) migrated outside the safety net provided 5.3.3 Dealing with the GFC The globalisation of financial markets and the size of private capital flows have drastically increased the interdepen dence of economies around the world. Starting in the US subprime crisis in 2008, the GFC quickly spread to the rest of the world, putting the global financial system under enormous pressure. Since the 1930s, it has become the first truly 'global' crisis in the current era of globalisation. 38 The growing microfinance industry plays a critical role in improving access financial services in Africa. As the ability of South African banks to increase thei influence in this market improves, it enhances their ability to expand thei operations into Africa. The microfinance industry also appears to have the added benefit of being quite insulated from the contagion effects to which banks and capital markets are exposed during a financial crisis. 33 This provides further motivation for developing this industry. san~ \'~a~~;i~so~f1~~61i's rt1ibrofl11 1n2~iR~u§ t111e!~~!i; !~;l?s!~fu;! !,i,rr,! Instance; establishe!d in•:1~98 astheBa~ko!Transkei;~eE!g is•·~~!h }.temai~ing,black~o\\lnecJ)~ank.~hd . is . .part,?f,the,tEl~~ . et<5p~-/f~b~·•.~a~~i~sjfg~ •.. 1975 and rrrainlffocuses on the .mining sec!or an~fowe~income·C>~biu~;collar~ "'"AfricanBank and Capltec Bank were resp&ctively established in J 993 and 2d01; Key microfinance institution s (who can take deposits), apart from microlend (who may not take deposits), include: member-based organisati ons (stokvels, viii banks, mutual banks, etc); non-gover nmental organisations (such as Mara Beehive and FINCA); Ithala; Land Bank; and the Postbank. It also includes tier banks (Capitec Bank, African Bank and Teba Bank) and tier one banks t collaborated to offer, in line with the FSC, Mzansi accounts. 19 J Although comprising only about 4% of.total co2surn~rcredifexteh.si6h;c( •• microlenders have, in most cases,. beehJhe prim~ry??~rcepfacces.sto predff the unbanked Iow-income individuals; CurrenUy, there are toughly 3 n,illion ;/borrower s, ~00 registered microlender.s With a ~r~~?h outreach of7 000 :microlending outlets in all nine South African provinces. 27 138 139 _______ .,.,.....,.,. -7------ .-------~~ nregulated institution s offering mortgage lending. which led to unsupervi sed risk-taking. World financial flows have been characterised in recent years by an unsustaina ble Pattern where some countries (such as China, Japan and Germany) run large surpluses on their current accounts every year, while others (the US and UK) run deficits. The external deficits of the US have been paralleled by budget deficits in the household and government sectors. Their borrowing, though, cannot continue indefinitely. Although the remedy was initially focused on failures in regulation and supervision, it later became clear that there were root global macroeconomic causes of the GFC that supported these global imbalances. ,y deposit insurance. This shadow hanking system included, for instance, Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking : ·:_:·:_~~--~---•.,/.,;,:c~.,.,.. 0,,,___ ___ I I ---'"'-- "'_,., .. ,,." .. ', --~•-•·-,•• ....... ,. 'l"V ,0·< = • ,, mark:etsdBrnparedgl Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspect ive -·-- - -·. ·--·r --· -· ···GFC on selectedAfricanfinar\c: -~---"-- L•.,.~ :ial 140 Financial globalisation has mad e cross~border cap ital flows high ly mobile, whi lst also allowing toxic assets (illi quid assets tha t have no read ily available seco nda ry market and are therefore difficult, if not impossible, to sell) to move instantly fi one financial centr e to another. As a resul t, this mobility has heightened syste risk and regul atory arbitrage opportunities. 40 The GFC showed that capital mar and specifically capital flows well excee ded 'conventional' commercial ban operations in size and influence on the performance of overall financial mar Essentially, it was global bank ing flows that determined the geographical reac the GFC. 41 Particularly after the collapse of Lehman Brothers, it became evid how global in scope large financial instit utions are with regards to their operati and that they effectively link together the fortunes of financial markets worldwi, This has led to the now globally used conc ept of interconnectedness. 42 Alarmingly, also became clear that natio nal governme nts and centr al banks were inade quate meas uring and captu ring (and thus fully addressing) financial risk, which is eas trans mitte d globally irrespective of how effective national regul ators are. 40 response to the GFC, the G20 - of whic h Sout h Africa is a mem ber - formal endorsed the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision's proposals for capital a liquidity requirements for bank ing instit utions, resulting in Basel III. This accor; albeit not legally binding, stren gthen ed the capital requirements for banks a introduced new regul atory requi reme nts for liquidity and leverage (see Chapter 1 In addition, prior to the GFC. deregulation and liberalisation of the financial servi sector aroun d the world brou ght abou t an unprecedented flow of capital moveme Financial globalisation contr ibute d to the widespread abolishment of restrictions capital acco unts and also on capital flows in the form of exchange controls. 43 While South Africa and other countries in the south ern African region had a introduced deregulation initiatives in their financial markets to increase capi inflows, they were less severely affected by the GFC. South Africa's financial sector particular was significantly shielded from the GFC - especially from direct exposure the troubled securitised debt market in the US - because of the effective financial reforms it introduced prior to the crisis. In fact, the Saambou liquidity crisis in 2002 ushered in new regulatory reforms by South African regulators. The instability caused by the Saambou problem resulted in a threa tenin g loss of confidence as it also affecte the so-called tier two banks and especially BoE Bank, the sixth largest bank at th time. 2 The other large banks were in a healt hy condition. but still benefited from t reform. Legislation such as FAIS, FICA and the NCA (sec Chapter 3 for a thoroug discussion) further ensured that Sout h African banks adopted risk manageme practices. Moreover, after the SARB dealt with the collapse of Saambou in 2002 , th Registrar of Banks reviewed the statu s of compliance to sound corporate governan practices within Sout h Africa's five largest banks. They were found to be applying big standards of corporate governance. Prud ent macroeconomic policies, unde rpinn ed by a consistent and transpareri policy framework, furth er helped cush ion the impa ct of Sout h Africa's larges recession since the lifting of sanctions in the early 1990 s. 44 Furth ermo re, loca banks (except for the mutu al banks) were subjected to the King Code on Corporat Governance and various ombudsmen provi ded the indus try with fast and effectiv dispute resolution for bank s that ensu red a fair, impartial and confidential way o dealing with clients. 29 Lastly, with the comm itmen t of Sout h African regul ator 142 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 143 ··••··• ··•·••~ ••"~'= ·•·-~- -- <THE ROLE OF SOU TH AFRICAN BAN KS IN THE AFRICAN CON TEX T end of apartheid not only unsh ackle d South Africa's political envir onme nt. but its economic relations with coun tries in the Sout hern African Development munity (SADC). In light of increased globalisation, regional economic ration. led by South Africa, reshaped economic struc tures in Africa as beral reforms and the New Partn ershi p for Africa's Development (NEPAD) took t:1 8 Prior to 1994 . Sout h Africa had limite d bank ing operations outside its ders. Most of the focus had been on Namibia, which was historically and inially part of South Africa. 49 The open ing up of the Sout h African financial or and chan ge in political regime resul ted in. several bank s establishing rations globally, including the easte rn and south ern African regions. The new th Africa certainly heralded the opening up of new horizons for banks, and the "rest in the local mark et shown by globa l bank s also grew rapidly. The big five th African banks in parti cular expanded their networks in Africa, and played a role in financing large domestic business ventures in Africa. In their ques t for eased global competitiveness, Sout h Afric an banks have gone throu gh a period exceptional inter natio nalis ation , also expa nding into Europe and the Far East to low their clients as foreign trade opportuni ties opened up for local companies. 19 . South African bank s and financial instit ution s in general have followed three iitegies with regards to inter natio nalis ation . First, the strategy adopted by dbank. ABSA and FirstRand has been to main tain the mark et-su stain ing ,proach of earlier years: that is, to finance much of the inter natio nal trade and vestment pursuits of curre nt Sout h African corpo rate clients. 5 The second strategy that followed predominantly by Stand ard Bank (and partly by Sanlam) that uses on seeking new markets with an emer ging mark et focus. Stand ard Bank ms to be a 'mini-network' bank that provi des services across a vast numb er of obal markets with the goal of offering the full spect rum of financial solutions, .pecially across Africa. The third inter natio nalis ation strategy is that followed by vestec. Old Mutual, Discovery and Liber ty Lile, which is to transfer the firm's . imary stock market listing abroad. They have also furthered their strategy ·rough acquisitions, rathe r than looking for organic grow th based on Greenfield try or joint ventures with local partn ers. 5 orities to the Basel Accord, the banks have main d a level of soun d capital ts management. With Basel III being phased in taine since 2013 and the proposed Peaks regulatory model (which is based on a macr oprud entia l appro ach to ing supervision) in the pipeline, the regul atory envir onme nt for Sout h African sis, to all inten ts and purposes, in a good state. Chapter 5: The Development and Intern ationalisation of South African Banking The financial sector of most African countries during the 19 70s and experienced considerable government intervention as governments often ha majority ownership of banks. Interest rate controls (resulting in higher spreads) credit allocation quotas, high barriers to entry, limited institutional capacity, inordinate risk-taking and a lack of capital created shallow financial markets. .~ 5 This led to high default rates as funds were not channelled to the most profitabl deficit units. This changed during the l 990s as many African countries embrace neoliberal privatisation programmes in varying forms. The primary purpose was t, enhance the banking industry's efficiency. In line with the international liberalisation of the whole financial sector, African countries opened up to foreign competition, which led to positive spillover into domestic banks and an influx of cross-border capital flows. As can be expected, this was not without increased risk. Just as a large part of the South African population today remains unbanked, the rest of the continent is unbanked to an even greater degree. Given that finance plays •a critical role in economic development, there is considerable scope for expansion of 52 the financial system in Africa. As such, in the post-1994 era, South Africa is often described as an 'engine for growth' in Africa as its economic growth has a considerable effect on other African countries. Apart from technological spillover, one way in which the effect of this growth is transmitted is through financial sector links, given that South African investment plays a large role in the banking systems and capital flows of numerous African countries. 52 The investment of South African banks in African countries has coincided with the growth in trade and investment Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 145 44% 22% 40% 22% 26% 44% 50% 50% 29% 44% 51% 51% 29% 43% 52% 50% ,2002 29% 48% 54% 50% 2003 34% 54% 54% 51% 2004· 34% 56% 54% 56% 37% 56% 54% 56% 2005, '2006 - - .. , ••••,..,~..,."~? -«•---------- - - - - - - - - - - ber of South African banks have made considerable inroads into Africa and cially SSA. 53 They have concentrated mainly on financing trade and investment ities as opposed to retail banking. By the early 2000s most SADC countries host to at least one South African retail or merchant bank with subsequent stments in progress. 48 With financial systems in southern Africa (except South ica) generally characterised by low levels of sophistication and intermediation. s created opportunities through either opening branches, representative offices reenfield investments. Leading the charge for South Africa's 'invasion' of Africa, ndard Bank (through Stanbic Africa) and ABSA have been vigorously pursuing ective, active, acquisition campaigns across Africa. In fact, Stanbic is considered be a full-scale regional multinational bank, having representation through retail nking operations in 1 7 African countries outside South Africa. It has, for instance, offshore unit in Mauritius. 54 Other banks with African operations that are less isible are Rand Merchant Bank, Nedbank and the insurer Alexander Forbes. Between 1996 and 2004, investment in Africa increased more than fivefold, ith SSA the region in which south-south banking (among developing countries) Was relatively the largest (43% of all foreign banks in 2006). 55 For the first time South African firms had more than 10% of all their FDI foreign assets in Africa. Table 5.3 provides the foreign assets in South Africa for the period 1996 to 2005. African FOi in banking for the period expanded dramatically in 2001 and 2002, comprising 2 3% and 19% of all African FDl foreign assets respectively. 56 Dominating the African banking landscape, South African banks accounted for 40.4% of total banking assets among the top 200 banks in Africa in 2008, 34.6% of net earnings, 49. 9% of bank credit, and 42.4% of bank deposits. 30 48% 43% 51% 1999- _2000': ;2001 • the rest of the continent. This has been assisted by an economic and l 'renaissance' in many African countries. which in the pre-GFC period, was ble to that in Asian countries during the 'East Asian miracle'. 17 Foreign 1ave been instrumental in banking development in Africa as their share of ican banking has increased substantially. Table 5.2 illustrates this increase, buld mainly be attributed to significant financial sector reforms in which ountries have engaged. Notably. the banking industry in most African ·es is either dominated by state-owned banks or by a few large, often foreign, :hapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking NIA African banking reinvested earnings NIA NIA NIA NIA 1.3% 121 9 117 5.8% 6 538 4.2% 157 385 1998 0 323 3.2% 323 9 971 4.9% 8 543 4.2% 203 036 I 3461 105 86% 1 051 12 265 5.0% 14 277 5.8% 244 653 1 868 I 1 343 I 22.9% 1 406 1 299 19.0% 2705 7.5% 3 211 14 234 6.6% I I 3 411 1.8% 189911 I I 631 I 1 362 126% 1 993 15 837 8.8% 3 758 2.1% 180 507 ··2002 • c.·2003· 14 031 7 284 3.4% 213184 ,,,999_. ,,·2000 '· ;.2001 384 896 5.4% 20% Botswana 76% Namibia.•c• Source: Adapted from lkhide & Yinusa (2012): 58 Wang et al. (2007) 57 Market share of Sooth Afr~n banks Total number of banks of which South African 66% Table 5.4 Banking industry indicators of selected SADC countries in 2005 82% As Table 5.4 indicates, by 2005, there were already a significant number South African banks operating in neighbouring countries, accounting for bet.we 66% and 82% of their banking industry (except for Botswana). In Namibia, Lesot and Swaziland, First National Bank, Nedbank and Standard Bank have created virtually unified banking system within the Common Monetary Area (CMA).57 further indication of high levels of integration in the banking industry is t homogeneous financial soundness indicators across the CMA. However, as far financial market development and depth across the CMA is concerned, South Afric is at a much more advanced stage, followed by Namibia, Swaziland and Lesotho. The main reason for South African banks expanding northwards into Africa naturally to broaden revenue bases through market seeking, efficiency seeking resource seeking. In addition to this, the most important factors/risks conside1 when investing in SSA are: country governance and political risk; market size a demand conditions; infrastructure considerations; and economic environment macro-economic performance. Research suggests that South African financial fir in general are most strongly influenced by the political and economic stability oft respective SSA country, along with the profitability and long-term sustainability its specific markets. 56 Source: Luiz and Charalambous (2009) 56 NIA 5.6% 4.7% African banking equity capital 358 6 374 5.6% 2 484 2.2% 113170 1997 217 4 659 4.1% Tolal Afrlc;an FOi %oltolalFOI Tolal Alrican banking FOi % of total African FOi 1 772 16% Total banking FOi % ol total FOi ·1996· 114 013 .~. Total overall direct investment (RmllliOii) Table 5.3 Foreign assets of South Africa, 1996-2005 146 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 147 NIA NIA NIA 11 82 NIA 18 30 12 21 72 NIA 72 e advantage that South African banks have over non-African MNBs when doing siness in Africa is that they adapt more easily to local conditions and given their frican heritage, they have lower transaction costs when overcoming the rigidities of aditions and customs. 60 This lends itself to being better accustomed to evaluate and pervise local borrowers by adopting, with good discretion, soft lending techniques at overcome informational ambiguities inherent to African business practices. Banks in African countries are therefore able to compete with their international counterparts as they have a high absorptive capacity, thereby attracting new clients and assimilating information efficiently. Conversely, however, if the technological and expertise gaps are too large, these banks struggle to compete with large foreign banks and are subsequently pushed out of the market. This is particularly the case With corporate and investment banking activities. NIA 80 (5) 46(3) 82 (4) 95 (5) 87 (3) 14 urce: Jansen & Vennes (2006) 51 96 (5) 90 (4) 0 I 15 21 24 0 NIA 6 17 3!>-40 87 22 South African bankS' share, %6f:tiSsets (2003) 90(4) NIA 0 0 South'African barikS\:s:hare, • % of _iissets (1994) 66 (2) NIA NIA NIA 0 15 76 (3) 90 (5) NIA ._.:banks) Nll.~berot' g .,.•· Concentration, ~..a~ch··.·.·.~:0!/·•.•.·.·.·•.•.•.·.• • :,o/o(numbenif fomlgn bank"'' • isolation, 1994-2003 •s.5 South African bank presence in SADC countries in the first decade after ;5 shows how South African banks made significant inroads during the (years after 1994 in the South African Development Community (SADC) es. The non-CMA countries in which South African banks have enlarged fotprint the most are Mozambique. Mauritius, Tanzania and Malawi. This as contributed considerably to regional integration within SADC. 51 One of in obstacles that needed to be overcome was the difference in host-country fig regulations. These sunk costs placed greater emphasis on harmonising hg regulation across the region as part of the regional liberalisation process. foresting international comparison is that by 2006 South Africa, Panama and owned the highest number of banks in other developing countries (28% of all oping country banks). 55 ·hapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective INTERNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS: THE ROLE OF THE IMF AND THE WORLD BANK The International Monetary Fund Considered to be the institutional nerve centre of the global monetary order, mandate given to the IMF by its member countries includes the promotion international co-operation in monetary and financial affairs through collaboration and consultation and assuring members of temporary access to its general 57 resources if necessary. By being primarily responsible for macroeconomic assessments, the IMF is the only international organisation whose mandate requires that it becomes involved in active dialogue with practically all countries. 62 It has become the principal forum for discussing both the global context of national economic policies and issues that are vital to ensuring the stability of the international monetary and financial system. The official responsibilities and 5.5.1 Since South Africa became a member of both the International Monetary (IMF) and the World Bank in the 1940s, these two international institutions ha played a significant role in the development of South Africa's banking industry. It would be meaningful to examine the growth of these two institutions and also gain an understanding of how they have progressed to their current influential in the South African financial system. Although there are still deficiencies in these institutions, their role in stabilising financial systems is important. 5.5 Finally, perceptions about Africa's capacity (both economic and human) changing for the better throughout the world. Foreign investors are reconside the latent potential of this vast. untapped African market of 850 million p given that the returns on investment compete well with most other countries. crucial trend is also emerging: the risk associated with doing business in Africa declining markedly as the institutional environment becomes more familiar a predictable (especially as a result of increased generic financial regulations after GFC). as evidenced by investment in Africa increasing in absolute terms from average of US$1. 9 billion during the 1970s to US$5. l billion in the 1990s and o US$30 billion in the 2000s. 56 Notably, since 199 3 a number of African countries have collaborated with the Committee tel harmonise their regulatory frameworks through the Easter Southern Africa Banking Supervision group (ESAF). 51 Extending beyond membership, this group developed a memorandum of understanding that st harmonising and aligning national regulations with internationally ac standards. Examples of these include bank licensing and regulation, on- and o supervision, supervision of cross-border operations, and accounting rules. subsequently played a key role in attracting more capital to the region. The E however dissolved in 2004 to form a bank supervisory body confined within S known as the SADC Subcommittee of Bank Supervisors (SSBS). Based on the Basel Principles for Effective Banking Supervision, their aim is to further harmo banking regulations, supervisory systems and business practices across the w of the SADC region. 148 149 liant with an amended Article IV Section 3 of its statutes, the IMF was from outset principally tasked with overseeing the international monetary system. icularly since the l 990s, its main focus of activity has shifted from exchange surveillance to the stability and integrity of the international financial system. 64 n attempt to achieve its economic reform objectives more readily, the IMF started ntervene to a greater degree in member countries. Apart from the Structural justment Programmes (SAPs), conditionality was further expanded when the F together with the World Bank insisted on stipulations on domestic governance d the institutional framework of economic policymaking. 65 Accordingly, the TMF tiated major training and technical assistance activities and tools for countries at struggle with the policy reform challenges in an era characterised by intense obalisation. Furthermore, the governance structure and decision-making cesses of the IMF are the result of agreements embodied in the quota regime r the allocation of funds), with the size of quotas determined by each country's lative economic weight in the world economy. Alt.hough each member receives a sic number of votes, a country's relative voting power in the IMF is decided by the ze of its quota. 61 In effect. the IMF's quota regime functions as the basis for determining (i) the quired size of each member's capital contribution, (ii) the extent of access that ch member country has to the IMF's resources, and (iii) the distribution of voting ghts within the institution. The body that governs the IMF is the Board bf overnors, who control but do not manage it - a function that is rather performed ,y the Executive Board. Decision-making at the IMF is based on a rule that is not one-country-one-vote, but roughly 100 000 SDRs (Special Drawing Rights) to one vote. On this basis, the IMF is officially controlled, in terms of decision-making, by its wealthiest member states by means of weighted voting. Probably the most significant WjlY for developing countries to have some meaningful influence in the • IMF is through the constituency system, where a group of countries - a constituency - join to elect an Executive Director. 66 This person then represents the interests of these countries through casting the constituency's votes as a unit in Executive Board decisions. As the GFC has revealed, there are serious weaknesses in the current financial architecture that need to be corrected through radical reform. There needs to be a of the IMF are determined by its Articles of Agreement. As its most nt constitutional instrument (since 1944), the Articles of Agreement state IMF's primary objectives are: 63 mating foreign exchange stability ating a multilateral system of payments between members mating international monetary co-operation ducing the duration and severity of disequilibria in members' balance of yments, and enhancing current account convertibility cilitating the expansion and balanced growth of international trade the correction of maladjustments in members' balance of 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective enhancing the regulation of collective investment schemes to attend to the gaps in disclosure and valuation • ■ improving the surveillance of over-the-counter derivative markets introducing deposit insurance to reduce systemic liquidity risk breaking down existing silos and enhancing group-wide supervision to manage credit, concentration and cross-border risks ■ • more orderly liberalisation of capital controls. 42 Countries· capital account regi need to be tnore integrated wi.th the domestic financial supervisory framework, a at the global level the IMF should be more empowered to monitor the strength these systems. This would help foster global economic and financial stability. bilateral and multilateral surveillance function of the IMF (that is. assessing t risks of countries, regions and the entire global financial system) needs to drastically improved. By establishing the Financial Sector Assessment Progra (FSAP) after the East-Asian financial crisis in 1998. there has been a push enhance the various standards and codes that guide the operations of bo supervisory authorities and financial institutions. In this. the IMF has work, closely with the relevant standard-setting bodies, as well as the World Bank, conduct the FSAP exercises in individual countries. This remains an effective way tapping into the expertise of the various standard-setting bodies. The formation the Financial Stability Forum (FSFJ in 1999 (and strengthened in 2008) provide for the first time a forum for regulators and supervisors to meet with those takin responsibility for macroeconomic policy. In 2009, the successor to the FSr'. th Financial St.ibility Board (FSB) was established at the G20 London Summit an· included members of the G20 that previously were not part of the FSF. As a G20 country, South Africa is expected to undertake an FSAP every fiv, years. In the December 2014 report. the IMF made a number of key findings an 74 recommendations . While recognising that South Africa's financial sector operat in a challenging environment, the IMF has commended the country for it remarkable progress since 1994. Concerns were raised that as a consequence of high unemployment, stagnant disposable income and households' high indebtedness, banks are increasingly exposed to credit risk. Firms and households are also vulnerable to increases in interest rates. The IMF was also concerned about contagion because of the reliance of South African banks on money market funds for short-term wholesale funding, as well as their active trading in the over-thecounter derivatives market. Furthermore, the susceptibility of South Africa towards contagion has been exacerbated not only because of the high level of concentration in the market, but also the extensive expansion into SSA. These vulnerabilities were confirmed when African Bank was placed under curatorship in August 2014 after record losses from unsecured lending. While the systemic implications were not disastrous, this still had a significant impact on the financial system as a whole, resulting in a downgrading by the major ratings agencies. Nevertheless, the FSAP report confirmed that stress tests to severe shocks resulted in good capital resilience by both the banks and insurance companies, albeit that the tests also indicated a vulnerability to liquidity shortfalls. In its recommendations, the 2014 FSAP report placed emphasis on: 150 151 ough the World Bank was established to fill the financing disparities left by 1vate capital markets, it is at present primarily responsible for structural and ,verty assessments in member countries. 67 The very core of the World Bank's ission is to reduce global poverty and increase economic growth. It is therefore its sk to finance growth-enabling investment in poor countries. Roads, bridges, wells, mmunication systems and health systems are all typical projects that are funded part of its quest to reduce worldwide poverty. 68 The World Bank is also concerned ith debt relief, the transfer of financial resources and general economic evelopment. particularly in developing countries. As a result of several economic crises experienced by a number of countries ring the 1980s. World Bank loans started to move beyond the Jinancing of ecific development projects and it directed the majority of its efforts towards the ontentious activity of policy-based lending (that is, attaching conditions to loan isbursements). Similar to the IMF's economic austerity conditions, this gave the 'orld Bank influence over how loans were spent and consequently put them in a rime position to ordain the conditions of development policy discourses. 69 urrently the World Bank officially offers investment loans and development policy oans. with the former meant for economic and social development projects and the atter to provide fast disbursing financing to support policy and institutional reforms within countries. 70 Both types of loan have conditions and requirements for omestic economic restructuring. Its track record shows that the World Bank's main intervention has been long-term loans and technical assistance which is intended to enhance the financial sectors of various developing countries. 71 In the recent past, the Bank's policies and programmes have chiefly been aimed at sector restructuring, privatisation and legal reform . The World Bank's decision-making procedures are officially determined by article V, section 3(6). which decrees that all matters will be decided upon by a majority of the votes cast by its 182 members. This is based on the 250 votes held by each member plus an additional vote for each share of stock held. Formal power at the World Bank rests in the hands of its member states, which are represented on the Board of Governors, the ultimate policy makers at the World Bank. This body delegates decision-making to its Executive Board, a 24-member body that decides on project proposals and reviews the World Bank's policies. 71 The president of the World Bank chairs both the Board of Governors and the Executive Board on which .2 The World Bank ould be noted that the FSAPs consider the stability of the financial system as ole and not that of individual institutions. Through its FSAP assessments and ~ssisting with financial policymaking, the IMF contributes to make its member ntries' financial systems more stable by identifying key sources of systemic risk acilitating the implementation of policies that enhance their resilience to shocks, .cmic risk and contagion effects. uthoritics needing to promote a more competitive financial system for greater efficiency. Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective CONCLUSION The South African banking industry has had an astounding evolution fro primitive agricultural financing-orientated beginnings in the late 1700s to a first class financial system with sophistication and depth that has played a leading role in the global banking environment since the 1990s. It was significantly tested by the GFC and proved to be surprisingly resilient when many other advanced economy financial systems imploded. The initial influence of international banks translated into establishing a financial system where leading South African banks became globally competitive, despite the isolation years during apartheid. With economic liberalisation in the early 1990s, different types of international bank representation have emerged as part of the globalisation of banking, which has created a range of approaches for South African banks to internationalise their , banking operations. This eventually ranged from foreign subsidiaries and Greenfield developments to shell branches. Rapid acceleration in financial globalisation and the ensuing GFC has created both challenges and opportunities as South African banks were exposed to an interdependent financial world of financial innovation, securitisation, systemic risk, contagion and convergence as neoliberalism , proliferated. All this happened while they were dealing with a new domestic context 5.6 they have the casting vote in case of a tie. As the live largest shareholders of World Bank, the US, UK, France, Germany and Japan each appoint an Execu Director and the rest are elected by the other member governments every two ye The reason developed countries hold a clear majority within the World Ban because the amount of stock depends on a member's relative economic financial strength. Thus, as with the IMF, the World Bank is also controlled by wealthiest member states through weighted voting. The World Bank currently funds four large operations in South Africa: the Esk, Investment Support Project (US$3.75 billion); the lsimangaliso Wetland Park proj (US$9 million); the Renewable Energy Markel Transformation project (US$6 milli and the Clean Technology Fund of the World Bank (US$250 million). 75 It also fu more than 20 smaller projects across South Africa. The World Bank (together wi the Basel Committee) shares the G20 leaders' endorsement of financial inclusion a pillar of the global development agenda. Hence enhancing financial inclusion is hi on the World Bank's priority list for South Africa's banking industry. It provid assistance to banks with regards to creating synergies between financial inclusio financial stability, financial integrity and financial consumer protection (or its s called I-SIP objectives). In its view there can be no long-term stability witho 76 inclusion. As such. a more diversified, stable, retail deposit base increases system stability. It further adds to greater political legitimacy and thus decreases the risk political and social instability (by improving general economic stability). Becau there are also very often trade-offs between inclusion and stability (and integrity an consumer protection), the World Bank assists banks in creating positive synergies an helping them develop policies that facilitate this objective. It also plays a key role a mediator between banks and the government as far as financial policy formulation i concerned. 152 153 e greater emphasis had to be placed on financial inclusion and banking the nked. Demonstrating the efficiency and forward thinking ability of the South an financial sector, they proactively engaged government on this matter, which '1tually culminated in the drawing up and implementation of the Financial or Charter. ' The 'invasion' of Africa by South African banks continues to this day at a steady particularly since local banks are more familiar with local circumstances than -African foreign banks, and also because they view African markets as being truly pped. While their operations are certainly profitable, such investments are also al to revitalising the continent within the context of the African Renaissance, the an Union and the integration and deepening of African financial markets. 54 arch confirms that the presence of foreign-owned financial institutions has the ntial to enhance the efficiency of the local banking system. It often leads to riskring, liquidity provision and the improvement of the quality, pricing and ilability of financial services, both directly by service providers and indirectly, ough heightened competition. 72 This, however, needs to be balanced by the fact 1t although greater competition will increase cost efficiency, constraints imposed on ,nks to take part in alternative investment decisions might increase cost inefficiency. Moreover, the globalisation of banking also contributes profoundly to the nsmission of shocks across markets and on the effectiveness of policy tools plied at home and abroad. 6 As was seen during the GFC - even in Africa - foreign uidity conditions impact on both foreign-owned banks and local stand-alone nks. but in differing degrees, This typically depends on their exposure to crossorder funding and to the capital markets that include the MNBs (or network of anks) wherein they operate. Key developments and dynamics in African banking are the growing presence China and India, not only as trade and investment partners, but also as financial rvices providers - either through direct branches or in acquiring stakes in leading frican banks (as seen with Standard Bank). Another development is the rapidly iminishing credibility of neoliberal economic policies and approaches after the FC. 70 The past decade has evidenced a radical shift in the world economic and olitical order as China has surged forward despite the GFC. The rise of East-South 'elationships in preference to North-South relationships, and more precisely the emise of Europe and North America's domination over Africa. presents a new era f how Africa will open its markets to foreign participation. This is something South frican banks have to take cognisance of, especially in view of the emerging search or a stable. post-liberal world and the liquidity requirements of Basel III. Given the South African banking industry's progress with regards to black conomic empowerment, a number of smaller banks have emerged as key players that cater for the needs of entry-level banking. 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'Spillover and competition effects: evidenc e from the sub-Sah aran African banking sector'. GIGA working paper 165: 1-28. 61. Kelkar, V, P. Chaudhry, M. Vanduzer-Snow & Bhaskar, V. 2005. 'Reforming the Internat ional Moneta ry Fund: Towards Enhanced Accountability and Legitimacy' in Reforming the Governance of the IMF and the World Bank, edited by A Buira. London: Anthem Press. 156 157 (Accessed 16 August 013). rwin, G. Gilbert, C & Vines, D. 2004. 'How should the [MF view capital controls?' in The IMF and Its Critics: Reform of Global Financial Architecture, edited by C Gilbert &D Vines. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Smaghi, S. 2004. /\ Single EU Seat in the IMF?' JCMS 42(2): 229-24 8. Woods. N. & Narlikar. A. 2001. Governance and the Umits of Account ability: The WTO, the IM1'; and the World Bank. UNESCO 170: 569-58 3. Portugal, M. 2005. 'Improving IMF governance and increasi ng the influence of developing countrie s in IMF decision-making' in Reforming the Governance of the IMF and the World Bank, edited by A Buira. London: Anthem Press. Bird. G & Joyce, J. 2001. 'Remodelling the Multilateral Financi al Institutions.' Global 'Governance 7(1): 75-94. Guell, R. 2006. Issues In Economics Today. 3rd ed. New York: McGraw -Hill. O'Brien, R, Goetz, A, Scholte, J & Williams M. 2003. Contesting Global Governance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. World Bank. 2006. Organisation: Working for a World Free of Poverty. http:/ /web. worldba nk.org/w bsite/ex ternal/e xtabout us/ (Accessed 14 Septem ber 2006). ·scholte, J. 2001. 'Global trade and finance' in The Globalisation of World Politics: An Introduction to International Relations, edited by J Baylis and S Smith. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Falkena, H, Davel. G. Hawkins, P. Llewellyn, D. Luus, C, Masilela , E, Parr, G, Pienaar, J & Shaw, H. 2004. 'Competition in South African Banking.' Task group report for the nationa l treasury and the South African Reserve Bank: 1-168. Yurcan, B. 2013. Reaching the Unbanked in South Africa. http://w ww.ban ktech.c om/ core-systems/reachin g-the-u nbanked -in-sout h-africa / d/ d-id/ 12 9 64 60? (Accessed 16 September 2015). Internat ional Moneta ry Fund. 2014. 'South Africa: Financial System Stability Assessment.' IMF Country Report 14/ 340: 1-104. World Bank. 2014. South Africa Projects & Programs. http://w ww.wor ldbank. org/ en/coun try/sout hafrica/ projects (Accessed 16 September 2015). Porteous, D. 2012. 'Financ ial Inclusion and the Linkages to Stability , Integrity and Protection: Insights from The South African Experience.' World Bank Working Paper 75157: 1-47. ternatio nal Monetary Fund (IMF). 2004. What is tire International Monetar y und? http:/ /www.i mf.org/ externa l/pubs/f t/exrp/w hat.htm Chapter 5: The Development and Internationalisation of South African Banking w z w c., a: :iJ: c., - z z ~ ----~--·••,. ........,.....______ . ,, - ..._,___........... ......... , Integrated reporting as a basis for organisational risk assessment ORGANISATIONAL REPORTING FRAMEWORK iven the current turbulent and dynamic economic times that banks have both caused and been a part of in recent decades, the management of risk from an organisational rerspective has become an extremely important area of focus. As a result, the concept adopting an enterprise-wide risk management (ERM) framework has become an tegral part of organisational structure design. ERM refers to a holistic and integrated anagement and reporting approach that recognises the interconnectedness of ',2 information era in which we live has changed the way the world gathers rmation. This information, however. is not always credible given the proliferation of ns of contributing to the information highway. Society on the whole is therefore with the problem that the integrity of information cannot be verified, as it has not ys come from credible sources. For this reason, and in the interests of protecting all evant stakeholders, the quality of reporting for companies has become an important d comprehensive source of information. Reporting requirements are becoming more ;orous and companies are increasingly being forced to be transparent about their ancial and environmental impact. , This chapter provides a discussion on the integrated reporting frameworks mpanies have at their disposal and applies it to the South African context. Following is is a discussion on the typical integrated reporting frameworks within a bank.' INTRODUCTION reading this chapter, you should be able to: entity and discuss the relevance of integrated reporting to enterprise-wide isk management discuss the three main sections of an integrated report name and discuss the seven main disclosure categories in integrated reports identify the standards and guidelines related to sustainability reporting around the world establish the relevance of corporate social respof)sibility to integrated reporting identify and discuss the main differences that a bank's integrated report has compared with other companies identify and discuss the main disclosures found in the integrated report for a bank . identify and discuss the main disclosures found in the notes of financial statements for a bank. NING OBJECTIVES Reporting for Banks 6.2.2 The structure and content of integrated reports 6.2.2.1 The three main sections of integrated reports The main source used for the content of an integrated report in South Africa is found in the King III Code on Corporate Governance and the Global Reporting Initiative different risks and establishes clear organisational reporting structures that are ai providing processes and policies to manage these risks. Although ERM is discussed in detail in Chapter 9, it is important to under at this stage, that the risks faced by a bank are interconnected. This means management is required to adopt an organisational approach that takes account the interconnected and thus integrated nature of risk. It is important the reporting of risk be as comprehensive as possible so that the public is awa the risk exposure faced by a bank. Integrated reporting encompasses a ho! approach that covers the entire operations of a company and the report ai integrate all the facets of the business in which a company is involved in ord provide a comprehensive source of information to stakeholders such as invest, analysts, employees, clients and governmental organisations. It is not uncom for banks to publish an integrated report of several hundred pages. However, in day and age where information is ubiquitous, it is common practice for compa to place their annual reports on their websites for interested parties to down! rather than publishing such large and costly documents. The integrated report o major bank is typically found on the company website under the 'Investor Relatio section along with several other sources of bank information. These sources include the financial results and annual reports which are listed separately alo with information on the bank's credit ratings, its compliance to the latest Ba Capital requirements, its sustainability reports and its BEE efforts to name a few. Integrated reporting covers more than the elucidation of performance via t' financial statements and accompanying notes. In recent times, investors have be increasingly more concerned with the impact of a bank's operations on t environment and in particular on the society in the broader context it operat within. When a modern investor evaluates a company for possible investment, th need to be assured that the bank conducts itself in an ethical manner, is driven by sound value system and strong corporate governance structures. Triple bottom Ii reporting that focuses on environmental . social and financial issues is an importan element for inclusion in an integrated report as it allows the bank to indicate, on a annual basis, how it plans to maintain or improve the positive effects its operation have on society and conversely, how it plans to reduce the negative effects. A important feature of any reporting is its forward-looking nature. At the heart of integrated reporting is the notion that stakeholders are provided with a comprehensive overview of the operations of a company in order to assess the organisational risk environment. Given that investors in a particular company were traditionally only interested in the economic value of that company, the statement of financial position (balance sheet) and the statement of comprehensive income (income statement) served as the main source of information. What is included in a typical integrated report? 162 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 163 3 guidelines launched in 2006. With increased international focus on tability. the G3 guidelines have been adjusted to place more focus on the tires of an organisation's impact on its environment and its sustainability. This d to the development of the G4 guidelines. which are applicable to all nability reports after 31 December 2015. Where traditional annual reports e only the directors' report and the audited financial statements, an integrated includes a third component. which focuses on non-financial information. ·n general the three main components of an integrated report are: be directors' report he directors' report should be seen as a commentary on the economic value of e company and allows stakeholders the opportunity to gain insight into the ompany's plans to create value for the stakeholders. The Chief Executive fficer (CEO) usually provides a brief overview of the company and its chievement over the year. The directors' report can also include an assessment f the key risks faced and how the directors plan to remedy or mitigate them. In :a·ddition, the report needs to disclose whether or not the company is expected to l,e a going concern in the coming financial year. If there is a question about the going concern status of the company, the Directors should disclose their plans "to rerrtedythe situation in the coming financial year. •• The audited financial statements The audited financial statements typically include the statement of financial position (formerly the balance sheet). the statement of comprehensive income (formerly the income statement), and the cash flow statement, along with the accompanying notes of each of these. These are the requirements as stipulated by the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) (refer to Chapter 7). Non-financial . and sustainabilit y reports The remainder of the integrated report focuses on non-financial information and sustainability. Non-financial information is typically part of the sustainability report and should include information about the company's plans to improve the positive aspects and remedy the negative aspects of its business operations in the coming year. This allows the stakeholders to make informed decisions based on the economic value of the company and typically includes the following: 1 •2 The disclosure of how the company generates its income from both favourable and unfavourable factors that impact on business operations. This is done by addressing the strategy, organisational profile and reporting parameters of the company. Reporting should be done across all areas of the organisation and include the choices that the Board of Directors (Board) has made to reach the strategic objectives. The disclosures must reflect the impact of decisions on the triple bottom line - that is, the economic, social and environmenta l. In compiling the integrated report the Board must keep I.he principle of transparency in mind. This includes non-financial information that is critical to the stakeholders' understanding of the key issues affecting the Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks company. These key aspects include governance of commitments to sustainability and stakeholders and stakeholders and the environment. The integrated report must address the key performance indicators o company. These indicators address economic performance, environm performance, social performance, human rights, and society and pr responsibility. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Tl,e se11en mai11 disclosure categories in integrated reports ✓ ✓ Dlrectors';1eport • / '.Financial statements . ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ 6.2.2.2.2 Organisational profile Table 6.2 contains a list of all disclosures relating to a company's operationa profile. It may be that the operational profile is shown with the strategic aspect mentioned above. Reporf:ing on the organisational profile typically includes th name of the company, the distribution networks (branches), descriptions of suppl chain management, markets served, location of the company headquarters and s on. The information presented in the organisational profile can be used by investor to gain an understanding of the company within the industry in which it trades. Source: Compiled from GR! G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GR! G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 Key outcomes in terms of capitals Key outputs Key business activities Key inputs relating 10 capitals Key impact ol risks and oppor!unities Overall vision and stralegy for ShOft, medium and long term Statement from most senior decision-maker of organisation about the relevance of sustainability :.:.Strategy, analysis and business mode Table 6.1 Strategy, analysis and business model aspects in an integrated report 6.2.2.2.1 Strategy, analysis and business model Table 6.1 contains a list of all disclosures that relate to the strategy and busi model of a company. The reporting on these aspects typically includes management, vision, key business activities, outputs and a statement by the senior decision-makers, such as the CEO and CFO. on the sustainability of company. 6.2.2.2 When providing an annual report, there are seven main categories of disclO that are typically included. Although there is no stipulation as to the location these disclosures in the report, the following tables indicate where the informatio most likely to be placed. From a reporting perspective, what is important is that information is included. 164 ol abovementioned ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Reporting parameters and material aspects 'he reporting parameters and material aspects contained in Table 6.3 provide formation related specifically to the annual financial reporting year, the list of tities which form part of the group (if group structure applies), the process that e company follows in order to identify what to include in the integrated report, ow the company goes about identifying which entities to classify as joint ventures r subsidiaries, and any other material aspects that the company may deem .important to investors. These other aspects cover items within and outside the immediate control of the company. ✓ - ✓ ✓ - ✓ - - ✓ ✓ - ✓ - ✓ ✓ - ✓ ✓ - ✓ I ✓ - ✓ - ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ -lntegm!ed report >Financlalstatements ✓ 165 \Directors' report urce: Compiled from GRI G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GRI G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 of Iota! employees covered by coHer:tive bargaining ion of employees are sell-employed ,n 1n broken down in terms of debt and equity lnaFprofile· Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Stakeholder engagement ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Directors' .report I Financial statements . Governance, com111itme11t and engage111ent ✓ ✓ ✓ .... -..,rr+~------•·"""""···.0.- .. s.?P/ ·•··""' .• ► •• , •• , • • • .-... The governance structures of the company, along with the purpose, values and .strategies are important given that investors are becoming increasingly interested in the highest decision-making and governing bodies within organisational structures. 6.2.2.2. 5 Source: Compiled from GR! G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GRI G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 Key topic and concerns raised through stakeholder engagf!ment Approach lo stakeholders engagemenl Basis far identification of stakeholders groups Lisi of stakeholder groups Stakeholder engagement Table 6.4 Stakeholder engagement aspects in an integrated report With the increased international focus on stakeholders during the Global Financia Crisis (GFC), it has become crucial for companies to maintain and foster thei stakeholder relationships. The importance of these relationships is recognised in the King III Report on Corporate Governance Principles, which requires that stakeholder relationships (and their management) be a permanent item on all Board agendas. Table 6.4 contains the requirements that need to be disclosed in the integrated report in terms of the management of stakeholder relationships. 6.2.2.2.4 Source: Compiled from GRI G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GRI G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 Materiality of aspect oulside \he Ofganisauon Material!ty of aspect within the organisation Significanl changes to previous financial statements Explanation of effect of res1a1ement of previous financial statements Basis fOf reporting on subsidiaries, joint ventures, etc Boundary of the report (countries, divisions, subsidiaries, etc) Process for delining report contents List material aspects identified in the process ol delining content Cootacl point for questions regarding reporting Reporting cycle, ie annual Date of most recent re(X)rt Reporting period Explain implementation of Reporting Principles Jor Defining Aepon Content Any entities not included in the integrated reJ)Ol1 List of entities included in consolidated financial statements Directors' report . I Financial statements • Reporting parameters and material aspects and boundaries in an integrated report Reporting parameters and identified material aspects and boundaries •• Table 6.3 166 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective amg co onmental and SOC1d The mle ol the highest governance body in sustainability reporting Frequency of gOV1:!rning body's review of risks management processes Governing body's role in reviewing effectiveness of rtsk Stakeholder consultation in identification in risks of risks Governing body's role in idenlification and management The role of the nighest governance bOdy in risk management Actions in response to evaluation Processes ol evaluation ol pertormance in terms of eoonornie, environmental and social topics Measures taken to develop and enhance goveming body's collective knowledge Competencies and pertocmance evaluations ol the highest governance body Governing body and e)(ecutives role in development, approval and uixtattng of purpose, values, mission statements, strategies and goats Role of the highest governance body in setting purpose, values and strategy Report on ensuring conflict ol interest are avoided and managed and committees Report on the nomination and selection processes ol board ts the Chair of the governing body also an executive officer? Composition of the highest governing body including executive vs non-executive, independence, tenure, number of other significant positions held, gender, membership of underrepresented social groups, competence and stakehotder representation Process for consultation between stakeholders and the body responsible for social. economic and environmental topicS Appointment of executive-level positions responsible foc social, economic and environmental topics Process of delegation for authority in terms of economic, environmental and social topics 'impacts Ql1·111d Pltld [J'&nQagc ~ ~ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ""Diti!Clors'repott:_I FIHarieiiiHltatements 11nte!)rat!ld report •. Governance, commitments and engagement aspects in an integrated report :disclosure gives rise to transparency as well as trust in the management. The petence of the members of the governing body as well as the role they play in the management process of a company are the main drivers in the decision-making i;ess of investors. Table 6.5 contains these aspects as well as additional information ut the company's involvement in sustainability and its remuneration policy. Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks => I ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ Financial statements ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ~rectors' ;~P~rt :,-1 •Financial_statements ~ ✓ 6.2.2.2. 7 Management approach and performance indicators The final category in the integrated report deals with the company's performance indicators for sustainability. This section usually includes a discussion on economic performance, environmental sustai.nability and performance. social and human rights, societal impact, product responsibility and labour practices. The majority of sustainable disclosures forms part of this section and often stipulates management's approach to ensure that sustainable practices will be followed. Table 6. 7 contains. examples that management can consider when reporting on their management approach and the sustainability of the company. Source: Compiled from GR! G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GR! G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 Internal and external mechanisms fOf' re~ing concerns in terms of unethical or unlawful behaviour Values, principles, standards and norms of organisation. ie codes of ethics Ethics·and integrity Table 6.6 Ethical and integrity aspects in an integrated report 6.2.2.2.6 Ethics and integrity Good corporate governance principles require management and the Board of company to be model corporate citizens and manage the business with integrity and it an ethical manner. 3 Ethical leadership is important to invest.ors and a company need to disclose its commitment to such behaviour. Table 6.6 contains examples of aspect· that a company might include in the integrated report in terms of ethics and integrity. Source: Compiled from GRT G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GR! G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 to median of compensalion for all employees Ratio of annual total compensation al highest paid individual Stakeholders' view in determining remuneration Process in determining remuneration PerfOl'mance criteria in terms of remuneration policy Retirement benefits Clawbacks Termination payments Sign-on bonuses Fixed and variable pay Remuneration policies for governing board Remuneration and inceittives Nature and total number of concerns tile were communicated Process for communicating critical concerns The role of the highest governance body in evaluating ecooomic, environmental and social performance sustainability report Highest committee or position who review and approved Directors' report Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Governance, commitments and engagement 168 169 ✓ ✓ Child labour Forced and compulsory labour ✓ Grievance mechanisms for impact on society ✓ ✓ ✓ Custom~r health and safety Product and service labelling Marketing communicalions Product responsibility ✓ ✓ Anti•competitive behaviour Supplier assessment for impact on society ✓ Publlcpolq Compliance ✓ ✓ Corrupl~n ✓ ✓ ✓ Supplier human rights assessment Human rights grievance mechanisms Community ✓ Indigenous rights assessment ✓ ✓ Freedom of association and collective bargaining Security practices ✓ ✓ Investment and procurement practices Diversity and equal opportunity Noo·discrimination ✓ ✓ Training and education ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ = .Financial:statements Jntegmted report Occupalional health and safety •it' ,;Directors'.report Labour/management relations Env\ronmental grievance mechanisms nt approach to malerials, energy, water, emissions, waste, prollucts and services, ~~nee, transport, etc ·::';':a~... Management approach and performance indicator aspects in an integrated report Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks Compliance Customer policy Employrnenl ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ SUSTAINABILITY REPORTING In addition to these, Germany issued the German Commercial Code in 2013 and revised it in 2015, 9 Norway issued a White Paper on CSR in 2009 10 and Denmark passed a law on CSR in 2012. 11 In keeping with international trends, the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) launched the SRI index in 2004. This index was the first of its kind and allowed both current and prospective investors listed on the JSE to judge the integration of international principles of corporate social responsibility in the policies and procedures of listed entities and to assist investors in looking at non-financial risk variables in the decision-making process. 12 The index is based on the concept of Several standards and guidelines exist across the world for sustainability reporting These include: ■ the Global Compact and Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI) focusin on ESG, supported by the United Nations in 2006 6 ■ the Green Paper for Corporate Social Responsibility issued in 2001 7 by th European Union ■ Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) published the Guidelines for Multinational Companies in 2006 18 ■ the Swedish government issued the Global Reporting Initiative's (GRI) G3 guidelines in 2006 9 The concept of sustainability has been relevant for several years although in times there have been significant international changes and developments in th reporting thereof. Sustainability reporting and corporate social responsibility (CSR are so intertwined that the terms are often used interchangeably. 6.3 Tables 6.1 through 6. 7 can also be used as a checklist to determine which aspe are applicable to a company and should therefore be included in the integrat, report. Some of the aspects may not be applicable, but as part of being a responsi corporate citizen, comprehensive disclosure is better than being sketchy. Source: Compiled from GR! G3 Guidelines (2006) 3 and GRI G4 Guidelines (2013) 4 Labour practices grievance mechanisms Supp!ler assessment for labour practices EQUal remuneration for woman and men Diversity and equaJ opportunity Training and educalion Occupational health and safety Lalxlur/management relatioos Directors'}'8po,t_j_!l_nanci81:_statements}: Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective labour practices and decent work 170 171 6.1 The impact of business on society bottom line reporting, as introduced by the King II Report in 2002.13 The bottom line concept is also referred to as the 'people planet profit' concept, r implies that a balance be struck between the interests of the community le), the company (profit), and the environment (planet). According to the JSE ndex the best performers, as far as sustainability reporting for 2012 is rned, include companies such as the Bidvest Group, Santam Ltd, Old Mutual nd Standard Bank Ltd.1 4 The 2013 list of best performers includes Anglo rican Platinum Ltd, Illovo Sugar Ltd, Nedhank Ltd, Standard Bank Ltd, nhoff International and the Vodacom Group Ltd. 15 The 2014 list includes Anglo erican· Platinum Ltd, Standard Bank Ltd, Barloworld, Ilovo Sugar Ltd, Lonmin 'Netcare Ltd, Royal Bafokeng Platinum and the Vodacom Group Ltd. 10 Corporate social responsibility (CSR) refers to how ethically companies are naged when creating wealth, not only for the company itself but also for all keholders of the company. Companies are required to report on the quality of ir management (see Figure 6.1) of both people and operating processes. They d to report on the nature and extent of their impact on the market, workplace, ironment and community, as well as including a plan for bow they aim to hieve this element of the overall strategic and risk management practices of the tnpany. Upon achieving this, companies are seen to be good 'corporate citizens'. Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Although there is no officially accepted framework or structure that banks must us when compiling an integrated report, there are similarities in what type of material i included in the report. That means that one might come across the integrated report of two different banks that do not necessarily have the same structure. Where the are located on the bank's website is also not always consistent. For the most part, however, there is some conformity regarding the content. The following section provides an overview of the typical elements reported on ·by South African banks, with a brief description of what is included in each section. 6.4 A TYPICAL INTEGRATED REPORT OF A BANK Given the discussion above, what information is actually included in the inte reports of banks? This is a particularly pertinent question given the unique n of banking and the specific regulatory requirements according to the Banks Ac of 1990) and the Basel Capital Requirements (see Chapters 3 and 15 respective! The information disclosed in the integrated report provides stakeholders an opportunity to assess the environment facing the operations of the bank. better the quality of information the better the assessment of risk faced by the There are several benefits for banks (and companies in general) that use integr, reporting including: ■ The risk environment within which the bank operates is reflected through operational and organisational structures, which are organised to iden assess and manage risk. ■ Shareholders can compare annual reports of different banks in order to ch the best investment opportunity. ■ Equity analysts consider sustainability and integrated reporting when valu' and rating banks. ■ Higher credit ratings are normally given to banks that have sustainabili strategies in place. ■ It improves transparency and promotes a more effective risk management (a assessment) environment. ■ Integrated reporting allows banks themselves to identify sustainability-rela opportunities for growth and cost containment. ■ Stakeholders are better able to holistically assess the future growth pat envisaged by the management of the bank. ■ A properly prepared integrated report holds compliance benefits to banks such complying with environmental laws and 'green' product development. This i turn has positive reputational effects, especially with regards to environmen lobby groups. In order to be a good corporate citizen a company is required to disclose items on sustainability as part of the integrated report. This disclosure will less litigation, less resistance from stakeholders and a better public image an in turn, will streamline processes and thus improve the operational efficien companies. 172 173 Risk management report he risk management report is usually one of (if not the) most comprehensive ection in the integrated report of a bank for several reasons: Risk management is the core business of banking. The GFC starting in 2007 has changed the risk landscape, especially with regards to the reporting thereof. Basel II and III require banks to disclose their risk identification, quantification and mitigation more comprehensively than ever before. Banks are required to be more transparent about how they deal with risk. .4.4 n the problems related to corporate governance in the lead-up to the GFC, the ality of governance within a bank has become a priority for both regulators and cutive management. The corporate governance report provides a detailed overview the processes and structures the bank has in place to ensure that sound corporate ernance occurs. The integrated report would typically elaborate on the structure within the bank in terms of lines of authority and reporting, from the Board to various custodians of corporate governance within the bank. For example, the ort typically provides brief commentaries on the role and performance of the uneration, audit and ethics committees and the policies they enforce. A thorough description of the members of the Board is often provided as well as e identification of non-executive directors, executive directors or independent n-executive directors. A list of the year's Board meetings and attendance registers included as well as the qualifications and internal and external directorships eld by the various Board members. ,3 Corporate governance report integrated report is usually followed by a report from each of the respective senior 'tors within the bank, typically including the Chairman of the Board of Directors oard) and the Chief Executive Officer. It is not uncommon in recent years for members of executive management including the Chief Financial Officer, Chief ations Officer and the Chief Economist to provide their assessment and ctions for the banking environment. The commentary provided is an extremely ibrtant section of the report as it gives a sense of the issues the Board and executive nagement are dealing with, specifically from a strategic point of view. Director and executive management reports troduction section usually provides a brief overview of the bank in terms of nd and general operations, whether domestically or internationally. The n and vision of the bank are provided within the context of its strategic focus. he bank will include human resource or operational highlights (such as s) in this section. Usually there is a select list of salient performance indicators rovide a brief analysis of how well the bank has performed during recent . Often these performance indicators are benchmarked according to a termined target or projection previously imposed by the bank. Introduction and general overview Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks Capital management report Divisional (operational) revi ews Wh ethe r or not the ban k is part of a group, the different division s functioning within the ban k are discussed. This would typically include a brief com men tary of the year's performance and futu re outlook by the divisional head . The different divisions usually include retail, commercial and corporate ban king. This section is 6.4.6 Complementary to the risk man age men t repo rt is the capital man age men t repo According to Basel III, banks are required to provide their Common Equity Tier (CETl), Tier 1 (Tl) and Total Cap ital ratios (TCR) and these mus t be above min imu pre-specified values set by the SARB in accordance with the BCBS requ irem en Excluding the bank-specific indi vidual capital requ irem ent (wh ich may not b disclosed publicly), the min imu m capital ratios for CETl, Tl and TCR at the end o 201 5 were 6.5%, 8% and 10% respectively (see Chapter 15). The ability of the ban to meet and exceed these (alt hou gh not too excessively) is discusse d in the capita report. [n addition, the repo rt con tain s details of the methodologies used to quantify these ratios and risk-weighted asse ts are also provided. 6.4.5 The first part of the risk man age men t repo rt usually highlights the risk a cult ure and strategic app roac h to risk and is usually acco mpanied by governance stru ctur e that delineat es the organisational lines of auth orit y rega the man age men t and own ersh ip of the various risks. This is an imp orta nt depa point as it provides the read er with an idea of the degree and willingne man age men t to engage in risky activities. [t sets the tone for the philosophy of man age men t. Banks typically follow a risk governance fram ework that has t levels (or lines of defence) of con trol (see Chapter 9 for a furt her discussion on t ■ Lev el one con trol : bus ines s uni ts The various business units resp ectively take ownership of the risk environ they face . • Level two con trol : risk man age men t pol icie s The business unit man age rs are supported by the various risk man age processes and policies in place and typically adopt an enterpri se-wide appr to risk man age men t approach. • Level thr ee control.: aud it and exte rna l The aud it function and inde pendent exte rnal assessments are essential ensu ring that the risk man age men t in place is effective and adequate . Following this, ther e may be the inclusion of a thor oug h discussi on on the performa of the bank with regards to the various risks to which it is expo sed. These typica include interest rate. credit, cou ntcrparty, strategic, reputational, market, fore· exchange (and sovereign), equi ty, operational, liquidity and regu latory risk. The r man age men t repo rt sets out in deta il how these risks are man age d and quantified a provides the latest figures that have to be compliant with min imu m requirements by the Sou th African Reserve Ban k (SARB) and /or the Basel Com mittee on Banki Supervision (BCBS). 174 Bank Management in Sou th Africa - A risk-based perspect ive 175 Inte rest inco me and inte rest Interest income includes all the ex1>ense activities in which the ban k gen erates interest income and would typically high light. the loan (or advances) mix to which the ban k is exposed. Similarly, inte rest expense includes all the activities that generate interest expense and would provide all deposit (and non-deposit) borrowings to which the ban k is exposed. Analysts are able to get a good indication of the inte rest con trib utio n of the various types of loan s and deposits to the overall net interest income of the bank. These activities typi cally reflect the activities inhe rent in the ban king book and specifically the intermediation function of the bank. .Loans (ad van ces) The assets include all cash, inve stments and non-movable prop erty, but by far the largest com pon ent is the loan book, which is usually broken dow n into four categories: segment, such as retail. commercial . corp orat e banking, etc product, such as overdrafts, mortgag e loans, term loans, etc sector, such as retail, agriculture, min ing geographical location, according to either cou ntry (South Africa, Afri ca, North America, etc) or region (Gauten g, Western Cape, Kwazulu-Natal. etc). For an analyst, the breakdown of the asset book is essential to assessing the quality of the loan book, espe cially with regards to the like lihood of non performing (impaired) or deli nqu ent loans going forward. For this reason a breakdown of impaired loans is usually also provided in the note . Lia bili ties (dep osit s) The deposit book reflects the fund s the ban k acquires in order to make the loans it provides. As with the loans, they arc usually disclosed in the four categories segment, product, sector and geo graphical location. tiancial statements include the stat eme nt of financial position (SFP, previously n as the balance sheet), the stat eme nt of profit or loss and othe r comprehensive ·. e (SPL. previously known as the income statement), the stat eme nt of changes ity, the statement of cash flow, and notes on each respective financia l statement. uditor's report and secretary cert ification report is also usually found in this n. For a thor oug h discussion on these financial statements, refe r to Chapter 7. otes on the SFP and the SPL are particularly informative as they delve deeper the detail of the respective item. For banks in particular the note s in the SPL and provide a lot of valuable info rmation that can assist stakeho lders to better stand the environment in which the ban k functions. :Annual financial statements and notes ant in establishing the business model of the ban k and in part icular, ring how different divisions arc performing relative to one another . Cha pter 6: Integrated Reportin g for Banks Non-interest income and non-intc1·cst expense The non-interest income includes all those activities that generate re from sources that are neither lending nor deposit-taking in nature. In words, non-interest income includes the income generated from activities as fees and commissions (cash deposit, brokerage, bank charges, know fees) and income derived from insurance-rela ted activities. The acti highlighted in the non-interest income note reflect the intent of bank diversify into revenue streams that are non-traditiona l, especially those rel to insurance. The non-interest expenses refer to those typically found in organisation including salaries, stationery, maintenance, etc. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 6.5 CONCLUSION This chapter has highlighted the fact that integrated reports provide a wealth o information to stakeholders that allow them to make informed judgements about th bank. One only has to compare an annual report of two decades ago with one of toda' • and you will notice that. in its published form, it has increased in size, in most cases b more than ten times. This is the result of an ever-changing economic and operatin • environment that has both domestic and international clements. By implication, ris on':lt 6.4.10 Sustainability report Although often produced as a document separate to the actual annual report due its sheer size, the sustainability report provides an assessment and overview of t bank's CSR and sustainability initiatives. In particular, banks will publish t impact their operations have on the economic (profit-related), environmen ('green'-related ) and social (impact on people, including employees, clients an communities) spheres of society. National and n.,:, standards are often used to gauge their effectiveness. 6.4.9 Shareholder information The shareholder report provides all the shareholders of the bank as well as on whi stock exchanges the bank is listed. The notice to the most recent annual gener meeting is also included and any resolutions decided upon. 6.4.8 Definitions and abbreviations A list of definitions will be provided if a bank feels that it needs to clarify its mean of a certain concept. An example of this is reputation risk. Given the fact t reputation is very company-specific, the business activities that lead to reputati effects can be totally different from one bank to another. For this reason, it m, sense to provide a formal definition from the viewpoint of the bank that clari this. Abbreviations used by the bank can also be included for ease of use. The breakdown of the bank's revenue sources in the notes is vitally importati understanding the business model of the bank, especially with regards to the stra to focus on traditional banking activities (net interest income) and non-traditio banking activities (those related to insurance as part of non-interest income). .. 176 177 stitute of Directors. 2014. 1'he King III Report and Code on Governance in South ifrica. Johannesburg. LexisNexis. he International Integrated Reporting Council (IIRC). 2013. The lnteruationa/ 'ramework. http://integratedreporting.org/resou reel in ternational-ir-framework/ Accessed 11 May 2015). ,lobal Reporting Institute (GRI). Sustainability Reporting Guidelines (G3 ). https:/ / ww. globalreporting. org/ standards/G 3 andG 3-1 / g 3-guidelines/ Pages/ defau lt.aspx (Accessed 16 February 2015) . :Global Reporting Institute (GRI). Sustainability Reporting Guidelines (G4). https://www. globalreporting.org/standards/ g4/Pages/ default.aspx (Accessed 11 May 2015). Institute of Directors. 2014. King lI1 Report on Corporate Governance Principles. LexisNexis: Durban. Principles for Responsible Investment (PRI). 2012. The six principles. hltp:/ /www. >unpri.org/about-pri/the-six-principles/ (Accessed 16 February 2013). • Green Paper for Corporate Social Responsibility. 2013. http://europa.e u/ legislation summaries/employment and social policy/employment rights and work organisation/n 26039 en.htm (Accessed 16 February 2013). OECD. nd. Better policies for better lives. http:/ /www.oecd.org/corporate/mne/ . {Accessed 16 February 2013). • • Deutscher Nachhaltigkeitskodex. 2015. The Sustainability Code. http://www. deutscher-nachhaltigkeitskodex.de/en/application/downloads.html (Accessed 11 May 2015). United Nations Global Compact. 2009. White Paper on Corporate Social Responsibility. https://www.unglobalcompact.org/newsandevents/ncws archives/2009 07 02.html (Accessed 16 February 2013). Corporate Social Responsibility and Reporting in Denmark. 2013. http:// samfundsansvar.dk/file/358879/csr rapport 2013 cng.pdf (Accessed 16 February 2013). 2. Johannesburg Stock Exchange. 2014. SRI Index: Backyround and Criteria. https:// www.jse.co.za/content/TSERulesPoliciesandRegulationitems/13ackground%20 and%20Criteria%202014.pdf (Accessed 11 May 2015). South African Institute of Chartered Accountants. nd. Executive Summary of the King Report of 2002. https://www.saica.co.za/Portals/O/documents/executive summary kingll.pdf (Accessed 16 February 2013). Johannesburg Stock Exchange. nd. SRT Index Best Perjormers. https:/ /www.jse. co.za/services/market-data/indices/socially-responsible-investment-index (Accessed 16 February 2013). Johannesburg Stock Exchange. nd. SRI Index Best Performers. https:/ /www.jse. co.za/services/market-data/indices/socia]ly-responsible-investment-index (Accessed 1 May 2015). reased due to the complexity and innovation within financial markets and have had to comply with regulations and legislation in both traditional and ditional banking sectors. An integrated report therefore fulfils an extremely nt role in ensuring adequate disclosure and transparency regarding the operandi of a bank. Chapter 6: Integrated Reporting for Banks Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ~ " - ~ - - - - ~ , - - c c . , 1 / _ f l.. ~ - - V _,._ ... ' . > .. :.-.-"< _ .• , 16. Johannesburg Stock Exchange. nd. SRI Index Best Performers. https:/ /www.jse. co.za/content/ TSEin dex Cons ti tuentsa nd Weightings Iterns/ 20 14S RIIn dexConstituentsbest performers.pd[ (Accessed 11 May 2015 ). 178 2 FINANCIAL REPORTING IN SOUTH AFRICA ior to the adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards (lFRS), imparing financial statements posed major challenges to users from both a mestic and a global perspective. Financial statements were prepared using fferent accounting principles, measurement, recognition, disclosures and gulatory requirements. In response to the need for a global accounting standard, e International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) was established in 200 I. The ,jective of the IASB was to 'develop, in the public interest, a single set of highuality, understandable, enforceable and globally accepted financial reporting andards based upon clearly articulated principles' . 1 South Africa formally adopted e IFRS as its financial reporting framework in January 2005, becoming one of the rst countries to adopt it. Subsequently, South Africa has played an important role the evolution of these accounting standards. The adoption of IFRS was believed to bring about conformity by harmonising 'egulations, accounting standards and financial statement disclosures for all countries INTRODUCTION e purpose of this chapter is to provide an overall understanding of the composition a bank's financial statements. It is not intended to be a comprehensive analysis, ly an overview. It outlines the reporting framework for both listed and unlisted panics and provides a brief comparison between fair value accounting and torical cost accounting. It also includes a brief overview of the typical items found the linancial statements of a bank, specifically the statement of financial position FP) and the statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income (SPL). reading this chapter, you should be able to: identify the components of financial statements identify and discuss individual items within the statement of financial position of banks identify and discuss individual items within the statement of profit or loss and ,Other comprehensive income of a bank discuss the relationship between the statement of financial position and statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income of banks discuss the accounting reporting framework that South African banks are required to comply with discuss the major differences between fair value accounting and historical cost accounting. ll.1""-0 "':ialReporting for Banks Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective The SCF provides invaluable information about the cash movements resulting from operating, investing and financing activities. rilustrating this point, research has consistently shown that the relationship between cash flow and total debt is often a useful indicator of the financial health of a firm. However. for purposes of this book the SCP will not be discussed; this chapter will focus primarily on the SFP ··and SPL. The International Accounting Standard 1 - Presentation of Finan Statements (generally referred to as IAS1J prescribes the basis for the presentat of general purpose financial statements to ensure comparability both with entity's own financial statements for previous periods and with the finan statements of other entities. IASI sets out the overall requirements for presentation of financial statements, with guidelines for their structure and minimum requirements in respect of their content. IASI describes finan statements as being 'a structured representation of the financial position financial performance of an entity'. It further states that the objective of tin an reporting is to 'provide information about the financial position, financ performance and cash flows of an entity that is useful to a wide range of users making economic decisions'. lt therefore follows that a typical set of financi statements consists of the SPP (previously referred to as the 'balance sheet'), t SPL (previously referred to as the 'income statement'), the statement of changes i equity (SCE). the statement of cash flow (SCP). and notes to these stutements. 2 While the SFP is essentially a snapshot of the assets. equity and liabilities of th, company at a specific date. the SPL, the SCE and the SCP present the financia transactions for a period of time, normally a year. Financial statements provide a account of the year's transactions and the financial position of the company at th end of the year in question. While it is acknowledged that financial statements ver often report extremely complex transactions, they do provide the user with crucial information about the financial position, performance and cash flows of a particula company, From a brief study of the finuncial statements, an inexperienced user should, for example. be able to determine whether or not the assets exceed the liabilities. the company has made a profit or loss, or cash flows for the year were positive or negative. Further detailed analysis may provide the user with greater insight as to the operations of the company and even possibly a prediction of its future. that applied them. Realising the potential advantages that the adoption of IFRS h listed companies. the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) amended its requirements to oblige all listed companies to apply IFRS in the preparation o· financial statements. Following the ulmost worldwide adoption of IFRS recognised accounting reporting framework, the IASB developed und published a for Smull and Medium Entities (IFRS for SMEs) on 9 July 2009. South Africa was again a forerunner by being the first country to adopt IFRS for SMEs as a rep, framework. Although very similar to full IPRS. IFRS for SMEs is less complex and cost effective for the SMEs to apply. Regardless of whether un entity is applying for th IFRS or IPRS for SMEs. the basic accounting principles and content of the fina statements remain the same. 180 --- XXX XXX J(J(J( 18 20 Trade receivables Other currenl assels Gash and cash equivalents XXX XXX 24 25 Retained earnings Other components of equity Non-controlling interests XXX XXX IO()( 22 23 Share capital XXX - - XXX XXX 15 16 Inventories XXX XXX 12 Investments in equity instruments XXX -"' XXX - = ROO0s XXX I 11 Notes Investments in associates Olher intangible assels Goodwill Property, plant and equipment 1n•current assets ment of financial position as at 31 December 2015 mtted Statement of financial position of AB Bank Limited as at 31 December 2015 Equity attributable to owners of the parent - 181 fHE STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITION the SPL reflects a summary of the income and expenditure for a period of normally a year). the SFP presents a 'snapshot' of the assets, liabilities and of an entity at a specific date. As such, the SFP and its uccompanying notes e valuable information about the financial position of the particular tion. Information such as the composition of the funding of the entity (equity 1bilities), the investment allocation of such funding and the cumulative result rrent and prior operations are all presented in the SFP. Chapter 7: Financial Reporting for Banks Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 35 31 25 27 30 29 26 ASSETS Investments in associates Accounts receivable Commodities Investment securities and other investments Advances Derivative financial instruments Cash and cash equivalents Statement of financial position as at 31 December 2015 BC Bank Limited XXX XXX 13 14 XXX 12 XXX XXX 11 9 XXX XXX 7 8 ROOOs Notes Table 7.2 Statement of financial position of BC Bank Limited as at 31 December 2015 IASl prescribes the minimum information to the presented in the SFP and furthe requires entities to 'present additional line items, headings and subtotals in th statement of financial position [SFP] when such presentation is relevant to a understanding of the entity's financial position', 3 The line items in the SFP may vary from company to company depending on their unique reporting needs. The SFP in Table 7.1 is the format generally used for non-banks. Given that the business operations of financial institutions (or banks) vary from those of non-banks, the presentation of specific line items presented in the SFP of banks may vary from the abovementioned example. It should, however, be noted that the basic accounting principle of assets= equity+ liabilities still applies regardless of whether the reporting entity is a financial or non-financial institution. For comparative purposes, Table 7.2 below provides the typical SFP for a bank. Total equity and liabilities Total liabilities Total current liabilities Short-term provisions Current tax payable Current portion of long-term borrowings Short"term borrowings Trade and other payables Current liabilities Total non-current liabilities long-term provisions Deferred tax Long-term borrowings Non-current liabilities 182 XXX - m XXX 7.3.1 Assets of a bank It is important to note that although each bank groups its assets according to its reporting needs, the asset section of the SFP consists primarily of five major categories: The most notable differences between the non-bank and bank SFPs are within the asset and liability sections. Given its very nature, the SFP of a bank consists primarily of financial instruments. To this end, the composition of the assets and liabilities of a bank are discussed next. Total equity and liabilities Total liabilities ~ Long-term liabilities m m 17 m m Deferred tax liability ~ Provisions m m ~ Creditors and accruals m N 8 Derivative financial instruments m Post-retirement liabilities ~ Short uading positions m XXX Tax liability m Deposits and current accounts ~ m V Other components ol quity Non-controlling interest m ~ m XXX XXX XXX ~ 19 Tax asset XXX Share capital 18 Intangible assets XXX XXX XXX 183 Retained earnings 24 Post ·retirement benefil asset 17 16 Property and equipmenl Deferred tax asset 15 Amounts due by holding company and fellow subsidiary companies Chapter 7: Financial Reporting for Banks cash and cash equivalents derivative financial instru ments investment securities and other investments loans and leases grante d to custom ers government and intere st bearin g securities sundry assets. Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 7.3.1.2 Derivative financ ial instru ments Derivatives are financial instru ments or contracts, the value of which chang es i response to chang es in the underl ying items; they require little or no initi investment: and they are settled at a future date. 4 Given that the fair values or cas flows of derivatives chang e in this way, they are used as risk manag ement tools offset the chang es in fair values or cash flows of the assets that are at risk. Banks generally use derivatives for three main purposes: to package ri manag ement solutions for clients; for trading purpos es; and to manag e their own ri exposure. Derivatives packaged and sold to clients as risk manag ement solutioninclude the structu ring of various products to enable the customers to manag e o hedge their own risk exposure. Trading activities in derivatives are entered into with the objective of generating profit from short- term price lluctuations in the underlying asset. Although these activities may expose banks to significant open positions in thei portfolios of derivatives, they constantly manag e or hedge their exposure to ensure . that they remain within acceptable risk levels. Hedgin g instrum ents may contai n a combination of several different financial instrum ents such as shares, exchangetraded funds, insurance, forward contracts, swaps, options and futures contracts. As the hedging activities contin ue to grow and evolve, the volume, variety, and inhere nt complexity of derivative contra cts have also increased. For accou nting purposes, derivative instru ments are recorded at their respective fair value at report ing date. Changes in the underlying items such as marke t interes t rates, foreign currency, marke t share prices. credit ratings, the price of underlying 7.3.1.1 Cash and cash equiva lents Cash and cash equivalents include coins and bank notes held in the vault, de deposits invested at other financial institutions, balanc es held at the South Afr Reserve Bank (SARB) and interb ank balances held at other banks. A statuto ry Ii deposits requir ement stipulates that South Africa n banks should maint a minim um deposit with the SARB - see Chapt er 3 for more details. Althou gh st" asset of the bank itself. these deposits are not availab le for daily use by the ban updated month ly and earn very little or no interest. Cash and cash equivalents as the prima ry source of funds for custom er deposi t withdrawals and loan reg Given that cash and cash equivalents earn very little interest, if any, South Afri banks, similar to the intern ationa l trend, strive to keep the level of cash and c equivalents as low as possible. The cash and cash equivalents as a percentag, total assets for the 2012 financial year for ABSA Bank Limited, FirstRand B Limited, Nedbank Group and Stand ard Bank of South Africa Limited amoun ted 2.68%, 4.57%, 1.95% and 3.97% respectively. ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ 184 185 corporate and consu mer overdrafts specialised finance loans credit cards foreign curren cy loans The loans and advances portfolio generally includes items such as: .1.4 Loans and advances ally accounting for up to 70% of the total assets held by universal South African ks, loans and advances constitute the largest asset found in the SFP. These loans are refore regarded as the use of funds at the bank's dispos al to perform its intermediation ction. The interest charged on these loans is includ ed in the interest income mponent of the SPL and is a function of the risk associa ted with the borrower and the pe of loan. The higher the assessed risk. the higher the interest rate charged on the ,an. The risk/return trade-off is therefore central to pricing the loans. According to its relative size in terms of IFRS, banks are required to provide tensive information about each type of loans and advan ce in the SPL. The detail f the loans and advances provided in the accom panyin g notes typically include a ectorial analysis, geographical analysis. matur ity analysis and a classification of oans by type, such as overdrafts, finance agreem ents, person al loans. etc. These notes provide an extensive breakd own of the nature of the loans, which in turn provides a more comprehensive assess ment of the underl ying risk and quality inhere nt in the loan book • Investment securities and other invest ments ient in securities and other produ cts is generally one of the larger assets ing on the SFP of banks. The notes accom panyin g the invest ment securities provide valuable information such as wheth er the securities are listed or d and wheth er they are equity investments, unit trusts or Treasu ry bills. Of tar impor tance is wheth er or not the note disclos es that any of the ent securities serve as part of the required liquid asset portfolio. (Please refer government and other security investments section below for a detailed ion of the liquid asset portfolio.) e accounting for and disclosure of financial instru ments varies depending on ,ype of instru ment and the accou nting standa rds applied. The accou nting ards include: IFRS9 Financial Instruments; IFRS7 Financial Instru ments : sures; IAS32 Financial Instru ments : Presentation; and IAS39 Financial uments: Presentation. Althou gh the decision is contro versial. the majority of cial instrum ents are fair value accounted in terms of IFRS. It is prude nt to hasise that the accou nting for and disclosure of financ ial instru ments remain a ly complex and technical aspect of accounting. The topic of fair value accou nting iscussed further in Section 7. 5. ities and so on may result in derivative instru ments either being favourable or unfavourable (liabilities). Changes in the values of the derivatives in the SFP are accordingly recognised in the SPL. Chapte r 7: Financial Reporting for Banks ~ ]l t t.! ~ !;: ~ '"'· t ' . 'l Ii f l ti fil ek ~; w:: I\ instalment credit agreements loans to associates and joint ventures micro loans mortgages other advances overnight finance personal and term loans wholesale overdrafts. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective An associate is defined as 'an entity over which the investor has significant influence'. 6 It is important to note that the percentage shareholding does not necessarily indicate whether or not an entity has significant influence over another. The concept of 'significant influence' is best described as the authority to participate in the financial and operating policy decisions of the investee. 6 In general the equity method is used to account for the investments in associates. In terms of the equity method the bank will initially record the investment at cost and subsequently include a portion of the 7.3.1.6 lllvestmeHts ill associates The SARB expects banks to maintain a liquid asset portfolio that complies wi statutory requirements. The liquid asset portfolio serves as an additional source funds to cover customer deposit withdrawals. Government and other securit. investments often form part of tbe bank's liquid asset portfolio requirement. Thes, investments typically include government bonds, Treasury bills. Land Bank bills SARB debentures and various other short-term government securities. Althoug the application of these resources is regulated in terms of the prudential requirements set out in the Banks Act, these investments have the potential to earn more income than cash and cash equivalents. With the accounting standard IAS 1 permitting an entity to report information according to its unique reporting needs, some banks disclose the liquid asset portfolio as a separate item on the SFP while others disclose it in the notes accompanying the financial statements. For example, in their respective 2012 financial statements, Nedbank Group and ABSA Bank Limited present the statutory liquid asset portfolio as a separate line item in the SFP while FirstRand Bank Limited and Standard Bank of South Africa Limited disclose this as part of their security investments or trading asset notes. 7.3.1.5 Government and other security iHvestment Financial institutions are required (in terms of IFRS7 Financial instrume Disclosures) to disclose information about the significance of financial instrum for an entity as well as the nature and extent of the risks associated with tbe respec instruments. Given that loans and advances are financial instruments with ere, risk. banks are required, from a financial reporting perspective, to evaluate t collectability of loans and advances, write off non-performing loans (or impairmen and disclose such information in their annual reports. 5 These impaired loans a advances are reflected as an expense on the SPL. The amount reflected on the SFP thus the net amount after accounting for uncollectable loans and advances. • • • • ■ • • ■ 186 187 Liabilities of a bank While shareholders collectively control the bank through their voting rights, lenders of capital have a limited right to their capital and any interest earned on that capital. As such, banks have two sources of capital, namely own capital (or share 7.3.2 An intangible asset is defined as an 'identifiable non-monetary asset without physical substance'. 8 With banks relying extensively on information technology, a significant portion of the intangible assets often relates to computer software. Goodwill also constitutes a large portion of the intangible asset amount. It is however important to note that in terms of IFRS, a company may not recognise internally generated goodwill. The goodwill amount therefore relates to investments made by the bank where the consideration paid exceeds the net asset value of the company in which the investment is made . 7.3.1.10 lntangibleassets 'he post-retirement benefit asset represents the amount invested on behalf of employees who have contributed to the pension or provident funds over the years. While the bank discloses this amount as an asset, the bank also has a corresponding liability to pay such benefits to members upon retirement. A corresponding liability for the amounts payable to the funds' contributors is also disclosed under the noncurrent liabilities section of the SFP. .3.1.9 Post-retiremeHt benefits ith the accounting principles differing from the tax rules applied by the South African ·enue Service (SARS), timing differences arise between the accounting and tax ounts. These timing differences result in income tax either being paid in advance eferred tax asset) or income tax being payable in the future (deferred tax liability). though these two items are very often disclosed separately under the asset and liability tions respectively, the net effect of the two is the true representation of this item. '!3.1.8 Deferred tax erty and equipment includes tangible items that are held for use in the uction or supply of goods or services, for rental to others, or for administrative poses and are expected to be used during more than one period.7 Given the ure of bank operations, the property, plant and equipment line item is generally expected to constitute a significant portion of the assets as most properties tend e leased. To illustrate this point, the property and equipment amount for each of respective Big Four South African banks averaged around 1 % of their tot.al sets in 2012. J.7 Property and equipment fates' profit or loss annually in the SPL and SCE. These earnings are therefore ded under the Common Equity Tier 1 capital of the bank in terms of Basel UL The ccompanying the investment in associates generally provides information such as er or not the associate is a listed entity, providing a breakdown of the profit or loss associate as well as the fair value of the investment. Chapter 7: Financial Reporting for Banks Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 7.3.2.2 Trading portfolio liabilities The trading portfolio liabilities item is also referred to as derivative financia instruments on the SFP. This liability includes transactions that have been entere into during the normal course of business and are carried on the books of the ban at fair value. The principal types of derivatives include: • Swaps These are over-the-counter (OTC) agreements between two parties to exchang, periodic payments of interest, changes in value of a commodity, or a related inde over a set period based on notional principal amounts. Swaps include interest ra swaps, credit swaps, commodity swaps and equity swaps, to name but a few. ■ Options Options are contractual agreements under which the seller (writer) grants th<' purchaser (holder) the right, but not the obligation, to either buy (a call option or sell (a put option). at or by a set date during a set period, a specific amount o a foreign currency or a financial instrument at a predetermin ed price. The seller .· receives a premium from the purchaser in consideratio n for the assumption of foreign exchange or interest rate risk. Options may be either exchange-traded o negotiated between the bank and a customer. 7.3.2.1 Deposits From an accounting perspective, deposits represent the capital amounts that individu other banks, government, companies and various other entities (collectively referred to surplus economic units) have deposited or lent to the bank for safe-keeping until a fu date when they will be withdrawn. These deposits are therefore regarded as the 'source' funds that the bank uses to perform its intermediation function. Should the bank be liquidated, the shareholder s will receive what remains aft; the deposit holders have been refunded their money. Although various types deposit exist, they are generally classified as being current or cheque accoun saving deposits, fixed or notice deposits, foreign currency deposits and repurcha agreements. Banks pay depositors interest to use these deposits as loans, which recorded as interest expense in the SPL. Typically, the cheapest types of deposit a cheque and savings accounts given that a very low interest charge, if any, attached to them. As with loans, the pricing of deposits follows the typical ris return trade-off; the higher the risk that the deposit can be withdrawn from t bank, the lower the interest paid to the depositor and vice versa. In keeping with internationa l trends, deposits constitute by far the large liability of South African banking institutions. The deposits expressed as , percentage of total liabilities for the 2012 financial year for ABSA Bank Limited FirstRand Bank Limited, Nedbank Group and Standard Bank of South Afric Limited amount to 66.52%, 79.09%, 90. 78% and 78.36% respectively. capital) and borrowed capital, more specifically referred to as liabilities. The liabili of a bank are regarded as the 'source' of the funds that it channels to its 'use' funds on the assets side of the SFP. The most typical types of liabilities of a bank a given below. 188 Capital and reserves of a bank Equity is often referred to in annual reports as owners' equity, shareholder s' equity capital and reserves. Equity, which includes share capital and various reserves, is 7.3.3 7.3.2.4 Tar liability In terms of the South African Income Tax Act, companies arc required to pay a financial year's estimated tax in two instalments. The first provisional tax payment, representing half of the expected tax, is due within six months from the beginning f the current year. The remaining estimated tax liability is then due before or on he last day of the financial year. Following this, the income tax returns are ubmitted a number of months after the financial year-end. It therefore follows that t the financial reporting date, the provisional tax paid during the year may have been underpaid or overpaid. Any underpayme nt of provisional tax will be reflected as an amount still payable to the SARS. If the provisional tax paid exceeds the final tax liability, this amount will be disclosed under current assets. .3.2.3 Creditors and accruals reditor and accrual includes amounts payable at year-end. Simply stated, these terns represent both the short-term portion of long-term liabilities payable and ormal trading debts payable within one year from the reporting date. The items ormally included under creditors and accruals are, for example, trade and other reditors, outstanding audit fees. accounting provisions for amounts payable and outstanding dividends payable to shareholder s. futures and forwards Short-term interest rate futures, bond futures, financial and commodity futures and forward foreign exchange contracts are all agreements to deliver, or take delivery of, a specified amount of an asset or financial instrument based on a specified rate, price or index applied against the underlying asset or financial instrument at a specified date. Futures are exchange-tr aded at standardised amounts of the underlying asset or financial instrument. Forward contracts are generally OTC agreements. Although very similar to futures, forward contracts are not exchangetraded at standardised amounts. Forwards contracts are considered OTC as there is no centralised trading location and transactions are conducted directly between the banking institution and its customers via telephone and online trading platforms. Similar to other derivative securities, forward contracts are often used to hedge risk - typically currency, interest and exchange rate risk as a means of speculation or to allow a party to take advantage of the quality of the underlying instrument which is time-sensitive. Collatei-al Banking institutions may require collateral in respect of the credit risk present in derivative transactions. The amount of credit risk is principally the positive fair value of the contract. Collateral may be in the form of cash or in the form of a lien over a client's asset~. entitling the bank to make a claim for current and future liabilities. Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective • Reserves form part of the equity of the company and include prior and current profits retained in the entity, revaluations of i:lssets, mark-to-mark et (available for sale) reserves, cash flow hedge reserves, share-based payment reserves and foreign currency translation reserves. Companies constantly have to balance the need to retain profits for future operations against the shareholders dividend expectations 7.3.3.2 Reserves 7.3.3.1 Share capital There are several types of share capital including ordini:lry shares, preference shares; participating shares and redeemable shares. The classification of these shares as equity depends on the rights associated with the shares. The holders of equity share capital are in essence the owners of the company. Their return on investment includes both the dividends received as well as any growth in share price. defined in the TASB's Conceptual Framework as the residual interest in the en assets after deducting all its liabilities. 9 We can therefore apply the traditi accounting principal of assets= liabilities+ shareholders equity to explain the con of equity and reserves. For purposes of a bank however, the term 'capital' is used. A company has two means of financing its assets: own capital (share capi and/or borrowed capital (liabilities or debt). Own capital refers to the shares th company issues to investors in exchange for cash. Borrowed capital refers to funds that companies borrow from financiers. The shareholder' return on t investment is in terms of dividends received as well as the growth in value of t: shares held. The financier's return on their investment is limited to the interest th they charge on the capital provided. Regarding the amount of capital South African banks must hold, the minim capital requirements are explicitly set out in the framework developed by the B Committee on Banking Supervision. The SARB, as the custodian of monetary pol ensures that the requirements are adhered to and in certain cases even adapts requirements to the South African situation. The most recent adaptation of Basel Accord (commonly referred to as Basel HI) requires more restrictive capi definitions, higher risk-weighted asset requirements, increased capital a minimum capital buffers and stringent liquidity requirements. Essentially, given t adverse effects of the Global Financial Crisis, banks have to retain a larger a higher quality amount of capital than previously required under Basel IL At th point Basel III distinguishes between two tiers of capital: core capital (Tier 1 capita and supplementary capital (Tier 2 capital). The stricter definition of capital requir, that Tier 1 instruments must predominantly consist of common share capital art retained earnings. Share premiums, accumulated other comprehensive income art other reserves may however also form part of Tier 1 capital. Tier 2 capital serves t purpose of ensuring loss absorption in case of liquidation. Tier 2 capital includ undisclosed reserves, revaluation reserves, hybrid debt instruments an subordinated term debt. For a more comprehensive discussion on the Basel capita:' requirements refer to Chapter 15. The typical primary components of the equity section in the SFP typically. 190 'he primary source of a bank's income is generated from the interest earned ncluding fair value adjustments) on the cash and cash equivalents, the loans and dvances made to customers and other banks and its statutory liquid asset portfolio. imilar to the interest income portion, the interest expense normally represents the rgest individual line item in the SPL. Although the interest on debt securities Ssued and fixed deposits constitute the largest amounts of interest paid, interest is aid on all forms of debt held by the banking institutions. ,c. Banks usually disclose the interest income and interest expense items together with the net interest income total. It is important to note that fair vi:llue adjustments are often included in the interest and similar income line item. While it is acknowledged that the fair value adjustments result in the assets and liabilities being stated at their fair value in the SFP. it also leads to unrealised profits being included in the SPL. This very concept caused accounting and accounting standi:lrds to be harshly criticised during the recent Global Financial Crises. As such, the fair value adjustment income amounts expressed as a percentage of total interest income as reflected in the 2012 financial year for ABSA Bank Limited, FirstRand Bank Limited, Nedbank Group and Standard Bank of South Africa Limited amount to 4.47%, 10.68%, 14.49%, and 5.31 % respectively. Similar to the interest income, fair value adjustments to financial instruments are also included in the total interest expense amount disclosed in the SPL. Net interest income as reflected in the 201 2 financial year for respectively ABSA Bank Limited, FirstRand Bank Limited, Nedbank Group and Standard Bank of South Africa Limited amounted to Rl7 684 million (48.80% of total income), RlO 331 million (27.55%), RB 559 million (48.93%) and R25 249 million (53.40%). Net interest income STATEMENT OF PROFIT OR LOSS AND OTHER . COMPREHENSIVE INCOME the SFP presents a 'snapshot' of the assets. liabilities and equity of an entity at a c date, the SPL reflects a summary of the income and expenditure for a period of (normally a year). Simply put, the SPL provides an overview of how well or poorly the and liabilities of the banking institution were managed in order to generate profit. A bank's income consists of two major categories, namely, net interest income net non-interest income. The former is calculated by subtracting interest nses. generated from the interest-paying liabilities, from interest income, erated from the interest-bearing assets; the latter is calculated by subtracting the -interest expenses, typically generated from the operation and functional activities 'ormed by the bank, from the non-interest income, including predominantly feecommission-based revenues. The contribution of net interest income and net .-interest income to total income is usually approximately a 50:50 split. This of 1urse varies depending on the type of bank, commercial or investment, the level of terest rates and the general level of economic activity in an economy. :roviding the capital. Reserves play a crucial role in maintaining the minimum equity requirements in terms of Basel III. Chapter 7: Financial Reporting for Banks 191 I "J I r, ~ I I J i~ ' ~ i~ ~ t ( i [·· r..·.•·.·•. It r ~ ~ I~ •t I .. •.· r.1.:·1•· !( ~~ ~ 11~ I~ ,1 i~ J~/1 i '.·]n IV 11a fJi •:. . •.•:. r.~' ;:rt l_i_., '.1) ~r Net non-interest income Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Loan impairments Fair value vs historical cost accountin g OTHER ISSUES IN FINANCIAL REP ORTING fair value is defined in IFRSl 3: Fair Valu e Mea surem ent, as being 'the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to trans fer a liability in an orde rly trans actio n betw een mark et parti cipan ts at the meas urem ent date' 10 . Dete rmin ing the fair valu e of a finan cial instr ume nt is however not alwa ys as simple as refer ring to a listed price, and very often dema nds extensive resea rch, valu ation models and costs. The concept of fair value accountin g, also know n as mark -to-m arket accounting, was first intro duce d in 19 7 5 when the IASB required that mark etable securities be reported at cost or fair value, whichever was the lower. Desp ite 7.5.1 7.5 Given that the non- perfo rmin g natu re of loans and advances is an inhe rent when providing credit, the probability that some of the loans will not be colle c cons tantl y mon itore d and mana ged by the bank 's credit depa rtme nt. Impa ir repre sent man agem ent's best estim ate of the total amo unt of loans and adva no the repo rting date that may not be recov ered in the future. According to the SA (and many global regu lator y bodies), a loan is regarded as being impaired if it not been paid fully or in part within 90 days of the paym ent due date. Man agem ent is required to exercise trem endo us care and judg emen t in ma assumptions and estim ation s abou t loan and advance impairments. Banks a various statistical meth ods and mode ls when calcu latin g impa irme nts on b individually and collectively assessed loans and advances. Given that it is simply n practical to identify and assess loan and advance impa irme nts on an indiv idu basis, the models and statistical techn iques used are all subject to a degre e estimation uncertainty. The methodolo gy and the assum ption s used in calcu lati impa irme nt losses are reviewed regu larly in light of the fact that differ en, between loss estimations and actua l losse s will vary. It should also be reme mber that the impa irme nt of loans and adva nces is expensed in the SPL and there fo impacts directly on the reported profit. These impa irme nts also played a cruci al ro!,' in the recen t financial crises and the loan losses incu rred by banks. 7.4.3 The second majo r category of incom e for a bank is the net non- inter est i whic h consists primarily of portfolio tradi ng profits (such as bank charges an commissions earn ed, dividends received, fees charged and fair value adjus t Similar to inter est revenue, non- inter est items also include unrealised fair adju stme nt income resul ting from the fair value acco untin g of fin instr umen ts held by the bank ing instit ute. The grow th in non- inter est i reflects the strategic move of bank s in recen t decades to diversify their re strea ms to non- tradi tiona l bank ing activ ities. This convergence, especially wi insur ance industry, has resulted in noninter est income becoming a muc h I comp onen t of total bank revenue and in some cases, such as with investment If' even exceeding net-i ntere st income. 7.4.2 192 193 effective use and inter preta tion of finan cial state ment s requ ire the user to have a reasonable unde rstan ding of acco untin g principles and the roles and '7.5.2 The use of annual financial statements ury furth er argu ed that fair value acco untin g resulted in bank s facing solvency es whic h forced them to sell assets at discounted prices. This, in turn , furth er 'ed the crisis. Persuaded by such argu ment s, some politicians in the United States Europe have called for the susp ensio n of fair value acco untin g in favour of :orical cost acco untin g, whic h requires that assets are generally valued at origi nal ,tor purc hase price. 11 Critics of fair value acco untin g furth er argu e that by recognising unrealised fair ue adjus tmen ts in income and/ or expe nses, an entit y may be misr epres entin g its fit. While it is acknowledged that an entit y may recognise fair value incom e justments in times of inflation, the oppo site is also true. An entity will, in term s of r value acco untin g, recognise fair value expense adju stme nts when price s crease. The inclusion of fair value adju stme nts therefore induces a degree of ,latility in the SPL. Critics furth er argu e that the unce rtain ty and subjectivit y .valved in deter mini ng the fair value may rend er the practice as being unreliabl e d therefore not relevant. It is interesting to note that the main argu ment s against the use of fair value ccounting are the exact coun ter argu ment s against the use of historical cost ccounting. Critics of historical cost acco untin g argu e that a historical cost from veral years ago may not necessarily be relevant to curre nt financial reports. They rther argu e that given the degree of estimation involved in determini ng epreciation, both the expense and the carry ing amo unt of the asset may accordingl y be unreliable. The fact of the matt er is that no matt er how imperfect fair value acco untin g may seem, it must be ackn owledged that historical cost acco untin g is likewise imperfect and has over time earne d its rightful place in financial reporting. For further reading on how fair value amou nts are meas ured refer to IFRSl 3. are still 'orming. But beca use the market is frozen, the prices of these assets have fallen market acco untin g rules have turne d a large prob lem into a humongou s . A vast majority of mortgages, corporate bonds, and struc tured debts rk-to- :ble resistance from all sectors of the financial repo rting community, -setting bodies such as the IASB and Fina ncial Acco untin g Stan dard s :ASB) cont inue d to develop and impl emen t fair value acco untin g. As this ,'gained mom entu m, it beca me the topic of many conflicting argu men ts in ncial world. One of the driving forces behin d this disag reem ent is the belief r value acco untin g may have initiated and aggravated the recen t Global al Crisis. Whe n credit mark ets seized up and clearing prices for key assets banks fell to unpr eced ented lows, fair value acco untin g was being blamed king an already bad situa tion even worse. Economist Bria n Wesbury nting the views of a grou p of bank s state d that: Chap ter 7: Financial Reporting for Bank s CONCLUSION International Accounting Standard s Board. 2001 . http:/ /www.ifrs.org /Theorganisation/Pages/IFRS-Foundationand-the-IASB.aspx (Accessed 4 June 2. International Accounting Stan 2013). dards Board. 2012 . lntenrational Acco unting Standari I - Presentation of Financial Statement s. London: International Accountin g Standards Commit.tee Foundation. 3. International Accounting Stan dards Board. 2012 . International Finan cial Reporting Standard 9- Financial Instruments. Lond on: International Accounting Standard s Committee Foundation. 4. International Accounting Stan dards Board. 2012 . International Finan cial Reporting Standard 7- Financial Instruments: Discl osures. London: International Acco unting Standards Committee Foundation. 1. REFERENCES Fina ncia l repo rting plays a significa nt role in the bank ing sector. Whi le financ1 services repo rting rem ains a spec ialised field, a basic unde rstan ding of the maj com pone nts with in the repo rts is essential for those who wish to use them . financial repo rt typically consists of the SFP, the SPL, the SCE, the SCP and the not; acco mpa nyin g the financial state men ts. An unde rstan ding of wha t ea com pone nt represents and how they relat e to each othe r shou ld enab le user s assess the profitability and finan cial position of a bank. Given the exte nsii involvement with financial instr ume nts, fair valu e acco unti ng plays an importari role in financial insti tutio n repo rting and the unde rlyin g ratio nale to eval uati ng th items on financial reports. 7.6 responsibilities of thos e involved in the prep arati on and audi ting of them . requires companies, and therefore thei r man agem ent, to prep are gene ral pu financial state men ts. IAS l furth er defines general purp ose as financial state that are inten ded to mee t the need s of user s who do not requ ire an enti ty to pre repo rts specific to their needs. Fina ncia l state men ts are thus man age repr esen tatio ns abou t the finan cial position and perf orm ance of the com inten ded for a wide variety of user s. In usin g the annu al financial state men ts u mus t recognise that the prep arati on of the annu al financial state men ts requ ires man agem ent to apply complex acco unti ng principles that req significant estim ates and judg men t. By cont rast, the audi tor's responsi bility is to express an opin ion on whe man agem ent has fairly pres ente d the com pany 's financial info rma tion ) acco rdan ce with IFRS and has com plied with relative legislative requ irem ents . audi tor's findings arc sum mar ised in the form of an audi t repo rt to be included the annu al financial state men ts. The fact that they are audi ted adds credibility man agem ent's financial state men ts. The audi tor also eval uate s the entit y's abilit cont inue as a going conc ern in the future. In placing relia nce upon the audi t rep it is imp orta nt to rem emb er that the audi tor is expressing an opin ion based on work they performed. The audi t repo rt shou ld not be regarded as a guar ante e t the opin ion is perfectly corr ect. The long list of failed com pani es with clea n au repo rts pays testa men t to this. 194 Bank Management in Sout h Africa -A risk-based perspecti ve 195 ternational Accounting Standards Boar d. 20.12. International Accounting Stand ard 8- Investments in Associates and Joint Ventures. London: Inter natio nal Acco unting andards Committee Foundation. nternational Accounting Standards Board. 2012 . International Accountin g Standard 6- Property, Plant and Equipment. Lond on: Inte rnat iona l Accounting Standard s ommittee Foundation. nternational Accounting Standards Board. 2012 . International Accountin g Standard 8- Intangible Assets. London: Inte rnat iona l Accounting Standards Committe e Foundation. -International Accounting Standard s Board. 2012 . Conceptual Framewor k. London: Inte rnat iona l Accounting Standard s Committee Foundation. International Accounting Standard s Board. 2012 . International Financial Reportirt/J Standard 13- Fair Value Measurement. London: Inter natio nal Accounting Standards Committee Foundation. Pozen RC. 2009 . 'Is It Fair to Blame Fair Value Accounting for the Financia l Crisis?' Harvard Business Review. http :/ /hbr .org /200 9/ l 1 /is-it-fair-to-blame-fair-valu eaccounting-for-the-financial-crisis (Acc essed 6 June 2013). Chap ter 7: Financial Reporting for Banks INTRODUCTION South African banking industry is regarded as being well developed and histicated in international terms. 3 With the required systems, regulations and ctures in place, it is difficult to envisage a reason as to why South African banks uld not be efficient and outperforming international competitors. However, th African banks are still struggling with a number of challenges, which include suring that the South African financial sector remains systematically stable in a idly changing technological environment with sharply increasing competitive nditions. Especially after the 2007-2009 Global Financial Crisis, banks all over • world have been challenged to increase their capital requirements from 8% to proximately 14% in order to be Basel TII compliant. Other challenges attached to suring banking services are delivered to the broader unbanked community whilst suring that costs are minimised also place pressure on the performance of banks. These challenges validate the requirement for banks to have a devoted anagement team that has a thorough knowledge of both strategic risk anagement and the financial health and viability of a bank. Both executive and on-executive management must recognise the opportunities for improving bank erformance in the ongoing changing financial environment. This emphasises the portance of using performance measures to ensure that the desired goals and bjectives are achieved over both the long and short term. This chapter provides the necessary background and knowledge required to understand the management of bank performance from a strategic risk perspective. This will be followed by a discussion on the difficulties of bank performance analysis and the role of performance measures in a bank. The next section discusses the different financial performance measures available and will make use of financial he different types available. ing this chapter, you should be abie to: erstand the concept of performance from a strategic bank risk nagement perspective erstand the difficulties of measuring bank performance derstand the role of performance measures in a bank imate and interpret financial performance measures for banks such as stock valuations, market value ratios, profitability ratios, liquidity ratios, asset '-anagement ratios, and debt management ratios nderstand the use of non-financial performance measures and to elaborate on \ing the Performance of a Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective BANKING PERFORMANCE AS A STRATEGIC BANK RISK MANAGEMENT TOOL The elements and difficulties of effective performance management Bank performance should be measured against an objective because without such an objective the bank will have no criterion on which to select the correct investment strategies or projects. 10 Bank performance evaluation can, therefore, be used as a guideline for keeping a bank on track in achieving its objectives. 11 This implies that a continuous bank performance evaluation process ensures that a bank can overcome the gap between actual and desired performance. Managing banking performance can, -however, become very complicated, as illustrated in Figure 8.1. Management has to incorporate a number of controllable and non-controllable factors that can influence the overall performance of individual branches and the company as a whole. The bank 8.2.1 During the l 980s banks became more performance-orientated, which highli an era in which management was driven by pre-determined objectives. 4 Ho during this time and specifically up until 1994 the South African banking ind had been deteriorating due to restrictions on bank branching and poli isolation. 5 Nonetheless, the South African economy recognised the increasing for specialised expertise in banking, including expertise in international ban cash management and lending. As a result, banks have begun to speciali different product lines and have organised themselves as a collection of diffe lines of business, each with different customers, products, risks and distribu channels. Greater competition in domestic and international markets continuous fundamental structural changes have forced banks to be rtii productive ·and flexible, implying a greater focus on providing customer servic This development in the banking industry has given rise to new issues concerni performarice measurement, resource allocation. risk management. and the need applying suitable distribution channels as a strategic tool to increase market sha In addition, resource allocation based only on gross profitability was no long, sufficient and management had to become more aware of the need to measu returns on a risk-adjusted basis 6 (see Chapter 10). This implies that effective performance management has become more comp! and that referring to traditional measures of profit exclusively is no longer appropri in the evaluation of desired objectives related to productivity and custom satisfaction. 7 Management has realised that there are no longer boundaries f1 selecting main performance measures and that effective management includes t use of a combination of performance measures such as financial. market/custome human resources, competitor, internal business processes and environment, indicators. 8 It has also become important to combine cost efficiency estimates wit profitability evaluations to ensure a more comprehensive evaluation of ban performance. 9 8.2 statements to enhance the understanding and interpretation of some of performance measures. The chapter then concludes by elaborating on the non-financial performance measures in addition to the common financial mea 198 199 --- ·"""" ... ~···-·~-- ----- __ ___..,.____ ~ --- Recognising that the controllable and non-controllable influential factors are important only forms the first step of the performance evaluation process. The second step is to have a framework in place for developing a performance model. In order to ensure effective bank performance evaluation the following steps must be followed to develop a reliable performance model: 12 Source: Avkiran (1997) 12 Figure 8.1 Bank performance framework ve's decisions involve a trade-off between mm1m1sing risks and costs and ising returns, which can also be influenced by a number of factors. Some of factors include the regulatory and economic environment, shareholder ces and feedback on the performance of personal banking, business banking rations. Figure 8.1 illustrates that non-controllable factors that influence performance outcomes include the catchment-area-specific potential variables. types of variable focus on the area from which the bank attracts customers, implies capturing both socio-economic and demographic information. It also cts with branch specific controllable variables such as the qualification and ledge levels of employees and the functions they fulfil in the company. Overall performance can also be assessed by the capital market, depending of course on objectives of the company and the bank's managerial actions and asset pricing •niques in terms of the market price of the bank's shares. 12 Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The use of historical data and traditional bank performance measures can be misleading. Examples of this are when expense ratios mislead trend analysis if the product mixes change over time or in cross-sectional analysis if the banks being In addition, the greatest problems in bank performance evaluation arise due to the fa that virtually all performance evaluators make use of accounting data as well as othe data to help estimate the financial condition and the level of management in the bank. Financial performance measures alone can have serious limitations due to their: 14 ·15 • backward-looking nature ■ limited ability to measure performance and ■ tendency to focus only on the short term. If the performance analyst does not illustrate a proper understanding of the great varie of performance measures and the impact of uncontrollable environmental changes, t performance measures can be misinterpreted, which can lead to strategic risk. The influential factors highlighted in Step 8 that can cause problems during evaluation process include: ■ the unreliability of some performance measures and of management ■ changing definitions of success, bias instruments and evaluators ■ a lack of understanding and communication • a lack of commitment and participation by the employees ■ a lack of trust and managerial support ■ socio-psychological factors ■ the role of capitalism. 1 l Step 1: review the bank's objectives and strategies Step 2: define branch performance in terms of these objectives, that are critical to the bank's success must be identified Step 3: identify the potential variables that can be associated with performance, and which are controllable by management Step 4: determine the sources of data for performance and potential variables Step 5: develop multivariate measures for data collection Step 6: analyse the data through the use of multiple regression and other techni where the sets of potential variables that explain each of the perfor variables must be determined Step 7: examine the results found and increase performance through the reconfigur, of branches Step 8: overcome the influential factors that can jeopardise the implementati branch reconfiguration. 200 201 ow performance is measured, however, still depends on each individual bank and is based on its unique statement of financial position (SFP) structure. the regulatory and economic environment 19 and the strategic objectives and goals set by the Executive Committee (ExCo). 8 An effective performance evaluation report should consist of results of both financial and non-financial performance measures. Combining these measures increases the effectiveness of compiling short- and long-term evaluations, which can be used as benchmarks to improve the bank's overall performance and decision-making processes. part from these requirements, a good bank performance measurement system 1ust be: supportive and consistent with the institution's culture, employees, goals, actions and key success factors driven by the customer, appropriate to both the internal and external environment, developed by a combination of bottom-up and top-down efforts communicated and integrated throughout the whole bank focused on the effective management of resources, inputs and costs committed to providing action-orientated feedback and supportive of institutional, branch and individual learning. 6 tated previously, the understanding of and the choice between the variety of erent performance measures is crucial to ensuring effective bank performance nagement. The selection of performance measures must also be driven from the Ilk's strategies, providing a link between the strategic plans and business unit ions. Furthermore, the selection must be hierarchical and integrated across all the ·erent business functions, must be supportive of the institution's multidimensional ironment and must be based on an understanding of the cost behaviour and cost ationships in the institution. 18 .2 The role of performance measures in a bank theless, a successful bank depends upon the decision-making abilities of its agers with their success depending on the availability of useable information. financial and non-financial performance measures must. therefore, be applied :yas a monitoring, assisting mechanisms in the decision-making process to ensure t the bank remains on track to achieve its short- and long-term objectives. ted have dissimilar product mixes. 16 Traditional bank performance analysis s of three additional basic flaws: 17 ignores the wide diversity of strategies that are pursued by different banks 'he analysis provides no direct information regarding how and which bank ctivity contributes to the creation of shareholder value. This implies that it gnores other performance benchmarks that consumer-focused managers nsider to identify the best for future strategies. bank's total assets can no longer serve as a meaningful benchmark if banks articipate in off-balance-sheet activities . Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank I -f Understanding financial performance measures 8.2.3 8.2.3.J Ma:rimisir19 share value A fundamental objective of financial management is to increase the institution share value 10 in order to ensure the ability of raising capital in the future to promo institutional growth. This implies that banks have to improve their intern processes. thus increasing the level of bank performance in order to generate high expected earnings. This in turn will result in higher dividend payouts that make t institution's share more attractive. As more investors buy this share, the high demand will cause the share price to increase, thereby exemplifying a mor, profound market image to other investors and potential customers. A key consideration within these internal processes includes the manageri decisions of the bank, which produce six key activities that can influence the sha price: 23 1. Spread management: includes managing the spread between interest income an non-interest income and interest expenses and non-interest expenses. 2. Control of overheads: refers to the ability to minimise overheads (or non-interest expenses) while maintaining a high spread between these and non-interest income. 3. Liquidity management: converting short-term assets into cash in order to comply with liquidity requirements. funding needs and meeting unexpected deposit withdrawals. 4. Capital management: managing the level of regulatory capital in such a manner that asset and liability growth can be accomplished without any decrease in public confidence or prolitability. The American Accounting Association 20 defines financial measures as a too evaluate and interpret economic information, which enables management to m more informed judgements and decisions. By combining the information of a ba Statement of Profit or Loss and other Comprehensive lncome (SPL) and the SFP, first step in bank performance evaluation can be initiated by means of r analyses. Ratio analyses can be applied in three ways: a cross-sectional analysi time series analysis and a combination of these two analyses. A cross-sectio analysis makes use· of financial ratios to provide a performance comparison different banks at a certain point in time. A time series analysis. on the other ha makes use of financial ratios to evaluate the performance of a bank over a cer time period, thus enabling the analyst to assess and compare past performance current performance levels. The combined approach is considered to be the comprehensive approach given that financial ratios are used to compare the t banks over a certain time period. 21 The analyst must ensure that if one of these approaches is applied the finan statements must be dated at the same point in time in order to avoid the biased results that seasonality can cause. The analyst must also ensure that the finan statements are audited and that there is no room for distortion by inflation. 22 order to initiate a bank performance evaluation the analyst must also h knowledge of the different variety of financial ratios available and understand ho' to interpret each one. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 202 203 Equation 8.2 Besides max1m1smg the share value by improving the bank's performance and efficiency levels. bank management must also consider the market perception of the and future performances of the bank. here D represents the constant expected dividends over period l; r is the cost of 1 pita!; and g is the expected growth rate. The cost of capital entails the minimum uired risk-free rate and the risk premium. P0 =D 1 ~(r-g) ere Dt represents the expected dividends by the shareholder and r is the cost of ital that entails the minimum required risk-free rate and the risk premium. From s equation it is evident that there are four different situations that can cause the re price to rise. First, if the stream of expected dividend increases, due to growth or increase in the bank's profitability level the share price will increase accordingly. ond, the share price will increase if the perceived level of risk decreases, which JI lead to a lower required risk premium. Third. if the minimum required risk'e rate decreases, investors' acceptable rates of return will also decrease which 'II cause the share price to increase. Finally, a combination of an increase in the pected dividend with a lower risk premium (decrease in perceived risk) will cause 'e share price to increase. The equation does, however, make the assumption that the share will pay varying iOunts of dividend over the time period t. However, if it is expected that the dividend ill grow at a constant rate over time, the Gordon growth equation can be used: 25 Equation 8.1 her factors that can influence the share price include the attitude of management, reference of the share owners, the regulatory and economic environment and bank's primary objectives (vision and mission). 24 fn addition, the price of a share can be estimated as follows: 25 Tax management: minimising the bank's tax liabilities. The management of off-balance-s/Jeet activities: incorporates the management of ctivities such as letters of credit, lines of credit and loan commitments in order Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank Market vafoe ratios =NIS-;- N =Market price per share -;- Book value per share Market-to-book ratio In Equation 8.5, N is the number or common shares outstanding. Three additional market value ratios that can be considered are the earnings yield ratio, the dividend =Common equity -;- N Book value per share In the equations above. NIS signifies the net income available to common sharehold (net income minus dividends on preferred shares) and N is the number of comm' shares outstanding at the end of a certain period (sometimes the weighted avera for the estimated period is used). This estimate from Equation 8.3 can also serve a profitability measure. That is, it illustrates what portion of the bank's profit allocated to each of the respective outstanding common shares. Remember t a bank that uses less of its capital (equity) to generate a certain EPS level will considered more efficient and attractive than a bank that uses its capital to genera; the same level of EPS, ceteris paribus. A second market value ratio that can be applied to provide additio information regarding investor perceptions of the bank as an investm opportunity is the market-to-book ratio. This ratio compares the share's marke price to its book value. Banks with relative high rates of return on equity (ROE) ar, considered to be able to sell shares at higher prices than their book values suggest. 2 The inverse of this ratio, namely the book-to-market ratio, can also assist investor in identifying an overvalued or undervalued share. If the book-to-market ratio i above 1, the share is considered to be undervalued, while with a ratio of less than 1 the share is considered to be overvalued. In order to estimate the market-to-book ratio the book value per share must first be determined as follows: 26 P/E = Market price per share~ EPS The PIE can then be calculated: EPS By applying market value ratios in the performance evaluation process the bank able to determine the investor's perception regarding the available pros investing in a particular bank. Besides these ratios, a more common indic incorporates overall market perception is the trend of a bank's share price. Th the share price the better investor perceptions towards the bank's overall promote future growth. Nonetheless, there are a number of alternative market ratios that can be used. The first is the price-to-earnings (PIE) ratio which repor much an investor is willing to pay per rand or reported profits. A high PIE ratio si that the bank has high growth prospects. If the PIE of a particular bank is lower that of a competitor, it is considered to be a riskier investment opportunity. In or, estimate PIE the ratio the earnings per share (EPS) must first be calculated as folio 8.2.3.2 204 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Equation 8.9 =Earnings per share ~ Dividend per share fdend cover ratio (%) - - - - - Price (R) I 0 24 12 iii !1! i'1i'. Il ~ rtf.· ,,I :!! 4' 36 ~ 48 £ 60 84 72 .2.3.3 Profitability ratios rofitability ratios provide more insight into a bank's ability to generate revenues given he cost constraints in the provision of financial services. Basic profitability ratios are the net interest margin (NfM), the net non-interest margin (NNIM) and the net bperating margin. The NIM ratio (Equation 8.10) reports on the size of a bank's spread between the interest revenues and the interest expenses achieved by controlling its earning assets (or total assets) and the pursuit of acquiring the cheapest source of funding when necessary. The NNfM ratio (Equation 8.11), on the other hand, reports on how effectively the spread is being managed between the non-interest revenues gore 8.2 Relationship between share price and growth in earnings ~~~~~~,~~0~8~~~~~~,~~0~8~~~~~~-~~0~8 cn~n~c~~nu>ucnro~~ cs~nu>ocnan~c~~no> o ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 000000000000000000000000000000000000 000000000000000000000000000000000000 ~~~~~~~~~~~~NNNNNNNNN NNNMMMMMMMMMMM M 1-- Earnings growth Equation 8.8 =Dividend per share-;- Price per share vidend yield ratio :ggested above, for investors to be interested in investing in a bank, banks must ce them by making their shares very attractive. This can be done by ensuring rofitability, sound liquidity levels and debt management are well managed over the long and short term. Figure 8.2 provides an example of the relationship en the share price and earnings of a typical bank, and suggests a strong positive ionship between earnings and share price in the long term. Profitability analysis erefore, an important aspect of performance management. Equation 8. 7 ~ Price per share nings yield ratio = Earnings per share 'o and the dividend cover ratio. The earnings yield ratio illustrates the yield stors are demanding from the bank; the dividend yield ratio indicates the that investors will obtain on their investment in the bank in the form or ds; the dividend cover ratio indicates the extent of earnings that the bank will in the form of dividends. A high dividend cover ratio will signal that a large ' of earnings is being retained and reinvested within the bank. 22 Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank 205 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The two most popular profitability measures include the return on assets (ROA and return on equity (ROE) ratios. The equations for ROA (Equation 8.15) and RO (Equation 8.16) are as follows: 25 NIE is the non-interest expenses; NI is the non-interest income; average total assets. Burden ratio= (NIE - NI) -;- ATA In Equation 8.13, IC is the interest income; AEA is the average earning assets; IE is t interest expense and AIBL is the average interest-bearing liabilities. The burden rat' on the other hand, measures the amount of non-interest expenses that include fe service charges, security gains and other income as a fraction of average total asse A bank with a lower burden ratio is considered to be better off, while an increasi ratio illustrates a lack of a burden bearing capacity. 17 Earnings spread ratio= (IC-'- AEA) - (IE-;- AlBL) Two alternative traditional measures for profitability efficiency are the ear spread ratio (also known as the spread ratio) (Equation 8.13) and the burden r (Equation 8.14). The earnings spread ratio measures the bank's effectivenes: performing its intermediation function of lending and borrowing money. This ra can also be used to measure the competitive intensity in the financial market. 25 ; ~spaff theNNliVI and'NIM ratios/whilst others when tneseratios are consulted tnafdo &,hsider~Eitr.rrity 9 ains'•(or_tosse~} prefer to:incorporate itas part of ttie pre-tax:operatiha i ;;There'_are·-severat ·banksttfattise tota1· ea In the equations above, NPA is the difference between interest income and i expenses; NIR is the total non-interest income; PVLL is the provision for loans an losses; NIE is the non-interest expenses: and NP is the difference between op income and operating expenses (also referred to as pre-tax operating income). Net operating margin = NP ~ Total assets NNIM = (NIR - PVLL - NIE) ~ Total assets (or earning assets) NIM= NPA-;- Total assets (or earning assets) as wages, maintenance, and loan loss expenses). The net operating margin ref!. effectively the bank is managing the spread between operating income and o expenses relative to its total assets (Equation 8.12). 25 The NIM ratio, the NNI and the net operating margin can be estimated as follows: (origi~ating from service fees) and non-interest expenses (which include expen 206 ~ Total equity capital Equation· 8.16 Equation 8.15 207 ,.,......•=•-·'· ~ Total ~=··'""'·"'.~.--''" 1 / r : < Y . equity capital ==•·•""•-•~C_.0_~ P.M = Total assets AU= Total operating income -;- Total assets PM= Net income after tax -;- Total operating income . •-=-• YI, . .+. YS.-·,.•Y~•W:• , ... , ,,\\Ill'""'''" Equation 8.19 Equation 8.18 Equation 8.17 1A ratio serves as an indicator for managerial efficiency. which entails the 'anagement's ability to convert assets into earnings. The higher the ROA the ff the bank because more money is being earned from less asset investment. IA, however, provides no direct information concerning how or which or the activities contribute to the creation of shareholder value. It also ignores other ance benchmarks that customer-focused managers must consider to identify long-term strategies. e ROE measures the rate of return that shareholders will receive. The DuPont ·is enables an analyst to break the ratio down into three components, namely, the ,fit margin (NPM). the degree of asset utilisation (AU) and the equity multiplier Splitting the ROE ratio into these three components (see Equations 8 .17 to 8 .19) s it easier to understand any changes in the ROE ratio over time and to direct le management energy to addressing problems in that specific area. 25 Net income after tax ;: Net income after tax -;- Total assets Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Source: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 17 Figure 8.3 The decomposition of ROE The NPM reflects the operating efficiency in terms of effective cost manageme service pricing policies. The AU, on the other hand, reflects asset-use efficie terms of effectively managing portfolio policies and focuses especially on the yiel mix of assets. Finally, the EM reflects the bank's financial leverage, which illu the effectiveness of a bank's financing policies regarding which sources (equ debt) were chosen to fund the bank. Increasing financial leverage can imply th bank is using more debt financing relative to equity financing. 25 A higher propo of debt in the bank's capital structure can lead to a higher ROE, however, only i bank's ROA exceeds the interest rate on debt will the increase in debt make a p contribution to the bank's ROE. The EM can also be applied as a risk measure, can be used to indicate how many assets can default before the bank will bee insolvent. In addition to the abovementioned decomposition, the DuPont analysis divides the ROE into the components illustrated in Figure 8.3. 17 208 209 ese ratios lack the ability to account for any risk adjustments. As a result, ept of risk-adjusted performance measures was developed to overcome these ks and this is why banks began to move to economic values (mark-to-market et-to-model values) because these are both risk- and revenue-adjusted 27 10 elaborates more on risk-adjusted measures). ite setting profitability as a long-term strategic goal, the one factor that ot be dismissed by a bank is liquidity. The level of effective liquidity risk ent describes the bank's ability to meet uncertain cash flow obligations and ncreases in assets without the possibility of incurring losses. 25 Liquidity risk rincipally assigned to a flawed SPL structure, the product mix offered by the d its cash flow profile of both off- and on-balance-sheet obligations. 28 Also, a nation of an inability to generate the necessary liquidity buffer, misconduct of g bad loans that can reduce cash flow and mismanagement of funding costs lethal to even the largest banks. e lack of effective liquidity management. can lead to the deterioration of confidence, thus leading to a bank run. Analysing a bank's level of effective ·ty management is, therefore, crucial to establishing the current market's tion of the bank's liquidity management abilities. h the ROE and ROA are considered to be highly dependable profitability Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank Liquidity ratios 12,26 Quick ratio = Total quick assets -;- Total current liabilities Current ratio = Total current assets ~ Total current liabilities Liquidity ratios are used to assess a bank's ability to meet obligations and, w necessary, be able to quickly convert assets into cash. 29 These obligations specifi refer to being able to accommodate withdrawals by depositors, maintaining viability of meeting the loan demands of customers, ensuring feasible m expectations and ensuring the effective performance of typical daily activities. Th are two common liquidity ratios used by bankers: the current ratio and the quick ra The current ratio is a measure of the bank's liquidity health. It indicates whether not a bank is able to pay its current short-term obligations. which include payables a debt, with its short-term assets that include inventory, cash and receivables. A b with a current ratio below 1 suggests that the bank is currently unable to pay off obligations. The quick ratio, on the other hand, can be regarded as an acid test fi liquidity. This ratio illustrates whether or not a bank is able to meet its current sho term obligations (liquid obligations) with its most liquid assets including cash, prepai, and notes receivable, accounts receivable and Treasury bills. The quick ratio exclud inventory from the total current assets because inventory can become difficult to tu into cash. The formulae for these respective ratios are as follows: 8.2.3.4 210 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective it~~•. • - - - - - - - - ~ - •W =.-0.--S-· ◄ •,.•-·~.V. r_,c_v Y . . · = 0·=-···-~.--:_. _. •• ,_ •• ,._._ .•\.,\'{11, •• '>l''-'..'",,-. ~,fJiioifi,§lihghtffa'J tiilm.f!~C:/.prijl:Jl!~s tBr!~~jsC>ot ~fryd~'r,inga2010.!tudy.ahd,~afistilLguarantee~•.nu1 ertions;,Sinceohly cash rese1Ves;aridcgoverntner11,.aebt at~f~!tfasifiedas hfg~ J~lilyfiqUid.assets; ItleSoutfj~frican l:)On-d markef(1as'·c~rifipered·.to(j·. .~m~ll}o ·•comrriod:Methe arno~T)l .of. a~yernr:nentpa\:lenha(r1!ede~tp:pe pough!.·.~yfoUth· iban\:Jahks.in order toacqoir~t~thighq uality liquid asse;!•~eedetl,}he'.;\' LicturafHquidffy mismatch b'etween local banksJ~consider, ,to bethe greatest r\Jrega[din? thetw(j liejoi~1tyJitiosfor.,sotftH ~f~itan~a~B~·V!.i.th·.~·•.larg~ 1t;6ff~ndirig ·afi~ingfr6r1'.'V/.~ofii'satesources, priniarilytorn the money l'!larket, nt1:i,ecau'~<; rnost'South·.i\fril'fan bartltassets have lohgmat~!iti.es, .~ rrtisleadirig·•••··· ni~gegtthe$OUth African:b-irrikfrrg.Jridustry is portrayed .. Dh~f)theliquidity < • • • i~rnatd, i~}heSoutt,African'.~a~~ingJndustry,;as 'll/ell•as t.hilfinited •.size ot;2.e 6rnestic bond .marketolocal IlafikSJ.vilfonly be able to gefrert!e an approximate O'?l~f?dHe~CR and 60WJor t~e·~sFRreqiJired bYjhe BasEi.fJH Accord. These • proxirnatihns can generate unce~iinty and·COncemtor rnarRetparticipants regarding,the future direction O'f barikin•g liquidity managemenf.2, • 0 -..gti~r~>: "t _.•.;;,., .;;;,;, . , .....>·.•••··· , ..•••. < • . sfable flirids -~?Requiredsfable funds >}00°, . / i. . •••• ••'~••· , liquid assets +'.;Net 30•day cash outflow~ 100%; , 1i<s; 1ge ra*id:/. • ;·-:<>·• / in 'SsRfi!~f}:~fi;;~~ :~il~;lit~~~;~t~i jt~;:~~~1h!sle:!t 1l~a£1e lin:g o~er(alonget.!ini~'r:fe'r[<,i:T;,J.cf~E!I~£~.i~~ll.~~;tha:t.the•.ban~ List·• .•.····•·.<.•··'tPuffer~f~l~hc'~g~tiiy,lia?1~~ssst~;Iei.~6Vtit.!9;etJiq\Jidity6utf!eiY.,S•.• >• ~p'~y;stress.peric>ct'Tpese,~.lgfi.\<1?ality-liqoldass~tsi~bouldpr1l.iquiqi<f?ring f~~S..-lS~ou.ltf;i~~~ ;fii~JI;&~ditt~?llfty, ;friclJ~ei~ltf~~~,,t\~B eligible,!~•~ 7 str~st~cen~t!6'~~l~Htlih~ea to estfrnateJhenetCpash.ouUfbW~A bdthsystemicaridiristitulicin-specific shcit~S. 47 ~epigh quality liq?id •••••• 6olated"bf.viulfipl!iHg'theJrrfar~et v?l~e\With-.!h~l:lssetfactor for }vithten.tral;bAn.k.reserves,mar~etab.le .se~?tittes }ssued or••· .·.;.,,sovefeigns;"hashtcehtralbankand.tfomestic~oveteign.aebt a f?ctor of 100'¼~46 Th!NSFR,'.pnthe otherhMd,pafines the type et ?d)\at,1Ht.ies expected 'tgbearelitble .so~rce?f .fun~12g'Under.a stress >'of?>neyeafJhe feq(jired fdh'ding amount depeiids gnthe instrument's :whicH~lso determin€s;he'available·or required stable:tactor. These jactors ipliicfbyJhe availabfe ;Ori'eq·uired stable fundihg iteniJi.o ,estimate the • • • falue\J~eavallableStablejactbr defines theariJoi:mt of assets(partly ts\Wit~an'effectiv~rriatutity?f leSs}h.an oneyefr) that would remain g(im exfendecf~t~i<5tfdo.rinira St~es!tvent/"fti~ required stable is}he am(j~nt Bf,~t,lirtlcularasset tHaf c6uld b?!:Pe monetised durihg sfress'SVent of cineyear. 46 Theformulae of the LCR and the NSi=R are asfollows: i(y'~~~!~{!;~t;f?~ =~~~~}~~~~~ft! ~td~8~~:rfu•~@ ·ihg tfje·1i9.~idity~gyetag~r~!£<i<LS§tt';):irC>l'Yl.~f~~. s~o~~ter.ryi.ff~xibiijty···• ··•4(iJhtah'd:@tfc.Kf?t[~sf th~t~!!!,tw~~.~~itional liqui.di~>tatios tuatihg1fjEl.,,tiffiic!i~rnes~i?,{!'ibank.'s.liq~ldi!Y9iven• Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank 211 ••• •••••••"'"•• /2 00 M.-•--•-•••• ••• •• ~ .•0'""'•••• Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Leverage ratios Operatin g and prod11cti vity efficiency ratios 8.2.3.6.1 Cost management ratios One of the most common cost managem ent ratios is the cost-to-income ratio, whic provides an investor with insight regarding the overall efficiency of a bank (hence its Estimates that could provide a substantial contribution to the overall bank performa n evaluation process include the efficiency and productivity ratios of day-to-d, operations. This category of ratios is divided into three subgroups that include co managem ent ratios, customer-related ratios and other ratios (which include capit adequacy, asset quality, liquidity standards, user standards and other growth ratios). 8.2.3.6 In Equation 8.24, EBIT is the bank's earnings before interest and taxes. The to-equity ratio illustrates the bank's ability to leverage its debt against the c that is employed by its sharehold ers. 22 A high debt-to-equity ratio illustrates tha bank follows an aggressive strategy in financing its growth with debt. This aggre· strategy implies that additional interest expenses will have to be paid on the debt is being used. This implies more volatile earnings for the bank. Total debt in the d ratio includes both current liabilities and long-term debt. Creditors prefer a ban have a low debt ratio, meaning that the bank has a greater cushion against credi losses in the event of liquidation. 26 The interest coverage rate, on the other ha indicates the portion of debt interest that can be covered by the cash flow of t' 29 bank. The lower the interest coverage ratio, the more the bank is burdened b§ debt expenses. For example, if the bank has an interest coverage ratio of 0.5 itsugg that the bank is not generatin g sufficient cash flow to pay the interest expenses. such, an interest coverage ratio of, for example, 2 would be more desirable. Apart from evaluatin g a bank's share price, market value, profitability, liquid and leverage, a financial analyst must also consider the operation al efficien within the bank. Interest coverage ratio = EBIT ~ Interest expenses Debt ratio= Total debt~ Total assets Debt-to-equity ratio= Total liabilities~ Total equity capital The leverage ratios of a bank provide the analyst with an idea of the financing that is used or can be used to measure a bank's ability to meet fin obligations. 26 The three most commonly used leverage ratios are: 8.2.3.5 Besides making use of highly liquid assets the bank can also use debt fina perform certain daily operations and to maintain a certain capital structu therefore, importan t to evaluate a bank's level of leverage in order to determ to compare the type of financing that is used. If the returns on assets, whl, financed with borrowed funds, exceed the interest paid on the borrowed fun returns on sharehold er capital arc considered to be amplified or leveraged. 26 212 213 Equation 8.28 Financial expense ratio= IFEL-;- Total gross loan portfolio Equation 8.32 Cost per active customer ratio = Operating expenses~ TNC the equation s above, FEL is the financial expenses on funding liabilities; IFEL is the interest and fees expenses on funding liabilities; TIED is the total interest expenses on deposits; DI is the direct and indirect operating expenses allocated to deposits and TNC is the total number of active customers. 30 Operating expense of deposits ratio= DI Equation 8.31 Equation 8.30 ~ Average deposits Operating efficiency ratio = Operating expenses .;- Total operating income Equation 8.29 Equation 8.27 Cost of funds ratio = FI'L-;- Total deposits and borrowings ~ Average deposits Equation 8.26 Interest margin= Interest income -;- Total income Financial expense of deposits ratio = TlED Equation 8.25 Cost-to-income ratio = Total operating income~ Total operating expenses eferred to as the efficiency ratio). The lower the cost-to-income ratio (where the ational benchma rk is 0.6 or 60%) the more profitable the bank will be. If this ndicates an unexpected increase, it could mean that the expenses are growing at er rate than income, thus suggesting that the bank is failing to function cost ively. Equation 8.26 provides additional information about a bank's revenues es: it illustrates to what extent the total income is generated from interest income n-interest income. The cost of funds ratio. on the other hand, provides an estimate ,w interest rates are managed given the total number of deposits and borrowings. financial expense ratio provides an estimate of how much interest rate expenses • been paid to fund the bank's total gross loan portfolio. In order to directly compare ost of funding to all the possible future borrowing opportunities, the financial nse of deposits ratio can be applied to provide such an estimate. An alternative cost agement ratio includes the operating efficiency ratio, which provides an indication ow effectively the personnel and administrative expenses are managed relative to total operating income. Also, the operating expense of deposits ratio provides the lyst with an indication as to whether the deposit mobilisation costs are managed ctively. Finally, the cost per active customer ratio determines the cost of maintain ing active customer. 30 Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank ~ TNAC Capital adequacy, asset quality, liquidity and user standards, and other growth ratios One of the most common ratios to consider is the capital adequacy ratio (CAR), which presents the level at which the depositors are protected. (Chapter 15 provides an extensive discussion on capital adequacy and the CAR). This ratio also illustrates 8.2.3.6.3 For the equations above, NAB is the number of active borrowers; TNLO is the total number of loan officers; TNAC is the total number of active customers: TNP is the total number of bank personnel; NNAC represents the number of active customers at the beginning of the period plus the number of new customers during this period minus the number of active customers at the end of the period: NOA is the number of deposit accounts; ND is the number of depositors; NL is the number of loans disbursed; and NLO is the number of active borrowers. 30 Average outstanding loan size ratio= Gross loan portfolio-;- NLO Average loan disbursed ratio= Value of loans disbursed~ NL Portfolio-to-assets ratio= Gross loan portfolio-;- Total assets Loans-to-deposits ratio = Gross loan portfolio -;- Deposits Average deposit account balance per depositor= Total deposits~ ND Average deposits account balance= Total deposits~ NOA Customer turnover ratio= NNAC Active customer per staff member ratio = TNAC -;- TNP Rorrowcrs per loan officer ratio = NAB -;- TNLO The first customer-related ratio that is considered is the borrowers per loan offi ratio. which measures the average number of borrowers that are managed by ea loan officer in the bank. An alternative ratio to consider is the active customers staff member ratio that measures the overall productivity of the bank's personnel managing their customers. The customer turnover ratio, on the other ha calculates the net number of customers that are continuing to obtain access to t bank's services over the estimated period. Equation 8.36 provides a measure customer loyalty to the bank and Equation 8.3 7 provides an indication of custom outreach. Furthermore, the loans-to-deposit ratio can be used as a proxy to measur, the intermediation function of a bank, where it determines the role of deposits as funding source. The portfolio-to-assets ratio measures the level of allocation of asse to the bank's lending activities and the average loan disbursed ratio can be used t, project possible future disbursements. Finally. the average outstanding loan size rati measures the average outstanding financing that was accessed by customers. 30 Customer-related ratios Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 8.2.3.6.2 214 ~ Total loans Total assets ~ =Loans to the private sector ~ Total loans Equation 8.48 Equation 8.47 Equation 8.46 Equation 8.45 Equation 8.44 Equation 8.43 Risk-adjusted performance measures are additional performance measures that should also be considered by financial analysts and especially by investors (see Chapter 10). Besides the fact that traditional profitability ratios such as ROE and ROA lack the ability to account for any risk adjustments, risk-adjusted measures allow financial managers and investors the opportunity to determine which business operation is profitable by comparing the risk-adjusted returns against a measure of cost of capital (also called a hurdle rate). These types of performance measures provide additional valuable guidelines for performance evaluation, effici~nt asset allocation and capital structure decisions in multidivisional banks. Risk-adjusted performance measures are, however, difficult to construct because of the lack of precise information on the profitability and risk of. in particular, branches. To conclude, the final and most important factor that must be considered by financial analyst and investor is the possibility that the bank may become bankrupt. This leads to the next section which deals with the different ratios that can be applied to determine the possibility of bankruptcy. These ratios can also be TOE denotes the sum of total deposits and total shareholders' equity. User standard 3 = Domestic credits-;- TOE User standard 2 User standard 1 = Loans lo the private sector -;- Private sector deposits Liquidity standard = Liquid assets Asset quality standard 2 = Loan provisions Asset quality standard 1 =Non-performing loans-;- Total loans or~ Capital adequacy ratio (CAR)= Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital~ Risk-weighted assets Equation 8.42 level of stability and efficiency of the bank in terms of complying with the latory capital requirements set by the SARB in accordance with the Basel cord. Alternative ratios to consider are the asset quality standard ratios that borate on the bank's financial viability over the estimated period. In turn, the uidity standard ratio provides an indication of the bank's high quality liquid asset sition, which serves as a buffer to comply with unforeseen obligations. Finally, the er standard ratios indicate the level at which the bank is providing loans and ditional credit lines to the private sector. Furthermore, general growth rates in rms of total assets, total customer deposits, total credit facilities and the growth ate of the bank's financial asset portfolio can also provide evidence of an efficient nd growing bank. 31 The 'general' CAR is: Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank 215 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective These ratios do, however, have the same shortcomings, as do all the other financial ratios discussed throughout this chapter. As a result of being based on accounting data they are backward-looking. This in turn limits their use in strategic decision- • Retained earnings+ Total assets Market value of shares ~ Book value of debt Working capital + Total assets Total debt+ Total assets Earnings before interests and tax + Total assets Net income + Total assets Cash flow + Total debt Cash flow + Long-term debt 8.2.3.7 Predicting insolvency (Bankruptcy ratios) In the event of filing for bankruptcy, all the debtor's assets are evaluate.d measured to be used to repay a portion of the outstanding debt. At this stage, ho some of the debt can still be outstanding. This can further amplify future liq problems of the debtor. Should a bank go bankrupt, there are severe consequenc the employees, who lose not only their jobs, but also their source of income. Espe in financial sectors that are highly concentrated, the bankruptcy of a major bank have severe negative spillover effects. This in turn can affect the earnings of ot banks, the trust of customers and investors, and possibly lead to the bankruptcy other banks that are compelled to pay outstanding debt that is owed to the bankr bank. This systemic risk was one of the major drivers of the global nature of financial crisis. Some of the most profound international announcements bankruptcy that had immense spillover effects on the world included Northern Ro (22 February 2008) and Lehman Brothers (15 September 2008). As such, when analysing the overall performance of a bank, an analyst has. be able to identify early signs of possible banking problems. There are nine rati (including the current ratio from Section 8.2.3.4) that can serve as an effecti overall evaluation of the possibility for a bank to go bankrupt. These ratios inclu the following: 32 defined as thelllgal~tatiiSot,a oan~~n~~ltlS unao11 ',E3ankfuptey outstantling debtowect to creditors arid is also.unable to perfomi.ffs., ca.Abe used as benchmarks for other banks to increase the overall level of performanc 216 217 g by the senior management within a bank. 14 Accounting ratios also provide r no indication as to the specific reasons for 'good' or 'bad' pcrformance. 12 portant thing to realise, however. is that by combining both financial and nancial performance measures the financial analyst is provided with a more ive evaluation of the overall performance and efficiency of the bank. Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank 218 Bank Management in South Africa A risk-based perspective Chapter 8: Measuring the Performan ce of a Bank 219 220 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 221 nderstanding non-firiaricial performance measures ing non-financial performance measures in a bank's evaluation process e several benefits for strategic decision-making as these measures can te customer satisfaction, on-time delivery, market share, innovation and product/services quality and productivity. 7 Non-financial performance are perceived to be better indicators of managerial efforts, 33 of long-term ce 34 and also provide more information on the causes of firm failures. I 5 rtcial measures are also used to measure the changing technological ent and the key leverage capabilities in order to achieve key competitive ges. 35 More importantly, non-financial measures arc less prone to Jation than accounting ratios. 36 They also have the ability to provide more e efficiency measurements, compared to that of traditional financial ratios, form only one aspect of the bank's overall performance. 10 This entails ining a bank's ability to use resources effectively in delivering products and (cost efficiency), by using the lowest levels of input (technical efficiency) and k's skills at generating income from these services {profit efficicncy). 9 ere are several non-financial measures that can be applied to the performance at.ion process. These include approaches such as benchmarking, total quality gement {TQM), European Foundation for Quality Management (EFQM), ced scorecards (BSC), data envelopment analysis (DEA), stochastic frontier sis (SFA) and multilateral total factor productivity (MTFP) indices. The three common approaches used are balanced scorecards, DEA and SFA. The BSC ibutes operational components to the traditional financial measures 37 - it !es management to link performance measures to their vision and strategies and s to channel the bank's resources, abilities and energy to achieve its long-term s. 38 The BSC also allows the bank to pinpoint its strategic objectives by using the ,wing four pillars: financial perspective, customer perspective, internal business cess measures and learning and growth measures. 37 Financial perspective includes financial measures such as those discussed in tion 8.2.3. Customer perspective includes indicators such as customer needs, the 1 of defects present in incoming and on-time delivery of required products and vices. 37 These measures can be calculated with information that is gathered from tomer surveys, repeated sales to customers and from respective customer ofitability analysis. The value of customer perspective is crucial because it helps e bank to connect its internal processes to improved outcomes with its stomers. 38 •39 The internal business process measures are based on the objective of ost efficiently produced products and services that meet customer needs. For ,xample, on-time delivery from suppliers, cost of non-conformance and lead-time eduction. 38 Finally, the learning and growth measures focus on developing the capabilities and processes needed for the future. This can include the speed of transactions or the number of people involved in a transaction. I 5 The DEA and SFA models, on the other hand, are used to measure the efficiency of a bank. They measure, taking into account the bank's overall objectives, the maximisation of output, the maximisation of profits or the minimisation of costs. 10 The DEA model determines the bank (best-practice) that produces outputs with the Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 8.3 CONCLUSION Performa nce measurem ent is not an easy task because of the variet performa nce indicators. Financial accountin g ratio measures are not al appropria te for measurin g the bank's performance, because a bank may perfi differently with different ratios and data can become difficult to interpret. It ca misleading if the product mix changes over time and in cross-sectional analyses the banks being compared have dissimilar product mixes. Also, financial measu are backward-looking and do not reflect the long-term and future conseque nces manageri al actions. Furtherm ore, one of the most problema tic drawback s financial accountin g ratios, such as ROE and ROA, is that they do not include a risk adjustme nt or risk exposure measurem ents, which will be discussed in mo detail in Chapter 10. Additionally, using financial indicator s as the sole measure for incenti • purposes may encourag e manageri al focus only on the short-ter m strategy and ma' distort the decision-making process. Financial accountin g ratios are not an effecti means of represent ing the many facets of performa nce and are unable to captu the interplay between multiple resources and outputs. Also, the required financial data is not always available and sometimes the required financial statemen ts are impossible to obtain. This has led to the development of non-finan cial measures , least inputs by using data on input prices, costs, and outputs. 40 It involves linear programm ing methods to construc t a non-para metric piecewi across the data. This is used to measure the relative efficiency or prod terms of the inputs and outputs selected by the bank. 41 Also, the prob' measurin g bank efficiency is data availability. Typically the databases of ba accommo date accounti ng procedur es and not combined analysis of ope' marketin g and financial data. The DEA model is considered to be an ap method for overcoming these problems because of its modelling flexibilitI ability to address qualitativ e and quantitat ive data, and non-discr etion discretion ary inputs. 42 The SFA model incorpora tes the costs of different financial prodti services of the bank. This model allows the financial analyst to evaluate the cost efficiency in more detail, whilst simultane ously determin ing standar, efficiency and alternativ e profit efficiency. 43 The major drawback of the SFA when compared to the DEA model is that the former requires more assu about the form of the frontier and the errors, which makes the cost fronti flexible. 44 •45 Nevertheless. even with the different shortcomings associated with non-fin and traditional financial measures (accounting ratios) they are the only infor sources that are available in order to construct a proper platform for manage make long-term decisions. It is, therefore, important for a financial analyst and Ii management of a bank to determine the most effective combination of financi non-financial measures. Doing so will generate the most comprehensive and trans information to help a bank overcoming the gap between their actual performan ce their desired performance. 222 223 ENCES :I Committee for Banking Supervision. 2011. Basel lll: A global regulatory orkfor more resilient banks and banking systems. http:/ /www.bis.org/publ/ s189.pdf (Accessed January 30 2012). gelly, M. 2010. 'Uncertain liquidity ratios.' Risk magazine. http://www.risk.net/ k-magazine/feature/ 1594865 /uncertai n-ratios (Accessed 15 September 2011 ). oweni. TT. 2003. Governor's address to shareholders. http:/ /www.rcservebank. za/internet/Publication.nsf/LADV /B2~6JiB_606 3 8_BFB444 2 2 56D 8D004CADBA ile/English.pdf (Accessed 15 November 2007). rtle, F. 1997. Transforming the performance management process. London: Clays M. Kogan Page. boweni, TT. 2004. 'The South African banking sector - an overview of the past 0 years.' http:/ /www.bis.org/review/r04 l 23 lf.pdf (Accessed 15 November 007). Kimball, RC. 199 7. 'Innovations in performance measurement in banking.' New England economic review (May/June): 23-39. Kaplan. RS & Norton. DP. 2001. The Strate{!!} Focused Organization: How the Balanced Scorecard Companies Thrive in the New Business Environment. Boston: Harvard Business School. Fitzergerald, LJ, Johnston, R, Brignall. S, Silveston, R & Voss, C. 1993. Pe1forman ce Measurement in Service Business. London: The Chartered Institute of Managem ent Accountants. Spong, K, Sullivan, RJ & De Young, R. 199 5. 'What makes bank efficiency? A look at financial characteristics and bank managem ent and ownership structure.' http:/ /www.kc.frb.org/Publicat/FIP/prs9 5-1.pdf (Accessed 20 September 2012). Mester, LJ. 2003. 'Applying efficiency measurement techniques to central banks.' http:/ /fie. wharton. upenn.ed u/fic/pap ers/03/03 2 5.pdf (Accessed l OOctober 2012). Armstrong, M. 2000. Performance Management: Key Strategies and Practical Guidelines. 2nd ed. London: Kogan Page. 2. Avkiran, NK. 1997. 'Models of retail performance for bank branches: predicting the level of key business drivers.' International Journal of Bank Marketing 15( 6-7): 224-237. Landy, F & Zedeck, S. 1983. 'Introduction', in Performance Measurement and Theor!J, edited by F Landy, S Zedeck with J Cleveland. Hillsdale: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates: 1-7. Clark, P. 1997. 'The balanced scorecard.' Accountancy Ireland 29( 6): 2 5-26. Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP. 1996. 'The balanced scorecard as a strategic management system.' Harvard business review 74Uan/Feb): 75-79. De Young. R. 199 7. 'Measuring bank cost efficiency: don't count on accounting ratios.' Financial Practice and Education 7( 1): 20-31. ables the manager ial decision- making processes to focus more long-term borporate more performa nce-relat ed aspects, such as customer satisfaction. delivery, market share, innovatio n measures and product/s ervices quality 'uctivity. This means that an effective bank performa nce evaluatio n process to include a combinat ion of non-finan cial and financial measures to anageme nt to plan for and adapt to both short- and long-term objectives. Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank ,j} i_~ 17. Koch, TW & Macdonald, SS. Bank Mana11eme11t. 5th ed. London: Dryden Press, 18. Brown, KA & Mitchell, TR. 1993. 'Organization obstacles: link with financial performance, customer satisfaction, and job satisfaction in a service environm., Human relations 46(6): 725-758. 19. Berry, AJ, Broadbent, J & Otley, D. 2005. Management Control: Theories, Issues Ii Performance. 2nd ed. New York: Palgrave Macmillan. 20. American Accounting Association. 1966. A Statement of Basic Accounting Theo· 1. Evanston Illinios: American Accounting Association. 21. Graddy, DB, Spencer, AH & Brunsen, WH. 1985. Commercial Banki11g and the Financial Services Industry. Reston, Va.: Reston. 22. Correia, C, Flynn, D, Uliana, E & Wormald, M. 2005. Financial Management. Lansdowne: Juta. 23. Avkiran, NK. 2006. 'Developing foreign bank efficiency models for DEA in finance theory.' Socio Economic Planning Sciences 40( 4): 2 75-296. 24. Sinkey, JR. 2002. Commercial bank financial management in the financial-services industry. 6th ed. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall. 25. Rose, PS & Hudgins, SC. 2010. Bank managemellt and_financial services. 8th ed. Boston: McGraw-Hill. 26. Weston, JF, Besley, S & Brigham, EE 1996. Essentials of Management Finance. 11th ed. Fort Worth: Dryden Press. 27. Bessis, J. 2002. Risk management in banking. 2nd ed. New York: Wiley. 28. Basel Committee for Banking Supervision. 'Principles of sound liquidity risk management and supervision.' http://www.bis.org/publ/bcbsl 44.pdf September 2012). 29. Dennis, M. 2006. 'Key financial ratios for the credit department.' Business Credit 108(10): 62. 30. The SEEP Network. 2010. 'Pocket Guide to the microfinance financial reporting standards measuring financial performance of microfinance institutions.' http:// www.seepnetwork.org/filebin/pdf/resources/SEEP MFRS Pocket Guide ENG FINAL web.pdf (Accessed 25 October 2012). 31. Qatar Central Bank. 2012. 'Banks' performance indicators.' http:/ /www.qcb.gov. qa/English/Pages/ BanksPerformanceindicators.aspx (Accessed October 2012). 32. Reilly, FK & Brown, KC. 2012. Analysis of investments and management of portfolios. 10th ed. Australia: South-Western Gengage Learning. 33. Johnson, MD, Anderson, EW & Fornell, C. 1995. 'Rational and adaptive performance expectations in a customer satisfaction framework.' Journal of conswner research 1(4): 695-707. 34. Johnson, HT & Kaplan, RS. 1987. Relevance lost the rise and fall of management accounting. Boston: Harvard Business School. 35. Eccles, R. 1991. 1991. 'The performance measurement manifesto.' Harvard Business Review 69(1): 131-13 7. 36. Singleton-Green. 1993. 'If it matters, measure it.' Accountancy 11(1197): 52-53. 37. Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP. 1992. 'The balanced scorecard measure that drive performance.' Harvard Business Review 70(Jan/Feb): 71-79. 38. Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP. 1996. 'Linking the balanced scorecard to strategy.' California Management Review 39(1): 53-80. 39. Kaplan, RS & Norton, DP. 2001. 'Transforming the balanced scorecard from performance measurement to strategic management: part l .' Accounting Horizons 15(1): 87-104. 224 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective erman, D & Ladino, G. 1995. 'Managing bank productivity using data velopment analysis (DEA).' Interfaces 25(2): 60-73. are, R, Grosskopf, S & Lovell, CAK. 1985. The Measurement of Efficiency of 'roduction. Boston: Kluwer-Nijhoff. olany, B & Storbeck, J. 1999. 'A data envelopment analysis of the operational f6ciency of bank branches.' Interfaces 29(3): 14-26. erger, AN & Mester, LJ. 1997. 'Inside the black box: what explains differences with fficiency of financial institutions?' Journal of Banking and Finance 21(7): 895-947. erger. AN & Humphrey, DB. 1991. 'The dominance of inefficiencies over scale and roduct mix economies in banking.' Journal of Monetary Economics 28(1 ): 11748. ester, LJ. 1994. 'Ejficiency of banks in the third Federal Reserve district.' Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia working paper 94-l: 3-18. Deloitte. 2013. 'Risk Regulation Review of Basel Ill.' http://www.deloitte.com/ assets/Dcom-Australia/Local%20Assets/Documents/lndustries/ Financial%20 seryices/Risk%2 Oand %2 0Regulatory%20Review%20May%2 02013 /Deloitte Risk Regulatory Review BASEL III May2013.pdf (Accessed 12 September 2013). Accenture. 2013. 'Basel II[ Handbook.' http://www.accenture.com/ SiteCollectionDocuments/PDF/ Accenture-Basel-III-Handbook.pdf (Accessed 12 September 2013). Chapter 8: Measuring the Performance of a Bank 225 ~f :,'j; .1,. !l ..!. y .. -SS'?'.0,::-~~l\~.- -----?°'!" n•<•m•~-=: <-T"'.----=- ~-,--,.,.,_,, __«5_,.-,.-0_=, . . """ .: .•. ----~ q.,,,.,. •-•····r·~•--~•"•, , 7 - - - """"" TMSY.0.0'2 =--'- . Y r·_✓-0,. ,:;I',\ ,.,,._ ""''U"""""" . 10>. .....,_,!~ ¼.hX(_.,,.,-,7;.,--:;_;__v~··.· INAGEMENT -ANKING il:t'.FOUR oe,••••v••w•------ 9.2 SELECTED CONCEPTS IN RISK MANAGEMENT At the outset, it is important to take cognisance of the fact that risk managemen t as • a practice is not limited only to banking or finance. It can apply to any sector that experieric'es risk - to name a few, the medical, IT and energy sectors and even to • certain functions within project managemen t. 1 The list is to all intents and · purposes, endless, which is a very real problem regarding the use of risk terminology because reference to something in one context may not mean the same in another. An attempt to standardise risk language has been a priority for risk practitioner s INTRODUCTION 'he -business of banking is synonymou s with risk. Risk is pervasive and part of very business activity in which the bank is involved. In recent years and especially ollowing the systemic effects of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). the pressure placed on banks to identify, quantify and manage risk is more pronounced than ever before. Banks have therefore placed increased pressure on internal organisation al structures to adopt an all-encompassing risk managemen t approach. This chapter provides the backdrop for the remainder of the book in that it sets the tone for the organisation al philosophy vis-a-vis risk managemen t, specifically : via the enterprise-wide risk managemen t (ERM) approach. reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain why banks must manage risk differentiate between risk management and risk measurement >differentiate between risk and uncertainty discuss the trade-off between risk and reward in the management of risk explain the difference between risk appetite, risk tolerance, risk capacity and • risk attitude name the five principles of risk appetite explain how banks apply risk governance through the three lines of defence model identify and apply the steps that banks can follow when adopting an enterprise-wide risk management approach discuss the six driving forces leading to the use of enterprise-wide risk management within banks discuss the four ways banks diversify risk discuss the future outlook regarding risk management for banks. a Risk Philosophy in ~ • ·~I~ •1·-~ ilk ,. # !~\:.,/ ~; •· •·I •~,•1: 11·•.1._ IP: -~ 1i~ '! Risk management versus risk measurement There are five principles of risk management within an organisation: 1 1. The activities used in risk management must be proportionate to the overall level of risk. 2. The risk management activities must be aligned to the other operational and functional activities. 3. The risk management approach must be as comprehensive as possible. 4. The activities used in risk management must be embedded within the operations of the organisation. 5. The activities used in risk management must be as dynamic and responsive as possible to the impending risk environment. There are two components of the overarching risk management paradigm that nee to be considered within an organisation: managing risk and measuring risk. Risk management refers to managing and leading people, processes and structures within an organisation to identify and mitigate risk. 3 This implies a co-ordinated effort from management to align activities with organisational strategy (or goc11s). 1 9.2.1 Managing risk is an important management function that not only ensures th survival of a bank, but also the stability in the economy at large. The following section provides an overview of some of the most importa concepts relevant to risk management in the field of banking (commonly referred t as financial risk management). ff risk is so ubiquitous, why should banks manage it? • Banking is all about risk-taking, which is part of the everyday operations in • Failure to identify and manage the risk facing banks will result in bank fa and a possible run on the bank's deposits. • Risk management in banks ensures that financial markets are stable, w promotes consumer confidence and trust in the system. • Banks are exposed to both local and international financial markets with t own set of common and unique risks. • The interconnected nature of financial markets in a globalised world r systemic risk and contagion effects. • The interrelated and co-ordinated nature of monetary (usually the custodi of managing and regulating banks) and fiscal policy cannot be sustainable ' banks do not manage their risk. • The intrinsic mismatch in the maturity profile of a bank's balance sheet - th is, short-term liabilities fund long-term assets. • As the name suggests. risk management implies the management of risk, ri the avoidance thereof. Risk-taking can be profitable, which potentially protec and maximises shareholder wealth. The opposite is also true. and the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) has published th Guide 73:2009 2 as a reference for standardised generic terms in risk managem 230 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 231 Risk versus uncertainty Although Chapter 10 provides a detailed discussion of the risks facing financial risk managers in banks, it is important to make a distinction between risk and uncertainty because of the application of policies to address these concepts. According to ISO 73. risk is typically the deviation from an expected outcome and is often described as an event with either positive or negative effects. 2 Hopkin suggests referring to risk as 'an 9.2.2 ese are by no means the only three measures used by risk practitioners. Risk can be measured as absolute (the loss as a proportion of the initial value) or relative easured relative to a benchmark). 4 Within the lield of financial risk management ere are many tools at the disposal of risk managers. VaR in its various forms is the iiost widely used measure and can be calculated using the RiskMetrics, Monte Carlo t historic methods (see Chapter 10). Normal and lognormal distributions are also sed in risk modelling and distributions, with time-varying volatilities making use f simple measures like a moving average to more complex techniques such as the eneralised autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (GARCH) and exponentially eighted moving average (EWMA). 4 The problem with risk measurement, however, is that traditional risk measures re backward-looking and assume outcome distributions that are stable and pplicable for the future. 3 This is not always the case, as evidenced during the GFC where outcomes that would have been predicted as being highly improbable actually ·occurred. Risk measurement has to consider these unlikely outcomes and account for the potentially devastating effect they can have. Furthermore, the reliance on :models must not be done at the expense of people, especially regarding their ability .to react at the lirst sign of model weakness. 3 Needless to say, although risk measurement is vitally important within the ambit of the broader risk management process, assumptions regarding distribution, volatility and correlation should not be · regarded as constant over time, especially given the complex, interconnected and dynamic nature of financial markets. Risk management and risk measurement are therefore not mutually exclusive, but complementary of one another. If risk practitioners cannot identify the magnitude of potential losses by measuring the risk, they cannot align the internal processes to avoid these losses. As the old adage goes, 'one cannot manage something that is not measured.' incurring a greater loss and is characterised by a certain level of confidence (such as 90%, 95% or 99%). Value-at-risk (VaR): the cut-off point where there is a low probability of mean easurement refers to the numbers - the quantitative measurement of risk using lex mathematical and statistical models. 3 Risk practitioners typically construct els reflecting return or loss distributions as the basis for risk measurement. These 4 ibutions reflect three important statistical measures used to interpret risk: Mean: the average value of the elements used in the distribution Standard deviation: measures volatility and specifically the dispersion around the Chapter 9: Establishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective A JOA Figure 9.1 Risk versus uncertainty - (e) {c) {d) -=--=---~---~----· ~.-----~~·-·-- Lines (a), (c) and (e) reflect outcomes management knows can occur. This risk. Although management might not know whether or not the outcome will be, for example, a positive risk outcome (a) or a negative risk outcome [(c) or (e)), it knows that the outcome could be one of the three. Conversely, (b), (d) and (I) are outcomes that are not known to management. This implies uncertainty. For lines Source: Adapted from Laycock (2014: 18) 5 (f) (a) -------- (b) Figure 9. l provides a depiction of risk versus uncertainty. unplanned event with unexpected consequences' .1 Laycock concludes t materialisation of a risk event is not guaranteed, it has an effect on the value of and the consequences thereof are either positive or negative. 5 Uncertainty, on t hand, occurs where there is no known outcome for an event. 5 Perhaps the mo known distinction between risk and uncertainty is that provided by Jorion: 3•4 ■ J(nown knowns These are risks that we know that we know. orooenv measured and accounted for by management. ■ Known unknowns These risks are those that have been ignored, measured inaccurate interpreted incorrectly by management. The issue here is not tha. organisation does not know about the specific risk (in fact it does), rather, t has not properly accounted for this risk, either wittingly or unwittingly. ■ Unknown unknowns Unknown unknowns are risks that an organisation does not know it know. Because these risks are not known, they cannot be accounted for. suggests uncertainty. As Jorion states, '[e]valuating such risks will always challenge but their existence must [first] be acknowledged'. 3 232 233 The risk-reward trade-off suggests thatthe higher the degree of risk taken, the greater the likely variability in reward. In other words, if more risk is taken, the variability between earning greater rewards or incurring larger losses simultaneously increases. This implies that higher risk-taking is more likely to be either very rewarding (with higher returns) or very unrewarding (with larger losses). Conversely, if less risk is taken, the variability between earning higher rewards or incurring larger losses simultaneously decreases. This implies that lower risk-taking is more likely to have a stable and predictable reward with neither higher returns nor larger losses. In order to manage the risk-reward trade-off, a three-pronged approach would be to: 1. manage the degree of risk-taking • 2. reduce the likelihood of losses 3. maximise return (reward). Figure 9.2 The balancing act of risk management in the risk-reward trade-off RISK MANAGEMENT Losses due to excessive risk-taking management is not about avoiding risk - it is about managing it. This implies taking higher risks is a plausible strategy as long as the likelihood of losses are ltaneously minimised. Risk management is therefore a balancing act for nisations given that the risk-reward trade-off is part of every risk-related ity. Figure 9 .2 depicts this trade-off. Risk versus reward (d). the outcomes are respectively bound within the positive (a) and negative outcomes. Line (I), however. is outside the range of possible risk outcomes nted for by management at that particular point in time. Lines (b), (d) and (f) ,ly to the definition of uncertainty because management is uncertain about the -range of possible risk outcomes. 5 That is, they do not know the outcomes can ),(d) or (I). "he ability of management to identify risk outcomes is vital for a successful risk agement policy as it provides more certainty and clarity with regards to risk sure faced by an organisation. This has a direct effect on the possible losses and quent return that is achieved. Chapter 9: Establishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ....J s: 0 ~ 0 "O Q) ~ !I! "'s: "E !I! "'s: "E s:"' I 0) .c !I! "E Contextualising the organisational risk philosophy The risk philosophy of an organisation must represent the instituti onal ethos· regarding its approac h to risk. It must be comprehensive, yet specific, and clearly delineate its relevance to the various business units. The commun ication of risk and the monitoring of its outcomes must be integrat ed into daily working s. For the risk philosophy to be inbred in the culture there are a few importa nt concepts that must' be clearly conceptualised. The risk statement specifies the instituti onal risk philosophy and provides the• overarch ing risk approac h. This stateme nt is usually part of a larger docume nt that incorpo rates various risk concepts and can be as short as one sentenc e or as long as a few pages. What is importa nt is that this stateme nt gives the reader a good overall impression of the organisa tion's risk approac h. Once the risk stateme nt has been determi ned, the Board of Directors (Board) must determi ne 9.2.4 The matrix indicates that the higher the degree of risk taken (AFG), the highe (I) or lower (G) the reward. Conversely, the lower the risk, the lower the expected reward (A). The challenge for manage ment is to maximise the trade-of f such that an. acceptable degree of risk is taken that minimises losses and maximis es the reward) Ideally this would be in the quadran t DEHL The challenge for manage ment is to find some sort of acceptable balance between the risk taken and the eventua l reward generated from the risk activities. This implies an organisational approac h toward managin g risk that reflects its risk manage ment philosophy. Figure 9.3 Risk versus reward matrix Low risk Moderate risk High risk Figure 9.3 provides a matrix reflecting the decision to pursue risk or reward. 234 235 ~ - - ~ " ' · · = - ~ ~ • - - · ..7.s. ~ - " " · · \ .,.r_._,c·_.,/;<(lf, .1 _"" _ """ _ '\\'\ll'1't ... f- • . , ¼-.•·-Y_<W'(ss.W ,_,.¼.'i,11))! .. -.',:.s••·,, ... ; By clearly defining these four considerations, the overall risk appetite can be communicated via the risk stateme nt. The risk appetite can be stated per strategic objective and according to the different risk categories. 6 Subsequently, implementation must be monitored through the audit and compliance function and the corporate governance structur es must complement the organisa tional culture. Ensuring that organisational behavio ur is directed towards risk-based decisions is a vitally importa nt aspect of risk culture due to the fact that not all risk can be formally oescribed in policies and procedures. 5 here are four considerations that determine the risk appetite of an organisa tion: 6 The existing risk profile is 'the current level and distribution of risk across the entity and across various risk categories.' Risk capacity is 'the amount of risk that the entity is able to support in pursuit of its objectives.' Risk tolerance is the 'acceptable level of variation an entity is willing to accept regarding the pursuit of its objectives.' The risk attitude is 'the attitude towards growth, risk, and return.' SO provides five principles related to risk appetite: 6 It guides organisa tional strategy. It guides resource allocation. It aligns people, processes and infrastru cture. It represents organisa tional risk philosophy, which in turn influenc es culture and operating style. It aligns organisational strategy with risk appetite. in other words, what is its risk tite? According to the Committee of Sponsor ing Organis ations of the adway Commission (COSO), risk appetite is '[t]he amount of risk, on a broad 'el, an entity is willing to accept in pursuit of value. It reflects the entity's risk nageme nt philosophy, and in turn influences the entity's culture and operatin g 6 5 le.' Laycock defines risk appetite as 'the amount and type of risk that the anisatio n is willing to pursue or retain.' The central characte ristic of risk petite is therefore how much risk an organisa tion is willing to take to achieve its ategy (or organisa tional goals). wmuch risk the organisa tion is willing to take - Chapter 9: Establishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks "' ., 1\\\6•.'. • ENTERPRISE-WIDE RISK MANAGEMENT IN BANKS RM must be at the heart of the organi sation al approa ch to manag ing risk and be cknowledged in every transa ction and process condu cted by every person or epartm ent in the bank. It must be all-encompas sing and explicit. The organisational struct ure is param ount in ensuri ng the enterprise-wide nature of risk manag ement . Figure 9.4 provides an examp le of such an organi sation al (organogram) struct ure and highlights the interc onnec ted nature of the functions performed by a simple retail bank. he three lines of defence model provides a framew ork upon which organisations an build and align their strategy to the risk manag ement policies in a struct ured anner. 11 The ERM approa ch is a natura l outflow of this. 1:it>roa:ch adopted by many organisations and especi ally financial institu tions is marcate their risk governance into the three lines of defence model: 5•11 First line of defen ce: Busin ess opera tions ·• The first line of defence includes the front-line staff who act in accordance with )he risk appetite provided by the Board. Also known as the 'risk owners', the frisks are identified. assessed, decisions made and report ed on as part of the daily business activities. Secon d line of defen ce: Risk overs ight funct ions The second line of defence refers to the ri.sk oversight function and specifically includes the compliance and risk manag ement functions within an organisation. The oversight functions are usually aligned to the types of risk the organisation is exposed to within the differe nt business units in the organisational structu re. Third line of defen ce: Indep enden t assur ance J>roviders The third line of defence refers to the assura nce of risk manag ement role provided by auditors, both intern ally and externally. The role of the audito rs is to independently confirm wheth er or not policies and procedures are being adhered to, whilst they simultaneously 'stand back from the detail and assess the overall shape and configuration of the policies. standa rds and procedures'. 5 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The hypothetical retail bank reflected in Figure 9 .4 has five main business units service retail clients. These are: l. The sales and marketing unit: the staff responsible for selling and marketing t products and services offered by the bank - otherwise known as the 'front-office 2. The distribution channel unit: the unit responsible for providing and managi the physical branch and ATM infrastructure used to interact with clients. 3. The technology and operations unit: the unit that conducts the administrati function and ensures the functioning of the technology used in normal reta banking operations - otherwise known as 'back-office'. 4. The credit management unit: the unit responsible for receiving loan application and making decisions as to whether to approve or decline these applications. 5. The legal and recoveries unit: the unit responsible for taking legal action on behalf of the banks where clients do not service the loans as per the loan agreement. Figure 9.4 Organogram reflecting functional and risk integration for a hypothetical ret bank 238 239 There are no simple answers to these questions and this highlights the fact that risk integration is commensurate with functional integration. In other words, because an organisation has different business units that rely on each other to deliver on their respective function, this shared environment implies that the risks inherent to arly all five of the units provided in Figure 9.4 are involved in the loan application ocess but which unit is responsible for the loss the bank incurs? Is it the sales staff member at the branch who collected the fraudulent identification document and information provided on the application form? Is it the administrative staff member at the branch who did the credit and identification checks on the client but failed to pick up the fraudulent information? Is it the credit analyst who approved the loan based on the fictitious information used to make this decision? Is it the failure of the legal unit to recover the lost funds because they have no legal jurisdiction in the neighbouring country? ;sume a client walks into a branch and wants to purchase a new car. The sales ·aff member suggests applying for a vehicle-financing loan, whereupon an ,plication form is completed and emailed to the credit unit after the "ministrative department completes all the necessary credit checks. A decision made for the loan to be granted with the condition that a 10% deposit be paid. ne client pays this and collects the brand new car the next day. For the next three nonths, however, the client fails to make any instalment payments to the bank. "eing in arrears, the bank tries to contact him but finds that the contact details rovided are incorrect. Further investigation reveals that the identification 'ocuments given during the application were fraudulent and all the information rovided on the application form belongs to an unsuspecting client of another bank. The bank is unable to get hold of the client and the account is handed over to the legal department for legal action and recovery of the funds. The legal department is unable to recover the funds due as their investigation reveals that the client has fled to a neighbouring country where the bank has no legal 'jurisdiction. Subsequently, the branch is required to write off the loan as a loss. der the following scenario: ve units are essential to performing the services to clients that the bank claims An important feature reflected in the organogram is the integrated nature ve functions. Without a branch and ATM facility, the sales staff cannot sell cts; without a back-office to do the administrative function, a loan application ot be captured for the credit unit; without a decision on a loan from the credit he sales staff cannot provide a personal loan; without the legal expertise from gal department regarding loan default, a branch would not be able to recover funds should the client default. The functions in a retail bank are therefore bnnected and intertwined. Importantly, so too are the risks. Chapter 9: Establishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective g;ted::b~h feater recoghiti lliikli •are 1116fe't:6111~lic 'Th~if~i~!t•i~ati!~i61";iJ~W~r~Jw towards q'uatitifyingfisk in engirleeririg}insurartce, m 0 ::g - ~.. - ~ - = - - - • • •..•••-""'··- ,s-_,.0•"·u-, Once the organisational structure has been identified and the business units are aligned to perform their specific functions, the risk management environment must be contextualised within the ambit of the structure. This is where the steps of ERM become relevant. Figure 9.5 provides these steps. revehti~•ginerating oppo'ftunities; fv.>.~~~!"g,i~r~~sterri~g·e~i,1ct.i.Ye1ypursuin~t¢ertain z~:}:lttitu~.~t.P.v.>ar~sri,~~t~s~y~ry;~M~·fry,n:- :;~, ~ii1risseJ~~ser.1epportu,,'.'.!e··;c·c . . /i th;·~~~e;pf risk•·.rn~nage~.~:.•·;·---· ....•... :.--r;c.;:;.~.;.·.~.-.-:•·c.<c. • ban~ing:rel~ted ind.ustries>Gl?bali~at.ip~and·_·interconnected • re:~tted in;; ;;'teiGflnform~!ion•sharing With •• Mva~~'esj~JechnolpgY, riskm.p?e events;'Md}thejntegration of spe s: e!~~,~~i~~~~~~~!!~~~! 4; fraaitiohal'ftnahbiartisks. t:ahd;iritegra:fetl view,.-especiallywi 3 ••.. ~ifl~!~ffEt~e~tj~I,~11;fi~f1~ .· < Mor& receritly}~e};n~ency to)~ martagingcltgahisatiohal risk, agfealer··awareriessarid weti=!S'ilblic:i;eafailurM in 2.~xt~rhal.pr~~sur~~~re i ~ _; :t:acc6~ntiibleJorl'Tla~agi ti tlhaddltion f6 rtia'na.girig the ,f8foes:feaclingfothe use of the functions are also shared. In Figure 9.4, where a risk would normally a only one unit, it becomes applicable to another because the units are functi dependent on one another. The ability of a bank to manage both the function risk integration at the organisational level is at the heart of the ERM risk ma nag, approach. 240 and Burnaby & Hass (2009) 1 241 Step 2: organise Once the risks have been identified, they need to be quantified and integrated within a framework that ensures proper control by a respective business unit. The control t the heart of ERM lie the basic management functions - plan, organise, lead and ntrol. ERM builds on these functions and adapts the context to provide a pervasive d integrated risk management approach that contextualises the identification and anagement of risk within the organisational framework. 13 The steps of ERM are: 12 • Step 1: plan When adopting an ERM approach, planning is essential. Before any policy framework can be developed there must be a clear and well-formulated risk mandate from the Board. This framework must incorporate the explicit risk philosophy and strategic direction the bank intends to take and ensures that an organisational context is established. This context is both internal and external the former refers to the current status quo within the bank, relating specifically to the objectives of the bank, the structures in place to achieve these objectives and the key performance indicators in place to measure the achievement of the objectives. The external context refers to the environment outside the immediate control of the bank. This may include the markets that the bank is exposed to, its biggest competitors and the economic factors that impact on the performance of the bank and its stakeholders. If the mandate is clear and articulate, the ERM department is better able to ensure co-ordinated buy-in throughout management structures. This in turn ensures that the risk control framework is contextualised for the relevant departments to use as a blueprint to identify and manage risk on an enterprise-wide basis. 12 9.5 The steps in enterprise-wide risk management for banks ,urce: Adapted from Casualty Actuarial Society (2003) '.Ure Chapter 9: Establishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks ~f~' -_"~ ~iR~ ira2 ~Ji~ iiBG t&'6 i'~sp ~~~ J1JJ ~~,1 ~i~~ r~t~ §,~, ~~ff !~1? pi;-- • department~;rnust have a clea r mandate of th:irr~llc! in the r,rtie essand th -• ,be accountability throughout the organisation. ,1r{bank1-••/the otga~isatiohal· ~tructure·is ·a1ways ,.-- acre.dit card }~j~ U~d toa- clie nt,th er:a re _-•- ow~e.rship'.~f;ffje yari.ousscena rios I.f1-~tpol11H,~R.B~f:CH ;:card.fp~exa~ple,•111e· er.ed it dep artT :nt,i n tfj~,f~:di\,§ard -card:then;tfj'e/pard theyissue -_is deliv:red t~ tfj~br~neh A.n,ffjisexampl~;;Te~:'Y delivering thesard_.tp.t~::e11e~_t .iny, ~_depart~ents:tf1:•·-~~~dit • ca~d _Cextertial)'atidfffe•branch ItseldiVisionot~edeliv:;-yc9un:r(~fi~!ti'er\tgtef1~r f /They each pefforrri a different role.(approval/ • -■ mus t be all-encompassing and include both inte rnal and exte rnal comp' The risk control framework mus t be seen to incorporate downsid e risk a possible opportunities that need to be exploited and the business unii ensu re that they have a clear set of objectives for whi ch they are held acco These objectives mus t be accompa nied by a clearly defined set of outco performance measures) which can be measured. The quantificati on and of the various risks in part icul ar will require clear guidelines that are with the organisational risk phil osophy and the man date provided by the Communication between business units is vitally imp orta nt and may requ establishment of various committ ees in order to shar e information . Step 3: lead. Once the plan ning and orga nisa tion al con text uali sati on has oc man age men t needs to lead and motivate the staf f to achieve the stated obj In addition to com mun icat ing, man age men t mus t use thei r auth orit y b the head of a business unit and as the ultim ate cust odia n of the objectiv, by the Board. The leaders mus t supervise the process accordin g to the objectives and ensu re that repo rting syst ems and the inte rpre tatio n ther eo as comprehensive as possible. This may require the prioritisation of certain especially given the ever -cha ngin g dynamics in financial markets . Step 4: con trol The ERM process can be implem ented, but if it is not effective, then ther e need to con tinu e with it. Control and the monitoring of the process is thus vi imp orta nt to ensu re that wha teve r is not working be revisited and changei necessary. Each step in the ERM process needs to be monitored and based orfl repo rtin g systems and the con textualised framework set out by the Board this is not the case, revisions need to be made. Alth oug h these revi sions rri alte r the objectives (or at leas t thei r application) for each busi ness unit . it crucially imp orta nt to ensu re that the overall man date is followed. M importantly. if man age men t does not con stan tly mon itor and revi ew the E process, the ban k run s the risk of losing touc h with the risk env iron m within whi ch it functions. The challenge is to be proactive and stay abre ast new developments in orde r to foresee future risk implication s that can ha enterprise-wide consequences. 242 Bank Management in Sou th Africa - A risk-based perspect ive Ht aa1J\i1e's1··•· integratedbut Banks also diversify thei r risk cation geographically. A com mon way to do this is to offer products and services in differen t countries. A ban k such as Stan dard Bank has a strategy that focuses strongly on repr esen tatio n in Africa. In addition to Sou th <Africa, these African cou ntri es include Lesotho, Swaziland, Namibia, Bot swa na. .Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Ang ola, Zambia, Malawi, Tanzani a. the DRC, Uganda, Kenya. Sou th Sud an, Gha na and Nigeria. 9 Alth oug h the exposur e to othe r cou ntri es brings with it risks in othe r form s (such as foreign exch ang e and sovereign risk) it is imp orta nt, given the global natu re of ban king these days, to avoi d. whe re possible, exposure to only one country. .4.2 Geographical diversifi cation rnost obvious way ban ks dive rsify thei r risk is thro ugh thei r prod uct- and -ice-mix. Banks have a wide vari ety of assets and liabilities that have different: values (how muc h they are wor th) ima turi ties (how long they are expected to be on the books of the ban k) expiry dates (the date they mat ure) . pricing features (the fees and /or inte rest rate applicable) -_- functional features (wh at they can do). riks have also diversified thei r reve nue stre ams into non -tra ditio nal ban king ctors such as insu ranc e. By offe ring both ban king and insu ranc e prod ucts and rvices they are able to capitalis e on selling a complete financia l offering to clients. ,client no longer has to go to eithe r a ban k or an insu ranc e com pan y - thes e services ··e offered und er one roof ata ban k. This model (kno wn as ban cass uran ce) has thre e nefits: first, it increases the reve nue sources of ban ks to include insu ranc e-re late d come; second. it offers convenienc e to clients, whi ch subsequently improves service uality and relationship quality; third, it diversifies the prod uct and reve nue15base for e ban k due to the inverted prod uct cycle of insu ranc e relative to banking. Product- and service-mix dive rsifi HOW DO BANKS DIVERSIFY RISK? dog risk requires diversity. 14 This diversity can come in seve ral different , for example, thro ugh its exp osure to different mar kets or products. The ing four are the mos t common. 'beir\cd'MfatitcohfmuriicatioifWit h•·i>aCh"6ther. -'"" vu., ___ u~..- ~·--· ·-·--__ Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Inter- and intra-market diversification Workforce diversification Evolving nature of risk THE OUTLOOK FOR RISK MANAGEMENT IN BANKING it. is constarr Risk, or at least. what we currentl y know and understa nd about in the 19& risk credit assessing evolving. Consider how bankers may have viewed client w, the of needs the 1980s, the In today. it and how they might assess also minim was There loans. ised standard for applied they simple relatively hips wit competition from other banks and they relied heavily on building relations e bombard ly constant are ers Consum . different very are things their clients. Today, This occurs vi by financial institutions, not just banks, that vie for their business. es and so o channel s that did not even exist in the 1980s - the internet, cellphon the types o about informed and ing demand more are clients that Besides the fact challengec are banks default, loans, how they work, and the implications should they This doe 80s. 19 the in existed than factors more to assess credit risk based on many that a markets l financia of world complex the account into not take permea must ment manage risk of interconnected. Carrel argues that the culture system. 14 Ris all the sectors and regulato ry environments in the financial e natur, pervasiv the given possible. as e pervasiv as be therefore must manage ment conside also and factors nomic of risk itself. Moreover, it must incorporate non-eco 15 Risk and how we understa nd it today, wi time. to time irrational behaviour from from now. be understood differently in the future, whether one year or three decades 9.5.1 9.5 is to A further way in which banks in particul ar have diversified risk to em banks for on uncomm not is it , example For d. diversifie is workforce that analy d advance have highly qualified enginee rs or even scientists because they to the and problem-solving skills. This brings an entirely new set of skills num and lfinancia complex the ents complem turn in environm ent, which itself is orientat ed world of banking. Having said this, the world of banking g are also diverse and university graduate s in general manage ment or marketin demand, especially in branche s on the sales and marketin g side. 9.4.4 industri e Banks further diversify their risk and exposure in different sectors or ca diversifi of type This on. so as retail, mining, agricult ure, energy sectors and se or markets different between is it as cation diversifi called inter-ma rket by segme Within these different sectors, banks further diversify their exposure , in the client base according to income or net worth. This can, for example as i known is and domain banking retail the in banking wealth or retail, private sector. or market ar market diversification as it occurs within a particul 9.4.3 s. It c Geographical diversification does not only refer to other countrie South major the , example For regions. t differen in within a country but itself a banks have exposure across all nine provinces - the branch network withi sectors t differen in and means of risk diversification across the country respective province. 244 Regulatory know-how and resource allocation will regulato rs Given model complexity and the future outlook for risk manage ment, ration in the Remune ment? manage be able to stay abreast of developments in risk ge and knowled l technica the given premium a at is field of risk manage ment remune rate risk to willing are iven. profit-dr are who banks, If . required expertise to this, if the analysts attractively, will regulato rs also be able to do so? Further d market dedicate a towards moving is Africa South in rk regulato ry framewo model (see conduct and prudenti al regulato ry framework under the Twin Peaks to the proposed Chapter 3), will regulato rs be able to allocate the requisite resources 9.5.4 of the GFC le of the major reasons cited as exacerb ating the devastat ing effects A study by banks. by used models l financia the with ed associat ity complex s the as such ity complex not was it that Financial Services Research Forum found to deal ment manage of abilities and s attitude the rather twas the problem, but 16 There is an argume nt that the risk ity. complex the with d associate risk the th ity and the d econometric models were not complex enough, given their uniform 14 g. Going modellin the of nature rated concent and comitan t intercon nected be to ensure ward, the challeng e for both regulato rs and bank manage ment will and the at they strike a balance between the complexity of the15 models ity is uniform If . humans by -making decision nt-based judgeme scretion ary t amongs (via, risk systemic ursued, it increases intercon nectedn ess and possibly banks if ively, Alternat risk). ce covarian and ion ther things, increasi ng correlat ised and this re allowed more discretion, models and practices are not standard The irony is ormity. non-unif to due ises concern s about informa tion asymme try be able to never will models , markets l financia of nature hat given the complex enough and fully capture all the risk. In a sense, therefore. models are not complex y but is a will probably never be. Human judgeme nt is therefore not only necessar risk in itself. ~3 Complexity and the modelling versus judgement issue service with the evolving nature of risk is the drive to innovate product and d, develope are products new As sources. revenue increase to attempt sin an l financia As risks. of set will enter new markets that expose them to a new on focusing by innovate to w know-ho their use ers in the employ of banks expect to s or industries that have traditionally not been entered, they can ily imply necessar not does this nter new risks in different ways. Of course, as easily just could on innovati this risk; e downsid only have e new markets here t the bank from a diversification point of view. But that is not the issue risks. of sets new with ments environ risk new . Rather, with innovation comes ental in bility of banks to identify these new risks speedily will be instrum h approac g d-lookin backwar al ·ng they innovate successfully and the tradition looking forwardwith ented complem be must orecasting risk events with it new roaches. 15 Risk manage ment as a discipline is therefore set to bring Ilenges over time. Innovation and new risks Chapter 9: Establishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks ever-c hangin g risk 9.6 CONCLUSION The manag ement of risk is by no means a simple task. Adopting an enterprise-wide approa ch is vital as all business units must align functio nal and risk objectives in order 9.5.6 The incentive-governance dilemma At the heart of the GFC was the incentive to chase profits at all costs. This plays the princi pal-ag ent problem where incentives (throu gh salaries and bonuses) we at the forefront of encou raging risky behav iour by the agents (bankers). Regulator ,and banke rs will have to find the balanc e between remun eratin g banke rs sufficient! and ensuri ng that the risk they take is in the best interes ts of the broade r stakeh older community. There have been proposals to link the incentive plans banke rs to the long-t erm perfor mance of banks, but wheth er or not this is effective proposal is questionable. 17 Needless to say, the application of a corpor ate govern ance enviro nment within the organi sation al struct ure of banks vital to ensuri ng that banke rs do not take risks in excess of the risk established by the Board. 9.5.5 Policy and regulatory responses The GFC not only revealed the interc onnec ted nature of financial markets. b the devast ating effects that failure in the monet ary sector has on the real se an econ'omy. Moreover, the ultima te macro econo mic effect that predat ory lend( the US subpri me marke t caused indicates, in this case, the strong causal relatio betwe en microe conom ic and macro econo mic enviro nment s. This spillover suggests that regula tors must focus their attenti on not only on microp rud regula tion, but also macro pruden tial regula tion. 14 This raises two impo questi ons from a policy point of view. First, to what extent must global regul reforms force co-ord ination of both fiscal and monet ary policies? Considerin growt h in budge t deficits and the ensuin g sovereign debt crisis in Europe post-G strong argum ent exists for more aligned and co-ord inated fiscal policies acros world. Is this a viable consideration? In Europe where monet ary policy is gave by the Europ ean Central Bank, could there be an argum ent for a mega-fl author ity of this nature ? The argum ent persists, but one thing is for sure: if gl regula tory reforms move towards more co-ord inated fiscal policies, it threat ens' sovereignty of nation s. Could this be a possible reason for the next global cri· Second, to what extent will policymakers (and regula tors) be able to react spee( to immin ent risk in financial markets? At the heart of this conce rn is t bureau cratic nature of policymaking. Policymaker s must be able to interv ene wh: necess ary and do so appropriately, especially if there are systemic implications play. It can be argued that the more integr ated and interc onnec ted policymak, become, the easier it will be to make approp riate and speedy decisions. Of cour the opposite also applies - the more integr ated and interc onnec ted policymak, become, the greate r the systemic implications. the Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective regula tory framework and address enviro nment at the same time? 246 247 ·~ , • .... H - - .: : ::.. _ _ .. "." __ ...... .J 0 """ , =eRENCES /Hopkin. P. 2014. Fundamental Risk M11nageme11t: Unders tanding. Evaluating 1111d Implementing Effective Risk Management. 3rd ed. Londo (ISO Guide 73:200 9. 2009. Risk Management-Vocabu n: Kogan Page. lary. Intern ationa l Standards ,Organ ization . ·, , Jorion. P. 2009. 'Risk manag ement lessons from the credit crisis'. European Financial i Management 15(5): 923-9 33. Jorion, P. 2011. Financial Risk Management Handbook: FRM Part I/11. 6th ed, GARP, Wiley Finance. Laycock, M. 2014. Risk management at the top: A 11uide • to risk and its governance in financial institutions. Wiley Finance Series. Rittenberg, L, Martens, F. 2012. Enterprise Risk Manag ement: Understanding and Communicating Risk Appetite. Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Barclays Africa Group Limited. 2015. Risk management for the period ended 31 December 2014. http://www.barclaysafrica.com/deployed files/ Assets/Rich media/ PDF/Reports/2()14/]3arclaYS. Africa Grouo. LimitedJU!ik Management Report 2014.pdf (Accessed 21 July 2015). FirstRand Group Limited. 2015. Annual integrated report 2014. http://www. firstrand.co.za/InvestorCent.r /Current"!. 20FSR 0!. 20annu al''<,20re ort/2014'Y<>lil ~~.u t t\,.-.u._,.;.;~.:::_: ~- ;-~~- .-..n, c\ fSR%20annual%20integratect"/oL. Ureporw1u, vuc··~ n ""v .<.viJ, . Standard Bank Group Limited. 2015. Annual integrated report 2014. http:// annua lre ort2 14.standardbank.com/d wnloads/Sta n ard-Bank-Grouo-Annualintegrated-report-2014.pdl tAccessect lb July 20_ J Nedbank Group Limited. 2015. Pillar 3 Basel III Public Disclosure Reportjor the year ended 31 December 2014. http:/ /www.nedbankgroup .co.za/pdfs/baselilDisclosure/ isk JllW Capital Management ]koor t as A 31 Decem ber 2014.pdf (Accessed 21 July 2015). KPMG. 2015. The three lines of defence. https://www.kpmg. com/RU/en/ ssuesAndlnsi hts/ Article Publications/ Audit- 'ommi ttee- ournal /Docu ments / The-three-lines-of-defence-en.pdf (Accessed 21 July 2015 ). Audit Committee Institute. Casualty Actuarial Society. 2003. Overview of Enterpr ise Risk Ma11age111ent. Enterprise Risk Management Committee. Burnaby P, Hass S. 2009. Ten steps to enterprise-wide risk management. Corporate Governance 9(5): 539-5 50. Carrel. P. 2014. The Handbook of Risk Management: Implem enting A Post-Crisis Corporate Culture. Wit.tshire: Wiley Finance. one thing that has become increasingly s after the devastating effects of the GFC it is that the impor tance of risk ment as an organi sation al philosophy is more impor tant now than ever . Risk manag ers need to realise, however, that the manag ement and remen t of risk has limitations. This suggests that it be approached with a sense mility given its potentially devastating effects if not identified, quantified and ted appropriately. This is especially so if the organi sation al stance is taken that manag ement is not about avoiding risk, but rather manag ing it- which it is. as integrated as possible. If there is Chapte r 9: Estab:ishing a Risk Philosophy in Banks Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ----=--Y")"".11\~ ~ ,." • .,._-"" !-93; ""-"""""'~""-·~·-=·'-=·="'~"-"·~! II'~"''~'-----~-- 15. Lehmann, AP & Hofmann, OM. 2010. Lessons Ieamedfrom the financial eris, management: Contrasting developments in insurance and banking. The Geneva 63-78. 16. Ashby, S. 2011. Picking up the Pieces: Risk Management in a Post Crisis World: Management in a Post Crisis World. Financial Services Research Forum. 17. Ayadi, R. Arbak E & De Groen, WP. 2012. 'Executive compensation and risk in European banking', in Research Handbook on International Banking and Gov, edited by JR Barth, C Lin & C Wihlborg. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. 248 WHAT IS RISK? 10.2.1 The challenges of risk As discussed in Chapter 9, it is very difficult. and in some cases impossible, to manage something that cannot be defined or measured. In order to measure risk, we first have to define it. For the average person risk can translate into, for example, falling terminally ill. or not being able to meet mortgage payments. This can subsequently result in, say. that person losing their house. For the average business. risk can translate into the loss of income because of competition or the inability to 10.2 INTRODUCTION and uncertainty have always been a part of human existence and are a facet of life. From early ages the occurrence of negative events was associated with the th of the gods. Since equilibrium could only be restored by appeasing the gods in e way, the management of risk was deemed necessary. In the middle ages, the rd 'risicum' was used to depict the possibility of loss and damage that followect sea trade. By the 16th century the terms 'rischio' and 'riezgo' were used in mtinental Europe and by the 17th century they had replaced the idea of isfortune. This development created in people's minds an understanding that risk different from 'bad luck' and that it is something that can be measured by adding e concept of probability to it. Once it was understood that risk could be measured, attempts were made to anage it. Managing risk, however, necessitates the accurate measurement of risk; the more accurate the measurement tools. the more effectively risk can be managed. Before risk measurement can be discussed, risk itself must be defined, thus the first part of this chapter provides a brief overview of the concept of risk in banking. For a •more comprehensive overview. consult Chapter 9. reading this chapter, you should be able to: dentify the different types of risk facing banks istinguish between risks that are on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet for anks alculate the value-at-risk using the RiskMetrics approach calculate the value-at-risk using the historic approach explain how the RiskMetrics approach differs from the historic approach explain how value-at-risk is calculated wh_en using the Monte Carlo approach identify the various risk-adjusted performance measures used by banks. NING OBJECTIVES ,.':ctification and '~ent of Risk in Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective a As mentioned above, on-balance-sheet risk can be defined as the risk that financial institutions face during the course of their core business operations. Since the core business of the bank is the provision of financial services, these risks can be classified under the following broad categories: credit risk, market risk, liquidity risk and operational risk. Liquidity risk is simply incurred during the financing process, whereas the other risks can be analysed further. Under credit risk banks pay close attention to risk caused by a concentration of their assets, risk associated with their 10.2.2 On-balance-sheet risk pay wages because of cash flow problems. Clearly, risk can mean different thin different people. Risk should therefore be defined within a frame of reference. B for example, even though they are businesses, define risk differently from o businesses. In order to define risk it would be advantageous to look at its definitions fro finance perspective. There are many different definitions of risk in finance literat Valsamakis et al, for example, define risk as 'the variation of the actual outco from the expected outcome. Risk, therefore, implies the presence of uncertaint This differs from Luhmann, who defines risk as 'the threat or probability that action or event will adversely or beneficially affect an organisation's ability· achieve its objectives'. 2 Denenberg, on the other hand, defines risk as 't' uncertainty of loss', where the term loss refers specifically to financial loss. 3 The reason for these diverse definitions is attributed to the fact that not' market participants view risk in the same way. Despite these differences, there usually three main elements that recur within these definitions. The first element almost always the fact that there is some kind of uncertainty. The second eleme found in many definitions is the probability that some kind of uncertain event c occur, and the third universal element is the fact that the outcome will be negati When combining these elements, a universal definition of risk could be t probability that some negative event will ensue. Since it is possible to define risk wi some kind of probability, it makes sense to include probability in the measuremeri of risk. Therefore. risk is often measured using the standard deviation of return around a mean. When considering risk in the broader sense. it is clear that not al risk can be expressed in terms of a direct loss in returns as there are many aspects t it. In order to manage risk successfully, it is necessary to measure these differen aspects accurately. Risk is therefore characterised as either occurring on the balance' sheet or off .the balance sheet. Although individual types of risk associated with most off-balance-sheet business are in principle no different from those associated with on-balance-sheet business, most banks separate these risks. On-balance-sheet risk can be defined as· the risks that are taken by the bank when generating profit through their core business operations. Alternatively, off-balance-sheet risk occurs when the bank is trading in derivative instruments such as futures, options, swaps and other 'overthe-counter' contracts. Since neither contingent assets nor liabilities are recorded' on the balance sheet. risks pertaining to these items can also be regarded as offbalance-sheet risks. 250 251 10.2.2.1 Credit risk When banks lend money to individuals, companies or parastatals. they incur credit risk. This is the risk that the counterparty to the lending agreement will either default on interest payments or miss down payments. Since this means that the counterparty defaults on their obligation, it is also referred to as default risk. Although companies differ in setting the amount of time which may elapse before debt is considered as bad, or non-performing, banks usually regard a default on payments as being those which are 90 days late. In order to assess credit risk. banks usually calculate the probability that a certain percentage of clients will default. This probability is then changed based on the characteristics of the bank's lending book, the macroeconomic forecast for the foreseeable future and other factors such as a change in interest rate - that might influence people's ability to repay their loans. Although some of these risks can also be incurred from transactions which are offbalance-sheet, they are mainly part of the core functions of the bank. The following section describes briefly each of the above-mentioned risks in order to facilitate the understanding of how risk is measured. - Crime Other risks nterparties and transactions. Market risk, on the other hand. is a result of nges in market prices, the most important of these being risk arising from nges in interest rate and foreign exchange rate, as well as changes in the prices ocks and commodities. In terms of operational risk, banks monitor internal and .ernal fraud. the practices of employees. clients and businesses as well as legal es. compliance issues and the failure of processes and systems. Figure 10.1 ow provides a summary of the different risks faced by banks. Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Banking ~ =-~ ~ - -~--- ---------,-~-, -------- 10.2.2.2.1 Interest rate risk Since banks derive most of their income from loans, interest rate risk is importan as they could lose money because of a change in the interest rate. For banks, thi can happen on both the asset and the liability sides of the balance sheet. On t asset side, banks lend money to individuals and businesses. These loans a normally granted at the prevailing interest rate, called the prime rate, plus or minu a percentage which is risk specific to the borrower. The bank can also lend money a a fixed interest rate. On the liability side banks make loans in the form of short-term and long-term deposits and alt.hough these deposits can earn different rates, mos are negotiated at fixed rates. Banks will also lend money in the money market fro time to time in order to ensure that they adhere to the minimum cash reserve requirements set by the Reserve Bank. Thus a bank can easily lose money if one or more interest rates change. Because banks normally lend money (asset side) at a prime interest rate whilst borrowing money (liability side) at a money market rate, they run the risk of the lending rate either increasing more slowly than the borrowing rate, or alternatively decreasing more quickly than the borrowing rate. This phenomenon is also known as basis risk. Banks may also lose net interest income if they make loans at fixed rates where the 10.2.2.2 Market risk Market risk consists mainly of interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk and price where the changes in prices of stocks, commodities and other asset classes adverse affects the bank's position. Market risk affects banks on a daily basis; therefore th use a sizeable portion of their resources to hedge themselves against this. In the equations above, the non-performing loans are income-generating assets t have been due for 90 days or more. Net charge-offs are the difference between value of loans that have been written off in the bank's books and the sporadic inco that has been generated from these assets. Credit risk can also be exacerbated un strenuous market conditions if the bank allows its asset allocation to become concentrated. This is normally referred to as concentration risk. Although ba take care to spread their asset allocation in various ways, they might still suffer los when the economy as a whole is under stress. The loss incurred by banks during t GFC is a good example of this. Net charge-offs of loans Total loans and leases Total loans (or equity capital) Annual provision for loan losses Allowance for loan losses Total loans and leases (or equity capital) Non-performing loans Total loans and leases Non-performing loans Equily capital The following five ratios can be applied to determine the bank's credit exposure: 252 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective 253 Equation 10.7 Equation 10.6 10.2.2.2.2 Foreign exchange risk Foreign exchange risk (or forex risk) occurs when a bank holds assets or liabilities in different currencies. Since the value of currency is constantly changing, in some cases, for example, South Africa, in an unpredictable manner, it affects the earnings '',t:e'of "~~~~~f~Tu1! Equation 10. 7, uninsured deposits are corporate or government deposits that exceed e amount covered by insurance and are highly sensitive to changing interest rates. a bank has more interest-sensitive assets than interest-sensitive liabilities, the bank ill benefit from increasing interest rates and vice versa. However, if the interestnsitive liabilities exceed the interest-sensitive assets the bank will benefit from ailing interest rates and vice versa. Refer to Chapter 11 for a more comprehensive iscussion on interest rate risk. Uninsured deposits Total assests Interest-sensitive assets Interest-sensitive liubities larket interest rate is dropping, or if they lent money at fixed rates in a market here interest rates are increasing. In order to determine what exposure the bank has to interest rate risk. it can amine four main relationships. The first two are duration and the adjusted terest-sensitive gap, and the other two can be expressed as follows: Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Banking '' .~ ~ ~ •. ·.·_1")·.·· I~ '~,!' r I ~ '~ltw;11- 1~ 11.•.• r~ •,Ir- ~1.t · ,M 'I' • l ~~fb.!., l j · · · •. -.·•.• •··• ••.•• · •. ' ~ i . ,;_~ Ill 1• ,(.··.•.·.· ii ill :,.~ 11 1~ .... , ....,.,,.-'!,-., ,.._.......~ -'~---=--~,_,,__,-.,~•-""""'"''""' ......... . and capital of the ban k directly. Fore x risk can be classified as either tran saction'· translational. Tran sact iona l risk occurs whenever con trac tual cash denominated in foreign curr enci es are subject to unan ticip ated chang< exchange rate. In order to reali se the domestic value of its fore ign-denomi cash flows. the ban k mus t exch ange foreign curr ency for the dom estic curr, with a fluctuating exch ange rate. The ban k is therefore exposed to the possib that it might receive less domestic curr ency than anticipated because of the vo curr ency market. Translational risk is the risk that money is lost because of the inco tran slati on of the assets held in different currencies. This happens because ban k's financial repo rting is affec ted by exchange rate movements where it branches in more than one country. During the consolidation process, foreign a and liabilities, or the financial state men ts of foreign subsidiaries, are combin the bank 's financial state men ts. This could have a significant imp act on the ba reported earn ings and therefore on its shar e price. Banks take forex risk in two major ways. The first is whe n the bank has asse liabilities that are deno min ated in a curr ency different from the one in whi ch normally operate. The second is because bank s actively deal in fore ign curr e both for themselves as well as for clients. Banks are however only exposed to f, risk to the exte nt that they have not hedged or covered their posi tion. unc erta inty abou t futu re exchange rates which will affect the valu e of finan' inst rum ents cons titut es risk for a commercial bank. As such, forex risk does exist in cases whe re the futu re exchange rate is predefined usin g differ, inst rum ents and tools. Trading activities on the forex mar ket are typical of a com mer cial ban k a not all of thes e activities lead to risk exposure for the bank . In the case wh thes e activities are performed by the commercial ban k on beh alf of its cust ome the forex risk is tran sfer red to the cust ome rs as the ban k take s an agen cy r Whe re the ban k uses these tran sact ions for hedging purposes, ther e is no ri either, since the ban k has hedg ed its risk by pred eter min ing the exch ang e ra with othe r financial inst ituti ons usin g different financial inst rum ents . The re a however, inst ance s whe re the ban k can incu r forex risk exposure; this may occ whe n a gain or loss is realised beca use of an unexpected outc ome or event. Th unexpected events can be categori sed in two ways; principal foreign exch ang e (F related con trac ts, for example spot tran sact ions , forwards and swaps, and no trad ed foreign curr ency expo sure in the form of ban king products and services foreign exchange. Banks also incu r forex risk in a part icul ar curr ency in othe r ways. unh edg ed position, for example, gives rise to forex risk and this is said to be a open position in that part icul ar currency. If a ban k has sold mor e foreig curr ency than it has purc hase d, it is said to be 'net sho rt' in that curr enc Conversely, if it has purc hase d mor e foreign curr ency than it has sold, it is in 'net long' position. Both of thes e positions are exposed to risk as the forei curr ency may fall in valu e com pare d to the local or hom e currency, whi ch in tu results in a subs tant ial loss for the ban k if it has a net long posi tion. If the hart 254 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective 255 Price risk Equation 10.1 O Equation 10.9 Equation 10.8 Liqu idity rJsk 1or banks, a shor tage in liquidity can quickly lead to the ban k clos ing its doors. In 'rder to prevent this from happenin g, the Reserve Bank forces Sou th African bank s keep a min imu m of 2.5% of liabi lities in cash and othe r liquid asse ts. The reas on r the minimum cash reserve requ irem ent is the fact that banks in Sou th Africa s in many othe r part s of the worl d - use a fractional reserve bank ing system. A actional reserve bank ing system is one in which only a port ion of ban k deposits is acked by actu al cash reserves. 6 Should a grea t num ber of depo sitors with draw thei r money at the sam e time such as duri ng a ban k run) , the ban k mus t have sufficient cash to pay the epositors thei r money. The mai n liquid asset sources that can be used as reserves nclude investments in shor t-ter m government securities. cash and due from othe r 0.2. 2.3 Equation 10.9 , BF (bond fund) denotes the value as recorded on the financial stitution's books of the sam e bon ds and assets. An alternative prox y that can also considered by a financial anal yst is the mar ket value per preferred and com mon ares. This retlects the investor perc eption of the financial inst ituti on's _current rnings potential and risk exposure . Lastly, alth oug h mar ket risk com prises, as a whole, aspects of inte rest rate, forex ;nd price risk, these thre e risks are individually just as importa nt: for a ban k to entify and man age . Estimated market vctlue of the same assets Book value of assets Market value of bonds and other fixedincome assets - BF Book value of equity captial Market value of equity capital ket risk exposure entails the poss ibility of experiencing losses in investment rns and in asset or liability valu es due to decreasing mar ket inte rest rates. thou gh price risk exposure is diffi cult to estimate, a financial anal yst can apply ·erent proxies to eval uate the pric e risk com pon ent of mar ket risk. Price risk ers to the market value sensitivi ty of assets, liabilities and equity. The following ce risk indicators can be used; the book-to-market value (Equation 10.8 ) as well Equations 10.9 and 10.1 0. 2.2.2 .3 a net sho rt position in that curr ency and the foreign curr ency rises in value, it ses losses for the bank . A long posi tion is also kno wn as being 'ove rbou ght' or ng a 'net asset' position and a sho rt position 1 is also kno wn as a 'net liability' oversold' position. The sum of all the net asset positions and net liability tions is kno wn as the 'net open position' or 'net foreign curr ency exposure'. net foreign curr ency exposure prov ides info rma tion abo ut the forex risk that been assu med by the ban k at that poin t in time. This figure repr esen ts the edged position of the ban k in all the foreign curr enci es. A nega tive figure lws a net sho rt position whe reas a positive figure shows a net long position. Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Bank ing Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective prices can move against the institution, forcing it to make crucial adjustments i performance and policies. As a financial analyst there are a number of proxies that can be used to determine the progress of the financially distressed bank. These include the PIE ratio (Equation 10.14), the equity ratio (Equation 10.15), the capital adequacy ratio (Equation 10.16) and the purchased funds to liabilities ratio (Equation 10.17): If a financial institution finds itself in financial distress, the interest rates and securit Balance at the Reserve Bank Total assets Cash assets and government securities Total assets - Purchased funds Total assets banks, commercial paper, lending in the interbank market, bankers' accept negotiable certificates of deposits, securities purchased under agreem repurchase (repos), and other markeable short-term securities. Borrowed Ii_ sources can include securities sold under agreement to repurchase, borrowing the Reserve Bank, large negotiable certificates of deposits, borrowing on interbank market, the issue of commercial paper and longer term securities, an sale of loans and assets. It should be noted, however, that if a bank were faced with a run on its de and was unable to meet the cash withdrawals, it does not necessarily mean tha bank cannot provide depositors with their cash. Rather, given the natu financial intermediation, these initial cash deposits by clients were pro transformed into loans or other assets that are difficult to liquidate at a given in time. Bank runs are a problem because banks are not able to provide liqu both quickly and cheaply; if they do so, losses are more than likely to result. It follows that a bank can run into liquidity issues based on the nature .6 assets. Long-term assets, such as home loans and business loans for example, very difficult to convert into cash. This means that a bank will be unable to cash deposits if all its money is locked up in such assets. Once banks have liqu problems they can run into additional liquidity problems very easily. As soo other banks realise that the problem bank might not be able to repay loans, they charge more interest on existing loans and might refuse to extend additional er, The combination of an inability to generate the necessary liquidity bu misconduct of allowing bad loans that can reduce cash flow and mismanagem of funding costs can thus be lethal to even the largest financial institutions. W liquidity is a problem for a particular bank, it is usually the first problem that evident to the market. This is why the monitoring of the interbank bank by cen banks is vitally important as it provides an initial indication of any possible mar disruption that may become systemic and affect the entire system. The following three proxies can be applied to determine the bank's ability t effectively manage these funds - the purchased funds ratio (Equation 10.11), th cash asset ratio (Equation 10.12) and the reserve funds ratio (Equation 10.13): 256 Equation 10.17 Equation 10.16 Equation 10.15 Equation 10.14 Operational risk hough operational risk can also occur on the bank's trading book, this risk exists marily as part of the bank's core business operations. According to the Basel cord, operational risk is defined as the risk that direct or indirect I.asses might cur because of inadequate internal processes, the failure of people and/or systems because of external events. It is therefore widely agreed that operational risk is used by people making mistakes while performing activities in the general course the bank's activities: that the processes that support these activities are flawed; at the systems that facilitate these activities are faulty in some way; or that ternal events have occurred that have disrupted the finalisation of these activities. The above definition can be expanded to cover seven main event types. Many of ese event types can be linked to the actions of people: in particular, internal fraud and ,xternal fraud result in losses incurred because of people. Internal fraud includes ,ribery, tax evasion and the misappropriation of assets. External fraud includes ctivitics such as third-party theft, forgery, hacking into client accounts and stealing nformation. Other event types include losses incurred because of worker compensation, nfair employment practices and workplace safety; bad business practices such as arket manipulation, fiduciary breaches and improper trading; external events like rrorism and natural disasters; the failure of systems such as utility disruptions, oftware and hardware failures; as well as mistakes made by people and/or systems data entry errors, accounting errors and the negligent loss of clients' assets. Note that reputation and strategic risk are not included in this definition because a minimum regulatory operational risk capital charge must be established for banks. Each financial institution will have several key performance indicators (KP!s) that it uses as proxies to determine the level of operational risk exposure. A financial analyst can choose different groups of KPls, depending on the goals and objectives of the financial institution. It is, therefore, critical to know the bank's and objectives before embarking on a performance evaluation process. .2.2.4 e equations above, purchased funds include uninsured deposits and borrowings non-bank corporations, from the money market, from other banks or the Reserve and other government units. A decrease in the estimates in Equations 10.14 10.16 can indicate that the bank's capital risk exposure is increasing, whereas rease in the estimates in Equation 10.15 indicates that the bank may not have relative equity funding required to finance its assets. These results can lead to a hdrawal of equity capital by investors, as the perception of the bank's ability to mote healthy future growth is being compromised . ity capital Price per share nnual earnings per share Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Banking 257 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective Value-at-risk Since the inception of banks, the financial sector bas been plagued by financfa crises. Although some of these crises could be overcome by simply stimulating th economy with expansive macroecono mic policies, others pushed countries into recession for years. In an attempt to escape the negative consequence s of crises, 10.3.1 As companies have different approaches to risk. it follows that there are various measuremen t tools. Risk also differs in terms of the impact it has on differe companies. In financial institutions such as banks. risk is mainly categorised either 'high probability and low impact events', or 'low probability and high impa events'. The tools that measure these risks and their impact naturally reflect the characteristics. The following sections take a closer look at the most important rii measuremen t tools employed by financial firms. 10.3 RISK MEASUREMENT TOOLS Before the broad deregulation of the financial system in the mid 1980s, loaned money to borrowers based on strict prerequisites. The initial assess the borrower was based on their ability and willingness to repay the loan, deregulation, banks were allowed to resell the loans they granted to borrowers, transferring credit risk to investors through a securitisation process. Securiti is the selling of various types of debt, such as loans and credit card obligatio investors in order to turn an illiquid asset into a liquid asset. It is this proces allows banks and other financial institutions to remove these assets from balance sheet. These off-balance-sheet transactions are only disclosed in no the financial statements. Since banks and other financial institutions trade with these assets - b and selling debt in the form of instruments such as collateralised debt obliga (CDO) and asset-backed securities (ABS) - they take various financial risks i process. The seller of these instruments could, for example, get rid of credit risk then runs the risk of selling these assets for less than they are worth incurring price risk. The buyer of such securities would take on credit risk as w, price risk in that they might have paid more for these securities than they are w These off-balance-sheet activities can be divided into credit substitutes derivatives. Credit substitutes include letters of credit (LC) and securities he! trust by the bank. An LC is issued by a financial institution to assure payment to seller of goods or services, provided that the seller delivers the goods or provides service as specified in the contract. Financial institutions also hold various o derivative contracts off the balance sheet. These include over-the-cou nter (OTC) exchange-tr aded contracts such as forwards, swaps, futures contracts and opti Although these off-balance-sheet transactions are often used as part of the hedgi process, dealing in these contracts exposes the financial institution to market ri credit risk, operational risk and liquidity risk. Now that the main risks have been discussed, the following section will furt investigate the tools used to measure these risks. 10.2.3 Off-balance-sheet risk 258 259 RiskMetrics he RiskMetrics model was developed in 1989 for the former chairman of JP Morgan. Sir Dennis Weatherstone. As part of the portfolio evaluation process. Weatherstone wanted to know what the market risks were across all businesses and· locations, expressed as a single figure at the end of each business day. This gave him an idea of the market risk exposure for JP Morgan the next day. This example clearly reveals the need for, and the objectives of, the VaR measureme nt model. Four years later (1992) the RiskMetrics methodology was launched by JP Morgan. making the substantive research freely available to all market participants and by 1994 the RiskMetrics model was implemented. atory responses have always been aimed at stabilising the financial sector in us ways. The most notable of these reforms were introduced during the great sion of the 1930s. As part of the new requirement s banks were obliged to egulatory capital in order to ensure that they did not fail because depositors claiming more cash than the bank had on hand. However. since such atory capital does not earn any significant interest, banks will try to keep the um required amount of their assets in this form. To this end. banks have to that their operations are not at risk and that they will be able to pay out its at any time. order to ensure that they hold enough regulatory capital, banks often use e"at-risk (VaR) models. The VaR model measures the potential loss of income, as :ult of normal market (risk) conditions, from a portfolio to which a financial tution or investor is exposed. It is therefore used to describe the magnitude of the losses in the portfolio on any given day due to possible adverse events. These ts tmiy include: changes in the price of an asset; changes in interest rates; rket volatility; and market liquidity. 4 It should be noted that market risk is valent in financial institutions that actively trade assets, liabilities and derivatives •opposed to institutions focussing on passive portfolio investment or hedging tegies. 4 In terms of its usage, VaR is a relatively new concept. It was first introduced by ~ major US financial firms of the late 1980s in order to measure the risks of their ding portfolios. Since then however. it has expanded in its usage and application. day VaR is also regularly used by non-financi al institutions. smaller financial stitutions and institutional investors. Because of its widespread use. the Basel mmittee on Banking Supervision allows banking institutions to calculate their 'pita! requirement s pertaining to market risk by using VaR models with their own oprietary values. In the next section we will be introducing three approaches that are used by nks to calculate their 'value-at-ris k' although there are numerous variations thin each approach. The risk measure - VaR- can be computed either by making rtain assumptions about the return distributions for market risk as well as tilising the variance in and covariance of each of these risks. Another method is to enerate hypothetical portfolios by using historical data, or running Monte Carlo rnulations. Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Banking ••• •·•· .. ··••••••••••.OO-'. >%:,, __ ,,. •••"'''•' Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective )J.•''' ; >Ir;·.••.·• ;I:i (if( •·•·•••~••••• •• '""•0•""" _.,n>-.•••• .6.fi~~ ~llP'pose,ct2e_ tund_. _~anagers _ofCci_~?nati?n'~:~.~1.in~e~ ';Flf,~illidn(t'rlar~etvalue) invested}i1'a;ero~eoupo~ ~?."' ,,i:~iditac! ()i.~lu~;(jf.• ~1.·;_·~so_oas.i=urth_e~,..as_~~~e.}ti~tto :o:O?:I16_%_ peryear{fhiSborid.is held a~partef.th ;ir}r~di x11~edst0•~2~w ~.hatfhe potential ~X£0SUre p6sitio . > ·;,. :. ...... ./. { jrafesi_ncre~?e_{a.njncreaS'e.in _ .~ond r~t.es w_iU!e~dt? .~dro-pi~_.!~;•pri.~;i~tJ~& :c:ordingly,the ~mount Coronation•sgaIancect 1:>tfensiveir.und will (osewill 1Jheboni:l's pric(t) volatility.Thiscanbe calculated asJollows: lf:ixedirfc?'ffrejz··· ,... Many fund managers have funds that include various asset classes in the fund. Coronation Fund Managers' Balanced Defensive Fund, for example, con mainly of bonds, (roughly one-third of the portfolio value), cash (both local internation al), as well as equities (both local and internation al). In order for th to assess their daily VaR, they have to calculate the VaR on each of the asset clas separately before arriving at a single amount. In the next section, the focus will be how to calculate the DEAR in three trading areas - fixed income, foreign exchang, (PX), and equities - using the RiskMetrics approach, and accordingly how to estimat, the aggregate risk of the entire trading portfolio in order to meet the objective of. single aggregate rand exposure measure. Assun'l~thatt\financial lnstltt.\ti6hheed§t6 rrieastifo itst\i~rket ti!i'ke given dat,ond_er•the _RiskMetri_csitipprcrac::friiTti~;fina~cial}§sfi~~t 'to know 20w to preserve the ~rtn'srequityifmarket conditionsw adverselyfomorrow,which.is: 260 Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Banking 261 r1 1 I ~I -.JN Y9 = R22 950 = (Rand market VaR) x (Price volatility), the next step is to calc deviation of the R/€ exchange rate over the past year. Let us assu over the past year. = R1 000000 Foreign exchange In order for C:oror,:ation''s their euro p be calculate Assuming th FX position is calculated as: In order to calculate the total portfolio VaR, the next example calculates the Va a foreign exchange position. Here we assume that Coronation's Balanced Defern Fund has an open trading position of €68 965,52 in spot euros at the close business day. In.the above calculations, price sensitivity was estimated usi However, the RiskMetrics model generally utilises the changes as price-sensitivity weights rather than than modified durations. VaR = R7 650 x Thus the value of the earnings at risk by the fund - due to ad movements - is a function of the DEAR multiplied by the square r, of days for which the fund has to hold the security. It should be n calculation implicitly assumes that there is no time restriction for t bond, even at the new lower price. In reality, it may take the fund days to offload the position. This illiquidity exposes the fund to increased I measured by the square root of N. If, for example, N is 9 days, then: VaR = DEAR x 262 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective 263 •with the market - as ue (undiversifiable) to described above can final asset class to be considered by the fund managers at Coronation is equities. en investing in this asset class, two types of risk are relevant, namely, systematic and unsystematic risk. The next example will show how DEAR is calculated for Chapter 10: The ldentificatim1 and Measurement of Risk in Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk In calculating the DEAR of the entire fund, we cannot simply add the totals (R7 650 + Rl3 447.50 + R41 250 = R62 347,50), since by offsetting covariance or correlation relationship between the different asse is being ignored. If the different asset classes are positively correlated. t exposure might be bigger than the sum total. However, if negative correlati among these asset classes, shocks will reduce the degree of portfolio risk. The individual DEARs were: 5-year zero-coupon bonds= R7 650 Euro spot= Rl.3 44 7, 50 SA equities= R41 250 Now that the various components of the portfolio have been calculated, to aggregate the different positions in order to calculate a DEAR for Coronf Balanced Defensive Fund as a whole - the R 1 million in bonds, Rl million in F RJ million in equities. 264 Historic (back simulation) approacl1 ough the RiskMetrics model is a very good model for evaluating a fund's assets sk, it is not without its shortcomings. Like many other market evaluation tools, RiskMetrics approach assumes that all asset returns are normally distributed. ough returns might be normally distributed some of the time for some assets, is not a regular occurrence. Certain assets hardly ever conform to this ribution. Since this is a major drawback, many financial firms also make use of historic (or back simulation) approach. This approach has several advantages in t it is simple and requires very few assumptions - including normality - and re is no need to calculate the correlations or standard deviations of asset returns. .1.2 lintioned earlier. VaR is widely applied as a risk measure on portfolios . ing risk managers with a rand amount of the value of the portfolio that is at :VaR can however also be applied in many other circumstances to indicate the -at-risk for loans, assets or any other future income stream. This makes VaR a ble risk measurement tool that has cemented its use in modern day finance. I I 1 * II I I I I i II ~ II j! Ip I It t: ~ t' , t,.I~'.. ~ t ~ I ~ ~ ~i ~ Il r ~ ~ I 11 11!1:l s·1•· if : \Onclaltlh erisk measures •\.·.the/ut11rer:f_l"he Y~R "."i'.'.th11s16'~t ./The:~aR.WHlbe updated for each we aS~lJIT17 s,J,rrvli!f/i!./: .. \ / /.\.ttC;It1: • ,;Duri1gJh ;final step 1h f/ __V•?o6•esttana the.2s worst1oss,1s 1g,~7 •catc:u:lat~lh7· ?~'T~2.fY.~OSlti?~'sy, ·+~&iifM, + ··••·•£deriv~tive}!OJJ'ti?~sfr~?nds,•••eq11i.tiei . Observaflons'aiiaflable for the assefi >VaR canbedflcu lated by en>\ptoyihg ? F~! ufl.<><>~i?t?~t&nJti6n•t§~1anded~efJr\;i~ei~~nd'ffo;~,~rl again: At_theflose?f business(tradi~g)?n ~~~7/~0l5/f as;v.i~II as$~?poo··~s•p~ttof ~h.e;toreig~;;xe~~~.g11;;~POSIJ •. importar\tfo'r;~h~ . ,~.nd ll'lanagers ~o ~nowhowrilOChthe.fa experfencea~;.e~enf thatranks•. in th.e iihat 'one.·bad:?aY' . . !~\2o:.As. show~. ab6 }hefaR of th~cEurre~tcurrencyportt, • • • .• sie-,3°5:ifiiJ~1€l1sJ:,J,~skiro17:W? . 2irhe~!ri':epfeadfpdsitioh8n .thiff ··•·. . >S00)daysj scalcolated,·• ~--·;· .-:,~s;~t~~~.f~ITl~.;~efcis ~X~h~rfg;rateg~ange c_-cii1&~1atingJ~~··p~ofit/l rhultiplyihgtheac . t1~rf,f3.;{,, 266 Bank· Management in South A " ... .-,~.,- The liistoric approach versus RiskMetrics As mentioned before, the main benefit of the historic approach in calculatin g portfolio risk is that there is no need to calculate standard deviation, correlation s or assume a normal distributio n of asset returns. Another advantage is that the historic model provides us with a worst case scenario number - a maximum loss of Rl6 235,21 in the case of the above example. By contrast, the RiskMetrics model assumes that asset returns are normally distributed and as such, the returns can range between positive and negative infinity, therefore providing no such worst case scenario number. Another constraint with the RiskMetrics model is that while a fair estimate of downside risk may be produced for financial institution s with highly diversified portfolios, the same cannot be said for financial institution s with small undiversified portfolios, where the true risk exposure would be significantly underestimated. Although it appears that the historic approach is superior to the RiskMetrics model, it too has shortcomi ngs. For example, one drawback of the former is the degree of confidence attributed to the 5% VaR number based on only 500 observations. From a statistical point of view, 500 observations is not a large number, and as a result the model could suffer from simulation errors, or wide ·""'' perspective Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based 269 an approximation of also remains a simulation, with the results being only value, and indeed, of reality. of Risk in Banking Chapte r 10: The Identification and Measurement Total capital = OR-OE EL+ IC Equation 10.20 ,.,..,.....~-- ··-- ing expenses; EL denotes denotes the operat ing revenues; OE denotes the operat is estimated by the VaR that loss ated anticip e averag the is e expected loss, which e from capital, which incom ode! over a specific time horizon; and IC denotes the rate of return , which ee risk-fr the with s estimated by multiplying capital charge Total capital. also bond. ment govern a on offered rate the be normally proxied to ed as a buffer to requir is that l nown as economic capital. refers to the total capita with the VaR ated calcul often is l capita mic Econo ,vercome a worst case scenario. ional risk. operat and t risk "model and associated as a function of credit risk, marke both risk in tion alloca l capita ve ,1'he RAROC ratio is, therefore, used to ensure effecti tion. evalua mance perfor bank manag ement and sufficient used to evalua te different The RORAC ratio, on the other hand, is generally .•• a valuable metho d with thus is It s. profile investments that consist of varying risk exposure. The RORAC risk of level able accept the fy quanti which to manag e and the capital assets that to ing 'ratio is specifically applied when the risk varies accord is the capital and not it . model C RARO the to d are being used. Note that as oppose risk adjust ment of The . model C RORA the in risk for ed the return that is adjust Basel Accord. It the by ed outlin capital is based on the capital guidelines that are to the specific ting alloca is bank the that l capita can be considered as the regula tory l that is capita the economic investment. The allocated risk capital is, therefore, adjusted for the maxim um potential loss. RAROC .· . Risk-adjusted performance measures to compare themselves djusted performance measu res are suitable for banks intern al depart ments . of mance perfor of level the re measu to as ",eers as well tion or individual institu each in ement ratios measure the level of risk manag ine the ability determ also and vely effecti more l capita ssess their ability to use enviro nment . risk t curren bank to increase its profit and daily revenue in the include the applied be can that ratios mance ost common risk-adjusted perfor justed capital risk-ad on s return the C), (RARO l capita on s djusted return capital (RARORAC), the AC). the risk-adjusted return s on risk-adjusted (MVA) ratio and the added value t marke the holder value added (SVA) ratio. omic value added (EVA) ratio. res the risky return s - the 'RAROC is a risk-based profitability ratio that compa nt investments. It allows differe l severa of return of rate rns above the risk-free investors and/o r fund For analyst to adjust and measu re the return s for risk. must be above the ratio C RARO the asset. an nagers to consider buying or selling on the specific return justed risk-ad um minim the ents repres die rate, which able proxy for applic an as (ROE) stment. Several banks use the return on equity s: follow as ted estima be hurdle rate. The RAROC ratio can ·""'"-'"'""-.l"----•r~,~- 10.3.1 .4 Monte Carlo simul ation approa ch historical data points, In order to overcome the problem that banks have with entails the building of m make use of Monte Carlo simulation. This method - for any factor tha1 ution distrib that use a range of values - a probability of uncert ainty that a s source s variou the that means inhere nt uncertainty. This ted. Following th simula are the value of the instru ment, portfolio or investment underlying inp the of values le possib the representative value is calculated given es within histc outcom g tradin le possib te simula to ideal it This attribu te makes repeated tens is s proces the . parameters. In order to attain robust results values from . random of set nt differe a using time thousa nds of times, each outcom e val of utions probability functions. Thus the process produces distrib a risk anal to ning pertai les variab that realistically describe uncert ainty in occur, might event what about ation inform with user because it provides the to ought tions simula these the probability of that event occurring. Because ine determ first will er manag fund or risk the mimicking real historic values, es the actual historical data. New observations a type of distribution best describution. distrib that fit to ted •then simula tages, including the Although Monte Carlo simulation offers several advan optimum solution an the s reache often it run, to rd tforwa that it is fairly straigh than a 'what if results of range er overcomes local extremes, producing a narrow Monte Carl cally, Specifi s. antage disadv have also analysis. It does, however, result. This desired reach the simulation requires a large numbe r of samples to only on a le availab is data where might be difficult in some cases, especially iterations, of s million cases some in and nds, thousa the quarte rly basis. Because of ds. This metho other to red Monte Carlo simulation can be time-consuming compa is limited by the h confidence bands, since the numb er of simulations result in the R 7 9 70,7 period. This means that the one bad day in 20 might is partic ularly This t. amoun above example being exceeded by a fair ial crises financ the with case the was as fundamental shift occurs 1997/ 98 and 2007/ 08. historic observ af In order to address this shortcoming, the numb er of SO' h worst case) (the 000 1 on VaR 5% the g ulatin be increased, recalc th . However, in ex ations 10 000 (the 500 worst case) historic daily observ distan t past very the that es assum also one the numb er of observations. take place ov, es chang ible, imposs not is this ugh Altho repeat itself. mic sancti ons are d countr ies chang e monet ary and fiscal policies. econo exchange rate sys fixed from moved greatly and the world as a whole has m, there are proble s seriou a is this gh Althou s. regime g floatin manag ed te this pr mitiga to used arc ches counte ract these shortc oming s. Two approa y tha heavil more ations observ recent t weigh to The first solution is value actual the dictate observations. This allows recent marke t trends to w tions, simula Carlo Monte use to is ach assets at risk. The second appro consis tent with are that ations observ ial artific nal additio te essence genera historic experiences. 268 RORAC d ... --······ ride r;mit;1I =Allocate Net income after tax Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective Equaf Equati6 Equation. =Bank's marke t value - Invesl capital Equation 1 ... , .c: ... \3/j.1/:-f- .. -~.j'.l. _1":'l'.\I':'"''-' ..\j f\,\_;_,·y,<.. . . .-..+ .... ' ... >- .-~--·•·.• .. ·•-•·-·····.. • ..... .. EVA = (NO PAT- WACC) x Economic capital The bank's marke t value represents the marke t value of the bank debt and equity. highe r the MVA ratio, the better it is for shareh olders. A positive MVA ratio imp shareh older wealth creation, whereas a negati ve MVA ratio implies the oppos However, it can become difficult to measu re the MVA ratio because the marke t val often chang es for reasons unrela ted to the bank' s opera ting performance. Applyi MVA to lines of business can also become extrem ely difficult with the absence available share prices or marke t values. The EVA ratio indicates the absolute amou nt of share holde r value that w created. EVA can increase share holde r value by increasing the return derived fro assets, by runni ng the income statem ent more efficie ntly, witho ut additional capit invested on the balan ce sheet. The formula is: MVA In Equation 10.23 , EL is the expected loss; k% is the hurdl e rate or the required . of capital; and (k% x Allocated capital) denotes the cost of the risk-based cap A positive SVA ratio implies value creation and a negative SVA ratio implies destruction of value from a share holde r perspective. Two additional measures that also make the assum ption that the objecti the bank is to maximise share holde r wealth are the MVA and EVA ratios. The fo estimates the difference between the marke t value of equity and debt and the cap contributed by investors. Remember that the marke t value implies the estim ation the present value of all future cash flows. The formu la for the MVA is thus: SVA = Net profit before tax - EL- (k% x Alloca ted capital) In Equation 10.22 , OR is the operating revenue; EL is the economic loss; and the margi nal economic capital. A furthe r risk-adjusted accou nting profitability measure is the SVA ratio estimates the bank' s worth to shareholders. The term 'value added' impli value will be added when the overall net econo mic cash flow that was gener the bank exceeds the expected loss and the econo mic cost of all the capital th required to produce the opera ting profit. SVA can be expressed as: RAROR AC = OR - EL MEC Furthermore, the RARORAC ratio enables the bank to assess bank perf1 taking all expected costs and input factors into accou nt. This ratio allows a do adjustment, where both the return s and the capita l are adjusted for risk. RA can therefore be expressed as: 270 271 RISK PERCEPTION - SOUTH AFRICAN BANK S The 2013 PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) survey on banki ng in South Africa explored the industry trends and identifies severa l key opportunities and challenges faced by the banks, group ing them within four broad themes: extern al developments; macroeconomic trends; intern al responses; and stakeholder include unins ured deposits and borrowings from non-b ank "0 rporations, the money market, other banks, or the Reserve Bank and other ,vernment units. A decrease in the estimates from Equation 10.26 to 10.28 can dicate that the bank' s capital risk exposure is increasing, whereas a decrease in {he estimates from Equation 10. 2 7 indicates that the bank may not have the relative equity funding required to finance its assets. These results can lead to a withdrawal of equity capital by investors, as the perception of the bank' s ability to promote health y future growt h is being compromised. Purchased funds Total liabilities Equation 10.29 Equation 10.28 Total equity capital ~ Equation 10.27 Equation 10.26 • Total equity capital Totafassets Annual earning s per share Price per share es risk-adjusted performance measures, a financ ial analy st must also consider erceived uncer tainty associated with partic ular events, including the different s of bank risk that can threa ten the bank' s day-to -day performance and longsurvival. If a bank finds itself in a distressed situation, the interest rates and security es can also have a negative effect on the institu tion, forcing it to make crucia l ustments in performance and in policies. In the case when a bank assesses the vency of its borrowers (see Chapter 9), a financ ial analy st can use a numb er of ,xies to determine the distressed natur e of the bank. These include: .3 Distress-based performance measures denotes the net opera ting profit after tax and WACC denotes the weighted cost of capital. The WACC is the minim um rate that the bank expects to pay on e to all its shareholders. The EVA can help identify improvement opportunities, better investment decisions and mana ge the shortand long-t erm benefits of ,nk. However, the EVA also has its limitations. For example, when measu ring the f the entire bank it is often difficult to obtain the measu re of the organ isatio n's f capital. The reaso n is that there are many model s available to estimate the cost ital, each producing a different estimate. Examples include the CAPM and the end growt h model. Also, net opera ting profit after tax does not reflect opera ting t of the curre nt financial state of the organisatio n. The traditional GAAP-based '.unting data must be modified to obtain economic profit estimates • Chapter 10: The Identification and Measuremen t of Risk in Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk based perspective Risk-weighted assets optimisation •. :~Y .... / .., ~ ~ · - s . . > A > V . ·"'"' .. -<· .•••/'" . . ,,., ____ ,.., The new Basel III liquidity requir ement s have a shortterm (30 day) and a term (one year) focus. The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) (short-term) is design to ensure that the bank will be able to survive for a period of 30 calend ar days un a stressed scenar io such as a run on the bank. As a result of this, South Afric banks will see an increase in 'high- qualit y liquid assets' . Althou gh the majority South African Banks are well equipped and prepared for the proposed amend ment it is clear that they are facing difficulty with these liquidity requirements. partic ular conce rn is the net stable funding ratio (NSFR ) (long-term) since it will n only force local banks to diversify their funding struct ure towards more long-ter stable funding, but also increase their margi nal cost of funding. South Afric banks mainly use short- term (money market) whole sale funding as opposed to long term products such as mortg age loans. With long-t erm funding costing more tha short- term funding, the impac t will be an increase in lending cost and a decrease i credit availability, which in turn, is an impor tant catalyst for growt h in emerging markets. The main reason for the lack of long-t erm instru ments is that South African banks do not have access to a large local base of longer term funding. Additional operat ional and cost challenges include developing adequ ate IT systems in order to access the banks liquidity at any given time, especially under stress conditions, as well as additional staff costs, since suitab ly qualified individuals will be needed to maint ain the requir ement s of Basel Ill. There was an indication among the Big Four South African banks that they have unique struct ural features that are distinctive to the South African financing 10.4.2 Compliance with LCR and NSFR The most significant challenge faced by South Africa n banks is regula tory the wake of the financial crisis, slow growth prospe cts and possible stagfl Although Basel III only has to be implemented fully by 2019, its implications the greate st conce rn. Specifically, Basel III establi shes more string ent cii standa rds and requir ement s. Banks ought to hold 4. 5% of comm on equity, 6 Tier 1 capital of risk-weighted assets (RWA) as well as additional capital buff, 2.5% as capital conser vation buffer and 2.5% in times of high credit gr, Althou gh RWA optimisation is of partic ular conce rn for South African banks, m do not believe that they have responded too aggres sively in attemp ting to opti their RWA levels. This is positive because it has been indicated that the optimisation initiatives adopted by various intern ationa l banks may ca significant and long-lasting damag e to their busine ss, the indust ry and the wi: economy. More specifically the report indicates that some damag ing responses include distorted business portfolios, exacer bating asset price deflation and cyclicality by selling non-co re assets in fire sale condit ions with the aim of resto ROE to as near pre-crisis levels as possible and closing underp erform ing fundamentally sound business lines. 10.4.1 expectations. With specific reference to the contex t of this chapter, the fol four topics are of partic ular interest. 272 273 Unsecured lending though it has been monitored within the ambit of the Nation al Credit Act (34 of 05), the surge in unsecu red lending to a highly indebt ed popula tion is anoth er ajor conce rn for South African banks . These banks indicated that they did not gard the unsecu red lending enviro nment as being highly competitive, since there significant deman d at presen t for these loans in the South African marke t which uelate s with the abund ance of business available to all partici pants. However, the ponential growt h in unsecu red lendin g exposures is evident, with bankin g ecutives rankin g this as a key development in the bankin g sector. Despite the fact at the margi ns are appealing and deman d is ample the degree of exposure for ach loan is of great conce rn becau se there is no collate ral in the event of default. herefore it is not surpri sing that unsecu red lendin g is seen as the second largest eakness in the South African bankin g indust ry at presen 4 t. There are a few factors contri buting to the growt h in this marke t segment. actors on the deman d side include: increased consum erism; a stagna nt interes t ate environment; and insufficient aware ness among consu mers regard ing the risk nd cost associated with high levels of indebtedness . On the supply side, the main driving factor is the increased attractiveness of unsecu red lendin g as opposed to other credit forms, with banks indicating that unsecu red personal loans are either proftable with return s of 10% to 20%, or very profita ble with return s of 20% to 30%. It is therefore not surpri sing that banks are curren tly willing to accept and trade the increased risk for possible increased return An additional feature of the unsecu red lendins.g segme nt is the shift towards higher value, longer term loans to high income individuals, indica ting that the lower end of the marke t may have reache d satura tion point. The impac t of a rise in interest rates is still of conce rn, however, with the National Credit Regulator's indicating that 25.2% (or 17.52 million) of total active accou nts had impaired records, and impaired credit records increa sing from 46.2% to 46.8% year-on-year from December 2011 to December 2012. 7 At the end of 2012, however, the SARB, Nation al Treasury, the Banking Association of South Africa and the major banks reache d agreem ent on variou s measu res aimed at improving responsible lendin g and preventing a debt spiral. Accordingly, the report found that banks rated increa sed risk of loan defaults as the .4.3 . A key characteristic. for example, is the low discre tionary retail savings rate will force banks to shrink their balanc e sheets. There was also an indication ug these Big Four that complete compliance would increase their bankin g ges by approximately 20% to 40%. As a conseq uence the SARB and other estic banks have argued that the Basel rules should allow local regula tors to y nation al discretion in the application of the funding and liquidity irements and take the uniqu e features of the South African financial marke t consideration. It is also worth mentio ning that the SARB has made a liquidity 'lity available to South African banks to assist in the LCR requir ement by ring up to 40% of bank liquidity requir ement s in the event of a bankin g crisis. r to Chapter 15 for more on this • Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement of Risk in Banking i .. \ \t~ :~t_: \'111 'f:i ::ii, .,a '!h~~ "1 ifi1 ·nil •.!it{ ,'h '.i•J·t .. \.~~-: \!~~ '~ ,.' '!!l \'1.. \ti1·1'\ H \';f., .·!··.· ·. 'ffi' < ,I·/,_: 1,, i \1 ... \. ,, ~ \.·i. • J. I I! \ Bank Management in South Africa -A risk based perspective Other smaller risks This chapter has considered the various risks financial institutions face on a basis. It should be clear that both on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet risk affect the profitability of the bank, and that it is paramount that these risks managed. Although banks and other financial institutions spend a lot of time a resources on identifying and managing the risks on their balance sheet, the o balance-sheet risks are equally important. Various institutions went bankru through dealings off their balance sheet - Barings Bank and Lehman Brothers a two examples of this. It is therefore imperative for financial institutions to be awar, of all the risks that might have an impact on their business. Being aware that these risks exist is insufficient, however, and in order manage risk, it has to be measured first. The most prominent and widely used tool for determining the VaR for a specific fund, subset of assets or specific asset is the RiskMetrics approach pioneered by JP Morgan. Although the RiskMetrics approach is very useful for determining market value-at-risk. its main criticism is that it assumes a normal distribution. In order to obviate this shortcoming, some financial institutions make use of the historic approach - which makes no such assumptions. This approach also has its shortcomings, however, one of which is the fact that old data points may not be valid predictors of current and future events. 10.5 CONCLUSION South African banks also believe that there is minimal threat from entrants. both locally and internationally, into the industry. These new entrant however not expected in the traditional banking sense, but rather in the for retailers and mobile service providers. The risk has mainly arisen due to increased usage of technology (lowering barriers to entry), an increase in custo migrating to electronic products and innovative partnerships between differ sectors. However they are not overly concerned, ranking this 31 out of a total of pressing issues. Cybercrime and related fraud is also on the rise, with ba indicating that internet fraud is a major weakness within the industry. Data securi is also one of the pressing issues and has increased compared to earlier reports. The PwC report also indicated various other risks and challenges faced by African banking community. With the continued state of stagnation of the African economy compared to other emerging markets, there has been inc focus and attention from the government on how the local banking indust play a more active role in stimulating the economy. It is therefore not surprisin banks view the growing level of government attention as the third most imp development impacting upon the banking community, especially as Governm encouraging banks to facilitate major infrastructure projects (funding urbanisation) and renewable energy projects. 10.4.4 18 most pressing issue out of 32. The report also indicated that banks f; challenges relating to impairments, with an insufficient amount of specialist staff present in this area and the operational complexity of si models and data constraints being of some concern. th 274 of Risk in Banking 275 EFERENCES Valsamakis, AC. Vivian, RW & Du Toit, GS. 2004. Risk Management: Managing Enterprise Risks. 3rd ed. Sandton: Heinemann. Luhmann, N. 1996. Modern Society Shocked IJ!J its Risks. University of Hong Kong: Department of Sociology (Occasional Papers 17). Denenberg, HS. 1964. Risk and Insurance. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall. PWC. 2013. Shaping the Bank of the Future: South African Banking Survey 2013. Saunders, A & Cornett, MM. 2007. Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach. 6th ed. Boston: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. Choi, FDS. 2003. International Finance and Accounting Handbook. 3rd ed. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. National Credit Regulator. 2012. Credit Bureau Monitor. December. fourth quarter. are two methods of dealing with this shortcoming. The first is to weight values so that the most recent data points carry greater weight than older ints. The other solution is to simulate data points that will conform to the aracteristics currently seen in the market. For this purpose, most financial tions make use of Monte Carlo simulations. This methodology allows the user trnple the historical data, determine what type of distribution it follows, and rlate new data points that will mimic that distribution. Because of this ability to ome the shortcomings of the historic approach, many financial institutions adopted Monte Carlo simulations for market risk analysis. n terms of the local scene South African banks consider themselves well ared for the challenges ahead, especially for regulatory changes. Although the and NSFR requirements will challenge local banks, it is very likely that the R will go through a number of changes and transitions before being lemented. Currently LCR funds constitute 85% of the banks' balance sheets but h the proposed amendments this figure is likely to be reduced to between 2 5 % 30%. The improved liquidity standards may have come at an opportune time: th a substantial rise in unsecured lending and default risk threatening, banks ight be compelled to rethink their lending strategy. Other risks include the creased possibility of new non-traditional competitors entering the lending vironmcnt, cybercrime and its related fraud. Chapter 10: The Identification and Measurement fl, 11: ~~ ~ ~ p \i~ i' i 1 ~ 'I Jt ~ ~ i I~ ~ t~ '' b I , t I ' '! 1'. f__:,·1. I '\ ·1~ . t,'~. l ~ , It± f [Ii 111 11 11 ~ ~ ~ ~ !~~ :1! :r 1\ 1, • • manage ment process assist in the measure ment and control of risk in general assist in the hedging and compliance processes to address sset-liability management (ALM) can be defined as a manage rial process between its h mismatc the of result a as on instituti l financia a by faced .the risk l instituti ons to liabilities and assets. 2 The ALM framework, therefore, assists financia liabilities. It and assets its of mix the g managin while anticipate future events, ing bank maximis risks, focuses on managin g particul arly liquidity and interest rate capital ng addressi and policy ALM the of performance within the paramet ers strategic a of is rk framewo ALM its that ensure should bank Each adequacy issues. current existing nature and is both static and dynamic. Static means identifying events and future ng identifyi means dynamic risks in maximising profits, while ted events. 3 anticipa future to g accordin s liabilitie and assets of mix the g managin can assist Each bank must ensure that it has an effective ALM departm ent which ways: g followin the in the manage ment of the bank rate assist the bank's treasury departm ent with the liquidity and interest ■ INTRODUCTION business cycle Assetexplain and understand the importance, role and functions of the Liability Committee the interestdiscuss the management of net interest rate sensitivity through sensitive gap management technique sensitivity discuss the management of asset price sensitivity and liability price technique ment manage gap duration the through nts moveme rate with interest rate interest with understand the management of shareholder equity technique. movements through the economic value of equity management • reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain the importance of an effective asset-liability management _framework explain asset-liability management from the balance sheet perspective interest rates • understand interest rate risk and the decomposition of market Reserve and tions expecta market curve, yield the discuss the relevance of ements announc Bank and the understand the relationship between market interest rates, inflation "Cl ;~~gement of Interest . . Asset-Liability ?fnent enable the bank to manage its economic value of equity (EVE) over the I term, where it focuses on the long-term impact of interest rate changes bank's total capital enable the bank to be proactive in its decision-making processes ensure that the bank is better equipped for increased competition and for sophisticated markets improve the bank's budgeting process assist the decision-making processes of the Asset-Liability Committee (ALCO) provide the bank with better integration of all business functions a objectives, especially during reporting to general management. • • • • • Although a bank must manage all balance sheet activities, the activities can be divided into two books, namely the banking book and the trading book. The banking book includes all activities that a bank performs as an intermediation entity, whereas the trading book includes the transactions of both shares and derivatives. The challenge with managing these two books is that they incorporate a number of different risk exposures, ranging from credit and liquidity risk in the banking book. to market risk, in particular, in the trading book. Each of these risk types must be accounted for and managed, otherwise the bank could face severe Given that income and costs are generated from respective sides of a bank sheet, management must exercise effective control over the mix, volume, and costs of both its assets and liabilities. As a result. the bank will be able ctO maximise its spread between revenues and costs and subsequently assist controlling, to some extent at least, any risk exposure. It is, therefore, that management policies and strategies are in place to ensure the minimising of costs, the maximising of income and more importantly, the decrease in any possible adverse risk exposure, bearing in mind that banks want to be exposed to a reasonable amount of risk because it can be profitable. 11.2 ASSET-LIABILITY MANAGEMENT: THE BALANCE SHEET PERSPECTIVE In order to understand the functionality of the ALM framework, it is necessary to beg with an evaluation of the balance sheet components that are sensitive to interest ra and liquidity risk. This is followed by a discussion on the estimation and decompositi of interest rates, and the effect of market expectations, announcements. changin interest rates and business cycles. Section 11.4 will discuss the concept, role an importance of the ALCO, followed by a section on management strategies an techniques available to limit interest rate exposure through the management of a bank's interest-sensitive gap, its duration gap and its EVE. • • • make recommendations regarding the balance sheet actions, which can setting limits on the maximum size of major asset/liability categories, prici loans and deposits and correlating maturities and terms provide the bank with better cash flow and liquidity management provide better control over the net interest margin (NIM) and other margins • 278 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Buildings, equipment and longlerm securilies carrying fixed rates. Long-term loans made at a fixed interest rate. Money-market deposits, where \he interest rates are adjustable every few days. Borrowings from lhe money mark.et. Demand deposits that have a fixed interest rate or that pay no interest rates. Equity capital provided by the bank's investors. Retirement accounts and longterm savings. Non-reprlceable liabilities· The longer the maturity of an asset or liability linked with a variable interest rate and about to mature, the greater is the exposure to interest rate risk (adverse interest rate movements). The effective management. of the maturity gap between assets and liabilities Source: Rose & Hudgins (2010) 4 Short-1erm loans made to borrowing customers, which are aboot to mature. Short-term securities issued by governments and private borrowers, which are about to mature II Deposits at the Reserve Bank and i Short-term sa~ngs accounts cash in lhe vault. [ No,.;l~ri~~bl~f~~~bi ~ 1 I ~ y ~·~ I~ t~ ~ Iw ~ ~ I •~I~ I~~ ' ► l ~ . I~J l1t i;~ f~,, 'i~ f~~ ~ ~ f ~. I1 ;~ i ·{ :1:11· Ur I~ ~i ~ t· ~. Ii ~·t !ems in the future. This chapter focuses spe.cifically on the components of the king book. The biggest problem with managing the asset and liability sides of the balance t is the presence of a maturity gap, which exacerbates bank risk exposure, cially in terms of interest rate and liquidity risk. A maturity gap entails the atch between assets and liabilities. For example, customer deposits are short , whereas the loans delegated to customers are long term. This results in a gap tis exposed to risk and reflects the most inherent problem banks face - the longer'use' of funds (assets) are financed by shorter-term 'source' of funds (liabilities). 4 is exposes a bank to liquidity risk as the mismatch can cause a 'run on the bank'. is was one of the turning points in the Global Financial Crisis, because when arket participants realised the imminent magnitude of the crisis in 2007, there was run on the banks. The maturity mismatch between the longer-term assets and orter-term liabilities is, therefore, the most obvious and potentially catastrophic ructural problem facing the way in which banks conduct their business. With regards to interest rate risk, the revenues, costs and market value of assets, abilities and net worth are all influenced by changing interest rates. The effective anagement of interest rate risk, therefore, forms a critical component of the ALM ramework. The focus on this will be the core of this chapter. In order to understand fully the effect of adverse interest rate movements, the first step is to recognise the components of the balance sheet that are influenced by changing interest rates. These include interest-sensitive assets and liabilities, which have the characteristic of being repriceable (see Table 11.1 for examples). ~' ~ 279 Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management 1' The loanable funds theory and components of interest rates The loanable funds theo ry divid es mar ket part icip ants into four mai n categorie' businesses; governments; consume rs; and foreign participants. Rem ember that eac • category entails both lenders (surplus units) and borrowers (deficit units). Th dem and for loanable funds is dete rmin ed by the beha viou r of borr owers and thei supply of all debt inst rum ents . The supply of loanable funds, on the othe r hand , i determined by the beha viou r of lenders and thei r dem and to own these debt inst rum ents . This dem and and supp ly of loanable funds is illustrated in Figure 1 l. h where the equilibrium repr esen ts the risk-free inte rest rate (i ), whi ch is the rate a whi ch both lenders and borr owe 0 rs respectively are willing to lend or borr ow funds. This also implies that each ban k is a price-taker due to the fact that ther e are a larg, num ber of part icip ants in the fina ncial market, thus mak ing it diffi cult for one ban to influence the equi libri um riskfree inte rest rate. 5 11.3.1 is imperative if the bank wants to limit its interest rate risk exposure . For this r, it is important to be aware of the procedures and committees that mus t be in pla, ensure that the bank's ALM framewo rk can take effect (Section 11.4). It is also imp6 to understand how interest rates are compiled and wha t the full effec t of interes risk implies (Section 11.3), befo re the techniques available to man age the ne effect of changing interest rates can be understood. This leads to the next sectio will illustrate how interest rates are determined and how business cycle s, the R, Bank announcements and market expectations influence interest rates . Section also illustrates how the different interest rates of securities are linke d to the diff, maturities of long-term and shor t-ter m securities; this is known as the yield curve. 11.3 THE CONCEPT OF INT EREST RATES, THE YIELD CUR VE, INTEREST RATE RISK AND EXP ECTATIONS Alth oug h inte rest rate levels are critical to financial inst ituti ons in terms of and borrowing, it is more imp orta nt to und erst and wha t inte rest rate s are, how t are determined, and how they are measured. Interest rates are kno wn as the price of money. They are the opp ortu nity that determines whe ther or not an investor will invest in the lower risk /lower ret money mar ket or in a more risky fund with high er retu rns. Two econ omic theo can be used to illustrate how inte rest rates are determined. These are the liqui preference theo ry and the loan able funds theory. The liquidity preference the focuses on the dem and for and the supply of liquid assets and explains t movement of single inte rest rate s on shor t-ter m securities on an aggregate lev', The loanable funds theory, on the othe r han d, focuses on the dem and for and sup of aggregate loanable funds in the economy. This theo ry analyses the factors t affect both lenders and borrowe rs. It also examines the flow of funds betwe lenders and borr owe rs and expl ains the interest rate movement of both long-te and shor t-ter m securities. 5 Alth oug h both the liquidity preferen ce and the Joana' funds theories explain the mov eme nt of inte rest rates, the loan able funds theo places more emphasis on the role of an inte rme diar y such as a bank ; this is why t focus of the rem aind er of this sect ion is only on the loanable funds theory. 280 Bank Management in Sout h Africa -A risk-based perspective ,,, ,,, I- - • - • - • ,,, ,,, ,,, ,,, Oo ,,, ,,, Loanable funds Supply of loanable funds ,,, ,,, ctors that influence the supply of and dem and for loanable funds enta il aspects of four categories mentioned earlier. Factors that influence the supply of funds include expected rate of retu rn on the loan able funds relative to the expected retu rns of .ernative investments. Consumers will always look for an investme nt that has the hest expected retu rn with the lowe st risk atta ched to it. Other factors to be considered e the curr ent wealth position and the future financial plans of cons umers, who are a cons tant decision-making proc ess to enh ance thei r education, heal th position retirement plans. Remember that retir eme nt funds are one of the larg est suppliers money in a financial market. In terms of businesses. they often have excess cash ailable that can be invested temp orarily before it is used for capi tal or operating penses. This excess cash is due to the mism atch in the timing of cash flows and the \lanned real and operating expe nditures. The government, on the othe r hand , can ffect the supply of loanable fund s in two ways. Firstly, excess cash can be invested in securities to provide additional revenues unti l the funds are requ ired somewhere else. Secondly, the Sou th African Rese rve Bank (SARB) can influence the availability of redit and the growth in money supp ly thro ugh buying and selling secu rities in open mar ket transactions. In terms of foreign participants, securities with the best expected adjusted yields will always be purc hased. This implies that if foreign investors choose alternative investments to South Afri can securities, the supply of loanable funds to the Sou th African financial mar ket will 5 decr In addition to the factors that ease. influence the supply of funds, ther e are four factors that influence the dem and of loanable funds. First, cons ume rs borr ow large , amo unts , especially for hou sing , but also to finance the purc hase of dura ble goods, such as appliances, furn iture and automobiles. Con sum ers also borr ow mor e if the cost of borr owi ng is lower relative to alte rnat ive sources. Second, busi nesses borr ow to finance thei r working capital and capital expenditure needs, whe re the amo unt that is borrowed depends on the curr ent cash flow in thei r business . This implies .that if the business has a high leve l of cash flow, less money will be requ ired thro ugh • rec: Koch & MacDonald (200 3) 5 The loanable funds theory framewo rk jQ ,,, ,,, ,,, ,,, ,,, ,,, Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Managem ent 281 Demand for loanable funds _Chapter 11: The Management of Inter est ·····•···>•'ISll\'l'lll'.• 0. __,_,~~ .½-.·/SY? ~ ;'..!1/.Mi~-~-~-.'.·•~cc ~ ...\ .. ) .. ••.t..c. ,:;·,>,.7..,., ..•. , ~[h~J,iefd Ctirveisillostrated oha···dia§Fkm.that'F~~~~r&~di~~f~ri!':~~f~~f..9i~i ,o~.sesoritieslhiitdiffer only in terms•of1T1atority,;pve~aspec1fistirhe):io~li:drj,:T1 '-impHe!Mhat all securitles must have the same feinor~s,.suchas.~~fa~lf.ri~~::.r~~ -;Jreatments, marketability and liquidity risk,in order frrisolatethe effects o1 maturity. The loanable funds theory focuses only on a single risk-free interest rate. However, in practice there is a variety of securities, with different degrees of risk and maturity intervals that result in differing yields (interest rates) on these securities. This difference between the yields is called the term structure of interest rates, which explains why different securities have different interest rates. In order to understand the term structure of interest rates it is important to understand the yield curve, as illustrated by Figure 11.2. 11.3.2 The yield curve borrowing. Third, government regularly issues debt in order temporary imbalance between its operating income and expenditure sp Loanable funds will be required to finance future government expenditure, includes the construction of new schools, water treatment facilities, roads, ga removal and sewerage facilities. Finally, foreign participants will always searc the cheapest source of funds, thus influencing the demand for loanable funds example, foreign corporations sometimes issue securities in South Africa tha denominated in South African rand, because the interest rate obligations on t securities will be lower than the interest rates on securities issued in altern countries. 5 Prom the discussion above it is clear how the risk-free rate (equilibrium inte rate) can be influenced and determined. An interest rate, however, is not sol based on the risk-free interest rate as determined by the supply and demand for, for loanable funds. An interest rate also incorporates a risk premium, which c include a default risk premium, an inflation risk premium, a liquidity risk premiu or a call risk premium and it depends on the maturity of the loan or security. T default risk premium provides compensation for the lenders who provide t loanable funds with the probability that the borrower will default on the loan; t inflation risk premium is to compensate for the decrease in purchasing power due higher inflation rates (see Section 11.3.3); a liquidity risk premium can also incorporated in an interest rate if the security involved in the lending agreement i less liquid and therefore difficult to sell; the call risk premium, on the other han can be incorporated to compensate the lender for a decrease in expected returns, i the borrower has the right to pay off the loan early; the longer the maturities are o loans and securities the higher the interest rate will have to be in order t, compensate for the exposure to longer periods of interest rate movements. 4 This,c relationship between interest rates and maturities, specifically the yield curve, is discussed in more detail in the next section. 282 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Flat {No slope) 11.3.2.1 The unbiased expectations tlieory •The unbiased expectations theory (or pure expectations theory) examines investor behaviour by focusing entirely on the differences in their expectations regarding future interest rates. This theory makes the assumption that investors are indifferent From Figure 11.2 it is clear that the yield curve can constantly change form. It can be horizontal (flat). which means that the market expects the long-term and short-term interest rates to remain the same in the future. This implies that the yield to maturity of all the securities is expected to remain constant irrespective of the maturity of the · ·• individual securities. The yield curve can also have an upwards (positive) slope, where the long-term interest rates exceed the short-term interest rates in the future. An upwards yield curve is seen particularly during expansionary periods in an economy when interest rates are expected to increase in the future (see Section 11.3.4). Financial institutions that focus on long-term lending will benefit from an upwards sloping yield curve, because their loans have longer maturities than their liabilities (sources of funds), thus causing profits to increase. In other words, a bank with a positive maturity gap, where asset maturities exceed liability maturities, will generate a positive NIM if the yield is positively sloped. This is because interest revenues will increase more than interest expenses (see Section 11.5). The yield curve can also have an inverted (negative) slope, which implies that short-term interest rates exceed long-term interest rates. A negative sloped yield curve is an indication that the economy is possibly heading towards a recession of some sort, where interest rates are expected to decrease in the future. 4 Why does the yield curve have different forms? This can be answered by examining the four theories discussed in the following sections, which elaborate on the term structure of interest rates. These are: the unbiased expectations theory, or pure expectations theory; the liquidity premium theory; the preferred habitat theory; and the market segmentation theory. Maturity - - - - - - - - - - Negative (inverted) slope Positive slope Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management 283 I I . e il:ii I I N id ••'I' I'I'j ' r . ~-. I. ~ ~J ' I !~ ··i id .~'.·.i 'l ~ i . ·~ I ,, 1_~. .• .\ ~ J1. ~" If ~ I I~, ,~' r.·.I•.'. t ~ ,:{' ~ 61~ MJ 011 p~ Bank Management in South Africa A risk-based perspective A640,00 .Option.1 R?00,00 R1 400,00 1 In Equation 11.1 , in denotes the mark et rate on an n-period secu rity at time t; ti denotes the mark et rate on a one-period security at time t; t + if is the one-period1 (1 + i,,)" = (1 + ,ii)(l + 1+ ifi)(l + 1+:J1) ...(l + l+n-ifi) In order to estimate the forward inter est rate the following equa tion is used: 5 From the discussion above it is clear that the unbi ased expectations theo ry attac h a considerable amo unt of impo rtanc e to forward interest rates, where investors a indifferent to the securities that differ in maturity. C - Table 11.2 Expe cted intere st incom e to the matu rity of securities. seeking only the investment that will gener highest retur n. This explains the relat ionship between yield and different m securilies based on the differences in expectation of future inter est rate following example clarifies this. 5 Suppose a risk-averse investor has RIO 000 to invest for a period of two and considers Trea sury bills, given that they are thou ght to be risk-free. Fo two-year period the investor can cons ider two investment strategies. The includes investing in a one- year Trea sury bill for the first year at a yield of 6.4~ then in anot her one-year Trea sury bill for the second year. where the future in rate is unkn own. The second strat egy entai ls investing in a two-year Trea sury a yield of 7%. If the sole objective of the investor is to maximise expected retur investor will be ambi valen t abou t the two investment alternatives, if the total re at the end of two years is the same from each option. This implies that shoul one-year Trea sury bill gene rate a 7.6% yield for the second year, both options gene rate Rl 400 in total for the two-year period and the investment decision w· strai ghtfo rwar d as the investor will be ambivalent abou t the two options. Ho if the one-year Trea sury bill generates a yield high er than 7.6% in the second the investor will consider the first optio n. Also, if the yield is lower than 7.6% fof one-year Trea sury bill in the second year the investor will consider option two. mean s that the yield for both the long -term and shor t-ter m securities is deter mi by the mark et cons ensu s forecast for the future interest rate (forward interest ra Expectations, therefore, dom inate the fund amen tal shap e of the yield curve. 5 284 _hapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Manageme nt 285 11.3 .2.2 The liqui dity prem ium theo ry Whereas the unbiased expectatio ns theo ry assumes that securities are perfect substitutes for each other, differing only in terms of maturity, the liquidity prem ium theory incorporates the fact that in reality investors prefer shor t-term secur ities because the risk (especially price risk) and future unce rtain ty is less. For exam ple. supposing the expected retur n on a short -term security is equal to the expected retur n on a long-term security. investors will prefer the short -term security whic h has less risk and less unce rtain ty abou t futur e changes of condition. Thus the liquid ity 'rd rate on a security to be delivered one year from the prese nt (t + 1): t + / 1 is e-period forward rate on a security to be delivered two years from the prese nt ); and t + n _ f is the one-period forward rate on a security to be delivered one 1 1 ·d before matu rity (t + n - 1) • rom this equa tion the notio n can be deriv ed that the long -term inter est rate be considered as the average rate of both the curr ent inter est rate, whic h is 5 :ed for a loan, and the curr ent forward inter est rate. ..:-- - . '. . i, I ~j l :~ ii "lij' 'I' ~1' .ii; ,( ! ' ~.'i..' 'l i' !; lt\ ~~j Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Maturity Shape of the yield based on the unbias, expectations theory (with the constant-rate expectations) Equation 287 .-.~c •-- ;3.2.4 The market segnrentadon theory ing the market segmentation theory borrowers and investors do not view urities with different maturities as perfect substitutes. They concentrate their nsactions within specific maturity buckets regardless of the expected returns of urities outside these maturity buckets. This means that the interest rates are termined only by demand and supply forces within each maturity bucket and ere will be no substitution with securities outside. which may affect the interest te. It will only be with extensive interest rate changes that market participants will nsider changing to a different maturity bucket. 5 This raises the question as to why investors and borrowers limit themselves to ly one specific maturity bucket? First, this segmentation phenomenon may be a nsequence of government regulations that force market participants to use only ertain maturity instruments. For example, short-term debt will be issued to finance temporary imbalances in the operating spread. while long-term debt will be issued to finance capital expenditure. The government is thus not allowed to use shortterm debt to finance capital expenditure. Second, market participants may limit themselves to a particular maturity bucket as part of a risk-reducing policy. Third. market participants may lack the necessary expertise to be able to switch between maturity buckets. Finally, the goal of market participants may extend beyond the maximising of profits, implying that they will be unwilling to take advantage of profit opportunities. 5 In addition. it is assumed that the maturity spectrum can be divided into two markets, where one illustrates the supply and demand for short-term loanable funds and the other the supply and demand for long-term loanable funds. As depicted in Figure 11.4, the aggregate lending and borrowing activities within each maturity bucket are drawn to the same scale, and illustrate the fact that this theory will also result in an upward sloping yield curve. This is due to the fact that for each interest The preferred habitat tlreory preferred habitat theory is considered to be a combination of the unbiased ,ctations and market segmentation theories. This theory makes the assumption ari investor will have a preferential bond maturity range (maturity bucket) in preferred habitat for investment. The investor will only be willing to buy a bond t falls outside the preferred maturity bucket if a higher expected return (enough premium) is offered. The investor is likely to prefer a habitat of short-term ds over longer-term bonds (due to higher price risk), but will buy and hold ger-term bonds only if they receive the required compensation. This implies that stars can be attracted to less-preferred maturities by the higher expected interest s, leading to an upwards sloping yield curve. ences between long-term securities should disappear, which explains why the ;curve tends to flatten out over longer maturities as price risk decreases. Finally, ,e yield curve is inverted, short-term interest rates are expected to decline ply, because as the maturity increases the liquidity premium must also increase, this is offset by the decrease in the interest rate. 5 Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management "'·"'~------··--~--,----- where,+ 1e1 denotes the expected interest rate on a one-period security, one perib from the present; and 1 + 1 r 1 denotes the liquidity premium component of a one-perio forward rate, one period from the present. The problem with the liquidity premium theory however, is that neither th liquidity premium nor the expected short-term interest rate is directly apparent in the market. Market participants are only able to estimate the forward interest rate and draw inferences from observing the yield curve. Nonetheless, if interest rates follow the assumptions of the liquidity premium theory, there are four implications to consider. First, even if the consensus is that the expected short-term interest rate will remain constant, the yield curve will always illustrate a positive slope due to the inclusion of a liquidity premium. This also implies that the liquidity premium will increase along with the increase in the maturity of securities. 5 Second, the liquidity premium will cause an upward bias to long-term interest rates compared to shortterm interest rates, which means that the normal shape of the yield curve will always be positive under the liquidity premium theory. Third, the liquidity t+l1 =t+1e1 +1+1rJ This means that expectations still determine the basic shape of the yield curve, the difference is that a liquidity premium must also be incorporated in the estimati of the forward and long-term interest rate. The long-term interest rate will now the average of the current and expected short-term interest rate and the liquid premium. The forward interest rate, on the other hand, can be estimated using t following equation: 5 Source: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 5 Figure 11.3 Incorporating the liquidity premium Nominal interest rates premium theory extends the unbiased expectations theory by incorpora' liquidity premium, which provides compensation for investors who invest in term securities (see Figure 11.3 below). 5 286 -----•=--=--··· "' ·-c--~~~~ ..-- Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Demand for funds The short-term market Loanable funds ________ ,._ Supply of funds Long-term interest rates The long-term market Loanable funds -~---~~=---==---- Economists commonly attribute changes in interest rate to changes in the expect or actual inflation rate. Interest rates increase as the inflation rate increases, order to compensate for the decrease in purchasing power. To illustrate this conce from the loanable funds theory perspective, consider the following example. expected inflation increases, lenders will tend to lend fewer rand, becall purchasing power will decrease. which in turn will decrease the value of the loan 11.3.3 The relationship between interest rates and inflation To summarise: these four economic theories of the term structure of interest ra· suggest that it is difficult to forecast future interest rate movements to use as an to minimising interest rate risk. Although interest rates are determined largely supply and demand forces, as shown in the loanable funds theory, risk premiu the term structure of interest rates and expectations also have a significant influen on the decomposition of market interest rate. Increased volatility, particularly int current financial markets, can attach greater importance to market expectatici'' • This is why it is also important to understand and consider the interrelations between interest rates and other macroeconomic variables including inflatio business cycle and announcements by the SARB when formulating interest ra expectations. The following sections deal with this. Source: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 5 Figure 11.4 The slope of the yield curve under the market segmentation theory Short-term interest rates rate the amount of funds that lenders are willing to lend (supply) relative t, amount borrowers want to borrow (demand) is greater for short-term secu than for long-term securities. This means that short-term equilibrium wi reached before long-term equilibrium, with the smaller relative demand press short-term loanable funds pushing the short-term rates below the long-term and causing the yield curve to be upward sloping. This scenario can also be reve· where the amount borrowers want to borrow relative to the amount lender willing to lend is greater for short-term securities than for long-term securities, •• resulting in the yield curve becoming inverted (downward sloping). 5 288 iQ I ;,,r a D1 S2 D2 Loanable funds s, ---- ----------- 1].3.J.1 The Fisher effect The American economist Irving Fisher is well known for his contribution to interest rate theory. Fisher was the first to investigate the foundation of the underlying relationship between the inflation rate and the nominal interest rate, and describe the esponse of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate that became known as the ishet effect. It stipulates that at any given period the nominal interest rate will be ual to the sum of the expected inflation rate and the real interest rate. The Fisher effect also states that changes in the expected inflation rate will have no effect on the real interest rate, because this may lead to an equivalent nominal interest rate change. According to Fisher, however, there is a one-to-one relationship between the expected inflation rate and the nominal interest rate. Thus by correcting the nominal interest owever, the supply of loanable funds will also decrease (S 1 to S2 ) at the same time, cause higher inflation makes it more expensive to provide loanable funds. This ultaneous increase in demand and decrease in supply shifts the risk-free nominal terest rate to a higher equilibrium (i 0 to i 1 ). 5 The question now is: how much oes the nominal risk-free interest rate increase? This question can be answered by onsidering several further theories including the Fisher effect, the Mundell-Tobin eory, and the Darby-Feldstein theory. urce: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 5 igure 11;5 The impact of expected inflation on nominal interest rates ·o,.-,::ii~t rato 01111110 • implies that inflation will indirectly help the borrower to pay his loan. This ept emphasises the borrower's behaviour, where he will tend to borrow more to hase goods today, because it will become cheaper to pay back the principal ents in the future. This scenario can be illustrated by Pigure 11.5, where the land for loanable funds will increase (D 1 to D2 ) due to the greater demand from borrower. 5 \ Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Managernent ... )_ -» -~,,,~,..,.,,.,..-,-,_~-·-- - - - - - - ~ - ~ ~ - 291 The relationship between interest rates and the business cycle ,,-.-•-c• ••------ 1/~ ,.,_-c,,-<.Y business cycle illustrates the distinctive expansion (upswing) and contraction nswing) of economic activities over a number of years. History has shown that st rates tend to follow these upswings and downswings of a country's real s domestic product (GDP). For example, moving from the peak to the early stage a contraction phase the economy is typically subjected to a depreciation of the l'.ld; an unplanned increase in inventories; the deterioration of manufacturing eduction: and the increase in interest rates because borrowers compete for the r loans that are available. The reason for there being fewer loans is usually due 'the SARB's efforts to lower inllation by restricting credit availability, thus causing e demand for loanable funds to exceed the supply of loanable funds. This is owed by the latter stage of the contraction phase, which includes the decrease in iness sentiment; a lower demand for credit: a depressed property market: rease in share prices; and eventually a trough is reached. It is usually during this iod that the SARB would try to stimulate growth in monetary reserves in an ort to stimulate spending and to reduce unemployment, which causes interest tes to decrease. 5 , 6 After a downswing in an economy, however, an expansion period always llows, which includes a number of developments in the economy. for example, anufacturing production starts to increase as a result of greater consumer pending, which will cause inventories to decrease. In addition, the interest rate nd inflation rate will decrease further, whereas the rand will appreciate. In the ter stage of the expansion period a higher demand develops, with increased ices for capital goods, which will stimulate a higher utilisation of production pacity, but will also cause inflation to increase. As the peak is reached share rices will start to lose momentum and property prices will start to escalate. urthermore, the demand for credit will still increase, leading in turn to higher nterest rates. This increase in interest rates is due to the higher demand for goods nd loanable funds, which will be greater than their supply, thus placing more ressure on prices and production. 5 •0 .4 mmarise: these three theories elaborate on the relationship between expected ion and interest rates, but they ignore the influence of the actual inflation rate. theless. in reality actual inflation and the ex ante real interest rate is not always n and the actual inflation rate can also deviate from the expected inflation rate , making it even more difficult to incorporate the above discussed theories. For ple, in South Africa the actual consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate and producer price index (PPI) inflation rate have a month lag period before they are rted, thus making the use of expected inflation rates in present estimations ·e attractive than the use of actual inflation rates. Besides the use of inflation s to determine interest rate movements, many economists use lhe trends in the ness cycle/economic growth to determine interest rate movements. Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management .-,n~>',..'l""'"""'~""'~"'"-·•••••·--•---"'•~-------_.,.... In Equation 11.4, r., is the ex ante after-tax real interest rate: i is the nominal mar interest rate; and tis the marginal tax rate. This equation implies that for lenders to have the same purchasing DO •interest rates must increase more than inllation in order to pay the increment income tax and to keep the ex ante real interest rate constant. This theory al •argues that the market nominal interest rate will move in the same direction expected inflation rate changes, but the relationship will be greater than one-to-o due to the additional tax factor. 5 ra( =i-it-ne 11 .3 .3 .J The Darby-Feldstein theory The Darby-Feldstein theory suggests that market participants are concerned the expected after-tax real interest rates and not the before-tax nominal inte rates or the real interest rates. The ex ante after-tax real interest rate can be defi as the nominal market interest rate minus tax on the nominal interest rate min the expected inflation rate. This is calculated as follows: 5 11.3.3.2 The Mundell-Tobin theory This theory argues that there is an inverse relationship between expected and the ex ante real interest rate, called the real wealth or real balance effect." increase in inflation will lower the money balances of individuals (because money will buy fewer goods and services) which will lead in turn to a decline in wealth. To increase wealth to its original level. individuals will have to save m This implies that an increase in savings will cause the supply of loanable fund increase, which will cause the ex ante real interest rate to decline. Lower infla expectations will produce the opposite effect. Therefore, the ex ante real interest will move in the opposite direction if the expected inllation rate were to change. theory also argues that the ex ante real interest rate is not constant and that nomi market interest rates will move in the same direction as a change in ex inflation rate, albeit that the change will be less than one-to-one. 5 In Equation 11.3, r is the real interest rate: i is the nominal interest rate: and expected inflation rate. From this theory it is clear that the new nominal risk-free interest r, Figure 11.5 will increase by the same amount as inflation is expected to inc However, the theories proposed by Mundell-Tobin and Darby-Feldstein disagree. specifically, the Mundell-Tobin theory suggests that the nominal risk-free intere will increase by less than the expected inflation, whereas the Darby-Feldstein t suggests that the nominal risk-free interest rate will increase by more than expected increase in inflation rate. 5 This is discussed further in the following secti r= i-nc rate for inflation the following equation can be used to demonstrate the calcula the real interest rate: 290 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective -~----~ ~ - -.. ·,,, Interest rates Expansion Peak Trough Expansion Long-term rates Short-term rates Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspec tive X 4) X 100 = 10.71% ~-➔ ½ 7\'"f.-~".'"'.'.,'-""llll'-'7~,....> : : : ~ . ? > , -'""-* .\ ··--; "•.--·'""' =•·• This yield is significantly higher than the yield that will be obtaine d from buying holding a 13-week Treasur y bill until the end of its maturity. Still, for this strate to be successful the upward sloping yield curve must be very steep (especially to able to finance the transac tion costs) and the interest rate must be constan t for th specific time horizon. This is, however, highly unlikely in practice 5 . Conversely, during contrac tionary periods the relationship switches and a inverted yield curve will be present. During this period long-ter m interest rates wi exceed short-te rm interest rates (see Figure 11.2). This implies that short-ter • securities will be sold by investors in order to buy longer-term securities to limit t losses from decreasing interest rates. Financial institutions can also follow alternati [(300 ~ 11200) for an annuali sed yield of: (Rll 500 - Rl 1 200) = R300 The continuous upswings and downswings give market particip ants an indicati6 when they can expect interest rates to increase or decrease (see Figure 11.6). Also, able to determine when the economy is approaching a period of expansi on or contra enables market participants to determine in which maturity bucket to invest. Du expansion periods, short-term interest rates tend to be higher than long-term int, rates, suggesting that short-term investments will be more benefici al. In an upw: sloping yield curve environment traders are attracted to more active trading strat, commonly referred to as 'riding the yield curve'. 4 This strategy allows investors toe extra returns by buying longer-term securities, selling them at their peak prices (befi maturity) and then reinvesting in other shorter-term securities. For example, suppose investor buys a 2 6-week Treasury bill for R 1 2 000 that yields l 0% annually and will for Rl 1 200. Simultaneously, a 13-week Treasury bill is available that yields 8% and sell for Rl l 500. By purchasing the longer-term security, holding it for 13 weeks, a selling it at the existing 13-week Treasury bill price will generate a profit of: Time Figure 11.6 The relationship between interest rates and the business cycle 292 _ 293 _,. ~-- :,.,<.¾-""'"'·-~---•-~~ -_~,.,.......,,.· ;.,, _·_,_.,_, .~.- ~ - +.W~wu_:J, •• ,~> ""'-··'"'··•--·--"' °""'~'~s:c.1"\ tegies to benefit from an inverted yield curve, such as: buying more long-term -callable securities; switching price deposits to a floating interest rate basis; king more fixed-rate non-callable loans; or applying strategi es to become more ility sensitive and/or lengthen the duratio n of assets (see Section s 11.5 and 11.6). 4 th a positive yield curve the opposite is also true, where financia l institutions will nt to increase their asset sensitivity and/ or lengthe n the duratio n of liabilities. Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Li ability Management Bank Management in South Afric ... ,... ~.~"'-'~'-':'."',1)\ffl'.<:"c":•''-"'\,:t,_l>""':'•"""~'"~-''"""'-,----," ~--········-.. •.. --. Monetary policy announc ements are capable of influencing bond prices, volumes in financial markets, yields in both the capital and money markets and t interaction in the interban k markets and lending activities. These announcemeri can have significant spillover effects and have a pervasive economi c impact on t decision-making process of households, investors, producers and other policyma in an economy. For example, when the SARB makes an announc ement regarding change in the repo rate, it can have significant financial advantages and disadvantage for an economy,· albeit only current short-term interest rates are immediate! influenced. Longer-term interest rates, on the other hand, are determin ed based o market particip ant expectations about possible future changes, as well as the level of consistency portrayed by the SARB regarding policy making. 8 For this reason, policy transpar ency is of the utmost importance to reducing uncertai nty in financial 9 markets. The SARB must manage expectations through an effective range o communication channel s such as media briefs and MPC seminars in order to reach all the various stakeholcjers in the market. In doing so, the SARB not only promotes transpar ency but also manages market expectations, which in turn enhance s the credibility of the SARB in its endeavour to achieve its mandate relating specifically, 11.3.5 The impact of SARB announcements Besides using macroec onomic variables to generate interest rate expectat io also importa nt to monitor governm ent intentio ns regarding future policy ch and the level of transpar ency between the SARB and market particip ants. therefore, importa nt to monitor the impact of announc ements from the S because any changes in the repo rate will influence long-ter m interest expectations and eventually every particip ant's strategic decision-making proc the economy. This leads to the next section focusing on SARB announc ements. 294 Current market price= [(CF ) ~ (1 + YTM) 1 ] + [(CF,2 ) ~ 11 (1 +YTM) 2] + ... + [(CF,") ~(l +YTM)"] + [SR+ (1 +YTM)"] Equation 11.5 Since interest rates are the 'price' for obtainin g credit, it is importa nt to know how this 'price' is calculated. The two most popular approac hes used are the yield-tomaturity (YTM) and the bank discoun t rate. The YTM is the expected rate of return on a security held until its maturity date is reached based on the security 's promised interest payments. the purchas e price, and the redemption value at maturity. This can be calculated as follows: 4 11.3.6 The measuring of interest rates and the management of interest rate risk asting interest rate movements is extremely complex and accurate forecast ing ost impossible. That is why banks will attempt to manage their overall interest risk exposure as effectively as possible and base their decisions on all the !able current information. This raises an importa nt point with regards to the asting of interest rate movements; banks make informed decisions based on all ormation available to them in the market, but at the heart of these forecasts is the derlying monetar y policy stance of the SARB. This is because the SARB makes isions on repo rate movements based on its assessm ent of market developm ents, ·ch include both domestic and internat ional developments. Keep in mind that the B currentl y has a mandate to ensure price stability. Any economi c developnts, whether domestic or internat ional. which the SARB considers as having the tential to adversely affect inflation, are importa nt considerations for banks. These evelopments are, therefore, not limited to the monetar y sector and exclusively in nancial markets, but also include real sector developments. This implies that by anaging the interest rate expectations of banks, the SARB is able to intluence ank asset-liability manage ment decisions and eventually also the financial ellbeing of the entire economy. The remaind er of this chapter is dedicated to iscussing the different balance sheet techniqu es that banks can use to manage interest rate risk (note that the strategie s banks use to hedge interest rate risk using derivatives is discussed further in Chapter 12). "aii~:,f:;:;~~~~~:;~~r,t~ies{ahd _action p\li~~ -~- ~yElr ~j~pecificti~~horito~. ·'I~J~t~d~1;t:#iter~sfrilt~iwith}o6%J(:(:i)racy,exp~bt~d fr6rfr~ivet~l!;i,1estlfi:fr~t::~s~;c~2~r,i~?i~~ere.~ • limited to, price stability, exchange rate stability. liquidity, foreign capital flows rail balanced economic growth. rther to this, managin g the expectations of banks also incorpor ates the sting element that banks make use of to generate 'bounda ry rates' that enable to limit interest rate exposures (see Section 11..4). 'hapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management 295 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective From these sub-risk components of interest rate risk, it is evident that both cash flows and the market value of the entire statement of the financial position can be influenced by moving interest rates. In order to ensure effective management of interest rate risk, banks have three different balance sheet management techniques at their disposal. The first technique, called the interest-sensitive gap management However. it is not the type of method used to estimate the interest rate important, but rather how the balance sheet management techniques are ap and managed to minimise interest rate risk exposure. Hence the manageme the interest rate as such is of utmost importance to banks. Interest rate risk be divided into two sub-risk components, namely price risk and reinvestment Price risk arises whenever the market interest rate increases, thereby causing market value of assets, liabilities and equity capital to decrease. Reinvestment r on the other hand, refers to the risk that is caused by the decreasing interest r that will force the bank to reinvest its future funds in a lower yielding asset, t lowering the expected future income. 4 An additional risk component which can a be included is called refinancing risk. This risk arises due to the uncertainty of cost of a new source of funding (with a shorter maturity) that is used to financ long-term fixed-rate asset. For example, if a one-year time deposit is used to financ three-year fixed-rate loan, the bank faces the risk of refinancing at a higher inte rate after one year if interest rates were to increase. Ceteris paribus, this will decrea the NIM. The opposite is also true for decreasing interest rates, where refinancin: will be cheaper after one year and lead to a lower interest rate expense that ultimately improves the NIM, ceteris paribus. YTM equivalent yield= [(FV - PP)~ PP] x (365 ~ N) In Equation 11.6, FV is the face value of the security; PP is the purchasing p the security; and N is the number of days to maturity. The bank discount rate h tendency to understate the true yield percentage because returns are divided face value and not the current purchasing price. In order to overcome this pt, the bank discount rate can be converted to an equivalent value (known as the equivalent yield), which is formulated as follows: 4 Bank discount rate= [(FV - PP)~ FV] x (360 ~ N) The bank discount rate, on the other hand, estimates the interest Treasury bills and other money market securities by using par value and a year to determine the appropriate discount rate. The bank discount rate met ignores the effect of compounding of interest rates. The following equatibn used to estimate the bank discount rate: 4 In Equation 11.5, CF11 is the expected cash flow in period l; Cl\ is the 2 cash flow in period 2; CF 1n is the expected cash flow in period n; and SR i: or redemption price of security or loan in period n. The YTM method assu interest rates are compounded at the calculated YTM and also assumes th' day year horizon is used. 296 297 so, the ALCO must recognise the importance of the vision, miss10n, :oals and objectives of the bank in order to develop the appropriate strategy to ercome the gap between where the bank currently finds itself and where it wants o be in the future. However, the ALCO and the ALM can fail if the bank suffers om poor communication channels, especially where decisions are not properly Cbmmunicated to the various business lines. Also, the incompetence of members as a result of unclear role definitions (job descriptions) and the failure to execute the ALM plans and objectives effectively, can cause the ALCO and the ALM framework to fail. In addition to these potential problems, is the danger of an agency problem. This phenomenon is caused by the tension between shareholders and management related to their different interests in the bank and their conflict regarding what the future mission, vision, goals and objectives should be for the bank to be successful in a highly competitive and complex market. By taking minutes in each ALCO meeting and applying the required procedures limit deviations from the purpose of the ALCO meeting, these problems can be THE ASSET-LIABILITY COMMITTEE (ALCO) LCO is a committee within a bank that comprises executive and senior gement who meet to alter, strategically and intentionally, the mix of liabilities ssets in anticipation of likely future events and consequences emanating from, ot limited to, interest rate movements, foreign exchange exposure, liquidity traints and problems with capital adequacy. In order for the ALCO to be tive it requires the full support of the CEO and typically constitutes between and eight executive and senior management members from all the major ions within the bank, including treasury, linance, operations, corporate, retail various risk departments. The ALCO is used to manage interest rate risk. operational risk and the capital ition. It also provides the bank with a clear view of what the required liquidity 1 must be to be able to meet all linancial obligations. Furthermore, the ALCO t not only follow a defensive approach, but also use the ALM framework as a ategic planning tool that is proactive to: test various asset mixes and funding combinations various pricing and volume relationships identify new products and markets. ue, enables a bank to determine the level of NIM sensitivity by evaluating flow from assets and liabilities. The second technique, called the duration nagement technique, compares the price sensitivity of a bank's total assets e price sensitivity of its total liabilities to assess the impact of potential s in interest rate on shareholder equity. The third technique, called the EVE ement technique, enables a bank to evaluate the potential long-term impact erest rate changes on shareholder equity. Banks usually conduct these gement techniques under the guidance of the ALCO. 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management -----.----.,~_.,• ... •.""" • .. S ~ Step6 -- Step 1 / ~ Step2 The first step includes reviewing the previous month's results. where all t targets set in the previous ALCO meeting are evaluated and all the success and failures are identified. For example, if the required growth target for horn loans were not achieved. the ALCO process would start by identifying th source(s) of this failure. Step 2 • ¢ •... ; _::•'"::r,y__ ~J ➔- ..-,.tA /Y..?..,\\l~,X,.:, -<:---~"-·• The second step of the ALCO process entails assessing the current balanc sheet. The bank evaluates its current balance sheet structure in terms of Step J • In order for the ALCO to be successful it must follow ten steps (see Figure 11.9) that allow a financial institution to generate an appropriate strategy that incorporates all t risks, requirements, regulations and expectations of management, employees, die and of the bank supervision department. The steps in the ALCO process are as folio Figure 11.9 The ALCO process \ I Step 10 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Step9 298 299 'ent asset and liability mixes, changing market conditions, its current cost ,file and its maturity and interest sensitivity profile. By reviewing past formances and the existing balance sheet structure it provides the bank with proper platform to generate future strategies. ep 3 iring the third step exogenous factors are projected in order to establish the mronment in which the bank finds itself. Exogenous factors are those that anate ft-om outside the bank and over which the bank has very little or no ntrol. These factors include fluctuating exchange rates, inflation rate and interest tes. Due to the fact that accurate forecasting is impossible (see earlier sections), anks establish boundary rates within which management will position the stitution. IT these boundary rates are properly determined and planned, the bank ·11 be able to generate effective strategies to stabilise and improve earnings and real et worth, regardless of how future rate movements develop. In addition, the bank ust also project endogenous factors that can influence ALCO decisions. These endogenous factors are those over which the financial institution has control, such as the training and skills of employees and their working environment. Step 4 The fourth step includes developing suitable asset and liability strategies in response ito the projected exogenous and endogenous factors. Different strategies are developed to incorporate the boundary rates that were established in the previous step. During this stage in the ALCO process various 'what ff' scenarios are defined and carefully evaluated to determine the best strategy going forward, bearing in mind that a particular strategy should not be limited to only one specific goal, objective or market. Step 5 In the fifth step the asset and liability strategies are simulated to incorporate the changing external environment. Different time frames are simulated for different strategies. For example, a five-year time frame simulation can be used to generate more capital or alternatively a twelve-month time frame simulation can be used to measure the impact of interest rate changes. Step 6 The sixth step entails determining the most appropriate strategy, given the bank's perception of the future, its risk appetite and its goals and objectives. Also, by reviewing the different simulations and risk reports, the ALCO can make more informed decisions in choosing the best strategy to bridge the gap between past and future performance expectations. Step 7 In the seventh step the ALCO decisions are translated into quantifiable actions or targets. These targets must be both realistic and achievable within the desired time horizon. Step 8 During the eighth step the quantifiable targets are communicated to all managers and to all channels within the bank, especially the operations and treasury departments. Proper communication enables each department to recognise its role in the current strategy and see how the goals and objectives can be reached if each department fulfils its tasks. apter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management Step 9 In the ninth step the strategies are monitored to ensure that there is with the strategies and targets decided upon. The over-achievement achievement of targets can influence all future decisions and strategies oft Step 10 The final step entails the process of determining whether or not strategy is still appropriate for the goals and objectives that were set. Du dynamic and ever-changing nature of the financial environment, the p exogenous factors, conditions, simulation assumptions and decisio change continuously. This requires an ongoing review process to ensu the current strategies are still appropriate. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective INTEREST-SENSITIVE GAP MANAGEMENT In Equation 11. 8, NPA is the difference between interest income and interest expe Remember that the yield curve (see Section 11.3.2) does not move parallel over ti which means that the spread between borrowing costs and interest income never be constant. Management will, therefore, continually struggle to ensure borrowing costs do not outgrow interest income. The interest-sensitive gap management technique requires management monitor and manage the different maturities and repricing opportunities interest-bearing assets and interest-bearing liabilities. In the real world compu based techniques are used, which help management to divide the interest-bear" assets and liabilities into different buckets based on their respective maturities. doing so, management is able to determine the level of interest rate exposure if t asset or liability matures or if the interest rate changes in the near future. It al allows management to evaluate the multiple factors that can influence the NIM O the bank. These include the following: 4 • changes in the spread between the asset yields and liability costs, which reflected by the shape of the yield curve between the short-term and long-ter interest rates NIM= NPA c-Total assets (or earning assets) This technique focuses on stabilising the cash flow from both the asset and sides of the balance sheet. More importantly, it focuses on the important go insulating the bank profits, particularly the NIM, from the damaging effec interest rate movements. The NIM is therefore calculated as follows: 4 •5 11.5 In addition to the various steps in the ALCO process, it is also important that department is fully committed to generating the required estimations and sc (during step two to four of the ALCO process) to ensure that the appropriate as liability strategies are selected and developed. In order to comprehend how th department can be an effective 'number cruncher' for the ALCO process, it is nee to understand the management techniques used to help generate some of numbers for hedging interest rate risk. These are discussed in the next three secti • • 300 301 Equation 11.9 will increase. In summary, a bank that is asset sensitive (with a positive IS-gap) benefits from ncreasing interest rates, whereas a bank that is liability sensitive (with a negative IS-gap) benefits from decreasing interest rates (see Table 11.4). he NIM. If the interest-sensitive liabilities exceed the interest-sensitive assets a negative IS-gap develops and the bank is said to be liability sensitive. If interest rates were to increase, the interest expense paid from the interest-sensitive liabilities would increase by a larger amount than the interest income generated by the interestsensitive assets, resulting in a decrease in the NIM. Alternatively, should interest rates decrease, the interest expense will decrease by a larger amount than the interest Due to the interest expense declining more than the interest income, the though in reality there will always be a gap, the challenge is to manage this gap hich can be either positive or negative) as effectively as possible. Note that the bank ust manage both a periodic gap and a cumulative gap: the periodic gap entails the anagement of interest-sensitive assets and interest-sensitive liabilities across a ngle time period or bucket; the cumulative gap entails the management of interest5 nsitive assets and interest-sensitive liabilities over all time periods or buckets. If interest-sensitive assets exceed the interest-sensitive liabilities a positive IS-gap evelops. This bank is then said to be asset sensitive. Should interest rates increase, the terest income generated from the interest-sensitive assets will increase by a larger mount than the interest expense paid from the interest-sensitive liabilities, resulting an increase in the NIM. Alternatively, if interest rates were to decrease, the interest "ncome will decrease by a larger amount than the interest expense, thereby decreasing IS-gap= Interest-sensitive assets - Interest-sensitive liabilities inimise interest rate exposure effectively, banks will attempt to minimise the rence (or gap) between repriceable interest-sensitive assets and liabilities (see ation 11.9) in each maturity bucket. 4 •5 This difference is called the interestsitive gap (IS-gap). By implication, the interest income and interest expense can .managed indirectly in a changing interest rate environment over different time e impact of increasing or decreasing interest rates e impact of changes in the volume of interest-bearing liabilities that are tilised to fund earning assets he impact of changes in the volume of interest-bearing assets changes in the asset and liability mix as management can shift between floating and fixed-rate liabilities and assets. Management can also change the mix of assets and liabilities in terms of maturities by moving from short-term to longterm assets and liabilities or, alternatively, move from assets that possess a low expected yield to assets with a higher expected yield. Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management Decrease Zero Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease Increase Decrease ~ Size of financial instituti on Equati on1 Increase asset sensitivity Reduce asset sensitivity cGoal (3) By making more loans on a floating-rate basis. (2) By shortening the maturities ot loans. {l) By buying short-term securities. {3) By substituting lloaling-rale loans wilh term loans. (2) By lengthening lhe maturities of loaos. (1) By buying long-term securities. I Approaches aval!Able td}lfinantial 11'\iitittitl Table 11.5 Summary of different approaches to change the interest rate sensitivity Banks are able to elimin ate a positive or negative IS-gap using a numbe approaches, as shown in Table 11. 5. If a bank wants to reduce its asset sensitiv it must change its focus from holding short-t erm to long-te rm assets and liabiliti This implies either buying additional long-te rm securit ies or substit uting floati rate loans with term loans. Both of these actions lengthe n the maturi ty of the lo (and thus assets), thereby reducin g the asset sensitivity. Conversely, the bank reduce its liability sensitivity by paying premiu ms to attract longer-term dep instrum ents, or it can issue additional long-te rm subord inated debt. These actio will in turn reduce the liability sensitivity by length ening the maturi ty profile of t liabilities. By implication, therefore, if a bank wants to increase its asset or liabili sensitivity, it will adopt the opposite approa ches to these just discussed in order have a short-t erm asset and liability profile on its balanc e sheet. 5 !SR= Interest-sensitive assets -;. Interest-sensitive liabilitie s If the ISR (see Equati on 11. 11) is less than one it implies that the financial institti is liability sensitive (negative JS-gap), wherea s an ISR greater than one implies the financial institu tion is asset sensitive (positive IS-gap) 4 . Relative IS-gap = IS-gap There are several additio nal ways to measu re the IS-gap, including the relatr gap ratio and the interes t sensitivity ratio (ISR). If the relative IS-gap is greater ' zero the bank is asset sensitive, whilst a negative relative IS-gap indicates a lia' sensitive barik. Note that a good proxy for the size of the bank is total assets: 4 *fl, denotes change Source: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 5 Increase Zero Decrease Increase Increase Decrease Negative Negative Decrease Decrease Positive Increase Increase 6 Interest income Positive : 6 • Interest rates > Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspec tive Table 11.4 Summary of IS-gap position s 302 (2) By borrowing more through non-core purchased liab11ilies. (1) By paying premiums to anract more short-term deposits instruments . {2) By paying premiums tu anract more lung-term depo~t instruments {1) By issuing more long-term subordinated debt. Equation 11.12 where NPA is the difference between interes t income and interes t expense. Althou gh some banks follow a more defensive IS-gap manag ement approa ch (which implies an IS-gap equal to 0), there are others that strive to follow a more aggressive t,NPA = Overall change in interest rates x Size of the cumulat ive gap addition to using the periodic IS-gap, a bank can also make use of a cumulative gap. he cumulative gap is a useful overall interest rate risk measu re to determine the effect ,f sudden and unexpected interes t rate change s on the NIM over a longer designated ·me period (see Equation 11.12) . The cumulative gap assists the bank to be better at anticipating future interest rate movement in order to make final adjustments to IS-gap manag ement strategy before its implementation. A bank with a positive cumulative gap will benefit (NIM will increase) from increasing interes t rates, whereas a bank with 4 a negative cumulative gap will benefit from decreasing interes t rates. the impact of interes t rate change s on the NIM, based on these asset or liability tive positions, the safest position for a bank is to have a zero IS-gap; that is, the rest income from the interest-sensitive assets will change at the same rate as the test expense from the interest-sensitive liabilities. A bank with a zero IS-gap can, efore. be regarded as being protected (or immunised) from the negative effects nterest rate risk. However. in reality this is not true becaus e the interes t rates ched to liabilities and assets are not perfectly correlated. For example, interes t s on loans tend to lag behind interes t rates on money marke t borrowings. This lies that interes t income will tend to grow at a slower pace than interes t expense. rket evidence indicates that this is true, especially in econom ic upswings, while rest expenses tend to fall more rapidly than interes t income during an economic nswing (see Section 11.3.4 ). In order to limit the interes t rate exposure, a bank must ensure that the ;1\owing aspects are taken into consideration: 4 The bank must choose the time period during which the NIM will be manag ed. This period will then be divided into different maturi ty buckets (or periods) in order to determ ine the extent of the interes t rate risk exposu re. The bank must choose a target level for the NIM over this estimated period. The bank must ensure that accura te interes t rate forecas ts are provided and that the spread between interes t income and interes t expense is manag ed effectively. The most efficient volume of the interest-sensitive assets and liabilities must be determined. e: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 5 liability sensitivity liability sens1t1vity Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-ba sed perspective Negalive IS-gap Markel interest rates decrease • Increase interest-sensitive assets • Increase interest-sensitive liabililies and/or Decrease interest-sensllive !1abililies Decrease interest-sens/live asse1s ■ ■ and/or Altho ugh the overall TS-gap mana geme nt appro ach is essential to mana ge a bari NIM, it does have a numb er of drawbacks. Firstly , after implementing this approa the bank will still have a degree of intere st rate risk exposure, commonly referred to basis risk. Basis risk developed because the intere st rate expenses paid from intere sensitive liabilities are not perfectly correlated with the intere st income gener ated the interest-sensitive assets. This implies that both the magn itude and rate of chan of the intere st rates on the respective interest-sen sitive assets and liabilities diff, thereby exposing the bank to possible losses if interest rates change. For exampl borro wing cost will always move faster than the intere st rates earne d on assets. In a attem pt to overcome this problem banks _have develo ped a weighted IS-gap approac that incorporates the tende ncy of intere st rates to vary in their rate of chang e an magnitude, depending on the curre nt phase of the business cycle. The weighted I gap appro ach assigns different intere st rate sensit ivity weights to the different asse and liabilities on the balan ce sheet, depending on the interest rate volatility level o each asset and liability comp onent . Secondly, the point at which some assets and liabilities may be repriced is no always identifiable. For example. dema nd depos its do not have a predefined matur ity period durin g which the bank will have access to them. Finally, and probably the most impor tant problem of IS-gap mana geme nt. is that it does not consider the impac t of intere st rate movements on the total equity (or net worth ) side of the balan ce sheet. 4 For this reason, it is good practice to combine the mana geme nt techn ique with both the durati on gap and the EVE techniques. These will be discussed in Sections 6 and 7, respectively. Source: Rose & Hudgins (2010) 4 Posilive IS-gap Market lnterest rates increase Table 11.6 The aggressive IS-gap manag ement approa ch .forecast interesu ate Best IS-gap position to be in appro ach which is more depen dent on the accur acy of their intere st rate fo· For example, if the bank interest rate forecast shows that intere st rates are g decrease over the mana ged time horizon, the bank will allow the interestliabilities to exceed the interest-sensitive assets (negative IS-gap) which will cause the NIM to increase (see Tables 11.4 and 11.6). Alternatively, if their rate forecast shows that intere st rates will increa se, the bank will allow the in sensitive assets to exceed the interest-sensitive liabilities (positive IS-gap) in o increase the NIM. Obviously, this appro ach has a greate r degree of risk for because accurately forecasting interest rate move ments is virtually impossibl aggressive appro ach normally relies on hedgi ng throu gh the use of interes derivatives in an attem pt to minimise risk expos ure (see Chapt er 12). 4 304 305 f {[(expected t:= 1 t .;- (1 + YTM)']) CF in period t x period t) .;- (1 + YTM)'] .;- [expec ted CP in period D= Equat ion 11.13 The duration gap (D-gap) mana geme nt technique enables a bank to mana ge the price sensitivity of assets, liabilities and especially equity agains t interest rate movements. Duration can be defined as the present value-weighted measu re of the maturity of a portfolio or .an individual security in which the timing and amou nt of all cash flows expected from the portfolio or security are considered. 4 In other words, duration measures the weighted average maturity of a security or portfolio over which its expected cash flow will be received. There are several duration measures that can be used. The most popular measures include the Macaulay duration (see Equat ion 11.13), the modified duration 4 5 (see Equation 11.14 ) and the effective duration (see Equation 11.15). • 11.6 DURATION GAP MANAGEMENT Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 3. where NW is the net worth; A is the market value of total assets; and L is t market value of total liabilities. Note that if the market value of either the asse or liabilities changes, the market value of the net worth automatically chang as well. This implies that it is essential to ensure the effective management oft weighted average duration of the assets and the weighted average duration 6 the liabilities in order to minimise adverse change to net worth. Estimate the weighted average duration (DA) of the assets and the weighted average duration of the liabilities (DL). This is then used to determine the D-gap a follows: 4 •5 NW=A-L In Equation 11.15, Pi_ is the price of the security if interest rates fall; Pi+ is the of the security if interest rates increase; PO is the current (initial) price; i+ is the in market interest rate plus the increase in interest rate; and i_ is the initial ma interest rate minus the decrease in interest rate. In order to simplify estimations, the Macaulay duration will be used for the rest of this chapter. 5 By applying the Macaulay duration in the D-gap technique, the bank wi!I able to compare the duration of assets with the duration of liabilities. This enable management to examine how the market value of shareholder equity (or worth) will change in a moving interest rate environment. To apply the D technique successfully, the following four steps must be followed by the ass liability managers in the bank (note that the D-gap is also used in the E management technique which is discussed in the next section): 4 · 5 1. Forecast the boundary interest rates (see Section 11.3.5). 2. Estimate the current market value of the bank's assets, liabilities and net wor The market value of the net worth is determined by the traditional balan; sheet equation as follows: Effective duration= (P;_ - P;+l ~[PO x (i+ - i_)J The modified duration provides additional information regarding the extent to the price of a security will change (in percentage terms) for a given change in i rate i. Both the Macaulay duration and modified duration estimations assum all promised cash flows will be realised. However, in reality this is only appli to option-free securities. As such, for securities that contain embedded optiori effective duration will be a more applicable method to use (see Equation 11.15) effective duration estimates the extent of price sensitivity of a security wh security contains embedded options. 5 Modified duration = D + (l + i) In Equation 11.3, D is the Macaulay duration: CF is the cash flow; t is the period that is included; and YTM is the yield to maturity. The second bracket [expected CP in period t + (1 + YTMl] can substituted with the current market value or price of the security or loan: 306 f zi i= I x DI; Equation 11.19 Equation 11.18 Decrease Nooe None Increase Decrease Increase < = = Increase Decrease Increase Decrease lncrnase Decrease Negative Zero Zero • ·- ·- risk will the liabilities is greater than the weighted average duration of the assets. If a bank has a negative D-gap it means that the weighted average duration of :Ii:~~--'"-- :C,::·{::tf'. 9~tlfi~~;te~ff0i;iwl:i1~a.~~!~~~~~~:j~r~§g')J lJ1{ ?~farfA~~~;~~:.iit~etts be. doratio#the greater;tf\e associatiid longehti'e the ofmafuiify; f?r ITI!r~et·value)·?f~"Security~ry~)ht~r~s!C!~fe:%f1n'ad~ition/,the',lo~ger)t~ernaturity?f ~~Icular secu1fy;"thegfeaterttie 'rniig~ito~l'i'of·c:ha~·gein i(s)ll~r~E!ti\(alue•given·a h.~99! in i9tE!r:e;s11tafe:. ~~~iJipllf~~fthangeJr1ihE!~arkef,t1~l~~•tor-a'gi~E!~ n1ent}he?r-yi))ostutat=·s1haffhe~:~~/fsinv~r'se~ra!idnship~=~ee~the•pri ~~tice fheldvefse r~rifiorls~ip bef~~Eihffie mbVehl~r\t ofi~t~f~!!tlte; ahdthe .· ' marketyalue.~!~fu'e as·set!{?rl}iibili!~~Jf1Jfie.aoov!\!xample\:~e~ernl){l~:thatbasic'\ From Table 11.8 it is evident that a bank will benefit from a positive D-gap if the interest rate decreases and from an increasing interest rate if the D-gap is negative. A positive D-gap implies that the weighted average duration of the assets is greater than the weighted average duration of the liabilities. This means that if interest rates do in fact decrease, the market value of the assets will increase at a faster pace llian tile market value of tile liabilities, leading to an increase in the bank's net worth. ource: Koch & MacDonald (2003) 5 Increase Decrease < Decrease Increase Negative Decrease Increase Decrease Increase > > Increase Decrease Decrease t. Market ,:/;Market value·'bf total value of total lialiilities,, • NW.., Positive :fo the equations above, w; is the rand amount of the jlh asset that is divided by 'the market value of total assets; Da; is the Macaulay duration of the i1h asset in .the bank's portfolio; z; is the rand amount of the jlh liability that is divided by ,the market value of total liabilities; and DI; is the Macaulay duration of the /h '.liability in the bank's portfolio. The estimates from the D-gap can be interpreted • as illustrated in Table 11.8 . . DL = 307 Equation 11. 17 Chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management decrease at a faster pace than the market value of the assets, thereby leadin Therefore, if interest rates increase, the market value of the liabiliti Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective (L'IL-'- L) is approximately equal to {-DI. x [L'li-'- (1 + i)) x L} ouauo - DL x (TL -;- TA) In Equation 11.22, TL is the total liabilities and TA is the total assets. If a bank ha· positive leverage-adjusted D-gap the market value of its assets will decrease more than market value of its liabilities in the event of increasing interest rates, thereby decrea the net worth. Conversely, if the bank has a negative leverage-adjusted D-gap the ma value of the liabilities will decrease more than the market value of its assets, if interest ra increase, thus increasing the net worth of the bank (see Table 11.9). 4 · 5 Leverage-adjusted 0-gap = DA In addition to these four steps, the leverage (or debt ratio within the balance must also be incorporated. Since a bank's rand volume of assets will exceed rand volume of liabilities (otherwise the bank is insolvent), it will seek to minim its exposure to interest rate movements by making an adjustment for this levera In order to incorporate this leverage, a bank can measure its interest rate expos through estimating the leverage-adjusted D-gap (see Equation 11.22). 4 L'INW = {-DA x [lli-'- (l + i)] x A) - {-!\ x [L'li ..,_ (1 + i)] x L} L'INW=L'IA-llL Equation 11.20 can be substituted by Equation 11.21. Note that the sign before the DA and DL represents the inverse relationship between the ma value (price) and interest rates: 4 · 5 and: (L'IA-;- A) is approximately eqm1l to {-DA x [L'li-'- (1 + i)] x A} increase in the bank's net worth. Should a bank wish to change its Dany reason, such as the fact that interest rate forecasts are changing, decrease (increase) its DA and increase (decrease) its DL to change a p (negative) D-gap to a negative (positive) D-gap. Remember that an imm bank portfolio is one with a D-gap = 0, where there is minimum (if not exposure if interest rates change. 4. Forecast the changes in the market value of net worth based on the di interest rate forecasts that were made in step 1. Remember that any chart the weighted average duration of the assets or in the weighted average duof the liabilities will cause the net worth to change as well (see Equation 1 Additionally, due to the fact that: 308 (tk} Decrease Increase Negaive Zero Decrease Increase Negative Zero Decrease Positive None Nooe Decrease Increase Increase Decrease tiMiirki>t'\iltoeof NW 309 ~ -0 x [L'li-;- (1 + i)] Equation 11.23 Equation 11.24 n Equation 11.24, D denotes the Macaulay duration and L',i the change in market nterest rate. Convexity can also be applied as a risk-management tool by assisting anks to control the level of market risk that is present in a portfolio. Convexity, herefore, provides additional insight as to how investors will experience losses from uctuations in security prices caused by yield curve shifts. Whereas basic D-gap chniques make the assumption that only constant (parallel) interest rate changes occur, convexity incorporates the concept of non-parallel shifts in the yield curve. To understand how convexity measures the curvature of the relationship between security price change and interest rate change, consider Figure 11.10 below. Convexity = D - (60 -;- 6i) Equation 11.2 3, (L',P .;- P) denotes the percentage change in the price of a financial strument; D the Macaulay duration; and [L'..i -'- (1 + i)] the relative change in terest rate associated with the different assets or liabilities. The negative sign before e Macaulay duration represents the inverse relationship between the market price a financial instrument and interest rate. This inverse relationship can be further plained by the concept of convexity, which focuses on the non-linear relationship tween the changes in a security's price and the changes in market interest rate: (6P-;- P) ,bank wants to immunise its portfolio. it can eliminate a positive (negative) leverageusted D-gap by allowing its asset portfolio's duration to decrease (increase) or its ility portfolio's duration to increase (decrease). In addition to applying Macaulay duration to determine the D-gap position of a itk, it can also be used to measure a financial instrument's price (or market value) nsitivity to interest rate change: 4 •5 rce: Rose & Hudgins (2010)4 DA ::c DL x D.= D Increase Positive .:;: 't'it.'ln1efus1Jatl!sJ)t0{J or me 1everaae-aa1ustea D-aac cosmo everage-aaJUSl8Q,D•gao~oot1tiOff~~~cS&·':? ,., v aDT,l:l Chapter 11 : The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective y2 Duration 1.1 0.1 (a) assetporttolio· _(b)·Jfliability•portfolio.• 1. Caltl.llatefh~ weighfod duration of LostWorldBa:nk's: Non°deposit borrowings \ .. Deposits Consumer loans Commercial loans lnvestmenFgraae Ta'lile 11 .10 EJcercise 3 .LostWorld Bank holds assets and liabilitieswhoseavera:ged1.1fatio11 a~'d ri1h afuounts artFstiown in Table 11.10. From Figure I LIO it is evident that the lower the convexity (the lower the curva in the price-interest rate relationship for a given asset/liability), the lower the volatility of the asset tends to be. For example, asset A in Figure I I. IO has a hi level of convexity than asset B, thus implying a greater systemic risk to which ass is exposed. This is because asset A has a higher curvature, implying that the chan in the price levels will be greater at a lower changing yield. Remember also that t convexity will increase with the duration or maturity of an asset, because the long, the duration the greater the exposure will be to interest rate movements. This impli that an asset with both a low duration and a low convexity will display relative small market risk exposure. 3.4 y1 r----------'-----::::::::= -,_____ Figure 11.10 Convexity and duration P3 p2 pl Price 310 :h 1 Although duration and D-gap techniques are straightforward to interpret, they still have certain limitations. First, because it is extremely difficult to find assets and liabilities that have the same duration, there is a higher probability that the duration gap is not equal to zero, suggesting that it is almost impossible to immunise a bank's portfolio fully. Second. there are always assets and liabilities consisting of cash flow patterns that are not well defined, thereby making it difficult to estimate the duration. Third, customer prepayments (whether irregular or early payment) distort the expected cash flows in the duration estimation. Fourth, if a customer defaults the expected cash flow is distorted in the duration estimation. Fifth, although the D-gap technique is considered to be a 'maturity measure', in truth maturity is not equal to the duration of a security or loan. For example, a financial instrument that is paying out gradually over time always has a smaller duration than its maturity. Finally, convexity can cause problems because the basic D-gap technique assumes that the yield curve will change by relatively small amounts and in parallel shifts (that is, a linear relationship where the long-term and short-term interest rates change by the same proportion over time). In reality thi.s is not the case. For instance, there can be major changes in interest rates, whilst different interest rates move at different speeds (ie a non-linear relationship). This implies that the accuracy of the basic D-gap technique will be reduced if the concept of convexity is ;chapter 11: The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective a The concept of economic value is important for measuring interest rate risk for Iri Equation 11.25. PV denotes the present value: AssetPCF is the principal c flows from assets; LiabilityPCF is the principal cash flows from liabilities; Asset the interest cash flows from assets; and Liability cF is the interest cash flows 1fr 1 liabilities. Looking at this equation, it may appear that the EVE is similar to the f; value of the banking book. where the fair value represents the actual value of t assets and liabiliti.es at current market rates that are used to consolidate the balari sheet. The difference, however. is that the EVE makes use of market interest rat without differentiating the risk associated with individual borrowers. This impli that the EVE will differ from the fair value of the assets by the value associated wit the credit risk of the individual borrowers. Also, the EVE is not e1quivalent to the value of total equity because it reflects the balance sheet as a portfolio of liabilities and assets that are only subject to interest rate risk. On the other hand. the fair value of share price depends on equity market parameter s and the various risks associated with it. 3 1 EVE= Economic value of assets - Economic value of liabilities = [PV (AssetrcF - LiabilityPCF)l + [PV (Assct,cF - Liability crl 11. 7 MANAGING THE ECONOMIC VALUE OF EQUITY (EVE) This section extends ALM manageme nt by discussing the EVE manag, technique. EVE measures the changes in the current shareholde r equity potential changes in interest rates. 11 It can be defined as the difference between expected cash flows on assets and the expected cash flows on liabilities. which discounted to reflect current market interest rates (hence, the EVE is also knowi the net present value approach). 3 •11 Remember that these cash flows include th of the original principal amount and the applicable interest rate. Therefore, the is calculated as follows: not incorporated into the use of the various D-gap techniques. 4 In closing, both the IS-gap and the D-gap techniques do not assess impact of interest rate risk exposure. Whereas the interest-sensitive gap te focuses only on the sensitivity of NIM due to interest rate changes over the term, the EVE technique provides more insight into the interest rate risk for both the intermedia te (two to five years) and long-term (more than five position of the bank. The EVE is. therefore, a useful compleme ntary technique' in addition to the D-gap. As such, EVE. sometimes referred to as equity determines the value of the bank in terms of today's market intere environme nt and the sensitivity of that value to changes in market interest ra does this by estimating the present value of cash flows from assets and lia' across the entire life of a bank's balance sheet. 10 This leads to the followings that will discuss the EVE managem ent technique as a tool to manage the imp interest rate movements on the value of assets and liabilities. 312 of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management· 313 In order to estimate the EVE sensitivity the following three steps mustbefol lowed: 12 1. Calculate the economic value using current interest rates. Remember that the economic value of the banking book (EVE) is the sum of the economic value of all the banking book items. Calculate the economic value under different interest rate scenarios. Each scenario should reflect all interest rate dependent factors, including changes in the amount and the timing of cash flows. In addition, each cash flow should be value. 13 ue to the complexity of estimating future cash flows of all instrumen ts (because of the many retail bank products that have indefinite maturities and uncertain cash flows), banks usually measure the EVE sensitivity rather than the absolute change in er of reasons. These are: t provides a measurem ent for economic performan ce in terms of the spread between the yield of assets and liabilities respectively, and market interest rates. For example. if a lower interest rate is paid on deposits compared to the market interest rate. the market value of the liabilities will be below face value. This results in a positive economic value. As the economic value increases. the spread between the bank interest rates and market interest rates also increases. thereby leading to an improvem ent in economic performance. 3 It captures interest rate risk that is usually obscured by accrual accounting . Whereas EVE sensitivity simulation s measure the interest rate risk created by reinvestment by applying a discount rate adequate for the time period until a cash flow occurs. accrual accountin g methods, on the other hand, treat cash flows as if repricing were taking place monthly. This implies that accrual accounting fails to provide any representa tion of potential reinvestm ent risk. It enables a bank to capture interest rate risk from all time periods and does not require any assumptio ns for new business or business scenarios. 12 It has the flexibility to reflect interest rate sensitivity over a wider range of interest rate scenarios and can be integrated with other managem ent information systems, such as required disclosures and hedge analysis. It allows the bank to generate a specific and understand able monetary value of interest rate risk exposure. It enables a bank to capture yield curve risk. option risk and basis risk in the capital calculation process. It allows a bank to evaluate its current position in terms of interest rate risk. This is achieved by assuming no future business, which in turn results in generating a measure much like a mark-to-m arket of a bank's current balance sheet that is able to provide a good basis for considerations of interest rate exposure. 12 Chapter 11: The Management ~. l ~ Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective EVE and the gap (repricing) anal ysis Gap (or repricing) analysis (sec Sect ion 11.5 ) generates only roug h estim ates for inter est rate risk sensitivity of both the econ omic value and earn ings . Gap analysis is stati c and compares rcpriceable assets with repriceable liabilities with in giver!. matu rity buckets (or periods). 5 The static gap in each matu rity bucket is multiplie by a sensitivity weighting factor that is based on the weighted dura tion of the liabilities and assets of the matu rity bucket unde r evaluation. The weighting factor applied in this estim ation acco unts roug hly for the time value of the cash flows . The sum of all the resulting weighting posit ions is then used to estimate the amo unt of • capital required for the estimated EVE sensitivity level, for the given hypo thetical inter est rate changes. 15 11.7.1 Alth ough the EVE is considered to be an effective com plem enta ry inter est measure, it has various weaknesses that should be addressed whe n mak ing the estimations. First, the economic valu e does not inco rpor ate non- inter est inc and overhead flows. Second, economic value estimates can be distorted by aver: matu rity assu mpti ons and earn ings volatility may increase whe n man agin g economic value sensitivity. Third, EVE ignores the impact of new business and t futur e portfolio changes. Fourth. altho ugh economic value sensitivity enab les bank to mea sure the volatility and size of interest rate risk exposure in all ti periods, it is incapable of providing the nece ssary insight into which periods pose risk. Fifth, due to the fact that the EVE requires assu mpti ons rega rding matu ri for products that have no cont ractu al maturity, increased controls and testing required, as assu mpti ons can be mod ified and changed, leading to diffe rent E simulation results. Sixth, EVE estim ates require accu rate assu mpti ons of volu chan ges that are caus ed by embedde d options. Finally, the use of a disc ount rate c intro duce additional mea sure men t com plications. These include: muc h unce rtai regarding which yield curv e to use: the relat ions hip between yield curves; the relat' chan ge between shor t-ter m and long -term inter est rates if mark et inter est ra change; and different results for the econ omic value can be generated from the u of yield curve smo othin g methods. It is, therefore, impo rtant to inco rpor ate mod risk in the estim ation of the bank 's econ omic value. 12 •14 By acknowledging these weaknesses in the estimation of the EVE, a bank ca provide more accu rate estimates for its long -term ALM policy. Having said this, i order to cond uct the three steps of EVE sensitivity, ALM man ager s mu acknowledge the different appr oach es available to estimate the EVE sensi tivity. Th' is the focus of the following sections. valued separately with an appr opria te disco unt rate for its tenor. 3. Subt ract the results of Step 1 from Step 2 to obta in the EVE sensitivity. EVE sensitivity for a specified interest rate shock exceeds approximately i its own funds, regu lator s will requ ire the bank to reduce its risk and/ or more additional capital. 314 EVE and the duration gap analysis 1 l 6[l:(w ;xyie ldont hei1h assetl] ' 1 + [~(w; x yield onthe i1h asset)] x MVA Equation 11.26 = (DA - D 1) x lli x proba bility Equation 11.27 EVE and the discount cash flow meth od This meth od start s by dete rmin ing the average matu rity of ea:ch item in the bank ing book. This is followed by dete rmin ing each item's inter est rate on the yield curve, with the use of bootstrapping tech niques. By doing this. it enables a bank to 11.7 .3 Equation 11. 2 7. DA is the weighted dura tion of the asse t portfolio; Dr, is the weighted dura tion of the liability portf olio; (DA - DL) is the dura tion gap (D-g ap): and is the chan ge in inter est rate scen ario that is simulated. A value-at-risk (VaR ) model can be used to estimate the probabili ty of the NPV being influenced by a different inter est rate scenario at a specific conf 3 idence lcvcl. This implies that a NPV -VaR model can be used to estimate the chan ge in EVE (or EVE sensitivity). l'INPV In Equation 11.2 6. w; is the rand amo unt of the i1h asset that is divided by the mark et value of total assets; and MVA is the mark et valu e of total assets. Rememb er also from the previous discussion that EVE can be regarded as the net pres ent valu e (NPV) of the bala nce sheet's cash flows. whe re the t.EVE == t.NPV. From this argu men t the D-gap analysis appr oach can also be repre sente d by the following equation: 3 l'IEVE = -(D-g a ) x p 'ation gap analysis (see Section 11.6 .) focuses on the price sensitivity of liabi lities assets ·to chan ges in inter est ratcs 5. and eventually the impa ct on EVE. Whe reas gap analysis (Section 11. 7 .1) uses the average dura tion weight of all positions in iven time bucket, the dura tion gap appr oach estimates the precise dura tion of h asset and liability, respectively. Rem ember that the EVE sensitivity will incre ase the dura tion increases. thus leading to high er inter est rate risk exposure whe n terest rates change. In orde r to dete rmin e the chan ge in the EVE with the D-gap alysis the following steps mus t be follo 3 15 wed: • Forecast the boun dary inter est rates (see Section 11.3 .5). Estimate the economic valu e (mar ket value) of each of the bank 's assets and liabilities. Calculate the Macaulay dura tion of each asset and liability separately. Calculate the weighted dura tion of the bank 's asset and liability portf olio, respectively. Calculate the D-gap. Calculate the sensitivity of the EVE (t.EV E), as follows: 7.2 Chapter 11: The Management of Intere st Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Mana gemel'it 315 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Under Basel II and Basel III banks are required to determine the potential a~ the bank's EVE if its banking book is subjected to a specific interest rate shock. If t decline in EVE (which is related to capital) exceeds 20%, the bank is considered to b an outlier and supervisors will require it to reduce its risk and/or increase its capital. Furthermore, when measuring interest rate risk, banks must express the decline irf economic value relative to the sum of Tier I and Tier II capital. This is done 11.7.5 EVE and Basel Banks can make use of different simulation techniques in order to possible effects of changing interest rates on earnings and the economic value three most common simulation approaches available entail the static, the dyn and the VaR approach that was mentioned in Section l 1. 7. 2. When calculation, made using only the cash flows arising from the bank's current on- and off-bala sheet items, it is referred to as a static stimulation. In this approach, the sensitivity can be determined by simulating the resulting cash flows ove estimated time horizon of the bank's holdings and discounting it back to t 15 present values. Dynamic simulations, on the other hand, incorporate assumpti regarding the future direction of interest rates and the expected changes in ab balance sheet over a specific estimated time period, These assumptions are applied to forecast expected cash flows and to estimate dynamic economic value 1 earning outcomes. s Dynamic simulations make use of models, like the Monte C simulation approach (Chapter 10), which possess the ability to generate seve hundred interest rate movement possibilities. 16 It also shows the interacti between interest rates and payment streams. 1S Finally, VaR models estimate the potential loss from unfavourable ma conditions over a given time horizon with a certain confidence level. 3 These mo have the advantage of being able to assign specific probabilities to given E outcomes. It can also be used to assess possible EVE volatility. In order to estimate t change in EVE with the use of VaR simulations, the following steps must be followed: 1. Discount all future cash flows that are associated with a bank's assets a liabilities. 2. Determine the NPV by summing all discounted cash flows. 3. Repeat Steps 1 and 2 for several hypothetical interest rate changes. 4. The differences in NPV (remember L'>EVE == L'>NPV) for the different interest scenarios reflect the interest rate exposure, 11.7.4 EVE and the simulation approach calculate the present value of the cash flows for each item in the banking bo sum of the present value of all cash flows of both the asset and liability por then determined to establish the present value of the entire banking bo implication, the trading book is ignored. This is followed by simulating different interest rate scenarios to determine the value of the banking book i respective scenario. Once these three scenarios are estimated, the second seen subtracted from both the first and third scenario in order to determine the cha the EVE (EVE sensitivity). 316 317 REFERENCES FNB (First National Bank). 2013. 'Lending rates.' https://www.fnb.co.za/rates/ lendingRates.html (Acessed 20 February 2013). Oracle Financial services. 2013. J\sset liability management: An overview.' http:// www.oracle.com/us/industries/financial-services/045 .5 81.pdf (Accessed 20 October 2012). Bessis, J. 2002. Risk Management in Banking. 2nd ed. New York: Wiley. Rose, PS & Hudgins, SC. 2010. Bank Management and Financial Services. 8th ed. Boston: McGraw-Hill. Koch, T W & Macdonald, S S. 2003. Bank Management. 5th ed. London: Dryden Press. Mohr, P & Fourie, L. 2008. Economics for South African Students. 4th ed. Pretoria: Van Schaik. 7. South African Reserve Bank. 2011. 'Quarterly bulletin: June 2011.' http://www. resbank.co.za/Lists/News%20and%20Publications/ Attachments/ 46 77 /Full%20 Ouarterly%20Bulletin%20-%20Tune%20201 l.pdf (Accessed 20 October 2012). 8. Issing, 0. 200.5. 'Communication, transparency, accountability: Monetary policy in the twenty-first century.' Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis review O5 8 7(March/ April): 65-83. 9. Siklos, P. L. 2000. 'Monetary policy transparency, public commentary, and market perceptions about monetary policy in Canada.' http:/ /www.bundesbank.de/ Redaktion/EN/Downloads/Publications/Discussion Paper 1/2000/2000 12 23 dim '08.pdf? blob=publicationFile (Accessed 20 September 2012). 10. Blaxall, H, Glueck, JL & Velligan, BA. 2008. 'Economic value of equity for community banks.' http://www.velliganblaxall.com/docs/eveOS.pdf (Accessed 20 November 2012). erest rate risk exposure can have significant consequences for a bank if it is not perly managed with an effective ALM framework. In order to comprehend the sible influences of interest rate exposure it is important to acknowledge the fact t interest rate risk can be divided into price risk, reinvestment risk and refinancing . In order to limit the possible exposure to these risks, bank management can adopt combination of three types of interest rate management techniques. The first chnique, called the interest-sensitive gap management technique, enables a bank to etermine the level of NIM sensitivity by evaluating the cash flows from assets and abilities. The second technique called the duration gap management technique 'Ompares the price sensitivity of a bank's total assets with the price sensitivity of its ta! liabilities to assess the impact of potential changes in interest rate on shareholder uity. The third technique, called the EVE, enables a bank to evaluate the long-term mpact of interest rate changes on shareholder equity. These techniques must be used within the parameters set in the ALCO process in order to ensure that the desired goals and objectives can be achieved that will enable the bank to overcome the gap between its actual performance and its desired performance. CONCLUSION lying standardised interest rate shocks. Banks must also ensure that they comply both the Pillar 2 and Pillar 3 requirements which address the measurement the reporting of interest rate risk. Chapter 11 : The Management of Interest Rate Risk: Asset-Liability Management --,·····~""""~~-"'~"'~·-==~-~,""3",•'<-"'."''" "·"'--''.""",""'~'~' .• , - - ~ ~ ~ ~ - 1 l. Payant, R. 2007. Economic value of equity-the essentials. FMS white paper. h www.almnetwork.com/stuff/economic value essentials.pdf (Accessed 20 November 2012. 12. De Waal, MM. 2007. Basel Tl economic value sensitivity: Worked exemplars a blueprint for ABSA implementation and validation. Masters study, North-We University, Potchefstroom. 13. Van Vuuren, G & Styger, P. 2006. 'Duration analysis in South Africa: The sear superior measures.' South African Journal of Economics 74(2): 266-293. 14. Bowers, TE. 2003. 'Extreme makeover: Reinvesting EVE.' IPS Sendero Newslett 1-4. 15. B[S (Bank for International Settlements). 2004. 'Principles for the managem and supervision of interest rate risk.' http:/ /www.bis.org/publ/bcbsl08.pdf (Accessed 28 January 2013 ). 16. APRA (Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority). 2006. 'Interest rate ris the banking book'. http:/ /www.apra.gov.au/adi/Documents/Draft-APG-l l 7rulf (Accessed 28 January 2013). 318 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective ancient times, merchants distributed their cargo among various boats in order to dge themselves against the possibility of losing all their goods. This primitive form f risk management has come a long way and has grown in sophistication as the nancial world started to come of age during the 16th century. Although risk anagement is clearly not a new concept, the field has changed a great deal since athematical advances in the 18th century first led to major changes in the way isk was managed. During the 19th century, the field of risk management benefited urther from advances in actuarial science. This progression also continued into the 0 th century, as stock markets developed and the public company grew into the ominant business form it is today. However, as markets grew in size, they also grew n complexity. In order to manage the risks that are associated with these ophisticated markets, risk management has had to evolve at the same rate. Today, the field of risk management is as complex as ever and has been driven predominantly by the growth of the derivatives market. As the derivatives market exploded after the year 2000, the risk management profession had trouble keeping up with the innovation in financial instruments. By 2011 the derivatives market far outstripped its physical counterparts, and at an estimated notional value of $1 200 trillion it was roughly 20 times the size of the world economy. As the world of derivatives grows bigger every year, and the universe of financial instruments expands, it has become increasingly important to manage financial risk, and even more so in the world of banking. INTRODUCTION reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain how banks use derivative instruments such as futures, options and interest rate swaps to manage risk explain the difference between a micro- and macro-hedge using derivative instruments calculate forward values explain how price risk can be hedged by using futures contracts explain how price risk can be hedged by using options contracts explain how interest rate risk can be hedged by using interest rate swaps describe the hedging process used by banks discuss alternative risk management tools used by banks such as letters of credit, securitisation and loan sales explain how banks use credit default swaps to hedge credit risk. 'irig)Risk in Banking Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective DERIVATIVE INSTRUMENTS Derivative instruments are instruments derived from underlying assets and value is also acquired from these assets. Because these instruments allow ma participants to hedge themselves against market risk. they play a vital. role in risk management process. However, in order to understand why deriva instruments are so important, it is necessary to distinguish between the ca physical and derivatives markets. The former can be described as the 'real' ma where buyers and sellers of financial instruments deal in the actual underly· assets. Examples of these instruments include company shares. government bon and commodities such as oil, gold and coffee. The latter consists of the market wh the future prices or values of these underlying instruments are traded. derivatives market closely follows the cash market because their value is deri from the underlying assets upon which they are traded. The instruments in t market consist of forward contracts, futures contracts, options, swaps and the Ii The derivatives market is further categorised into a regulated or exchange-trad market and an 'over-the-counter' (OTC) market. The derivatives traded on t regulated market are subject to standardisation, whereas the derivatives on the OT1 market are not. This means that the users of these instruments will be exposed t, other risks - the most important of which, counterparty risk, has become mor, prevalent since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007 /8. ln South Africa, SAFCOM (SAFEX Clearing Company) regulates the local exchange-traded instruments. This body consists of the major banks and acts as th clearing house for the South African Futures Exchange (SAFEX), with clearin members as the shareholders. SAFCOM is also responsible for compliance, surveillance and other exchange services. When positions are taken by market participants on SAFEX, SAFCOM requires both buyers and sellers to deposit an 12.2 In its most basic form, risk management can be described as the process of a such a way as to minimise risk. Although this is a very crude and simple defi it does capture the spirit of the very complex practice of risk managemen formally. risk management can be described as a process of identifyin analysing it, and then taking the appropriate action to mitigate the ris important to note that the more formal definition of risk management d include the avoidance of risk. Since wealth is stored in different forms. it is e •to different types of risk. Risk management is therefore always concerned wi weighing up of different risks and their effect on one's financial position. Alt it is important for a company to implement enterprise-wide based risk manage structures, it remains vitally important for banks to actively manage the pertaining to its financial assets. ln order to investigate the world of management more closely, it is important to look at the role of deriv instruments in the risk management process as these instruments are extensively by banks to manage risk. As such, the main focus of this chapter management of risk through the use of derivative instruments. It concludes brief look at other risk management instruments including letters of credit, sales and the process of securitisation. 320 321 'C instruments on the other hand carry counterparty risk. There is no clearing use to act as mediator betweericounterparties, leaving both counterparties exposed default risk. Although this is the case, OTC instruments are widely used in the arket to hedge a range of other financial risks. A good example of a widely used OTC strument is interest rate swaps which are typically used to hedge interest rate risk. Given the distinction between the cash market and the derivatives market, it ould be clear that cash market transactions are performed in real time and are for mediate delivery. Derivative market instruments on the other hand are performed n real time for delivery at some future date. The risk manager can therefore mitigate isk by acting either in the physical (cash market) or the derivatives market. In the hysical market, positions can be hedged by simply exiting the current position by elling the company shares, bonds or commodities for immediate delivery. When cting in the cash market, only current positions can be closed by selling the financial instrument. The risk manager is therefore only hedged against a loss that coincides with a depreciation in the value of the financial asset held in the portfolio. In the derivatives market. however, positions can be hedged in both directions. Here, the risk manager can hedge their portfolio by selling or buying a derivative instrument. This makes it possible for the risk manager to hedge against a loss that coincides with both an appreciation and depreciation of the underlying asset value of the portfolio. When derivatives are used to hedge the value of a portfolio of risky assets typically consisting of government bonds and other interest rate instruments such as loans - the risk manager can take either a long or short position on the derivatives market. When the portfolio's value declines because of a drop in interest rates (in the case of a home loan book for example), the risk manager will typically take a short position in the derivatives market. Where the portfolio's value declines because of an increase in interest rates (in the case of a bond portfolio for example), the risk manager will typically take a long position in the bond derivatives market. As such, there are various derivative instruments used by risk managers to hedge the financial risks that banks are exposed to on a daily basis. The following sections will the instruments used by risk managers to hedge these risks in the banking ·al margin to ensure that counterparty risk is eliminated. This deposit will then sed to compensate either party in the case where one of the parties defaults on position. In doing so, counterparty risk is eliminated from exchange-traded ative instruments. Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Exchange-traded derivatives Fut11res The futures market on the other hand works in the same way as the spot mark, with the exception that delivery of the product and payment for the product occu in the future. As mentioned earlier, futures contracts enable market participants to negotiate a price now for a future delivery date. Since the futures market and the spot market only differ in terms of the timing of the conclusion of the transaction, it is logical that the price of the futures contract be derived from the current price of 12.2.1.1.1 Futures-basicconcepts Before delving into the inner workings of the futures market, it is important able to distinguish between the spot and futures markets. The spot market (a called the cash market) is a market where transactions are settled immediately or not then at the earliest possible opportunity. A good example of this would be a caSI transaction for food and clothing. ln the South African bond market, a cash deal i one made now (day T + 0) for settlement in 3 days' time (T + 3), whilst equities ha.,. a settlement period of T + 5 days. A spot deal can thus be defined as a contrac between a buyer and seller that is agreed upon now for payment by the buyer and delivery by the seller in order to complete settlement of the deal at time T + 0. or as soon as possible. In many countries, South Africa included, futures contracts are divided financial futures and commodity futures. Financial futures typically in underlying assets such as interest rates (on bonds and bond indices), shares/cg (individual shares and equity indices) and currencies (for example on the USO exchange rate and currency indices). Commodity futures include contrac agricultural commodities, also known as soft commodities (for example, lives maize, coffee, etc) and future contracts on metals and energy (for example, platinum, crude oil, etc). Despite the fact that futures arc available on all different underlying assets, the principle mechanics remain the same - a Ji contract allows the holder to buy a specific quantity of the underlying asset predetermined quality in the future at a price determined in the present. This mli futures contracts ideal hedging instruments where the quality and quantity of! underlying asset can be predetermined. In order to fully understand how th instruments can be used to hedge, it is necessary to highlight some basic fi regarding futures contracts. 12.2.1.1 Options and futures are the two main types of instrument available to manager in SAFEX. As mentioned above, these instruments are regulated not incur any form of counterparty risk. This makes exchange-traded de ideal for hedging various risks, including their exposure to changes in sh commodity prices. This in turn makes futures and options a handy tool for h: the bulk of the risk a bank faces because of changes in asset prices. 12.2.1 world. These instruments are further categorised into exchange-traded deri and OTC derivatives. 322 323 12.2.1.1.3 Hedging with futures Having covered the basic concepts, we can look at the process of hedging by using futures contracts. When hedging with futures contracts it is possible to hedge price risk regardless of the direction in which prices move. Say, for example, a risk manager would like to acquire bonds in 60 days· time. Should interest rates drop over the following 60 days, the risk manager will acquire the bonds at a higher price in the future. In order to avoid the effect of the price increase, a Iona futures position can be taken. This means that the risk manager should buy (fJO long) ajiitures contract in order to hedye against an increase in bond prices due to falliny interest rates. As the price of bonds goes up. a positive variation margin will accumulate on the risk :manager's margin account. If the bond price increased after the 60 days, the risk manager would have accumulated the difference in price on their margin account. Once the bonds are bought, the futures contracts are sold with the positive margin making up for the increased price paid on the underlying bonds. 1.2 Margining and mark-to-market rder for both the buyer and the seller to transact on the futures exchange, 3X requires that both parties pay a good faith deposit, referred to as the margin sit or initial margin. As a rule of thumb, this margin is usually set between 5°/4, 8% of the contract value. The value of the initial margin is however more urately calculated to cover a possible 'one day loss' for the buyer or the seller. The of this possible loss is determined by considering the biggest one-day change in e price of the underlying asset over the past few years. It is clear that this deposit JI be retained in the case where either party is unable to fulfil their commitments ould the market move against them. A second type of margin, often referred to as variation margin, is required ere the market has moved against a position during the day. In order to determine e flows between the buyer and the seller. each contract is marked-to-market 'M) every day. This means that at a specific point in time (usually at the end of e trading day) each contract is valued. This process ensures that neither the buyer or the seller accumulates losses too big to pay back. Profits and losses are thus oved every day in order to ensure that the exchange remains able to guarantee the itigation of counterparty risk. For example, if the holder makes a profit, a credit try is made to the margin account and if a loss is incurred, the amount is debited n the holder's account. If the holder makes a loss that they will be unable to pay, AFEX will 'close out' the member's position. This entails SAFEX taking on an ffsetting contract on behalf of the member. lf the loss incurred is greater than the variation margin, the member's loss will be deducted from the initial margin account and the balance paid out to the member. nderlying asset. The difference between the spot price and the futures price is fore the cost of carrying the asset for the holding period up until the time of ry. Since these transactions are only concluded in the future, both parties need mmit to the transaction at the present time. The following section will discuss rocedure for taking in such a futures position. Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective e ~ ...J 0 en en g -30 -20 -10 10 20 nJO 30 - o~ 08 en en g -30 -20 -10 0 1po 104 108 0 0 C 112 ~ F't.it1..1res price fi:kedat RHB Price of the underlying asset Figure 12.2 Short futures position pay-off diagram Q. e"" ...J 10 20 30 D o-,--.8 Price of the underlying asset o~ Figure 12.1 Long futures position pay-off diagram Q. 0 ---- Alternatively, if the risk manager decided lo keep the bonds for, say, 25 da selling them, they can short-sell futures contracts in order to hedge the bond against a drop in bond prices. If the bond price does drop, the short futures will accumulate positive margin flows to offset the loss in value on the bond Once the bond position is liquidated, the risk manager will buy back the contracts, keeping the positive margin in the margin account which will co for the loss on the bond portfolio. The following example of the payoff diag long and short futures positions will clarify how futures can be used for purposes. Figure 12.1 below illustrates the pay-off diagram of a long futures and Figure 12.2 illustrates the pay-off diagram of a short futures position. 324 325 markets. king use of futures contracts' in this manner is known as rnicrohedging. When erforming a microhedge, the risk manager attempts to hedge a portfolio of generic ssets against some market movement. Macrohedging on the other hand, onstitutes a hedging position that takes a portfolio view and allows for individual sset and liability interest sensitivities or durations to cancel each other out. When edging a portfolio on the macro-level there is also another issue to be considered, amely basis risk. Spot bonds and futures on these bonds are traded in different arkets. The change in yields may therefore affect the values of the on-balanceheet cash portfolio differently from the shift in yields affecting the value of the underlying bond in the futures contract. This causes the movement in the spot and the futures markets to be misaligned, causing basis risk. For now, we will investigate macrohedging by means of an example where basis risk is assumed to be zero so there is perfect alignment between changes in the prices of the spot and futures res above illustrate two sides of the same position. A market participant lieves that prices will go up will enter into a long futures position at RJ 18. ely, a market participant with the opposite view will enter into a short futures at R118. Should the price of the underlying asset rise, the long holder of the contract will earn a profit (gain) on their futures position while the short 'will incur a loss (lose) equal to the profit of the long holder. This is why market ipants refer to these contracts as a zero-sum game (one party wins what the ite party loses). However, if the underlying asset price decreases below R118 the ite will happen - the short holder will make a pro lit while the long holder of the s contract will make a loss. In South Africa, SAFCOM acts as the counterparty oth the long holder and the short holder of the futures contract. This means that OM will debit the loser's account and credit the winner's account. Let us look Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking - - - - - - - - ~ - ~ ~ ii>. ft Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective ff 1 1 •.• - +I P 51 +R =_ 1-o/x\E:X 1 : ai~t,1 f >--•-- • X AX T+7 = -OF C/•·-• •A; X : Ai >X> PF) X 1+i (NF 5-"'3'"~.'- -~-"'-~1 1- ,. .0,J!O-."'J~- - _-,,,,,,;,_ _ ~ - - . ~.Y> =.. _->..¼ ~ - • : i6;.:-kDL] xA = Dj, x(NFXPF) ~---\/?>- -_- ...-< . • •• •= -- , ~ , - = ~ > ~ " " - • · • V . Y . Y>ll"Yl\''lffll' . .......-,~. By:~~ritelflngi';"'i. on both sides of the ~uation: :-[DA- kDd : 0 _- 5---·-••=<f.j - " " " " " " • · A <fa. •·••oo·•··•·• _y -•~~~,m, _,,nnz. .c J~a"\abiJ.to c:alculatethe gJir(onthefutG~fs BbrttdliC> Now on thebond p~rtfolio;it is possible to calculatethe.numberof_f~turescortlfa'eis needed to fully hedge the bond portfolio against a change in interest rates. It is important that the /osson the bond portfolio musfbe offset bY!~e ga1n·on the future5portfol/o::This is the essence of a hedge ~-}~at; is, a fiedg~ is not'.d~he make~ profit per se;'.a hedge is done to preventa loss;Jherefore;.it is logican we set by calculating the following: m~tYJe t.Fse:...oFx(NF x PF) x 1"'.:; we' c~r'! therEifdte rewrite the formula as: and PF is the price ofeach contrar.tl In Equation 12;3,'i= =NF>< PF LiF ln'brderfo ditulate tliefand value abovecanbe+nanipolated asfollows: 1 ; i , i lh EquationJ2:2: 6F = change in the rand value of the futures contracts F = rand value of the initial futures contracts t?,;=durati~?~f!~~ bond to be deliV!!red agaihsftHtifotoftis >.... .hi+1. shock_'to int_erest rates Fi. ·••yt,r=,t:...6/Q''itlR O~ciit1s cti~r.~haf!#~to;sible loss· £iir;~~~i-a change·[?~~?li~tete. import~ltttoc~lcuiafoJhe,c~mber of fofurescorytracts· heededtohedge· In ordert_o a6~ieve J~_is,Jhe risk rnanag~r must ~~tp~lc:ul~te futures ccontr~·8t:tot~~ duration of the bond ·portfolio>This cal\be means of therfoli6Wing formula: •• iiNW= c:ffange in6ortfoHOTlet worth! :o,{=duration of the asset portfolio (D1..tdurationof the liability .Portfolio \k :aratio ?!}he li~bilities to.assets (liA) =_size of~~ifas~et portfolio t,; : = shocltto irtterest rates rri1::~Uii.hOri1~.'.f: • :tiN\V= ...r~l\ti63x Pi11i ,y ;fli16rcier_t8·calcuf~te .the sit~ of the ~l<~6su~it~· be _ hed§e~i;ri~ riiimberot.r~tiires heeded to hedge ~+t isprs!;r~essary t9fa1egr~t~ adjusted duration gap as well as the Size.of lhifassets hedged by iim fono~rngJor,~u.ia.: 326 ~~ ·-·=- -~ .?< -•--•-· .. .- _,..,.,-=~~=-=·•··/''" is possible for banks to lose money regardless of whether or not interest rates p or down, the risk manager will have to take the appropriate position. If they to buy bonds in the future, the risk is that interest rates might fall and that bond es will increase and expose the risk manager to future price risk. If the bank ady owns bonds, the risk is that interest rates might rise, causing bond prices to . In the former instance, the risk manager will take a long futures position, and in latter case, a short futures position. Let us look at an example of a short hedge. When comparin g this calculatio n (considering basis risk) with the prev calculatio n where basis risk was assumed to be O (Equation 12. 7). it is clear that t ought to be a sizeable discrepancy in the amount of futures needed for the hedge illustrate this, let us look at an example where basis risk is taken into considera ti NF (D, - kD,)A 0 1, x P, x br In the equation above, ip is the interest rate on the futures position. When incorpora . basis risk into Equation 12. 7, the risk-minimising number of futures contracts be calculated as follows: /Jr = lli -e- (1 + i) lli, -e- (1 + i,) Now that we have a better understa nding of the hedging process, it is pos drop the assumpti on of zero basis risk. In reality. because spot and futures are not fully aligned, a risk manager would specifically have to consider thi performing a hedge. The cause of basis risk is also intuitively logical. Sit underlyin g portfolio being hedged comprises different. assets with different te· maturity and different durations , it is impossible to fully hedge this position futures contract on only one of the underlying assets. In order to discover the risk-minimising number of futures contracts to against a change in interest rates - while accountin g for basis risk - we ca assume that Equations 12.l and 12.4 should be equal, thus setting Howe order to compens ate for the 'sensitivity' of the change in the futures price b of a movement in the spot price - basis risk (br) - it is necessary to factor br in equation. Basis risk can be explained as follows: 329 Equation 12.11 61,) Equation 12.12 ;his means it is also possible to use~ as a hedge ratio that minimises discrepancies between :he changes in the spot price and the changes in the futures price. A greater covarianc e ,etween spot and futures prices and a smaller variance of futures prices will lead to a ~ reater than 1. A 13 less than l would be caused by a smaller covariance between spot nd futures prices and a greater variance of futures prices, and also indicates that: futures prices will be more sensitive than changes in the spot price. Conversely. a ~ greater than 1 indicates that futures prices will be less sensitive than changes in the spot price. Let us look at an example of hedging a currency portfolio by means of the hedge ratio. var(6f, 1 cov(L'.SI. Equation 12 .11. µ.tis the residual at time (t - the difference between the estimated lue and the real value) and~ is the slope of the line of best fit through the historical anges in the spot price and the futures price. However, ~ can also be expressed as: llS, = o. + (:lt;J, + µ,, ould be clear that using Equation 12.10 would be impossible at time t, because futures price must still be realised in the future. It is therefore necessary to ate the change in both the spot price and the futures price in order to arrive at correct hedging ratio. This is achieved by plotting historical changes in the spot e and the futures price, and then plotting a straight line through the observati ons t would minimise the sum of squared deviations between the estimated values at e t and the real values at time t. This line of best fit can be expressed as: Equation 12.10 ismatch between the spot market and the futures market also occurs in other .classes. Since banks also have some exposure to assets such as shares, ncies and commodities. it is importan t to calculate the sensitivity of these es markets based on their underlyin g spot market movements. So instead of ]ating basis risk as a function of interest rates, the sensitivity of futures .tacts on these spot price movements are calculate d by means of the hedge ratio \culation of basis risk where the underlyin g asset is not an interest rate ument. This ratio can be calculate d as follows: Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking :v. Ra11tfamouhfct1ange in the tiliures'.pflce > Corittacts neede~'(!$!~~om6~t=2120 contracts at· divide it by lhe size ofthefutures contract (tfie contract si:ieOfr SAFEX 1h6~~,r~o··hedgeiiisi<cha11gefate·risk,Yi~t1Rif~i'~&iil~~larri6llht ;;,$212 milfjciri x ($0, 1080 ~ $0, 1100) i:<L$424. 000 Loss= Nominat'!ifiourifx(S1,. 1bS,) fhtiJssible loss f6':~tanciBkr11<heck1Jiibfthe depreciatic5116t't11~ calculated as follows: 1~.3 Equal ~6rithlfch~rige$ihthe change-of spot priJ;~tJ, future'?prices 6f an asset -~-~- Profifo11 futures {Iffi~ihkans:fhat the..i~~Ji$424···0()6(~je54,. 545;45 - zshcift§ellinef 2 120 ~IJ~:"?t;tt1tures.co~tracts: The loss ctnefefore be complet~lyfedged bythefl.11:Ui'es position. • fulufMpcrsition can-He calculated as j ;:.:a <••.~51xfO R2 = 1JJO ·,., h.>.-.W~.•······"""'-· ,1/,.\\~ ... o:off.,c.,_·---~'-r~----'----.--~----.-------.--- a::ii b.16 ~ 'O 0:20 ·c t<< 6 0;30 u '0:'40; J:::. :·_:_::<·;:-/:.:.:·" • (U 'a, :, ,. .£ ;Jtflfo •·.g, ;6:50 <,, . 1? "' --<?:•:-:'··::··~, 07.0· g_ ffao, .~ {?61> ·g_ 0:90 1 f~tre~cy futures c.o~tr~crwm change to R.9. (ot,~OtJ ?:i5/~Joye f~~\i,~veitment.~itwou.ld .make it possi?l~}O p~~~ft'Yibedge .theJ currency position;!linceJl = 1. See Figurel2.3 below; ~s.1~ ~~~~ge in . the corr,~~cy futures niar~etover.the last }2 m~ciths, 311,i»"e ass~me ttiaflh!n:harige inthe~potcurrency mark:!.~a:~f€ 330 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective y_,_,._~ '··<-·---··: •••• _e.:c. •• + __ ,~~-•--~-••"' 1 _....,__,_ .s~=~--="''~"'' •-~~,,.;:.-_,. _,, ·"' : > ·""'"""""""->-=-~~ --~-.:n~,s:. ..:··•... ~:=•.::= '~ hedge,il:{ff6?J!!~~~~'§§i6i~/n theo . . 98 tMitJn,i~l~~~t;~s~,~~~s: the·" mount:"~?~~~~ftip!e;i~!~t~~§~me .ti theline~fci'tahgeof$0;1035as beta ,._-_,,., ___ ,. ..."~·------' ___ .. · ~ .... --,.,,~,. ~. ,__,~y>.v .>V ~•""'·· Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-ba sed perspective Options I Sharl I= I Long Sell a call Buy a put Sell a put ~w,,_;,_r==•==-=~~~- I Long Buy a call Oouon oosmo I Fall Rise I Fall Rise IFall Rise Fall ....... Unlimited loss Gain of the option premium Unlimited profit Loss of Option premium Unlimited loss Loss ot option premium Before exploring the use of options as hedgi ng instru ments . it is esse" under stand what options contra cts are and how they work. An option is contr act that gives the holder the right to perform some kind of fl transa ction. As with any other transa ction, there are buyers and sellers of The buyers will buy the right, while the seller or writer of the option will right to perform a financial transa ction in the future. The chara cteris tics partic ular option will determ ine when the holde r may perform the transa c the option is classified as European style, then the option can only be exercised end of its lifetime; if the option is classified as Ameri can style, then the option exercised at any time in the future up until the end of the option's lifetime. Options are furthe r divided into two types, namel y call options and put o A call option gives the holder or buyer the right, witho ut any obligation, to specified quant ity and quality of a specific under lying asset in the future for agreed on in the present. A put option on the other hand gives the holder or the right, witho ut any obligation, to sell a specif ied quant ity and qualit y of as' underlying asset in the future for a price agreed on in the present. 3 This future agreed upon is called the strike price. In order to achieve a long position by using option contracts, one o positions can be taken: buyin g a call option (takin g a long position) or selling option (taking a short position). Similarly. a short position can be achieved by a call option (takin g a short position) or buyin g a put option (taking a long posi Option contra cts can thus be used to hedge either an increase or a decrease i underlying asset's value. This can be accomplishe d by going long or going sho the option position. 12.2.1 .2 As menti oned earlier. using futures contra cts is one of the exchang, instru ments a risk mana ger can use to hedge their position. The othel excha nge traded instru ment is the option contra ct. The next section will c workings of option contra cts and how they can be used to hedge price risk. 332 333 ATM ITM is equal 10 the strike price is less than the strike price Long position: buying a call option OTM OTM is less than the strike price is greater than the strike price ITM ATM is equal to the strike price ''':;Result: !TM.AT M or:,c>TM is greater than the slrike price ,!'iice;o(thliJi~lfertyingasset 104 108 116 124 Price of the underlying asset at maturity 112 ~llm ~~~~Ji;fj ' :\ 'h\11..'<i ~ -~ 0 ~~J1~~i~~0J~;;~,, .,. ~ ~," II~ i 't •: .\lt i~"',.~\" '\[\ft•' '(',rt~~~; \)) 4 Figure 12.5 Long call option pay-o ff diagra m -15 -10 -5 0 1to 5 10 15 128 132 gure 12.5 shows how a long call position can be used to hedge the risk mana ger's rchase of gover nmen t bonds in the future again st a loss because of rising bond ices. In Figure 12.5, the pay-off diagra m for a long call position on bond futures y the R157 - shows that the risk mana ger's positi on will be hedged from a bond ice of above Rl 10. However, between Rl 10 and Rl20 they will only minimise the tion cost. Once the bond price increases beyond Rl20 , the option position will be 'M. If the option expires below Rl20 , the option will expire OTM and the risk an ager will lose the whole option premi um or a part of it. 20 .2.1.2. 1 1l1Mo rO ions are also either 'in the money' (ITM), 'at the money' (ATM) or 'out of the ney' (OTM) depending on the spot price of the under lying asset and the future e agreed upon in the contra ct. Table 12.2 illustr ates under which circum stance s sand puts would be ITM. ATM or OTM. Chapt er 12: Managing Risk in Banking Long position: selling a put option .:. +.1/Y\0,Y.-*.S«½f;ms.;p__ ., ___ />.= Risk managers will not enter into short put positions without also holding othe options otherwise they would be exposed to greater risk with a limited profi opportunity. Figure 12.6 below shows how a short put position will leave the marke 12.2.1.2.2 Once the contract expires ITM, the seller of the call option will make delivery oft underlying bond, and the buyer of the call option will make payment for the ban RllO 000 in thi~ case. If the bond price has been increased to Rl20 by this ti the risk manager would be hedged at R.l l 0, since they are only liable for contract price. ff the R 15 7 trades at RlO0 by the end of the contract, the opti would have expired worthless, but they are still able to purchase the bond on t cash market at RlOO 000 (that is Rl00 x RlO0 000 nominal contract amount). Although a call option can be used against the reduction in the value of portfolio, it is also possible to hedge against rising prices by selling a put optio There is, however, a cap on the amount of money that can be made on the selling' a put option, and the only way to overcome this cap would be to increase t exposure being hedged by selling more put contracts. This is not advisable as hedging strategy on its own, but it is normally combined with other option positio as part of a hedging strategy. We will now look at the implications of a short p position. ; OTM. This Will be a loss dhthevanati0n margin acedunt; and \f_paicHo the Sell!'lfoHMfalfoptiOn; • >manager would have lost the full bption premium arid ·tfi!'l opti ,sR6rltiitfie pric~'~fR1~7bonds dosebn ~109,528$ aia6ti6ht!*pi ~?t?f J;The·risk maii~ger purchased .th~talFppfion o~. onaR1str~~l'e§?~il!i~ft-f~. (Rlo .;. 100) X R100O00 {nomimilco~tract amount) : H1 ff000!t~~t11R:.P[ibe {Rl 10. If the R157traded atR1 lQ,2250 by.optiorHixpify, thep~llpption\1/duid · <been valued at (Fl110,2250 + 100))(~1o0ooo =R11022$'•"-••- .."- • \tutu res contract)/This would leave the risk mariag!t Y;'itlf ' \'- Rl 10,000 :,i R2~5.111is MTM profit is~lso knovm as ti ·.Remember, alth6?gh the position was cl?.sed at.a~.·.~r~ptbfit,lhe not make a profit[?" the· hedged position;.~ftet ~.~.~~;Ii,.~9 t~e.?~~i?~~t' P~;.~!~:~i.s r1!~2sm~I R10 000./the ris~1r,anager is .still H9 77s ma~agi!'t:;was.;p~lt~ble···to recover • R22s P!.PPtio~§'?~t~;.>A.s·•a result;.the WOUid only shdw;a net.profit beyond a bond price ofR120, bonds to the risk manager (buyer of the bonds and holder of the call) at the strik, of R110 once they have exercised the call option at expiry. For every day betwe present day and the end of the contract, there will only be a cash settlement b the parties in the contract as the value of the bond changes on a daily basi following scenario gives an example of how the risk manager's position would for different values of the government R 15 7 bond at expiry. It should be clear that the writer of this call option is legally obliged to deliv, 334 Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking 335 ◄ fU... 10 . V •~- ~ .. Strike pric~;;,;pnderlying asset price}:ltR124 ~ •~- Price of the underlying asset at maturity ◄M 7 0 ~ y.,._, · - • ~ " ~ - ~ ~-~'"·"""'"""" __ .-·,_n_.,__,,>--<><•-.<--·-·'-·-<-=- -~"""""'--~" ~}riii'~~~~ger so1a 11W'W!ii!1!~~faJ?t86 futures contrietfol'(R10+jo0}f • 00-0cf(rtriTinal eontrat:!;~lll~t1~t) e:f!tppooat a strike price?fi~124.Jnlhe ...., te!~~/J186ht>ndS!ta~~d1!!f!1,g~.2~31f'.i~n the day otop!l~1expiry,theptrt ~llt~a~.e\~i<pired at,~ y.'0~'1!~~~£l~;it!1f~r,t~~J1olde.r . of;thEi•f!u;;:and the risk - e~v;,111 ;~~ap t:h~i!'ntifo~ptiomet:~i~'!!-p','.1\o'.boo,,shdold !h~price ,of.,R186 .n~~.?e~.1.J~iltoptionaxpiry>ittt~tiS~tm~~ager;~duld give UP .•.~~poo .of the ,ti?~premiurrithr6ugh a·negat1v~l'fl~rgi~.~ow,'th1s··1oss·on they~ri~tion margin count will blpaid overtothesellerottheput option 0Verthe lifeifime•of the should be clear from Figure 12.6 that the risk manager, as the writer of this articular put option, is legally obliged to take delivery of the bonds from the ounterparty or seller of the bonds at the strike price of R124 once the counterparty the holder of the put) exercises their put option at expiry. The following scenario ives an example of these nows. igure 12.6 Short put option pay-off diagram -20 'J ~s 1 0 at 5 icipant in a long position. Remember, a long position will make money in rising kets and lose money in falling markets. In Figure 12.6, the pay-off diagram for a t put position on, for example, Rl86 bond futures at expiry indicates that the r of the put option will keep the option premium for bond prices equal to or ter than Rl24. However, between Rl24 and Rl 14 they will only keep a fraction e option premium. Once the bond price decreases to levels below Rl 14, the ion position will register a loss. - .. n ...,mtm\1··;; .,,,,..,.,%A,,··,. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Short position: buying a put option -15 -10 -5 1~0 0 5 104 108 Breakeven = Underlying strikeprice ..;Option premi0m (Rl'14) 120 1N Price of the underlying asset at maturity Figure 12.7 Long put option pay-off diagram a.. e :;:, ..J 0 U) U) g 10 15 20 128 Buying a put option gives the risk manager the right to sell bonds at a specific in the future. This makes put options on bond futures a very effective hedging against increasing interest rates (falling bond prices). Figure l 2. 7 illustrates h long put position can be used to hedge the risk manager's actions against a dr, government bond prices. From Figure J 2. 7 it is clear that the risk mana position will be hedged from a bond price of below Rl24. The position will however show a profit on the margin account between Rl24 and Rll4, since option cost of RIO must first be reduced. Once the bond price decreases past RL the option position will be in profit. If however, the option expires above Rl24, option will expire OTM and the risk manager will lose the whole option premium .. 12.2.1.2. 3 Once the contract expires, the risk manager or seller of the put option wi forced to take delivery of the underlying bond if the option expired below R Since the buyer of the put option has the option to sell the underlying bonds, will do so if the option is ITM. If the option expired OTM, the option buyer wil exercise their option but rather sell the bond in the cash market for more tha strike price. The risk manager might also be in the position where they are required to short position in order to hedge against falling prices. When hedging agai increase in the interest rate for example, bond prices will drop, causing the va a bond portfolio to drop. In order to hedge against this drop in prices, the manager can take one of two positions: buying a put (long put) or selling a (short call). We will first look at the long put position. 336 12.2.1.2.4 Short position: selling a call option As was the case with the short put, the short call will once again put an obligation On the risk manager. These short positions will always be accompanied by other option positions in order to prevent unlimited losses. Figure 12.8 illustrates how a ,short call position can be used to hedge the risk manager against a drop in government bond prices. From Figure 12.8 it is evident that the risk manager's position will be hedged from a bond price of below RJ 10. Although a bond price of 'less than RllO will benefit the risk manager (option seller), it will not constitute a perfect hedge on its own. For bond prices greater than RllO, the risk manager will bank the full option premium as a profit. As the price increases past RllO however, the risk manager will keep less of that profit until the underlying bond price exceeds Rl20. Once the bond price increases above Rl 20, the risk manager will have to pay a variation margin on the short call position. brice the contract expires ITM, the seller of the put option will take delivery of the nderlying bond, and the risk manager will sell the bond for the contract price of 124 000 (Rl24 x RlOO 000 nominal contract amount). The other way options an be applied to hedge against a drop in bond prices is by selling a call option. As is the case with selling put options, this will not give the risk manager a "omplete hedge if the hedging portfolio consists of only short calls. The short calls ill be combined with other options to form part of a greater hedging strategy. In order to understand the implications of a short call, we will examine the payoff iambut Willbe al51e:tcfSell'theirR186 bondS'fn;the cashmarkerto rthls tHian°Rl24al o'ptl6rf~Xplry;'therisk r'h·anag~t''VJOUid·•halJe'•iost!heJull R}go J ;;f1iik'rria~~~kiriuf~h~;~ait11Jit;t1tf6pti6f16~'&n~Af~~'iatures·contf~atte>i •••• ·- 1).~/~}00 ,o~gJryolj1fltaJcontra6t~rn~u~t),:C'.~1~~llO,at astrike~ti~e.:.of /?t86.trl!idfl~ ;'afl'{t20'/'125.4 by6pUon .exp fry/ thia put option ),\>()?Id ,have y~f~~d ~!{R129JJ8~4 tlfQO}ii}-~'foo 000{"' Rj2OJ 25J~o: Thiswool~;leave the 2~,~~ ~f~.~\8t~;~O>Sinciay~e ··aryatier,'lllt~la P,ftl~!o~tR12,4{~~0f .R1O;,000;~1~ejposl!iori1stun '1osiri9J'l'6';125;45J~[pe posltibn Vlt>~ld'tinly pf6!itjor,~o~d :pr]~~s,towert~an'flj 14:t:St,ffui1:il~e price of Rt8o,bonds' • the holder of the put, the risk manager will have the choice to exercise the option e it is ITM. The seller or writer of the put will however be legally obliged to take ivery of the bonds from the risk manager (seller of the bonds) at the strike price ·Rl 24 once the risk manager exercises their put option at expiry. The following nario gives an example of how the risk manager's position would differ for rent values of the R 186 at expiry. Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking 337 l I' i' ~ I· i, i ! ¾ ! ,1! i ~ 2 - o -15 -10 -5 0 1~0 5 104 112 ' ~ 1?0 ··5 "-. l'l~ Price of the underlying asset at maturity Strike pl"ii:e f: Undertying .;assetpric eat R110 108 10-r-------~ 15 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 128 ~~~~ . From these examples on the possible option positions. it should be evident options can be used to great effoct for both an increase and a decrease in as prices. When hedging, however, risk managers will always combine short opti positions with other option positions in order to prevent the occurrenc e unlimited losses. o,f 07n ?! ~Ippoq. ari~.¥i• The risk manager sold a call option ona R157.f~hJt~sConfrac!.1&(~10/f1o R100 000 (nomi~al contract amount) >= ~}{){)00 at ~ strike price ~11'9·tlft .R157 traded at 'f'.t108;50 by option expiry; t~e canoptio,nwould ~~Ve b:en<:.f ) the risk rnanager1N0Uld be able to·keep thetun.o,pt'.O~J)~err,furr, i?f >However, .if the R.157 ~raded at R123,5568 .the caUppti?n would.~: 1~. R123 556;80.Jh :risk manager .would b:.calledia t}~~ e7? of.f~:,t:~ fo sellf bonds .t()the hol~.er ofJhe call option for R110 a9q/th.~s kising ~~t opportunity of.~aking R13 556,80;Jf the{iskrna n~g:rpid not ~13yea~fJ they would have to buy those bonds for the spotp;~cee f l=ll23 5-5-6,~9•}~efef:J realisinif.a loss R13 556,80. Since the fisk man~~erteceived an option R10000,cthe loss on the transaction is only R3 556,80, As the seller or writer of the call, the risk manager will be legally obliged to delivery of the bonds to the counterpa rty or buyer of the bonds at the strike pric Rl 10 once the buyer of the call exercises the option at expiry. The following seen gives an example of how the risk manager's position would differ for different val of the R.15 7 at expiry. Figure 12.8 Short call option pay-off diagram Cl. e ta= s 0 ,,,,,, g 338 .i~the rate IL) l ·••.l·F•·.·jf;,,[ 1 :,~(ire +(ir5 "x Isl 1 • • 'tlielf'R ootratero according to their needs. From this description it is possible to define a forward contract as a contract that obliges the seller of an underlying asset to make delivery in the future, and the buyer of the underlying asset to take delivery in the future, of an agreed quality and quantity of that asset at a price agreed upon now. This goes some way to explaining why forwards are such popular hedging tools. In order to understan d how forwards are applied in hedging uncertain future outcomes, we will look at an example of such a hedge on an interest rate contract. Before giving an example of a forward transaction , it is necessary to understan d the implied forward rate (TFR). !though the majority of forward contracts are based on foreign exchange currency-related) transactio ns, forwards are also available on interest rate Instrumen ts and commodities - that is, all assets to which banks have exposure. Just like spot and futures transaction s, forward transactio ns arc also made at a price agreed upon now (T + 0). However, for forward transaction s, the settlement date can be anything from a week to months in the future because these transactio ns are not regulated by an exchange, and the settlement date is fixed by the counterpa rties Forward contracts e major difference between OTC derivatives and exchange- traded derivatives is fact that the former carry counterpa rty risk. There is thus no formal exchange nsure that both parties honour their part of the transactio n. OTC derivatives differ from exchange- traded derivatives in that they are not standardis ed. The nterparties to the transactio n are free to change the quality, quantity, price, terest rate, spread and a range of other variables to suit their specific needs. This ait makes OTC derivatives attractive to banks and large enterprises that borrow m banks, explaining why OTC remains the biggest derivatives market. The main OTC derivatives utilised by banks are forward transactio ns and swaps. 'orward transactio ns (or forwards as they are known in the marketplace) work on e same principles as futures contracts, while swap contracts allow two or more unterparti es to exchange specific cash flows periodically in the future based on ecified spot prices or interest rates. But let us first have a closer look at forward hough exchange-traded derivatives offer banks and other market participan ts the rtunity to hedge their market risk exposures free of counterpa rty risk, the rity of hedging instrumen ts are not made up of exchange-traded products. Most ing instrumen ts used by banks operate on the OTC market. The next section will er the OTC derivatives most commonly employed by banks to hedge their risks. """aina Risk in BanKtna ? ··).J .. ·i·ty·.· 1 x _:,"?7",>v_y_,,.,,..,,...c. __,_-7_,,_,._q ½? .. : . __.,;,,,,,._~: •·· .. V. - " ~ ½ 0 ¼ - 1 ( IL - 1 '''"" [!3.578431] '""== = X ...· ..6..·.........5·•.·•.·5 ...•.·.• . .3.·•· .... ·•·•·.· ... •·.r •.··•··•.1·.··•.·...·..·.·•·.·..••...·.•··.••.•.•··...••.·• ++ (ir 5 Xt~ fJ•·.·1·.·.•.· ·. •.· ·.• .•.•. (irl = 7,9'Cl96o/ci3q; 1 =-! > J. i:3as . l ·r, + (o:oaf~ . ~-;~:11 i•···•·.·<r 1 ; +(0.04~:~~) -- x 157-Sr §rridi,in;fhis··6£~;ifn~f!akinofutliresB~~frdcitJ~~¥1(~hlefo~~e~gi11g,(the managef;dedd~S}O en.ter into a forWard ~~ntrac~;~r!.h..8J8D~riyf1tiy~~~ orderfor.'.fhe ban~t? quote·the constructioncompa~y,jt\\lillih.ay~t?Pfll; .IF~.~owever, cal~olatingthe IFR Tequiresthe bank tO•??fair t~~j~~~li;fl~l~to'n rates of both a'5~iday lnstrurnentand,a 157-day instrument.(the~.?Q!~~;tyJiil erid >\f57 days from noW);Th.~ risk manager finds that the corrent:,narket ra~~!?". a' 55•d ';~co is 4:5% andj~e cu~ent market rate for a 157:cfay NCOis 6:'75%.\Giventhese crates, the.lFR is c~i~:l:ted . as foHows: m Let us assume that a large construction company will receive, 55 dayslr&m no a progress payment for work already completed of R150 rnillionC)n aJarge construction contract.The construction company only needs R30 rnillf6n of the _.paymentamounfJ~rwages until the end of the contract andth~yatelci()kirig to... 20 million ina negotiable Certificate<1f ~~p~si~{~SD) for _•• invest the remainirig •period of 102 days, The risk manager at the construction company is; however, -- "worried fhat the irit~resnate on the NCO will decrease Withillthe nexf55days, -· meaning that the·:yJeld on the investment Will not bEi as high as itwoulcl have\bee had the funds oeen invested in the NCO now, Once the IFR is calculated, it is possible for the counterparties of a forward transaction put the transaction together. The IFR will never be used expressly, but rather as a fair v, benchmark of what the rate ought to be. The counterparties will negotiate around this in order to add a profit margin to the deal. Let us look at an example of such a forward d }Here MV is the matunfyvalue bf the80ntract .. ·..•..· .. ......•...·Y.· IFR.·••.·.·.·.·.···.·.•d i\ MV 365 ... ..' .. m•..·.t··" ·t·.o [, +·.( 100 X Price = · ;.<·.·• . •.•:.•~.•.•i· .·.· · / bride the IFR M'c:alcufated,it is possible;focald6lafothe contract by means of the following = :In Equation 12:'13: <>. irL = spot interestrate for the longer period <;:;rs= spot interest.rate for shorter period / tr =·longer p~riod, expressed in days~365 • ts Shorter period, expressed in days/365 Forward contracts can also be applied with great success on bond portfolios. In order to do this. the risk manager will first have to calculate the duration of the portfolio. Once the duration is known, the possible loss on a bond portfolio can easily be calculated given a change in interest rates. Once the possible loss is known, the risk manager will simply sell bonds at the current trading price for future delivery. The loss incurred on the current bond portfolio will be offset by the profit on the forward transaction - thus mitigating the risk of a change in interest rates. Let us look at an example. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ~- • . ~ = ~R10 404 929,58 ~:g!; =---0~ X p x:1~ i ··•·.·. = "-'7:5 x R98.5 milliohx • 12.2.2.2 foterest rate swaps Financial institution s make use of a multitude of different swap contracts in ord, to hedge a variety of risks. Swap contracts are found on equities, commoditie interest rate instrumen ts, currencies and as well as on other derivative contrac These contracts all work in a similar manner. For the purpose of explaining h6 swaps can be used as hedging instrumen t, this section will cover the hedging interest rate risk with interest rate swaps. Interest rate swaps allow a financial institution to hedge against losses that occ because of a change in interest rates, or, alternatively, which are caused by a mismat, of interest flows. An interest rate swap is a contract that allows two or mo counterparties to swap differing interest obligations via a third party (usually a marke maker for swaps). These interest obligations usually differ in terms of the frequency o change in the interest rates. Counterparties would thus normally swap a fixed rate ca flow for a series of floating rate cash flows on the same notional amount denominat ed' the same currency. The counterparties to the swap need not actually swap the notion amount. but only the proceeds on the notional amount as calculated on the fixed ra and the floating rate respectively. With fixed-for-floating swaps the counterpar ty tha When studying tll'.e above example, it seems easy to perfectly hedge against a chartgf the interest rate. However. since the market is comprised of competent and skilled r managers, most banks and other financial services companies would have anticipa the same drop in interest rates. The risk manager at any particular bank might theref, struggle to sell their bonds forward at such a good rate. In reality, they will have to ofl the bonds for forward delivery at a discount in order to sell them. This means that th will still be a margin of error, similar to basis risk when operating in the futures mar In order mitigate the uncertaint y of the size of this discrepancy between the actual l and the projected loss, many financial institutions make use of interest rate swaps. T next section will cover the manageme nt of risk by means of swaps. ·•-,nbrcfer-td hedgelhis~ 6tlclntiai capit;I los;,Jhe riSkl'rlanager can t.ake a.H ba'lance-sheet position by selling ten R1 O million face value bonds for fo .delivery in three niohths' ti meat. R9.85 miUion eaCh-)lf fh~ risk manager about the t:hange irijnterest rates;it v.iould be po~si?le Je>buyiten ~1? r\'liUi value bonds at R8;~09 5.07,04 each after receiving ~?-8SrniUionJe>rthe.bory _..: were sold ioiwardh"l"hismeans·an off-balance•sheE!f·Pre>~t e>f .R1.?~0~92;96 bond (R1 o 404 929;60);cthereby offsetting the Joss orrthe bond portfolio. • zll: >A riskrrtanag erof Fifth Second Bank buys ten goverrtrflent bond.swith af. orn10 million each at~ current value of 98 . 5% (R98.5irnillion); Soon~~~r _purchase, the risk manager realises that interest ratesar:.ab outto increase& -·basis points (1.5%)over the next three rnonths from the c.orrentfo~el ~f:~-5,'}n calculatecUhe ·duration on the bond portfolio to be 7.5 years the risk manager' icalculates·the expbsure as follows: 342 • ,0~· .>~~~~ ,_ --"'-~ ,..._ ·'''1?ti\:::.::..:·.:.:,~c:,.:.:;:ci;; .,,_;• ~~-~~~---==<'>-n,,,,,,-~~-m--~-"*-~ 9 •··" ~~s~i!lhaf tibttt~onf~ ~ny!ff.ai) ¢oiflpant,~hayfb.o~\V'ed R}2sl-nit1ion! y~bdrrowe .dJhis lTll:irl8Y.'ftorTl~l.i~tair_.B~l11<~!~1B1~ .VJ~.ili,q()Tpa ·'""oriiteiffonas,aHf1ix~"lnteit~si:,riil:e"t>f6:So/owSTnce$6th\ttiese··ca --~- ps the fixed interest payments for floating rate payments is the buyer of the swap. seller of the swap would therefore receive the fixed rate and pay the floating rate. Although the fixed-for-floating swap is the most commonly used swap, the nterparties may also swap two floating rates. These swaps are referred to as basis swaps ause they have different base rates. In South Africa. the lloating rates will normally be Johannesburg Interbank Agreed Rate UIBAR), the South African Benchmark rnight Rate on deposits (SABOR) and the prime lending rate. In principle, fixed-farting and basis swaps work in the same way. The main difference is that the fixed leg in fixed-for-floating swap can be replaced by another floating rate. The following example ,ws bow interest rate risk can be hedged by making use of interest rate swaps. Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking 343 (111;'_<,.m="'"'T:'T'" -'ll'I-·•· Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-ba sed perspective p~ Other swap instru ment s Currency swaps 12.2.2.3.1. . > ....... ·•- .. As is the case with interest rate swaps, curre ncy swaps necessitate two opposing views about the direction of a specific pair of currencies. In its most basic form, a curre ncy swap involves the exchange of the principal as well as interest payments irL one curre ncy for the principal and interest payments in anoth er currency. At the start of the swap, the amou nts are usually of equal magnitude (given the exchange rate at that time). These principals are then swapped both at the beginning and end of the contract. The following example expla ins how curre ncy swaps can be used hedge curre ncy risk. There is a variety of other swaps available in the interest rate market. Although of these are based on interest-generatin g assets, they serve the purpose exchanging any type of cash flow that origin ates from an interest-bearing as Examples of these swaps include: amortising , step-ups, roller coaster, deferre extendable, puttable, const ant maturity, index amortising and timing mismatched Swaps are also available on other underlying assets. such as on equities (f1 example floating-for-equity swaps), commoditie s and currencies. Of these varieti curre ncy swaps are the most impo rtant for the daily dealings of the bank. Curre n swaps allow the user to transfer cash from one curre ncy to anoth er in order t, mana ge curre ncy risk. 12.2. 2.3 If this were a basis swap. the fixed leg (6.5% ) would have been replaced by a floa rate like SABOR. The rest of the trans actio n would rema in the same. Basis swaps used in situations where a financial institution is both lending and borrowin different floating rates. The financial institution will then mimic its cash flows one or more swap vendors. .· · •· lrihrd e(for the~~ apvei idor..to··rnake a pre!itf thE!y~inf~kia.~pr~~~\e~b ·.\/sides· of the tran?action.lnthls instance; .we assurne.th~t!~e ~\\l~f>y. ~~ ·}0:25 % spread o.nl6oth ~ides of the deal. Fig~re 7 .1.2.~ abeye sh~':"'stha~ • pay afil<ed . rate(riem1ally higherlhanthe·•~~r rent·.ffoatingrate) to}hEi:s~~p(Je?i" -receiveJIBAR. lei~0.• 2~'Jlo .i~.retur~.-•.l~this.•1t:~Y·• PO'Jl~.a~y~w.in•.~ehe~d7c /Jncrea~~fn'ttiejnt.eresfrate,••·since·theinterest lhey l't3Cei~e•.frorn the swap • •·•·. lncreas:e_linearlycwith•th ii.ncrease•••i~.••inter est·.!hey·pay.on;Ali!ltair \swapvend6r-.vi11 . !hen.p7 ~y comp a~ys•.~ .•~q'Jlo.(6 •.5 h{JIBAR:ottthis't!~yCompMy ~teceiyes a TI.~ed.r~!-:\ -/xrateoblig~ticm!o.thek•.i~yesto~;\~heui.~th7!~t ElrEl~tlat~i./i. ··••·•·••··•···••··•··, .·•xbElnafif~i2ce it~o-.vpays··~fi~ed. r~te.~eVJe~E lr,··.bEl?~~~ElP.?n:1P.~~~ Yl:tot he swap vendor, itWfll pay rnorewhen the interest rate 'goes up! 344 '"" ...... ~-~ ~ . - . . . •=~-\~/ Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Credit swaps Credit swaps can be divided into two types of instrument, the credit default (CDS) and the total return swap (TRS). CDSs saw exponential growth in the years prior to the financial crisis of 2008. This growth came from the need for banks and other linancial institutions to hedge one of the most menacing risks - that is, credit default risk (or counterparty risk). Since a bank's main business is that of lending out money, they are more vulnerable to non-payment of debt than to market movements or even changes in the interest rate. CDSs are more of an insurance product than a true derivative instrument. with options, they require a premium to be paid. However, where the premium on an option is paid off over the lifetime of the option, the premiums on CDSs occur monthly and do so for the duration of the cover it offers. So, if a bank (or any financial institution for that matter) requires insurance on some outstanding debt owed to them, they would purchase a CDS from a CDS writer for the notional amount outstanding. In the case of a bank, this nominal amount will usually be made up of several hundreds or even thousands of smaller loans - such as home loans, credit card payments, etc. The CDS writer will require monthly payments for ensuring this outstanding credit. In the event of one or more of the bank's clients failing to repay their loans, the CDS writer will pay the amount owed - thus mitigating the default risk. If, on the other hand, none of the bank's clients fail to pay their debt, no payment is made by the CDS writer. TRSs behave somewhat differently to CDSs. The TRS can be used to hedge against an increase in the credit risk of a counterparty. In the case where the credit 12.2.2.3.2 As with forward contracts, swap contracts are exposed to counterparty risk. managers should therefore be prudent and ensure that they do not take excessi exposure in these instruments. However, since the bulk of derivative instruments the financial markets are traded OTC, most banks and other financial institutio are exposed to counterparty risk. This risk, also known as credit default risk, is the usually hedged by means of credit default swaps. The next section will short! discuss the use of credit default swaps in hedging credit default risk. If at T + 2 the exchange rate was R14,50 per pound (in other words, the rand depreciated against the pound), then the South African bank would be better o it would have been in the absence of the swap. This means that the UK compa would have been better off not entering the swap agreement. If however the appreciated to R13,50 per pound, the UK company would be better off with t in place, and the South African bank would be worse off. Clearly, like futures, and interest rate swaps, currency swaps are also a zero-sum game. The swap described in Figure 12.1 O is done for both principal and int, relevant amounts. At T + 2 (expiry of the swap) the amounts plus in exchanged again in order for the South African bank and the UK company , their investors and creditors respectively. However, the swap would always beneficial to one of the two participants. 346 347 12.2.3.1 Letrers of credit A letter of credit (LC) is a type of promissory note. Banks issue LCs as an off-balancesheet product to third parties such as import-export companies, local municipalities, parastatals and any other entity that is in need of a guarantee to raise funds for a specific transaction. The LC acts as a guarantee that the bank will make interest or principal payments (or both) should the buyer of the LC default on its payments to a third party. By acting as a guarantor for third parties, banks charge a fee or premium that contributes substantially to non-interest revenue in the further hope that the buyer of the LC does not default on its commitment to the third party. Since the bank stands to lose a great deal in the case of a default by the guarantor, it always performs thorough credit checks before selling an LC to the counterparty. As such, the risk associated with the guarantor is priced into the premium that is charged for the LC. The LC therefore acts as a hedging tool for external parties to the bank. 12.2.3 Alternative risk management instruments There are a number of other risk management instruments that banks use to hedge their own risk, or alternatively, offer to counterparties for risk management purposes. The most widely used instruments in this category include letters of credit, securitisation and loan sales. This section briefly discusses these three alternative risk management instruments. ation of a counterparty changes, the bank will receive the total return based on annual fixed rate (j) plus changes in the market value of lhe debt. For this tection, the bank annually pays a fixed rate of interest and the capital gain or ss on the market value of the outstanding debt over the period of the hedge. Both TRSs and CDSs allow banks to hedge their credit risk for a fraction of the portunity cost of holding capital for the outstanding amount of credit they pply. This allows them to use their capital more efficiently, without running the sk of bank failure in the process. There is however something else to consider. CDSs d TRSs remain OTC products, which are themselves exposed to counterparty risk. ,ike insurance products, these products are safe to use in normal economic ircumstances, but will fail to provide a full hedge in crisis periods where the entire nancial system is under pressure. This was evident from the losses incurred by anks during the 2008 financial crisis despite the large amount of CDSs and TRSs eld by these banks. Although there is a variety of instruments that banks and other financial institutions can use to hedge market, interest rate and credit risk, it should be clear that a perfect hedge is never possible. Even if the risk manager is able to match the value exposed to risk with the profit on the derivative instruments, costs will still be incurred whilst hedging these risks. There are also hidden opportunity costs to be considered when deciding to hedge a particular position. It is therefore necessary for the risk manager to carefully consider whether the risk is worth hedging, whether the type of instrument to be used is the correct one given the circumstances, and what other risks are taken when using a specific derivative instrument. Chapter 12: Managing Risk in Banking Secur itisati ori 12.2.J .3 Loari sales Apart from the securi tisatio n process, banks can also sell loans separately. process, know n as loan sales, can take different forms. The two most popul ar are participation loans and assignments. In a partic ipation loan, a bank share s part of the loan with anoth er bank. By taking over only a portio n of the loan, the purch ase of this partic ipatio n loan (such as anoth er bank) is usually a party that was not part of the original loan agree ment. The reason banks are willing to enter into a participation loan could be becau se the retail custo mer has credit needs that exceed the lending mand ate of the bank. Furth ermor e, it may be that the size of a partic ular loan pushes a bank beyond the allowe d exposure for a single client or Securitisation only starte d to come into its own in the late 19 70s and early 19 a liquidity and credit risk mana geme nt tool. The process of securitisation irt the pooling of relatively illiquid assets such as mortgages, credit card loans 6 stude nt loans. Once pooled, these assets are held in special purpose vehicles ( where they are divided into different risk tranch es which are rated by agencies and sold off to investors. The financ ial institu tion effectively co: illiquid assets into publicly traded securities whilst getting rid of both credit ris liquidity risk in the process. This is an impor tant feature of securitisation: it re risk from its balan ce sheet and transfers it to other marke t partic ipants . Securitisation is not only a way for banks (and financ ial institutions in gene generate extra fees on assets it sells, but is also very useful as a risk mana geme n As such, it has become a popul ar way for banks to earn off-balance-sheet non-in income. Since the bank still earns a fee for handl ing the interest payments on b of the investors, it is able to earn this witho ut taking on the credit risk associated the income stream. This also frees up capital that the bank can lend out aga thereby earnin g extra fees (such as bond origin ation fees). The bank also has opportunity to cross-sell its products and earn furthe r income from these new die The securitisation process suffered some bad public ity with the Global Finan Crisis of 2007 /08. Many of the financial institu tions that pooled mortgages for securitisation process starte d to extend credit to non-c reditw orthy clients with intent ion to sell these 'bad' or 'subpr ime' loans to third party investors. Si securitisation ensur es that the banks are not exposed to the credit risk of th loans, the banks reduced the qualit y of the credit risk assessment process, b throu gh not performing the neces sary backg round credit checks, requir ing collateral or merely being less prude nt in the granti ng of loans in general. Inste they were heavily incentivised to extend as much credit as possible in order top enoug h loans togeth er that could then be sold off as collateralised debt obligatio (CDOs). The incentives for trader s and financ ial engin eers to trade CDOs w immense and by the time that investors starte d to realise that these CDOs were n going to rende r the return they hoped for, it was already too late. As more peo starte d defaulting on their mortgages, banks tried to remove the CDOs from th balan ce sheets. This in turn created panic in the marke t and eventually led to t financial crisis and the collapse of global financ ial markets. 12.2.3 .2 348 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-ba sed perspective REFERENCES Douglas H. 2009. The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix lt. Hoboken, New Jersey: John Wiley & Sons. _12.3 CONCLUSION ·This chapt er has analysed the risk mana geme nt process primarly throu gh the use of derivatives such as futures, options, forwards and swaps. It is impor tant to discern between these instru ments based on where they are issued. Since futures and options are exchange-traded, they are free of count erpar ty risk. Forwards and swaps, on the other hand, are traded OTC, which exposes the bank to count erpar ty risk. This makes for a variety of options for the risk mana ger in the decision to best match the derivative instru ment to the partic ular risk being hedged. Despite the variety of instru ments banks can use to hedge the various risks to which it is exposed, a perfect hedge is obvio usly not possible. Even if the risk mana ger is able to match the value exposed to risk with the profit on the derivative instru ments , there will still be costs incurr ed to hedge these risks. There are also hidde n oppor tunity costs to be considered when deciding to hedge a partic ular position. Hedging with partic ular instru ments also exposes the risk mana ger to other risks. Care should thus be taken in apply ing the correc t instru ment in the correc t circumstances. Finally, altern ative risk mang emen t tools such as letters of credit, securitisation and loan sales provide the risk mana ger with more options when mana ging, in particular, credit and liquid ity risk. nd the exposure to a specific sector or geographic area. These possibilities make sales an attractive proposition for banks. Where participation loans leave the ownership with the originator, assignments essitate the transfer of ownership to the buyer of the loan. When this occurs. the rower of the original loan often needs to agree for the sale to take place. This al agree ment is necessary because the legal claim on the borrowed funds now ts with the buyer of the loan. Although loan sales are often used as a risk nagement tool, banks also use these as opportunitie s to dispose of low-yielding ets. By doing this, the proceeds are used to acquir e more lucrative assets, thereby creasing the overall yield on their asset book. Loan sales can also be an oppor tunity dispose of some illiquid assets and replace them with more liquid assets. This sures that the bank mana ges its liquidity risk, as well as its conce ntrati on risk and some instances credit risk. If mana ged properly, loan sales can be a good risk mana geme nt tool albeit that Uing loans is not a risk-free exercise. If a bank does not mana ge the selling of ans, it might end up selling most of its low risk loans, thereby leaving it with an ,verall highe r risk profile on its loan book. This can easily happe n since high qualit y ans sell easier than poor qualit y loans. It is also possible for the borro wer to default fter the sale of the loan. Because there is a chanc e of this happe ning, the seller ften gives the buyer of the loan recou rse in the event of a default. This leaves the original seller of the loan with a degree of credit risk, thereby defeating the purpo se of the sale in the first place. Chapt er 12: Managing Risk in Banking 349 John Wiley & Sons. Saunders A & Cornett MM. 2008. Financial Institutions Management: A Risk Management Approach. New York: McGraw-Hill Irwin. Fabozzi FJ, Neave EH & Zhou G. 2012. Financial Economics. Hoboken. New Jer ",....,,,_..,,-~"'=---.,,.,,,., 3. 2. 350 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective · - - • y.:.r+_ 3 > J > ?Q• --, iCES AND F- FUNDS IN ~NKING 'T >:... --~--- ctziGING THE FIVE .... _.- --------- > ~ 67% 9% 100% 1500 200 2250 Total Assets Loans Other Assets 2% 22% .,. Percentage of assijts 50 •.,. ---:-;",if' 500 I"'' i\'.9~'311~~21201 s (Rmillion) Gash ><c"L'. Securities Assets Breakdown of the assets of a typical bank BREAKDOWN OF THE ASSET BOOK: A RECAP In order to better understand the basic workings of the assets, let us reconsider the typical items found on a balance sheet of a hypothetical bank. This is provided in Table 13.1 below. INTRODUCTION As discussed in Chapter 7. the balance sheet of a bank is different to that of a company not involved in financial services. Items such as inventory, accounts receivable and other working capital items are excluded from a bank's balance sheet. Furthermore, the assets of a bank would not be in the form of land and buildings, but rather in monetary items such as loans and advances. For these reasons, an analysis of the assets of a bank is vitally important to ensure that analysts not only understand the difference in composition thereof, but also what strategies bankers use to manage the assets. This chapter deals with this. er reading this chapter, you should be able to: interpret the main assets on the balance sheet of a bank discuss the way a bank manages its cash and why the amount of cash is kept to a minimum distinguish between the different types of loan held by a bank distinguish between the different risk grades of a loan explain how the secondary market works explain the various de-risk strategies a bank can employ explain the loan syndication process explain how a high-yield bond can be used to manage the assets of a bank explain how the debt capital market functions evaluate the different investment maturity strategies a bank can use to manage its investment book. RNING OBJECTIVES ging the Assets of a Bank -.. •. ·••1'1\\1'.,50. • > •---i---=•· Other assets include property and equipme nt owned by the bank and represen a small fraction of assets. Given the nature of intermediation, a bank is able td generate large revenues without committi ng itself to excessive fixed property assets, in comparison with, say, a manufac turing company where plant, property and equipme nt (PPE) are major assets. This accounts for one of the major differences between the balance sheet of a bank and that of a non-bank ; To put this into context, Table 13.2 compares the PPE of South African banks with non-bank s operating in South Africa. Other assets ,ASii bank'Sassetstisualfy generate the most income(a :shppose dfbridhli income items related to fees and commissions), investors scrutinise thertnh In addition to assessing the inherent risk associated with the respective also want to ensure that the assets generate sufficient returh'on theirl.nves t 'check to see ?bank has _a good mix of liquid ?nd illiqul~a~s~ts soihatj~t h~~ of a liquidity squeeze;' for example, it is able to meet its shorMerm obligation s. The largest percentag e of any bank's assets is made up of loans and advances its clients. 1 Loans are usually the highest revenue- generatin g asset for a ba and are central to its intermed iation function. Unless properly mitigated, loa can increase the bank's exposure to credit risk in particula r and cause it to fa substanti al losses in the event of impaired or non-performing loans. Loans Fixed-income securities are generally not considered to be attractive assets f1 bank as the yields they generate are not high. Securities that have better er, ratings (typically investment-grade) tend to be more liquid, which incentiv the bank to hold more of these in an attempt to achieve desired liquidity rati Bonds, debentures, notes, options and shares are good examples of s investment-grade securities. In South Africa, banks hold between 15% a 20% of their earning assets in securities, with the primary purpose of havi safe and liquid assets available. Lower risk securities include Treasury bills a other government-related debt and yield around the same as the rate for t current long-term South African governm ent bonds. Securitie s Cash makes up a very small portion of the bank's assets and in most cases likely not to be more than 2% of the total asset pool, The main driver fort that cash generates the lowest income for a bank. implying that there i opportunity cost for holding too much. This is because a bank would rather its money in an asset that earns interest than in one that sits idly and e nothing - such as cash. Although banks must hold sufficient cash to mee particular, the withdrawal demands made by its clients, cash managem ent function within a bank ensures that the opportunity cost is not too excessive. is especially vital considering that the opportunity cost is linked to ensuring services (such as cash withdrawals) are performed by the bank. Cash Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective :ti'"-?-~-"~-~ ---·- .. ,.--... - • • • 354 29% 14% 50% 1% PPE/Assets Managing cash =-- Banks are required by law to have a certain amount of cash and to use sophistic ated statistical models to predict the amount that might be be required at any time during the day. This method assists the liquidity manager s within a bank to hold an •· amount not only suitable enough to comply with regulator y requirem ents but also to have enough for client requests. Bear in mind that holding too much vault cash poses increased risk for a branch. especially in the event of robberies or lire. The . former in particula r could lead to high costs for a South African bank due to the •·• frequency of cash-in-t ransit heists. Most banks would also apply to the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) for the vault case to be included in the minimum ' reserve requirem ent stipulated in the Banks Act (94 of 2000). The daily demand for cash at a bank is usually a function of the type of client it has. For example, a bank that has large corporate clients will in most cases have more cash. as these corporates tend not to want to hold cash on their premises and would thus prefer their cash to be earning interest at the bank. Therefore, if a bank has a large inflow of cash from its corporate clients, it runs the risk of reaching the ceiling limit for vault cash holdings much more quickly, which will require it to send the excess cash to the SARB. or in other instances, move it to other banks in need. 0 {,i=fbfl'1200s'tdicl12·there.'w~f~··aWdut~36ClATM •itticl<S·•in tesulted in a 1os§6fa\mosfR2;9:biHi6nkThiSfa one of the reasonswhv'most African banRS"e~coufage th~irc:Herlls.tci~seff€sscashin favour-of and electronic tiahkihg facili\iest .tflf1F'?L ilf •,~;. • ash is regarded as a non-earn ing asset because a bank does not earn any income om holding it. For this reason, a bank will aim to hold as little as possible, whilst nsuring that it.has enough meet the daily demands of its clients. In most cases this sset is called 'vault cash' as it is normally kept in vaults (or safes) at branches in rder to fulfil over-the- counter transactio ns. A large proportio n of this vault cash is lso kept in automate d teller machines (ATMs). 3.3.1 MANAGING THE ASSETS OF A BANK bank can therefore have a variety of assets, but they are generally classified into the Oad categories mentione d above. The following section discusses the managem ent these asset categories in more detail. ctual names have been omitted but represent actual South African companies n of PPE for banks and non-banks Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank 355 These facilities assist a client's liquidity needs and are usually provided on an unsecured basis. They therefore do not have a specific tenor and are 'ondemand'. The revolving and unsecured features of overdraft facilities suggest that a bank can demand its facility back the moment it realises it may be at risk. Banks also expect clients to pay this facility down to a certain maximum amount frequently and not be fully drawn all of the time. Assd finance These loans are usually provided to a client to fund the purchase of an asset (such as vehicles) over a short period of time usually not exceeding a tenor of five years. Trading loan • • ■ Risk rating a loan All loans, or more specifically all counterparties. are rated by banks in order to determine the probability of their defaulting (PD) on their respective loans. When calculating the PD of a counterparty the PD is assigned to the loan itself - that is, 13 .3 .2.1 The following section discusses two of the most common methods for a bank to adequately manage its loan portfolio. These facilities assist clients with their trading exposure and include derivatives to enable interest rate hedging and currency hedging. Banks usually have very specific ways of calculating the potential future exposure in order to determine the size of the limit or the future mark-to-market exposure (on these loans, cash flow only occurs at the end of the trade). Term loans include all funding with a tenor exceeding one year (up to 30 years in some cases) and make up close to 80% of a bank's loan portfolio. Examples of these loans include project finance loans. mortgages loans. acquisition loans and leverage finance loans. o,,e,·draft Loans make up the majority of a bank's assets mainly because they generate the most income (through fee income and interest income). The main categories of loans are typically: • Term loans 13.3.2 Managing loans Conversely, banks that have mostly retail clients have to ensure that they meet hig cash demands on a daily basis due to the volume of cash withdrawals. Therefore, if the bank has a large number of retail clients it runs the risk of reaching its floor limit of vault cash. If this were the case, the bank would be forced to borrow from the SARB or alternatively from other banks with surplus vault cash. For banks to adequately manage their vault cash. they must consider the trade-off between holding cash on the one hand and buying cash in the overnight market on the other. The opportunity cost of holding too much liquidity is central to this decision and requires that banks have an upper and lower limit wherein they manage the amount of vault cash. When vault cash lies between these two levels, no action is needed. 356 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 357 13.3.2.2 The secondary market Basel II and Basel III require banks to calculate the PD on all their loans/ counterparties in order to determine the amount of capital they need to hold. Given that the PD indicates the risk of a respective loan (or counterparty). it follows that lower PDs indicate a better quality asset (and vice versa) on the books of the bank. Table 13.3 ind_icates how the credit rating agency (CRA) Moody's Investors Service. for example, links specific PDs to specific ratings. Therefore, when a bank rates its loans (or counterparties) it has to ensure that it measures the risk as accurately as possible in order to avoid unexpected losses. There are generally three variables that determine the PD of a firm (counterparty): 1. the market value or net asset value (NAV) of the firm 2. the level of the firm's debt obligations (commitments) 3. the sensitivity of the market value of the firm to changes in asset values. the PD of the counterparty equals the PD of the loan. The PD is therefore the likelihood that a loan will not be repaid and thus become a default loan. The credit history (history of any defaults or delinquent repayments) of the counterparty and type of loan are specifically taken into account when calculating the PD. Most banks use historical cash flows to assess the ability to service the loan. The stability of a client's cash flow is usually the strongest contributor to a lower PD, albeit that certain industry data may also influence the calculation of the PD. Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank Aaa I Aa I A1 I A2/A3 I Baa1 I Baa2 I I Baa3 0.20-0.25 I Ba1 I o.2!>--0.30 When a bank originates a loan they will decide to either keep it or sell it on secondary market. This decision will usually be based on the following factors: • Participan ts in the secondary markets These participants can be other commercial banks. development banks who want to grow their balance sheets or asset and fund managers. The asset and fund In actual monetary terms, interest normally accounts for roughly income a bank will earn from a loan, and fees the remaining 35%. A further reason for banks to calculate the PD on an asset is because they use the ratings extensively when they want to sell an asset on the secondary market. T better the risk rating the easier it is to sell; the poorer the risk rating the more diffic it is to sell the asset. It should be noted that not all assets are formally rated by a CR hence Table 13.3 is only a guideline as to where such an asset would rank if it wa formally rated. Therefore, in the case where an asset is not formally rated, a bank ca use an 'informal rating' to indicate the quality of the asset by calculating its PD an assigning it a rating. If this were the case, the bank would apply its own in-hous methodology. The secondary market is made up of organisations that buy loans from banks and other lending institutions. This market creates a situation where loans are sold to othe investors who have not previously been part of the loan when it was originated. Th more market players there are in the secondary market. therefore, the better the liquidity is. Loans with better risk ratings (and thus lower PDs) are easier to sell as the buyer perceives them to be of a lower risk. However, low PD clients generally do not generate as high returns as the high PD clients would. Most banks are extremely focused on selling portions of their assets in the secondary market as it 'frees up' liquidity when there is a demand from depositors. By generating liquidity in this manner a bank is able to participate in more transactions, which in itself is potentially profitable. With this in mind, how does the secondary market work? Banks are always looking to lend money to clients in order to earn both a fee and interest. In many cases, however, banks earn more revenue from the fees they will charge for the provision and structuring of the loan, especially for corporate clients. Once the client has accepted the loan, the bank will charge the client various fees, including fees for arranging the loan, for committing the loan (unconditionally agreeing lo provide the loan to the client), if the loan is provided in a foreign currency and interest on the outstanding amount for the duration of the loan. Source: Moody's KMV (2008) 2 Moody's equivalent .I external rating 0.15-0.20 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Table 13.3 Moody's EDF vs Moody's external ratings EDF(%) I 000-002 I 0.02-0.03 I 0.03-0.05 I o.o!>--0.10 I 0.10-0.15 I 358 359 In most cases when banks originate a loan, they will be required to underwrite or sponsor it. If they decide to sell a portion on the secondary market and also keep a All banks have a portfolio committee that manages the concentration risk of a particular sector in order to avoid overexposure. For this reason, if a bank has heavy exposure in, say, the property market, it can decide to sell a large portion of its mortgage book; alternatively, if a bank has very little exposure in the agriculture sector, it can decide to keep these loans on its book, or, purchase additional agricultural loans on the secondary market. Whatever the decision, concentration risk, and thus the diversification of this risk, is an important consideration. Li<1uidity requireme nts As mentioned before, liquidity is a scarce and expensive resource for banks. If a bank has a liquidity shortage, it may decide to sell assets in order to generate liquidity (see the example below). As such, a bank is faced with a trade-off between liquidity and return - if it needs liquidity, it may be required to sell an asset that generates significant return, suggesting that it will lose that return. The opportunity cost of holding too much liquidity is therefore an important consideration when dealing in secondary markets. Sector concentrat ion managers usually have a large pool of funds available to invest. This creates a ready market for the banks should they sell the loans on the secondary market. Risk capital Sometimes a bank may decide to lend to a risky client and earn a higher return. The problem with this is that the higher the associated risk of the loan, the more regulatory capital the bank is required to hold against that loan. This is expensive for the bank and incentivises it to sell the loan on the secondary market. (Regulatory capital requirement s are risk-weighted and serve as a buffer to absorb losses-mor e on this in Chapter 15.) Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ry,ost?~Hk§VJ6ci1~-~~~~r~~r iHY~ In the event of a bank not being able to sell an underwritte n loan, it is guided by the fees it could earn when keeping it on the books. The bank also needs to consider whether it has sufficient liquidity to do so and this needs to be commensur ate with /u~~erwti~err·,?~~jis_it! liquidity. For example; if th~-~an~ii! u sVery weU0 kn6Wn~nd relatively .,ow.risk client (and this enen\.i -Jb~~ks), i!fan ~ef~sun1;d (hat many oth;~ .~anks ~n~ n,~~.ke ;ver,;Jnterestedjn;tfanking··this.client,1hi!•rtiean!.lhas.the'on •61.!l'o ~~1:9e·r.;!.~ti~~lt,higher.fees_gi~_;".!hi~--•~rn1.~n-~ ISo~pplies wh.e1;tHerrjs·• no_yeal~eman.d.fOri~nun~~igHirisk;lfryd ·n<l_l;1e11,~r'lown i.n the market), .where the bankwi11 6e"f. \its-fees-irrordertb•sell the loan, {"~!ri\~§firrip~~cihtfabt8rJfiat portion on their books. the latter would be called the hold portion. In banking, underwriting is usually the amount of money a bank is prepared to lend to a cl based on its assessment of the client's creditworthiness - the bank would usually legally commit to lending this amount. While the South African market is shallo than those in the US and Europe, it is significantly less volatile. The market associated with underwriting risk is therefore less pronounced in South Africa. Underwriting typically runs for a period of six months but may be Ion depending on the timeline of the transaction. Underwrites go through several le of committee approval- that are based on the amount to be underwritte n and risk rating of the counterparty . The underwrite paper that is tabled at vari internal bank committees provides the detailed analysis of a number of fact which are crucial to a successful underwrite. These include: An extensive liquidity analysis ■ Most banks will usually only underwrite a loan if they are able to sell some of other market participants (see Example 13.2) - but they may decide not to seli portion if they believe it is an asset they would prefer to have on their books and th, have the liquidity to support the full underwrite. Subsequently, the liquidity analy will indicate which other market participants are interested in buying a portion oft underwritten loan and will also indicate the amount they are interested in buying. Recent market activity ■ This indicates which banks in the market have recently done an underwrite, its total amount and which participants were involved in the sell-down of the underwrite and the monetary value of the transaction. Underwrite protection s ■ Sometimes the bank will request certain protection. For example, the client can agree that if the bank cannot raise the full amount requested, the client will settle for the amount raised (albeit sometimes being a lower amount). Holdlevel ■ The hold level is the final amount that the underwritin g bank and all other countcrpart ies who bought a portion of the debt will settle on - the amount they arc prepared to be 'at risk'. 360 361 A syndicated loan occurs when a group of lenders fund one (usually large) loan to a client. This group in effect shares the credit risk in accordance with the portion they fund, with one of the lenders in the group typically managing the loan for an additional fee. With only four large commercial banks in South Africa, large transactions of this nature are usually done on a syndicated basis as none of these banks would be able to provide such large loans on an individual basis due to the underlying regulatory capital requirement s set out in the Banks Act. An example of this is where a South African bank acts as the 'arranging bank' for a RIO billion. five-year term loan for a client. This syndicated loan would subsequently be divided amongst various participant banks based on their respective appetite for the loan. In most cases, the arranging bank would propose to also take a portion of the loan in order to encourage the participant banks to take up more. If the participant banks are willing to take up more than the R l O billion, the syndicated loan is oversubscribed. This is usually a positive indication as it suggests a sound risk profile for the client and thus the willingness of banks to lend to this client. Should the loan be oversubscribed, the arranging bank may be far more comfortable to merely earn the fees for arranging the loan (as it docs not earn any interest on the loan). Generally speaking, there are three ways to underwrite loan syndications. First, an underwritten deal or transaction is where the arranging bank guarantees the full amount of the loan. The arranging bank will then approach various other banks with the purpose of selling a portion of the loan to them and this effectively implies the syndication of the loan. In favourable market conditions this may seem easy as most other financial institutions have a strong appetite for loans; however, in subdued market conditions not all banks will have such an appetite and the arranging bank will be forced to take up the residual portion that could not be Loan syndication 13.J.2.3 Risk-out strategies Any loan that a bank provides to a client is a risk for the bank as there is a possibility that the loan (and the interest the bank earns from the loan) may not be repaid. If this risk increases because, for example, the risk profile of the client is increasing, or the bank is facing liquidity constraints, the bank may decide to either reduce exposure to the loan or to exit the loan completely. This can be done by using several ;types of de-risk strategics. These de-risk strategies generally have two objectives: (i) 3 reduce risk on the loan book and (ii) create liquidity. The most common de-risk strategy in South Africa is loan syndication as it is a technique that is well understood by the market, relatively easy to execute and has the lowest risk from a legal documentat ion point of view. e fees received. If the bank encounters liquidity constraints, or another bank or arket participant shows interest in taking up a portion of the underwritte n loan, c bank may decide to sell a portion - this is commonly referred to in banking as a -risk, where the bank has reduced its risk to the client. The next few sections of this chapter will explain the various risk-out strategies bank can use to reduce its risk to a particular client or loan. Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective --~~•"!J"'\I~----~~·-----~~-~ syndicated to other banks. For this reason, the arranging bank will only under the loan if it is confident there would be sufficient appetite from fina institutions. As such, it is important that the arranging bank performs a s, market review of potential participants in the loan before formally agreei underwrite. Second, a best-efforts syndication usually involves more risky clients. arranging bank will aim to raise the full amount that was requested by the cli but due to the high risk profile of the client, the transaction runs the risk of b undersubscribed because of insufficient appetite from other banks. In such a the client has two options: take the amount on offer or decide not to progress further with the transaction and not to close the transaction. Finally, a club deal smaller loan, usually ranging between R250 million and Rl billion, where the cli itself tries to arrange, with its group of relationship banks, that each bank lends equal portion of the loan. As such, there is no arranging role for any of the ba and each share the fees based on their respective participation in the loan. Several players participate in the syndication process. The arranging bank i most cases also the bookrunner, which is the custodian of the client relationship an usually the bank that manages all aspects of the syndication prior to the fl execution of the transaction. The bookrunner usually gets extra fees for co-ordinati the transaction, gathering the documentation and managing all the negotiations. 4 the case where the client is South African, the bookrunner will most likely be one the local banks. If however, the bookrunner is a large multinational bank (such/a Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley or Barclays), a South African bank is more likely t be the mandated lead arranger (MLA). The MLA is often the largest contributor to t syndicated loan and is usually a top tier bank or investor in global terms. The ba acting as the MLA has to sign a mandate with the client in order to secure a role int transaction and will receive a significant portion of the upfront fees. The participa are the parties that seek quality loan assets and also have a relationship with t bookrunner. They generally take smaller portions of the syndicated loans compared the MLA and do not receive the same amount of fees due to their lower level o commitment. In South Africa the participants in a syndicated loan are usually ass; managers such as Investec Asset Management, Old Mutual Asset Management an Sanlam Investment Management. More often than not, participants are not able t, arrange the loan as they do not have a banking licence. In order for the syndication process to occur, the participating banks need t, provide their syndication proposals to the client who will choose an MLA. The ML will prepare the information memorandum (IM) which contains all the operational, functional and strategic details of the company or client requesting the loan. The IM must also contain a detailed breakdown of the proposed transaction, the syndication process and the potential fees/income a participant could earn. Mos new syndicated loans are initiated by a meeting where the transaction and IM ar presented to banks willing to participate. The management team of the client is als present to ensure that any uncertainties regarding the transaction are clarified. Exi strategies are also discussed at this meeting. The syndication process generally consists of three phases. In phase one (th pre-mandate phase) banks provide the client with their proposals for the syndicatio 362 -·,. .·•···.·. •... Initial Documentalioo meetings Final commitments received from the other banks All participants agree on dcx;umentatioo Signing of all the documents T + 27 T + 34 T + 45 T + 47 :d.Y.it ... ,c. . Client and MLA and participant banks Client and MLA and participant bankS Client and MLA and participant bankS Client and MLA and participant banks Client and MLJ. Client and MLA Client and MLA MLA and lawy01s Client and MLA Client and MLA - ... .. Once the syndicated loan has been approved, it needs to be decided what. type of loan will be used. Generally speaking either a revolving credit facility (RCF) or a term loan is used. An RCF allows the client to draw funds. repay the funds and then draw the funds on a continuous and revolving basis. Functioning in a similar way Formal presentation to the other participant ban~ T + 24 T + 26 T + 10 Formally invite all other participant ban~ Preparation at the final invitations and information commences ·;. Drafting of all the legal doeuments commence -,. Commence on discussions with other participant banks •···· T+8 Review the term sheets and pricing . T+9 T' itlate'?t> Table 13.4 A typical timetable for loan syndication the client will choose the bank or MLA with the most experience in syndication nd also the banks with the most competitive fees. During phase two, which is the ctual syndication, the MLA will perform the syndication by organising meetings, rranging legal documentation, negotiating the final terms of the loan and agreeing n the final fees. During this phase the loan will also be executed: funds will flow rom the participant banks to the client after signing all the legal documents. During the third phase, the loan is managed thoughout its term - the arranging bank through its role as bookrunner makes sure that the client makes all payments, submits all the required information that the other banks may need and ensures that the client complies to all the conditions set out at the pre-mandate phase. In South Africa, the syndication process follows these three phases and reflects the detailed and complex nature of selling the transaction to other banks and financial institutions. The roles of the participants in each of the phases are based on their relationships in the market and access to paper. Paper in this case refers to the financial instrument that •the issuer provides to investors through this transaction and is called paper as the investor only receives a piece of paper indicating the terms of its investment. The arranging bank, on advice from the client, will choose the other participants that is, the investors in the syndication. lawyers advising on the transaction and accountants performing some financial analysis, in the syndication based on their appetite for the loan and relationship with both the client and arranging bank. Table 13.4 provides a brief overview of a typical timetable associated with the loan syndication process - it provides more detail on how many days it usually takes to execute a successful syndication. It is important to note that not all syndications will follow this exact timetable, but this nevertheless serves as a good indication. Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank 363 , , __ _ , _ _ ; . _ , . , _ . . . . . . . . ~ w , ..• Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective C :5 0 I Time (years) High-yield bonds 3 ; · ' ' " " " " " " ~ -~~-"-""~-~----• ,,, ~---- A second method for banks to de-risk portions of their assets is through the big] yield bond (HYB) market. An HYB is very similar to any other bond a bank maissue on behalf of a client but with two main differenres: (i) the interest rate retur on an HYB is much higher due to (ii) its being regarded as a riskier security than normal bond. In most cases a bank would either refinance a client's existing deb through an HYB issue or provide the client with new funding in the form of an HYB, In the South African market, the most common way to issue an HYB is throug'' underwriting. Consider the following example: a bank currently has R400 millio extended to a client, which means that the bank is at risk for the entire amount. the bank decides to exit this loan, but the client still needs the R400 million of de it can issue an HYB on behalf of the client and simultaneously underwrite it (whic guarantees that it will buy the entire bond in the market if no other investor wan to buy it). Various investors including other banks, asset managers, individuals and hedge funds may then undertake to buy a certain amount of the bond as part of the HYB. If, say, R300 million is bought by these investors, the arranging bank would be 13. 3.2. 3. 2 A bullet loan is a term loan that requires the client to pay back the full outstand principal amount at the end of the tenor. For the entire duration of this loan th is therefore no reduction of the principal amount. A balloon loan is where a p specified portion, usually a percentage, of the loan is left payable at the end of t tenor. Over the duration of the loan, capital and interest repayments are made, will not be sufficient to pay back the full principal amount at the end of the ten Effectively, the final payment will be the balloon or residual payment. Finally, amortised loan is considered to be more conventional and requires repayments o the duration of the loan that reduce the outstanding principal to zero at the end the tenor. Figure 13.2 Payment schedule for three tenn loan profiles ·uC ct 0.."' ca .s "' -g E ·- 0 ::, O> C - to an overdraft facility, the bank may impose the conditions that the RCF be fully drawn all the time and that it needs to be repaid frequently. A ter on the other hand enables the client to make an initial drawdown on the loa is equivalent to the limit of the loan. Repayments will then be made based predetermined schedule of payments or a one-off lump sum payment upon ma (or a combination of both). Figure 13.2 provides a schematic indicating the pay schedule for three different term loan profiles. 364 365 Financing through the debt capital market (DCM) is the third strategy that banks can use to de-risk. Bonds that are issued on the DCM are also used by banks to replace existing debt from loans or are issued as an alternative to primary debt. The issuers/clients in the DCM are mainly well rated as low risk clients by external CRAs. In most cases it would be necessary for the issuing client to have an external rating when issuing notes on the DCM (with an HYB, no external rating is required). So, how does the DCM work? Figure 13. 3 provides a brief overview of a simple, or vanilla DCM transaction. Debt capital market ed to take up the remaining Rl00 million. Conversely, if the full amount of 00 million is bought by investors, the arranging bank will not have to take up exposure. The net effect is that the arranging bank is totally de-risked and the nt will pay interest on the notes to the investors rather than to the arranging nk. Albeit that HYBs require clients to pay high interest rates to investors, they an attractive proposition as they typically do not have any covenants attached to em (they are covenant-light), are unsecured and are issued with a bullet payment ofile. All in all these factors suggest less restrictive terms for the client. Furthermore, an arranging bank would in most cases not issue an HYB if it is bt relatively certain that it would be able to sell at least 60% of it to investors. If the YB is issued and there is no interest from any investors, it is considered to be a ailed issuance. This is considered to be an extremely negative result from a eputational point of view, as it suggests that the arranging bank probably did not ave the expertise to adequately execute the transaction. In South Africa, it is very nlikely that any of the banks would invest in an HYl3 offering, as it is mostly the sset managers, hedge funds and private equity firms that would invest. This is ecause they are regarded as having a higher risk appetite and are not restricted by the regulations imposed on banks. There are two main features of HYBs that need to be considered. First, HYBs create liquidity for the client and this is a method for the bank to de-risk. If an HYB s fully subscribed by investors (that is, the arranging bank is not required to take up portion of the bond), it means that the arranging bank has provided the client with the required funding without using any of its own funds. The HYB therefore creates liquidity for the client through its being financed by external investors, without the arranging bank taking any risks. A second feature of HYBs is that they have an associated credit risk attached to them - that is, the likelihood (or probability) that the issuer of the HYB (client) will not be able to meet any of its obligations. An HYB is regarded as a high (credit) risk debt instrument and as such investors earn a high yield (return) on it. Due to reasons mentioned previously, HYBs are considered high risk and in most cases would rank junior to other debt in the event that there is an unwinding of the company. Most companies would issue an HYB when it does not have the cash flow to service the amount of debt at that point in time. The underlying assumption in this case would then be that over time, as cash flow improves, the debt will be serviced - hence the bullet repayment structure. Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective •,-o-.-c-_---c._.,..,,~~~,•-- oo-.-c.•>" There are two main markets in the DCM - primary markets markets. New stock and bonds are sold on the primary market to investors. T main institutions that raise funds in this market are typically governments (ors government entities such as municipalities) and asset managers. The main bu of stock in the primary market include banks, pension funds, hedge funds and oth wealth-related funds. Existing (or previously issued) securities and stock are boug and sold on the secondary market- these are usually traded on securities exchan over-the-counter or on other trading platforms. If there is a strong secondary mar. investment activity in the primary market is much more robust and frequent as investors know they can liquidate their positions if the need arises. From this discussion it should be clear that the DCM is very similar to the H market. There are a few differences however. In addition to the reasons provide' previously, these include: ■ In the HYB market, bonds are rated as sub-investment grade (a rating of BB ari lower). hence their high yield and high risk; bonds issued in the DCM are rate,' investment grade (rated higher than BB). ■ Given their risk profile, bonds issued in the DCM are more likely to be listed a part of an index on the JSE. As illustrated in Figure 13. 3: ■ There are various regulations governing the DCM - those imposed Johannesb urg Stock Exchange (JSE), the Companies Act (71 of 2008), etc. ■ If the issuer does not already have an external rating, it would apply t externally rated by any of the external CRAs. ■ Once rated, the issuer will issue a bond to the market, which is facilitated by arranging bank. The arranging bank underwrites the issuance of the (guarantee s to buy a large portion of the bond if investors do not) in a si manner to an HYB. ■ Various investors such as hedge funds, asset managers. institutions typically buy the notes. interest on the bond is then paid to these investors. The ■ Figure 13.3 Overview of a simple DCM funding 366 Je CiiillnH''·theccimoarivcarHssU'ea•bo1 ,re :e-the8~Bton t . . ··. . 1bftb 'buyfrii~r1Fot fayJ~ against!~isissye~!)~~ir~~r ••• ~. •c~~a,p~~~Effa~~~x, 0 ~:~"ct.::. "r~;i1Wr p;1~"k4r~i~l~t,r South African banks prefer South African government bonds and local government (municipal) bonds and notes. Although they do hold small amounts of equities (shares) and other debt securities (mainly corporate notes and bonds), they select these securities in order to best meet the objectives they set for the investment portfolio. Very briefly and by no means exhaustively, the most common investments that a South African bank would select include: Governm ent bonds These investments are lower in risk and lower in return due to the higher risk rating of the government issuing the bond. South African government bonds A bank also has an investment portfolio that acts primarily as a complement to the loan book. The investment book: has a lower degree of credit risk than the loan book ■ diversifies the composition of the asset book provides an additional source of liquidity generates additional interest income fills up the balance sheet enables geographical diversification provides for certain tax benefits. 13.3.3 The investment book •J"c?f/~ primary issues of bonds in the DCM effectively face the same risks as those in the HYB ket. However, if the arranging bank is not able to sell all the notes on behalf of the client, uld be more willing to hold notes issued in the DCM. Nevertheless, the most important ture of a bank's de-risk strategy is that it provides an effective means for generating idity. The reasons for a bank to sell the asset on the secondary market are mainly driven the risk inherent in the asset and the liquidity position of the bank. Therefore, the method de-risking is usually driven by the state of the economy - if the economy is healthy, it is sy to de-risk assets; if the economy is not healthy, it is more difficult. The DCM is regarded as being much more liquid than the HYB market mainly because there are more investors that are willing to invest in these relatively lower risk and secured bonds (as opposed to the typically higher risk and unsecured HYB bonds). Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank 367 ,, ...• ,-, .;. ·•·"""'•""" A bank may in some instances purchase a direct shareholding in a com: and rely on the dividends as a source of revenue. In most cases this typ investment offers the highest return, but also the highest risk as the eq position of the bank ranks far junior to common creditors and other senior providers . Corporate bonds are an extremely popular investment for South African mainly because they are the most common and frequently issued inve available. South African banks usually take the credit risk on the und issuer (borrower) and the majority of these bonds have a relatively long t usually in excess of five years. The riskier the issuer and the longer the t the higher the return for the bank. Money market instruments There are many types of money market instruments that a bank can inve and these vary in complexity and risk. Tn general money market instrum· are more liquid but offer lower returns. The money market does however the highest rate of return for liquid funds. Common equity -.. ,_,,_.51 .. « ; : : ? f ½ ? . ? M . - = + 0 . ' Y , """~ By using the ladder (or spread-maturity) strategy a bank would spread its investments over a certain period maturity proflle in order to ensure a stable source of income. An example of this strategy is where the bank invests in bonds that have, say, five, seven and ten year maturities respectively. When the five-year bond matures the bank will refinance it, which will once again ensure that the maturity profile is spread out over the predefined period. A feature of this strategy is that there would be a wide interest rate spread across the different maturities for each respective bond held in this portfolio. The five investment maturity strategies are: 5 1. Ladder (or spread-maturity) strategy 13.3.3.1 Investment maturity strategies The investment book of a bank plays a significant role in its liquidity manageme as it enables the bank to sell its investments if it is in need of liquidity. It is therefo vital that a bank manages the maturity profile of these investments so that a sou mix of both short- and long-term investments are held on its balance sheet. illustrate this more clearly, it would probably not make any sense if an individ were to invest all their money in a five-year fixed investment as they would not able to access any of these funds prior to the five year period lapsing. It would ma more sense to have a combination of both short- and long-term investments as thi would, on the one hand, ensure that short-term liquidity needs could be met, and o the other, earn a higher interest rate on long-term investments. A bank will aim to manage its investment portfolio in a similar manner by choosing between five investment maturity strategies. • • ■ tend to have a medium- to long-term tenor, which in South Africa could from five to fifteen years. Corporate honds 368 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 369 A bank also has physical assets that make up a relatively small portion of its balance sheet. These are typically in the form of both fixed and moveable property. A bank aims to keep its fixed property as low as possible because it does not want to incur the maintenance costs associated with it. ln many cases a bank leases the office space where its head office is situated and may even do so for the branch network. In such cases, the bank may finance the landlord for the development of the property and once completed, lease the property from the landlord. Typically, owned properties do not exceed more than about 15% of a bank's total property requirement. Since property finance makes up a large portion of a bank's business. there are instances where the bank has to repossess a property due to client default. Even though the bank has a mortgage over the property. it never takes ownership of it as the title deed never transfers onto the name of the bank. As a result, a bank will not add repossessed properties to its balance sheet. Movable property on the other hand typically includes the equipment (computers, desks and chairs) banks use to perform their day-to-day operations. Similar to fixed property, a bank will also try to lease as much of this equipment as possible as it allows for a significant operational advantage - if a computer fails, or a desk or chair breaks, the bank is able to return it to the lease provider in exchange for a new one. Most of the equipment within a bank is leased and the maintenance of these is also outsourced. As with fixed property, a bank does not want to spend its time maintaining the equipment it uses. so it makes good business sense to use several service providers to lease from. Front-end load maturity strategy front-end load maturity strategy requires that a bank only invests in short-term stments. This will aid its liquidity and minimise losses as the bank will be able to idate its position much more quickly. Back-end maturity strategy e back-end maturity strategy is the opposite of the front-end strategy and requires at a bank holds investments with a much longer maturity. In doing this, the bank ,timises its returns due to the higher risk associated with the longer maturity, but tentially jeopardises its ability to generate liquidity in the short-term. Bar/Jell strategy e barbell strategy is one where a bank would apply different maturity profiles to 'ferent types of investment. Most banks would apply this strategy as it ensures that portfolio has investments with both long-term maturities (more risky, but higher turns) and short-term maturities (less risky, but lower returns). It can be expected at the liquidity position of a bank at a certain point in time would strongly dictate hether or not this strategy will be applied. 5. The rate expectations approach inally, the rate expectations approach calls for shifting maturities towards the short end if rates are expected to increase and towards the long end of the maturity scale if interest rates are expected to decrease. This approach requires active management ,y the bank and requires an in-depth understanding of the condition and tendencies of the financial markets from which these investments are sourced. Chapter 13: Managing the Assets of a Bank CONCLUSION Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Edwards B. 2006. 'High Yield in France.' http/ /www.lw.com (Accessed April 2013). Epstein G. 2005. Introduction: Financialization and the World Economy. Cheltenham and Northampton: Edward Elgar. Rose P & Hudgins S. 2013. Bank Management and Financial Services. 9th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. Reinhart C & Rogoff K. 2010. This Time is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Moody's KMV. 2008. 'Overview.' http/ /www.moodyskmv.com (Accessed April 2013). ..,-.,-......._ , . ~ ~ - = ~ 7 ~ ~ = " " ' " = = ? > " " ~ - - . 5. 3. 4. 2. 1. REFERENCES The next chapter discusses the management of liabilities and highlights that. with assets, liquidity and return are central driving forces. This chapter discussed the main assets of a bank, which consist mainly of loans. Cash is regarded as one of the best assets that any company, private indi or bank can have as it ensures sufficient liquidity. However, if cash is merely s it does not earn a return. A bank can therefore invest its cash and earn a rela low return in various low risk investments, or, alternatively, it can lend customers in order to make a higher return. The latter is what shareholders bank would prefer and it also minimises the risk/return trade-off. Loans can also be liquid and there are several techniques a bank can use to or de-risk, its assets. These techniques vary from relatively low risk and ea execute loan syndication to relatively high risk, but more difficult to execute H Liquidity is however not the only factor influencing a bank's decision to sell an a Other factors include the state of the economy, whether or not the bank's exis portfolio is concentrated in a specific sector, or it could be a simple invest decision. It is for these reasons that a bank will decide to buy assets on the secon market in order to increase the size of its balance sheet and subsequently incr, its returns. If a bank has sufficient liquidity, but docs not have strong relations with its larger clients, it may decide to buy an asset from another bank in order grow the balance sheet and gain access to the client. Liquidity and return a therefore the two main driving forces influencing a bank's strategy to manage ' assets. 13.4 370 INTRODUCTION A bank's income-earning assets are generally considered to be central to its existence, especially in its intermediation function. Generally a bank would aim to borrow funds from depositors and the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) at a low interest rate and then lend this to clients through, for example. mortgages and vehicle loans, at a higher interest rate: the difference is called the interest rate spread, which is the net interest income generated by the bank. By implication, the more financing a bank can generate at low interest rates, the more likely it is to earn a larger spread and be more profitable. Where assets are the 'use of funds', liabilities serve as the 'source of funds' for a bank. Deposits from clients are regarded as the most important source of funding for a bank for two reasons: first, they are cheap (think of the low interest rate you would earn if you made a deposit at a bank); and second, they are relatively easily obtainable (think of how many of us would want to make a deposit at a bank in order to earn interest). Other important sources of funds include the SARB. from which South African banks borrow funds at the repo rate, and other banks, which are usually each other's largest clients, as they will borrow from each other through the interbank lending market. As a rule. banks try not to borrow from other banks or the SARB as it is relatively more expensive for them: in many instances, however, they are forced to do so, especially given that they are not always able to raise sufficient funding from normal client depositors. Funding from depositors is mostly 'on demand', meaning that the depositors are able to withdraw their funds at any time - for this reason, funding from other banks and the SARB may be preferred, as funding can be arranged over a longer term. Jter reading this chapter, you should be able to: identify the main liabilities on the balance sheet of a bank explain the difference between deposit and non-deposit liabilities of a bank explain the closed and shortage system within the banking sector identify the role of interbank lending in the financial system explain how a bank creates money through the reserve requirement discuss the source of funds approach to managing liquidity for banks calculate and explain how banks can manage the liquidity gap identify and explain the methods for estimating liquidity needs have an in-depth understanding of the role that bank assets and liabilities play in managing bank liquidity know how to develop indicators to identify liquidity shortages. £ARNING OBJECTIVES Liabilities of a THE LIABILITIES OF A BANK Deposits ~----=-.'-""'ll "'l.~"'~-"'.•~. \l\\l_«'-""',;'1 '-ll'l.,.._~-,•- •--=~ • ·---- ~--- · Deposits usually make up the largest portion of a bank's liabilities, mainly banks are able to raise deposits at lower interest rates compared to other liabilities. from Deposits are made up of those from retail customer s (individuals) and those split be can and s) companie or ns (institutio s wholesale customer 14.2.1 Figure 14.1 Sources and uses of funds As established in Chapter 1, banks are considered to be one of the most impor vari financial institutions in any economy as they organise funding through the inje be to money for method main the is this clients their to provide they loans ba into the economy and a central feature of monetary policy. For this reason, vari The s. customer their to lend to order in must borrow from various sources types of bank liabilities can be split into three categories, namely deposits, non-dep sour, borrowings and capital (see Figure 14. l ). Funds generated from these three importan is It clients. to lent be can that funds is, that are called 'available funds' realise that these liabilities are costly to the bank: deposits and non-deposit borrowi p require the bank to pay interest expenses, and capital, besides implying ownershi bank a how therefore, n implicatio By . payments dividend requires shareholders, vital able to use the source of funds on the asset side of the balance sheet is survival. ensure to also but ty, profitabili ensure to only important, not 14.2 A further source of funds for banks is sharehold er equity - that is, the capita sharehold ers provide to a bank as a source of funding. Most large banks acr, world are listed; in South Africa all the main banks are listed on the Johann Stock Exchange (JSE). The sharehold er equity for a bank is thus considered to stock traded on the JSE, which in most cases is a relatively low cost fundings fl for a bank. In summary, therefore, if a bank is in need of funds, it raises capit raises or SARE. the or banks other from borrows through its depositors. the equity market by issuing more shares and thereby increasing traded equity. following few sections will describe the above in more detail. 372 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective 373 nsaction deposits or non-tran saction deposits. Transact ion or demand deposits and those which a client can withdraw without any limitations or restrictionsl usually payable on demand - a client can withdraw the funds at any time (this the buld be, for example, via an ATM withdraw al or an instructio n to transfer or savings include deposits on transacti of Examples oney to a third party). as eque/cur rent accounts. These deposits are usually unfavourable for a bank will bank a result, a As funding. of ey are inherently an unstable source a low iscourage clients from making these types of deposits by offering them of nterest rate - if a client decides to deposit the funds for a longer or fixed period the effect, in So, rate. interest higher a with client time, the bank will provide the be the longer a client is willing to commit their funds to the bank, the higher will longer ing encourag of feature return that the bank is willing to offer. This built-in \;term funding sources is a vital aspect of liability managem ent. Given the very nature of a bank in using liabilities to fund assets, an unstable (or source of funds raises an importan t risk associated with the intermed iation rm longer-te fund liabilities m short-ter unstable antly predomin funding) model to assets. Associated with this is liquidity risk and interest rate risk - a bank needs the and risk) (liquidity funding of stability and •manage both the availability volume maturity mismatch between the assets and liabilities (interest rate risk). The just as and maturity profiles of liabilities on the books of a bank are therefore ility asset-liab of feature central a is This importan t as the types of liabilities. 11. Chapter in discussed as ent managem The second type of deposits are those of a non-tran saction (or time) nature. if any, These deposits are usually interest-b earing and have either very limited. as transactio n-related features. Examples include call accounts . time deposits (such deposits of s certificate e negotiabl deposits). fixed 32-day notice deposits or one-year (NCDs) and money market deposit accounts (MMDAs). Call accounts and MMDAs are deposits that offer higher interest rates depending on the size of the account ed in balance. Normally a minimum balance, of say R20 000, must be maintain amount fixed a to either limited, are als withdraw and rate higher the earn order to the or the number of withdrawals. MMDAs are typically transacti on accounts with to attached rates interest The rate. interest higher a added benefit of earning n, MMDAs are also directly linked to rates in the money market. so by implicatio that these rates are higher when compared to other deposits. Time deposits are those can they which upon time ined predeterm a for funds commit to allow the depositor the either reinvest or withdraw the deposit. Certain types of time deposit require example. For available. are funds the before depositor to ask for notice of withdraw al n. a 32-day notice requires a notice period of 32 days before funds may be withdraw fixed Without notice, the funds may not be withdraw n. Alternatively, a one-year unless deposit can only be withdraw n one year from inception and not before then, savings normal a to similar very is NCD An . depositor the by incurred is fee a penalty account with the only difference being that it is usually for a fixed term (anything it. from three months to about five years) and has a fixed interest rate attached to A typical feature of non-tran saction deposits is that the bank offers higher d for a interest rates to clients. but requires in return that the funds are committe Chapter 14: Managing the Liabilities of a Bank Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspec tive 14.2.2 Non-deposit borrowings ,In some instances, a bank is unable to raise sufficient deposits from its base to facilitate its lending activities. Keep in mind that the attracti on of deposi as much an exercise in market ing and advertising as it is in offering competi returns . If clients are not attracte d to a bank's brand, for exampl e, a competi interest rate may mean nothing . The attracti on of deposits is therefore in itsel volatile and risky proposition if it is the only means of ensurin g a stable source funding. In this case banks will be forced to borrow funds from two main source the SARB and other South African banks. If banks borrow from the SARB, they are charged the repo rate. This type borrow ing is generally more expensive than raising funds through deposits as t repo rate is higher than the rate a bank would charge its custom ers for a norm deposit. In addition, the SARB does not have unrestr icted lending capabilities - th is, depend ent on the prevailing moneta ry policy stance of the day, the SARB is ab! to influence the supply of money in the economy. Thus borrow ing from the SARB i neither a given nor a guaran tee that it will pay repo. The underly ing marke conditions and the SARB's interpr etation thereof with regards to moneta ry polic is central to the conditions under which the funds may be borrow ed. Further mor the SARB acts as the so-called lender of last resort - that is, to be a lender when n other lender is willing to be. In South Africa, the SARB acts as the lender of las resort to any of the large banks in order to ensure that no bank is faced with liquidity problems. Failure to do so can result in liquidity problems in the entire bankin g industry. ln most financial markets, banks extensively lend money to and borrow from. each other - this is called interba nk lending. Because the South African banking industr y is relatively small in compar ison to its interna tional counter parts, the local banks are in a unique situatio n where they are each other's largest clients. ln most cases banks have facilities (accoun ts) with each other that are set up in such a way that funds can be transfer red easily from one bank to another . Basel II and Basel III require banks to have minimu m liquidity in the form of cash or near cash in order to mitigate the risk from a sudden increase in withdra wals by clients. lf the bank runs the risk of breachi ng this minimu m amount , it will borrow from other banks in order to fund the shortfall. In South Africa, banks use the Johann esburg Interba nk Agreed Rate QIBAR) to lend to each other. longer period of time. By limiting the numbe r of transac tions allowed, the sta of these deposits as a source of funding is further enhanc ed. Ideally a bank wa have a stable source of funding that is not sensitive to withdra wal, even in tim economic stress. These so-called core deposits are vitally importa nt to ensure as source of funding, in particu lar for the grantin g of loans. Therefore, in or encoura ge a more stable source of such core deposits, a bank can offer higher more competitive interest rates, but not to the extent that the interest expen excessive or comparable to the cost associated with borrow ing from other bank the SARB. Limited withdra wals and transac tion-rel ated features further enhan stable funding source. 374 Equation 14.1 In order to maximise net interest income, a bank wants to source funds cheaply (from depositors. the SARB or other banks) in order to increas e the spread it earns. However, it is required practice to ensure that it keeps some of its deposits as a reserve, meanin g the bank cannot lend out all the money it receives from depositors as it may 3 at any momen t be withdra wn by the depositors. Basel II and Basel III also provide detailed guidelines on how to adequately calcula te this minimu m reserve amoun t Interest rate spread= Interest income - Interest expense 14.3.1 Extending loans The most common way for a bank to manage its liabilities, or deposits . is to extend loans. Extending loans is the core business activity of a bank and the interest generated from these loans can sometimes contribute almost: 60% of total income. Banks need to price these loans in such a way that they earn a favourable interest rate spread: 14.3 USES OF BANK LIABILITIES Banks must carefully plan the ways in which they use their funds in order to ensure that they make a return that exceeds the cost. This section explains how banks manage their liabilities in order to maximise profits, whilst at the same time ensurin g sufficient liquidity. 4.2.3 Capital 'he capital of a bank is theoretically the difference betwee n its assets and liabilities (it is also called net worth or equity). Technically speaking. althoug h capital is not a liability, it is still owed to its shareho lders - if the bank is liquidat ed, for example, the capital value would go to the investors. Therefore, just as deposit and non-deposit borrowings are costly to a bank (via interest expense), holding capital is also costly as shareho lders expect dividends on their equity holdings, which is a function of the net profits generated by the bank. Further to this, the more capital a bank holds · (wheth er legally required or not), the less it is able to lend to potentially profitable customers. Therefore, althoug h capital manage ment is strictly governed by the Basel require ments in South Africa. there is. as with holding too much cash in liquidity manage ment. an opportunity cost for holding too much capital. Chapte r 15 provides an in-depth discussion on capital adequacy. .... • .... ·~t- Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The shortagegystem . . . . . :•.~_.7,... < ~ - - - ...~"'"""' > . .1fh~f£f~se-d money f;.ltJs,-1mportant to consi.1'1~rt2efl0Wofrnoheywhen )'the following fourscehariosdepict this in Figure 14.3: tylt~fu Ab~~k r~ceives a ·#~~~sitiBt R1.0() .6rWhich'.if.~ill.keep;~;~~S~s • .• mea2~that the bar~t~~n'.:.rd R97,50,Which mayt~:2}P: i2iE!~f~dJnte .·• through inoar'i';'Th.is:J~firtu.rr.•spent on pur~ha~ing· 9?~~~/?t:~e"-'i8El~a2 redeposited .at •anot~erban~.Ofhe.dE!posit •.of R~r,soc~rl~?9pe·.10.anE!.~jt~~ client; but thereserv!i'j~f 2,5.'Yo·alsoapplies.·wi.s· .meiihs;f2.a~)~~5,2~j~loane, res~rveof 'R2;40 is ki"t'~J-Th_iscontinues as .me·number,of tr~~.sa?tionsa relen'clihg cbritinue'.So;foran initial amount of R100, a rippl~E!ffEl?t /smaller is.called the shortage system in the supply -~-< -· .a-·each time) wliich •... . Figiiii14.2 .'Thti~~~rtage s~~fe~>/• >\\ i?·/·.•••·•·.•••·····• •. •.• ·· • Alt~8ugh banks play an integral rnre in the etdnomy Xherl1&rdr211,~~~ • le~tjfs dependent an/he ITlinimam reserve requirement. The CUrrElntrE!~ >tequlren'ient in Sootti}i\frica is2;5% of a bank's total deposits,4 whic~pii~"t: :either in the form of·6ashor inthebank's reserve accountwiththeSARB.T, +following example explains MW this reser'lie tequirernehflnfluehcesfhe}sti ,:mon:ey (see Figure t4.2), • [[@'iJiscassion'f~/a(tlas •focused ·on •th~ifability ~~§~fs(>n t~&@~i~11de :;nk>Bot;,What·•·h:;~!:si~the·.econom•yt~tthese·activities•·occur? - in South Africa, these guidelines are incorporated in the Banks Act (94 of 1 Section 10A(2]). 376 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective .• .. ·.·n.· •t.···.····.·.•.•.•.•o c·.·•.· • ·e·•.· ·. •· •· •·a·.•·. g·.• · .· •.·•.•· •·. a. ·.·•. n•.· · ·.• ·.• .••.·•·n. ·•.o.':lfu.• . •.· •. •.n·. .·.•d·•·• .•· .•s•.· .•· .· . .·• '•. •e•·. . . •. a·. •.·•. ·•. ·v•.·e B·.· •a·•.·• ·.·.•·.•·.n·•.k·•. ·• ·• .·• ·•.A• ·• ·. •· .• .·•. •. .,...,.,.,... ___==----~~-._,.,,.-,_=~ ~~ -· ~- ••--·----• When a customer makes a deposit into a bank it becomes, in a sense, the property of the bank - the client receives an 'asset' in the form of, say, a savings account (bearing in mind that the savings account is a liability to the bank). Because banks are only keeping a fraction of the deposit as reserves (2.5% in the case of South Africa). clearly the bank reserves on hand are insufficient to meet the demand of all its depositors at once. For this reason, it is assumed that not all customers will demand all their deposits hack at exactly the same time. If. however, there is a run on the bank, •• the demand for deposits will far outweigh the reserves. suggesting that the bank will .,.•,« As indicated in Figure 14.2. banks are required to keep a portion of their customer deposits as readily available reserves, which can be in the form of either cash or deposits at the SARB. In effect, the SARB regulates the value of cash reserves banks need to hold by imposing this minimum reserve requirement. In March 1993, it was decided that the minimum reserve requirement would be included in Section lOA of the South African Reserve Bank Act of 1989 2. Also. Basel II and Basel III impose several reserve requirements to ensure that a bank is able to meet customer demands and absorb credit losses. 14.3.2 Reserves The above four scenarios are examples of what is called the closed system - when fr deposit is transferred, it is usually from one bank account to another and no money leaves the banking system. The only time money will leave the banking system briefly is when a customer withdraws cash at an ATM. This is however only briefly as the customer will spend the money, which will in turn re-enter the books of .t particular bank. The flow of funds is therefore always within the banking system. thedaposit;bbt as mentioned in scenario 13, Bank B Will ;withcBank Mita higheffate, tdearnmore interest. suppiier'sa6&ounf~t]~ah~:~iAgairi,.Elank••.Efv.iillhaveJq Sl3ankAtJhe·tondsWillbe transterredfrom Client A's accounfat Ban· /;cJ~~~;.;_~;rh6~~ki;i11ie.suppHer in 'Scena.~ob ban~!~i!t Bark •.. .•.t · . ••.•.• •. • .• .•·.e·. f e·.· c•· •· ·.·. • . •· .'·•·•s .· ·•.· .·.•t.••.•.·• ·h• · •· •.·•.a.· • ;j;lunfJ~toj5ay, •. say, it.l~[?e· supplier r,'~d .ihcid:~t~lly als?·?~.".~?~it~ • rmoffeyV1iHpe transf:.t~?f~O~Clit9r!A'S ~ccountto the supplier's a, .1.1clMario/6Iq~B'1A~f J1~At!ife~oni~ jj9fi~~ri :~~<I!!~Jtter di f Bank A'stlqbiclity positron,, :witfiora~Jhe .initi~l~~P?sit. The neit effedJsstill thartherawill . be tmoriey. In (lrder to ~~~o .it ~an deposit.the~o~:Y 'Ni[~tB!~~:'A •/the•e~:!~8Y/a,:El;payirg ,pltert A. As ~res?lt, ~~rk B.~ill :~t~ a. . . . •// . •· ..· •· )difference betweenf~ti.interestiear~ed fromi~.ank A an~.th.ti)ntares.!'P~I?ffh =9ank;B11eeds to eh~?re that it~as ~uffi~ientftJ~ds whe,~f~![~nt A decides lo §I inttir'Eiston;the R2 ?iHion deposit, but it WiUl!l~o want Ie:!r~ some interest } Bank~ has Fl2 bilUon :xtra funds as a liability:Bank B<r.~~has to p~r~Hen >Sc~1afi6B,:lf.Cliefi.!~~.~.~tsto hav:.!~e··mOney ihiit~.~a~~~#§fo&~tl < / .Bahl( A•t.~e latter v.,ilJt.~~nsfer the money out.of its· owr !c~.ount··to~!nk)f•• 378 ""'•--E-=• ·-- ~ - r y . ____ ,..,.,.,-,·•~-.,.-- ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ - - - 5 = - - > _· -''!JI'~·,,, In South Africa during 2011 and 2012 banks experienced a slowdown in their credit .extension largely due to the slowdown in the economy on the back of the GFC. During this time, however, many South African banks experienced an increase in their deposits and especially in those from large companies. One major reason for this was that many companies decided to remain liquid whilst waiting for the economy to improve before committing to any investment or acquisition opportunities. As a result, local banks experienced an increase in the number and value of deposits during this period. 3 Surely, then, this situation is a favourable one for the banks? If so, what could the banks do with all these deposits? Typically, if a situation like this arises, a bank will try and lend the excess liquidity via the interbank market to other banks that are in need of liquidity. This is usually done for a very short period of time (mostly overnight. but could also be for up to a week) and at the prevailing JIBAR. The interbank market performs a very important function with regards to liquidity management by banks. Some of the main roles that interbank lending plays in the modern financial system are highlighted below. Support banks with their minimum reserves requirement ■ When a bank does not comply with the required minimum reserve, it will borrow from another bank that has sufficient deposits to cover its minimum reserve. In this instance, the bank lending to the bank in need alleviates pressure from the SARB to make the loan. Manage liquidity risk ■ A specific bank may have a large liability (deposit) due in the short-term and not have sufficient liquidity to fund this payment. With the interbank market, this bank can obtain a loan from another bank to service this liability. Key role in the derivative market ■ When a bank offers an interest rate swap to a client by providing them with a 14.3.3 Interbank lending eed to borrow, from the SARB or other banks, to fill this gap. The lender of last resort unction of the SARB is therefore a vitally important role for banks in times of distress. Given that banks grant many different types of loans, the reserves can add up to e quite substantial. Because a bank is not allowed to lend these funds, it has two 23 ternatives. First, it can deposit it at the SARB and earn very little (if any) interest. • all the commercial banks in South Africa were to do this, the SARB would have a ·ery large pool of funds invested with it and may decide in turn to invest at one of the ommercial banks. If the SARB decides to invest a portion of this pool at any of the ommercial banks in South Africa, the commercial bank would be allowed to treat this deposit as part of its own reserve requirement, as it will not be allowed to lend these funds; however, it would need approval from the SARB to do this . The second alternative for a bank is to store the reserves physically as cash in the . vault of the bank. In most cases this would be the least desired approach for both the bank and the SARB as the funds will not assist in the creation of more money in the system and neither the commercial bank nor the SARB will earn any interest. The opportunity cost associated with holding the reserves in cash will therefore .· become an important consideration for the bank, Chapter 14: Managing the Liabilities of a Bank 379 fixed interest rate, the bank can buy the latter rate from another bank and se the variable rate it would have charged the client of the other bank. Banks have various financial market instruments at their disposal to loan deposits to other banks (or to make investments in other banks). The followi are amongst the most common: - Negotiable certificates of deposits: Through an NCD, a liquidity-selling will inform another, liquidity-buying bank that a certain amount of mane was deposited with that bank and that the funds would be redeemed at th maturity date with a certain amount of interest. - Repurchase agreements (repos): Repos are agreements between banks the lending bank agrees to sell a security to a borrowing bank and then als agrees to buy back the security after a certain period of time at a given price, Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective The liquidity gap is simple to calculate as it is merely the difference between demand for funds (an outflow from the bank) and the supply of funds (an inflow to the bank). A positive gap suggests excess liquidity and a negative gap a shortage in liquidity. For the former, the bank would need to invest the excess liquidity in order to Liquidity gap = Inflow source or supply of funds - Outflow use or 14.4.1 The liquidity gap A liquidity gap can be defined as the difference between a bank's total use of funds (through the total liquid assets) and the bank's total source of funds (through the total liquid liabilities). By establishing this gap, a bank is able to assess its overall liquidity position and provide one measure of its financial risk regarding its liquidity. The liquidity gap is thus: 14.4 LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT By managing its assets and liabilities a bank effectively manages its liquidity. example, if a bank has a large customer base it will also usually have a larg depositor base. This in turn suggests that it will most likely have a strong liquidit base. In times of economic slowdown, depositors tend to use their deposits to fund their lifestyles - this typically forces a bank to sell liquid assets or call in short-term loans in order to fund the demand for liquidity. If a bank only extended long-term loans it would be in serious trouble as it would not be able to fund depositors theit money. If this is not managed properly, this situation can cause a run on the bank. It is therefore important that banks manage the mix, volume and types of assets and liabilities it holds in order to manage its liquidity position. This section has established that banks use their liabilities in three main ways: to to customers to earn a spread; to keep reserves to ensure they have sufficient fun for on-demand withdrawals; and to lend to or invest with other banks. Underlyin these three uses is the ability of the bank to properly manage its liquidity. This is th focus of the next section. 380 381 Managing cash and liquidity in this context is like managing commodities; just as supermarkets handle food and domestic essentials, banks develop highly efficient models and actively get involved in managing liquidity rather than merely monitoring events. The process is therefore dynamic and requires a proactive approach. Waiting for events to occur can, in this case, be detrimental to the liquidity position of the bank. Therefore, banks must measure their gross outflow and inflow of funds on a daily basis and ensure that they have good relationships with other banks in the event that they need to borrow from them. Managing the liquidity gap is a crucially important function in banking. Sometimes, however, banks struggle to manage their liquidity positions. Some of the most common reasons for this include: 3 ■ the lack of comprehensive and real-time information ■ poor systematic understanding of the behaviour of their customers ■ limited ability to store and analyse historical cash flows and customer behaviour ■ limited use of systematic processes to predict future customer behaviour ■ poor processes to capture cash movements from across the bank ■ inaccurate intraday (within the day) and end-of-day position forecasting. avoid the opportunity cost of holding it in liquid form; for the latter, the bank would need to acquire (or source) funds from somewhere in order to meet the liquidity demands. Chapter 14: Managing the Liabilities of a Bank Methods for estimating liquidity needs =~--="'"'"'";-:~..,_~- ~."-.~·-= 14.4.2.1 Estimati119 the source a11d the use of fu11ds By estimating (or forecasting) loans and deposits for a specific period a bank is able to determine the value of funds that will flow in and the value that will flow out. It is important that a bank understands where it will source funds from (including customer deposits, funds borrowed from the SARE, or funds borrowed from other commercial banks), and also the accessibility of these sources (for example, how willing would other commercial banks be to lend the funds, or does the bank have a These are discussed briefly below. There are a few methods that a bank can use to estimate its liquidity needs in order to close the liquidity gap. The common methods include: estimating the source and the use of funds ■ developing indicators for liquidity ■ market indicators. ■ 14.4.2 Two common ways of managing the liquidity gap are through behavioural cash analysis and cash matching: 1. Behavioural cash flow analysis Behavioural cash flow analysis can be applied to both intraday and future cash and is a key risk management tool to accurately predict cash movements frc multiple sources. The accuracy of predicting intraday cash flows can be significan' increased through, for example, an insurance company regularly receiving inco from insurance premiums via direct debit order. On receipt of the income, t insurance company has to utilise the cash - much of it will flow out across the sa; day payment systems, perhaps into short-term deposits, securities purchases a other investments. By understanding their customers' businesses, banks c balance the flows across the retail payments network with the same-day flo across the intraday payment network. 2. Cash matching Cash matching is a simple method to manage the liquidity gap and involve managing the periods of cash inflow and outflow respectively. For example, a die has a deposit maturing in six months time and has indicated that the deposit is. needed upon expiry. The bank will then aim to ensure that it also has a loan that matures in six months that matches the size of the maturing deposit. The net effect is that the cash flows cancel each other out (that is, are matched). In theory, managing liquidity is not complex. However, in practice it is not simple. This is because it demands a full and timely awareness of all the sourc uses of liquidity across all instruments, account balances. and the entire spec of business units within the bank. Depending on the source, customer or ty transaction, the liquidity manager (in the Treasury department of the bank) different levels of liquidity management; those who manage the day-to-day liqui; gaps/surpluses and those who manage liquidity on a more strategic level. 382 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective •• .. YP>~0 383 __ 0·.c~•~ ➔ __ .•,.,~,---.··,· 14.4.2.2 Developing indicators for liquidity There are various factors that influence a bank's usage of liquidity (especially intraday liquidity). For this reason, it is very difficult to identify a single indicator that can provide sufficient information about their respective liquidity needs. Banks therefore use a combination of liquidity indicators to monitor liquidity needs: Daily maximum liquidity requirement This indicator measures a bank's maximum liquidity required per trading day and can be calculated by measuring the maximum outflow of funds a bank encountered per day over the past few weeks and then make the assumption that it would need a similar amount of liquidity in the next few days. Available intraclay liquidity ■ Once a bank has determined its daily maximum requirement, it can calculate its available intraday liquidity. This is done by measuring its current level of deposits and then determining how much of this will most likely be an outflow during that day - either through, for example, withdrawals or loan payouts. If the bank does not have sufficient deposits to fulfil these needs, it will most likely borrow from another bank overnight in the interbank market. Time-specific and other critical obligations ■ Banks can also measure the volume and value of their time-specific and other critical obligations. More specifically, this would entail formulating an agreement with another bank to fund minimum reserve requirement over a certain period of time, or obligations that cannot be neglected. rge enough customer base lo provide it with sufficient deposits?) In doing so, a nk is better able to establish the likely uses for these funds. Chapter 14: Managing the Liabilities of a Bank Intraday loans extended to financial customers Banks will monitor and measure the amount loaned to other banks. This extremely helpful as banks usually only lend to each other overnight, suggesti their high degree of liquidity, as the bank would be able to call on this very quick and easily. This type of indicator also measures the bank's relationship with oth banks - the better the relationship, the easier the access to this liquidity. Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective ~ - - ~ - , • • , ~ · , . , , , 7 " ' , x J / 3 2 V / . Y - . · ..<•·•••·•.- - - - - - ~ - - • - ~ ~ - ~ - 14.4.2.3 Market indicators A bank can also look at the market conditions to determine whether or not it will have liquidity constraints. The most common market indicators include: Interest rates and market liquidity conditions • Interest rates are a good indicator of market liquidity. If interest rates are relatively low for a prolonged period of time, it encourages risk-taking and excessive credi growth because debt is regarded as cheap. At the same time clients would b· discouraged from making deposits or investing their money in banks because the will not earn a high enough rate of return. A situation where both of these a occurring simultaneously (an increase in debt and decrease in deposits) damaging for liquidity. The opposite is also true: when interest rates are high, debt is expensive, but deposits will most likely increase as clients will want to earn the higher rate of return. Asset prices and bank lending crHcria • If banks lower their lending criteria or become less strict in terms of lending, more clients will have access to loans. IT there is an increase in, say, mortgage loans more houses would be sold for higher prices as the demand increases. This will most likely push up the prices of certain assets (in this example houses) to a level that is higher than their underlying (and realistic) value. This is commonly called an asset price bubble and tends to create unrealistic liquidity conditions, as most clients will think their assets are worth more than the actual price. In other words, the more credit clients are able to get, the more expenditure increases, resulting in increased market activity that pushes asset prices higher. The moment credit extension falls, however, so too will market activity, and as a result, asset prices will decrease from the inflated values to more realistic actual values. Uncertainty and risk appetite • A further market indicator is risk appetite, especially the appetite banks show towards each other. If the risk appetite is high, banks will readily lend to each other, especially if one of the banks is in need of liquidity. Conversely, the opposite is true; low risk appetite, especially during a subdued market, results in banks not readily lending to each other. In such a situation, banks will be forced to borrow from the lender of last resort, the SARB. Should the news spread that a particular bank had to borrow from the SARB, it is very likely to have a knock-on effect that results in the risk appetite for each bank reducing even further. This clearly has systemic risk implications. • 384 385 F .. •'='>-'•••,-,.,•-• -••••••••••••••• REFERENCES Thomas, L. 2005. Money, Banking and Financial Markets. London: Cengage Learning. 2. Van Der Merwe, E. 2015. 'Monetary policy operating procedures in South Africa.' http//www.bis.org (Accessed 2 July 2015). 3. Esterhuysen, J, Van Vuuren, G & Styger P. 2012. 'Liquidity creation in South African Banks under stressed economic conditions.' South African Journal of Economics 80(1): 106-122. 4. South African Reserve Bank. Banks Act of South Africa (94 of 1990). http//wwW, rcsbank.co.za (Accessed 4 July 2015). CONCLUSION As mentioned throughout this chapter, a bank acquires funds from various sources and pays a certain price (interest) for these funds. The bank then loans the funds to its clients at a price higher than it paid for them, thereby generating net interest income. Embedded in its role as a financial intermediary, this source and use of funds speaks to the very core role of a bank. The lower the cost at which the bank is able to source funds on its liability book, the larger the margin it can charge its clients. The ability of a bank to manage its liabilities in such a way that it can ultimately generate net interest income, whilst at the same time maintaining liquidity is a central feature of liability management. This is a particularly crucial management function, given that the maturity prolile of liabilities (shorter term) do not match those of the assets (longer term). This maturity mismatch is in essence the structural challenge every bank has on its balance sheet, hence the importance of liability (and asset) management. Capital Hows and international reserves The last set of indicators that can measure liquidity relates to capital flows and cross-border credit. Recently emerging markets have become an important investment opportunity for the world mainly due to the strong growth experienced in their economies when compared to the developed world. Given that strong economic growth usually goes hand-in-hand with high credit growth, it suggests an environment in need of liquidity. If, in this case, the emerging market cannot create this liquidity within its borders, it will borrow from other countries through cross-border lending facilities. For this reason it is important to monitor cross-border lending as an increase in this suggests higher liquidity demand, especially if it is coupled with increasing credit extension and strong economic growth. Chapter 14: Managing the Liabilities of a Bank -•·""""'""''''·'"·\" ~ - " " ' ' - · - ·------~ ,..•...,.~~~~~,~=~~ 111~,"""'-"·""'! ll•fllln,w,=.•~-• """"""~"•""'"''" 'h OBJECTIVES ········ ------ ~---- -· ................•··-···.. 1980s. The evolution of capital standards, from I3asel I to Basel III. mirrors changes in the environmen t in which banks operate and changes in the instruments and processes used to measure and manage risk. For example. the original capital standards under Basel I used a simple metric to determine regulatory capital charges for credit risk only. As the trading book of banks became more prominent. an explicit capital charge for market risk was introduced in 1996. As risk .measureme nt and managemen t became more sophisticated, the simple Basel I rules became outdated in the mid-2000s and after a lengthy consultation process, Basel II was adopted. Basel II allowed banks to use their own risk measuremen t and rating systems in the calculation of risk weights for regulatory capital. and an explicit operational risk charge was also introduced. Following the Global Financial Crisis of 2007/2008 , Basel III was introduced, with the aim of increasing both the quantity and quality of capital held by banks. INTRODUCTION The management of capital is fundamental to a bank's survival. Especially during periods of extreme stress, the ability of a bank to use its capital reserves and absorb any losses can be the difference between exacerbating systemic risk and limiting the risk to one particular bank. In a day and age where systemic implications are increasingly present. it has become important that national regulators not only provide suitable guidelines for banks to manage capital. but also adapt them as markets evolve. This chapter reviews the evolution of capital standards since their global inception in the late reading this chapter, you should be able to: explain the importance of capital for banks explain why banks should be regulated provide the three definitions of capital explain the role of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) regarding the regulation of banks identify the main features and differences between Basel I, Basel 1996 Amendment, Basel II, Basel 11½ and Basel Ill respectively calculate and interpret the capital adequacy ratios according to Basel I, Basel 1996 Amendment, Basel II, Basel 11½ and Basel Ill respectively apply the Basel requirements to South African banks. .t:A.t1NINl:J 1~}1nc:fcapital Adequacy > Bank Management in South Africa -A risk-based perspective 15.2.2 How much capital does a bank need? The amount of capital needed by a bank is primarily determined by the regulatory requirements outlined by the national regulator. These regulatory requirements outline predetermined capital requirements based on the amount of risk the bank takes as well as the operating environmen t it functions within (especially more recent capital standards). Failure to meet these requirements can force the regulator to take legal action against the bank, especially if in its view, the failure could lead to systemic risk. However, holding too much capital is expensive for a bank due to the opportunity 15.2 REGULATI ON FOR BANK CAPITAL 15.2.1 The purpose of bank capital Tn the event of unexpected loss or even failure, bank capital acts as a buffe absorb this loss, which directly affects the owner's equity or capital. This in t creates a strong incentive to prudently manage capital in the interests of ensuri the safety and soundness of both an individual bank and the banking system a whole. Capital is intended to protect the stakeholders of a bank and the ent' system of banks, including depositors, counterpart ies and clients in general. Giv, the nature of banks to engage in risk-taking activities (especially with the incent' of maximising returns), the purpose of regulating bank capital is to ensure t banks hold sufficient reserves against these risk activities. In doing so, the regula limits the risk of bank failure and preserves public confidence. Banks should h sufficient capital to avoid systemic risk, hence, capital adequacy is at the forefront regulation and financial stability in the banking industry. A further reason to regulate bank capital is to limit the burden on governm (and thus the taxpayer) to bail out banks should they fail. This 'safety net' m however, create a situation where banks knowingly take on more risk expecting th they will be bailed out. This moral hazard is one of the major reasons nation regulators implement deposit insurance. Three definitions of capital commonly exist. First, in its simplest form, capital the difference between the total assets and total liabilities held on the balance sh of a bank. This is known as accounting capital and typically includes ordinary shar and retained income. Second, economic capital is a measure of risk given the goi concern of, in this case, a bank. 1 As stated by Burns, '[e]conomic capital is based • a probabilistic assessment of potential future losses and is therefore a potential more forward-looking measure of capital adequacy than traditional accountin measures' . 1 In effect, therefore, economic capital is that which is needed to absor unexpected losses given a certain probability of occurrence and is a vital componen of the proposed Basel Capital Accord vis-a-vis the incorporatio n of risk. Finally, regulatory capital is the chief concern of this chapter. This type of capital i specifically prescribed by the Basel Accord and has evolved over time as capit standards have adapted to changing market conditions. In the case of South Afric regulatory capital is the amount of capital required by the regulator, namely, th Bank Supervision Department (BSD) at the South African Reserve Bank (SARB).' Given these three definitions, the ultimate purpose of capital is to act as the last line of defence in the event of bank stress. 388 389 Macro factors include those that are external to the bank and outside of the immediate control of managemen t. These include both global and domestic macroecono mic environmen ts, macroeconomic policies (monetary and fiscal) and business cycles. These macro factors are transmitted through financial markets to which the bank Figure 15.1 The factors influencing the amount of capital for a bank cost involved. On the one hand, the amount of capital must be enough to act as a buffer against losses as it is the last line of defence against failure; on the other, holding too much is inefficient as capital in itself is idle and not revenue generating it is rather the use of the capital that could be profitable. One can therefore understand the dilemma of bank managemen t in managing their capital reserves. Figure 15. l provides a schematic for the factors influencing the amount of capital for a bank. Capital requirements set by the regulator of the specific country form the heart of the amount of capital to be held. These are minimum requirements that are typically aligned to the standards set by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, or BCBS (more on these standards in the next section). The capital requirements set by the national regulator are based on the environmen t in which banks operate. These are both macro and micro factors. Chapter 15: Banks and Capital Adequacy is exposed. The availability of liquidity and the cost of capital play into the abil and price at which banks can acquire capital to meet their regulato ry requirem en Market perceptions also play a role in determin ing capital levels. During times excessive systemic risk, such as the Global Financia l Crisis (GFC), the market pla a higher premium on the level of capital required by using it as a proxy for ba stability. During and after the initial stages of the GFC, banks have been holding mo capital in an attempt to both restore market confidence in the banking sector and cater for unforeseen events of a crisis that has by no means reached its conclusi by the end of 2015. A natural outflow of the current situation is that credit rati agencies (such as Standar d & Poor's, Moody's and Fitch) assign ratings according the bank's ability to absorb systemic risk through its capital buffers. A result of th is that a bank with higher capital levels may get better ratings than a peer bank wi lower levels, albeit that both would be considered to be 'healthy '. The case in point that the risk in the system is currentl y a dominan t part of the rational e used to ass bank and market stability. Moreover, the amount of capital held is also a function of the state of t economy. During economic upswings, bank manage ment may feel that the amount capital does not have to be as much as when the economy is in a downsw ing. This h potentially devastating effects because if banks are short of capital in downswin the cost of capital increases, thereby not only squeezing profits, but also puttin pressure on the bank to maintain minimu m regulatory capital levels. The state of th economy is directly affected by the monetar y and fiscal policies deemed appropriate b the policy authorities at the time. This is in turn a function of not only the domesti macroeconomic environment, but also global macroeconomic developm ents. What i importa nt to take note of is the interconnected nature of the external macr environm ent - domestic systemic risk can be exacerbated by events on the other side of the globe. Clearly, therefore, a failure to incorporate macro factors into the amoun of capital that a bank holds is failure to manage the external environm ent that the bank functions within. The micro environ ment includes all factors that are within the bank and are irt the immediate control of manage ment. Central to these factors is how the manage ment deals with operatio nal risk attached to the people, processes and internal policies of the bank. The manner in which the bank manage s its operations within the context of the overall risk philosophy that the Board has set plays into how the bank is able to run operations better. The competency of manage ment is therefore vitally importa nt and the quality of corporat e governa nce is just as importa nt. In dire times, the ability of the manage rs to manage the bank out of risk is an importa nt first step to avoid having to raise capital. Because capital is the last line of defence before failure, the first line of defence is the manage ment and the skills and competencies they bring to the processes and internal risk manage ment philosophy of the bank. If a bank is better able to manage the risk in-house , it relies less heavily on capital. This is ideal. as holding too much capital is expensive. Competitors also play a role in influencing the amount of capital held by banks. especially in the market environ ment. ' What is importa nt to take note of is that the direction of causality between 390 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Before the first formal global capital accord was established in 19 8 8, the regulati on of capital was simple and not uniform. The capital-to-total assets ratio was typically used by banks across the world, and the discipline and extent to which formal standard s were applied varied from country to country. 2 Countries that had poorly regulate d capital standard s were considered to have a competitive advanta ge over those with more strictly enforced capital standard s. 3 As the world became more global and banks competed more with each other, the need arose for uniformity in capital standard s. Innovati on in product and instrum ent developm ent, as well as increasingly complex transact ions, further added to this need for uniformi ty. The BCBS drafted the first formal set of minimu m capital standard s in 1988. This became known as Basel I and was driven by the Group of Ten (G-10) -Belgiu m, Canada, France, Germany, [taly, Japan, the Netherla nds, Sweden, Switzerland, the UK and the US - and Luxembourg. The recomm endation s of the BCBS are not legally binding unless they are incorpor ated into the legal and regulato ry framework of a particul ar country. 3 Bearing in mind that regulatory capital requirements need to be appropri ate for the broader financial system of a specific country, Chapter VI of the Banks Act (94 of 1990) stipulates the prudential requirements for banks in South Africa. Section 70 in particul ar sets the absolute and risk-based minimum capital requirem ent for banks on an individual and consolidated basis. Under Section 4 of the Act. the Registrar of Banks is granted the authorit y to adjust capital adequacy requirem ents in excess of the prescribed minimum requirements as deemed fit. Regulation 38, as published in 15.2.3 Capital adequacy standards: global reform and South Africa macro factors, capital levels and micro factors is both top-down and bottom-up. That is, the state of the economy affects the amount of capital held by banks and the amount of capital held by banks can affect the state of the economy . Due to the guidelines set by the BCBS being based on events that occur in both the macro and micro environments, their interplay is crucially importa nt to take note of when managin g both current and future capital levels. Manage ment needs to plan ahead, but cannot do so if it does not consider the context within which it needs to manage capital adequacy. So, how much capital is enough? This is not an easy question to answer. It depends primarily on the minimu m capital requirements of the regulato rs. but it also depends on the risk appetite of the bank; and so too the condition of the economy, both nationally and internationally; the manage ment philosophy is also importa nt as is the quality of the in-house governance structures; the cost of capital and the market liquidity in acquiring capital also plays a role. In some form or another, all of these factors play into the capital requirements. Capital manage ment is therefore a complex issue. For this reason, it has received a vast amount of attention from a regulatory and legislative point of view in the past three decades. In fact, the manage ment of capital (or capital adequacy) is regarded as the most importa nt regulatory focus for banks across the globe in recent times. So much so that regulators from different countries have come together to formulate internat ional capital standard s for banks. This is where the role of the BCBS becomes clearer. Chapter 15: Banks and Capital Adequacy 391 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective l Matters related to specified minority interests, that is, non-controlling interes1s, in shares and/or instruments qualifying as capital Inherent in these guidelines is how they have changed over the years as the BCBS has amended the proposals. For example. Basel I of 1988 stipulated basic risk-weighted assets incorporating only credit risk. Over the years, Basel II included operational and market risk, and more recently, Basel llI has included additional capital conservation and countercyclical buffers. These changes (especially those of Basel III) reflect the dynamic and interconnected nature of global financial markets and how the BCBS has been forced to adapt the capital standards in accordance with changing financial markets. In South Africa, the Banks Act as well as the Directives and Guidance Notes applicable to capital adequacy reflect these changes. The management of capital is therefore not static - as long as participants innovate and enter new markets, a new set of conditions will apply with a new set of risks that set the context for capital adequacy standards. Capital adequacy is therefore an ongoing feature of risk management. The following sections highlight the changing capital adequacy standards through the years starting with Basel I in 1988. Source: Government Gazette (2012)-l 16 r,onditions tor the issue of instruments or shares of wt1ich the proceeds rank as Tier 2 capital Tier 3 unimpaired reserve funds 15 capital Conditions for issue of instruments or shares of which the proceeds rank as common equity Tier 1 capita! and/or additional Tier 1 14 13 Percentage of capital obtained through the issue ol certain shares and debt lnstrumenls that may qualify as ner 2 capital Conditions relating to instruments not qualifying as common equity Tier 1 capital and/or additional Tier 1 capital due to a prescribed limit or zero 11 12 Conditions relating to reserve funds and retained earnings Qualifying capital and reserve funds and related matters The minimum required capita! and reserve funds Conditions relating to the calculation of minimum required capital and reserve funds in respect of a securitisation scheme or resecuritisalion exposure, and related matters Conditions relating to external credil assessmenl tor securilisation scheme or resecurilisalion exposure Guidelines for adjustments and deductions from capita! and reserve funds The duties and powers of the Registrar upon non-adherence 10 capital adeQuacy guidelines Catculation guidelines applicable to the various tiers o1 capital The measurement of aggregate risk-weighted ex~ures as per section 70 of the Banks Act A respective bank's disclosure in the 8A700 is not for public viewing I Brief description/Heading 10 Section Table 15.1 Section of Regulation 38 (Form BA700) applicable to capital adequacy for South African banks the Government Gazette, provides the specific Directives and interpretations for t completion of capital adequacy and leverage as stipulated in the BA700 form. T form requires banks to report their capital adequacy (and leverage) to the Registrar a monthly and quarterly basis. The sections of Regulation 38 are provided Table 15.1 below. 392 393 CRWAtoial Equation 15.1 Source: BCBS (1988:17-20) 6 Issued and fully paid ordinary shares or common stock Perpetual non-cumulative prefereoce shares Share premiums Retained profit General reserves legal reserves Minority equity inlerests I Table 15.2 The definition of capital under Basel I Subordinated term debt Hj\)rid (debVequity) capilal instrumenls Undisclosed reserves Hevaluation reserves General provisions/general loan-loss reserves In Equation 15.1, CRWA is the sum of the credit risk-weighted on-balance-sh eet 10181 assets (CRWA n) and the credit risk-weighted off-balance-sheet assets (CRWA 0 rrl• 0 The BCBS defined capital as the sum of Tier 1 or Tier 2. Table 15. 2 provides the components of these two capital tiers. - CAR _ Tier I capital+ Tier 2 capital The formula for the CAR under Basel I was: Calculating the capital adequacy ratio under Basel I Basel I provided specific criteria that bankers could use to determine their minimum risk-weighted capital adequacy ratio (CAR) that incorporated both on-balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet credit risk exposures. These on-balance-sheet and off-balancesheet items were risk weighted according to their perceived credit risk in order to calculate the total risk-weighted assets (RWAs) for the bank. The CAR (sometimes called the Cooke ratio 3 ) was calculated by assigning risk weights to the respective onbalance-sheet and off-balance-sheet items. By the end of 199 2, banks had to have a CAR of at least 8%. Today this ratio fs still being used as the basis to calculate RWAs. with recent developments adding additional risks to the denominator. The principle of RWAs is therefore an important one when dealing with capital adequacy. BASEL I The BCBS drafted the first formal set of guidelines aimed at capital standards in 1988 although adherence to these guidelines was not made compulsory. Basel I was developed to 'establish minimum levels of capital for internationally active banks' that had to be implemented by the end of 1992. 5 As long as regulators from different countries applied the guidelines as being minimum these could be adapted to suit a respective national context. At the heart of the first Basel Accord was the focus to manage the quality of a bank's assets, hence the initial focus exclusively on credit risk. Basel I was drafted with the intention of addressing two objectives that were particularly pertinent at the time. The first was to strengthen the safety and soundness of the international banking system; the second to promote fairness and consistency by providing a framework applicable to banks functioning anywhere in the world.S Bearing in mind that financial markets were becoming increasingly global during the late l 980s, Basel I provided an important means to assess the soundness of banks from any country given its universal applicability. Chapter 15: Banks and Capital Adequacy -'· ".' _.W" ·'"•'•? -""•>~_-?- .. !\\'II,\\~»:'•~• Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective Cash items in process of collection d) e) Claims on banks incorporated outside lhe OECD Claims on central governments outside the OECD Claims on commercial companies owned by the public sector Premises, plant, equipment and other fixed assets b) c) d) e) Capilal instruments issued by olher banks All other assels g) h) Real estate and other investments Claims 011 fhe private sector a) Loans fully secured by mortgages on residential property Claims on non-domestic DECO public entities exclLJ9ing central government c) Claims on banks incorporated in lhe OECO and loans guaranteed by OECD incorporated banks Claims on domes1ic public-sector enlilies. excluding central government, and loans guaranteed by such entities Claims on multilateral development banks Claims on banks incorporated in countries outside the OECD b) a) e) Olher claims Oil OECD cenlrar governmenis and central banks Claims collateralised by cash of OECO cenlral government securities or guarantew by OECD central governments c) d) Cash (and gold held al lhe bank) Claims on central governments and central banks b) Asset classes a) ~>.~. A ■ ■ ""·.-C. m,, ,,P These risk weight categories provide a few important insights into capital adequacy vis-a-vis on-balance-sh eet items: An on-balance-sh eet asset with higher credit risk has a higher risk weight (and • vice versa). As the credit risk increases the bank has to hold more capital (and vice versa). Idle assets (that is, assets that do not generate revenue in their current form such as cash) are considered low risk and therefore carry low, if not zero, risk weights. Source: BCBS (1988:21-22) 6 100% 50% 20% 0% . Risk weight Table 15.3 Risk-weight categories for on-balance-sheet assets according to Basel I The definition of capital as two tiers was the first attempt at classification accord to their inherent risk. This definition of capital was one of the major contributi made by the BCBS in Basel I and has been modified through the years to reflect changing environment to which banks are exposed. Deductions were also propo including goodwill from Tier I capital and certain types of investments in subsidiari As the CAR formula indicates, the sum of Tier I and Tier 2 capital is divided by CRWA10131 , which is an amount reflecting the risk-weighted credit risk for both balance-sheet and off-balance-sheet items of the bank. The risk weights for on-baland sheet asset classes are provided in Table 15.3 below. To calculate the CRWAon' eac respective asset on the balance sheet is multiplied by its corresponding risk weight tog, the item risk-weighted amount. The sum of all these item risk-weighted amounts equa the total risk-weighted on-balance-sheet assets (CRWA0 n). 394 395 Endorsements of character Standby letters of credit serving as guarantees Standby letters ol credit related lo particular transactions ■ Credit lines • Commitments with an original ma1urity of up to one year, or which can be unconditionally cancelled at any time Short -term self· liquidating trade-related contingencies Formal standby facilities ■ Commitmenls with an original maturity of over one year Revolving underwriting facilities Nole issuance lacililies Bid bonds Warranties • Per1ormance bonds ■ • Transaction-related contingent items Partly-paid shares and securities Fo!ward deposits Forward asset purchases Asset sales with recourse Sale and repurchase agreements • • Direct credit substitutes Source: BCBS (1988:23-24) 6 0% 20% 50% 100% I Table 15.4 Credit conversion factors for off-balance-she et instruments and transactions (CRWA0 m) according to Basel I 'Crndit.cbrwernion faiJ.toi'. Off,6aJan/:e,sr\iietJlisiri:r~ccf'.½"~' ''§ 'cf.;:; Off-balance-sheet items are those that do not explicitly appear on the balance sheet and typically include letters of credit, loan facilities, interest rate derivatives, foreign exchange derivatives, equity derivatives and commodity derivatives to name only a few. In order to calculate the CRWA 0 rr two steps are followed. First, a credit equivalent amount (CEA) must be calculated. The purpose of doing this is to provide an amount that is equivalent to a loan with equal credit risk. Second, the CEA must be assigned an appropriate risk weight. Given the numerous types of off-balance-sheet exposures, Basel I made a distinction between off-balance-sheet items: those that are instruments or transaction related (or CRWA01nl and those derivatives that are foreign exchange and interest rate related contingencies (or CRWA 0 rrol- For the former, the process was quite simple: apply the two steps as mentioned above (using Table 15.4). National entities such as governments and central banks are considered lower risk and thereby carry lower risk weights. Foreign entities such as companies, governments aJld central banks in countries that are not from the developed economies (that is, non-OECD countries) carry higher risk weights. Chapter 15: Banks and Capital Adequacy Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective one year Off-balance-sheet derivatives 0.5% 0% Interest rate contracts 1% 5% f_P.isume:}'~;Jnfof~~tlorfpertairiingto --~ta~-~i Ba~l<ii:er~f to'1a1culat.e~he.:cAB!Or_t_he•·banktodeterminew_het~~r-~rt/Ofitc 7(8%. minimurri require~ent set_ in Basel I. [able, 15.~pre~!de~}~e •ba >jnfomiatio n afongwitht he applicable riskweightc aicufations : • !d~d.iirid;yotiS;;;···· In summary, the major proposals made by Basel I regarding capital ratios were: 6 total regulatory capital was the sum of Tier 1 and Tier 2 capital • the CAR had to be at least 8% • ■ the total of Tier 2 capital was limited to a maximum of l 00% of Tier 1 capital · ■ subordinated debt could not exceed 50% of Tier 1 capital. In years following Basel J, netting was introduced, which effectively reduced t credit risk equivalent amounts for banks through derivative exposures signed for the Internatio nal Swaps and Derivatives Association (TSDA) master agreements. 3 Source: BCBS (1988:25) 6 ~ < ooe year Residual maturity (CRWA011 oJ according to Basel I Table 15.5 Credit conversion factors (add-ons) for off-balance-sheet derivatives The credit conversion factors (or add-ons) for the CRWA0 rr O are provided in Table I Total notional principal amount of contracts x Credit conversion factor The current market risk exposure is the total replaceme nt cost, and the pote· future exposure is: CRWAorID = Current market risk exposure+ Potential future exposure For the latter, however, the calculation of the CEA was slightly more complex.'1 the current exposure method, banks had to (i) determine the total replacemert of all contracts with positive values by marking-t o-market the current expo the derivatives and (ii) apply an 'add-on' factor that reflected the potential exposure over the remainder of the contract. 6 The CRWA0 rr O was therefore cak' as follows: 6 396 "'h-""·'·•·:".! .;.<,~2 .'''"'""~'11'\' .,.·,.e y ~-v--_ ,.., s.:.,.'!lffl•"-'· = -~"'"Y..: ...,,.,. • r...,.;,i">'T:".>.-«1<1 T " ' · ' = · - - \ - . . ...2... ,> y·_. \!--~ ... Chapter 15: Banks and Capital Adequacy 397 d mo As financial markets became more integrated and banks compete particul In risks. new of internationally, they were summarily exposed to a plethora commodi the exposure to changin g interest rates, inflation, exchange rates and i devastat in liabilities and assets of values the affect to l potentia the prices had rath the Given levels. capital ways. This market risk would then subsequently erode in 1996 t crude and simplistic proposals of Basel I that focused only on credit risk, risk in th market ate incorpor to accord initial the to ent amendm an proposed BCBS for 'risk: catered ent amendm This calculation of total capital requirements. [and book trading the in equities and ents instrum related pertaining to interest rate Five broad risk bank'.7 the out through risk ities commod and risk e exchang foreign capital charge categories were therefore identified to contribute to the market risk price risk of and prices ity commod prices, equity rate, e exchang (MRCC): interest rate, contribution major the were risks market these measure to used methods The options. of the Amendment of 199 6. 'only if it The Amendm ent proposed that an additional Tier 3 capital be used Tier 1 capital. 7 could be used to support market risks' and may not exceed 2 50% of that had to be This additional capital tier consisted of short-te rm subordinated debt be repayable not years, two least at of maturity a have up, paid unsecured, fully regarding clause lock-in a before the agreed repayme nt date and be subject to 7 y in the flexibilit greater banks allowed This interest and principal payments. Tier 2 and 1 Tier on solely rely to have not did they as capital their of manage ment be could 2 Tier of ents compon h capital as per the original Basel I proposals. Althoug capital charge 15.3.2 The 1996 Amendment to Basel I: explicit market risk South Ali Although Regulation 38 currently provides guidance for banks in Ali South for e Regulation 21 was used during the Basel I period. The differenc ca tertiary and ry seconda primary, between banks was that the SARB distinguished 50% . . use only could banks African South ore, Furtherm capital. when defining applied usf revaluation reserves as secondary (or Tier 2. as above) capital. If this was be sligh would bank African South a for CAR the the same information as above, CA identical an had bank foreign a if that suggests this on, implicati By 10.3%. lower at capit~ ry regulato more hold to to a South African bank, the latter would be required g market. This is understandable given the risk profile of South Africa as an emergin 0 ,;!Iiii~-~~~1ta~oist~~1~1 ~> '°' · ·. . ·•· · •· <> ,/·· . . <· >" ;:\istart~~r~!l:tB~for;!helMA.cdufdbe•used;'banRshad ~iter\a'!~t e~i1!h;!f~~'~i11tho )pthl!Y~d~e!~~fo spe~~cally.t~f5~~!ift~1iye~ is,Jli~qU~~•it~trveguidelih~s'¾'ere D• natrri~~e h~iII"!~r ~eV;lo~! ") h~d TllO!~r~~i?ili'}"f? ireihent iipplidal:iie.th,15i!ii-iks)t:.ihenusing th~'fMA. •··· cregardea ai{beingtheJniniriiurn'rl!qiJ --:c~L/ -5~~ ,; -.::-::--A~ :.c;.~':"r'.S'· s- ·::_-/cf> "' •,=:c~ ~;:_:·::/i::- - original 1988 substituted for Tier 3 (also up to a limit of 2 50%), the condition of the subordin ated and capital 1 Tier exceed not Accord still applied -Tier 2 capital could of market nature volatile the Given capital.7 1 Tier of 50% exceed debt could not nt. importa was y risk and its adverse effect on the balance sheet, this flexibilit distinction In order to better understand the effect of market risk, there needs to be a refers former The sheet. balance the on /Jook trading and book banking the made between that is here intention The deposits. to traditional banking activities such as loans and early be there Should . maturity until held are book banking the instruments in the refers to those redemption, penalty fees would apply. Conversely, the trading book i.s to not intention The basis. daily a on instruments that are traded in financial markets , example for manage, to used arc trades these as maturity until nts hold these instrume nts instrume These basis. ay liquidity or funding requirements for the bank on a day-to-d are recorded at need to be marked-to-market on a daily basis in order to ensure that they on a daily liabilities and assets g revaluin of practice the is -market fair value. (Mark-to and assets of value the in basis in order to account for daily market fluctuations exposure market actual the of reflection fair) (and liabilities.) This gives a more realistic al capital of the bank, which in turn, provides a more realistic reflection of the addition requirements based on, in this case, market risk. the MRCC. The Amendm ent proposed two methodologies for the calculation of h; approac models internal the and h approac ised standard the were These I. The standardised approach , where The standardised approach (SA) adopted the so-called 'building-block' approach exchange risk, capital was assigned separately to debt and equity securities, foreign 37 each of these commodities risk and price risk for options. • The risk charges associated with ). The (MRCCsA charge capital risk market overall an into ed positions were aggregat charges d calculate y separatel minimum capital requirement was expressed in terms of two g to the general - one applying to the specific risk of each security and the other accordin instruments. of types different between ons correlati of taken was account market risk. No 2. Internal models approach use its own inThe internal models approac h (IMA). in contrast , allowed a bank to VaR refers book. trading its in (VaR) -risk value-at the estimate to models risk house holding given a over ce experien to the maximu m loss that the portfolio is likely to as it banks by preferred often was IMA The ity. probabil period and with a certain less capital. 3 hold thus and . portfolio d diversifie a having of benefit the them allowed e the capital The output generated from the VaR would then be used to calculat A). charge under the IMA (MRCC,M Chapter 15: Banks and Capital Adequacy 399 .~,~c--:. ~ ~ ~ - - - ~ : . Y - l ! > l \ \ ~ , . . , . ____ Banks have the choice to Scenario·s· reqtiiring ·a simulation by lhe bank. Supervisory Scenarios requiring no simulations by the bank. . v_.0. <.~m--.,•···· Amultiplk:ation factor (m) of at least three will apply to the VaR output. This will etteclively 'calculate the general market risk charge (MRCCr,) capital requirements Each bank must meet daily use any VaR model such as variance-covariance matrices, historical simulations or Monte Carlo-simulations /n!ll\\\"4-'.~7D.'-_\...~_-'."!•<:< <<<-l'<r.~~ .Vi" W y e , -____ '"· ... ; Both the Board and _ -·~ ; management must actively-•manage risk and regard it as' an essenlial aspect of business-_._ ·-'_operations management pdlicies unit to overs·mnn~house rtsk Banks must have an indepeodenfoskcontrof ··\ extemarvalidation in the IMA aceording'to the .1996 ,.,dU81itadVS '--~ ~ . ~ ~ ~f >- f QUSiititative 5. Tabte-15.S_Selected .sfaridards tor qualitative,•·quanmati~e, stress 400 Bank Management in South Africa - A risk-based perspective = MRCCtMA X 12.5 MRCCG = max (VaRi-1; m, x VaR.,,) MRCC 1MA = MRCCc + MRCC5 where: MRWAtotal Equation 15.6 Equation 15.5 Equation 15.4 Based on the 1996 Amendment, when the IMA method was used, banks had to calculate a VaR with a ten-day holding period (or time horizon) and 99% confidence level and would be used to calculate the general market risk charge (MRCCG). Banks were further required to conduct a back-testing programme. which was an ex-post comparison between the VaR model and actual daily changes in the portfolio over the previous 2 50 trading days. 3 •7 If the VaR output for a respective trading day was found to be less than the actual loss incurred o